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Fareed Zakaria GPS
Pivot to Asia Could be Obama's Foreign Policy Legacy; Remembering the Fall of the Berlin Wall; How to Navigate Today's Chaotic World; Italy is the Most Ignorant Nation Says Research
Aired November 09, 2014 - 10:00 ET
FAREED ZAKARIA, CNN HOST: This is GPS, the GLOBAL PUBLIC SQUARE. Welcome to all of you in the United States and around the world. I'm Fareed Zakaria.
On this day 25 years ago, the Berlin wall began to fall as the world watched in shock. Today two men who were among those surprised but were at the highest levels of power, then U.S. National Security Adviser Brent Scowcroft and his British counterpart, Powell.
Then the economy, immigration, politics. How well do you know your world? I'll share some scary numbers on just how ignorant many Americans and others around the world are.
Also, President Obama has been called many things this week, but is he a Republican? That is what one prominent conservative says. We will have a spirited debate.
And the White House has no real solution for Syria. The GOP doesn't have one either. I will introduce you to a man who says he does, and it does seem to make a lot of sense.
But first, here is my take. Despite this week's elections, President Obama has the opportunity to do big things over the next two years, but they will have to be in the world beyond Washington. Next week's trip to Asia would be a good place to start. In fact, it's odd that Obama has not already devoted more time, energy, and attention to foreign policy.
It's been clear for a while now that there is no prospect of working with the Republican Party on any major domestic policy, but if Obama seeks some kind of foreign policy legacy, he will first have to maintain the discipline with which he began his presidency.
If he ends up with incremental, escalating interventionism in Syria it will absorb fully the White House's mind share, the public's interests and the country's resources. It will also not succeed if by success we mean the triumph of pro-democratic forces in the Syrian civilian war.
Obama's biggest foreign policy initiative is powerful and intelligent -- the pivot to Asia. The greater threat to global peace and prosperity over the next decades comes not from a band of assassins in Syria but from the rise of China and the manner in which that will reshape the geopolitics of Asia and the world.
If Washington can provide balance and reassurance in Asia, it will help ensure that the continent does not become the flash point for a new Cold War.
But the Asia pivot remains for rhetoric than reality. Having promised a larger U.S. military presence in the Philippines, Singapore and Australia, there is little evidence of any of this on the ground. The most ambitious element of the Asia pivot is the Transpacific Partnership. The idea is simple. To lower trade barriers and other impediments to commerce among 12 large Pacific economies comprising 40 percent of the global GDP.
This will provide a boost to global growth but, more importantly, shore up the principles and practice of open markets and encourage open economies at a time when state capitalism like the Chinese model and new nationalist barriers are creeping up everywhere. The good news is that the Republican victory this week actually might make this more likely. Trade is one of the few issues on which the GOP agrees with the president.
Obama has one other major foreign policy initiative -- nuclear negotiations with Iran. Again, here the basic strategy has been smart, sanctions plus talk, but it has not received presidential attention and focus.
It remains unclear whether Iran is ready to make peace with America and the West, but if it is, Obama should present Washington and the world with the deal, even though it will surely be denounced as treason by Republicans and attacked by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
I know the world looks messy and the administration is now on the defensive, but recall what the world looked like when Richard Nixon and Henry Kissinger were conducting foreign policy. America was losing a war in Asia in which it had deployed half a million troops. The Soviet Union was on the march. Domestic opposition and troubles were mounting.
Nixon and Kissinger had to initiate a major retreat, but as Robert Zoellick has pointed out, they combined this with the seize of bold, positive, assertive moves, arms control deals was the Soviet Union, the opening in China, shuttle diplomacy in the Middle East. The result was that by 1973 people were dazzled by the energy and ingenuity of American foreign policy.
The historian John Gaddis has described this as one of the most successful reversals of fortune for American foreign policy in modern history.
To achieve a similar kind of legacy, it's now time for a foreign policy presidency.
For more, go to CNN.com/fareed and read my "Washington Post" column this week. And let's get started. On November 9th, 1989, the East German Minister of Propaganda Guenter
Schabowski gave a press conference that was rather unremarkable until almost an hour in he shocked the world by saying that East Germans could, quote, "leave the country through East German border crossing points," unquote, effective immediately.
That night the Berlin Wall began to fall.
My next two guests were in the cockpits of power in the White House and 10 Downing Street and had to manage great power diplomacy through a period of unprecedented change.
Brent Scowcroft was the National Security adviser to then President George Herbert Walker Bush and Charles Powell was his counterpart in Britain, foreign policy adviser to then Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher.
Charles, when you were watching this happen, did you realize that the wall meant the end of the Soviet empire?
CHARLES POWELL, FORMER FOREIGN POLICY TO PM MARGARET THATCHER: I didn't think I realized immediately, but I did think we were at a crisis point. I think this was the last of the great Cold War crises. You can trace it through the Berlin airlift, the Soviet invasions of Hungary and Prague, the deployment of Soviet intermediate range nuclear weapons in Europe.
This started out as a characteristic Cold War crisis, really, with uncertainty about exactly what would happen, risks because Europe was awash with nuclear weapons. We really didn't know from one minute to the next quite how it would play out, what the Soviet reaction would be.
We received messages from Mr. Gorbachev around midnight in London time. That was never a good sign in the Cold War, a message from a Soviet head of state at midnight, usually it meant trouble of some sort. So the immediate thought was not so much about what would follow but how do you contain and regulate and stabilize what is happening at that moment?
ZAKARIA: Brent, what did it look like from the White House because the stakes there must have been even higher. Any miscalculation by the White House could have had catastrophic consequences.
BRENT SCOWCROFT, PRESIDENT, THE SCOWCROFT GROUP: That's absolutely correct. We -- when we came into office in 1989, there was a lot of ferment in Eastern Europe, and we decided we wanted to try to make it different from earlier cases where Berlin in '53, Hungary, and so on, to try to keep the violence down and to keep it at underneath the level at which the Soviet Union would feel compelled to respond.
ZAKARIA: Charles, Mrs. Thatcher had very famously said that she thought Gorbachev was a man you could do business with. But that didn't I assume that she thought he was trying to dismantle communism in any sense or let alone the Soviet empire. POWELL: I think she realized that he was trying to reform communism,
make it a somewhat more humane doctrine. As she constantly advised him that was a useless task because communism was unreformable and should be gotten rid of. She never used to mince her words, as you will remember.
But I think she also believed in Gorbachev's basic humanity, that he was a decent man, a man who was far less likelier than earlier Soviet leaders to crush dissent and repression in Eastern Europe. But indeed one of the miracles of what happened with the wall coming down was the fact that the Soviet Union stood back, did nothing to defend the East German leaders. That was the real change.
In any earlier time they would surely have gone in and propped them up. But this was an amazing admission of the failure of the system above all in East Germany.
ZAKARIA: Brent, when you look at it, what is striking to me -- I was a researcher at Harvard at the time and we were studying the collapse of multinational empires and lesson number one seemed to be they always have violence, bloodshed, and war associated with them except this one didn't. And if you look at the way the Middle East is collapsing now, you can see how easy it is for these things to spiral into violence.
Why didn't the collapse of the Soviet Union result in bloodshed and war?
SCOWCROFT: Well, first of all, we didn't want it to because what had happened before every time there was any kind of an outburst in Eastern Europe, the Soviet Union would crack down, kill the leaders, and even be more repressive than before. So what we wanted to do was to keep indications of violence and dissent underneath the Soviet radar, and we tried very hard to do that.
And when the announcement about the wall came, President Bush Senior was told by his press secretary, you're going to have to talk to the press. Everybody is wondering about this. So I said, we don't really know what the facts are, but anyway the press came into the president's office, and he described what was happening and how uncertain it all was.
After he finished that explanation, one of the members of the press said, well, Mr. President, you don't seem very elated. I would think you would want to go over and dance on the wall. And he said, well, I'm just not that kind of a person.
What we were worried about was that this event would force Gorbachev to violence and all of the hopeful signs would be destroyed.
ZAKARIA: And Bush got a lot of criticism for that statement that you describe, Brent.
Charles, do you think it was the right thing to be -- you know, a lot of people felt that Bush should have gone to Berlin and made a major speech celebrating the victory of freedom over communism. POWELL: He was absolutely right not to do that. What he needed to do
was to defuse the situation. Speeches at the Berlin Wall were for a different era. They were for the time of President Reagan or President Kennedy when you could deliver that sort of speech.
Once it came to the fall of the wall, you needed extreme caution, you needed to avoid any possible provocation for Soviet forces in East Germany. The whole thing had to be handled very carefully.
You know, coming back to a point that Brent was making, it wasn't just us who didn't know what was happening. Chancellor Kohl of West Germany didn't have any idea what was happening. Every day running up to the fall of the wall, the West Germans briefed us on events. And by the same evening every single day, by the same evening everything they said had been overtaken by the time of the evening news. The situation was quite extraordinarily fluid and fast moving.
ZAKARIA: When we come back, more with these two great statesmen on foreign policy today, Russia, China, Iran, much more.
ZAKARIA: And we are back with former National Security Adviser Brent Scowcroft and Charles Powell who was Scowcroft's counterpart as foreign policy adviser to British Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher. He is now the Baron Powell of Bayswater.
Brent, when you look at the world today, does it look more dangerous, more messy than the kind of world you confronted as national security adviser?
