A device for adjusting the tilt of a chair backrest having a backrest frame rotatable with respect to the base frame of the chair is provided. The device includes elastic means for returning the backrest and/or countering the rotation thereof, in addition to means for controlling the preload of the elastic means. The means for controlling the preload include at least one first connecting rod and at least one first crank. The first connecting rod is hinged to the first crank and constrained to the elastic means so as to move the point of application of the returning and/or countering force with respect to the backrest. Adjusting means to adjust the position of the first crank determine at least two distinct stable positions of the first crank corresponding to two distinct positions of the mentioned point of application of the returning and/or countering force with respect to the base frame.
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1. Device for adjusting the tilt of a chair backrest, said device comprising: a base frame of the chair, a backrest frame at least rotatably mounted to said base frame of the chair, and elastic means for returning said backrest or countering the rotation thereof, wherein said backrest frame being constrained to said elastic means in correspondence to at least one point of application of the returning or the rotation countering force of said backrest, as well as a preloading mechanism for said elastic means, wherein said preloading mechanism comprises at least one first connecting rod hinged to at least one first crank and hinged to said elastic means to move said point of application of the returning or countering force as a function of the position adopted by said at least one first connecting rod with respect to said base frame, said at least one first crank being hinged to said base frame to rotate a hinge point of said at least one first connecting rod with respect to said base frame, and a manually operable cam device being engaged with said at least one first crank to adjust the position of said at least one first crank in at least two distinct stable positions corresponding to at least two distinct positions of said at least one point of application of the returning or countering force with respect to said base frame, and wherein said cam device comprises at least two contact surfaces in contact with said at least one first crank, said contact surfaces being substantially straight and tilted one with respect to the other.
2. Device according to claim 1, wherein said elastic means comprise a mobile support.
3. Device according to claim 1, wherein said mobile support of said elastic means is at least rotationally constrained to said base frame of said chair.
4. Device according to claim 1, wherein a second connecting rod is hinged to said elastic means and to said at least one first connecting rod, and in a second point of said backrest frame.
5. Device according to claim 1, wherein said at least one first connecting rod is hinged to said elastic means in correspondence to or in proximity of said at least one point of application of the returning and/or countering force.
This application is a 371 of PCT/EP2014/077362, filed Dec. 11, 2014, which claims the benefit of European Patent Application No. 13197786.0 filed Dec. 17, 2013.
The present invention relates to the chair field, particularly to chairs provided with an adjustable tilt backrest, such as for example office chairs.
In the art, various systems to adjust the backrest are known, and particularly to adjust the tilt thereof.
In some systems, it is possible to adjust the backrest in different fixed positions. In these cases, a user adjusts the backrest tilt according to its own needs, and then imposes that this position is kept whereby the backrest holds the position regardless of the force the user applies on it, and particularly the force the back of a user using the chair applies.
Systems providing greater use portability are known in the art.
For example, chairs are known provided with elastic means, typically torsion springs, to counterbalance the weight of the user against the backrest. In such systems, when the user leans against the backrest, the latter tilts so as to deform the spring from its resting condition, compressing or tensioning it. As known, the higher is the compression or tension of the spring with respect to its undeformed state, the higher is its resistant force, whereby the backrest tilts until it reaches an equilibrium position where the user weight is counterbalanced by the spring resistance. Alternatively, the use of gas springs is known, operating according to the same principle, whereby a higher compression of the gas spring involves a higher resistant force thereof.
These systems are effective only if the user weight is within a given range. Out of this range, for example if the user is very light or very heavy, the above mentioned equilibrium position is quite uncomfortable, since in this position the backrest is too much or too little tilted.
Therefore, further systems are known allowing to adjust the resistance provided by the spring.
In EP1874161, the backrest of a chair is integral to a rigid element whose rotation is countered by a spring action. A third class lever is interposed between the spring and the rigid element, whereby the lever end is hinged to a fulcrum and the other end is the point of application of the spring resistant force. The force operating on the backrest is applied in a point of application coincident with a slider which can move along the lever. Therefore, by varying the lever arm with respect to the pin, the resistance provided by the lever operated by the spring varies. Moreover, the slider can also move along a surface of the rigid element, which works in its turn as a lever, so as to vary the lever arm along the rigid element.
Such a system actually allows to adjust the resistance provided by the spring, allowing the users having a weight different from the standard to get a comfortable position on the chair. However, the construction of these systems may be quite complicated and, further, they do not allow a precise adjustment of the spring resistance. Due to construction, the mentioned lever has a limited length whereby a very little displacement of the pin causes the spring resistant force to widely vary, thereby a precise adjustment becomes difficult for the end user.
Similarly, WO 2010/103554 describes a system for varying the force that opposes the movement of a backrest by varying the working angle of a spring. Particularly, at one end the spring is pivoted on a fixed pin, and at the other end on a mobile pin slidable within a slot. By adjusting the position of the mobile pin along the slot, it is possible to vary the lever arm used by the backrest to work the spring.
Such a solution is not able to solve the problems of EP1874161.
It is an object of the present invention to solve the problems of the known art, and particularly to provide a chair having a tilting backrest, wherein the resistance provided by the backrest can be easily controlled and adjusted.
The present invention achieves these and other objects by means of a device according to claim 1. Preferred aspects are set forth in the independent claims.
According to the present invention, a device for adjusting the tilt of a chair backrest, of the type comprising a base frame of the chair, a backrest frame mounted at least rotatably with respect to the base frame of the chair, comprises elastic means for returning the backrest and/or countering the rotation thereof, in addition to means for controlling the preload of the elastic means. The backrest frame is directly or indirectly constrained to the elastic means in correspondence to at least one point of application of the returning/countering force of the backrest rotation.
The means for controlling the preload comprise at least one first connecting rod and at least one first crank. The first connecting rod is hinged to the first crank.
It should be noted that, herein and below, the words "hinged" and "hinge" means rotary constraints "substantially rotating", however it is not excluded that a certain clearance or compliance of said constraints is present and it allows a certain, even if limited, translation of the constrained elements with respect to each others.
The first connecting rod is further constrained to the elastic means, so that it can move said point of application of the returning/countering force as a function of the position adopted by the first connecting means with respect to the base frame.
On the contrary, the first crank is hinged to the base frame so that a first crank rotation causes the rotation of the hinge point between the first connecting rod and the first crank, with respect to the base frame.
According to the invention, adjusting means to adjust the first crank position are provided. The adjusting means determine at least two distinct stable positions of the first crank which, by means of the above described constraints between the first connecting rod and the first crank, and between the first connecting rod and the elastic means, correspond to two distinct positions of said point of application of the returning/countering force with respect to the base frame.
The kinematic system of the present invention allows a precise adjustment of the spring preload, by using few sturdy elements having a substantially conventionally shape, so that they are reliable and cost-effective.
Moreover, by using the double crank, the user can appropriately modulate the relationship between the operation of the adjusting means and the variation of the spring preload, and accordingly the variation of the resistance provided by a spring countering a user's weight leaning upon the backrest of the respective chair.
According to a preferred aspect, the elastic means comprise a mobile support.
Thanks to the mobile support, it is possible to direct the elastic means in such a way that the force the first connecting rod applies on the means themselves is applied along an optimal direction. For example, in case of elastic means comprising a torsion coil spring, the movement of the support of the elastic means allows to arrange them so that the force applied on the spring by the first connecting rod is substantially always directed along a direction parallel to the spring extension axis.
According to an aspect of the present invention, the support of the elastic means is at least rotationally constrained to the base frame of the chair.
According to another aspect of the present invention, a second connecting rod is hinged to the support of the elastic means and to the first connecting rod at one point and, at a second position, to the backrest frame.
According to another aspect of the present invention, the first connecting rod is hinged to the support of the elastic means in correspondence to or in proximity of the mentioned point of application of the returning/countering force.
According to another aspect of the present invention, the adjusting means comprise a cam device manually operable in engagement with the first crank.
According to a further aspect of the present invention, the cam device comprises at least two contact surfaces in contact with the first connecting rod. The contact surfaces are substantially flat and tilted one with respect to the other.
FIGS. 6-8 are views of the device of FIG. 1 inserted in a chair frame.
Referring to the figures, a device 1 for adjusting the backrest tilt of a chair is shown. The base frame 2 of the chair (FIGS. 7 and 8), the seat frame 4 (FIGS. 6-8) and the backrest frame 3 of the chair, are shown. The backrest frame 3 is at least rotatable with respect to the base frame of the chair, and is directly or indirectly constrained to the elastic means in correspondence to at least one point 13 of application of the returning force (or anyway the force countering the rotation) applied by the elastic means 5 onto the backrest frame 3. The device 1 comprises elastic means 5 for returning the backrest, and controlling means 6 of the preload of the elastic means 5.
The controlling means 6 comprise, in turn, at least one first connecting rod 7 and a first crank 8.
The first connecting rod 7 is at least rotatable with respect to the chair frame 3 and is operatively connected to the elastic means 5 so that to apply a force on these, as better explained below.
Particularly, the first connecting rod 7 is constrained to the elastic means 5 so that to be able to move the point of application 13 of the returning force with respect to the base frame 2 of the chair.
