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Ref Watch: Fulham
For our first game after the international break we have a match official who will be taking charge of his second North End game of the season, Darren England.
Ticket Information: Fulham
The referee for the clash at Craven Cottage is in his first year on the Select Group Two list and was the match official for our game at Middlesbrough in August – that was second time he had taken charge of a Preston North End game, all away from Deepdale.
His first game was the final match of the 2016/17 season, and it was his first Championship game, in the fixture against Wolverhampton Wanderers at Molineux.
Last year, in total, he took charge of charge of 42 games, including the one in the Black Country, issuing 121 cautions and nine red cards in those fixtures and was chosen to referee the League Two Play-Off Final involving Blackpool at Wembley.
So far this season, he has officiated in ten games, including ours in the north east, and has issued 34 cautions and one red card, his last game being Brentford's 3-0 win at Bolton Wanderers' Mascron Stadium on 23rd September.
This Saturday he will be assisted by Matt Foley and James Mainwaring and the fourth official will be another from the Select Group Two list, Simon Hooper.
Fulham vs Preston North End on 14 Oct 17
Cottagers
Ref Watch
Match Official
Darren England

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


Dave Maher talks about his near-death experience in the "Dave Maher Coma Show" at Annoyance Theatre.
Dave Maher comes out of a coma with the material for a new comedy act at Annoyance Theatre.
The Annoyance Theatre moved into its new venue about a year-and-a-half ago, a terrific second-floor space on Belmont outfitted with a large barroom that is lined with a bank of windows offering views of the bustle down on the street below. It's a great spot. That said, every time I go to see a show there, it's chaos.
The Annoyance has two theaters that are side by side and down a corridor at the far end of the bar. But there is absolutely no system guiding audiences into those theaters before the show. "Where are we going? Is there a line?" you hear people ask. This happens every time. There has to be a better way.
The confusion was made all the worse last weekend when a technical problem with the sound system left us awkwardly crowding around, waiting to enter the theater for a show that ultimately started 30 minutes past schedule.
The good news is that Dave Maher is just the sort of performer to make you forget all that. "I was in a coma," he says drolly at the outset, laughing a little to himself. "And this is my show." Hence: The "Dave Maher Coma Show."
One year ago this month, Maher (a longtime Chicago improviser-turned-standup comedian) fell into a diabetic coma after being a bit too loose about monitoring his blood sugar levels and getting high a lot. He was 30 at the time and was in the hospital unconscious for weeks, his condition so dire physicians told his family to consider taking him off life support. Just days before they planned to do just that, Maher woke up.
A little rambly at points, the show's free-form sensibility is smart and hooks you in (Daniel Shar directs) but it needs more of an arc beyond "This crazy thing happened to me." A bit more introspection, in other words.
Less than a year ago, if you would have asked stand-up comedian Dave Maher what his plans were for the next five years he wouldn't have answered. Not because he was shy or unsure. Because he was in a coma.
It's such a mind-boggling thing, to be standing here a year later in seemingly good health, and it seems Maher (quite understandably) still can't wrap his head around it. The more time passes, the more I suspect he will have to say about it.
A loose and relaxed performer, Maher might as well be sitting next to you at the bar, recounting the strangest event of his life so far. That he's stunned by it all is what generates much of the show's low-key but very honest comedy, of premature eulogies posted on Facebook (he reads and critiques a few) and a goosed audience Q&A that gets at the some of the deeper questions and absurdities of this grand old ride we call life.
REVIEW: "Dave Maher Coma Show"


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text:
#region copyright
// Copyright 2015 Habart Thierry
//
// Licensed under the Apache License, Version 2.0 (the "License");
// you may not use this file except in compliance with the License.
// You may obtain a copy of the License at
//
//     http://www.apache.org/licenses/LICENSE-2.0
//
// Unless required by applicable law or agreed to in writing, software
// distributed under the License is distributed on an "AS IS" BASIS,
// WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied.
// See the License for the specific language governing permissions and
// limitations under the License.
#endregion

using Microsoft.EntityFrameworkCore;
using SimpleIdentityServer.EF.Models;

namespace SimpleIdentityServer.EF.Mappings
{
    public static class ConsentScopeMapping
    {
        public static void AddConsentScopeMapping(this ModelBuilder modelBuilder)
        {
            modelBuilder.Entity<ConsentScope>()
                .ToTable("consentScopes")
                .HasKey(c => new { c.ConsentId, c.ScopeName });
        }
    }
}

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaGithub


We like to keep you updated on developments behind the scenes, and currently there is a lot going on up in the nursery that will help revolutionise our future growing processes going forwards. We're erecting/converting two new tunnels – a new heated propagation tunnel and a new 'frost free' 3-bay tunnel. Heat to both are to be powered by a brand new biomass boiler, installation of which is to commence next week!
The panels through which the pipework will be run for the new heated propagation tunnel in the nursery are nearly down. The new tunnel will open up so many opportunities in terms of what we can grow and when – and will stop us being dictated to by our sometimes harsh weather. Propagator Graham is certainly looking forward to spending time in his 'new home' – a big step up from the current prop house in which he spends his days.
Likewise, the additional 'frost free' tunnel, also in progress up in the nursery, will allow us to increase the selection of certain groups of plants we're able to offer you. Renowned for our large coastal collection of plants, we're excited that we'll soon be able to extend the range further still, particularly our most coastal 'on the beach' range of plants, which while tolerating the worst salt-laden winds well, have struggled in the past with the coldest inland temperatures on the nursery – despite being just a mile from the coast. Understandably in high demand down here, where we're surrounded by coastline, coastal plants are one of our most important specialisms, and help define us as a nursery and garden centre. To be able to take the range beyond where it's ever been before, is truly exciting and will offer you, our customers, more choice than ever before.
It won't just be the plants that struggle with the severe cold that will benefit either – those that struggle with damp conditions e.g. lavenders, will also be saved from their nemesis! We will have the luxury of shutting the wet out and blasting some heat on them as required, to maintain the dry conditions they thrive in.
Being able to grow, nurture and establish plants in favourable conditions will put less stress on them and will help ensure that healthy, mature plants reach you in the best possible condition and at the time you expect (rather than timings being thrown off by a poor season and plants being delayed due to by atypical weather patterns).


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Home > 1861-1865 Civil War > Civil War Photography > Identified Union CDV's, Albumens > District of Columbia, Regular Army, Colored Troops CDV's > Stoneman's Raid 5th US Cavalry Officer Cdv
Click on image for a better view:
Cdv of Captain James E. Harrison, 5th US Cavalry. Identified in old pencil on the back as:
Cap Harrison
5th Cavalry Regular
My Adjt Genl."
Image in good condition with wear as shown in the scan. Portland, ME photographer's backmark. Please see below for details on Harrison's participation in General George Stoneman's Raid and his career in general.
$175.00 plus shipping
Stoneman's Raid:
During April 29 and 30, elements of Buford's cavalry scoured the countryside seeking suitable river crossings and skirmishing with Rebel pickets. The conditions and the weather deteriorated with the men's rations becoming sodden and since campfires were forbidden lest they reveal the raider's location, the cavalryman's uniforms were rarely dry. The plight of the horses was even worse; dead and crippled animals marked the route of Stoneman's march. By May 2, Buford's brigade camped alone on the south bank of the North Anna river - he had led his men almost halfway to the Confederate capitol at Richmond and could begin his task of destroying the local infrastructure in earnest. Into action on May 2 was Captain Myles Keogh; Keogh accompanied British born Lieutenant Walker's C Company, Fifth U.S cavalry, in a raid that captured a 15 wagon strong supply train at Thompson's Cross Roads. Keogh personally arranged for the captured mules, 60 in all, to be distributed to the men whose horses had gone lame. At Louisa, Captain Lord, with his regiment, the First Cavalry, was also detached toward Tolersville and Frederickshall, to destroy the railroad and to burn the bridge over the North Anna, on the road from Fredericksburg. On May 4, a Captain Harrison with the remainder of the Fifth U.S. cavalry engaged Confederate cavalry for the first time in the raid, led by Robert E. Lee's son, Rooney Lee. In his own report of that event, Captain James E. Harrison gives his account of facing a force vastly superior in number to his own - "Upon the arrival of Lieutenant Urban, I joined his party to the main force, making 30 in all. After the guidon-bearers had fallen out, and finding the rebel force still advancing at a charge, and several of my scouts and pickets still out, I made up my mind to charge them, with the hope of checking them for a short time, to enable my pickets to return and to get my led animals off. When they came in sight of my command, they commenced to slacken their speed, feeling somewhat uncertain as to the strength of my force. I took advantage of that moment and charged. As soon as they saw the end of my column, they also sounded the charge, and we met just at the point of the woods where the road comes out on to an open space of about an acre. I found that I had become engaged with at least 1,000 men. The shock of the charge was so great that my foremost horses were completely knocked over. I fought them as long as I deemed prudent, and, finding that I was overpowered by numbers, I wheeled about and retreated on the road to Yanceyville..." By May 5, only 646 of the brigade's horses were deemed fit to continue. Using these mounts, Buford, by necessity, returned to Louisa and Gordansville only to find their destructive work of three days previous part-repaired! No doubt to the enemies frustration, Buford's men set about their destructive task again. There at nightfall they met and evaded a strong contingent of Confederate infantry and cannon, although briefly, one trooper admitted - "it looked...as if our time had come" Buford's return towards Gordansville was also ordered as a ruse to mask the return of the main body of Stoneman's cavalry to Hooker's command. Colonel George B. Sandford would later write of this undertaking - "Buford was the man of all others to be entrusted with such an undertaking." For three days and nights, Buford's exhausted men remained on the move and such was the trooper's fatigue that dozens of men fell asleep in the saddles of their emaciated, sore backed horses. Even now as the mission was nearing completion, ended by the Union retreat from its defeat at Chancellorsville, Buford's column was still battling the swollen rivers and streams. From May 6, when they regrouped with Stoneman, to the 10th, Buford's men made their way slowly back to HQ at Falmouth where they returned to picket duty and recovered from the previous weeks exertions. Buford's enterprise provided one of the few bright moments in what was a less damaging campaign than expected, although the Northern press hailed the incursion in glowing terms.
JAMES E. HARRISON. [Born in Virginia.�Appointed from District of Columbia.] Military History.� Second Lieutenant 2d U. S. Cavalry, June, 1856. At Camp Cooper, Tex., to April, 1858. Detached service, Fort Belknap, Tex., to May, 1858. Fort Auchita, to July, 1858, and Fort Belknap, Tex., September to October, 1858. Scouting Indians, November, 1858. Commanding company, December and May, 1858. In Texas, to December, 1860. Detached service, Carlisle Barracks, Penn., February to March, 1860. First Lieutenant 2d U. S. Cavalry, April, 1861. Captain 5th U. S. Cavalry, May, 1861. Engaged in the Peninsular campaign, Army of the Potomac. Commanding regiment at Harper's Ferry, Va., September, 1862. In the field, to April, 1863. At Portland, Me., to December, 1863. Cavalry Corps Headquarters, Army of the Potomac, to January, 1864. Acting Inspector-General of Cavalry, Department of Arkansas, to July, 1864. Special Inspector of Cavalry, Military Division of West Mississippi, to January, 1865. With regiment, Washington, D. C, to November, 1867. Brevet Major U. S. Army, for gallant and meritorious services at the battle of Hanover Court-House, Va. Brevet LieutenantColonel U. S. Army, for gallant and meritorious services at the battle of Antietam, Md. Died of disease, at Washington, D. C, November 4, 1867.


