text:
Q: What happens when TestFlight app expire? I'm using the prerelease tool in iTunesConnect where you can distribute the app to a group of testers. It seems though that after some days the app crashes immediately after start (just after the splash screen shown). No error logs.
I'm wondering if this has to do with the 30days expiration that all TestFlight apps seems to have, or maybe it's something in my code that causing it?

A: The next time a user attempts to launch the beta app, they will get a dialog box saying "YOURAPPNAME" Beta Has Expired, and the app will not launch.
The app should not crash (nor run), as your question describes.

A: You're absolutely right, Toydor!
After the 30-days-period expired, your test won't be able download or run your app.
I didn't find a way to extend this period. You only can upload an updated version to get another 30 days.

A: There are two things you can do to identify this:

*

*Get the app on a device, run the app, then check if the device has a crash report by e.g. using Xcode. If there is a crash report, check it. in addition check the console output on the device when the "crash" happens.

*Check the iTunes Connect website and navigate to the specific build. Check if the page shows some status as "expired" for that build.

A: The reason why app cannot execute is that no valid provisioning profile was found.
And we can find those logs in device console output:
Mar  9 08:34:48 ***-iPhone amfid[***] <Error>:  SecTrustEvaluate  [leaf CriticalExtensions IssuerCommonName]
Mar  9 08:34:48 ***-iPhone amfid[***] <Error>: /private/var/mobile/Containers/Bundle/Application/B4BF7C1D-2DF4-4B8D-943B-57BABD30****/***.app/*** not valid: 0xe8008015: A valid provisioning profile for this executable was not found.
Mar  9 08:34:48 ***-iPhone kernel[0] <Notice>: AMFI: hook..execve() killing pid 10282: no code signature
Mar  9 08:34:48 ***-iPhone kernel[0] <Notice>: Sandbox: hook..execve() killing pid 10282: application requires container but none set
Mar  9 08:34:48 ***-iPhone com.apple.xpc.launchd[1] (UIKitApplication:com.***.***[0x4711][10282]) <Notice>: Service exited due to signal: Killed: 9


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text:
HomeNewsNICK CAVE & THE BAD SEEDS
– 'One More Time With Feeling' To Get DVD/Blu-Ray Release on March 3rd
NICK CAVE & THE BAD SEEDS
– 'One More Time With Feeling' To Get DVD/Blu-Ray Release on March 3rd
January 11, 2017 Mark Millar News, New music 0
Nick Cave & The Bad Seeds have announced the release on DVD and Blu-ray of One More Time Feeling – the feature film about the making of their universally acclaimed album Skeleton Tree directed by Andrew Dominik (Chopper, The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford).
Visually unique, One More Time With Feeling is a stark, fragile and raw documentary. Shot in 3D, in colour and black & white, the film probes the deeply personal circumstances surrounding the making of Skeleton Tree (Nick Cave & The Bad Seeds' 16th studio album) and features live performances by the band in the studio.
Originally conceived as a one-night-only event in 950 cinemas across 30 countries simultaneously on 8th September last year, this extraordinary film has now been screened over 1700 times at over 1000 cinemas world-wide. Its initial run was extended over several days, with new screenings added through December 2016 and into January 2017 as cinemas continued to sell out around the world.
One More Time With Feeling is the first ever non-animated B&W film shot originally in 3D. On 3rd March 2017, this filmic milestone will be released on DVD, Blu-ray and a Limited Edition 3D Blu-ray. All formats of One More Time With Feeling will come as two-disc editions with previously unseen footage.
Nick Cave & the Bad Seeds are touring Australia and New Zealand in January 2017 and North America from 26th May – 29th June. The touring line up consists of Nick Cave, Warren Ellis, Martyn Casey, Thomas Wydler, Jim Sclavunos, Conway Savage, George Vjestica and Larry Mullins. Tickets for all shows are on sale at nickcave.com.
One of the most critically acclaimed acts working today Nick Cave & The Bad Seeds have sold over 5 million albums worldwide to date. Their influence has been profound and far-reaching and they remain one of the most powerful and exciting acts in the world. Skeleton Tree – their 16th studio album – released the day after the premiere of One More Time With Feeling – charted at number 1 in 8 countries with a further 11 top 5s and numerous top 20 positions. The album gained the band their highest ever position in the UK: 2 (OCC) and US: 27 (Billboard).
Formats as follows:
One More Time With Feeling 2 Disc DVD –
BS011DVD
Out on 3rd March 2017
This 2 disc DVD edition includes 3 exclusive short films from Andrew Dominik.
(2D Film)
(2D Extras)
One More Time With Feeling 2 Disc 2D Blu-Ray –
This 2 disc 2D Blu-Ray edition includes 3 exclusive short films from Andrew Dominik.
One More Time With Feeling 2 Disc 3D Blu-Ray – BS011BLURAY3D
(3D Blu-ray Film)
(3D Blu-ray Extras)
Track of the Day: Dakota – Icon
STONE FOUNDATION announce PAUL WELLER produced album ' Street Rituals'
Nick Cave and the Bad Seeds – Distant Sky – Stream the full length film free
April 11, 2019 Mark Millar News, New music 0
For one night only in 2018, Nick Cave & The Bad Seeds shared a show from their celebrated 2017 world tour on cinema screens worldwide. One year on, fans will have a chance to relive that incredible […]
novelist REINHARD KLEIST is coming to London to promote his latest book 'Nick Cave & The Bad Seeds: An Art Book'
April 9, 2018 Mark Millar News 0
REINHARD KLEIST, INTERNATIONALLY RENOWNED ARTIST AND GRAPHIC BIOGRAPHER OF NICK CAVE AND JOHNNY CASH BOOK' SIGNINGS IN LONDON, SATURDAY 14TH APRIL WITH LIVE MUSICAL ACCOMPANIMENT FROM SINGER/SONGWRITER GRIS-DE-LIN. Award-winning graphic novelist Reinhard Kleist is coming […]
Vinyl Five
SICK RECORDS: VINYL FIVE FOR MONDAY – 09/02/2015
February 9, 2015 Kenny Murdock Vinyl Five 0
Check out this weeks 'Vinyl Five for Monday 9/2/15', The essential vinyl you should own this week, carefully selected by Kenny Murdock from Belfasts best vinyl record store 'Sick Records Belfast'. Sick Records Belfast 78 […]

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


text:
package org.onosproject.lisp.msg.protocols;

import org.onosproject.lisp.msg.types.LispAfiAddress;

/**
 * LISP record section which is part of LISP map register message.
 */
public interface LispMapRecord {

    /**
     * Obtains record TTL value.
     *
     * @return record TTL value
     */
    int getRecordTtl();

    /**
     * Obtains locator count value.
     *
     * @return locator count value
     */
    int getLocatorCount();

    /**
     * Obtains address mask length.
     *
     * @return mask length
     */
    byte getMaskLength();

    /**
     * Obtains LispMapReplyAction enum code.
     *
     * @return LispMapReplyAction enum code
     */
    LispMapReplyAction getAction();

    /**
     * Obtains authoritative flag.
     *
     * @return authoritative flag
     */
    boolean isAuthoritative();

    /**
     * Obtains map version number.
     *
     * @return map version number
     */
    short getMapVersionNumber();

    /**
     * Obtains EID prefix.
     *
     * @return EID prefix
     */
    LispAfiAddress getEidPrefixAfi();

    /**
     * A builder of LISP map record.
     */
    interface MapRecordBuilder {

        /**
         * Sets record TTL value.
         *
         * @param recordTtl record TTL
         * @return MapRecordBuilder object
         */
        MapRecordBuilder withRecordTtl(int recordTtl);

        /**
         * Sets locator count.
         *
         * @param locatorCount locator count
         * @return MapRecordBuilder object
         */
        MapRecordBuilder withLocatorCount(int locatorCount);

        /**
         * Sets mask length.
         *
         * @param maskLength mask length
         * @return MapRecordBuilder object
         */
        MapRecordBuilder withMaskLength(byte maskLength);

        /**
         * Sets LISP map reply action enum.
         *
         * @param action map reply action
         * @return MapRecordBuilder object
         */
        MapRecordBuilder withAction(LispMapReplyAction action);

        /**
         * Sets authoritative flag.
         *
         * @param authoritative authoritative flag
         * @return MapRecordBuilder object
         */
        MapRecordBuilder withAuthoritative(boolean authoritative);

        /**
         * Sets LISP map version number.
         *
         * @param mapVersionNumber map version number
         * @return MapRecordBuilder object
         */
        MapRecordBuilder withMapVersionNumber(short mapVersionNumber);

        /**
         * Sets EID prefix.
         *
         * @param prefix EID prefix
         * @return MapRecordBuilder object
         */
        MapRecordBuilder withEidPrefixAfi(LispAfiAddress prefix);

        /**
         * Builds map record.
         *
         * @return map record instance
         */
        LispMapRecord build();
    }
}

