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Your organization or facility can arrange to have a selection of books and materials delivered to you. If you would like to know more about this service, please contact your local branch at 905-653-READ (7323).
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Try adding an additional word or two to one of the above terms in order to specify your particular subject of interest. The order of the words does not matter in the Catalogue search box.
For additional help, please contact a library staff member at your local branch at 905-653-READ (7323) or via email by using the email librarian form.
Clear information for staying active, engaged and informed. Information on all federal government programs, e.g., Old Age Security, Canada Pension Plan.
Supports, develops and delivers public services to improve the quality of life for seniors and helps them lead safe, engaged, active and healthy lives.
From Ontario Seniors' Secretariat website. Well organized and annotated listings with links to many services, programs and organizations, e.g., drug benefits, adult day programs, Osteoporosis Canada.
Health information specifically for older adults, e.g., disability, preventing falls, sexual activity.
Provides non-residential care for people approaching death and for their family and caregivers. Services include individual counseling, grief support groups, respite care, volunteer visitors with practical assistance.
Health, nutrition, fitness, travel, finance; news about the latest non-fiction releases and products; regular articles on housing, relationships and hobbies.
Montreal-focused but some of the human interest stories, as well as medical and retirement information will have broader appeal.
Preview partial contents of the current print issue of Zoomer Magazine online. The website features breaking news, comprehensive reporting, classifieds and dating as well as health, finance, travel, relationships, lifestyle, arts and entertainment – all customized for the 45-plus demographic.
Complete information about York Region Transit's service for those unable to use conventional public transit.
myRide Travel Training is a transit support program that prepares people to make independent journeys using YRT/Viva services in York Region.
Provide opportunities for adults 55+ to participate in sports and recreational activities to enhance their social, physical and mental well-being. York Region is District 14.
Not-for-profit provider of educational travel in 150 countries.
Ancestry Library Edition is a genealogical database including census, vital, church, court, immigration, and other records from Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom and other areas.
Provides access to current Consumer Reports information.
An online music library containing over 1.6 million streaming audio tracks of classical music, jazz, world, and folk music - more than 100,000 albums' worth! Stream on your computer or on your mobile device with the Naxos Music Library (NML) app.
An electronic reader's advisory resource that assists fiction readers in finding new authors and titles. Allow readers to use a favourite author or title as a template to locate other authors and titles of interest. Can be searched by keyword, and offers the option to browse over 1,200 theme-oriented book lists, 160 award lists, and 1,000 fiction-related Web sites. Contains materials for all ages.
Formerly known as Pages of the Past. The online archives of the Toronto Star dating from 1894 until the new millennium. Millions of pages available for genealogical or historic research from the pages of one of Canada's most prestigious Newspapers.
Note: After you login with library barcode and PIN, you will need to input your barcode again to access the content.
In 3 sessions, learn advanced features of free online design software. Learn how to design a gear, split an object and add dual-colours to your design. Leave with a design that is ready to print. Your first print is free! Please pre-register at the Service Desk or on Eventbrite.
The Amazing Nature Series will bring together lovers of nature and advocates of environmental sustainability. Join us as we hear from gardeners, scientists and environmentalists.
Forests Ontario will discuss the Forest regions of Ontario, identify common trees found in Southern Ontario and use Tree Bee web tool to identify tree species.
Canada's North is home to a songbird nursery of migratory birds that undergo annual migration to warmer latitudes to escape winter. Consistent tracking has shown steep population declines, but new technology and research suggests it is not too late to fix the problem. Professor Bridget Stutchbury from York University's Faculty of Science reviews the many causes of songbird declines and what you can do to help.
Mingle with like-minded adults and have great conversations about a book chosen monthly. The Library will provide a copy of the chosen title.
The selections are Beartown by Fredrik Backman (Mar.25),The German Girl by Armando Lucas Correa(Apr.29)and Little Fires Everywhere by Celeste Ng(May 27).
Want your brain to work smarter and faster? Join us for fun and engaging activities to boost your brain strength and flexibility.
Discuss books with other parents and caregivers while your baby eats, sleeps or plays. The library will provide a copy of the chosen title.
Fascinated by the art of bookbinding? Learn to bind your own books in a variety of different ways! Workshop takes place over 2 sessions. Register on Eventbrite.
Learn how to use software to create something that can later be engraved, etched, inscribed or carved into wood or plastic. Create something new each session. Carvey certification is included with participation.
Everyone's talking about cryptocurrency. Learn all about this new trend in this info session, presented by an ambassador from Waves Blockchain.
Practice your French in good company with a new theme every month!
Create a good first impression with a professional looking headshot for your online resume and social media presence. Please dress the way you would like to appear in the headshot.
Join the discussion group for adults who like to share their thoughts on Hindi books they have read. The library will provide a copy of the books.
Join Ontario's chief archaeologist Bill Finlayson and learn about the archeology of Vaughan's Patterson Village.
More than just a great place to get books, the library is also a fun place to enjoy a film - for free! See you at the show.
Great French movies with English subtitles for all to enjoy.
De superbes films en français avec sous-titres anglais pour le plaisir de tous.
Individuals living with memory loss and their caregivers can socialize and learn about memory related issues. In partnership with the Alzheimer Society of York Region.
York University is bringing Vaughan a taste of the university experience. Each month, YorkU faculty will bring their amazing research and provide the opportunity for you to learn something new. Registration and more details on York University's website.
How citizens and communities participate in energy initiatives is critical to the successful transition to a low-carbon economy. For example, meaningful participation in renewable and low-carbon energy initiatives is linked with enhanced citizen support, where difficulty securing such support is seen as a major barrier for such initiatives. Community energy, which is characterized by high levels of participation, is also associated with wide ranging benefits for communities such as new social mechanisms for learning, economic development, and engagement of local populations in energy policy implementation. Additionally, emerging distributive and demand-side innovations (such as information, automation, microgrids, storage, and electric vehicles) are vital to the successful transition towards renewable energy, and these innovations depend on the participation and engagement of energy users. Considering this important contribution to the transition to a low-carbon economy, there are significant research opportunities for empirical and systematic investigations related to how citizens and communities participate.
This talk will summarize our team's experience building solar facilities for experiential learning in Canada, Algeria and Chile.
Spend an hour with us at the library. Older adults are invited to this free program featuring activities, guest speakers and informational workshops.
Join us as we welcome Canadian pianist, educator and presenter Dr. Penny Johnson for this ninety-minute program consisting of a mix of both spoken word and excerpts from select recordings of pianists from the Golden Age of pianism (approx. 1875-1910). Stories featured are both humorous and poignant and commentary has been designed to gently guide listeners along a journey through the first generation of pianists for whom we have recordings.
Join us for an afternoon of adventure into the Ecuadorian rainforest and the Amazon headwaters. Janice Partington will be sharing her recent immersion experience with the Achuar and Sapara tribes using stories, photos and indigenous wisdom to share her journey. Learn about the Pachamama Alliance, a partnership with Amazonian tribes designed to help protect their lands and preserve their culture, and a little about Ecuador in general.
People often regard classical music as being "high-brow", only for the highly educated and sophisticates in society. Nothing could be further from the truth. Classical works have been the subject of mockery, ridicule and derision from the day they were first written and presented. This session will demonstrate that classical music can be a lot of fun. No need to wear a tuxedo or formal attire for this session. Presented by Howard Mednick.
This workshop will cover CPP and OAS benefits, as well as the latest entitlements offered by the Government of Canada.
Art is life for this group of young bohemians as they navigate infatuation, poverty, love and loss; Puccini's La Bohème has a story as timeless as the music is enchanting. In this 60-minute lecture with musicologist Margaret Cormier, you'll get an insider look at the music and learn about what makes La Bohème one of the world's most loved operas. Presented in partnership with the Canadian Opera Company.
Dr. Nicole Anderson, Rotman Research Institute, Baycrest Health Sciences discusses how memory changes as we age, what is considered "normal" and when to be concerned. Learn how health and lifestyle factors can affect memory, and about strategies that can be used to improve it.
Presented in partnership with Telus. Internet, smartphone and social networking safety tips. Learn how to protect yourself from identity theft, scams and more.
Penny Johnson gently guides listeners along a journey through the first generation of pianists for whom we have recordings.
DavidsTea will be joining us with samples of tea for tasting. Come and find out more about tea, and enjoy a cuppa with Cynthia Breadner, store manager of DavidsTea in the Promenade Mall!
Need a place to study for exams? VPL's study hall is open late for university students who want to study alone or in small groups. Hours: 9 p.m. to midnight on Mon. - Thurs., 6 to 9 p.m. on Fri., and 5 to 9 p.m. on Sat. and Sun.
Want to improve your skills with computers, tablets and more? Get hands-on practice with volunteers on the topic of your choice. Feel free to bring your own device.
Contact the Service Desk for more information.
This workshop will teach you how to download and read e-books, navigate library e-book apps, create accounts and troubleshoot various devices.
For adults who are already familiar with Word, we'll focus on going beyond the basics. Topics include formatting, creating tables, inserting photos, and more.
Join amateur writers in overcoming the challenges of writing. Each session will focus on different elements of writing like plot, character, prose style. Perfect for discussion and feedback.