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Grief & Spiritual Support for those on Living Donor Transplant Journey
by The Centre for Living Organ Donation at UHN
Thu, 16 December 2021
Join us for a conversation on grief and spiritual care with Psychotherapist and UHN Spiritual Care Practitioner, Stefan Pankiw
The holidays can be difficult for many Canadians - including caregivers and living donors who have lost a loved one, people recovering from transplant, or recently diagnosed individuals and their families.
This session will explore feelings of grief and loss that sometimes accompany the transplant journey, such as
Feeling sad, angry or irritable
Feeling hopeless
Feeling alone or detached from others
Questioning faith or personal beliefs
Our speaker will review research on overcoming grief and building resilience, and provide information and resources to improve care and support for those who are struggling.
ABOUT SPEAKER
Stefan has been with UHN since 2014, when he started his clinical pastoral education program at TWH. He has provided coverage to multiple areas of UHN through his on call work. His most recent units have been in Toronto Rehab, UC site (Geri Rehab, SDU, MSK) and at the Bickle site (CCC).
Stefan has been with providing support for the Transplant program at Toronto General since Aug 2019. He is the spiritual care FISC (Family Information and Support Centre) representative. Stefan is a Registered Psychotherapist (RP) with the College of Registered Psychotherapists of Ontario, (2016) and is also registered as a Spiritual Care Practitioner with the Canadian Association of Spiritual Care.
Stefan completed his BA from Ottawa University and has a Sacred Bachelors of Theology (STB) from St. Paul's University in Ottawa.
Stefan was a guest on the Living Transplant podcast last year. Listen to the Holiday Season 2020 bonus episode here.
Coping with a Transplant, UHN
Coping with Grief and Loss, BC Renal Agency
Grief & Bereavement Resources, SickKids
The Grief Journey, The Death of a Spouse or Lifetime Companion, National Kidney Foundation (US)
Beyond Blue, Grief & Loss, Australia
Bereaved Families of Ontario
Ontario Caregiver Organization
#grief
#transplant
#spiritual_healing
#grief_support
#livingorgandonation
#kidneyfailure
#liverfailure
Organizer The Centre for Living Organ Donation at UHN
Organizer of Grief & Spiritual Support for those on Living Donor Transplant Journey
For those in need of a kidney or liver transplant, living organ donation may offer a shorter pathway to better health - providing faster access to transplant and a quicker recovery. But there are not enough living donors to meet the need.
The Centre for Living Organ Donation was created by UHN Transplant (now the Ajmera Transplant Centre) in 2018 to improve access to living organ donation for people who need a life-saving kidney or liver transplant and those who want to give a transformative gift of life.
We raise awareness, provide support, promote research and offer hope to thousands of people who are waiting for a kidney or liver transplant - and everyone who wants to be part of their future.
We are located at Toronto General Hospital, a member of the University Health Network (UHN), also home to Toronto Western Hospital, the Princess Margaret Cancer Centre, Toronto Rehabilitation Institute, and The Michener Institute of Education at UHN. Toronto General Hospital has been at the top of Canada's Top 40 Research Hospitals list since 2011, and in 2020, was named one the world's Top 10 Hospitals by Newsweek magazine.
The Ajmera Transplant Centre is the largest organ transplant program in North America. We also partner with SickKids on the largest paediatric living donor transplant program in Canada.
For more information about us and what we do, please visit www.livingorgandonation.ca.
The Centre for Living Organ Donation is funded by the UHN Foundation. Thank you to our generous donors for supporting our work.
The Centre for Living Organ Donation at UHN
Wed, 26 Jan 12:00 pm
1952-2022: 70 Years of Ethical Challenges in Living Donor Transplantation
Spiritual Journey of a First Nations Woman
#Spirituality #Seminar
Tue, 25 Jan 12:00 pm
LIVING MASTERY FREE ONLINE SERIES- FB + IG LIVE. The New Spiritual Wisdoms
Tired of Religion? Join The Art of Living _ Spiritual Group Zoom Meeting
Flappers, flights and freedom: a social history of the 1920s
Knee Pain Corrective Exercise Workshop - For Women Only
US$0 - US$25
January LAT Book Club with Stephanie Land, author of "Maid"
Know Your Own Power - with Dr Radha Modgil
Whitney Museum of American Art - New York - Livestream Tour
Ship Timbers in Historic Buildings


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Free Fight Video: Uriah Hall vs. Anderson Silva
Hall will look to keep up his red-hot form with a win against the 22-3 Sean Strickland this weekend.
Uriah Hall is hitting his stride.
The Jamaican-born New Yorker was heralded as one of mixed martial arts' brightest prospects when he exploded onto the scene with a sequence of stunning knockouts while a contestant on a season of 'The Ultimate Fighter'. Many will have noted, though, and perhaps even Hall himself, that this potential was not delivered upon initially.
He lost his finale bout on 'The Ultimate Fighter' to Kelvin Gastelum and saw the same as result, also a split decision loss, to John Howard next time around.
The corner began to be turned shortly after when he shone in a series of fights to go 5-1 in a two-year period, before dropping a trio of fights to the well-regarded Robert Whittaker, Derek Brunson and Gegard Mousasi — the latter of which was revenge for Hall's stunning flying knee and punches KO win just over a year prior.
Since then Hall has again posted a 5-1 run and was most recently seen as being the other man in the cage when Chris Weidman broke his leg earlier this year — and will look to keep his run going when he faces the 22-3 Sean Strickland in the UFC Apex on Saturday night.
Before that, Hall scored the biggest box office win of his career when he stopped Anderson Silva in the fourth round of their fight last Halloween night. Check it out in full below:


text:
But is There Going to be a 'Saved by the...
From TMZ: Saved by the Bell" is another step closer to a comeback … Mr. Belding himself — aka Dennis Haskins — tells TMZ he's all for a Bayside High reunion...
Prepare Yourselves for The Most Awesome Tour...
New Kids on the Block. 98 Degrees. Boyz II Men. BOOM (BOOM is not a band, boom is the sound your brain made when it just exploded). The tour begins on May 31st. All three bands will be...
Quotables: Mark-Paul Gosselaar Talks Saved by the Bell
"It's not a great show. The writing is kind of hokey… it's very much a piece of that time." – Mark-Paul Gosselaar discusses his most popular work of art...
Zack Morris Got a Woody on His New Lawyer Show
Bet that ALWAYS used to happen on Saved by the Bell. The recently-divorced and probably horny as hell Mark-Paul Gosselaar gave an interview about his new show, Franklin and Bash, a...
It's Official: Mark-Paul Gosselaar Is Single
After he and his wife, Lisa Ann Russell, were separated only a few weeks ago, Mark-Paul has gone ahead and just filed for divorce due to irreconcilable differences (which I've always...
Kelly Kapowski is Ready to Pop
Tiffani Thiessen, whose pregnancy I mentioned earlier in the week, was finally captured on camera after all of these weeks, showing off her gorgeous baby bump. TMZ got the exclusive photo...
Zack Morris is Totally Back on the Market, You Guys
Mark-Paul Gosselaar and his wife of thirteen years, Lisa Ann Russell, have separated, sources confirm. According to these sources, Mark-Paul is all broken up over the, uh, breakup. Hence...
"We weren't in rehab and Mr. Belding wasn't my crack dealer." Mark-Paul Gosselaar, responding to accusations Dustin "Screech" Diamond makes in his latest...
Zack Morris Isn't Afraid of Screech
I'm loving this interview Newsweek did with Mark-Paul Gosselaar. They ask him about rumors that Dustin Diamond is writing a tell-all about his days on Saved by the Bell. Here's...
Late-Night Links
Heather Mills kicks the paparazzi's ass. Literally. [Ninja Dude] David Arquette likes watching his wife make out with Jen Aniston. How is this news? [Glitterati] Beyonce photo...