The first crank 8 is hinged, or otherwise at least rotationally constrained, to the first connecting rod 7. The controlling means 6 further comprise adjusting means 9 to adjust the position of the first crank 8 able to determine at least two distinct stable positions thereof. The first crank 8 is at least rotationally constrained to the base frame 2 of the chair, so that the displacement of the first crank 8 between the first position and the second position causes the first connecting rod 7 to rotationally move.
The base frame 2 of the chair and the backrest frame 3 are known in the art.
Typically, the base frame 2 is integral to elements adapted to allow the chair to be supported, for example a rod provided with casters at its base, not shown in figures.
The backrest frame 3 can be moved with respect to the base frame 2 of the chair. In the shown embodiment, the frame 3 is hinged on the constraint 10 around the base frame 2 of the chair. The possibility that the backrest frame 3 have further degrees of freedom with respect to the base frame 2 of the chair is not ruled out, for example the constraint 10 could be formed by means of a mobile pin whose movement is limited by a slot. In this case, a backrest frame 3 able to roto-translate with respect to the base frame 2 of the chair will be provided.
In the herein shown present embodiment, the elastic means 5 comprise a torsion spring 16 loaded by compression. As mentioned above, "loaded by compression" means that a compression of the spring from its resting position results in a higher spring resistant force.
It is however possible to use a torsion spring working under tension, or gas springs, flexural springs or similar means.
The elastic means 5 act onto the backrest frame 3 so as to push the backrest in a position substantially perpendicular with respect to the seat or, more generally, the elastic means 5 counter the movement of the backrest, and thus of the backrest frame 3, caused by a user's weight on the backrest itself.
Preferably the elastic means 5 are provided with a support 21 mobile with respect to the base frame 2 of the chair. According to a preferred aspect, as for the backrest frame 3, the support 21 of the elastic means is at least rotatable with respect to the base frame 2 and, particularly in the shown embodiment, is hinged around the constraint 15. A limited translation of the support 21 of the elastic means with respect to the base frame 2 of the chair, is also possible.
Several shapes of the support 21 of the elastic means 5 are known in the art.
The preferred shape is shown in figures, wherein the support 21 comprises a rod 11 sliding within a portion 11a of the support 21, visible in FIGS. 7 and 8.
Alternatively, it is possible to provide a rod having variable length, for example a telescopic rod.
As previously disclosed, the spring preload is adjusted by means of the mechanism composed of the connecting rod 7 and the crank 8.
In the shown embodiment, the first crank 8 is rotationally constrained in the constraint 12 around the base frame 2 of the chair.
In its turn, the first connecting rod 7 is rotationally constrained to the first crank 8.
As in the above examples, it is possible to provide a roto-translation motion among the various elements, whereby the constraining points could be replaced by pins sliding within corresponding slots or slides, so that the connecting rod 7 and the crank 8 could roto-translate one with respect to the other and/or with respect to the base frame 2 of the chair.
Referring to the shown embodiment, the first connecting rod 7 is "L-shaped", and is hinged at the point of application 13 and at a hinge point provided by a constraint 14 to the rod 11 of the elastic means 5 and to the first crank 8, respectively. The "L-shape" has proved to be effective to form the embodiment shown in figures, but for the first connecting rod 7 other shapes are possible.
Further, in the embodiment shown in figures, the constraint at the point of application 13 between the backrest frame 3 and the elastic means 5 is used also to constrain the first connecting rod 7 to the elastic means 5. However, it is possible that the first connecting rod 7 and the backrest frame 3 are constrained to the elastic means 5 at positions different from one another.
The first crank 8 is preferably rod-shaped, hinged to the first connecting rod in the mentioned constraint 14 and to the base frame 2 of the chair in the mentioned constraint 12.
When the first crank 8 rotates around the constraint 12, the first connecting rod 7 is driven to move.
The movement of the first connecting rod 7 with respect to the base frame 2 of the chair is a roto-translation, and is restricted by the constraint applied by the first crank 8 in the constraint 12 and by the constraint applied by the elastic means 5 in the constraint 14.
Due to said constraint 14, the roto-translation movement of the first connecting rod 7 forced the point 13 of application to be displaced and, accordingly, force the elastic means 5 and, more particularly, the support 21 of the elastic means 5, to be at least rotated around the constraint 15.
As previously disclosed, although in the shown embodiment the constraining points 12-15 are shown as hinges, it is possible that at least one of said constraining points is actually a carriage allowing a pure translation, more or less restricted, among two or more elements of the described system.
The constraining points 12-15 (therefore including the constraint of the point of application 13) are formed for example by means of screw-bolt systems. More modifications are known in the art and are within the object of the present invention.
There can be several means to operatively connect the backrest rotation to the elastic means and multiple solutions can be used with the present invention.
The Applicant provides a solution that has proved to be particularly efficient.
In particular, the second connecting rod 17 is constrained among the elastic means 5 and the backrest frame 3.
In more detail, the second connecting rod 17 is hinged to the mentioned constraint 15 both to the elastic means 5, and particularly to the rod 11, and to the first connecting rod 7. A further constraint 18 formed in its turn as a hinge, connects the backrest frame 3 to the second connecting rod 17.
According to a modification of the present invention, the elastic means are not provided with a mobile support. In this case, the first connecting rod would not be hinged to the elastic means, but would have a pusher able to act against these elastic means. In this case, in addition to the torsion springs, it could be considered the use of flexural springs.
Hereinafter, in the explanation of the operation of a device according to the present invention, further details about the operation of these variants will be provided.
Adjusting means 9 to adjust the position of the first crank 8 are provided.
In the shown embodiment, these means comprise a cam 19 constrained to the base frame 2 of the chair in the constraint 21. Preferably, such a constraint 21 is an only-rotational constraint, although further degrees of freedom between the cam 19 and the base frame 2 are possible.
The cam 19 has several preferably flat, or substantially flat, side surfaces 20a-20f. There are at least two side surfaces 20a-20f placed at different distances from one another with respect to the constraint 21. The term "distance" means the length of the segment of a straight line perpendicular to a plane comprising the side surface 20a-20f and connecting such a plane to the constraint 21. If the side surface is not flat, such an adopted plane is the one that best fits the shape of the side surface 20a-20f.
Generally, the outer surface of the cam 19 is selected so that the rotation of the cam 19 involves a movement of the first crank 8 when the outer surface of the cam 19 is in contact with the first crank 8. Therefore also an ovoid cam 19, effectively having endless side surfaces 20a-20f, falls within the protective scope of the present invention.
In FIGS. 6-8 a possible application in a chair of a device 1 according to the present invention is shown and, particularly, a possible cooperation of the device 1 according to the present invention with the seat of a chair is shown, particularly the seat frame 4 of a chair.
The seat frame 4 is hinged to the backrest frame 3. As particularly shown in FIGS. 7 and 8, a constraint 22 to constrain the seat frame 4 and the backrest frame 3 is preferably provided with a certain clearance. In particular, the constraint 22 allows a relative rotation of the two elements as well as a restricted translation of the seat frame 4 relative to the backrest frame 3, acting de facto as a carriage.
The seat frame 4 is further hinged to the seat frame 4 by means of a constraint 23. A restricted translation movement of the seat frame 4 relative to the base frame 2 of the chair can be provided, for example coupling the two elements by means of an eccentric 24 in a known way.
The operation of the device according to the present invention is disclosed hereinafter.
In the position of FIG. 1, the device is shown in a resting condition. The adjusting means 9 are designed so as to provide the minimum preload on the elastic means 6.
Particularly, the cam 19 is oriented so as its surface 20a, that is the surface closest to the constraint 21, abuts against the first crank 4 (see FIG. 5).
When a user back lies on the backrest, the backrest frame 3 undergoes a rotation, counterclockwise in figures, and pushes the second connecting rod 17 towards the elastic means 5, that is to the right in figures. In its turn, the first connecting rod 7 is dragged by the second connecting rod 17 by means of the constraint in the point of application 13, and rotates around the first crank 8 around the constraint 14. The first crank 8 substantially holds its position compared to the resting condition.
The elastic means are compressed by means of the constraint 15, providing a resistance against the rotation of the backrest frame 3, until an equilibrium position, shown in FIG. 3, is reached.
By operating on the adjusting means 9, generally when the device is in its resting condition, the preload of the elastic means 5 varies. Referring to the shown embodiment, the cam 19 is rotated such that the first crank 8 rests on a surface 20b-20f of the cam 19 different from the surface 20a.
The rotation of the cam 19 is shown in FIG. 2. Therefore the position shown in FIG. 2 is not an equilibrium position of the cam 19. The rotation of the cam 19 drags the first crank 8 and, particularly, causes a rotation of the first crank 8 around the constraint 12, for example counterclockwise in figures. Due to the constraint 14, also the first connecting rod 7 is moved. In the shown case, the first connecting rod 7 rotates clockwise and, due to the constraint 15, the elastic means 5 are slightly compressed. In more detail, it should be noted that the crank 7 is not constrained to the base frame 2 of the chair, and thus it roto-translates in the space with respect to the base frame 2 of the chair, changing moment by moment its center of rotation, performing a series of acts of rotary motion that, in the shown case, are directed clockwise.
Compared to the situation of FIG. 1 the elastic means 5 are compressed, that is to say the preload of the elastic means 5 varies, so that a greater force is necessary to displace the backrest from the resting condition compared to the adjustment of the device 1 shown in FIGS. 1 and 3. It is therefore necessary to apply to the elastic means, and thus to the backrest, a much greater force, to be able to reach an equilibrium position with the same angle of the condition of FIG. 3. This situation is shown in FIG. 4, and it would be appreciated that the elastic means, and in this case the spring 16, are more compressed compared to the state of FIG. 3, although the backrest frame 3 is positioned at the same angle.
It is therefore apparent to a skilled person in the art that two users having different weight can reach the same angle of the backrest 3 as the equilibrium position between the force applied by their weight against the backrest of the chair and the resistance provided by the elastic means 5.
In an alternative embodiment without the elastic means, the rotation of the backrest frame causes the first crank to rotate, and the latter, for example by means of a pusher, act on the elastic means to vary their preload, for example compressing a torsion spring similar to the spring 16 or else a flexure or gas spring.
Generally, the operation of the cam 19 or of a similar adjusting means 9 can cause the crank 8 to rotate thereby driving the first connecting rod 7 to move, as in the embodiment shown. The first connecting rod 7 operates on the elastic means 5 to vary their preload by means of the mentioned pusher or the like, getting the same result as that described above with reference to the device shown in the figures.


