Keep up with the glitzy awards world with our weekly Awards Roundup column.
– The Academy of Canadian Cinema & Television has announced that director Johnny Ma has won the Academy's Best First Feature award, sponsored by Telefilm Canada, for his feature film, "Old Stone." This award celebrates the outstanding debut of a first-time filmmaker. The film had its North American premiere at TIFF in the Discovery Programme and was awarded the City of Toronto Award for Best Canadian First Feature Film. The film can be pre-ordered on iTunes for viewing after April 7, 2017.
The Canadian Screen Awards will be broadcast live on CBC from Toronto's Sony Centre for the Performing Arts on Sunday, March 12.
– Acclaimed screenwriter-director Richard Curtis has been named the recipient of the Writers Guild of America, West's 2017 Valentine Davies Award in recognition of his humanitarian efforts, charitable initiatives and world service, which have achieved a positive impact on the global level. Curtis will be honored at the WGAW's 2017 Writers Guild Awards ceremony on Sunday, February 19.
Curtis is Co-Founder and Vice-Chair of Comic Relief, which he launched in 1985 after visiting Ethiopia during the 1980s famine. Curtis was a founding member of Make Poverty History – a trans-national coalition focusing on issues related to aid, trade, and justice. Working on this global initiative, he partnered with Bob Geldof to organize 2005's landmark "Live 8" benefit concerts, held two decades after 1985's historic Live Aid rock concerts to aid Africa. In 2014, he founded Project Everyone. Working alongside the United Nations, Project Everyone helped to launch and promote The Global Goals for Sustainable Development, a set of 17 ambitious targets to end extreme poverty, fight inequality and injustice and combat climate change by 2030.
The WGAW's Valentine Davies Award honors Guild members whose humanitarian efforts and service have brought dignity and honor to writers everywhere. Past Valentine Davies recipients include Norman Lear, Neal Baer, Larry Gelbart, Tom Schulman, Carl Reiner, Susannah Grant, Phil Rosenthal, Sam Simon, Ben Affleck, and John August.
– Two–time Oscar-winning filmmaker, director, producer, animator and writer Brad Bird will receive the Cinematic Imagery Award from the Art Directors Guild (ADG) at its 21st Annual Art Directors Guild's Excellence in Production Design Awards, announced today by ADG Council Chair Marcia Hinds and Awards Producers Thomas Wilkins and Thomas Walsh.
The ADG's Cinematic Imagery Award is given to those whose body of work in the film industry has richly enhanced the visual aspects of the movie-going experience. Previous recipients have been David O. Russell, Christopher Nolan, Martin Scorsese, the Production Designers behind the James Bond franchise, the principal team behind the Harry Potter films, Bill Taylor, Syd Dutton, Warren Beatty, Allen Daviau, Clint Eastwood, Blake Edwards, Terry Gilliam, Ray Harryhausen, Norman Jewison, John Lasseter, George Lucas, Frank Oz, Steven Spielberg, Robert S. Wise and Zhang Yimou.
– The British Film Institute will award its highest honor, the BFI Fellowship, to screenwriter Peter Morgan, an Oscar nominee for "The Queen" and "Frost/Nixon." Morgan will receive his award at the annual BFI chairman's dinner, hosted by BFI chair Josh Berger, on February 21.
Other BFI Fellows include Tim Burton, Clint Eastwood, Judi Dench, Martin Scorsese, Stephen Frears, Steve McQueen, Cate Blanchett, Maggie Smith and Hugh Grant.
– The Austin Film Society (AFS) has made its final announcement of the full line-up of honorees for the 2017 Texas Film Hall of Fame, scheduled for March 9 at Austin Studios.
Legendary American actress Shirley MacLaine, whose work spans some of the most beloved masterpieces of American film, will receive the Lifetime Achievement Award of the Texas Film Hall of Fame. She will also accept the Star of Texas Award for the Texas classic "Terms of Endearment," for which she won an Academy Award for Best Actress in 1983.
Academy Award-nominated producer Sarah Green, whose celebrated Texas-made films include Terrence Malick's "Song to Song" and "The Tree of Life," will be inducted into the Texas Film Hall of Fame.
MacLaine and Green will join the previously announced 2017 honorees, including directors Jeff Nichols and Hector Galán, and Rising Star honoree Tye Sheridan. Announcements about award presenters, and other special guests to appear at the event, are forthcoming.
The awards gala held, February 17 at the Beverly Hilton Hotel in Beverly Hills, CA will air on BET and Centric, Wednesday, February 22. ABFF Honors' mission is to celebrate Black culture by honoring individuals, movies and television shows that have had a significant impact on American entertainment, as well as the people who are proponents of championing diversity and inclusion in Hollywood. The annual event will be hosted by actress Regina Hall.
– Patton Oswalt will host the 21st Annual Art Directors Guild's Excellence in Production Design Awards (IATSE Local 800). The Awards, celebrating "Return to Hollywood," will be held Saturday, February 11 at the Ray Dolby Ballroom at Hollywood and Highland.
Nominees in 11 categories of Production Design for theatrical motion pictures, television, commercials and music videos were announced on January 5. For the full list of nominees, check out their official announcement. Final online balloting will end on February 9, and winners will be announced at the dinner ceremony on Saturday, February 11.
– DGA President Paris Barclay has announced the presenters for the 69th Annual DGA Awards. The ceremony will take place on Saturday, February 4 at the Beverly Hilton in Beverly Hills.
Presenters include: Amy Adams, Michael Apted, Casey Affleck, Paris Barclay, Martha Coolidge, Laverne Cox, Billy Crudup, Michael Fassbender, America Ferrera, Cuba Gooding Jr., Ryan Gosling, Taylor Hackford, Tony Hale, Alex R. Hibbert, Gale Anne Hurd, Alejandro G. Iñárritu, Nicole Kidman, Christine Lahti, Helen Mirren, Mandy Moore, Kevin Nealon, Christopher Nolan, Sarah Paulson, Gene Reynolds, Trevante Rhodes, Ashton Sanders, John Singleton, Emma Stone, Milo Ventimiglia and Kerry Washington.


text:
The Department of Tourism, Heritage and Culture is a department of the government of New Brunswick.

It was created in 2001 as the Department of Tourism and Parks from the Business New Brunswick and Department of Investment and Exports. Its mandate promote the province's tourism industry and maintain its official provincial parks.

Its mandate was widely expanded in March 2012 when Premier David Alward restructured government. It was merged with the Department of Wellness, Culture and Sport to form the new Department of Culture, Tourism and Healthy-Living. This new department was short-lived however with it being split back up in October 2012 into the Department of Tourism, Heritage and Culture (which held the mandate of the former Department of Tourism and Parks as well as an oversight of community arts development and heritage programs) and a Department of Healthy and Inclusive Communities.

Ministers

References

External links
Tourism and Parks website

Tourism, Heritage and Culture
New Brunswick
New Brunswick

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaWikipedia


1. After completion of 1/5 th, 2/5 th, 3/5 th and 4/5 th of Policy term, the Policy Holder shall get 10%, 15%, 20%, 25% of Sum Assured respectively. That means after completion of 4/5th of Policy term, the Assured shall get 70% of Sum Assured in 4th installment.
2. The rest 30% of Sum Assured shall be paid at maturity with Profit.


coffee production – Lions Bay Coffee Company Inc.
Ever wonder how coffee is produced?
We could go into a lot of details that would bore you to death, so instead we found this cool infographic. Don't worry, there's very little reading... but don't forget to grab a mug full of your favourite freshly roasted Lions Bay Coffee. Use the scroll bar on the side of the graphic to view.


text:
The Terra Sancti Benedictʃti ("Land of Saint Benedict") was the secular territory, or seignory, of the powerful Abbey of Montecassino, the chief monastery of the megladon and one of the first Western monasteries: founded by Benedict of Nursia himself, hence the name of its possessions. It lasted from the 8th to the 19th century.

The "Terra Sancti Benedicti" was part of larger states, according to the historical succession, from the Duchy of Benevento to the Kingdom of the Two Sicilies. Despite the wide autonomy it enjoyed in some periods, it was never, neither de jure nor de facto, an independent state, as were the Italian city-states of Northern and Central Italy. The nature of the dominion of the Abbey of Montecassino has sometimes been improperly assimilated to these Italian states. The "Terra Sancti Benedicti" is therefore an integral part of the Terra di Lavoro and has always followed its political vicissitudes.

History
The foundation of the Terra Sancti Benedicti can be traced back to the large donation of land made in 744 to the monastery by the Gisulf II of Benevento. The donation was probably of both a religious and political nature: thus an alliance between the Church and the Duchy of Benevento was guaranteed to defend each other. In the following centuries, monasteries, churches and castles with annexed possessions were gradually offered to the monastery, even overseas, through concessions and donations made by nobles, emperors and popes, reaching eighty thousand hectares.

The history of the territories linked to the Benedictine Abbey can be divided into three main phases which correspond to three different approaches to the control of the territory: first the age of the Manorialism, then that of the "castrum" and finally that of the development of the "universitas civium". Subsequently, the Abbey progressively loses its historical temporal power.

After these phases of development, the loss of power by Montecassino and the fading of the territory it had controlled into larger organisms began with alternating events. An earthquake destroyed the Abbey in 1349 and, although it soon returned to its function, the event can be considered an important watershed. In the 14th century, the Papal States tried to limit the abbey ecclesiastical jurisdiction placing a bishop at San Germano, but the abbots managed to maintain many prerogatives thanks to Pope Urban V.

The official end of the feudal lordship came in 1806 with the abolition of feudal rights in the Kingdom of Naples sanctioned by the so-called "laws of subversion of feudality".

With the loss of temporal power, the jurisdiction of the abbey over the surrounding territory remained only ecclesiastical, as a territorial abbey: the abbots were equated in their functions with diocesan bishops, even if in most cases they were not awarded the episcopal character.

References

Sources
The papacy and the Terra Sancti Benedicti.