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaGithub


text:
Dowerin
Wondering what to do in Dowerin?
Discover Dowerin's best activities, free events and tickets. Find what's on today, this weekend or all year. Search for everything from yoga to festivals, from gigs to sports, from stuff for kids to adults-only. All the best events are here.
Events in Dowerin
Sat 29th Apr 2023, 9:00 am - 2:00 pm AWST
Melissa Welsh - Interior Stylist
35 East St, Dowerin WA 6461, Australia
Sat 18th Feb 2023, 5:00 pm - Sun 19th Feb 2023, 1:00 am AWST
A Night Under The Stars
986 Irishtown Rd, Buckland WA 6401, Australia
Sun 19th Mar 2023, 9:00 am - 5:00 pm AWST
Avon Valley - WA - Black Dog Ride 1 Dayer 2023
197 Duke St, Northam WA 6401, Australia
Sun 7th May 2023, 9:00 am - 4:00 pm AWST
Moondyne Festival Toodyay
Toodyay WA 6566, Australia
Sat 4th Feb 2023, 4:00 pm - 11:00 pm AWST
Toodyay Tennis Club 100 Seasons at "The Park" Celebration
14 Fiennes St, Toodyay WA 6566, Australia
Sat 29th Apr 2023, 10:00 am - 3:30 pm AWST
Get Back To Basics, Live Simply & Enjoy Life 2023
Morangup WA 6083, Australia
Sat 18th Mar 2023, 7:00 pm - 9:30 pm AWST
Murder They Wrote: A 1930s Orient Express Whodunnit dinner in the historic York Town Hall
81 Avon Terrace, York WA 6302, Australia
Fri 19th May 2023, 9:00 am - Sun 21st May 2023, 2:00 pm AWST
Women's Wisdom 2023
30 Forrest St, York WA 6302, Australia
Thu 2nd Mar 2023, 9:00 am - 5:00 pm AWST
2023 GRDC Grains Research Update, Bencubbin
Bencubbin WA 6477, Australia
Fri 28th Apr 2023, 5:00 pm - Sun 30th Apr 2023, 2:00 pm AWST
Stillness & Light: Autumn Retreat in the Avon Valley
630 Wanaka Rd, Avon Valley National Park WA 6084, Australia
Fri 13th Oct 2023, 5:00 pm - Sun 15th Oct 2023, 2:00 pm AWST
Inspired: A Spring Breath & Embodiment Retreat
Sun 12th Feb 2023, 2:00 pm - 5:00 pm AWST
Wooroloo Wicking Garden Bed Workshop
Wooroloo WA 6558, Australia
Sat 25th Feb 2023, 12:00 pm - 2:30 pm AWST
Paint & Sip Event: Lavender Fields 25/02/23
900 Keane St W, Mount Helena WA 6082, Australia
Sun 12th Feb 2023, 10:00 am - 4:00 pm AWST
LOVE FEST 💗 Day Retreat
845 Campersic Rd, Brigadoon WA 6069, Australia
Fri 17th Feb 2023, 6:00 pm - 8:00 pm AWST
Sound Healing - Crystal Bowls, Tibetan Bowls, Flute & drumming
Sun 19th Mar 2023, 10:00 am - Mon 20th Mar 2023, 5:00 pm PST
The Art of Holding Space Training


text:
from __future__ import unicode_literals

from django.db import migrations

class Migration(migrations.Migration):

    dependencies = [
        ('pdfapp', '0029_auto_20170316_0313'),
        ('pdfapp', '0027_programa_solicitud'),
    ]

    operations = [
    ]


text:
« Historians: The Bronzeville Culver'… | Lewis Klahr's Sixty Six is a master… »
News / Gender Issues / Poverty / Race This Mother's Day, groups rally to support incarcerated moms
Posted By Maya Dukmasova on 05.12.17 at 11:57 AM
Alexis Mansfield / Facebook
Ahead of Mother's Day this Sunday, a coalition of local groups has organized a variety of ways to bring immediate support to incarcerated moms and bring attention to the impact that imprisoning the primary caregivers of minor children has on families and communities.
On Friday, demonstrators will gather at noon at the Thompson Center for a rally in solidarity with incarcerated mothers. On Saturday at noon, a vigil and toiletry drive will be help in front of the Cook County Jail. Then, on Saturday May 20, two busloads of children and their caregivers will be taken to visit their moms at Logan and Decatur prisons in downstate Illinois, where more than 80 percent of the some 2,000 inmates are mothers of minor children.
These efforts are part of a nationwide push to spotlight incarcerated moms of minor children, particularly African-American women, that include fund-raising drives to bail out mothers from pretrial detention across several major cities.
"It's a painful reality that so many families are separated in this way," says Holly Krig, a cofounder of the Chicago Community Bond Fund and Mothers United Against Violence and Incarceration. "When we talk about community safety, harm, and harm reduction, in no way does incarceration, of mothers in particular, in no way does that make anyone safer or improve any lives or make our communities more stable. It profoundly disrupts families and profoundly disrupts communities."
Because women are usually the primary caregivers to children, Krig explains, their incarceration destabilizes communities in even more profound ways than that of men. When a mother can't take care of her children, they are more likely to have to live with other relatives (often grandparents who have fewer resources to support them), more likely to move out of their neighborhood, and more likely to wind up in foster care. And once they're incarcerated, women have fewer resources than men, from money for commissary to visits from relatives. While incarcerated men often have networks of women helping them on the outside, when women are incarcerated they not only fall away from imprisoned men's support networks but also lack comparable support networks of men on the outside.
For poor black women in particular, incarceration often represents an intersection between personal and state violence. A recent study indicates that black women are disproportionately vulnerable to community destabilization as a result of incarceration: "the proportion of incarcerated individuals in the family network of an average black female is 8.5 times higher than for the typical white woman." The same communities that have a high rate of incarceration are also impacted by a lack of affordable housing, transportation, jobs, underfunded or outright closed schools, a lack of physical and mental health care services, and affordable, healthy food.
"The violence of incarceration is exacerbated by the lack of those resources," says Krig. While many women are in jail for petty crimes stemming from poverty and are too poor to afford their bonds, she points out, others are facing more serious charges for taking action to protect their lives. Naomi Freeman, for example, was 23 years old in the summer of 2015, when she killed her abusive partner while he was in the process of assaulting her. She was already the mother of two toddlers and was pregnant during the attack, but was nevertheless charged with first-degree murder and held at Cook County Jail on a bond she couldn't afford. The Chicago Community Bond Fund, which devotes particular attention to bailing out primary caregivers of minor children, eventually raised enough to bond her out. Freeman's case is still pending.
The Mother's Day actions are just one example of the grassroots efforts among Chicago's explicitly abolitionist organizations to help individuals caught up in the criminal justice system while also building momentum for policy change, including ending money bail in Illinois.
For those wishing to contribute to the toiletry drive, Krig recommends bringing travel-size shampoos, conditioners, lotions, toothpaste, and deodorant, as well as bar soap of any size. Any items that the jail can't accept because they're too large or prohibited from coming from the outside (such as tampons and pads) will be taken to donate to the women's prisons during next week's reunification ride. Any items the prisons can't take will be donated to women's shelters and social service organizations in Chicago. When asked which items are most coveted, Krig says that fragrant lotions bring particular joy.
"Prison is full of so many bad smells," she says. "There's so little color. People don't have a lot that is enjoyable or soothing to look at when they're in prison." Fragrant toiletries and colorful cards remind people of a world outside and give them hope for the future.
Tags: Mother's Day, incarceration, poverty, Cook County Jail, prison, Naomi Freeman, Holly Krig, Chicago Community Bond Fund, Mothers United Against Violence and Incarceration, reunification rides, money bail, bail reform, mass incarceration, prison abolition, Image
Preckwinkle fund-raising e-mail seeks to capitalize on Cyntoia Brown case
by Maya Dukmasova | Dec 20, 2018
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Inauguration barhopping in Chicago's most pro-Trump neighborhood 6
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The Chicago-area native dished tabloid-style gossip here for almost a decade. Now she's a leader in a fringe right-wing online community spreading a bizarre political conspiracy theory.
By Ryan Smith | 04.06.18
A farewell to Obama—our country's most inclusive president
The audacious vision of a Chicago president changed politics as we knew it.
By Derrick Clifton | 01.11.17
Should you buy the beer in the green Buddha bottles?
Whether Lucky Buddha is worth the price depends on your fondness for middling Asian lagers and novelty glassware.
By Philip Montoro | 03.06.15
3 AM tweeting, the other kind 4
What is it with those songbirds chirping away at three in the morning?
Dating a musician: relationship DON'Ts 15
Six things to not do for a healthy, happy union with a band person
Westward the Women: A neglected classic about sexual politics on the frontier 7
Discovering William A. Wellman's rarely revived 1951 western, available for rent at the Chicago Public Library
By Ben Sachs | 06.19.14
Women's March: The Sequel, or this time we have a destination 6
Changes in the march after a year of Trump and #MeToo
By Aimee Levitt and Sue Kwong | 01.21.18
Requiem for Sunshine Cafe, a slice of Chicago history 5
Sunshine Cafe, a remnant of a moment in Chicago history and a charming Japanese restaurant, closed Saturday, possibly for good.
By Michael Gebert | 09.08.15


text:
Le Västerbroplan est un gratte-ciel hybride alliant judicieusement bois, béton et acier, à Stockholm en Suède. Le projet est prévu pour 2023 s'il est retenu en 2015, pour offrir à l'occasion du centenaire de HSB (Hyresgästernas sparkasse- och byggnadsförening: l'association suédoise de logements sociaux), des résidences familiales, un café et une garderie.

