Grab a cup of coffee and dive in. We pray that you find hope and truth in these posts. This blog is written from three perspectives.
Praise God! It's good to be Alive! Only those that know me can understand the value of that statement. Those of you that don't, brace yourselves. Get ready to hear and see a mighty modern day miracle from the Almighty God.
Before I dive into my first chapter, I'd like to make one thing very clear. I want to give all glory, honor and praise to my Savior Jesus Christ and my Almighty Father God in Heaven. I will gladly "play the background' to Him any day.
I hear beeping. I can't move. My eyes open to a life of uncertainty. I'm confused and taken back by my surroundings. I can't move?! My brain is telling my body to move, but nothing happens!? I'm screaming for help in my mind, but my lips aren't moving. Nothing's working.
God, What? Why? My name, My name….? I see people. Look at me.. I'm here! I can't get their attention. I feel a tear drop down my face. What's my name? I feel depressed, physically weak, and exhausted. I'm mentally struggling to try and understand what has happened to me. I drift back to sleep.
Days, weeks, and months go by. I wake up nearly four months later. In the same room, with the same disabilities. Suddenly, I see someone. Our eyes meet. I think, Yes. Yes. Yes. Her lips open and she says "Adam?" My mind screams. Adam. Adam! My name is Adam!!! Someone knows me. My name is Adam.
I drift back to sleep.
Faith, Family and Friendships is a mouthful. For most people, these three F words are intimidating, exhausting, and challenging. They certainly were for me once, not too long ago. They all require work, vulnerability, and commitment - and sometimes, that's just feels like "too much" to give. But I learned the hard way that they were vital to my own survival.
At the tender age of 20, I found myself in the pool of unexpectedly single mothers. As a result of social and peer pressure, I too fell for the "I can do it all by myself" mentality. I thought that's how all single mothers managed their lives - by themselves. I didn't realize that the old adage "It Takes a Village" was so true and should have been welcomed. Without a network of fellow mothers to help me navigate these waters, I found myself very isolated. Supported by my amazing parents who offered free child care while I finished my baccalaureate program and held a full-time job in the banking industry.
Now, I should mention that I had a wonderful group of single women who were kind, good hearted souls and whom would have been my network of support - had I asked them. But I never did. That was my own mistake.
Fast forward to years of burning myself out, thinking I could do it all by my own strength and sheer will. Mind you, I've always had a strong faith. But it was more cerebral and an overlay on top of my life - not practical, tangible, relational. I knew God had a plan for me and I trusted that plan, but I was doing my best to work the plan myself. Pausing, so that you can <insert your laugh here>. I had no idea of what living a fearless life without worrying about every day would look like. I felt that I had to worry about it all in order to keep it (life) from unraveling. But I didn't realize, I wasn't the one holding all the yarn in her hands - it was Him, my God.
Growing up in a blue-collar home, I never saw the practical prioritization of family. Rather, I grew up thinking that work was the most important element of your life and that work ethic was a man/woman's worth. It's not that my parents didn't make us children feel loved and appreciated. I erroneously interpreted their pride in strong work ethics as their priority. They held those low-wage, blue-collar jobs because of the priority of family. They spent time with us every evening at the kitchen table. But I could never visualize them saying, "I can't go to work on Saturday, my family comes first."
Their workweek was a Monday thru Friday structure with minimal overflow into family time during evenings or weekends. This is so contrasted by the advancement in remote working capabilities that pressure today's employee to check work email during evenings, weekends, holidays, and family outings. There's a lack of separation due to our accessibility.
This transition into a fluid and accessible employee really sidelined me. I never saw it coming until I found myself working past midnight on regular basis while working for a Bay Area company at the age of 30. By this time, I had devoted the majority of my life to moving up the career ladder with one goal in mind, "never needing the help of anyone (especially my child's absent biological father), ever."
I started seeing how often I became ill during that time. I was always battling something. I quickly developed a severe dairy allergy that would invoke the angriest of sinus and ear infections if left unattended. Within 48 hours, I would be overwhelmed by the sinus pain. This began a course of antibiotics and steroid prescriptions. These bouts of sickness continued for years. Until one day, my boss told me that the only way we could make my role successful was if I would move to the bay area to manage priorities and team onsite. We both knew I would never uproot my family, so that was the beginning of the end of a relationship. I took time to prep my exit plan and train my replacement. I was just as devoted to the organization on my last day as I had been on day one.
The first day of my unemployment during those years, I was overcome by the realization of, "what happened to those years of missed school events, date nights with my wonderful husband, time with God, and time to cultivate friendships?" Most of my friendships were distant by then, limited to writing annual birthday posts on Facebook. My time with God was continual daily prayer chats (e.g. Lord please help me with this today, it's a challenge), but never real conversations where I sat to actually listen to him (and be still). My time with my family had always been the left over from work. Often rushed and distracted. While I tell myself I put them first, I didn't give them the best of me - I realize that now and I regret it.
I vowed to change - and I did. A little, not transformed completely. I worked 60 hour weeks instead of 80. And I dove more deeply into my family, leaving little room for God and no room for friends.
One morning in 2016, I woke up to a devastating family crisis which shook my entire world. It changed EVERYTHING about the way I saw life, faith, family, and friendship. I'll explain it in detail in another post, but what transpired was a health crisis that affected my husband. While I didn't make perfect decisions - there was a moment in the hospital room while I spoke to my husband (who no longer knew me) where I made a conscious decision - "I need help, I can't do this alone."
I reached out to an amazing support group called "Blended Families" at our local church. We'd been part of the group for a few years, but never truly became real family members until this season in our lives. I was very honest about where we were as a family and our spiritual and physical needs. It was horribly painful for me, but I found peace in being honest and transparent about our challenges. It was SO unlike me, to say that I could not do it all myself. It was freeing and scary at the same time.
What transpired was a series of coordinated, thoughtful and sacrificial actions taken by my Blended Family peeps as I call them. They were heroes and heroines in my eyes. They became the living, breathing, visible manifestation of God's love for me. It was so real, so touching, so honest - I couldn't escape it (Him). One of the ugliest seasons of my life, became hundreds of moments in time where God literally reached out and hugged me, fed me, counseled me, supported me from falling, made me laugh, encouraged me. It was AWESOME!
Okay, I give, I give!
And so, I learned my lesson. The more I try to hang on to my little world by myself - protecting my family from the elements, the worse I feel. The more resistance I will feel from life and the challenges that come with it. The more I surrender to the possibilities of my faith in God, my devotion to my family, and my vulnerability in friendships - the richer my life experiences become.
I truly wish I had learned this lesson in my twenties. That I had reached out to a community of mothers, leveraged my network and supported peers in doing so as well. That I had created a huge division between family and state (work) to protect those special moments and give my family the best of me much earlier on. That I had stopped to spend time with God more in my youth and truly listened. He would have helped me avoid so my of the mistakes that my free will inevitable allowed. And when I have these moments of regret, like I do this morning as I write this blog - I give these guilts and sadness to God. I know that there was a reason for the path I took. And if it meant that a single life was changed because of it, then it was worth the sorrow. I pray that he gives me the discernment to understand when I fall into old habits and helps me focus on my priorities. God, Family and Friends - yes, in that order.
I pray that he'll help you avoid my mistakes and that through reading this note, you'll see practical reasons why I truly cling to these three truths.
Raquel Gonzales (Kels) - Raquel is a 36-year-old wife of an amazing man, and mother of three beautiful blended teenagers (Elijah 18, Lulu 16, Abby 14). She has thrived in a creative career for over 11 years. Her passion is to empower others by the lessons learned in her own life and challenges through transparency and honest conversations. As a creative soul, she loves to write, design, create and publish. She hopes to please God in doing his work by leveraging the talents he gave her. This blog is but one of those digital artisan crafts. She hope it pleases Him.
Adam Gonzales (AG) - Adam is an 42-year-old husband and father of three beautiful blended teenagers (Elijah 18, Lulu 16, Abby 14). He is an assistant pastor at their local church and "soul on fire for building up leaders in Christ." He has devoted over 10 years to growth ministry work and has over 16 years of corporate leadership experience. He's completely focused on ministry work in this season of his life and obediently following God where He leads Adam. His transparency about his life journey and deliverance is in hopes that witnesses are compelled by the Truth, that there is always Hope in Christ. And that no battle - no matter how impossible - is ever over until God says so. That He has, ultimately, won the biggest battle of All - and we can find hope in that future.


Buy Timber Products In Melbourne | Cheap Prices!
At Quality Discount Timber, we have all the materials that any tradesman, carpenter, or DIY enthusiast could ever need – all at wholesale prices with no order too large or small. All of our products remain discounted all year round, and we also run extra monthly specials on many of our materials and building supplies.
Customers are welcome to visit our Mfelbourne timber yard, and inspect any of our products, which include Cypress posts, Treated Pine, KD F17 hardwood, Pine framing, Treated Pine sleepers and more – with everything at prices that are hard to beat.
Contact QDT now on 03 9437 1612 or send your enquiry online to find out our competitive prices and for our expert advice and help on your timber and material needs.
Contact QDT now on 03 9437 1612 for all your timber products and building materials needs, friendly service and expert advice.


The dup device serves a one–level directory containing files whose names are decimal numbers. Each such file also has an associated control file. A file of name n corresponds to open file descriptor n in the current process.
An open(2) of file n results in a file descriptor identical to what would be returned from a system call dup(n, –1). Note that the result is no longer a file in the dup device.
The stat operation returns information about the device file, not the open file it points to. A stat of #d/n will contain n for the name, 0 for the length, and 0400, 0200, or 0600 for the mode, depending on whether the dup target is open for reading, writing, or both.
A file of name nctl may be read to discover the properties of the associated file descriptor, in format identical to that of the fd file in proc(3).