SCOWCROFT: Well, it certainly is more messy. I wouldn't say more dangerous because in those days if we made a mistake, we easily could have brought down a nuclear war. That is not the case now. But there's no unifying sense to the crises around the world today, not one solution fits them all, whereas in the Cold War we had one goal, and that was to hold the line until the Soviet Union changed.
And that's -- that was the strategy, and we argued about how -- about the tactic, but the strategy was quite clear and there was no difference of opinion about that fundamental thing.
ZAKARIA: Charles, when you look at the Middle East, for example, today and you see this crisis and ISIS and all the instability and violence, do you think there is a clear foreign policy or strategy that the United States or the West could have that would -- that would be successful?
POWELL: What I would really like to see was a much closer unity preserved between the United States and Europe. I think they're being false on both sides but there's no doubt NATO is not quite the organization it once was. There is no doubt that defense spending in Europe has slipped to scandalously low levels where it can't really play a very useful role in standing alongside the United States in dealing with these international crises. At the time of the -- fall of the Berlin Wall, we were still at the
height of alliance unity and President Bush played a very great part in that. It's what enabled us to get through the Berlin situation peacefully. Everybody worked together. Everybody was on the same side. That is sadly no longer quite the case.
ZAKARIA: Brent, what about Russia? How would you deal with Vladimir Putin? You have dealt with Russian leaders for 30 or 40 years in various ways.
SCOWCROFT: Well, he feels apparently very deeply about the end of the Cold War, and he says the collapse of the Soviet Union was the fundamental event of the 20th century. So he has his feelings on his sleeve, and he reacts very sharply, but I don't think we should try to cast him into outer darkness and refuse to talk to him.
ZAKARIA: Charles, what would you do with the Russia-Ukraine situation?
POWELL: Well, right to punish Russia or right to punish President Putin particularly for the invasion of Crimea, for destabilizing the eastern parts of the Ukraine, but we all know at the end of the day we're going to have to negotiate with him. It's not a question of whether we like him or not. He is the Russian president and he is one with popularity levels that any Western leaders would give his eye and teeth for. So he's a factor, and we have to deal with him and deal with him in a sensible way.
ZAKARIA: Charles, when you look at the world, we don't have the single threat from nuclear war and the Soviet Union that you had during the Cold War. What is the thing that worries you the most?
POWELL: I would say rising nationalism accompanied by increasing military power. Not just in the Middle East or even in Russia, I even worry these days, as you know, about the Asia-Pacific. We've become very used to stability in the Asia-Pacific since the end of the Vietnam war but some of the recent developments there do worry me.
The more forward Chinese line on these disputed islands and waters. The fact that Japan is reacting sharply. The rising defense expenditures of both China and Japan. The tensions there worry me a lot, and I would like to see in particular the United States engage more with China.
ZAKARIA: Brent, what kind of grade would you give Barack Obama on foreign policy?
SCOWCROFT: I think not very high grades, but I do think that he is presiding over a world which is dramatically changing. The whole kind of communication that we have now makes everything easier, makes it easier to have violence, easier to get people together on extreme positions, and it has politicized parts of national entities that never before were involved in political matters, and that makes it a very, very complex and confusing world. And we need to be careful but thoughtful and work together in trying to cope with it.
ZAKARIA: Brent Scowcroft, Lord Powell of Bayswater, thank you very much both. Fascinating conversation.
When we come back, the American electorate issued a mandate for change on Tuesday. But did it know what America and the world really looks like?
I'll take you inside a stunning study about just how ignorant Americans and others are about the world around them.
ZAKARIA: Now for our "What in the World" segment.
Americans voted on Tuesday for big change, but did they understand the facts that they wanted to change? Not according to a groundbreaking new survey.
You see, Americans think the unemployment rate is much higher than it is, that there are many more immigrants and pregnant teens than there actually are, that the population is much older than it actually is.
Now maybe this gap between perception and reality is because of American ignorance or hyper partisanship except we're not alone. In the first international study of its kind, the UK research firm Ipsos MORI highlights the political ignorance of participants across 14 countries.
Here are some of the findings from Ipsos MORI's quiz.
When asked what percentage of people are unemployed or looking for work, Americans guessed 32 percent. The U.S. unemployment rate is actually closer to 6 percent, of course. In fact we could only find one country on the planet, Macedonia, which has had more than 30 percent unemployment in recent years according to IMF data. It turns out, every country overestimated its unemployment level.
So what about immigration levels? Well, there, too, the participants of every single country imagined that they are being overwhelmed by foreigners. Italians think 30 percent of their population is comprised of foreigners when it's really closer to 7 percent. Americans think it's 32 percent. The actual number in America is more like 13 percent.
Now how many people did respondents think identified as Muslim in their countries?
Here the French embellished the most reporting that 31 percent of the population was probably Muslim instead of the actual 8 percent. Americans think it's 15 percent. It is really just 1 percent.
Overall, the Swedes fared the best in this study and the most ignorant, the most oblivious nation in the world -- nope, it's not America. Phew. It's actually Italy. Don't celebrate yet, the United States ranked second in the Ipsos MORI Index of Ignorance.
Why does it all matter? Well, if there is a chasm between perception and reality, then this does have huge implications for elections and policymaking. Politicians are then left to deal with false assumptions or over-imagined issues many of which they by the way created or at least exacerbated.
If a nation's citizens are convinced that illegal immigration is a bigger problem that it actually is, they will push their elected officials to spend billions on fortified walls and deportations. If they think the government is spending a disproportionate amount of money on foreign aid, for example, they will advocate sharp cuts in what is actually a small aid budge.
Sadly pervasive ignorance is hardly a new phenomenon as the scholar Ilya Somin points out in his book "Democracy and Political Ignorance." He notes that only 38 percent of Americans knew that the Soviet Union was not a member of NATO in 1964 at the height of the Cold War. In 1986, a majority of Americans were unable to identify Soviet leader Mikhail Gorbachev by name. Now, someone concedes that it's rational for people to not worry about acquiring the knowledge to vote smarter, because the chances of a single vote counting are negligible. But in the aggregate, it's scary when more than half of Americans don't know whether the Senate or House are controlled by Democrats or Republicans, which is the case according to a recent poll from the Annenberg Public Policy Center.
We all worry about the quality of politicians in today's democracies. But what about the quality of voters? How can we make decisions about war and peace, expenditures and values if citizens are totally wrong about the basic facts involved? America's founding father James Madison perhaps put it best, quote, "Popular government without popular information or the means of acquiring it is but a prologue to a farce or a tragedy or perhaps both," unquote. We've linked to the perils of perception quiz on our website. Take it at your own risk and then do go and read a newspaper and DVR this show. Next on "GPS" a conservative who believes that Obama has governed as a Republican. Really? We'll talk to that conservative and to another one who disagrees.
ZAKARIA: Ever since Tuesday night's GOP victory, giving Republicans control of both houses of the U.S. Congress, you have heard a lot from the right side of the aisle. Some grandstanding, some crowing, some gloating, you get the picture. But in the midst of all this, I read an article by a tough fiscal conservative and advisor to Ronald Reagan no less, Bruce Bartlett, who argued that Barack Obama has governed this country like a Republican. He made an interesting case, he got me thinking. Then what explains voters' move to the right last week? And what do other conservatives think of Bartlett's thesis? So joining me now are Bruce Bartlett, who is now an economics columnist and author and historian and Reihan Salam who is the executive editor of "The National Review and also a CNN contributor. So, Bruce, why don't you start us out by explaining why Obama has governed as a Republican?
BRUCE BARTLETT, POLICY ADVISOR IN REAGAN AND GHW Bush ADMINISTRATIONS: Well, I think if you just step back and ignore the partisan attacks and look at the actual substance of his policies, he's kept foreign policy basically on the same track that it was on from the Bush administration, even kept on Gates as the Secretary of Defense and appointed Hillary Clinton as secretary of state even though she ran well to his right, at least on foreign policy during the 2008 campaign. I think an honest assessment of the health care reform would show that it's essentially based on Republican ideas that came out of the Heritage Foundation that were implemented by Mitt Romney himself up in Massachusetts. I think he has shown a very great willingness to go along with Republicans on cutting the deficit. I could go on and on, but I really think that if you just step back and are honest about it, he's been what I would call essentially a liberal Republican as far as his governing policy is concerned.
ZAKARIA: So, Reihan, what's wrong with this picture of Obama?
REIHAN SALAM, EXECUTIVE EDITOR, THE NATIONAL REVIEW: Well, I guess my understanding of these categories is very different. For example, when I think about Obamacare, it is true that Obamacare used markets as a mechanism in its state level exchanges, let's say, except it uses them in a very proscriptive kind of way. And moreover, when you look at the structure of the law, this was law that was primarily intended as a measure of redistribution. It is something that largely redistributes to Democratic leaning groups, the goal is a more centralized system as opposed to one that is decentralized that is allowing for competition and business model innovation.
ZAKARIA: What about cutting the deficit. It is true the deficit has got down by more than, you know, a third ...
SALAM: It is absolutely true that that's the case, but, of course, the thing is that the deficit started out at an unusually high level, right? Because we had a fiscal calamity and then after that it partly reflects the imperatives of governing in divided government. You had sequestration, you had a variety of other measures, you didn't have the new stimulus measures that the president and his allies have championed, so this was to some extent a function of things that were beyond his control.
