text:
On the evening of July 25th, 2018, Andrya DeGhelder failed to show up for her shift at a VA hospital. Coworkers contacted a friend, who asked police to perform a wellness check on Andrya. Inside her home, police found a chaotic crime scene, which pointed to an abduction. Over the next few weeks, police would find evidence pointing to a shocking crime...
Listen to "Andrya DeGhelder" on Spreaker.
On the morning of Monday, July 30th, 2018, I was taking my dog, Rocky, for a walk.
Rocky is a decent-sized dog - he's about 85 pounds, and he's a big mutt. He's about two years old, and - I always joke, he's just as stubborn as his mother is. He likes to stop constantly during our walks, always sniffing around for something to pee on or something disgusting to roll in. Often times, when he finds something he REALLY wants to investigate, he'll square up and refuse to move an inch.
It was on this morning - an overcast, humid Georgia morning - that we walked through our neighborhood. I live in a very suburban community, set back from any major roads. There's a lot of coming-and-going in the early morning hours: lots of people leaving for work, and now, kids walking to one of the nearby schools or waiting for a bus to pick them up.
So, as I'm walking with Rocky, he stops for one of his prolonged bathroom breaks. We're on a street corner, preparing to cross, when I notice a loose sheet of paper taped to the stop sign. I had somehow missed it; subconsciously thinking it was a garage sale notification, or something like that. But it catches my eye.
People who dabble in true crime storytelling (podcasters, authors, reporters, etc.) won't tell you this, but there are certain words that catch our eye. Missing. Murdered. Vanished. Mystery. These words pop out at us.
So, on this cloudy, overcast, humid Georgia morning - as I'm walking my sweet, naive, ignorant mutt, having ingested zero coffee as of yet - I see this sheet of paper. The word "MISSING" is displayed in big, blocky letters, set up against a black backdrop.
On the sheet of paper, I see three pictures of a woman. Her name and characteristics are displayed just below:
Andrya Pauline DeGhelder
Missing From: Grovetown, GA (Columbia Co.)
Last Seen: Wed, July 25th, leaving her shift at the Charlie Norwood VA hospital
So, I take a picture of this missing persons flyer. I've lived in this neighborhood, in particular, for about a year. I've lived in the community for roughly two years now.
This is the first missing persons flyer I've seen in this neighborhood.
You hear it all the time: "this never happens here." "This is a nice community."
This truly does never happen here. This IS a nice community.
This is the area I take regular walks with my dog. This is the area where my wife goes jogging. This is the area we're hoping to start a family.
Now, I discover that a woman from the community has gone missing.
I take a picture of the flyer, and it enters my long-term memory. I think nothing of it until later that evening, when my wife and I are in our upstairs office. Our cat, Bullwinkle, is doing something really goofy, and I try to take a picture of it. As I'm about to hit the button on my phone to take a picture, I see a tiny reminder in the bottom right of the last photo I took: the missing persons poster from earlier that day.
I bring it up in conversation to my wife, telling her how creepy it is to have something like this happen so close-to-home. I often talk to her about the stories I cover on this podcast, and it's usually always in other cities, other towns... sometimes, even other states and countries.
But this happened here, in the very neighborhood we live in. As I will later learn, Andrya DeGhelder lived just a few blocks away from my wife and I. She was a recently-divorced mother of one, who had overcome adversity which reared its ugly head in the form of a debilitating illness. She had struggled through so much pain and suffering, and had begun to rebuild her life in this quaint little suburb on the outskirts of Augusta, Georgia.
This is the story of Andrya DeGhelder.
Andrya Paulina DeGarmo was born on March 23rd, 1979 - a Friday - in Peoria, Illinois. Her parents were William and Donna DeGarmo, now Donna Morrison. Her mother would remarry, but Andrya would remain close to her siblings, Amy and Logan.
Andrya grew up in Salisbury, Missouri, graduating from Salisbury High School in 1997. She then moved on to college.
A few years later, in 2000, Andrya met a young man that would have a significant impact on the rest of her life. Ryan DeGhelder was a member of the United States Navy, and the two fell in love, beginning a relationship that culminated in marriage in July of 2002.
After marrying Ryan, Andrya moved out to California, where she would spend the next handful of years. The young couple originally lived in the San Diego area for about a year or so, before moving up to Central California. There, they would move around a little bit, moving from the San Francisco Bay Area to Seaside, just north of Monterey.
Because of how difficult it can be to keep steady employment as a military spouse, Andrya struggled to maintain consistency. She had worked in the nursing field following her graduation from high school, and was able to obtain employment as a CRC and CRA; a title she would maintain for about ten years, while the couple continued to move around the state of California.
Eventually, in the mid-2000's, Andrya's husband received orders that moved them from California out to Georgia; a trek and culture shift that I have become personally familiar with. However, this stay in Georgia was short-lived, as the couple was then moved out to Hawaii just a couple of years later.
Ryan and Andrya DeGhelder lived in Honolulu, and Andrya began working for the East West Medical Research Institute as a research coordinator. She worked there from 2010 to 2011, with 2011 being the year that Andrya's life was changed forever.
At the tail end of 2010, Andrya became pregnant with what would become her first and only child, Kellan. However, when she was just five months pregnant, she would become diagnosed with aplastic anemia.
Aplastic anemia is a blood disorder where the body stops producing new blood cells. I won't pretend to be a medical expert, but this can lead to all kinds of side effects, and is a very rare disease with an undetermined cause.
The condition seemed to worsen throughout her pregnancy, but she gave birth to her son, Kellan, in March of 2011. Shortly thereafter, she started a blog, titled "Surviving Aplastic Anemia," which detailed her struggle to recover from this illness.
Just months after giving birth, Andrya had to prepare for a number of treatments, including radiation therapy and chemotherapy, which led to a need for platelet transfusions. Thankfully, she was able to find a match for bone marrow - her brother, Logan - but she would have to go through a full, nightmarish treatment plan before that surgery could take place.
Andrya moved back to Missouri to be closer to her family and her doctors, but because of her husband's military orders, he had to remain in Hawaii. He would come and visit whenever allowed - including a month-long stint as she readied for the bone marrow transplant - but had to return to their home 5,000 miles away.
The aplastic anemia eventually led to an additional diagnosis of Myalodysplastic Syndrome - better abbreviated as MDS - which complicated things somewhat. This further diagnosis carried with it a five-year survival rate of 50 - 60%, and a need for continued chemotherapy and similar treatments.
While undergoing these treatments, Andrya was - essentially - quarantined. The aplastic anemia and other conditions that developed as a result gave her a very fragile immune system, and she essentially had to live in isolation for a time being. She couldn't risk being exposed to other airborne illnesses, and that meant that contact with her husband and even her newborn son were very limited.
However, some good developed as a result of this hospitalization: Andrya's health scare had reinvigorated her interest in nursing, and she was looking beyond her limited timeline to graduate school. She began studying for her GRE, and was hoping to learn more about her illness, in the hopes of helping others like her.
On July 27th, 2011 - which just-so-happened to be Andrya and Ryan DeGhelder's nine-year wedding anniversary - Andrya received a bone marrow transplant from her brother, Logan.
The surgery went well, and what followed was a lengthy treatment program. For the next four or so months, Andrya went through a number of chemotherapy and radiation therapy programs, which brought all kinds of side effects with them: nausea, migraines, depression, sore throats, hair loss, the works. As Andrya detailed on her blog, the first month or two was absolute hell, but the following couple of months weren't that much better.
She had to stay pretty isolated, and could only spend limited time with her own son, who was still less than a year old. She was missing out on many of his first moments because of this, and had to live a vicarious relationship with both him and her husband, who was an entire continent and ocean away.
She kept up with her blog, "Surviving Aplastic Anemia," for the next six months or so, until the tide began to turn. Andrya continued her recovery from the disorder, and soon enough, the threat of any setbacks disappeared. The bone marrow transplant had gone as well as could-be, and she was now looking forward to a happy life free of at least this health issue.
In the first half of 2012, Andrya stopped contributing to her blog; at around the same time that her family was reunited, and moved to the Washington, DC area. Andrya was now living near Fort Meade with her husband, Ryan, and her infant son, Kellan.
In 2014, Andrya began attending the University of Maryland, in College Park. She began to focus in on Laboratory Science, and planned to learn more about the blood disorder that had afflicted her; she wanted to learn not only the cause of it, but how to prevent it in others.
Patricia Henke, one of Andrya's friends, described her as her "super smart sciency friend."
"She fought for the pregnancy. She fought for her life afterwards. She fights for Aplastic Anemia. I think that's what motivates her to do so much in the biochemistry, lab area."
Eventually, the small DeGhelder family moved back to the area of Augusta, Georgia; more specifically, the area of Grovetown - a small suburb on the outskirts of the Augusta metropolitan area.
Located in neighboring Columbia County, Grovetown is an area that has exploded over the last two decades, due to the growth of Fort Gordon, a military base just south of Augusta. While Augusta itself is an older town, Grovetown has become one of the young upstarts in the surrounding area. Once a little more than a dirt town, Grovetown has grown up significantly in a short period of time.
Many military members sent to Fort Gordon have been drawn to Grovetown because of its cheap housing costs, and the fact that it doesn't carry with it many of the issues that Augusta has: namely, the economic decline from decades prior, and the high crime rate.
Some point to Grovetown as a town which has been completely gentrified over the past fifteen or so years, and it's really hard to argue with them. However, a friend of mine - a native to the area - said that Grovetown wasn't much of a town before its takeover by military families, so there wasn't much to gentrify. He described it as a little more than a stopgap between Augusta and other towns to the west, so... I'll let you be the judge.
Grovetown was in the beginning of its most recent popularity surge when the DeGhelders moved back to the area.
Andrya continued her education at the nearby Augusta University, eventually obtaining a graduate degree in Clinical Laboratory Sciences. She even won the school's 2017 Excellence in Research Award for Allied Health... no easy feat.
However, as Andrya's life had shown, every step forward was another step back.
In June of 2017, after a fifteen-year-long marriage, Ryan DeGhelder filed for divorce. The divorce was finalized four months later, and Andrya found herself single for the first time in nearly two decades.
Following her divorce, Andrya DeGhelder began to rebuild her life, piece-by-piece.
She continued to live in Grovetown, moving to a small subdivision named Ivy Falls. Ivy Falls is about as suburban as it can get: many brick houses, nearby a couple of small ponds with walking trails, and it is just down the road from a couple of local schools. Some homes literally even have the white picket fence.
In the latter half of 2017, Andrya moved into a small home at 518 Great Falls, on the corners of Wichita Falls and Great Falls roads. It is a small brick home, with a one-car garage and a small, fenced backyard.
Neighbors say that she was just about as quiet a neighbor as you could hope for.
Those that live in the neighborhood say that Andrya was quiet and kept to herself, with very few exceptions. She often stayed indoors when at-home, only coming out for random spurts of yard-work. Some of her neighbors recall only seeing her as she was leaving to or coming home from work, but others would see her come out from time-to-time to visit with her ex-husband when he was dropping off or picking up their son.
These habits carried on for the last year or so, leading up to July of this year, 2018.
Andrya went on a brief vacation in the middle of July, returning on the weekend of July 21st. When exactly she returned is up for debate, but she immediately resumed working, with at least one neighbor seeing her return from work on the morning of Tuesday, July 24th.
For the past year or so - following her graduation from Augusta University - Andrya had been working as a Medical Technologist for the Charlie Norwood VA Medical Center, over in downtown Augusta. More often than not, Andrya worked overnights, between the hours of 11:00 PM to 7:00 AM. So, as people left for work, Andrya was usually returning home and preparing for bed.
On July 24th, 2018 - a Tuesday - things proceeded as usual. Andrya's son, Kellan - now seven years old - was staying with his father, and Andrya - back from vacation - decided to cover a shift for her coworker, Marsha. This shift went off without a hitch, and Andrya left work at approximately 7:00 that Wednesday morning.
She had apparently made dinner plans with a friend for later that evening, the 25th of July, but those plans had been cancelled. So it seems like Andrya had the afternoon and early evening to herself, last speaking to the friend-in-question at around 4:15 PM.
This would be Andrya's last known contact with any of her loved ones.
On the evening of Wednesday, July 25th, Andrya DeGhelder was scheduled to work at 11:00 PM, but was a no-show. This was very unusual and out-of-the-ordinary for Andrya, who was a very reliable and punctual person. At the very least, she would have called; as guaranteed by her friend and coworker Marsha Maldonado, who stated:
"When I heard that she didn't call and didn't show up to work, immediately I was concerned because she just wouldn't have done that."
Eventually, her coworkers at the Charlie Norwood VA Medical Center contacted a friend of her's, who made the effort to try and find out if something happened. Naturally, one of the fears might have been related to Andrya's prior illnesses, but this friend of Andrya's tried calling her and made a house call, to no avail.
This friend then contacted authorities, hoping that they would be able to perform a welfare check on Andrya.
It was that day - Thursday, July 26th, 2018 - that deputies with the Columbia County Sheriff's Office responded to the call of a welfare check, and entered the home of Andrya DeGhelder. There, they found a scene that raised many red flags.
The front door to Andrya's home was locked; as were the other various windows and doors leading into the house. There seemed to be no damage to any entrance point, with there being no sign of forced entry. However, in addition to her garage being closed and locked, her car was still parked in the garage; indicating that she had not gone anywhere.
However, deputies quickly discovered that Andrya was not in her home. However, a chaotic scene had been left behind, which pointed to some significant foul play.
A responding deputy found blood along the walls and floor of the kitchen, as well as more blood leading down the hallway towards the master bedroom. There, there were more traces of blood found on some items of clothing, which were lying on the floor, as well as on the bed itself.
In addition, several of the rooms inside the home seemed to be in disarray. The contents of Andrya's purse were scattered across the kitchen floor, and the home seemed to be a far cry from the way Andrya usually kept things.
It was clear that something violent had happened inside the home of Andrya DeGhelder. Now, investigators had to figure out what had happened... and who was involved.
The news of Andrya's disappearance broke on the Thursday that police responded to the wellness check, but it wasn't until the following day - Friday, July 27th - that more details were shared with the public.
Police announced that they believed Andrya DeGhelder had not just gone missing, but they publicly stated their belief that Andrya had been taken against her will.
Columbia County Sheriff's Major Steve Morris stated that, based on evidence collected - including no sign of forced entry - that investigators believed Andrya knew the person responsible.
"Based on what we discovered from the residence yesterday and today, we're confident she left unwillingly.
"We have a large group of investigators working on this case. They have conducted many interviews these past 24 hours - interviewed friends, family, coworkers, neighbors, and even persons-of-interest."
Jim Zeiler, one of Andrya's neighbors, echoed what the investigators had told him and others in the community about the case.
"From what I understand, there was no sign of breaking in as far as the house is concerned. I mean she opened her door to somebody who treated her poorly after she opened the door.
"I think it was someone who knew her personally and had a hell of [a lot of] hate in his heart for her."
That Friday - July 27th - saw the true beginning of the investigation to find Andrya DeGhelder.
Police removed boxes of potential evidence from Andrya's home throughout the day, and Andrya's vehicle was towed away from the scene for further examination.
Police had stated that they believed someone who knew Andrya was behind her suspicious disappearance, with the responsible party being a likely friend or acquaintance. A police official was even quoted as saying this was a 99% possibility. As such, they began reaching out to everyone they could find that had some connection to Andrya, including associates from work, her friends and family, and those in the neighborhood.
By far, the most intriguing clue left behind was Andrya's pink iPhone 7, which had been left in her living room. It was locked behind a pass-code, but at a simple examination, investigators could see that there were multiple notifications for unread text messages and emails, as well as several missed calls from worried friends and coworkers.
The Thursday that police entered Andrya's home and found the bloody, chaotic scene left behind, a search warrant was obtained to gain access to the phone's records and call logs; in particular, the phone records from the week prior, July 19th to July 26th. The language from the search warrant made it clear that police believed at least two crimes had been committed, including battery.
It is unknown what kind of information police were able to glean from Andrya's iPhone, but investigators did publicly state that Andrya was active on a number of dating apps and sites, including Tinder, Bumble, and Plenty of Fish. Investigators floated this information, and made it clear that they were looking into those she communicated with through those apps as potential persons-of-interest.
For many that lived in the community, this was an immediate cause-for-concern. You see, just weeks before Andrya had gone missing, a woman living in the same neighborhood as she - a single mother that lived in Ivy Falls - had met a man through Bumble. That man, 37-year old Mitchell McCracken, had expressed some odd behavior after going on a few dates with this mother, and she had obtained a protective order against her. About a week before Andrya's disappearance - on July 19th - McCracken was arrested on aggravated stalking charges, and the single mother at the heart of that story was now moving out of the area entirely.
You may be wondering why I'm telling you this, but - as someone who's been looking into this story as it unfolds - the investigative lead brought by dating apps has consumed a lot of the conversation regarding theories. In fact, when neighbors first heard about a woman going missing with a connection to a dating app, they believed it was this mother.
And, for the record, I am not accusing Mitchell McCracken - the 37-year old man accused of aggravated stalking - of having any involvement in the disappearance of Andrya DeGhelder. I just hope that this story fills you in on that aspect of the story, which has been covered extensively in the media's reporting of Andrya's disappearance.
In addition to finding Andrya's phone in her living room, investigators have remained pretty confident that they were able to obtain DNA from inside the home; DNA which, they believe, may belong to a suspect or a person-of-interest.
This DNA has been submitted to crime labs of both the Georgia and the Federal Bureaus of Investigation, but... more on that later.
Surveillance footage was also taken by authorities, from some of the houses in Andrya's neighborhood. Police have stated that they were able to get footage from at least eight cameras nearby Andrya's home, including doorbell footage from one of her neighbors, which constantly monitors outdoor movement and activity.
Following the disappearance of Andrya DeGhelder, the community she lived in was on high alarm.
As I've stated, this community is a very ho-hum, suburban area. Things are quiet, with most families moving to the area in recent years, due to some involvement with the local military base. The area, which is just down the road from the large and scenic Patriots Park, is also just a short walk away from the nearest elementary, middle, and high schools.
No matter what time you go outside - even in the early morning hours or at sunset - you're bound to see at least one person walking around, making use of the walking trails nearby the area's ponds, or working on a vehicle or doing yard-work.
Iteago Felton, one of Andrya's neighbors, told a local reporter that:
"Everybody is kind of nervous. I was at church yesterday and people who don't live in this neighborhood, people who live in Tudor Branch... they're even nervous now."
Just for reference, Tudor Branch is a housing development a couple of miles away. News of Andrya's disappearance was sending shock waves through the entire community... even there.
Felton continued, stating:
"I have a 14-year old and I see a lot of young ladies walking around. Everybody walks this neighborhood. But now, things have changed."
That was a very valid point. It's not often that I pick on social cues, but even I noticed the change in the community. The neighbors I usually saw on my morning walks were noticeably absent, and it took me a few days until I understood why.
On Sunday, July 29th - less than a week after Andrya's disappearance, a group of volunteers hung up flyers throughout the area. It was a rainy, overcast, muggy day, but these volunteers persevered through the conditions, hanging up the missing persons posters that I would eventually stumble upon the following day.
That Monday - July 30th, 2018 - saw the publication of a letter from Donna Morrison, Andrya's mother.
"To the perpetrators who have taken my daughter, this is my plea to you. To please release her or return her to us safe and sound.
"She has a young son who needs her. Our family is heartbroken that this has happened to her. We need to know why you would do this to our precious little girl.
"She fought long and hard to survive a potentially fatal condition, aplastic anemia, so that she could survive long enough to give birth to her son. She lived through all of that and went on to get her Master's Degree in biology so that she could research blood disorders like hers and help save lives.
"She is a research scientist and her life is especially valuable for this reason, if not for the fact that she is loved by her family and friends.
"Please, please return her to us. Have mercy, please."
The letter was then signed by Donna, as well as Andrya's stepfather, Welden; her brother, Logan; and her sister, Amy.
On August 1st, 2018 - a Wednesday - approximately a week after Andrya DeGhelder disappeared from her Grovetown home, a press conference was scheduled by the Columbia County Sheriff's office.
That morning, the press conference was led by Major Sharif Chochol, who stood beside over a dozen other Sheriff's officials.
It was believed that a body found behind a local shopping center was that of Andrya Pauline DeGhelder.
The Gateway Shopping Center, where the body was found, was a little under four miles away from Andrya's home. The shopping center, which is just off of Interstate 20, is a busy area, with a lot of traffic throughout the day and night. After all, the shopping center contains multiple shops, including a large Wal-Mart, which is open 24 hours a day.
The body, which police believed was Andrya DeGhelder, had been found in a recycling dumpster behind this Wal-Mart. More specifically, the dumpster was behind a neighboring pet store, where there were no cameras present. In fact, the entire area behind the stores was devoid of any cameras, making the identity of the person who dumped Andrya a total mystery.
Police announced that the body was being sent for an autopsy to determine the identity and the cause-of-death, but police felt confident enough to change the status of Andrya's case from a missing person to a homicide. And in addition to the body being sent to a nearby GBI lab for examination, the dumpster was also seized and sent off for an examination of its own.
Investigators now had a lot of evidence to work and sift through, but they remained confident that they had all of the clues needed to solve the case.
Columbia County Sheriff's Major Sharif Chochol, who led the press conference, told reporters who asked about a potential timeline for the case to be solved:
"We don't think it's a matter of if, it's a matter of when."
Major Chochol also told reporters, in an ominous statement aimed at the responsible party:
"We would encourage that person to come turn themselves in before we have to track them down."
On Thursday, August 2nd, Major Steve Morris with the Columbia County Sheriff's Office confirmed that the identity of the body was none other than Andrya Pauline DeGhelder. He also stated that she was identified via fingerprints, which police were able to obtain through a records request.
Vernon Collins, the Columbia County Coroner, conducted the autopsy of the body, and confirmed Andrya's cause-of-death as strangulation. This confirmed was investigators had theorized, but made them question the state of the crime scene at her home, which contained many traces of blood.
Collins, the coroner, also stated that - due to the decomposition of the body - that it was possible that the body of Andrya had been in that dumpster for close to a week. Perhaps she had even been left there shortly after she went missing, on July 25th.
This was hard to verify, because - as I said - the area behind the Gateway Shopping Center had no security cameras.
Just the fact that Andrya had been killed was enough to shatter the spirits of those that knew her, but the idea of her being left in a dumpster for close to a week... that was too much to bear for those that loved Andrya. This included Marsha Maldonado, her co-worker and friend, whose shift Andrya had covered on the Tuesday before her disappearance.
"That's what I keep thinking [about], that she was just discarded like a piece of trash. And I think that's just hard to imagine. You just want to hug her and take care of her and say it's okay."
Following the news that Andrya's case had turned from a missing persons story to a homicide, signs began to pop up around the community. "# Justice For Andrya" signs began to crop up throughout the neighborhood, and a plethora of the signs littered Andrya's yard.
On August 3rd, 2018 - a Friday - the family of Andrya arrived to Grovetown, and were in-attendance at a vigil in Andrya's front yard, which had been put together by other loved ones.
During the vigil, the press were allowed to come, but expressed to keep a sincere distance, and not pester grieving loved ones during the ceremony.
A poem was read by one of Andrya's friends, while another led the group in prayer just moments later. This prayer asked for healing, as well as requesting God's assistance in helping the investigators obtain justice for Andrya and a life lost too soon. This prayer also including a small mention for Andrya's neighbors, whose illusion of safety had been forcefully - and perhaps irrevocably- shattered.
At the end of this small gathering, a pair of balloons - one pink and one red - were lifted off into the evening sky.
A local church had donated a collection of candles to the vigil's organizers, and a candlielight vigil was held later that night, which brought together many more of Andrya's loved ones in solemn remembrance of her life.
About a week later, Andrya's older sister, Amy DeGarmo-Bowen, spoke to local news station WRDW News 12, stating about her beloved younger sibling:
"We need something to make us feel like her life wasn't a waste and a homicide, it's terrible.
"She was important to us, and she's leaving people behind that need those answers, need peace. Our day-to-day functioning is just a mess.
"We need justice. I mean we'll lay her to rest, yes, and we'll have a place to go and grieve, but we don't have any peace in our hearts."
Andrya Pauling DeGhelder - formerly known as Andrya Pauline DeGarmo - was laid to rest on Saturday, August 18th, 2018. She was buried in her hometown of Salisbury, Missouri, with her funeral taking place at the Salisbury Funeral Home.
She was just 39 years old.
Columbia County officials remain confident that this case will wrap up pretty quickly. They have obtained cooperation from the FBI and the GBI, and remain hopeful that the suspect will come forward in due time.
They have stated repeatedly that evidence, via DNA found at the crime scene, has been submitted to the GBI crime lab. Investigators are awaiting results from this DNA testing, remaining cautiously optimistic that the results will come in just weeks.
However, some remain more pessimistic about that likelihood.
Austin Rhodes, an Augusta-based radio host and correspondent for Metro Spirit, wrote an article detailing the inefficiencies of Georgia's crime labs. His piece, titled "Christmas May Arrive Before Crime Lab Results Are In Hand," goes on to highlight how under-funded and under-staffed Georgia's testing facilities are, with the backlog for Columbia County investigators totaling 14 cases, dating back to April of this year, 2018.
Neighboring Richmond County has 40 cases in this testing backlog, dating back to March.
Andrya's cause-of-death was determined at her initial autopsy, but more thorough testing will likely take months. The estimate by Austin Rhodes - that Christmas may come before the results from her tests arrive - isn't too outlandish of an estimate.
However, some remain more optimistic that the truth will present itself before long.
On August 21st, 2018 - just days ago, for some of you listening to this - investigators began searching the home of one of Andrya's neighbors. Local journalists staked out in the neighborhood, filming the location past 11:00 PM, while investigators sporadically carried out boxes and bags of evidence.
The home, which is directly next to Andrya's house, belongs to a 55-year old named Christopher Gibson. Gibson has been named a "person of interest" in Andrya's case, and he has a long and storied history of various crimes, including shoplifting. Most recently, he was arrested again for shoplifting in May of this year, 2018, although the location varies.
Some publications report that he was arrested at a Dollar General, and others report that he was arrested at a Wal-Mart. This would be noteworthy because there is a Dollar General just down the street, at the entrance to the Ivy Falls community both Andrya and he lived in. However, the closest Wal-Mart would be the one where Andrya's body was found at, potentially tying him to that location.
More recently, Gibson has reportedly been in legal trouble for alleged harassment and stalking of an eighteen-year-old girl that lives in the same neighborhood as him, but that is nothing more than an allegation at this point.
Christopher Gibson is currently in the Columbia County Detention Center, awaiting trial for his shoplifting charge. As of this moment, he has been labelled a "person of interest" in the disappearance of Andrya DeGhelder, but I will keep you all informed as I learn more.
Throughout every episode of this podcast, I try to keep myself out of it as much as possible. After all, this story is not about me. This pain, this sorrow, this anguish... it's not mine. It doesn't belong to me, and I don't get to claim any of it.
The story you have heard today is that of Andrya DeGhelder, a 39-year old mother, sister, daughter, colleague, neighbor, and friend to many.
The only reason I included the introduction of this episode - the long, drawn-out story of me finding her missing persons poster, that whole spiel - is because I wanted it to serve as a reminder. A reminder that these stories are real. The stories I cover on Unresolved are true tales, which revolve around real people. Despite whatever storytelling flair I may put behind certain aspects, the story you have heard is an ongoing saga of grief and tragedy, and I only ever include my perspective to make that really sink in.
I feel like, a lot of times, the true crime genre tends to forget that. I'm no exception to that critique. I try to keep that in-focus throughout the podcast, but even I lose sight of that at times.
Stories like this, though, just remind me how real all of this is. I often talk about people I've never met, and discuss places I've never been. But the story of this setting is my everyday life. It's the world I love in. Despite never meeting her, Andrya DeGhelder lived just blocks away from me. The setting of this investigation is a reminder that these stories don't happen in a vacuum... they happen every day, to people just like you and I.
I'd like that to be the note I end on, as I wrap up this season of Unresolved: that these stories are real, and there are always real-world ramifications. Yeah, it can be cool and interesting to learn about how a criminal investigation unfolded, and it can be intriguing to learn all of the gory details, but just remember... at the end of the day, there are real people at the end of this podcast, who are still hurting with the loss of Andrya DeGhelder. All of the people that knew her - that loved her - now have a gap in their lives where she once was.
Please remember that, and keep her loved ones in your thoughts.
If you know anything about this case, please contact the Columbia County Sheriff's Office. They can be reached at 706-541-2800.
I hope to have an update for this case soon, but until then, the story of Andrya Pauline DeGhelder remains unresolved.
Originally published on August 26th, 2018
Chris Zabriskie - "Oxygen Garden"
A.A. Aalto - "Balloons Rising"
Borrtex - "Hope"
Blue Dot Sessions - "Chilvittle"
ROZKOL - "Opening Credits"
Rotten Bliss - "Under the Branches"
Kai Engel - "After Midnight"
The Gateless Gate - "Limitless Blue"
Daniel James Dolby - "Longing"
ROZKOL - "On the Run"
Joao Picoito - "Palavras de Silencio"
Other original music created and composed by Ailsa Traves
Surviving Aplastic Anemia (Blog)
Augusta University - "33rd Annual Graduate Research Day"
Websleuths - "GA - Andrya Pauline DeGhelder, 39, Columbia County, 25 July 2018"
Legacy - Andrya DeGhelder Obituary
WRDW - Continued Coverage
WRDW - "I-Team Investigation: Online dating sites"
WRDW - "Friends of Andrya DeGhelder speak out after new discovery made in case"
The Augusta Chronicle - "Missing Grovetown woman was taken, police say"
The Augusta Chronicle - "Columbia County believes it has found body of missing Grovetown woman"
The Augusta Chronicle - "Body found in dumpster positively identified as missing Grovetown woman"
The Augusta Chronicle - "Vigil held for slain Grovetown woman"
The Augusta Chronicle - "Search warrants reveal what officers found in home of then-missing Grovetown woman"
The Augusta Chronicle - "Columbia County police search home of neighbor in DeGhelder case"
WJBF - "Investigators search for Grovetown woman missing under suspicious circumstances"
WJBF - "Details in DeGhelder case reveal evidence found in home, warrants for cell phone records"
WJBF - "Missing Grovetown woman's body found, cause of death detailed"
WJBF - "Funeral service for Andrya DeGhelder to be held in Salisbury, Missouri"
WJBF - "'Person of interest' named in murder investigation of Andrya DeGhelder"
WFXG - "Details of Andrya DeGhelder's disappearance and death from police reports"
WFXG - "Murdered mother, Andrya DeGhelder, laid to rest Saturday"
WFXG - "Investigators at home of Andrya DeGhelder's neighbor"
Metrospirit - "Christmas May Arrive Before Crime Lab Results Are In Hand"
Hawaii News Now - "Loved ones mourn former Hawaii woman brutally murdered in Georgia"