We are based in the heart of the Brecon Beacons in the picturesque village of Llangynidr, near the market town of Brecon, providing all aspects of garden design, construction and professional landscaping advice to Powys, Mid and South Wales, Cardiff, Bristol, Monmouthshire and the Herefordshire area. Our friendly and reliable team has over fifteen years experience within the industry, having designed and constructed many large and small domestic garden schemes.
If you are looking to bring your garden to life with a fresh new design or simply want a garden makeover, we will relish the opportunity to help you accomplish this. Whether you desire a makeover incorporating hard landscaping, soft landscaping or a simple low maintenance garden, we will strive to achieve your wish and create your dream garden.
We are also the Official Easigrass Franchisee & Installer throughout Wales for Artificial grass installations. So when it comes to low maintenance gardens, we can also guarantee your satisfaction with our high quality artificial Easigrass installations.


text:
Planning to start on expanded snowmaking, Pandora's terrain on Aspen Mountain
This map shows the general line Aspen Skiing Co. considered in the past for a new chairlift that would serve the Pandora's terrain on Aspen Mountain.
Aspen Skiing Co. image |
Aspen Skiing Co. will start the planning process this year for extended snowmaking on Aspen Mountain and expansion into the Pandora's area, but construction of any projects remains years away, according to a company official.
Skico will work this summer on an updated Aspen Mountain Master Development Plan — a sort of blueprint or wish list of upgrades it wants to pursue, according to Rich Burkley, the company's vice president of mountain operations.
Skico's highest priority at Aspen Mountain is to extend the snowmaking system to the top of the mountain, Burkley said. Snowmaking currently stops on the Deer Park trail, above the bottom terminal of the Ajax Express Chairlift.
Burkley explained in the past that Skico wants to install infrastructure to allow snowmaking on the 1 & 2 Leaf and Silver Bell trails. The goal is to extend snowmaking from the bottom to top of the ski area.
Such a system probably would allow Skico to open more terrain sooner in dry early conditions like this season. Aspen Mountain couldn't open on Thanksgiving as scheduled because of a lack of snow.
Pandora's expansion plan
The master development plan also will outline the conceptual plan for expansion into the Pandora's area, which has long been considered by Skico.
The company resolved land ownership issues on the upper eastern side of the ski area in 2015 and 2016. That was a critical first step in pursuing the addition of terrain on skier's right of the Walsh's trail.
Skico has looked at adding between 135 and 185 acres by opening new, low-angle terrain and extending the existing Walsh's, Kristi's and Hyrup's trails farther down slope. They would be served by a new chairlift.
"We are looking to add as much intermediate terrain as possible given the contour of the area," Burkley said in an email. "Obviously the Walsh's wall extends to the south and presents a challenge. We will work on a trail from the north (bottom of North Star) that will hopefully be intermediate and access most of the terrain below Lud's Lane."
Lud's Lane is a catwalk that leads skiers and snowboarders out of the lower slopes of Walsh's and the other trails in the vicinity.
The terrain is in Skico's Aspen Mountain ski-area permit boundary, but it isn't actively managed. The area is a popular side-country destination for skiers and snowboarders.
Skico also has kicked around the idea of replacing the Bell Mountain and Gent's Ridge chairlifts with a single, relocated chair.
"We don't have a plan for replacing Bell and Gent's, however, we will when we submit the master development plan to the Forest Service," Burkley said.
Lengthy review process
The Forest Service requires a master development plan so it can keep current with ski areas' long-term visions for use of public lands. Many ski areas use national forest lands for their operations.
Even if a master plan is accepted by the agency, applications for specific projects — such as the expanded snowmaking system and Pandora terrain expansion — must be submitted and reviewed under the National Environmental Policy Act.
Skico officials hope to have the draft master development plan accepted by the Forest Service before the end of 2017, Burkley said. He stressed it could be years before Skico secures approvals and is ready to proceed with projects on Aspen Mountain. Replacing Lift 1A "might supersede" the other projects, he noted.
If the city of Aspen approves the Gorsuch Haus hotel this year, it would trigger an agreement between the developer and Skico to replace the chairlift within a certain timeframe.
Hoping to roll at Snowmass
Meanwhile, Skico won't be sitting around. The company is awaiting approvals of two major projects at Snowmass.
The White River National Forest released a draft environmental impact statement in November for the Snowmass Multi-Season Recreation Project. Skico's proposal would enhance summer recreation by adding hiking and biking trails, an alpine coaster ride, a canopy tour and zip line, a ropes challenge course and a climbing wall in the Elk Camp section of the ski area.
The Forest Service announced it intends to issue a final environmental impact statement this spring. That would, in theory, allow Skico to pursue construction of some of the amenities this summer.
Burkley said Skico officials don't presume they will get approvals and aren't speculating on construction plans before the approvals are in hand. However, should they come, Skico will start construction on some of the summer amenities this year, he said. A lot of the work will depend on how quickly the snowpack melts, he said. If the snowpack lasts well into summer, Skico won't be able to accomplish as much as it would like this year.
In a separate application, Skico is seeking Forest Service approval to expand the on-mountain restaurant Sam's Smokehouse and build a new ski patrol headquarters adjacent to the restaurant at Sam's Knob.
"We would definitely replace the patrol headquarters this summer if given permission," Burkley said. "Sam's expansion is less likely and also would play into how many projects on the east side we've started."
While Snowmass has always been Skico's bread-and-butter mountain because of its capacity to absorb customers, the company's interest in enhancing the ski area became even greater after it reacquired undeveloped property at Base Village with partners last year.

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


text:
AIVAnet
Dark side of the moon: Why lunar landing conspiracies flourish online
Honor 9X low-light samples shown off in latest teaser
Motorola One Action leak confirms Exynos 9609 chipset, 21:9 display
1Password Restores Free-to-Use Local Vault Option in Latest Version of iOS…
Israeli Security Firm Claims Spyware Tool Can Harvest iCloud Data in…
Vuze XR Dual VR camera review: Multi-dimensional fun
Save 21% on this robotic arm for your Arduino
How to enable dark mode in YouTube
How to use a universal remote on PlayStation 4
How to access and use emoji on Android
How to remove preloaded apps from your Alexa Built-In phone
How to properly Powerwash your Chrome OS device
OnePlus 7 Pro vs. Samsung Galaxy S10 Plus: Which Android Powerhouse…
Specs comparison: Honor View 20 vs Honor View 10
Comparison Drones: DJI Spark VS DJI Mavic
Android vs. IOS: Best mobile OS for writers
Laptop vs Desktop: Which One Should You Get?
The best A.I.-based photo apps for iOS and Android
Lockly Secure Pro review
The best cash back apps to save you money
Best apps for a second phone number
The best video editing apps for iOS and Android
Home News Top Best Strategy games like Starcraft to try in 2019
Top Best Strategy games like Starcraft to try in 2019
John_A
From it's very early release in the year 1998, StarCraft has always managed to make its place well in the hearts of all its fans both playing as well as following till the very day. And I guess that is the very reason that the StarCraft team had managed to pull off one more series, the StarCraft: Remastered, just two years back in 2017 scoring a 9/10 score from IGN entertainment.
Also, I believe that once StarCraft made its debut into the gaming world. It also helped pave the way for other strategy games to make a place in the competitive world of digital games. With that said let us have a look into some of the other "Best Strategy games like StarCraft which you should definitely try in the year 2019".
If you are into fantasy and fiction, then this is the perfect strategy war game for you. Coming with a number of cool and mystical factions like Lizardmen, High Elves, Skaven and Dark Elves. The Warhammer II is just the perfect world to dive into and choose to belong to any faction or race you like. All you need to do after that is think like a ruler, build your army strong, conquer over lands and finally rule over all the races through skilful strategy and planning. And since, it is a turn-based strategy game, with each turn you play the chances of winning or losing a battle or an entire war is defined by how you make your choices, giving a special thrill altogether.
The Total War: Warhammer II is available in both Single-player and Multiplayer modes, making it even more fun to play with friends and families or complete stranger online. Also, in terms of the platforms that support the game. It is available for all popular platforms like Windows, Linux OS and Mac OS.
This is one of my personal favourites out of all the Total War series. Being a hardcore Samurai and Bushido fan, this game has just managed to give me the shrills much needed in a game as such. And if you are someone who has a similar taste like mine, then you just cannot skip on this one here.
The whole story or plot of Shogun 2 revolves around Feudal Japan. It is a race among factions or clans to who can become the most powerful clan of all and rule over entire Japan. This game will surely take you back to feudal Japan and give you a feel of what it is to be part of the clan and fight for honour and the King. From testing your diplomatic skills to be able to win a losing battle. You can also find any similar game here at Top Ten Alternatives
This game is sure to test all. The game comes with a number of factions (clans) like the Chosokabe, Date, Hajo and my favourite of all the Takeda clan just to name a few. All these clans have their own very characteristics and strong skill sets which makes the game even more interesting and intrinsic in nature. The Shogun 2 too is a turn-based strategy game along with real time tactics where again each decision you make will automatically decide you and your clans' fate till the very end.
It too is available for all popular platforms like Windows, Linux and OS X. Hence, making it easy for you to enjoy this game on whatever platform you want.
The Three Kingdom which is set to be released on May 23 this year is going to be one other most recent addition to the Total War family. And like the earlier versions of Total War games, The Three Kingdoms too is also going to be a turn-based and real-time tactics strategy game. Also, like all other Total War series, it too is pretty much based some real story line which took place somewhat in ancient China where all the three kingdoms had fought and battled their way to unify all of China and become the ultimate ruler of all. There are eleven factions in the game each having their own very qualities and features that make each battle worth fighting till the end. Also, like what we had seen earlier in Shogun, you also have the ability to carry out certain diplomatic stances which just makes the game even more interesting and fun at the same time.
The game as of now is said to be made available for all OS platforms like Windows, macOS and Linux. Moreover, like its predecessors it will too have both modes like Single Player and multiplayer mode.
Similar to StarCraft, the Company of Heroes 2 is also a full real time strategy game that has been set to take place at the time of World War II. The game's main plot revolves around primarily with its focus on the Eastern Front. The gameplay of the game revolves around various aspects like Resource, type of buildings, Combat Mechanics and Weather which proves to be very crucial to decide the fate of a battle. Also, one other additional feature the True Sight lets you have a better view of the combat taking place with more precision and better understanding.
The game is available for all leading OS platforms like Windows, OS X and Linux which again lets you run it on any system of your desire. Both single-player and multiplayer modes are available in it, giving you full freedom to play it on your own or with others according to your choice. There are a number of civilizations from which you can choose from like Assyrians, Babylonians, Egyptians, Greeks, Macedonians and Persians just to name a few out of the 16 total civilizations all together and hence the name Age of Empires.
Age of Empires: Definitive Edition
If you have been a fan of strategy games for quite some time now, then this name is sure to ring a bell in your head. The name in itself is a legacy if you ask me and there was no way I could do without adding up the name to the list. The game in itself is a small world. And by world I just don't mean just different types of armies but also the different ages we as humans had gone through. This is one aspect of the Age of Empires which has been constant throughout its series. That is set up in a primary age and develop yourself to the most advance age of all. There are a number of civilizations from which you can choose from like Assyrians, Babylonians, Egyptians, Greeks, Macedonians and Persians just to name a few out of the 16 total civilizations all together and hence the name Age of Empires.
Previous articleTHe USAF's new combat drone is an A.I. figther jet that flies itself
Next articleVivo Apex 2019 Concept hands-on: No buttons, no ports!
Amazon Android Android 4.3 Android 4.4 Android Apps Android Army App Apple BlackBerry Business Camera Computing Cool Tech Emerging Tech Facebook Galaxy Note Galaxy Tab 3 Gaming gear Google How To HTC Huawei IOS 5 IOS 6 IOS 7 iPad iPhone LG Microsoft mobile Motorola News Nexus Nexus 4 Nintendo Nokia Samsung Software Sony T-Mobile Tablet TV Twitter Wearables
The AIVAnet is a collector and classifier of app news articles and online technology news, which works automatically collecting and collating the RSS feeds from popular sites (IOS news feed,latest tablet news, etc.).The articles deal with mobile app reviews and specifically with android reviews, and IOS.
One of the central thematic axis is also the comparisons. You can found articles with tablet reviews comparison and mobile OS systems or mobile OS stats.
Also we provide some of the most popular app news express, for android and IOS or windows phone.The online technology news that you can found in our pages are just opinions and ideology, allowing you to see how different news agencies present the same news.
AIVAnet is supported by Cloud Services Store
© 2019 AIVAnet
Digitaltrends - Jul 19, 2019


