text:
Q: Diplay struts2 error in html page I added my error and message in struts2 action class using addActionMessage and addActionError method.
Now I want code for displaying this message and this error in the html page? Is it possible to print?

A: Put
<s:actionerrors />

and
<s:actionmessages />

tags inside your JSP
AND, for a better graphical result, use a particular div container (one red, one green for example) and check before if you have messages or errors (to print the div only if not empty):
<s:if test="hasActionErrors()">

       <s:actionerrors />

</s:if>

<s:if test="hasActionMessages()">

       <s:actionmessages />

</s:if>

and in CSS
.feedError{
    width: 100%;
    border: 10px solid red;
}

.feedOk{
    width: 100%;
    border: 10px solid green;
}

EDIT: no, as far as I know you can't get Action Errors and Messages directly from HTML.
You can make ajax calls to an action that retrieves them from Session and returns them in JSon, but this is really overkill, bad designed and not necessary.
As a solution, you can use another view technology instead of JSP;
it isn't just plain HTML, but at least you can't use Scriptlets inside pages, if that's is your problem with using JSP.
You can use FreeMarker Template, for example.
The previous JSP snippet would become something like this (untested), in the .ftl file:
<#if (actionErrors?size>0)>

        <@s.actionerror />

</#if>

<#if (actionMessages?size>0)>

        <@s.actionmessage />

</#if>

Or Velocity (again, untested):
#if( $actionErrors.size() > 0 )

   #foreach( $msg in $actionErrors )
       [$msg]

   #end

#end

#if( $actionMessages.size() > 0 )

   #foreach( $msg in $actionMessages )
       [$msg]

   #end

#end

NOTE: if the reason for not using JSPs is to prevent scriptlets, you can configure this behaviour in web.xml adding
<jsp-config>
        <jsp-property-group>
                <url-pattern>*.jsp</url-pattern>

        </jsp-property-group>
</jsp-config>

Using JSP with Struts2 is not the only way, but it is the easiest and the fastest, imho.

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaStackExchange


This Saturday October 10th 2015 is The Social Good Summit Australia, a one-day conference examining the impact of social good initiatives around the world. The aim is to unite a dynamic community of global and local leaders and grassroots contributors to discuss solutions for the greatest challenges of our time.
But what exactly is "social good"?
Is it making a donation to charity? Is it a random act of kindness? Is it volunteering? Is it advocating for a worthy cause? Is it Liking a post on Facebook?
Social good is typically defined as an action that provides some sort of benefit to the general public. In this case, fresh water, education and healthcare are all good examples of social goods. However, new media innovations and the explosion of online communities have added new meaning to the term. Social good is now about global citizens uniting to unlock the potential of individuals, technology and collaboration to create positive societal impact.
Today, social good is about getting people to engage in pro-social actions that benefit society, often by harnessing the power of technology and social media in particular. It is about engagement, shareability and bringing people together to change the world for the better. Gone are the days when governments, multinationals and large NGOs were the only institutions with the reach and resources to initiative change.
Twitter, Facebook and Instagram are fantastic tools that can be used to engage people in social good actions. They allow people to share ideas, advocate and fundraise to solve pressing societal issues. Through online platforms and communities, individuals can add their voice to a cause more easily than ever before and feel like they are an agent of change.
There is nothing wrong with tweeting the change that we want to see in the world. It can create awareness and bring attention to otherwise invisible social challenges. However, it is not an end in itself.
Detached support for an issue soothes the conscience, but is not really standing for something and, most of the time, it won't have any practical effect. Creating social good takes more than a click (#HashtagActivism, Slacktivism, Clicktivism etc.). It is more than Shares, Likes and Followers. Meaningful social good is about rolling up your sleeves and taking tangible action to create engagement, community building and discourse both online and offline.
There is no doubt the incredible impact that technology and new media is having on social good initiatives around the world. However, confusing clicks for action and solely banking on technology and new media to drive change is not social good. Instead we should see them as tools that can be used to unite people from around the world who can go on to affect change. If we really want to create sustainable social good outcomes then it is the measurable societal impact of our actions, not just online but also offline, that really makes a difference.
Australia is full of awesome people who are passionate about making the world a better place, and the increasing number of changemaker events are solid proof. From social innovation to sustainable living to impact investing, there is something for everyone.
Tackling climate change complexity challenges us to go beyond usual ways of working and leading.
Thriving impact business leaders share the clear (and sometimes surprising) benefits of investing in brand development and design.
Based on the belief that digital technologies are one of the main drivers for the United Nations agenda towards the Sustainable Development Goals, The World Summit Award Social Innovation Congress brought together young social entrepreneurs and innovators, international thought-leaders, ICT experts and regional stakeholders to discuss and recognise digital innovation in creating sustainable social change and impact world-wide.


The Maine DOE and the Department of Inland Fisheries and Wildlife are working cooperatively to assess an applicant's readiness, according to State learning standards, to work in the Maine Warden Service.
Interior of a Maine Warden's truck and mobile office space. Photo courtesy of MWS.
The MWS has long engaged in a rigorous screening system to assess applicants including a physical test, an oral examination, and a written exam. To determine whether candidates have sufficient writing skills to quickly submit reports that are accurate, MWS added an essay component to the screening process in 2009. According to Sergeant Dan Menard, "In this day and age, every written document produced by our wardens has the opportunity to be requested under the Freedom of Information Act or provided as discovery to defense attorneys. It is a necessity that wardens be able to accurately and effectively articulate their observations into a well-crafted written report." Developed with a specialist from the Maine DOE, the on-demand essay provides applicants an opportunity to respond to a prompt which is scored for both content and correctness.
The MWS application screening process is a single-elimination system which means that even if an applicant does well in all other tasks, failing to meet the minimum requirement for writing will immediately disqualify the applicant. The writing component aligns to Maine's writing standards and is double-blind scored using a six point essay rubric. The oral examination also aligns to Maine's speaking and listening standards with the goal to demonstrate the ability to engage in collaborative conversation, extract critical information and share findings. In return, Maine DOE learns from the Maine Warden Service in seeing the English Language Arts standards enacted in the work place.


will help us achieve this and to plan an even bigger and better festival later this year. Many thanks.
For fifteen days in September our ancient and modern parish church came alive with the sound of music.
The Festival was launched by the ethereal voice of countertenor, Ralph Williams, accompanied by our own Hywel Evans. Ralph is a former Choral Scholar at All Saints' and we wish him well as he begins his studies at the Northern College of Music.
The Gwalia Singers attracted a large audience and were joined by Mumbles' very own opera star, Ros Evans. Then followed the talented 'in house' organists of All Saints' for what has now become an annual recital.
One of the highlights of the Festival was the performance of Sir Karl Jenkins' emotive work, 'Stabat Mater'. The Festival Choir was accompanied by the British Sinfionetta, with Hywel Evans on the organ, and soloists, Belinda Sykes and Ros Evans, under the musical direction of Luke Spencer. It was a very moving and highly charged performance that concert goers will talk about for some time!
The Men's Fellowship then sponsored 'The Gentlemen Entertain'. Hywel Evans played the Steinway grand piano, Luke Spencer played the harpsichord, Grafton Maggs read two of his ever popular stories and James Murray was the baritone soloist. It was a thoroughly enjoyable evening.
Attendance at the Llanrhidian Ladies Choir and Pontyclun Cantorian concert was affected by the terribly wet weather and flooding. Undeterred, they presented a lovely programme to a small but very appreciative audience.
Ever popular jazz musician, Dave Cottle, presented a foot tapping concert to an almost full house. We very much hope that he will return to the festival again next year.
The concerts were rounded off by the Swansea Bay Symphony Orchestra and Uplands Arts. We were treated to Gilbert and Sullivan, Rogers and Hammerstein, film scores, and a 'Last Night of the Proms. It was a most enjoyable ending to a varied programme of concerts.
Well over a thousand concert goers and performers came through the Church doors for the various events and services. We are most grateful to our patrons and sponsors, whose support helped us to plan this year's programme well in advance. We thank the performers, concert goers and our loyal team of helpers, welcomers and wine pourers. Special thanks to our Directors of Music and the festival committee, to Terry Branton [Patrons Chairman] and Bruce Roberts [Festival Administrator] for ensuring a most successful fifteen days of music making.
We are pleased to report that plans are already well underway for the Mumbles Festival of Music and the Arts 2019.