Avec une hauteur de 34 étages, il sera construit en grande partie en bois.

Notes et références

Gratte-ciel en Suède

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaWikipedia


text:
New Banknotes: From Concept to Circulation
Sensitivity of Australian Trade to the Exchange Rate
The Household Cash Flow Channel of Monetary Policy
Chinese Household Income, Consumption and Savings
Developments in the Australian Repo Market
The Kangaroo Bond Market
Banks' Wealth Management Activities in Australia
GDP-linked Bonds
Sources of Financial Risk for Central Counterparties
Copyright and Disclaimer Notices
Bulletin – September Quarter 2016 Sensitivity of Australian Trade to the Exchange Rate
Duke Cole and Samual Nightingale[*]
Download 443KB
The exchange rate is an important determinant of Australian exports and imports. Movements in the exchange rate affect the relative prices of traded goods and services, and thus the competitiveness of domestic producers of exports and import-competing goods and services. This article provides estimates of the sensitivity of Australian exports and imports to changes in the exchange rate at the aggregate and component level. Other things equal, a 10 per cent depreciation in the real exchange rate is estimated to increase export volumes by around 3 per cent and decrease import volumes by about 4 per cent after two years, which implies a cumulative net exports contribution to gross domestic product (GDP) of around 1½ percentage points over this period. However, the aggregate responses of exports and imports disguise substantial variation in the responses of the components. Trade in services is generally more responsive to movements in the exchange rate than trade in goods, although it takes longer for the full effect to be seen in services trade volumes.
The exchange rate plays an important role for Australian exports and imports. Domestically, a depreciation of the Australian dollar encourages substitution from imports to domestically produced goods and services, as imported products become relatively more expensive. A lower exchange rate also makes Australian exports more competitive in world markets, as exported goods and services become relatively cheaper in foreign currency terms.
Movements in the exchange rate assist the economy in adjusting to structural change, such as that experienced in Australia during the recent terms of trade boom (Jääskelä and Smith 2013; Gorajek and Rees 2015; Lowe 2015). Strong demand for resources from the rapidly growing Chinese economy caused commodity prices – and thus Australia's terms of trade – to rise substantially between 2001 and 2011. Associated with this, the Australian dollar appreciated by around 80 per cent in real trade-weighted terms over that period (Graph 1). The appreciation of the exchange rate raised the relative price of Australian-produced goods and services, thereby shifting demand – both domestically and internationally – away from the non-resource traded sectors of the Australian economy. By reducing the demand for labour and production inputs more generally in other parts of the economy, this gave the Australian economy more room to respond to the strong demand for resources without overheating. Over this period, mining investment expanded significantly, while net exports subtracted on average ¾ percentage point from annual GDP growth; although resource exports increased substantially, other exports were subdued and imports increased strongly.
As a result, the composition of Australia's exports changed dramatically. The share of resource exports in Australia's total export mix rose from around one-third in the 1990s to about half today, while the shares of other exports declined (Graph 2). In contrast, the composition of Australia's imports has been more stable; all components grew as incomes increased with the rise in the terms of trade.
Australia's terms of trade have fallen substantially since the peak in 2011, as growth in China has moderated and the global supply of many commodities has increased. The Australian dollar has depreciated by about 20 per cent in real terms from its peak in 2013. This has contributed to a rise in demand for a range of exports and a decline in imports, notably of services. Net exports have contributed around 1½ percentage points to annual GDP growth on average during this period.[1] This has helped to sustain growth in the economy as investment in the resources sector has been wound back sharply.
In light of the important role played by the exchange rate for the Australian economy, this article provides estimates of the effects of exchange rate changes on trade volumes. These effects are estimated for exports and imports in total, as well as at the component level given the very different nature and developments of the components of trade.
Sensitivity of Trade Volumes to the Exchange Rate
We use an econometric model to quantify the historical relationship between changes in the exchange rate and their effects on exports and imports (see Appendix A).[2] The key determinants of trade volumes are demand and the real exchange rate. In the estimated models, the relevant demand variables are major trading partner growth (weighted by export shares) for exports, and domestic final demand plus exports (minus ownership transfer costs) for imports. Real exchange rate movements are captured by real trade-weighted indices, one for exports and one for imports. Weighting the indices by export and import trade shares, respectively, accounts for differences in the importance of destination and source countries for each side of the trade ledger.
The exchange rate elasticity – or sensitivity of trade volumes to changes in the exchange rate – is measured as the change in trade volumes (in per cent) that follows a 1 per cent change in the real exchange rate, all else equal. The estimates suggest that if the real exchange rate depreciates by 10 per cent, total exports will increase by around 4 per cent in the long run (Table 1). However, the responses of different components of exports vary substantially.[3] Manufactured and service exports show a larger response than total exports to a change in the exchange rate. In contrast, resource exports appear less sensitive, while the response of rural exports is not statistically significant; that is, the estimates suggest that they do not respond to a depreciation in the long run. The models for goods exports are of generally poor fit. This suggests that they do not explain much of the variation in goods export volumes; other factors, not included in the model, may be more important. For example, rural exports are heavily impacted by weather events, such as droughts.
Table 1: Long-run Responses to a 1 per cent Depreciation in the Real Exchange Rate(a)
March 1983–December 2015, percentage points
0.41***
0.22**
−0.35***
Consumption(b)
−0.13
Capital(b)
Intermediate(b)
(a) *,** and *** indicate statistical significance at the 10, 5 and 1 per cent levels respectively for Wald tests
(b) Model estimated from March 1986
Sources: ABS, RBA
The estimates imply that imports decline by a little less than 4 per cent in the long run following a 10 per cent depreciation of the real exchange rate. As with exports, the responses of import components vary. Service imports move around one-to-one with the exchange rate. Goods imports are relatively less sensitive to movements in the exchange rate; the response of capital imports is moderately smaller than service imports, while consumption imports respond only modestly. Although the estimated elasticity of intermediate imports has the wrong sign, it is not statistically different from zero which suggests that intermediate imports do not respond to movements in the exchange rate.
Overall, the response to a 10 per cent depreciation of the real exchange rate implies a net exports contribution to GDP of around 1½ percentage points after two years. The full effect of an exchange rate change on trade volumes takes longer to occur. This can be illustrated with impulse response functions, which provide an estimate of the path of trade volumes following a change in the real exchange rate, assuming all other factors remain unchanged. For exports, about half of the adjustment occurs within a year of the depreciation (Graph 3). Imports respond slightly faster, with most of the response occurring in the first year. Services trade generally responds a bit more slowly than goods trade to a change in the exchange rate (Graph 4; Graph 5). In the case of service exports, it takes about two years for half of the effect of a change in the exchange rate to flow through to volumes.[4]
The Variation in Trade Volume Responses
Service exports and imports
Trade in services shows a relatively large response to movements in the exchange rate, although the full response only occurs with a lag of a few years. To understand this result, we consider the two major components of services trade – travel services and business services (Graph 6). Travel service exports capture spending on goods and services by foreigners in Australia, including overseas students, while travel service imports include spending by Australians overseas. Business services trade covers activities such as accounting, architecture, consulting and technical services.
The adjustment of travel services trade to an exchange rate change is likely to occur over an extended period because there is generally a lag associated with planning overseas travel or study. In the medium term, a depreciation is likely to increase the number of visitors to Australia and decrease the number of Australians travelling overseas, as it encourages both foreigners and Australians to shift some of their travel expenditure to Australia from overseas destinations (and the opposite should hold true for an appreciation). However, there is also a more immediate effect on travel services trade from exchange rate changes. Following a depreciation, the purchasing power of foreign currencies rise in Australian dollar terms; this allows foreign visitors to increase spending in real terms and thus boosts travel service exports. Similarly, Australians travelling overseas experience a fall in the purchasing power of Australian dollars in foreign currency terms and are likely to reduce their spending in real terms, which reduces travel service imports.
There are also expected to be short-term and medium-term effects of exchange rate changes on business services trade. For business services, the initial response to the exchange rate is likely to be driven by contract-based work. Following a depreciation, Australian firms become more competitive for contracts both in Australia and abroad. This boosts exports of business services (Australian firms providing services to overseas clients) while business service imports (Australian clients purchasing services from foreign firms) are likely to be curtailed.
However, the decision by Australian firms to find a provider of services offshore – or return to an Australian provider – in response to an exchange rate change is only likely to be made if it is expected to be profitable over the medium-to-long term. Such decisions also depend on factors such as the relative availability of skilled labour, technical knowledge, production capacity and desires for longer-term cost reductions (Manalo and Orsmond 2013). If the exchange rate were to remain elevated for an extended period, some firms may be encouraged to source more services from offshore at the margin. On the other hand, a sustained depreciation of the exchange rate may encourage some firms to defer the decision to acquire services offshore, or choose to bring production of services back to Australia that had previously been moved offshore.
Resource and rural exports
Resource exports exhibit a relatively modest response to the exchange rate compared with manufactured and service exports.[5] During Australia's recent mining boom, resource exports increased strongly in the face of the large appreciation of the exchange rate. All else equal, a higher Australian dollar reduces the Australian dollar price received for commodity exports, which are typically priced in US dollars, thus discouraging these exports. However, the Australian dollar appreciated strongly because increased demand for bulk commodities drove commodity prices higher. In these circumstances, resource exporters found it profitable to invest in further capacity and export as much as they could to benefit from the commodity price increase, notwithstanding the appreciation.
