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Star Wars: Battlefront II
This Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Theory Could Rewrite Snoke's Role in the Saga
By JK Schmidt - August 19, 2019 12:23 am EDT
The last Star Wars movie in the ongoing saga proved to be divisive, forgoing many of the mysteries established in Star Wars: The Force Awakens in order to push the narrative in surprising directions. But there's still the question of what happened to Supreme Leader Snoke in Star Wars: The Last Jedi and what his role meant to the sequel trilogy.
We might get some answers in Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker, and one fan has an idea of how it will all go down. The fan took to Reddit to reveal their theory, explaining that Snoke might be more tied to Emperor Palpatine than we originally thought.
Snoke theory that'd make everything make sense all over again from r/starwarsspeculation
We know that Palpatine will likely play a major role in Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker, as evidenced by that iconic cackle in the teaser trailer for the film. We're still a couple months away from learning more about the film, as the full trailer doesn't usually release until October.
But what about Snoke? So far, there's no word about the character, though actor Andy Serkis made it clear that he wishes to see more in the future.
"I emailed [director] J.J. [Abrams] and said, 'Let me know how things are going and how exciting it all is.' Of course, I'm very keen to see how the family's getting on," Serkis said in an interview with Hey U Guys. "Who knows, Snoke might come back, I'm not saying anything. I'm only making that up. I'm totally just rumor-spreading for the sake of it, but anything can happen."
Serkis also explained that he was taken aback by the decision to kill Snoke off, though he admired the bold storytelling choice in Star Wars: The Last Jedi.
"It was a bit of a shock," Serkis said in an interview with Games Radar, "but I could see exactly why they were going that route, and I think it was a huge surprise in the middle of the film. But I really loved the scene where Rey plays with Snoke. That scene was a fantastic. I just wish he'd survived, but who knows?"
We'll see if Snoke has role yet to play — and if the Emperor is related — when Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker premieres in theaters on December 20th.
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The thymus ensures the generation of a self-tolerant T-cell repertoire capable of recognizing foreign antigens. The selection of the T-cell repertoire is dictated by the thymic microenvironment. Among stromal cells, medullary thymic epithelial cells (mTECs) play a pivotal role in this process through their unique ability to express thousands of tissue-restricted self-antigens. In turn, developing T cells control the pool and maturation of mTECs. This phenomenon of bidirectional interactions between TECs and thymocytes is referred to as thymic crosstalk. In this chapter, I discuss the discovery of thymic crosstalk and our current understanding of bidirectional interactions between mTECs and thymocytes. Finally, I summarize recent advances indicating that thymic crosstalk is not restricted to TECs and thymocytes but also occurs between TECs and dendritic cells, as well as B cells and thymocytes. This complex cellular interplay is essential for efficient T-cell selection.
I gratefully thank Prof. Arnauld Sergé (Centre de Recherche en Cancérologie de Marseille) and Teshika Jayewickreme (Harvard University) for constructive comments. This work was supported by the Marie Curie Actions (Career Integration Grants, CIG_SIGnEPI4Tol_618541 to MI), institutional grants from Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique and Aix-Marseille Université.


The Mixed Teams League 2013/14 resumed last Monday with Birkirkara Go & Fun hosting Shuttles Fort Blocks. The two teams had earlier played and lost their match against current leaders PaolaBC.
Birkirkara Go & Fun took an early lead as the duo formed by Klara O'Berg / Stefan Salomone eased past Grace Vella Incorvaja / George Camilleri in the Mixed Doubles, 21-8 21-8.
Chinese player, Song Chen Jun, made it 2-0 for Birkirkara as he had the better of Shuttles' captain, Chris Spiteri, 21-9 21-15.
Seeing the match slipping away, Shuttles Fort Blocks tried to react through veteran Grace Saliba. After losing her first set to Daniella Galea 13-21, Spiteri drew level by claiming the second set 21-18. But, Galea regained composure and claimed the deciding set 12-21, thus giving a 3-0 lead and handing the win to her team.
With the match definitively in Birkirkara Go & Fun's hands, the Shuttles players tried at least to get a consolation point. Spiteri / Camilleri seemed on the right track as they won the first set of the Men's Doubles against Ivan Salomone / Albert Bezzina 21-15. However, the Birkirkara pair had other intentions and made a comeback to win the two remaining sets 21-18 22-20.
O'Berg / Jacqueline Abela DeGiovanni made it 5-0 for Birkirkara Go & Fun by winning the Women's Doubles. The Birkirkara pair were too strong for Saliba / Vella Incorvaja, winning the game 21-7 21-5.


A Cook County prosecutor became the fifth member to resign from a state anti-discrimination panel enmeshed in controversy over a member who is an aide to Nation of Islam leader Louis Farrakhan.
In a letter sent to Gov. Rod Blagojevich on Wednesday, Alan Spellberg said he could not remain on the commission when Claudette Marie Muhammad, chief of protocol to Farrakhan, "refuses to even acknowledge the offensive nature" of comments made by Farrakhan in a recent speech.
Muhammad's membership on the Governor's Commission on Discrimination and Hate Crimes only recently gained attention after she invited other members of the panel to attend a speech given by Farrakhan late last month. In it, Farrakhan said "the Hollywood Jews" are responsible for promoting homosexuality and other "filth of Hollywood."
Blagojevich refused to answer questions about the controversy Wednesday at a Peoria news conference promoting his college tuition tax credit plan. "Look, I'd love to make more news for you," Blagojevich told reporters. "We have no news for you. There's nothing new to say. Everything's the same."
Last week Blagojevich stood by Muhammad, saying he did not hold her responsible for Farrakhan's comments and that she should be judged by her own words of tolerance. At the same time, he said he didn't know until recently that she was on the commission.
Two Republican candidates for governor, state Sen. Bill Brady and Aurora businessman Jim Oberweis, said after a GOP debate Wednesday that the commission should be abolished. Republican Ron Gidwitz said commissioners should be replaced with new members. State Treasurer Judy Baar Topinka called for a review of the commission's membership and organization.
Appearing on a local radio program Tuesday, Muhammad said it was "ridiculous" to criticize her for Farrakhan's remarks, which "were perceived by some as anti-Semitic."
Spellberg, who is Jewish, provided his letter of resignation to reporters but declined to comment further.
"By failing to confront and denounce the blatantly anti-Semitic and anti-gay statements ... I believe the commission will be seen as sanctioning those repugnant remarks," wrote Spellberg, deputy supervisor of the criminal appeals division in the Cook County state's attorney's office.
Two Jewish leaders cited Muhammad's refusal to renounce Farrakhan's statements as reason for resigning last week. A third member who is also Jewish said he could not "serve on a commission that, by implication, accepts divisive and bigoted standards." A fourth quit one day after agreeing to be a replacement on the commission.
Gov. George Ryan formed the panel in 1999 to fulfill a campaign promise to combat hate crimes and discrimination, but it fell dormant and began meeting again only after Blagojevich named Muhammad and other new members in August.
Other commission members plan to keep their posts.
"It's difficult to distance Sister Muhammad from her work," said YWCA Metropolitan Chicago Chief Executive Officer Laura Thrall, who was appointed to the commission in August. "By the same token, I don't feel like resigning is the way to rectify this."