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text:
Claremont Junior Girl Scouts win Bronze Award
By The Whittier Daily News |
CLAREMONT – The Girl Scout Council of Greater Los Angeles and KidCare International last weekend presented Claremont Junior Girl Scout Troop 2044 with the Bronze Award, the highest honor Junior Girl Scouts can achieve.
To win the award, girls are required to learn the leadership and planning skills necessary to follow through on a project that makes a positive impact on their community.
The 17-member troop won the award for opening the Community Clothing Closet at the KidCare CARE Center in Montclair last October. Since then, the girls from the Claremont community and Granite Creek Community Church in Claremont have volunteered at the closet, distributing clothing to needy families.
"Once a month, we are able to serve more than 100 families with gently used, donated clothing that the girls collect from family and friends and the local community donates," said Claremont resident Dena Anderson, co-leader of the Troop 2044.
The idea to open the clothing closet stemmed from volunteer work the troop was doing at the KidCare CARE center, which opened in September at 9014 Benson Ave., Montclair.
KidCare International, a Claremont-based nonprofit organization that supports humanitarian projects in Southern California, South Africa, Haiti, Tanzania, Sri Lanka and Russia, opened the KidCare Food Bank last year to provide food, baby formula, diapers, blankets, household and personal care items and toys to needy families.
"While volunteering at the KidCare Food Bank, we saw an opportunity to serve families even more," Anderson said.
"We were getting requests from children who were cold and didn't have jeans or warm clothing. With this economy, the kids are the ones who suffer in the end."
The troop consists of Lexi Deahl, Emily Little, Keren Santamaria, Anahi Lozano, Christa Arteaga, Sarah Gale, Maya Aga, Sarah Hamid, Ohana Dorantes, Katie Caldwell, Clara Riggio, Shuval Smith, Sharren Offutt, Gabriella Gunawardane and Marlee Anderson.
Each member served 20 hours at the Community Clothing Closet and was required to complete a number of other badges before qualifying for the Bronze Award.
Marlee said she was excited to win the award and get a chance to serve others.
"It was good to do it," said Marlee, 10, of Claremont. "Others aren't as fortunate as we are. It's good to give back. It makes me feel good inside because I'm giving back."
Each month, the girls gathered and sorted clothing, and were personal shoppers to those who needed clothing. At the Community Clothing Closet, they sort it by men's, women's, boys', girls', babies' and accessories.
"And then each of them has to help," Anderson said. "They man their stations, and they have to help if parents have children, provide recommendations on whether the clothing is their size and stuff like that."
After the awards ceremony Sunday at Memorial Park, the troop participated in Disneyland's "Give a Day, Get a Day" on Monday.
$19 million West Whittier road project expected to begin in December
2 OC sheriff's deputies injured in confrontation at La Mirada home
West Covina teacher accused of molesting student appears in court
Ask a Cop: Know the law regarding handicap parking privileges
Montebello's Beverly Hospital names new CEO
Man found dead near riverbed in Montebello identified
The Whittier Daily News