Resource export volumes are likely to be relatively insensitive to exchange rate changes in the near term. There is generally a long lag between new investment and additional capacity. For a given level of capacity, the marginal cost of production is relatively low, so resource exports are not likely to respond to moderate changes in the exchange rate or commodity prices.[6] In addition, many Australian commodity producers are low cost by international standards. Indeed, declining commodity prices over recent years in large part reflect increased supply from low cost producers, including from Australia.
Rural exports also exhibit only a limited response to the exchange rate. In a similar manner to resource exports, supply decisions for rural exports – the planting of crops and breeding decisions – are generally made well in advance of the goods being exported. Additionally, weather conditions are a key driver of rural production and, in turn, export volumes.
Manufactured exports
Historically, manufactured exports have been quite responsive to movements in the exchange rate, albeit with some lag before the full effect occurs.[7] Many manufactured goods are trade exposed, and the share of production in the manufacturing industry that is exported is relatively large (Kohler et al 2014).
However, it appears that the relationship with the exchange rate has weakened somewhat of late.[8]
Manufactured export volumes have been little changed since 2012 despite a large exchange rate depreciation. There is evidence, both via the Bank's business liaison program and in academic literature, that this is a structural phenomenon.[9] The Bank's liaison suggests that some manufacturers moved production offshore following the Australian dollar appreciation during the mining boom, but there has been limited evidence of companies moving production processes back to Australia following the depreciation of the dollar in recent years (Langcake 2016). Over the past one and a half decades, Australian manufacturers have faced intense competition from the rapid expansion of industrial capacity in lower-cost countries, in particular China after it joined the World Trade Organization in 2001. Some manufacturers have also noted significant lags between an exchange rate depreciation and their ability to change production, due to delays or lags in their supply chains.[10]
Goods imports
The response of goods imports to a change in the exchange rate is smaller than the response of service imports. This may reflect the lack of domestic substitutes for some imported products. An increase in the price of imported goods should encourage consumers to substitute away from imports to domestic goods, which become relatively cheaper. However, this 'substitution effect' is likely to be limited for goods imports if domestic alternatives are not readily available. Even if Australian-produced substitutes are available, it may not be simple or quick for firms to switch from using imported inputs in their supply chains to inputs produced in Australia.
Changes in the Australian dollar generally flow through fairly quickly to the prices of imports.[11] However, the response of goods import volumes to the exchange rate may be limited somewhat by the actions of domestic retailers and distributors, who may choose to absorb some of the changes in the cost of imported goods in their margins. Moreover, the effect of higher import prices, owing to the depreciation of the Australian dollar over the past three years, on final prices faced by consumers has been partly offset by recent developments in the retail sector, such as competition from new entrants and efficiency gains, which have placed downward pressure on retail margins (Ballantyne and Langcake 2016).
The exchange rate is an important determinant of Australia's exports and imports. Estimates suggest that, all else equal, a 10 per cent depreciation of the real exchange rate results in total exports increasing by around 3 per cent and total imports decreasing by just under 4 per cent over a two-year period; this would increase the level of GDP by around 1½ per cent, holding trade shares constant at current levels. However, there is substantial variation across the different components of trade. Trade in services is generally more responsive to movements in the exchange rate than trade in goods, although the full effect of the exchange rate on services takes some time. The relatively high sensitivity of services trade appears to reflect the greater availability of substitutes. In terms of goods exports, manufactured exports have historically shown the strongest response to the exchange rate, although this empirical relationship has weakened over time.
In contrast, the response of resource and rural exports to the exchange rate tends to be limited by relatively fixed supply in the short term. The response of goods imports to the exchange rate may be limited by the lack of readily available domestic substitutes, or the actions of domestic retailers and distributors.
The error correction model for total exports takes the form:
View MathML
The long-run elasticities are obtained from the regression output. The exchange rate elasticity, in Table A1, is − β2/β1. The speed of adjustment, β1, indicates how quickly exports respond to disequilibrium in the long-run equilibrium relationship. The long-run relationship is exportst = (−β2/β1)TWIt + (−β3/β1) demandt. The imports models take the same form (Table A2).
Table A1: Estimation Results – Exports(a)
March 1983–December 2015
Total exports
0.93*** 0.71*** 0.42*** 1.74*** 1.03***
Exportst−1
−0.14*** −0.09*** −0.05* −0.31*** −0.16***
Demandt−1
0.19** 0.14*** 0.10 0.40*** 0.14**
TWIt−1
−0.06* −0.10*** −0.09** −0.07* −0.02
ΔDemandt
0.55 0.17 1.63** 0.18 −0.13
ΔTWlt
−0.14** −0.09 −0.13 −0.19* −0.24*
Olympic dummy(b)
0.04** 0.16***
SARS dummy(b)
9/11 dummy(b)
(a) *, ** and *** indicate statistical significance at the 10, 5 and 1 per cent levels respectively for standard t-tests
(b) Olympic dummy equals 1 in September 2000 (when the Olympics were held in Sydney), −1 in December 2000, 0 otherwise; SARS (Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome) dummy equals 1 in June 2003 (when the SARS virus epidemic started), −0.5 in September and December 2003, 0 otherwise; 9/11 dummy equals 1 in December 2001 (immediately after the 11 September 2001 terrorist attacks in the United States), 0 otherwise
Sources: ABS; RBA
Lags of the differences of key variables are included to capture the dynamic responses of these variables, and dummies are included in certain equations to account for large exogenous shocks. Each of the component models are formulated in the same way, though the lagged differences and dummies vary slightly.
The natural log of all variables is used. For each of the exports models, the demand variable is an index of GDP of Australia's major trading partners, weighted by export shares. For the imports models, the demand variable is domestic final demand plus exports minus ownership transfer costs.
Each of the variables in the long-run relationship is non-stationary, while the long-run relationship is stationary. This implies that the variables are cointegrated, and therefore can be modelled in an error correction framework.
Table A2: Estimation Results – Imports(a)
Total imports
−1.89*** −0.64** −3.69*** −10.69*** −1.50***
Importst−1
−0.15*** −0.07** −0.21*** −0.39*** −0.19
0.26*** 0.07* 0.43*** 1.00*** 0.27***
0.05*** 0.08*** 0.03 0.27*** −0.02
ΔTWIt
0.27*** 0.61*** 0.27*** 0.32** 0.09
ΔDemandt−1
0.65*** 0.52** 0.22 0.69***
ΔTWIt−1
0.14*** 0.22*** 0.14 0.19***
ΔImportst−1
0.17* −0.10
SARS dummy(c)
−0.07**
(c) SARS (Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome) dummy equals 1 in June 2003 (when the SARS virus epidemic started), −0.5 in September and December 2003, 0 otherwise
The authors completed this work in Economic Analysis Department. [*]
For discussion of recent developments in the trade of services, see RBA (2016). A slowdown in global trade in recent years has also contributed to the decline in imports, see Jääskelä and Mathews (2015). [1]
This article focuses only on the direct effect of exchange rate changes on trade, using an error correction framework. Kohler, Manalo and Perera (2014) discuss the aggregate impact of the exchange rate on GDP and inflation and Rees, Smith and Hall (2015) provide estimates of the effects of the exchange rate in Australia using a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model. [2]
The weighted average of the component elasticities is close to the elasticities of both total exports and total imports, despite the components being estimated separately. [3]
These estimates are for the most part in line with previous Reserve Bank of Australia work on trade elasticities: see, for example, Kohler et al (2014) and Dvornak, Kohler and Menzies (2003). [4]
The Australian dollar is heavily influenced by commodity prices, which poses a challenge for disentangling the effect of the exchange rate on resource exports from the effect of commodity prices. If a commodity price variable is included and the model is run in a vector error correction model framework, the exchange rate elasticity of resource exports is not statistically different from zero. [5]
This also adds to the difficulty of modelling the relationship between the exchange rate and resource exports. [6]
See Menzies and Heenan (1993) for discussion of the drivers of the growth in manufactured exports from the mid 1980s to the early 1990s. [7]
When the manufactured exports model is estimated with a rolling window, the magnitude of the exchange rate elasticity declines consistently over the sample, eventually turning positive in the latter parts of the sample (which counterintuitively implies that manufactured exports decline following a depreciation of the exchange rate). [8]
Gorajek and Rees (2015) note the subdued response of manufactured exports to the exchange rate depreciation in recent years. In the global context, Ahmed, Appendino and Ruta (2015) find evidence that the response of manufactured exports to an exchange rate depreciation has fallen over time due to increased 'cross-border production linkages', such as participation in global value chains (GVCs). GVCs are more likely to exist in high value-added production processes, which may be more differentiated, and less sensitive to the exchange rate. However, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) suggests that this factor may not be very important for Australian exports due to Australia's geographic isolation (OECD 2015). [9]
For a broader discussion of developments in the manufacturing industry, see Langcake (2016). [10]
Gillitzer and Moore (2016) discuss the role of invoice currency in the transmission of changes in the exchange rate to the Australian-dollar prices of imports. See also Chung, Kohler and Lewis (2011). [11]
Ahmed S, M Appendino and M Ruta (2015), 'Depreciation without Exports? Global Value Chains and the Exchange Rate Elasticity of Exports', World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 7390.
Ballantyne A and S Langcake (2016), 'Why Has Retail Inflation Been So Low?', RBA Bulletin, June, pp 9–17.
Chung E, M Kohler and C Lewis (2011), 'The Exchange Rate and Consumer Prices', RBA Bulletin, September, pp 9–16.
Dvornak N, M Kohler and G Menzies (2005), 'Australia's Medium-Run Exchange Rate: A Macroeconomic Balance Approach', Economic Record, 81(253), pp 101–112.
Gillitzer C and A Moore (2016), 'Trade Invoicing Currency and First-Stage Exchange Rate Pass-Through', RBA Research Discussion Paper No 2016–05.
Gorajek A and D Rees (2015), 'Lower Bulk Commodity Prices and Their Effect on Economic Activity', RBA Bulletin, September, pp 31–38.
Jääskelä J and T Mathews (2015), 'Explaining the Slowdown in Global Trade', RBA Bulletin, September, pp 39–46.
Jääskelä J and P Smith (2013), 'Terms of Trade Shocks: What Are They and What Do They Do?', Economic Record, 89(285), pp 145–159.
Kohler M, J Manalo and D Perera (2014), 'Exchange Rate Movements and Economic Activity', RBA Bulletin, March, pp 47–54.
Langcake S (2016), 'Conditions in the Manufacturing Sector', RBA Bulletin, June, pp 27–33.
Lowe P (2015), 'Managing Two Transitions', Speech at the Corporate Finance Forum, Sydney, 18 May.
Manalo J and D Orsmond (2013), 'The Business Services Sector', RBA Bulletin, March, pp 1–10.
Menzies G and G Heenan (1993), 'Explaining the Recent Performance of Australia's Manufactured Exports', RBA Research Discussion Paper No 9310.
OECD (Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development) (2015), 'Australian Manufacturing in the Global Economy', Study for the Australian Government, Department of Industry, Innovation, Science, Research and Tertiary Education.
RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia) (2016), 'Box A: Australian Services Trade', Statement on Monetary Policy, May, pp 36–38.
Rees D, P Smith and J Hall (2015), 'A Multi-Sector Model of the Australian Economy', RBA Research Discussion Paper No 2015-07.


