text:
By Prokofy Neva,
December 9, 2021 in General Discussion Forum
Prokofy Neva
So usually this topic incites some people to come on who aren't even in business to say something to the effect that "I'm just here to have fun" or "isn't capitalism terrible, land barons are exploiters and tier is too damn high" -- or another aria, actually from the same opera, which is, "Why, my business is doing fine, there must be something wrong with you." These reactions you can summarize as "No Business" or "No Business But My Business." So those people say what they always say, but there are many more who understand the economy is in trouble, and wonder if/how/when it can be fixed, and how it got this way.
Gatchapocalypse
And the answer is, in short, after you blame COVID -- which was supposed to help the Internet and virtual worlds? -- the gatcha ban 9/1/21 which had a reverberating effect all across the economy -- and continues to have one. It's not about whether or not a given merchant made or didn't make or sell gatchas; it's about the resale economy, and the hordes of people who bought and resold them, and thus believed -- or actually had -- disposable funds to buy more stuff, not-gatcha. So there was the predictable response there, with some wildly applauding the Linden decision (which was not prompted by any real-world action by any law enforcement that one would actually point to in the US, as distinct from a "climate" that was supposedly going to be imported from Japan, etc. Others were silenced when the forums amen corner grew completely shrill and nasty and would acknowledge privately that either they liked gatchas because they provided them with cheap and constantly variable content -- or else helped them wrest a living from this virtual boat on the sea of the Internet.
So fast forward to Christmas, and here we all are, and I'll tell you what my indicators are for when I see the economy is in trouble, and you can dispute them, or tell me yours, or gloat, or do what you're going to do. This topic can be almost impossible for some people to accept or admit -- because their Linden overlords don't admit it. At the very same Linden office hour where the search "facelift" was announced (which later drew tremendous criticisms on the forums), a resident complained that his sales were down, even though Halloween was approaching. And a Linden said basically, I'm sorry you are having that experience, but our indicators show the economy is doing well.
Whereupon I always wonder not "what is this Linden smoking" but "what are his indicators that can cause him to say a thing like that." I'm going to assume that he doesn't mean "Linden Lab's economy," which is a separate entity that may or may not be linked to inworld economic concerns; the Lindens can keep selling more premium accounts and Bellisserian houses; they can keep selling more islands; they can tax content on the Marketplace and the LindEx, and all manner of things seem well -- but many people in the *inworld* economy could be hurting. That is, maybe makers of add-ons for Bellisserian homes, or makers of sailboats, or makers of mesh heads aren't hurting -- but others are.
And even I can say, "Oh, I'm run off my feet this time of year with move-ins." There are a lot of people going to snow, or getting second little places, or larger places so they can go all out decorating, and that's fine, but even so, I think business is down for a lot of us, and here's why:
Smaller Rentals and No Bots for Liquidation
o Churn -- there may be more rentals, but they don't last, or people move around, or they move into Bellisseria and then back out, some using their tier then to contribute to the group. Overall, I think the rentals are trending smaller, so I make smaller ones. If all the largest ones are filled up, my instinct is not to make or buy more large parcels because it's an incredible risk -- I am still recovering from taking that risk last year for a customer who reneged.
o Long-time tier contributors or regular tenants disappear -- it's odd when someone goes to the trouble to put tier in the group, set up a home and store, socialize, check in often -- suddenly to disappear. That means they got COVID, or care for people who have COVID, or lost their job, or whatever. Rarely it's about some happy event in RL that took them deeper into RL happiness like a marriage or a new, better job, but surely that must happen, too.
o People ask more for discounts or specials or forbearances, even though I give a lot of them already, so I have to say "no," as LL doesn't give us a discount beyond the standard 10% group bonus and lower tiers above one sim. This magical "bulk discount" that people often reference is elusive, at least for me at my level, which sure isn't "bulk."
o Certain prime waterfronts that stay continually rented don't rent as quickly.
o Regulars who rent for long periods or move around a lot are still in SL but leaving their rentals, and not for Bellisseria. They are just homeless and not logging in.
o Land put to sale even at low prices just never sells - even $3/m for mature waterfront or $1/m for roadside. I'm not in the land selling business, but I occasionally sell land that doesn't rent, or land on sims that have gone south. I noticed that bots NEVER come. I could put a parcel that is adequate but not prime waterfront at 0.2/m -- no bots will come. Then certain notorious land barons might come *in person* at 0.1/m just to stay at the top of the list.
So those are my own anecdotal experiences but let me cite the anecdotal points I see more broadly:
Land Abandons, Price Dumping, Barons Out of Business
o Land barons who used to extort you to buy a small parcel by your land -- especially if you already bought a cheap one from them -- are offering it for a normal price. Not even first extorting, then lowering, but starting off with "normal".
o On the other hand, there are more frantic land cutting waves and dumping of land at 0.2/m with attempts at sales, and then abandonments, and even disappearance of the alts that made these attempts.
o Of course there are certain failures by some land barons who have disappeared, whether due to RL illness/death or SL land market tanking, not clear. But they're gone, and their alts struggle. Everything that has happened to certain themed communities isn't just because of their owners' questionable practices, or failure to compete with Bellisseria, but because of the overall climate of consumer reticence. Of course certain Linden polices or lack of enforcement of rules don't help.
o The price of land is always important to follow to try to understand the economy, and it, too, was affected by gatcha sales -- and some of the people who were in gatcha re-sales have also been in the land business and they have folded one or the other or both. If you see Blake Sea land for $75/m or your neighbour is putting their insignificant rocky waterfront in G at some fantastic sum "hoping someone will click and buy", don't let that obscure for you what else is happening, which is reduction of even prime waterfront prices.
o Auctions go without bids, or they are won for $1/m -- entire sims are bought, and dumped, and re-auctioned again by the Lindens within months. I have seen a number of these. Someone could argue it's not a trend, but we are in a black box with no history, unless someone tries to keep it manually -- you can't see past auctions beyond a certain date, you can't see who won the bid unless you race inworld and catch it, and it may be flipped among alts and barons a number of times before it is sold -- or abandoned again. Even so, for some I have watched, that's what I have noticed.
If you are saying "oh, that's good if those !#@@#$ land barons are out of business,: think again. They are there to tier your view until you are ready to buy it; they are there to buy your land in the middle of the night when you dump it as tier approaches. They perform a service, and a hard one, even though the moral level of quite a few of them is low and their practices sharp.
Bellisseria
o Bellisseria is supposed to be the green, growing tip of SL. Is it? I see hundreds of houses put out and not yet rented, the Lindens didn't release them into the system. I abandon a house, and it's still there a week or more later, even though it was a pretty good location. The recent tsunami of protest over the new style reveal at the Christmas Expo was really surprising, and a key sign of stress of both residents and Lindens, whichc is a major signal of economic disruption, in my view. In part it's just the "rising tide of expectations" and the tendency of all game players to burn through their game gods' content.
But usually the Bellisserians are the "aggressively obedient majority" of the forums, anyway, which isn't saying much, as forums represent 2-10% of the user base here and in many other venues. There's a lot of unhappiness that isn't just about the kind of moulding on the stairways. Residents accusing Lindens of "not being present" and Lindens apologizing because they have so much to do -- that doesn't track for me, because the Lindens are more present than ever. An explicit statement that the forums aren't the only place for Lindens to get feedback is also telling. I think Belli has succeeded because a core group of people got multiple homes -- and I'm one of them, with 7 -- but there are people with 50. And they naturally get tired of the sameness and are in the "I feel stupid and contagious/here we are now/entertain us" mode of so much of modern life -- and now literally, with COVID and everyone forced on the Internet more.
o We have to assume there are "more premiums" and Bellisseria is growing -- because it's growing on the map. But is it, really? We don't know as the figures are not posted. And why would the BBB have to be encouraged and become hybrid with Moles/Lindens with a program even of ambassadors to the Mainland to get people to buy premium and move into Bellisseria -- if everything is so great? It's one of the oddest things I've seen in SL, really. I hope the Lindens pragmatically measure the click-throughs. I think they will be negligible.
Creators and Merchant Events
o Creators began announcing their Black Friday sales WAY ahead of actual Black Friday; they had not just 25% off but 50% and even 60%; they kept hammering on their lists past Cyber Monday and Giving Tuesday and are STILL going -- and here it is Advent already. I have never seen so many "Black Friday" sales in my virtual life, and very far from America's shores.
o The lack of advent calendars from some merchants, and the absent or late announcements of their "giving trees" are signs of economic distress for some.
o There are more 30-60L sales on the weekend than ever before, and it's become totally insane. Many remark that it is impossible to get anyone to buy anything for a "normal" price any more. Gatchas and their low prices and numerous plays displayed regular stores and the MP; that engendered all the weekend sales to complete; even with the end of gatchas there is still a proliferation of weekend sales -- and any day sales, for any reason.
o You can now easily TP into the main sim of most major events -- they put on cam sims they don't even use. it seems some events really don't need them beyond a day, and not even that, and can't justify them, but get them just to "hold up the honour of the uniform."
o A strange thing I've noticed lately when I can't find something and try to get a manager -- all the 6 or even 10 managers are showing offline in the group. Maybe they hide themselves but they also don't answer IMs. Nor do the merchants. It's like they have given up.
o If you were here last fall complaining that people created gatchas to force sales because their stuff wasn't good enough, you never actually looked at the amazing content that people *did* create in this form. And go on creating -- but can't sell. I personally have completely stopped going to some of the sales and buy less because I can't justify the expenditures.