text:
Hot News |
Dvitva
Trisha Joins Dvitva
One of the biggest stars in the South Indian film industry over the past two decades is Trisha Krishnan. The actress has been delivering hits alongside top actors consistently and she is all set to make her comeback to Kannada cinema. Trisha has been confirmed as the lead actress in Dvitva, which will be the first collaboration between director Pawan Kumar and Kannada film star Puneeth Rajkumar.
Pawan will be collaborating with cinematographer Preeth Jayaraman, who has made films in Kannada, Tamil, Telugu and Hindi, for the first time for this film and the film is being backed by the makers of KGF, Yuvarathna and Raajakumara.


text:
В буддизме та́нтра (, , «связь, нить, последовательность») — составная часть школ Ваджраяны, связанная с практикой пограничных состояний, просветлённых состояний, смерти и промежуточных состояний между смертью и следующим рождением (см. бардо). Тантра понимается как практика достижения окончательного результата («плода») — состояния Будды. В тантре активно используется сложная символика, идамы, медитации, мудры, янтры, ритуалы.

Занятия тантрой, индивидуальные и коллективные, могут осуществляться только под руководством гуру (тиб. ламы) — опытного наставника. Некоторые ритуалы и символы выглядят, с точки зрения посторонних, страшными или отталкивающими, поэтому для занятий тантрой требуется посвящение учителя и подробные объяснения. Разглашение или популяризация деталей тантрической практики не принята, система посвящений предназначена для защиты учения от профанации, а также передачи важнейших наставлений и создания у практикующего связи с линией преемственности.

Важнейшим предварительным условием для занятий тантрой является принятие обетов Бодхисаттвы, стремления спасти от страданий сансары все живые существа без исключения, и стать Буддой, чтобы помогать живым существам. Тантра считается самым коротким и одновременно самым опасным путём. Для адепта тантры очень важно найти хорошего учителя, который тоже должен тщательно проверяться.

Определение Тантры
Слово тантра в буддийском контексте означает непрерывность, континуум. Различные дефиниции, описывающие это понятие, можно встретить и в самих тантрических текстах, и в комментариях к ним.

В восемнадцатой главе Гухьясамаджа-тантры сказано:
Тантра означает непрерывность
причины (основы), искусных методов (пути) и плода.

В Гунаватитике (санскр. Guṇavatiṭikā), комментарии к Махамая-тантре, также говорится, что тантра означает непрерывность, эта непрерывность троична по природе, и говорится о том, что тантра-основа — это безначальный и бесконечный ум, светоносный по природе (санскр. prakṛtiprabhāsvara).

Современный мастер тантры и дзогчен, Намкай Норбу Ринпоче в книге «Дзогчен — состояние самосовершенства» дает следующее определение:
Само значение слова «тантра» — «продолжительность» — указывает на природу энергии изначального состояния, проявляющуюся беспрерывно.

История
Тексты, относящиеся к тантре, составляют существенную часть тибетского канона.

В Кангьюр входят около 500 тантрических текстов, а в Тангьюр более 2000 поясняющих и комментирующих работ.

Временем появления первых буддийских текстов по тантре был VII век. Местом зарождения тантр считают южную или восточную Индию. К VIII веку сформировались методы, описанные в тантрах первых трёх классов, и уже начинают проповедоваться в Китае.

В литературе нередко термин «тантра» сужают до высших тантр, соответствующих ануттара-йоге. Эти тантры получили распространение во второй половине VIII века.

Самой древней ануттара йога тантрой, вероятно, является Гухьясамаджа-тантра, которую относят к VII веку. В отличие от индуистских тантрических систем предварительным условием занятий тантрой считается принятие обетов бодхисаттвы.

Систему тантр упорядочил и привёл к современному виду Дромтонпа (992 — 1074), ученик Атиши уже в Тибете.

Отличительные особенности
Тантрический буддизм обладает рядом уникальных черт и особенностей, не присущих более ранним формам буддизма. По мнению одного из ведущих специалистов в данной области, переводчика Маха-вайрочана-абхисамбодхи тантры Стивена Ходжа, у тантрического буддизма есть следующие особенности:

 Тантрический буддизм предлагает альтернативный путь к просветлённости вдобавок к стандартному пути махаяны.
 Его учения обращены прежде всего к практикующим мирянам, а не к монахам и монахиням.
 Как следствие этого, он признаёт земные цели и обретения и часто имеет дело с практиками, по характеру более магическими, нежели духовными.
 Он учит специальным типам медитаций (садхана) как пути к осознанию, направленным на трансформацию индивида в воплощение божественного в течение этой жизни или через небольшой промежуток времени.
 Такие виды медитации включают активное использование различных типов мандал, мудр, мантр и дхарани, как конкретных выражений природы действительности.
 Формирование образов различных божеств в процессе медитации путём творческого воображения играет ключевую роль в процессе осознавания. Эти образы могут рассматриваться пребывающими как внутри, так и извне.
 Огромное многообразие количества и типов Будд и прочих божеств (дэвов).
 Большой упор делается на роли гуру и необходимости получения от него наставлений и должных инициаций для садхан.
 Бросаются в глаза многочисленные рассуждения о природе и силе речи, в особенности в связи с буквами санскритского алфавита.
 Различные обычаи и ритуалы, часто не-буддийского происхождения, такие как хома, инкорпорированы и адаптированы к буддизму.
 Духовная физиология преподаётся как часть процесса трансформации.
 Подчёркивается важность женского начала; используются различные формы сексуальной йоги.

Данный список не претендует на исчерпывающий, однако он даёт представление о характере тантрических практик изложенных в доктринальных текстах ваджраяны. Также нужно учитывать, что в полном объёме эти элементы присущи только высшим тантрам, а на начальной стадии формирования буддийского тантризма тексты могли включать лишь некоторые из вышеперечисленных особенностей.

Предписанная ритуальная "безнравственность"  также является одной из отличительных особенностей поздних буддийских тантрических текстов.

Символика и элементы тантр

Тантра использует сложную и разветвлённую систему символов, связанных с определёнными ритуалами, действиями и практиками.

Наиболее важные понятия тантры и связанные с ними символы:
 Идам — объект созерцания. Не стоит путать идамов и дэва — последние означают сансарических божеств, в то время как идам — это визуальное отображение просветлённых тела, энергии и ума. Известны многочисленные изображения идамов — как гневных, так и мирных, со множеством голов, рук, ног, иногда свирепых и кровожадных, разрывающих жертвы, которые символически представляют омрачения и препятствия к просветлению.
 Мандала — символическая структура мировосприятия в виде круговой диаграммы, ступы, схемы или системы сосудов, в которой обитают божества. Встречаются сложные пространственные и динамические мандалы. Особое искусство заключается в изготовлении песчаных мандал, которые потом ритуально разрушаются, чтобы показать преходящность мироздания. Мандала используется для созерцания и для ритуалов гуру-йоги подношения Учителю.
 Яб-юм (санскр. юганаддха, букв. "соединение") — изображения идамов, пребывающих в сексуальном союзе, предназначены для сложной практики созерцания и визуализации.
 Кладбищенские ритуалы (такие как чод), связанные с кладбищами, вызовом страшных духов, черепами и скелетами, несут определённую символическую смысловую нагрузку, объясняемую учителем.
 Простирания — связаны с ритуальными действиями и подготовкой к тантрическим ритуалам.
 Работа с энергетическими каналами и чакрами.
 Мантры: созерцание звуков и использование семенных слогов.

Характеристики тантр

Школы Сарма
Тантры, как цельные практические системы, описанные в доктринальных текстах Ваджраяны, представляют собой наставления, исходящие от различных будд, йидамов и дакинь, полученные махасиддхами Индии или Тибета. Школы сарма — кагью, сакья и гелуг — подразделяют тантру на четыре класса:

 Крия-тантры (тантры ритуального действия)
 Чарья-тантры (тантры исполнения),
 Йога-тантры (йогические тантры),
 Ануттарайога-тантры (тантры наивысшей йоги).
По своим особенностям ануттара-йога-тантры подразделяются на:
 отцовские тантры (если в них особое значение придается методу (упайя) и мужскому началу),
 материнские тантры (если в них делается упор на мудрость (праджня) и женское начало)
 недвойственные тантры (если эти два принципа одинаково важны).

Школа Ньингма

Тибетская школа Ньингма именует первые три класса тантр "Внешними" и дополнительно выделяет три класса Внутренних тантр, первый из которых (Махайога — Великая йога) более или менее соответствует Ануттарайоге Новых традиций, а два других в Новых традициях не представлены:
 Ану-йога (Высшая йога), предполагающая работу с «тонкими» (энергетическими) психофизиологическими центрами (чакры) и каналами (нади) тела,
 [Маха-] Ати-йога ([Великая] Изначальная йога, или Йога Великого Совершенства, Дзогчен).

Список наиболее известных тантр
 Гухьясамаджа-тантра
 Калачакра-тантра
 Ямантака-тантра
 Хеваджра-тантра
 Чакрасамвара-тантра
 Гухьягарбха-тантра
 Чандамахарошана-тантра
 Махамайя-тантра (Mahamāyā) — «тантра великой иллюзии».

См. также
 Тантра
 Тантра (индуизм)
 Бодхичитта
 Бардо
 Трикая
 Идам
 Нёндро
 Простирания
 Чод
 Гуру-йога
 Посвящение (буддизм)

Примечания

Литература

Ссылки
 Ваджраяна (Тантрический буддизм)
 Жизнеописания тантрических мастеров
 Тантрические учения. Материалы о буддийской тантре на сайте Александра Берзина.