text:
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Thomas A. Abbate is an Equity Partner at DeCotiis. He joined DeCotiis as an Associate in 2002, became a Contract Partner in 2007, and an Equity Partner in 2013. He is a member of the litigation practice group.
An experienced litigator, Mr. Abbate's practice focuses on complex civil and commercial litigation on behalf of both businesses and government entities at the trial and appellate levels of the state and federal courts.
Mr. Abbate has represented businesses and led litigation teams in a diverse array of complex commercial litigation matters relating to health care licensing and regulation, health insurance, administrative and regulatory law, land use and real estate, insurance coverage and regulation, pharmaceutical antitrust, civil RICO, intellectual property, the Uniform Commercial Code, banking and finance, and all forms of commercial and business disputes. Representative matters include experience as the lead attorney in a multi-faceted and multi-forum "bet the company" litigation amongst a series of major health care institutions which resulted in the client successfully obtaining all of the approvals necessary to open a new acute care hospital, the first such approval granted by the State Department of Health in decades.
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Representative public entity matters include a complex environmental litigation arising under the federal Resource Conservation and Recovery Act, Mr. Abbate successfully brought to a conclusion, on summary judgment before the federal district court, a suit of first impression and of national import that was brought against a state transportation agency. Plaintiffs sought to advance a novel claim of liability premised upon an interpretation of federal law which would have potentially exposed the State to tens of millions of dollars in future environmental compliance costs. The federal court found that the claims had no merit, and dismissed the case.
Mr. Abbate is also an experienced appellate litigator and his practice has a particular emphasis on preparing and arguing appeals on behalf of the firm's institutional and public entity clients. He has appeared in the appellate courts dozens of times, and, indeed, serves as an Adjunct Professor of Law at Seton Hall University Law School of Law, where he teaches Appellate Advocacy to second year law students. Representative cases include:
Representative Cases:
H.C. Equities v. County of Union, 247 N.J. 366 (2021) (finding that commercial landlord's business tort claims against government entity were properly dismissed for failure to file a notice of claim within 90 days of accrual of cause of action and that a series of demand letters did not meet the notice requirement under the Tort Claims Act).
Luskey v. Carteret Board of Education, 459 N.J. Super. 150 (App. Div.), certif. denied 239 N.J. 489 (2019) (affirming the dismissal of a school district employee's complaint seeking to set aside an arbitration award granting his discharge on jurisdictional grounds, and holding that a contractual promise to grant statutory tenure required any subsequent revocation proceeding to be brought before an arbitrator appointed by the Commissioner of Education, rather than the Public Employment Relations Commission).
I/M/O Certificate of Need for HUMC North Hospital, 2012 WL 6012808 (App. Div. 2012) (rejecting, in its entirety, legal challenges brought by business competitors to a certificate of need granted to HackensackUMC at Pascack Valley Hospital to open a 128-bed acute care hospital, the first such approval for a new hospital in many years).
Ciesla v. Department of Health & Senior Services, 429 N.J. Super. 127 (App. Div. 2012) (holding that draft evaluation reports prepared by Department of Health staff evaluating the certificate of need application of HackensackUMC at Pascack Valley Hospital are unqualifiedly protected by the deliberative process privilege).
Borough of Sayreville v. 35 Club, LLC, 208 N.J. 491 (2012) (holding that the First Amendment is not violated by a New Jersey municipality's identification of reasonable alternative sites, located in the State of New York, within which an unlawful sexually-oriented business might relocate if ordered to cease operation).
I/M/O Xanadu Project at the Meadowlands Complex, 415 N.J. Super. 179 (App. Div.), certif. denied, 205 N.J. 96 (2010) (holding that a private redevelopment project on property ground leased from a state agency is within the regulatory eligibility criteria for special State-issued liquor licenses).
Andros v. Gross, 2005 WL 350058 (D.N.J. 2005), aff'd, 294 Fed.Appx. 731 (3d Cir. 2008), cert. denied, 556 U.S. 1207 (2009) (affirming the grant of summary judgment to law enforcement officers, in a civil rights/malicious prosecution action, on grounds of absolute and qualified immunity after dismissal of a homicide indictment against an individual who had been charged with the murder of his estranged wife who had, in reality, passed away due to natural causes).
Mr. Abbate received a B.A. in Music with honors from the Frost School of Music at the University of Miami in 1999. He received his J.D. from the Fordham University School of Law in 2002, where he was on the staff of the Fordham Urban Law Journal and served as a Legal Writing Teaching Assistant. Mr. Abbate is a New Jersey native.
As an avocational musician and devotee of the performing arts, Mr. Abbate maintains an active performance schedule, including with the New Jersey Wind Symphony, where he also serves on the Board of Trustees, and as Principal Trombone with the Ridgewood Symphony Orchestra.
Fordham University School of Law, New York, New York
Honors: Legal Writing Teaching Assistant
Law Journal: Fordham Urban Law Journal, Staff
Frost School of Music at the University of Miami, Coral Gables, Florida
Honors: With Honors
Major: Music
U.S. District Court District of New Jersey, 2002
U.S. Court of Appeals 3rd Circuit, 2007
U.S. Supreme Court, 2009
I/M/O Certificate of Need for HUMC North Hospital, Docket No. A-3155-11T1 (App. Div.), 2012
Ciesla v. Department of Health & Senior Services, N.J. Super (App. Div.), 2012
Borough of Sayreville v. 35 Club, LLC, 208 N.J. 491, 2012
I/M/O Xanadu Project at the Meadowlands Complex, 415 N.J. Super. 179 (App. Div.), certif. denied, 205 N.J. 96, 2010
In re Zisa, 385 N.J. Super. 188 (App. Div.), 2006
Adjunct Professor of Law, Seton Hall University School of Law