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OLYMPIA – Aug. 12, 2019 – The Washington State Parks Boating Program is urging stand up paddleboarders to be safe on the water by always wearing a life jacket and leash.
According to Washington state recreational boating accident data, six stand up paddleboard fatalities have occurred in the last 29 years — four of those have been in the last 30 days.
"The fact that we've had four back-to-back fatalities is alarming," said Rob Sendak, State Parks Boating Law Administrator. "Stand up paddleboarding is typically a safe and enjoyable activity, but it comes with risks, and people underestimate those risks by not wearing a life jacket and leash."
Federal and Washington state laws require everyone 13 years of age or older to carry a U.S. Coast Guard-approved life jacket. It must be in good condition and the right size and type for the person wearing it. Children 12 years of age or younger must wear their life jacket at all times while on board. Inflatable life jackets are authorized only for people 16 years of age and older. In addition, federal and state law requires stand up paddleboarders to carry the following:
Sounding device (horn, whistle or bell)
White all-around navigation light during low visibility, such as dusk to dawn, fog or heavy rain
Nighttime visual distress signals (such as flares) but only on federal waterways
According to boating safety experts, the laws are minimal and do not maximize the chance of survival in an accident — such as falling overboard into cold water, which is a common occurrence on stand up paddleboards.
"The losses experienced this year are tragic, and I hope people take our safety recommendations seriously to prevent accidents," said Sendak. "The best advice I can offer is to always wear a life jacket and a leash when you go out on a stand up paddleboard. Your life depends on it."
Marine law enforcement will conduct safety emphasis patrols over Labor Day weekend — specifically targeting stand up paddleboarders to educate them about laws and safe practices.
The State Parks Boating Program recommends the following to stand up paddleboarders for maximum safety:
Always wear a life jacket
Stand up paddleboarders should wear a life jacket every time they go out on the water. Modern, comfortable life jackets are tailored specifically for paddlesports. An inflatable life jacket, or belt pouch, must be properly armed with an unused gas cylinder, always to be checked before heading out. Free standard life jackets are available to borrow at many water access sites. Learn more: www.lifejacketloaner.org.
Always wear a leash
A leash is a necessity. Without a leash, even in a light breeze or small waves or current, a paddleboard can drift out of reach in a matter of seconds. Staying tethered to a paddleboard provides extra flotation and a chance to stay alive in an accident. A variety of leashes are available (coiled, hybrid, straight, quick release), and which one to use depends on the waterway. Stand up paddleboarders need to research which is right for them.
Knowing about paddling safety leads to a more enjoyable experience. Numerous classes are available through local clubs and outfitters, city and county parks and recreation departments, and online.
Carry essential gear
Essential safety gear includes a whistle or other sound-producing device, which is required by law. In addition, people should carry some form of communication device such as a cell phone (in a waterproof bag) or VHF marine radio (while on coastal waters). Other essentials depend on the type of waterway and length of trip.
Avoid alcohol and drugs
Operating any vessel — including stand up paddleboards — while under the influence of alcohol, drugs or marijuana, is not only unsafe, it's illegal.
Check and understand the weather
Stand up paddleboarders should check the weather frequently before and during their trip, keeping an eye on current conditions and forecasts. Wind is a crucial factor that may lead to falling overboard, capsizing or swamping. Paddlers should check warnings, weather conditions, wind and wave forecasts, tides and current conditions or river flows — and understand when conditions are beyond their capabilities. Experts recommend going out against the tide or current and paddling back with them to prevent getting over exhausted and stuck.
Protect against cold-water shock
Many of Washington's waters remain below 60 degrees all year — including lakes and rivers — even during hot weather. The biggest risk for drowning is not hypothermia, it's cold-water shock, which occurs in the first stage of falling overboard. In addition to a life jacket, professionals recommend wearing synthetic materials when a dry or wet suit isn't available. And they should avoid wearing cotton.
Be visible to other boaters
Paddlecraft sit low on the water, so it can be hard for other boaters to see them. Stand up paddleboarders should wear bright neon colors, put highly reflective tape on paddles and carry a bright light.
File a float plan
Before going out on the water, even for a brief time, people should always tell a trusted friend or relative their plan. Include names of everyone going, the route, what time they're going and returning, and what to do if they don't return when expected.
Learn more about paddlesport safety by visiting www.paddlesafewa.org
About the Washington State Boating Program
The Washington State Parks and Recreation Commission administers the state's Boating Program, which provides leadership in boating safety and environmental education and outreach. The goal of the program is to reduce accidents and fatalities, increase stewardship of Washington waterways, and keep recreational boating a safe, accessible and enjoyable pastime. For more information on the Boating Program, visit www.parks.wa.gov/boating.
Rob Sendak, (360) 628-1876
⇐Previous What should State Parks focus on in the future?Next⇒ Winter Recreation Program seeks new members for advisory committees

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07 December 2019 Venue Bloomfield Road Attendance
Updated at (UK)
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Match Preview: Blackpool v Fleetwood Town
Fleetwood Town make the short trip down to Blackpool on Saturday 7 December, and with pride at stake in the Fylde Coast derby, we have all you need to know ahead of the match at Bloomfield Road.
Fixture: Blackpool v Fleetwood Town
Date: Saturday 7 December 2019
Kick-off: 15:00 BST
Venue: Bloomfield Road, Seasiders Way, Blackpool, FY1 6JJ
Match officials: Antony Coggins (Referee), Helen Byrne & Wade Smith (Assistants), David Richardson (Fourth official)
Mr. Coggins has taken charge of 12 fixtures this season, with most being in Sky Bet League One and Two. Coggins has shown 40 yellow cards in total during those matches. The last match he officiated with Town involved was their 0-0 draw away at Charlton Athletic last season.
Blackpool, like the Cod Army return to league action this weekend after FA Cup action. Blackpool won 3-1 against Maidstone United last Sunday, which has now seen them face Reading away in the Third Round.
The Seasiders currently sit one place below Fleetwood in the table on goal difference, despite playing two more games than their opponents.
Simon Grayson's side went on an eight match unbeaten run until mid-September when they were beaten away at Coventry City 3-2.
Last time out in the Fylde Coast derby Blackpool took the spoils.
Town, like Blackpool, are returning back from cup action this weekend after two wins in as many games, against Everton U21's in the EFL Trophy, and against Crawley Town in the FA Cup Second Round.
The Cod Army sit one place above their opponents ahead of this derby match and are yet to win the fixture at Bloomfield Road. With a win at Crawley last weekend and the 4-0 win over Everton U21s, confidence will be high in the Town dressing room.
Joey Barton will have a near full squad to select from for this weekend's match, apart from Jordan Rossiter.
The Rangers loan player could miss the rest of the season after sustaining a knee injury in the second half of the match at home to Tranmere Rovers, last time out in the league. Lewie Coyle is also expected to make his 100th league appearance, for Fleetwood at Blackpool.
ONE TO WATCH: ARMAND GNANDUILLET
The one to watch this weekend is the Tangerines' striker Armand Gnanduillet, who joined the club for the second time back in 2018.
With 12 goals in all competitions this season, he is seemingly hard to stop, and was nominated for the League One Player of the Month award for November.
The Frenchman began his career at Le Havre II in a North-Western part of France, and then moved to Poissy before finally making his way to England in 2013 when he joined Chesterfield.
The six-foot centre forward had loan spells at Tranmere Rovers, Oxford United and Stevenage whilst on the books with the Spireites before moving down south to join Leyton Orient in 2016.
Gnanduillet then joined Blackpool after making 18 appearances for the O's, and he made 44 appearances for the Lancashire club. The 27-year old then moved to South Africa for a very short spell at Baroka before returning to Blackpool a year ago. He has now made 50 appearances since his move back in 2018.
WATCH TOWN ON iFOLLOW
Can't make the game on Saturday? Well don't worry as we have it covered just for you!
Fleetwood Town fans around the world, and in the United Kingdom, will be able to listen and watch full match commentary from Bloomfield Road.
Video Pass: £10
Audio Pass: £2.50
If you want to know more about iFollow, and find out ways to support the Cod Army, click HERE.
Any further questions on iFollow Fleetwood, please contact sam.fielding@fleetwoodtownfc.com.
WHAT JOEY BARTON HAD TO SAY:
Joey Barton spoke to the media on Friday ahead of the game:
"We go there this year with a good football team. We know we are a good side, and we will see what they have got about them.
"There is not much separating us both in the league. I know they have played more games than us, but there is not much between us in the table.
"They are a side that is a good competitive League One outfit. Simon [Grayson] has got them well organised. You can see what they can create and what they are trying to do. It is another fantastic opportunity for us to go there and show our qualities as a team."
You can catch to the full interview on iFollow.
WHAT LEWIE COYLE HAD TO SAY:
Fleetwood Town forward Lewie Coyle was on press duty with Barton, and here are some of his thoughts leading up to the match:
"They are brilliant they get better every time and the excitement levels throughout the full squad are very high.
"I think in any derby game is one that you want to be involved in, and as a player you want to come out of it with the right result.
"Away at their place in the last couple of times that I have been involved, we have been ahead in the game and then unfortunately gone on to lose.
"Hopefully we can put that right tomorrow and get the win."
THOUGHTS FROM THE BLACKPOOL CAMP: SIMON GRAYSON
"It'll be a good encounter and there will be a good edge to it. There will be some good footballers on show and both sides are in good form, as well as close in the table and geographically.
"It's important we don't do anything stupid that is potentially going to cost the team the chance of winning a football match. Yes, be competitive and win your tackles but play with your head as well as your heart.
"We want to win the game and go above them in the table – that, for me, is the main thing. We've got to ensure that we remain solid at the back and don't give cheap goals away. They've got players, particularly in the final third, who have done well at this level such as Paddy Madden, Josh Morris and Wes Burns.
"It's going to be a competitive game and ultimately we need to play with passion and belief when out on the pitch."
Joey Barton's side will make their way to Bloomfield Road tomorrow, and supporters will have up until 12pm on Saturday to purchase their tickets online, or in store at the club shop at Highbury, or down at Poolfoot Farm.
Here is a list of the ticket prices for the match:
Adult pricing - £19.00
Senior (65+) pricing - £17.00
Young Person pricing - £17.00
Juniors 12-16 pricing - £9.00
Juniors 5-11 pricing - £4.00
Juniors U5 pricing - FREE
#OnwardTogether
You can get a price of 19/10 for Fleetwood to beat Blackpool for the very first time at Bloomfield Road on Saturday.
If you think Joey Barton's side will win 3-2, you can get a massive price of 40/1.
Here are some of the odds for players to score in 90 minutes:
Paddy Madden – 13/8
Ched Evans – 2/1
Josh Morris – 5/2
Harry Souttar – 10/1
Or, if you think that Lewie Coyle will cap his 100th league appearance for Town with a goal, you can get odds of 28/1 for him to score in ninety minutes, or 80/1 for him to bag the first of the match.
For more odds on SkyBet, click HERE. Please remember to bet and gamble responsibly.
Report: Cod Army suffer defeat away at Blackpool
Fleetwood Town suffered a 3-1 defeat away at Blackpool in the Fylde Coast derby on Saturday afternoon at Bloomfield Road.
Blackpool took the lead with Liam Feeney firing in after ten minutes, before Sullay Kaikai doubled the score line shortly after the break.
Armand Gnanduillet scored a third for the hosts midway through the second period before Town grabbed a consolation goal through substitute Conor McAleny.
After a scrappy opening five minutes, with both teams trying to find their feet in the derby match, it was the hosts who took the lead after Town failed to clear their lines. The ball bobbled around Town's penalty area before the winger slotted it home.
The opener woke up the Cod Army, and soon after created a chance of their own. Wes Burns found Paddy Madden who ran off the back of Ben Heneghan, but the Irishman failed to hit the target.
From this point, the match become a more open affair, most of the play in the middle of the park, and it was Town who were dominate in that area.
Burns was the man who found a pocket of space outside the Seasiders' penalty area, but his ambitious effort went wide of Jak Alnwick's goal.
As the half approached the final five minutes, the hosts had a chance to double their lead. Feeney crossed the ball to Matty Virtue – whose effort dipped just over the crossbar and onto the roof of the net.
Joey Barton would have been hoping for his side to start the second half, as they finished the first, on the front foot. But unfortunately that was not the case.
Blackpool doubled their lead after a cheap free-kick which was given away in a dangerous position. Up stepped Kaikai to curl the set piece into the top corner.
After the second, the Cod Army tried to get a foothold on the game and on a number of occasions tried to open up the Blackpool backline but nothing gave.
With Town having many players up the field, the hosts countered just after the hour mark. A cross from the left gave Gnanduillet the chance to put in the third, which he duly did, with a header which hit the back post and trickled over the goal line.
Shortly after conceding, Town had a chance through Lewie Coyle - who made his 100th league appearance for the Cod Army - but his low drive was saved by Alnwick.
As the game approached the final ten minutes, the hosts had another chance to sail away with the points, but Billy Crellin denied Kaikai his second with a smart stop with his feet.
Suddenly, the game had come to life. Town got one back though substitute, McAleny – who fired a low driven shot into the bottom corner from the edge of the area.
There was a chance for a second for the away side. Josh Morris looked to beat the keeper from a free-kick, but the effort just went over the crossbar.
With the game nearing an end, there was a last few chances for the Cod Army. The first from Danny Andrew which bobbled wide, and then it was Morris who found space to shoot from an angle, but his effort was deflected onto the roof of the net.
With nine minutes added on, Blackpool were on the back foot and Barton thought his side had got another goal back, but Madden's header rebounded off the crossbar and out to a Tangerine shirt.
The referee blew his whistle after 10 minutes added on, with the travelling Fleetwood fans applauding their side for the efforts shown out on the pitch. Eyes now turn to Gillingham, who are Town's opponents next weekend at Highbury.
Blackpool XI: Alnwick (GK), Edwards, Heneghan, Delfounso, Spearing (C), Kaikai (Thompson 85'), Feeney, Virtue, Turton, Gnanduillet, Husband.
Subs not used: Sims (GK), Hardie, Scannell, Tilt, Nuttall, MacDonald.
Town XI: Crellin (GK), Coyle, Andrew, Eastham, Souttar, Burns (Evans 53'), Dempsey, Morris, Coutts (C), Madden, Sowerby (McAleny 64').
Subs not used: Cairns (GK), Clarke, Southam-Hales, Biggins, Garner.
Attendance: 10,355 (1,375)
Blackpool tickets for Under 21s start at just £4
Fleetwood Town travel to local rivals Blackpool on Saturday 7 December, and fans under the age of 21 can support the Cod Army at Bloomfield Road for as little as £4.
Tickets for Fleetwood Town's Fylde Coast derby match against the Seasiders are on sale, in what is set to be an important Sky Bet League One fixture.
Here are a list of the ticket prices for supporters who are under the age of 21-years-old:
17-21 Years - £17
12-16 Years - £9
5-11 Years - £4
Under 5s (with a paying Adult/Senior) - FREE
Please note that the club will not be running official coach travel for the match, but further details can be found by contacting the ticket office.
Tickets will be on sale from the club shop at Highbury Stadium, over the phone by calling 01253 775080, at the club's training ground Poolfoot Farm, or online here.
Fylde Coast Derby
Blackpool derby day tickets on sale Saturday
Tickets for Fleetwood Town's Fylde Coast derby match against Blackpool will go on sale at 9am on Saturday morning.