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


text:
/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/lifeexpectancies/bulletins/pastandprojecteddatafromtheperiodandcohortlifetables/2014baseduk1981to2064
People, population and community
Life expectancies
Past and projected data from the period and cohort life tables
Past and projected data from the period and cohort life tables: 2014-based, UK, 1981 to 2064
Life expectancy (ex), probability of dying (qx) and numbers surviving (lx) from the period and cohort life tables, past and projected, UK constituent countries.
Email Julie Mills
Main points
Life expectancy (ex) at birth in the UK
Life expectancy at age 65
Probability of dying (qx)
Numbers of survivors (lx)
Mortality projections
1. Main points
In 2014 period life expectancy at birth in the UK was 79.3 for males and 83.0 for females
By 2039 period life expectancy at birth is projected to reach 84.1 years for males and 86.9 years for females, an increase of around 4 years since 2014
By 2039 cohort life expectancy at birth is projected to reach 93.9 for males and 96.5 for females, almost 10 years longer than period life expectancy
Period life expectancy at birth is projected to rise by 8 years for males and 7 years for females over the 50 years to 2064
By 2064, cohort life expectancy at birth for females in England is projected to reach 100 years, 99 in the UK, Wales, and Northern Ireland and 98 in Scotland
ONS have released today (11 December 2015) tables of life expectancy (ex), probability of death (qx) and numbers of persons surviving (lx) from the 2014-based National Population Projections (NPP). These tables contain historical and projected figures for 1981 to 2064 on a period and cohort basis from life tables calculated using observed and projected deaths and population estimates and projections.
Period and cohort life tables are produced biennially based on the assumptions for future mortality from the NPP. These tables give historical and projected statistics by single year of age and sex, from 1981 to the NPP base year (2014) and then 50 years into the future from the base year (2015 to 2064). The historical life tables are based on unsmoothed calendar year mortality rates and the projected mortality rates from the NPP. This release relates to the 2014-based NPP published on the 29 October 2015.
Period life tables deal with current mortality rates only and no assumptions are made about future changes. Cohort life tables are calculated using age-specific mortality rates which allow for known or projected changes in mortality in later years.
Life tables and life expectancy figures provide users with an indicator of the health of the nation which can be used to inform policy, planning and research in both public and private sectors in areas such as health, population, pensions and insurance.
Key uses include:
to study the course of mortality throughout the life cycle
as an indicator of the health of the nation
to inform policy regarding state pension age
to assess risk for life assurance and pension liability
Public Sector users of life tables include the Government Actuary's Department, Department of Work and Pensions, HM Treasury, Department of Health, Public Health England and Health Trusts. Outside of government, users include academics and students, the news media, financial advisors/consultants, insurance companies and actuarial professions, and members of the general public.
Mortality assumptions for recent projections have been determined by analysis of historical changes in mortality rates over differing periods of time and setting assumptions which produce similar improvements over the same periods in the future. The recent past trends (40 years) show average annual improvements of 1.9% for males and 1.5% for females. There has been an element of 'catching up' for males in this period with higher rates of improvement in mortality than for females. This is a result of a change in working and social behaviours. For example, relatively high numbers of men who started smoking earlier in the 20th century have now given up, with smoking prevalence lowest for the oldest age groups. Changes in patterns of male employment in heavy industry may also have had some effect. There continues to be much debate amongst demographers as to whether life expectancy will continue to increase at current rates indefinitely or whether lifestyle factors such as a rise in level of obesity and in antibiotic resistance may cause the rate of mortality improvement to stop or even decline.
Although life expectancy is still increasing each year, the 2014-based projections show a slower increase in improvements to mortality rates in the future than was projected in the 2012-based projections. This is because mortality rates at some ages were higher in 2012 and 2013 than we projected in the 2012-based projections. This resulted in higher mortality rates with lower annual rates of improvement in the 2014 base year than we had projected in the 2012-based projections. This means that life expectancies in the future are slightly lower than were projected last time.
3. Life expectancy (ex) at birth in the UK
Period life expectancy at birth is projected to rise by 8 years for males and 7 years for females over the 50 year projection period. A baby boy born in 2064 is projected to live to 87.2 years and a baby girl to 89.8 years. Over the last 33 years (1981 to 2014) period life expectancy at birth has increased by around 8 years for males and 6 years for females from 70.9 and 76.9 years respectively. The corresponding life expectancies in 2014 were 79.3 years for males and 83.0 years for females.
Figure 1 shows period life expectancy at birth for males and females 1981 to 2014 and then for each of the variant life expectancy projections to 2064.
In all three projections male life expectancy is lower than female life expectancy in the equivalent projection. However, there is some crossover of male and females across the variant projections. The life expectancies from the high life expectancy variant for males cross over the female principal projection in 2046 and the principal projection for males crosses the low life expectancy projection for females in 2049.
Figure 1: Period life expectancy at birth, United Kingdom, 1981 to 2064
2014-based principal projection and high and low life expectancy variant
Source: Office for National Statistics
HLE - High Life Expectancy variant; LLE - Low Life Expectancy variant.
Cohort life expectancy at birth is about 10 years higher than period life expectancy at birth for both males and females in each year over the projection period (principal projection). A baby boy born in 2014 could expect to live for 90.4 years and a baby girl 93.2 years. This is projected to rise to 97.4 and 99.8 years respectively in 2064. Cohort life expectancy is always higher than period life expectancy because cohort life expectancy makes allowance for future mortality improvements.
Figure 2 shows cohort life expectancy at birth in the UK for the principal projection and the high and low life expectancy variants. Cohort life expectancy is projected to rise from 84.6 years for males and 88.3 for females in 1981, to 97.4 years and 99.8 years respectively in 2064. The high life expectancy variant shows cohort life expectancy rising above 115 years in 2064 for both males and females. However, one must be aware that these projections are for 50 years in the future and are projecting life expectancy from birth i.e. a further 100 years into future. These babies (born in 2064) will not reach their 100th birthday until 2164. The further ahead from the projection base year the more uncertain the statistics become, therefore these figures should be treated with caution.
Figure 2: Cohort life expectancy at birth, United Kingdom, 1981 to 2064
2014-based Principal projection and high and low life expectancy variants
Table 1 gives the period and cohort life expectancy figures at birth from the principal projection for the UK and each of the constituent countries, in the base year 2014, in 2039 and 2064.
Of the four countries in the UK, England has the highest life expectancy at birth for both males and females in all years and Scotland has the lowest (Table 1). By 2064, cohort life expectancy at birth is projected to reach 100 years for females in England. The differences between life expectancies in England and Scotland are projected to decrease slightly over the projection period.
Table 1: Life expectancy at birth, UK and constituent countries, principal projection
Life expectancy in years
Period Cohort Period Cohort Period Cohort
United Kingdom 79.3 90.4 84.1 93.9 87.2 97.4
England 79.5 90.6 84.4 94.1 87.4 97.6
Wales 78.8 89.7 83.5 93.4 86.6 97.0
Northern Ireland 78.6 89.5 83.4 93.3 86.5 96.9
Scotland 77.3 88.6 82.3 92.4 85.6 96.1
England 83.2 93.4 87.2 96.7 90.0 100.0
4. Life expectancy at age 65
Table 2 presents life expectancy at age 65, that is the average number of years remaining once a person has reached age 65. Over the last 25 years (1989 to 2014) period life expectancy at age 65 has increased by 4.8 years for men, from 13.8 years in 1989 to 18.6 years in 2014. For women period life expectancy has increased by 3.5 years over the same period from 17.6 years to 21.1 years. Increases in cohort life expectancy at age 65 have been higher, at around 6 years for men and 5 years for women because they take into account any future improvements in mortality.
Over the next 25 years (2014 to 2039) period life expectancy for men aged 65 is projected to reach 22.3 years (principal projection) and 24.2 years for women. The corresponding projected cohort life expectancies at age 65 are 24.0 years and 26.1 years respectively.
Age 65 is currently the state pension age (SPA) for men and will be for all women by 2018. We often use age 65 as the age someone might retire from paid employment. However, not everyone will retire at age 65; some retire early, some carry on working beyond pension age and SPA is due to increase. For example, a person born on 1 July 1960 can currently expect to retire in October 20261, when they will be aged 66 years and 3 months. If they retire at age 66 in 2026 they can expect to live a further 20.0 years if they are men and 22.0 years if they are women. This is assuming the mortality rates remain the same as they were in 2026. If future assumed improvements in mortality rates are considered (cohort projections) then they can expect to live an additional 2 years. This would mean a further 21.7 years after retirement if they are men and 23.8 years further if they are women.
Table 2: Period and cohort life expectancy at Age 65, United Kingdom, 1989, 2014 and 2039
Principal 13.8 15.3 18.6 21.2 22.3 24.0
High Life Expectancy 13.8 15.3 18.6 22.2 23.9 28.1
Low Life Expectancy 13.8 15.3 18.6 20.3 20.8 20.8
Notes for life expectancy at age 65
State pension age timetables
5. International comparison
Table 3 provides a comparison of period life expectancies in 2014 and projected period life expectancy in 2060 for a selection of countries selected purely by the accessibility of the relevant data. In 2014 the UK has the second lowest life expectancy at birth of the seven countries for both males and females (the lowest being the USA). From the countries shown in Table 3, in 2014 Sweden has the highest life expectancy for males and Japan has the highest for females. However, by 2060 the UK has the joint second highest projected life expectancy for males and third highest for females, with Japan and the Netherlands projecting higher life expectancies at birth for females. This suggests that the UK may be more optimistic than some other countries when setting the assumptions for future mortality.
Table 3: Period life expectancy at birth in selected countries, 2014 and 2060
Principal projection
Country 2014 2014 2060 2060
Males Females Males Females
United Kingdom 79.3 83.0 86.7 89.3
The Netherlands 79.4 83.0 87.0 89.8
Sweden 80.4 84.0 86.7 88.8
Norway 80.0 84.1 86.5 89.1
USA (2013) 76.4 81.2 84.0 87.1
Japan (2013) 80.2 86.6 84.2 90.9
Australia 80.3 84.4 85.2 88.3
Source: Office for National Statistics; CBS Statistics Netherlands; SCB Statistics Sweden; SSB Statistics Norway; U.S. Census Bureau; Australian Bureau of Statistics; and Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare Japan
6. Probability of dying (qx)
The mortality rate (qx) measures the proportion of people reaching a given birthday within a calendar year who die before their next birthday, that is, the probability that a person aged x will die before reaching age (x + 1). Once all the qx mortality rates have been calculated, a life table can be constructed, as the qx rates are required in order to calculate a life expectancy figure.
Figure 3 presents qx mortality rates plotted on the logarithmic scale for males and females for the years 1984, 2014 and 2064 for the principal projection. The graph shows period data by age for the UK. The main feature is that the mortality rates are lower in 2064 than in 2014 at every age for both males and females.
In each of the three years shown the pattern of initially high mortality at birth can be seen: from the age of one, mortality falls and remains low until around the age of 16. Mortality rates then begin to increase steadily throughout the rest of the life course. Males have higher mortality rates during the life course than females. Note the bulge for males between the ages of 16 and 25 where the probability of dying between birthdays increases sharply before returning to the steady increase by age. The increase in mortality rates at these ages is associated with the 'high risk' behaviours of young adults such as road accidents1, alcohol consumption and drug use2. This bulge in male deaths remains in the projections for 2064. In contrast, for females, mortality at this age is lower in 2014 than for males and the bulge appears to have almost disappeared by 2064.
Figure 3: 2014-based period mortality rates (qx), United Kingdom, 1984, 2014, 2064
.png .xls
Publishing the qx tables enables users to produce their own life tables or their own projections of mortality, which is particularly useful for pension and insurance analysis.
Notes for probability of dying (qx)
Youth and Road Safety, WHO, 2007
An overview of prevention of multiple risk behaviour in adolescence and young adulthood, Jackson C A et al, Journal of Public Health, 2012
7. Numbers of survivors (lx)
The numbers of survivors by age in the life table are the numbers alive at an exact age from a starting population of 100,000 (at age 0). The starting population at age zero is an arbitrary number called the radix, and since everybody ultimately dies, the lx is a curve which takes the value 100,000 (at age 0) and falls to zero at whatever age represents the maximum attainable human life-span. The data in the tables published alongside this statistical bulletin stop at age 100 and, as Figure 4 shows, the curves do not quite fall to zero by age 100, particularly in 2064.
Figure 4 presents the lx values from the male and female period life tables for selected years. The graph shows two main features. Firstly, there is the survival to older ages. This is shown by the increasing age over time at where the slope begins its rapid decline. For example, the age at which the number of survivors falls below 90,000 is increasing; in 1984 for males it was age 55, in 2014 it is projected to be age 62, and in 2064 it is projected to be age 71. Secondly, the gap between numbers of males and females surviving to older ages is narrowing. This is particularly noticeable at age 70; in 1984 the gap between numbers of men and women surviving to age 70 was just over 14,000 per 100,000 born; by 2064 this is projected to reduce to around 3,000.
Figure 4: Numbers of survivors by age, from the period life tables, United Kingdom, 1984, 2014 and 2064
The lx is often used to calculate the probability of surviving from one age to an older age.
8. Mortality projections
The National Population Projections are produced primarily to provide an estimate of the future population of the UK and its constituent countries as a common framework for use in national planning. Usually, a new set of projections is made every 2 years based on assumptions which are judged to be the most appropriate from the statistical evidence available at the time. The projections are made for successive years running from one mid-year to the next using the cohort component method. For each age, the starting population plus net inward migrants, less the number of deaths, produces the number in the population, aged one year older, at the end of the year. To this has to be added survivors of those born during the year.
Mortality projections are based largely on extrapolation of past trends in rates of mortality improvement. Expert opinion is used to inform the assumptions made about future mortality rates.
The assumptions used in the 2014-based projections are that annual rates of improvement in mortality rates would converge to 1.2 per cent for most ages in 2039 (the 25th year of the 2014-based projections), and remain constant at 1.2 per cent a year thereafter. However, those born after 1922 and before 1939 have exhibited greater rates of improvement over the last 25 years than those born earlier or later. There is currently no evidence that these differentials are declining. Similar cohort effects seen in other countries suggest that these differentials may persist well into the oldest ages. As a result, it is assumed that these cohorts will continue to experience higher rates of improvement, rising from 1.0 per cent a year for those born in 1922 to a peak of 2.5 per cent a year for those born in 1931 and 1932 and then declining back to 1.2 per cent a year for those born in 1939 and later. For those born before 1922, rates of improvement are assumed to be lower than 1.2 per cent in 2039. These are the same assumptions for the rates of mortality improvement in the target year as those used in the 2010-based and 2012-based projections (where the target years were 2035 and 2037 respectively).
ONS produces two additional variants to the principal projection; high life expectancy and low life expectancy. The variants differ from the principal projection in the assumed annual rates of improvement, by plus or minus 2% at the base year (2014) and plus or minus 1.2% at the target year (2039). These give alternative scenarios and show how projected life expectancy could vary over the projection period.
More information on the assumption setting process for future mortality patterns are outlined in: 4. Mortality assumptions: 2014-based national population projections.
9. Method
A life table is purely a hypothetical calculation. It is a statistical tool typically used to portray expectation of life at various ages. The basic assumption is that a given cohort of births (100,000 born in a given year) are subject, as the survivors pass through each year of age, to the mortality rates prevailing for each age.
Period life tables deal with current mortality rates only and no assumptions are made about future changes. The mortality rates for each age are used to calculate how many of the cohort will reach each year of age until eventually all members of the cohort have died. This enables the total number of years lived by the cohort to be calculated. When this total is divided by the number of persons in the cohort (100,000), the result is the average number of years lived in the cohort or the mean expectation of life at birth. The total number of years lived by the cohort from any given age can also be calculated and when divided by the number of survivors in the cohort entering that year of age, the figure obtained is the expectation of life in years for those persons.
Cohort life tables are calculated using age-specific mortality rates which allow for known or projected changes in mortality in later years. A cohort life table provides mortality rates that vary over time for each age. For example, cohort life expectancy at age 65 in 2014 would be worked out using the mortality rate for age 65 in 2014, for age 66 in 2015 for age 67 in 2016 and so on. This uses observed mortality rates in 2014 and projected mortality rates from 2015. Therefore, cohort figures are regarded as a more appropriate measure of how long a person of a given age would be expected to live on average than period life expectancy.
Life tables are usually constructed separately for males and females because of their very different mortality patterns. A life table describes the course of mortality throughout the life cycle. A life table contains:
mx The central rate of mortality, defined as the average annual number of deaths at age x last birthday in the year or years to which the life table relates divided by the average population at that age over the same period.
qx The mortality rate between age x and (x + 1), that is the probability that a person aged x exactly will die before reaching age (x + 1).
lx The number of survivors to exact age x of 100,000 live births of the same sex who are assumed to be subject throughout their lives to the mortality rates experienced in the year or years to which the life table relates.
dx The number dying between exact age x and (x + 1) described similarly to lx, that is dx = lx - lx +1.
ex The average period expectation of life at exactly age x, that is the average number of years that those aged x exactly will live thereafter based on the mortality rates experienced in the year or years to which the life table relates.
The method of constructing a life table is widely available in demographic text books, for example, Hinde A, Demographic Methods1.
10 .Background notes
Population projections are not forecasts and do not attempt to predict the impact that future government policies, changing economic circumstances or other factors (whether in the UK or overseas) might have on demographic behaviour. They simply provide the population levels and age structure that would result if the underlying assumptions about future fertility, mortality and migration were to be realised.
In addition to the principal assumptions, high and low variant assumptions are published for each of the three components of demographic change – fertility, life expectancy (mortality) and migration. These variant assumptions are intended as plausible alternatives to the principal assumptions and not to represent upper or lower limits for future demographic behaviour.
Following the publication of the 2014-based National Population Projections, ONS prepares databases for the UK and each of the constituent countries containing mortality data used in the calculation of past and projected life tables.
The ONS life expectancy calculator uses data from the 2012-based historical and projected cohort life tables for the UK. This calculator will be up-dated in early 2016 to take account of the 2014-based projections.
Details of the policy governing the release of new data are available by visiting www.statisticsauthority.gov.uk/assessment/code-of-practice/index.html or from the Media Relations Office email: media.relations@ons.gov.uk
These National Statistics are produced to high professional standards and released according to the arrangements approved by the UK Statistics Authority.
Julie Mills
lifetables@ons.gov.uk