o Halloween is the real "Black Friday" -- and I'm not sure how it did. I think not so well for too many people.
o Part of the general problem of virtual worlds is that while content becomes obsolete, you also, as an individual user, don't see the need for new content and can put out last year's Christmas decorations because they are still serviceable. Put out some from five years ago and nobody will have remembered them; add gatcha rares that are in retirement and really wow your fans lol. But you really don't need any more Christmas stuff, do you?
o I was hoping plazas and malls would make a comeback -- more people would want to sell gatchas or anything to make a living (i.e. to have money to buy more clothes and accessories). It seem some people started malls that didn't have them before and I persist with mine that stay fairly full. But if I pull out the list of all the Ravenglass merchants featured in Christmas mailings of 10 years ago, 5 years ago, and today, there are far less, and I have closed some malls, because the Marketplace and events replaced them. But I also see some events that died and never came back.
o We no long have those wonderful charts and graphs that showed how much people spent inworld, from $1L at the lowest and widest end; $5000L (US $20) for the "middle class" and then a tiny number who spend the equivalent of hundreds of US dollars. So what can you do? You can watch "what people are buying" on the Marketplace. I have taken hundreds of snapshots and while I don't have the time or inclination to try to make formulas and crunch numbers, it seems clear that the usual amount is $250-500. Not more. Yes, there are those $2000 mesh heads or $3000 landscaping fatpacks that the forums regs claim they regularly buy. Most people spend way under $1000 per item. Go and look.
Breedables
o Are breedables still strong as an economic sector? I think so, but I really don't know. I started rentals just for breedables at a low cost and they filled up because some people have A LOT of horses or cats. But I personally put some of my cats back into inventory or sent them to the Menagerie. I think some people changed to breedables after gatchas died, fearing no new content, even with all the Miepons (where you now exchange time for money, waiting for the one you want to appear) -- but it's not like I see a lot of people with breedables -- they are still mainly in the "flyover sims," the inner parts of sims with no roads which aren't where the cool kids are. I never see pets in Bellisseria -- but that's because the limit is I believe 2 of the cats anyway, and I had my 3rd and 4th returned once because I didn't realize that was a rule. Bellisseria isn't good for the rentals sector or ultimately the breedables sector -- some avid horse riders say they don't have good riding paths. I ride my Dire Wolf and Golden Stag all over the place in Belli, overland and underwater so I don't feel that, but I guess it is a thing. Do they make up for it in vehicles? Maybe not when so many free ones are available.
For me, even before the Lindens banned gatchas, original art works on single copy replaced rare gatchas. I like them more, they are more interesting, and I mainly don't even re-sell them, I put them in rentals. There is a LOT of art gallery activity. Most prices are likely too low for the work involved -- $200-$500. Some savvy artists who work in RL as artists as well put them to $1000-$3000 but that's still of course a bargain. The return of the artist Filthy Fluno, who was so beloved in the earlier days of SL, with a new art show, a long with others who have been away and have revived their interest has meant new life in this sector. But I also see ghost galleries, and people who have dropped out after a return and a resurge of activity. I personally will never buy a bitcoin; I will pay Lindens for art works that I can see in the 3D virtual world.
o It has long been possible to cash out at $240 if you wait at least a few days or even a week; now it has $90 or $100 million stacked up at $240 and you may not sell your Lindens in time for tier payments in a few days. I usually try to instantly put Lindens to sale at the very best realistic price so that I can at least save a little bit, given that the cashout fee is now higher. But then I have to undo the orders. I suppose a lot of merchants are cashing out their "Black Friday" sales. Or maybe people want to buy in RL and need the cash in a hurry. The Lindens artificially control the LindEx of course, and they may or may not adjust this in time. There is this pervasive forums' belief that it is "always stable" but anyone who spends any time on it realizes that is not at all the case. I saw it drop in value after the gatcha ban and stay low; it climbed up again likely because -- again -- it is artificially controlled to "appear stable".
There are other areas one could discuss -- from cars and weapons to live music -- and try to make an assessment but I don't follow those areas so much.
Will Christmas sales pull the economy up? I don't think so. Have people deserted SL for other Metaverses? I don't see that at all, although I do know some people who left for Upland and Sinespace, and Open Sim has enough activity to have an annual conference.
What is to be done? Well, job number one is to fix search, and fix the dreadful "facelift". Search per se has been broken for a year and if the Lindens are serious about fixing the economy, they need to enable people to find things in it. Search is intimately tied to sales, and the economy, obviously. Recently several tenants IM'd me as if they had read my forums posts, which of course they hadn't done (most people don't bother with the forums) and said they had a hella time finding my rentals. Yes, they aren't on Firestorm, where search is much better.
There are all kinds of things merchants do to keep their customers engaged and all of them are seriously burnt out doing all those sales, activities, socializing events, etc. etc. If there are any that still do all this after all these years, hold them close and buy their stuff.
Prokofy Neva 15 posts
Jules Catlyn 6 posts
Coffee Pancake 5 posts
Silent Mistwalker 4 posts
Lucia Nightfire
Seriously, who has the time to read all that? 🥱😴💤🛌
ValKalAstra
In the spirit of offering a different perspective: I'm a relatively new player here and in the year I've been here, I think I've transferred about two hundred us dollars into various purchases. My pur
ChinRey
But how many are interested in your product specifically and how many are spending any L$ at all on stuff apart from the mesh body that seems to be mandatory these days? After this week's update
Vick Forcella
Land is a poor metric to gage the economy. The amount of owned land is a better metric. There is land owned by people that have abandoned Second Life. So I can't trust land as an indication for the economy.
We can't see how sales are doing but how many cars can you own and enjoy? There is an end to luxury. Clothes sales is a good indication for the economy. It shows new users and shows an increase in trust in the platform, and higher age of the user. Otoh, how many mesh bodies does one need?
The gotcha ban has no significant value. It's sales but in a slightly different form.
Good metrics are new sign-ups and daily concurrency.
Second Life has done better and is slowly going down.
I hope it finds a new hype. 2007 again!
Jules Catlyn
I cannot say much about the land business because i am not active in it. So i will not make any statements about that.
I am active in the vehicle business. I never did gachas because i detest them. I think they are predatory. My business was not affected much by the ban on them, at least not that i can see in my figures.
What i mentioned before and Prok mentioned as well, is that reduced price events are having a big effect on my sales. People are being spoiled by getting high ticket goods at price under 100L$. I think this is also effecting the big events because people will rather wait for the event release to pop up in a low price sale a few months later. They don't need the latest and greatest anymore, they will just wait and get it at a bargain price. I occasionally participate in these sales but not with my big event releases. I have special products for them that weren't expensive in the first place and they sell like hot cakes. But you have to sell a lot of them to make a decent income.
I did not participate in Halloween. I dislike the holiday. Therefor i cant say much about sales results there. I did do a Black Friday sale. From Thursday until Monday. As usual, this was a big success. Sales figures comparable to last years.
When i had to do a relog last night, i saw there were roughly 45000 people online, that is not bad either. The customer base is there, a creator just has to be really active and hands-on to tap into it. You have to be active on social media, your ads need to look great, you have to be in events for "exposure"". More than ever people buy the brand and the product comes second.
Overall, my income is doing well and increasing. I have been working hard for the last 1.5 years to reposition my brand and it is paying off. It just isn't like 2008-2010 anymore, where quality was the deciding factor in whether you did well or not. Nowadays, it is your brand image.
In conclusion: It is very much possible to have a healthy business in SL, but you have to really be involved in it and follow the times.
Daughter of the Devil
Edited December 9, 2021 by Lucia Nightfire
1 hour ago, Vick Forcella said:
New sign-ups are completely unreliable as any metric, even of the Lindens' own economy. Because of the attrition! 9 out of 10 bail. If this is slightly improved -- and don't know that it is - it's meaningless if they don't last, and of course newbies rarely spend money.
Of course land is a metric, both as to price and amount. The number of people who are going to pay ahead for a year or even three months for land and not use it really is small. My rentals or anybody's rentals are a microcosm. It's rare someone will pay ahead 3 months -- period -- or if they do, not use the rental. Of course there are exceptions. I do have people like this. I will never forget the tenant who pays ahead many months, and seldom logs in. I contacted her and let her know she could refund and would always be welcome back. She said she wanted to keep the rental, it was her one respite. "I'm a COVID nurse -- how sad is that?" she said. And unlike many people who falsely brag of a relationship to the medical world or feature themselves in their scrubs on their profile, I knew she was telling me the truth -- as she did not have to tell me, and it was not on her profile.
But by and large, people pay and use the rentals and you see their green dots. OF COURSE you can trust land as a metric because the prices dropping lets you know that a) the Lindens are dumping large amounts of abandoned land into the economy and depreciating land -- barons feel they must bid for it to keep prices up, then they sell it for $1/m - often having purchased it at auction for 0.5/m as the only bidder; b) there is less demand, even for prime land. People can't afford it or won't spend it. It's a very important indicator to watch, in fact. If certain barons stop extorting; if even Blake seems to be dropping; if prime waterfront can be had for $7/m like the very old days, that is a very soft market that means both a land glut and lack of demand.
