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Betting Brain
New Sports Betting Bills in California Try to Make Peace with Native American Tribes
Two Sports Betting Bills in California Is a Compromise of Sorts, Say Officials
It's back to the drawing board for both sides of a rather contentious debate in California. Each side has doubled down on their positions, and in the past, has refused to budge.
Now according to a report in the Los Angeles Times, there is some new light being shed on the sports betting debate. Sports betting advocates in the Golden State have been arguing that the tribally-owned casinos want to have a monopoly on sports betting, shutting everyone else out. They believe that scenario is clearly unconstitutional, and it deprives everyone else of engaging in sports betting as a business.
Currently, there are two sports betting bills on the table. State Senator Bill Dodd, a Democrat from the Bay Area, is the sponsor of one of two bills.
The second bill is sponsored by Democratic Assemblyman Adam Gray, who represents Merced. The bills are known as 'ACA 16 and SCA6' and more details about the bills were revealed on Thursday.
The Two Revised Bills May Still Not Please Those Against Tribal Monopolies
The two lawmakers said they have made changes to their bills, so that these measures would be a compromise. One of the biggest sources of contention with these bills is that the many legal card rooms in California would be completely shut out of sports betting.
Various tribes that already have a monopoly on casinos in the state continue to refuse to let others into the gaming industry. Gray and Dodd both agree that without compromise there will be no progress made when it comes to sports betting.
The lawmakers have said from day one that no matter who is allowed to have sports betting, the state will benefit due to the taxable revenue it will raise. Gray said, "We have to put the needs of the people of California above everything else at this point."
The compromise with these new amendments would still have sports betting at tribal casinos. However, the big difference would be that card rooms could still operate unencumbered. In the past, tribes have tried to take card rooms out of the hands of independent owners.
The Two Bills Will Be on the November Ballot and California Voters Will Have the Last Word
The two lawmakers are good friends who have worked on other bills in the past with very successful outcomes. The Democratic Governor, Gavin Newsom, said earlier in the week that the state is facing a financial crisis.
Los Angeles, the 4th largest economy in the world, has been completely shut down since mid-March. Newsom said the state is facing a $50 billion shortfall and the state must be on track to raise $14 billion to ensure programs don't close permanently.
Senator Dodd said, "With that kind of pressure to raise that kind of money quickly to save programs, there aren't a lot of ways that can be done right now, unless some wealthy citizens start writing checks." He went on to explain, "The amount of money that can be raised in benefit of the state with online wagering is estimated to be at least $700 million a year. We're looking to get those revenues for a COVID-type budge where we need to be looking out for every opportunity to increase our revenues at a time when we have to make so many cuts."
The new working will allow tribal casinos and horse racing tracks to have sports betting at the locations and offer a sports betting app to make bets online. The bills are expected to pass in November easily. Dodd said that if the bills get voter approval, sports betting should launch in late November.
Ohio Senate Moves Sports Betting Bill Forward
Illinois Records 2nd Highest Sports Betting Handle for April


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KGUN 9 On Your SideNewsLocal & Regional News
Navajo court to hear appeal on term limits
The Navajo Nation's high court is set to hear an appeal on presidential term limits.
Vincent Yazzie contends Joe Shirley Jr. should be removed from the ballot because he already has served two terms as tribal president.
Yazzie's election grievance was dismissed as untimely and for failure to state an election code violation. The former presidential hopeful appealed.
Shirley sought re-election to a third term in 2010 but was disqualified. The high court said Navajos can serve no more than two consecutive terms but could sit out four years and run again.
Yazzie wants the court to reverse that ruling, saying it's not in line with tribal law.
The case will be heard Thursday in Window Rock.
Shirley faces tribal Vice President Jonathan Nez in next month's general election.

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


I have a pretty good life: great relationships with my family and a fabulous circle of good friends, an active social life, good health, lots of travel, and I support charitable organizations with my money and time. I adore my 13-year-old Yorkie, Danny. Despite all this goodness, though, I still come across people who look at my life and feel sorry for me…because I'm not married. (It happened again just the other day with a woman I met in the dentist's office.) And I don't get it.
Marriage is not for everyone, and the high divorce rate corroborates this. And the U.S. Census says that while only 28% of U.S. adults were unmarried in 1970, that percentage rose to 47% in 2010. Plus, a 2011 study by the Pew Research Institute found that the number of U.S. adults who are unmarried is now 49%, a record high. So, there's a lot of single people out there, and I'm a little baffled why people act like being single is such a bad thing. It's not.
1. Revel in Your Freedom. Being single, I'm not encumbered with many of the restrictions that come with having a husband and children. My time and my money are my own and I can spend them however I want. I love to travel and so I do. I've traveled the U.S. and the world, and plan to continue doing so. I can sleep in on the weekends. I can dash out of the house at a moment's notice –without looking for a babysitter or discussing it with my husband– if someone rings me up and says "join me".
2. Have Adventure. Pushing the "freedom" thing a bit, I recommend adventure…pushing the envelope…stepping out of your comfort zone from time to time. I want to make sure that I can look back at my life when I'm 90 and say "well done, girlie." Being single means it's okay to indulge in a few unconventional behaviors on occasion. I quit my corporate job and started my own company before I had a client, I found myself in the hotel room of an A-List actor, and I took off for a two-week trip to Europe alone after thinking about it for just a week. Had I not been single, these actions could have seemed a bit irresponsible. Instead, they were just fun.
3. Use Birth Control. This is an important one and nothing to be casual about. If you're not deliberately trying to change your spinster status by having a child, then be very careful. Otherwise, your new nickname could be "Mom". And all those freedoms you used to have will disappear.
4. Don't Re-Date the Jackass Ex-. Sometimes being single can get a little lonely. Then, we look around to see who's available and the ex- starts to look a little better. Don't do it though. It's important to remember that this loneliness usually doesn't last, and is often about something else going on in your life. Figure out what that is and deal with it, because if he was a jackass the first time around, he's still one. I know this for a fact, so I'm saving you the trouble. A word to the wise should be sufficient.
(My book, The Spinsterlicious Life: 20 Life Lessons for Living Happily Single and Childfree has more on this subject).
My hope is to remind every unmarried woman out there that her life should be celebrated. There is something empowering and rather brave about not marrying or having children if you're not 100% sure. Admittedly, some single women wish they were married, but since they're not at the moment, I'd like them to focus on what's good in their lives. A spinster may or may not eventually marry but, in the meantime, she certainly owes herself a great life.
What are some of the life lessons you've learned that make being single work for you?
This entry was posted in The Spinsterlicious Life and tagged being single, hate being single, Pew Research Institute, spinster, spinsterlicious. Bookmark the permalink.
Yes. This post in EVERY way. Needs to be translated in several languages.
I had a wonderful experience this holiday weekend when I went to visit my family in another state. My sister-in-law and a married friend of hers told me they are envious of and inspired by my single life. They said they have lived for others all their lives and while they are happy with their husbands and kids they think my unencumbered life is romantic. And it is. I've been married, now recently divorced, but never ever did I want children. I'm as poor as I've ever been but I'm happier than I've ever been. I own my own house. I do what I want. Have lots of friends. Sleep with two giant dogs. It isn't always rosy but I call the shots in my life. I think the folks who scoff at unmarried, childless women are jealous, (at least my SIL can admit it). I also think they're threatened that their husbands may stray but they don't understand we don't need or want their husbands, because we have choices and above all…class.
It's so great you continue to push this message. It really is an important one and I think it's becoming more and more important to impress this upon young girls and younger women. So many times the message of "being single is great" is confused with "marriage is bad and you should be promiscuous", but it couldn't be absolutely further from the truth. The message you're spreading is about generating self-esteem from within and choosing your own path, a message that needs to be sent to girls early on in life. They need to learn that getting married and having babies isn't the only option for happiness out there for them.
I say this now, because I was scared and confused talking to my 10 year old niece a couple of months ago. She said that she would never be happy, never get married and no one would ever love her. I couldn't get the words out fast enough, telling her that she has a great wonderful life yet to lead and there's so much more than getting married. However, getting this message through to a 10 year old is proving to be something of a challenge.
wonderful post. I totally embrace my single life and will continue to do it until the day I leave this planet.
Feel free to join – we'd love to have new members!!
Thanks for this particular post. I follow your posts often but somehow this one created a rather unsettling feeling for me as I have recently, at almost 36, decided to entertain the idea of marriage. The post made me question if I would give up all these perks or if it would be possible to have all these perks and still be married if one had a partner of the same mindset. More of a rhetorical thought really, but a thought nonetheless. Thanks again.
If you really want to enjoy your spinster life, go directly to not dating and no sexual activity. You have then annihilated any potential problems with birth control or "future in-laws". It really can be done….and this life is a wonderful one.
E, do you have a group within this community who are non-dating, celibate never-marrieds (not necessarily virgins)? I'd like to make more friends with this mind-set. Thanks.
Carolyn, I do know that some readers of this blog are "non-dating, celibate, never-marrieds. Of course, they will have to self-identify.
E, I forgot till now a question I wanted to post: of the 49% singles, how many are cohabitating singles who would look like marrieds otherwise? Please include, if you know, straight and gay statistics. Thanks!
I have always been on the fence about marriage and kids, but assumed that one day I would get married and have a family. I recently turned 30 and am now coming to the realization that I may actually stay single and childless. I broke up with my boyfriend of 5 years a year ago. I have never been happier. I now travel on a whim, have amazing friends, and I love sleeping alone. Sometimes I struggle with being single, there are lonely moments when I wonder if I only say I am okay with being single because I am afraid no man will ever love me enough to want to be my husband. I have no friends or family members who understand my views on marriage/children. Your blog has helped me remain positive and in control of my single life, but mostly it is knowing that I am not alone in this that has really improved my outlook. Thank you Eleanore!
Thank YOU, Megan. Your sentiments are the sentiments of many of us. Being single isn't always rosy, but there is a lot about it that's good.
Having been both married and now single, I've learned that being unmarried and happy beats being married and unhappy any day of the week! And I agree with you, Eleanor, being able to just up and run to town or sleep until noon or have cereal for dinner are just a FEW of the many, many perks of being single. Also, this time of the year, I am soooo glad to not have to fight about attending or endure spending the holidays with in-laws who I did NOT enjoy being around. The holidays were always dreaded having to spend hours on my precious days off with people that I had very little in common with and only talked about everyone else the whole time, which is not my idea of a good time. As a matter of fact, after my divorce, I was so traumatized by years of dreaded holidays and friend/family gatherings that were so bad for one reason or another (catty family members or other females, awkward conversations, the gossiping, being around annoying children, etc. etc.) that I decided future relationships would exclude that aspect. My boyfriend of over 4 years and I have now never met (or endured lol) each other's friends or family and it is wonderful!! Taking that stressor out of a relationship is such a relief. We can always choose to go along with the other to the events, if we want, but to date, neither one of us has ever exercised that option. lol My married friends are envious.
I just wanted to say thank you for giving me silent support when people ask me why I am not married and why I don't have children or want them. I truly believe it isn't for everyone and I think it is fabulous you speak so openly about your experiences. More women need to be open about what they want in life, not what is expected of them. I am glad I found you and Spinsterlicious to help me on this crazy discovery of my life.
Thanks, Krista. I'm glad you found us, too. I hope to see more comments from you.