Буддийское поведение и опыт

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaWikipedia


View the video clip of lyrics THE BOY FROM NEW YORK CITY, THE GIRL FROM TENNESSEE by 5 Chinese Brothers for free online in high quality.. Listen to THE BOY FROM NEW YORK CITY, THE GIRL FROM TENNESSEE online free. Best songs by 5 Chinese Brothers. Browse songs similar to THE BOY FROM NEW YORK CITY, THE GIRL FROM TENNESSEE using our search engine.


text:
The Hottest Betty Grable Photos Around The Net
Celebrity Nostalgia, Hot Celebrities 113 Views
Ruth Elizabeth Grable aka Betty Grable was born on December 18th in the year 1916, St. Louis, Mo., United States of America. Betty Grable is an American film entertainer and artist who was one of the main film industry draws of the 1940s. Betty Grable featured principally in musicals with equation-based plots that grasped her healthy, well-intentioned screen picture and included athletic move numbers which flaunted her shapely legs. Betty Grable was determined to the way to fame by her mom, who enlisted her since the beginning in move and music classes and in the year 1929 moved with her to Hollywood. Just 13 years of age, Betty Grable lied about her age and landed chorale young lady parts in a few Hollywood musicals. Betty Grable sang and moved in movies all through the 1930s in the year now and again utilizing the name Frances Dean yet did not make a big deal about an impression until 1939 when Betty Grable was a hit on Broadway in Cole Porter's melodic Du Barry Was a Lady. Betty Grable was then gotten back to Hollywood by Twentieth Century Fox, and in the year 1940, Betty Grable had her first blockbuster accomplishment with Down Argentine Way. That film was trailed by such hits as Moon over Miami in the year 1941, Sweet Rosie O'Grady in the year 1943, Pin-Up Girl in the year 1944, and The Dolly Sisters in the year 1946-the accomplishment of which helped haul Fox out of obligation.
The splashy Technicolor musicals wherein Betty Grable featured were colossally prevalent and given gatherings of people idealist amusement amid World War II. The renowned hot chick photograph of the leggy, blonde, swimsuit-clad Betty Grable, back to the camera, looking more than one shoulder, did not repudiate her persona as the young lady adjacent and turned into a symbol of the period. In fact, American servicemen cast a ballot, Betty Grable, their most loved centerfold girl, and her picture could be seen enhancing the sides of aircraft planes. Betty Grable positioned among the best 10 film industry stars for 10 back to back years in the year 1942-1951; Betty Grable held the main spot in the year 1943 and was the most noteworthy positioned lady in 7 different years. At the statue of her popularity, her celebrated legs were protected for one million dollars, and Betty Grable wound up the most generously compensated star in Hollywood as well as the most generously compensated lady in the United States. In the mid-1950s, be that as it may, Betty Grable's motion picture profession declined pair with the lessening in the prominence of the customary, behind the stage musicals Betty Grable represented considerable authority in. Betty Grable at that point featured shows in Las Vegas, Nevada, here and there showing up with bandleader Harry James, to whom Betty Grable was hitched from 1943 to 1965.
These sexy Betty Grable bikini photos will make you wonder how someone so beautiful could exist. Yes, she is a very sexy woman and Betty Grable's bra and breast size prove that she can carry off any dress in style. So, we have also gathered a few Betty Grable bikini and swimsuit featuring Betty Grable's face and body pictures as well.
Previous The Hottest Murielle Telio Photos Around The Net
Next 50 Hot Susan Hayward Photos


My ideal yearly meeting would resemble that meeting of apostles. After a year of ministering in the name and authority of Jesus, preaching, healing wounded people, and confronting evil, we would be eager to reunite and report on how it had gone in a setting of leisure and refreshment.
How is this different from the yearly meetings we currently enjoy? We already have good food and inspiring speakers. Some of our yearly meetings are genuine vacation opportunities (New England and New York are two of the best for sheer family fun). I think the biggest gap between Mark 6:30-32 and my experience is that we do not emphasize reuniting in Jesus' presence to tell what we have been doing.
We don't lack reports--..in fact, most of our energy is taken up by reports. In some cases, reports are distributed in writing and then are read aloud, word for word. Sometimes reports are dissected for doctrinal or political correctness, or to see what faction is winning. Too many reports are inventories of bureaucratic obligations--they are important for accountability, but they should not take up precious plenary time. Some reports are symbolic presentations by affiliated groups without any new business to present.
A few years ago, my yearly meeting's agenda included the planting of a meeting in Fort Wayne and the exploration of a relationship with a Spanish-speaking meeting in Toronto. To me, these items begged for careful consideration, much prayer, and even a concentrated mobilization of resources. Instead, the business marched on. Was this because nobody else felt a call to go beyond business as usual? Or did the clerk feel that Friends are so habitually argumentative that an open time of deliberation was as likely to lead to division as to fervent prayer?
At Iowa Yearly Meeting last summer, I saw how Friends could organize to focus on a major issue, their relationship with FUM. Almost all routine business--normally a whole annual session's worth--was packed into one morning. I hope that, this year, routine business in all our yearly meetings will get the one morning it deserves (more or less!), and that the rest of the time is devoted to telling Jesus--and each other--in very personal terms what we have taught and whom we have healed. Then let's wait for God to tell us what to do in the coming year.
As leadings are confirmed, we can consider the resources we will need. Which leadings will we take up an immediate collection for? Which will we refer to committees, or to Friends United Meeting? Will we need smaller groups to focus on different facets of the vision? What roles will be recommended for the United Society of Friends Women, our meetinghouses and schools, FUM or yearly meeting staff? For once, will we take a deliberate financial risk to confront spiritual or social oppression? Might civil disobedience be involved?
If we are faithful, we may find things are not as restful as Mark's weary apostles had hoped. The public caught wind of their plans (Mark 6:33) and actually got to their retreat site before they did! If only the hungry seekers of our world saw so much hope in us that they were waiting for our yearly meet- ings to assemble so that they, too, could be fed by our Shepherd.


text:
Q: BiqQuery detected on windows command prompt but not on Bash I've installed Cloud SDK on my windows 10 machine and I'm able to run commands like "gcloud", "gsutil" and "bq" on my command prompt. However, when I run "gsutil" or "bq" on Bash, this is the error I'm getting.
$ bq
bash: bq: command not found
Then I added this location to PATH C:\Users\User\AppData\Local\Google\Cloud SDK\google-cloud-sdk\bin, and afterwards I seem to be able to call gsutil and bq using gsutil.cmd and bq.cmd. But of course, I'd prefer calling bq / gsutil directly.
Has anyone has this problem before? Thank you!

A: I found one possible solution!

*

*In Bash, go to the root bash folder by typing cd

*Type touch .bashrc

*write alias bq="bq.cmd" or alias gsutil="gsutil.cmd" or both

*Press Esc and type :qa and Enter to save and exit

This tells Bash to remember bq as invoking bq.cmd, hence now I can invoke bq anywhere -- as far as I know.
If anyone has a better suggestion, please let me know! Thank you!

A: In the bash session itself, check what echo $PATH returns. It should inherit the path that was defined on Windows.
So open a new CMD session, and:

*

*make sure the %PATH% does include C:\Users\User\AppData\Local\Google\Cloud SDK\google-cloud-sdk\bin,

*then call C:\path\to\Git\bin\bash.exe to open a bash session

bq should work in such a shell session.

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaStackExchange


text:
charity-chess.ru
free sex dating games online
adult simulation dating sex games free
sites to find latino women for dating
free black dating sites in south africa
free online dating cupid
dangerous dating sites
best online dating websites ireland
No registration sex cha - Lucchese nude
One of these proposals was to disband the Municipal Police Department, in which Wood's supporters had a controlling interest, and replace it with a state-run Metropolitan Police Department.Wood refused to disband his Municipal Department, and so for the first half of 1857, the two rival departments battled it out on the streets of the city until the courts ordered the Municipals to disband that July.On July 4 a bloody fight, the Dead Rabbits Riot, occurred with the Metropolitan Police and the Bowery gangs against the Municipal Police, Mulberry Street Boys, Roach Guard, and Dead Rabbits in Bayard Street.
These two rival gangs fought over 200 gang battles in a span of 10 years beginning in 1834, and they often outmanned the police force and even the state militias.
They were also in the forefront of the Dead Rabbits Riot and the New York Draft Riots.
Besides street-fighting, the Dead Rabbits also supported politicians such as Fernando Wood and the Tammany Hall whose platforms included the welfare and benefit of immigrant groups and minorities, and under the leadership of Isaiah Rynders the gang also acted as enforcers to violently persuade voters during elections to vote for their candidates.
One of the Dead Rabbit leader, John Morrissey, would later become a Democratic State Senator and U. Congressman who alleviated the conditions of the Irish-American communities for years to come.
New York's Democrats were divided into two camps, those who supported Mayor Fernando Wood, and those who opposed him.
The Bowery gangs were one of the latter while the Dead Rabbits were supporters of Wood.
Thus the Bowery Boys threw their support in league with state Republicans who proposed legislation that would strip Wood of certain powers and place them in the hands of Albany.
The Dead Rabbits was the media-bestowed name of an Irish American gang in New York City in the 1850s.
They called themselves the Roach Guards and were also known as the Black Birds.
dating a man in a relationship
dating sound city amps
Live sex cams seniors
Free adult live nude webcam
validating forms with
meet latinos dating site
Dating sex dating in mont alto pennsylvania
sophos updating policy comparison failure
sarah mclachlan dating brett wilson
christian singles dating san diego
best social sites for dating
© 2016 charity-chess.ru sitemap


text:
Q: Subfolder save is causing variable not defined error, but it's in my first sub? I have a separate sub that saves the last file in my array, but it still doesn't work when I redefine the variables within that second sub. How can I implement the variables in the second sub to allow the final file cut to be saved off into it's sub folder?
Sub SaveCopy(Wb As Workbook, Last)

Wb.SaveCopyAs strNewPath & _
              ValidFileName(Last & " - Shift Differential Roster_New Hire.xlsx")
End Sub

getting an error on strNewPath variable, but it's defined above at the top of the script?
Option Explicit

Sub Main()
Dim Wb As Workbook
Dim Data, Last
Dim i As Long, j As Long, k As Long, a As Long
Dim Dest As Range
Dim BASEPATH As String, strNewPath As String, strFileName As String