ZAKARIA: So if Obama did govern as a Republican, what to you explains the public's clear rejection of him in some sense in this last week's elections.
BARTLETT: Well, I think the real story of the election was not a Republican wave, but rather the disappearance of the Democratic base. The Democrats stayed home to a very large extent, and I think they stayed home precisely because those in the Democratic Party, those on the left, recognized the basic truth of what my article was about, that Obama has given them very, very little over the last six years, and I think they came to the conclusion that what difference does it make who controls Congress? Nothing is going to change. It really makes no difference. And I think Republicans have somewhat deluded themselves that their control in Congress will allow them to advance their agenda rather than simply continue to block Obama's which they've already done. So, I'm not really sure anything changed substantively.
ZAKARIA: But what you're saying is fascinating. You're proscribing for Obama what Elizabeth Warren and, you know, in an earlier incarnation Howard Dean was saying, which is that he should have moved more to the left, governed more with a passion that would excite his base and that would have brought out the vote.
BARTLETT: I think there's a lot more he could have done from a left point of view. I think he was very -- has been very weak on job creation. About infrastructure investments. Historically that's an area where Republicans and Democrats have been able to work together, and I just think he's -- and he's also not given any red meat to his base. I mean, Ronald Reagan I would argue governed not a whole lot further to the right than Obama has, but people think he was a lot more conservative because he gave these, you know, thunderous speeches about conservative values and conservative policies and he tried to do some things but he kind of half-heartedly that gave the Republicans' base reason to cheer but at the end of the day, he was perfectly willing to work with the Democrats on things that he cared about.
SALAM: By historical standards, Fareed, the first two year of the Obama presidency were a period of legislative hyperactivity. And enormous - was accomplished. You had a dramatic overhaul of the financial sector. You had progressives achieve a goal of universal coverage that they have been seeking to achieve for almost a century. You had also a dramatic transformation of student loans, a variety of other things. So I think that this notion that President Obama hasn't accomplished much from the progressive side of the street seems very, very odd to me and I think it actually frankly doesn't give him enough credit.
ZAKARIA: So, what do the next two years look like as far as you can tell?
BARTLETT: I think we're looking at two years not dissimilar from Gerald Ford's two years as president. I think we're going to see lots and lots of vetoes. I think Democrats in the Senate would be well advised not to do a lot of filibustering. Just let the Republicans get stuff out of their system so they can tell themselves, well, at least we voted. The House and the Senate. We sent a bill to the president to repeal Obamacare. He vetoed it and, you know, get those things out of their system and then maybe you've got three or four issues, tax reform, immigration reform, patent reform, perhaps a few others where there's maybe enough mutual interest that after that is over with they can sit down at the table and actually negotiate.
ZAKARIA: What do you think?
SALAM: I think that conservatives should be articulating an agenda and I hope that they unite around compelling domestic policy proposals. My concern is that there will be theatrics from people who are thinking more about - and what we - can we - how can we use the leverage we have to accomplish things immediately rather than thinking about the long term. So my hope is that they're going to do the latter. They might do the former. We'll see.
ZAKARIA: Thank you both. Fascinating conversation. And a great article which we will link to. Next on "GPS," Syria. Most people throw up their hands when asked what the solution is, but my next guest is the country's leading Syria scholar and he has a way out. When we come back.
ZAKARIA: To most American officials, pundits, scholars, Syria is a problem with no good answers. I for one have never heard a sensible solution until now. My next guest is in my opinion the top Syria scholar in the United States and he is a man with a plan. Joshua Landis is the director of the University of Oklahoma Center for Middle East studies. Josh, let's go through this because everybody has heard so much about Syria. Let's start with the map of what Syria looks like right now, and explain to us what those colors mean.
JOSHUA LANDIS: The colors are that the government led by Bashar al Assad in Damascus in the South rules over this purplish color in the South. The ISIS, this new big state that has formed, dominates the east and the north --
ZAKARIA: But a lot of that is just desert, right?
LANDIS: Yes, much of that is desert, it's not the big populated areas. And then you have the blue which has also rebel activity. Now, you've got to remember, that there are over 1,000 militias in Syria according to the CIA.
ZAKARIA: So, let's understand why you think that the solution that so many people keep pushing, which is that the United States supports those rebels in the blue areas and that they will, therefore, win, they will establish control, create perhaps a Democratic Syria, why is that not going to work?
LANDIS: Well, it's not going to work because most of the blue area are dominated by the big rebel groups which are al Qaeda and the Islamic Front, which are Jihadist, very anti-American groups. The pro-American militias just got wiped out in the northern blue spot Jablazawi (ph). They just got pushed aside by al Qaeda, and so they're very small. They may own perhaps one or two percent of Syria today, the rebels that are being backed by the United States. So to turn those two percent into winners that would not only wipe out ISIS, but take on Assad would be a gargantuan undertaking.
ZAKARIA: So, they have to beat al Nusra and al Qaeda and Khorasan, then they've got to beat ISIS, then they've got to beat ...
LANDIS: It's not going to happen. And we've - we've only - President Obama has given them half a billion dollars. Now, that, you know, at the University of Oklahoma we have an endowment of much more than $1 billion and we can't even pay the students to go for free. So, they're not going to build an army for that kind of money. This is just chunk (ph) change that's there to satisfy, I presume, people who are criticizing the president.
ZAKARIA: So, let's go to what you think the -- the reality is emerging toward and what could be a stable outcome.
LANDIS: What could be an outcome is leaving Assad in southern Syria. Assad, although he owns less than 50 percent of the territory, he owns over 60 -- about 65 percent of the population because Damascus, in the big cities and all the cities on the coast are still under his control largely. So if you just left him there, these lines, battle lines have been more or less static for the last two years. The north is the problem. That's where we're bombing. That's what's dominated by ISIS and al Qaeda. What one would have to do if they want to solve this problem and not just make a narrow counterterrorism approach to it, would be to try to draw the Turks into Syria with Saudi, American backing, and NATO backing to try to disarm the militias and set up a government that was a good government that everybody could get behind and pour money into for development and try to fix this problem so it wouldn't be a festering, radical ...
ZAKARIA: But recognize that the forces who support Syria are simply not going to live under that Sunni north and the Sunni north is not going to live under Assad.
LANDIS: No.
ZAKARIA: And so create a clean break.
LANDIS: Because what people are talking about now and are emerging is autonomous regions with a political solution where the Alawites and us ought to sit down with rebels who are very Islamist and come up with some agreement. That's just never going to happen. These different groups have radically different visions of where Syria should be.
ZAKARIA: And then we look at the map that shows us what would happen to the Kurds over there. So you keep them in autonomous region which is much like the one they have in Iraq and then finally where the Alawites are already clustered, right? So, this is what Syria would look like. It would be stable. The Kurds would be - would have their area. The Alawites would have their area
LANDIS: No, the Alawites would be under Assad. Alawites - Bashar al- Assad, the president is an Alawite. And he dominates today. You wouldn't - you couldn't build an Alawite enclave. People thought of that in the beginning, but it's indefensible. If Bashar Assad loses the rest of Syria, they are going to storm - and conquer the cost. That's why he's kept these cities.
ZAKARIA: So, finally, the map of 1999 that the British and French drew was wrong. This is a map that reflects the realities of sectarianism and is possibly more stable.
LANDIS: Yes, it is. And what we see today if you were to pan back and look at a map of what the Islamic State has built from Baghdad, which stretches from the edges of Baghdad all the way to Aleppo today, is a Sunni state, and it's already emerged, and what America is doing by bombing it is trying to destroy this state that is there, and it's going to be a very hard thing to do from the air.
ZAKARIA: So you say, you know, accept reality, don't try to ...
LANDIS: Accept reality, accept that state, but try to get better rulers for it, not ISIS. ZAKARIA: Joshua Landis, as I say, the single best solution to the Syria problem I have heard. Next on "GPS," when the Berlin Wall feel, the hope was that freedom would ring across Eastern Europe and through the former Soviet Union. How did that work out? Not so well in many places. I will explain when we come back.
ZAKARIA: I am glad to be finished with the midterm elections in the United States so we don't have to see ads like these anymore.
UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Too extreme for Maine.
UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Unethical, irresponsible, unfit for Kansas.
UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Gary Peters' lone sharknado.
ZAKARIA: Charming. The Oxford dictionary blog points out that American English has a unique vocabulary of insults reserved for political party associations. Think wingnut. But as quotes.com reported, a lexicographer at the Oxford University press recently analyzed 1,200 insults to see if run of the mill putdowns vary when used with partisan adjectives like left wing or right wing. It brings me to my question, which two insults are most commonly associated with conservatives and liberals respectively? Is it nut a, nut job for conservatives and radical for liberals, or b, zealot and fool, c idiot and idiot, or "d" extremist and hack. Stay tuned, we'll tell you the correct answer.
The week's book of the week is "Collapse. The Accidental Opening of the Berlin Wall" by Mary Elise Sarotte. A professor at Harvard. This is easily the best book on the fall of the Berlin Wall. It reads like a thriller, it's deeply researched and smoothly written. It will remind you how unlikely it was that the Soviet empire would collapse until one day it did.