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Aggression, abuse, threats: Missoula hospitals act to protect staff
editor's pick alert
David Erickson
Marcie Willmore, right, a senior clinical educator at Community Medical Center, practices de-escalation training with medical staff on Wednesday. Medical workers in Missoula and across the country have faced verbal and physical threats from patients and families who don't want to comply with COVID precautions.
BEN ALLAN SMITH, Missoulian
The sign at St. Pat's says abuse and threats will not be tolerated.
Sally Mauk via Twitter
Hospitals are places where emotions, tempers, stress and anxiety can get out of hand, and health care workers have always had to deal with people who need to be calmed down.
However, the COVID-19 pandemic has brought new challenges as patients and family members who don't want to comply with safety precautions become abusive, either verbally or physically.
Providence St. Patrick Hospital in Missoula has experienced a significant increase in the number of incidents with aggressive patient and/or visitor behavior since the onset of the COVID pandemic.
"I don't know if there's words to say how stressful that is," said chief nursing officer Beth Hock. "Can you imagine someone standing in front of you, yelling at the top of their lungs?"
No amount of training in the world can soothe a nurse trying to do his or her best for a sick patient in that situation.
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"We train caregivers to use de-escalation techniques, but we're all human," Hock said. "Caregivers are here to serve and try to be helpful. But when they're called names and obscenities, those things really cut to the emotional core of our caregivers and it's not OK."
Recently, the hospital was forced to post signage in front of the building warning that physical assault, verbal harassment, abusive language, disruptive behavior, threats or sexual language directed at others will not be tolerated.
"We value our staff as much as our patients and have zero tolerance for any form of aggressive or disruptive behavior," the sign reads. "Visitor incidents may result in removal from our facility and prosecution."
'I don't need this'
Hock said that unruly patients and visitors have taken a toll on staff who are already stressed by the work that they do trying to heal people.
"In the last year, I would say over 50% of caregivers have seen or been on the other side of verbal abuse by a visitor," Hock said. "And that's really not acceptable. We're here as a service industry to care for our patients, and to have those distractions can really weigh heavy on caregivers."
According to Morning Consult, a polling firm, nearly 20% of health care workers have quit their jobs since the pandemic hit. Many cited the virus and burnout as reasons.
"Absolutely, I can't tell you the number, but we have had nurses and CNAs (certified nursing assistants) who have left the profession because they're just 'I don't need this' and have walked," Hock said. "With the shortage (of workers in the industry) as it is, it is something that is certainly not something we want to tolerate. We can't lose caregivers. We need to keep them safe."
Hock said the stress of the job is enough without having to deal with outbursts from patients. Hock was careful to say that all caregivers understand that patients and families themselves are often under an immense amount of pressure and stress when they're at the hospital, dealing with sick loved ones or grim news. However, she said, it's just not acceptable to allow people to subject health care workers to abuse.
St. Pat's has a number of programs, systems and protocols in place to protect caregivers. That includes measures to protect from COVID-19. In an era where disinformation and false information about the virus has run rampant, hospital workers bear the brunt of people's rage when they're told that only certain amounts of people can be in a room with a patient at one time, for example.
"Our primary focus is to protect patients and caregivers," Hock said. "We've tried to focus on that being the priority. Sometimes visitors just don't see themselves as transmitters. They really don't care to hear our reasoning because they feel it's not substantiated. They don't think they have COVID, and for them to hear that we're making global decisions to protect the overall population, they as an individual don't feel like they fit into that."
The hospital doesn't make exceptions, Hock said, and people "get pretty emotional" about that.
"We try to recognize where they're coming from," she noted. "Their loved one is sitting in a hospital and they don't have access to them. But we can't keep making exceptions in order to protect caregivers. That's not something that's always well understood."
Recently, the hospital has updated its inpatient visitor policy due to reduced COVID transmission rates in the region. However, the hospital is still limiting the number of visitors in patient rooms at one time.
Hock said the security team at the hospital has been "phenomenal" in helping support a zero tolerance policy for abuse.
Words hurt
Dean Chrestenson, the security manager at St. Pat's, said physical abuse very rarely, if ever, happens. But verbal abuse is another thing.
"Unfortunately, it has been a daily occurrence at different levels, different locations," he explained. "The last two and a half years have been a trying time for everyone and health care has not been immune to that. In fact, we're right on the front lines, and we've become a place where, unfortunately, individuals have come in here with their frustrations."
Chrestensen said the hospital's administration has taken a very serious stance on the issue, meaning they've given him the resources to enforce a zero tolerance policy. Chrestensen said he's seen some health care workers decide to leave the industry after incidents.
"They say, 'This isn't what I got into health care for,'" he said. "We need to educate the public so they understand this is unacceptable behavior."
At Community Medical Center, staff go through regular training on verbal de-escalation techniques, as well as physical techniques to avoid being put in a compromised situation by a patient who grabs or punches. Physical maneuvers are rarely if ever needed, but hospital safety leaders say they want their staff to have a plan in case anything happens.
Jessie Martin, a nurse and the employee health program manager at Community, said the issues came up long before COVID happened.
"I do think that the pandemic may have exacerbated some of those situations," she explained.
Some people don't agree with mandates, or the type of care they're getting, or the type of medication they're given for COVID.
"I think that offering our staff members education and training on how to handle those situations, or how to identify the cues of when aggressive behavior could happen and how to approach that, I think is important," Martin said. "To give them some tools and make it something they can utilize to address those types of situations."
Hospital staff learn how to calm a person down during the exercises. They also learn how to, for example, break away from someone grabbing their hair or trying to choke them. Security staffers are always nearby, but those few seconds before help can arrive are what the rehearsals are designed for.
"I think that the pandemic has brought on a lot of concern and anxiety around all those situations," Martin said. "And if we continue to offer these types of trainings and how to identify these cues, how to identify when aggression is maybe escalating, maybe we can use the verbal techniques before it ever gets to a true violence situation. And that's our goal."
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Can't Take the Mexi Out of the Jew | The Braid
Inspiring Jewish Stories on Stage l The Braid / JWT Presents: • 9m 22s
This story tells of one woman's hilarious and poignant journey through various "kinds" of Judaism. Raised in a Jewish area of Mexico City but relocated to a nearby suburb, Erika finds her new home has "no Jews, no temple, and no challah." Her parents enroll their daughters in the only private school in town—a Catholic school, where Erika gets outed as a Jew on her first day at chapel. Later, she goes to college in New York, where her friends are "super Jews" and a trip to Israel changes her life. She is introduced to Chabad and is soon wearing long sleeves and keeping kosher. Erika ultimately moves to Miami, settles in a Mexican neighborhood, and marries a Jewish doctor who eats moo-shoo pork and trims a Christmas tree. This Mexi-Jew's attempts to balance all the competing religions and cultures in her life make for a truly tasty treat.
Produced by The Braid/Jewish Women's Theatre
Writer/Performer Erika Sabel Flores
True autobiographical story, Comedy
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A Jewish-American academic writing a book on the Nuremberg trials wins a Fulbright Fellowship and, much to the dismay of her family, decides to spend a year researching and teaching in Heidelberg. Once in Germany, given the topic of her research, she does not broadcast her religion. But on a week...
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A female rabbinical student working as a chaplain is called to support a Jewish family whose father has just died. When she enters the hospital room, she is greeted by a sea of long skirts and bearded Jewish men who certainly weren't expecting a young woman to be with them during this time. Reluc...