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Home Art Abstract Paintings by Australian Artist Caroline Walls
Another Thought – paintings by Australian artist Caroline Walls
Abstract Paintings by Australian Artist Caroline Walls
Another Thought, a series of abstract paintings by Australian artist Caroline Walls.
Born in 1984, Caroline Walls is an Australian artist with a background as graphic designer and art director. After living in both cities London and New York City, Caroline Walls decided to go back to Australia. Today she lives and works in Melbourne where she primarily focuses on her artistic career. She's working on a variety of media including painting, drawing, sculpture, and even printmaking.
Today I want to show you a selection of abstract paintings from her 'Another Thought' series. Just like most of Walls' artworks, the paintings are based on fluid aesthetics with a strong inspiration from the female form. The artist says: "I am inspired by everyday human experiences and the fluidity and movement of the human body. These artworks explore the female body and the reduction of its form as a way of heightening its expressive power."
For those who want to see more of Caroline Walls' creative work, please visit her website.
Another Thought – abstract paintings by Australian artist Caroline Walls.
Most of her abstract paintings are inspired by the female form.
All images © by Australian artist Caroline Walls. Do not hesitate to find more artists on WE AND THE COLOR. Our Art category includes a varied range of work such as drawings, paintings, sculptures, and large installations. WE AND THE COLOR is your source for the daily dose of creative inspiration!
Caroline Walls
Displace Color by Newdo Pedroso
Urban Intervention for Las Fallas Festival, in Valencia, Spain
Nuance Poster by Tutano Design Studio
Artist Daan Roukens: Expect Nothing, Appreciate Everything
Exhibition: New York Artist Andrew Thiele turns Trash into Art
American Artist Erik Otto
Paintings by Sheila Nicolin
Artist Laura Smith Blair at Marrow Gallery
'Tracing the Faults'—Sicily's Grande Cretto Memorial, a photo essay by Ste Murray
Irene February 25, 2019 at 7:59 AM
I feel like a lot of people don't get abstract art. I tried to show these to my friends and they were not thrilled even a bit. I think that these paintings allow your imagination to go free and open up your creativity. Great post!


A probabilistic forecast gives a probability of an event occurring, with a value between 0 and 1 (or 0 and 100%). In general, it is difficult to verify a single probabilistic forecast. Instead, a set of probabilistic forecasts, pi, is verified using observations that those events either occurred (oi=1) or did not occur (oi=0).
resolution - ability of the forecast to resolve the set of sample events into subsets with characteristically different outcomes 1.
Reliability (attributes) diagram Reliability diagram - (called "attributes diagram" when the no-resoloution and no-skill w.r.t. climatology lines are included).
The reliability diagram plots the observed frequency against the forecast probability, where the range of forecast probabilities is divided into K bins (for example, 0-5%, 5-15%, 15-25%, etc.).
The sample size in each bin is often included as a histogram or values beside the data points.
Answers the question: How well do the predicted probabilities of an event correspond to their observed frequencies?
Characteristics: Reliability is indicated by the proximity of the plotted curve to the diagonal. The deviation from the diagonal gives the conditional bias. If the curve lies below the line, this indicates overforecasting (probabilities too high); points above the line indicate underforecasting (probabilities too low). The flatter the curve in the reliability diagram, the less resolution it has. A forecast of climatology does not discriminate at all between events and non-events, and thus has no resolution. Points between the "no skill" line and the diagonal contribute positively to the Brier skill score. The frequency of forecasts in each probability bin (shown in the histogram) shows the sharpness of the forecast.
The reliability diagram is conditioned on the forecasts (i.e., given that X was predicted, what was the outcome?), and can be expected to give information on the real meaning of the forecast. It it a good partner to the ROC, which is conditioned on the observations.
Relative operating characteristic – Plot hit rate (POD) vs false alarm rate (POFD), using a set of increasing probability thresholds (for example, 0.05, 0.15, 0.25, etc.) to make the yes/no decision. The area under the ROC curve is frequently used as a score.
Answers the question: What is the ability of the forecast to discriminate between events and non-events?
ROC: Perfect: Curve travels from bottom left to top left of diagram, then across to top right of diagram. Diagonal line indicates no skill.
Characteristics: ROC measures the ability of the forecast to discriminate between two alternative outcomes, thus measuring resolution. It is not sensitive to bias in the forecast, so says nothing about reliability. A biased forecast may still have good resolution and produce a good ROC curve, which means that it may be possible to improve the forecast through calibration. The ROC can thus be considered as a measure of potential usefulness. The ROC is conditioned on the observations (i.e., given that Y occurred, what was the correponding forecast?) It is therefore a good companion to the reliability diagram, which is conditioned on the forecasts.
More information on ROC can be found in Mason 1982, Jolliffe and Stephenson 2003 (ch.3), and the WISE site.
Answers the question: What is the magnitude of the probability forecast errors?
Measures the mean squared probability error. Murphy (1973) showed that it could be partitioned into three terms: (1) reliability, (2) resolution, and (3) uncertainty.
Range: 0 to 1. Perfect score: 0.
Characteristics: Sensitive to climatological frequency of the event: the more rare an event, the easier it is to get a good BS without having any real skill. Negative orientation (smaller score better) - can "fix" by subtracting BS from 1.
Answers the question: What is the relative skill of the probabilistic forecast over that of climatology, in terms of predicting whether or not an event occurred?
Range: minus infinity to 1, 0 indicates no skill when compared to the reference forecast.
Characteristics: Measures the improvement of the probabilistic forecast relative to a reference forecast (usually the long-term or sample climatology), thus taking climatological frequency into account. Not strictly proper. Unstable when applied to small data sets; the rarer the event, the larger the number of samples needed.
where M is the number of forecast categories, pk is the predicted probability in forecast category k, and ok is an indicator (0=no, 1=yes) for the observation in category k.
Answers the question: How well did the probability forecast predict the category that the observation fell into?
Characteristics: Measures the sum of squared differences in cumulative probability space for a multi-category probabilistic forecast. Penalizes forecasts more severely when their probabilities are further from the actual outcome. Negative orientation - can "fix" by subtracting RPS from 1. For two forecast categories the RPS is the same as the Brier Score.
Answers the question: What is the relative improvement of the probability forecast over climatology in predicting the category that the observations fell into?
Characteristics: Measures the improvement of the multi-category probabilistic forecast relative to a reference forecast (usually the long-term or sample climatology). Strictly proper. Takes climatological frequency into account. Unstable when applied to small data sets.
As defined above, with a negative sign, the logarithmic score cannot be negative and smaller values of the score are better. The minimum value of the score (zero) is obtained if a probability of 100% is assigned to the actual outcome. If a probability of zero is assigned to the actual outcome the logarithmic scoring rule is infinite. We will examine the meaning of this below.
An attribute of the marginal distribution of the forecasts that aims to quantify the ability of the forecasts to "stick their necks out". In other words, how much the forecasts deviate from the mean climatological value/category for deterministic forecasts, or from the climatological mean probabilities for probabilistic forecasts. Unvarying climatological forecasts take no great risks and so have zero sharpness; perfect forecasts are as sharp as the time-varying observations.
For deterministic forecasts of discrete or continuous variables, sharpness is most simply estimated by the variance of the forecasts.
, it is often frequently defined in terms of the information content (negative entropy) of the forecasts. High-risk forecasts in which p? is either 0 or 1 have maximum information content and are said to be perfectly sharp. Perfectly calibrated perfectly sharp forecasts correctly predict all events. By interpreting deterministic forecasts as probabilistic forecasts with zero prediction uncertainty in the predictand, deterministic forecasts may be considered to be perfectly sharp probabilistic forecasts. However, it is perhaps more realistic to consider deterministic forecasts to be ones in which the prediction uncertainty in the predictand is not supplied as part of the forecast rather than ones in which the prediction uncertainty is exactly equal to zero. Hence, a deterministic forecast can be considered to be a deterministic forecast with spread/sharpness , yet at the same time can also be considered to be a probability forecast with perfect sharpness. The word refinement is also sometimes used to denote sharpness.
where S is the forecast score, S0 is the score for the benchmark forecast, and S1 is the best possible score. The skill scores generally lie in the range 0 to 1 but can in practice be negative when using good benchmark forecasts (e.g. previous versions of the forecasting system). Compared to raw scores, skill scores have the advantage that they help take account of nonstationarities in the system to be forecast. For example, improved forecast scores often occur during periods when the atmosphere is in a more persistent state.