text:
Mostly sunny skies. A stray shower or thunderstorm is possible. High 91F. Winds W at 10 to 15 mph..
A few clouds. A stray shower or thunderstorm is possible. Low around 55F. Winds N at 10 to 15 mph.
About 80 percent of people who live in the town of Colstrip, Montana rely on the power plant and coal mine for employment. The plant could potentially close by 2027.
Adam McCaw, Independent Record
O'Donnell
'Save Colstrip' bill could cost customers at least $721 each
TOM LUTEY tlutey@billingsgazette.com
The Republicans' play to bail out Colstrip will cost each NorthWestern Energy customer at least $721 and may not work, according to Montana Public Service Commission analysts.
Analysts for the state's commission of elected utility regulators laid out the costs Monday and recommended the PSC oppose the latest bill on Colstrip.
At issue is Senate Bill 331, a bill by Billings Republican Sen. Tom Richmond that assures that if Colstrip closes early customers keep paying NorthWestern $407 million for the utility's 2008 purchase of Colstrip Unit 4. Early closure is seeming more likely as the power plant's other utility owners arrange to be financially ready to shutter Colstrip by 2027. The bill, which has NorthWestern's backing, is being promoted by the Senate Republican caucus.
"In the event that Colstrip Unit 4 were retired in 2027, the asset's un-depreciated and remediation costs total $276 million. That amount would equate to a liability of approximately $721 per customer, based on the current number of NorthWestern customers," analysts reported.
That $721 cost per consumer could increase as other costs, such as environmental cleanup, are folded in the equation, according to staff.
Analysts described the bill as a guarantee that NorthWestern would be paid back, not as legislation that would protect Colstrip from early closure. The risk associated with the power plant closing early would shift entirely to NorthWestern's customers, staff said.
The analysts also warned that the bill weakens the PSC's ability to balance customers' rights to a fair price with a utility's reasonable right to profit.
The commission declined the advice and voted 3 to 1 to support SB 331, which was scheduled for a Tuesday hearing. Bozeman's Roger Koopman, the only no vote, warned the commission wouldn't be able to balance the interests of customers and NorthWestern if SB 331 passed.
"If we believe in this bill, then we don't believe in the Public Service Commission," Koopman said. "And the Legislature might as well go to work on creating something new, more to their liking, because this bill is a denial of what we're here to do."
But PSC Chairman Brad Johnson argued that the SB331 would keep Colstrip running by shielding Colstrip from growing public concern about climate change in Oregon and Washington, where most of Colstrip's electricity is consumed. NorthWestern currently has 30 percent ownership of Unit 4. The South Dakota-based company says it will acquire an increased share for $1 from an undisclosed Colstrip stakeholder that wants out. NorthWestern's share purchase is limited to 150 megawatts by the bill.
"To leave the unit subject to those forces and that kind of premature closure poses a much greater risk to the ratepayers than does the acquisition by NorthWestern of this additional 150 megawatts," Johnson, a Republican, said during the commission discussion.
Republican commissioners Bob Lake, of Hamilton, and Randy Pinocci, of Great Falls, joined Johnson in supporting the bill. Republican Tony O'Donnell, of Billings, did not participate in the vote.
The four-unit Colstrip power plant is owned by five regulated utilities, plus Pennsylvania-based Talen Energy. The electricity is consumed in Idaho, Montana, Washington and Oregon.
Units 1 and 2 are scheduled to close no later than 2022. And four of the utility owners are preparing for early closure of Units 3 and 4, possibly within eight years. Washington utilities Puget Sound Energy and Avista Corp. have agreed to be financially ready to close Units 3 and 4 by the end of 2027. In Oregon, PacifiCorp is legally obligated to stop selling coal power by 2030. Portland General Electric must cut the cord on coal power by 2035, but will phase out of coal power before the deadline.
Typically, customers cannot be charged for a power plant that doesn't supply them energy, as Richmond's Senate Bill 331 would make possible in Montana. Idaho, Washington and Oregon have not approved similar schemes for their Colstrip owners.
Northwestern Energy
Colstrip
Montana Legislature 2019
Tom Richmond
Roger Koopman
Colstrip Unit
Talen Energy
Former UW football player Carl Granderson sentenced to six months in jail
Driver crashes into Casper house, police suspect alcohol involved
Funding to reopen Blackjewel mines 'not there yet'
Cloud Peak hires Blackjewel workers after deadline for bids delayed
Bankrupt coal company Blackjewel hit with class action lawsuit
CONVERSE COUNTY MEMORIAL HOSPITAL - Ad from 2019-07-10
Memorial Hospital of Converse County
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WL PLASTICS - Ad from 2019-07-13
W L Plastics
3575 Lone Star Circle, Fort Worth, TY 76177
UR ENERGY, INC. - Ad from 2019-07-10
Ur Energy Inc.
5880 Enterprise Suite 200, Casper, WY 82609