Because I grew up on a farm, I want to be sure my city kid understands just where it is her food comes from. The farmer's market is a great place for me to do that. At our market, everything has to be home grown or hand made. That means if my daughter has any questions about where things come from, the people with the answers are right there in front of her!
The first thing you will notice when you arrive is the food of course! Let your child look around and explore a little. What foods does he recognize? What foods are new to him? Is there anything new he would like to try?
Or, if you're lucky, there may even be samples to try! Encourage your child to try them, especially if it's something she hasn't had before! One of our local Girl Scout troops was offering samples of gummie snacks they had made. My daughter was a big fan of their trail mix! On some Saturdays our local FACS Extension Agent comes out and cooks up dishes using foods that she buys that morning at the market! This is a great way to have your family try out new things and pick up some recipes to add to your kitchen.
Or maybe you want to sit down and enjoy a treat right there at the market! One of the boys I take always makes sure he has enough money with him to buy a glass of lemonade (made with real lemons), and a loaf of sweet bread. One of the newest vendors cooks up breakfast burritos for anyone interested in eating breakfast at the market!
But the market isn't just about food! There are all kinds of crafts too! Headbands, belts, purses, skirts, yard art...and they are all handmade! Keep an eye out for vendors creating their crafts there at the market. One vendor at our market brings out a small loom used to make belts. You can watch her work and talk to your child about how things are made. They don't just appear at the store!
Even if you can't watch the crafts being made, you can still ask questions. Where do you find crystals? How long does it take to make a bracelet? Why does hypertufa look like concrete, but weigh so much less? What do you use to make slime anyway?
If you're lucky, there might even be crafts for your child to make! This is our booth! My youth are helping kids make crafts to raise money for the mission field! This week they are making masks.
Before you go home, stop and listen to a little music and let your child dance around!
To spark some conversation with your child about their adventures that day, sit down and read "Tractor Mac: Farmers' Market" by Billy Steers. Tractor Mac talks with his pig friends, Pete & Paul, about the difference between junk food from the fair and healthy food from the Farmers' Market. Talk with your child about the different kinds of foods he enjoys and how they make his tummy feel after he eats them. Talk about what kinds of foods will help him to grow up healthy and strong.
Tractor Mac & his friends talk about the different things they see and smell. What did your child see or smell at the market? Tractor Mac also talks with his friends about the different ways to prepare food. How will you prepare your market finds? Where did you get your recipes from? Did they come from the market? Is there a recipe from the book you would like to try? Or maybe you have a family recipe you're making. Whose recipe is it? Do you have any special memories about cooking or eating it?
A special thank you to the vendors of the Walnut Valley Farmers' Market for allowing me to photograph their produce and crafts!