"Poker is both math and instinct, and CEOs understand the bottom line and the odds. But knowing the numbers is not enough, they have to know how to read people, something they do every day in the boardroom."
"Why not give immigrants an opportunity to progress here and help the country here? We come to work and to improve our lives."
"He was a simple guy, a quiet person, always good-natured. On every birthday he would bring me something, like a bouquet of flowers. He sent me something on every holiday. He never forgot me."


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Brian Sandy (* 24. November 1932 in Taunton) ist ein ehemaliger britischer Radrennfahrer.

Sportliche Laufbahn
Sandy war im Bahnradsport und im Straßenradsport aktiv und war Teilnehmer der Olympischen Sommerspiele 1964 in Tokio. Dort war er in der Mannschaftsverfolgung am Start. Der britische Bahnvierer mit Brian Sandy, Trevor Bull, Harry Jackson und Hugh Porter schied in den Vorläufen aus.

1952 gewann Sandy die Golden Wheel Trophy in London. Im Muratti Gold Cup wurde er 1955 Zweiter hinter Clive Middleton und 1954 Dritter, als Arie de Graf das Rennen gewann. Von 1966 bis 1970 war er als Berufsfahrer in britischen Radsportteams aktiv. Er gewann einige Straßenrennen in Großbritannien.

Weblinks

Radsportler (Großbritannien)
Teilnehmer der Olympischen Sommerspiele 1964
Olympiateilnehmer (Vereinigtes Königreich)
Brite
Geboren 1932
Mann

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaWikipedia


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Photo by Alberto E. Rodriguez / Getty Images
Jordan Peele Is Making A TV Show About Hunting Nazis
The busiest man in show business
by Ben Barna
After the wild success of Get Out, Jordan Peele can pretty much do what he wants. And like all of us, what he wants to do is make a show about hunting Nazis. But unlike that other popular work of Nazi-hunting fiction, Quentin Tarantino's Inglorious Basterds, Peele's story will not take place during WWII, when all the Nazis were easily identifiable. Instead, his story is set in the 1970s, when the remaining members of Hitler's Reich have scattered and are in hiding for fear of punishment for their many sins.
The show, called The Hunt, is inspired by true events, and will follow a "diverse" group of Nazi hunters with revenge and justice on their minds. Their targets have "embedded themselves in American society." David Weil will write the scripts, with Peele on board to executive produce. That's how hot Peele is right now. His mere involvement in a project, even at this early on in the development process, infuses it with a kind of glow that very few projects of this kind get. That's what happens when your directorial debut is the most profitable movie of 2017.
Peele, who has said that he wants to work on projects with a social bent, is also working on thriller with Spike Lee based on the true story of a black undercover agent who infiltrated the KKK. To summarize: Jordan Peele is the filmmaker we need right now.
January 2023's New Moon In Aquarius Is All About The Big Picture