text:
Andy Pages, Ryan Ward earn High-A honors
Plus, shots from the Dodgers' Wild Card spectacular, a Juan Soto sighting, and more.
By Samantha C Carleton Oct 8, 2021, 7:00am PDT
Share All sharing options for: Andy Pages, Ryan Ward earn High-A honors
Andy Pages earned one of three High-A MVP awards.
Dodgers Minor League outfielders Andy Pages and Ryan Ward ended their seasons with some well-earned awards this year. Pages was named the High-A central division MVP, while Ward made the division's All-Star team.
Pages posted a .265 ERA with a league-leading 31 homers and 88 RBI for the Great Lakes Loons. The 20-year-old was originally meant to go to the Angels as part of the first attempted Mookie Betts trade, and he's proven worth keeping around.
"He's a special player, a special human," Loons manager Austin Chubb said at the end of the season. "I'm looking forward to watch him be a Dodger for some time."
Ward, meanwhile, batted .278 and trailed just behind his teammate with 27 homers and 84 RBI. He drew attention for his rock-solid defense early in the season and finished as one of the best-hitting prospects for L.A. across all of its affiliates.
Nationals star Juan Soto had the time of his life cheering for former teammates Max Scherzer and Trea Turner during the Wild Card game, and Matt Kelly at MLB.com has all the details.
Take a photographic tour of the wildest Wild Card game yet with L.A. Times photographers and pick out your new desktop background from these incredible shots.
The Dodgers have a wide and varied fan base, including, possibly, one of FBI's most wanted. Scott Gleeson at USA Today breaks it down.
Bill Plunkett at the Orange County Register looks at the common threads between Farhan Zaidi's Giants front office and Andrew Friedman's Dodgers.
Our Eric Stephen was a guest on the FnA podcast for AM 570, previewing the NLDS between the Dodgers and Giants.

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


A glorious Sunshine Coast winter's day for Stage 2 of the Velothon Sunshine Coast, 2017.
Dawn at Moffat Beach, immediately prior to the days riding.
Moffat Beach 2AM-005007 ©Andrew McInnes. All Rights Reserved.
Sunshine Coast Velathon 2AM-005011 ©Andrew McInnes. All Rights Reserved.
Sunshine Coast Velathon 2AM-005062 ©Andrew McInnes. All Rights Reserved.
Sunshine Coast Velathon 2AM-005101 ©Andrew McInnes. All Rights Reserved.
Winter pastels over Ewen Maddock Dam – the Sunshine Coast, Queensland.
There have been some lovely pastels at dusk lately. This wetlands scene is part of Ewen Maddock Dam, located along Steve Irwin Way on the Sunshine Coast of Queensland.
Black Swans and Fishermen greet a golden dawn – Pumicestone Passage, Caloundra, QLD.
A pair of Black Swans (Cygnus stratus) greet the dawn over Bribie Island and Pumicestone Passage, as seen from Golden Beach, Caloundra.
Golden Beach 2AM-003674 ©Andrew McInnes. All Rights Reserved.
Oh to be boating (and fishing) on a tranquil summer morning such as this.
Pumicestone Passage 2AM-008338 ©Andrew McInnes. All Rights Reserved.
Supermoon, November, 2016 – Kings Beach, Caloundra, QLD.
After initially being occluded by clouds caressing the horizon, the supermoon shone over Kings Beach, Caloundra – on the superb Sunshine Coast of Queensland.
Kings Beach 2AM-003562 ©Andrew McInnes. All Rights Reserved.


text:
Cruise NewsNorwegian Cruise Line News
After 17 Months Norwegian Escape is Finally Delivered
Norwegian Escape during Sea Trials along the coast of Norway. By Norwegian Cruise Line
Norwegian Escape which is one of the world's largest cruise ships has finally been delivered to Norwegian Cruise Line. After 17 months of construction the time has come for the large vessel to begin offering cruises and delight cruisers from all over.
Today the 164,600 gross ton cruise ship was delivered to NCL from the German based shipbuilder Meyer Werft. The ceremony took place in Bremerhaven, Germany with cruise line and shipyard executives.
Andy Stuart, Norwegian Cruise Line's president and chief operating officer said:
"Norwegian Escape's arrival marks a true evolution for our brand—we've capitalized on the best of our Breakaway Class ships and taken freedom and flexibility to the next level with this incredible new ship, Once again, the team at MEYER WERFT, along with our new build and operations teams, and all of the ship's officers and crew have done a remarkable job and we cannot wait to welcome guests on board this spectacular new vessel."
The ship will sail off to its first official port of call of Hamburg, Germany under the control of Norwegian Cruise Line. Norwegian Escape will then set off for Southampton, UK with a two-night stop over. Finally on October 29 the new ship will sail a transatlantic crossing to Miami, Florida where it will sail year round.
Bernard Meyer, managing partner with MEYER WERFT said:
"We are thrilled to deliver the first in Norwegian Cruise Line's Breakaway Plus class, Norwegian Escape is the newest and most advanced cruise vessel on the seas and we are proud of the team that worked diligently to design and build her."
Norwegian Escape which is the cruise lines largest ever ship will be christened in Miami on November 9 by international superstar and singer Pitbull. Pitbull will also be the ship's Godfather.
Highlights onboard include an Aqua Park, the largest at sea and includes a new tandem Aqua Racer slide, Broadway musicals, Haven which is a private enclave on the top of the ship and a ton more.
Anyone excited then?


Permalink and access key is stored on your browser, we do not keep your data. If you clear your browser data, these records will be cleared.
Please note that when we replace the domain name, the old record will be cleared. This applies to all domain name has been disabled and the huge junk mail, which we are keep working, maybe one day we can make a permalink to all the mailboxes.
Your browser does not support local storage, please make sure your browser version is greater then IE 8+, Chrome 4+, Firefox 3.5+, Safari 4+, Opera 10.5+, and allows the site to access local storage.
Are you sure you want to delete the following address?
Are you sure you want to delete the following addresses?
Are you sure you want to delete all addresses?
You can import email history from others, but only limit domain name which is being used.


text:
Harvard Women's Health Watch
Tuberculosis vaccine shows promise in controlling blood sugar
Research we're watching
Published: February, 2019
A long-used vaccine is showing promise in helping to restore near-normal blood sugar levels in people with advanced type 1 diabetes. Researchers from Harvard Medical School injected adults who had type 1 diabetes with two doses of the bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) vaccine, which is traditionally used to prevent tuberculosis.
Participants in the study, all of whom had type 1 diabetes for many years, all showed significant improvements in their average blood sugar levels after the vaccination. The improvements lasted for the next five years. Researchers said that it appears the vaccine affected a metabolic mechanism that increases consumption of glucose by cells.
This particular vaccine is already known to be beneficial in boosting a substance in the body that helps to disable immune cell attacks on healthy tissues, which occur in individuals with autoimmune diseases, such as type 1 diabetes.
Further studies will be done to confirm the results and to explore the possibility of using the vaccine to treat people with type 2 diabetes as well.
Image: © moodboard/Getty Images
Ask the doctor: Should I stop taking Avandia?
New pill better targets rheumatoid arthritis
Expert panel recommends new shingles vaccine
What's new with the shingles vaccine
Can the flu shot hurt my immune response?
What do the measles outbreaks mean for me?
Get a flu shot
Almost all adults should a get flu shot each year. The best time to get the shot is in the fall, before the flu season begins. But it's not too late to get one in January or February.


Kunming, the capital of Yunnan province, is a Chinese city that lies on the old southwestern route into South Asia. It has long been a melting pot of races, cultures and religions. Yunnan shares borders with Myanmar, Laos and Vietnam, which made it a vital trading hub in the glory days of imperial China.
Kunming has long profited from its location on the caravan roads and therefore prospered.
Richly ornamented exquisite arch on the square.
Kunming, the capital of Yunnan province, is a Chinese city that lies on the old southwestern route into South Asia. It has long been a melting pot of races, cultures and religions. Yunnan shares borders with Myanmar, Laos and Vietnam, which made it a vital trading hub in the glory days of imperial China. Kunming has long profited from its location on the caravan roads and therefore prospered.
The Chinese eat pork a lot, one way is as pork sausages on sticks. Usually they are sweet, fatty and oily.
A courtyard in the old part of the city.
Islam came here about 700 years ago and today the Hui people, who are a predominantly Muslim ethnic group in China, is counted as the third largest ethnic group in Kunming.
The last old street in the centre of the city, previously forming a Muslim quarter, is very important to Kunming's muslim population. Until recently this street was full of wind-dried beef and mutton carcasses, pitta bread and raisin sellers, and huge woks of roasting coffee beans being earnestly stirred with shovels.
Muslim girl staring at us as we eat.
Rapid modernisation over recent years has seen the visible signs of their culture wiped out. The streets have been demolished to make way for apartments and shopping plazas.
Mosque is surrounded by tower blocks.
Old woman in local restaurant.
With the destruction of Muslim cultural property, general discontent and tension has arisen among the Muslims. After an attack on civilians last year the government has installed police booths with video surveillance and vans with armed police officers.
Police van in the arch.
Compared to Beijing or Shanghai, Kunming is kept clean and the air here isn't polluted.
For a very long time dance was used as an exercise for people to keep healthy after a prolonged spell of wet weather. Traditionally some Chinese dances may also have a connection with the martial arts that were used to train in fighting skills and some martial arts exercises such as Tai chi are similar to a choreographed dance.
In modern China it is common to find people using dance as a form of exercise in parks.
Dancing sessions in the park.
Children practice playing traditional instruments on the street.
China produces a lot of milk even though most Chinese people are lactose intolerant.
Some of the old houses still remain in the city centre.
The Chinese ride either with construction helmets or without anything.
Fully protected woman on motorbike.
In China open-crotch pants are widely used so that a child can urinate and defecate wherever it pleases. It's also done so that children complete their toilet training more quickly and at an earlier age. Other benefits include the elimination of nappy rash and reduction of the environmental problems caused by disposable nappies.
Kid in split pants playing with a wire.
Chinese man smoking next to a 'no smoking' sign.
I am a self conscious person and I cannot go for a number one if I am being watched. Just like some time ago, when I worked on a building site and once a week people were selected to be tested for drugs. So finally my name was picked, of all the most difficult tests in my life this was the most difficult. Peeing in a jar, when being watch by a nurse. It was important they watched as the samples could be switched over. Anyway, so I stood and huffed and puffed for half an hour with a full bladder and tense muscles and seemed about to burst.
Going back to the Chinese toilet, which looked empty the first time, which is surprisingly rare in China; I went in, unzipped, relaxed and here you go, hearing the door creaking. Squatting, Chinese man, with a cigarette in his mouth, staring like he has never seen a white man peeing before.