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


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Ener-G Egg Replacer is a mixture of starches and leaveners that is used in place of eggs in recipes for people who are allergic to eggs or choose not to use them It works best in baked goods. You mix 1/2 tbsp of the Replacer and 2 tbsp water per egg, and then use as normal in the recipe.
Some people use silken tofu to replace eggs in recipes. also made recipes where ground flax seed "slurry" replaces egg. 1 tablespoon of ground flax seeds and 2-3 tbsp water per egg, but you have to let the mixture sit for a minute or two.
Some people use applesauce and banana, but bananas will a strong flavor to your baked goods. If making banana-flavored food, good, but otherwise, meh.
Egg whites are not a replacer. Egg whites are eggs. Egg Beaters are also made of eggs, so they are not suitable for people who avoid eggs for one reason or another.
It sounds very much like you are having "Adrenal fatigue." The adrenal glands are responsible for keeping your blood pressure up when you stand up quickly for example. Getting cold says your thyroid gland is not functioning well. The "Pituitary axis" consists of the Adrenals, Thyroid, Pituitary, and Testes (in men) as a group. This group works together, and gets sick together. If one or more of these glands become insufficient for some reason, they all get sick.
It is very common to see many problems associated with the pituitary axis due to the person eating lots of carbs & sugars that puts the body in a Flight or Fight response. This causes blood sugar spikes and causes the adrenal glands to secrete lots of to produce energy to the muscles. This response exhausts the adrenal glands! Energy drinks, processed foods, coffee, tea, sodas, are all of the problem! This is not a trivial issue and creates long term issues that come back to haunt you as you age. The solution will not come from mainstream medical on this issue because they treat symptoms, not root causes. Get educated and throw out the misinformation and profit agendas that are destroying Americans health.