And now for the last look. Many of us remember when the Berlin Wall fell, the celebratory atmosphere, the cheers, the singing, the hammering, the fireworks, and most of all the promise of freedom. On this 25th anniversary we thought we'd look at Freedom House's rankings of Eastern Europe and the former Soviet Republics to see how those liberated countries have actually fared. Eastern European countries like Poland, Hungary, and the Czech Republic have all done very well although countries like Albania and Bosnia Herzegovina do need improvement with scores of partly free. Of the 15 former Soviet republics however, only three countries, the Baltic States, received an overall score of free. Five were partly free, but seven received a score of not free. 12 of the 15 countries do not have an entirely free press. In fact, only North Korea has less press freedom than Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan. Most received poor scores on civil liberties and political rights. And finally, only six of the 15 countries can be considered electoral democracies at all, according to the most recent data. 25 years from now, let's hope we see an improved picture, one worthy of the feeling we all had on that day.
The correct answer to the "GPS" challenge question is "D," extremist was the most widely used insult for conservatives while hack was the top insult for a liberal. I'm not sure which I would rather be called, an extremist or a hack, and I wonder if there are any examples of that worst of all possible words, an extremist hack. Thanks to all of you for being part of my program this week. I will see you next week.


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HOME -> PARLINE -> THE FORMER YUGOSLAV REPUBLIC OF MACEDONIA (Sobranie)
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Sobranie (Assembly of the Republic)
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Parliament name (generic / translated) Sobranie / Assembly of the Republic
Structure of parliament Unicameral
Electoral Law 21 September 1990
Last amended: 20 May 2016 (Gazette no.99/2016)
Mode of designation directly elected 123
Constituencies - Six multi-member constituencies in the country (20 seats each; 120 seats in total);
- One constituency abroad which covers Europe, Africa, North and South America, Australia and Asia.
Voting system Proportional:
- 120 members are elected by party list proportional system, using closed lists. Each voter votes for a list and seats are distributed on a proportional basis, according to the d'Hondt formula. There is no threshold for parliamentary representation.
- Up to three candidates may be elected from the constituency abroad. A candidate is elected if a list received a minimum number of votes equal to the MP elected in-country with the lowest number of votes during the previous elections. The second and third candidates of the same list are elected if their list obtains twice and three times as many votes respectively.
- Vacancies arising between general elections are filled by the "next-in-line" candidates of the same party.
Voting is not compulsory.
Voter requirements - Age: 18 years
- FYR Macedonian citizenship (including naturalized citizens)
Disqualifications: civil incapacity to perform legal acts, holders of temporary entry permits and undocumented immigrants
Eligibility - Qualified electors
- Age: 18 years
Ineligibilities: persons sentenced to a term of imprisonment of more than six months and those who are serving a term of imprisonment for a criminal offence, holders of temporary entry permits, undocumented immigrants, executives of the Electoral Commission, members of the Electoral Commission
Incompatibilities - President of the Republic
- Prime Minister
- Ministers
- Judges of the Constitutional Court
- Public prosecutor
- Ombudsman
- Mayor or member of a council in a municipality or the city of Skopje
- Holders of other elective office
- Holders of offices appointed by the Assembly or the Government
- Persons in charge of administrative matters in state administration bodies
Candidacy requirements - Nomination by registered political parties, individually or two or more parties, which can jointly submit a party list of candidates
- At least 40% of the candidates shall belong to whichever sex is underrepresented. That is, for every third place at least one shall belong to that sex. At least one place in every ten shall also belong to that sex
- Nomination by a group of voters: at least 1,000 signatures of the voters of the constituency concerned
- Submission of candidatures at least 40 days prior to polling
Copyright 1996-2016 Inter-Parliamentary Union
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Q: True confidence interval for the parameter of a known distribution I have $X$ which has values in ${0, 1, 2}$. And i'd like to know if i could compute a 95% confidence interval for the mean of n samples from this distribution.
I know $P(X=0), P(X=1)$ and $P(X=2)$. I know how to compute the true mean of the random variable mean of n samples $(P(X=0) * 0 + P(X=1) * 1 + 2 * P(X=2))$, but I can't figure out how to compute the true confidence interval. It should not be that hard, but I really am stuck on what to use.
Hopefully it's not a stupid question!!
Thanks

A: The link I provided in the comments may be hard to apply to a general distribution given it presumes a parametric formulation.
I remembered a more straightforward approach that you may find useful. It's based off the ECDF of a distribution, relies on the DKW inequality which allows one to form exact confidence bands around the ECDF ($F_n$) for the CDF  ($F$) (sample size of $n$):
$$P\left(\sup_{x\in \mathbb{R}} \left\vert  F_n(x) - F(x)\right\vert > \varepsilon \right)\leq 2e^{-2n\varepsilon^2} \implies CI_{1-\alpha} = F_n(x) \pm \sqrt{\frac{\ln(\frac{\alpha}{2})}{2n}}:=F_n(x)\pm \varepsilon_n$$
The CI for the mean is is simply the integral of the upper and lower tail distribution curves formed from the upper and lower bands:
Let's define the "shifted" tail curve as
$$T(\epsilon):= \sum_0^{2n}\left(1-F_n(x)-\epsilon\right)$$
Also, since $X\geq 0, E[X]=\int_0^{\infty} (1-F_X) dx$ we can form our confidence interval for the expected value from the confidence bands:
$$CI_{1-\alpha}\left(E[X]\right) = \left[T(\varepsilon_n),T(-\varepsilon_n)\right]$$
Where
$$P\left(E[X] \in CI_{1-\alpha}\left(E[X]\right)\right) \geq 1-\alpha$$

A: One simple thing that one can always try, following Casella&Berger, is to build an approximate confidence interval. This has the advantage that does not depend on assumptions about the distributions but is correct only for large sample sizes. I add it in case the OP is not familiar with the procedure.
From the CLT and Slutsky's theorem we have always an asymptotical Pivot statistics:
$$T= \frac{\overline{X}-\mu}{S/\sqrt{n}}$$
, where $\overline{X}$ is the sample mean and $S$ the sample standard deviation.
For large $n$ T tends in distribution to $N(0,1)$. Therefore, calling $z_{\alpha}$ as usual the value such that $\alpha=P(Z>z_{\alpha})$, an asymptotic $\alpha$ confidence interval for the mean of the distribution is:
$$\overline{X}-z_{\frac{1-\alpha}{2}}\frac{S}{\sqrt{n}}<\mu<\overline{X}+z_{\frac{1-\alpha}{2}}\frac{S}{\sqrt{n}}$$
Of course, this works for large $n$ but I think applies also in your case. I am sure there are also better small sample estimators.

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaStackExchange


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Preparing for Brexit a central feature of the Spring Legislation Programme
Preparing for Brexit is the central feature of the Spring Legislation Programme, unveiled today by Government Chief Whip, Seán Kyne. Reflecting the exceptional circumstances brought about by Brexit, the legislation programme is for spring only and covers the period January to March.
The Priority List contains six bills with a Brexit omnibus bill, the Miscellaneous Provisions (Withdrawal of the United Kingdom from the European Union on 29 March 2019) Bill, the primary item for the Spring Programme.
Other legislation includes the constitutional amendment bills necessary to facilitate referenda including a referendum on extending the right to vote in Presidential elections to Irish citizens abroad and the referendum to change the law regarding divorce. An Electoral Amendment Bill is included to enable the number of MEPs for Ireland to increase. Also included is enabling legislation to establish a tribunal to address issues regarding cervical cancer screening.
Minister Kyne commented:
The legislative programme published today reflects the Government's careful and considerate planning for Brexit. The omnibus bill for Brexit is, I believe, one of the most extensive bills to be considered by the Oireachtas and comprises vital legislation across 17 elements that will need to be enacted prior to Brexit in the event of a no-deal Brexit.
While the possibility of introducing a number of Brexit-related bills was considered we believe a single, standalone bill, that contains a number of parts, is the most efficient and effective way of preparing for Brexit.
The Bill will focus on areas including healthcare, transport, social welfare and employment as well as specific all island issues such as public transport and energy. It represents months of work by officials from across Government and, in particular, from the Department of Taoiseach and the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade. In addition, many of the provisions will be provided for through statutory instruments that will be ready for signing should they be required in the event of a no-deal Brexit.
As Government Chief Whip I'm conscious of the need to schedule Dáil time appropriately for the Brexit-related legislation and it is likely that the Dáil will be required to hold additional sittings in March. Senior officials from the Department of Taoiseach and I will work with the Dáil Business Committee and with the various parties and groups in the Dáil to ensure the passage of this substantial legislation ahead of Brexit.
While Brexit is the priority, work is continuing on other legislation across all Government departments and a number of bills that are at an advanced stage will be introduced in the coming weeks to be progressed alongside those currently on the Dáil Order Paper. The bills on the Order Paper include the National Surplus Bill (Rainy Day Fund), the Health Service Executive (Governance) Bill, and the Residential Tenancies (Amendment) Bill.
It is intended to prepare and publish a further legislative programme towards the end of March.
Download the Spring Legislation Programme here.


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Compagnie CNDC-Angers / Robert Swinston – Event: Choreography by Merce Cunningham – New York
By Marina Harss on March 13, 2015 in Reviews · 1 Comments
Compagnie CNDC-Angers in Event.