Congratulations to our students who have worked so hard for so long to achieve the goal of graduation. Behind your accomplishments is a story of courage, hard work, and commitment. Many of you have faced challenges thought to be insurmountable, yet here you are.
Get full details of WSU upcoming Commencement Ceremony.


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Robert Meeropol
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Robert Meeropol on "An Irrevocable Separation"
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STILL OUT ON A LIMB
Tags: The Birth of a Nation, Strange Fruit, Abel Meeropol
Most of you probably know about D.W. Griffith's horrible 1915 film, The Birth of a Nation. It glorified the Ku Klux Klan. President Woodrow Wilson, a virulent racist, showed it in the White House.
African-American filmmaker Nate Parker's new film with the same title is the story of Nat Turner, who led the great Virginia slave rebellion in 1831. There is already a lot of buzz about this film, which will be released on October 7. It has generated rave advance reviews and sparked an unprecedented bidding war for distribution rights at this year's Sundance Film Festival. I'm eager to see the film, which I hear is presented from Turner's point of view. The trailer (link to the left) features Nina Simone singing Strange Fruit, written by my father, Abel Meeropol.
Some may wonder what Strange Fruit, a song about lynching written in the late 1930's, has to do with a slave uprising that took place over 100 years earlier. I don't know if Strange Fruit is played in the body of the movie, so I don't know how entwined the song is with the plot. But despite the 100-year gap, given what I know about Nat Turner's rebellion, the film and song are well matched.
Strange Fruit is often referred to as a "sorrowful dirge," or as a "protest song." While it does fit within the protest song category, I think that term misses its essence. Strange Fruit is an attack song. With his couplet "Pastoral scene of the gallant South. The bulging eyes and twisted mouth," Abel was saying that beneath its genteel facade the South was rotten. Its scornful tone infuriated many whites so much that its performance was banned in some cities and radio stations refused to play it. There were riots at some of the venues where it was performed. In 1940, my father was called before a committee investigating communist school teachers and asked if the Communist Party paid him to write the song.
Similarly, the 2016 version of The Birth of a Nation is an attack movie. It isn't about the moral superiority of non-violent protesters peacefully asking for desegregation and civil rights in the 1960's. Instead, it is a justification – and possibly a glorification – of an armed rebellion.
How would my father feel about the use of his greatest work in this manner? He once said he wrote Strange Fruit because he hated lynching and he hated the people who perpetrated it. Abel was no turn-the-other-cheek pacifist. He would have applauded the slaves taking up arms. He would have loved having his song used in this new film.
I look forward to seeing the movie. I intend to watch it through two sets of eyes, my own and my father's. Read More
June 10, 2016 7:53 AM EDT
All power to the people!
- Rael Nidess, M.D.
A Little Better Doesn't Matter
Tags: Tipping points; positive feedback loops
I've heard progressive people defend Obama's environmental policies. They claim that even though he's pushed more drilling, fracking and nuclear power, at least he acknowledges the problem, promotes sustainable energy sources, and has waged a war on coal. In contrast, Republicans say there is no problem, promote "clean coal" and chant "drill baby drill." These characterizations may be accurate, but climate scientists' projections indicate we can take little comfort from Obama's slightly better policies.
How can that be? Isn't any improvement better than none? Unfortunately no. The idea that even curbing some greenhouse gases must be better than none reflects a fundamental lack of understanding of tipping points and positive feedback loops.
The rising level of CO2 in the atmosphere is common knowledge. Increased CO2 raises global temperature. CO2 was 200 parts/million (ppm) in 1800 and it has now topped 400 ppm. NASA reports that as of 2014, average global temperature had risen 1.2 degrees Fahrenheit, or .8 Celsius, since 1880. To make matters worse there is a 30-year delay in the full effect of CO2 on temperature. That means the current global temperature increase only reflects CO2 increases through 1985.
Extrapolating in a linear manner from this rise misses how climatic change occurs. The reason the Paris climate conference last December set a target of holding global temperature increase to 1.5 degrees Celsius is because the best climate change model projections show that once we cross that marker, we hit a tipping point. This triggers positive feedback loops that create further increases; once initiated these increases cannot be stopped.
The most widely known of these loops is the melting of Arctic Sea ice. Until recently the white Arctic ice cover reflected heat back into space, reducing the effect of the polar summer sun. Now that so much ice has melted, the exposed darker seawater absorbs the heat of the summer sun instead of reflecting it. This causes additional heating, inducing more ice melt, causing more absorption and heating. This positive feedback loop is why Arctic temperatures are rising so rapidly and melting Greenland's ice sheet. If not reversed, this positive feedback loop will accelerate the demise of the entire ice sheet, drowning coastal cities. But that is not the worst of our troubles.
Other positive feedback loops include the melting of permafrost, the burning of the Amazon rainforest, and the release of methane hydrates from the ocean floor. The best science we have today tells us that once we cross the 1.5 degree Celsius mark, it becomes increasingly difficult to avoid tipping points that will generate at least 5 or 6 Celsius of total warming. That much warming would render much of our planet uninhabitable to humans, and turn much of the remainder into an unproductive wasteland.
Any environmental policy – no matter what the Party affiliation – that carries us across that key climate 1.5 degree Celsius boundary brings us to that tipping point. And remember the 30-year lag between the release of greenhouse gasses and their full impact. Scientists estimate the CO2 and other gasses already released in the last 30 years will add at least another 0.4 degree Celsius rise by 2045. Effectively, we have already created more than a 1.2 Celsius increase.
This approaches an environmental precipice; one we will plunge over, if we by continue Obama-style "slightly better" policies over the next decade. So a little better won't help. Only rapid and drastic reductions in the use of fossil fuels to dramatically decrease greenhouse gasses can prevent this. Read More
May 19, 2016 11:43 AM EDT
Thank you for pointing out that party affiliation doesn't make a difference for the environment. Especially since both the Dems and the Republicans represent the ruling class that profits from environmental destruction. We must get rid of the capitalist system in order to have even a chance of rescuing an environment in which our species, and many others, can live and thrive.
- Carole Seligman
May 28, 2016 3:26 PM EDT
Excellent, Robby. Thanks.
- Marty
Robbie:
I agree, we surely need a more robust response. However, you should not overlook the other, (positive) "tipping points" and (positive) "feed back loops" that are taking place in the alternative energy markets.
In response to relatively minor tinkering by US, European and Chinese governments to incentivize wind and solar, certain nominal economies of scales are being reached. The cost of alternative energy is plummeting or 'tipping' down rapidly. Deployment of wind and solar are growing exponentially. The price to install wind and solar in many parts of the US are now less than burning dirty fuel.
Inexpensive batteries are around the corner and their widespread use will dramatically disrupt our grid and our reliance on fossil fuel. These batteries are being developed by innovative companies like Tesla, with minor, yet important assistance from the US government through Obama's Department of Energy under his appointed director Dr. Ernest Moniz. Moniz has been a staunch advocate of alternative energy and champion of the fight against global warming.
So by making even 'minor' policy changes, changes that the Obama Administration had to wrestle, fight, and claw from a recalcitrant republican congress, we have unleashed substantive changes and significant shifts. Maybe not enough and not soon enough... But the most robust response we have seen by any previous democratic or republican administration. A very real shift is taking place and we can not afford to let the republicans reverse this progress.
- Michael Docter
Michael, I agree, there are positive developments and it gives us grounds for hope. However, political and economic compromise are irrelevant to the coming climate chaos. The science is telling us that the key to our survival is not crossing the tipping points. Once we cross those points all the alternative energy progress won't matter.
- Robert Meeropol
You Can't Have Your Own Facts
Tags: Clinton, Sanders, Trump
I've heard liberals on TV tell Republicans that, while they are entitled to their opinions, they can't have their own facts. They can't claim it's a fact that, contrary to all the evidence, Obama was born in Kenya, that Hillary Clinton engaged in a Benghazi cover-up, or that global warming induced climate change is a hoax perpetrated by scientists to get grant money.
But Republicans are not alone in this practice.
Recently, I've read online vitriol from Clinton backers attacking Sanders' supporters who say they will not vote for Clinton if she is the Democratic Party nominee. People like me (I've explained in other blogs why I won't vote for Clinton) have been called, stupid, self righteous, selfish, or idiotic, to name a few. We've been told that Trump is so bad (and I agree he is) that we'd be crazy not to vote for Clinton in November. I've been told to ignore my opinions, hold my nose, and vote for Clinton.
I've responded that every national poll taken throughout this primary season has shown Sanders beating Trump by greater margins than Clinton. The most recent poll shows Clinton barely ahead of Trump, but Sanders still has a double digit lead. This is true in the critical swing states. State polls demonstrate, that unlike Clinton, Sanders is comfortably ahead of Trump in Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania. These same polls report that the majority of voters view both Trump and Clinton negatively, while a majority view Sanders positively. I also note that Sanders wins the "open" primaries because he is more popular among the independents needed to secure a national victory.
Those I've argued with refuse to accept these facts. They say they don't trust the polls. Come on… all of them? Over six months? Really? Or they argue "wait until Trump starts red-baiting Sanders," as if Sanders hasn't called himself a democratic socialist so many times that it has gotten boring, and as if Trump's attacks on Clinton won't be just as disgusting. Clinton backers are in denial about this. But they can't have their own facts.
