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This Year's List of the Most Dangerous Cities for Walkers Is Unacceptably Familiar – Streetsblog USA
Register for Reuters Mobility: Ridership Week today.
Every single state in America but one has gotten more dangerous for walkers in the last two years — and the only one that didn't only managed to maintain its abysmal rate of walking fatalities, rather than reducing it.
In the déjà vu-inducing new edition of its biannual Pedestrian Danger Index, Smart Growth America studied local walking rates, federal crash fatality data, and population totals between 2010 and 2019 to get a sense of which states were making progress towards Vision Zero — and which were dropping the ball. Shockingly — or perhaps not-so-shockingly, given the weak efforts at every level of government to the end the national traffic violence epidemic — the group found that only Rhode Island was able to maintain the same (still unacceptably high) rate of pedestrian deaths as it had between 2008 and 2017.
The 10 most-dangerous states in America, meanwhile, were the same 10 states as the last time the report was issued in 2019 (in order: Florida, Alabama New Mexico, Mississippi, Delaware, Louisiana, Arizona, South Carolina, Georgia, and Texas.
But even beyond the worst of the worst, death rates across the country swelled. The number of people struck and killed by drivers grew an alarming 45 percent over the study period — which means it's more important than ever that advocates not become numb to the numbers.
"Ten years ago, the score that would put you in the 'top 10' would put you somewhere in the 20s or 30s now," said Steve Davis, spokesman for the group.
Image: Smart Growth America
The researchers observed a grotesque Groundhog's Day phenomenon at the metro level, too. In addition to being home to the Happiest Place on Earth, Orlando is also the deadliest place in America for people on foot, claiming the ignominious title for the second time in a row. Seven out of 10 of the country's most-dangerous urbanized areas are in Florida, down from eight out of 10 last time around — but the report authors emphasized that has less to do with the Sunshine State stepping up for safety than a surge in walking deaths in the greater Memphis area, which propelled the Grind City from 11th place to the number three spot.
Mickey's home base isn't the only sunny state that's failing its walkers. A full 17 of the 20 metros with the highest walking death rates are in the southern half of the U.S. — exactly the same number as the last time the report was written. Researchers have noted time and again that fast-growing Sun-Belt communities are particularly conducive to dangerous driving, thanks to the networks of sprawling, speed-focused roads that dominate these states.
The only new entries into the most-terrible 20 were the metro areas around Stockton, Calif.; Houston; El Paso; and Atlanta.
When it comes to horrifying disparities among racial and economic groups, things are the same as they ever were, too.
Even after controlling for differences in population and walking rates, people of color on foot were still disproportionately likely to be killed by drivers between 2010 and 2019 — just like they were the last time this report was written. That was especially true among Native American and Black walkers, both of whom are still more than twice as likely to die on our roadways than their White counterparts. As before, the report authors placed the blame squarely on our nation's bloody history of structural racism in transportation funding and policy, as well as the implicit racial bias of White drivers who have been shown to be less likely to stop for BIPOC in crosswalks.
As usual, crash rates were also highest in the lowest-income census tracts, and lowest in the highest-income neighborhoods — probably because poor neighborhoods are significantly less likely to have things like sidewalks, marked crosswalks, and street designs that encourage drivers to slow down.
Numbers above indicate the pedestrian danger index for each racial group; 63.3 is the average for all groups. Image: Smart Growth America
Of course, there's no mystery about why the Pedestrian Danger Index has become so disturbingly familiar over the years: because we've utterly failed to provide any meaningful incentive to design streets for safety over speed, much less meaningful reform that would require engineers to adopt life-saving designs.
Still, the report authors expressed tentative hope that new blood in Washington could help bring about the end to the roadway bloodshed — especially given the historic opportunity presented by the impending expiration of the FAST Act in September.
Smart Growth America specifically commended last year's INVEST Act, which would have required states with the highest levels of pedestrian and bicyclist fatalities to set aside funds to address those safety needs, in addition to boosting dollars for things like sidewalks and closing the loophole that allows states to legally declare they won't even try to reduce walking deaths. The safety-related elements of the defeated bill are widely expected to be resurrected in Biden's upcoming infrastructure package, as is the Complete Streets Act, which Smart Growth America has worked to get written into law for almost a decade.
New leadership at the USDOT could also help make space for a sea change. Smart Growth America highlighted a panoply of ways that Secretary Buttigieg and his colleagues could save walkers' lives, including fixing our New Car Assessment Program to finally factor walker safety into which vehicles are allowed onto our roads; fixing federal road design manuals that are notoriously unfriendly to walkers; and de-emphasizing dangerous and offensive enforcement and walker education campaigns at the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, so the agency can focus on what's actually proven to work: engineering.
Without these structural changes, advocates fear that our pedestrian death tolls are destined to rise — and the human costs of our traffic violence epidemic will continue to get buried under an avalanche of nameless statistics.
"My niece Samara and three of her four kids were tragically killed on Roosevelt Boulevard in Philadelphia almost eight years ago — but I'm far from alone," said Latanya Byrd, who delivered a presentation in support of the report's recommendations. "Dozens of families like mine are left to mourn someone every year because of the way this incredibly dangerous street divides our neighborhoods and makes speeding the norm. When streets are built like Roosevelt — wide, fast, and with few safe places to cross — it is no surprise that drivers are going to speed and people are going to die. How long before our streets are as safe as our leaders claim they want them to be?"
Next Today's Headlines – Streetsblog California


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Meiosis: Metaphase 2, Anaphase 2, Prophase 2
By: Alex Bolano on January 7, 2019Leave a comment 💭
Photo: By Rdbickel - Own work, CC BY-SA 4.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=49599354
Meiosis refers to the process by which a single diploid cell divides into 4 haploid cells, each genetically distinct from the parent cell. Meiosis is an important part of sexual reproduction in eukaryotes as it provides the raw genetic materials that combine to create a diploid zygote. Unlike mitosis, which is the normal process of cell division, the haploid cells created by meiosis, called gametes, have half the normal number of chromosomes. In humans, a normal body cell have 46 chromosomes (2 sets of 23), so a human gamete only has 23 chromosomes.
Meiosis itself is divided into 2 major phases, meiosis I and meiosis II, each divided into 4 sub-phases, prophase, metaphase, anaphase, and telophase. Meiosis is similar to mitosis in that both involve cellular division, but is different in two fundamental ways: Mitosis creates two genetically identical cells each with a full set of chromosomes while meiosis shuffle the genes in the chromosomes to create haploid cells genetically distinct form the parent cell and produces cells with half the normal number of chromosomes. In humans, the haploid gametes are sperm and eggs. Sperm and eggs contain half of a complete human genetic code, and will fuse their chromosomes to create a diploid zygote.
Meiosis II occurs after meiosis I. During meiosis I, a normal cell splits and results in the formation of two daughter nuclei. During meiosis II, the two daughter cells are split further into 4 distinct haploid cells, each with a single set of 23 chromosomes. Meiosis II is mechanically similar to meiosis I, but has a fundamentally different outcome; the formation of 4 distinct haploid gametes with a unique combination of DNA. Without meiosis II, gametes would not be produced and sexual reproduction as we know it would be impossible.
1 Overview Of Meiosis I & II
1.1 Meiosis I
1.2 Meiosis II
2 Products of Meiosis II
3 Differences Between Mitosis and Meiosis
Overview Of Meiosis I & II
Interphase is just the name for the normal life cycle of a cell. During interphase, a cell does all of its normal functions: processing nutrients, construct proteins based on DNA, and producing ATP. As interphase draws to a close, and it is time for a cell to reproduce, the cell will duplicate its chromosomes, so that the cell will have 2 full sets of identical sister chromatids.
Meiosis I
Prophase I
Prophase I is the next stage of meiosis I. During prophase I, homologous chromosomes, one that has been inherited from the father and the other from the mother, meet up and exchange bits of DNA. This chromosome crossover is the main mechanism that gives rise to genetic variation among sexually reproducing species. Prophase I is itself divided into 5 smaller sub-phases, each named after the appearance of the chromosomes during that phase.
Metaphase I
During metaphase I, the newly combined homologous chromosomes are moved to the equatorial plane of the cell by the microtubule spindle apparatus. The distribution of homologous chromosomes and sister chromatids along the equatorial plane during cell division is the physical basis for the combinatorial allele distributions described by Mendel's mathematical laws of inheritance.
Anaphase I
During anaphase I, the homologous chromosomes are pulled apart and are split into two distinct daughter nuclei, each containing one of the homologous chromosomes and attached sister chromatids. During this phase, the cell membrane elongated preparing for its physical division.
Telophase I
Telophase I mark the end point of the first meiotic division. in telophase I, the pulled apart homologous chromosomes reach the poles of the cell. The meiotic spindle dissolves and a distinct nuclear membrane surrounds each haploid set of chromosomes, creating two distinct haploid cells in a process called cytokinesis. Some cells do not engage in cytokinesis an instead jump straight to meiosis II
Meiosis II
Meiosis II is a mechanically similar process to meiosis I but the final products are fundamentally different. Meiosis II involves the separation of sister chromatids in the two daughter nuclei produced during meiosis I into 4 distinct haploid cells, each with one set of 23 chromosomes. Meiosis II is also divided into its own prophase, metaphase, anaphase, and telophase. Unlike meiosis I, meiosis II does not begin with the duplication of any chromosomes.
Prophase II
Prophase II is mechanically similar to prophase I. During prophase II the nuclear envelope dissolves and a new microtubule spindle attaches itself to and begins to pull the chromosomes away from the poles of the cell.
Metaphase II
During metaphase II, just like in metaphase I, the chromosomes captured by the meiotic spindle are taken from the poles of the cell and lined up along the metaphase plate, the axis along which each daughter nuclei will split. Once again, the exact spatial distribution along the metaphase plate is the physical basis for the observed combinatorial patterns observed in allele distributions according to Mendel's laws of inheritance.
Anaphase II
Anaphase II marks the point where the captures sister chromatids are pulled apart by the meiotic spindle, and moved towards the poles of their respective cells. and the nuclear membrane elongates to prepare for separation.
Telophase II
Telophase II, like telophase I, is the last stage of the meiotic phase. In telophase II, the nuclear membrane envelops each of the newly separated sister chromatids, creating 4 distinct haploid cells, each with a distinct genetic code.
Products of Meiosis II
The final products of meiosis II (gametes) are the biological entities that make sexual reproduction as we know it possible. In other words, without a process like meiosis II, sexually reproducing species would not be able to create genetically distinct offspring. Gametes are the cells that combine, each providing a portion of the human genetic code to create a new zygote diploid that will eventually develop into a genetically distinct human being.
Although all the products of meiosis II are gametes, they are not genetically identical. Each gamete created has a unique sample of DNA in their single chromatid. The reason for the genetic uniqueness of each gamete is because of the chromosomal crossing over that takes place between homologous chromosomes during pro- and metaphase I. The overlaying of homologous chromosome pairs is capable of creating over 8 million distinct genetic combinations. Combined with the random orientation of homologous pairs during meiosis I, chromosomal crossover is capable of creating virtually infinite novel genetic combinations.
The presence of these new combinations of chromosomal DNA is what gives rise to genetic variation among species. Each gamete from meiosis contains a chromosome that is genetically distinct form each other and the parent cell. Two gametes (sperm and egg) will combine, creating a completely new set of DNA that has a different combination of alleles. This process is extremely important, as it allows living organisms to have reproduction with variation, a necessary component of evolution. If reproduction did not produce offspring with variations in genotype, then natural selection could not select for beneficial traits.
Errors in meiotic division are responsible for the majority of miscarriages during pregnancy and development disabilities. Most of these developmental disabilities are the result of an abnormal number of chromosomes, such as trisomy 21 (Down syndrome) or Turner syndrome (missing X chromosome).
Differences Between Mitosis and Meiosis
Mitosis and meiosis are mechanically similar cellular processes, but result in fundamentally different sets of products. Most importantly, mitosis produces diploid cells, cells that have a full set of chromosomes for the organisms. Meiosis, on the other hand, produces haploid cells, cells that contain half the number of chromosomes than a normal cell. In humans, a typical diploid cell has 46 chromosomes (2 pairs of 23), so a typical haploid cell has half of that number, 23.
All somatic cells in the body such skin cells, liver cells, heart cells, and muscle cells undergo mitosis as a form of reproduction. During mitosis, there is no homologous chromosome crossover, so cells formed via mitosis are genetically identical and contain 2 pairs of identical chromosomes. A single mitotic event will create 2 genetically identical cells. Mitosis is one of the main mechanisms of cellular repair and is how the body replenishes and replaces cells that have died or been removed.
In contrast, only a select special group of cells undergoes meiosis. In eukaryotes, those cells are normally found in the gonads; whichever organs are responsible for sexual reproduction. In mammals, meiosis occurs in cells known as oocytes (in females) and in the seminiferous tubules of the testicles in males. Meiosis, as opposed to mitosis, creates 4 haploid cells, each with a distinct genetic profile. The genetic diversity that is present in the products of meiosis is due to the chromosomal crossover of the homologous chromosomes of the parent cell.
In summary, meiosis is a specialized type of cellular division that results in the production of gametes, haploid cells that contain half the normal numbers of chromosomes. One complete turn of the meiotic cycle produces 4 distinct haploid cells from a single diploid cell. Meiosis is important because it creates the raw biological materials that make sexual reproduction possible and provides genetic variation to a population. Chromosomal crossover of homologous chromosomes produces new chromatids with a unique pattern of DNA. Without meiosis, offspring of eukaryotes would be more or less genetically identical.
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With full-coverage cups beautifully decorated with sheer embroidered tulle and a soft knit lining, the Chantelle Champs Elysee Full Coverage Unlined Underwire Bra is a must-have for stunning support. A strong power-mesh band, and angled seaming on the 3-part cups provides lift and centers the breast tissue, creating the look of a longer, thinner waist, up to an H cup.