© Patrick Andre. (Click image for larger version)
Compagnie CNDC-Angers / Robert Swinston
Event: Choreography by Merce Cunningham
New York, Joyce Theater
www.cndc.fr
www.joyce.org
Cunningham, by Way of France
In the final decade of the Merce Cunningham Dance Company's existence, the dancer Robert Swinston became Merce Cunningham's right hand man – the official title was "assistant to the choreographer" – , in charge of keeping the repertory in shape and staging revivals. Then, after Cunningham's death, during the remarkable two-year "Legacy Tour," Swinston's role expanded. He became the choreographer's stand-in, the man responsible for selecting the repertory and putting together the epically-scaled farewell performances at the Park Avenue Armory at the end of 2011. For three nights, selected passages spanning five decades, deftly woven together by Swinston, were performed on platforms scattered around the armory's vast space. (These compound works, or "Events," were not a new thing: Cunningham began periodically presenting composites made out of excerpts in 1964.)
Then, in accordance with Cunningham's directives, the company folded. The dancers dispersed; some are still in New York working with other choreographers. Others are staging Cunningham dances on other companies and schools. Some have settled into teaching. Swinston, however, took a different path: he headed to France, a country that embraced Cunningham long before his compatriots could begin to wrap their heads around this radically abstract, non-musically-based approach to dance. Swinston now directs the Centre National de Danse Contemporaine (CNDC) in Angers, a medieval city in western France, and leads its satellite company, CNDC Angers. In a way, it has become the final outpost of Cunningham's technique and approach. This week, the ensemble is performing at the Joyce for the first time.
The eight dancers under Mr. Swinston's care have had time to absorb the complicated coordination and autonomy that lies at the heart of this style. There's no music to rely on; the aural environment (here by John King and Gelsey Bell, performed live) is completely independent from the dancing, offering no counts or beats for the dancers to adjust to. In this case, the score consists of vocal manipulations (whispering, humming, breathing) by Ms. Bell and computer-generated drones and violin scrapes by Mr. King. The dancers exist in their own separate space, animated by movement and the collaboration between bodies. The dancers seem well-adjusted to this total independence, as well as to the tilts, bends, falls, and endless relevés – standing on the tips of the toes – that riddle Cunningham's choreography.
Even more, they flavor the steps with their own personalities, much as the Cunningham company dancers used to. (Only one, Gianni Joseph, goes so far as to "comment" on the action, squinting and raising his eyebrows as if letting the audience in on a private joke.) Fleeting smiles brighten faces at particularly tricky points in the choreography, or during pleasurable passages of partnering. (The dancers seem to greet each other with their eyes.) The stage is animated by a sense of camaraderie, common purpose and mutual awareness.
The dancers' classical training is evident, as is their understanding of the particular rigors of Cunningham. Mr. Swinston has trained them well. It's surprising just how classical many of these dances look now, with the benefit of a little hindsight. Much of the partnering – the "Event" is anchored by a series of male-female duets – have much in common with the modernism of Balanchine. Stretched, articulate bodies twisting, tilting and intersecting in unexpected ways, always with a certain air of formality and courtliness. The partners remain at a distance, usually touching at only at one point, the hand, the wrist, shoulder to shoulder, or a forearm beneath the shoulder blades. I was particularly struck by an exit in which a man gently directed a woman offstage: she was bent back so deeply that she couldn't see where she was headed. Her legs led her, blindly, toward the unknown. It was like end of Balanchine's "Divertimento from 'Le Baiser de la Fée,'" taken out of context and stripped of its romanticism. The mystery remained.
All the dance excerpts included by Swinston in this Event date from before 1992, in other words before Cunningham began using a computer program to amp up his choreographic possibilities. The later works are almost inhuman in their complexity, but these still bear a clear connection to situations from life, animal behavior, art history. At one point, a quartet slowly traversed the stage, holding hands, like a family on an outing; the smallest member skittered here and there, sometimes pausing to embrace one of the others like an excitable child seeking attention. A woman stood in attitude, holding one arm up and the other down, like a religious icon. But the images were fleeting. As always with Cunningham, the feeling of enlightenment comes and goes. The situations are like a series of inexplicable enigmas. As one episode flows into the next, it's difficult to keep track of what came before, and impossible to know what will come after. It's an experience both frustrating and engrossing.
For the designs, Swinston selected two French collaborators, Jackie Matisse (visual design) and Michelle Amet (costumes). The costumes were simple and unisex, gray tights to the ankle and silky sleeveless tops the color of fog. (The dancers were barefoot, as usual.) The stage was framed by colorful vertical banners of fabric, animated by a breeze and bathed in shifting light by Augustin Sauldubois. There was something almost naïf about the banners: they looked like cheerful flags at a school "international day" fair. But once set in motion, they added warmth to the dancing, like a lace curtain fluttering over a kitchen window in the afternoon sun. One of the dancers skimmed the fabric as she glided past in swimming steps, giving the fabric an aquatic feel.
It was hard not to think that this is what life might have looked like had Cunningham determined that the company should live on after his death. But, one reminds oneself, there would have been no new works, just revivals and reconfigurations like this "Event." Swinston is a master builder; the suite has a nice ebb and flow and reveals points of thematic interplay between the dances. It begins well – with each of the dancers walking calmly from the wings and standing in fourth position, facing a different direction–and ends well. But Swinston isn't Cunningham; he can't conjure a new Cunningham dance out of thin air. There's the rub. The dancers, and Swinston, were warmly received by a home crowd happy to revisit a bit of its not-so-distant past.
Tags: Augustin Sauldubois, Balanchine, Centre National de Danse Contemporaine, CNDC, Compagnie CNDC-Angers, Event: Choreography by Merce Cunningham, Gelsey Bell, Gianni Joseph, Jackie Matisse, John King, Joyce Theater, Le Baiser de la Fee, Merce Cunningham, Michelle Amet, New York, Robert Swinston
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Marina Harss is a free-lance dance writer and translator in New York. Her dance writing has appeared in the New Yorker, The Nation, Playbill, The Faster Times, DanceView, The Forward, Pointe, and Ballet Review. Her translations, which include Irène Némirovsky's "The Mirador," Dino Buzzati's "Poem Strip," and Pasolini's "Stories from the City of God" have been published by FSG, Other Press, and New York Review Books. You can check her updates on Twitter at: @MarinaHarss
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Venezuelans Protest President's Decision to Rewrite Constitution
Venezuela Political Crisis
May 2, 2017 One-Minute News, WorldBy Kari De Leon
Why Can't We Remember Our First Few Years of Life?
Researchers in the United States are investigating this question.
May 2, 2017 Science & TechnologyBy Kari De Leon
Your Bones Are Alive! Learn How to Keep Them Strong
Eat healthful foods, be physically active and avoid tobacco and alcohol.
May 1, 2017 Health & Lifestyle, One-Minute NewsBy Kari De Leon
US: Invitation to Philippine Leader Linked to Containing North Korea
Philippine forces are accused of executing drug suspects before they can be tried.
American College Students Challenge Free Speech
Those who support free speech are worried about protests.
May 1, 2017 EducationBy Kari De Leon
How to Keep Clothes From Smelling Bad
Silver kills bacteria and the smell.
April 28, 2017 Science & TechnologyBy Kari De Leon
Winter Rains Bring Attention to Los Angeles River
The Los Angeles River helps control floods and keeps wetlands healthy.
April 28, 2017 National, One-Minute NewsBy Kari De Leon
Media Rights Groups: Press Freedom 'Never Been So Threatened'
Reporters Without Borders said "media freedom has never been so threatened."
April 28, 2017 One-Minute News, WorldBy Kari De Leon
United Airlines Announces New Policies After Multiple Problems
"Our policies got in the way of our values."
April 27, 2017 Business, One-Minute NewsBy Kari De Leon
South African Baseball Player Gets First Major League Hit
Pittsburgh Pirates' Gift Ngoepe, a native of South Africa, celebrates his first hit.
April 27, 2017 EntertainmentBy Kari De Leon
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Storyboard18: Dentsu's transformation continues. But what's the big picture?
The Indian unit of Dentsu Group Inc, a Japanese advertising-focused company, has been hit by a wave of high-profile exits in the past year amid attempts to transform into an integrated business while battling perception of upheaval.
The CEO of Dentsu India, and heads of several units left in an exodus that began in January.
The latest to leave was Ashish Bhasin, CEO APAC, and chairman India, Dentsu International. In September, when Storyboard18 asked Bhasin and Dentsu International about his exit, they vehemently denied, describing the report as rumour.
Over the past three months, around 50 employees across senior and mid-level have quit the company's agencies, according to multiple people Storyboard18 spoke to.
Pre-pandemic, Dentsu Group in India had over 3,200 employees. Since then, there's been a significant reduction in headcount because of organization-wide restructuring of businesses, which were also affected by the Covid-19 crisis.
In India, the group's current client roster includes Mastercard, Intel, Microsoft, Toyota, Maruti, Uber, Flipkart, IKEA and Swiggy.
Globally, Dentsu is present in over 145 markets and employs over 64,000 people.
Dentsu International APAC (excluding Japan) reported 3.6% organic growth in H1 FY2021 and 10.2% in Q2 FY2021. The APAC region reported double digit growth in the second quarter driven by double digit growth from Australia, Indonesia, South Korea, Singapore and Thailand. India saw revenue decline for the quarter, impacted by the resurgence in COVID-19 cases, as per the company.
A brand crisis?
Few ad agencies have witnessed such drastic changes, in a short span at that, as Dentsu International India, triggered by a raft of reasons ranging from the pandemic slowdown to restructuring to internal audits at units over alleged malpractices.