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Editors' Notes After starting his music career singing backup with Ginuwine, Milwaukee crooner Tank found solo success with his first album, 2001's Force of Nature and its lead single "Maybe I Deserve." Two more full-lengths followed, and he also honed his production skills, teaming up with Missy Elliot for her smash hit "One Minute Man." For Now Or Never, he picks up where he left off on Sex, Love, & Pain, with 13 new tracks squarely aimed at the ladies. There are a few guest spots; Drake shows up for the low-key, snap-infused party jam "Celebration," Chris Brown does his thing on the aptly titled "Foreplay," and newcomer J. Valentine shines on the bonus track "On My Way," but it's mostly all Tank, firing a barrage of ballads, slow jams, and romantic tales set to solid production heavy on the synths, shimmering chimes, and seductive bass lines. Avoiding the retro gimmickry of neo-soul while also steering clear of hyper beats and Auto Tune, this is simply good, modern R&B — the well-crafted soundtrack to a night (or long weekend) with that special someone.
Showtime (Interlude)
Sex Music
Celebration (feat. Drake)
Emergency (Intro)
Foreplay (feat. Chris Brown)
Can I (Intro)
Can I
You Mean That Much
℗ 2010 ATLANTIC RECORDING CORPORATION FOR THE UNITED STATES AND WEA INTERNATIONAL INC. FOR THE WORLD OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES
Now or Never (Deluxe Version)
More by Tank
Sex Love & Pain II
A Classic Christmas Night - EP
While You Wait - EP
Inspired by Luther Vandross
Apple Music R&B
Love Like This - Single
Donell Jones
Best Night of My Life
Lost In Time (Deluxe Version)
Eric Benét
The Point of It All (Deluxe Version)
Anthony Hamilton
Something About Faith (Deluxe Edition)
Late Nights & Early Mornings
The Walls (feat. Fabolous) - Single


> > this can (and i wager a bet it will) break things.
> what would it break?
that it has a switch you can flip to mp3 or to aac"
the other polirization is detected.
will change your knowledge of the switch from 90% to 99%.
even with just a +1 to cause issues.
named files will match what we loose.


text:
Mario Tadejević (Fiume, 1989. augusztus 28. –) horvát labdarúgó.

Sikerei, díjai

HNK Rijeka:
1.HNL bronzérmes: 2008-09
FK Sarajevo:
Bosznia-hercegovinai labdarúgó-bajnokság (első osztály) ezüstérmes: 2012-13
Bosznia-hercegovinai labdarúgó-bajnokság (első osztály) bronzérmes: 2013-14

Források
 Mario Tadejević oldala a Transfermarkt.com-on
hlsz.hu

Horvát labdarúgók
Labdarúgóhátvédek
A HNK Rijeka labdarúgói
A PMFC labdarúgói
Az FK Sarajevo labdarúgói
Fiumeiek
1989-ben született személyek
Élő személyek

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaWikipedia


A generalized version of the Schrodinger Equation, corresponding to the different universes of QCI Theory, can be produced by applying a perturbation expansion to calculate the propagator of a particle in a potential. The presence of a p-norm, and the integration over a complex number of variables, produces new coefficients in the perturbation expansion that are not present in the case of an integer discretization index. These coefficients manifest themselves as multiplicative factors in the potential term. By applying the relationship between the particle propagator and the wavefunction, for arbitrarily small time-interval, a differential equation for the particle wavefunction in different universes can be constructed, a generalization of the Schrodinger equation.
This extended Schrodinger equation can be resolved into a time-independent Schrodinger equation, with a universe-dependent factor multiplying the potential, and a time-dependence exponential expression. This expression produces apparently non-unitary particle behavior; namely, a violation of the conservation of probability. As described in our paper, such an apparent paradox can be readily interpreted in the context of particles "disappearing" from space-time; that is, a violation of mass-energy conservation. Alternatively, new normalization factors could be added to the contribution formula to preserve unitarity, but energy conservation will still be compromised. Such is an unavoidable consequence of the theory.


text:
COME, FOLLOW ME LESSON AIDS: February 24–March 1 "A Marvelous Work and a Wonder" 2 Nephi 26-30
2 Nephi 26: Christ will minister to the Nephites—Nephi foresees the destruction of his people—They will speak from the dust—The Gentiles will build up false churches and secret combinations—The Lord forbids men to practice priestcrafts. About 559–545 B.C. 2 Nephi 27: Darkness and apostasy will cover the earth in the last days—The Book of Mormon will come forth—Three witnesses will testify of the book—The learned man will say he cannot read the sealed book—The Lord will do a marvelous work and a wonder—Compare Isaiah 29. About 559–545 B.C. 2 Nephi 28: Many false churches will be built up in the last days—They will teach false, vain, and foolish doctrines—Apostasy will abound because of false teachers—The devil will rage in the hearts of men—He will teach all manner of false doctrines. About 559–545 B.C. 2 Nephi 29: Many Gentiles will reject the Book of Mormon—They will say, We need no more Bible—The Lord speaks to many nations—He will judge the world out of the books which will be written. About 559–545 B.C. 2 Nephi 30: Converted Gentiles will be numbered with the covenant people—Many Lamanites and Jews will believe the word and become delightsome—Israel will be restored and the wicked destroyed. About 559–545 B.C.


23/09/2018 · Welcome to The Wonderful World of Origami. I hope you enjoy this ancient and exquisite art as much as I do. This blog was created with the purpose of sharing different origami designs created by famous origami folders around the world.
Create the outline of a bear on the surface of the cake. This can be done using a paper template or by free-handing the marks with your fingers or a butter knife.
As promised, here are a few more pictures with the quilled teddy bear: back and side view. This little guy is only 4.5 cm tall, that is about 1 1/2″.


The present National Workshop in Semarang intends to review the draft DRR strategy, developed so far with the inputs of the local communities. In doing so, the National Workshop aims to familiarize the provincial and national level government institutions with the draft Kota Lama Semarang DRR strategy, thereby coordinating and harmonizing their engagement in the whole process of disaster risk management in Semarang. Inputs and feedbacks received from the participants during the workshop will be incorporated in the final version of the DRR Strategy of Kota Lama Semarang. Through the involvement of government institutions from various levels in the National Workshop, the National Workshop also intends to mainstream disaster risk reduction of Kota Lama Semarang in the National DRR Plan.
Indonesian government representatives, cultural heritage managers, DRR agencies and experts are expected to participate in this workshop.


text:
namespace Microsoft.Azure.Management.Network.Models
{
    using System;
    using System.Linq;
    using System.Collections.Generic;
    using Newtonsoft.Json;
    using Microsoft.Rest;
    using Microsoft.Rest.Serialization;
    using Microsoft.Rest.Azure;

    /// <summary>
    /// Inbound NAT rule of the loadbalancer
    /// </summary>
    [JsonTransformation]
    public partial class InboundNatRule : SubResource
    {
        /// <summary>
        /// Initializes a new instance of the InboundNatRule class.
        /// </summary>
        public InboundNatRule() { }

        /// <summary>
        /// Initializes a new instance of the InboundNatRule class.
        /// </summary>
        public InboundNatRule(string id = default(string), SubResource frontendIPConfiguration = default(SubResource), NetworkInterfaceIPConfiguration backendIPConfiguration = default(NetworkInterfaceIPConfiguration), string protocol = default(string), int? frontendPort = default(int?), int? backendPort = default(int?), int? idleTimeoutInMinutes = default(int?), bool? enableFloatingIP = default(bool?), string provisioningState = default(string), string name = default(string), string etag = default(string))
            : base(id)
        {
            FrontendIPConfiguration = frontendIPConfiguration;
            BackendIPConfiguration = backendIPConfiguration;
            Protocol = protocol;
            FrontendPort = frontendPort;
            BackendPort = backendPort;
            IdleTimeoutInMinutes = idleTimeoutInMinutes;
            EnableFloatingIP = enableFloatingIP;
            ProvisioningState = provisioningState;
            Name = name;
            Etag = etag;
        }

        /// <summary>
        /// Gets or sets a reference to frontend IP Addresses
        /// </summary>
        [JsonProperty(PropertyName = "properties.frontendIPConfiguration")]
        public SubResource FrontendIPConfiguration { get; set; }

        /// <summary>
        /// Gets or sets a reference to a private ip address defined on a
        /// NetworkInterface of a VM. Traffic sent to frontendPort of each of
        /// the frontendIPConfigurations is forwarded to the backed IP
        /// </summary>
        [JsonProperty(PropertyName = "properties.backendIPConfiguration")]
        public NetworkInterfaceIPConfiguration BackendIPConfiguration { get; private set; }

        /// <summary>
        /// Gets or sets the transport protocol for the endpoint. Possible
        /// values are Udp or Tcp. Possible values include: 'Udp', 'Tcp'
        /// </summary>
        [JsonProperty(PropertyName = "properties.protocol")]
        public string Protocol { get; set; }

        /// <summary>
        /// Gets or sets the port for the external endpoint. You can specify
        /// any port number you choose, but the port numbers specified for
        /// each role in the service must be unique. Possible values range
        /// between 1 and 65535, inclusive
        /// </summary>
        [JsonProperty(PropertyName = "properties.frontendPort")]
        public int? FrontendPort { get; set; }

        /// <summary>
        /// Gets or sets a port used for internal connections on the endpoint.
        /// The localPort attribute maps the eternal port of the endpoint to
        /// an internal port on a role. This is useful in scenarios where a
        /// role must communicate to an internal component on a port that is
        /// different from the one that is exposed externally. If not
        /// specified, the value of localPort is the same as the port
        /// attribute. Set the value of localPort to '*' to automatically
        /// assign an unallocated port that is discoverable using the runtime
        /// API
        /// </summary>
        [JsonProperty(PropertyName = "properties.backendPort")]
        public int? BackendPort { get; set; }