The Lindens calibrate the LindEx carefully -- they monitor it, they have brakes on it; they have limits; and they keep it stable with buys or sells from Supply/Demand Linden. Not so with land. I'd be willing to bet real money they don't concern themselves with whether or not their churning through abandoned land affects the market -- it improves THEIR market and gets it off their warehouse shelves so they do it. Another odd sign -- a Linden set a fairly large chunk of abandoned land to a resident's name who had not in fact asked for it, merely because it was adjacent. That was strange, and the resident himself thought so. Things like that feel to me like the ice caps melting and confused wildebeasts going off their age-old migration paths.
I don't see how you could possibly say the ban has "no significant value". Of course it does. It ended the huge flood of gatcha sales and re-sales. Miepon sales and resales are much slower. Fatpacks at $1500 or $3000 don't sell in any large quantities. People may have spent more than that pulling! They won't spend it on a no-transfer fatpack.
Daily concurrency? Sure, that's a standard metric for the gaming and virtual world industry. But those people don't spend money necessarily. That's why concurrency is meaningless unless we also have the old chart showing how much spent inworld at different levels of $1, $25, etc.
Edited December 9, 2021 by Prokofy Neva
Land prices as a metric has become totally unreliable ever since the standard price has dropped below 1L$/m2. Land barons can only survive with bulk and cheats.
A resident has a life cycle. Noob (free) => clothes. Fresh (land ownership) => house and decorations. Old (explorer)=> vehicles.
The gatcha pokes (poked) in between these classifications. Doesn't mean much. Unless the economy has sunken so low that it makes a dent in the economy. I hope we haven't got to that stage.
We (still) need new residents that stay.
JUSTUS Palianta
I read all of that, this topic is important to SL business people, thanks for bringing it up.
One thing about those weekend sale events is you have to pay a lot of money to participate in some of them so you would want to sell a high volume of product. Perhaps it is a loss leader item to get people in your store and shopping. People think they are getting a cheap L$60 thing but the store owner is paying thousands every week. Its a great business for the event owner. People send me event invite notecards all the time that start with please pay L$5000 to participate.
Edited December 9, 2021 by JUSTUS Palianta
I find the discussion of the weekend (and other) sales interesting.
Is it possible that the free-wheeling economic model in SL is increasingly forcing those who cannot really compete (because of size, scale, etc.) into practices that are essentially suicidal?
The sales aren't lucrative -- except for the really big merchants, and the event organizers -- but you have to participate, even if you're cutting your own throat, or perish?
Arielle Popstar
10 minutes ago, Scylla Rhiadra said:
I find it interesting too from the perspective that my own purchases have at least tripled in total L$ spent since I started weekend sale shopping. I can drop 75L$ per item without a second thought whereas costlier items (250 L$+) would sit on my favourites or wishlist until the feeling of wanting the item went away. Some creators have benefitted from being on those weekend sales just because now I am visiting their stores and seeing what else they have instead of only going to those stores that have cheaper products. Maybe I am not the norm but if there are others like me, than it would seem to me that overall, those who are in those sales are benefitting from the greater exposure, even if they are not making as much per unit of the sale item.
3 minutes ago, Arielle Popstar said:
In general, my own experience matches yours, in the sense that I'll quite mindlessly drop large amounts over the weekend, whereas I'll ruminate endlessly over a single L$300 purchase. And there is absolutely NO question that I've discovered stores, and spent money, on non-sale items because of the weekend sales. I think it must be of enormous value in terms of brand recognition?
I'm wondering, though, on the basis of Prok's comments, whether it isn't hurting some smaller brands who aren't doing the volume of sales to adequately compensate for the price cut? And if you AREN'T in the sales, are you being hurt precisely because you're losing profile?
Lag fighter
The most telling would be if Linden Lab stopped publishing stats about resident earnings. That would be a sure sign things weren't going nearly as well as they want us to believe.
Edited December 9, 2021 by ChinRey
8 hours ago, Jules Catlyn said:
When i had to do a relog last night, i saw there were roughly 45000 people online, that is not bad either.
But how many are interested in your product specifically and how many are spending any L$ at all on stuff apart from the mesh body that seems to be mandatory these days?
After this week's update that broke the viewers used ny most bots and few human users, we can be fairly sure there are at least 20,000 bots at any given time. That alone is almost half of the agents online.
1 hour ago, ChinRey said:
Marketing these days is all about creating a demand. People make products and then whole campaigns are launched so people feel they just need to have that product. It sounds harsh but these days, demand isnt natural or out of necessity, it is carefully groomed by brands. Tesla is a good example (hate that brand). They carefully constructed their marketing and are now a "have-to-have" brand for a lot of people.
2 hours ago, Scylla Rhiadra said:
That is what is happening. If you do not participate, people will start to skip your brand and if you do participate you are basically loosing money. I follow groupchats for some major brands and people blatantly ask for promos and when certain items will be on sale. It is a downward spiral.
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Exactly .. For example a couple of years back i used to spend about 250-300US$ every month for Skill gaming, shopping and such (not counting. 2 homesteads and 1 full region for business), this year i spend about 30US$ and that was it. The market always changes and so do our habits..
When all you release that is new is at an event and not three months later it's on a weekend sale don't expect to be selling as much at full price ever again. Also, when you update a product for a new body release, sell a rehashed version on a weekend sale and never update your customers who paid full price for that fatpack so long ago, you're hurting yourself. I think a better way is to sell the updated mesh for that new body at a reduced rate so those people who already have that fatpack hud don't feel ripped off.
steeljane42
TL;DR mostly. But based on some comments after that wall of text - land is a poor metric indeed. I have known people for years who just have no desire or need in any land even if they can easily afford it. Some of them leave thousands of L$ on events and other kinds of sales. Something like a 60L$/week skybox or a "real small home" on a 1024sqm parcel is really nothing compared to a few fatpack worth of clothes. But they prefer to just wander around, shop, roleplay and whatever else. And I know some of them even have a premium for all those extra group slots and easier time to get onto the events on the first day, they didn't even claim their free Linden Homes and have zero desire to decorate anything aside of their own avatars.
For sales, especially weekend ones, it's more complicated. Some merchants actually don't do any or do barely any sales at all, and they do just fine. Some have lots of cheap sales and based on what a few creators I know personally told me - unless a product stands out then its sales lifespan is very short, after that it barely sells at the normal prices, in-world and MP. MP seems to be better for selling the old stuff at full prices, though. Probably because it's mostly used by people who don't like or don't even know about all those major shopping and weekend sales/events.
In that case "cashing out" by dumping it onto one of big weekend sales seems like good deal to me. Or do a rehash of an old release with a new body sizes, like mentioned above. For big names Blueberry and Addams do exactly that and re-release older stuff with new sizes and sometimes extra textures on those weekend events. Based on the fact that when it happens it's difficult to teleport to their mainstores for a while - it does work pretty well.
Stephanie Misfit
Tasmanian
12 hours ago, Jules Catlyn said:
Sometimes stores are selling things in the 60 and 75L sales only weeks after release. I now know not to buy from those stores at full price anymore, so I think they are really shooting themselves in the foot with that business practice. Unless of course, sales are so bad upon original release that it is justified, who knows. But I certainly feel ripped off when I buy something at full price only to see it selling for 60 lindens 3 weeks later.
14 hours ago, Prokofy Neva said:
I don't even bother looking at all the weekend sales now, there are just too many, they really have taken over. We have regular merchants competing with the weekend sales and then the weekend sales competing with each other. I go through a couple of sales and I am done, it takes up enough time and money doing that. And I spend so much on fashion / furniture at those couple of sales that it is hard to justify any full price purchases for the rest of the week so I for one am less inclined to buy full price now. It's not that I expect things to be priced under 100L, I just know I can wait till the weekend and get a lot of things at that price.
I have also noticed how easy it is to get into the big events now. Granted, I am premium, but if I have to use cam sims it is only ever on the first day. Makes me wonder how people's sales are going, and if every seller can justify the sometimes steep entry costs.
7 minutes ago, Stephanie Misfit said:
Sometimes.. costs.
All of what you say is true and all of it substantiates my theory. We are damned if we do and damned if we don't.
Silent Mistwalker
reached for the stars, got bit by ants
How do you know when the inworld economy is hurting? When a certain person stops ranting about their complaint du jour.
Since that will never happen, I think we're good.
Edited December 10, 2021 by Silent Mistwalker
animats
Here's what bothers me.
For Rent boxes, out to the horizon. Eastern Zindra.
We have a major landlord buying up property and raising the price. Nobody rents or buys it, and it remains vacant. A sizable fraction of Zindra is now tied up this way. I'm seeing those boxes on other continents now.
There's something going on here. But what?
Edited December 10, 2021 by animats
Profaitchikenz Haiku
Types like a Butterfly, Thinks like a Bee
21 minutes ago, animats said:
Speculato, ergo sum
1 hour ago, animats said:
Chic Aeon
Windlight(R) Queen
I thought it quite interesting that much of the "old guard" big name stores that were around in the beginning returned to this round of Shop and Hop. It made Shop and Hop better certainly and that was great, but it also says something about sales and profits across a wider metric.
I pretty much stopped creating after Tilia so I am not a good measurement but I still have lots of popular items on the Marketplace. I can say that my current income is about a fifth of what it was before Tilia (not blaming that all on TIlia -- just a timeline thing).
I personally don't know any creators that say they are doing well and tons who are wondering what to do in the future. So it certainly seems like things are pretty bad out there for all the reasons already mentioned here.
Personally I am giving up on the weekend sales as there is just too much of the same thing (often EXACTLY the same product again and again). Now I purchase items that are creative and different and show some care in their making. This is mostly to "reward" the creators who are still putting in the energy and thought for their brand's products.
2 hours ago, animats said:
Bill Gates buying virtual land instead of farmland now!