text:
AS generate `build` directory automatically.
`build` directory and `BUILD` file collide in the case-insensitive environment.
So, avoid the collision by the following flow。

```sh
chmod +x setup_build_file.sh
./gradlew clean
./setup_build_file.sh
```

It generate a symbolic link of `BUILD_FILE`.

## Create symbolic link of android_sdk

bazel supports appcompat-v7 and v4 by default. But support-design and other library does not support (It will be supported later).

```
//ok
deps = ["//external:android/appcompat_v7"]

//error
deps = ["//external:android/design"]
```

So, defined the dependency of support-design in BUILD-file.

```
java_import(
  name = "support_design_import",
  jars = ["android-sdk/extras/android/support/design/libs/android-support-design.jar"],
)

android_library(
  name = "support_design",
  custom_package = "android.support.design",
  manifest = "android-sdk/extras/android/support/design/AndroidManifest.xml",
  resource_files = glob(["android-sdk/extras/android/support/design/res/**"]),
  deps = [":support_design_import",  "//external:android/appcompat_v7"],
)
```

You should recreate symbolic link of "android-sdk" directory.

```sh
ln -s android-sdk /path/to/android-sdk
```

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaGithub


text:
Lara Warrington Rematch Ends In Technical Draw
FightPost: MMA & Boxing News	Boxing	 5th Sep 2021 5th Sep 2021 1 Minute
It wasn't a fight about titles, it was a fight about redemption, survival and a career to save. It is now a case of unfinished business for Josh Warrington and Mauricio Lara.
An accidental headbutt in the 2nd round which caused a cut over Lara's left eye that was deemed bad enough for the fight to be stopped and declared a technical draw.
It wasn't the definitive conclusion both fighters or the red-hot 20,000 vocal faithful deserved.
The fight was just getting started, and even though Warrington was having the better of the brutal exchanges, neither fighter can realistically claim with any degree of certainty that they would have emerged the winner. Premature doesn't even cover it.
This wasn't the Warrington we saw earlier this year, this looked like the Warrington of old. Last time in that subdued behind closed doors setting, Warrington fought without fear and respect for his big punching Mexican opponent and paid the ultimate price and a lot of big plans went up in smoke on that winter's night in London.
Warrington was sharper, but make no mistake, Lara was still very much in the fight when the proceedings were halted after two pulsating rounds. It was tense, everyone knowing that just one punch from Lara could swing the fight his way, and almost certainly end the career of the former IBF featherweight champion. It was that kind of fight, that kind of night.
They will no doubt do it all over again early next year, which will put Warrington and the money and legacy fights on hold for even longer. A frustrating time for the Leeds hero on a night where he wanted to get back what he lost in February.
Photo Credit: Mark Robinson/Matchroom Boxing
Published 5th Sep 2021 5th Sep 2021
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Business sock made from fine, mercerised cotton on the outside and soft, combed cotton on the inside with a subtle, trendy dotted pattern. A fine, flat toe seam provides a pleasant, pressure-free feel. Optimal durability thanks to reinforced stress zones.


Yearly time series (1991–2010), provided by Statistics Iceland. It was last modified on 1 Feb 2014 at 19:52. It is tagged broadcasting, television.
Yearly time series (1966–2010), provided by Statistics Iceland. It was last modified on 1 Feb 2014 at 19:52. It is tagged television, broadcasting.


Lisa Dawn is an Advanced Certified Jivamukti Yoga Teacher, a Senior Certified Baptiste Power Vinyasa Teacher, has trained with Jonny Kest and Paul Grilley, and is certified to teach pre and postnatal yoga. In 2010 she co-founded Nava NYC, a company dedicated to bringing yoga and meditation into the workplace. She is also a Certified Financial Planner, specializing in cash flow management. She is available for private consultations in pre and postnatal yoga, meditation, and financial planning. Lisa has been studying the Yoga Sutras with A.G. Mohan and is now teaching small groups privately.


text:
#include <celix/BundleActivator.h>

#include "Baz.h"

class BazActivator {
public:
    explicit BazActivator(const std::shared_ptr<DependencyManager> &mng) {
        Component<Baz> &cmp = mng->createComponent<Baz>()
                .setCallbacks(nullptr, &Baz::start, &Baz::stop, nullptr);

        cmp.createServiceDependency<IAnotherExample>()
                .setRequired(true)
                .setStrategy(DependencyUpdateStrategy::locking)
                .setVersionRange(IANOTHER_EXAMPLE_CONSUMER_RANGE)
                .setCallbacks(&Baz::addAnotherExample, &Baz::removeAnotherExample);

        cmp.createCServiceDependency<example_t>(EXAMPLE_NAME)
                .setRequired(false)
                .setStrategy(DependencyUpdateStrategy::locking)
                .setVersionRange(EXAMPLE_CONSUMER_RANGE)
                .setCallbacks(&Baz::addExample, &Baz::removeExample);
    }
};

CELIX_GEN_CXX_BUNDLE_ACTIVATOR(BazActivator)


These two chapters were so hard to read. I didn't understand when Elie said that the leader of the camp loved children. Later he said that "there was a considerable traffic in children among homosexuals. I don't get it did the sexually abuse the children too? I can't imagine someone doing these horrible things to poor innocent people. Elie has been through also he witness the execution of somebody and has even tasted the soup that tasted like corpses. He has also gotten a beaten by his leader for discovering him with a young girl. He's been getting able to get through all the inspections. On the eve of Rosh Hashanah they did a small prayer. However Elie refused he would ask why I should bless him. Why was he letting all these horrible things happen? As a sign of protest he refused to fast. Which I think it was a smart decision because he was already weak and if didn't eat he was only make his death faster. This reminds me of me and my family one thanksgiving. I was mad because my parents were being strict so I started yelling and that night I refused to eat. Maybe it's not as bad as what happened to Elie but I could feel what was happening to him. How he felt helpless as if god didn't care about him or anybody. Elie had to get surgery on his foot if he didn't it would have to be amputated. His doctor was very kind and caring. However everybody had to evacuate the camp and move out because the Russians were coming. Elie had the decision to leave or stay in the hospital with his father. He decided to leave not fully recovered late he found out that the people there were liberated by the Russians two days after the evacuation, now he's going to go somewhere new. I feel so bad for him. I would like to know what happened to his mom and sister. I don't know but I get the impression that he doesn't care about them. It seems like he doesn't mentions them at all. This make me feel bad because I know that I would be crushed without my mom or my sisters and the fact that he doesn't mentions them seems that he forgot or simply lost faith.
I had the same feeling about him and his Mother and sister. I was wondering why he never mentions them, how he never wondered what happened to them. I guess he just jumped to the conclusion that they were sent to the crematory and didnt waste his energy worrying about them. The part about the man being a child molester or something really stood out to me because it was just something else to have thrown at me that i have to read and take in. It was all just too awful.
I also had a hard time reading chapters 4 and 5 because there was a lot of just horrible things happening. I just don't understand what the reason was behind sexually abusing these innocent girls. And being feed a soup that tasted of the fallin bodies was completely digusting. I think he still cares and thinks a little about what has become of his sister and mother but doesn't talk to much about it because it would just bring him down and he might give up.
i did not understand the part either about the homosexuals I knew there were some the fact that they alwayz had to take there clothes off i dont know why. He probably have lost faith in them because he does not talk about them at all. He might would not have mentioned them because he did not want to remind himself on how sadd he was or would be. I would not have fast either because i would have been angry and hungry too. He has survivded this long, him and his father, so there must be some faith in him if he dont believe in anything.
I think these two chapters were hard to read as well. I also am wondering why he doesn't ever mention his mom and sister, I know he is thinking about them all the time and he is probably wondering if they are still alive. I don't understand the part about him killing kids that he supposably "loves", it just doesn't make since. I would not be able to go on knowing that I could be eating my friend, my uncle or any human person, that is so messed up and discusting. I liked these two chapters overall though.
Nicole, that was very proactive of you. Thanks for taking the initiative to reply even though responses hadn't been posted for your group yet.