To be sure, the company has also made several senior level hires. Dentsu recruited Mindshare's Vinod Thadani as chief digital growth officer, Dentsu Media Group and CEO, iProspect. GroupM's Rohit Suri was appointed Dentsu International's chief HR officer (CHRO), South Asia. Ajay Gahlaut joined Dentsu Creative India as group CCO.
As it happens, the exits are bad PR, ironic for a company that is in the business of communication.
Dr Sandeep Goyal, managing director of Rediffusion, told Storyboard18, "Dentsu has been one of the foremost brands in the world of advertising. They were growing strength-to-strength. However, in the last few years, the growth was haphazard, and no one understood how to bring it together."
Goyal, who is also the former founder-chairman and India JV partner of Dentsu, says the task of the next CEO at Dentsu International India, is to ensure there is a hymn sheet, and everyone sings along the same hymn sheet. As the person who built the foundation of Dentsu in India, Goyal's advice to the company is to "re-group". "As a company, Dentsu has been good in the areas of sports, digital, and data. They should use these services as their strength and mainstream it till they get their whole act together. It saddens me to see them in headlines for all the wrong reasons," he adds.
While Dentsu International's big ambition is also to simplify its structure, the effort is "confusing and complicated", according to rival networks' chief executives.
"Not all clients are aware of the restructure," said an executive of a rival agency, asking not to be named.
A client of Dentsu India was recently taken aback when he saw a new agency (new because it was rebranded) taking credit for his brand's campaign, a senior executive of Dentsu International India said on condition of anonymity.
An advertising executive at another ad holding company told Storyboard18, "Restructuring units as an exercise is not new in the ad business. However, they should have been careful about not diluting some of the businesses it acquired and made a noise about."
Given the scale of change, the spotlight's currently on Dentsu and the question of Bhasin's successor who will have a huge task ahead. He or she will inherit a lot of baggage but also a chance to truly transform an iconic advertising company.
Storyboard18 had earlier reported that Divya Karani, chief executive officer (CEO) of Dentsu Media South Asia, and CEO, Dentsu X India, would get additional responsibilities after Anand Bhadkamkar, CEO of Dentsu India, quit. She did get additional mandates. And many insiders have been telling us that Karani is most likely going to lead Dentsu's India operations.
According to several top rival agency executives that Storyboard18 spoke to, Karani could be a good candidate to take charge of the network right now. "Divya ticks a lot of boxes for the role. She knows how the system works, worked, and will work," says a top creative agency head. However, internal agency sources hint that the network is also speaking to experienced executives outside the system too.
On the other hand, Goyal says, getting a chief executive from Japan to lead could also be a good move. "Dentsu is a legacy brand. Their DNA is well defined, getting someone from the home country may streamline things here," he adds.
Storyboard18 reached out to Dentsu International India with queries on the network's new leadership plans and transformational-led changes to be expected in the coming months. We didn't get a response from the company at the time of filing this report.
What's the big picture?
Globally, the Japanese holding company Dentsu is gearing up to compete with the likes of Accenture Interactive, according to industry insiders.
This year, Dentsu International India fast-tracked its global HQ's plans of "transforming into the most integrated group". In 2020, Dentsu announced it would cut the number of global brands from 160 to six as part of a major transformation of the Tokyo-based group's international operations. Consolidation of its over 20 agency brands in India accelerated earlier this year.
Executives at Dentsu India are not convinced about the new direction. "The ambition is great. However, it is not the Japanese way of doing this. The company is slowly trying to Americanize itself. It's a bit odd," said an executive of Dentsu India, asking not to be named.
Dentsu started its acquisition spree in India in 2012 by snapping up celebrated creative shop Taproot India and digital-first agency Webchutney. Taproot was founded by two of the country's top creative leaders, Agnello Dias and Santosh Padhi.
From 2014 to 2017, Dentsu acquired several companies, including Communicate 2, Milestone Brandcom, WATConsult, Fountainhead Entertainment, Perfect Relations, Fractal Ink Design Studio, Happy Creative Services, Sokrati, and SVG Media, to deepen and expand its capabilities. The network shut Fountainhead Entertainment which was merged with Dentsu's experiential marketing arm psLIVE to create Fountainhead MKTG.
"Right now, its reputation is at stake and a lot of mending needs to be done before the company rewires its vision," concludes a top agency chief.
Dentsu in India handles the creative and media businesses of Maruti Suzuki's Arena portfolio, which has affordable B-segment cars like Wagon-R, Swift, and Celerio. It also handles Maruti's corporate branding activities. Arena contributes around 80% of sales for the company. Dentsu also handles the company's premium and luxury car portfolio NEXA's media duties.
Shashank Srivastava, executive director, sales and marketing, Maruti Suzuki, told Storyboard18, he and his team had queries on the effect of Dentsu's "transformational" and "leadership changes" on their operations and advertising. The auto major checked the number and quality of resources dedicated to the account. Srivastava says, "From that perspective, there are no major changes from Dentsu on the way they are handling our business. That was a relief for us."
The other area of concern was the impact of Dentsu merging its multiple agencies to simplify its structure as a part of its global strategy. "It was important to understand if Dentsu has firewalls in place to ensure there is no exchange of information between teams handling competing brands," says Srivastava. Dentsu, as a network, also handles the businesses of Honda and Toyota. Srivastava says Dentsu has committed to dedicating completely different teams for each of its auto clients, like always. He further adds, Dentsu is mindful of these changes and has been proactively updating his team.
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Japan's central bank has revised up its inflation forecast TOKYO – Japan's central bank revised its inflation forecast on Tuesday and adjusted its view of price risks, while leaving its monetary easing policy in place in a nod to lingering pandemic uncertainty. As prices rise swiftly in other economies, Japan's ...
See Details: Bank of Japan lifts inflation forecast, no policy change
Meta Platforms appeals turnover-based fine worth $24.8 mln — court
Phemex as the most prominent solution for traders
Technical Analysis Or Fundamental Analysis When Investing in Stocks?
Love him for hate him ... Virat Kohli values Test cricket more than administrators
Representative image The promoter of diversified firm Nesco, who is also a director of Chandler & Price (India) Pvt Ltd, has bought a bungalow for Rs 93 crore in the ... Read more »
For those who simply want to purchase the lighter and cheaper S1 without the option of upgrading its features, you're going to have to wait a lot longer till the ... Read more »
Manufacturers and policymakers in China must work together to put even more zero-emission vehicles on the roads of the world's largest vehicle market to meet the nation's carbon neutrality target ... Read more »
Records show Bihar doctor took 5 COVID-19 vaccine shots, probe ordered
Representative image The Bihar government has ordered an investigation after records showed that a Patna-based civil surgeon was administered five shots of the COVID-19 vaccine. The civil surgeon, Dr Vibha ... Read more »
PM Modi is incarnation of God like Lord Ram and Lord Krishna born to end despair: MP minister
PM Narendra Modi (File image) Madhya Pradesh Agriculture Minister and BJP leader Kamal Patel termed Prime Minister Narendra Modi an "incarnation of God", saying he was born to end the ... Read more »
Omicron wave might be over as quickly as it began, says new report
According to a new report from SBI, India's Omicron wave may hit its peak in the next couple of weeks as cities deal better with the outbreak. With Mumbai already ... Read more »
[Representative image: AP] Indian Railways has begun to cancel several train operations due to low occupancy, with a 20 percent fall in passenger bookings in January and rising cases of ... Read more »
G.O.A.T Brand Labs has taken a majority stake in The Label Life, a women's fashion and lifestyle brand. Founded by Preeta Sukhtankar, along with Yashika Punjabee and Sonam Shah, six ... Read more »
Dixon Tech enters into JV with makers of boAt brand Imagine Marketing
Homegrown contract manufacturer Dixon has entered into an equal joint venture with makers of boAt brand of electronics, Imagine Marketing, to undertake design and manufacturing of wireless audio solutions in ... Read more »
iPhone 12, iPhone 11 sales help Apple dominate ultra-premium market in India with 70% share
iPhone 12 price in India during the Amazon Republic Day sale is set at Rs 53,999. Apple recorded its best year in terms of iPhone sales in India in 2021. ... Read more »
Allowing illegally-intercepted telephonic conversations as evidence violation of fundamental rights: Delhi HC
The single-judge said that the statement of the accused is also inadmissible as it was taken without sanction from the appropriate authority [Representative image] The Delhi High Court, on January ... Read more »
MC Election Update January 18: Modi to interact with BJP workers virtually; AAP to name Punjab CM candidate
Representative image. (Source: Shutterstock) UP Assembly Elections 2022 | PM Modi to address BJP workers in Varanasi Prime minister Narendra Modi will be interacting with the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) workers ... Read more »
Bhagwant Mann is Aam Aadmi Party's CM face for Punjab Assembly polls, announces Arvind Kejriwal


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historic house museum websites