Dim strHRBP As String
Dim strEC As String

Dim colEC As Long
colEC = 1
Dim colHRBP As Long
colHRBP = 3
Set Wb = Workbooks("JNav Template.xlsx")

Set Dest = Wb.Sheets("New Hires_Internal&External").Range("A2")

With ThisWorkbook.Sheets("Cuts")
    Data = .Range("L2", .Range("A" & Rows.Count).End(xlUp))
End With
Wb.Activate

BASEPATH = "C:\Users\pp87255\Desktop\JNav Rest\"

Application.ScreenUpdating = False

For i = 1 To UBound(Data)

    If Data(i, 4) <> Last Then

        If i > 1 Then

            Dest.Select

            With Wb.Worksheets("New Hires_Internal&External")
                .Cells.EntireColumn.AutoFit
            End With

            strNewPath = BASEPATH & strEC & "\"
            If Len(Dir(strNewPath, vbDirectory)) = 0 Then
                MkDir strNewPath
            End If
            strNewPath = strNewPath & strHRBP & "\"
            If Len(Dir(strNewPath, vbDirectory)) = 0 Then
                MkDir strNewPath
            End If

            Wb.SaveCopyAs strNewPath & _
                          ValidFileName(Last & " - Shift Differential Roster_New Hire.xlsx")

        End If

        With Wb.Sheets("New Hires_Internal&External")
            .Rows(2 & ":" & .Rows.Count).ClearContents
        End With

        strEC = Data(i, 1)
        strHRBP = Data(i, 3)
        Last = Data(i, 4)

        j = 0
    End If

    a = 0
    For k = 1 To UBound(Data, 2)
        Dest.Offset(j, a) = Data(i, k)
        a = a + 1
    Next

    j = j + 1

Next

SaveCopy Wb, Last                            '<< save the last report

End Sub

Sub SaveCopy(Wb As Workbook, Last)

Wb.SaveCopyAs strNewPath & _
              ValidFileName(Last & " - Shift Differential Roster_New Hire.xlsx")
End Sub

A: Your problem could be that strEC and strHRBP, and Last are defined at the end of the for loop. try moving assigning those variable to the beginning. Essentially you are try to go to your last assignment but your code is finished.
Another option is:
    For i = 1 to Ubound(data) + 1

A: It's a simple issue of scope.
SaveCopy doesn't know what strNewPath is. The strNewPath variable is defined within Main and consequently is not visible outside it.
Add a file path parameter to SaveCopy:
Sub SaveCopy(Wb as Workbook, strNewPath as String, Last as Variant)
    ...
End Sub

And call SaveCopy like this:
SaveCopy Wb, strNewPath, Last


text:
'X-Men: Days Of Future Past' Review: A Time Travel Movie That Somehow Makes Sense
Mike Ryan Published: May 20, 2014
Even though the story behind 'X-Men: Days of Future Past' has been around for 33 years now, the idea of a superhero movie meshed with a movie about time travel seems, let's say … daunting. Especially for a superhero franchise like X-Men, which is known for having a lot of superheroes.
It's just that it's hard enough to make a big-budget superhero movie make sense (as the so very recent 'The Amazing Spider-Man 2' taught us) -- and adding the cinematic equivalent of pai gow (at least, nothing confuses me more than pai gow) to this whole equation seemed like kind of a bad idea. I mean, how many time travel movies make sense in the first place, beyond the 'Back to the Futures' and the 'Loopers' and the 'Primers' of the word? And none of those movies have dozens and dozens of mutants to keep track of their whereabouts.
The most remarkable thing about 'X-Men: Days of Future Past' is just how coherent it is – a movie that almost has no right to be this coherent. A movie that, if it were the mess it should be, could almost be forgiven in a, "Well, there was a lot going on," kind of way.
Well, let me backtrack a little bit. 'Days of Future Past' takes place both in the years 2024 and in 1973. Thankfully, we are spared from having to spend too much time in yet another dystopian, bombed-out future that is somehow only 10 years from this very moment, but looks like it takes place 200 years from now.
(I do wonder about this: If you woke up tomorrow and it was 2004 instead of 2014, how long would it take you to notice? Setting aside that you probably live in a different location than you did in 2004 and own different things, if you were just walking around, how long would it really be before you convinced yourself that you had somehow traveled back in time? I would guess at least 10 minutes. Which may not sound like a long amount of time, but it certainly wouldn't be an immediate realization. There would even be advertisements for a movie called 'Spider-Man 2.' My guess is that it would be after you see the seventh person in a row with a flip phone.)
In 2024, the Sentinel project – highly advanced machines programmed to kill mutants and humans who have the genes necessary to spawn mutants -- has reached its apex. Sentinels have the ability to adapt their bodies to whatever mutant they happen to be fighting. (It's unclear if a Sentinel can adapt just by looking at another being, but, considering its ability to shoot fire out of its face, I would assume that every Sentinel has seen the first 'Thor' movie.)
It's become an unwinnable war for what mutants are left, so Professor Charles Xavier (Patrick Stewart) and Magneto (Ian McKellen) come up with the idea of having Kitty Pryde (Ellen Page) send the consciousness of Wolverine (Hugh Jackman) back in time to his younger, 1973 self (the one we saw, briefly, in 'X-Men: First Class') in an effort to stop the whole Sentinel project from being started in the first place. (Note: in the comic book story, it's Kitty Pryde herself who goes back in time. Another note: Hugh Jackman is a very famous man and people love Wolverine, so, here we are.)
Anyway, everything mentioned to this point happens in the first 20 minutes of the movie. The overwhelming majority of the film takes place in 1973 alongside the cast we met in 'X-Men: First Class.' (Though, every now and then the film will cut back to the future just to remind us that they are there.)
Once 'Days of Future Past' gets into that aforementioned past, boy, it becomes a different movie. The gist is: the Sentinels gained their adapting power from Mystique's (Jennifer Lawrence) DNA, so Wolverine must unite an incarcerated Magneto (Michael Fassbender) and a really sad Charles Xavier (James McAvoy) to prevent Mystique's DNA from getting into the hands of Bolivar Trask (Peter Dinklage).
See: pretty simple! Plus, it's a treat to watch Jackman verbally spar with Fassbender. (Highlighted by Fassbender's Magneto sarcastically asking Wolverine if they are "buddies" in the future.)
(Time travel movies always become complicated when it comes to what happens to the person's physical body who is traveling through time – which causes a whole mess of scenarios and questions. 'Days of Future Past' avoids all of this by only sending Wolverine's consciousness into his younger self. His physical unconscious body remains in 2024. This may be one of the tidiest time travel movies to ever be made.)
It's weird to say this about an X-Men movie – especially with an X-Men movie that involves time travel – but it's almost like the attitude with this complicated story is "less is more." There's certainly action, but there's really no grand spectacle -- no overreaching computer generated juggernaut (not even the character) to act as a diversionary eye candy in the wake of a coherent plot.
But that's kind of where we're at with the machine that is the summer (hopeful) blockbuster: Basic simple competence is rewarded. And that's fine, because these movies make a ton of money either way, so basic competence should be rewarded. And 'X-Men: Days of Future Past' is one of the more competent summer movies to come along in some time.
In other words: It's not often I leave the theater after a summer movie and say out loud, "You know, that movie made a lot of sense."
'X-Men: Days of Future Past' opens in theaters on May 23.
Mike Ryan is the senior editor of ScreenCrush. You can contact him directly on Twitter.
Source: 'X-Men: Days Of Future Past' Review: A Time Travel Movie That Somehow Makes Sense
Filed Under: hugh jackman, james mcavoy, jennifer lawrence, X-MEn


text:
Life Skills For Teenagers: How Do You Mail a Letter?
By Sharon Holbrook
During the last election season, there was a popular article about why some college students weren't sending in their absentee ballots: They didn't know where to buy stamps. Then, a friend told me that her daughters didn't know where on the envelope to put the stamps. Others have said their teenage kids didn't know where to write the address and return address.
Oh, dear.
More letter writing help? Fine more here:
Tips for Writing Thank You Notes: Getting Teens to Write Thank You Notes
Sure, texting and Snapchat have replaced a lot of written communication for our teens, but they will still need to use good old-fashioned snail mail once in a while. Here's what you'll want to make sure your teenagers know.
When to Send a Letter
To say thank you
Letters are still appropriate for thank-you notes. It's fine to call Grandma to say "thanks" for the birthday gift if she's not a stickler for old-fashioned etiquette. But as they get closer to the professional world, teenagers should know that a thank-you letter will help them stand out. Whether it's a neighbor who met your teen for coffee and career talk, or the employer who interviewed your kid for an internship, it's best to follow up immediately with a brief note of thanks for that person's time.
To express condolences
In the case of a death, a mailed handwritten sympathy note is still the gold standard. Hopefully, your teen hasn't had much experience with this kind of situation, but you'll still want to make sure they know this sooner rather than later.
And, of course, when they're in college, they'll need to mail their absentee ballot!
How to Send a Letter
While this may seem overly simple to parents, it might help to mark up a sample envelope, showing where to put the stamp, address, and return address. Let your teenager know that (as of now) domestic stamps cost 55 cents each, that each regular-size envelope requires one stamp, and that they can buy stamps at the post office and even the grocery store.
Don't Forget to Write: The Lost Art of Letters From Camp
That wasn't so bad, right? And who knows—maybe, years from now, that all-grown-up kid will even mail you a greeting card.
Sharon Holbrook
Sharon Holbrook is managing editor of Your Teen. Sign up for her new and captivating newsletter.
Returning a Purchase: How to Make a Return In Person and Online
"Mom, I'm Bored!" 100 Activities Antsy Teens Can Do Without Screens
Your Teen Magazine
34 Surprising Things Your Teen Can Do When They Turn the Big 18!
Teenager Slang — Guidebook with Key Meanings
Zachary Nosanchuck and Maddie Suna


Babies are not born with a preference for any one type of dishes – thus, it is best to introduce them to different kinds of flavours while they are still not picky about what they put into their mouth. As baby food is relatively easy to make, wouldn't it be fun to try making a few at home? You can then pick and choose what you want to feed your baby – plus, it will be healthier too. In this section, you will find recipes for baby food that you can try at home and if you wish to – adapt the recipes to make them your own!
Your baby will still need to nurse up to six times a day when you begin to wean at 6 months or older. And there's no need to stop giving your baby all the goodness of breastmilk when you start giving them solids. Try out these 5 baby weaning recipes that all use breastmilk!
Feeding time - Is organic baby food better?
Organic baby food may be more expensive but does this mean that it is better for baby? Is it better to cook your baby's meals from scratch so you know what has gone in? We take a look at studies on this topic.
Weaning the baby from milk is an important step in an infant's development. It is important for parents to establish proper feeding practices for their babies from the beginning.