        /// <summary>
        /// Gets or sets the timeout for the Tcp idle connection. The value
        /// can be set between 4 and 30 minutes. The default value is 4
        /// minutes. This element is only used when the protocol is set to Tcp
        /// </summary>
        [JsonProperty(PropertyName = "properties.idleTimeoutInMinutes")]
        public int? IdleTimeoutInMinutes { get; set; }

        /// <summary>
        /// Configures a virtual machine's endpoint for the floating IP
        /// capability required to configure a SQL AlwaysOn availability
        /// Group. This setting is required when using the SQL Always ON
        /// availability Groups in SQL server. This setting can't be changed
        /// after you create the endpoint
        /// </summary>
        [JsonProperty(PropertyName = "properties.enableFloatingIP")]
        public bool? EnableFloatingIP { get; set; }

        /// <summary>
        /// Gets provisioning state of the PublicIP resource
        /// Updating/Deleting/Failed
        /// </summary>
        [JsonProperty(PropertyName = "properties.provisioningState")]
        public string ProvisioningState { get; set; }

        /// <summary>
        /// Gets name of the resource that is unique within a resource group.
        /// This name can be used to access the resource
        /// </summary>
        [JsonProperty(PropertyName = "name")]
        public string Name { get; set; }

        /// <summary>
        /// A unique read-only string that changes whenever the resource is
        /// updated
        /// </summary>
        [JsonProperty(PropertyName = "etag")]
        public string Etag { get; set; }

    }
}


text:
Cameras, Reviews, SLR Reviews
Miranda Automex III – Auto grille
If you don't have time to read this review of the Miranda Automex III, I can read this to you with the Photo Thinking Blogcast! You can find it on most podcast platforms or here.
Miranda Automex III
Ever wondered what a camera would look like with the grille of a 1962 Chrysler SV1 Valiant, the Miranda Automex III is a great example. It has one of the most impressive pentaprism designs in early 35mm SLRs. In fact, the whole camera looks impressive.
The Automex series comes from a period where camera designers had a bit of freedom to experiment, and the looks of a camera were also a priority. Some of the most beautiful and innovative SLR designs were produced mid last century until an established formfactor was developed later in the century.
Vespa | Miranda Automex III | Miranda 5cm f/1.9 Auto / Ilford HP5 Plus
Miranda cameras are not one of the highly collected brands, but they do have their fans. This is partly due to a reputation of having reliability issues, and as they were not as prevalent, lack of parts. The combination of these factors does mean they are a bit of an enigma. "Miranda Curse" has been known to be uttered more than once.
Unlike other people, I managed to get a working copy on the first go, sort of. It's a camera that did not give me any indication of any problems in use. To be fair, it actually worked well except for something I did not notice until way too late. Out in the field it is a usable and enjoyable camera.
Beach day | Miranda Automex III | Miranda 5cm f/1.9 Auto / Kodak Gold 200
Being a collector as well as a photographer, I could not resist buying one these. Partly as a challenge after hearing the problems other people have had with them, and then just the look of it. From an SLR point of view, it is a gorgeous camera.
I got the camera very early on last year, and used it on and off until the end of the year. It was quite enjoyable every time I took it out, but that is only one aspect of a camera. The results it produces are obviously its reason for existence. To see how I got on, and why I think I was the recipient of the curse anyway, please read on.
Bear on fence | Miranda Automex III | Miranda 5cm f/1.9 Auto / Kodak Gold 200
Nikon F – Start of a Legacy
Nikon F2 – Ultimate Legend
Topcon RE Super – Just super
Pentax Spotmatic SP – pentaX marks the spot
Photo Thinking SLR Reviews
While you do not see many Miranda cameras about everywhere, they were produced for a significant amount of time and the company does have a substantial history.
Miranda was originally called Orion Seikei Sangyō Y.K. (Orion Precision Products Industries Co. Ltd.) and was founded in 1947. The founders, Ogihara Akira and Ōtsuka Shintarō both studied aeronautical engineering in what was called the Imperial University of Tokyo, that was later renamed the University of Tokyo. This was during World War Two and they were about a year apart.
Hammocks | Miranda Automex III | Miranda 5cm f/1.9 Auto / Ilford HP5 Plus
Ogihara Akira worked on the pulse engines for the Japanese Navy during the war while Ōtsuka Shintarō worked on the compressor of an engine for a jet fighter. At the end of the war, all research for the military was stopped in Japan. Ōtsuka went on to work on gas turbines, but soon became aware of what Ogihara was working on.
Ogihara had started using a small workshop within the former aeronautical research centre to work on camera repairs and modifications. Notably Leica mount barrels for military and older lenses. They founded Orion Seikei Sangyō Y.K. at this point, in 1947. Ogihara was very interested in astronomy, so the company was named after the Orion's belt.
Dilapidated pier | Miranda Automex III | Miranda 5cm f/1.9 Auto / Kodak Ultramax 400
The first product of the new company was an adapter called the Coupler. It allowed for Contax and Nikon rangefinder lenses to be mounted on a Leica Thread Mount and retain use of the rangefinder coupling. These are very sought after now.
Other products produced initially and throughout the history of the company include the Focabell bellows, Mirax reflex housings and the Supreme lenses. It was not until 1954 when they produced their first camera with which they went looking for an investor. The prototype was called the Phoenix. When they were funded in 1955, the company was renamed as Orion Camera KK (Company) and the camera was released as the Miranda T. It is worth noting that it was the first Japanese SLR with a pentaprism that was available commercially.
Rocky seaside | Miranda Automex III | Miranda 5cm f/1.9 Auto / Kodak Gold 200
As the main product was the Miranda, and this was quite common with the Japanese camera companies, in 1957 the company was renamed again as Miranda Camera K. K. Soon after is where things get a bit weird. Early in 1959 in a joint announcement Ricoh was to take over the distribution. This only lasted a few months and by mid-1959 sales of Miranda cameras were stopped in Japan.
They were manufactured only for export market for a few years and a very strong partnership was formed with Allied Impex in the US. By the late 1960s, Miranda was eventually wholly owned by Allied Impex. They were also the owner of the Soligor branded lens company.
Bondi Beach | Miranda Automex III | Miranda 5cm f/1.9 Auto / Ilford HP5 Plus
In 1960 the first Automex was released, which has a coupled selenium meter and a set of new lenses, with a cam to let the camera know the aperture setting. The camera also has a double mount, where lenses with either a thread mount or bayonet mount could be used.
1963 brought the Automex II where a notable upgrade was that the available ASA range was increased from 10-400 to 10-1600.
The Automex III came in 1965 with the a major change, the selenium meter was replaced with a CdS meter and moved to the side of the camera. The area where the selenium cell used to be was left on the camera with that funky car grille looking front of the pentaprism.
Branches in the water | Miranda Automex III | Miranda 5cm f/1.9 Auto / Kodak Ultramax 400
Miranda operated until 1976 where they went bankrupt, with another notable camera released being the Sensorex models. Cosina reused the Miranda name in the 1980s briefly for a line of cheap cameras.
The Miranda Automex III is a 35mm Single Lens Reflex (SLR) camera manufactured from 1965. It is a systems camera, which means it has components which can be changed over. For instance, the pentaprism is removable and can be replaced with a waist level finder.
The aesthetics are influenced by the previous model, the Automex II, in that where it used to have a selenium meter, there is a metal plate in front of the pentaprism. Metering is achieved through a CdS meter located to the left of the camera.
The Automex III has the Miranda dual mount where it allowes for the bayonet lenses and also M44 screw mount. Most commonly the camera was supplied with the Soligor made 5cm f/1.9 Auto. The purposely made lenses have an arm which locks into the body to match up the aperture for meter readings.
Shutter speed is controlled by the dial built around the film advance lever, with available shutter speeds from 1 second to 1000th second and Bulb. The film speed selection is also on the same dial with options from ASA 10 to 1600.
The top plate also has a frame counter under a glass circle. Also there is the signal window. At the back of the top plate is where the 1.35v mercury battery is inserted, which powers the meter.
The viewfinder has the match needle meter on the left side, otherwise there is only the focusing patch in the middle.
Being a systems cameras, there are a significant number of accessories available including bellows, macro rings, flash components etc.
I hadn't been seeking out Miranda cameras when I came across the Automex III. Mirandas had been mentioned on the podcast I am a co-host on, (Camerosity Podcast), and about the same time it came up on one of my online searches. The Automex III is considered one of the ones most likely to work, and it was well priced, so I pulled the trigger.
Miranda cameras have a less than good reputation regarding reliability, to the point where it is sometimes referred to as the Miranda curse. I know people that have had two or three purchases before they got one that works. Luck was on my side, this one worked right away.
Crane | Miranda Automex III | Miranda 5cm f/1.9 Auto / Kodak Gold 200
I threw in some Kodak Gold 200 into the camera and carried it around for bit. The meter seemed to work and was fairly accurate when I compared it to my handheld. It is a pretty nice camera to use, the controls are all in the right place and the it is pretty smooth. The operation was good and I quite enjoyed it.
One thing that did happen is that I started to notice some sort of circle in the viewfinder which moved around with the movement of the camera. I could not work out quite what it was, I originally thought part of the match needle had come loose, but everything was still where I would expect it.
On the bench | Miranda Automex III | Miranda 5cm f/1.9 Auto / Ilford HP5 Plus
When I remove the pentaprism and look a bit closer, I can see it is a small plastic screw stuck between the focusing screen and the glass above it. I have no idea where it is from, but as it does not affect operation, I leave it be. Have a look at the photo operating the camera as having a waist level finder to see it.
I got my first roll of film back from the lab and eagerly scanned it in. I was surprised to find the images seemed, well, a bit off. Glowing is the best word for it. So, I realised they must have been overexposed, so I check the shutter and the speeds. It passed; the shutter was firing to what seemed the right speed. So, I loaded it some of my go to film, Ilford HP5 Plus.
Rock | Miranda Automex III | Miranda 5cm f/1.9 Auto / Kodak Ultramax 400
The results from this film were similar but not as severe. Probably due to being black and white film it limited the effect. It had me head scratching. I checked the camera out and still could not see what was causing it.
Using the camera continued to be nice. It is well balanced and sat around my check or over my shoulder nicely. The viewfinder is nice and uncluttered and focusing is easy to see, helped by the faster lens.
For the third roll of film I put in some Kodak Ultramax 400, convinced by this point it must be the meter which is out, even though all the tests I did showed it was fine.
YouTube Shorts | Miranda Automex III | Miranda 5cm f/1.9 Auto / Kodak Gold 200
I shot through this, again enjoying the camera even though I was limited to the 50mm lens I had. One of the interesting things I found shooting the Miranda is that it seems to attract quite a bit of attention. It must be all that chrome, it just looks vintage, and people seem to be attracted to it.
This roll came back with the same issue, even though I used a handheld meter this time. And then, out of the blue I found the issue. In this next photo, look closely at the lens. There is a screw missing, which is the same on the other side. This allows the front of the lens to move out a bit, only half a millimetre, which I suspect was letting in more light than expected. It would explain the over exposed look I was getting. The Miranda curse hits again!
Missing lens screw | Panasonic LUMIX DMC-GX7 | Leica/LUMIX 45mm f/2.8 Macro
Reflected down | Miranda Automex III | Miranda 5cm f/1.9 Auto / Ilford HP5 Plus
To be fair, I got a decent number of successful photos from this camera too, which indicates when working fully it is quite a decent and likable camera. I seem to not be able to get over the loose screw in the viewfinder and the missing screws. The missing screws can be attributed to a previous owner, but again, with this camera they could have just worked their way out.
They do crop up in online sales often enough where if you really wanted a Miranda Automex III you could pick one up for a very decent price. Personally I will not be looking for another one, and while I enjoyed shooting with this one, I will always worry about the reliability.
Cliff | Miranda Automex III | Miranda 5cm f/1.9 Auto / Kodak Ultramax 400
Dude graffiti | Miranda Automex III | Miranda 5cm f/1.9 Auto / Kodak Gold 200
Surfer mural | Miranda Automex III | Miranda 5cm f/1.9 Auto / Ilford HP5 Plus
Mill Pond | Miranda Automex III | Miranda 5cm f/1.9 Auto / Kodak Ultramax 400
Shops | Miranda Automex III | Miranda 5cm f/1.9 Auto / Kodak Gold 200
Stairs | Miranda Automex III | Miranda 5cm f/1.9 Auto / Ilford HP5 Plus
Pre-haircut mirror selfie | Miranda Automex III | Miranda 5cm f/1.9 Auto / Kodak Gold 200
Simon Hawkett writes: Miranda Automex III 35mm slr camera
35mmanaloganalogueautomexautomex IIIcamerafilmfilm camerafilm photographymirandaphotographyreviewsingle lens reflexslr
Kiev 4 – The Non-Clone
Combinations – 2 Leicas, a Fuji and a Nikon in Auckland
LOMO LC-Wide – Expansive Lomography