Gertie's New Blog for Better Sewing: Sew-Along Prep: An Interview with the Designer!
Sew-Along Prep: An Interview with the Designer!
We're gearing up to the big Lady Grey Sew Along! I have a special treat for you today: Sarai Mitnick of Colette Patterns, the very talented creator of this pattern, is here to answer a few questions in preparation.
Gertie: Which era was the inspiration for this design?
Sarai: I don't think there was one particular era I had in mind for the coat, actually. The wide collar and wrap style seems vaguely 40s noir-ish to me, the overall ladylike shaping and bracelet length sleeves is a bit 50s, and the short length feels a little 60s. Maybe that's one reason I think the coat can go so many different ways, depending on fabric choice.
I love that the coat has princess seams, since that makes it easy to fit along the curves of the body. Any tips for making fitting alterations to this pattern?
I'd say that you should try to use a fabric for your muslin that comes close to the weight and drape of you final garment fabric, which will give you a better idea about fit. So perhaps find a heavier fabric for your muslin if you're going with a heavy fabric.
Overall, fitting should be pretty easy once you've made a muslin, and the wrap styling really helps make the fit more adjustable. When you make your muslin, perhaps pay attention around the neckline for any pulling or gaping that might be caused by various fit issues (e.g. being long-waisted, short-waisted, high bust, etc).
Do you have any words of advice for those trying a pattern of this level for the first time?
This pattern is labeled "advanced" mainly because of the number of pattern pieces involved, and the time it takes to construct. It's not really a project to rush through. That said, a lot of people have told me they thought it was quite easy because the instructions are pretty comprehensive. It just takes time, so don't rush yourself. And if you don't understand a technique or term, look it up... use it as an opportunity to stretch and expand your skills!
The big question on readers' minds is what fabric to use. Are there any specific fabrics that you think are particularly successful for this design?
I love it in lightweight wools. I just got back from a trip to our amazingly big fabric store here in Portland, and was looking through the wools with this question in mind. I think on the lighter end, wool flannels (made for suiting, heavier than shirt-weight) and gabardines would be really nice. Tropical wools are also great.
Also, and this is just my preference, but I think this coat begs for an awesome lining! For the sample you see on my website, I used a heavy silk crepe in sort of a terra cotta orange with big white dots. It gets a lot of attention and feels really luxurious.
Are there any particular fabrics that you recommend for cold temperatures? What about mild?
Any wool coating would be great for cold temperatures, and of course you can interline it if you really want added warmth. (Readers, we'll be addressing interlining for warmth!—Gertie) Cashmere or a cashmere blend would be amazing. For mild temperatures, if you're doing a winter coat, again I think a heavy flannel or wool gab would be great. I've seen some Spring / Fall versions in things like cotton canvas, and they look awesome! Much more like a glamorous trench coat.
Are there any fabrics that you'd recommend staying away from, such as those that might be too heavy or too light?
I've made this coat in melton wool. I love melton wool because it's so warm and has such a great texture, but bulky seams were a bit of a problem. I had to hammer the heck out of them. So I would be careful with anything that heavy. Do some test seams before you sew. And you could try a different seaming technique, like butted seams, if you really want to use melton in particular (it is very dense and doesn't fray). I think my main advice would be this: beware of bulky seams, because there will be a lot of them!
On the lighter end, it's really up to you how light you want to go!
One other thing I'd mention is to think about the drape of your fabric. The peplum on this coat is quite exaggerated, so if you use a heavy fabric with a lot of body, it will probably be quite pronounced! You might like that effect, or you might want to remove some of that fullness, so just be aware so you can make that design decision ahead of time.
Thanks so much, Sarai! Readers, check back in a couple days for a post of suggested fabrics from Ann of Gorgeous Fabrics.
Q: FBA/SBA (Full-bust or Small-bust adjustment) on Princess Seams, will you be including links to tips/tutorials elsewhere on the web for this fitting issue with your sew-along posts for the coat please?
Sarai is such an amazing designer, thank you for doing this interview with her.
That was very informative. I've been struggling to find lightweight wool in the UK so it's good to know that I can make it out of a lighter fabric and that wont cause problems.
Looking at the sizing I shouldn't have to do an FBA but since I do usually and have never done one on princess seams I hope there will be some help if it comes up.
I would like to do this coat in a Wide Wale Corduroy and interline it. Would this kind of fabric be suitable? Not doing sew-along...can't take the pressure,lol. Will follow you etc.
Great to here from the designer. Gertie you hit on a few key questions for me as well. I will be making a heavy winter jacket, well jackets. I am doing 4. I will likely be using melton wool and in the past have used all kinds of seaming techniques to try and cut back on the bulk. I think I need to do an interlining as well at least for my husband's jacket. It gets COLD in the far northern midwest. Warmth is priority 1. So I will be using different patterns, lady gray just doesn't close up as warmly as other patterns, and the short sleves make it only useful in fall for me. Anyway, I will be looking forward to all the bulky advice!
I'm so glad Sarai weighed in on fabrics! I just ordered mine this morning (ironically, just before checking my feeds and seeing this post ;) and opted for a wool gabardine (in a shade of bright teal!!! ;). As much as I liked the idea of using a slightly heavier/warmer wool, I really have no use for a coat that heavy in Florida. I'm still deciding whether I want to interface it or not... I'll have to decide once I get the fabric!
I second Claire's suggestion to cover the SBA/FBA adjustments for this pattern. I've already been working out some ideas for an SBA for myself (even making a smaller size, I still have to adjust for a small bust! Darn genes... ;) on the pattern. It shouldn't be too hard, seeing as it's princess seams though!
I'm really excited about this project! I'm glad you will be discussing interlining in the prep posts. Winter lasts for a long time here in Chicago so I would like to make this coat as warm as possible.
Thank you for posting this interview, Gertie. I am thinking of making up this coat in a beautiful brown cotton velvet I have. I wonder if there are any downsides to that? Other than working with velvet, of course.
Great interview, especially on which fabrics to use.
I'm so excited to participate in this project, and so thrilled by the careful prep work going into it! Gertie, thanks so much for your attention to detail, and Sarai, thank you for joining us! I can't wait to see all the different interpretations of this project in the Flickr pool.
I plan to make a wardrobe staple Lady Grey out of beige/khaki colored poplin raincoat fabric. As a muslin, I'll probably use this funny polyester-y bedsheet that seems to match the hand of waterproof fabric.
Any tips from the community on sewing rainwear? Can one "seal" the seams for more water resistance?
Elise: I think corduroy would be great for this coat! In fact, I almost bought some myself the other day for this coat.
It's probably a bit too soon to ask about fitting, but I've made two of the colette dresses and I always have to grade from a 2 (bust going upward) to a 6 at my natural waist and continue to increase to either a 6 or 8 at the hips, along with a waist decrease of 1".
Do you have any suggestions about which size to cut for this coat?
I was thinking I should either grade from the 2 to the 6 like normal, since it has such a flared hip area, or just sew a straight 2 due to the wraping and flaring.
Thanks for all the great prep info. I'm hoping to use one of the coat fabrics from my stash. My first choice is a large (1 5/8") textured houndstooth check in black and mocha. I've only ever seen the Lady Gray made up in solid colors. Any thoughts?
Leslie: My fabric is also a wool houndstooth in a grey and cream color, but its a small pattern. I'm sure its going to look great. I was going to do a solid liner color instead.
Thanks so much for the info! I found a plum-colored wool suiting that I love but it's 4% lycra. Do you think that would work? Or should I avoid anything with stretch?
I just received my pattern yesterday (after ordering it just the day before) so this is perfect timing! Now to decide between the great suggestion of corduroy, or just go with wool.
Will there be a post about making changes to the sleeves? I want to make them full length and probably better fitted because I want it to be a real winter coat. I can draft patterns but have limited experience with altering commercial patterns.
FoundationsReaveled has a good post about making FBA/SBA on princess lines this month, but it's a paying site.
Hey all! Just wanted to pop in and say that I will cover changing the sleeves, as well as FBAs and SBAs, since I've had so many requests on both fronts.
"Glamorous trenchcoat"? Wow. I just got an idea. Ever since I saw Once Upon A Time In The West, I've wanted to make a duster, but I felt the style featured in the film would not look good on my feminine figure. Now, reading this, I realised the style of the Lady Grey - only long instead of short - would cover that problem nicely.
Unfortunately, it's apparent that I have too many projects on hand now to participate in the sewalong, but I'll certainly follow closely and watch out for all tips!
Great interview! I second the tip about exciting lining, it's so fun and surprising when it shows. I've made this coat and found it easy to sew with beautiful results. Love it!
Liz: I haven't chosen a lining fabric yet, but I think you're right. If my coat is patterned, a solid lining is probably best. I might make it a complementary but bright color to add interest.
My fabric arrived today, and although it was advertised as a melton wool, I can see the weave, and it's not as heavy as I'd feared it would be. It's actually not as thick as corduroy, more like a wool flannel, so I don't think I'm going to have to pound seams. Now I just need an exciting lining!
I'm excited! This is the first Colette pattern I've sewn. I just received the pattern yesterday in the mail. I have to say, the artist in me is impressed. I know this sounds nerdy, but I love the stitched booklet and the weight of the paper. So cool! I'm pumped just from handling the pattern. Whoever designed the pattern packaging did an awesome job. I'd love to know about an adjustment for a long torso. I'm worried about the peplum hitting too high.
Sounds like we are heading in the right direction. I think I will be making the sleeves full length and might also make the coat a little longer. I have the Sarai's white one from the photo shoot here in Kansas City on a trunk show. It is a bit short for me. I am still searching for fabric, but will agree that the melton wool is rather dense and might be a challenge to sew.
sweet! My pattern is waiting for me at home, and as soon as I get back from my extended stay in babyland, I'll be zipping over to mood for some fabric.
one question though (and this is so super silly, and possibly unrelated) When talking about adjustments needed, I'm pretty sure I'll need an FBA, but I've heard mentioned of sway back adjustments here before. How exactly does one know if one needs such a thing??
Sari:Thanks for answering in regard to the corduroy fabric,I'm going to purchase some straightaway !
I'm very excited about doing this, I'm not exactly sewing along because I am persnickety and slow about my sewing, but will be in spirit at a Tortoises pace,lol.


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Back in last September when I first heard about this event through an errant Facebook posting, I have been exceptionally excited for this. Not so much because I am a fan of eSports (which I have openly admitted multiple times on this podcast), but because of what it mean for the Capital Region of NY. It is like a "Coming of age" event for the Capital Region, or at least the very beginning of one. I have been talking it up with my friends, on my social media, and I am so happy to be a part of it.
Over the past few years I have finally started going to the various Comic Cons around the area. Essentially, these have been a geeky cross between a Farmer's Market set up and an Industry Trade Show. You can meet Vendors of all types, Artists, and Industry Business Professionals. You can purchase all forms of products and crafts, and network in the industry in ways that are totally unique to a Con.
And I had next to no idea what to expect when coming to an eSports Tournament and Convention.
Thankfully, the set up was quite familiar. Nearly the entire event was in the main Ballroom; Half was for vendors and Vendor spaces and the other half was for the stages and viewing. The lights ceiling lights were set to this amazing "Breathing" effect, and the majority of the lights were either for the individual Vendor Booths or from Floor-To-Ceiling windows on the far side of the hall and other perimeter windows.
The stage setup was very impressive, putting the players up on a stage with a massive screen behind them set to a Spectator Mode. They had three screen where they would alternate between games and rounds being played, quite often having multiple games being played simultaneously. Fortunately, they had worked with the sound crew to establish sound zones for each of the games so that you would primarily hear the commentary for the game that you were watching.
The play-by-play and other commentary provided by Nerd St Gamers was spectacular as well, providing plenty of enthusiasm to go around. What was most impressive to me was their ability to give constant commentary for the entirety of the match. As long as action was on the screen, they had something to say, and it wasn't just filler talk! More impressive than that was their knowledge of all the League of Legends heroes, of which there are over 150 of!
Of the Panel Talks that were held, I was only able to attend one of them that dealt with the state of eSports, specifically at the local level. The panel featured local leaders in the gaming industry to discuss the state of gaming as an industry and eSports.
During the Q&A session, was able to ask my question of, "I hear plenty of emphasis on coding and tech. What are your thoughts on gaming being a driving force for the Arts?" The answer that suprised me most was when sadf of Vicarious Visions perked up and state that his area of study was actually in Fine Arts. He was especially enthusiastic with his answer as would be expected. In general, what was most surprising was that some studios actually employ more "artists" then "engineers", sometimes 50 Artists to 40 Engineers. This stat alone is indicative of why I have been trying to push gaming and geek culture as a legitimate art form.
Various pictures I was able to take while attending the event. At some point I hope to create a YouTube slide show, but for the sake of getting this thing posted we will swing a Picture Gallery!
There is no question that I had a blast at Hudson Valley Gamer Con. While I am still not sure if I will be watching eSports regularly, attending a live event like this with all of the energy and theater that comes with it has convinced me to keep events like this on my radar. Last year, this event featured only one game and four teams. This year, there were three games with 20 teams. The only way to ignore this kind of growth is to be willfully ignorant of cultural trends. Only time will tell what next year will bring and at what scale, but I am definitely looking forward to being in attendance.