DC-DC Converters Market studies the global DC-DC Converters market status and forecast, categorizes the global DC-DC Converters market size (value & volume) by manufacturers, type, application, and region. DC-DC Converters Market focuses on the top manufacturers in United States, Europe, China, Japan, South Korea and Taiwan and other regions.
Focuses on the key DC-DC Converters manufacturers, to study the capacity, production, value, market share and development plans in future.
Regional and country-level analysis of the DC-DC Converters market, by end-use.
7.4 Murata Manufacturing Co. Ltd.
Browse 148 market data Tables and Figures spread through 112 Pages and in-depth TOC on "Global DC-DC Converters Market Research Report 2018"
The fundamental overview of High Speed Data Converters market, revenue statistics, market definition, product scope, industry chain structure and market share are analyzed in this report. Furthermore, the industry policies, definitions, product classification, a variety of applications, production volume, demand and supply statistics of High Speed Data Converters.
The fundamental overview of Oxidizing Catalytic Converters market, revenue statistics, market definition, product scope, industry chain structure and market share are analyzed in this report. Furthermore, the industry policies, definitions, product classification, a variety of applications, production volume, demand and supply statistics of Oxidizing Catalytic Converters.


text:
Books By Women
THE PRINCE'S PROGRESS and Other Poems.
With Two Designs by D.G. Rossetti. London: Macmillan and Co., 1866. Original green cloth decorated in gilt. First Edition of Christina Rossetti's second book, published four years after GOBLIN MARKET. The title verse is a romantic allegory on the "Sleeping Beauty" theme, only in this case the Prince arrives too...
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GOBLIN MARKET and Other Poems.
With Two Designs by D.G. Rossetti. Cambridge: Macmillan and Co., 1862. Original dark blue cloth decorated in gilt and blind. First Edition of Christina Rossetti's first volume of verse (other than her 1847 one, privately printed by her grandfather when she was only 17). "Goblin Market" is an intensely erotic...
Item Details for GOBLIN MARKET and Other Poems
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ETHAN FROME.
New York: Charles Scribner's Sons, 1911. 1 preliminary page + 4 pp undated ads. Original red cloth. First Edition of Edith Wharton's best-known book, a grim novella sited on a bleak Massachusetts farm. "As in THE HOUSE OF MIRTH, the central problem is that of the barriers imposed by local...
Item Details for ETHAN FROME
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A lot going on around here... I am preparing to move this month so I am spending a lot of time painting walls and learning how to install gas ranges, etc. I have learned so much in the past two years fixing up this house with Mike. We insulated the house ourselves, we removed the oldest most difficult wall paper-paint combo by hand, we built a wall. Simple stuff but it was all new for me!
I have been drawing from Gauguin paintings that I look up on Pinterest. I love to make what I consider to be "illustrations of paintings." I really yearn to make this stuff HUGE. I have the space for it, and as the spring warms up I think I will be making some big landscapes. It is surprisingly hard to translate the freedom I regularly experience in my art journals into "real" paintings for the wall. I can tell this is going to be goal I will be working toward. Also, large canvas is expensive, using more paint is expensive, and then most importantly, once these large paintings are made, where do they go?
Even when I get myself all ready to face a large canvas, to really approach it freely, there seems to be some kind of hangup inherent in the object. When I work in a book I truly can paint freely. Because, it's a book, it's private, it's not going to use energy from the world.
But, a canvas for the wall just inherently, innately, feels different. It is charged with an energy of... wall-worthiness. Try as I might, I really do think that it affects my approach. Just like writing music on one instrument can feel one way, and writing it on another feels totally different.


Hotel Apartment on the Chistopolskaya cost depends on the season and prices can be much different basing on selected dates. The diagram below illustrates price changing dynamic for Apartment on the Chistopolskaya hotel by months. For example, the lowest prices - on the average $47 - are in September, and by February hotel Apartment on the Chistopolskaya cost grows on the average up to $139.


text:
New York Suffolk County Restricts Six Heavy Metals in Children's Products
SAFEGUARDS | Consumer Products NO. 110/15
Suffolk County recently became the third county in New York State to restrict the sale of children's products containing certain toxic chemicals. The restriction of the 6 heavy metals will take effect on 1 July, 2016. The law will be enforced by random inspection of retailers starting 1 December 2016.
On 23 June 2015 [1], the County Executive of Suffolk County signed the 'Toxic Free Toys Act'[2] into law. This law sets strict limits for the total content of six heavy metals (antimony, arsenic, cadmium, cobalt, lead and mercury) in products intended primarily for children up to the age of twelve.
The law will be enforced by the Suffolk County Department of Health Services:
The department is authorized to promulgate rules and regulations as necessary for implementation
The department will educate retailers selling children's products of the new law from 1 January 2016
The department will enforce the new law through the random inspection of at least 10 retailers per quarter using an X-ray fluorescence analyzer (XRF) starting 1 December 2016. The Department will select up to 10 children's products at each retailer for on-site screening
According to the definitions in the Toxic Free Toys Act, the following products are not within the meaning of a 'Children's product':
Consumer electronic components or products
Drugs, medical devices or biological products (FDA)
Food or food additives (FDA)
Suffolk County now joins Albany County [3] and Westchester County [4] in regulating certain chemicals in children's products at the local government level in New York State.
Highlights of the new law in Suffolk County are summarized in Table 1.
Suffolk County, New York State
'The Toxic Free Toys Act'
Requirement (total content)
Enforcement Date
Antimony, arsenic, cobalt and mercury
Products for children up to the age of 12
≤ 40 ppm each
≤ 75 ppm
≤ 90 ppm (paint or similar surface coating)
≤ 100 ppm (accessible substrate)
Enforcement Action
- ŸEducating retailers selling children's products begins 1 January 2016
Ÿ- Random inspection of at least 10 retailers per quarter using XRF technology begins 1 December 2016
Throughout our global network of laboratories, we are able to provide a range of services, including analytical testing and consultancy, for restricted substances in children's products for Suffolk County and international markets. Please do not hesitate to contact us for further information.
For enquiries, please contact:
Hing Wo Tsang
Global Toys and Juvenile Products
© SGS Group Management SA – 2015– All rights reserved - SGS is a registered trademark of SGS Group Management SA. This is a publication of SGS, except for 3rd parties' contents submitted or licensed for use by SGS. SGS neither endorses nor disapproves said 3rd parties contents. This publication is intended to provide technical information and shall not be considered an exhaustive treatment of any subject treated. It is strictly educational and does not replace any legal requirements or applicable regulations. It is not intended to constitute consulting or professional advice. The information contained herein is provided "as is" and SGS does not warrant that it will be error-free or will meet any particular criteria of performance or quality. Do not quote or refer any information herein without SGS's prior written consent.
ISO 14001:2015 Update: FDIS 14001 Issued
The latest milestone in the ISO 14001 revision process has been reached with the issue of ISO/FDIS 14001.
SGS Bradford PPE Laboratory is UKAS Accredited
We can now offer Glove and Coverall testing to the requirements of the Personal Protective Equipment (PPE) Directive 89/686/EEC.