Come November, if Trump wins a close race against Clinton, I expect Clinton's voters will blame voters like me for Trump's victory. That doesn't make sense. If beating Trump is their primary concern, they should look to themselves if they voted for Clinton, along with all the others who voted for her, in their state's primary. Those voters ignored facts, chose the weaker Democratic candidate, and in doing so left the White House door ajar for Trump.
It is not too late to change. If fear of a Trump presidency drives them, they should start contributing to Sanders' campaign. They should be calling on the super delegates to back Sanders, and if they live in the few states with remaining primaries they should switch their votes to Sanders. Read More
Two things: If Clinton is the nominee then not voting for her isn't the same as supporting Sanders to the bitter end. Not voting for her is taking your marbles and going home in a huff. (Which is consequence-free in Mass but not in Ohio etc.)
And urging superdelegates to change their votes would have some rationale if Sanders had won the popular vote in the primaries but lost the delegate count (sorta like the election of 2000). As it is, asking them to vote with the polls instead of the voters defies the democratic spirit at the root of Sanders' campaign.
- Chris Rohmann
If you believe - as I do - that Clinton's election will greatly increase the chances of irreparable, civilization-ending harm, not voting for her has nothing to do with taking your marbles and going home. And I'm hoping for a string of Sanders' victories in the remaining primaries so he can erase her delegate lead (other than Super delegates).
Brotherly disagreement is allowed -- especially as we are both elderly gentlemen getting near (in one case) and already arriving (in the other case) to our 70s.
I am among the group that feels that Sanders has not been fully red-baited on the national level. Vermonters and primary voters have been focused on Bernie for a long time and they are definitely immune to the "red card" that Trump will throw at Bernie in the general. The rest of the public will be just getting to know Bernie and they will be quite susceptible to the red-baiting.
And let's not forget all the barely hidden anti-semitism in this country. Unlike Joe Liberman who was running for Vice President and is an orthodox Jew with a strong "pro-Israel" resume, Sanders is a secular Jew who has dared to challenge the AIPAC echo chamber.
Both the anti-semitism and the anti-communism of the American population will be tapped along with all the other horrible aspects of the TRUMP Presidency. (Sanders wants to raise taxes -- Sanders wants to let in all the dangerous immigrants ...)
Hillary Clinton, on the other hand, has been scarred from decades of attacks and that has created a much more settled picture of how Americans see her.
She might still lose to Trump, but I really do believe that Bernie would be less likely to beat Trump. Nothing Trump throws at her will shake the large pool of support she already has ...
THAT SAID -- if Bernie had succeeded in winning enough delegates to get the nomination, I would have enthusiastically welcomed his candidacy despite his probably continuation of the Obama foreign and military policies. I would have worked for him to win.
BUT -- where I part from Rob is in my belief that Trump is so much worse than Hillary (Supreme Court, an official climate denier, more deportations than Obama with no hope for the dreamers, more support for cops who kill black people....) that it's parallel to the situation in Germany just before Hitler came to power.
Trump = fascism
Hillary = oorporate neo-liberalism (but under pressure from us she might be moved in the right direction)
THUS -- I believe that if Clinton is the nominee she needs the votes of Bernie supporters and she needs active support in battle-ground states.
- Michael Meeropol
I believe, and I think this belief is based on good science, that 4 and probably 8 more years of corporate neo-liberalism will cause us to cross climate tipping points that will destroy civilization and possibly extinguish our species. That renders the Germany analogy irrelevant. I can't and will not vote for policies that are going to kill us all no matter what the alternative.
And Bernie Sanders being elected would stop the corporate neoliberal plan? I don't really see that. Doesn't it seem likely that at best Sanders could deadlock a GOP Congress from doing more harm, but not lots more? Maybe if he had coattails that brought in lots of new Congresspeople. But that strategy ("we need a movement not a person") seems to have been set aside in favor of rooting for a Messiah. :-)
- steven feuerstein
Well, a Trump presidency will likewise guarantee 4 or 8 more years of corporate neo-liberalism, PLUS all the things that Michael mentions. So I'm afraid the marbles analogy applies, because Hillary WILL be the candidate.
Here's the math: Even if Bernie were to win every single one of the delegates in the remaining primaries, he would still be just short of a majority. The reality is that he won't come close even if he "wins" every remaining primary, which is also not going to happen. And if a miracle occurred, and a majority of superdelegates already pledged to Clinton switched to Sanders based on pleas and polling, that in itself would probably turn off enough primary voters, whose votes would be essentially thrown away, to make them take their own marbles and stay away.
I know how passionately you feel about climate change, Robby, and I share your fears. But if you think President Hillary would guarantee the end of the world as we know it, then of course so would Prez Donald, and that means you've already given up -- because Bernie is simply not going to be the nominee, and not voting for the infamous "lesser of two evils" either has no effect or (if you weren't voting in "safe state" Mass) would simply help guarantee the greater of the two.
Chris, you have point about how bad both will be. Yes, the outlook is bleak, but I won't give up anyway, and I hope I am wrong. But if both are so bad, that's an argument for stepping outside of the normal political process, not for voting for one of them. Steve is right, we need a movement not a person. For me, voting for Clinton would be giving up.
#BernieOrBust Never Hillary, Never Trump
#WriteIn
More Natural Allies
Tags: Green & Civil Rights Alllies
It's pretty clear that the struggle to prevent global warming induced climate change and the anti-war movement are natural allies. War not only causes death and horrific environmental destruction; it also has an unacceptable carbon footprint. In the May 9th issue of THE NATION, James Gustave Speth and J. Phillip Thompson III assert that the same could be said for the civil rights and green movements.
I hadn't thought about this before, but I agree with the authors that, "When one explores the roots of both the environmental and civil-rights movements, one finds a strikingly similar radical critique. Both movements have called for a deep restructuring of society and the economy; in both cases, that call was based on an affirmation of life and the devoted care that life requires of us."
This makes sense because capitalism requires exploitation and degradation of the "other" that both the civil rights and environmental movements must confront. This is why many African-American Community activists and scholars are making more radical assessments of what must be done. This is reflected in the deeper structural analysis of Michelle Alexander's, book about mass imprisonment, THE NEW JIM CROW, and the more aggressive strategies of the Black Lives Matter and Moral Mondays movements. This analysis includes an understanding that environmental degradation has a disporportionate impact on the poor.
Of course, in the civil rights movement a radical analysis only emerged as Martin Luther King and others moved beyond calls for desegregation, legal and voting rights. And the civil rights movement viewed the "other" as different races, while the environmental movement defined the "other" more broadly as the natural world.
Traditional leftists often scoff at Green and Animal Rights activism. But these groups' challenge to our society's commodification of animal and plant life and natural resources confronts the same bad actors that mistreat workers and non-whites. Naomi Klein made this point in THIS CHANGES EVERYTHING when she writes that the battle to prevent climate chaos can unify the left because those engaged in struggles to end war, promote economic and racial justice, as well as stop the extraction of fossil fuels, are up against the same corporate enemies. The green, racial justice, anti-war and animal rights movements are learning that to achieve these progressive goals they must change the nature of the system that empowers those enemies.
Fortunately, Speth and Thompson are not crying in the wilderness. People of color and indigenous activists in the US and across the globe are forging new alliances to fight everything from the placement of toxic waste dumps, to extractionist infrastructure, to the theft and destruction of natural resources and habitats. The emergence of these alliances and the potential for even more to develop are the best hope we have to save ourselves along with much of our planet's plant and animal life from environmentally generated decimation.
THE NATION article is part of a growing understanding that it isn't only people who must be liberated from the global tyranny of massive corporations and the governments they dominate. These institutions gain power by controlling all peoples, animals, plants and resources, by marginalizing the needs of the poor and voiceless, animal and vegetable. It follows that the best way to break their death grip is to liberate not only people, but the entire natural world. Read More
I do think there is a very strong affinity between all the radical social movements because they share a common enemy--the capitalist system itself. Organizing society around the principle of private profit rather than human needs and the health of the planetary environment hurts all life -- human, animal, and plant. Ending capitalism will provide the possibility of saving our species and the planet from destruction and presenting us with the possibility of a harmonious relationship between humans and the natural world, including each other.
An Execution in the Family: One Son's Journey
"Bravery is rare. Tyranny is commonplace. Both define the life of Robert Meeropol, son of Julius and Ethel Rosenberg. In his heart-wrenching, honest memoir, Meeropol recounts the emotional terrors of his childhood, the kindness of Abel and Anne Meeropol-who adopted him and his older brother after their parents' execution-his struggle to vindicate his parents, and his own political activism, culminating in the creation of the Rosenberg Fund for Children, which he now directs."
We Are Your Sons: The Legacy of Ethel and Julius Rosenberg (with Michael Meeropol)
"one of those rare books everyone should read"


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Marek Kowalczyk (ur. 17 stycznia 1977) – polski piłkarz występujący na pozycji pomocnika.