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If you need help with a Hurricane Michael Claim please click here.
Dealing with a disaster is difficult enough, but then having to prepare a claim and weave through the claims process is daunting to say the least. At Morrison & Morrison, we know the claims process. We are specialists in documenting claims, determining the true value of claims, presenting claims for payment and resolving claims.
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Morrison & Morrison, Inc., is a property loss consulting firm and licensed public insurance adjusting group, based in League City, Texas. We are an authority on assessing, documenting and negotiating property claim damages. Clay Morrison, the company President, has 20+ years experience in this field, is a member of the National Association of Public Insurance Adjusters, and has attained the CPPA (Certified Professional Public Adjuster) designation from the Insurance Institute of America. Our job is to assess the true amount of damages, handle the adjustment process, deal with the insurance company, and if needed – manage the appraisal process.
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Download V-Card
Phil Armstrong
Senior Strategist
Public affairs, grass roots strategy, association work, reputation management, transportation, branding, Korea, automotive
Throughout a 30-year career in politics, government, public affairs, corporate communications, marketing and advertising, Phil Armstrong has established a national reputation as a leading counselor and strategist on corporate reputation, issue management, and brand strategy. Mr. Armstrong has deep, hands-on expertise devising and leading client programs in the areas of corporate and brand positioning, marketing strategy, issue management, and crisis communications. He has extensive experience in strategic brand planning, utilizing primary and secondary research to develop positioning strategies and design integrated marketing and corporate communications programs.
Phil Armstrong has spent more than two decades of his career in Washington, D.C., and has managed public policy programs for corporate, trade association, and NGO clients on legislative, regulatory, and international trade matters. He has been a registered lobbyist, political consultant, and government official.
Mr. Armstrong's clients have included Fortune 500 companies such as Allstate, DuPont, UPS, Northrop Grumman, IBM, Unilever, and Pfizer; many trade associations, including the Alliance of Automobile Manufacturers and the National Electrical Manufacturers Association; and several federal government agencies. Mr. Armstrong's experience includes financial services, technology, consumer packaged goods, automotive, telecommunications, energy and the environment, health care, and manufacturing.
Mr. Armstrong has handled multiple crisis and issues challenges for clients, working with law firms on civil and criminal litigation matters, government investigations, bankruptcies, and restructuring. He has represented corporations and individuals facing crisis situations including environmental incidents, labor-management disputes, on-site facility accidents, product recalls, law enforcement actions, and civil disobedience. He has established crisis communications contingency protocols and models for companies and NGOs.
Mr. Armstrong started his career in politics serving as a political appointee in the executive branch of the federal government. He was a speechwriter and press secretary in the Department of Defense as well as deputy assistant secretary for public affairs for the Department of Education.
Mr. Armstrong is a member of the Counselors Academy of the Public Relations Society of America.
Bachelor of Science in Journalism – University of Iowa


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DC Movies VS Marvel Movies: The Advantage Goes To DC
DC, Front Page Slider, Marvel, Movies, Must Read
By Zack Zagranis
12:53 pm January 14, 2016
Posted on... 12:53 pm January 14, 2016
Written By Zack Zagranis
Does the DC Extended Universe have what it takes to challenge Marvel for the comic book movie crown? They don't call Batman and Superman "The World's Finest" for nothing.
For close to a decade Marvel has dominated the superhero film genre (that pesky Dark Knight trilogy notwithstanding) but that may change when DC unleashes the one-two punch of Batman V Superman:Dawn Of Justice and Suicide Squad this year. Marvel zombies will tell you that the DC Extended Universe – which got off to a rocky start with Man Of Steel in 2013 – doesn't have what it takes to unseat the MCU from its throne.
They're wrong.
When it comes to DC movies vs Marvel movies, DC has advantages over Marvel that will allow the Justice League to crush the Avengers in the long run. Advantages such as…
DC Has More Iconic Heroes
The Father, the Son, and the Holy Amazon
People love Iron Man right? Wrong. People love Robert Downey Jr. playing Iron Man.
Iron Man's whole cinematic identity is tied to the character that Robert Downy Jr. has crafted over the course of six movies. For many of the biggest characters in the MCU like Iron Man, Thor, and Captain America, the actors currently playing them are the first to portray them on the big screen (no, this and this don't count). Who knows if fans will stick around when everyone's contract runs out (which for some actors is sooner rather than later)?
Batman, on the other hand, is a character bigger than any one actor, whether it's Michael Keaton, Christian Bale or even Ben Affleck. People want to see Batman because he's Batman. And it's not just the Caped Crusader, most DC characters are more than just superheroes. Zack Snyder got it right when he said "Superman and Batman and Wonder Woman are American mythology," and he isn't the only director that feels that way. Back in 2006 Bryan Singer turned down X-Men: The Last Stand to direct Superman Returns.
Let that sink in for a second: an A-List director left the biggest comic book franchise at the time to make a quasi-sequel to a movie series that had ended almost twenty years earlier just to be able to do Superman.
And it looks like he made the right choice…
Somehow I don't see Ant-Man inspiring that kind of passion.
Now onto the bad guys…
Netflix Strikes Deal with Warner Bros. for Streaming Rights to 'Fringe,' 'Revolution,' More
Netflix will add shows from Warner Bros. Television to its ever-growing streaming library, according to a deal announced Monday. This means tha...
Algebraic! Netflix to Stream Cartoon Network, Adult Swim Shows
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Older PostWho From the Han Solo Movie Shortlist Should Play Han Solo?
ishirry
what DC want to do to take over is to give thier movie a great director and an awesome story line if is not it will back fire on them if they make the same mistake they make on green lantern it will be over but I have high hope on Warner Brothers the never let us down they will make a great job onother thing DC must profite this chance becouse the stell owned by the same company in fact I dont know why Warner Brothers dont give us a DC movie every year. What i am trying to say is this you never know when time change and DC character sold to another company.
2 likes . Like	. Dislike	. February 12, 2016, 4:44 am .