text:
Rathrobin and the Two Irelands: the photographs of Middleton Biddulph, 1900–1920. Michael Byrne
December 8, 2021 December 8, 2021 ~ Offaly History
Rathrobin is a book that keeps on giving. Its 250 Biddulph photographs from the 1870s to 1920s, all carefully captioned, depict the two Irelands – unionist and nationalist, Catholic and Protestant, landed and cabbage garden. What is interesting about the photographs taken by Colonel Biddulph (1849-1926, of Rathrobin near Mountbolus) are the nuances. He was of the lesser gentry, was a tenant of the Petty Lansdownes, and was keenly aware of the plantations of the 1550s to the 1650s. He appreciated the needs of the farm labourers and was decent to his own tenants, indoor staff and farm workers. His entire estate was not much more than 1,000 acres. Biddulph's circle was also the lesser gentry and those who served it such as land agents, bankers and clergy. The Catholic Protestant divide was strong but landed Catholic families did mix in Biddulph's set, but not merchants or traders (even if very rich). Biddulph had an empathy with his farm workers and their families and sought their advancement. Many local families were photographed, together with the farming activities of his own employees.
Mountbolus village was mostly part of the Bernard estate. Rathrobin is to the east. The large church was built in the 1830s to accommodate a population three times greater than that in 1911.
Biddulph's story, and that of his associates and friends, is illustrated by a selection of over 300 pictures in all, of which 250 are from the Biddulph Collection in Offaly Archives and fifty more to illustrate the introductory essay and provide the all-important context. The essay and the photographs provide a more nuanced understanding of Ireland in the revolutionary period of 1900–1923. Biddulph's wonderful house at Rathrobin that he had so carefully 'restored', and all his farm improvements, were lost in the Civil War in 1923. Many other big houses from Ashford, to Ballyfin, Durrow, Brookfield, Castle Bellingham and Charleville are also recorded in this volume. Some such as Brockley Park in Laois are now gone thereby making this an important work of record. The photographs by Middleton Biddulph were taken at a crucial time in Ireland's history. Their publication now could not come at a better time. Rathrobin is the portrait of one small estate and Killoughy parish in Offaly from the 1650s to the 1920s, but the story is of national interest. T.E. Lawrence spoke of the Arab Revolt, perhaps in Ireland too we can talk of the Irish Revolt and not the full circle Revolution. You decide.
A map of King's County now Offaly c. 1900 with the civil parishes of Ballyboy and Killoughy. Rathrobin is east of Mountbolus.
The photographs in the Magan Collection, now called the Biddulph Collection, were taken by Lt Col. Middleton Westenra Biddulph (1849–1926) who lived at Rathrobin, close to Black Lion Cross near Mountbolus, County Offaly. He had ancestors in the area from as early as 1694 and perhaps back to 1660. Biddulph was proud of his family history and when he retired from the army in the mid-1890s he came back to live in Rathrobin and rebuilt the old house in almost 'Camelot' style with the benefit of a surprise inheritance. His brother Assheton, equally fortunate, lived at Moneyguyneen near Kinnitty and spent all his life and most of his waking hours hunting the fox. A few of the Biddulph photographs date back to the 1870s, but most of the 1,200 pictures date from the 1900s to 1920. The exceptions are those taken at various army stations over the twenty-five-year career of Biddulph in the Fifth Fusiliers. As the cataloguing of the collection was in progress it soon became clear that the Biddulph photographs were not just another set of pictures of Edwardian and pre-war life in Ireland. Biddulph was not a descendant from planters of the Cromwellian or Williamite 'Settlements'. He was, in fact, a tenant himself to the heirs of Sir William Petty – the Lansdowne family. Lt Col. Biddulph held about 1,000 acres of which perhaps 700 acres he farmed with the balance leased to his long-standing tenants. Biddulph had an empathy with his farm workers and their families and sought their advancement. Many local families were photographed and all details of name and age carefully noted in the albums.
Front cover for Rathrobin. Courtesy of the Bracken family and Middleton Biddulph! Offaly Archives
Biddulph had explored the history of the area and he knew of the great O Molloys and the losses they had suffered in two waves of confiscation. Biddulph was a decent landlord and employer and was well thought of by his neighbours. In the wider circle of his own friends, and in the context of the performance of his civic duties, he was well regarded. He did not succeed in being elected to the first county council in 1899 but was co-opted to a number of local boards and held a seat up to 1920–21. He was, of course, a member of the King's County Grand Jury and served as High Sheriff in 1901 and was a deputy lieutenant of the county.
Biddulph had served in the British Army from an early age and did not give up being a unionist in pre-Independence Ireland. Like many of his own class he opposed the second Home Rule Bill in 1893. Yet it is clear enough from his support given locally, and his participation in local affairs (on a non-political basis), that he would have been an asset to the new Free State.
Improvements in Mountbolus in the early 1900s with the 'transformation' of the Beehive public house.
Some would say that the revolutionary period began with the death of Parnell in October 1891 and only closed with the end of the Civil War in 1923. Had Parnell survived as leader his conservative leanings might have saved the big houses and their owners. Curiously, Biddulph's own marriage took place in the same month as the death of Parnell and would, in time, lead to the building of what was effectively a new house at Rathrobin. It may well have been the only such grand mansion built in County Offaly in the 1891–1923 period by a major landowner. Biddulph's optimism would not have been shared by the United Irish League, or later Sinn Féin, and probably not by the county's big landowners either. All that he would try to do by way of improvements and ornamentation at Rathrobin would come crashing down in the month before the Civil War ended. The Land Commission divide would do the rest.
Durrow Abbey was the last of the 'Big Houses' in offaly destroyed by the Republican IRA in 1923. This picture of c. 1926 courtesy of UCD Digital Archives.
Biddulph's was a life well lived for Queen and Country, but it was one that included an appreciation of the aspirations of his fellow Irish men and women in their native country and to a share in the fruits of their labour. In his conduct Biddulph never forgot that everyone was entitled to dignity and respect regardless of financial standing and political outlook.
Rathrobin House in 1984
Rathrobin and the two Irelands: the photographs of Middleton Biddulph, 1900-1920. Michael Byrne (Offaly History, Tullamore, 2021), 330 pages, 280×240, hardcover, €24.99.
Rathrobin with Vera Biddulph and members of the Flower family about 1904.
Rathrobin can be purchased from Offaly History (Bury Quay, Tullamore and online) and at Midland Books, Tullamore. You can also view/ borrow at Offaly Libraries and consult at Offaly History Centre. The originals albums and a Biddulph inventory of silver, title deeds and family are in Offaly Archives.
Posted in Architecture, Archival collections, Athlone, Ballyboy, Biography/memoir, Country House, Decade of Centenaries, Land War, Laois Offaly Plantation, Local history, Military history, Mount Bolus, World War 1
< Previous Christmas Reading from Offaly History – twelve new titles of Offaly interest, one for every day of the Festive Season. Another bumper year for local studies.
Next > Cassandra, Countess of Rosse (1851-1921) – a profile of her life on the centenary of her death. By Graham Sykes


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Q: analyzing hacked website log : is thee any link between ./etc and ./tmp when uploading files ? so one of my friends got hacked and asked me for help
this guy had a single shared host and uploaded like 20 website on that single host and one of them got hacked and now all of them are full of shells
so this happen today , so i asked for list of files that has been created or changed on the server since so i got the list something like below
the shell name is accesson.php  it first appears in
./etc/assets/images/accesson.php

and than in
./tmp/assets/images/accesson.php

log :
./etc
./etc/newsss.com
./etc/shsh.com
./etc/nck.com
./etc/pvf.com
./etc/pvf.com/@pwcache/info
./etc/lck.com
./etc/assets
./etc/assets/images
./etc/assets/images/accesson.php
./tmp
./tmp/assets
./tmp/assets/images
./tmp/assets/images/accesson.php
./mail
./mail/new
./mail/tmp
./mail/assets
./mail/assets/images
./mail/assets/images/accesson.php