Życiorys
Karierę piłkarską zaczynał we Włókniarzu Wrocław. Kolejnymi klubami w jego karierze były Parasol Wrocław, Śląsk Wrocław, Szombierki Bytom, Marko Walichnowy, Polar Wrocław, czeskie FC Hradec Králové i GKS Kobierzyce. Obecnie występuje w III-ligowym Motobi Bystrzyca Kąty Wrocławskie.

Największe klubowe sukcesy odnosił z drużyną Śląska Wrocław, klubem do którego trafiał aż 5-krotnie. W barwach Śląska rozegrał w I lidze 35 meczów i strzelił 2 gole.

W 1993 r. z Reprezentacją Polski U-16 zdobył w Turcji złoty medal Mistrzostw Europy. W tym samym roku brał także udział w Mistrzostwach Świata U-17 w Japonii, gdzie Polska zajęła czwarte miejsce.

Bibliografia

Polscy piłkarze
Piłkarze Polaru Wrocław
Piłkarze Śląska Wrocław
Piłkarze Szombierek Bytom
Piłkarze FC Hradec Králové
Piłkarze MKS Oława
Piłkarze KS Bystrzyca Kąty Wrocławskie
Urodzeni w 1977
Uczestnicy Mistrzostw Świata U-17 w Piłce Nożnej 1993

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You can download 27 Unbelievable Facts About Master Bedroom Inspiration Photos in your computer by clicking resolution image in Download by size:. Don't forget to rate and comment if you interest with this wallpaper.
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A woman is suing Chris Brown after claiming she was raped during a party at his home last year, February 2017.
A lawsuit was filed at the Los Angeles County Superior Court on Wednesday, alleging sexual battery, emotional distress, negligence.
The victim alleges she went to the singer's house after a concert at a nightclub and was assaulted by rapper Young Lo and an anonymous woman, named only as Doe X.
The woman's lawyer called it "one of the most horrific cases" she had seen.
It alleges the woman, known only as Jane Doe, went to 1 Oak nightclub on 23 February last year.
"At some point our client was invited to attend an 'after party' at a recording studio to meet Young Lo and Chris Brown," lawyer Gloria Allred said at a press conference.
The lawsuit alleges the woman's phone was taken away from her and when she asked to leave she was told she couldn't have it back as the party was moving to Chris Brown's home.
According to the lawsuit, Brown then distributed "a clear white pill filled with powder" to female guests, which the alleged victim refused, instead isolating herself from the other partygoers. The suit also says that the alleged victim was intimidated by the number of guns in Brown's home, that she believed she was unable to leave Brown's house on her own because of a code-protected gate, and that "Brown ordered Grissom" to push a couch in front of a bedroom door to prevent anyone from leaving the room where sexual activity was taking place.
A spokesman of the Los Angeles Police Department confirmed to New York Times that there is an open investigation into the incident.


text:
Q: Spring Batch Admin:Job status is not getting updated from Started to Completed i am working on application based on Spring Batch and Spring Batch Admin. When job starts, it's status is changing from Starting to Started.
When job is completed. Status stills appears as Started.However, it should change as Completed.
This status comes from Spring Batch database tables present in the database. Status changes as Completed in tables however in UI it does not update.
Please do help me with this issue.

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaStackExchange


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Tools and equipment needed should be in good condition and must be checked by Instrument Supervisor prior to use in the construction area.
Special tools shall bear valid calibration certificates traceable to a national standard indicating calibration validity and periodically (at least 6 months) checked by a third party laboratory testing facility.
Review all references such as Approved for Construction drawings, layouts and technical scope of work, work permit requirements, and work procedures.
Manpower, equipment, tools and other logistics are ready and prepared for works.
Identify area classification and verify hazardous areas to be considered during construction activities considering precautionary measures in using tools, equipment and materials to be affected, making sure that all these items are suitable and appropriate as per the area requirements.
Mnufacturer service representatives or vendor personnel should be scheduled accordingly.
Safety aspects shall be discussed on daily basis to include associated installation care needed.
Ensure that the work area is clean and free from foreign objects.
Ensure that the field wiring is completed, terminated and that all field spurs (but not the devices).
Remove only the connector to the field wiring; it is not necessary to remove the connector to the H1 card (DCS). Removing the connector to the field wiring isolates the field wiring from the H1 card and power supply, and enables you to make the resistance and capacitance measurements.
Check the resistance: Measure resistance on the H1 segment conductors at the removed Relcom terminal block connector coming in from the field using Megger Tester.
4. Check capacitance: Measure the capacitance on the H1 segment conductors at the removed Relcom terminal block connector coming in from the field using Document Process Calibrator.
If everything checks out to be within these limits, the basics wiring for your segment is good.
Check if the segment power connector is connected.
Check the voltage at the power supply, H1 host interface, and individual field devices using Document Process Calibrator.
The signal level is measured from the top of one signal peak to the bottom of the next peak (peak-to-peak) usingFBT-3 or FBT-6 fieldbus monitor.
Signal level is impacted by the number of terminators attached to the segment, trunk and spurs cable lengths, and series resistance of current device.
Noise can interfere with the fieldbus signal causing communication to be corrupted or missed. Improperly grounded shield wires and routing fieldbus cables near other cables (particularly high power cables) are typical sources of fieldbus noise.
Fieldbus communicates within a frequency bank of 7.8 KHz to 39.1 KHz. Fieldbus devices are required to reject signals within the field bus frequency band that are less than 75mVpp.
FBT-3 and FBT-6 both measure average and peak noise. High average noise indicates the noise source is constantly present. Common causes of high average noise include a poorly grounded shield and routing of fieldbus cable near and parallel with other signal carrying cables or AC power cables.


Feb 21, 2019Dr. Scott Stewart updates you on Bt refuge requirements for corn and discusses Viptera trait in our latest Call of the Week.
Feb 8, 2019The annual Cotton Focus is scheduled for Friday, February 15. Dr. Tyson Raper hits the highlights in our latest podcast.


Disclosure: This is a sponsored post written by me on behalf of the American Egg Board.
Are you looking for breakfast ideas for kids?
School is back in session and mornings are rushed and crazy. As we all know breakfast is the most important meal of the day, especially for school age kids. Fueling their bodies and brains before they head out to school is probably the most important thing we can do as parents. The American Egg Board challenged me to replace our regular breakfast cereal with eggs for 10 days. Eggs are a healthier breakfast choice. Eggs have the highest-quality protein found in any food, are full of vitamins and minerals and only have 70 calories per egg.
I was looking forward to the challenge. My families' choice of sugar loaded cereal needed to go.
Now you're probably thinking just like I did that there is no way you can manage to cook eggs for breakfast in the morning before school. The mornings are crazy in my house. My daughter gets on the bus at 6:10 a.m.
The hardest part is getting into the habit of cooking eggs instead of just grabbing a bowl, box and milk. We always have eggs in the refrigerator. I already cook scrambled eggs for breakfast a couple of days a week when my granddaughter is here. And my daughter loves an egg and cheese breakfast burrito on the weekends.
With the quick and easy recipes from the American Egg Board like the one below eggs for breakfast are very do-able. But I had to do a little prep work since my daughter gets on the bus so early in the mornings. So over the weekend I made up 5 breakfast burritos, wrapped them in plastic wrap and put them in the freezer.
Each morning while she was getting dressed I heated one up in the microwave and she ate it while we waited for the bus. Most mornings she goes to school without eating breakfast. The one thing I noticed during the challenge is that when she got home from school she didn't act like she was starving. When I asked her how she felt at school after eating the Egg & Sausage Burrito each day she said she felt more alert during her morning classes.
We have always eaten hardboiled eggs as a snack. We also eat deviled eggs frequently. But since the challenge I have started making hardboiled eggs and keeping them in the fridge for a late afternoon protein snack before I go on my daily walk.
This 2 minute Egg and Sausage Taco or Burrito can be made in less than two minutes in the microwave. You can have this protein packed kids breakfast ready in the time it takes your child to find two matching socks and put their shoes on. The best part. It costs less than $2 a serving. AND you can make them ahead, freeze them and have the entire weeks' worth of school morning breakfasts ready in advance so you can just zap a breakfast burrito in the microwave.
Eggs are all natural and filled with essential vitamins, minerals and six grams of high quality protein. They are a perfect breakfast to give kids the energy they need for busy school days and they can be prepared in a number of ways.
Research shows that a protein-rich breakfast, such as an egg breakfast, improves appetite control and leads to increased feelings of fullness. This makes it easier for children to focus and learn in school.
To make this easy egg & sausage breakfast taco or burrito you will need one egg, 1 flour tortilla, fully cook sausage crumbles, a tablespoon of milk and some cheddar cheese.
In a microwave safe bowl mix the egg, milk and sausage.
Microwave on high for 30 seconds. Mix and return to the microwave for an additional 15-45 seconds until the egg is cook but still moist. The egg will continue to cook for a few seconds more. Do not overcook.
Spread the cooked egg and sausage on one edge of a tortilla. Sprinkle with cheese and fold or roll up into a burrito.
Serve as is or add a little salsa before folding.
For more kid breakfast ideas visit IncredibleEgg.org for kid friendly breakfast recipes, tips and more.
Get the kids out the door fast in the morning with this 2 minute Egg and Sausage Breakfast Burrito recipe.
PLACE on flatbread. TOP with cheese. FOLD and serve with salsa, if desired.
Love doing the same thing but with English Muffin instead!
My favorite back to school egg breakfast would have to be scrambled eggs on toast.
Quick and easy scrambled eggs with cheese.
I love a good breakfast sandwich – 1 fried egg, sausage patty, and cheese on an English muffin.
Breakfast Burritos Are My Favorite!
French Toast is my favorite back to school breakfast. It combines the nutrition of eggs with the flavors of waffles.
This recipe is great!!I love scambled eggs and cheese with a English Muffin!
My husband and sons love sausage and scrambled egg quesadillas.
Scrambled egg on top of toast. Love eggs, they are filling and so good!!
I like with cheese and eggs on a flatbread.
I love quiche – eggs, cheese, ham – yum!
My son asks for scrambled eggs and cheese some mornings.
Sausage is great, but some diced ham rules in this house!
It has to be egg crepes with lingonberry sauce! I am dreaming to have eggs everyday of my life!
I love making breakfast pizza. Delicious as breakfast, brunch or a snack.
My kids love eggs and one of their favorite ways to eat them is in a ha and cheese omelet.
I loved when my mom used to make us "toad in the hole": basically a piece of toast with the center cut out and an egg cooked in the hole. I still make them when I want a smile in the morning!
I like to make a breakfast burrito by filling a flour tortilla with scrambled eggs, cheese, and salsa. Roll it up like a burrito and go.
I make mini egg "quiches" in muffin tins to put in the fridge/freezer to eat on the go!
I love ham and cheese omelettes!