text:
Samsung Galaxy Watch Active ditches the best feature of the series
By Max Parker
February 20, 2019 8:28 pm GMT
Samsung's unveiled the latest iteration of its Galaxy Watch line alongside the Galaxy S10 at its Unpacked event.
The Galaxy Watch Active is, as the name suggests, is a sportier version of Samsung's older Galaxy Watch wearable that should go head-to-head with the rumoured Fitbit Versa 2.
Like any good sports watch the Galaxy Active packs a built-in GPS, can be submerged to depths of up to 5ATM and includes proper sleep tacking. There's a heart-rate monitor that offers constant tracking throughout the day too.
The biggest difference between this new model and the other Galaxy Watch is the lack of a rotating bezel. This unique feature has been a mainstay on Samsung's smartwatches since the days of the Gear branding.
Related: Best fitness tracker
The rotating bezel was a useful feature that let you navigate the Tizen-based OS without using your fingers, meaning that whole screen was there for you to see. Now you'll have to swipe about with just your digits. We'll have to get our hands on the watch to see how much difference this makes.
Tizen offers decent app support, NFC for Samsung Pay payments and auto-tracking of your workouts.
One nifty feature is the addition of Qi wireless charger. If you pick up the Samsung Galaxy S10, you'll be able to easily juice the watch up by using the Wireless Powershare feature.
Like with the Apple Watch 4, Samsung has added Instant Pairing: just hold your Watch Active near your S10 and it'll instantly offer you the easy opportunity to set it up without too much hassle.
Along with the Watch Active, Samsung introduced a new pair of Galaxy Buds, a 5G version of the Samsung Galaxy S10 and the Galaxy Fold. This is the brand's first 5G foldable device and it'll set you back a whopping £1800 when it launches on 3 May.
Excited about the new Samsung products? Let us know on Twitter @TrustedReviews
Max is the Editor of Trusted Reviews, and has been a mobile phone and technology specialist for over nine years. Max started his career at T3 straight after graduating from Kingston University. Max ha…


text:
Kabam Acquires WonderHill, Wants To Become The Blizzard Of Social Games
Jason Kincaid @jasonkincaid / 12 years
Back in May 2009, I wrote about a small social game developer called WonderHill that was looking to sidestep its competitors focused on battling mobsters and vampires by taking a very different approach: wholesome games that would appeal to the entire family. It sounded like a great idea at the time, and with a veteran team in tow that included CEO James Currier, who founded Tickle (which sold to Monster.com for over $100 million), WonderHill looked like a pretty good bet. And it was: today the company is announcing that it's been acquired by Kabam, another rapidly growing social gaming company. Terms of the deal aren't being disclosed (it's a mix of cash and equity), but all of WonderHill's team of 25 will be joining Kabam.
But that's not the end of the story. You see, WonderHill's vision of wholesome gaming proved to be very prescient — but it got nailed by Zynga with Farmville, and then a wave of other more family-friendly games caught on before WonderHill could really carve out its place. So the company pivoted to focus on a different class of gamers: those of us who aren't satisfied by 5-minute bursts of rather trivial tasks and prefer a bit more strategy and engagement in our games. Which makes it right at home at Kabam.
Oh, you haven't heard of Kabam? Can't blame you — the company was known as WaterCooler up until a few months ago, and even then it's remained pretty under the radar. But the company is growing like mad: in the last ten months it's grown from 30 employees to over 200. And it's got some very lofty goals, which include taking on Blizzard, one of the most celebrated game developers ever (they made World of Warcraft, Diablo, and the Starcraft series).
Kabam's early games (when it was still called Watercooler) were really communities focused on sports and television programs, which grew to around 60 million users. Then it landed a deal to build Sports Illustrated's fantasy football game, which proved to be quite successful, and followed that up with a soccer game called Epic Goal.
Kindoms of Camelot
Now Kabam is focused on real-time strategy games like Kingdoms of Camelot, which CEO Kevin Chou describes as a mix of Starcraft (it's real-time) and Civilization (there's an empire-building mechanic). There's also social features, including an 'alliance' system that lets friends band together (he says around 50% of alliances are between people who are actually friends on Facebook, while the other half are for people who met online). Kingdoms of Camelot now has 6 million players monthly, some of whom are very engaged — 10% of players spend more than six hours a day playing the game.
Back to WonderHill. After deciding to pivot away from its 'wholesome game' strategy, the company began developing strategy games as well. Its first, called Dragons of Atlantis, launched three weeks ago and is off to a solid start. The deal between Kabam and WonderHill came together after the companies realized that they were both targeting the same, more 'hardcore' market that hasn't really been served by the likes of Zynga, Playfish, and Playdom. They're also very optimistic about the future growth in this area — there may be a huge number of casual gamers playing FarmVille right now, but Kabam thinks that many of them will eventually want to graduate on to games that are more robust.
Kabam has some ambitious plans — it intends to release a new game every month throughout 2011, and the company's office has room for another 200 employees. It's pretty obvious that the company has been trying to keep a low profile up until this point, but it looks like we'll hear a lot more about them in the near future.


Outside Neal's Harness and Tack Shop in northern Lawrence County, cars and pickup trucks park alongside Amish horse-drawn buggies. A row of gasoline-powered washing machines, a sideline of Neal's business, squat in a row beside the entrance.
Anthony Cook has a name that carries responsbility. He is the fifth generation of the Cook family — and the fourth named Anthony — involved in the creation and preservation of Cook Forest State Park.
Sometimes we Raging Grannies create quite a stir. Being of a "certain age," none of us ever expected to find ourselves before an audience, let alone exiting to applause. But there we are, clambering up on stages and platforms, wearing outrageous hats and running shoes, singing like canaries and loving it.
When John Stahl-Wert, then pastor of the Mennonite church in Pittsburgh, received a request from the national Church to design a program to strengthen the Mennonite community and impact the city, he knew what was needed.


text:
Old Siggiewi church restoration job wins Din l-Art Helwa accolade
Times of Malta, 22nd November 2008, by Lisa Gwen Baldacchino
Restoration works on a medieval church in Siggiewi, which had been abandoned for about 300 years, have been commended by Din l-Art Helwa.
The government's Restoration Unit, which did 10 months of painstaking work to save the village's first parish church from further decay, yesterday was presented with the Silver Medal Trophy and Prix d'Honneur for restoration and conservation.
President Emeritus Guido de Marco, who presided over the award ceremony, urged architects to design structures that respected the outstanding tradition of built heritage stretching back thousands of years.
The medieval church has remained abandoned, falling into disrepair, since the late 17th century when the congregation moved to the "new" parish church.
Din l-Art Helwa felt that "What was so striking about this building, and what attracted the judges' attention, was the notion of restoring a ruin which would then be showcased as a ruin itself." Vice-president Martin Scicluna felt the work on the old parish church of Siggiewi, as it is still referred to, exemplified all the NGO was striving to achieve with the award scheme.
By ensuring the survival of such an important medieval site, the Restoration Unit had made an outstanding and significant contribution to the conservation and enhancement of Malta's cultural heritage, Mr Scicluna said.
Architect Norbert Gatt, who led the restoration job, said the project had been a great challenge for the unit. The team's goal had been to maintain the nature of the ruins while making the site adequate for visiting. When the old church had first opened its doors while works were underway, the entire village had thronged to the site to view the project.
This was the fourth edition of the DLH awards, which this year included three categories: category A – major regeneration projects; category B – rehabilitation and reuse of a building; and category C – restoration and conservation projects.
There were no entries for the first category, so just the two awards in categories B and C were handed out.
The Prix d'Honneur for rehabilitation and re-use was awarded to Joanna Spiteri Staines, from Architecture Project (AP), for the rehabilitation and re-use of Villa Cagliares in Zejtun, a 400-year-old Baroque country residence.
This conservation project lifted the villa from its dreadful state of dilapidation from the days it was used as a farm. Retaining the authenticity of the building was of paramount importance, so nothing was discarded to ensure the building was restored to its original state.
Ms Spiteri Staines commended the AP team who contributed to the project's success. She stressed that the project could not have been possible without the expertise of master masons Lawrence Buhagiar and George Borg, who were "a dying breed".
A third project, The Our Lady of Lilies Band Club, Mqabba, received special mention during the award ceremony for the restoration and renovation of the post-war classical façade of the building.
Prestigious Din l-Art Helwa Awards for Built and Natural Heritage Journalism
Objection to proposed Ghadira road


text:
Two Old Pals è un cortometraggio muto del 1912 scritto e diretto da William V. Mong.

Trama

Produzione
Il film fu prodotto dalla Selig Polyscope Company.

Distribuzione
Distribuito dalla General Film Company, il film - un cortometraggio di una bobina - uscì nelle sale cinematografiche statunitensi il 25 gennaio 1912.

Voci correlate
Filmografia della Selig Polyscope

Altri progetti

Collegamenti esterni

Cortometraggi drammatici
Cortometraggi commedia


In previous blog on UPDATE statement, we learnt, how can we update a column value with a string value or based on any column from the same table and update using DEFAULT keyword?
In this blog we will learn something advance. How can we update a table column with a value which is available in a different table?
Syntax is pretty much same but with a little tweek. In SQL, we call it Correlated Subquery.
You can visit my previous blog if you are not aware of any keywords in the above syntax.
I can understand this syntax can give you a headache but trust me it would look super easy after the example and some self written codes. We will be using the same table we used in the previous lesson.
For better understand, we need one more table with the same date but SALARY as null/blank. So, I have prepared a new table called TEST_UPD_NEW.
Click Here to download the CREATE TABLE script.
You must have understood, what am I going to do next?
We will try to update SALARY column of our new table on the basis of our old table. Let's write an SQL statement with the help of syntax above.
We have not used any WHERE clause for our UPDATE statement. Because, we want to update salary for all the employees. The WHERE clause we have used, it is only for SELECT statement where it is helping to fetch correct SALARY for the respective EMPLOYEE.
Execute above SQL code and we will see that 4 rows updated successfully.
So, we have updated salary column in table TEST_UPD_NEW on the basis of salary column from TEST_UPD table.
I have a very interesting task for you.
Write a SQL statement to update salary of Bruce Ernst in table TEST_UPD_NEW with twice of salary of Lex De Haan in TEST_UPD table.
Put your SQL statement in the comment section.


text:
La clase Whidbey Island es una clase de ocho LSD (landing ship dock) de la US Navy que, junto a los cuatro buques de la clase Harpers Ferry, constituye un grupo de doce LSD de la marina de guerra estadounidense.