What superpower would you NOT want?
This is the 171st day of the year in the Gregorian calendar. There are 194 days remaining in 2018.
It was on this date in 1248, that The University of Oxford receives its Royal charter.
It was also this date in 1787 that Oliver Ellsworth moves at the Federal Convention to call the government the 'United States'.
Also today in 1819, The U.S. vessel SS Savannah arrives at Liverpool, United Kingdom. It is the first steam-propelled vessel to cross the Atlantic, although most of the journey is made under sail.
June 20, 1837, Queen Victoria succeeds to the British throne.
Also on June 20, 1840, Samuel Morse receives the patent for the telegraph.
It was on this date in 1877, that Alexander Graham Bell installs the world's first commercial telephone service in Hamilton, Ontario, Canada.
June 20, 1893, Lizzie Borden is acquitted of the murders of her father and stepmother.
Baron Eduard Toll, leader of the Russian Polar Expedition of 1900, departs Saint Petersburg in Russia on the explorer ship Zarya, never to return on this date in 1900.
It was also this date in 1944 that The experimental MW 18014 V-2 rocket reaches an altitude of 176 km, becoming the first man-made object to reach outer space.
June 20, 1945, The United States Secretary of State approves the transfer of Wernher von Braun and his team of Nazi rocket scientists to the U.S. under Operation Paperclip.
It was 55 years ago today, that Following the Cuban Missile Crisis, the Soviet Union and the United States sign an agreement to establish the so-called "red telephone" link between Washington and Moscow.
June 20, 1975, The film Jaws is released in the United States, becoming the highest-grossing film of that time and starting the trend of films known as "summer blockbusters".
It was on this date in 1990, that Asteroid Eureka is discovered.
The Wikimedia Foundation is founded in St. Petersburg, Florida on this date in 2003.
American astronomer and author, Mary R. Calvert, born on this date in 1884.
Born June 20, 1889, Greek-South African astronomer and academic John S. Paraskevopoulos.
Lloyd Hall, the American chemist and academic was born 124 years ago today.
Errol Flynn, Australian-American actor was born on that same date in 1909.
Also turning 104 today is Turkish archaeologist and academic Muazzez İlmiye Çığ.
American actor and producer, Martin Landau was born 90 years ago today.
Also born on that same date in 1931, American actress, Olympia Dukakis.
Also turning 76 today is American singer-songwriter and producer Brian Wilson.
Canadian singer and guitarist, Anne Murray is 73 today.
American singer-songwriter, pianist, producer, and actor, Lionel Richie, born on this date in 1949.
Also turning 67 today is American actress and voice artist Tress MacNeille.
American actor, John Goodman, born on this date in 1952.
Also born on that same date in 1960, English singer-songwriter, bass player, and actor, John Taylor.
Also turning 51 today is American-Australian actress Nicole Kidman.
Russian mathematician and academic, Misha Verbitsky, born on this date in 1969.


text:
Series Sunday: Delirium Trilogy by Lauren Oliver
Warning, this will contain spoilers for those who haven't read the books.
Overall, these books were really good. My favorite in the series had to be the first book Delirium. It was definitely the strongest in the series. I got bored while reading Pandemonium. The first book is told from the main character Lena's point of view. The second is still Lena, but past and present (in the book it's Then and Now). The third book, Requiem, is told from Lena and her best friend Hana's points of view. The first book was written perfectly in my opinion. As for the second, I would have preferred past or present, not both. Having both made the story kind of dull. Just as a big thing happened in one tense, the time would change. It may keep readers hanging, but it can get kinda annoying. I liked having Hana's POV in Requiem. I really did. But it was so much duller than Lena's. The two girls don't even see each other until the last few chapters. I would have preferred to have Lena be with Hana and find out everything a bit slower.
The main character is Lena. She lives in a dystopian world where people are 'cured' of the ability of love. In the first book, she breaks
the law and falls in love with a boy named Alex. She grew up believing love was a disease, but realizes it isn't in this book. On that note, this is the book that is the most powerful for me. At the end, Lena and Alex plan to run away from the walled in city that they live in. Just as they are about to escape into the Wilds, they are caught. Alex is killed and Lena barely escapes. The fact that she is able to get away after the boy she loves dies shows immense strength. Book two describes Lena as she joins the Resistance and her journey with another boy, Julian. I love Lena's work with the Resistance. And in the end of the story, she finds out that her mother, who she believed to be dead, is actually alive. As for Julian, I don't like him. He never proves to be evil, but I just don't like him. Maybe it's because he's underdeveloped. By the end of the book, Lena has fallen in love with Julian. Why, I have no idea. Then as the last page comes, you find out that her first love Alex is still alive. Yeah, that's one way to end a book. So, the highly anticipated last book finally comes. Lena's journey is finally coming to a close. Meanwhile, you find out about Hana. Hana has been cured and is set to marry the up and coming mayor. She learns
that he's not what he seems to be and, with Lena's help (details to come) Hana leaves him. Then, her almost husband dies. The house he's in explodes. You never find out what happened to Hana. Lena just leaves her. As for Lena, she can't decide about her feelings. Alex has told her he never loved her (don't know why) and she doesn't have it in her to break Julian's heart because of her feelings for Alex. Personally, she seems very fickle for most of the book. Eventually, Alex tells her he actually does love her (big surprise, not). The Resistance breaks into the town Lena came from. Lena sees her cousin and Hana. She loses track of her mother while in the city. The end suggests that Lena and Alex end up together, but never says so outright. Lena is strong and brave, but just lacks something. I'm not sure what it is, but as the books go on, her character seems to get weaker. She's changed from book one to book three, don't get me wrong, but I have more trouble really feeling her. Overall, I like her character, but she's not my favorite. Oh god, the end. I want to smack Lauren Oliver upside the head for the way she ends the series. In a way, it doesn't even end. Lenais with Alex, declaring her love, then the rebels are suddenly 'tearing down the walls' around Portland (where she used to live). You don't know what happened to Julian, to her mother, the rest of her family, her friends, or even Hana. It just ends. Literally, she says "I will make a pact with you: I will do it if you will do it, always and forever. Take down the walls." Readers don't need a happily ever after, we just need an end. Either let the Resistance win and let change come, or kill everyone off. It's not a happy ending, but it's an ending. Show readers what happened to the characters. Give us an epilogue or SOMETHING! Don't just leave readers hanging. Just don't do it. All you had to do was put another page in there. That's all we need. But she didn't. Lucky for readers, the Delirium trilogy is possibly becoming a TV series. Yep, you heard that right. That means that, the TV show can develop what the book does not. We can see different character's POV's. We can get an ending. We can see what lies beyond the small bit of the world that the book takes place in. For this, I am extremely grateful. The story is really good. The world is amazing and intricate. It just simply lacks a few important aspects. I will definitely tune in when it airs. Overall, I like these books. They really are good. I recommend them to you. They have their faults, but you'll enjoy them more if you know that going in. I read the story not knowing what to expect, so I was disappointed. I will probably reread them. I know I'll read Delirium again. Anyway, when it comes down to it, I believe these books deserve three stars.
Author Info:
Lauren Oliver captivated readers with her first novel, the New York Times bestseller Before I Fall, a Publishers Weekly Best Book of the Year. She followed that up with Delirium, the first book in her bestselling, heart-stopping trilogy that continued with Pandemonium. Oliver is also the author of two novels for younger readers, The Spindlers and Liesl & Po, a Kirkus Best Book of the Year. A graduate of the University of Chicago and NYU's MFA program, she lives in Brooklyn, New York.
You Can Also Find Her At:
Delirium Fan Page
Before scientists found the cure, people thought love was a good thing.
They didn't understand that once love -- the deliria -- blooms in your blood, there is no escaping its hold. Things are different now. Scientists are able to eradicate love, and the government demands that all citizens receive the cure upon turning eighteen. Lena Holoway has always looked forward to the day when she'll be cured. A life without love is a life without pain: safe, measured, predictable, and happy.
But with ninety-five days left until her treatment, Lena does the unthinkable: She falls in love.
Titles: Delirium, Pandemonium, Requiem, Delirium Stories
Author: Lauren Oliver
Series: Delirium
Number of Books: Four
Labels: 3 Stars, Lauren Oliver, Review, Series Sunday