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Brioni picks Matt Dillon as testimonial for its new Tailoring Legends campaign
Brioni has chosen Matt Dillon to be the testimonial for its new winter 2020 Tailoring Legends campaign, the latest Hollywood A-lister to be connected to the classy gentleman's marque.
Matt Dillon, the new face of Brioni in its Tailoring Legends campaign
"Considered one of the most respected actors of his generation, Dillon reinforces the brand's bond with Hollywood," Brioni said in a release.
Founded in 1945 in Rome, Brioni is one of Italy's greatest sartorial menswear brands. Everyone from Clark Gable and John Wayne to Cary Cooper and Henry Fonda has dressed in Brioni.
Brioni suits were worn by Pierce Brosnan in all his Bond movies and by Daniel Craig in Casino Royale, notably the tuxedo worn during the famous poker scene.
Dillon is one of the most versatile actors of working today, who has appeared in 63 feature films, starting as a teenage rebel in Over the Edge in 1979. He was nominated for an Oscar and Golden Globe for his role as a racist policeman in Paul Haggis' Crash; and received plaudits for his performances as a doped-up gang leader in Drugstore Cowboy, an obsessive private detective in There's Something About Mary and in The House That Jack Built, where he portrayed a serial killer in Lars Von Trier's 2018 film that premiered in Cannes.
Born in New Rochelle, New York, 55-year-old Dillon has also directed his own feature film, the critically acclaimed City of Ghosts in 2002.
Since 2002, Brioni has been part of the French luxury group Kering, which has changed the creative director of the brand four times, and last October appointed Norbert Stumpfl as design director.
For Brioni, Dillon appears with his strong tough-sensitive character, captured by photographer Gregory Harris, the black and white images highlighting Dillon's diverse personality and ability to bring an individual sense of style to a selection of the brand's tailoring, ready to wear and eveningwear.
Dillon succeeds Brosnan, Anthony Hopkins and Samuel L. Jackson as the face of the brand.
Brad Pitt stars in Brioni's 75th anniversary campaign
Kering's François-Henri Pinault honoured in Florence
Pitti Uomo 97 to fête 'United Nations of the World'
Kering names Mehdi Benabadji the new CEO of Brioni
Brioni licenses fragrances to Lalique until 2024
Brioni taps Brad Pitt as brand ambassador
Brioni back in the spotlight at next Pitti Uomo
LIFE at LVMH: Antoine Arnault on the luxury giant's new sustainability strategy
Television's best and brightest shine on Emmys red carpet
Matt Dillon is the face of Brioni's eyewear collection
Fall-Winter 2017 Paris
Fall-Winter 2016 Milan


text:
People pay tribute to Nobel laureate Liu Xiaobo in a park near Hong Kong's Victoria Habour in July 2017. The journalist died a few months after China finally agreed to release him on medical parole. (AP/Vincent Yu)
In China, medical neglect can amount to a death sentence for jailed journalists
By Iris Hsu on December 13, 2017 12:00 AM EST
Four months after Nobel laureate Liu Xiaobo died of liver cancer shortly after his release from jail on medical parole, the writer and journalist Yang Tongyan died under similar circumstances in a Shanghai hospital. Like Liu, Yang had been seriously ill for several years, but Chinese authorities granted him medical parole only three months before his death.
Yang, who wrote under the name Yang Tianshui, was diagnosed with tuberculosis and diabetes as early as 2009, and a brain tumor in August 2017. His family and friends pleaded repeatedly for the journalist to receive better medical care and be released on medical parole, according to Radio Free Asia's interview with Yang's sister Guixiang, and the human rights website Weiquanwang. But authorities rejected their applications until it was too late. Yang died in November, aged 56.
The repeated denial of medical care to journalists and other political prisoners is, in effect, a slow death sentence.
Since 2013, at least seven dissidents and journalists, including Yang and Liu, have died in custody or shortly after being freed, after authorities repeatedly denied them proper medical treatment, according to a November report by Human Rights Watch.
At least eight other jailed journalists who are included in CPJ's 2017 prison census are in need of proper medical attention:
Huang Qi, founder of the human rights news website 64 Tianwang, has kidney and heart disease, and two tumors on his chest and stomach, according to Chinese Human Rights Defenders. Huang, who is included in CPJ's Free the Press campaign, has spent more than eight years in prison at various times in the past two decades for reporting on protests, government corruption, and human rights abuses. Since his latest arrest on November 28, 2016, Huang has been denied medical treatment and fellow inmates beat him with the encouragement of prison guards, Huang's lawyers told CPJ. Authorities in Mianyang City, where the journalist is detained, have rejected medical parole applications filed by Huang's lawyers.
Wang Jing, who reports for 64 Tianwang, was diagnosed with brain tumors earlier this year. A court in Jilin sentenced Wang to four years and 10 months in prison on April 24, 2016 for "picking quarrels and provoking trouble." Wang's mother told Radio Free Asia that her daughter's face is half-paralyzed due to the tumors and that she has hallucinations. Authorities took Wang to hospital for a check-up in early 2017 but did not allow her to receive any treatment, Wang's mother said. The journalist's medical parole application is still pending.
Freelancer Lü Gengsong, who is serving 11 years in Zhanghu prison, in Huzhou province, has a gallbladder disease, diabetes, and high blood pressure, according to Radio Free Asia. Lü, who was convicted of subversion in June 2016 for publishing articles on corruption, organized crime, and other topics, has lost six teeth and a significant amount of weight in prison, according to media reports. Authorities denied a request for medical parole filed by Lü's lawyer, according to Radio Free Asia.
Since he was jailed in 2013, Hong Kong publisher Yiu Man-tin, has had five heart attacks, according to a letter that the 17 opposition Hong Kong Democratic Party members sent to China's President Xi Jinping, calling for the publisher's release. Yiu, who is serving a 10-year prison sentence for "suspicion of smuggling ordinary goods" in 2013, was arrested as he prepared to publish Chinese Godfather Xi Jinping, a book by the exiled author Yu Jie, according to Hong Kong Free Press and Radio Free Asia. Authorities refused to permit Yiu's nephew to provide a guarantee for his release on medical parole, Hong Kong Free Press reported.
Other jailed journalists included in CPJ's 2017 census who are in need of immediate medical help include Lobsang Jamyang, a Tibetan writer and blogger detained in Mianyang prison; Niyaz Kahar, a reporter and blogger jailed in Shikho prison; Kunchok Tsephel Gopey Tsang, founder of the Tibetan cultural issues website Chomei, who has leg and hip pain; and Ding Lingjie, editor of human rights news website Minsheng Guancha, who has hyperostosis, a bone growth disorder.
China's Ministry of Foreign Affairs has rejected international criticism that it mistreats jailed journalists when asked about the issue at press briefings. And, when U.N. High Commissioner for Human Rights Zeid Ra'ad Al Hussein released a statement expressing sorrow at Liu's death, the ministry said that the U.N. should respect the country's judicial sovereignty. The ministry added that all agencies involved in Liu's case followed rules and human rights doctrines, and provided the medical treatment that the journalist needed, according to reports.
Iris Hsu is CPJ's China correspondent. Prior to joining CPJ, Hsu interned at Human Rights Watch, Center for Arms Control and Nonproliferation, and the Atlantic Council. Hsu obtained her master's degree in international affairs from American University. She speaks Mandarin and French and lives in Taipei.
@!hide
@tabs
64 Tianwang
Chomei
Ding Lingjie
Free the Press
Huang Qi
Imprisoned 2017
Kunchok Tsephel Gopey Tsang
Lobsang Jamyang
Lü Gengsong
Medical Parole
Minsheng Guancha
Niyaz Kahar
Prison Census 2017
Wang Jing
Yang Tongyan
Yiu Mantin


text:
Q: how to create an instance of a class of another module without adding reference using prism in wpf I am working on WPF application using Prism 4.0 and MEF. I want to create an instance of class A of Module A in Class B of Module B and want to access properties and methods of Class A without adding any reference of Module A in Module B. I know that prism provide this functionality, but don't know how to do it.
We've specified all the assemblies in config file as follows:
<modules>
    <module assemblyFile="ModuleA.dll" moduleType="ModuleA.ModuleA, ModuleA, Version=1.0.0.0, Culture=neutral, PublicKeyToken=null" moduleName="ModuleA" startupLoaded="true"/>
    <module assemblyFile="ModuleB.dll" moduleType="ModuleB.ModuleB,ModuleB, Version=1.0.0.0, Culture=neutral, PublicKeyToken=null" moduleName="ModuleB" startupLoaded="true"/>
</modules>

All the assemblies gets loaded in the form of Menus in a ribbon panel.