text:
Q: Execute stored procedure by using batch file I wanna pass two parameters and execute stored procedure by using batch file.
If possible, I need something like below:
Please enter Param1:
Please enter Param2:
I have codes as below in my batch but is not working.
@ECHO OFF
SET /P Param1=Enter the Param1:
SET /P Param2=Enter the Param2:
ECHO sqlcmd -E -Q "USE localdb\SQLSERVER2014 -d DemoDatabase;EXEC sp_MasterConsolidateJob @param1=N'%Param1%', @Param2=N'%Param2%'"
SET Param1=
SET Param2=

pause

Thank you very much.

A: there is syntax issue in your provided code. We dont specify instance name. Run this, it should work :
@ECHO OFF
SET /P Param1=Enter the Param1:
SET /P Param2=Enter the Param2:
sqlcmd -E -Q " -d DemoDatabase;EXEC sp_MasterConsolidateJob $(Param1), $(Param2)"
SET Param1=
SET Param2=

pause

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaStackExchange


text:
The Russian Museum of Ethnography (Российский этнографический музей) is a museum in St. Petersburg that houses a collection of about 500,000 items relating to the ethnography, or cultural anthropology, of peoples of the former Russian Empire and the Soviet Union.

The museum was set up in 1902 as the ethnographic department of the Russian Museum. It is housed in a purpose-built Neoclassical building erected between 1902 and 1913 to Vasily Svinyin's design in the proximity of the Mikhailovsky Palace (which accommodates the art collection of the Russian Museum). It occupies the place of the eastern service wing, the stables and the laundry of the palace.

The museum's first exhibits were the gifts received by the Russian Tsars from peoples of Imperial Russia. These were supplemented by regular expeditions to various parts of the Russian Empire which began in 1901. Further exhibits were purchased by Nicholas II of Russia and other members of his family (as state financing was not enough to purchase new exhibits). A collection of Buddhist religious objects was acquired for the museum by Prince Esper Ukhtomsky. Prince Tenishev, a wealthy industrialist, donated to the museum the archives of his private ethnographic bureau that had been documenting the life of Russian peasants since the 19th century.

The collection was not officially opened to the general public until 1923 and was not detached from the Russian Museum until 1934. When the Museum of the Peoples of the USSR in Moscow (successor to the Dashkov Museum) was shut down in 1948, its collections were transferred to the Ethnographic Museum in Leningrad. This museum should not be confused with the much older Museum of Anthropology and Ethnography, popularly known as the Kunstkamera.

References

External links

Ethnographic museums in Saint Petersburg
Museums established in 1902
Neoclassical architecture in Russia
Russian Museum
Cultural heritage monuments of federal significance in Saint Petersburg