A cluster of five Silver Pollen Charms three set with three blue Topaz gemstones on a delicate Silver trace chain .
The largest Gemstone Pollen Charm set with a 3.5mm blue Topaz with Gemstone Swirling Sepal and Segmented Stigma Charms set with a 3mm and 2.5mm blue Topaz. The other two Charms are Striped Style and Spotted Anther.


David Axelrod came to speak to some college kids.
On Monday April 9th, David Axelrod, a former advisor to Barack Obama, came to Fordham to speak at the invitation of the College Democrats. The event took place at the third-floor auditorium of Keating Hall, because the Campus Activities Board was using the main auditorium for a showing of The Greatest Showman. Excitement for the event was more than organizers expected because the auditorium was filled to capacity and some people who arrived close to the speech's start time were turned away after the doors were closed.
About a dozen students were already lined up waiting for the doors to open at 7 pm, a full hour before the speech was scheduled to start. By the time the doors were opened, the line of students wrapped around the hallway of the third floor. When Axelrod began his speech, nearly every seat in the auditorium was filled, in addition to students standing the back of the auditorium and on the sides. In addition to the notable speaker, the College Democrats club was also offering a number of free apparel items, including shirts, quarter-zips and wristbands, that additionally contributed to the event's high turnout. Several students stated that they came early to make sure they got a t-shirt or quarter-zip.
A few moments after the scheduled 8 pm start time, Axelrod entered the auditorium and began his speech. In his opening, the former political consultant said that he was excited to be at Fordham, or as he called it the "maker of presidents," a reference to the two years that Donald Trump spent at Fordham before transferring the University of Pennsylvania. The expertly-customized troll went over well with the audience, which erupted in laughter, although there was unease among some. This was, after all, an event organized by the Fordham College Democrats. Axelrod is currently a CNN political commentator, but previously he spent forty years in and around politics, which was the primary focus of most of his speech. As he recounted during his speech, he began his career as a journalist in Chicago after graduating from the University of Chicago and covered crime and city hall politics for local newspapers. Axelrod had grown up in New York City, attending Stuyvesant High School, and was involved in local politics from a young age. He told the crowd about witnessing John F. Kennedy deliver a speech and handing out leaflets for Robert F. Kennedy at the Bronx Zoo.
He then recounted his experiences working for various political campaigns, before talking about how he started working for Barack Obama. Axelrod had initially been introduced to Obama in the nineties by a woman who predicted that the former would some day become the first African-American president of the United States. Axelrod joked that he now takes that woman whenever he goes to the track, one of many jokes that went over well with the packed Keating 3rd auditorium. He then told the students about Obama's unique path to the Oval Office, focusing on his 2004 senate campaign, which was the first campaign in which Axelrod worked for him as an advisor.
Axelrod used the example of the Obama presidency to show the gathered students what politics at its best, in his opinion, was. He specifically cited the Affordable Care Act, the 44th president's signature accomplishment and a cause close to Axelrod's heart. As he explained in his speech, Axelrod's daughter suffers from epilepsy. He spoke eloquently about the experience and how it informed his advocacy for affordable healthcare. Throughout his speech, he reminded students that politics was at its best when it a vehicle for people to "grab the wheel of history and turn it in the right direction." He expressed optimism for the future, even with Trump as president, because of young people like those assembled to hear him speak. He implored the audience to be hopeful and not to be discouraged by the actions of the Trump administration. After he concluded his speech, Axelrod took questions from the audience during a roughly fifteen-minute Q&A. Notably, when a student asked a question about drug policy, the crowd erupted in laughter and Axelrod poked some fun at the student's interest in marijuana legalization. The student meekly attempted to claim that it was purely a policy concern.
The speech concluded just after 9 pm and most students had favorable opinions of both Axelrod and his speech leaving the auditorium. The event was a success for the College Democrats, who were able to attract upwards of 250 students to one of their events. The outgoing club president Eleanor Werner took the opportunity to invite the assembled students to the club's weekly meetings, which take place at 8 pm every Wednesday.


^ Weinstein, Stephen (2000). "Brighton Beach". In Jackson, Kenneth T.; Keller, Lisa; Flood, Nancy (eds.). The Encyclopedia of New York City (2nd ed.). New York, NY, and New Haven, CT, USA: The New York Historical Society and Yale University Press. pp. 139–140. ISBN 0-300-11465-6. Retrieved November 11, 2015.
^ a b c d Mirabella, Alan (June 2, 1985). "A plan to bring back Coney Island". New York Daily News. p. 311. Retrieved February 24, 2019 – via Newspapers.com .
^ Fitzgerald, Owen (June 21, 1979). "Casinos seen as a Coney lifesaver". New York Daily News. p. 652. Retrieved February 21, 2019 – via Newspapers.com .
^ a b Fitzgerald, Owen (November 17, 1982). "Effort renewed for rides park". New York Daily News. p. 110. Retrieved February 21, 2019 – via Newspapers.com .
^ a b Arena, Salvatore (April 26, 1987). "The Business of Bringing Baseball Back to Brooklyn". New York Daily News. pp. 1, 8–9 – via Newspapers.com .
^ Michael S. May; Carol Clark; Anne B. Covell (August 1980). "National Register of Historic Places Registration:Coney Island Fire Station Pumping Station". New York State Office of Parks, Recreation and Historic Preservation. Retrieved February 20, 2011. See also: "Accompanying four photos".
^ a b Rabinovitz, Lauren (2004). "The Coney Island Comedies". In Charlie Keil, Shelley Stamp (ed.). American cinema's transitional era: audiences, institutions, practices (illustrated ed.). University of California Press. ISBN 978-0-520-24027-8.
This page was last edited on 20 April 2019, at 23:34 (UTC).


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Q: Declaring a variable of a variable? I'm working on using input from the mouse to move a sprite in DirectX.
I'm trying to use this example from the professor, But you see my commented error:
// Mouse
float mouseSensitivity = 2000.0f;
spriteObj[5].position.x += (mouseState.lX * mouseSensitivity) * dt;//Error  1   error C2228: left of '.position' must have class/struct/union   //Error 2   error C2228: left of '.x' must have class/struct/union

I am trying to initialize the variables position and x of "spriteObj[5].position.x", But How to I declare x as a member of position as a member of spriteObj[5]?

A: Sorry I left some a bleak, undetailed question here. Solving it made me feel pretty dumb, lol. The error really did explain it all, I had initialized no struct to hold the position data. Here is the finished struct that solved the issue.

struct SpriteObject
{
D3DXVECTOR3 position;
// Translation
float rotation;
// Z rotation
float scale;
// Uniform scaling (x and y value the same)
D3DCOLOR color;
// Color modulation
};

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaStackExchange


This song reminds me of my cousin named Justin, who went to the Army and never came back. It was very devastating but then they found him and now he is at home and just in a cast!!!!
Tell your cousin Justin "thank you" for being one of the brave men who defend our freedom.


Our turbos carry a warranty equivalent to new turbos. Each turbo is measured and balanced according to manufacturer's specifications.
► Large inventory of turbochargers ready for shipping, or we can repair your turbocharger.
► Our turbos carry a warranty equivalent to new turbos. Each turbo is measured and balanced according to manufacturer's specifications.