text:
City may have violated state law by selling properties below fair market value
By Wes Muller | June 4, 2018 at 6:33 PM CDT - Updated August 30 at 4:39 PM
EAST BATON ROUGE PARISH, LA (WAFB) - The Legislative Auditor's Office found the City-Parish of East Baton Rouge may have violated state law when it sold two pieces of surplus real estate for less than their fair market value in land deals that raised eyebrows when they came to light in 2017.
On Monday, Louisiana Legislative Auditor Daryl Purpera released the details of his investigation into four land deals, two of which appear to violate applicable state laws. Both were sold to developer, Radu Cosman, for amounts well below their fair market values.
The first deal occurred in late 2013 when Cosman approached the city about purchasing a 22,000 square foot tract along Bluebonnet Boulevard. Cosman gave the city his own appraisal, which valued the property at $42,000, but the city obtained another appraisal that valued it at $255,000. Despite this, Cosman bought the property at auction for only $50,000 because the city failed to set a minimum sale price, according to the Legislative Auditor's Office.
RELATED VIDEO: Developer in Bluebonnet land deal also got sweet deal in 2013
The second property purchased by Cosman was a 1.2 acre tract located on the southwest corner of Bluebonnet Boulevard and Jefferson Highway. He bought the land at auction for only $10,000 in December of 2016.
RELATED VIDEO: Legislative Auditor to probe cheap Bluebonnet land deal
Purpera's office found the city got the property appraised only after the sale. It was valued at $605,800.
When asked why the city failed to appraise the land before putting it up for auction, the special assistant city-parish attorney told investigators he thought the land was worthless and didn't want to waste money on an appraisal, Purpera's office said.
Two other sales the legislative auditor investigated also concerned land sold below fair market value. One was a 12,600 square foot tract located along Bluebonnet Boulevard that sold for only $5,000 through a private sale. Again, the city failed to have the property appraised prior to the sale and instead accepted the purchaser's own appraisal.
The other was a tract that sold for $70,000 less than the fair market value.
Despite their findings, the Legislative Auditor's Office found those two sales appeared to comply with state law.
Wes Muller


The Epcot International Food & Wine Festival is a foodie's dream. And for those sommeliers out there, this one is for you too. In fact, anyone who thinks that they might like a festival that celebrates food and drink of just about any kind should really pay attention.
In case you were wondering, there really is a lot of wine at the Epcot International Food & Wine Festival.
Over the years, the Epcot International Food & Wine Festival has grown dramatically. What sprouted from somewhat humble beginnings has become a massive celebration of global food, drink, music and culinary education. It's popularity continues to grow each year, as do the number of events and offerings that comprise the festival schedule. Where else can you wander from country to country sampling food, wine, beer and more while listening to live music and maybe taking in a seminar or two from some of the culinary world's biggest stars?
The reality of all this, however, is that with all of this delicious International food and drink tempting your tastebuds, you might just have occasion to over-indulge (just a little bit). When that happens, wouldn't it be great if you could just stroll back to your Resort hotel for a nap or to lounge by the pool?
With that in mind there are three Walt Disney World Deluxe Resort hotels that I recommend for anyone visiting Walt Disney World with the primary purpose of attending the Epcot International Food & Wine Festival.
Disney's Boardwalk Inn as seen from Disney's Beach Club Resort across Crescent Lake.
Festival goers will be happy to know that there are no less than three Disney Deluxe Resorts located within a short walk of the Epcot World Showcase entrance gate, which is the closest entrance to most of the festival activity. There's nothing more convenient than being able to take a leisurely stroll back to your hotel after a few hours of sampling food and drink and taking in the sights and sounds of Epcot. The convenience of this simply cannot be beat.
All three of these properties are upscale accommodations and part of Disney's top tier of Deluxe Resort properties. So you can't really go wrong with any of them. The major difference might just be how much of a pool person you are.
The Stormalong Bay pool shared by Disney's Beach Club Resort and Disney's Yacht Club Resort.
Stormalong Bay is a legendary pool complex and it's the big draw at Disney's Beach Club Resort and Disney's Yacht Club Resort (these are sister resorts that are side-by-side). While not quite a water park, Stormalong Bay comes pretty close. For anyone who enjoys playing in the water as much as chilling beside the pool, then this is one reason to consider either Disney's Beach Club Resort or Disney's Yacht Club Resort. Technically, Disney's Beach Club Resort is closer to Epcot by a few steps.
Across Crescent Lake is Disney's Boardwalk Inn. The Boardwalk area of Walt Disney World was inspired by the Atlantic City Boardwalk of days gone by and it's a great place to relax, go for a stroll and maybe take in a little street enetertainment.
If taking in the tastes, sights and sounds of the Epcot International Food & Wine Festival is your main reason for visiting Walt Disney World then staying at one of these three luxury Disney Resorts is a wise move. Not only will you be able to fully enjoy the festival without worrying about getting "home," but you will be experiencing some of the best accommodations available at Walt Disney World.
That is luxury Disney travel combination that is simply hard to beat.
Planning a Walt Disney World Luxury Vacation?
If you are planning a Walt Disney World vacation, be sure to read my Guide to Planning A Walt Disney World Vacation and my post on the Five Golden Rules of Walt Disney World Vacation Planning.


text:
Let us bring Christmas into your home
It's less than a week to go now until our Virtual Carol Concert – join us for an evening of Christmas cheer where we'll be bringing the people we support and staff together from across the country with songs, carols, cracker jokes and Christmas messages.
We thought there would be no better way to lift everybody's spirits than to spend an evening with you, sharing some of our favourite Christmas songs and carols which have been performed by our staff, the people we support and friends of FitzRoy.
Community fundraising manager Jim said: "It's been a challenging year for everyone, and throughout the whole coronavirus crisis our staff have been incredible. We really just wanted to take a moment out of what has been a difficult year for everyone, to bring the amazing FitzRoy family together to celebrate, and to bring joy and hope.
"Many of our staff and people we support from around the country dived early into the Christmas spirit and recorded their own takes on Christmas classics – with a few cheesy cracker jokes thrown in! Three Hampshire schools have interrupted hectic schedules to record songs and carols, and the choir from St Peters Church in Petersfield have performed 'O Come All Ye Faithful' to really get everyone in to the festive spirit.
"It's been truly amazing to see everyone pulling together for FitzRoy, and we hope everyone will enjoy a mince pie or two and dance and sing along to the festive concert we have put together."
The event will take place on Thursday, 17 December at 7pm on our YouTube channel. To join us, why not subscribe to our YouTube channel and turn on notifications before the event, and then let us bring Christmas to your home!