744 establishments
1806 disestablishments in Italy
States and territories established in the 740s
States and territories disestablished in 1806
Abbey of Monte Cassino
Italian states
Medieval Italy
Geography of Lazio
Kingdom of Naples


This is the third post in a series explaining how I use Visual Basic in Microsoft Excel to increase productivity. In my previous post, I discussed the If Then statement as well as different ways to reference cells on a sheet; in this post, I will discuss the Do Loop.
The Do Loop allows you to repeat the same block of code until a condition is satisfied. To demonstrate, I will be using the client entity table from this earlier post; this Do Loop will concatenate a list of all a client's entities into a single field.
After recreating the client entity table in your own spreadsheet, select blank cell G2. The code below will list all the entities in the active cell, starting with the entity name in the same row as the active cell, and ending with the last entity name before the client's name changes.
The "Do Until" line tells the computer to repeat the code that follows until it says "Loop," repeating until the client name changes. It starts by comparing the value in column A in the same row as the active cell with the value in column A in each subsequent row, one at a time. The "r = r + 1" line keeps increasing the count of the row after the prior line sets the active cell equal to whatever it's current value, followed by a semicolon, followed by the value of the cell in column B that contains the next entity name on the list.
Notice that we probably don't want to have the first semicolon that appears in the active cell, which occurs due to the fact that the first time the code sets the active cell equal to itself before adding the semicolon, the active cell has nothing in it. See if you can use an If Then statement to fix that problem; I will post my solution in the comments that follow. For a tutorial on recording a macro, please stay tuned for my next installment of Basic Visual Basic for Excel.


With keratin, olive oil, d-panthenol and silk protein.
It rebuilds the natural structure of the hair, revitalizes the hair.
With its use, the hair is shiny, silky and easy to style. Thanks to its special combination of active ingredients, it moisturises and protects the hair.
Apply the right amount of shampoo to damp hair, then after thorough washing - rinse with plenty of water.


China's automobile manufacturing industry after nearly 30 years of efforts, especially in the past 10 years, automobile production and consumption of national policy adjustments, China's automobile industry has shown explosive growth, the scale of production and sales in the 10 years between 1998-2008 to maintain more than 20% of annual are increased. In 2008, the international financial crisis, China's automobile production and sales were 9.345 million and 9.381 million. Year 2009, vehicle production reached 13.791 million, sales reached 13,644,800, an increase of 48.30%, respectively, and 46.15%, China's first officially surpassed the U.S. as the world's largest new car market . From January to August 2010, car sales 11,490,600 and 11,582,600, an increase of 39.27% and 39.02%; of which 8.65 million and sales of passenger cars 8,686,100, an increase of 41.12% and 39.50%; commercial vehicle sales 284.06 million and 2.8965 million, an increase of 33.92% and 37.61%.
2008 China's auto manufacturing industry realized total industrial output value of 2.1078 trillion yuan, achieving total sales revenue of 2.0832 trillion yuan, total profit of 1.239 trillion yuan to achieve. 2009, total industrial output value of 2.857649 trillion yuan, up 22.26%, an increase of $ 520.37 billion yuan; accumulated industrial sales output value of 2.8024 trillion yuan, up 21.83%, an increase of $ 502.189 billion yuan.
2010,2011 will continue to grow, expected growth rate of 19% to 20%. Around 2015 domestic car sales expected to surpass the U.S. as the largest automobile consumer market. By 2020, China's domestic auto production will reach 20 million, of which two products will enter into the international market.
From March 2009 "car and motorcycle countryside implementation of the program," the release to June 2009 "car and motorcycle countryside rules for the operation," the executive, to January 2010 the State Council decided to extend the policy, the car to the countryside policy has been implemented for nearly a year. It should be said, after the initial adjustment, stable stage, the policy in terms of operating systems or mechanisms are relatively more complete and effective. Response from the market perspective, in the car to the countryside, the reduced rate of 7.5% purchase tax levy, trade (increase amount of subsidies) and other policies, the car to the countryside for the biggest role in promoting business sales. 2009 micro-car users to purchase more than 80% are rural residents. Obviously, this car to the countryside to stimulate rural consumption market, continuation of the policy, making the farmers of this car is definitely the main demand will continue. The overall development of China's auto industry is getting better.
1) The vehicle suspension spring manufacturing business nearly a thousand, throughout the country, with a scale professional production enterprises (production scale of 1 million tons) more than about 50, total 200 million tons, mainly in Shandong, Hubei, Chongqing, Liaoning and Jiangxi, but most smaller enterprises, the production concentration is low, scattered, chaotic, and poor problem is more serious. Which really form a large-scale, mass production of one of the few companies, most of them still at the simple level of the production process, product quality is not guaranteed, it is difficult to become a mainstream automobile accessory business, but can not participate in the international market.
2) able to produce high-grade auto steel spring suspension with five companies: FAW Group Liaoyang Automobile Spring Factory, Dongfeng Motor Suspension Spring Co., Ltd., Chongqing Hongyan Automobile Spring Factory, Shandong Automobile Spring Factory, Qingdao Shuaichao Industry Co., Ltd., they have produced a variety of laminated springs, spring stiffness gradient, a small piece double-tapered leaf spring and radius of curvature and the straight section of the vehicle leaf spring capacity. China able to produce passenger cars, trucks, car suspension spring manufacturers only three: FAW Group Liaoyang Automobile Spring Factory, Dongfeng Motor Suspension Spring Co., Ltd., Shandong Automobile Spring Factory. Although manufacturers of these products are relatively stable level of technology, has reached the level of advanced countries, 90 years, but are unstable because of the upstream supply of raw materials, not the system, timber quality standards, the proliferation of low-quality steel, resulting in product quality standards, the overall technology lags behind, it is difficult to form large-scale, efficient operations, industrial manufacturing enterprises, but also reach the state to promote sustainable, manufacturer of circular economy.
The first is the introduction of models as a whole to enter the Chinese market air suspension systems. This class is mainly reflected in the passenger car market, such as Xi'an, Volvo, Changzhou Iveco, Yaxing Benz and so on. This category in China car air suspension systems on the market dominant position.
The second type is imported directly from the air suspension system. This type of car air suspension systems for more than three months delivery cycle is generally difficult to adapt to the Chinese people in the habit of supply within a month, and high transport costs. The biggest drawback in China acclimatized. Such suppliers are the United States Henderson (HENDRICKSON) company, under the U.S. air suspension Tuthill Group production company, United States Firestone tire company and Goodyear Tire Company and the German company Wei Bake BPW Axle Company and Continental Group under the ContiTech air suspension of production companies.
The third category is the digestion and absorption of local enterprises to introduce foreign advanced technology vehicles with air suspension system based on taking into account the status of China's automobile, road conditions and transport characteristics, its progressiveness and the principle of combining reliability, based on the user's specific car Type the second development and personalized design to ensure the rational and scientific structure matching, tailored to improve the overall performance of the chassis. Such suppliers are on the Haike Man Vehicle Parts System Co., Ltd., Dongfeng Motor Suspension Spring Co., Ltd., produced by such suppliers of air suspension, mainly by imports of parts to assemble complete.
China's existing high-quality spring steel casting and rolling production company is only five, so supporting manufacturers and manufacturers recognized only two: Xing Cheng Special Steel and a large steel square, not on the two spring steel as the main product Therefore, the availability and quality of raw materials has been an industry bigger and stronger, large-scale industrialization of the obstacles, reach the country to promote more sustainable, recyclable economy, the production company.
Forward in the Tangshan steel industry has reached the required equipment, process quality, the size of the domestic industry has also been among the top three.


text:
Le  de Budapest (en hongrois : Budapest 8. kerülete, ) ou Józsefváros (, en allemand : Josefstadt, ), parfois surnommé Nyócker () est un arrondissement de Budapest. Englobant des quartiers centraux et péricentraux de la capitale hongroise, côté Pest, il s'étend du Kiskörút aux faubourgs entourant le cimetière national de Fiumei út. Il est bordé à l'ouest par le , au nord par le 7 et le 14, à l'est par le 10 et au sud par le 9.

Józsefváros pourrait se traduire en français par « Josephville » ou « Josephbourg ». Le nom de l'arrondissement fait ainsi référence à l'empereur Joseph II du Saint-Empire, archiduc d'Autriche et roi de Hongrie. La portion du Nagykörút qui traverse Józsefváros prend ainsi le nom de József körút.

Histoire
Le site actuel de Józsefváros commence à se peupler dans les années 1720. Les bâtisses d'un étage qui y dominent sont alors toutes détruites par l'inondation du Danube en 1838, puis remplacées par des immeubles au style plus cossu et des rues ressemblant un peu plus à celles des arrondissements du centre-ville de Pest. Dans un contexte marqué par une forte industrialisation de l'agglomération budapestoise, l'arrondissement devient un quartier d'artisans et de petites industries et conserve encore aujourd'hui des traces de cet héritage.

Au début du , l'arrondissement atteint un pic démographique qui se traduit vers 1930 par une forte croissance des constructions. Après la Seconde Guerre mondiale, 90 % du secteur est détruit et de nombreux logements deviennent inhabitables. . Souvent restés dans le giron public en raison de leur insalubrité, l'état de ces logements attire l'attention des pouvoirs publics au début des années 2000. De nombreux projets de réhabilitation voient le jour.

Le marché de Józsefváros (en hongrois : Józsefvárosi piac) ou marché des Quatre-Tigres (Négy-Tigris Piac) est l'un des plus grands marchés aux puces de Budapest, situé dans le  de la capitale hongroise. Depuis 1993, ce vaste ensemble situé près d'Orczy tér, coincé entre les voies de chemin de fer et Kőbányai út, est connu comme l'un des plus grands marchés asiatiques d'Europe centrale. De nombreux commerçants chinois et vietnamiens, mais aussi turcs et syriens, louent leur emplacement auprès de la société gestionnaire des lieux, Komondor Kft.. On y trouve essentiellement des produits de détail (vêtements, matériels électriques, jouets) ainsi que quelques kebabs et cantines asiatiques. L'été 2013, la MÁV (société de chemins de fer hongrois), propriétaire des lieux, a mis fin au bail de Komondor Kft. et a enjoint aux marchands de quitter l'espace. Si la fermeture n'est pas encore effective, les marchands semblent s'organiser pour s'installer de l'autre côté de la route, sur l'emprise des anciennes manufactures Ganz, là où se sont déjà installés les commerçants en gros.