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Michael Shuman is an economist, attorney, and globally recognized expert on community economics. He is one of the architects of the crowdfunding reforms that became the JOBS Act, signed into law in April 2012. He is the author of nine books, including Local Dollars: Local Sense, The Small-Mart Revolution, and Going Local. In 2015, Shuman's newest book, The Local Economy Solution, was published by Chelsea Green. It presents the stories of 28 "pollinator" enterprises that are nurturing local businesses in self-financing ways. Additionally, Shuman is a fellow at Cutting Edge Capital and the Post-Carbon Institute and is a founding board member of the Business Alliance for Local Living Economies (BALLE). Shuman has also advised countless communities on strategies to increase local economic multipliers, and just completed (with Gwen Hallsmith) a handbook on local investment opportunities in Vermont.
Emily Kawano is Co-Director of the Wellspring Cooperative Corporation, which is seeking to create an engine for new, community-based job creation in Springfield, Massachusetts. Wellspring's goal is to use anchor institution purchases to create a network of worker-owned businesses located in the inner city that will provide job training and entry-level jobs to unemployed and underemployed residents through worker-owned cooperatives. Kawano also serves as Coordinator of the United States Solidarity Economy Network. An economist by training, Kawano served as the Director of the Center for Popular Economics from 2004 to 2013. Prior to that, Kawano taught economics at Smith College, worked as the National Economic Justice Representative for the American Friends Service Committee and, in Northern Ireland, founded a popular economics program with the Irish Congress of Trade Unions.
Originally from Little Rock, Arkansas, Ed's political activism started with attending Little Rock Central High School and beginning to do anti-war work as a teenager. Ed has lived in Greensboro, North Carolina since 1970. In 2007, with Marnie Thompson, he helped co-found the Fund for Democratic Communities (F4DC), a private foundation that aims to promote economic democracy and cooperative economics in the U.S. South. F4DC has pledged to spend down its endowment by 2020. Among its leading efforts are launching the Southern Grassroots Economies Project and supporting the development of the Renaissance Community Co-op in a food desert neighborhood in Greensboro. Ed also participates on numerous boards, including the New Economy Coalition and the Highlander Research and Education Center.
José Corona is Chief Executive Officer of Inner City Advisors (ICA), a position he has held since 2004. ICA is a nonprofit technical assistance group that helps build sustainable and responsible businesses that create quality jobs, reinvest in the community, and contribute to building a strong and vibrant local economy. Since its founding, ICA has helped to create and retain over 7,000 jobs in the Bay Area, creating or retaining 2,717 jobs in 2013 alone that pay an average hourly wage of $14.50 and generate over $68 million in total wealth for the local community.
Ai-jen Poo has been organizing immigrant women workers since 1996. In 2000 she co-founded Domestic Workers United, the New York organization that spearheaded the successful passage of the state's historic Domestic Workers Bill of Rights in 2010. In 2007, DWU helped organize the first national domestic workers convening, where the National Domestic Workers Alliance (NDWA) was formed. Ai-jen has served as Director of NDWA since 2009 and works on elevating women of color and domestic workers rights issues at a national level.
This month we interview Rey España, Director of Community Development at the Native American Youth and Family Center (NAYA), one of the largest and most successful urban Native American centers in the nation. In the past decade at NAYA, España has helped launch a number of projects, including an individual development account program, an affordable housing portfolio, a private high school serving Portland's Native American community, and two social enterprises. NAYA is now looking to develop a Community Development Financial Institution to provide loan assistance for NAYA's microenterprises.
This month we interview Reverend Barry Randolph, pastor of the Detroit-based Church of the Messiah. Reverend Randolph discusses the church's involvement in Detroit revitalization work as well as its entrepreneurial social enterprises, including: Basic Black, a t-shirt manufacturer; Lawn King, a landscaping business; Repeat Boutique, a second hand store; and Nikki's Ginger Tea. These businesses have provided jobs training for single parents, convicted felons, and artists and have encouraged a spirit of self-reliance.
This month we interview Kate Sofis, founding Executive Director of SFMade, a non-profit organization launched in 2010 to support the building of a local manufacturing base in San Francisco. By building strong local manufacturing companies, SFMade aims to sustain and create job opportunities for the City's low-income communities and individuals with less typical education, experience, or skills. In this interview, Sofis discusses key elements that make SFMade's approach unique, the state of manufacturing in San Francisco and the challenges of working with the manufacturing sector, overlaps with environmental sustainability and cooperative models, and whether and how this model could be adopted in Rust Belt cities.
This month we interviewed Rob Witherell, representative for the United Steelworkers union in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. In addition to working on contract negotiations, benefits analysis, research and organizing, Witherell has also led the United Steelworkers' efforts on developing union co-ops and is the union's lead liaison with the Mondragón Cooperative Corporation. In this interview, Witherell discusses what elevated co-op organizing to the top of the Steelworker agenda, commonalities between labor unions and cooperatives, how the union co-op model will work, what its challenges will be, and key accomplishments of the movement to date.
In this edition, we interview Blake Jones, Co-Founder, President and CEO of Namasté Solar. Beginning his career in the oil industry, Jones co-founded Namasté Solar in late 2004, which later became an employee-owned cooperative in 2011. In this interview, Jones discusses what he learned in the oil and gas industry, the early stages of Namasté's development, the future of the solar industry and the green economy, and the details of how Namasté functions as a worker-owned cooperative.
In August 2012, a delegation of the Seikatsu Club Consumers' Co-operative Union toured co-ops in Cleveland, Ohio; Iowa; and Washington, D.C. (where this interview was conducted). Founded in 1965 as a buying club by 200 housewives in Tokyo, today the Seikatsu ("lifestyle" or "living") co-ops have over 340,000 members. Together, network enterprises have an annual turnover of US $1 billion. Today, over 600 worker co-ops employ over 17,000 people in such businesses as food distribution, food preparation, catering, recycling, childcare and education.
The Warren-Conner Development Corporation is a community-based organization that has been working for more than two decades on Detroit's Eastside. Founded in 1984, Warren-Conner has undertaken a number of initiatives, including youth development, community organizing, business development, and affordable housing. Over the past two decades, the group's work has helped create 200 jobs and generate nearly $20 million in private investment.


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Is essential is evaluating diseases of the retina especially the macula.


text:
Q: ANT: Starting a background process on windows I want ANT to execute a .cmd file on windows machine... but the command prompt should not be displayed. the process should be running in background. Ant should just fire the command and proceed with the next command.
I even tried using the windows "/B" switch, but it did not work.
Does anybody have a suggestion?

A: Use exec task like that :
 <exec executable="cmd" spawn="true">
   <arg value="/c"/>
   <arg value="foobar.cmd"/>
 </exec>

That should be sufficient, otherwise if you need to use start /B ... :
 <exec executable="cmd">
   <arg value="/c"/>
   <arg value="start"/>
   <arg value="/b">
   <arg value="foobar.cmd"/>
 </exec>

See ant manual exec task for details.

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaStackExchange


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The Christian 'Braveheart' Story You've Never Heard
By The Good News Today
THOMSON, Ill. – A new children's audio theater series is putting Christ back into history — and it's getting lots of support from several well-known actors and actresses.
Heirloom Audio Productions just released its second CD, In Freedom's Cause, which recounts the true story of 14th-century Scottish hero William Wallace, spotlighting his Christian faith in a way that Braveheart did not. The company's first project, Under Drake's Flag, highlighted the adventures and faith of Sir Francis Drake, the first Englishman to circle the globe.
They're based on G.A. Henty books and made in the same genre as Adventures in Odyssey. In fact, some crew members from Adventures In Odyssey worked on the projects. Each episode is two hours and comes with curriculum.
In Freedom's Cause stars Golden Globe winner Joanne Froggatt (Anna Bates of Downtown Abbey), Billy Boyd (Pippin of The Lord Of The Rings), Skandar Keynes (Edmund of The Chronicles of Narnia series), James Cosmo (Campbell, Father Christmas of Braveheart and The Chronicles of Narnia, respectively) and Brian Blessed (Boss Nass and Clayton in Star Wars: The Phantom Menace and Tarzan, respectively).
Executive producer Bill Heid said the projects have one goal: Tell how history's heroes were driven by their Christian faith.
"Everything in our world is sort of sterilized and secularized, and the faith of the men has been taken out of textbooks in America and around the world," Heid said. "These projects are all about putting Christ back into history."
"[Wallace's] faith was profound – so much so that when King Edwards' men had him executed, his last request was to have the book of Psalms put in front of him so he could read it as he was being pulled apart," Heid said. "That's faith."
They've been dubbed "audio movies" due to the many special effects and audio "layers." In Freedom's Cause and Under Drake's Flag have been popular among homeschooling families, who view it as a new way to learn.
"We designed this to play in the theater of the child's mind," Heid said. "We think that creates a different type of experience for the listener. Children get 50-60 hours of screen time a week. We wanted to do something that activated a child's imagination. It presents a whole new type of learning experience and educational experience."