Patrick Mahomes was told the terrible news by Chiefs coach Andy Reid as the quarterback left the field Sunday: Paul Matthews Joseph Noteboom Color Rush Jersey , the stepfather of Mahomes' longtime girlfriend, collapsed outside Arrowhead Stadium before kickoff.Matthews, who was attending the game with Mahomes' father, was transported to a nearby hospital but did not survive.Mahomes met with the media Thursday for the first time since quickly leaving the stadium after receiving the news.鈥淚 actually didn鈥檛 know about it until after the game,鈥?Mahomes said, via Lynn Worthy of the Kansas City Star. 鈥淐oach Reid actually told me in the tunnel after the game, and it was shocking. He was a great man, and he was a great stepdad for Brittany.鈥滿ahomes, who broke the franchise鈥檚 single-season touchdown record Sunday, will remain with the team this week. Brittany Matthews returned to Texas to be with family Jamon Brown Color Rush Jersey , Mahomes said.鈥淚鈥檓 still sending my prayers to them,鈥?Mahomes said. 鈥淚鈥檒l be here during the week, and be able to see them, hopefully, on Thanksgiving break.鈥? Best Overreaction:The defense for the Los Angeles Rams was so good that all cause for concern is in the pastFirst off, you should always remain concerned about everything. We live in a crazy world and once you get complacent, well, that's when life kicks you in the painful parts. But that's besides the point, which is: DE Aaron Donald, LB Cory Littleton https://www.ramsfanstore.com/Greg-Zuerlein-Jersey , and S John Johnson III played like leaders of the defense, putting together an epic victory that felt like a "team win." Yes, Donald was a monster with his four sacks and fumble recovery, but if CB Troy Hill can make you believe a massive improvement has been made, then well, I'm a believer. Coach Wade Phillips did a fine job with the defense, shutting down the San Francisco 49ers. And for those who might bring up the fact that the Niners played like garbage, well, that's why this is an overreaction. If the D can deliver the same level of destruction on the Green Bay Packers, then I might feel more confident in my declaration that the Rams defense is elite.Worst Overreaction:The Rams didn't miss WR Cooper Kupp since they put up 39 pointsThe Rams' offense is pretty high-powered Gerald Everett Color Rush Jersey , so it's difficult to argue that a slot receiver's absence is going to make or break their efforts to make plays. However, WR Nick Williams is not Cooper Kupp and no one is expecting him to be. But the Rams' offense uses Kupp so well, especially in the middle of the field, which allows WR Brandin Cooks and WR Robert Woods to cash in on the attention that defenders need to pay to Kupp. And a lot of the great field position that the Rams got on Sunday's game was due to the excellent special teams' unit —so yes, the offense had a good day, but the stats would have been higher with Cooper Kupp on the field. Simply put: the Rams are always better with Cooper Kupp suited up and ready to play.