A: Normally you don't use the Prism IModule instances directly, they just serve as an entry point for the module dll. Continuing on that I'm assuming ModuleA.dll implements functionality somewhere that is needed in ModuleB.dll. This is indeed how Prism is used typically, but the solution to your problem is more related to MEF and dependency injection: basically you create an interface for whatever functionality you need, implement that interface in A and use the interface (i.e. without knowing/caring where and how it's implemented in B. Example:
in SharedInterfaces project
public interface IMenuStuff
{
  void DoSomething( .... )
}

in ModuleA project (which references SharedInterfaces project)
[Export( typeof( IMenuStuff ) ]
public class MenuStuff : IMenuStuff
{
  public void DoSomething( .... )
  {
    ...
  }
}

in ModuleB project (which also references SharedInterfaces project)
[ModuleExport( typeof( ModuleB )]
class ModuleB : IModule
{
  [Import]
  private IMenuStuff Menu { get; set; }

  public void Initialize()
  {
    //when reaching this point, and ModuleA was loaded properly
    //Menu will have been set by MEF to the instance exported in ModuleA
  }
}

A: I think ther's no way to achieve that you need a reference to module A to use class A.
AnyWay you can try to use Interfaces :
Interfaces (C# Programming Guide)
Interface Properties (C# Programming Guide)

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaStackExchange


text:
There should be two debug profiles available in VS drop down

![](https://cloud.githubusercontent.com/assets/6011991/15627671/89f2405a-24eb-11e6-8bd1-c9d45613e0f6.png "Debug profiles")


Gold is forming another descending impulse at the top of the ascending wave. We think, today the price may break the low and fall towards 1318. Possibly, the market may form the wave with the target at 1295.


text:
The Seekers (miniseries)
The Seekers (novel)
by John Jakes
John Jakes
Steve Hayes
Sidney Hayers
Randolph Mantooth
Delta Burke
Martin Milner
Theme music composer
Gerald Fried
Robert A. Cinader
Gino Grimaldi
Hannah Louise Shearer
Bernadette Joyce (associate producer)
Vincent A. Martinelli
John Elias
John Kaufman
Universal Television
Operation Prime Time
Picture format
The Seekers is a 1979 American made-for-television drama film based on the historical novel The Seekers written by John Jakes, originally published in 1975. It is third in a series known as The Kent Family Chronicles or the American Bicentennial Series. The story mixes fictional characters with historical events and figures, as it narrates the story of the United States of America from 1794 through 1814. In 1979, the novel was made into a television film by Operation Prime Time and premiered on HBO on July 8 and 9, 1979.[1][2][3]
The Seekers was preceded by The Bastard, first in the series, and The Rebels, second in the series.
2 Starring
The sons and grandchildren of Philip Kent make a life for themselves in America.
Randolph Mantooth — Abraham Kent
Delta Burke — Elizabeth Fletcher Kent
Martin Milner — Philip Kent
Edie Adams — Flora Cato
Neville Brand — Capt. Isaac Drew
John Carradine — Avery Mills
George DelHoyo — Gilbert Kent (as George Deloy)
Julie Gregg — Edna Clapper
Roosevelt Grier — Amos Samuels
George Hamilton — Lt. Hamilton Stovall
Alex Hyde-White — Oliver Prouty
Harriet Karr — Harriet Kent
Brian Keith — Elijah Weatherby
Don Mantooth — Plenty Coup
Ross Martin — Supply Pleasant
Gary Merrill — Capt. Hul
Vic Morrow — Leland Pell
Timothy Patrick Murphy — Jarod Kent
Hugh O'Brian — Andrew Piggot
Robert Reed — Daniel Clapper
Allan Rich — Gen. "Mad Anthony" Wayne
Barbara Rush — Peggy Kent
Sarah Rush — Amanda Kent
Stuart Whitman — Rev. Blackthorn
Ed Harris — Lt. William Clark
^ New York Times: Seekers - TV MiniSeries Retrieved December 15, 2013
^ July 1979 HBO Program Guide ("The Seekers" on cover), page 6
^ Beck, Marilyn (14 November 1979). "Randolph Mantooth Mellows After All These Years". The Victoria Advocate. Retrieved 10 February 2014.
The Seekers at IMDb
Films directed by Sidney Hayers
Violent Moment (1959)
The White Trap (1959)
Circus of Horrors (1960)
Echo of Barbara (1960)
The Malpas Mystery (1960)
Payroll (1961)
Night of the Eagle (1962)
This Is My Street (1964)
The Trap (1966)
Three Hats for Lisa (1966)
Finders Keepers (1966)
The Southern Star (1969)
Mister Jerico (1969)
The Firechasers (1971)
Assault (1971)
All Coppers Are... (1972)
Deadly Strangers (1974)
What Changed Charley Farthing? (1975)
Diagnosis: Murder (1975)
One Away (1976)
A Bridge Too Far (second unit only, 1977)
The Seekers (1979)
Condominium (1980)
Works by John Jakes
Brak the Barbarian
Brak the Barbarian (1968)
Witch of the Four Winds (1969)
The Mark of the Demons (1969)
When the Idols Walked (1978)
The Fortunes of Brak (1980)
The Kent Family Chronicles
The Bastard (1974)
The Rebels (1975)
The Furies (1976)
The Titans (1976)
The Warriors (1977)
The Lawless (1978)
Mention My Name in Atlantis (1972)
North and South trilogy (1982–87)
North and South miniseries (1985–94)
Entertainment Tonight (1981)
Lifestyles of the Rich and Famous (1984)
Solid Gold (1980)
Star Search (1983)
Movies/mini-series
Captains and the Kings (1976)
Testimony of Two Men (1977)
Evening in Byzantium (1978)
The Immigrants (1978)
Top of the Hill (1980)
The Dream Merchants (1980)
The Girl, the Gold Watch & Everything (1980)
Tourist (1980)
Mom, the Wolfman and Me (1980)
Yogi's First Christmas (1980)
Goliath Awaits (1981)
A Woman Called Golda (1982)
Sadat (1983)
Blood Feud (1983)
Helen Keller: The Miracle Continues (1984)
The Jesse Owens Story (1984)
A Woman of Substance (1985)
The Key to Rebecca (1985)
Jenny's War (1985)
Hold the Dream (1986)
Key affiliates
KCOP-TV (Los Angeles)
KSTW (Tacoma)
KTVU (Oakland)
WPIX (New York)
WGN-TV (Chicago)
Columbia Pictures Television (list of series)
Hanna-Barbera (list of works)
Paramount Television (list of series)
Universal Television (list of shows)
Bristol-Myers
Broadcast syndication
Fourth television network
General Foods
Al Masini
This page is based on the copyrighted Wikipedia article: The Seekers (miniseries). Articles is available under the CC BY-SA 3.0 license; additional terms may apply.


text:
English Alum Heads to Bogotá on Fulbright Scholarship
Grace Pauley at the at El Cajas National Park outside Cuenca, Ecuador
Ohio University alum Grace Pauley '16 has earned a Fulbright English Teaching Assistantship to support her upcoming 10-month research project in Bogotá, Colombia.
Pauley, who majored in English and minored in Spanish, finds that the combination of these majors has prepared her for an international research experience. She also has a Global Leadership certificate from the Career & Leadership Development Center.
She will serve as a teaching assistant at Escuela Colombiana de Carreras Industriales in Bogotá, where she will teach conversational English and culture. She notes that rather than focusing heavily on grammar and mechanics, she will teach students how to be conversant on topics that are currently discussed in North American news media outlets.
"I'll be using the current election as a springboard for potential topics, and combining that with discussions about contemporary art," Pauley notes. "Right now, my ideas are pretty open-ended, as I'm hoping to cater the specifics of each lesson to my class's interests."
In order to become more integrated into the community in which she will live, Pauley also plans to facilitate a book club for members of the university and residents of the surrounding area.
The larger purpose of both her teaching and her book club is "to spark truly authentic dialogue," Pauley says. "I'm aiming to cultivate conversations that are sincere and comfortable. After all, what's the point of learning a different language and studying a different culture if we can't expect honest exchange to come from that?" She wants to ensure that her students understand the reciprocal nature of the classroom, emphasizing that they are teaching her, just as she is teaching them.
Pauley attributes her successful Fulbright application to the assistance of her mentors and recommenders. Elizabeth Clodfelter, Director of the Office of Nationally Competitive Awards, was especially instrumental to this process.
"Professor Clodfelter was by my side during the entire application process. She helped me complete the application, found faculty members to interview me, and answered all of my obsessive questions."
"Grace Pauley was an exceptional creative writing major," says Clodfelter. "She wrote excellent essays, aced her Fulbright interview, and she is really well-qualified to be an English Teaching Assistant in Colombia. Grace is the first student from Ohio University to get the chance to teach English in Colombia. I very much hope that this opportunity will help her start to have a wonderful career in the future. It was truly a pleasure to work with such a kind and intelligent young woman."
Dr. Amado Lascar, Associate Professor of Spanish, and Dr. Joseph McLaughlin, Associate Professor of English, also provided letters of recommendation to support Pauley's application. Lascar notes that Pauley is "very intelligent, hard-working, imaginative, and creative."
"Grace Pauley was one of the very best students in a talented group that studied Harry Potter and Contemporary British Literature with me in ENG 3150," adds McLaughlin. "She excelled both on the page and in class discussion. What I found most impressive about Grace was her thoughtfulness and her attraction to complexity. She never settled for easy interpretation, but rather pushed herself to think through sophisticated questions. Her final paper on Zadie Smith's White Teeth demonstrated her engagement with issues of multiculturalism and globalization without recourse to platitudes. This openness to the text indicated Grace's suitability for a foreign exchange program like the Fulbright."
The application also required a foreign language evaluation, conducted by Dr. Betsy Partyka, Associate Professor and Chair of Modern Languages. The process culminated in a Skype interview with Pauley's potential employers, who are located in Colombia.
After Pauley completes her Fulbright project, she hopes to attend graduate school.
Amado Lascar, Betsy Partyka, congrats!, Elizabeth Clodfelter, english alumni, English News, Fulbright, Grace Pauley, Joseph McLaughlin, modern Languages Alumni, Modern Languages news, spanish alumni
Two A&S Students Get Fulbright U.S. Student Program AwardsMay 11, 2016
Spanish and English Alum with Teach for AmericaNovember 11, 2014
Class of 2021 | Suzy Aftabizadeh Wants to Continue Work on Women's Healthcare in Puerto RicoApril 30, 2021