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Japan Bowl Ontario
Japan Bowl Ontario 2018
Investment Promotion
Ambassador's Cup
Ambassador's Cup 2019
Facing the Pandemic Together: Canada-Japan Science and Technology Cooperation
Registration: Eventbrite
Presented by CIPS and the Asian Studies Network (ASN)
The last few years have seen a remarkable increase in Science, Technology and Innovation (STI) cooperation between Canada and Japan. COVID-19 has brought challenges in Japan-Canada STI cooperation, making in-person exchanges among researchers impossible. But the rapid introduction of digitalized exchanges has enabled continued cooperation. Today, Japanese and Canadian research institutes closely cooperate in various research projects including research related to the fight against COVID-19. This webinar will be the first webinar to discuss STI cooperation between Japan and Canada in the COVID-19 era. It will aim to provide an overview of cooperation among research institutes and beyond including public, private and academic cooperation in the post-COVID-19 era. With this webinar as a starting point, we expect that more discussion on Japan-Canada STI cooperation will follow in various venues and levels in coming years.
His Excellency Ambassador KAWAMURA Yasuhisa has served as Ambassador of Japan to Canada since November 2019. Before being posted to Canada, he was Ambassador/Deputy Representative of Japan to the United Nations between 2017 and 2019. He previously served as Press Secretary, Director-General for Press and Public Diplomacy at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs between 2015 and 2017. In addition, Ambassador Kawamura previously served as Deputy Chief of Mission at the Embassy of Japan in India (2013-2015), Deputy Consul General of Japan in New York City (2010-2013), Deputy Press Secretary for the Foreign Minister (2008-2010), Representative in Tokyo for the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (2004-2008). Ambassador Kawamura also served in various important positions in Japan and abroad including at the Embassy of Japan in the United States, the Embassy of Japan in Indonesia and the Mission of Japan to the European Union. At the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Ambassador Kawamura served in the International Press Division, Second International Organization Division, the Second Southeast Asia Division and Second North America Division. Ambassador Kawamura holds degrees from Hitotsubashi Unviersity (1981) and Amherst College in the United States (1984).
Ms. Melanie Cullins is currently the Executive Director of the International Innovation Office at the National Research Council Canada. Prior to her current role, Ms. Cullins served as Director of International Partnerships and Programs with the National Research Council of Canada Industrial Research Assistance Program, Director of International Relations for the NRC, and as a Business Development Officer with a focus on intellectual property management, licensing, collaboration, and commercialization. Ms. Cullins holds an MA in International Affairs from the Norman Paterson School of International Affairs, an MBA from Queen's University, and an Honours Degree in Commerce, focused on international business. She is a Certified Management Accountant.
Dr. HARAYAMA Yuko received her Ph.D. in Education Science in 1996 and Ph.D. in Economics in 1997, both from the University of Geneva. Dr. HARAYAMA is an Executive Director charged of international affairs at RIKEN. Prior to RIKEN, she has a broad range of experience that encompasses work as an Assistant Professor in the Department of Political Economy at the University of Geneva, a Fellow at the Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry in Japan, and a Professor in the Management of Science and Technology Department at the Graduate School of Engineering of Tohoku University. Her research interests include technology policies, innovation systems, cluster policy, and higher education system. She served as a Member of the Council for Science and Technology Policy (CSTP) from 2006 to2008, as the Deputy Director of the Directorate for Science, Technology and Innovation at OECD from 2010 to 2012, and as the Executive Member of CSTP, Cabinet Office, Japan from 2013 to 2018. She received the French National Order of the Legion of Honour – Chevalier (Ordre national de la Légion d'honneur – Chevalier) in 2011.
Dr. Ichiro Taniuchi (M.D., Ph.D) is the team leader of the RIKEN Center for Integrative Medical Sciences Laboratory for Transcriptional Regulation. He summarizes his research as follows: Gene regulation by transcription factors networks plays a central role in development of multi-cellular organisms. The aim of research in the laboratory is to understand how the genetic program that governs immune cell development is controlled and evolved from the view of transcriptional regulation. In particular, the research focuses on mechanisms of silencer-mediated gene repression and functions of Runx transcription factor family. Finally, the aim is to use the findings to develop new technology that will be applied to control human diseases.
Professor Mark Lathrop is the Scientific Director of the McGill University Genome Centre. Pr. Lathrop research interests are in the application of genomics and statistical/mathematical methods to understand the molecular basis of human disease. He was a founding member of the CEPH, the organised which pioneered the international scientific collaboration on the human genome. Prior to joining McGill, Pr. Lathrop co-founded and first scientific director of the Wellcome Trust Centre for Human Genetics at the University of Oxford, an institute created to apply genomic approaches to understanding the molecular basis of human disease. At the request of the French government he later founded the centre National de Génotypage which he developed into the principal national infrastructure for human genetic studies in France. In Canada, he helped to create the Canadian Genomics Enterprise (CGEn) which is the country's major national genomic sciences initiative. CGEn is tasked by the federal government to implement the nation-wide program on host genetics in COVID-19. Amongst other honours, Pr. Lathrop has been awarded the French Order of Merit and the French Legion of Honor for his contributions to science.
Prof. Howard Alper is currently spearheading the initiative by the former Governor General of Canada, David Johnston, to enhance global recognition for Canadian research excellence. He is Chair of the Canvassing Committee for the initiative. He is also Distinguished University Professor at the University of Ottawa. The basic research Alper has been pursuing spans organic and inorganic chemistry, with potential applications in the pharmaceutical, petrochemical, and commodity chemical industries. In 2004, he was made an Honorary Fellow of the Chemical Research Society of India, in 2006, an Honorary Fellow of the Chemical Institute of Canada, and in March 2013, was made an Honorary Foreign Member of the Chemical Society of Japan (CSJ), the first Canadian ever to be so honoured by the CSJ. In 2020, Alper was designated as "Companion of the Order of Canada", the highest award to a civilian Canadian citizen, for his significant contributions to organometallic chemistry, and for his internationally recognized leadership in science research and policy.
Introduction by:
Prof. Scott Simon, Full Professor in the School of Sociological and Anthropological Studies at the University of Ottawa. His research interests in Taiwan, Japan, and Micronesia include Indigenous rights, the social and historical relations between these peoples of the Indo-Pacific, and onto-genesis amidst the entanglements of life.
Sustaining Members of the Japan Society
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Hourly Visibility for July 13, 2020
REGINA RCS
Current Station Operator: ECCC - MSC
104°40'00.000" W
WDJ
Almanac Averages & Extremes (July 13) Daily Data (July 2020)
Nearby Stations with Data Historical Data Search for July 13,2020
Hourly Data (July 2020)
Time LST UTC Year 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Month January February March April May June July August September October November December Day 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31


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Tag Archive: Russia Develops Laser Ice-Cutter for Northern Sea Route
on May 19, 2015 in World News
Russia Develops Laser Ice-Cutter for Northern Sea Route
Russia Develops Laser Ice-Cutter for Northern Sea Route Scientists have built a laser cutting tool to assist Arctic icebreakers, and say it could boost traffic along the Northern Sea Route by seven-fold. But one famous polar explorer says he doubts the new technology will deliver on its promise. Russia may have taken the lead in Arctic exploration with the development of a new laser-based ice cutter that could potentially increase shipping traffic along the Northern Sea Route by seven-fold, according to Russia & India Report. Developed by the Moscow-based KURS research institute, the laser ice cutter is said to be… View Article


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T-1 bentgrass on a green at the Coeur d'Alene Resort Golf Course in Northern Idaho.


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I'm prepared to sports-car myself from here. Knock the night out of June. Walk on my palms over brick archways. Shift the shifters. All along, an ocean was bearing down on the party, hunching up behind the crooks. Loss is forever but we cheer for sides. It's always half past. We should be doing more than just walking. Smoke hates us. I'm always on the lookout for drinking buddies.
She's a ship of stolen gold. Someone's reason for jumping. A swung shovel. A distance crawled. There's something she's been roasting. A tableau: three skinny kittens. She doesn't want to listen and he can't talk because she is. To ghost himself in a linen closet. Or stay and fight? Canons will be fired.
Tomorrow, mirrors. Crescent moon a stopped cradle. Wine glass sizzles in the fireplace. Stand her up, so she can sing. Blow the stars off her cake. A moat widens in her chest. His fists haunt.
Clothesline of crimes stretches across the acre between them. Mom was a monster after wine; dad kicks at the rubble. Anorexic daughter smokes weed every night from a purple bong on the front porch. Hunger-struck, a tight lotus in the Adirondack chair. Night gets on top of her, she can't breathe. Cedar hedge becomes a line-up of skinny green bottles aimed at an off-kilter moon. Racoon with kits staggers under the streetlight.
The highway to this town is lumped with road kill.
mixes with fog off the river, muffles the crying.
TANJA BARTEL is a writer and teacher in the Vancouver area. Her work has been published in Grain, CV2, New Poetry (newpoetry.ca), The Maynard, emerge anthology, The Prose Poem Project, and Right Hand Pointing. She was shortlisted for the Event Magazine Creative Nonfiction Contest in 2014. She is currently completing her MFA at the University of British Columbia.