./public_html
./public_html/images/2017/01/162210999.jpg.CROP_.cq5dam_web_1280_1280_jpeg-280x200.jpg
./public_html/wp-content/plugins
./public_html/.ftpquota
./public_html/backlinks/error_log
./public_html/app/images
./public_html/app/images/css_sprites.png
./public_html/app/index.php
./public_html/assets
./public_html/assets/images
./public_html/assets/images/accesson.php
./public_ftp
./public_ftp/assets
./public_ftp/assets/images
./public_ftp/assets/images/accesson.php

 ./irso.com
./irso.com/.ftpquota
./irso.com/wp-content/plugins
./irso.com/wp-content/themes
./irso.com/assets
./irso.com/assets/images
./irso.com/assets/images/accesson.php

./ncl2.com
./ncl2.com/assets
./ncl2.com/assets/images
./ncl2.com/assets/images/accesson.php
./cache
./cache/assets
./cache/assets/images
./cache/assets/images/accesson.php
./ssl
./ssl/assets
./ssl/assets/images
./ssl/assets/images/accesson.php

./efr.com
./efr.com/.ftpquota
./efr.com/assets
./efr.com/assets/images
./efr.com/assets/images/accesson.php

it seems accesson.php has been spread trough all directories interesting thing is its been created with its directory  /assets/images/  even in the tmp
so i thought since it first appeasers in ./tmp it must be uploaded trough some bug since all uploaded files first go to ./tmp but what about that ./etc ? its even before ./tmp .... so i thought maybe there is a link between the 2 ?
i appreciate any suggestion

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaStackExchange


Digital Craftsman, Agile Practitioner, on mission to help companies innovate faster with web&mobile products.
Last Wednesday with our partners from TrackMyRisks.com we took part in AWS Summit conference in London which brought together over 6,000 tech professionals to learn about AWS toolkit. Here's what every business should takeaway from it.
As Gavin Jackson, Managing Director of AWS for EMEA region emphasised, a Cloud is now just a standard of Digital Economy. Whether you are SMB, large enterprise or a startup, Digital Transformation is now a requirement for business survival with Cloud being a key to it.
AWS with over 90 developer tools and services on its developer platform became the fastest growing cloud provider and clearly outperforms competitors with not just capabilities, but also prices, making switching to it a no-brainer.
Also, it's worth to notice how Amazon encapsulates its customer-oriented products into developer tools, with AWS Lex and Polly being a great example of services running on the same deep learning technologies as Alexa.
Adopting DevOps and Continuous Delivery is not about fulfilling dreams of IT geeks but allowing businesses to operate closer to the customer, by eliminating infrastructure layer and delivering software faster. This trend is really about democratising software development – allowing developers to focus on building features will result in better products.
Companies will need to adopt new technical processes and skills but more important is a how your team embraces the values and culture behind DevOps. Managing this non-linear process requires shifting from Projects to Products mindset.
Companies will need to build cross-functional, product-focused teams and move away from traditional central functional teams.
If you want to learn more about AWS and see why your company needs to jump into cloud revolution trend, I highly recommend you to watch this AWS Summit Keynote.
Business When should you modernise front-end?


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text:
Geopolitics and Strategy
Where is the United Kingdom Headed
Pauline Schnapper, Emmanuelle Avril
Where is the United Kingdom Headed Brexit and Beyond
Emmanuelle Avril is professor of contemporary British civilization at the Sorbonne Nouvelle Paris 3. She is a specialist in British political life, and is the author of several books on the subject.
Pauline Schnapper is professor of contemporary British civilization at the Sorbonne Nouvelle Paris 3. A specialist in the foreign and European policies of the United Kingdom, she is notably the author of Le Royaume-Uni doit-il quitter l'Union européenne? (La Documentation Française, 2014), and, co-authored with David Baker, Britain and the Crisis in the European Union (Palgrave, 2015).
The vote for Brexit caused unprecedented upheaval in the United Kingdom and in Europe, and its shockwaves are still being felt. It plunged the place of London, the advanced leader of liberalism, into a whirlwind of instability which the chaos surrounding the negotiations around the modalities for exiting the European Union has only reinforced. It has called into question the notion of the United Kingdom as a guarantor of democracy. Beyond that, Brexit has also revealed a lasting crisis between the political system and the citizens that is true for all of Europe. The fog that surrounds the on-going negotiations prevents any serious attempt to develop plans, and oracles claiming to be able to anticipate the outcome of the negotiations and the impact Brexit will have on the United Kingdom in the short and middle term are wrong.
This work attempts to bring us out of the state of shock and questioning in which we are existing today. How could the United Kingdom have fallen into such an enormous political crisis? Is this disintegration of society and the political and media systems temporary, or does it indeed constitute a point of no-return? What is the future of the English, and beyond, of all of Europe? These are the questions that the authors attempt to answer here.


text:
Q: NvM Config block always return NVM_REQ_NOT_OK In my project NvM_Multi block and Config_block both are return the valus for NvRamErrorStatus_u8 as NVM_REQ_NOT_OK. While flashing the software there were no issues and the config block and multi block values are NVM_REQ_OK after few days of running the return value of the blocks are becomes NVM_REQ_NOT_OK. I have read AUTOSAR spec and understood config block value write as part of the write all before entering sleep and it will be stored, then the next wakeup cylce the config block shall return the value as NVM_REQ_OK. Here this is not happeneing and I presume block has been corrupted and is there any way to fix this issue. Luckily we found this issue during the long run test, if this issue is happening in field how this can be fixed? Could you guys please help.

A: NvM is BSW component that depends on lower layer components, i.e. Fee.
You should check with a debugger if the error comes from NvM or from the SW component below it.
Config block is a system specific block and you must not modify it. You should create a new user block and provide a lower layer block for it, i.e. create also a new Fee block.


Business travels are becoming more frequent, and while most are incident-free, kidnap, ransom, extortion, and detention are unfortunately an increasing threat to organizations and individuals around the world.
AIG offers businesses tailor-made solutions to address these threats, giving them confidence to conduct their business safe in the knowledge that their exposure to these threats is reduced and there is expert assistance available in the event of a crisis.
This insurance cover aims for the earliest possible safe recovery of the victim and the fastest possible resolution of extortion incidents. We know from experience, however, that the impact on victims, their families and businesses can be long term and traumatic. This is why our coverage gives financial support and consultancy services to help business owners and families recover from a crisis.
AIG has been underwriting in this particular sector for over 30 years. We have more than 200 authorized underwriters writing the business globally. We have the knowledge and experience to provide flexible solutions depending on the needs of each client.
AIG provides access to prevention and response services from NYA International, a world leading specialist crisis response consultancy. NYA has the largest global specialist response team in the industry, all of whom is either full-time employees or exclusively retained. The company responds to around 80-100 cases of kidnap for ransom, extortion, detention, piracy, emergency evacuation and related security incidents globally each year. We also have unlimited security consultants expenses and 24-hour emergency response help line.
We retain the only response team of its kind that will deploy up to four consultants upon notification of an incident: two each to the company headquarters; and the incident location, providing AIG clients with maximum levels of support during the critical early stages of a crisis.
We understand that businesses are located and transact, globally. We also understand that individuals travel more frequently for both business and pleasure. AIG provides a global form offering consistent and compliant cover, wherever the client operates from. Our policy is an umbrella policy; we don't add unnecessary restrictions into our wording so the destinations your employees travel to are covered.
Kidnap and Ransom insurance are for travelers with a heightened concern for safety and security. This can be availed by corporations for their management team and other high-risk employees.
On the other hand, heads of households who have a similar concern may get coverage for their immediate and extended families as well. AIG creates a tailor fit insurance cover based on the individual needs of each client.
Ransom money paid by the Insured person resulting directly from kidnapping or extortion occurring during the policy period.
Loss due to destruction, disappearance, confiscation or wrongful appropriation of Ransom Monies while being delivered to person(s) demanding the Ransom Money by anyone who is authorized by the Insured or Insured Person(s) to have custody.
Guaranteed and immediate access to specialist response consultants who advise on the complex and sensitive issues that need to be addressed to obtain the safe release of the victim. The fees and expenses of the response consultants are unlimited following an insured incident.
Settlements, awards, fees, defense costs, and judgments imposed upon and paid by the Policyholder as a result of any claim or suit solely and directly as a result of on Insured event.
Public relations, reward, interest, travel, rest and rehabilitation, and medical services.
Death or dismemberment sustained by an Insured Person (s) (Death Benefit and Permanent Total Disability Benefit outlined in the Policy Schedule).
For claims associated with Kidnap, Ransom and Extortion, please reach out to your insurance broker to assist you. Due to the sensitivities related to this Claim, we encourage you to contact the Crisis Center Hotline.
In the event of an Insured Event during the policy period, and in the case of Extortion, Kidnapping or Hijacking, prior to the payment of Ransom, the Insured will make every reasonable effort to immediately inform the Response Consultants and provide all relevant information as soon as possible.
In the event of an incident that may be covered under the Policy, a representative from the Insured should contact the CRISIS CENTER HOTLINE.
Crisis Management Consultants are available globally, 24 hours a day, 7 days a week on a priority basis to advise, assist and respond to emergency situations involving the Insured worldwide.
Notification to the CRISIS CENTRE HOTLINE is independent of, and does not supersede, policy requirements of notice to the Company.
Please have the insurance policy number when calling. Callers will speak directly to or receive an immediate call back from an experienced consultant.