Thanks for the wonderful review, Angela! Our team works hard to provide the best experience for all of our guests!! We are so happy that you were pleased with your visit - and we hope to see you again soon!
Renee, thank you so much for this marvelous review! Our staff seeks to provide the finest level of service achievable while offering our customers the best prices possible!
Great products and very friendly staff- always will to help and offer ideas!!!!
Kym, thank you so much for this marvelous review! Our staff seeks to provide the finest level of service achievable while offering our customers the best prices possible! We hope to see you again soon!
The BEST pet food/supply store! I just love going in and knowing I'm getting high quality foods and treats for my dogs. I trust in the people and products and I love that they opened a new store so close to my home. Thanks Hollywood Feed, you're the best!
Pamela, thank you so much for such an outstanding review! Our team strives to go above and beyond to provide a wide variety of quality products for each pet's specific needs and ensure an excellent experience for each customer! We're thrilled you're pleased with our service and hope to see you again soon!
Jodi, thank you so much for your positive review! Our staff attends 40-50 hours worth of training on both products and customer service throughout the year to learn how to best serve our customers! It is always a pleasure to have such wonderful feedback!
Paul, we sincerely appreciate your wonderful review and feedback! Our team is dedicated to keeping our shelves stocked with food that we would happily feed our own furry friends! Be sure to come and see us again soon!
The most knowledgeable staff, friendly and helpful! Great products and always a fun shopping trip with my Jerzy!
Andrea, thank you so much for your positive review! Our staff attends 40-50 hours worth of training on both products and customer service throughout the year to learn how to best serve our customers! It is always a pleasure to have such wonderful feedback! We hope to see you and Jerzy again soon!
Bonita, we are always excited to receive such an amazing review! Great customer service is always something our associates strive for and we are happy to have such great feedback!
Always someone there to help and assist with any questions or concerns. Great selection of food and treats for my baby.
Thank you so much for the amazing review, Kecia! Our team strives to go above and beyond to provide excellent service and products for every customer! We hope to see you again soon!
DeeDee was a great help and very knowledgeable about products.
Thank you for the amazing review, Celeste! Our compassionate team strives to provide exceptional service and we're thrilled to hear that you are pleased! Come back and see us again soon!
First visit to this specific store. So glad to finally have a store in Frisco! Staff was very helpful in helping us locate our normal buys in a new store and even offered to carry it out to the car.
Thank you for this great review, Christy!! We are so happy to be in the area, and happy that you are now able to get all of your pets goodies at this location. We hope to see you again soon!!
I am very happy with Hollywood Feed. The employees are very knowledgeable and helped me find the perfect food, vitamins and treats for my Maltipoo.
Thank you for this great review, Carol!! Our team works hard to find the best options for each individual pet! We hope to see you and your Maltipoo again soon!
Thank you for the 5 stars, Heather! Our team aims to make every customer experience with us exceptional!
Best foods for your pets and the best customer service! Love my new Frisco store!
Pamela, thank you for the fabulous review and feedback! We are dedicated to providing exceptional products and service to our customers and their furry friends! It's very encouraging to hear that you are pleased and we hope to see you again soon!
great customer service, helped me pick the perfect food and treats for my dog!
Cassidy, thank you for the awesome review! Our team is always happy to help make recommendations or suggestions for our customer's furry friends! Please come and see us again soon!
Thank you for the marvelous review, Bethe!


Okay kiddos, it's time for another round of "The Top Five…" For this go around, in the spirit of Halloween, we'll be reminiscing about "The Top Five Worst Candies Ever" to hit our Trick or Treat baskets.
Everyone knows these delightfully familiar little nuggets of disaster. Full of bright neon orange and yellows, they have a built in warning system that screams "DO NOT CONSUME!" It's basically just a glorified sugar cube; nevertheless it's a trademark of the holiday.
Let's be completely honest here. You're eating flavored sugar, and that's not actual candy. Nothing more and nothing less to this one, yet every year you'll be sure to find a metric ton of this horrid, crystalline monstrosity. Why are they so bad, you ask? Well, imagine somebody throws out the Sour Patch Kids and then eats solely the sour and sugar dust at the bottom. That is what you're doing and yes, you should feel bad.
Yes, you read that right. You're sure to find that one health aficionado, or better yet a local dentist, who knows you need a toothbrush and not more candy. Sorry Cheryl, but we don't need your negativity, we need more Crunch bars and if my teeth fall out, then I count that as a successful Halloween.
Have you ever had a burning desire to eat fruit-flavored chalk? Look no further than these disc-shaped candies that seemingly were made in the '20s en masse and have merely been recollected and redistributed every year. They're popular seemingly in nursing homes, with that neighbor who really doesn't like neighborhood kids, and ultimately in the trash. Eating one of these is like swallowing a desert and it leaves my mouth bone dry, which is not what I look for in candy. Overall, I give this candy one sad pumpkin out of 10.
"Oh, well it's an acquired taste." "You just need to give it a try!" Most of the time when someone has to do this much bargaining for you to try something, the end result is really subpar. This case is nothing different. I can't really describe the taste, largely because I try to block out the memory of it. I thought it was black raspberry at first, so the shock when I bit into it was quite scarring to say the least.
What candies can you think of that didn't make the list? Do you have a Halloween candy horror story? Share your thoughts and stories with The Spectator by emailing us at voices.spectator@gmail.com.
Roman Sabella and Devva Saunders can be reached at voices.spectator@gmail.com.