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Published May 12, 2022 8:45pm EDT
Baby Brandon kidnapping suspects tried to abduct the infant on three previous occasions, prosecutors say
Jose Portillo allegedly posed as a CPS worker and tried to take the 3-month-old infant weeks before the actual kidnapping
By Paul Best | Fox News
Fox News Flash top headlines for May 12
The two suspects accused of kidnapping a 3-month-old baby boy from his grandmother's San Jose home last month had tried to abduct the infant on three previous occasions, prosecutors said Thursday.
Yesenia Ramirez, 43, and Jose Portillo, 28, were charged with additional kidnapping counts this week for those failed attempts.
Portillo allegedly went to the family's home while posing as a Child Protective Services worker about six weeks before the actual kidnapping. He demanded that the family hand over Brandon Cuellar, the 3-month-old infant, but they were suspicious and refused, according to the San Jose District Attorney's Office.
Brandon Cuellar, a 3-month-old baby boy, was last seen wearing a white long-sleeved onesie with dinosaurs before an unknown man took him from his grandmother's San Jose apartment on Monday afternoon, police said. (San Jose Police Department)
Ramirez, a friend of the baby's grandmother, was allegedly at the family's home when Portillo made this first attempt at abducting Brandon.
MASSACHUSETTS MAN ARRESTED IN ATTEMPTED ABDUCTION OF WOMAN ON FREEWAY
The suspects also allegedly tried to abduct the baby from a local Walmart on March 28 and on the morning of the actual kidnapping, but failed both times.
Jose Portillo, 28, is facing multiple kidnapping counts. (San Jose Police Department)
Portillo could be seen on home surveillance video taking baby Brandon, authorities say. (San Jose Police Department)
"There are few things more terrifying than someone stealing a child, as if they're a car or a wallet," District Attorney Jeff Rosen said.
"The more we investigate this case and the more troubling it gets, the more determined we are to prosecute those responsible to the fullest extent of the law."
On April 25, a man who authorities have now identified as Portillo could be seen on home surveillance video walking down a street with Brandon in a car seat after snatching the baby from his grandmother's home while she unloaded groceries.
Yesenia Ramirez, 43, reportedly attends a San Jose Church that has been implicated in the exorcism death of a 3-year-old girl last September. (San Jose Police Department)
The baby was located at Portillo's home 18 hours later after a frantic search.
Ramirez is a member of a Pentacostal Church that has been linked to the death of a 3-year-old girl last September during an apparent exorcism, Mercury News reports.
Paul Best is a breaking news reporter for Fox News Digital and Fox Business. Story tips and ideas can be sent to Paul.Best@fox.com and on Twitter: @KincaidBest.


Will Real Estate prices go up or down?
Home › Investing, Personal Finance › Predictions for Real Estate Prices: Boom or Bust?
Predictions for Real Estate Prices: Boom or Bust?
Recently, on Alberta Primetime's Money Panel, I was asked to comment on real estate prices and some conflicting predictions about whether real estate will boom or bust. Not a day goes by these days without someone predicting what is going to happen to housing prices. I was in a restaurant and the server was talking to the table next to my about why housing prices are going up and she needed to get into the market ASAP. My last visit to my barber, the gentleman getting his haircut before me was complaining how his realtor was an idiot because his house was still on the market after 60 days and he had only one lowball offer. Everyone has become real estate experts which is really scary!
Despite my fondness for home ownership and investing in real estate (17 properties in 20 years), I've never been able to predict real estate prices. Here's an interesting article I wrote exactly 4 years ago in 2007 on booming real estate prices then). Predicting real estate prices is like predicting stock market prices . . . you can't do it!
If you go back 20 or 30 years, real estate was less of a commodity and more of a lifestyle purchase. In other words most people bought homes but they just bought 1 house, not 2 or 3. They lived in that house for a long time to build equity mostly by paying off their mortgages. The value of their property would appreciate but slow and steady more like a GIC. Those that bought second properties rented them out and held them long term so that the rental income would pay down the mortgage and build the equity.
Today, real estate has become more speculative than ever because the product has become a shorter term commodity. Think about the last real estate boom and how many people you know that bought second properties with the intent of flipping? How many people were building new houses while keeping their old ones thinking it was crazy not to hold two appreciating properties at the same time. How many people thought making money with real estate was easy?
The price of any commodity is based on supply and demand. In the past demand was based on simple basics . . . population growth which was slow and steady. Now demand is affected by so much more, including speculation. Speculation comes from more people buying and selling because they are speculating on the short term price of real estate. Speculation is more common because of the internet and how quickly information travels. When some expert says real estate prices are going to crash, the media picks that message up and spreads it very quickly. All this speculation has enhanced volatility and also creates more unpredictability.
Many people have justified and rushed the purchase of homes because of the fear of rising interest rates which will make housing less affordable. This fear of rising interested rates is not new. We've been hearing about this fear for the last 10 years (Here's another article I wrote in 2004 on predicting interest rates from what I called 50 year lows). Interest rates and housing prices are two things we cannot control nor predict. Real estate purchasers need to focus on more tangible and concrete factors when buying. They need to make sure they are buying homes they can afford today and if interest rates rise in the future? They need to make sure they are not extending their financial abilities to service a mortgage and all the other expenses that go along with home ownership.
Buying a home is a big purchase that should not be rushed. It's OK to be impulsive when buying a $80 pair of shoes but don't rush a $300,000 investment into a home based on speculation of where interest rates may or may not go.
I predict real estate prices will fluctuate in the short term and they will go up in the long term. How's that for a sound prediction?
If you are buying real estate as a place to live, there's more to picking the place than just the speculation of pricing in the short term. Try not to worry about housing prices and whether they will go up or down over the next year. Focus on getting good value and finding the right home you can live in for a while.
If you are buying real estate as a long term investment, then really look at the rental income that you can get and see if it can cover your expenses and give you a margin of profit. If not, then they only way you can make money is on the appreciation in price. Remember in the short term, that is speculative. Over the long term, prices should go up.
If you are buying second property for recreation, like a cabin or a vacation property in Arizona, just remember it to know your primary reasons for buying the property. Every decision has two key aspects: logical and emotional. The problem is it is hard to put a dollar value on the emotional issues.
Be careful what you hear and all the predictions about where real estate prices are going to go. The last realtor I talked to thought prices were going up and I better get in to take advantage of it. In fact, every realtor I have every talked to thought the same. I wonder why that is? Take your time and make good decisions based on sound financial analysis. Long term it will work out. Short term, it could go many different ways you and you can't predict it or control it! Good luck!
10 Responses to Predictions for Real Estate Prices: Boom or Bust?
When it comes to interest rates I have to disagree with you that they are not predictable. I strongly believe that they are very predictable. Like any other commodity we look to supply and demand to determine what might happen to the price. Interest rates simple represent the 'price' of borrowing money. So the next question to ask is over the next year to 10 years are people going to borrow more or less than they are today?
I have long been a fan of demographics and if we look at what interest rates have done in the last 40 years there is a clear correlation to the rise and fall of rates with the baby boomers. As we welcomed in the 70's boomers started buying houses and consumer goods and cars and borrowing a ton of money to do it. over the years they have worked to pay down that debt – borrowing less and saving more (ie less demand more supply) so interest rates have steadily declined for the last 25 years. In the next decade the boomers in Canada will inherit more than $13 trillion dollars some of which will be passed to their children reducing the demand for borrowing once again. This compounded by a weaker global economy for the next decade will likely result in stable low interest rates on debt with the possibility of a slight rise (doubling). But even if the interest rates double from where we are today we will be at the same level we were at six years ago when people thought rates were at the bottom!
Hey Frank! Thanks for stopping by with your comments.
You know I have a lot of respect for the work you are doing but I think we may have different definitions of what a prediction might mean. How specific does a prediction have to be? Where will interest rates be on Dec 31, 2011? What will interest rates be in 2012? What will they be in 2013? What will they be in 2014?
I could make a prediction that interest rates will stay low for a while and be both right and wrong. Look around the web and you will find smart economists, fund managers, investment professionals who differ in their interest rate predictions.
Anyhow . . . if you can predict interest rates with any degree of accuracy, you should be a bond trader and make lots of short term winning bets.
If you are buying real estate as a place to live, I think most people should think about two macro-things: 1) where you will be happiest and 2) your compromises to achieve 1).
After that, you can always think about the best opportunities to buy an appreciating asset – better to buy a decent home in the best part of town than an amazing home in the worst part of town.
It sounds like you and I both believe location, location, location is pretty important when it comes to real estate.
Buying for a place to live is different than buying a place to flip or rent.
Let's be honest Jim…most REALTORS will tell you it's always a good time to buy. I'm a REALTOR, and I can't tell you how many conversations I've had about this with colleagues, and that's what they preach. The only time in the last 6 years that I've been saying this was in the late Fall of 2008. Clients of mine that bought then did quite well…..there were some real fire sales after 'the crash'.
Anyway – while I don't think this is a particularly bold prediction, I agree with you 100%. I see Spring 2012 being quite robust for activity.
With 150 billion dollar investment in Alberta oil sands and heavy oil to be shelved until the oil price starts to swing upward, which will not happen in another "18 months", we will witness considerable layoffs and fear on Albertans that in return will tame migration to Alberta. Layoffs and outward migration will affect housing price in Alberta significantly. I am predicting 10-20% price reduction in housing by mid 2015!!
I have been in the industry for over 22 years and am fortunate enough to be in a city that has missed out on the boom cycles, however we have also avoided the dips because of it. Real estate prices in my city are a near straight appreciating line, slow increases year over year as far back as statistics go. I believe it will come to an end now though, not because of interest rates or economic factors, but because millenials do not seem to have the same desire to be homeowners that those of us old dogs who grew up with the "american dream" lifestyle as the goal.
Great article Jim. As you mentioned it's important to buy a house you can afford comfortably regardless of whether or not interest rates go up. You don't want to expect the worst but have to prepare for it either way. I'm also of the belief that real estate prices will fluctuate be iffy in the immediate future but will eventually take a turn for the better over time. Thanks again!
Great points back and forth from you and the link responders. Now, we are in the early 2017, what is the new prediction?