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ARMSTRONG.
ABOUTPRESSCALENDARMEDIAliveSOCIALSubscribe / Contact
2019 FIA Formula 3 Championship
Pole, podium and last lap heartbreak for Marcus
Straight back into the seat for Round 3 at the Red Bull Ring, Marcus Armstrong's talent shone, proving pace and tenacity from start-to-finish, the Kiwi driver battled to add another podium to his tally.
Set high in the Styrian Mountains, the 4.318km track serves up a series of fast corners and undulation changes. With DRS opening up overtaking opportunities, it certainly offered a tricky challenge for the field of drivers.
Ruling the Ring
Taking his early speed through to qualifying, Marcus set some thrilling lap times on Friday evening, on track for pole position, Marcus was setting purple sectors until his lap was halted by a red flag.
Despite the late red flag interrupting his session, he soon refocused his efforts and set a storming final run to cement pole position for Saturday's race. With triumphant cheers and praise to the team on the radio, Marcus proved his dominance ahead of the 30-strong grid.
"I'm really really happy to get the first pole of the season, especially because it's been way too long since I've been on pole in Europe. The car was really good and I felt absolutely comfortable."
Pushing for a Podium
Lining up with a clean view up the steep incline to Turn 1, Marcus readied himself for the fight. Putting the power down immediately, the Kiwi driver span his wheels and roared off the line, but narrowly had to relent the lead to Fewtrell who had inched ahead.
In a frantic start, he pushed to claim back his position by Turn 2. Pulling a gap to the pack, held off any advancements from behind and easily lead the field through the opening laps. But once DRS was enabled, he found himself powerless to those behind who had the increased speed.
Settling into P3, Marcus focussed on running his race and biding his time. But as the race ran on, it became evident that overtaking was becoming increasingly difficult. With teammate Deruvala on his tail, the pair diced throughout the remaining laps, with Marcus coming out on top to claim his place on the podium. Despite some disappointment, he scored a trophy for his efforts and renewed experience heading into Sunday.
"It wasn't as easy as I would have liked. I expected the race to be a lot more eventful because there's three DRS zones leading on to each other, so I was expecting to come on strong at the end and come back. It's a little bit disappointing not to have done so, but it's one of those things. I come from the F3 of last season and this is completely different. It's all a learning curve and I suppose now I know for next time"
Wheel-to-wheel warrior
Sunday morning served tasty challenge as Marcus lined up 6th on the grid. Rapidly showcasing his supreme pace, Marcus took 3rd place and bettered his teammate Shwartzman. With a huge amount of speed, Marcus steamed round the outside of the leading pair to inch into the lead, but with racing wisdom chose to back out of it.
With such frantic action in the opening laps, it only increased once DRS was enabled, whilst the top three forced themselves off the road, Marcus was right in the fight and a 4-car battle for the lead ensued.
Claiming P3 for his own, he further advanced to 2nd by Lap 7. Eyes firmly on the lead, Marcus closed the gap to leader Shwartzman who had climbed under the benefit of DRS. Posting a series of fastest laps, the battle was firmly on between the Ferrari Driver Academy pair, Marcus keeping the gap no further than 0.6s.
With one final lap under racing conditions, it was a frantic furore to the flag, with DRS Marcus had the clear advantage over his teammate. Nosing his way ahead into Turn 1, he wisely backed off and allowed the battle to reset.
With one swoop around the outside of his teammate, Marcus took the lead, until heartbreak struck. As Shwartzman clipped his rear tyre, the formidable Kiwi was forced into the run off with a puncture. A post-race penalty assigned to Shwartzman offered little comfort as unfortunately Marcus struggled over the line out of the points paying positions.
Ever the racer, Marcus is already looking ahead to making amends in the next round:
"Obviously I'm disappointed with what happened on the last lap, I didn't do anything unusual. But the car was good, the pace was good, let's crack on to Silverstone!"
The FIA Formula 3 Championship returns on 12th-14th July at a firm driver favourite - Silverstone, where Marcus will be back fighting at the front.
J. Vips
M. Fewtrell
M. Armstrong
J. Daruvala
R. Shwartzman
Hitech Grand Prix
L. Pulcini
HWA RACELAB
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Marcus Ready for a Strong F3 Campaign
Heading back to Europe after a competitive start to the year out in his native New Zealand, Marcus Armstrong is revved and ready to tackle the 2018 season, completing a positive pre-season test schedule, the Kiwi driver will make his debut in the fiercely competitive FIA Formula 3 European Championship in just a few weeks time.
Pau-dium on F3 Debut for Marcus Armstrong
Making his season debut, Marcus Armstrong took to the streets of Pau for a thrilling opening round of the FIA Formula 3 European Championship this weekend. Deep in the heart of the Pyrenees, the picturesque French town Pau roared to life with the sound of Formula 3 cars.
"They don't drug test for hard work and effort" – Another cyclist named Armstrong
Only need to wait here for another 47 days...
𝓝𝓮𝔀 𝓨𝓮𝓪𝓻. 𝓝𝓮𝔀 𝓜𝓮.
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© 2018 Marcus Armstrong


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"Heart, It's All Over" lyrics - DAVID GATES
DAVID GATES
"Heart, It's All Over"
(David Gates)
Heart its all over; I can feel what you're goin though.
Heart it's all over, yes I know I'm gonna miss her too, but, she never told me
I had to learn that we just weren't good enough, now it's over
I should have warned ya, it might not work and you just might break.
Now I fore Lorne ya, Yes I know it was my mistake but
Who hasn't tried it; I wanted love that was slightly out of reach.
Now it's over, it's all over.
No matter how hard I tried I couldn't seem to keep her satisfied
No matter what I went together could've, always been a little bit better.
I couldn't make it fast enough-the money, the money wouldn't last enough.
I couldn't keep her satisfied no matter, no matter, how hard, how hard, I tried.
Heart it's all over, you and me on the streets again
Starting all over, seems like here's where we just came in
But some bodies waiting, but just goin now well it hurts too much to look
'Cause it's all over. It's all over.
Heart its all over now'?¦it's all over now'?¦Heart its all over
Heart it's all over'?¦heart it's all over'?¦Heart its all over
Heart it's all over'?¦It's all over'?¦Heart its all over
Heart it's all over
Ahhh heart.
Love Is Always Seventeen (1994)
Avenue Of Love
Love Is Always Seventeen
I Will Wait For You
Save This Dance For Me
No Secrets In A Small Town
Heart, It's All Over
I Don't Want To Share Your Love
I Can't Find The Words To Say Goodbye
Dear World
Thankin' You Sweet Baby James
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FCF Expands List of Partners Ahead of Season v1.0
FCF Season v1.0 kicks off Saturday, February 13th! Head to FCF.io to squad up for the season!
Running a football league isn't easy. Factor in the global pandemic and being a young start-up, and that makes things even more difficult. Oh, and did we mention we're hosting it in a tightly-controlled bubble environment and are allowing the fans to call the shots? Luckily, we've partnered with an all-star roster of brands to help make every moment from Training Camp to Post Season special for every athlete, staff member, and fan involved!
Performance365
How are we keeping our athletes properly fueled for practice and games every week? Proper nutrition, duh. We teamed with Performance365 to make sure we had our bases covered (wait, that's baseball) when it came to making sure these guys were eating not only healthy, but in a way that would help them reach their goals. From our friend Leslie Bonci, Sports Nutrtion Provider: "Performance365 is delighted to be the sports nutrition provider for the FCF league to help our players strategize, optimize and realize their goals."
SweatX
"We're incredibly excited to be an official supplier for the Fan Controlled Football League's inaugural season. At Renegade Brands, we put our laundry detergent to the test every day on professional, collegiate and high school fields across the country. This partnership with FCF represents another opportunity to do what we do best on the highest level. On top of this, we applaud the FCF for its seriousness and efforts in the midst of a pandemic. We have provided surface disinfectants and sprayers in order to keep players, coaches and all staff safe within the bubble this season. We look forward to continued success of the FCF – a football league for the unconventional, the rebels, the Renegades." – George Nanchoff, VP of Business Development (Renegade Brands)
Smitty Officials Apparel
Earlier today, we unveiled our partnership with Susan G. Komen, which ties in to the referee uniforms and accessories provided by Smitty Officials Apparel. With those two partnerships working in unison, we are excited to make a positive and bold impact on and off the field.
Sleefs
A big part of what will make this league a success, is the recovery performance of our athletes. That's why we've teamed up with Sleefs to provide the guys you're drafting week in and week out with compression gear for practice and game day. Their compression apparel helps circulate blood flow and prevent the build up of lactic acid – read: your guys aren't cramping up as much AND as an added bonus, they look good while wearing it.H
Streamcoi
We're building this league for the digital fan, which means leaning into non-traditional platforms for games and shoulder content. This is exactly why we partnered with Streamcoi, so we could make the most of the time our athletes spend streaming in their free time, getting to know the fans in a new environment. "In the last year, livestreaming has grown like never before. Not only individual projects, but also entire industries such as music, fashion, entertainment or just sports have moved online," said Jakub Janaszek, Brand Manager at Streamcoi. "Fan Controlled Football is one of the best examples in the world of how traditional sport can be combined with esports and gaming, providing its fans with the greatest emotions online. We are proud to use Streamcoi for this project, thanks to which league organizers will be able to easily manage multiple streams in the same way as the best esports teams in the world do."
We are lucky we've got the support of these partners behind us as we head in to Season v1.0!


Govorenmant mistake ceasefire agreement in which TTP reformed and planned attacks gained the time to recover now these attacks now the result of government failure. The only option will could bring Pakistan out of this misery is Pak Army conduct full scale operation country wide against TTP no arrest no court no jail direct shoot at sight orders. It appears after cricket Pakistani government has planned to make Pakistan NO FLY Zone, specially Karachi the financial hub.
One after another attack on the Karachi airport and AIG police says nothing such as happened there .