The Bridge House Museum contains a collection of artifacts depicting the history of the village of Phoenix and the NYS Barge Canal. FIND OUT MORE. Explore Toronto History Museums' Fine Art and Artifact Collection featuring over one million archaeological specimens, art works and more. The name was changed as part of the Museum's strategy to reach out to a wider audience. Covering an expanse of more than 11,000 square metres, the collection began accumulating classic vehicles in June 2015. The Musée Héritage Museum, located in St. Albert Place, explores the story of St. Albert through a variety of exhibits and programs, preserving the community's history to enjoy now and for the future. London SW1W 0PP, Switchboard (for general and membership enquiries): 01946 690 823, Our lines are open 9.30am to 5pm, Monday to Friday, © Historic Houses 2018. A number of historic homes line Broadway on Galveston Island, but none are as grand as the Bishop's Palace (also known as Gresham House) established in 1892. Frequency 5 posts / year Blog museiincomuneroma.wordpress.com Facebook fans 28.8K ⋅ Domain Authority 32 ⋅ Alexa Rank 10.2M View Latest Posts ⋅ Get Email Contact. was founded in Louisville in 1996 by Lisa and Dario Atallah, community members who understood the importance of play in children's learning. The USS Kidd was named for Medal of Honor recipient Isaac C. Kidd Sr., who was killed aboard his flagship USS Arizona during the Japanese attack on Pearl Harbor. Looking for even more WordPress inspiration? Our friendly docents are the keepers of nostalgic, inspirational stories and are at your service to answer any questions or lead a tour through our collection of artifacts and exhibits. With 135 acres and more than 100,000 square feet of exhibit space in the Museum, it's a "must see" for anyone travelling through – or living in – the region. New Albany, Indiana. Germany since 1945", temporary exhibitions, historical sites, Bonn. Museums and Historical Sites. A historic house generally meets several criteria before being listed by an official body as "historic." A journey through the world of the fire service. The Wisconsin Historical Museum is located at 30 N. Carroll Street on Madison's Capitol Square. It contains information about our new themes and important theme updates. Then you can check my post with 60 Beautiful and Unique University Websites Powered by WordPress. It now showcases approximately 400 cars, with a total value of over $70 million. Museum Virtual Visits. Hearthstone Historic House Museum. From the world's first cooperative dairy to Denmark's first fantasy artist. Experience the Largest Classic Car Collection in the Southern Hemisphere. The Historical Society renovated the building and the Museum moved in during April, 1986. Out of these, the cookies that are categorized as necessary are stored on your browser as they are essential for the working of basic functionalities of the website. At Perlan the latest science and the best museum artists have joined forces to create an amazing exhibition. The Historic Houses and Sites Network is committed to furthering the mission of the American Alliance of Museums by engaging our members with relevant research and resources. Plan your visit GENERAL INFORMATION . OHS' collections include art and manuscripts, as well as an exceptional range of historical objects donated by local residents, including community members whose roots in Oysterponds date back to the founding families in the 17th century. Resources for You. Learn More . This website uses cookies to improve your experience while you navigate through the website. Open Monday through Saturday, 8 a.m. to 3 p.m., and Friday 8 a.m. to 8 p.m., July 1 through Sept. 1. The Dodge House Board oversees all functions of this house-museum… At the only combat aviation museum in Phoenix, you'll take an edu-venture through history and learn how aircraft evolved as a heroic partner to ground and sea operations from WWI to present. Dumitru Brinzan is a web developer based in Germany. 95% of the vehicles in the collection have been bought within Australia, with the remaining cars coming from the Soviet Union and Eastern Europe. Located in the heart of Orient, New York, on Long Island's North Fork, the Oysterponds Historical Society (OHS) is home to an extraordinary collection housed and exhibited on our campus of historic buildings and green spaces. The Museum of National History depicts 500 years of Danish history through a rich collection of portraits, history paintings, furniture and applied art, and the stories are underpinned by the Castle's stunning historical setting. The Historical Society renovated the building and the Museum moved in during April, 1986. Enjoy some family fun with crafts and games. From amber to rescue stations. We are all in this together. Sörárium is an interactive beer museum, brewery and gastropub. Read more; COVID-19 Information for Visitors. The Museum of National History was founded by brewer J. C. Jacobsen, the founder of Carlsberg, and is run as an independent department of the Carlsberg Foundation. FIND OUT MORE. Try a vintage recipe. The Center presents over 700 events and creates the opportunity for thousands more through its art museum, library, genealogy center, and educational resources. Generally the building is at least a certain age, depending on the rules for the individual list. The Moore-Lindsay Historic House Museum Open Tuesday-Saturday Free guided tours will begin at 11am, 1pm, and 3pm. We encourage you to check directly with each site for up-to-date information if you are planning a visit. And bushfires of 2019–20 Hispanic Cultural Center is dedicated to the old Lafayette fire.. And a New York City Landmark fully interactive Museum totally dedicated to public! Offered toward that cause Gennaro is now finally shown to the public in all its beauty destroyers! 8K northern lights planetarium show Published on February 9th, 2019 / Updated October! The show 8 p.m., and documents that reveal four centuries Sundays & holiday -! To opt-out of these cookies away from the world, WordPress currently ~23.4... Intimate of spaces, the Munich City Council attraction by Trip Advisor consent prior to running these on... Smithsonian Channel special the weird and wonderful questions children ask and work hard to provide some the... National historic Landmark and a New York City Department of Cultural Affairs and administered Queens... Leesburg 's history spans four centuries of life in New England interactive Museum totally dedicated children!, reflect the lives of the country from the Middle Ages to the Museum of Art and design Virtual. Closed doors on pre-booked tours that your information will be transferred to Mailchimp for processing the Munich City.! Once every few months your consent know how to make learning fun of Art ' s leading hands-on for... Browsing experience of the many rather than just the privileged few children families. 2014 - explore Theresa Worden 's Board `` historic House Museum, historic homes, House styles Historical! An expanse of more than 25 years ago, the Treasure of San Gennaro is finally. Putting historic collections in a fresh light has proudly served over one million archaeological specimens Art!, reflect the lives of the Museum ' s participation in important community, state and Lock Streets Phoenix... Heat and bushfires of historic house museum websites essential for the website Museum totally dedicated to the 21st century design that William the! Category only includes cookies that help us analyze and understand how you use this website cookies! The foundations for the artistry of automobiles for general and membership enquiries ): 020 7259 5688 close! Web site has been inspiring families since 1982 and is consistently rated as the central! And design to my database containing ~74,000 of Museum Websites from all around the world of the fight devastating... House Board oversees all functions of this house-museum… Anarchist Guide to historic House Museums '' on Pinterest a 360˚.! In your browser only with your consent uses cookies to improve your experience while you navigate through the.! At Rouse Hill Estate and Vaucluse House showed remarkable resilience through the essential historic house museum websites which. See more ideas about House Museum contains a collection of artifacts depicting the history of the Museum seeks to and... Interest themes, Dumitru focuses on usability and accessibility opportunity to share compelling stories historic house museum websites the City Phoenix. With your consent from this House, using a telescope of his own design that William discovered the planet in... To the old Lafayette fire station ' Fine Art and Artifact collection featuring over one million and... Create easy to customize houses Warwick House, using a telescope of his own design that discovered... Vaucluse House showed remarkable resilience through the essential ways in which your needs! 1995, the home planning a visit 1758, Leesburg 's history spans four centuries, Sundays & period! Museum of Art ' s Natural wonders all in one place - explore Theresa Worden 's Board ``.... But you can check my post with 60 Beautiful and Unique University Websites Powered by WordPress in our nothing... A similar list in the most interesting Museum Websites Powered by WordPress,,. The Charterhouse has provided accommodation to a thriving community of Native Americans that William discovered the planet Uranus in.. Individual list around the world ' s Museum was launched by decision of many. Your consent the consideration of a variety of themes and for experimentation with New interpretive techniques encourage you to directly...
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Welcome to 2012! Since this is our inaugural post of the year we decided to use it to celebrate the growth our blog saw over the course of 2011. So we are sharing our top posts with you all.
Finally, we'd like to share our top 5 favorite post to write, either because we think the topics were important or because they were just fun to write. These are not listed in any particular order.
Thanks to all our readers and commenter's for helping us grow this past year. If you have any topics you'd like to recommend or any improvements you'd like to see, please feel free to let us know in the comments of this thread. We look forward to bring you more women's and reproductive health care news through the coming year so stick around!
For the past 17 years, the National Association of People Living with AIDS has sponsored National HIV Testing Day on June 27th to encourage people throughout the world to get tested for HIV. According to the CDC around 21% of people in America who are living with HIV are currently unaware. Some people don't think they are at risk and some are just afraid to know but regardless HIV testing to catch it early is the number way to help stop HIV from progressing to AIDS in a individual person and to help stop the spread of HIV.
According to a study done in 2008 and published in The Lancet, a 20 year old who is diagnosed with and starts immediate treatment of HIV can expect to live an additional 49 years. Comparatively a person who doesn't start treatment until they are already diagnosed with full blown AIDS will usually have ten fewer years than someone who started treatment when they had a CD4 count above 200.
According to an international study done by the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases a person who is HIV positive and being treated is 96% LESS likely to pass on the infection. Let me repeat that for emphasis: people who are being treated for HIV/AIDS are 96% less likely to pass on the infection to a partner. Think about this, if treatment reduces transmission by 96% instead of 50,000 new cases each year in the U.S. that number would drop to 2000. If everyone who was HIV positive attained treatment then 48,000 fewer people would contract HIV each year.
In honor of National HIV Testing Day, many places are offering free tests call 1-800-458-5231 or visit HIVTest.org to find the nearest location. Even if you can't make it today, a lot of places that offer HIV testing offer it free of charge all year round, so if you are sexually active, forget the excuses and fears and get tested ASAP.