Which of the following quantities are to be calculated for generator bus?
A 3 layer and diameter of each strand is d, then find the total diameter of ACSR conductor?
Which of the following matrix is used for load flow studies?
A network containing 100 buses in which 10 are the voltage control buses, 5 are fixed shunt capacitor buses, 20 are the reactive power support buses, 6 are the generator buses. Find the size of the Jacobian matrix?
In a 4 bus,4×4 Y bus matrix the number of non zero elements are 12. Find the number of transmission lines?
In a 4*4 Y bus matrix the number of non zero elements are 12. Find the sparsity of the system?
Which of the following is/are advantages of N-R method?
The total number of strands in a ACSR conductor are 7, then find the layer number?
If sparsity of a 5 bus transmission line is 0.4. Find the number of transmission lines?
Find the number of strands of ACSR conductor for 3 layer transmission line?
Which of the following buses is/are not PV buses?
A network containing 50 buses in which 10 are the voltage control buses, 6 are the generator buses. Find the size of the Jacobian matrix?
A 4 bus power system consists of 4 transmission lines, then find the sparsity of Y bus matrix?
Find the number of strands of ACSR conductor for 4 layer transmission line?
Which of the following produces the radio interference in communication lines?
An ACSR conductor has internal inductance 0.05 mH/Km for µr = 1. If this ACSR is replaced with another having µr = 2, then find the internal inductance?