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Q: How to allow IIS APPPOOL\DefaultAppPool to write into C:\inetpub\wwwroot mount point I'm creating a new Windows docker compose which uses a microsoft/aspnet:4.6.2 image. I'm using a volume for c:\inetpub\wwwroot which is mapped with C:\site\Default on the host server.
The running ASP.Net file successfully retrieves files but files at creating/writing files. I am getting the following exception: System.IO.IOException: 'Trying to write to forbidden path: C:\inetpub\WWWRoot\agenda.css.'
I tried the following:

*

*Set full access to everyone to C:\site\Default on the host server

*Add all rights using icacls (see dockerfile below). Here is the output for (Get-acl c:\inetpub\wwwroot\).Access:
FileSystemRights  : FullControl
AccessControlType : Allow
IdentityReference : Everyone
IsInherited       : False
InheritanceFlags  : ContainerInherit, ObjectInherit
PropagationFlags  : None

FileSystemRights  : ReadAndExecute, Synchronize
AccessControlType : Allow
IdentityReference : BUILTIN\IIS_IUSRS
IsInherited       : False
InheritanceFlags  : None
PropagationFlags  : None

FileSystemRights  : -1610612736
AccessControlType : Allow
IdentityReference : BUILTIN\IIS_IUSRS
IsInherited       : False
InheritanceFlags  : ContainerInherit, ObjectInherit
PropagationFlags  : InheritOnly

FileSystemRights  : FullControl
AccessControlType : Allow
IdentityReference : IIS APPPOOL\DefaultAppPool
IsInherited       : False
InheritanceFlags  : ContainerInherit, ObjectInherit
PropagationFlags  : None

FileSystemRights  : FullControl
AccessControlType : Allow
IdentityReference : NT SERVICE\TrustedInstaller
IsInherited       : True
InheritanceFlags  : None
PropagationFlags  : None

FileSystemRights  : 268435456
AccessControlType : Allow
IdentityReference : NT SERVICE\TrustedInstaller
IsInherited       : True
InheritanceFlags  : ContainerInherit, ObjectInherit
PropagationFlags  : InheritOnly

FileSystemRights  : FullControl
AccessControlType : Allow
IdentityReference : NT AUTHORITY\SYSTEM
IsInherited       : True
InheritanceFlags  : None
PropagationFlags  : None

FileSystemRights  : 268435456
AccessControlType : Allow
IdentityReference : NT AUTHORITY\SYSTEM
IsInherited       : True
InheritanceFlags  : ContainerInherit, ObjectInherit
PropagationFlags  : InheritOnly

FileSystemRights  : FullControl
AccessControlType : Allow
IdentityReference : BUILTIN\Administrators
IsInherited       : True
InheritanceFlags  : None
PropagationFlags  : None

FileSystemRights  : 268435456
AccessControlType : Allow
IdentityReference : BUILTIN\Administrators
IsInherited       : True
InheritanceFlags  : ContainerInherit, ObjectInherit
PropagationFlags  : InheritOnly

FileSystemRights  : ReadAndExecute, Synchronize
AccessControlType : Allow
IdentityReference : BUILTIN\Users
IsInherited       : True
InheritanceFlags  : None
PropagationFlags  : None

FileSystemRights  : -1610612736
AccessControlType : Allow
IdentityReference : BUILTIN\Users
IsInherited       : True
InheritanceFlags  : ContainerInherit, ObjectInherit
PropagationFlags  : InheritOnly

FileSystemRights  : 268435456
AccessControlType : Allow
IdentityReference : CREATOR OWNER
IsInherited       : True
InheritanceFlags  : ContainerInherit, ObjectInherit
PropagationFlags  : InheritOnly

*I used ProcMon on the host server and couldn't see any entry when trying to write the file
Docker files
docker-compose:
services:
  core:
    image: core
    build:
      context: .
      dockerfile: ./core/dockerfile
    volumes:
      - C:/site/Default/:c:/inetpub/wwwroot:rw
    ports:
      - "8000:80"
      - "4020-4024:4020-4024"
    environment:
      DatabaseType: SqlServer
      ConnectionString: Server=sqldata;User ID=sa;Password=pAssword123;Database=Default;MultipleActiveResultSets=True
    depends_on:
      - sqldata

  sqldata:
    ...

dockerfile:
FROM microsoft/aspnet:4.6.2

# Also tried the bellow command with /l
RUN icacls --% "C:\inetpub\wwwroot" /grant Everyone:(OI)(CI)F /t

A: For some reasons IUSR has rights to write anywhere in the container folders (being mapped or not) except in C:\inetpub\wwwroot. IIS prevents from writing into this particular path.
I ended up creating an app which uses another physical path from the dockerfile and everything works as expected now:
FROM microsoft/aspnet:4.6.2

RUN C:\Windows\system32\inetsrv\appcmd.exe set app \"Default Web Site/\" /physicalPath:C:\SomeOtherMountPoint

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaStackExchange


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Canada federal election 2021: Liberals, Conservatives unveil plans for economic recovery
Laura StoneQueen's Park Reporter
Marieke Walsh
Ian Bailey
Published August 16, 2021 Updated August 17, 2021
The Liberals are proposing to extend the Canada Recovery Hiring Program, which is set to expire in November, until March.ANDREJ IVANOV/Reuters
Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau proposed extending COVID-19 business supports on Monday and Conservative Leader Erin O'Toole released his party's platform, which would scrap the Liberals' child-care plan in exchange for a tax credit, and vowed to bring back one million lost jobs.
NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh, meanwhile, said his party would ensure that companies that accepted the federal government wage subsidy during the pandemic and used it for bonuses for "ultrarich" executives pay back the money.
The party leaders made their pitches for Canada's economic recovery from the pandemic as the federal election campaign entered its second day.
At an announcement in Longueuil, Que., Mr. Trudeau said a re-elected Liberal government would extend some emergency supports and create new ones tailored to the hardest-hit industries. The Liberals did not release the price tag for the planned new spending. The party said it would be provided later in the campaign when the Liberals publish the overall costs of their platform.
"For hard-hit businesses who get the workers they need, to workers who get the jobs they need to support their families, this is a win-win," Mr. Trudeau said.
The Liberals are proposing to extend the Canada Recovery Hiring Program, which is set to expire in November, until March. The program allows employers to offset a portion of the costs of reopening from pandemic lockdowns by increasing wages and hours or hiring more staff.
The party said it would also provide the tourism industry with up to 75 per cent of expenses for wages and rent through the winter; match ticket sales in the arts and culture sector to compensate for reduced capacity limits; extend pandemic-related insurance coverage for media production; and create a $50-million fund through the Canada Council for the Arts to provide emergency relief to artists who are primarily self-employed or independent contractors.
Erin O'Toole's Conservatives target suburban voters in election platform of thoughtful populism
PBO report projects smaller deficits as parties cost campaign pledges
On his second day in a virtual studio in Ottawa, Mr. O'Toole released his party's 160-page platform, titled "Canada's economic recovery plan." It includes sections about jobs, anti-corruption, mental health, the economy and domestic vaccine production. Mr. O'Toole pledged to bring back one million jobs lost during the pandemic and stuck by his promise to balance the budget in 10 years.
"This election is about who you think can get us out of the recession and rebuild the economy," Mr. O'Toole said.
The Conservatives did not publicly release the overall costs of their plan, but the party said it has sent its platform to the Parliamentary Budget Officer for review, with a response expected in one or two weeks.
The party said that if it were to form government, the Liberals' $10-a-day child-care plan would effectively be scrapped. Instead, the Conservatives vowed to offer a refundable tax credit, which would cover as much as 75 per cent of the cost of child care for lower-income families.
"We're going to help all parents, all parents, immediately – not some six years from now," Mr. O'Toole said.
Ottawa has already signed child-care deals with seven provinces and one territory.
Mr. Trudeau criticized Mr. O'Toole's child-care plan, calling it "the approach of Stephen Harper," referring to the long-time Conservative prime minister. Mr Trudeau said the Conservative plan completely ignores women and does not recognize the needs of families.
He added that Ottawa has inked deals with several provinces led by conservatives, including Saskatchewan and Manitoba.
Quebec Premier François Legault has been enthusiastic about the child-care deal with the federal government. Mr. O'Toole was asked on Monday about the risks of scrapping a deal that has been embraced by the government in a province where the Tories are looking to make electoral gains.
Mr. O'Toole said he has a lot of respect for Mr. Legault and that Conservatives "will always respect provincial jurisdiction."
"Our approach will also help all families across the country, including in Quebec," he said.
Jennifer Robson, an associate professor at Carleton University who specializes in social policy, said she would be upset if she was part of the governments that signed deals with Ottawa and now had public, multiyear commitments and plans for expanded child-care spaces.
"This is exactly the scenario that I think has been a challenge for getting agreements because if the agreements can so easily be cancelled, why would any province be willing to come to the table?" Prof. Robson said.
The Conservative Party's jobs plan would involve paying 50 per cent of the salaries of net new hires for six months after the Canada Emergency Wage Subsidy expires in October. It also proposes loans of as much as $200,000 to help small- and medium-sized businesses in hospitality, retail and tourism, with 25 per cent forgivable, as well as a 15-per-cent tax credit for vacation expenses of as much as $1,000 per person for Canadians to vacation in Canada in 2022.
Dan Kelly, the president and chief executive officer at the Canadian Federation of Independent Business, said it was "good news" that both the Liberals and Conservatives shared commitments to small business on the first full day of the campaign and he was impressed both appear to understand the economic effects of the pandemic are not over.
Our Morning Update and Evening Update newsletters are written by Globe editors, giving you a concise summary of the day's most important headlines. Sign up today.
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Here are the issues that should be debated this federal election, but probably won't
Canadians didn't ask for an election. But like the pandemic, here it is
Get ready for an unnecessary snooze of a Canadian election
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Laura Stone
Erin O'Toole