text:
http://www.pinnacle.com/en/betting-articles/Football/nfl-2021-22-season-preview/6F92WABGJV2GXKVE
Mark Taylor Football
NFL 2021/22 season preview - Who will win the Super Bowl?
Who will win the Super Bowl?
NFL odds and predictions
How will this NFL season work?
Using Pythagorean expectations to predict the season
The NFL returns on September 9 as defending champions the Tampa Bay Buccaneers host the Dallas Cowboys in the opening fixture of the season. Mark Taylor takes a look at the favourites to win next year's Super Bowl and what might unfold during the campaign ahead.
Listen to the NFL Opening Line
Inform your NFL predictions ahead of this season with Pinnacle Podcast's NFL Opening Line, featuring host James Gregg alongside football expert Eric Eager.
Super Bowl LVI: Who are the favourites?
5.900*
11.080*
This NFL season will retain the expansion to 14 postseason teams (seven from each conference), of which only the top seed will earn a postseason bye week.
An additional 17th regular season game has also been added, meaning the regular season will now run for 18 weeks, during which each team will get one bye week. To address the unbalanced home and away schedule this will cause, NFC teams will visit an AFC opponent for the extra game.
In a new rule designed to encourage players to get vaccinated against COVID-19, matches will also be forfeited by a team if they are unable to contest the fixture as a result of a COVID-19 outbreak among unvaccinated squad members.
Using Pythagorean expectations for NFL predictions
As usual, the most proficient method for making predictions ahead of the upcoming NFL season is to study the expected number of wins for a team according to the number of points they have scored and allowed, as opposed to their actual win/loss record.
This is because the ability to score more points over a season than you concede may not always manifest itself in individual games and an uneven distribution of how points appear in single matches may inflate or decrease actual win/loss records.
Luck plays a large part in the now 17-game regular season and being on the right or wrong end of this unsustainable but powerful game-deciding influence can skew an evaluation of a team's underlying quality.
Using yards per play for betting on the NFL
For instance, in 2015 the New York Giants recorded six wins and 10 losses during the regular season (a 38% win rate). However, they scored 420 and allowed 442 points in the process, equating to a Pythagorean win percentage of 47% and indicating they were better than their results suggested. Suitably, they then made the playoffs in 2016.
The five teams who underperformed against their Pythagorean win percentage to the greatest extent in 2020 were the Atlanta Falcons, Carolina Panthers, Houston Texans, Jacksonville Jaguars, and San Francisco 49ers. Conversely, the Cleveland Browns (who earned 11 regular season wins despite conceding more points than they scored), Buffalo Bills, Green Bay Packers, Kansas City Chiefs, Seattle Seahawks, and Tennessee Titans were all flattered by their win/loss record compared to Pythagorean expectations.
Reviewing turnovers and passing efficiencies
Interceptions tend to be a slightly more repeatable feature of games than fumble recoveries or giveaways. The data suggests that a large positive or negative turnover differential will boost a team's win/loss record, but that also in either instance it will generally regress to the mean over the span of more than one season.
Teams who gain a lot of yardage with their passing can be expected to perform well.
In 2015, the Baltimore Ravens' poor 5-11 regular season was partly due to a large negative turnover differential, during which they allowed 14 more turnovers than they created. The following year they turned in an 8-8 regular season featuring a small positive turnover differential.
The Denver Broncos, Las Vegas Raiders, Philadelphia Eagles, and San Francisco 49ers each endured double-digit negative turnover differentials in 2020 and can therefore be somewhat expected to improve on this front this year.
At the other end of the scale, the Indianapolis Colts, Miami Dolphins, New Orleans Saints, Pittsburgh Steelers, and Tennessee Titans enjoyed the most helpful turnover differentials last year and thus may have to brace themselves for a regression towards the league average.
The importance of looking ahead in the NFL
Another metric that offers a solid indication of a team's underlying ability is their average yardage gained per pass or rushing attempt. In this instance, it is important to take into account the quality of the pass defences among the opponents they have faced.
On average, a side will attempt around 560 passes and 430 running plays in the regular season. Last year, the Buffalo Bills, Green Bay Packers, Kansas City Chiefs, Los Angeles Rams, and Tampa Bay Buccaneers recorded the best opponent-adjusted differential between how well they passed and how well they defended against the pass, meaning that in a pass-orientated league they were the most difficult teams to keep pace with.
Meanwhile, the Cincinnati Bengals, Jacksonville Jaguars, Philadelphia Eagles, and both New York teams endured the biggest negative differential between passing ability and defending against the opposition's passing game.
The importance of schedule
While there are 32 teams in the NFL, a team will actually only play 14 opponents during the regular season. Their 17 matches include two each against their three divisional rivals (one at home and one on the road).
The Cincinnati Bengals are among the teams with the most difficult schedules this year.
Therefore, some schedules will be more difficult than others. Many mainstream media outlets add up win percentages from the previous year for a side's opponents to determine their strength of schedule, although once again Pythagorean win expectation is a better indicator of future performance than actual wins.
Thus, schedule strength is better assessed by accounting for such factors as the previous Pythagorean win expectations of a team's upcoming opponents instead of their actual prior wins.
For instance, the Jacksonville Jaguars, who won just one game in 2020, are likely to be a better team in 2021 and indeed their Over/Under for regular season wins this year is set at 6.5. This assessment suggests that any team facing the Jaguars in 2021 are likely to encounter a stronger challenge than one that assumes the Jags are only capable of a solitary regular season win.
Reading NFL box scores: Looking at numbers in more detail
Incorporating these factors into the 2021 schedule (along with the extra game), the easiest schedules appear to fall to the Cleveland Browns, Denver Broncos, Jacksonville Jaguars, Miami Dolphins, San Francisco 49ers, and Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who will be facing teams projected to average around 8.3 wins during the 17-game regular season.
The toughest schedule has been handed to the Cincinnati Bengals, Detroit Lions, Houston Texans, Las Vegas Raiders, and Pittsburgh Steelers, whose opponents are expected to average closer to nine wins.
Who has the best NFL squad?
Naturally, personnel changes will play a part in team performance. The worse performing teams get the better picks in the NFL Draft, which coupled with the salary caps means that teams often perform in cycles.
However, on occasion, the signing of just one player can transform a side into Super Bowl contenders, as most recently witnessed when Tom Brady's move to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers led them to the coveted trophy.
This year, the Los Angeles Rams will be hoping to repeat the trick with the addition of Matt Stafford, while Dak Prescott has returned to lead the Dallas Cowboys after suffering an early season-ending injury in 2020.
Why you should consider cyclical performance in the NFL
Many teams may tick multiple boxes capable of indicating an improved or reduced win total in 2021, although such well-established indicators will not go unnoticed by the bookmakers. Despite the fact they recorded just four regular season victories in 2020, the Over/Under for the Atlanta Falcons has been set to 7.5 this year, largely because their Pythagorean win expectation was just under 50%.
Conversely, Kansas City's raft of narrow wins last season has culminated in their Over/Under for wins sitting at just 12.5, despite the fact they recorded 14 regular season wins last year and have an extra game to add to that total this time round.
We can simulate the entire season using team ratings derived from these multiple sources. Using such an approach, here are my divisional and championship picks for the upcoming NFL season:
AFC East: Buffalo Bills and New England Patriots
AFC West: Kansas City Chiefs and Las Vegas Raiders
AFC North: Baltimore Ravens and Pittsburgh Steelers
AFC South: Tennessee Titans and Jacksonville Jaguars
NFC East: Dallas Cowboys and Washington
NFC West: Los Angeles Rams and San Francisco 49ers
NFC North: Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings
NFC South: Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Atlanta Falcons
NFC champions: Los Angeles Rams
AFC champions: Buffalo Bills
Super Bowl champions: Los Angeles Rams
You can also read Mark's previews for the biggest matches throughout the NFL season with his Game of the Week.
Odds subject to change
See the latest NFL odds
NFL Draft 2021: A round-up of the first-round draft picks
Guide to the 2021 NFL Draft
Super Bowl LV preview: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Kansas City Chiefs


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A Pokoli futam (eredeti cím: Vehicle 19) 2013-as amerikai thriller, amit Mukunda Michael Dewil írt és rendezett. A főszerepben Paul Walker és Naima McLean látható. A filmet a SudioCanal készítette, és a VVS cég forgalmazta.