World Health Organization. Control of the leishmaniasis: report of a meeting of the WHO Expert Committee on the Control of Leishmaniases, Geneva, 22-26 March 2010. Geneva, Switzerland: World Health Organization; 2010.
Boelaert M, Sundar S. Leishmaniasis. In: Farrar J, Hotez P, Junghanss T, Kang G, Lalloo D, White N, eds. Manson's Tropical Diseases. 23 ed. Philadelphia: Elsevier Saunders, 2013. p. 631-51.


Central banks control the flow of money in and out of the economy and look to stimulate or mitigate economic growth when necessary. With quantitative easing, central banks create new money and use it to buy assets and securities held by the banks.
Buying up assets and securities owned by the banks is meant to boost investment in the economy in a similar way to cutting interest rates. With more money on hand, banks should be more willing to lend to entrepreneurs looking to build a new business or established conglomerates seeking to expand their operations. Those new businesses should in turn hire new workers, who spend their salaries on new mortgages, flat-screen TVs or other goods. That, in theory, kicks the economy back into the black.
Why would Canada need it?
We may have slipped into a recession, which is defined as two quarters of negative economic growth. Despite a falling loonie, Canada is still importing more than it exports. For an economy based on selling energy, goods and services to the rest of the world, that's a bad sign. The economy appears to need a shot in the arm, and some experts say quantitative easing is the right prescription.
Has it been implemented elsewhere?
Yes. It is a relatively new monetary policy tool following the 2008 financial crisis. The central banks of the United States, the United Kingdom, Japan and the European Union have all used variations of the policy.
Are there drawbacks to quantitative easing?
Oliver is not alone in dismissing it and the policy is not without its detractors. Some are concerned that funnelling money to banks doesn't necessarily lead to more lending. Others fear that when central banks begin selling off the assets they have collected, interest rates will rise and choke off whatever recovery may be underway. Quantitative easing also encourages inflation by putting more money in the system, which can be harmful to an economy recovering from recession.
Cargill opens Canada's first canola refinery in Clavet, Sask.


text:
The Grand Foundation offers annual grants, emergency grants and manages both Designated and Donor Advised Funds. If you are unsure what grant or fund you qualify for or would be best for your organization, please contact us.
Grand Foundation Annual Grant
2022 Grand Foundation Annual Grant Cycle Applications open February 15, 2022.
2022 Grant Deadline
Friday, May 1st at 12:00pm MST.
Town of Winter Park
Opportunity for Youth Fund
Town of Grand Lake
ROSH Fund
Designated Funds
East Grand Education Foundation Fund
G.A.P. Fund for Youth
Brammer Family Fund
Grand County Housing Assistance Fund
Winter Park Housing Assistance Fund
Blue Valley Ranch Youth Fund
Middle Park High School Student Philanthropy Fund (MPHS-SPF)
To date, $4.1 Million Awarded in Grants during 2020-21.
Info & Guidelines
Each year the Grand Foundation awards funds to the non-profit community thru its Annual Grants Program. This is just one of the many ways the Grand Foundation supports non-profit organizations. This year the funds awarded out reached over $267,030. We were able to award funds to over 56 non-profit organizations this year. Our goal is to raise enough funds to support all grant requests, but this year the funds available outweighed those requests. This funding cycle increased the overall giving from Grand Foundation to over $10.6 Million. This would not be possible without the support from generous donors, corporate sponsors and volunteers. Grand County is fortunate to have a community that not only understands and cares about the needs of its residents and guests, but also stands behind the Foundation's motto to Give Where You Live, Work, and Play!
2019 GF Annual Grant Application
GF Granting Guidelines
The Grand Foundation (GF) will make funding decisions during the June 2018 board meeting. Applicants will be notified as soon as granting decisions are finalized.
The GF supports organizations that enhance the quality of life in Grand County, Colorado. This includes groups that provide programs or services in the areas of arts and culture, health and human services, environment, education and amateur sports.
Applicants should be tax exempt under the provisions of section 501(c)(3) and 170 (b)(1)(A)(i.V.I.) of the Internal Revenue Code. It is helpful to also have a Charitable Solicitations Number from the State of Colorado. Other nonprofit entities demonstrating a need will be considered on a case-by-case basis.
The GF will fund specific projects and programs that have measurable results (evidence of productivity, change in number, etc.).
Operational funding requests will be considered, however, the GF is not in the practice of providing sustaining funds (multiple year commitments) to organizations.
The GF appreciates and encourages collaborative agency grant requests.
Organizations receiving funding in the past must have current progress and/or final reports on file with the GF in order to be eligible for funding during this cycle. Final reports should include photos when available.
Please do not submit a final report from years' past as part of your current grant request. 2017 grant recipients were given a final report form to be submitted on or before April 1, 2018.
Oral presentations are not required; however, the board reserves the right to request one.
The GF has one grant cycle each year. Emergency grant requests are available for an unusual circumstance or need. Please contact our office for more information.
Grand Foundation will not consider:
Late requests.
Requests for programs or projects already completed.
Refunding projects, programs or items purchased before the grant is approved or awarded.
Participating in or funding of any political campaign on behalf of any issues, organizations or candidates.
Any changes to approved grant requests without proper documentation. Grant Change Forms must be submitted to the GF for approval before any grant funds can be used for any reason other than the original purpose, as spelled out by the Memorandum of Understanding accompanying the original grant award.
If an organization receives duplicate funding for a request, the GF funds must be returned. For example if a project/program budget is $5,000 and the GF and another Foundation both award $5,000 to the same project/program, the GF funds must be returned.
Organizations who have received funding in the past must be current final reports on file with the GF in order to be eligible for funding during this cycle. 2019 Final Report forms are required to be submit on or before April 1, 2020, to be eligible to apply.
2019 GF Final Report Form
2019 Grants Awarded
Each year the Grand Foundation awards funds to the non-profit community thru its Annual Grants Program. This is just one of the many ways the Grand Foundation supports non-profit organizations. This year the funds awarded out reached over $267,030. We were able to award funds to 56 non-profit organizations this year. Our goal is to raise enough funds to support all grant requests, but this year the funds available outweighed those requests. This funding cycle increased the overall giving from Grand Foundation to over $10.1 million. This would not be possible without the support from generous donors, corporate sponsors and volunteers.
See 2019 Grants Awarded
Board of County Commissioners (BOCC) Helps primarily non-profit community organizations with fundings that provide or enhance residents access to basic primary needs in the areas of health and human services, environment and education. Learn More
Town of Winter Park Grants for organizations that enhance the quality of life in Grand County through arts and culture, health and human services, environment, education or sports. Learn More
Opportunity for Youth Fund This fund helps provide financial assistance to young people whose families' financial means do not allow them to pay for activities for which the young person has earned the right to participate. Learn More
ROSH Fund The Recreation Open Space and Housing (ROSH) Fund supports non-profit organizations that enhance the quality of life for the residents of Granby, Colorado. This includes groups that provide programs or services in the areas of environment, education and housing. Learn More
Town of Grand Lake Fund The Town of Grand Lake has requested that the Grand Foundation manage and facilitate funds for the Town of Grand Lake. These funds are to support non-profit organizations that benefit the Grand Lake Community through projects and programs. Learn More
Blue Valley Ranch Youth Fund The Blue Valley Ranch Youth Fund was established to provide financial assistance to Grand County youth for education, activities, opportunities, and more. Learn More
Brammer Family Fund The Brammer Family Fund was established to provide financial assistance to Grand County residents and their families who are affected by cancer. Learn More
East Grand Education Foundation Fund The mission of the East Grand Education Foundation Fund is to provide alternative funding for educational opportunities for students enrolled in the East Grand School District. Learn More
G.A.P. Fund for Youth The G.A.P. Fund was established to provide financial assistance with participation fees for non academic activities to full time resident Grand County youth between the ages of birth and 18 years of age. Learn More
Grand County Housing Assistance Fund The Grand County Housing Assistance Fund is in partnership with the Leadership for a Sustainable Community Committee and aims to help full-time residents successfully live and work in Grand County. Learn More
Middle Park High School Student Philanthropy Fund The Middle Park High School - Student Philanthropy Fund (MPHS-SPF) is a student run designated fund that supports organizations that enhance the quality of life in Grand County, Colorado. Learn More
Winter Park Housing Assistance Fund This fund helps provide financial assistance to help full-time residents successfully live and work in the Winter Park and Fraser Valley area. Learn More
Grand Foundation Forms
2019 Grand Foundation Online Final ReportGo to Form
Emergency Grant FormDownload
Model Release FormDownload