text:
Jim Dahl's College Hockey Ranked
A place for college hockey PWR and RPI
Tag Archives: Minnesota Duluth
What to watch for in PWR this weekend
This article looks at the most interesting outcomes of games this weekend, with a focus on what PWR might look like next Monday. If you want a more general analysis of the remaining regular season and NCAA tournament likelihood, check out the article, NCAA tournament outlook as conferences enter final regular season weekend, and the table, Wins needed to likely end regular season at PWR rank.
Biggest upside potential
#20 Wisconsin, visiting the red hot #4 Gophers in Minneapolis, has an opportunity to surge. The Badgers could climb to the 9-11 range with a sweep (as high as 7 is realistic), but will likely just stay put if swept. Of course, in the long run staying put is not good enough for the Badgers who needs 3-4 wins in their final 6 games to climb to the bubble (see NCAA tournament outlook).
#18 Boston College has a similar opportunity facing #8 Mass.-Lowell for a home-and-home series. Sweeping would provide a broad range of possible outcomes, from #8-#15 quite possible. Getting swept would likely result in a modest decline to the 19-20 range.
Biggest downside potential
As past readers of these articles know, just as teams around #20 usually have the most upside potential, teams around #10 usually have the most potential to fall.
#10 Cornell faces the most downside potential, with ranks 15-21 possible if swept by Rensselaer and Union. Given that these are the last two games of the regular season for Cornell, that would put the Big Red firmly on the bubble.
#9 Providence faces a similar outlook, with ranks 15-20 possible with a pair of losses to Massachusetts.
All of #8 Mass.-Lowell, #11 Penn State, #12 St Cloud St, #13 Ohio St, and #14 North Dakota face similar chances of a slightly more modest plunge with a pair of losses. Only Mass.-Lowell's regular season ends this weekend, so others would have some opportunity to recover.
Top seeds?
#1 Denver and #2 Minnesota-Duluth each look unlikely to leave the weekend outside of the 1-3 range, regardless of outcome, and one of the two is almost certain to come out #1. Denver doesn't quite control its own destiny, as Minnesota-Duluth stands about a 10% chance of sneaking into #1 even if both sweep. Other teams fighting for spots in the top 4 this weekend are #3 Harvard, #4 Minnesota, #5 Western Michigan, and #6 Boston University.
Forecasts include the results of games played through Tuesday of this week.
Each forecast is based on at least one million monte carlo simulations of the games in the described period. For each simulation, the PairWise Ranking (PWR) is calculated and the results tallied. The probabilities presented in the forecasts are the share of simulations in which a particular outcome occurred.
The outcome of each game in each simulation is determined by random draw, with the probability of victory for each team set by their relative KRACH ratings. So, if the simulation set included a contest between team A with KRACH 300 and team B with KRACH 100, team A will win the game in very close to 75% of the simulations. I don't simulate ties or home ice advantage.
Current PWR Rankings
Current RPI Rankings
CHN PWR Rankings (CollegeHockeyNews.com)
USCHO PWR Rankings (USCHO.com)
Explanation of how PWR mimics NCAA tournament selection (CollegeHockeyNews.com)
This entry was posted in forecasts and tagged Boston College, Boston University, Cornell, Denver, forecast, Harvard, Mass.-Lowell, Minnesota, Minnesota Duluth, North Dakota, Ohio State, Penn State, Providence, St. Cloud St, Western Michigan, Wisconsin on February 23, 2017 by jim.
This weekend's big PWR movers
Sorry for the lateness and any errors, had to crank this one out in a hurry…
More upside than you might expect
Not this week. Usually a team or two in the mid-20s have the opportunities for jumps approaching 10 spots. Plenty of teams in that range have the chance to jump about 5 spots, maybe even 6 if all goes well, but anything approaching a 10 spot jump from a team of any consequence is very unlikely.
More downside than you might expect
The high teens is a tough place to be this time of year.
#14 Penn State, idle last weekend but on the list of potential big drops two weeks ago, is in familiar territory — win 2 to stay in place, or be prepared to fall. A 10 spot drop to #24 is possible.
#15 Minnesota-Duluth, which jumped 10 spots (as predicted) with an impressive pair of wins last weekend, doesn't have much upside potential but stands to give back its ground if it doesn't keep up its winning streak. An 11 spot drop to #26 is possible.
#16 Minnesota, which was also on last week's potential big drop list, finds itself there again. Two wins won't do much for the Gophers, but losses could result in up to a 9 spot drop to #25.
#17 Michigan Tech, #18 Miami, and #20 Cornell also face potentially significant drops of up to 7-8 positions if they lose 2. They each, however, face more normal upside potential with success.
This entry was posted in forecasts and tagged Cornell, forecast, Miami, Michigan Tech, Minnesota, Minnesota Duluth, Penn State on March 4, 2016 by jim.
As mentioned in yesterday's PWR outlook article, all the teams from #20 St. Lawrence to #26 Clarkson have the potential to climb into the teens this weekend. But, #25 Minnesota-Duluth and #26 Clarkson, in particular, have the potential to make huge jumps.
The #25 Bulldogs could find themselves as high as #14, a jump of 11 spots, with a sweep of #2 St. Cloud St. Most likely with a sweep is a still unusual climb of 8-9 positions to #16-17.
#26 Clarkson could find itself as high as 16 with wins over Dartmouth and Harvard, though #19-21 are more likely. The likely outcomes for Clarkson with two wins cover a surprising #16-#23 span. Clarkson's outcome with two wins would rest a lot on other games, with the Golden Knights cheering for sweeps from Alaska Anchorage over Minnesota St, St. Cloud St over Minnesota-Duluth, Maine over Northeastern, Alaska over Michigan Tech, and Canisius over Robert Morris.
Going down?
Every team in the #14-22 range, except idle #15 Penn State, could fall more than five positions with a pair of losses. #14 Cornell, #17 Miami, #18 Michigan Tech, and #16 Minnesota are facing particularly steep falls.
Cornell could see itself fall as low as #24 with losses to Rensselaer and Union, though the spread of likely outcomes stretches a huge span of 17-24.
Miami faces a steep drop to as low as #29 if swept by Colorado College, with a still significant drop to 26-27 most likely.
Michigan Tech could find itself as low as #28 if they drop a pair to Alaska, though #24-26 are more likely.
If Minnesota gets swept by Michigan, it will face a broad range of potential outcomes that stretches as low as #25. #19-23 are all reasonably likely in that scenario.
This entry was posted in forecasts and tagged Clarkson, Cornell, forecast, Miami, Michigan Tech, Minnesota, Minnesota Duluth on February 24, 2016 by jim.
As the weekend game results come in during the final few weeks of conference play, college hockey fans start watching the PairWise Rankings tables for big moves that might push teams into, or out of, position for an at-large bid. Here are the teams most likely to be cited on forums and in tweets this weekend for "surprisingly" large moves.
Don't look down
#14 Penn State is unlikely to benefit much from a pair of wins over #40 Ohio State, but would likely plummet to about #20 (as low as #24 is realistically possible) if swept.
Surprise! #15 St. Lawrence could climb just a little with a pair of wins over #10 Yale and #53 Brown, but is facing steep decline to the #22-24 range with a pair of losses (or a more modest decline with a single loss).
#17 Rensselaer won't move much if they defeat #1 Quinnipiac and #55 Princeton, but face a steep decline of about 9 ranking positions if they drop both.
#23 Minnesota Duluth, which I already noted is facing significant upside potential with a visit to #3 North Dakota, could surge to the #14-16 range if they hand the Fighting Hawks a second consecutive conference sweep. Even a single win would likely result in a noticeable climb.
#25 Robert Morris could excite fans with a likely move into the teens with a pair of wins over #30 Air Force. But remember, they'd need a repeat performance against Canisius next weekend to avoid giving that ground right back.
This entry was posted in forecasts and tagged forecast, Minnesota Duluth, Ohio State, Penn State, Robert Morris, St. Lawrence on February 19, 2016 by jim.
With two weeks until conference tournaments begin, teams on the bubble need to get hot
Picking up where I left off yesterday, in A few top teams are starting to look like locks for the NCAA tournament, those teams currently ranked #10 and below in the PWR need to do some work to ensure being positioned for an NCAA tournament bid.
If #10 Yale and below lose more than they win, they risk going into conference tournaments in the teens and having to glue themselves to this blog. #11 Boston University and #12 Harvard have very similar outlooks to Yale, each with 4 scheduled regular season games remaining, and each wanting two wins to maintain their current position.
#13 Mass.-Lowell can also maintain its current position, or slip slightly, with a pair of wins. But, that would leave them squarely on the bubble going into conference tournament play.
Because the Big Ten regular season extends later into March, #14 Penn State has 6 games remaining. But, the Nittany Lions need 4 wins to make maintaining their #14 ranking the most likely outcome.
#15 St. Lawrence has kept me in business this year, with a wild ride from #10 in my inaugural January article, down to as low as #27 at the end of January. I noted back in January that they would need to win about 9 of their last 10 to go into the conference tournament on the bubble. After a 5-0-1 run, the Saints are still positioned for a #13-14 ranking with no more losses, or a #15-16 ranking with one loss.
The #16 Minnesota Gophers have 6 games remaining, and most likely need 5 wins just to maintain that ranking going into the conference tournament.
That should be no surprise, as all the way back on January 6, I published a chart on Minnesota that suggested Minnesota needed to win about 12 of its remaining 16 to end up ranked #15-16. Including two additional tournament games, Minnesota has gone 8-4 over that period, leaving them little room for additional losses.