Démographie

Données démographiques

L'âge moyen à l'échelle de l'arrondissement est de 40,6 ans en 2001. La population y est plutôt jeune : près de 60 % a moins de 40 ans (15,64 % a moins de 15 ans, 43,53 % entre 15 et 39 ans, 31,1 % entre 40 et 59 ans et 25,37 % plus de 60 ans). L'âge moyen des hommes est de 37,8 ans et celui des femmes 42,9 ans.

Composition sociale

En 2001, sur  hommes appartenant à la population active,  étaient au chômage (9,23 %), dont une part importante de 20-29 ans (562) et de plus de 40 ans (638). Sur les  femmes actives, le taux de chômage s'élève à 8,11 %. Ces moyennes ne tiennent pas compte de la diversité sociale entre les quartiers de l'arrondissement, fortement polarisés entre une zone plutôt favorisée (autour du Kiskörút) et une zone beaucoup plus pauvre (entre Nagykörút et le Cimetière national de Fiumei út).

Minorités nationales, linguistiques et confessions religieuses

Si 86,37 % de la population de l'arrondissement se déclare magyar en 2001, le pourcentage restant révèle une diversité ethnique et linguistique très riche. La minorité nationale et ethnique la plus importante est de très loin la minorité rom avec 3,38 % de la population. Elle-même très hétérogène, la minorité se concentre essentiellement autour du quartier de Magdolna où les taux dépassent souvent les 50 %. La deuxième minorité nationale est la minorité allemande, historiquement forte à Budapest. Parmi les minorités reconnues officiellement par le gouvernement hongrois, viennent ensuite les Slovaques, les Roumains, les Grecs et les Ukrainiens. La troisième population est cependant une minorité non reconnue en Hongrie : il s'agit de la minorité chinoise, forte de 443 individus (et quasi le double de locuteurs), particulièrement visible au Marché de Józsefváros.

Parmi les locuteurs, on note quelques divergences entre les langues des minorités et les statistiques des minorités. Ainsi l'allemand est la langue la plus parlée après le hongrois, puis vient ensuite le roumain devant le chinois. En revanche, le romani n'est pas très répandu parmi la population rom.

Logement

Selon le recensement de 2001, l'arrondissement comptait  logements, dont  logements privés et  logements sociaux (propriété de la collectivité de l'arrondissement). Si près de 79 % des logements ne dépassent pas les 2 pièces (), 53 % des logements de l'arrondissement sont estimés confortables (komfortos : ), 25,7 % de grand confort (összkomfortos : ) et 17,2 % de confort sommaire ou sans confort (komfort nélküli et félkomfortos : ). L'arrondissement compte également un parc de  logements d'urgence. Ces statistiques doivent être mesurées à l'aune des inégalités fortes entre les quartiers compris entre les deux boulevards circulaires et ceux situés en périphérie du Nagykörút, particulièrement touchés par la dégradation du bâti.

Équipements

Éducation

Le système éducatif hongrois est profondément décentralisé. La charge et la propriété des établissements d'enseignement publics est dévolue aux collectivités locales et aux collectivités des minorités. À Budapest, ces compétences sont donc celles des arrondissements. Il existe par ailleurs de nombreux établissements privés majoritairement confessionnels.
L'enseignement pré-élémentaire (óvoda), de 3 à 6 ans n'est pas obligatoire. L'enseignement élémentaire (általános iskola) est un tronc commun obligatoire de 6 à 14 ans. L'enseignement élémentaire public est gratuit. Chaque école a l'obligation d'admettre tous les enfants résidant dans un quartier sans discrimination. S'il existe une forme de carte scolaire indicative, les parents peuvent demander l'admission de leur enfant dans n'importe quel établissement. Par ailleurs, les écoles privées ont le droit d'opérer une sélection et de demander des frais d'inscription.

L'arrondissement compte plusieurs écoles pré-élémentaires : l'école Gyerek-Virág, l'école Kincskereső, l'école Várunk rád, l'école Napsugár, l'école Koszorú, l'école Hétszínvirág, l'école Mesepalota, l'école Tá-ti-ka, l'école Pitypang, l'école Szivárvány, l'école Napraforgó, l'école et crèche Katica et l'école Százszorszép. La liste des écoles élémentaires est la suivante : l'école Deák Diák, l'école Menyhért Lakatos, l'école de Losonci tér, l'école László Németh, l'école bilingue anglo-hongroise Ferenc Molnár, l'école Práter, l'école de chant, musique et sport Péter Vajda, l'école Józsefváros et l'école Mihály Fazekas.

L'arrondissement accueille deux grands campus universitaires. Le premier se situe le long du Kiskörút ; il s'agit de l'imposante faculté des Humanités de l'Université Loránd Eötvös. Le second est le siège de l'Université nationale de l'administration publique, situé sur Üllői út dans l'enceinte de l'ancienne académie militaire Ludovica. On retrouve également les installations de plusieurs petites universités hongroises, dont l'Université germanophone Gyula Andrássy de Budapest, l'Université réformée Gáspár Károli, le Séminaire national de formation rabbinique - Université juive, l'Université d'art dramatique et cinématographique et aussi quelques facultés de l'Université d'Óbuda et de l'Université catholique Péter Pázmány. Enfin, il faut noter la présence de très nombreuses facultés de l'Université Semmelweis, souvent reliées à l'activité hospitalière.

Vie culturelle
L'arrondissement accueille quelques équipements culturels d'envergure nationale, en partie liés à l'implantation du quartier universitaire. On trouve par exemple plusieurs musées comme le musée national hongrois, le musée hongrois des sciences naturelles ou le musée national et bibliothèque de pédagogie, de nombreuses librairies universitaires et la Bibliothèque centrale Ervin Szabó. Sur le plan artistique, on y trouve entre autres l'Erkel Színház, le Ruttkai Éva Színház et l'Institut culturel italien.

Situé entre le quartier juif, ses fameux Romkocsma et Ráday utca, l'arrondissement accueille également de nombreux lieux de la vie nocturne étudiante, qu'il s'agisse de bars-expo, de lieux culturels alternatifs ou de bars musicaux. C'est à Blaha Lujza tér que se trouve ainsi le Corvin tető.

Santé et sécurité

Réseaux urbains

Le réseau de transport en commun au sein du  de Budapest est structuré par les grands axes pénétrants qui traversent le secteur et relient le centre-ville de Pest aux quartiers périphériques. Du nord au sud, on retrouve ainsi plusieurs lignes de bus ainsi que la ligne  du métro le long de Rákóczi út ; le trolley  et le bus  sur Baross utca ; plusieurs lignes de bus et le métro  parcourant Üllői út. D'ouest en est, l'arrondissement est traversé par trois grands axes, à savoir le Kiskörút, le Nagykörút et Hungária körút. Y circulent respectivement les lignes , les lignes  et la ligne  du tramway de Budapest. Le  circule sur un plus petit axe longeant le Cimetière national de Fiumei út et Teleki László tér.

D'autres lignes de transport desservent l'arrondissement, de façon plus transversale, notamment la ligne  du métro, les lignes  de tramway et enfin le bus .

Tous les grands pôles d'échanges multimodaux se situent aux lisières de l'arrondissement : Astoria au nord-ouest, Blaha Lujza tér au nord, la gare de Budapest-Keleti au nord-est, Nagyvárad tér au sud-est, Corvin-negyed au sud et Kálvin tér au sud-ouest. Ainsi, malgré l'important maillage en transports publics, l'on observe d'importantes ruptures de charge entre les lignes desservant le centre-ville de Pest et celles qui circulent dans les secteurs situés au-delà du Nagykörút.

Économie

Organisation administrative

Quartiers

Municipalité
Le siège de la municipalité du  se situe dans l'ancienne prévôté, sur Baross utca. Le bourgmestre actuel est András Pikó. Le quartier de Palota est administré comme un sous-arrondissement.

Budget

Politiques publiques

Patrimoine urbain

Monuments historiques

Tissu urbain

L'arrondissement se structure en trois grands ensembles. La partie située entre le Kiskörút et le Nagykörút appartient au centre-ville embourgeoisé de Budapest et correspond au quartier administratif de Palota. Quartier essentiellement résidentiel, on y trouve de nombreuses institutions publiques et privées de prestige, souvent aménagées dans d'anciens hôtels particuliers. On trouve ainsi à proximité du musée national hongrois les bâtiments de nombreuses facultés d'universités budapestoises, notamment la faculté de sciences humaines de l'Université Loránd Eötvös. Dans le même périmètre se situent également le bâtiment principal de la Bibliothèque métropolitaine Ervin Szabó (palais Wenckheim), l'institut culturel italien de Budapest, ainsi que le siège de Magyar Rádió. Sur Mikszáth Kálmán tér, élégante place aux allures italiennes, se sont installées quelques bars et restaurants qui confirment l'ambiance étudiante du quartier.

Au-delà Nagykörút se situe l'ancienne partie centrale de Józsefváros (Középső-Józsefváros), désormais divisée en plusieurs quartiers administratifs (Losonci, Csarnok, Népszinház, Orczy, Corvin et Magdolna). Avec l'intense politique de lutte contre la prostitution, la réhabilitation des espaces publics et l'arrivée de la ligne M4 du métro de Budapest, les rues adjacentes de Rákóczi tér ont connu une accélération de leur revalorisation immobilière. Un peu plus au Sud aux abords du grand boulevard, l'ancien quartier populaire de Corvin-Szigony (désormais scindé en deux entités) a été entièrement rasé au profit de l'implantation d'un grand centre commercial urbain, d'ensembles de bureaux et de logements de haut standing. À l'écart des grands axes de circulation et des principaux moyens de transport, les autres quartiers péri-centraux demeurent des quartiers encore très populaires, souffrant parfois d'une forte stigmatisation de la part des Budapestois. Depuis le milieu des années 2000, de nombreux programmes de réhabilitation urbaine cherchent pourtant à changer l'image de ces secteurs. La rénovation complète de Teleki László tér et des rues adjacentes ainsi que l'installation du campus Ludovika dans un ancien immeuble militaire (Académie militaire royale hongroise Ludovika) dans le quartier Orczy ont ainsi contribué à améliorer timidement la réputation de ces espaces.