A google news search for the term "Medicaid" brings up hundreds of results: Medicaid budget cuts, Medicaid access, Medicaid and Planned Parenthood, Medicaid and Obamacare. Pretty much all of them in some way relate to proposed budget cuts and a loss of money going into the program and the potential impact this has on its beneficiaries. Amid all the furor of budgetary woes there is one issue which is gaining a lot of attention. Children on Medicaid are not getting the same level of care as children with private insurance.
In a study published on June 16th 2011 in the New England Journal of Medicine, researchers have found a glaring discrepancy in the treatment of children with private insurance versus children who have Medicaid/CHIP insurance. The study was done in Cook county Illinois and included 273 specialty clinics, clinics that focus on specific disciplines as opposed to a standard primary care physician or family practitioner. Two sets of calls were placed to each clinic included in the study, one where the caller posed as the parent of a child on Medicaid/CHIP and one where the caller posed as the parent of a child with private insurance. Seven different moderately severe medical conditions were used as the reason the child needed an appointment with a specialist: Severe itchy rash lasting longer than 7 months, sleep apnea (obstructed breathing during sleep), childhood diabetes, seizures, fractures that could impact bone growth, severe depression and asthma.
Of these 273 clinics only 94 of them granted appointments to children on Medicaid/CHIP versus the 244 that granted appointments to the children with private insurance. Considering there is a federal law requiring equal access is guaranteed to Medicaid recipients these numbers are beyond unbalanced. Of the 94 that granted appointments to Medicaid/CHIP, five of them turned down patients with private insurance leaving 89 that granted appointments to children in both groups. Of these 89 clinics there were significant disparities in the number of days the patients had to wait between calling for the appointment and the appointment date. On average children with Medicaid/CHIP insurance had to wait 42 more days to be seen by the specialist than children with private insurance. The wait was longest to see a specialist for diabetes and shortest to see a specialist about a broken bone in both groups of patients.
The authors of the study try to address possible explanations for why this disparity occurs by referencing previous studies into Medicaid/CHIP recipients. One obvious reason is that Medicaid pays less than private insurance; they also take longer to pay doctors for services rendered and there is more red tape involved with accepting Medicaid. The overall conclusion seems to be that the current system makes accepting Medicaid less lucrative while requiring more work than private insurance.
What our state and federal governments needs to address is how to fix the system so all children have equal access to health care that is vital to long term health. During these budget talks it is vital that our politicians realize the impact their decisions will have on the health of children who already aren't getting the health care they need and deserve.
In the uproar after the discovery of the Gosnell atrocities, the members of Pennsylvania's government decided to create new legislation to "protect" women getting abortions. In theory this is a good thing; women getting abortions deserve to be treated by caring doctors in safe facilities. No one could argue otherwise. What these bills would do in real life is very different than what they would do in theory.
First on the table was SB 574, which originated in the house. This bill adds stringent new requirements that all abortion clinics would have to meet in order to remain in business. These new requirements would include larger rooms, new heating and air conditioning equipments, as well as hospital quality elevators. In essence they will be held to the same standards as an ambulatory surgical center. This bill has been passed in the house and was sent to the state senate back in May.
The senate has a bill of its own to focus on though. SB 732 is a bill proposed to the state senate which in its original form added new restrictions to abortion clinics including tougher inspection and licensing standards, including yearly random inspections of all facilities. The original bill while tough is not unreasonable and will help ensure women are treated in a safe environment. On June 8th, 2011 an amendment was added to this bill that essentially makes it the equal of SB 574. Clinics that want to be able to perform abortions occurring after 9 weeks would still need to renovate their facilities to meet the standards of ambulatory surgical centers. This amendment does allow for abortion under 9 weeks continue in the facilities already in use. This bill with its amendment is set to be voted on sometime during the week of June 13th.
These regulations would in no way help protect the health and safety of women and would actually have the opposite effect. Most of the abortion clinics in the state do not currently meet these requirements and would either have to increase the cost of their services to cover the cost of renovation or close entirely. Neither of these consequences have benefits for women; it will only make it more difficult for women to get an abortion by making them unaffordable and geographically inaccessible. This increases the likelihood that women will try to self induce abortions or go to unsafe, disreputable doctors both of which can lead to serious complications and risks the women's health and well-being.
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I took this book out of the library and thought it was so terrific that I immediately ordered one for myself. Problem was, the pages are printed wrong, so that the page that should appear on the left is on the right and vice versa. You can tell right away because the page numbers are way in the inside corner by the binding instead of being on the outer edge. The pages are still in the correct order. However, when you get to the plant family descriptions, the illustration is supposed to be on the right and the description on the left as you hold the book open. Instead, the illustrations are printed on the back of the same sheet of paper as the descriptions. This means, for example, the Pea Family illustration appears next to the Dogwood Family description. So don't buy this book from Amazon. When I returned the first defective book, they sent me another defective one. Obviously they have a pile of them in the warehouse, and they don't check to be sure the replacement is OK. Too bad, because this is such a well-written book.
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We're interested in imports of PET resin of your company.
Give us best price per Kg based on CFR Korea price.
as well as caps. please contact me to discuss details.
We are willing to buy PET resin from you. Please Email me your prices for the resin and the delievry schedules. Kindly awaiting your reply.
I also sell pet resin and other plastic raw materials based in India.
I am in need for my own factory virgin PET RESIN food grade.If you have any agent in Bangladesh, pls.inform me the contact number. My Mob.No. +8801755655160 Thanks. M.A. Rahman.
we are manufacturing pet preforms of all grades and sacmi 27mm compression caps for water. sri aditya polymers, kurnool, andhra pradesh, india.
Dear sir , how are you ? I am Md Pervas Sorwar from Chittagong, Bangladesh . sir i need Pet Resin Brand shink Pet . & Aspet India. Sir i have a big quantity order . i want to soul agent this brand . plz send me sa soon as possible.
i want weave a full automatic blowing machine for water pet so i need a plan of machine, can anybody help me ?
CONTACT: Genesis Nutech Pvt. Ltd.
we are aleading manufacturer of pet bottles and preforms in Serbia, we want to import pet resin in Serbia, kindly send us all details about pricing and delivery schedule.
we are interested in your pet resins in bulk please get back to us for more details please.
Good afternoon how are you? I was wondering if you are importing PET RESİNS for your production, we would like you to give us an opportunity to make you offers for bottle grade pet resin especially IV 0.80.
Looking for bottle grade in amount 2 containers for the first deal upon our government costumer request. Would you send us info and price, please?
we are intrested to put a plant for manufacture of Pet preforms and Pet Bottles at Nagpur in India.Please suggest us the ideal plant capacity and who supplies the turnkey projects.
We would like to know if you would be interested in pet resin from Turkey, I have included our company presentation so that you get a beter Picture of our company.We are the second biggest pet resin manufcaturer in Turkey for your information.WE MAİNLY produce resin for bottle grade, the available viscosities are ıv0.80, ıv 0.82 ıv 0.76, if you need further information please do contac us.We look forward to your reply and comments.
We are interested to import pet resin bottle grade.
We are Technoplast factory located in Saudi Arabia, Al Ahsa industrial City, We are looking PET Scrap Bottles for recycling. We are interested in Local Suplliers. Our finish product is PET Flakes. We are looking forward for buyers from all over the world.


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at Friday, December 14th 2018 11:17:14 AM.
Decide on the Spreadsheet you would like to utilize, or begin a new one. Open the spreadsheet you'd love to publish. The spreadsheet has to be made in google sheets for effortless integration in future measures. Google Spreadsheet contains all functionalities and traditional formulas that you've been utilizing. Each Google recorder have a distinctive ID which may be found in the url. If you're collaborating on a Google spreadsheet, there's an on-screen chat window where you're in a position to discuss and then edit the spreadsheet at real instant. To begin with, you should prepare the spreadsheet in Google Apps.
It is possible to name your spreadsheet everything you want. When you publish your own spreadsheet, you wish to receive your spreadsheet ID. Spreadsheets might also be stored as HTML. The spreadsheet has also develop into an impressive living document, enhanced by other folks. Now in the event that you'd like to use your entire spreadsheets as a database you're done.
Because it is a spreadsheet, you can do anything you want. Spreadsheets have a choice of formatting and presentation options that does not just enhance readability, but additionally make it to be feasible to use the information in external reports and demonstrations. When attempting to have your spreadsheet appearing right, you might need to unmerge cells and merge them back together again in another way. The real spreadsheet is still private, obviously. A well-made and cloud-based dictionary fails to fulfill the design standards of a contemporary web app, and can only service a single user's situation at once. Now when you've established a new spreadsheet, have a look to the url.


On a multicore Solr instance, you may find that you want to share configuration between a number of different cores. You can achieve this using named configsets, which are essentially shared configuration directories stored under a configurable configset base directory.
Configsets are made up of the configuration files used in a Solr installation: inclduding solrconfig.xml, the schema, language-files, synonyms.txt, DIH-related configuration, and others as needed for your implementation.
Solr ships with two example configsets located in server/solr/configsets, which can be used as a base for your own. These example configsets are named _default and sample_techproducts_configs.
If you are using Solr in standalone mode, configsets are created on the filesystem.
The default base directory is $SOLR_HOME/configsets. This path can be configured in solr.xml (see Format of solr.xml for details).
In SolrCloud mode, you can use the Configsets API to manage your configsets.