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaWikipedia


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text:
The start of the Zilker Relays. Photo from the Zilker Relays Facebook page.
The Interval is especially long this week, so keep scrolling…
Before I get to the local news, I should thank Andy Bitner for writing The Interval last week. I really enjoyed Catherine Barrera's article. Now that I'm back from vacation, Andy is once again able to spend all his free time sculpting:
Zilker Relays
The start of the fall road racing season in Austin is always the Zilker Relays. This year nearly 300 teams competed on the 4×2.5 mile course around the great lawn at Zilker. The weather was unusually nice for this race, clear and dry, so the runners who have been doing speed work over the summer had no excuses.
The open division men's and women's races were fast, with the top men's team averaging 5:01 pace and the top women's team at 6:21 pace. RunLab (Will Nation, Mark Pinales, JT Sullivan, and Adam Waldum) won the men's race, followed by The Loop and Tumagu 1. The women's race was won by The Loop (Jennifer Angles, Pam Hess, Sarah Madebach, Hannah Steffan), with Moonshine and Hauling Assets also placing.
Will Nation from the RunLab team sent along his race report:
The Zilker Relays is one of the events I look forward to the most every year… What really makes it unique to me is that you get to see almost all the local running groups come together and compete for the top team in town. It also showcases just how great the running scene is here in Austin.
This was my third year running Zilker Relays, all of which with the RunLab Elite team, and I have to say this was the best one yet! The weather was much cooler than it has been in years past, and I really liked that they used chip timing for this year's race. And perhaps my favorite part, as per usual, were the post-race beer and tacos!
A big hats off to everyone who helped put together the event this year. I'm already looking forward to the 2018 edition!
The winning women's team and the second place men's team (David Fuentes, Erik Stanley, Bryan Morton, Logan Sloan) were both sponsored by The Loop, a running apparel store that will open this fall near the Seaholm development. Pam Hess, co-founder of The Loop, was part of the winning women's team and she answered a couple questions by email:
Armadillo Running: The 2 teams from The Loop did so well, tell us about running your leg and watching your teammates.
Pam Hess: So proud of both teams! I personally didn't do exactly what I wanted to – that morning I drove to Dallas and back so my legs were pretty stiff going into it. With that said, whether your legs are fresh or tired, racing is great practice no matter what and the fact that Zilker Relays is so fun is a huge bonus. The women went out there and crushed it despite having little to no warm up in us. There was a mixup in the men's relay of who was running the second leg which caused for a set back, but they still ran so fast, all things considered. Both teams went out and gave it their all and everyone had fun. Other than social media posts, Zilker Relays was really our first debut in the community. It was a really cool moment seeing The Loop race singlets circling the park.
AR: You've been part of the Austin running community for a long time. What do you like about the Zilker Relays?
Pam Hess: Zilker Relays is the perfect balance of fun and competition that unites the Austin community of runners. The course alone is one we are all too familiar with. We know it from workouts, festivals, or where we go to let our dogs run around and play. Zilker park brings us together and the fact that you throw food, beer, and running on top of that is an added bonus.
AR: How did The Loop teams do in the taco-eating, beer-drinking, and dancing competitions?
Pam Hess: I know The Loop teams did really well in the taco-eating and beer drinking. I think we were so busy socializing and celebrating our win that we missed the dancing competitions. We will be ready next year though!!
The Loop women's team: Pam Hess, Hannah Steffan, Sarah Madebach, Jennifer Angles. Photo courtesy of Austin Kilcullen.
The Open Mixed division was also fast, with the RAW team (including recent interviewee Cate Barrett) winning at 5:43 pace. Second place went to Tronkys Eat Tacos (featuring Carmen Troncoso and Mike Kurvach) at 5:50 pace. Another RunLab team was third, at 5:56 pace.
The full results, including the Masters and Senior divisions, are here.
Thanks to our Special Correspondent, Amy Baker, who was at the Zilker Relays and secured the interviews with Will and Pam. Amy is a coach at Rogue and she was cheering for her 4 "Killer B's" teams, all of which did well.
Brain Power 5K/10K
The Brain Power 5K/10K was on Sunday and I emailed about it with Race Director Mercedes Orton. She provided the following race summary:
The 7th Annual Brain Power 5K, 10K, Survivor Stride & Kids Run was presented by Baylor Scott & White Health on Sunday, September 10, 2017. It was another massive success and step forward in finding a way to end brain cancer and brain tumors. We raised almost $60,000 and counting for brain cancer research at The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center and local efforts for survivors. We proudly had over 60 brain tumor and brain cancer survivors registered for the event and almost 100 in attendance at our powerful pre-race Survivor Stride. Top sponsors included our presenting sponsor Baylor Scott & White Health, our AmeriBrain sponsor MD Anderson Cancer Center, our Survivor Stride sponsor Koko FitClub, our kids run sponsor Ready to Run, as well as Novocure, and the Khudairi Group. It was a perfect fall day for running and walking our flat, fast out and back course at the beautiful H-E-B Center at Cedar Park. We are grateful to our community for the amazing show of support with over 1,500 registered participants.
Congratulations to Mercedes and her team! The 10K winners were Peter Huff in 40:20 and Lisa Feller in 46:22. The 5K winners were Jorge Gutierrez in 17:20 and Kate Gurfein in 20:59. Full results are here.
Local trail runners weren't left out this weekend, with the Tejas Trails Paleface event on Saturday, out at Pace Bend in Spicewood. Runners could choose between 4 distances from 5K to marathon, all on the rolling, twisty trails with great views of Lake Travis. I'll just list the event winners, full results are here.
Rob Van Houten 21:10
Victoria Ramirez 28:52
Alex Castelan 39:33
Kirsten Betterton 49:40
David Zuniga 1:34
Shae Vaughan 1:58
Wade Barrett 3:21
Maria Sylte 3:55
Away from Austin, we had some flatlanders challenging the mountains. In Steamboat Springs, CO, Nick Ackermann finished the Run Rabbit Run 100 miler in 31:41.
At the Tahoe 200 Endurance Run Katie Graff and David Iler both finished the 205 mile course around the Tahoe Rim Trail.
Michelle Ryan ran UTMB last week and we emailed about the event:
Armadillo Running: UTMB is a whole week of events, described by some as the Super Bowl of trail running. What were your impressions?
Michelle Ryan: Yes, as soon as you arrived in Chamonix it felt grand. I've been to a few world championship races, and the week of events leading up to UTMB was much bigger. The organization was very professional and the entire town was supportive and involved. All of the runners looked like world class athletes. Pros everywhere, I remember walking through town and seeing people like Zach Miller, Dylan Bowman and Sally McRae. The race itself was so well thought out and organized, there was no detail ignored.
AR: How did your race go? Did you have problems with the weather?
Michelle Ryan: I was relatively happy with my race. I didn't have any stomach issues, never bonked and my legs were strong. What surprised me the most is that I was never sleepy. The race started at 6PM on Friday and I didn't finish till Sunday afternoon. I'd never raced through 2 nights before, so I was worried about sleep deprivation. To my surprise it was never an issue. I never took a nap. Didn't need to. Eventually, I did have to manage a massive amount of pain as the endless climbing (+32,000ft.) took it's toll on my legs. My quads were so trashed that I struggled with the downhill sections. However, the last mile is back in the town of Chamonix through a gauntlet of people cheering you to the finish. That was glorious, and a memory I will cherish forever.
The conditions were extremely demanding this year. There was heavy rain the day before the race, making 90% of the course a muddy mess. During the race we encountered rain, sleet, snow and even blizzard conditions on 2 high mountain passes. We all slipped and fell a lot. There was so much mud and rain that my feet were always wet. They were pretty torn up and painful towards the end. I didn't mind the cold, but I did struggle in the blizzard sections. I hit both those sections in the dark. The wind was so fierce that the snow blinded me to the point that I could not see the trail very well. I had to wait for others to come along so that I could follow them. We formed a chain and stayed together, but it was like the blind leading the blind. Once I got through that, everything else seemed manageable by comparison. I think my perception of "hard" has been raised a notch or two!
Congratulations to Michelle on an epic race.
Ivi at the Tallin Marathon
My good friend Ivi Kerrigan traveled to Estonia, the country of her birth, to run in the Tallin Marathon. Here is her report:
The race had 2166 participants from 56 different countries. I did not bother to check out the race course in advance since I knew the city very well. I wish I had, the last 2.5 miles was uphill and that basically killed me. I was on 7:25-7:35 pace till 24 miles and then it had the gradual uphill and I ended up with 3:18:36. That was good enough for the 15th overall female and second in my age group.
Other than that race was very laid back, the running corrals opened up 15 minutes before the start. No national anthem, just few group waves and a countdown from 10 seconds to go. The race itself circled around the city several times with a few up and downhills. Then we went out to the sea and back and got some headwind at some point. The end was back in the city. It was a shame that there were very few spectators out in the morning (the race started 9 am local time) so basically no crowd support.
The finish line was the best, I got a heavy bag full of goodies plus the finishers tent had unlimited beer, local pastries, 2 different soups, salads, yogurts- you name it.
There was also a Guinness record broken- a guy dribbled 2 basketballs the entire time and finished sub 3:45.
Ivi at the finish with her hardware. Photo from Ivi.
Thanks and congratulations to Ivi!
Austin Marathon Course
And the last item for the local news is that the course for the 2018 Austin Marathon has been announced. Check their website here. The changes are quite dramatic, with the last third of the course on the East Side, which should be fun and encourage spectator support. When I was running road marathons I avoided Austin because I was trying to get a fast time and it wasn't a fast course. It appears that the new course won't be any faster. Here is how Rogue Running coach Chris McClung described the new course on the Rogue Facebook page:
"I can't sugar coat it. This course is tougher than the one before with an additional ~300 feet of cumulative elevation gain across the 26.2 miles, adding 40% more climbing. Yes, people will be excited to see certain sections go away like the rolling hills of Exposition or the mind bending false flats of Great Northern. But, those sections are replaced by new areas that are even more challenging such as the big climb on Enfield/15th into downtown and a nasty little double hill on Dean Keaton heading toward the east side. Plus, the infamous San Jacinto hill at the end is now replaced by the even-more-infamous 11th Street climb to the Capitol which boasts 5-9% grades, making for perhaps the toughest finish in all of big-city marathoning."
The big news in racing was Jociline Jepkosgei's new world record in the 10K road race. She set this record in the Prague Grand Prix 10K, running 29:43. Jepkosgei held the previous record of 30:03, set during the Prague Half Marathon this spring, in which she also set world road race records for the 15K, 20K, and half marathon. Coverage by Let's Run.
I had fun watching the 5th Avenue Mile coverage on Sunday. Both the men's and women's races were close and exciting. Nick Willis won the men's race in 3:51, with a late burst from a big pack. Jenny Simpson, fresh off her 1500 world championship title, won the women's race for the sixth time, in 4:16. Coverage by Let's Run.
Another road race with a repeat winner was the Great North Run, a half marathon in northern England, near Newcastle. Sir Mo Farah won for the fourth time in 1:00:06, just a few seconds ahead of Jake Robertson. Mary Keitany won the women's race in 1:05:59. Farah announced after the race that he'll run the London Marathon next spring. Coverage from The Guardian.
The Berlin Marathon is 2 weekends from now and it sounds like we have a good shot at a new world record. Eliud Kipchoge will headline a fast field as they try to win and get below 2:02:57. Coverage by Runner's World.
In my continuing quest to get Dan Hannon on Strava, here is an excellent article from Men's Journal on the history of Strava and the reasons behind its success.
The biggest ultra of the summer, UTMB, was a couple weekends ago, so I won't spend a lot of time on the topic. The men's race was exciting, with lots of action from what some called the strongest ever field for an ultra. Francois D'Haene was the winner, just 15 minutes ahead of Hardrock 100 winner and extraterrestrial Kilian Jornet. Check out coverage from iRunFar and Trail Runner. Jim Walmsley led early in the race but flamed out about 2/3 of the way, in similar fashion to the last 2 Western States 100 races. This time, he was able to figure out a way to recover and continue racing, finishing in 5th. If Walmsley can match his talent and drive with tactics, he'll be unstoppable at any trail distance. Check out this great interview by iRunFar.
The CASA Superhero Run is this Sunday, up at the Domain. You can test out your Halloween costume in a 5K and donate to a great cause.
I'll be driving out to Fort Davis in west Texas for the second running of the Sky Island Trail Race. The crew at Spectrum Trail Racing have sold out the 25K and 50K races, so it should be a fun and competitive morning on Saturday, followed by more fun as we all relax in the beautiful Davis Mountains State Park.
Response to Harvey
I've been impressed by the response of the Austin running community to Harvey. The running stores (Rogue, Ready to Run, Austin Trail Running) have all organized donations and/or supply runs to Houston. The training group I run with, TrailRoots, has set up a donation page with Convoy of Hope. This group has already served over 183,000 people in southeast Texas. Please donate your time or money to these efforts, or to the Red Cross.