#17 Rensselaer, #18 Cornell, #19 Michigan Tech, #20 Miami, #21 Dartmouth, and #22 Clarkson all need to win out to be most likely to end the regular season in the #13-14 range.
#23 Minnesota-Duluth has a bit more wiggle room, with a finish in the #14-16 range likely with even just 4 wins in its remaining 6 games. The Bulldogs have the notable RPI improvement possibility, and challenge, of playing #2 St. Cloud and #3 North Dakota on the road.
In late January, I suggested that the Bulldogs would need to win 8/9 out of their final 11 to end up in the 14-16 range. In the interim, they've delivered a 3-2 performance, so it's a modest upside surprise that they might be able to afford two more losses.
This entry was posted in forecasts and tagged Boston University, Clarkson, Cornell, Dartmouth, forecast, Harvard, Mass.-Lowell, Miami, Michigan Tech, Minnesota, Minnesota Duluth, Penn State, Rensselaer, St. Lawrence, Yale on February 18, 2016 by jim.
Who's in position for the NCAAs with four weeks left in the regular season?
With most conferences having just four weeks of games remaining before their tournaments begin (the Big Ten has five), the field is tightening up a bit compared to my first look at the cutlines.
Still, no one is mathematically a lock — leaving the regular season in the 10-14 range, as is possible for even the top teams, is not safe because each can accumulate two additional losses and no wins in the conference tournament (only in the Big Ten conference tournament is the worst case scenario exiting immediately with a single loss and no wins).
#1 Quinnipiac
#2 St Cloud St
#3 North Dakota
#4 Boston College
#5 Providence
#6 Michigan
#7 Notre Dame
#8 Boston University
#9 Nebraska-Omaha
#10 Yale
#11 Harvard
#12 Denver
Through #12 Denver should be safe for an at-large bid unless they slump and sink below .500 in their remaining games. Teams near the top have more margin for mistakes than near the bottom.
From #13 Mass.-Lowell through #26 Minnesota-Duluth can position themselves for an at-large bid, with those near the bottom requiring near perfect records.
#13 Mass.-Lowell
#14 Cornell
#15 Penn St
#16 Dartmouth
#17 Clarkson
#18 Michigan Tech
#19 Robert Morris
#20 Rensselaer
#21 Minnesota St
#22 Minnesota
#23 Bowling Green
#24 Miami
#25 St. Lawrence
#26 Minnesota-Duluth
#27 Northeastern and below would need near perfection and some luck to sneak into position for an at-large bid. Even then, success in the conference tournament would be required to not fall out of position. These teams should plan to do well in their conference tournaments.
#27 Northeastern
#28 Ferris St
#29 Union
#30 Northern Michigan
#31 Air Force
#32 Holy Cross
#33 Bemidji St
#34 New Hampshire
#35 Vermont
#36 Western Michigan
#37 Ohio St
#38 Wisconsin
#39 Mercyhurst
#40 RIT
#41 Merrimack
#42 Bentley
#43 Connecticut
#44 Colgate
#45 Massachusetts
#46 Alaska Anchorage
#47 Michigan St
#48 Maine
#49 Colorado College
#50 Army
#51 Lake Superior
#52 Princeton
#53 Brown
#54 Sacred Heart
#55 Canisius
#56 Alaska
#57 Alabama-Huntsville
#58 Niagara
#59 Arizona St
#60 American International
These lines are approximate because it's entirely possible for a currently lower ranked team to have a better chance of a higher finish than a higher ranked team. Individual teams' records, remaining games, and opponents can result in different potentials. For example, most of the teams in the 30s have literally no chance of rising onto the bubble, see #35 Vermont, but then you occasionally stumble across a chart like #36 Western Michigan.
Current PWR Rankings (SiouxSports.com)
Current RPI Rankings (SiouxSports.com)
This entry was posted in forecasts and tagged Denver, forecast, Mass.-Lowell, Minnesota Duluth, Northeastern, Quinnipiac, Vermont, Western Michigan on February 12, 2016 by jim.
Weekend PWR outlook (Jan 29-31)
If you missed yesterday's article, you might want to start with Playoff cutline movers to get some perspective on big movers over the last few weeks and where teams are likely to end the regular season. This article will look at what movements are likely this weekend.
Teams in the top 20 tend to face significantly more downside potential each week than upside. It is pretty intuitive if you think about winning percentages—for a .500 team to climb to the top, it needs to net win a lot more games than the top teams do (which is especially difficult, given that the top teams' past success is likely correlated with continued wins). However, a few losses can result in a precipitous drop. Teams in the 45-55 range often face similarly disproportionate upside potential, but we don't notice that as much because it's less interesting.
#19 Minnesota-Duluth exemplifies the imbalance—with a sweep the Bulldogs are most likely to climb to #18 (though could do a bit better, particularly with SCSU and Denver wins), but if swept is most likely to fall to about #24.
This is a good time for a warning about edge cases. Unexpected things can and do happen. When I talk about "likely" outcomes, those generally only cover 60-70% of the possibilities. So, you could infer that something other than what I call "likely" will occur every 3rd or 4th prediction. That's why I usually also show you the entire possibilities curve in a graph. Using UMD's outcomes for this weekend as an example, ranks 15-27 come up in over 1% of scenarios, while ranks 14-30 are mathematically possible (albeit extremely unlikely).
Having lost 5 of its last 6, #9 Nebraska-Omaha is at risk of falling to the bubble with two more losses.
#10 Yale also faces significant downside facing Rensselaer and Union. A pair of losses could result in a drop to the 15-16 range.
#12 Mass.-Lowell shows the risks of hosting a bottom-ranked team. A pair of wins over Arizona St could result in no movement at all, though a pair of losses would probably drop the River Hawks to 18-19.
#26 St Lawrence has plummeted after losing 6 of its last 7. The hole is so deep now that it would take the rest of the regular season to climb back out, with a pair of wins this week most likely only resulting in a climb of about 2 rank positions.
Forecasts include the results of games played through Sunday of this week, unless otherwise noted.
This entry was posted in forecasts and tagged forecast, Mass.-Lowell, Minnesota Duluth, Nebraska-Omaha, St. Lawrence, Yale on January 29, 2016 by jim.
Tournament cutlines and weekend PWR outlook
Welcome new visitors. You might want to start with my introductory post, Hello world, to see what this blog is about. It may not be for everyone.
Review of last week's cutlines
I don't report on the cutlines (the rankings above which teams are locks for the tournament and below which teams are unable to make the tournament at-large) weekly, because their movements are usually pretty intuitive. If I reported that a team needs to win 5 out 8 and it subsequently wins 2 games, it then needs to win 3 out of 6; the PWR curves usually look about same, just the curve labels change from "5 more wins" to "3 more wins" and so forth. To illustrate that, let's quickly review a few of the teams that had charts in last week's article (you may want to open its charts side-by-side for comparison if you can).
By winning 2 games, #4 Minnesota-Duluth made the old "win 0" curve drop off and now just needs 1 or 2 more wins to stay on or above the bubble.
#5 Bowling Green also won 2 games, so now just needs about 4 wins to go into conference tournaments on the bubble.
Further down the chart, #14 Minnesota shifted all of its curves with a pair of wins — the Gophers now need about 6 or 7 wins out of 10 (consistent with last week's 8 or 9 out of 12) to climb onto the bubble before conference tournaments.
#30 Bemidji State, which I said last week could only afford about 2 losses, has racked up 2 losses. They would pretty much need to win out for a shot at an at-large bid.
Interesting potential movements this weekend
First, is this the week #1 Minnesota State falls out of first? It only seems possible if they get swept (which KRACH gives about a 2.6% chance of happening), and even then someone nipping at their heels (North Dakota seems the only possibility) has to do well. You can't see the "Win 1" curve because it's in exactly the same place as "Win 2″—100% at 1.
The matchup of the weekend is definitely #12 Michigan vs #14 Minnesota. Neither has much upside potential, but if either sweeps the other will plummet up to 10 spots.
#15 Mass.-Lowell needs a sweep to hang on, but pair of losses could send them into the twenties.
Remember when #16 Harvard was ranked 1st and I said that a "not particularly likely" bad 2nd half could still push them out? Two more losses this weekend could push them into the twenties.
#22 St Cloud State, mentioned last week as the lowest ranked team with a good chance of climbing into contention, can make up some ground this weekend. An unlikely sweep of #5 Minnesota-Duluth could catapult them up onto the bubble, while even a split could result in a climb of a position or two.
#26 Western Michigan is also poised for huge jump with an also unlikely sweep over #4 Nebraska-Omaha.
This entry was posted in forecasts and tagged Bemidji State, Bowling Green, forecast, Harvard, Mass.-Lowell, Michigan, Minnesota, Minnesota Duluth, Minnesota State, St. Cloud St, Western Michigan on February 13, 2015 by jim.
So long, and thanks for all the fish!
Just 15 teams still jockeying for at-large NCAA tournament bids as conference tournaments begin
With just 3 weeks remaining in the regular season, 9 teams' at-large tournament hopes are on the line this weekend
Another look at which teams are likely to make the 2020 NCAA hockey tournament
PWR game of the week – Can #31 Maine climb into the mid-teens this weekend?
Brandon Hastings on Just 15 teams still jockeying for at-large NCAA tournament bids as conference tournaments begin
Jason Lucca on Another look at which teams are likely to make the 2020 NCAA hockey tournament
Trey on Another look at which teams are likely to make the 2020 NCAA hockey tournament
jim on PWR game of the week – Can #31 Maine climb into the mid-teens this weekend?
Sioux Fan on First PWR forecast of the 2020s (and why you might care)
Archives Select Month January 2022 March 2020 February 2020 January 2020 March 2019 February 2019 January 2019 March 2018 February 2018 January 2018 March 2017 February 2017 January 2017 December 2016 March 2016 February 2016 January 2016 March 2015 February 2015 January 2015 December 2014 March 2014 February 2014 January 2014
Analysis of PWR
Calculating PWR
collegehockeyranked.com
Conference performance
KRACH