text:
Don't Expect 5G Phones to Take Off Until 2021
By Monica Chin 22 August 2018
You'll have to wait a bit longer for this new broadband standard.
If you're excited for 5G, you may have to wait a bit longer than you thought.
5G phones aren't going to roll out in full swing until 2021, according to a new report from Digitimes.
(Image credit: David Becker/Getty)
While the report notes that 5G-enabled devices will begin to roll out in 2019 (as some companies have promised), shipments are not expected to surpass one million units.
Things are expected to pick up in three years. In 2022, Digitimes researchers expect 5G smartphones to account for 97% of 5G-device shipments, and 18% of smartphone shipments.
The report cites difficulty manufacturing the chips and antenna arrays necessary to support 5G as the reason companies are lagging behind. However, some companies may also be waiting on carriers. A 5G chip will likely take up more space in a smartphone than previous chips, and suck considerably more battery life.
MORE: The Truth About 5G: What's Coming (and What's Not) in 2018
It makes sense to wait to make these tradeoffs until 5G is widespread enough that most customers will see the benefits. AT&T plans to launch the wireless service in just 12 U.S. cities by the end of 2018, while Verizon hasn't yet announced plans for mobile 5G, and T-Mobile estimates that full 5G coverage will come in 2020. Users in many countries outside the U.S. will likely have to wait even longer.
As BGR notes, Apple waited for carriers to offer decent coverage before launching the first 4G-enabled iPhone (the iPhone 5). And while we don't yet know exactly when Samsung will release its 5G phone, the company has announced that the Galaxy S10 (rumored to be its next one) will not have it.
5G Networking: The Definitive Guide
Sprint and LG Launching First 5G Phone in 2019: Here's What to Expect
Samsung Confirms Galaxy S10 Won't Have 5G
Liverpool vs. Man United live stream: Watch this top-of-the-table Premier League clash
High-tech face masks to watch in 2021
Can't find Nvidia RTX 3080 stock? These laptops could be the answer


DEL MAR, CA – Hronis Racing's 6-5 favorite Catalina Cruiser broke sharply from the gate and never looked back, cruising home to a commanding win in Saturday's Grade 2, $200,000 San Diego Handicap at Del Mar.
Shooting out from the rail under Drayden Van Dyke, Catalina Cruiser had Dr. Dorr along his outside hip early while setting splits of :23.07, :47.70, and 1:11.64. Down the backside, Van Dyke angled Catalina Cruiser out ever so slightly, riding in the 2- and 3-path while forcing Dr. Dorr to ride even wider. Heading into the far turn, Van Dyke let out a notch in the reins, and it was game over from there. The John Sadler trainee began steadily increasing his lead as he straightened for home and was set down for the drive with nothing but clean dirt in front of him. Wrapped up late, the John Sadler trainee hit the wire with a 6 3/4-length advantage in a final time of 1:42.95 for the 1 1/16-mile main track event.
Dr. Dorr held off the rest of the field for second, while fellow Bob Baffert trainee Dabster was able to get up in the final steps to steal third from Two Thirty Five. The longshot Harlan Punch completed the order of finish in a field that saw as many scratches as entries, with Sharp Samurai, El Huerfano, Prince of Arabia, and fellow Hronis Racing-owned/Sadler trained Accelerate and Curlin Rules all failing to make the gate.
Catalina Cruiser's win was his third in as many starts, including a debut victory last October and a dominating return in May. The late-blooming 4-year-old son of Union Rags has now earned $183,600 and is likely to return here in the Grade 1 Pacific Classic next month.
Regarding the Pacific Classic, Sadler did not commit which of his two older male stars would make the gate, but he did not seem keen on the idea of running them against each other.
Catalina Cruiser returned $4.60 to win, $2.80 to place, and $2.40 to show. Dr. Dorr brought back $3.40 to place and $2.60 to show, while Dabster paid $2.80 to show.


I have a neo and a u2f key, enabled google advanced security on all of my devices then with nvidia shield tv, it does nothing. Yubikey light does not come on and the shield produces a strange error and asks me to try again.
Is there a roadmap to support it or must I use a different google account?
Whatever you're logging in from has to support the U2F protocol. I'd recommend contacting NVIDIA for more information.


Forced labour is being used across the Malaysian electronic manufacturing industry, according to a new report.
The two-year study, funded by the US Department of Labor and undertaken by Verité, claims that almost all of the major electronics brands are implicated in some way.
The survey of more than 500 migrant workers at approximately 200 companies in Malaysia's IT sector found that one in three were being forced to work.
Often the problem begins when workers pay a broker to help them apply for a deceptive job advert, with many having to borrow money from friends and family. Once they arrive at the place of employment, their passport is taken and they are threatened with deportation if they do not work long, unreasonable hours.
CEO of Verité, Dan Viederman, said that the workers are often left with little option but to accept the increased workload.
"It's a form of exploitation that should long ago have been confined to the past," he said in a conference call with reporters.
The additional problem of having to pay back debts to the brokers that helped them gain the overseas work is particularly worrying. Over 90 per cent of those surveyed said that they had paid such fees, with three out of four borrowing money in order to do so.
Although Verité didn't name the firms involved, it did confirm that many were operated by subcontractors or suppliers to major brand companies.
Viederman added that businesses should modify their codes of conduct to ensure suppliers ban broker fees and allow employees to keep their identity documents.
"Any and all companies sourcing from Malaysia should audit their supply chain," he said.
The Verité report arrives three months after the US Department of State claimed that the level of human trafficking in Malaysia had worsened.