Welcome to the web page for the Asian Office of Aerospace Research and Development (AOARD). This section provides general information for AOARD and specific information for how to work with Program Officers (POs) in our office. Web links for other AOARD programs may be found in AOARD Programs. Located in Tokyo, Japan, AOARD is a funding agency that supports basic research throughout the Asia-Pacific region. See the AFOSR/AOARD website for information about AOARD.
AOARD is a field office of the Air Force Office of Scientific Research (AFOSR), which is located in Arlington, Va., USA. AFOSR manages all basic research activities for the U.S. Air Force. For information about AFOSR, see: http://www.wpafb.af.mil/afrl/afosr/.
AOARD and AFOSR are part of the Air Force Research Laboratory (AFRL), which has extensive R&D programs in nine different technical directorates at multiple locations within the USA. See the following link for more information about AFRL: http://www.wpafb.af.mil/afrl.aspx. Program Officers (POs) at AOARD work closely with POs at AFOSR to fund basic research in the Asia-Pacific region in support of the AFRL mission. AOARD and AFOSR work closely with AFRL scientists and engineers across all technical areas.
Our primary focus is to fund basic, fundamental research that seeks to push scientific frontiers. We understand that excellent research is done around the world; AOARD was created to cultivate and build relationships between leading scientists and engineers throughout the Asia-Pacific with our laboratory scientists and engineers. Since the focus is on basic science, both AFOSR and AOARD have a very long-term view of application development. Ultimately, we are interested in developing collaborative basic research between Asia-Pacific scientists and engineers and AFRL scientists.
At AFOSR, white papers and proposals are solicited through a Broad Agency Announcement (BAA), available on Grants.gov. The BAA addresses broad technical areas under which Principle Investigators (PIs) can submit proposals and receive funding through a competitive process. Technical areas at AOARD are tied to AFOSR and thus the AFOSR BAA.
For information on the active AFOSR BAA, see: BAA-AFOSR-2016-0007. Potential PIs should contact AOARD POs to get a sense of their focus and interest areas, and for more information on funding opportunities. See Funding Timeline for more information.


text:
Q: How can I unzip the newest file in a directory in a BAT file? I am working on a build system.  The build system posts the results as a zip file in a directory.  Unfortunately I have no easy way to know the name of the zip file, because it is timestamped.  For the next operation, I must decompress this zip file to some specific location and then do some more file operations.
I guess I could change the build system so I specify the name of the result zip file from the command line, however, I though it might be easiest just to find out which one is the newest file and unzip it (if the previous process is successful).
How can I issue an unzip command that will only take effect on the newest zip file in the directory, ignoring all others?
EDIT: I decided to use the capabilities in ANT for this task instead. However, it is still a neat trick to have up the sleve...  Thanks for the answer!

A: If Cygwin or other Unix-like environment is an alternative
unzip "$(ls -tr *zip | tail -n1)"

would do it

A: This should do it:
FOR /F usebackq %%i IN (`DIR /B /O-D *.ZIP`) DO UNZIP %%i && GOTO DONE || GOTO DONE
:DONE

This works as follows:

*

*DIR /B /O-D *.ZIP lists all ZIP files in reverse date order in a "bare" - i.e. name only - format.

*FOR /F usebackq is used to loop over the output of the command.

*&& GOTO DONE || GOTO DONE makes sure the UNZIP is only run for the first file.  You need both && (and) and || (or) in case the unzip fails for some reason.

You'll need to change UNZIP %%i for whatever unzip command you want to use.
EDIT
The above will work as long as the Zip filename doesn't contain any spaces.  If you want to handle filenames with spaces, use the following variant:
FOR /F "tokens=*" %%i IN ('DIR /B /O-D *.ZIP') DO UNZIP "%%i" && GOTO DONE || GOTO DONE
:DONE

The differences are:

*

*The "tokens=*" option returns the whole of the filename even if it contains spaces.

*The filename passed to UNZIP is quoted

*This variant uses single quotes for the DIR command so doesn't need the "usebackq" option.

A: Why use bat files when you have powershell or console applications?

A: I think you would need 7-zip to be able to script compression/uncompression.


text:
Найдёнов — русская фамилия; женская форма .

Известные носители
 Найдёновы — семья российских предпринимателей:
 Найдёнов, Александр Николаевич (1866—1920) — московский предприниматель из рода Найдёновых, потомственный почётный гражданин.

 Найдёнов, Арсен Юдильевич (Розман; 1941—2010) — советский футболист, советский и российский тренер.

 Найдёнов, Виктор Васильевич (1931—1987) — советский государственный деятель, работник органов прокуратуры и судебной системы.

 Найдёнов, Григорий Артёмович (1915—2010) — артиллерист, участник Великой Отечественной войны, Герой Советского Союза.

 Найдёнов, Никита Иванович (1892—1961) — российский и советский конькобежец и лётчик.

 Найдёнов, Олег Петрович (1947—2003) — мэр Мурманска в 1991—2002 годах.
 Найдёнов, Павел Андреевич (1905—1967) — 1-й секретарь Днепропетровского областного комитета КП(б) Украины.
 Найдёнов, Сергей Александрович (настоящая фамилия Алексеев, 1868—1922) — русский писатель, драматург.

Другое
 «Олег Найдёнов» — мурманский траулер, до 2005 года носивший название «Леонид Гальченко»

См. также
 Найденов


The Change Coming to Caddo Education – Forward Now!
The Caddo School system is beginning to resemble the eastern French border in the 1930's. The Maginot Line with intense fortifications is being built around the Midway office. Superintendent Dr. Gerald Dawkins is verbally assisting the forces of long-term administrators who have built their lives around the educational system. Teachers, dedicated and trained with their lives and families vested in the system are spending their limited off-hours working to justify their school fortresses, while the core central office leadership (all transient citizens who don't even vote in Caddo Parish!) counts their daily accumulations in their wallets, while pushing résumés out the door at their rented apartments.
The information and maneuvering is the move to split the Caddo Parish district along "more homogenous socioeconomic boundaries." We are witness to a closely choreographed move, similar to the split in East Baton Rouge Parish that resulted in several community ISDs (Independent School Districts.). The Baton Rouge split took longer than I believe Caddo players hope it will take here. Well-backed workers ranging from lobbyists, legislators, consultants of all types and even the Alliance for Education are negotiating to carve out sections of the parish. Some will make NO money until the rezoned districts are operational. They will be paid for work by the management of the "New ISDs" (a problem for good-government bean counters!) The motivation is to make this a short battle.
The issues appear to be WHO will be in which zone – both by geographic boundary and by building. Being a good listener and a good organizer are a citizen's most valuable asset. The problems of the Midway–Caddo Central office and costs to run the current district are the greatest albatross citizens wear. Until the "Dawkins" factor is resolved, hope is that smaller districts with common interests may work better.
The forces for the "move" are pouring fuel on the fire to allow Midway to burn. Promises "hint" that some current leaders would be "best off" if they allow chaos and spirit the demise pointing to enhanced losses in the current system. Public relations are against the status quo.
Caddo Parish has some of the best schools in the State. Proving why they are successful to the general public is difficult when so many failing "buildings" (schools) also exist. Many failed "buildings" are due to home-rule board members refusing to allow their historic buildings to close or become a part of a homogenous program under unified stronger leadership. Many of the failing schools refuse to accept valid long-term options to save the students and the system. Alumni dream of the return of "glory years." There isn't time or money to make that dream come true. And time and money lost trying to hold tight to "Dreams" is costing citizens the opportunity to fix the parish-wide system.
The American belief has been "public education should exist within a financially sound model based on solid educational principles." Caddo parish has the census and tax base to support a unified and streamlined system that provides a superior educational program as well as improve the education of students at failing schools. There has been NO WILL to make the changes required. We are all frustrated with the status quo.
Between spokesmen for the school board, the unions and the administration of CPSB there is an inability to "FIX" holes in the system of bad management and wasteful programs protected by board members who refuse to face the reality of the crisis. Caddo will not continue to maintain small neighborhood programs, and particularly high schools, that the census and lack of program successes demand be closed. These failures are an easy target of critics and experts in the field. The intransigence of parties to face the realities of the voter/taxpayer climate and the move in Baton Rouge at the Capital to give businessmen and taxpayers control of their local schools make the move to charter or smaller ISDs that much easier for voters.
The system will not stand much longer. So you better decide which changes you can support. Caddo is taking the next step to return to what appears to be a "Separate, But Equal" system.
FINISH 3132 COALITION'S FEBRUARY 17, 2012 PETITION TO M. P. C.