2013. február 7.-én mutatták be Dél-Afrikában, június 14-én pedig az Amerikai Egyesült Államokban.

A Rotten Tomatoes oldalán 25 értékelés alapján 24%-ra értékelték. A bruttósított bevétele világszerte összesen 2 145 231 dollár.

Cselekmény

A film Johannesburgban (Dél-Afrika) játszódik. Egy amerikai állampolgár, Michael Woods (Paul Walker), aki nemrég szabadult a börtönből, szeretné helyrehozni az életét, hogy visszaszerezze szerelmét. Ám hamarosan bajba keveredik egy kölcsönzőből bérelt autóval, aminek csomagtartójában egy nő van megkötözve. Odáig fajul a helyzet, hogy korrupt rendőrök, majd az egész város célpontjává válik...

Szereplők

 Paul Walker - Michael Woods (Bozsó Péter)
 Naima McLean - Rachel Shabangu (Nemes Takách Kata)
 Gys de Villiers - Smith nyomozó (Barbinek Péter)
 Leyla Haidarian - Angelica Moore
 Tshepo Maseko - Hadnagy
 Andrian Mazive - Benji (Varga Rókus)
 Welile Nzuza - Mohawk
 Mangaliso Ngema - Bíró
 Ernest Kubayi - Drogbáró
 Elize Van Niekerk - autókölcsönzőben a recepciós

További információk

2013 filmjei
Amerikai thrillerek
Big Bang Media-filmek


Sales of both new and existing homes are on the rise—welcome news for fix-and-flip investors. And television series have given bravado to novices. The shows make flipping look easy, but it's far from a walk in the park.
Flipping's main objective is simple: buy low, sell high. On my forthcoming HGTV show Flipping Virgins (a spin-off of my show Property Virgins), I teach first-time investors how to identify ideal properties and make renovation choices that will yield the highest profit. As a Realtor who got my start in property turnovers, I've developed a time-tested formula for success: a third, a third, a third.
Property acquisition Spend one-third of your targeted final sales price on the purchase.
Renovation costs Before closing, get a hard estimate of renovation costs, also a third.
ARV (after-reno value) Make sure your Realtor runs a market analysis on the property to determine its value after the proposed renovation. The difference between this and your all-in costs will be your profit. Ideally, this is another third.
The uglier the house, the bigger the profit potential. Rehabs can range from basic improvements, such as painting and reflooring, to full gut jobs or reframing an entire house, which can cost anywhere from $60 to $120 per square foot. A major kitchen remodel can cost $50,000 or more.
Where do you find properties with profit potential in Atlanta? We are seeing tons of flipping action in Kirkwood, Reynoldstown, and Edgewood. East Point is also starting to bubble for investors.
Ideally, you want to sell the house before the first mortgage payment is due. Holding property incurs hefty costs: insurance, utilities, interest, taxes, mortgage payments. Be sure you have enough savings to carry your project to completion. And tempting as it may be to install upgraded finishes, do only what the market requires. No Chastain Park finishes in a Candler Park bungalow.
Sherrod is also CEO of the Egypt Sherrod Real Estate Group and author of Keep Calm . . . It's Just Real Estate.
This article originally appeared in the Fall 2015 issue of Atlanta Magazine's HOME.


text:
Q: Developing masks to a Landsat composition I'm a beginner at GE and JavaScript code. I want to apply two masks to a Landsat composition that is already done in the code.
First I've done the raster upload (that I want to be a mask), which I called "image1". Second, I want a mask that will delete pixels that are smaller than 1 ha.
The mask doesn't appear in the final result, where is the problem?
var mascara = function (image) {
  // Develop masks for anthropized area.
 var qaMaska = image1.select("b1")
 return image.updateMask(qaMaska)
}

var pixels = function (image) {
// Develop masks for pixels larger than 1000 ha.
var minArea = 10000
var maxSize = 200
var pixelCount = hx.connectedPixelCount(maxSize)
var minPixelCount = ee.Image(minArea).divide(ee.Image.pixelArea())
var agricFin = hx.updateMask(pixelCount.gte(minPixelCount))
}

Here is the link: https://code.earthengine.google.com/a6e853ef1b50056e273ff5d63ece3e7b


Pant inseam for size 3-6 months measures approx. 9.5"
Let your future fan show her support with this Florida State Seminoles Rosalita Ruffled Sweatshirt Leggings set from Colosseum!
Girls_Infant_Colosseum_Garnet/Denim_Florida_State_Seminoles_Rosalita_Ruffled_Sweatshirt_Leggings_Set http://images.fanatics.com/lf http://dmimages.ff.p10/chains/2913895.txt false We are unable to customize this item with the text you have entered. Please try a different entry again. Your current entry cannot be processed due to guidelines for past and present player names. Please create a new entry.


text:
Heritage Midwestern apples debut comeback in new cider
Brix Cider
MOUNT HOREB, Wis. – Before Americans drank beer, they drank hard cider. As small farmers and homesteaders spread West during colonization, many of them planted apple trees, and most of the apples were destined for the cider mill. In hard cider's American heyday, over 15,000 named varieties of apples were grown across the country, and many of them were grown especially for making cider.
Many of these varieties were lost to history, and along with them went the popular flavors that our ancestors enjoyed.
In recent years, however, craft cider has undergone a renaissance, spurring new interest in the lost trees of times past. Leading the charge in the exploration of near forgotten trees is the Wisconsin-born apple historian Dan Bussey who recently released the most extensive publication of apple varieties ever produced.
Bussey's fascination with apple diversity took hold in the 1980s when he started planting the orchard at Albion Prairie Farm in Edgerton, Wis.. There he amassed a unique collection of close to 200 apple varieties, some of which were very rare. He eventually sold the orchard and moved to Iowa to work for Seed Savers Exchange as the orchard manager there.
Marie and Matt Raboin, the owners of Brix Cider in Mount Horeb, learned about Albion Prairie Farm in 2016, before their business had been formed. They met with Lisa and Dale Reeves, the current owners of the farm, and they worked out an arrangement to do numerous cider experiments using apples from Albion Prairie Farm.
In the fall of 2016, the Raboin's conducted evaluations of 40 of the apple varieties at Albion Prairie Farm, testing their brix (sugar content), acidity, pH, and tannin levels. Tannins are often considered a defining feature of true cider apples since they provide some bitterness, astringency, and complexity that is hard to find in common eating apples.
They fermented out all 40 apple varieties individually and evaluated the colors, aromas, and flavors that came through in the finished ciders. All of the results from their research are publicly available on the Brix Cider website.
Two apple varieties that really caught the Raboin's attention were called Garfield and Minkler. Neither is commonly known, but a little research showed that both of these apples were of Midwestern origin, dating back to the 1800s. The age and local origin alone was interesting, but what the Raboin's really liked is that both of these apples had high brix readings and high tannin readings.
The Minkler apple flavor profile fell in the "bitter sweet" category that cider makers covet, and the Garfield apple was nearly perfectly balanced for making a standout cider – just needing something mildly bitter sweet (like the Minkler) to make the ideal blend. In other words, in the unique collection at Albion Prairie Farm, the Raboin's had rediscovered heritage Midwestern apples that were almost certainly featured in local ciders from centuries ago.
England, France, and Spain have their celebrated cider apple varieties, and some cider makers in New England are rediscovering old cider apple varieties there as well. A Midwestern Heritage cider, however, like one made solely with Garfield and Minkler apples, is something truly unique.
At the Albion Prairie Farm property, there are only a couple trees each of Garfield and Minkler, and in harvesting apples for Brix Cider, the Raboin's set those two varieties aside for a small, specialty batch. They are releasing the cider made only from Garfield and Minkler apples on Friday, August 9 at the Brix Cider tasting room in Mount Horeb. Having only made 25 gallons for this small batch, the don't expect the cider to last long.