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


text:
CubingUSA Southern Championship 2018
Hotel Block
Southern Champion Titles
For New Competitors
Competitor Information -MUST READ-
Apr 27 - 29, 2018
Westin Galleria Houston
5060 West Alabama Houston, TX 77056
The venue will be held in the Woodway I room on the Fourth Level.
Southern Champ Organizers
Eric Zhao, Ryan Jew, and Zachary White
Ryan Jew, Seth Talbot, Shonathon Collins, and Zachary White
This competition is supported by CubingUSA as the Southern Regional Championship of 2018.
The following states are eligible for the title of Southeast Champion: New Mexico, Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Louisiana, and Mississippi.
Please go through the other tabs on the website for more information. If you have any other questions, feel free to send us an email!
Any requested changes to registration before April 21st will be honored. Your registration is not complete until your name shows up on the list. If you believe you paid and your name isn't showing up, please contact us and we will work it out.
If you have registered and are no longer able to attend, please contact us. If it is before April 12th, you are eligible for a refund for half of your fee on the condition that there is someone on the waitlist willing to take your spot. There will be no refunds issued after April 21st. Attempting to file a chargeback for the registration fee will lead to being blacklisted from future WCA events.
Dylan Miller won with an average of 8.41 seconds in the 3x3x3 Cube event. Jason Lee finished second (8.47) and Jeff Park finished third (8.73).
3x3x3 Cube Dylan Miller 6.26 8.41 United States 6.75 10.92 12.65 7.55 6.26
2x2x2 Cube Jason Lee 2.35 2.90 United States 2.35 4.58 2.58 3.49 2.62
4x4x4 Cube Kevin Hays 28.34 30.57 United States 28.34 31.13 31.93 31.75 28.84
6x6x6 Cube Kevin Hays 1:32.44 1:45.17 United States 1:38.34 2:04.74 1:32.44
3x3x3 Blindfolded Jeff Park 23.82 DNF United States DNF DNF 23.82
3x3x3 Fewest Moves Azhar Virani 46 51.00 United States 46 57 50
3x3x3 One-Handed Shonathon Collins 14.50 14.87 United States 14.52 14.50 15.32 14.77 16.33
Megaminx Dylan Miller 1:05.68 1:15.74 United States 1:19.66 1:09.30 1:05.68 1:19.40 1:18.52
Pyraminx Seth Talbot 4.23 5.03 United States 5.94 10.29 4.76 4.39 4.23
Square-1 RJ Gohn 12.12 14.04 United States 15.89 12.12 13.48 13.09 15.56
4x4x4 Blindfolded Josh Weimer 4:00.52 DNF United States DNF DNF 4:00.52
5x5x5 Blindfolded Timothy Goh 6:16.30 DNF United States DNF 6:16.30 DNF
3x3x3 Multi-Blind Timothy Goh 22/25 58:24 United States 17/17 39:48 22/25 58:24 DNS
3x3x3 With Feet Timothy Goh 52.43 55.91 United States 58.59 52.43 56.55 52.60 1:07.71
2x2x2 Cube First round Bo2 / Ao5 1:00.00 2 attempts to get < 13.00 Top 15 advance to next round
3x3x3 Blindfolded First round Bo3 10:00.00 cumulative * Top 6 advance to next round
Final Bo3 5:00.00 cumulative *
Pyraminx First round Bo2 / Ao5 1:00.00 2 attempts to get < 13.00 Top 12 advance to next round
4x4x4 Blindfolded Final Bo3 1:00:00.00 cumulative *
3x3x3 With Feet Final Bo2 / Ao5 3:00.00 2 attempts to get < 2:00.00
The Westin Galleria has been amazing in their help on finding a venue for our Regional Championships. They have also generously offered a discounted room rate of $119 for all competitors attending the event! You can book a room for it at this link!
Cutoff Time
3x3x3 Cube Average of 5 Round 1 10:00
Round 2 10:00 Top 64
Final 10:00 Top 16
2x2x2 Cube Average of 5 Round 1 0:13 1:00
Final 1:00 Top 12
6x6x6 Cube Mean of 3 Combined Final 4:00 6:00
3x3x3 Blindfolded Best of 3 Round 1 10:00 Cumulative
Final 5:00 Cumulative Top 6
3x3x3 Fewest Moves Mean of 3 Final WCA Limits 1 Hour **
3x3x3 One-Handed Average of 5 Round 1 0:35 1:00
3x3x3 With Feet Average of 5 Combined Final 2:00 3:00
Megaminx Average of 5 Combined Final 2:00 3:00
Pyraminx Average of 5 Round 1 0:13 1:00
Skewb Average of 5 Round 1 0:13 1:00
Square-1 Average of 5 Round 1 0:45 1:30
4x4x4 Blindfolded Best of 3 Final 1 Hour**
3x3x3 Multi-Blind Best of 3 Final WCA **
** See schedule page for more information on MBLD, 4BLD, 5BLD and FMC.
Cutoff- Rounds with a cutoff will have an additional best of 2 (best of 1 for 6x6 and 7x7) format where competitors will have 2 attempts to achieve a time under the cutoff. If the comeptitor does, then they will be awarded more attempts in order to compelete the average.
Cumulative Limit (C)- The total time allowed for all attempts combined.
Time Limit - Any attempt in the round exceeding this time will be awarded a DNF. For "WCA" time limits, it is dependent on the regulations for that event.
Note: This schedule is TENTATIVE. The organizers reserve the right to adjust the schdule as necessary.
6:00pm-7:00pm 3x3 Feet Combined Final 2:00 3:00
7:15pm-8:30pm Quiet Hour** 1 hour
8:30-9:30 4x4 Combined First 1:15 2:00
9:30-10:15 3x3 One-Handed Combined First 0:35 1:00
10:15-11:00 Pyraminx Combined First 0:13 1:00
11:00-11:45 Megaminx Combined Final 2:00 3:00
12:15-1:15 Lunch
2:30-3:15 Square-1 Combined Final 0:45 1:30
4:15-5:00 Skewb Combined First 0:13 1:00
5:00-5:45 Dinner
5:45-6:25 3x3 Blindfolded Combined First 10 minutes cumulative
6:25-7:45 Quiet Hour** 1 hour
9:00-11:00 3x3 Round 1 10:00
11:00-12:00 6x6 Combined Final 4:00 6:00
12:45-1:30 7x7 Combined Final 5:00 8:00
1:30-2:15 3x3 Round 2 Top 64
2:15-2:45 4x4 Final Top 12
2:45-3:05 Skewb Final Top 12
3:45-4:05 Pyraminx Final Top 12
4:05-4:30 3x3 One-Handed Final Top 12
4:50-5:10 3x3 Blindfolded Final Top 6
5:10-6:30 3x3 Final (Head to Head) Top 16
6:30 Awards
Tentative Rounds
The following rounds may happen if the organizers determine there is enough time for them. Please pay attention to announcements.
# Advancing
After Megaminx Round 1 Megaminx Round 2 Top 8
After Skewb Round 1 Square-1 Round 2 Top 8
After 6x6 Round 1 6x6 Round 2 Top 6
Before 3x3 Finals 7x7 Round 2 Top 6
Before 3x3 Finals, After 7x7 Round 2 4x4 Round 3 Top 6
** During a Quiet Hour, the competitor may choose from the following options:
1. 1 attempt of MBLD
2. 1 FMC attempt
3. 1 cumulative hour of 4BLD and 5BLD
Note: The competitor may choose a different option for each Quiet Hour.
Sponsors will be announced soon!
This is the first annual CubingUSA Southern Championship, part of a series of Regional Championships supported by CubingUSA. The goal of these competitions is to allow competitors from all over the country to compete for regional titles. The Southern region is comprised of New Mexico, Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Louisiana, and Mississippi.
While only residents of the southern states are eligible to win the title of Southern Champion, residents of any state or country are welcome to compete. This competition also serves as a Nationals qualifying competition, so your results could enable you to compete at CubingUSA Nationals 2018.
Find out more about CubingUSA and Regional Championships
This competition will take place on April 27-29, 2018, at the Westin Galleria in Houston, Texas. You may be familiar with the Westin Galleria from the 4 previous WCA competitions held at this venue, including the Southern Championships last year.
As this is the Southern Championship, we will be recognizing Southern Champions for each event. We will recognize as the Southern Champion the top finisher from one of these states:
We ask that competitors expecting to have a chance at a Southern Champion title bring proof of residence (current driver's license or school ID, etc.)
More information regarding eligibility can be found here.
For those of you new to cubing, WELCOME!
We wanted to let you know this event is perfectly fine for cubers of any age and experience. We just ask you know a couple things before coming to compete...
First, please be familiar with the WCA Regulations, found here:
https://www.worldcubeassociation.org/regulations/
Of course, those regulations contain a lot of legalese, so we have a video made specifically for new cubers, just to show them the basics of competing. This video will explain most of what any cuber competing for the first time will need to know.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dPL3eV-A0ww&t=2s
If you have any questions after this video, we will be having a new competitor tutorial, Saturday morning of the competition. That would be the perfect time to ask those questions and clear up any confusion.
If you are stoked to compete and ready to sign up, head over to the registration tab, click register, and fill out the information it asks for. This will help you get set up the WCA's system and one step closer to your first official solve!
Q: Do I use my own cube to compete?
A: YES! You are responsible for your own hardware in order to compete, however, we will have a vendor at this competition, from which you can buy puzzles if your current ones have seen better days.
Q: What is the normal age of competitors at these events?
A: All ages are welcome, but in general competitors are between 10 and 20 years old. Don't let this stop you though, everyone can and should cube!
Q: What is the competition like?
A; Competitions are a bunch of tables where nerds like us get to sit and discuss our favorite thing, Cubes! Of course in addition there is competing, which will occupy one side of the competition hall, where you will see lots of timers flickering with contestants new personal bests, and a vendor, where you can purchase all you cubing related needs. Most competitions have a break for lunch, and the competing is split up into heats, as to better organize who competes when. (Check the Groups tab and listen at the competition for more info on this.)
Q: How do I find results?
A: All results are posted on the WCA page a couple of days after the competition finishes. However, for the day of competing, go to Cubecomps.com to find information about current events. This is also where you will find information about 2nd and 3rd rounds of events.
Q: Why am I not on the registration list yet?
A: Make sure you pay you entrance fee in order to be automatically placed on the registered list, which will also guarantee you a spot in the competition. If payment may be any issue, or you are not sure if you can attend, use the contact button to talk to us, and see if we can work out another payment strategy, or have you pay on arrival at the compeition. No matter what you situation may be however, please register online. It is much easier for us to have you register now and pay later, then to have to input information at another time.
Q: Are there age divisions?
A: Nope! All cometitors compete in the same group.
Q: Can I have fun at this event?
A: HECK YES! Cubing is amazing, and we sincerely hope you enjoy the competition!
http://cubecomps.com/
ALL COMPETITORS MUST READ THIS TAB BEFORE REGISTERING.
If you are a first time competitor, please read this section carefully. If you are a returning competitor, please skip to the next section.
NEWCOMERS:
There are multiple things a first-timer must know before competing. All newcomers must be familiar with the WCA Regulations before competing. Please read the other tab specifically for new competitors.
In addition, please read this document before coming to the competition. Huge thanks to Olivér Perge and Niki Placskó for the document!
ALL COMPETITORS:
Please read this section carefully. We will have a change in organization for this competition modeled off of Hungarian competitions in Europe. When you arrive, you will receive a lanyard with personalized information detailing your events and what group you will be competing in for each event. In addition, you will also have staff assignments on your lanyard. Every competitor is expected to help out this competition. The card will look somewhat like the following:
* S - scrambling
* R - running
* J - judging
Please note that everyone is expected to help only during the events they are registered for, and everyone need only help for one group per event. If you do not arrive to help during your scheduled event, and there are not enough staff members, we reserve the right to disqualify you from competing.