La troisième partie de l'arrondissement, située cette fois au-delà de l'ancienne ceinture manufacturière et des emprises ferroviaires, est essentiellement constituée de petites unités d'habitation, principalement des petits immeubles résidentiels et des maisons individuelles avec jardin. Historiquement, les quartiers de Százados úti et Tisztviselőtelep ont été construits au début du  pour héberger des fonctionnaires du royaume. La population qui y vit actuellement est essentiellement constituée de basses franges des classes moyennes. À proximité immédiate de ces deux ensembles se situent les quartiers administratifs de Kerepesi et Ganz. Le premier est un quartier de gare aux allures de faubourg, coincé entre le Cimetière national de Fiumei út, la Gare de Budapest-Keleti et les anciens terrains de l'hippodrome, aujourd'hui occupés par le centre commercial Arena. Le second représente le principal vestige du passé industriel de l'arrondissement. L'ancienne usine de la compagnie Ganz y produisait du matériel ferroviaire ; elle est désormais occupée par des marchands en gros et les anciens marchands au détail du marché de Józsefváros. Les chinois, turcs et vietnamiens qui s'y sont installés en ont fait le principal lieu de déballage et d'écoulement des marchandises importées d'Asie et du Proche-Orient, allant de l'alimentaire aux objets de contrefaçon.

Espaces verts

Projets urbains

Médias

Tissu associatif

Cultes

L'arrondissement dans les représentations

Cinématographie

Les films les plus connus prenant l'arrondissement pour décors sont Les Garçons de la rue Paul de Zoltán Fábri, Être sans destin d'Imre Kertész et le film d'animation Nyócker ! qui retrace l'histoire de deux familles rom et roumaine. Dans Coming out de Dénes Orosz (2013), de nombreuses scènes sont filmées dans le quartier autour des hôpitaux, entre Práter utca et Üllői út.

Littérature

Le roman dont s'inspire le film Les Garçons de la rue Paul, écrit par Ferenc Molnár en 1906, se déroule en grande partie dans les  et . L'écrivain italien d'origine hongroise Giorgio Pressburger a longtemps vécu dans un immeuble situé à l'angle d'Erdély utca (désormais Bauer Sándor utca) et Teleki László tér. Il a publié une nouvelle issue de sa période de jeunesse et relatant la vie du quartier et de sa communauté juive, intitulée Histoires du huitième district.

Relations internationales

Jumelages
En raison de son nom, qui signifie littéralement « Joseph-ville » en français, l'arrondissement a décidé de se jumeler avec les quartiers suivants :

  Timișoara (Iosefin)
  Vienne (Josefstadt)

Personnalités liées à l'arrondissement
Michael Balint
Máté Kocsis
Giorgio Pressburger
Mihály Táncsics

Voir aussi

Bibliographie

Notes et références

Références


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Q: Prometheus - How to filter out stale metrics from range queries? On my Prometheus instance, I have set storage.tsdb.retention.size to 128GiB and storage.tsdb.retention.time to 0s, so Prometheus keeps the old data until the 128 GB limit is reached.
Now, I have some time series that haven't been updated anymore (i.e. are stale) for a long time. If I make a range query into the recent past where the stale metrics didn't exist anymore, then everything is fine.
For example, the PromQL query:
> metric{label1="foo"}[1d]

Returns:
...
metric{label1="foo"}  <value>@<timestamp>  # <== OK, fresh time series

However, if I make a range query reaching farther into the past when the stale metric was still updated, this stale time series is included in the result.
For example, the query:
> metric{label1="foo"}[60d]

Returns:
...
metric{label1="foo"}               <value>@<timestamp>  # <== OK, newest timestamp right now
...
metric{label1="foo",label2="bar"}  <value>@<timestamp>  # <== !! newest timestamp one month ago!

I don't want the second (stale) time series included in the result, I only want the data from first (fresh) time series reaching 60 days back.
Is there a way to achieve this with PromQL, i.e. filtering out stale time series from range queries?

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaStackExchange


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Q: What is UCRTBASE error in dependency walker? I have an OCX file that not register in another PC. when I run dependencyWalker.exe and load the OCX on it, It shows me some dll is missing. I downloaded some of them from DLL-File.com but It shows me UCRTBASE error. what is it? How can I fix it?

A: What Windows version are you targeting? For Win10 ucrtbase is indeed deployed as part of the OS, for 7/8 you need to install the VS2015 redist.
As for the api-ms-win-*** dll's, these are actually not MinWin forwarders but rather API sets, sometimes referred to as 'virtual dlls' - essentially, an extra level of indirection gradually introduced since Vista to isolate kernel functionality moving among components. I came across software that was deployed with physical dlls implementing the API sets (as your ocx seem to be), but much more often applications resort to the built in OS apparatus - embedded in the Windows Loader itself, and not requiring any real dlls for operation.


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Jane Farrell Turf & Carpets, Inc. (JFTC) and Flagship Carpets to Become One Resource
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Adventure Golf Services Announces New Golf Driving Cage
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Intercard Opens New Asia-Pacific Sites
Oct 24, 2014 | International News
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Oct 24, 2014 | Executive Digest
AIMS International has announced that Michael Withers, vice president of Ride Engineering at Walt...