Desarrollo
Los LSD de la clase Whidbey Island son un grupo de ocho buques con un diseño que permite las operaciones con LCAC y tropas, a diferencia de los LSD de la clase Harpers Ferry; cuya capacidad de carga fue incrementada.

Tanto los Whidbey Island como los Harpers Ferry son buques de 185 m de eslora. Su armamento consiste en misiles superficie-aire RIM-116A y dos (2) sistemas Phalanx CIWS; y pueden operar hasta con dos (2) helicópteros CH-53D Sea Stallion.

Buques

Véase también
 Clase Foudre
 Anexo:Buques de asalto anfibio por países

Referencias

Whidbey Island


text:
Q: Can't Inject DAO into EJB using CDI I'm working on an application using EJB3, JPA and JSF and I'd like to inject my DAO into the EJB using CDI :
Here's my DAO's code :

    public class ZoneDao {

        @PersistenceContext(unitName = "wabApp3PU")
        private EntityManager em;

        /* Functions */

    }

and here's my EJB code :

    @Stateless
    public class ZoneFacade{

        @Inject
        private ZoneDao zoneDao;

        /* Functions*/

    }

Here's the error I get :
org.jboss.weld.exceptions.DeploymentException: WELD-001408 Unsatisfied dependencies for type [ZoneDao] with qualifiers [@Default] at injection point [[BackedAnnotatedField] @Inject private fr.si.metier.ZoneFacade.zoneDao]

NB: I'm using the glassfish 4 application server

A: JAVA EE 6 - CDI Component, give DAO @ApplicationScoped, then it'll allows inject the persistentcontext

A: Add @Stateless to your ZoneDao Class or give this Bean a Scope e.g. @SessionScoped.
Make sure you have a beans.xml if using Java EE 6. With version 7 it is not required anymore.

A: ZoneDao is not marked as a managed bean and so it won't work like that using CDI. Annotate ZoneDao with @Named , and choose it's scope using @RequestScope, @SessionScop,...etc or what ever scope you need, Only then it will be a managed bean that can be injected using CDI.

A: *

*Which IDE are you using? If Netbeans, check if it has generated beans.xml in the META-INF/WEB-INF folder. If it has, check to ensure that default bean-discovery mode is not set to annotated, if it is, annotate the DAO with @Dependent.

*You cannot inject entitymanager into a CDI bean using @PersistenceContext.(Until the CDI guys, or the server vendors change this). Simple solution, as it seems you are learning is to inject the entitymanager in a stateless bean (and if you are using ejb in a war application, you can then inject the stateless EJB)


THE STORY OF AN AFRICAN FARM A NOVEL. By "Ralph Iron" [pseud].
Publisher: London: Chapman & Hall, 1883.
Donohue Henneberry Publisher -, 1883. Gd. condition - Life on the farm in Africa ... (F1349ml). Hard Cover. Good.
OP: Out of print. A book which is no longer being printed by the publisher. Generally only used copies of an out of print book are in distribution.


Happy New Year! I got a 5D Mark Deuce for Christmas (though it didn't arrive until Tuesday). This is the 3rd image I shot with it, just about two hours ago. The first two shutter clicks were to verify proper functionality. She works…ohh, she works.
No excuses, DP. Unleash the dragon.
This entry was posted on January 6, 2011 by DavePhillipich. It was filed under General .
Right on, man! Can't wait to see some video from you as well.