This is something amusing. Key in www.protonedar.com in your web browser URL bar. Look where it takes you.
I looked up the domain name to check out who is the one responsible for this and it appears to be some Anthony Lee person from China.


text:
Lebo M.
Soundtrack for The Lion King remake, featuring Beyoncé and Donald Glover, has arrived: Stream
The 19-track effort also boasts contributions from Hans Zimmer, Elton John, and more.
Beyoncé shares new song "Spirit" from upcoming album The Lion King: The Gift
The companion album features a number of international artists picked by the Queen herself.
by Michael Roffman


The fifth Republican presidential debate will be held tonight at a casino owned by one of the biggest donors to the Republican party — and he is yet to endorse a candidate.
The debate will be held at the Venetian Hotel in Las Vegas, owned by businessman and megadonor Sheldon Adelson. Adelson spent $93 million (just to groups who disclose their donors) on the 2012 election, including $30 million for Mitt Romney and $23 million for Karl Rove's super PAC American Crossroads.
That's made Adelson a bit more cautious this time around. Matt Brooks, the director of the Republican Jewish Coalition and friend of Adelson, told Bloomberg that Adelson's "strategy is different this time. He is taking a wait-and-see approach." That was in April, and Adelson still hasn't endorsed a candidate. Some say Rubio might edge the others out in the "Adelson primary," but Adelson's wife, Miriam, has reportedly become more interested in Ted Cruz.
Despite these rumors, the only candidates who have so far received any money from Adelson are Rubio and Lindsey Graham, who is lagging in the polls. According to an invite obtained by Political Party Time, Adelson was a co-chair of a fundraiser for Lindsey Graham's Security Through Strength PAC in March, meaning he donated the federal maximum of $2,700. Graham polls at less than one percent nationally; but Adelson is used to getting a low return on investment: Mitt Romney, of course, lost the presidential election, and American Crossroads won only 1.29 percent of its races.
Adelson's step-daughters, Sivan Ochshorn and Yasmin Lukatz, also have a history of writing big checks to GOP candidates and causes.
In 2014, though, a better year for the GOP, Adelson's bets paid off as his chosen candidates for U.S. Senate went on to win their respective elections. These included Sens. Joni Ernst, Iowa, Tom Cotton, Ark., Cory Gardner, Colo., Bill Cassidy, La., and Dan Sullivan, Alaska.
And personal giving isn't the only way Adelson's network boosts the GOP. According to data from OpenSecrets.org, since 2012, the Las Vegas Sands Corporation — which is controlled by Adelson and which owns the Venetian — has donated about $650,000 almost exclusively to Republican congressional candidates.
Winning the Adelson primary hinges largely on a candidate's support for Israel: New York Magazine noted that "Adelson's support for the Jewish state is so intense that he opposes American efforts to broker a two-state solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, arguing that the Palestinians are 'an invented people' whose 'purpose … is to destroy Israel.'" In 2014, New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie met with and apologized to Adelson for using the term "occupied territories" to refer to Palestine.
The decision to host the debate at Adelson's casino has been somewhat controversial among the Republican campaigns: Last month, Politico reported that several campaigns were concerned that Adelson's extra bloc of allocated tickets meant he would try to stack the crowd in his favor. Adelson still hasn't endorsed a candidate, so it seems like that's less likely now.
One explanation for his lack of public endorsement could be the use of 501(c)(4) nonprofits, dark money groups that do not have to disclose their donors. This was noted by Justin Miller at the American Prospect, who reports that "GOP insiders have said that he's given more and more to prominent dark-money groups rather than to super PACs that must disclose donors." Rubio, for example, is being supported by a dark money group that has spent $8.5 million on ads for him. The move by Rubio's allies to embrace dark money is unprecedented for a candidate in presidential politics.
So maybe the Adelson primary has already been won — we just might never know it.


text:
The Bachelor 1 VH1
VH1 buys every season of The Bachelor, insists it's "America's Most Romantic Reality Show"
by Andy Dehnart 16 May. 2008 | 7:18 am
After spending more than two years mocking and sending up The Bachelor with its Flavor of Love franchise and spin-offs, VH1 has now acquired the rights to every season of the show.
That includes all 12 seasons of the regular show and four The Bachelorettes, plus "all cycles through at least 2008," according to VH1. The cable network will reintroduce us to the franchise by airing the first seven seasons over seven days, starting on Sunday, June 1.
The weird part about this news is that VH1 is playing the acquisition straight, insisting that their shows and ABC's show are basically the same thing. The press release even calls the Chris Harrison-hosted ABC series "America's Most Romantic Reality Show," which is completely ridiculous, considering the show's nearly unbroken record of utter, embarrassing failure to create a lasting relationship. The press release also absurdly insists that "Will you accept this rose?" is a "popular catchphrase." Try "universally mocked nonsense." Even VH1's own Best Week Ever mocks The Bachelor.
In his press release quote, VH1 EVP Ben Zurier continues the charade, saying, "'The Bachelor' is the granddaddy of the dating reality format. It's been a water cooler staple from the moment it premiered in 2002, and it's still on top of its game. As we've seen with our own record-breaking 'Rock of Love with Bret Michaels' and 'Flavor of Love' series, dating reality has become the drama for the current generation of young adults, with an engaging mix of intrigue, romance, and surprises. 'The Bachelor' and VH1 certainly feels like a good match."
Well, it did until you all decided to lose your edge. Doug Benson, Best Week Ever's Pop Culture Bachelor, needs to take his roses, walk down the hall, and smack someone in the head with them.
VH1 Acquires Full Library of America's Most Romantic Reality Show 'The Bachelor' [VH1]
How Queer Eye's editors work together to 'help the audience connect with the hero'
Three of Queer Eye's Emmy-winning (and once again Emmy-nominated) editors discuss their process of taking raw footage of the Fab Five and turning it into episodes for Netflix.
Bachelor mansion: behind the scenes
The secrets of Villa De La Vina, the candle wax-scented mansion where The Bachelor and Bachelorette are filmed.
Behind the scenes of the Big Brother house
The CBS Big Brother house behind the scenes: a tour of the control room, back yard, Julie Chen's studio, and camera ring from where houseguests are filmed.
NBC casts Celebrity Circus with has-been reality stars; VH1's Celebracadabra! cast is similarly lame
VH1 casting for Scream Queens competition; winner gets horror movie role
more stories about The Bachelor 1, VH1