text:
Home > Journals > Arrow > current > IJAP > Vol. 3 (2014) > Iss. 1
Unravelling the Myth of Effective Teaching in Mathematics
Mark Prendergast, Technological University DublinFollow
John O'Donoghue, University of Limerick
Effective teaching is the backbone of any successful education system with many arguing that it is the single biggest contributor to student success. However despite such importance, significant differences in teacher effectiveness are still evident in Irish classrooms at all levels of education. This research investigates the influence that individual teachers can have on students' enjoyment of mathematics at second level and attempts to unravel the myth of effective teaching. The research started out as a followon study that further analysed data collected by the authors when they designed a pedagogical framework with the aim of promoting student interest in algebra through effective teaching of the domain. This paper focuses entirely upon the quantitative results of the evaluation of that study with regard to whether there are differences in the enjoyment scores of students' in different classes as a result of their individual teachers. The paper also looks to unravel the myth of effective teaching through a series of focus group interviews and a detailed literature review.
Prendergast, Mark and O'Donoghue, John (2014) "Unravelling the Myth of Effective Teaching in Mathematics," Irish Journal of Academic Practice: Vol. 3: Iss. 1, Article 8.
doi:10.21427/D7WX43
Available at: https://arrow.tudublin.ie/ijap/vol3/iss1/8
10.21427/D7WX43
Notes for Contributors
IMPACT Special Issue
Polytechnic Summit 2021 Special Issue
All Issues Vol. 10, Iss. 2 Vol. 10, Iss. 1 Vol. 9, Iss. 2 Vol. 9, Iss. 1 Vol. 8, Iss. 1 Vol. 7, Iss. 1 Vol. 6, Iss. 1 Vol. 5, Iss. 1 Vol. 4, Iss. 1 Vol. 3, Iss. 1 Vol. 2, Iss. 1 Vol. 1, Iss. 1
doi: 10.21427/D7QP44


The free version of Flip HTML 5 Platinum Free Download delivers users with simple features, allowing users to change a PDF file to a page flipping book; however there resolve be a FlipHTML5 watermark on the published eBook. In accumulation, access to the advanced structures like Page Editor to add video and audio is forbidden.
Yes, you can choose Platinum or Enterprise Plan. By selecting Platinum, your books can be accessed and managed by 3 altered accounts.
There is a FLIPHTML5 logo on the book created by the free version. To remove the logo, you need to purchase one of the Premium versions. After you purchase any of the paid plans, login with your account and you can publish flipbook without FLIPHTML5 logo.
Yes, you can, but not for Free version. Login as premium user and you can change the logo in "Custom Settings" tab.
Yes, you can. With the exception of free templates, Premium users can choose the Pro templates. Further, Platinum and Enterprise users can even use Online Templates.
Start FlipHTML5, create a new account and log in.
Create a new project and import source PDF file (Office and images only for Premium versions).
Choose a template and a theme and design the book with several settings.
Publish to local (Premium versions only) or Upload to FlipHTML5 Online Facility.
Q: Do you offer a secured reader login for readers to interface with stored publications?
Yes, you are able to set privacy for the stored publications anytime. Only you need to enter the authorization ID (Email suggested) in the privacy setting window. And first authorized readers have access to your publications on FlipHTML5 Cloud.


We heard your concerns and in November 2016, we formed the Regional, Rural and Remote Communications Coalition (RRRCC) with the goal of making 2017 the year to improve connectivity in the bush. In the past year, we have certainly made significant headway to achieve #BetterBushComms.
We attended more than 90 meetings with Federal MPs.
The good news is the RRRCC is now considered to be the go to authority on bush telecommunications issues by government and major telecommunications providers.
The RRRCC has grown from the 14 organisations, to now include 21 members representing agriculture, health, education, women, community and consumers.
It is significant that so many organisations have operated with a single voice over the past year and there is no sign of letting up. This is for good reason – there is still much work to be done!
The intention of the RRRCC was never to complain about the state of telecommunications. Considering the issues, this would have been easy to do.
If you ask any member of the RRRCC why they joined, they would say it was because they wanted the chance to access the significant economic and social benefits of connectivity.
And the economic benefits are significant. A recent report from the Precision to Decision project estimated that unrestrained connectivity could bring an extra $20 billion value to agriculture alone, with a flow on benefit of $24 billion to gross domestic product. This of course does not take into account the added value of other sectors such as health and education.
Next year is shaping up to be just as pivotal as 2017, with the much anticipated plan for Universal Service Obligation reform, another Regional Telecommunications Review and the Department of Communications' Consumer Safeguards Review. The RRRCC will also continue its efforts advocating for the continuation of the Mobile Black Spot Program and the passing of the Telecommunications Reform Package.
Regardless of all these processes there is something more fundamental at the heart of the RRRCC – the need to raise awareness and shine a light on these issues. Next time a decision-maker develops a policy that relies on internet connectivity or mobile coverage, we hope that through our efforts they stop and consider that these may not be available to everyone, even though they should be.
It is time for change. With current services, some of the simplest applications such as internet banking or online tutorials are not possible for rural and regional Australians.
With improved services, rural and regional Australians could do so much more. This proportion of the community punches well above its weight in terms of its economic contribution to the country. Imagine the possibilities that improved connectivity would bring.
If you're interested in helping the cause, get in touch with your local MP and tell them you want better telecommunications services in rural and regional areas.
You can learn more about the RRRCC's policy objectives on the ACCAN website.
*Fiona Simson is a Liverpool Plains farmer and the President of the National Farmers' Federation.


Unless otherwise indicated below, 98.5 KYGO's general contest rules apply to 98.5 KYGO's contests. For the specific terms and conditions applicable to a particular 98.5 KYGO's contest, please see below. You can also view 98.5 KYGO's General Contest Rules.
Contest Rules: Click here for Tickets for Teachers Official Contest Rules.