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Keep Your Friends Close and Relatives Closer – The Risks of Disinheriting Your Dependants
by alternative resolution to conflict on August 5, 2015
Unusually for an inheritance dispute, the Ilott v Mitson case caught the attention of the media last week. Whilst contested inheritance claims are not uncommon, the most recent decision by the Court of Appeal has attracted a high level of editorial interest for a number of reasons.
The case itself is straightforward enough. Helen Ilott's mother (Melita Jackson) died in 2004 leaving an estate worth £486,000 to three animal charities. Helen, who had not been in contact with her mother for many years before her death, was left nothing. Jackson's will and supplementary instructions made it very clear that her daughter had been disinherited. Ilott brought a claim under the Inheritance (Provision for Family and Dependants) Act 1975, which gives dependants the grounds to challenge a will, when the deceased has not made sufficient provision for them. Ilott's claim was based on her and her family's very low income.
Following a long and tortuous journey through the courts, the most recent decision of the Court of Appeal was to award Ilott £164,000. The decision was unexpected for two reasons.
Firstly, although challenges to wills due to inadequate provision for dependants are relatively common, claimants usually have to show that they are directly dependent on the deceased and are typically unable to work. However, in this case Ilott had had no contact with her mother for several years, received no financial support from her and was capable of working, although she was in receipt of state benefits at the time of her mother's death.
Secondly, in their decision to award Ilott a third of her mother's estate, the Appeal Court pointed out that Mrs Jackson had no direct connection with the three animal charities to which she left her estate. Her intention was simply to give the legacy as a donation. The court felt that there was no clearly demonstrated 'expectation or need' by the charities and so adjusted the distribution of the estate.
So what can be made of the Court of Appeal's decision in relation to estate planning and the drafting of wills? The decision to uphold an appeal, from an independent adult child, widens the net of potential claimants. It serves as a reminder to professionals involved in drafting wills to advise clients of the substantial risks of disinheriting close relatives and dependants. They may want to cut their nearest and dearest out of their will, but the courts may have other ideas and have the power to change the final allocation of the deceased's estate. Indeed many will writers require people making a will, who are intent on disinheriting their closest relatives, to sign a statement confirming that they understand the consequences of their actions.
In addition, legacies to charities may have to be considered in terms of the deceased's contact with the charity, especially if there is the possibility that the will may be contested. That said, the Appeal Court made its final judgement by balancing the needs of the charities against the needs of the claimant and still concluded that they should retain two thirds of the estate.
But this may not be the end of the matter as far as inheritance claims are concerned. An appeal to the Supreme Court is being considered by the three charities, which may bring the whole issue to our attention once again.
Tags: animal charities, Court of Appeal, Helen Ilott, Inheritance Act 1975, probate, wills
← Inheritance Tax – Good News But Not Quite Yet
When Your Signature Is More Than Just a Formality – The Final Steps in Executing a Will →


This seminar is for those who have needs for long-term care through Medicaid or who already has MLTC. There will be information about MLTC plans, plan choices, and support for those who needs help choosing a plan or needs consultation. Held in English with Japanese translation. **** This seminar is not focused on income & savings eligibility to enroll Medicaid.
Join JASSI's very first spring happy hour fundraising event!
If you purchase a wrist band at $20, you will get extended happy hours (normally until 7pm; you will get extended happy hour until 8:30pm with this wrist band!) and all proceeds will support JASSI's programs to help individuals and families in need. $6 on all drinks!


With our friends at RaceQuest back in town, we took some time to sit down with triathlon coach Chip Beard, a longtime local, and talk about the other side of triathlon prep. After all, someone has to run the workouts, and create the training plans, and shout out the early morning motivation.
Coach Beard has been on the team at RaceQuest for years, and is happily back in town helping run the camps for the next few weeks after a short hiatus following Las Catalinas Triathlon. Something about the community aspect of running the camps in town just feels right, he told us and it's an experience that he still loves even after dozens of camps.
Coach Beard's specialty now is in coaching the triathlon, although that wasn't always the case. He was originally a mountain biker, in love with the offroad style of racing. From there, it wasn't long before he started to use road biking to build endurance, only to realize he had a knack for the sport and start to lean full on into road biking.
"Sooner or later though, it's always triathlon," Beard says with a laugh. From road biker, adding longer and longer distances meant adding a pair of extra sports, and it wasn't long before he was a full on triathlete, competing all around the world in IronMan competition.
Nowadays, Chip has focused more on coaching (and his rekindled love of mountain biking), and brings over 15 years of experience to the table as he starts this most recent round of RaceQuest camps. It's a different way of doing things than the days when Chip was an intense competitor himself, but it's been a welcome change.
We asked Coach Beard to go in a little more depth about coaching, and he was happy to oblige, sharing with us some of what he's learned about improvement over his fifteen years coaching students.
For example, in swimming the most drastic improvement is made in the first five months. As people get the basics, and understand the fundamentals of floating correctly, catching the water, and getting comfortable they see rapid growth.
As for the bike, the process is a bit more of a slow and steady improvement. In Beard's experience, developing a good cycling engine can take years, partially due to the multiple aspects of training that need to be completed. First, athletes have to build both strength and endurance, each requiring their own specific trainings, which is only the first step to building the 'strengthened endurance' that is fundamental to cycling.
Running, the last leg of the triathlon, stands between swimming and biking in terms of development path, although Coach Beard is quick to point out that some parts of running training are often overlooked. Technique in the run is actually just as important as technique in the swim, Beard explains, and by focusing on details like body position and body angle, understanding ankling, and in general practicing proper form are all key to making fast improvements in the run.
These are all techniques that are simple to learn, but can only be mastered by lots and lots of training. And as Coach Beard explains, dedication to the training is the number one thing that separates elite racers from normal age-groupers. We asked Coach Beard, from his experience, what the difference was between an expert and an age-grouper — was it physical strength, absurd fitness, perfect technique, genetics — and the training won out every time.
Which is not to say, Beard explains, that there are no other factors. Speaking frankly, he explained that there are certain intangibles needed to compete at a level to be the best in the world — good genetics and inherent talent came immediately to mind — but what truly defines the best is that they have the time to commit entirely to their training.
And Beard had some words in that regard to anyone just bitten by the triathlon bug. We asked him about the best way for a relatively new racer to get started, which he agreed can be a bit daunting.
From there, there are a few other steps Beard recommends.
"Also, make sure you do something short, not an Iron Man at first," he says with a laugh, although he does have a story about Iron Mans that he'll touch on later.
RaceQuest plays host to all different skill levels during their training camps, from the experts looking to refine technique to the new racers just bitten by the bug, and Beard says that Las Catalinas is definitely the place to be.
After all, there's a reason that after years, RaceQuest keeps coming back.
As we wrapped up our chat, we took the chance to ask Coach Beard about the most memorable moments he's had as a coach, and he had a pair of answers for us.
It was easier said than done. The client came to Coach Beard with weight problems, next to no fitness, and a goal of completing his first Iron Man in 12 months.
The pair succeeded. 12 months and 180 lbs later, Chip's first trainee completed his first Iron Man, a moment that Chip says he'll never forget.
The second came far later, when he first coached a trainee to qualify for the world championships.
"That was a little different, because she was the fastest cyclist in the world in her age group, but there was still a long road," he explains. Both memories are still very dear to him, and as he looks back on both he can't pick between the two.
"It's just as strong of a feeling, just as powerful to a coach to guide someone to their first Iron Man as to their second, or even to their first world championship," he finished.
A big thank you to Coach Beard for taking the time to chat with us, and we wish him and the RaceQuest team the best as they're in town this week.


Black & Veatch has launched a Smart Maintenance business to support utility clients in the UK. The new offering builds upon the company's technology-led asset management consulting experience - and its programme management, logistics and delivery expertise - to create digitally enabled onsite maintenance teams.
Smart Maintenance fits within the concept often referred to as the "fourth industrial revolution" and the shift to cyber-physical systems. For Black & Veatch, Smart Maintenance entails combining established technology-driven maintenance methodologies and smarter instrumentation, control and automation technology. This will be enabled by Black & Veatch's own data analytics capabilities and visualisation dashboards; and the capabilities of its new artificial intelligence and machine learning strategic partner EMAGIN.
Diagnostic analytics – condition, performance and uptime monitoring of the health of assets.
Dynamic Preventative Maintenance - preventing failures before they occur by using intelligent predictions and dynamic maintenance planning.
Prognostic Maintenance interventions - using machine learning, pattern recognition and advanced analytics to optimise, manage and deliver interventions.
The development of Smart Maintenance is a further extension of Black & Veatch's UK utility offering into the infrastructure and capital maintenance sphere. By focussing initially on water but with a view to broadening to other sectors, the offering also supports a drive for greater diversification.