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text:
Stitch Fix's Fiscal Q1: 'Worst Q1 Performance in 5 Years,' Analyst Says
By WWD
Stitch Fix hasn't managed to sew up its financial comeback, as the tech-driven styling service and e-commerce platform reported larger-than-expected losses and a revenue miss for its first fiscal quarter of 2023 on Tuesday. Eyeing a lower projected forecast to boot, Wall Street saw the stock slump in after-hours trading.
The fashion company posted revenue of $455.6 million, which was not only short of the $459.4 million analysts estimated, but marked a notable 22 percent year-over-year plummet. Its quarterly net loss clocked in at 50 cents per share, exceeding the 47 cents per share expected, with active clients of 3.7 million showing a decline of 471,000 or an 11 percent drop compared to last year.
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Naturally chief executive officer Elizabeth Spaulding focused on the positives: "This quarter we made meaningful progress on our transformation journey despite a difficult macro environment," she said in a statement. "Through diligent cost savings and efficiencies we beat our adjusted EBITDA expectations for Q1 and have improved our adjusted EBITDA [earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization] guidance for FY23 [fiscal-year 2023]."
In a call with analysts, Spaulding offered more context, primarily to emphasize a challenging macroeconomic environment, which has dogged the broader retail and technology sectors.
"As the macroeconomic environment continues to be uncertain, we are now further balancing the need to optimize our cost structure against achieving the long-term growth objectives of the business," she explained. "We are confident in this approach and are determined to use this moment as a catalyst to create a leaner, more nimble and profitable Stitch Fix, while continuing to enhance the experience for our clients."
Stitch Fix has been focusing optimizing efficiency, streamlining costs and analyzing its marketing strategy, as well as while amping up what differentiates the service - namely "fit, discovery and human relationships," she said.
Whether that will be enough remains to be seen, and some analysts remain concerned.
Neil Saunders, managing director of GlobalData, noted that the plunging revenue showed "a far faster pace of decline than the erosion of the past two quarters." Sales didn't merely drop year-over-year, but also when compared to the same period in 2020. The $55.9 million loss this quarter makes for "the worst first quarter performance since the company started reporting numbers [five] years ago," he said.
While it did outperform its pre-pandemic level, it wasn't by much, edging it out by just 2.4 percent. According to Saunders, that was "a paltry rate of increase given the explosion in consumer spending on apparel over this period - especially that made online."
As for those macroeconomic factors, their effects can't be overstated, as they complicate one retail earnings report after another. But, Saunders noted, that's less of an excuse than reason for ongoing concern: Stitch Fix is a discretionary expense that consumers could easily skip as times get tougher. "And with the economy set to tighten over the months ahead," he said, "our concern is that there could be a further and faster erosion of customers stretching into the next few quarters."
The company likely sees that as well. For the second quarter, it projects a revenue range of $410 million to $420 million, not the $445 million analysts expected. By July 2023, at the end of the fiscal year, Stitch Fix believes net revenue will be between $1.6 billion and $1.7 billion, with adjusted earnings ranging between a loss of $10 million to income of $10 million.
Wall Street saw fit to send shares down 4 percent in after-hours trading. Over the last year, Stitch Fix stock has been down some 85 percent.
It will take more than cutting costs to climb out of this hole, and Spaulding knows it. On the call, the CEO made it clear that she sees her platform's differentiation as the key to drive the business forward.
For instance, customers want help to get more value out their existing wardrobes, she explained, then pointed to a number of features, such as outfit-based feeds, weekly outfits emails and personalized dynamic content that shows people how to wear new arrivals - all of which stoke high conversion rates. Over the year, it has also experimented with episodic or quarterly promotional events, a new opportunity afforded by its Freestyle direct-buy business, and it's making more use of influencers. When it comes to selection, the company added more than 80 national brands alongside its Stitch Fix-exclusive labels, and broadened into new categories like footwear, outerwear and dresses.
"Some of the other work that we're focused on in the background are things like a unified data platform….Our infrastructure was built very rapidly to scale our Fix [subscription] business into multiple lines of business like women's, men's, kids, in the U.K.," Spaulding continued. "It didn't have the foresight to know we'd launch Freestyle or the foresight to say, 'Let's get into a lot of different product categories.'
"So we're essentially slowing down a bit to speed up in the future by preparing our infrastructure…"
But for Saunders, that may point to how complex and expensive the platform is to operate. Meanwhile, diversifying the styling or subscription model with Freestyle direct-buy didn't alleviate the slowdown in the core business, as hoped.
"The problem here is that when the curation element is removed, Stitch Fix is not particularly different from any other retailer of fashion," he explained. "On top of this, most consumers have pulled back on the volume of clothes they buy, so Stitch Fix is trying to sell into a more muted market - and one where promotions and discounts from other retailers abounds."
Save on chocolate bars, truffles and candy with Valentine's Day chocolate sales at Amazon, Godiva and QVC


You can find tracks by Gene Loves Jezebel on Spotify, Tidal, Apple Music, Amazon Music, Play Music, SoundCloud and other music apps.
Below are some selections from several sources. Listen to them now and explore more songs later.


text:
Donny Jackson
A staple of the poetry community for over 2 decades, Donny Jackson is also a doctor of clinical psychology, and a multiple Emmy-winning Producer and Director in unscripted television, including CNN's United Shades of America with W. Kamau Bell, R&B Divas for TV One, The Bachelor for ABC, A&E's Teach, and Inside the Label for BET. Dr. Donny is also an NAACP Image Award winner for his producing duties on TV One's music documentary series, Unsung.
Donny Jackson | Using Your Art to Create Empathy
Donny Jackson talks about how he went from from being a doctor to becoming a television producer and how writing poetry has remai…


For the first time in Mississauga history (that was a joke if you couldn't tell), one of our citizens has walked back home considerably richer than he was when he left.
That lucky man is Tri Lam, who won the Lotto 6/49 draw last Saturday, August 27, earning himself the enormous cash prize of $13,612,423.
He purchased his ticket — which had quite a lot of buzz surrounding it when it was sold in Mississauga — at the Rabba Fine Foods location on Eglinton Avenue.
Congratulations to Mr. Tri Lam, and let's hope Mississauga can keep up its reputation of amazing lottery luck!


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The Head of State put a wreath to the memorial plaque, which contains the inscription: "To thousands of Ukrainian prisoners of Sachsenhausen concentration camp of 1941-1945. Many of them did not survive inhuman conditions of the concentration camp or died after tortures and actions on extermination of prisoners. We preserve memory of you in our hearts".


text:
UA Little Rock Student Selected to Dress Performers at Macy's Day Thanksgiving Parade
Angelita Faller
Arts & Culture Featured homepage News
A University of Arkansas at Little Rock student is looking forward to spending his Thanksgiving break having an exciting and unforgettable experience.
Gage Pipkin, a senior theatre arts major from Jonesboro, is working as a dresser at this year's Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade.
Pipkin will be working the parade with a group of his friends and colleagues. He will be assigned 20 people to dress who will be accompanying the Louisiana state float.
"I did get a good laugh when I read my description of the float costumes and it said, 'jazzy suits,' so I am immediately picturing jazz hands," Pipkin said. "I've never been a dresser before, but I am ready to learn new skills. I've never been to the parade in person, and I'm glad that I can do it."
Pipkin's Thanksgiving will begin with breakfast at 4 a.m. followed by getting the performers ready in their costumes. The parade goes from 9 a.m. to 2 p.m. Afterwards, the group will take a nap and meet at a diner later on for Thanksgiving dinner.
"It will be my first holiday not being at home," he said.
Pipkin came across the opportunity to work as a dresser at the Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade from his friend, Shirlee Idzakovich, a costumer/stylist who lives in New York City. Pipkin met Idzakovich at a workshop she put on for students at the International Thespian Festival.
"Idzakovich pays it forward by going to Thespian festivals across the country, meeting students, and holding workshops," Pipkin said.
Pipkin is looking forward to experiencing the Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade in person as he and his family are major fans who watch the parade every year.
"Most of the time, I wake up on Thanksgiving morning to my mom telling me the parade has started," Pipkin said. "My grandmother, who passed when I was in high school, also loved the parade. It's crazy that we watch this every year, and now I'm going to help with the parade in person."
CostumerDepartment of Theatre Arts and DancedresserGage PipkinMacy's Thanksgiving Day ParadeShirlee IdzakovichUA Little Rock
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