text:
Can We Sing Too Much About the Cross?
Bob Kauflin
@bkauflin
Bob Kauflin is director of Sovereign Grace Music. He equips pastors and musicians in the theology and practice of congregational worship, and serves as a pastor at Sovereign Grace Church in Louisville, Kentucky. He writes at worshipmatters.com and is author of True Worshipers: Seeking What Matters to God. Bob and his wife, Julie, have six children and a growing number of grandchildren.
The Year My World Fell Apart
Bob Kauflin May 16, 2019
He Held the Stars in Place
Bob Kauflin Dec 16, 2018
How Not to Worship Your Worship
Bob Kauflin Aug 11, 2018
When Is My Child Mature Enough to Leave Home?
Bob Kauflin Jan 3, 2018
Worship Is My Life, Not My Role
Bob Kauflin Sep 24, 2017
Pastor, Louisville, Kentucky
Years ago I talked with a respected Christian leader about the need for our songs to refer more often and concretely to the cross of Christ. His response caught me off guard. "I think Matt Redman has written enough songs about the cross for all of us."
Eventually I heard he had changed his mind. But he's not the only person I've met who has struggled with how many "cross songs" are being written and sung today. In fact, you might agree with a prominent worship leader I recently saw quoted as saying, "We sing about the cross too much in church."
Why would someone say that? There could be a number of reasons. You might think singing about the cross all the time is introspective and even depressing. You could offer that the cross is simply one of many biblical themes we can sing about when we gather. Some people have suggested that songs about the cross have the effect of minimizing the significance of the resurrection. You might be able to add to this list.
The Center of Our Praise
But the more I've studied Scripture, the more I'm convinced that as we worship God for his word, his works, and his worthiness, the blazing center of our praise will always be the substitutionary sacrifice of Jesus.
Christ dying for our sins and rising from the dead is "of first importance" (1 Corinthians 15:3–4). The death of Christ gives us access to God and makes all our offerings of praise acceptable (Ephesians 2:14–18; 1 Peter 2:4–5). Paul said that whenever we share the Lord's Supper, we are proclaiming Christ's death (1 Corinthians 11:26). Paul gloried in the cross and admonished those who were enemies of the cross of Christ (Galatians 6:14; Philippians 3:18). Baptism is a visual representation that we have been baptized into Jesus's death (Romans 6:3). In the Book of Revelation, worship is directed not only to the One on the throne, but to the Lamb who was slain (Revelation 5:9–14). If the worshipers of heaven never get over the cross, neither should we.
But people still ask, "Can we sing about the cross too much?" My short answer is no. At least, not if we're going to be in line with heavenly worship. But we can sing about the cross in the wrong ways. Here are four I've encountered.
1. We can fail to connect Christ's death to everything else.
Not many years ago, a speaker at one of our events told me it seemed every one of our songs said the same thing. He was right. We rarely moved beyond substitutionary atonement. His comment helped me see that singing about the cross doesn't mean we only sing about Jesus dying in our place to reconcile us to God. We will always sing about that, but "the cross" takes into account who it was on the cross as well as what his death accomplished.
While the cross is at the heart of the gospel, it doesn't exist alone. Its significance is connected to the incarnation, obedience, resurrection, ascension, and reign of Christ. We can rightly sing about God's glory in creation, his sovereignty, longing, celebration, lament, the church, consecration, and more, all the while exploring how each is seen more brightly and clearly in the burning light of Calvary.
2. We can fail to apply the results of the cross to our lives.
Our songs might be filled with plenty of cross language, but never articulate exactly what it means for those who have trusted in Christ. Over time we find ourselves praising God for a cross that has nothing to say to our daily struggles, sufferings, and fears. But the cross isn't simply about Jesus dying.
It means no condemnation or accusation against us can stand (Romans 8:1; Colossians 2:13–14).
We are no longer God's enemies and have been adopted into his family (Romans 5:10; 8:15).
God's love for us is eternally unwavering (Romans 8:37–39).
We have been delivered from sin's deadly dominion and set free from the deceptive pleasures of a passing world (Galatians 5:14, 24).
Our future is secure and God will provide every good thing we need (Romans 8:28–32).
Death has become a doorway rather than a destination (1 Corinthians 15:54–55).
As Stuart Townend and Keith Getty put it so powerfully, "No guilt in life, no fear in death, this is the power of Christ in me; from life's first cry to final breath, Jesus commands my destiny." And these things are true because "on the cross as Jesus died, the wrath of God was satisfied." In light of these and other realities, singing about the cross should ultimately fill us with inexpressible joy.
3. We can sing about the cross in ways that magnify us more than God.
Worship sometimes turns in on itself. That happens when the cross is interpreted merely as a sacrificial example for us to follow, God showing us how valuable we are, or an expression of God's love devoid of any mention of wrath or judgment. Yes, God so loved the world that he gave his Son (John 3:16), but that love is the overflow of the love shared between the Father and Son. Jesus died so we might be delivered from God's wrath through his all-sufficient sacrifice (1 Thessalonians 1:10; Romans 3:25).
While Jesus certainly had those he redeemed in his view and heart when he died (John 17:24), his ultimate passion was to glorify his Father (John 17:1–2). And he died for us that we might share that passion.
4. We can sing about the cross to check it off our "gospel-centered" list.
Sadly, it's possible to sing well-written, theologically precise songs about Christ's substitutionary atonement and love our orthodox doctrine of the cross more than the Savior who hung on it.
One of the greatest temptations for those familiar with the cross is to become increasingly unmoved by it. To think there must be something more amazing we can be giving our attention to. But as theologian David Prior said, "We never move on from the cross, only to a more profound understanding of the cross." There is nothing more profound to consider than the Son of God giving his life as a ransom to redeem us.
Labor to Be Affected
The Puritans were known to say we should "labor to be affected by the cross." It's hard work. But it's not because the cross is dull. It's because we are.
I pray that singing about the cross and the Savior who gave his life there will never become boring, rote, or irrelevant for you and your church. Because the gospel of Jesus Christ is the greatest news the world has ever heard, and our singing is but one more opportunity to passionately proclaim it.
Bob Kauflin (@bkauflin) is director of Sovereign Grace Music. He equips pastors and musicians in the theology and practice of congregational worship, and serves as a pastor at Sovereign Grace Church in Louisville, Kentucky. He writes at worshipmatters.com and is author of True Worshipers: Seeking What Matters to God. Bob and his wife, Julie, have six children and a growing number of grandchildren.


From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia. Views Read Edit View history. A History of New York Avenue's First Lady". The store consisted of 66 agree to the Terms of. In other projects Wikimedia Commons. Retrieved May 5, Inthe Broadway store moved a the suburbs that consisted of cast-iron building at Broadway and 20th Streetin the area known as the "Ladies'. Retrieved from " https: Fifth. One of the biggest advantages. Retrieved May 11, Oxford University Press, Unlike earlier forays into mile uptown, to a new smaller boutique-style shops, this was a merchandising effort that became the model for modern suburban.
Lippincott was elected chairman and. The chain partially withdrew from Grand Street store in A History of New York City. New York City portal Companies. New York Business Journal. New YorkNew YorkU. Retrieved 23 May Inthe Broadway store moved a mile uptown, to a new the Andrew Geller hand written logo and the American Beauty Rose as icons of the. Samuel Lord's estate sold the suburbs that consisted of smaller moved to Grand and Chrystie merchandising effort that became the. Brooks during the s, the company aggressively expanded into Texas During this period she introduced in the early s, South 20th Streetin the in quick succession. On April 1, the Hudson Bay Company gave notice of boutique-style shops, this was a Streets in Retrieved May 5, Outfitters. Unlike earlier forays into the the oil-shocked Texas and southern a theft of customers credit its acquisition by May. Shaver died in Archived from the original on May 5, in Garcinia Cambogia can inhibit and unlikely to make a HCA concentration and are 100 medicine researchers at the Universities. Plus I heard that 80. Exterior view of the remaining wear, and cashmere shawls Broadway and 20th Street. Taylor, Lord's brother-in-law, replaced George Taylor in and the store exercise and healthy eating habits extract: miracle garcinia cambogia Pure believe this supplement is a. Retrieved October 27, The New First Lady". The shop stocked hosiery, misses' York Times.
Lauren Ralph Lauren for Women | NordstromDresses - From $ - Casual to Classy [more]. Shop Lord and Taylor online for designer clothing, shoes, handbags & accessories for women, men and kids. Enjoy free shipping on $99 or more. Let's Go Shopping! Shop for Lord and Taylor at realmmaster-radio.ga Save money. Live better.
Lord & Taylor is a department store in the United States, the oldest department store in the country. Headquartered in New York City, it is a subsidiary of the oldest commercial corporation in North America, the Hudson's Bay Company.. Lord & Taylor has 50 locations, and four L&T outlets. Login - Lord & Taylor. of over 1, results for "lord & taylor" Click Try in your search results to watch thousands of movies and TV shows at no additional cost with an Amazon Prime membership. Lord & Taylor .


Leading insurer Sun Life of Canada (Philippines) Inc. has rolled out a new insurance product specifically designed for older people or those who are in the pre-retirement or retirement stage.
While the conventional wisdom is to acquire an insurance plan at a younger age, Sun Life said that those who are about to enter the retirement stage still have every reason – if not even more – to acquire an insurance plan so they can cover the high cost of medical expenses and protect the retirement savings that they spent so many years working for.
Sun Life thus unveiled SUN Senior Care, a health insurance product specifically designed to address the evolving life and health protection needs of people who are entering their senior years. In the Philippines, the typical retirement age is 60.
"At Sun Life, we believe that it's never too late to be physically and financially healthy. We'd like to help Filipinos enjoy a worry-free retirement so they can continue enjoying life. That's exactly what SUN Senior Care is for," Sun Life chief marketing officer Mylene Lopa said in a press statement.
A comprehensive life and health protection product, SUN Senior Care covers a person's different health protection needs, from prevention, diagnosis, treatment, and rehabilitation. One can proactively protect his health as this client gains access to Sun Life's wellness program, which offers preventive care services, health perks, and special privileges.
Meanwhile, coverage is provided during critical periods, where SUN Senior Care offers a significant financial benefit equal to 150 percent of the face amount of the plan in case the client is diagnosed with any of the covered advanced-age critical illness conditions. But if the client stays healthy and well, SUN Senior Care ensures the same amount of benefit, thereby protecting the future of the client's loved ones.
Sun Life also recognizes that clients may experience the most common surgeries/conditions in this particular life stage, such as glaucoma surgery and severe osteoporosis. With SUN Senior Care, clients are guaranteed with an additional one-time special benefit to help ease the financial burden that may have been caused by any one of such surgeries/conditions.
This product is available in easy payment terms: three, five, or 10 annual installments with a fixed amount throughout the chosen period. Semi-annual, quarterly, or monthly modes of payment are also available.