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


Are you talking about Stonemason's store, how it looks? I think it looks slick and professional if that's the question.
I get Three one three one three one for items, that can not be right. Chrome on Win7 64 bit.
I get the same display as Jade, but unlike Beth I can change the items per page to 60.
I like the basic principle, but it's not working great in Opera. Simplest to show not tell.
2) Bio text is too low contrast with image, I had to highlight it into white to be able to read it.
3) Problems with width are not solved by turning off the bookmark panel at the side of my Opera layout, the same errors are there with full screen.
Will this happen as well for other PAs?
I also use Chrome (but Win XP) and it shows like this too - three items in first row, then only one item in second row, three in third row, then one and so on. Also, background shows with the usual light grey color, just like in the rest of the store. I checked how it looks in IE, which I usualy do not use, and it does look much better - it is showing 4 items per row allright and the background is black, which goes very well with the promo picture at the top.
Another difference - in Chrome artist´s bio is written over the promo image and I cannot get it go away. In IE the picture is clean without any writing over it - when I want to see artits´s bio, I click on text "artist bio" on the top, when I want it to disappear, I simply click on that again. This does not work in Chrome - text from the bio (including artist´s photo) is displayed all the time and does not disappear no matter what I do. Also, text "artist bio" shows above promo picture - but in IE it is in the right corner and in Chrome in the left one.
how do you *not* test?
I get the same thing as the others in Maxthon3, the formating is definitely off, but then the whole sites been a joke since you idiots changed it.
The 'Artist bio' is hard to read and 3-1 product display isn't all that realy.
I did discover he's a year younger than me :cheese:.
And i already knew he's got alot more talent than me, lots more.
Do a "Hard" refresh (ctrl + F5) and does that fix it?
On Win7 and Chrome a hard refresh failed a System refresh (Crtl-R) did fix it.
Looks almost as good in Chrome as in IE now, but "View 15" only shows 14 items per page in Chrome, 30 and 60 show all.
I had to do a hard refresh to make it look right in Firefox as well, but it's fine now. I get an odd small icon on Urban Sprawl 2 The Big City, The Arc Sci Fi Corridor, Streets of the Mediterranean, etc. as well.
The artist bio text is very small and is grey on white, making it hard to read. I suggest making it larger and the text darker.
Overall I like it. I think customers will respond positively to this presentation, and while it would mean customers seeing my chubby face, overall I like the idea of humanizing and identifying artists. I think they will remember the individual artist more when they've seen our faces.
Did a hard refresh that fixed most of it. some images are smaller than others still and on the last line of products for page 1 it only shows 3 instead of 4 all following pages are doing the same.
I think the Aspect ratio on some images are off, Click on one of them, you will notice the Main promo image is a altered image as well.
Nope, hard refresh did nothing for me, in MX3 I have to use retro mode before it'll display properly.
The dark grey text that I couldn't read anyway on top of the dark gloomy picture disappeared. So did the little thumbnail pic which I assume was Stephan himself. Is that "fixed"?
Oh wait, it came back looking a lot better when I clicked the dark grey "Artist Bio" link (against the dark gloomy pic, does anyone see a trend here?). And when I hover over the e-mail icon, the popup tooltip half vanishes off the side of the browser window instead of shuffling sideways to fit. I can also see the same few odd-looking thumbnails others are seeing. Using Firefox 16.0.2 in Win7.
Great idea, poor and low-contrast colour choice, and (as we've come to expect on the store ever since the changeover) a fragile and too easily broken inplementation.


A Woodbury woman has filed a complaint against a Readyville woman alleging an assault at Brown-Spurlock Park.
Lindsey Barrett, 304 Southridge Apts. B-4, Woodbury, claims she was assaulted on April 25 by Crystal Duncan, 587 Locke Creek Rd., Readyville.
Barrett alleges the incident occurred at approximately 8:45 p.m. on that date. She states Duncan "caused bodily injury by striking her about the head area and throwing her to the ground."
Barrett was holding her 18-month-old child when the incident began.
Sworn statements were obtained from two witnesses to the altercation.
Bond for Duncan was set t $2,600. Initial court date is June 14.


According to the results of a study conducted in Italy, use of HPV testing-followed by liquid-based cytology if the HPV test is positive-may offer an alternative approach to cervical cancer screening in women younger than 35 years of age. These results were published in the journal Lancet Oncology.
Human papillomaviruses (HPV) consist of more than 100 different viruses. Some types of HPV cause warts on the hands or feet; others cause genital warts; and some have been linked with cancer, most notably cervical cancer. The types of HPV most commonly linked with cervical cancer are HPV 16 and HPV 18, but several other high-risk types contribute to cancer as well.
The recognition that specific types of HPV are the cause of cervical cancer led to the development of a vaccine against four common types of HPV and a test to identify infection with several high-risk types of HPV.
An important use of HPV testing is for further evaluation of women with an indeterminate Pap test result. For women over the age of 30, HPV testing may also be used for initial cervical cancer screening in combination with a Pap test. Thus far, use of HPV testing for initial screening of younger women has generally not been recommended because many young women will have HPV infections that will clear without causing cervical abnormalities.
To explore a broader use of HPV testing in younger women, researchers in Italy evaluated two approaches to cervical cancer screening in women under the age of 35. Women were assigned to receive either conventional cervical cancer screening (a standard Pap test followed by colposcopy if the Pap test results were abnormal), or an alternative approach consisting of a combination of HPV testing and liquid-based cytology, with referral to colposcopy if the cytology results were abnormal. In liquid-based cytology, cervical material that is removed by the spatula or brush is rinsed in liquid. The liquid is then processed to isolate the cells that need to be analyzed. These cells are spread in a thin layer on a slide and viewed under a microscope.
The alternative approach to screening detected more cervical abnormalities than the conventional approach.
A limitation of the alternative approach is that it more frequently indicated that cancer was present when it actually was not (false-positive result).
Compared to HPV testing alone, the simultaneous use of HPV testing and liquid-based cytology did not significantly increase detection of cervical abnormalities, but did increase false-positive test results.
The researchers concluded that HPV testing followed by selective use of liquid-based cytology may be a feasible alternative to conventional cervical cancer screening in young women. The researchers note that longer follow-up will provide additional information about the value of this approach.
Reference: Ronco G, Giorgi-Rossi P, Carozzi F et al. Human Papillomavirus Testing and Liquid-based Cytology in Primary Screening of Women Younger than 35 Years: Results at Recruitment for a Randomised Controlled Trial. Lancet Oncology. 2006;7:547-555.


I am worried about the conflict. How they originate, how they grow and if they are resolved or only settled. Their consequences affected me because they are often devastating and irreversible and always painful. Gratuitous damage that people cause when they are in a conflict reveals the worst of the human condition. The fact that the conflict be included in the human do not think to do so desirable.
I am worried also about the idea, so accepted, that considers the conflict as a "growth opportunity". On contrary I think the conflict enslaves us and only when we are free we can grow.
Since I began my degree in Philosophy I put into question theories that proposed conflict as promoter of progress and I preferred those which spoke of harmony and collaboration. If the conflict is really a chance - I told me-, - Why we tend to prefer relations into harmony, peaceful societies or collaborative work environments?. The answer was as simple as stating that no conflict we live better. What already presented more difficulties is the way to get it.
In 2006 I knew mediation and this discipline that helps people resolve their conflicts in a collaborative way passionated to me. Reach harmony through a process in which energies are invested in work and not in fight was what had interested me. So I began to prepare myself as mediator, I came to be it and my passion for this profession led me to write my doctoral thesis on the fundamentals of mediation.
But it is not only important to resolve the dispute but, above all, prevent it before it appears, I have expanded and completed my studying in the field of facilitation.
So I am mediator and facilitator and work from the two disciplines as a whole to achieve results in the "before", the "during" and the "after" of the conflict and I do this with my own methodology which I call emancipatory approach.
The emancipatory approach is a new way of helping to prevent and resolve conflicts that provides resources to the parties so that they can overcome the problem and so they can create new ones that will help them in other hard situations. It consists of a flexible and essentially creative procedure based on new experiences that invites to the generation of solutions.
I use it both mediation and facilitation and apply it in the place where the people are need intervention. So I raise to the maximum level of adaptation and customization to each case and provide greater quality in the control of the implementation of the adopted agreements and solutions.
I become stronger emancipatory approach researching about it, perfecting it and sharing it, through specialization courses, with my colleagues and also with all persons who work with people and who need to create peaceful relations in their working environments.


As Sunidhi Chauhan completes 23 glorious years in the music industry, we take a look back at how the journey of the songstress has been so far..
When a icon like Lata Mangeshkar calls you the Numero Uno singer of the generation, you've got to have a very hypnotic sound and magnificent talent. We're talking about songstress Sunidhi Chauhan. Taking into account her achievements and passion she has for singing, it would be feasible to say that Chauhan is just 35. She has managed to bring a whole generation of fans under a spell. And with her enigmatic personality she makes for the most-adored singing sensation today. Chauhan's undeniable talent has brand her as a singing superstar. But talent aside, Chauhan has had pivotal moments throughout her career that have ultimately shaped her to become the icon that she is today.
Singing since the tender age of four, her dad Dushyant Kumar Chauhan was the first one to spot her immense potential. TV host Tabassum spotted her at a show and reinforced her dad's belief which made him shift to Mumbai with his entire family to develop her talent. This is when Tabassum introduced Chauhan to Kalyanji (one half of the Kalyanji-Anandji music director duo). This is how Chauhan became the lead singer of his 'Little Wonders' Troupe. In 1995, Chauhan performed at the 40th Filmfare Awards with the group 'Little Wonders' when the late music director Aadesh Shrivastava heard her and wanted to record her voice for the film, 'Shastra' (1996). During the same year, she won the first singing reality show 'Meri Awaz Suno', where she was honored with the 'Lata Mangeshkar Trophy' for the best female singer of India. This talent show was only the beginning of her stunning career. Although, she entered into the world of playback singing with the film 'Shastra' which was released 23 years ago today. But, it was Ram Gopal Varma's 'Mast' (1999) that set Chauhan's career into first-gear. Since then, Chauhan has musically speaking, consistently delivered hits and achieved milestones of unparalleled success.
Chauhan is one of those celebrities that is not only supremely talented but also well-liked because she is an inspiration. Married to music composer Hitesh Sonik, the couple welcomed their first child, son Tegh, on the 1st of January, 2018. She is now a mother, and it is a role that has significantly changed her life. For Chauhan, being a mother has been a transformative experience. Since the birth of her son, the songstress has spoken candidly about giving birth and motherhood. More than any singer today, Chauhan makes it look easy. But a look at the numbers proves that her career has been anything but that: across 23 years, 7000 songs, she has reinvented and redefined herself in incredible ways.
Boldness reflects in her persona and her voice, which no artist possessed at the time when Chauhan arrived in the scene and neither had people in India witnessed such of powerhouse of singing talent and incredible stage presence. For an artist who's been a dominant player in music for over two decade, she's arguably reached a new height at this generation's most influential performer, when she performed at the 2015 Global Citizen Festival along with artists like Coldplay, Ed Sheeran, Beyoncé and more.
Now, Chauhan is known internationally for her iconic style, artistry, bold persona and numerous accolades that officially span a 23 years career. Chauhan remains the gold standard for playback singing in India and has over the years proved that there is no one like her.