I ever dared say the syllables out loud.
where I barely spoke the language.
an Adam of my own tiny world.
sweaty and waiting to be handed down.
some mothers are selkies who leave everything smelling like seawater. some mothers were raised by children, or wolves, or both, or no one. you suspect they have hollow nightingale bones and songs obscured by cut tongues. some mothers never learned to say no. some say, "be glad i'm not my mother." some mothers are voicemails that go unplayed, undeleted for weeks. some mothers have names their other mom-friends tell their children not to google. some mothers are at a cemetery in culver city, and not at shabbat dinner—lighting candles and pouring wine. some mothers make the smell of cigarettes a comfort your whole life. some mothers remind you they spent decades weaving pain into a gauzy blanket to keep their children safe in.
before sliding through the needle's eye.
of reminder that I belong.
making sure it's still there.
where I've made myself canvas.
• how could I phrase it best for their ears?
• how might their hands move in response?
like I'm covered in bits of clipped hair.
the most depressing river in the world.
knowing you would let me go ahead.
Afterward, my throat would itch for days.
I wasn't sure I ever aged above sixteen.
and then I miss those things too.
but it's nice to hear someone tell me it's okay.


text:
Progressive Radio News Hour - Finian Cunningham - 10/28/2012
Posted in DefaultTag on Oct 28th, 2012 Comments
Cunningham is a musician, writer and activist based in Northern Ireland when he's not on site elsewhere doing research.
Earlier he spent months in Bahrain, writing about brutal Al-Khalifa monarchy repression.
Currently, he's on the Horn of Africa. He's covering struggles in that strategic part of the world, but not ignoring other vital issues.
Key ones will be discussed.
Progressive Radio News Hour - Jack Rasmus - 10/27/12
Jack Rasmus is Professor of Political Economy at St. Mary's College and Santa Clara University, CA. He's also a freelance journalist, frequent speaker, a playwright and author, including his latest book titled, "Epic Recession: Prelude to Global Depression."
His new book is titled, "Obama's Economy: Recovery for the Few."
His book and current views on the economy will be discussed.
Progressive Radio News Hour - Mohammad Marandi - 09/16/2012
Marandi is an Associate Professor at the University of Tehran. He also chairs their North American studies department.
Discussion will focus on Iran, Syria and other Middle East issues.
Progressive Radio News Hour - John Kozy - 10/21/2012
Posted in DefaultTag on Oct 21st, 2012 Comments
Kozy is a retired philosophy professor, now writing on social, political and economic issues. He taught for many years and has been writing for many more.
Progressive Radio News Hour - Rodney Shakespeare - 10/20/12
Rodney Shakespeare is a Professor of Binary Economics at Trisakti University, Britain where he teaches postgraduate Islamic Economics and Finance.
He's also a qualified UK Barrister, co-founder of the Global Justice Movement, and distinguished writer, scholar and lecturer, particularly at Islamic conferences on money, the real economy, and social and economic justice.
Progressive Radio News Hour - Denis Rancourt - 10/19/12
Rancourt is a distinguished tenured Professor of Physics, a recognized expert in his field, and an Environmental Science Researcher at the University of Ottawa, Canada.
Yet he was persecuted, unfairly fired, and barred from campus - a gross violation of his academic freedom, tenure, stature, and support for human rights, civil liberties and equal justice.
Progressive Radio News Hour - John McMurtry - 09/16/2012
McMurtry is an internationally recognized moral and political philosopher who is an elected Fellow of the Royal Society of Canada and University Professor Emeritus at the University of Guelph, Ontario.
His volumes on Philosophy and World Problems for UNESCO are globally published, and his widely translated works include the influential books, "Unequal Freedoms," "The Cancer Stage of Capitalism," and "Value Wars."
McMurtry is also an active public advocate for global justice, world peace, and international law.
Progressive Radio News Hour - Peter Phillips - 09/22/12
Peter Phillips is a Sonoma State University Sociology Professor and former Director of Project Censored (PC). He's currently President of the Media Freedom Foundation (MFF) initiative for First Amendment freedoms and investigative research, working closely with PC and other media related organizations.
Progressive Radio News Hour - James Petras - 10/12/12
Petras is Binghamton University, New York Professor Emeritus, a noted figure on the left, a distinguished Latin American expert, and longtime chronicler of the region's popular struggles.
He's also a consummate scholar and prolific writer of hundreds of articles and dozens of books, including his latest titled, "The Arab Revolt and the Imperialist Counterattack."
Progressive Radio News Hour - Matthew Witt - 10/07/12
Posted in DefaultTag on Oct 7th, 2012 Comments


Louisa Mak (麥明詩) has been the talk of the town of late. Having recently visited New York to become admitted to practice law in the United States, the TVB actress and Miss Hong Kong winner has once again shown that she has both beauty and brains. And for those who worry that this news signals the end of her flourishing career in the entertainment industry, don't fear – in a recent interview, Louisa clarified that her decision to get admitted was just to provide her future with more security.
This article is written by Jen for JayneStars.com.
I look forward to seeing what Louisa does next. So far her roles have been quite interesting to watch.
I really admire her hard work and intelligence. She was working at TVB while obtaining her law degree. That's not an easy feat. Good for her. It is always good to have a backup plan as you never know what to expect in the entertainment industry.
Kudos to her…on the same path as Tracy Chu.
@peachyogurt Considering that Louisa is a few years younger than Tracy and that Tracy still has many years left in her studies while Louisa already has her license, I would say Louisa is way ahead of her in the game. Anyhow, they're both quite admirable to be so academically driven while being entertainers. Tbh, I find Louisa prettier than Tracy. Something about Tracy's mouth doesn't appeal to me.
@sugadough Yes I agree that they both are admirable for pursuing a professional higher education. Louisa is a lot younger and finished her studies earlier because I think she pursued her degree right away after becoming Miss HK in 2015, whereas I feel that Tracey spent a few years starring in TVB dramas before making an academic move. I think this is a wise move because it gave audience a chance to know and remember her – and miss her. Also, Louisa became licensed in law in the US while Tracy is planning to become licensed in HK. I think Tracy's knowledge would be more beneficial when it comes to filming dramas related to HK law, or even benefit actors/actress who are seeking someone who understands HK laws. In my opinion, I think Tracy has a more elegant look, while Louisa has a cute look. They both are beautiful and smart and not one is better than the other. Wish them the best with whatever they choose down the path, whether it is law, entertainment, or both!
I don't know why but I find Louisa annoying. I don't like her looks and some angles make her teeth look so bad. Maybe she should consider getting braces.
Her pursuit of a law degree in UK and then taking the Bar Exam to practice law in the USA is confusing. Most HK Lawyers obtain law degree or go for internships in UK, which makes sense. But for her to obtain her degree in the UK and decide to practice law in the USA… ??? But she is smart to have chosen New York as the state to take her Bar exam because New York is one of the jurisdictions most open to foreign lawyers, this would allow her to sit for the Bar Exam without being forced to complete any further law school study in the US.
@moseenaddict That is what I think too.
A law degree in North America (Canada & USA) is a post-graduate degree (3 or 4 years after a bachelor's degree), while a law degree in UK and Hong Kong is only an undergraduate degree. Don't know why the New York Bar Exam. Board accepted her undergraduate degree in Law for bar exam. for a law practising licence. She had saved many years of study by doing that. A super smart woman!!
@orchid123 Maybe special exemption due to superb results.
@funnlim Louisa said she got a 2nd class honours in her law degree. But I agree with you that her renowned university, University of Cambridge, might have made the difference.
@moseenaddict It is rare but it does happen. Perhaps she intends to settle in US.
@funnlim I believe that the solid reason for her choosing to take the Bar exam in NY is because of the State's leniency to foreign lawyers and as @orchid123 stated, requires a few years less of schooling.
Louisa knows very well that she is not a good actress and no beauty by any means… will she make a dramatic improvement to become a GREAT actress in the next 5-10 years remains to be seen. So, obtaining her law degree and license to practice is a back up plan. Smart girl. However, just because she has a license to practice is not all so glamorous as it sounds, she needs experience under her belt, and if she remains an actress in HK, she will lack working experience and will end up working for the government or small firm with low salary. It takes years and years of practice and many cases won before achieving the acclaimed status and high paying salary of a lawyer.
@moseenaddict Please give her due credit. American bar exam is not easy. I don't know her score but she did enough to be admitted and it means something. I find her acting tolerable. I like her Helen in OMG Your Honour. She will improve. The acclaimed status takes just 1 good case. The high salary takes many good cases plus a great academic background which helps and also a shortcut., if daddy is rich somebody.Someone with her qualification would never work in small firm but she may become a judge or in prosecution service. Government service or judiciary is the place to make friends for the future and salary isn't everything. I am pretty sure the pay would be more than as TVB actress right now unless she hits it big as an actress.
She is wise to not be too opinionated. Asians do not like opinions, not from someone young.
She can be like Charmaine Sheh; hardly great actress but terribly rich.
@funnlim I do give her credit for her for her 10 A's in the HKCEE. But it was from her parents' networking that she attended Wellington College and subsequently Cambridge. Whether she graduated with 2nd Honors in Law is questionable… but she did try hard and was the president of Cambridge's CUHKCAS (Cambridge University Hong Kong China Affairs Society) for one year (2012-2013). I can tell she is a very ambitious woman.
The road she has chosen so far is only the first of many steps…. She has a looooooong way to go in regards to her acting. She has a looooooonger way to go in regards to her Law career as all the 'work experience' she has so far is only a 3 month non-paid internship at a law consulting firm in London. My cousin was an attorney in HK and now she is a judge. It took her many years of following a mentor, and then taking on cases on her own, then she decided to take the role of family judge when the opportunity arise. Besides, now-a-days, lawyers are a dime a dozen. It's the acclaimed lawyers that are rare to find.