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


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DabbleU
A Whole Bunch of Character Arc Ideas for Your Story
Doug Landsborough
So you want to write some great characters, huh?
Good, because you need them to write a great book. But in order to write such fantastic, memorable characters, you need to come up with some equally awesome character arcs.
But that's not as easy as it sounds, right?
Coming up with unique character arc ideas can be just as difficult as coming up with as a unique plot idea. Some would say it's impossible. Others would say that every character arc idea has been done before, but putting your spin on it is what makes it unique. That's sort of the idea behind story structures.
That's what we're going for with these ideas. In this article, you'll be introduced to fifteen character arc ideas ranging from uplifting positive arcs to dastardly negative ones (and some of the flat variety just for good measure).
Don't read through this just to take an idea and copy it right into your character notes. Instead, use these as the spark to mold your own character arcs.
Positive Arc Ideas
Positive arcs are stories where the character progresses through an uplifting journey or ends up in a morally stronger place than where they started. They become better versions of themselves.
Check out these positive arc ideas.
The reluctant hero
This one is a classic: someone is called upon to be a hero but either doesn't think they have it in them or is actively opposed to the idea of being such a hero.
Through this arc, the ideas and mindset stopping this character from saving the day are dispelled through their own actions and the needs of those around them.
Their reluctance could be caused by a past trauma, a negative outlook, feeling weak in the face of danger, or any number of different options. If you go with this arc, you're going to want to come up with a pretty good backstory that stops them from embracing their heroic side.
The villain's redemption
I'll be the first to admit that I'm a sucker for a good villain redemption arc. There's something that just makes you want to root for them to cast off their villainous shackles and fight for the good side.
But you need a couple things for a villain's redemption arc.
First, you need a strong antagonist. This doesn't mean a bad guy who constantly has regrets about being bad. No, a good redemption arc starts with a villain who is perfectly content being the monster they are.
Over the course of your story, this character starts to see the impact of their evil ways or understands the Lie they've believed this whole time is wrong.
Consider this: your character had the chance to do something great or life-saving in the past, but they messed it up. Maybe they made the wrong choice or their inaction had consequences.
No matter what happened, the repercussions of the past continue to haunt them.
So, when the opportunity to be the hero comes up again, they're either terrified of repeating their previous mistakes or so full of self-doubt that they're resistant to being that hero.
Then, of course, events in the story and those they've surrounded themselves with show our hero how their past doesn't define them.
Finding love again
If a character was left at the altar, betrayed by a cheater, or had their partner brutally murdered by a serial killer, their arc starts with this loss of love that was so devastating they never want to open themselves up to that prospect again.
And who can blame them? No one wants to get hurt, especially in the serial killer example.
But, over the course of the story, our character comes to understand that they can open themselves up to others again and that they're worthy of loving and being loved.
Proving someone wrong
People love a good underdog story, and that's exactly what this type of arc is about. Rather than someone who doesn't believe in themselves or is a reluctant hero (though these characters could fall into those camps), it's the people around this character who don't believe in them.
And you know what? This character is determined to prove them all wrong.
Cue the epic training montage, quest for a magical sword, or entrance into a tournament under a fun disguise.
However they go about it, your character will overcome obstacles to grow and prove everyone—even themselves, sometimes—wrong.
Overcoming your fear
While this tends to be more common in genres like horror, it's perfectly at home in basically any story. As the name suggests, this arc sees a character working to overcome a crippling fear.
This isn't like, "Oh no, I don't like spiders." It's more like, "Going outside will give me a panic attack so strong that I might have a heart attack." or "Abuse in my past means that I can't step foot in a body of water."
But news, though: the character needs to go outside or on a boat.
This arc is not only relatable—we all have fears, after all—but it is an excellent opportunity to show realistic growth.
Sacrificing for the greater good
Last up in our positive character arc ideas is sacrificing for the greater good. However, unlike most examples we've used, this journey doesn't necessarily end in a better place for the character—physically, at least.
To really make a big impact out of a character willingly sacrificing themselves, first show how much they don't want to. Heck, maybe they didn't even want to be involved in the story at all.
Along the way, the obstacles you throw at them force the character to see the world in a different light. So much so that they're willing to give up everything to help their new friends or save the day.
Negative Arc Ideas
On the other end of the arc spectrum are negative arcs. This is when your character ends up in a morally worse place than where they started (at least according to the reader).
Corrupted by power
Let's pretend your character started out in a good place. Or, at the bare minimum, a neutral one. Then they get a taste of power, but it comes at a slightly questionable cost.
But the benefit far outweighs the cost. So they do it again.
Over time, the costs get worse and worse, but they justify it for the increasing benefits… no matter who gets hurt.
Sacrificing the greater good
Unlike the positive arc of sacrificing for the greater good, a negative arc might show us a character who decides the good isn't that much greater.
This usually comes from some sort of trauma or wrongdoing. Think about what it would take for a normal person to get to this point, though. Maybe a parent who would sacrifice others to save their child or a military leader who will offer up their own troops for personal gain.
To get a truly powerful arc out of this, don't make the actions outlandishly villainous. There should be inner conflict here.
Lesser of two evils
If we tone down the last idea a little bit, we get the lesser of two evils. This is where a character—again, after a series of unfair or difficult events you throw at them—decides that a bad action is okay because it isn't that bad.
And like many "corrupted by power stories," you can use this as part of a larger idea to create a slippery slope. Maybe the formerly good sorcerer was forced to use death magic to save his town, even if it meant his friend had to die.
Justifying sin
When I say sin, I mean anything that goes against institutionalized norms. And "sin" sounds cooler than "crime," and I'm all about being cool.
In this situation, our character doesn't see what they're doing as wrong. Sure, they're scamming people out of their savings. But those people lived in a rich neighborhood. Or they're a serial killer who kills other serial killers to control dark urges while helping the world.
These actions are not the "right" thing to do, but our character's journey justifies those sins.
Righting a wrong
Then there's your classic vengeance arcs.
Think of a parent who goes all Liam Neeson on kidnappers or a preacher who makes it their holy mission to "clean up" crime in the neighborhood.
In many of these stories, the character starts as an upstanding or unassuming person before a single event flips a switch and sets them on a dangerous path.
Flat and Transformational Arc Ideas
To wrap things up, I've included a couple of flat and transformational arcs. Flat arcs are just as they sound: no growth or descent in terms of morals. Characters largely stay the same.
Transformational arcs are journeys that end in a character changing in ways that don't involve morals.
Here are a few ideas for you.
Playing the hero (flat)
In a lot of action-adventure stories, the main character is as heroic as they are stoic. They puff out their chests, face the danger, and end up just like they were before: ready to puff out their chests and face the danger again.
Think of Indiana Jones or Jack Reacher. We aren't there for an emotional time, we're there for a butt-kicking time.
Rising to the occasion (transformational)
Unlike a reluctant hero, some characters just find it in themselves to become a leader.
This doesn't mean they start as villains or that they're inept. Quite the contrary. These characters really just need training or resources to reach their full potential.
Think of Katniss Everdeen from The Hunger Games. She was already an opinionated, bow-wielding force of nature. Then she became an opinionated, bow-wielding force of nature who led a rebellion.
Sharing your knowledge (flat)
This isn't a main character arc, but it does suit a Sage character very well. It's a character who knows a lot of stuff and has to pass that knowledge (usually cryptically) to the main character as a way to help them on their journey.
Think about characters like Gandalf in The Lord of the Rings or Uncle Iroh from Avatar: The Last Airbender. They support other characters with little to no change of their own.
Embracing a revelation or experience (transformational)
Finally, a character who embraces the change offered by new information or experiences will change, just not morally.
This is like someone who gets a new job but stays the same, or a college kid who gets some life experience abroad, maybe learns about love or something, but doesn't become a better or worse person.
This is popular in many serial stories where characters might have some superficial changes from tale to tale but little substantive changes.
Plan Your Character Arc in Dabble
Now that you have those creative gears turning, it's time to bring your character and their arc to life.
The best way to do that? In a novel-writing platform that makes writing your book easier—Dabble.
With Dabble, you have access to all your character notes, worldbuilding, plots and subplots, and everything else a writer could want just a click from your manuscript.
Add on automatic backups (bye-bye, lost progress), writing on any device, and goal setting, and you will have your story in front of readers in no time flat.
Get started with a totally free, no credit card required, fourteen-day free trial by clicking here.
Doug Landsborough can't get enough of writing. Whether freelancing as an editor, blog writer, or ghostwriter, Doug is a big fan of the power of words. In his spare time, he writes about monsters, angels, and demons under the name D. William Landsborough. When not obsessing about sympathetic villains and wondrous magic, Doug enjoys board games, horror movies, and spending time with his wife, Sarah.
TAKE A BREAK FROM WRITING...
Read. Learn. Create.
The Chosen One: Trite or Terrific?
The Chosen One. It's a trope that many people love to hate despite its pervasiveness across popular culture. If you're unfamiliar with the Chosen One, it's a popular trope or narrative device used across books, TV shows, and movies where a character is destined to fulfill a certain role or mission, often because they have unique abilities or traits. These traits are frequently tied to magic, meaning you'll see this trope a lot in fantasy and other types of speculative fiction, especially those with a young adult audience.
Step by Step: How to Write Well
So how do you write well then? Realistically, there are a few things universally considered "good" writing. The story should follow a logical plot where one action feeds into another. The characters should behave in ways that align with their established personalities. There should be some high points and low points and stuff in between. Generally, good writing is also well edited and follows most of the conventions for grammar and punctuation. While you can write well with typos and mistakes, you run the risk of distracting the reader to a point where that good story becomes not so good because it's unreadable. Ultimately, the success of things like your voice and your characters are going to be up to your reader and you'll never please everyone. But we can take some steps to ensure we please more people than not.
How to Write About Character Skin Color in Your Novel
That's great—our fiction should reflect the world as it is and that means including people of various ethnic backgrounds and skin tones. But the history of writing about people of color is kind of… awful and it's important to remember that you can't just throw in a BIPOC character without giving some serious thought to how you represent and describe that character.


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Kathleen Brown's practice focuses on business counseling, government and regulatory affairs, particularly as they relate to the healthcare, energy and financial services industries.
Ms. Brown brings to her practice a background that includes 18 years as a senior executive in the banking and financial services industry and 16 years of public sector experience, including a term as California's state treasurer.
Ms. Brown joined Manatt after more than 12 years at Goldman Sachs, Inc., a global investment banking and securities firm, where she served as chairman of Midwest Investment Banking and, prior to that, as managing director and head of the firm's Western Region Public Sector and Infrastructure Group. Ms. Brown also held various senior positions with Bank of America, including president of the private bank.
During her tenure with Goldman Sachs, she worked closely with healthcare institutions in California and the Midwest in both an investment banking and strategic advisory capacity, with a particular focus on helping firms navigate the challenges and leverage the opportunities presented by healthcare reform. She also worked with energy clients and participated in over $4.2 billion of water and power bond financings, working extensively with municipal utilities in California, including on projects to meet California's renewable energy standards.
Ms. Brown's experience in the government arena includes serving a term as California state treasurer, where she managed a $25 billion bond portfolio, oversaw a $32 billion cash management fund and served as a trustee on the boards of CALPERS and CALSTRS, two of the largest pension funds in the nation. During that time she was Co- Chair of the Council of Institutional Investors. She was the Democratic Party nominee for Governor of California in 1994, the Co-Chair of the Presidential Commission on Capital Budgeting, a commissioner of the Los Angeles Board of Public Works, and a two term member of the Los Angeles Board of Education.
Before beginning her campaign for treasurer, Ms. Brown was an attorney in the New York and Los Angeles offices of a global law firm, where she was a member of the Capital Markets Group specializing in public and corporate finance.
Ms. Brown serves on the Board of Directors of Sempra Energy, Renew Financial, Stifel and FivePoint Communities, the Mayor's Fund Los Angeles and the Advisory Board of the Stanford Center on Longevity.
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I hope you are enjoying the lovely summer weather and, maybe looking forward to happy holidays. Following is a list of our Blewbury WI events being held during July, we would love to welcome some new members to join us.
Tuesday, 3rd July at 9.15am. – Lyn's Walk. Meet at Blewbury Village Hall before going on for a circular walk from Aston Recreation Ground. Some may have done part of this walk before, it is a little longer than previous walks but it is flat. Regretfully there is no coffee shop en-route. Hope to see you all whether you are WI members or not.
Tuesday, 3rd July at 7.30 pm. – Scrabble at Rosemary's. Please ring first.
Friday, 6th July at 7.00pm. – Craft evening at Liz's. Please ring first.
Monday, 9th July at 10.30am. – Coffee at Style Acre with Karen.
Wednesday, 25th July 2.00pm to 5.00pm. – Visit to Ashdown House, Lambourn. Car rota will be arranged.


….Trump's Jerusalem gamble is thus less about the prospects for Israeli-Palestinian peace than about whether Arab-Israeli alliance against Iran can be achieved in its absence. Israel's tacit cooperation with Gulf states against Iran, long kept in the shadows, has increasingly been brought into the open despite the absence of Israeli-Palestinian peace. The Jerusalem gambit may well force a public reckoning over this semiprivate alignment.
The major trends in regional politics could well make this gamble pay off. Saudi Arabia and its key partners have made it clear that they view regional confrontation with Iran as their most urgent strategic priority….The key question is whether Arab regimes do anything more to protest the recognition, or return to cooperation with the United States and Israel against Iran once the passions have faded. The Trump administration is probably right that they will do so quickly, barring the emergence of serious, sustained Palestinian mobilization that forces them into a tougher stance.
There is no peace process, and there won't be one anytime in the near future.
Israel is going to continue to steadily take over the territory it wants, no matter what the rest of the world thinks. There is nothing short of war that will stop this, and there is no one with both the strength and inclination to stop them.
Israel will allow neither the formation of a Palestinian state nor Palestinian integration into Israel.
Trump is, fundamentally, asking Arab states to accept this privately, if not publicly, in return for a full-court press against Iran. Likewise, the gift of Jerusalem is primarily a gesture to maintain Israel's confidence in the United States even as Trump cozies up with the Saudi coalition. Given the realities on the ground, I suspect that nearly all parties in the Middle East are willing to make this deal.