Sophia cespuglio, bush Talks About Hilarie burton On Twitter. . Wallpaper and background images in the One albero collina club tagged: one tree hill brooke peyton breyton oth.
One albero collina - Chuck,Chase and Alex Scene 8.20 "Naughty,Naughty"


text:
Book Review|April 01 2014
Health Care Reform and American Politics: What Everyone Needs to Know
a New Era in U.s. Health Care: Critical Next Steps Under the Affordable Care Act
Simone M. Cummings
Simone M. Cummings is associate professor of health care administration in the George Herbert Walker School of Business at Webster University. She holds a PhD in health policy and management from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. Her research interests include health care finance and health care reform.
Simone M. Cummings; Health Care Reform and American Politics: What Everyone Needs to Know
a New Era in U.s. Health Care: Critical Next Steps Under the Affordable Care Act. J Health Polit Policy Law 1 April 2014; 39 (2): 491–497. doi: https://doi.org/10.1215/03616878-2416378
The Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (ACA) of 2010 will likely generate a library shelf of books and doctoral dissertations over the next decade. Two of the early books are featured in this review. Both are expansions of earlier books written just before or after passage of the law. In the first, Lawrence R. Jacobs and Theda Skocpol have written a book that is a "must-have" reference for anyone interested in understanding the process and factors associated with the development and passage of the ACA, as well as the tangled aftermath of this legislation. In this book they explain how the law, the likes of which has not been seen in the United States since the enactment of Medicare in 1965, was made possible.
The book follows a timeline that begins with the run-up to the 2008 presidential election and moves...
Copyright © 2014 by Duke University Press
Relative Affordability of Health Insurance Premiums Under CHIP Expansion Programs and the ACA
Counting Trans* Patients: A Community Health Center Case Study
Is the Rectum a Mirror? Queer Palindromes in John Greyson's Fig Trees and Miranda July's Me and You and Everyone We Know
We All Want It, but We Don't Know What It Is: Toward a Standard of Affordability for Health Insurance Premiums
Cristal for Everyone
Sports for Everyone
"Everyone Knows What Is Going to Happen"
Against Everyone (The Hussite Revolution)
skocpol


This book provides a range of sky-faring vessels, creatures that can fly and feats and magic items suitable for airborne use.
Publisher's blurb: "Monsters, Magic, & Sky Ships is the third volume in the Aerial Adventure Guide series. It introduces a wide array of new crunchy bits for your aerial campaign, including 11 new monsters, several dozen new magic items, and stats for new kinds of sky ships: autogyros, sky fortresses, zeppelins, villageships, and more."


text:
Protectionism and industry policy
By Des Moore - posted Monday, 26 September 2011 Sign Up for free e-mail updates!
The decision by steel companies BlueScope and One Steel to lay-off about 1,400 workers (there are about 90,000 employed in the steel industry) has sparked strong reactions, mainly from trade unions and Labor's left wing seeking increased protection against direct foreign competition. Industry leaders have also complained that their steel is experiencing unfair, indirect competition arising from preference being given to foreign steel in tenders for large Australian infrastructure investment/resource projects.
There are also complaints that China is violating the obligations it undertook when, with US support, it joined the World Trade Organisation. It is important to note that late last year, after China had become a member, the US invoked for the first time a special safeguard provision in the agreement to support China's WTO membership, by imposing a tariff of up to 35 per cent on car and light–truck tyres. This was not because of alleged dumping, but rather on the ground that its domestic producers had suffered "market disruption."
Prime Minister Gillard has responded by asserting that "we want to be a nation that produces steel," but has so far resisted increasing tariffs or establishing a formal inquiry. However, she has agreed to bring forward $100 million of the $300 million budgetary assistance from "compensation" already planned under the carbon tax arrangements, to discuss at next month's tax forum options for tax reform, that would support industry "decisions to change."
Gillard has also appointed former Queensland Premier Peter Beattie (at $1000 a day) supposedly to, in some unrevealed way, assist steel manufacturers obtain access to big resource projects. The advance "compensation" is effectively a protectionist measure (and a costly one at that) and is consistent with the commitment made in 2008 to provide the car manufacturing industry with $6.5 billion assistance over 13 years, while at same time reducing the tariff from 10 to 5 per cent.
Transport Minister Albanese has also adopted a protectionist approach in his assistance to the now miniscule Australian shipping industry (22 ships), by exempting it from the Fair Work regulatory legislation and from paying any tax. Albanese made the absurd claim that the changes are designed to make Australia a shipping nation - that is, it is a "picking winners" approach but one that has next to no hope of succeeding. Another example of protectionist influences was the Rudd Government's rejection of the recommendations by the Productivity Commission to allow the purchase of cheaper books from overseas.
On the other side, while expressing support for the role of free markets, Opposition Leader Tony Abbott called for a debate on the steel industry and his Shadow Industry Minister Mirabella and Energy and Resources Minister Macfarlane then announced an in-depth review of "Industries for Australia's Future." While this announcement ruled out tariffs and mandatory quotas for local content and made no mention of any examination of labour market regulation, separately Abbott claimed the Coalition will have "a strong and effective workplace relations policy." It is clearly undesirable to imply that some protectionist move might be supported by the Opposition or even contemplated by an Abbott government.
Whichever side of politics considers supporting protectionist measures, they must first take account of the downward trend in protectionism that started in the early 1970s under the Whitlam government and has since continued. Between 1970-71 and 2009-10 the effective rate of assistance (from tariffs and other means) to our manufacturing industry was reduced from 35 per cent to 4.4 per cent and to agriculture from 28 to 4.7 per cent.
This reflects recognition of the now widely accepted view in Australia that, regardless of what other countries are doing to protect their industries, it is in our interests to have resources invested in the industries that are not protected and which are thus intrinsically the most efficient. In short, while an international level playing field is not obtainable, Australia should have its own internal one. This almost certainly resulted in a higher rate of economic growth since the 1970s than would otherwise have occurred had the high protection levels been retained.
The main immediate cause of the current increase in foreign competitive problems in steel, and the manufacturing industry more generally, is not higher wage or price inflation in Australia but the upward movement in Australia's exchange rate. On a trade weighted basis the Australian dollar has appreciated in real terms and is now close to a new post-float (1983) high and about 20 per cent higher than it was five years ago. This constitutes a major loss of international competitiveness for import competing industries.
It largely reflects, of course, the continuing strong growth in exports of iron ore and coal and the expansion in the mining industry generally, as well as the deterioration in economic conditions in the US and Europe. The refusal of the Chinese Government to allow its large current account surplus to be more than marginally reflected in the Renminbi, (which has appreciated by only about 10 per cent on a TWI basis over the same period), has contributed to the strengthening of the Australian dollar and to competitive pressures for industries such as steel.
There is, however, nothing that can realistically be done by the Australian government or the Reserve Bank to prevent the appreciation of the Australian dollar. In theory an attempt could be made to stop or limit commodity exports and investment in the mining industry, but that would reduce GDP growth. It would clearly be contrary to the national interest unless it was absolutely clear that the high demand for our exports would peter out in the near future. In that event, a policy of "temporary" assistance to manufacturers might conceivably be justified.
Some have also suggested intervention by the Reserve Bank to push the Australian dollar down, but that has rightly been rejected by Governor Stevens. For domestic policy reasons the Chinese are of course able to maintain the Renminbi at too high an exchange rate, even though the resultant external surpluses adds to domestic money supply - which can be offset by action in the domestic market. And the Swiss central bank has recently started an interventionist policy. However, it is very doubtful if Australia has the financial resources to continually hold the Australian dollar at a level below the market, even if that were judged to be desirable. The Reserve Bank has in the past conducted interventionist policies when it judged the market grossly out of line, but such interventions have been for limited periods only.
Des Moore is Director, Institute for Private Enterprise and a former Deputy Secretary, Treasury. He authored Schooling Victorians, 1992, Institute of Public Affairs as part of the Project Victoria series which contributed to the educational and other reforms instituted by the Kennett Government. The views are his own.
» Terrorism - Obama statement seriously deficient - May 27, 2013
» The increasing threat from Islam - February 26, 2013
» Garnaut abandons professionalism for politics - June 6, 2011
» Climate of discontent - April 21, 2011
» Garnaut's Updates – even more political - February 7, 2011
All articles by Des Moore


text:
Q: Caching/Reusing/Responding to identical concurrent requests in a framework like Koa andI'm trying to work on a caching solution for inflight requests to Koa,
Let's say that i have 100 seperate users hitting the same endpoint concurrently, but the endpoint takes ~4-5 seconds to return a response.
For example:
GET http://mykoa.application.com/getresults
In my router middleware is it possible to cache all of the concurrent inbound requests and then once the response has been generated return the same result to all of them? Potentially something similar to the example below?
const inflight = {};

router.use(async function(ctx, next) {

    // Create a cache 'key'
    const hash = `${ctx.request.url}-${ctx.state.user?.data?.id}-${JSON.stringify(ctx.request.body)}`;

    // Check if there is already a request inflight
    if (inflight[hash]) {
      // If there is then wait for the promise resolution
      return await inflight[hash];
    }

    // Cache the request resolution for any other identical requests
    inflight[hash] = next();

    await inflight[hash];

    // Clean it up so that the next request will be fresh
     inflight[hash].then(function(res) {
        delete inflight[hash];
    }, function(err) {
        delete inflight[hash];
     })

})

In my head this should work, and the expectation would be that all 100 concurrent requests would resolve at the same time (after the first one has resolved) however in my tests each request is still being run separately and taking 4-5 seconds each in sequence.

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaStackExchange


text:
Q: Did I underestimate the limit proof? This is the problem:

Prove that if $a_n \le b_n$ for $n \ge 1, L = \lim_{n \to \infty} a_n$
and $M = \lim_{n \to \infty} b_n$, then $L \le M$

EDIT: Progress

Proof
Assume $L >M$ and $a_n \leq b_n$, then
(1) $|a_n -L| < \epsilon$ when n > $N_1$
(2) $|b_n-M| < \epsilon$ when n > $N_2$
Expanding (1) and (2) gives
$L - \epsilon < a_n < \epsilon + L$ and $M - \epsilon < b_n < \epsilon + M$
Since $a_n \leq b_n$, we have $L-\epsilon<a_n\leq b_n <\epsilon+M \implies L - \epsilon < \epsilon +M \implies L < M + 2\epsilon$

OKay I am stuck now, but I feel I am getting close
EDIT: alternate proof from text

Proof
Let $\lim_{n\to\infty}b_n -a_n=M -L$. Therefore for any $\epsilon > 0$, $\exists N:$
$|b_n - a_n - (M - L)| <\epsilon$ whenever $n > N$
Take $\epsilon = L - M$ and we get $|b_n - a_n - (M - L)| <L -M$ whenever $n > N$ and since $a \leq |a|$, we have $b_n - a_n - (M - L) < L -M \iff a_n >b_n$, but this contradicts the assumption and therefore $L > M$ must be false

A: Suppose $L>M$. Let $\epsilon=\frac{L-M}{2}>0$. Then there are positive integers $A$ and $B$ such that $$L-\epsilon<a_n<L+\epsilon$$ for all $n>A$ and $$M-\epsilon<b_n<M+\epsilon$$ for all $n>B$. It follows that $$a_n>L-\epsilon=M+\epsilon>b_n$$ for all $n>A+B$, a contradiction.