Below we've included a list of the 10 best animated Disney films streaming online. If you're looking for quick access to great Disney movies on Netflix, you've come to the right place.
One of Disney's best animated movies, Mulan is about bringing an ancient legend to life: a tomboy who disguises herself as a man so she can fight with the Chinese army. Mulan would go on to be one of the studio's most popular animated films. Remember, she brought strong animated female characters to life before we had Hermione and Katniss.
Hercules told the story of a god who is stripped of his immortality and raised on Earth instead of his birthplace Olympus. He's forced to battle Hades and many other monsters on Earth, where he proves his worth and earns his spot among his fellow gods.
Robin Hood was a runaway hit for Disney, and featured a fox as the heroic archer known from tales and distant history. Robin joins his loyal best friend Little John, a bear, who helps him and the inhabitants of Nottingham as they fight against the excessive taxation of Prince John, and Robin Hood goes on to win the hand of Maid Marian.
The Many Adventures of Winnie the Pooh was the 22nd animated feature in the Walt Disney Animated Classics series. It was first released on March 11, 1977 as a double feature with The Littlest Horse Thieves, and would go on to have many sequels featuring adventures with Pooh and his friends from the forest.
Lilo and Stitch follows a Hawaiian girl who adopts an unusual pet, who is actually a notorious extra-terrestrial fugitive from the law. The film is exciting and unique, and its sequels are also available to stream on Netflix.
Fantasia is actually a collection of animated stories which Disney put together with classical music. It's a beautiful film, showing off many characters, and is seen as a great accomplishment from the 1940s. It's one of the quintessential classic animated Disney movies, and is certainly a must-see.
In The Emperor's New Groove, the vain Emperor Kuzco is a very busy man. Besides maintaining his "groove," and firing his suspicious administrator, he's also planning to build a new waterpark just for himself for his birthday. But, this means he'll be destroying one of the villages in his kingdom.
The Hunchback of Notre Dame takes place in 15th century Paris, where Clopin the puppeteer tells the story of Quasimodo, a hunchback who is a bell ringer of Notre Dame. He was nearly killed by Claude Frollo, the Minister of Justice, when he was just a boy. Frollo, forced by the Archdeacon of Notre Dame, raises Quasimodo as his own. Once he grows up, Quasimodo remains hidden from the world until he finds his way.
Tarzan is about an orphan who was raised by an ape, Kala, since he was a small boy. Believing that this was his family, he became a strong force in the jungle, but he rescues Jane Porter during one of her expeditions. He finds out that he's human and simply raised by apes, and he has to decided which family he wants to live with.
The Brave Little Toaster follows a group of dated appliances that find themselves stranded in a summer home that their family have sold. They do their best to find their 8-year-old owner, and end up on an amazing adventure.


In this article, we will be discussing four basic types of natural forces which are responsible for all type of forces we observe namely- Gravitational Force, Electromagnetic Force, Strong Nuclear Force and Weak Nuclear Force.
This article is in continuation to my previous article Physics, Technology and Society: The Basic NCERT Concept . So this is the fourth article of NEPYK Series(A series deeply explaining the concepts of NCERT Physics), in which we will discuss mainly natural forces.
We all have some sort of assumption about the word "Force". We know that we need force to deal with our day-to-day activities. But, to get the proper scientific definition is not easy from our daily activities. Even the famous thinker Aristotle got wrong in doing that. Later Isaac Newton proposed the right one. But all this will be discussed deeply in upcoming chapters.
Here we are going to discuss the natural forces.
It is observed that almost all types of force are generated from 4 major forces namely- Gravitational Force, Electromagnetic Force, Strong Nuclear Force and Weak Nuclear Force.
For instance- Friction is generated due to the motion of molecules of the materials due to which electricity and heat are produced. So, we can conclude that friction is the result of electromagnetic force(think of hand-rubbing).
Gravitational force is an attracting force acting between 2 bodies due to their masses. It is a universal force. Each body in the universe experiences a force due to other bodies. For example - motion of planets and each thing on the earth experience a Gravitational force due to gravity. We all have studied about it in ninth standard and will more deeply study in the eighth chapter of the book.
Gravitational force plays a key-role in the large scale phenomena of the universe such as the formation and evolution of stars, galaxies, and galactic clusters.
Range of this force is unlimited and it operates among all the bodies.
It is the weakest natural force.
It is the force acting among charged bodies. When charges are at rest, the force is expressed in the terms of Coulomb's Law: attractive for unlike charges and repulsive for like charges. Charges in motion produce a magnetic effect and magnetic field gives rise to a force on a moving charge. In general, electric and magnetic effects are inseparable and that is why it is called Electromagnetic Force.
where m1,m2 are masses of the two bodies and q1,q2 are charges on the two bodies.
r is the distance between the two bodies.
G and K are universal gravitational and electric force constants respectively.
Mass of proton= 1.67x 10-27kg and charge on proton= 1.6x10-19Coulombs.
When we will use the above-mentioned formula, we will find that FE= FGx1036.
The electromagnetic force is stronger and more active than gravitational force because it takes place at much meticulous level. Loss or gain of the electrons causes this force because the other two heavier* elementary particles (proton and neutron) are bounded in the nucleuses of the atoms.
When we lift something suppose a pen, we are lifting it against the force exerted by the large mass of the earth. How is it possible? It is possible due to the electromagnetic force. Now how electromagnetic force is working here? The forces between your hand and the pen are electromagnetic as well as gravitational but the electromagnetic force between atoms of pen and hand is much stronger, and that's why we are able to lift the pen.
*Recent developments have proved that protons and neutrons are built out of still more elementary constituents called quarks.
We just talked that protons and neutrons are bounded in the nucleus of the atom but how is it possible as we know there is repulsion between like charges? It is evident that without some attractive force, a nucleus will be unstable due to the electric repulsion between its protons. Because gravitational force is negligible compared to electric force, so it can not be that. Here we need to invoke a new force and that is Strong Nuclear Force. It is a charge independent force and acts equally between a proton and a proton, a proton and a neutron and a neutron and a neutron. Obviously, it must be stronger than electric force otherwise how will it draw over the repulsion caused by electromagnetic force?
It is the strongest among all the 4 natural forces, approximately 100 times stronger than electric force.
It's range is extremely small(10-15m)(nucleus dimensions).
It acts only over nucleus and that's why electrons do not experience it.
The weak nuclear force appears only in certain nuclear processes such as β -decay of a nucleus. In β -decay the nucleus emits an electron and an uncharged particle called neutrino.
It has the smallest range(approximately 10-16m).
The weak nuclear force is not as weak as the gravitational force, but much weaker than the strong nuclear and electromagnetic forces.
where S, E, W and G represents Strong Nuclear, Electromagnetic, Weak Nuclear and Gravitational respectively.
Till now, we should know what unification is. I repeat that briefly what we had discussed in the first article of NEPYK series: Unification is the process to study different scopes or region of the subject under one concept. For example, Newton's Law of gravitation describes falling apple as well as the motion of the moon around the earth, tides etc.
Unification is very helpful in the subject like Physics in which we try to study tons of natural phenomena. Now, we can have some idea of what does the term 'Unification of Forces' mean. It simply means to study different forces under one concept. Towards this, a step is recently taken in 1979 by Sheldon Glashow, Abdus Salam, and Steven Weinburg. They showed that the 'weak' nuclear force and the electromagnetic force could be viewed as the different aspects of the single 'electro-weak' force and the same was experimentally verified by Carlo Rubia and Simon Vander Meer in1984. You can study this deeply here.
Isaac Newton unified celestial and terrestrial mechanics and showed that the same laws of motion and the law of gravitation apply to both domains(1687).
James Clarke Maxwell(1873) unified electricity, magnetism, and optics by showing that light is an electromagnetic wave .
Another one has been already mentioned above.
It is really a very good article to get an insight of basic concept of force that we study during our school years and very well deals with theoretical concept as well as formula used for those concepts. This article also define how many type of forces are present in nature and how all the forces are responsible for phenomena we see around us. I found the article very useful in gaining knowledge of this concept of physics.
Thank you very much for the appreciation Madam.