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Mission Cooperation with International Organisations News and events About Uzbekistan Photo gallery
News and events/
Other news and events/
Samarkand Spirit: A New Format of International Cooperation
Year of ensuring human interests and development of the mahalla Decrees of the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan Investment potential of Uzbekistan Meetings The international cooperation Millenium development goals Press-releases Mission News The Strategy of Actions on Further Development Independence Day of the Republic of Uzbekistan Uzbekistan's Candidacy to Human Rights Council Tourism December 8 - Constitution Day of the Republic of Uzbekistan Press Digests of Uzbekistan Constitutional reform Other news and events
For consular and visa issues, please contact the Embassy of the Republic of Uzbekistan in Berlin:
Hotline of the Ministry of Foreign
Affairs of Uzbekistan:
Press Service of the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan
Senate of Oliy Majlis of the Republic of Uzbekistan
Legislative Chamber of Oliy Majlis of the Republic of Uzbekistan
The Central Election Commission of the Rebublic of Uzbekistan
Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of Uzbekistan
"Jahon" Information agency of the MFA of the Republic of Uzbekistan
UzA - Uzbekistan National News Agency
International Uzbek Cotton Fair
Tourism portal of Uzbekistan
Portal of the State Authority of the Republic of Uzbekistan
National Bank of Uzbekistan
Ministry of Foreign Economic Relations, Investments and Trade of the Republic of Uzbekistan
Chamber of Commerce and Industry of Uzbekistan
"UZINFOINVEST" the Information Support & Foreign Investments Promotion Agency
UZTRADE - Forein marketplace of Uzbekistan
Navoi Free Industrial Economic Zone
Directorate of International Industrial Fair and Cooperation Exchange
Tashkent International Tourism Fair
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On September 15-16, a Summit of the Heads of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization member states was held in Samarkand, which became a platform for discussing the state and prospects for the development of cooperation in the SCO's sought-after areas and areas of activity. The summit was the first face-to-face meeting of the SCO leaders since 2019.
The main emphasis during the chairmanship of Uzbekistan was placed on strengthening economic and trade ties, promoting industrial cooperation, expanding transport and communication interconnectedness, digital transformation and the "green" economy.
During the chairmanship, drafts of 14 new conceptual documents initiated by the President of Uzbekistan were developed. Special attention is paid to such initiatives as the Concept of the SCO member States on the Development of Interconnectedness and the Creation of Efficient Transport Corridors, the Program of Infrastructure Development of the SCO countries, the establishment of the institute of the SCO Goodwill Ambassador.
In total, during the chairmanship of Uzbekistan, more than 80 major international events were held in all areas of cooperation, and a record number of 44 documents were adopted at the SCO summit.
The Samarkand Summit was unprecedented in expanding the number of SCO partner states. Thus, Iran has become a full member of the SCO, and Egypt and Qatar have been granted the status of dialogue partners. Decisions were also made to initiate procedures to grant Belarus the status of a full member of the SCO, and Bahrain, the State of Kuwait, the Maldives, the United Arab Emirates and the Republic of the Union of Myanmar the status of dialogue partners.
The Samarkand Summit was also a record in terms of the number of negotiations and events. Thus, the President of Uzbekistan held meetings with the UN Deputy Secretary General, with the Heads of State of Russia, China, Iran, Turkey, Mongolia, Kazakhstan, Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan, Turkmenistan, Azerbaijan, Belarus. A number of humanitarian and cultural events were also held.
During the negotiations on the sidelines of the summit, Uzbekistan concluded numerous bilateral agreements. For example, 15 agreements worth $15 billion have been signed with China, investment agreements worth $4.6 billion with Russia, as well as a Declaration on a Comprehensive Strategic Partnership between the Republic of Uzbekistan and the Russian Federation. Also, 18 documents have been signed with Iran aimed at increasing trade turnover to one billion dollars in the near future.
Thus, the SCO Summit in Samarkand has already entered the history of the organization, both in terms of the number of documents prepared and adopted, and in terms of the dynamics of the involvement of new states in the work of the organization. This is a brilliant success of the policy of openness and integration of Uzbekistan into the world economy pursued by President Shavkat Mirziyoyev.
Key aspects
In his article "The Samarkand SCO Summit: Dialogue and Cooperation in an Interconnected World", published on the eve of the summit, Shavkat Mirziyoyev stressed that Uzbekistan's chairmanship in the SCO fell on a period of "historical rift" when one era ends and another begins – yet unpredictable and unknown.
Among the main risks of the present time, he named a deep crisis of confidence at the global level and the risks of the revival of block thinking stereotypes, which complicates the restoration of global supply chains and exacerbates the problems of ensuring food and energy security. At the same time, "global climate shocks, growing scarcity of natural and water resources, declining biodiversity, and the spread of dangerous infectious diseases have revealed the vulnerability of our societies as never before."
President of Uzbekistan proposed to start preparing the SCO Development Strategy until 2040 which should cover all areas of cooperation and determine priorities for the long-term development of the SCO.
At the same time, it is important to increase the practical impact of cooperation in the field of economy, trade and investment, as one of the key conditions for ensuring stability in the region and improving the welfare of the population of our countries, which is possible through the transition to actions to build production chains between the SCO countries with a shorter supply shoulder.
Trade and economic cooperation
One of the central activities of the SCO is the development of trade and economic cooperation between the members of the organization. The SCO has achieved some success in this, despite the fact that the most capacious markets for the products of the SCO countries are located outside its borders.
The SCO countries account for 15.4% of world trade. In 2021, the total foreign trade turnover of the SCO countries amounted to $8.1 trillion, of which exports – $4.4 trillion and imports – $3.7 trillion.
In 2021, the volume of domestic trade between the SCO countries amounted to $803.7 billion, of which exports – $396.3 billion, imports – $407.4 billion. Over the past five years, the trade turnover between the SCO and Uzbekistan has grown by 1.7 times, exports by 1.2 and imports by 2. At the same time, the share of trade turnover with the SCO countries in the total foreign trade turnover of the country also increased from 47.2 to 50.2%.
In 2021, the trade turnover with the SCO countries increased by 24%, exports – by 29%, imports – by 21%. According to the results of January-July 2022, compared to the same period last year, Uzbekistan's trade turnover with the SCO countries increased by 25.3%, exports – by 24.4%, imports – by 27.3%.
The number of enterprises in Uzbekistan with the participation of the SCO countries' capital has quadrupled in recent years, exceeding the 7.5 thousand units, which is more than half of the total number of firms with foreign participation. The volume of attracted investments from the SCO countries by the end of 2021 amounted to $4.6 billion.
As of July 1, 2022, 2705 enterprises with Russian capital or 18.6% of the total number of companies with foreign capital were created in Uzbekistan. According to this indicator, Russia ranks first, second – Turkey (2050), third – China (2036), fourth – Kazakhstan (1186).
As the President of Uzbekistan noted in his speech at the summit: "We are interested in maximizing the existing potential, taking into account the advantages of complementarity of the economies of the SCO countries. In this regard, we propose to start forming a common space of industrial and technological cooperation based on the launch of a New SCO Economic Dialogue." Its main task is the elimination of trade and customs barriers, the formation of guaranteed and stable production and supply chains, the promotion of joint localization and import substitution programs, as well as the protection of mutual investments.
As tools for solving these tasks, the President proposed to hold a Week of Business Partnership of the SCO regions in Uzbekistan, the creation of an Alliance of Special Economic Zones of the SCO countries, as well as holding a Large SCO Trade Fair on an annual basis with the creation of a single electronic platform on its basis.
Food security is one of the most important priorities of Uzbekistan, especially now that this problem is escalating. Over the past five years, food imports into the country have grown 2.3 times from $1.27 billion (in 2017) to $2.92 billion (in 2021).
The difference between food imports and exports is also growing every year. Since 2017, it has almost quadrupled from $398 million to $1,548 million. In January-July of this year, food imports to Uzbekistan increased by 41.2%. In general, the provision of 25 types of food products in the domestic market remains dependent on imports.
In this regard, Uzbekistan actively supports strengthening food security in the SCO. Even before the pandemic, in 2018, at the SCO summit, the President of Uzbekistan advocated the formation of agro-industrial clusters and the expansion of the network of "green corridors" for the supply of agricultural products, and in 2019, the head of state initiated the development of the Concept of cooperation between the SCO countries in the field of "smart" agriculture and the introduction of agro-innovations. In addition, during his speech in November 2020 at the virtual summit of the heads of state of the SCO member states, Shavkat Mirziyoyev put forward an initiative to develop concrete practical measures to implement the Cooperation Program in the field of Food security.
At the summit held in Samarkand, the Concept of Cooperation between the SCO countries in the field of "smart" agriculture and the introduction of agricultural innovations was signed, and the Statement of the SCO Council of Heads of State on ensuring global food security was adopted.
It is proposed to develop General principles and approaches to ensuring food security, as well as to pay serious attention to programs for the cultivation and processing of agricultural crops, the formation of coordinated schemes of direct mutual supplies, the organization of effective logistics, "green" and express corridors for the delivery of high-quality and affordable food. In addition, President Shavkat Mirziyoyev pointed out the need to hold an international Conference on Food Security next year.
Transport communications
A widely known negative factor for both the economy of Uzbekistan and other Central Asian countries is the remoteness from the world ocean, as well as the interest of other Asian countries in land transport corridors. Therefore, the issues of transport cooperation occupy an important place on the SCO agenda.
In this direction, the results of the Samarkand summit can be called very successful. At the suggestion of Uzbekistan, the SCO Concept was adopted to strengthen Interconnectedness and create efficient transport corridors, and President Shavkat Mirziyoyev proposed to create an Interregional Center for Interconnectedness in Tashkent with the support of the United Nations.
In addition, the Ministry of Transport of the Republic of Uzbekistan, the Ministry of Transport and Communications of the Kyrgyz Republic and the State Committee for Development and Reforms of the People's Republic of China in Samarkand signed a trilateral cooperation agreement on the Uzbekistan–Kyrgyzstan–China railway construction project which will expand the geography of trade and transportation from China through Uzbekistan to Turkey and further to Europe, as well as to the Persian Gulf States.
As the President of Uzbekistan noted at the summit, the implementation of the above-mentioned project, coupled with the construction of the Termez–Mazar-I-Sharif–Kabul–Peshawar railway corridor, will open up wide opportunities for strengthening interconnectedness, increasing mutual trade and investment and, in general, ensuring sustainable economic growth in the SCO space. In addition, the Head of State proposed to discuss all promising projects in the field of transport and communications at the site of the first SCO Transport Forum next year in Uzbekistan.
At the summit in the field of ecology, a joint Statement of the SCO Council of Heads of State on actions to respond to climate change was adopted, but, as the President of Uzbekistan noted, new mechanisms and formats of practical cooperation in this area are needed, suggesting the creation of the SCO Climate Council, which will include politicians, public figures, environmentalists, business representatives, which will increase the effectiveness of cooperation in promoting climate adaptation projects, combating desertification and land degradation, and the introduction of water-saving technologies.
Speaking about Afghanistan, the President of Uzbekistan noted that the tightening of the sanctions policy and the further isolation of the current Afghan authorities will inevitably lead to increased radicalization within this country. In this regard, Uzbekistan supports the development of constructive contacts with Kabul and suggests jointly establishing a special fund for humanitarian support of Afghanistan in Termez, whose funds will be directed to overcoming the social crisis, implementing educational programs for young people and projects in the field of healthcare.
The adopted Comprehensive Action Plan for 2023-2027 on the implementation of the Treaty on Long-term Good-Neighborliness, Friendship and Cooperation of the SCO Member States, as well as the Agreement between the Governments of the SCO Member States on Cooperation in the Field of tourism were aimed at the development of cultural and humanitarian ties. According to the opinion expressed by the President of Uzbekistan, it is also necessary to establish additional formats, such as the Forum of University Rectors, Days of Culture and Tourism, joint sports events and Universiades. It is also proposed to declare next year the Year of Tourism Development in the SCO space.
Samarkand Solidarity Initiative
In the modern world, the SCO is a unique organization, uniting a variety of countries, despite their differences in economic, political, and ideological features. Thus, India and Pakistan, China and India actively interact with each other in the SCO, Azerbaijan and Armenia are SCO dialogue partners, despite the disputed territorial issues of these countries with each other.
The same applies to the economy – membership in the SCO does not hinder the development of economic integration in other formats. So, in 2020, China participated in the creation of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) free trade zone with Australia, Japan and 12 other countries of the Asia-Pacific region, and has free trade agreements with other countries. Similarly, the cooperation of a number of countries in the EAEU format does not hinder their economic cooperation in the SCO. Moreover, there is an agreement on a free trade zone between the EAEU and China. The same applies to other SCO member states.
Previously, many experts criticized such a "vague" approach, which does not have clear criteria for membership in the organization, as, for example, in the EU, arguing that this makes it "amorphous" without a clear position on certain issues. They also pointed out the competing, allegedly incompatible positions of certain groups of countries in the SCO: the industrial economies of India and China compete for raw materials and sales markets, and the resource-producing countries of the SCO compete with each other for markets for raw materials, while needing new technologies and innovations that other SCO countries cannot provide them. However, such a view of things puts competition between countries at the forefront, while the SCO approaches rely on cooperation.
Within the framework of SCO cooperation, the emphasis is not on competition with each other, but on the complementarity of economies based on their competitive characteristics. And this approach has already proven its advantages. The economies of the SCO countries are developing at a high pace due to the self-sufficiency of the SCO space, where largely untapped natural resources and high human, intellectual and technological potential are available.
It is worth noting that the main final document of the summit was the Samarkand Declaration, in which the SCO member states highly appreciated the results of Uzbekistan's presidency in 2021-2022, and also welcomed the Samarkand Solidarity Initiative put forward by President Shavkat Mirziyoyev for the sake of common security and prosperity, which testifies to the loyalty of the course laid down by the "Shanghai Spirit", its continuity and expansion The "Samarkand Spirit" formulated at the Samarkand SCO Summit.
Obid Khakimov
Director of the Center for Economic Research and Reforms under the Administration of the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan
Permanent Mission of the Republic of Uzbekistan to the UN Office and other International Organizations in Geneva © 2015


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Q: Trouble Deleting Entity With Nav Property to View This is a trimmed down example of the basic schema I'm working with. I realize this example is convoluted, but there are reasons that this schema is in use which are unimportant to describing the problem I'm seeing.
Also worth noting: I am using Database First.
Team (Table)
Id
Name
Player (Table)
Id
TeamId
Year
Name
Position
Game (Table)
Id
Date
HomeTeamId
AwayTeamId
GameHomePlayer_VW (View)
GameId (This is defined as the PK in the EDMX)
HomePlayerId
The View GameHomePlayer_VW is defined as:
SELECT
    Game.Id,
    Player.Id
FROM Game
LEFT OUTER JOIN Player
ON
    Game.HomeTeamId = Player.TeamId AND
    YEAR(Game.Date) = Player.Year