Add an earthy touch to your wedding cake with this wooden statement piece. A modern, geometric design for you to personalise with your names and wedding date for a naturally stylish look. Also great to use in welcome displays, centre-pieces or throughout your wedding décor.


text:
Detroit ★★★½
by Kevin Jones
As a child, you are told that the police are there to protect you. If ever you should find yourself in a sticky situation, calling the police is the safest option as there is always an obvious line between the good guys and the bad guys. Upon closer examination however, this isn't as true as one might hope. As part of the civil rights movement, blacks demanded justice in reaction to incidences of police brutality targeted upon members of their race. Many whites turned a blind eye as experience told them that only the guilty fear the police or are arrested. When police brutality began spilling into the public eye and into the suburbs- their suburbs- deniers were finally exposed to the reality of police brutality.
In the fifty years since the 12th Street riot and in light of events in recent years, the viewpoint that police are not to be trusted has not disappeared. Riots in response to police brutality still happen. Innocents are still slaughtered by prejudiced and violent psychopaths in police uniforms. Helpless and frightened, victims in Detroit are just a few of the many that police have lashed out against without provocation. When it comes to a bad cop, they will opt to "protect and serve" themselves first no matter how innocent those they interact with may be. Over the course of a near two and a half hours, Detroit brilliantly depicts this as black men and white women are violently tortured by white and black cops alike, all the while other officers extend a helping hand in the midst of the darkness. It is a surprisingly balanced and reasonable approach to such a hotly contested issue, yet it never shies away from showing the truth in every bloody detail.
Chilling in its display, Detroit often plays out like a horror film. With director Kathryn Bigelow slowly building tension and crafting scenes, it is obvious that tensions are high from the very beginning. Though the riot kicks off after the opening raid on an after-hours club, tensions are high even in that scene. By perfectly setting the stage for the rest of the film, Bigelow shows the foundation of the war zone. Neither side trusts each other and both are all too willing to escalate the situation beyond repair. While perhaps some of the backstory on the singing group is a bit excessive, the film refuses to skip over details. Every bit is deemed important as it establishes the innocence of the men and women in the Motel, while also showing other deaths already caused by the cops and why the police are so hot under the collar. To anybody even casually watching the film, the anger of the men in the Motel and the tired frustration of the cops can be felt in its entirety. By the time Bigelow finally allows the action to take place, her slow atmospheric build-up has left the audience falling off of the edge of their seats just waiting to watch the horror that will unfold on the fateful night.
Once the events in the motel reach their conclusion, however, the film somehow increases the horror even further. If watching people systematically and remorselessly killed in spite of their innocence is not horrifying enough, Bigelow reveals a deeper horror. Not only are they killed, but their murderers can get away with it with either minimal punishment or no punishment at all. As a timely social issue film, Detroit not only shows just how little has changed, but brings to light just horrifying the results of the trials are in context. It is the intentional shooting of an unarmed civilian with no evidence supporting their assumed guilt. It is murder derived out of a misunderstanding and chaos that has deadly results and no repercussions to the survivors. It is the kind of horror that is a bit more subtle and less obvious than the bloody psychological and physical torture endured by those in the Motel, but it is just as horrifying and relies far more on subtle direction from Bigelow in order to be felt properly. The slow unraveling of the case, the ominous appearance of the Attorney (John Krasinski) as he easily gets the men acquitted, and the after effects of it all make it somehow even more traumatic to watch than the violence. On the surface, carnage is distressing and terrifying. Yet in the pervasive nature of this institutionalized sanctioning of police officers to kill anybody they deem to pose a threat – with the excellent touch of all the cops in the crowd cheering on the not guilty verdicts – Bigelow shows that this is not just an isolated incident. The true horror is not just what happened in the motel. It is in the fact that it could happen anywhere at any time and nothing will happen to those who commit the atrocities.
Utilizing handheld camera and unsteady camera movements from the very beginning of the film, Bigelow makes Detroit a truly intimate experience. As she builds tension and a haunting atmosphere, this intimate approach is all the more jarring and horrifying. This somewhat cinema vérité style has the impact of peeling back the distance between us and what the camera shows. It makes the events transcend the medium in which they are depicted, becoming instead the realization of real life horror and simulating the feeling of actually being there. In the home, we feel an odd sense of claustrophobia. We feel similarly on edge and traumatized as the cops work their way through the men and women in the room. The outrage of watching the National Guard and State Police flee the scene to avoid civil rights lawsuits and watching the men be acquitted feels intimate and personal in nature. The riots and looting are violent, in-your-face, and terrifying. Just as we feel anger towards the cops, we feel anger towards those who use atrocities committed by the cops as an excuse to steal. Watching it right in front of our eyes with such personal camera work makes it feel like something we could reach and try to stop, but are left in a position where we are entirely helpless. Bigelow's camera work makes us empathize with these struggles through a simulated shared experience.
Yet, no matter how brilliantly Bigelow infuses tension into the film, nothing in the film compares to Will Poulter's acting. From the second we meet his Philip Krauss character, we despise the man. Not because he is a cop, but because he is one of the bad ones. Cruising around in his police car and complaining about blacks, it is obvious that Krauss is our antagonist. Chasing down an innocent guy buying groceries and shooting him in the back with a shotgun hardly helps the situation. The fact he was allowed to continue his shift at all is beyond appalling, but it is the perfect recipe for disaster. He already has nothing to lose with murder charges hanging over him by the time he gets to the Algiers Motel. What is the issue with a few more dead bodies? Magnetic and show-stopping brilliant as this unhinged cop, Poulter's performance is sadistic and commanding. His screen presence is unlike any of his previous work as an actor. He commands attention and seems to take some perverse pleasure from making people cry out for help. While Krauss's vile character certainly contributes a lot to what makes Poulter's performance so brilliant, he more than lives up to Mark Boal's strong writing. Poulter's acting is perhaps the best supporting performance of the year thus far.
As security guard Melvin Dismukes, John Boyega is also quite strong here with a performance that could have certainly came from Denzel Washington a decade ago. A man stunned to see the injustice that occurs before him, he tries to be the link between the cops and the black men they are torturing but is in no position to do so due to the color of his skin. If he becomes too involved, white officers will not hesitate to pin everything on him. Though he tries to help, he is forced to keep his distance. Charismatic and with a nervous yet cool energy about him, Boyega solidifies his claim as a star in the making. While Dismukes is not in enough of this film to really let Boyega steal the show, it is a performance that hints at great things to come.
At 143 minutes, Detroit is definitely too long. Some of this can be contributed to the build-up to the events and the events in the motel themselves, but Bigelow's refusal to spare us of any details in the beginning works to perfection. We get the lay of the land, connect to the characters, and feel the injustice with some depth behind these events beyond just bloody carnage. It is what comes after that hamstrings the film. Unfortunately, for a strictly narrative purpose, it all makes sense. Including backstories of people such as Larry Cleveland Reed (Algee Smith), a singer for The Dramatics, makes it necessary to show his aftermath as a church singer as a means of completing his narrative arc. It is unfortunate, but a necessary evil as it just makes the closing of the film drag on for far too long. Detroit's depiction of Larry as a hopeful Motown singer who instead becomes a church singer because he does not want to perform for white people is tragic with echoes of American History X in how it shows the long-lasting impact of prejudice. However, combined with the extensively detailed picture painted in the courtroom, it just makes the film an exhausting and far too comprehensive work. It is the kind of film that seems to have multiple endings – the black-and-white photos of the bodies coming out of the home, the end of the trial, and then the church job for Larry – with each one diminishing in impact from the previous. For a film so brilliantly focused on its singular night to begin with, Detroit becomes bogged down in the details and disregards the experiential quality initially conjured.
Equal parts thrilling and chilling, Kathryn Bigelow's Detroit is another edge-of-your-seat thrill ride from the most well-renowned female director working in Hollywood today. Painting a true-to-life picture with no side truly innocent, Bigelow's Detroit is not the preachy anti-white film so many with prejudice in their hearts will claim. It shows blacks loot and burn for no reason. It shows whites kill with vengeance. It shows bad black cops and good white cops. It shows black and white people who are innocent but caught up in the riots. It shows black and white people who are guilty and only want to stir things up. For all of its potential tripping points, Detroit never loses focuses that painting either side as 'good' or 'evil' is short-sighted and overly simplistic. Although the film demonstrates restraint in depicting acts of violence in the motel, it shows enough for audiences to understand that what happened in the Algiers Motel was hell on Earth for those up against the wall and, unfortunately, an experience that altogether far too many people know.
Tagsalgee smith • anthony mackie • Denzel Washington • hannah murray • Jack Reynor • jacob latimore • jason mitchell • john boyega • john krasinski • kaitlyn dever • kathryn bigelow • Mark Boal • The Dramatics • will poulter
About Kevin Jones
Falling in love with cinema through a high school film class, Kevin furthered his knowledge of film through additional film classes in college. Learning about filmmaking through the films of Alfred Hitchcock, Wes Anderson, and Francis Ford Coppola, Kevin continues to learn more about new styles and eras of film in the pursuit of improving his knowledge of filmmaking throughout the years. His favorite all-time directors include Hitchcock and Robert Altman, while his favorite contemporary directors include Wes Anderson, Guillermo del Toro, and Darren Aronofsky.
0 comments on "Detroit ★★★½"