How do you obtain behaviors with clicker training? Here is a brief overview of some of the ways that I find myself using most frequently with horses.
Capturing is selectively reinforcing one of the behaviors that animal is already doing naturally. Lying down is an example of behavior that can be captured with some timely clicks.
Romeo lying down: a combination of capturing and free-shaping (see lower). I wanted a prospective guide horse, Romeo, to be comfortable lying down when he spent time with me in the house. I originally captured lying down in the round pen, as shown on the pictures above. Romeo got the idea and started offering lying down more often. That gave me an opportunity to study the sequence of behaviors that led to lying down: sniffing the ground, circling while sniffing, picking up hind legs and lifting them up high, buckling at the knees, and finally going down.
When we were in the house, I free-shaped Romeo to sniff the floor and to start turning circles. That did the trick: Romeo started thinking about lying down in the house. But he was a little hesitant. By clicking for each successive step in the sequence, we finally got the goal behavior. The photos below only show the beginning and the end of the sequence: I could not click and take pictures at the same time!
For a while, I played with capturing sitting doggie-style, a stage of getting up from the recumbent position. Once, I very fortunately remembered to use capturing in a situation that was getting out of control: I was on a horse who was trying to rear up, spin around, and bolt for the barn. It occurred to me to click the fleeting instances when his front feet were on the ground, and after a few clicks, he was back in a thinking mode and responding to me.
Free-shaping is creating the goal behavior through a series of successive approximations, whereby the animal is reinforced for every small increment in which its behavior is approaching the goal that the trainer has in mind. The animal is not cued in any way and no prompts are used. Free-shaping is an extremely powerful tool. Since the horse has used his own cognitive skills to get every step leading to the goal behavior, he ends up really "owning" the resulting behavior and will offer it frequently as a "default behavior". I learned to think very carefully before free-shaping anything. Free-shaping is fun for both the horse and the trainer; it is easy to get carried away by all the cool things you can do and forget that the horse will offer this behavior to you and others. After getting bumped in the face a few times, I realized that shaping Arrow to "give me a kiss" was not such a great idea afterall. First and foremost, the behavior needs to be safe. I find backing and head lowering fun to shape and oh so useful in numerous situations.
What really illustrated to me the power of free-shaping was watching Alexandra Kurland casually shape Romeo, a prospective guide horse, to "park up" to the handler in a "heel" position in the course of one day. She had him on a "leash" while giving a clinic and simply clicked him every time he moved his hips to the right, until he was aligned with her. Right there, this became his default behavior. Great for a guide horse!
Left: Romeo's owner, Renata, is reinforcing Romeo for staying with her in a "heel" position the day he learned to park up to the handler. Right: a few weeks later, Romeo parking up to me at liberty during his play time in the round pen.
I later tried it with big horses and liked it as a good automatic reset. Until one day, when one of my trainees tried to park up to her massage therapist, making him jump back in alarm. Oops! I had not realized that to anyone who was not "in" on what she was doing, the sudden movement of her hips looked, for all the world, just like a preparation for a kick. Realizing my faux pas, I put parking up on cue and stopped reinforcing it when offered in the absence of the cue.
The photos below show an example of using free-shaping to overcome fear.
Free-shaping for overcoming fear, pictures taken in 2007. Ogeechee felt that the drain was unsafe to be around, let alone step on. His fear of drains made hosing him off or even walking through the barn problematic. In this sequence, I reinforce any inquisitive behavior towards the drain. He catches on and volunteers to step on it with one foot. On the last photo, he is still unsure but is standing on the drain with two feet. I had not influenced his decision in any way, except reinforcing the behavior he was offering of his own free will. I also used what Alexandra Kurland calls "microshaping", free-shaping of minute movements of individual muscles, to have Ogeechee voluntarily walk into the trailer in a scary situation where he refused to respond to any trailer-loading cues he knew.
On the lighthearted side, free-shaping just for fun.
Targeting is conditioning an animal to bring part of its body in contact with a presented object. A widely used variation of targeting is touching an object with the nose. Targeting itself is taught by capturing and/or shaping. Once learned, it becomes an indispensable and versatile tool. Targeting can be used to reinforce other behaviors, to play interactive games, and to obtain new behaviors, such as leading, head lowering, trailer loading, and walking over obstacles. Below are some examples of targeting and its uses.
block and comes to me. In the last photo, I click him as he touches my hand.
Stationing, such as standing on a mat or board, is also a type of targeting: targeting of feet to an object.
Left: Arrow could walk off and join other horses, but he shows that he wants to keep playing with me by waiting on the mat while I fetch his bridle. Right: Fox finds a mat to park on and stays there while I sweep the grooming area.
Targeting is a wonderful tool for helping a horse overcome the fear of being touched around head, ears, and eyes.
Fox voluntarily puts his ear in my hand. When we started working on this, his ears were so sore from blackfly bites that he wouldn't let anyone touch them. Targeting let him control the degree and duration of contact. Eventually, he allowed me to treat his ears with fly repellent. As his ears healed, he rediscovered the pleasures of a good ear rub. We practice this behavior to keep it current for the next fly season.
Pressure and Release in combination with click and treat. When teaching behaviors through this "hybrid" method, the click initially coincides with release. Subsequently, the release is always given promptly, but the click can be withheld until the horse offers more of the behavior. For example, I requested a give of the jaw with the rein and released when the horse responded. If he maintained his head position after I released the rein, I will click and treat. Gradually, I will increase the duration of behavior by further delaying the click. When we clicker train, it is important to understand what constitutes clicker-compatible application of pressure and take care to make sure it never turns into something that the horse finds threatening, painful, or distressing. Read more here about clicker-compatible use of pressure.


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Philippine National Police to focus on cybercrime in 2023
Coconuts Manila•January 9, 2023
The Philippine National Police (PNP) said it was going to focus on cybercrime in 2023 and called it one of the "greatest threats" Filipinos face.
PNP Chief General Rodolfo Azurin said that cybercrime is the fastest-growing transnational organized crime "which affect hundreds of victims not only in the Philippines, but in other parts of the world."
He added that it was one of the greatest threats to millions of users who have entrusted their personal data online.
Cybersecurity experts last year have urged the government to strengthen its cybersecurity infrastructure amid rising incidents of cyberattacks.
In September, The National Telecommunications Commission (NTC) ordered the country's telecommunication providers to block clickable links from malicious websites in text messages, following the recent alarming rise in SMS scams, many of which bear the receivers' full names. These growing concerns led to the swift passage of the SIM Card Registration Act, which requires users to register their SIM cards in efforts to combat cybercrimes. Yet critics raised concerns on privacy and surveillance.
Meanwhile, Azurin said the PNP is focused on enhancing its capacity to detect and apprehend cybercrimes through "smart policing or secured, mobile, artificial, intelligence-driven, real-time technology."


SMS marketing has become a powerful tool in the age of mobile phones. It should be done meticulously, as everyone now receives on an average 5 promotional SMS's on a daily basis. Make sure your SMS campaign is effective by following these tips.
Send promotions only to relevant customers. For example, you need not send promotions about female beauty products to male customers. Avoid spamming. Customer segmentation can be achieved by analyzing previous purchases made by the customer.
Keep the SMS simple, personal and have a call for action. Make the customer feel important. Make sure you don't annoy customers with long boring messages, ultimately driving them away. A good example of an SMS would be, "Hi Ram, get 15% off of your next purchase, use message code: RAM15".
The timing of SMS is key, sending the message during midnight could be least effective. But a promotion for haircuts could be most effective during weekends. Sending the message closer to purchase time is effective in most cases. Time your SMS based on their previous purchase time.
It is paramount that your employees know about the SMS campaign, so that they can honor the promotion when a customer arrives through the SMS campaign. Your brand would take severe hit if you do not follow up on your promise.
The final step of any campaign should be to measure the effectiveness of each campaign. This will determine your future campaign strategy and the type of campaigns. The effectiveness can be measured by correlating the phone numbers and new purchases after the promotions.
It is very important to get the consent of customers to avoid legal issues. The first message to any customer should have an opt-out option "Message STOP to 533443". This need to be present after the first SMS.


are compatible with the magic signatures used by the Unix file utility.
- Linux kernels, bootloaders, filesystems, etc.
+ such as compressed/archived files, firmware headers, Linux kernels, bootloaders, filesystems, etc.
- value of each file offset in various data types (long, short, date, etc), as defined in 'magic.bincast'.
- This is useful for identifying header fields such as date and length values.
- architectures. These opcode signatures are defined in 'magic.binarch'.
+ useful for identifying unknown firmware header fields such as date and length values.
+ Binwalk is currently supported on the Linux and Mac OSX platforms.
+ Follow the file utility's documentation to build and install both libmagic and the Python magic module.
+ specified file. These settings can be controlled with the --offset and --length options, respectively.
+ types of scans are also supported.
- (ex: 0x10, \x10, 10H, 10h) values.
- By default, binwalk will apply several default filters in order to improve scan reliability.
- filters are specified, exclude filters trump include filters.
+ three fields are colon delimited.
+ There are some file types that are commonly extracted, and specifying a --dd option for each one is tiresome.
- Some scans can take some time to complete and may not display many results during this time.
+ o magic/binwalk - The default signature file.
+ o magic/binarch - The signature file used with --opcodes.
+ o magic/bincast - The signature file used with --cast.
+ Users may create their own signatures that will be added to the respective system-wide files when performing a scan.
- Binwalk is currently supported on the Linux and Mac OSX platforms.
- To build from source, you must have the libmagic, zlib and libcurl libraries.
+ upgrading binwalk, or using the --update option. The user files will not be touched however, and will survive these updates.
- Building and installing the file utility will also install libmagic.
- src/dd.h DD code functions header file.
+ This file contains a list of extract rules, identical to the arguments that would be passed to the --dd option.
+ field in the system-wide extract rule.
+ the --update option. The user extract.conf file will not be touched however, and will survive these updates.