(If you're curious there is also a GameAwayPlayer_VW :))
EDMX Association between Game and GameHomePlayer_VW:
Referential Constraint      Game -> GameHomePlayer_VW

End1 Multiplicity           0..1 (Zero or One of GameHomePlayer_VW)
End1 Navigation Property    Game
End1 OnDelete               None
End1 Role Name              GameHomePlayer_VW
End2 Multiplicity           1 (One of Game)
End2 Navigation Property    GameHomePlayer_VW
End2 OnDelete               None
End2 Role Name              Game
Name                        GameHomePlayer_VWGame

Game and GameHomePlayer_VW classes generated by EF:
public partial class Game
{
    public int Id { get; set; }
    public DateTime Date { get; set; }
    public Nullable<int> HomeTeamId { get; set; }
    public Nullable<int> AwayTeamId { get; set; }

    public virtual Team HomeTeam { get; set; }
    public virtual Team AwayTeam { get; set; }
    public virtual GameHomePlayer_VW GameHomePlayer_VW { get; set; }
    public virtual GameAwayPlayer_VW GameAwayPlayer_VW { get; set; }
}

public partial class GameHomePlayer_VW
{
    public int GameId { get; set; }
    public Nullable<int> PlayerId { get; set; }

    public virtual Game Game { get; set; }
    public virtual Player Player { get; set; }
}

This setup allows me to query through the view objects as so:
private async Task<Game> GetGame(int id)
{
    return await Context.Games
        .Include(i => i.GameHomePlayer_VW.Player)
        .Include(i => i.GameAwayPlayer_VW.Player)
        .FirstOrDefaultAsync(i => i.Id == id);
}

The code I'm using to delete the game is as follows:
private async Task DeleteGame(int id)
{
    var game = await Context.Games.FirstOrDefaultAsync(i => i.Id == id);
    Context.Games.Remove(game);
    await Context.SaveChangesAsync();
}

The problem I'm running into is that when I try to delete a Game entity using EF I receive the following error:

Unable to update the EntitySet 'GameHomePlayer_VW' because it has a DefiningQuery and no <DeleteFunction> element exists in the <ModificationFunctionMapping> element to support the current operation.

There are other entities that reference game and as using cascade deletes to be removed.
I tried unsuccessfully to use the solution in this post: Unable to update the EntitySet - because it has a DefiningQuery and no <UpdateFunction> element exist
I also tried wiring a stored proc that took the PK as defined by the EDMX and returned 0.
I tried initializing a new instance of my DbContext class to delete it like below and still run into the same problem.
private async Task DeleteGame(int id)
{
    using (var context = new MyDbContext)
    {
        var game = await context.Games.FirstOrDefaultAsync(i => i.Id == id);
        context.Games.Remove(game);
        await context.SaveChangesAsync();
    }
}

Does anyone have any suggestions on maintaining a dynamic link based on the Game's Date while allowing the entities that reference it to be Added/Updated/Deleted?

A: I ended up solving this by creating Pure Join Tables for each of the entities that needed mapping and writing triggers on the Game table to Insert, Update, or Delete records in the mapping tables based on the logic that was previously in the views.
EF was much happier Add/Edit/Delete the entities that were attached to them after this.
GameHomePlayerMap (Table)
GameId (PK, FK to Game)
HomePlayerId (FK to Player)
GameAwayPlayerMap (Table)
GameId (PK, FK to Game)
AwayPlayerId (FK to Player)


An RxWorker is given a maximum of ten minutes to finish its execution and return a androidx.work.ListenableWorker.Result. After this time has expired, the worker will be signalled to stop.
Override this method to define your actual work and return a Single of androidx.work.ListenableWorker.Result which will be subscribed by the WorkManager.
@MainThread abstract fun createWork(): Single<ListenableWorker.Result!>!
Single<ListenableWorker.Result!>!: a Single<Result> that represents the work.
protected open fun getBackgroundScheduler(): Scheduler!