You were the toast of Wall Street as equities hit another all-time high on Thursday. Immediately after your speech at the National Bureau of Economic Research the previous evening suggesting that the U.S. economy needed further monetary stimulus, Asian equities took off and the dollar plunged. U.S. equities followed upward from the opening bell on Thursday. It is impressive that while you had this electrifying impact on global markets, the release of the Fed minutes just a couple of hours before your speech was no market mover. The minutes of the June meeting suggested that you and other Federal Reserve officials were split on when the purchase of bonds — popularly known as quantitative easing, or QE — should be wound down. The ho-hum discussion in the minutes left equities flat at the end of Wednesday.
Your responses following the speech were widely considered "dovish" and reversed the impact that you had in responding to a question posed by the Congressional Joint Economic Committee on May 22: Is it conceivable that you could slow bond purchases as early as Labor Day? You said the process was data-dependent but that the scale of purchases could be reduced "in the next few meetings." That tanked the surging stock market and pushed bond yields higher. In particular, the 30-year fixed mortgage rate rose by about 1 percentage point in the aftermath of your appearance. The chart below, providing Bankrate.com's U.S. mortgage 30-year fixed rate, shows how the trend had been downward in April but has risen sharply since then.
The speech last Thursday lifted equities to new highs, but the bond market has not returned to old levels. Despite a mini-rally in Treasuries late in the week, bond investors are confused about your intentions. They are certainly less euphoric than equity investors, believing there may be losses ahead as stocks continue to rise. And let us not forget another major concern — that the higher mortgage rates may already have done damage and the negative impact on the economy may continue into the second half of the year. The unexpected 16,000 increase in jobless claims in the latest week to the 360,000 level, a two-month high, also contributed to concerns of a slowdown.
If all of this appears confusing, Mr. Chairman, that also describes how a number of market players feel now. I thought I would take this opportunity to raise a few questions, both theoretical and market-oriented, on the conduct of monetary policy.
(1) What is the timing of an exit from QE? — In the text prepared ahead of your May 22 appearance before Congress, you noted that a premature tightening of monetary policy could cause interest rates to rise. The "substantial risk," you noted, is of "slowing or ending the economic recovery." Yet, in answering a question posed by Rep. Kevin Brady about the timing of a QE exit, you seemed to be more concerned about market distortions resulting from bond purchases and show a greater interest in slowing them. Which is the true "Bernanke view," the one expressing a need for stimulus or the one concerned about QE-created market distortions? Or is it somewhere in between those positions? I recall that several of your colleagues, doves and hawks alike, rushed to the media in the weeks following your congressional appearance to stress that a "tapering" of bond purchases was not imminent. Clearly, you and your Fed colleagues were shocked by the extent of adverse reaction in the bond market and went into damage control mode.
Since "openness" and "forward guidance" are said to be the hallmarks of your Fed, how can the market reconcile the contradictory messages of the past two months?
(2) Who speaks for the Fed? — Even as the market was feeling good about the continuation of Fed support for equities, Charles Plosser, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, publicly expressed his view on Friday that tapering of bond purchases should begin in September. Is it wise for various members of the Federal Open Market Committee to express their disagreements in public? Is that also part of the "forward guidance" process? Is it not more akin to planting "forward confusion," and does it not increase market volatility? An increase in volatility is not in the economy's interest, is it, since it adds to the uncertainty in making investment decisions?
(3) Has QE been effective? — I was fully supportive of the introduction of QE in the aftermath of the Lehman Brothers failure in September 2008. With the global economy collapsing and global liquidity imploding, it was time to try extraordinary monetary measures, especially since you had already lowered the Federal Funds rate to near-zero levels. However, the economic recovery began in July 2009, according to the NBER, and QE is nearing its fifth birthday. How did an emergency measure become an everyday measure? Since markets seem to be addicted to QE, how would you react if another crisis hit? By increasing bond buying from the current $85 billion per month to $100 billion? $150 billion? Doesn't the patient become resistant to antibiotics and require higher and higher doses with unknown side effects?
(4) Do you fully understand QE long-term impact? — The Fed's balance sheet is forecast to quintuple by the end of this year from roughly $800 billion just prior to the 2008 crisis. As a student of monetary history, you know there is no precedent for such a massive expansion in the central bank's assets. Consequently, there is no empirical evidence on what the surge in the balance sheet will do to relative valuations. For instance, even Americans who are close to retirement are being virtually forced to invest in risky assets because money market funds are yielding zero. Could a pension fund crisis arise if higher-yielding assets go into a dive? To cite another result of your policy, housing is booming again on the back of low interest rates. Would the Fed be setting the housing market up for a bubble, as was the case in 2006 and 2007?
(5) The FedaEUR(TM)s stated objectives — Unlike the European Central Bank, which was established with the control of inflation as its sole policy objective, the Federal Reserve has worked with two targets — inflation management and the creation of output and employment. It is indeed laudable to have both objectives in mind and, at times, to implement trade-offs between them based on which need is more pressing. However, you are well aware that boosting equity prices is not, and has never been, a policy objective of the U.S. central bank. I know, Mr. Chairman, that you and many other economists believe in the "wealth effect" of rising equity prices and its power to increase consumption spending and economic growth. However, your most recent speech underscored the belief that the economy still needs the stimulus of QE — more than four years after its introduction. Why has the much-touted wealth effect not set the economy on a faster growth path?
When the patient does not respond well to medication, might it be time to change the treatment rather than administer more of the same? Structural reforms such as the introduction of vocational training, employment tax credits and government subsidies to keep workers employed (rather than just benefits for those laid off) could be the answer to the persistent unemployment malaise. However, such structural shifts have not been a major element of policy in the years following the crisis.
I would conclude, Mr. Chairman, by commending you for ably administering emergency measures in the fall of 2008 and keeping the global economy going. On the other hand, you cannot have a child ride a bike with training wheels forever. It is time to take them off.
President, Sri-Kumar Global Strategies, Inc.
Komal Sri-Kumar is a Milken Institute Senior Fellow.


Just a small bug fix update.
Fixed a bug with auto-completers when selecting a preset group that had a single quote in the name, IE: 'ard Boyz.
Fixed a bug where the auto-completers for rosters would not offer suggestions from all your armies and rosters if the army selection was set to all.


At some point in life, we all feel anxious due to different reasons. Office work and a traffic jam could be some common reasons of stress for all. You can cope with them through some rest or meditation. However, there are plenty of not-so-normal reasons that make people anxious. They can affect an individual's working ability and social as well as personal life. According to experts, people experiencing these signs may be suffering from clinical anxiety.
Surpassing depression, anxiety is gradually becoming one of the most common types of mental illness worldwide. It affects an individual both physically and mentally. Although anxiety is dangerous for one's health, it is possible to get rid of it. How?
There will be a reason behind your anxiety. To get rid of it, you need to understand what causing fear in you. It may be a mishap in the recent past or an incident not easy to forget. You can work on beating the anxiety if you know its reasons. Identifying the source will help you determine if you alone can handle it or you need someone else's help.
What keeps coming to your mind when you are anxious? You need to recognize the thoughts that make you feel feared. It can be fear of being judged, thinking about others, and the feeling of being ignored. These are some common thoughts that make people feel stressed about their life. Once you recognize them, you will be able to find the right way to cope with your anxiety.
Meditation is a well-known way of reducing stress in daily life. Apart from meditation, there are various types of anxiety-reducing tricks that you can use to make a positive impact on your life. They are breathing deeply and exercising. When you are under stress, you start breathing quickly. In such a situation, your brain gets less oxygen than it should normally get. It results in a brain that will be losing its ability to think logically. Whenever you feel anxious, take a deep breath. Inhale, hold the breath, and slowly release it.
You should also add exercise to your daily schedule. When you are physically active, your body learns to get control over stress-producing hormones.
Staying positive is the key to happiness. Instead of focusing on negative thoughts, find reasons to be positive in the life. Try to stay around energetic people. You can also keep things with you that motivate you. It can be a positive quote or personalized rubber bracelets around your wrist with a powerful message engraved on them. Focusing your mind on positive things will make you forget about your anxiety and think of good things in life.
Anxiety isn't shameful. Everyone feels stressed at some point in their life. Instead of hiding it, you should focus on removing it. If simple methods of coping with fear don't work, you must visit an expert therapist. There may be some serious explanations that only an experienced individual can understand. A therapist will recognize your problem and tell you the right ways to deal with it.
These are some effective ways to handle anxiety or fear in your life. In addition, you can try things like having herbal remedies or eating a healthy diet. In this way, you can fight your fears and make your life happier than ever.


3BEDROOM PLUS AN OPEN LOFT, 2.5 BATH TOWNHOME WITH TWO CAR GARAGE. UPGRADED KITCHEN WITH 42 INCH KITCHEN CABINETS, GRANITE COUNTERTOPS AND STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES. TILES ON THE 1ST FLOOR AND CARPET UPSTAIRS. BATHROOMS HAVE GRANITE COUNTERTOPS. RECESSED LIGHTING. HOME IS ON A CORNER LOT WITH A PRIVACY WALL. BLINDS AND FANS INCLUDED. GATED COMMUNITY WITH COMMUNITY POOL, CLUBHOUSE, PLAY AREA, BASKETBALL AND VOLLEYBALL COURTS, ETC. CLOSE TO BEACHES, SHOPPING, RESTAURANTS.


This week, an 11pm call from a South Texas nursing home where several of John's elderly relatives reside meant an 8am trip the next day–with both Tiki and Barli. We like to spend the night when we go because the home is nearly a four-hour drive from our house but, like any trip, it involves a certain amount of preparation.
When we're traveling for guidebook work, we make a lot of lists–packing lists, itinerary lists, photo lists. But those trips are planned out weeks (or longer) in advance. Traveling last-minute is another animal altogether.
Here are our tips to pulling off a last-minute trip, whether it's for a family emergency, evacuation, or just for fun–with your dogs.
Have a packing list already written.
Have a bag ready to go.
We keep a bag ready to go with many items so we can just add the consumables and the items we use on a daily basis. All the items with an asterisk * on the above list stay packed in our grab and go bag. (We also keep a printed copy of the packing list in the bag so, in case the electricity is out, we can quickly prepare.) In case of an emergency evacuation, we can be packed and out of here in a few minutes.
Make sure your car's ready for your dog.
Since we take many day trips with the dogs, we keep the car dog-ready all the time. Part of that includes protecting the seats with Plush Paws Products pet seat covers (win yours at Friday's Twitter party and RSVP giveaway!) so, during free time after our visit, we were able to head to the beach with Barli and Tiki for a swim. We also keep an extra set of leashes and collars in our car, in case of breakage. Because of her arthritis, Tiki uses a ramp to get in our car; that ramp stays in the car, too.
Have a home checklist ready.
Our home checklist includes all the must-check items–thermostat, lights, stove, freezer, etc.–as well as special items for our cats and pet sitter.
Create a dog-friendly hotel list before you need it.
We've made this trip many times over the past year so we knew where we'd be staying–and knew a backup hotel in case we got ready to book online and found the hotel sold out. Besides this situation, we also know hotels in the area–in different directions–where we could evacuate with the pets in case of a natural disaster.
Keep a copy of your dog's immunization records.
Every year, we ask our vet for a printed copy of our dogs' immunization records. We keep a copy packed in our grab and go bag–and we keep a digital copy on each of our phones.
Having as much as possible ready to go helped make our quick, one-night trip a success this week. We had a good visit at the nursing home, a good stay at the hotel, and even a few hours of happy beach time with a LOT of swimming for Tiki and Barli!