text:
Stability in new Harris-Decima poll
The latest poll from Harris-Decima shows very little change over the last two weeks, exactly what their last poll indicated. In fact, at the national level, all of the parties are exactly back to where they were in Harris-Decima's mid-January poll.
Compared to Harris-Decima's last poll taken February 17-27, the Conservatives have dropped one point but hold the lead with 36% support. The Liberals are up one point to 28%, while the New Democrats are also up one point to 15%.
The Bloc Québécois and Greens are each down a point to 9%.
This telephone poll has a margin of error of +/- 2.2%, 19 times out of 20. The margin of error for the Conservative lead of eight points over the Liberals is roughly 3.5%.
In Ontario, the Conservatives and Liberals are statistically tied at 39% and 37%, respectively. That is a drop of four points for the Tories and gain of three for the Liberals. The NDP is up two points to 14%, while the Greens are down two to 8%.
The Bloc is down one point to 39% in Quebec, followed by the Conservatives at 21% (+2) and the Liberals at 20% (+1). The NDP is down two points to 9%.
In British Columbia, the Conservatives are down four points to 31%, while the NDP is up 12 points to 31% as well. The Liberals are down two to 27%, putting all three parties in a statistical tie. The Greens are down six points to 10%.
The Conservatives (-6) and the Liberals (+4) are tied at 33% in Atlantic Canada, while the NDP is down one point to 23%.
In Alberta, the Conservatives are up six points to 62%, ahead of the Liberals at 19% (-2). The NDP is down six points to 6% in the province.
In the Prairies, the Conservatives are unchanged at 48%. The NDP is up three points to 23% and the Liberals are down 11 points to 11%.
It would appear that the only statistically significant shifts in support are the Liberal drop in the Prairies, the NDP changes in British Columbia and Alberta, and the Green slip in BC.
With this poll, the national projection is bumped to 27.9% for the Liberals, 9.8% for the Bloc Québécois, and 7.5% for the Greens. The Conservatives and NDP do not change.
With the results of this poll, ThreeHundredEight's projection model awards 12 seats to the Conservatives in British Columbia, 28 in Alberta, 23 in the Prairies, 51 in Ontario, 11 in Quebec, and 13 in Atlantic Canada for a total of 140.
The Liberals win nine seats in British Columbia, none in Alberta, one in the Prairies, 43 in Ontario, 13 in Quebec, and 14 in Atlantic Canada for a total of 81.
The Bloc Québécois wins 50 seats in Quebec.
The New Democrats win 14 seats in British Columbia, none in Alberta, four in the Prairies, 12 in Ontario, none in Quebec, and five in Atlantic Canada for a total of 35. Their BC result saves them here.
With the Conservative drop in British Columbia, Elizabeth May manages to eke out a seat win in Saanich - Gulf Islands, while the Bloc is not strong enough to topple André Arthur in Portneuf - Jacques-Cartier.
Also out this morning is a poll (February 24-27) by Harris-Decima on the economy. Interestingly, 36% of Canadians now believe the country is out of a recession, up from 19% in February 2010. Canadians are split between supporting the government continuing spending to create jobs (44%) and cutting spending to eliminate the deficit (48%).
Surprisingly, there is still a large portion of Conservative supporters (36%) who want the government to keep spending. And not as many NDP voters as you'd think (55%) agree.
I've heard from another pollster that these results from Harris-Decima are more in line with their numbers than the recent polls from Ipsos-Reid, Angus-Reid, and Abacus Data. I tend to agree that the recent Conservative spike was perhaps a little unrealistic. I expect that in the coming weeks more polls will put the Conservatives in the mid-to-high 30s rather than around the 40% mark. And whether the recent hubbub over election spending and the use by Jason Kenney's office of government materials for partisan fundraising will have any traction remains to be seen. I don't think it will - if the past year has shown us anything it's that the Conservatives are coated with teflon.
Labels: Harris-Decima
Jordan 04 March, 2011 10:29
The Liberals and Conservatives are tied everywhere outside of Alberta and Saskatoba. CPC are luckyfor their base there.
What it also shows using Eric's seat assessment is that the real power broker is the Bloc not the NDP.
Interesting ??
Wheatsheaf 04 March, 2011 11:10
"Surprisingly, there is still a large portion of Conservative supporters (36%) who want the government to keep spending. And not as many NDP voters as you'd think (55%) agree."
Really - I am surprise by your take? Personally, I would think most NDP supporters would want to get the finances back in order. It must be those Bob Rae Dippers that were polled. In provinces like Saskatchewan, BC, Manitoba and now in NS, NDP has a solid record of keeping government expenditures in check. Federal and provincial Tories like Mulroney, Harper and Devine have a history of being big spenders.
kevinsutton 04 March, 2011 11:21
I suppose it might be a logical fallacy to look at a more stable poller and assume that they're more correct than a headline grabbers... yet one can't help but think there's more value for pollsters and political columnists in rapidly fluctuating numbers.
DL 04 March, 2011 12:23
I'm not sure how Elizabeth may gets elected with a 10% Green showing in BC - the Liberals and the NDP are running strong active campaigns in SGI so the non-Tory vote promises to be very, very split - and at 10% the Greens are showing virtually no growth from 2008 in BC. (not to mention that whatever the polls say about the Green vote - you have to deduct about 40% from).
Ira 04 March, 2011 12:40
Wheatsheaf - Everyone was a big spender in the 1980s. The widely held economic belief was that deficit financing was okay.
And Harper has had a minority his entire time in office. The one time he tried to bring in an austere budget, the opposition threatened to form a coalition and seize power.
Dio 04 March, 2011 12:52
Tories lead the Liberals in Quebec (and have done in several other recent polls). Very interesting indeed.
Éric 04 March, 2011 13:37
DL,
First off, the individual poll seat projections are based on the poll results, not on what they are likely to be on election day. If they had the Greens at 50%, I'd project for that 50%.
Secondly, the Conservative drop is the main reason the Greens win in Saanich. They increase their support by a very little, true, but Ms. May starts from a high level of support to begin with. She isn't working from a base of 10%, as her performances in London and Central Nova demonstrated.
I have the Greens at 29.2% in Saanich - Gulf Islands with this poll, followed by the Conservatives at 26.5%, the NDP at 23%, and the Liberals at 20.4%. I agree, the anti-Tory vote is very split.
Its interesting that for the NDP the way the vote is distributed in the HD poll is like a perfect storm. Despite national numbers that are down 3% from 2008 - this poll would yield almost no seat losses. in contrast the nanos poll that had the NDP at 19% wasn't so good seat-wise because of the way it was distributed (though i tend to think that if the NDP vote in Ontario actually went up from 18% to 23% - it would mean a lot more than just one additional seat!)
In the scenarios that you have evaluated, you might want to add one for consideration:
What would happen in Quebec, hypothetically, if Jack Layton was unable to campaign, and Mr Mulcair became the leader shortly before the campaign began? Would the NDP take some of the Bloc vote?
As no polling data exists showing how Mulcair would do as leader, I don't believe I could write such a thing.
I'm not sure Mulcair would do better than Layton. People in Quebec already like Layton, and he doesn't have a history (checkered, to be sure) with the provincial Liberals (or even Alliance Quebec), like Mulcair does.
I think Layton is a good leader for the NDP in Quebec, and might even be better than Mulcair. On the face of it, they have similar backgrounds. Layton grew up in Quebec and went to McGill University, just like Mulcair. Mulcair's French is better, but they aren't really different individuals - at least in terms of backstory.
Perhaps somewhat unfairly, Layton isn't seen as a Quebecer the way Mulcair would be, but aside from that there is nothing Mulcair has that would make him more attractive to Quebecers than Layton.
Just out of curiosity - how is that the NDP would lose its Quebec seat based on this poll? Its true that this poll has NDP support down 3% to 9%, but Liberal support is down 4% from 2008 to 20% and given that the NDP over Liberal margin in Outremont was 6% - how does your model have that seat changing hands on these numbers?
maryT 04 March, 2011 21:42
You have the ndp taking no seats in Quebec, so where does that leave Mulcair.
You have them with 2 seats less than they now have, with none in AB or Que.
An NDP drop to 9% is a drop of 25%. A Liberal drop of four points is a drop of 17%.
yes, but 39% less 25% is about 30% and 33% less 17% is about 28% and that's not even counting the fact that Mulcair ought to get a small "incumbency bonus"
Mulcair doesn't receive a bonus. The NDP has gained in Quebec and he is a veteran MP.
Martin Cauchon also gets the star candidate bonus.
In your model, doesn't ANY incumbent running for re-election get some sort of bonus? It seems to me that in any riding where you have someone running for re-election - you have to assume that they will be at least slightly more resistant to the uniform trend against their party than if they were retiring and the party was running a generic candidate to succeed them.
As I've explained in Thursday's post, yes, incumbents do get a bonus when their party is dropping in support in a province or region. When the party gains, only first-time incumbents get a bonus. When there is no incumbent, the incumbent party is penalized.
Obelix 05 March, 2011 16:37
Éric said:
> In Ontario, the Conservatives and Liberals are
> statistically tied at 39% and 37%, respectively.
I know we hear this sort of formulation often, but it is statistically incorrect. When two parties are within the margin of error of each other, they are not statistically tied. There is still a better than 50% chance that the Conservatives are ahead.
I cannot find what the margin of error in Ontario only is for this survey, but let's say it is 5 points. What this means is that there is a 95% chance that Ontarians would vote for the Conservatives in a proportion between 34 and 44%, and for the Liberals in a proportion between 32 and 42%. So it is possible that the Liberals are ahead, but the chance of this is lower than 50%. My statistics are rusty, but as I remember it would actually be possible to compute the probability that the Liberals are ahead.
It's not a big deal, but it does sound a bit misleading and that's why it caught my attention.
BlueinNB 05 March, 2011 17:51
Surely the CPC takes your analysis into consideration, especially seat projections, They are not interested in another minority. Somebody will cave as 32 years of history has told us. Harper is waiting for 165+ projection and when or if that happens a convenient pill will be added to the nonconfidence vote available at the time
Obelix,
If I am not mistaken, the margin of error for the gap between the Conservatives and Liberals in Ontario is 6.2 points. The gap in this poll is two points.
While it is possible that the gap is even larger than reported, it is statistically correct to say that the two parties are tied, as there is no statistical basis for giving one party or the other the lead.
On second thought, I think the wording that the lead is not statistically significant would be more apt.
Troy 05 March, 2011 18:30
You really shouldn't even include Ipsos-Reid, or take it seriously as a pollster. It has a history of overestimating Conservative support and giving the Cons larger numbers than any other pollster and giving the NDP the smallest numbers of any other pollster. Just look at the bizarre regional numbers like 6% in Quebec for the NDP when all the other pollsters have them in double digits there. Ipsos-Reid has even done things like predicting a Chrétien minority in 2000, and predicting majorities for Harper in 2006 and 2008.
Barcs 06 March, 2011 00:08
Can I assume Troy that you also want to throw out the results from Nanos and environics for favoring hte liberals compared to other pollsters, then we can throw out ekos and HD for their green numbers. Crop and leger obviously overpolls ndp voters...
But then again, that is just as the pollsters relate to each other. We can't expect every methedology to come up with the exact same result.
But if you want to talk about pollster accuracy, eric has calculated that into his model using numbers from the 08 election, and a few of the provincials elections.
http://threehundredeight.blogspot.com/2010/04/new-weights-for-polling-firms.html
Did you know that based on that (admittedly small dataset... well, bigger than the one you used) Ipsos is among the more accurate pollsters? And that it is the HD, Nanos, environics that poll more heavily against the tories that ought to end up in the "less than serious pollster" pile.
Éric:
> On second thought, I think the wording that
> the lead is not statistically significant
> would be more apt.
Do you mean that with the numbers as they are, the probability that the Conservatives are ahead of the Liberals in Ontario isn't much more than 50%? I'd agree with you there. It is higher than 50%, but with a margin of error of 6.2 points, it's not much higher.
Shadow 06 March, 2011 00:37
Troy out of the 13 pollsters Eric weights, IR is the 4th most reliable. Its much better than average.
Eric good call.
Statistical tie is frowned upon.
"It's certainly not a term that practitioners use," Nancy A. Mathiowetz, president of the professional group American Association for Public Opinion Research
http://blogs.wsj.com/numbersguy/whats-a-statistical-tie-anyway-234/
Even the term statistically significant is often misunderstood.
When a poll shows one party ahead of the other, regardless of MOE, there's at least a 50% chance that they are indeed ahead.
In this case the odds would be closer to 80%.
They just don't reach an arbitrary cut off, at least 90% probability, where the pollster can say with certainty that the lead isn't due to chance.
Troy - that's what the house effects are for.
Shadow,
Won't use the term anymore, then.
But my own reading has been contradictory to this statement from the link you provided:
"That means that a difference between two candidates that is less than twice the margin of error is considered statistically insignificant."
According to what I have read, that is not the correct method for calculating whether a gap between two parties is statistically significant. In most cases, it is roughly 1.5 times the MOE.
Eric I think its because that's an American publication.
The 2 times MOE formula works for polls with strictly 2 choices, which is often the case in the US.
I think much of the upcoming election will come down to the candidates themselves.
While the Liberals poll numbers aren't great I think they are in a stronger position then they were in 2008. I think some of the former MPs who were defeated in 2008 that are running again will have a good chance of getting elected.
For the Conservatives to reach a majority I think it will be up to strong candidates. I don't think a lot of unknown candidates will be able to beat Liberal, NDP or Bloc incumbents just because they are running under the Conservative banner.
The Liberal vote must be very inefficient to have such a low seat projection despite the 36-28 spread of this poll.
I mean this seat projection is giving us roughly the same numbers as the current parliament, which resulted from the significantly higher, 12-point spread of the 2008 election (if memory serves it was Cons 38 Libs 26).
During the Chrétien government years, I reported extensively on malfeasance by the Liberals. To do the math on the Harper government is to conclude that, while it has no sponsorship scandal on its books, it's already surpassed its predecessor on a range of other abuse-of-power indices.
The government's arc of duplicity is remarkable to behold. And there are more revelations to come. It may not happen in the next election, but there will be a tipping point and the PM and his ministers will pay the price.
Liberals and NDP trade support in new Nanos poll
Liberals see an uptick in vote, Bloc gains a seat
Little change in new Nanos poll
Positive signs for the Liberals in new projection
BC Liberals widen lead over BC NDP
Liberals dropping, Conservatives gaining in Quebec...
NDP on the rise in new projection
Conservatives trail in Quebec City region
Little relative change in weekend's polls
Conservatives widen gap in new projection
Three polls, best Liberal and Tory outcomes
Big numbers, little real change in new Ipsos poll
Projection: Conservatives gain in Ontario
Atlantic Canadian provincial polls, Dexter in trouble
NDP out of the race in Gatineau?
Slow Tory decline in new Harris-Decima poll
Liberals down, NDP up in new projection
Narrowing national gap, widening Ontario gap in ne...
Tories and Bloc poised for modest gains in snap el...
Progressive Conservatives still on track for major...
Parti Québécois widens lead in Léger poll
Poll field dates and election results
Conservatives drop to the upper limits of a minori...
Liberal drop in Ontario points to Conservative maj...
BQ drops in new projection, Tories two short of ma...
Is Simcoe-Grey a Tory riding or a Guergis riding?
No major shifts in new Angus-Reid and EKOS polls
Dunderdale, Wall favourite Premiers, Dexter most i...
No arena funding puts two Tory seats at risk in Qu...
PQ still dominates in latest CROP poll
February 2011 Best and Worst Case Scenarios
February 2011 Polling Averages
New ridings unlikely to clear path to majority gov...
Liberals projected to lose seats with new projecti...
Conservatives poised for majority in new Ipsos-Rei...
BC NDP and Liberals tied prior to Clark win
Bloc, coalition preferred in new CROP poll


Every year is a struggle to create the perfect kids Easter basket. Sure, there are TONS of different kinds of Easter candy you can find to fill an Easter basket. But, at my house, we try to limit the amount of sugar our kids consume. (Yes, I know it can be difficult, especially when your mom works at Lake Champlain Chocolates.) Whether you are looking to fill an Easter Basket for the young, or young at heart, we've compiled some great ideas for building the perfect kids Easter Basket.
It doesn't get any better than fresh, Vermont eggs. And why should our chocolate eggs be any different? These chocolate Easter eggs are made with only the best ingredients like organic and fair trade certified chocolate and filled with fresh, organic Vermont cream and they come in six delicious flavors. (I know, I know, the first on my list is chocolate. But, chocolate at Easter is inevitable, so go for quality over quantity.) The bold colors of these foil-wrapped eggs are sure to brighten up any Easter basket!
The Vermont-owned kids clothing company, Zutano, creates wonderful bright and cheery patterned dresses, hats and onesies. This Zutano cottontail dress will be perfect for your little one's annual Easter egg hunt. The only question is, will she need this fleece jacket too, or will the unseasonably warm weather we've been having in Vermont continue?
These charming Netsukes, handcrafted in Middlebury, Vermont by Danforth Pewter are perfectly sized for hiding as a prize inside your Easter eggs. Collect the whole line, or get multiples and use them as unique tic tac toe playing pieces.
Easter often marks the start of Spring and gardening season. For an alternative to candy and toys, why not add a couple packets of organic vegetable seeds from High Mowing Organic Seeds? We can't think of a better way to encourage your little ones to get involved with learning about where their food comes from. Add a few kid-sized gardening tools from Gardner's Supply and you are on your way to a pretty spectacular kids Easter basket.
Is the Grass is Always Greener?
Now that you have some ideas for how to build the perfect kids Easter basket, what are you waiting for? Hop to it, Easter is March 27th.