Three months after the U.K.'s historic vote to leave the EU, we're beginning to see hard evidence about Brexit's immediate impact on growth in Britain and the European Monetary Union. In short, the sky hasn't fallen on either side of the Channel, contrary to concerns that the U.K. would soon fall into recession, precipitating a marked slowdown in the European Monetary Union. Our own initial assessment, which we published in early July, forecast a relatively benign hit to U.K. growth in the short-term--that appears to be playing out. However, we revised our growth projections for 2017 and 2018 sharply downward. Here, while we haven't made any major revisions to our July forecast, we now more clearly see the factors that are likely to influence the longer-term outlook either up or down, both in the U.K. and in the eurozone.
We continue to believe the Brexit decision will have negative effects on U.K. economic growth spread over several years, reducing GDP growth by 2.1 points between now and end-2018.
The depreciation of the pound will positively impact U.K. exports, but will be a drag on purchasing power and consumption.
The impact on the eurozone economy will be milder, reducing GDP growth by 0.7 point over 2017-2018, though in a context of already sluggish growth.
U.K. economic activity in the first two months after the Brexit referendum has been stronger than some had feared. Indeed, confidence indicators as well as hard data have been quite resilient. Retail sales declined marginally in August after a very strong July, and are up 6.2% year on year on the back of stable employment and a low unemployment rate of 4.9%. Wages were up 2.3% year on year in July, and with inflation still at 0.6%, real income growth is supporting consumption. British households continue to spend--and so do foreign visitors--taking advantage of the weaker pound exchange rate. Business confidence has also rebounded, with the PMI manufacturing index surging to 53.3 from 48.3, services to 52.9 from 47.4, and even construction from to 49.2 from 45.9.
First, contrary to what could be feared, the ruling conservative party was able to quickly appoint a new prime minister, Mrs. Theresa May, and a new cabinet, thus avoiding a protracted leadership crisis.
What's more, one of Mrs. May's first statements was to suggest that Brexit negotiations with the EU were not going to start soon at all, possibly not before the second half of next year, once key elections in France, The Netherlands, and Germany are passed. Second, the new cabinet made it clear that with Brexit possibly hampering economic growth in the coming two years, the next Autumn Statement on Nov. 23 will see the previous chancellor's commitment to achieve a budget surplus by 2019-2020 abandoned. Looser fiscal policies in the short term have now become a distinct possibility.
The third factor relates to the Bank of England's immediate and vigorous response to post-Brexit uncertainties. The BoE's monetary policy committee (MPC) implemented a four-pronged stimulus package consisting of a cut in the bank rate to 0.25% from 0.5%, the introduction of a term funding scheme to reinforce the pass-through of the cut in the bank rate, purchase of £10 billion of U.K. corporate bonds over 18 months, and purchase of £60 billion of U.K. government bonds over six months.
More surprising than the rate cut was the return so soon to sovereign quantitative easing (QE), intended to demonstrate the BoE's determination to support the domestic economy amid heightened uncertainties. One of the MPC's fundamental concerns, we believe, is financing the current account deficit. The U.K. current account deficit reached a record 6.9% of GDP in the first quarter. The current account deficit results from deficits or surpluses run in the public, corporate, and household sectors. In past years, the budget deficit has steadily declined to 4.4% of GDP in 2015 from 9.6% in 2010. Meanwhile however, the deficit of the household and corporate sectors--the difference between their total savings and their investment--has increased. The net balancing item is the rest of the world surplus, as measured by the current account deficit, which is financing by foreign investors of the domestic deficits in the economy. To put it in another way, a country that runs a large current account deficit is a country that relies on the rest of the world to finance a large part of its domestic investment. Such financing wasn't an issue in the past for the U.K., but could become more problematic as uncertainties increase about its new relationship with the EU's single market. To summarize the new challenge ahead, BoE Governor Mark Carney said the U.K. should not be "relying on the kindness of strangers," echoing the last line of a famous book.
The Bank of England's readiness to act as a buyer of last resort for now succeeded in appeasing gilt markets and in preventing a steepening in the yield curve. But two other factors will influence the real economy's longer-term response to Brexit: the housing market and exports.
The U.K. housing market plays an important role in the transmission of monetary policy to the real economy, via consumer demand. Unlike on the Continent, household consumption reacts more visibly to the wealth effect induced by higher asset prices, homes in particular, as a result of an increase in monetary policy stimulus. For instance, look at the velocity of money in the U.K. compared with in the eurozone. According to the relationship established by economist Irving Fisher, the impact of a monetary stimulus on nominal output partly depends on the velocity of money, illustrated by the relationship: MV=PT, where M is the total quantity of money, V the velocity of circulation of money, P the price level, and T the total amount of goods and services exchanged for money. Amid today's very low interest rates, where consumers are wary of unemployment and deflation, the typical response of GDP to money supply growth has been less than the typical 1-1 relationship. Velocity has proven to be key in the transmission, or lack therefore, of monetary impulse. While the velocity of money has been trending downward in the EU, it's risen in the U.K. since 2010 (see chart 1). In our view, this increase is related to the broad recovery in U.K. asset prices, especially housing, creating a wealth effect that has stimulated consumer spending.
Today, the U.K. housing market is subject to conflicting influences: On one hand, the MPC's vigorous response should be stimulating demand for housing loans and underpinning transaction growth. But on the other hand, uncertainties about growth prospects and the future relationship with the EU throw doubts over the market's ability to keep growing. The behavior of foreign buyers is particularly hard to predict: They may take advantage of the weaker pound and buy into the housing market, or conversely they may shy away because of fears about the future prospects of the City of London. This comes at a time when the housing market has already been slowing (see chart 2). The rate of increase in prices has been on a downward trend since the beginning of the year. Home sales numbers are harder to interpret as they've been distorted in recent months by the introduction in April of higher stamp duty tax rates for buy-to-let and second-home purchases, but in July mortgage approvals fell to their lowest level since January 2015. At this point, we expect the housing market to experience a soft landing in the coming 12 months, thanks to still very favorable financing conditions. A steeper fall would undoubtedly be associated with a sharper contraction in consumer demand and residential investment.
One of the Brexiters' key arguments was that a weaker pound exchange rate would benefit exports and hence overall economic growth. History is more complex. Sterling's most recent depreciation, in late 2008 when the pound lost 16% against the dollar in six months and 28% against the euro, did not point to a large trade boost. At that time, consumer spending was dampened by the subsequent increase in import prices. That episode could arguably be seen as a special case, as world trade collapsed over the same period. However, we have many other episodes of sterling depreciation from which to draw conclusions. Since 1975, the pound experienced eight major bouts of decline. On average those episodes lasted six months, with the pound losing 13.8% against the dollar and 18% against the euro. The pound's biggest drop against the greenback was in 1981 and again in 1982 (19% each time).
In an econometric analysis, we found that a 10% depreciation in sterling's exchange rate against the U.S. dollar would boost real exports of goods (excluding fuel exports) 2.5% to 3% over the following 18 months. More broadly, a 10% depreciation in the real effective exchange rate produces a 4% boost to real exports of goods. This is not insignificant at all. Over the past 12 months to the end of August, the pound's real effective rate lost 17%. All things being equal, this should boost real exports by about 7% by the beginning of 2018. Let's not forget that by then U.K. exporters should still have full access to the European single market as the Brexit negotiations will most likely not be over. However, the net effect on real GDP growth will be more limited. For one thing, exports of goods represent only 15% of the U.K.'s real GDP. That ratio for Spain would be 21.6%, and for France 22.3%. Plus, the weaker pound reduces consumption via higher inflation. Chart 3 illustrates this trade-off, assuming a 10% depreciation of the pound against the euro.
In the present situation, we estimate that sterling's depreciation in the past year will boost real exports of goods by about 7%, but real GDP by only about 1.2% by the middle of 2018. As a result, we forecast GDP growth will be 1.8% in 2016, 1.0% in 2017 and 1.1% in 2018. For comparison purposes, the projections we did before the referendum, assuming no Brexit (and consequently an appreciation of the pound in the second half of the year) had GDP at 1.9%, 2.1%, and 2.0% respectively, which suggests an overall negative impact of Brexit on GDP growth of about 2.1 points in two and a half years.
The purchasing managers indices and the European Commission economic sentiment survey revealed some weakness in the eurozone in August, but still pointed to a muted response so far to the Brexit surprise. To date, the survey data still aren't pointing to a marked slowdown in growth. But Brexit occurred when the eurozone was struggling to find a second wind, now that the boost from very oil prices on spending power is vanishing, while investment remains hesitant and the effects of monetary policy are taking time to materialize.
As far as consumption goes, hourly labor cost growth fell to 1% in the second quarter from 1.6% in the first quarter, the slowest pace since 2014. This slowdown was due primarily to the weak wages and salaries component, which rose just 0.9%, the lowest in six years. The nonwage cost component growth rate, meanwhile, remained relatively stable, falling to 1.4% in the second quarter from 1.7% in the first quarter. Looking at the national breakdown, the surprising slowdown in German wage growth was the key reason behind the sluggish figure for the eurozone overall. In eurozone's largest economy, wages grew by 1.1% in the second quarter, down sharply from 2.7% in the first quarter. The slowdown comes at a time when inflation is likely to pick up somewhat as energy base effects dissipate. This is an important change for consumers: the counter oil shock that boosted purchasing power in the past two years is all but over. This is not to say that we expect oil prices to spike in the near term. But prices seem to have found a bottom, and in euro-denominated terms they have actually been rising since the beginning of the year, marking the end of the "energy dividend" (see chart 4).
For sure, not all is negative on the consumer front. Labor markets continue to improve in many countries such as Spain and even France. The coming election schedule leads us to expect mild fiscal easing in most countries, which should underpin purchasing power growth. But overall, our new forecast has growth in consumer demand slowing in the eurozone to 1.3% in 2017 and 2018, from 1.6% this year.
The investment recovery was visible in the first quarter (2.9% year on year), led by investment in equipment. However, the second quarter was disappointing, as capital spending stalled after two quarters of robust growth. The renewed softness could be attributed to stabilization in the capacity utilization rate (see chart 5).
On the other hand, there is no doubt that the eurozone corporate sector is operating under more favorable financial conditions. The gross savings ratio (profits net of taxes and debt servicing costs as a % of value added) has sharply recovered and now stands at record highs. Low wage growth and ultralow interest rates are boosting corporate earnings. In addition, investment is no longer simply concentrated in machinery and equipment. A broader recovery in construction investment is now occurring, boosting activity and employment as well. Overall, what remains uncertain is how the balance will play out between better financing conditions and political uncertainties, such as the fallout from Brexit, and the coming elections in many countries.
Another question mark about the eurozone recovery is uncertainty around the effects of the European Central Bank's monetary policy. Over the past year and a half since it kicked off its quantitative easing (QE) program, the bank has purchased €1 trillion of assets. By the time the program reaches its first review date in March 2017, the bank will have acquired €1.6 trillion of assets, the equivalent of 12% of eurozone GDP. At present, the ECB holds about 14% of all eurozone sovereign debt. By comparison, the U.S. Federal Reserve holds about 18.3% of U.S. sovereign debt. The ECB holding varies by member state, at 24% of German debt, but only 8.5% of Italy's, and 13% of French debt.
The ECB's accommodative policy comprises not only a large asset purchase program (€80 billion a month), but also a negative interest rate on banks' excess reserves (currently set at -0.4%). It also includes a series of four, targeted long-term refinancing operations (TLTRO II) extending from June 2016 to March 2017, with a maturity of four years. Banks are allowed to borrow an amount equivalent to up to 30% of their outstanding eligible loans as of Jan. 31, 2016, less any amount borrowed from the previous TLTRO (June 2014 to June 2016). Assuming fully repaid funds from the first TLTRO, eurozone banks can borrow up to €1.7 trillion under this new program (30% of the €5.7 trillion eligible loans amount). Allocations of available funds vary materially across Europe; Germany, France, Italy, and Spain have the largest shares, with €408 billion, €351 billion, €317 billion, and €208 billion, respectively. Borrowing conditions as part of the new TLTRO can be as low as the interest rate on the deposit facility (currently at -0.4%) if banks increase their loans more than 2.5% over two years, above what they currently hold on their books (an increase of 1.2% annually in 2016 and 2017).
The ECB's aggressive package has started to produce some results. Bank lending flows to the private sector have improved. Loans to households (adjusted for sales and securitization) rose 1.8% year on year in July, while credit to nonfinancial corporations was up 1.9%. These rates are undoubtedly still modest historically but, given the concerns about the impact of negative interest rates on banking system profitability, it remains encouraging that actual lending data and the ECB bank lending survey show continued improvement. Financial fragmentation within the monetary union has also decreased: Interest rates on new loans for small and midsize enterprises have narrowed considerably in Italy and Spain. Firms in those countries can now borrow at rates about 30 basis points (bps) higher than their German counterparts, compared with a gap of as high as 250 bps at the height of the sovereign crisis in 2012.
Taking a broader view, the ECB's strategic targets remain elusive. Inflation expectations have not improved meaningfully. In fact, after a short period of increase, on the back of a weaker euro exchange rate, expectations have diminished again since the beginning of this year.
The lack of movement in inflation expectations reflects the ECB's struggle to influence the euro exchange rate. The euro is up 4.3% from its January level against the U.S. dollar. As a result, markets expect the ECB to introduce additional measures before the end of the year. In our view, such expectations may be partly misplaced. First, it's important to remember that the new ECB package introduced between March 2014 (negative rates) and March 2015 (QE and TLTRO) follows an extended period when the bank's balance sheet actually shrank, a sign generally associated with tighter, not looser, monetary policies. This contraction occurred as banks were repaying the amounts borrowed during the first LTRO operations. This phenomenon stands in stark contrast with the results of monetary policy at other major central banks, and suggests that the ECB's new stance still needs time to produce effects.
In addition, the ECB remains "Fed-driven" in the sense that its ability to influence its exchange rate, and hence the level of imported inflation, also depends on the timing of the Fed interest rates hikes. Delays, as has been the case through 2016, tend to weaken the U.S. currency.
What else could the ECB do? There's been speculation that it could use "helicopter money" in the form of targeted fiscal giveaways--like the U.S. tax rebate checks to consumers in 2001 and 2008. In our opinion, this is highly unlikely at this point for a number of reasons. The absence of an EMU-wide fiscal authority should preclude such measures. Such giveaways could also appear to be backhanded incentives for national governments to relax their fiscal stance further and postpone structural reforms, a temptation that's already quite tangible after the Brexit vote and ahead of key elections in Italy (a constitutional referendum) or France.
Instead, we believe the ECB's next move, in December, could consist of a further drop in its negative deposit rate, especially in the case of lack of Fed action and a further cut by the Bank of Japan. In a recent speech, ECB executive board member Peter Praet stressed once again that ECB rates could still go lower when he noted: "We expect our policy rates to remain at present or lower levels for an extended period of time, and well past the horizon of our net asset purchases [in March 2017]" (speech at the Bank of New York Mellon 20th anniversary, in Brussels, on Sept. 15, 2016). The ECB is also likely to extend its QE program beyond March 2017, a move that's all but certain. Would it also venture further into unconventional policy territories, by extending its QE program to exchange traded funds, thus indirectly purchasing equities like the Bank of Japan? Such a decision would certainly surprise the markets and raise eyebrows in many circles.
Three months on, our latest forecast update reinforces our initial post-Brexit assessment that the U.K. decision to leave the EU (at some point) will hurt the U.K. economy, with an adverse impact spread over several years, knocking off about 2.1 points of GDP growth between now and the end of 2018--but without precipitating a full-fledged recession. The impact on the eurozone will be milder, taking off about 0.7 point of growth, but in a context of already sluggish growth in the single monetary union.