A: Use these facts.  If $x_n\to L$ then for any open interval $I$ containing $L$, $x_n\in I$ for all but finitely many $n$.  You can structure an argument from this fact. Give it a whirl.


This paper tries to explore the employment of quantitative approach in political researches focusing on international relations (IR) or international politics. A debate emerged in the90s on whether IR or the field of international politics should be driven by quantitative(positivistic) approach at the expense of qualitative (interpretivist) approach. The debate then expanded to explicitly argue for an increased use of formal methods that are mathematically-based to study IR phenomena. It triggered then a quick reaction fromhardcore IR specialists who warned against mathematizing IR for fear of turning the field into a mechanical field that crunches numbers. Such a fear is further substantiated by theobservation that many quantitative works in IR have moved farther away from developing theory to testing hypotheses. Some scholars have even suggested that it is epistemologicallyrealism vs. instrumentalism; something that is unsurprising given the dominance of realism inIR for many years. This paper does not suggest that heavy emphasis on qualitative approach leads to a inferior research output. However, it does suggest an transformative incapability among IR scholars to accommodate to contemporary global changes. The big-data analyticshave affected the intellectual community of late with the influx of data. These data are bothqualitative and quantitative. Nonetheless, analyzing them requires one to be familiar with quantitative methods lest one risks not being able to offer a research outcome that is not only sound in its argumentation but also robust in its analytical logic. Furthermore, with so much data on the social media, it is almost unthinkable for meaningful interpretation tobe made without even the simplest descriptive statistical methods. The key findings revealthat in ensuring its relevance, international political researches have to start adapting to the contemporary changes by building new capability apart from upscaling existing capacity.
Aronow, P., & Samii, C. (2016). Does Regression Produce Representative Estimates of Causal Effects? American Journal of Political Science, 60(1), 250-267.
Bas, M. (2012). Democratic Inefficiency? Regime Type and SuboptimalChoices in International Politics. The Journal of Conflict Resolution,56(5), 799-824.
Battigalli, P. (1997). On rationalizability in extensive games. Journal of Economic Theory, 74, 40-61.
Bellany, I. (1999). Modelling War. Journal of Peace Research, 36(6), 729-739.
Bennett, P. (1991). Modelling Complex Conflicts: Formalism orExpertise? Review of International Studies, 17(4), 349-364.
A Case Study in China's Party-Based Diplomacy. China Review, 17(1), 53-82.
Buchler, J. (2009). Teaching Quantitative Methodology to the Math Averse. PS: Political Science and Politics, 42(3), 527-530.
De Mesquita, B. B. (2010). The Predictioneer's Game. New York: Random House Trade Paperbacks.
Deutsch, K. W. (1966). Arms Control and the Atlantic Alliance. New York: Wiley.
Carr, E. H. (1946). The Twenty Years' Crisis 1919 – 1939: An Introduction to the Study of International Relations. London: Macmillan & Co. Ltd.
Fearon, J. (1995). Rationalist Explanations for War. International Organization, 49(3), 379-414.
Fischer, A. R. H., Tobi, H. & Ronteltap, A. (2011). When natural met social: a review of collaboration between the natural and social sciences.Interdisciplinary Science Review 36(4), 341-358.
Gilpin, R. (1981). War and Change in World Politics. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Gowa, J., & Mansfield, E. (1993). Power Politics and International Trade.The American Political Science Review, 87(2), 408-420.
Hammond, P. (2007). Schumpeterian Innovation in Modelling Decicions, Games, and Economic Behavior. History of Economic Ideas, 15(1), 179-195.
Hoff, P., & Ward, M. (2004). Modeling Dependencies in International Relations Networks. Political Analysis, 12(2), 160-175.
Kim, J., & Ramirez, P. (2014). Regionalism and Rice Trade in Southeast and Northeast Asia: Making Liberalization Work. Journal of International and Area Studies, 21(2), 83-98.
King, G., & Zeng, L. (2001). Logistic Regression in Rare Events Data.Political Analysis, 9(2), 137-163.
Korab-Karpowicz, W.J. (2017). Tractatus Politico-Philosophicus: New Directions for the Development of Humankind. New York: Routledge. Kreps, D. M., & Wilson, R. (1982). Sequential equilibria. Econometrica 50, 863-894.
Krippendorff, E. (1987). The Dominance of American Approaches in International Relations. Journal of International Studies, 16(2), 207-214.
Kristóf, T. (2006). Is it possible to make scientific forecasts in social sciences? Futures 38, 561-574.
Mares, D. (1988). Middle Powers under Regional Hegemony: To Challenge or Acquiesce in Hegemonic Enforcement. International Studies Quarterly, 32(4), 453-471.
Mearsheimer, J. J. (1994). The False Promise of International Institutions.International Security, 19(3), 5-49.
Miller, J. G. (1978). Living Systems. United States of America: McGraw- Hill.
Moorthy, R., & Benny, G. (2012). Is an "ASEAN Community" Achievable?Asian Survey, 52(6), 1043-1066.
Moul, W. (1982). Coloring by Numbers: Comments on a Quantitative Study of Quantitative Studies of International Politics. Review of International Studies, 8(2), 129-133.
Nicholson, M. (1989). Formal Theories in International Relations. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Onwuegbuzie, A. J. & Leech, N. L. (2005). Taking the "Q" out of research:teaching research methodology courses without the divide between quantitative and qualitative paradigms. Qual. Quant. 39(3), 267-296.
Perea, A. (2010). Backward Induction versus Forward Induction Reasoning. Games, 1, 168-188.
Putnam, R. (1988). Diplomacy and Domestic Politics: The Logic of Two- Level Games. International Organization, 42, 427-460.
Rathbun, B. (2012). Politics and Paradigm Preferences: The Implicit Ideology of International Relations Scholars. International Studies Quarterly, 56(3), 607-622.
Richardson, L. (1960). Arms and Insecurity. Pittsburgh, Pa.: Boxwood Press.
Schweller, R. (1997). New Realist Research on Alliances: Refining, NotRefuting, Waltz's Balancing Proposition. The American Political Science Review, 91(4), 927-930.
Sovacool, B., & Vivoda, V. (2012). A Comparison of Chinese, Indian, and Japanese Perceptions of Energy Security. Asian Survey, 52(5), 949-969.
Tadelis, S. (2013). Game Theory: An Introduction. New Jersey: Princeton University Press.
Correlates of War Findings. World Politics, 40(1), 108-145. Wayman, F. W. & Diehl, P. F. (1994). Recontructing Realpolitik. Ann Arbor: The University of Michigan Press.
Wendt, A. (2015). Quantum Mind and Social Science. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.


The slat conveyor (PFCS) primary use is for transporting both bales and broke paper to a pulper with minimal paper waste. The slats are mounted on chains, forming a base to prevent the broke paper from falling through. This conveyor can also transport single bales weighing up to 333 kg to a pulper.
The pulper feed conveyor (PFCC) is a cost-efficient solution for transporting single bales to a pulper. The chain conveyor operates at an incline of 17° and its spike roller chains are configured as 2 or 3 strands, depending on the load and the bale quality.


Now you can gain special access and be compensated referring your friends to us!
Receive referral fees and commission for each person you send our way.
Our production is limited to what we can grow on less than 50 acers of vineyards, for this reason our wine is allocated to members and partners first.
Please provide us with the following information to get started. Once we receive your information our partner program manager will walk you through our on-line system and explain the various programs that you can participate in.


text:
Programme /EventsPaid EventsA Night at The Musicals
A Night at The Musicals
starring Lucie Jones, supported by Stephen Rolley, Lee Gilbert & "The Festival Choir"
Date: Sunday 12th May 2019
Venue: Parish Hall
We are delighted to welcome one of Wales most popular female musical performers to the Festival. Lucie grew up in Pentyrch and performed with many local groups before hitting our TV screens in 2009 in the 6th series of X Factor. It was on that show that not only did she find fame, but also her Husband to be, Ethan, who was a fellow contestant. Lucie has accomplished so much in her short career to date. Lucie has just finished touring the UK as Elle Woods in Legally Blonde, The Musical.
In January 2017, Lucie won the public vote on BBC2 show Eurovision- You Decide with her original song, 'Never Give Up On You'. She competed at the Eurovision World Final in Ukraine in May.
Stephen grew up in Dinas Powys and attended St Cyres, before achieving a Performing Arts Diploma at Italia Conti, London. As well as some TV work, including "Come Dine with Me" , Stephen has appeared in Pantomime alongside Julian Clary in the Mayflower Southampton, as well as a number of Musicals and national tours where he has played lead roles in Hair, Rock of Ages, 20th Century Boy and Dreamboats and Petticoats. Currently,
Stephen is enjoying his 3rd consecutive year playing and covering all lead "Elder" roles in "The Book of Mormon" at the Prince of Wales Theatre, Leicester Square, London.
Lee makes a welcome return to the festival, after performing at last years successful Dinner. Lee was born in the Rhondda Valley, South Wales into a musical family. His first leading theatrical role was that of Frederick in The Pirates of Penzance. This was a new departure musically and one Lee thoroughly enjoyed. From there he went on to play various and challenging roles in productions including: "Fiddler on the Roof", "Follies", "Sweeney Todd" and "The King and I". His leading roles include Judas – Jesus Christ Superstar; Tony – West Side Story; and Darryl Van Horne in the Welsh premiere of The Witches of Eastwick. He toured nationally, creating the role of Will Hay in the original production of Michael Bogdanov's Amazing Grace written by Mal Pope, for the Wales Theatre Company. He has performed in live concerts across the country. The highlight so far being a concert version of West Side Story, playing Tony, fronting the Robert Mandell Melachrino String Orchestra and full Philharmonic choir.
Only Men Aloud
Dinner with "Diana Ross"
Dinas Powys Ecumenical 7 and Forget-Me-Not Choir


Just wanted to drop a line to say how happy we were with the work of Bradley Axford and Jack Bates from the Rocklea depot. They worked so hard to get our house move done with a crazy timeframe, they never stopped and were always cheerful and patient. Bradley is worth a special mention – a true asset to your company, very professional and also training Jack as he went as only 2 days on the job. (1064476).


The work Concerto VI : fur Flote, Streichorchester und Cembalo (Klavier) : opus X, Nr. 6 represents a distinct intellectual or artistic creation found in Multnomah County Library. This resource is a combination of several types including: Work, Language Material, Notated Music, Music.
Concertos,, no.6;, p.10 | arr.