text:
Talk Music To Me
"Music is what feelings sound like"
Travis Barker Talks Tom DeLonge in New Interview
Don't count on there being a Blink-182 reunion any time soon because just when we though the whole drama had taken a slight time off, drummer Travis Barker has once again taken a stance against former singer, Tom DeLonge.
While participating in an interview for Alternative Nation, the drummer had some choice words for DeLonge, including telling him that he should "man up and quit the band" and even revealing that this wasn't the first nor the second time he went incognito to avoid the band after major plans had been made.
"I think this is the third time he's quit without anyone knowing about it because we didn't announce the other times. But this is just the last straw. It's just not cool for the fans. He'd always agree to go on huge tours and record albums, but when it came down to going into the studio, he'd find some excuse not to. And we wouldn't even hear from him, it would be his management. It comes to a point where you decide you're not going to force anyone to do anything they don't want to do and it's time to move on."
And about that manning up and quitting the band?
"I think the right thing for him to do would just man up and quit the band instead of telling people he didn't quit and just be real with the fans."
While Barker does say that there's no bad blood, at least for him, he does challenge DeLonge's passion for playing the kind of music that helped launch Blink-182 to the status that they have now.
"I love playing, listening, and everything about punk rock. It changed my life. I think for Tom, he doesn't like punk music and it was a phase for him."
But Barker doesn't stop there. In a last dig against his former bandmate, he claims that DeLonge never actually played on any of Blink's songs.
"We are two weeks in to practice and he's [Matt Skiba] killing it. There's harmonies that have never been sung. He's actually playing the guitar instead of just Pro Tools. It's just fresh blood and having someone that's motivated and stoked to be there makes a world of difference. In general, Skiba has a really charming voice and it couldn't be a better fit."
This entry was posted in Music News and tagged Alkaline Trio, Angels and Airwaves, Blink 182, fight, Matt skiba, music, music news, Tom DeLonge, Travis Barker. Bookmark the permalink.
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For the last four years or so, we the Great British Public, have been subjected to a continual lashing storm of hysteria from the poltical, media and commentating classes. And then finally Brexit was all over (bar a few negotiations over trade) and the hysteria subsided into an occasional drizzle. At last the country prepared to draw a collective sigh of relief. And then Coronavirus hit us, shutdown happened, and the whole hysteria thing has cranked up again with scarcely a pause for breath.
There are many arguments and points for discussion. There are lessons to be learned from the origins of the virus and our responses to it. Many people are doing this now, rather than wait for the thing to die down. Comparisons of death rates have been made between the UK and other countries; conclusions have been drawn (often on the strength of incomplete information, or information gathered in wildly different ways from our own data) and armchair experts deployed onto our television screens to decry and denounce the response by the government.
I am not a virologist, or a doctor, or an epidemiologist. But there are a couple of issues that I feel I can make some level of constructive comment upon, by looking at the data that we have publicly available. These two issues of contention are firstly that the disease is out of control in the UK and continues to get worse because the government has been doing all the wrong things. The second issue arises in discussion on social media (but not in the MSM) and is the counter-argument to the fear over daily death tolls. This argument runs something like: "The whole thing is vastly over-hyped; the number of deaths to Coronavirus is a small proportion of the normal deaths and will be swallowed up by the annual totals."
One of the ways in which the statistics have been regularly presented over the last few weeks has been the cumulative curve of total deaths. Often these have been presented by comparing different countires, such as the one below:
Figure 1: Cumulative curve of total deaths to date, by country:
Diagram taken from: Our World in Data
The problem with a cumulative curve like this is that it is difficult to see when the number of cases begins to decline and we know that we are past the worst. The shape of them means that the disease has only run its course when the curve is actually horizontal. For this reason, a better illustration is to use the daily new cases or deaths, as in the following curve for the UK:
Figure 2: Covid-19 – Daily UK confirmed cases
This graph is the daily reported confirmed cases since 17th march, which is when I started collecting the data. It is correct to data reported on 20th April. From this, we can see that the number of new cases started to flatten out on Day 25, or about the 9th April. In the last three days, it has started to dip, suggesting that the number of new confirmed cases is begining to drop.
However, the graph that everyone likes to look at is the number of deaths due to Covid-19:
Figure 3: Covid-19 – Daily UK reported deaths
This confirms the current thinking that disease has peaked. Because the peak is more obvious, it would seem that the UK peaked (appropriately enough) on Easter Sunday. New deaths ascribed to Covid-19 are declining in number. This seems to be in common with most countries which are reporting figures. We are over the worst.
However, the eagle-eyed amongst readers will have noticed that the vertical scales on these two graphs are not the same. Very obviously, the number of cases reported is much larger than the number of deaths. To put the number of deaths in context with the number of cases, the two curves are plotted using the same scale on the vertical axis:
Figure 4: Covid-19 – Daily UK confirmed cases and deaths on the same scale:
Daily new cases are drawn in red and daily deaths in green. This graph shows the number of deaths is very much flatter (because of the scales) and suggests a much less alarming picture than the deaths presented on their own. This would appear to give credence to those who say that the impact of the disease is nothing like as bad as it has been cracked up to be by the media etc.
To examine this hypothesis, it is necessary to look at the typical pattern of deaths in the UK in normal years, and then to compare deaths in the current year to see if they look normal or abnormal. The following is graph of deaths (for all causes) in England and Wales by week number (where Week 1 is the first week in January).
Figure 5: Covid-19 – Deaths, by Week Number in England and Wales, 2010 to 2019:
This graph shows a curious pattern. For all years, the death rate declines from the drear months of January and February into a patch of uncertain width, caused by such things as 'flu of varying severity in the seasonal fluctuating warm and cold spells of the early spring. As the death rate drops still further in the late spring, there is a marked 'V'-shaped trough which coincides with the Spring Bank Holidays. The curve slopes gently downwards again until the August Bank Holidays, where there is another 'V'-shaped trough. Then, as the days become shorter and the variable weather of Autumn closes in, the death rate begins to increase again until the week before Christmas. Over Christmas, there is a substantial drop in the number of deaths. After Christmas and when the New Year begins, the death rate massively increases and attains a very high peak in the first two to three weeks in January. From the Christmas trough (which could be as low as 200) to the New Year peak can be as much as 16,000. This is an increase in death rate of up to 80 times in about two or three weeks.
What is extraordinary about this graph (at least to me – I have no doubt medics, insurance companies and undertakers know all about this) is the clear unwillingness of people to die on holiday – and certainly over Christmas. There are some very strong social and psychological impulses going on here which over-ride any physiological shut-down of the human body. It is almost as if many people plan their own deaths. – or at least, when they are NOT going to die.
However, to return to the question "Is Coronavirus causing an exceptional number of deaths in the UK?" The following is the same graph as Figure 5 above, but with the 2020 figures to date, overlaid upon it in red:
Figure 6: Covid-19 – England and Wales Deaths by Week Number, 2010 to 2020 to date (to week ending 10th April 2020)
The year started off conventionally enough, but the moment Coronavirus began to bite, things changed dramatically. It is not necessary to be a statistician or epidemiologist to see that the last two weeks of reported weekly data are extraordinary. The peak is not only much higher than the maxima achieved by even the worst winter mortality rate since 2010. But it is also unseasonal, leaping skywards at a time when the overall trend in normal years is down. This peak will probably begin to decline in the next week of reported figures, but it will remain a big departure from usual for quite a while yet.
The size of this peak confirms the need for extraordinary measures by the NHS to increase ICU beds, along with the associated back-up of ventilators, PPE and so on. There are those who argue that the total deaths this year are unlikely to be particularly high when compared to other years. Looking at the height of that departure, I suspect that this year's figure will be significantly higher than usual.
It is possible that there will be a lower than normal death rate later this year and early next year, because the most vulnerable people will have already died prematurely during the Cornavirus pandemic. But that remains to be seen. There are, in any case, short-term fears that a 'second peak' may occur as lockdown is opened up and vulnerable but currently isolated people are exposed to the virus. There are still many, many unknowns about Covid-19.
To conclude: Firstly, the disease has peaked and the country can be safe in knowlege that the light at the end of the tunnel is growing larger by the day. Secondly, there is no question that this disease has shortened many peoples' lives and that it has tested the NHS considerably. The NHS has now increased its provision of ICU beds by the construction of the Nightingale hospitals. These have been produced, as if from nothing, in a matter of three weeks or so. It is a measure of the organisational capabilities of our armed forces and manufacturing sector. The NHS and the Civil Service could not have done this on their own.
And finally. Picture the scene in a normal year: It is New Years Day. The family has arrived from all points of the compass and has finished a splendid meal. They are now gathered in the sitting room. The Christmas tree is glowing with lights and tinsel. Sitting in her usual chair in the corner, is Grandmother. Around her are her children, now in their middle age. Various grandchildren, perhaps in their twenties or early thirties, are scattered about with their partners. On the floor are the first tranche of great-granchildren who are toddling or crawling according to age and inclination. There is a scattering of toys on the floor. The cat has left through the cat-flap in disgust at the noise and chaos. The dog is enjoying himself enormously because at some point, food will drop onto the floor.
Grandmother surveys the assembled family quietly, but with some satisfaction. Were it not for her own strivings – first upon the marital bed, and then upon the maternity bed – none of this lot would be here. You pass her seat, bottle in hand. "I'll have another sherry if you please," she says, holding out her empty glass for you to refill. "A large one," she says sharply, as if you are being a little parsimonious. You dutifully tip a large measure into her glass. "I'll finish this, and then I'll go," she says in a rather final tone of voice.
You are momentarily puzzled. Does she mean "Go to bed early; get an early night?" You frown. "Or does she mean…..? No, surely, it can't be that – she seems completely healthy." You study her face briefly. But the sherry glass glass has been swung expertly to her lips and she is now slurping industriously. Her facial expression is unreadable. You pass on, thinking the she has been saying one or two odd things just recently. "Perhaps she doesn't really know what she is saying". You comfort youself with that little thought and continue to exchange bandinage with the rest of the family.
But Grandmother knows exactly what she is saying.
And what's more, the statisticians can prove it.
Statistical Notes:
Daily new cases and deaths collected by D. Eyles (Figures 2,3 and 4) to 20th April.
ONS Dataset: Deaths Registered Weekly in England and Wales – Provisional to week ending 10th April.
Stats plotted using R and ggplot2.
Figures 2,3 and 4 plotted with smoothed Loess curve.
Grey band in Figures 2,3 and 4 is the 95% confidence interval for the Loess curve.
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JaneKAL says:
I wonder if Figure 4 is compiled using ONS Dataset: Deaths Registered Weekly in England and Wales – Provisional. In which case, if it is the date of registration of a death rather than the actual date of death, then that could contribute to the dips at Christmas and the Bank Holidays when registration offices are closed or people may wait longer than usual to visit the office and register a death.
wulfstansghost says:
This issue is a potential problem and may in part explain the 'v' shaped troughs. There is a minimum period of 5 days for the death certificate to be signed by a doctor. And doctors on holidays may account for it. But I am not convinced that this explains the whole of the 'trough'. It needs a bit more work to justify this gut feeling, however.
Sorry to be slow in responding.