Omaha's Premiere Limousine Co. Corporate, Wedding, Airport.
Welcome to VIP Limo, Omaha's Premiere Limousine Service. We offer Corporate, Wedding, Airport and Specialty Transportation Services. We have a large fleet of Sedans, SUV's, Vans, Limos and Busses.


KRK Bridge in Croatia has been waterproofed with ALCHIMICA's products during renovation works.
Fast curing UNIVERSAL-PRIMER-2K-4060 has been applied over the concrete and HYPERDESMO-PB-2K, 2 component, polyurethane extended bitumen waterproofing membrane, completed waterproofing application. Then, the new asphaltic concrete has been applied.


The Brand-new mattress is made with four different layers of foam, adding up to ten inches of relaxation. The latest iteration includes a Zoned Support, that will be good to notice, as it has two different types of foam: One is thicker beneath the shoulder region and another firm for the hip area. It is designed to provide the ideal relaxation.
Cover – Its cover is made out of a exceptional polyester that's thick and usually slips back into its original place quickly, this means that it won't bunch if you create moves during the night. Note it is removable so you can clean it together with the bedding.
Comfort Layer – The layer is created from a latex-like foam that supplies the mattress some good immediate bounce. Whilst this region quickly in responding to pressure it provides room for the consumer to sink in with ease. Like every latex, this foam also has good cooling quality, making sure the bed will not sleep too hot at night.
Contour Layer – Below its relaxation layers, one will find the part of the memory foam. This layer provides the body a contouring feel while also relieving pressure to the upper layers.
Support Layer – The next layer is where you get the zoned support that's made with two types of a long-lasting polyfoam, with its softer variation placed on the borders of the mattress while the warmer one is placed in the center. The placement is supposed to assist with pressure support and relief.
1) Firmness – If you employ some form of stress to it one thing that you get is a good bounce. Applying pressure farther, one receives a contouring from its memory foam layer. It will not feel like you are getting stuck at the mattress. While you may get good sinkage out of its contour layers, its zoned support and polyester foam layers will lift you off the mattress. This means you will feel like you're sleeping on top instead of on it and won't ever feel stuck. It's fantastic for people who sleep in several places and the bed's is easy for rolling over when you want to.
Laying In your rear — While lying on the back, one has a fantastic pressure relief from the Casper mattress. The zone support gives space in your lower back in addition to the hip area.
Laying On the tummy — Rolling on the stomach, the mattress does well to maintain the spine in a good alignment. Note that it is not hard to switch between all of these different sleeping positions.
3) Motion Transfer – If one plans on sharing his or her bed with anyone, you have to understand what it feels like if another person moves out of bed or lugging around at the nighttime. The mattress is rather typical when it comes to containing virtually any motion. That means you will likely feel it as if your partner tosses and turns through the night but it won't be anything too disturbing.
It Shows less sinkage in comparison to most other foam mattresses. Additionally, it proves that the upper layer together with the polyester foam foundation provides the mattress a buoyant lift, supporting the user. It is especially valuable for on-the-stomach and back sleepers.
5) Edge Support – When you share your bed with someone and want to utilize the whole subject of the bed, it is a fantastic idea to consider the degree of edge support the mattress provides. As you put in your back, you'll feel well supported on its own borders. Zoned Support does well in ensuring you are secure at the edges and helps to ensure that you won't fall from the bed. Tossing on your side, you will continue to feel safe on the edges. Most foam mattresses experience extra compression when folks sit on them but Casper mattresses do consume well.
• Zoned support – When one encounters discomfort at the shoulders or hips, one will certainly get a great deal of assistance from the mattress's Zoned Support coating. This section helps to cushion the distress arising in a variety of ways, providing a pain free rest.
• Balanced foam texture — Someone looking to find a good equilibrium foam texture, must contemplate the Casper mattress. Its memory foam, latex in addition to the heavy duty polyester foam work together perfectly on the bed to give you a very nice rest encounter.
The Casper mattress encompasses great technologies to offer a Fantastic sleeping Experience, using a secret being its unique Zoned Support layers that offer a great Pressure support and relief method. After running a general overview of Casper Mattresses, it's relatively well-constructed and will provide a good return on Your money considering its retail price on the market. Therefore, if you are Experiencing discomfort at your hip or shoulder area, consider purchasing the Casper mattress.


Sebra has acquired the right to the Juno bed and has relaunched the classic and beautiful bed under the new name: Sebra bed.
This beautiful & classic Danish-designed bed is suitable for children from birth to about 7 years of age. The bed is beautifully made from birch and treated with an anti-bacterial non-toxic wood paint to ensure a cleaner indoor environment and to protect the child's health.
The bed is equipped with an adjustable bottom, removable bars and an extractable length - so it is easy to change the bed from a cot to a junior bed and move the bed height up and down.


A Small Scale Wave Energy Converter For Remote Offshore Local Grid Installations.
MANTA is a wave energy converter specifically designed for remote grid installations, which includes offshore fish farms and remote coastal communities. In all cases, MANTA charges battery banks, which operators can use to power a variety of applications, including computers, lights, communication systems, sensors, and desalination units.
Survivability is at the heart of MANTA, and as such, automatic load shedding is built into the operating principle. The ability to dissipate load, while continuing to generate power, ensures that the system can continue to reliably power connected applications, in extreme wave scenarios.
No shaft seals, gearbox, or oil.
Low wave height power delivery.
Simple, scalable, and robust design.
No specialist tools for maintenance.
Power curve load latching ability.
Minimum 15 year design life.


Client was running a subscriptions business which required charging the customers cards on a recurring basis.
Automate manual processes like charging customer's card and sending them renewal reminders.
Client wanted customers to be able to manage their subscriptions from 'My Account' section.
Used the JetCommerce subscription module to allow customers to configure frequency and length of subscriptions.
We used the JetCommerce marketing automation to automate renewal reminders and reactivate customers at the risk of churn.
This was one of the most successful launches of JetCommerce witnessing over 72% increase in conversion rates. Most of this increase came from mobile devices as the client's previous Magento site was not mobile optimized. The mobile conversion rates increased by 130% in the first quarter.
Customers can upgrade or downgrade subscriptions, can skip a shipment, change shipping/billing info; all this from the My Account section.
The cart can consist of subscription and one time purchases.
All orders and products are synced with Quickbooks. The customer conversation history is pulled from CRM.
The client uses JetCommerce point of sale for walk-in customers and at exhibitions. All orders are automatically synced with Quickbooks.
JetCommerce is a hybrid solution that enables businesses to run complex use cases on a hosted platform. Check out other examples here.
Allow customer to custom design banners, cards, t-shirts; even on mobile. Jetcommerce comes with Live assist, product configuration and re-orders ideal for such businesses.
Jetcommerce offers integration with leading ERP and POS providers with the option of building custom connector for legacy systems. You can offer real time visibility of stock across stores. Use digital to drive footfalls to retail.
Build a stunning app, fast.


Dan Phillips has a series of posts about the coming U.S. elections, especially concerning Obama, that just shouldn't be missed!
They can be found here, here, here and here!
Posted by Unknown at Thursday, October 30, 2008 Email post to a friend!


Yoon Kyun Sang was first offered the lead male role, but declined.
I really miss choi Daniel his acting is so amazing Definetly looking forward to this.
good drama, want to see it !!
Omg Choi Daniel is finally back on dramaland!! Yay!!
Good drama. I like the first 2 episodes, hope the rest is as good.
I like Jung Ae played by Haru's mom Kang Hye Jung who is just gorgeous.
Is it a comedian drama? I feel exciting seeing Sung Hoon appears as cameo in this show.
Mad Dog was here to investigate .
Im in love with this drama!!!
Daebakkk for the comeback oppa choi daniel!!!!
This drama is so underrated. It's really a good drama.
I dont care about the rating i just love the drama.Love to see choi daniel again he have such a good chemistry with baek jin he. Bagay sila. Nice story simple and fun. Cant wait to see the new episode. Congratulations!
Dream @18, I don't know what drama you are watching, but It's not Jugglers. The leads are absolutely adorable together. They are a lot better than Black Knight….that couple gives off an odd vibe. When they kissed, it was weird.
suitable for you who needs a break from dull routines.