Ducks for Change are our fun and cheeky novelty ducks, sold in participating hotels around Europe to raise money for our work.
Ducks for Change are available to buy as individual sets, or alternatively as wholesale (minimum orders of 50 packs). The ranges available are shown below, if you have any questions please contact us via email on ducks@dmtfyp.org.
Please note each set of ducks costs either £5-6 (€6-7) per set plus P&P (which will vary depending on the delivery address). To purchase please complete the form below or email us on ducks@dmtfyp.org to request an order form.
Why not download the Duck's free game River Dash, and help the Ducks across the perilous river to their hotel? Click on the link below to download for Android and Apple.
Thank you for your request, please note each set is £5 or £6 plus postage and packaging. This will vary depending on quantity ordered and location of delivery.
WARNING: Please note the ducks are a novelty item and are not suitable for children under the age of 36 months. Beware – Choking hazard. The ducks are not edible. These ducks will float in water but not upright.


First introduced in 2010, NuGet has been around for a few years now and many people and organizations are starting to realize that NuGet presents a great opportunity to improve and automate different aspects of the development processes. Because the NuGet project is open source under a permissive Apache v2 license, other projects can leverage NuGet and companies can build support for it in their products. Whether for open source projects or enterprise application development, NuGet plus the ever-growing set of applications built on and around NuGet, provide a broad selection of tools for improving your software development process.
All of these projects are able to innovate for the same reason that has allowed NuGet to innovate - You. As such, please contribute to these projects just as you contribute to NuGet by reporting defects and new feature ideas, providing feedback, writing documentation, and contributing code where possible.
6. Creating Remote Feeds (NuGet.Server)  Create a new Empty Web Application in Visual Studio  Install the NuGet.Server Package  Configure the Packages folder and ApiKey  Add Packages to the Packages folder  Deploy and run your brand new Package Feed!


text:
January 15, 2018 16:16:17 Library.fmp12 - returnToSetup -1-
tagMenu: returnToSetup
#
#
#Return to last library module.
If [ $$module = "testmenudetail" ]
#
#Go to testlearn layout and loop back to record.
Set Window Title [ Current Window; New Title: "Test" ]
Go to Layout [ Middle ( TEMP::layoutTmain ; 5 ; 99 ) ]
#
#Go to Learn tag menu layout and loop back to record.
Select Window [ Name: "Tag Menus"; Current file ]
Go to Layout [ "testMenuTestItem" (tagMenus) ]
#
#Reset temp item ID and clear variable holding
#ID while editing item information.
Set Field [ TEMP::ktestSubsection; $$itemID ]
Set Field [ TEMP::ktestItemSubsection; $$detailID ]
Set Variable [ $$itemID ]
#
#Load up all test items for this subsection.
Perform Script [ "menuTestItem" ]
#
Exit Script [ ]
Else If [ $$module = "reportTagItem" ]
#
#Go to testlearn layout and loop back to record.
Set Window Title [ Current Window; New Title: "Report" ]
Go to Layout [ "PrintReportEdit" (report) ]
#
#Go to Learn tag menu layout and loop back to record.
Select Window [ Name: "Tag Menus"; Current file ]
Go to Layout [ "reportTagItem" (tagMenus) ]
#
#Reset temp item ID and clear variable holding
#ID while editing item information.
Set Field [ TEMP::ktestSubsection; $$itemID ]
Set Field [ TEMP::ktestItemSubsection; $$detailID ]
Set Variable [ $$itemID ]
#
Perform Script [ "menuTestItem" ]
#
Exit Script [ ]
Else If [ $$module = "defaultSections" ]
Go to Layout [ "defaultSetup" (librarySetupReferenceMain) ]
Select Window [ Name: "Tag Menus"; Current file ]
Go to Layout [ $$module ]
If [ $$module = "defaultSections" ]
Perform Script [ "defaultLibraryButton" ]
End If
Go to Record/Request/Page [ $$recordNumber ]
[ No dialog ]
Set Variable [ $$recordNumber ]
#
Set Field [ TEMP::ktestSubsection; "" ]
#
#
Exit Script [ ]
End If
#
#Go to testlearn layout and loop back to record.
Set Window Title [ Current Window; New Title: "Test" ]
#
#Stop load tag script until the end.
Set Variable [ $$returnToSetup; Value:1 ]
#
#Go to unlocked or locked layout depending
#lock status of the test subject.
If [ testSubsectionTestSubjectLock::orderOrLock = "0" ]
Go to Layout [ "testResultLOCKED" & Right ( TEMP::layoutTmain ; 1) ]
Else
Go to Layout [ "testResult" & Right ( TEMP::layoutTmain ; 1) ]
End If
#
#Go to test item tag menu layout and go to
#record user was on before editing test items.
Select Window [ Name: "Tag Menus"; Current file ]
Go to Layout [ "testMenuTestItem" (tagMenus) ]
#
#Load up all test items for this subsection.
Perform Script [ "menuTestItem" ]
#
#Turn back on load tag script and go
#to selected tag.
Set Variable [ $$returnToSetup ]
Go to Record/Request/Page [ $$recordNumber ]
[ No dialog ]
Set Variable [ $$recordNumber ]
#
Exit Script [ ]

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaGithub


Ornate Seashell Bail Pull (Brushed Nickel Finish) - measures 5 3/4 inches long and 2 1/4 inches tall. Center to center mounting distance is 3 inches (76.2 mm 3.00 c-c). Highly ornate and hand finished detailing. This bail style pull has a projection of approximately 1 3/4 Inch. Available in Polished Brass (shown), Antique Brass, Oil Rubbed Bronze, and Polished Chrome, and Brushed Nickel finishes. Comes complete with mounting hardware.


1. Gently warm the beans in a saucepan over low heat and mash them a bit with a potato masher. Add in the lime juice and garlic. Add a dash of cayenne for heat, if desired.
2. Heat a spray of olive oil in a skillet and lightly stir-fry the diced squash; season it with sea salt, Lemon Pepper, and spices. Stir frequently, until the squash is browned and tender (but not mushy), about 10 minutes.
*To serve soft tacos, heat the corn tortillas quickly one by one in a very hot dry skillet, about 10 seconds per side, wrap them quickly in a slightly damp clean towel, and place in a warmed dish or tortilla warmer. To serve hard shell tacos, warm the shells on a baking sheet briefly in the oven before serving.
Serve at the table family-style.
Spoon the fillings into warmed serving bowls at the table. Pour the green or red salsa into a serving bowl.
Have each person assemble their tacos by spooning in some black beans, sautéed squash, and salsa. Loosely roll up and enjoy!
Serves 4 at 2 per person.


Added my activation keys. Everything seems great...except. My 4511 keeps giving me the error message. Deleted, re-added, rebooted camera, switched between mpeg4 and 264, nothing seems to help. What am I missing here. The Acti web interface works fine with the camera. Video looks good. Why can't BCDVR and the 4511 work together anymore?


text:
Moneymax was established by Liz Koh, a leading financial planner, to provide wealth creation, wealth management and wealth protection advice so that you can achieve the things in life that are important to you.
Liz established her financial planning company—Moneymax—in 1999, after a successful career in management. Her practical, common-sense advice has led to a flourishing business and many referrals from her growing list of clients. She is in demand from newspapers, magazines and websites, and has published a best selling book—Your Money Personality: Unlock the Secret to a Rich and Happy Life, Awa Press, 2008.
After working with hundreds of clients at all stages of life, from young single people to retired couples, Liz is convinced that the first step to good money management, successful investment and wealth creation is to understand your hidden attitudes to money, and where they came from.
Liz has a Master's degree in Economics, a BCA in Accountancy and a Graduate Diploma in Personal Financial Planning. She is a Certified Financial Planner (CFP), Authorised Financial Adviser (AFA) and Chartered Accountant (CA)
She is a member of the Institute of Financial Advisers (IFA), the Institute of Chartered Accountants (NZICA) and the Institute of Directors (IoD).
A keen property investor, she belongs to the Capital Property Investors' Association. She is a volunteer mentor with Business Mentors New Zealand and a member of Kapiti Rotary Club. A disclosure statement for Liz Koh is available on request free of charge.
Liz is widely regarded as an international authority on personal finance. Her articles appear in many newspapers and websites around the world.
Liz Koh Interviewed
Expert Interview with Liz Koh About Maintaining Financial Stability for Mint >>click here<<<
Property Syndicates
Low interest rates and share market volatility are driving investors to consider alternative investments. In recent years we have seen the rapid rise of property syndicates. Such syndicates were very popular over twenty years ago and were offered by companies such as St Laurence and Waltus. At that…
The Low Interest Rate Trap
For investors who depend on interest rates for income or investment, the future looks bleak. Interest rates are at the lowest level we have seen for decades and are likely to stay low for some time. Prior to the Global Financial Crisis of 2008, many fixed interest investors chased after the double-d…
KiwiSaver in Retirement
It is now possible for anyone over the age of 65 to join or re-join KiwiSaver. There are many retirees who cashed in their KiwiSaver funds without consideration of the options available to them, and there are some who just never got around to joining. For these people, there is now a reprieve. As of…
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