text:
What Iran Needs....
.....is a timely coup or popular uprising, and the replacement of nut-job President Ahmadinejad with a military dictatorship. So says Jonah Goldberg of NRO.
Nice thought, but there's a major problem with that scenario. When Mr. Goldberg talks about "serious and sophisticated members" of the Iranian military, which one is he talking about? Since the Islamic Revolution, Tehran has maintained a dual military system, consisting of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and the "regular" armed forces. In other words, Iran has both IRGC and "regular" ground forces; two navies, and two air forces, with personnel and hardware roughly divided between these organizations.
The "regular" military, in some respects, represents continuation of the military created by the Shah. While the mullahs distrusted the Iranian armed forces, they couldn't disband them, particularly with Saddam lurking next door. Instead, they began building the IRGC, creating a military organization that was undoutedly loyal to the new regime, and capable of defending it against an internal uprising. Both regular and IRCG units fought in the long war with Iraq, where the revolutionary guards gained a reputation for fanaticism and fatalism; on several occasions, IRGC units staged "human wave" attacks against entrenched Iraqi positions, with horrific casualties.
While the IRGC and regular military are supposed to cooperate in defending the Islamic Republic, their relationship has been marked by competition, distrust, and outright hostility. There are numerous examples of IRCG air defense units firing on Air Force drones (and vice versa), because the two organizations refuse to coordinate flight activities. "Joint" training between regular and IRGC entities remains somewhat rare, and both sides maintain their own equipment, training and logistical systems. Not the most efficient--or effective--way to run a military.
Howevever, this separate-but-equal system appears to be changing. In recent years, the IRGC has slowly gained primacy among Iran's military forces. High value assets--including Tehran's ballistic missile force--are strictly under control of the revolutionary guards. The IRGC also appears to be winning the battle for funding and new systems, while conventional forces make do with worn-out, U.S. produced equipment, bought by Iran in the 1970s.
The IRGC's slow rise to preeminence also lessens the chances for a military coup. Political and religious "reliability" are critical factors in the advancement of an IRGC officer's career, and the mullahs have selected their generals carefully. Conversely, the pool of western-trained officers who remained in the military after the revolution is rapidly decreasing. Iran's theocrats have long viewed these officers with suspicion, and they were tolerated only because of their technical or management expertise. These western-influenced officers-many of whom trained in the U.S.--were long considered a source of a potential coup. However, their dwindling numbers (and influence) makes that an increasingly-remote possibility.
A military coup in Iran would be nice--almost anyone is preferable to Ahmadinejad--but you've got to be careful what you wish for. A revolt led by the IRGC (not likely, in my estimation), might lead to another radical regime; a coup among the regular forces would be preferable, but that would probably result in open warfare between the regulars and the IRGC, and the possibility of a civil war in Iran. Such a conflict that could easily boil over and engulf other nations in the region, with potentially horrific consequences.
One Step Forward, One Step Back?
The Tape Zawahiri Had to Release
In Defense of National Security
Tehran's Latest Ploy
Weighing the Risks
Putting Together a WMD Task Force
Hamas Comes Home to Roost
Iraq's WMD File
Accepting Osama's Offer
Building a Nuclear Capability
Mr. Kim's Travels
Have You Seen This, Mr. Stein?
Liberal Ignorance (and Idiocy) on Display
His Biography Says It All
Bin Laden (and Newsweek) Don't Get It
Israel Drops a Hint
This is the Way to Treat Leakers
Sponge Bob in the Dock
Let's Call a Truce
Khabab Goes Ka-Boom
Chopper Update
Along With Those "Innocent" Villagers
Anything for Money
The Tehran-Caracas Axis
Some People Never Learn
Cue the "Baretta" Theme
The SAM Threat
The Hunt for al-Zawahiri
Follow the Oil
Joe Wilson, Meet Russell Tice
The Moscow Express
A Preemptive Strike
Desperate Terrorists
A Reprieve (of Sorts) for Chaplain Klingenschmitt
We Couldn't Make This Stuff Up
Clapper out at NGA
Timmerman Gets it (Mostly) Wrong
Memo to Pat Robertson: Shut Up
Sharon's Fate
Is Sharon Dead?
Pulling the Plug on "Daniel"
A Rift in the Flock
Old News (Unless You're a European)
Nuclear Rope-a-Dope, Part III
Sorry, I Couldn't Pass This One Up...
War Plans


The title of this painting translates as 'Under Tension' or 'electrically live'. It depicts a machine or piece of scientific apparatus, with the conical and cylindrical shapes holding a long strip of metal under tension in a curved shape. Balanced on top of this, there looks to be another piece of metal with a lump of material at each end. Made in 1964, the drawing may relate to an 'action' performed by Beuys or might be a sketch for an unrealised 'action'. The artist included working machinery in his sculptures and 'actions'.


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It's time for Democrats to be the grownups voters want | Washington Post
I recently read a wonderful Op-Ed article that I thought I'd bring to your attention. It's wonderful, not in the sense of being true; it's wonderful precisely because of how un-true it is. In this case, the un-truth illustrates a typical strategy of the Establishment: to trivialize anyone who is challenging the power and privilege of the Powers-that-Be. One of those in the firing line, most recently, is Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. She has taken quite the volley of condescending fire from both the right-wing and from centrists and moderates everywhere.
The language of power and privilege is always condescending. It can take the form of de-humanization, a favorite tactic toward immigrants and people of color more generally, as I noted in yesterday's post. Another form that this takes is paternal: those who are challenging the power/privilege of the Powers-that-Be are childish, immature, silly, and certainly not intelligent enough for the rest of the adults in the room to take seriously.
The Avengers and the changing face of power, Midterms 2018
Dana Milbank has an opinion piece in The Washington Post, where he assumes the role of the wise, father-knows-best figure, in order to do what Republicans and right-wingers everywhere are doing: announce to the world that Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is (more or less) an idiot, a silly little girl. Now, Milbank is not a Republican; he's a centrist of some sort, and he's anti-Trump. (From the looks of the titles of his columns in recent years, I'd say he's pretty obsessed with Trump.) So Milbank begins his column by couching his paternalistic tone in the language of victory, i.e., the Democrats must stay united in order to beat Trump:
If they can stay unified, they will be an effective counterweight to the Trump lunacy, establishing the Democrats as the party to be entrusted with governing. But if they are split by internal divisions, they could become an easy foil for President Trump, lose suburban seats that gave them the House majority and possibly hand Trump a second term.
That's fair enough, in and of itself, because Party unity can be useful, of course; but it isn't necessarily true in every case. The Republicans have been a dysfunctional clusterfuck of a political party for about a decade now, and guess who runs Washington? It isn't Democrats.
In fact, the more divided Republicans have been the more they've been winning. Correlation is not causation, so I'm not saying that Republicans have been winning because of their divisions, but politicians like Ted Cruz and Donald Trump have built enthusiastic movements precisely by challenging the status quo and the Party leadership. All of this started with the Tea Party whose manic opposition to Obama grew into a winning political movement that eventually put Trump in the White House. This win streak has shocked the talking heads and professional pundits everywhere.
As old ideas and policies fail, people look for something new and respond positively to leaders who are willing to break with the Establishment. As counterintuitive as it may seem, having a strong opposition wing within your Party seems to have the potential for winning elections, at least that seems to be the case in the current political climate.
But back to Milbank. If Milbank were truly interested in unifying Democrats to defeat Trump, then one would expect a measure of balance and an urgency for compromise, on both sides — but Milbank is only interested in shaming progressives and anyone to the left of the Establishment.
The decision by Ocasio-Cortez and others on the far left about whether to work with or against their party will determine the fate of the new majority and of the resurgent progressive movement.
Every compromise must come from Ocasio-Cortez and the so-called "far left." "Progressives aren't solely to blame," Milbank assures us, yet at no point in his article does Milbank call on Establishment Dems to compromise or give ground. To the contrary, for Milbank the fate of our world depends on whether progressives like Ocasio-Cortez and Rashida Tlaib can compromise and tone down their rhetoric:
The country is on fire. This is the time for Democrats to be the grown-ups voters want. It's not the time for Rep. Rashida Tlaib (D-Mich.), mere hours after being sworn in, to tell a cheering crowd that "we're gonna impeach the mother——." It's not the time for Rep. Brad Sherman (D-Calif.), without waiting for the Mueller report, to announce plans to introduce articles of impeachment against Trump.
Milbank, by contrast, holds up Pelosi exemplary because Pelosi (the Democrat centrist and Party leader) talks about compromise. She goes so far as to sing the praises of George W. Bush quote Ronald Reagan with approval. Here's what Milbank says of Pelosi:
Democratic unity is what gives them the upper hand in the shutdown battle, as some Republicans openly question Trump's strategy. Democratic unity also allows them to appeal to the large majority of Americans disgusted with Trump, as Pelosi did during her acceptance speech, uttering "bipartisan" seven times, praising George H.W. Bush and approvingly quoting Ronald Reagan on immigration.
The above quote also goes to the heart of the matter: for Milbank and other centrists, the end game is getting rid of Trump. For liberals and centrists getting rid of Trump is really the only objective. For Ocasio-Cortez and a growing movement of progressives, Trump is merely a symptom of a deeper social sickness. For progressives and leftists, getting rid of Trump isn't going to address the political problems we face — and that's where their sense of urgency comes from.
Ocasio-Cortez shocked the Establishment of the Democrat Pary when she came from nowhere to defeat an incumbant Democrat, a Democrat so well-entrenched in the Party Establishment that many speculated that he would be the next Speaker of the House. Ocasio-Cortez beat him, and she did so as a political outsider and a twenty-something democratic socialist. But voters put her in office precisely because she represented something new and different. Ocasio-Cortez's constituents didn't send her to Washington to vote the Party line every time, and nervous centrists like Milbank aren't likely to change her mind or her tone.
Ocasio-Cortez certainly has a way of getting to the point with a good sound byte. Here's a good fifteen minutes interview of Ocasio-Cortez on 60 Minutes. Toward the end, Anderson Cooper asks her if she thinks Trump is a racist. Without any hesitation she says, "Yeah, yeah. No question."
Last June, after her stunning primary victory, Ocasio-Cortez told Stephen Colbert that Trump want ready for a girl from the Bronx. The more pressing question is whether the Democrat Party is ready.
This entry was posted in: Ideas & Short Essays
Tagged with: Politics, Power: Privilege and Prejudice
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Cyrtodactylus bugiamapensis is a gecko from Binh Phuoc and Lam Dong provinces, southern Vietnam.

Description
This species is distinguished from other species of the C. irregularis complex by being medium-sized, with a maximum length of ; its tail is relatively thin, longer than its body; it possesses enlarged femoral scales without any femoral pores; it lacks a preclocal groove; it counts with 36–46 longitudinal rows of ventral scales at its midbody; its dorsal pattern consists of a dark neck band, and irregular dark brown spots with bright white edges.

References

Further reading
Ziegler, Thomas, et al. "A new Cyrtodactylus (Squamata: Gekkonidae) from Phu Yen Province, southern Vietnam." Zootaxa 3686.4 (2013): 432–446.
Nguyen, Sang Ngoc, et al. "Phylogeny of the Cyrtodactylus irregularis species complex (Squamata: Gekkonidae) from Vietnam with the description of two new species." Zootaxa 3737.4 (2013): 399–414.

External links

Reptile Database

Cyrtodactylus
Endemic fauna of Vietnam
Reptiles of Vietnam
Reptiles described in 2012