text:
package ledis

import (
	"encoding/binary"
	"errors"
	"reflect"
	"strconv"
	"unsafe"
)

var errIntNumber = errors.New("invalid integer")

// no copy to change slice to string
// use your own risk
func String(b []byte) (s string) {
	pbytes := (*reflect.SliceHeader)(unsafe.Pointer(&b))
	pstring := (*reflect.StringHeader)(unsafe.Pointer(&s))
	pstring.Data = pbytes.Data
	pstring.Len = pbytes.Len
	return
}

// no copy to change string to slice
// use your own risk
func Slice(s string) (b []byte) {
	pbytes := (*reflect.SliceHeader)(unsafe.Pointer(&b))
	pstring := (*reflect.StringHeader)(unsafe.Pointer(&s))
	pbytes.Data = pstring.Data
	pbytes.Len = pstring.Len
	pbytes.Cap = pstring.Len
	return
}

func Int64(v []byte, err error) (int64, error) {
	if err != nil {
		return 0, err
	} else if v == nil || len(v) == 0 {
		return 0, nil
	} else if len(v) != 8 {
		return 0, errIntNumber
	}

	return int64(binary.LittleEndian.Uint64(v)), nil
}

func PutInt64(v int64) []byte {
	var b []byte
	pbytes := (*reflect.SliceHeader)(unsafe.Pointer(&b))
	pbytes.Data = uintptr(unsafe.Pointer(&v))
	pbytes.Len = 8
	pbytes.Cap = 8
	return b
}

func StrInt64(v []byte, err error) (int64, error) {
	if err != nil {
		return 0, err
	} else if v == nil {
		return 0, nil
	} else {
		return strconv.ParseInt(String(v), 10, 64)
	}
}

func StrInt32(v []byte, err error) (int32, error) {
	if err != nil {
		return 0, err
	} else if v == nil {
		return 0, nil
	} else {
		res, err := strconv.ParseInt(String(v), 10, 32)
		return int32(res), err
	}
}

func StrInt8(v []byte, err error) (int8, error) {
	if err != nil {
		return 0, err
	} else if v == nil {
		return 0, nil
	} else {
		res, err := strconv.ParseInt(String(v), 10, 8)
		return int8(res), err
	}
}

func StrPutInt64(v int64) []byte {
	return strconv.AppendInt(nil, v, 10)
}

func MinUInt32(a uint32, b uint32) uint32 {
	if a > b {
		return b
	} else {
		return a
	}
}

func MaxUInt32(a uint32, b uint32) uint32 {
	if a > b {
		return a
	} else {
		return b
	}
}

func MaxInt32(a int32, b int32) int32 {
	if a > b {
		return a
	} else {
		return b
	}
}

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaGithub


text:
Judge rules on "No Trick or Treat Signs" – Registrants have rights
By Hayley Fowler
Three registered sex offenders in Georgia clutched a victory on the brink of Halloween when a federal judge ordered lawn signs deterring trick-or-treaters be removed from their homes.
Butts County Sheriff Gary Long argued last week the signs should remain while the lawsuit — brought by the three named plaintiffs seeking to represent a class of sex offenders who allege their civil rights were violated — moves forward.
But Judge Marc Thomas Treadwell disagreed Tuesday.
"The defendants should be aware that the authority for their blanket sign-posting is dubious at best and even more dubious if posted over the objection of registrants," he said in an order.
The signs read, "Warning! No Trick or Treat at this address!!"
Treadwell's order mandates the removal of signs from only the three named plaintiffs' residences, finding others can stay up until the remaining class members' objections are established.
"Although, as a practical matter, it might be assumed that anyone would object to such a message from law enforcement in front of their homes, the court is not comfortable making that assumption as a foundation for injunctive relief," the order states.
It's too late to appeal the decision given the close proximity to Halloween, the sheriff said in a Facebook post shortly after the order was released.
But Long said there will be increased law enforcement presence in neighborhoods where "sex offenders are likely to be." He also urged community members not to "take matters into your own hands this Halloween."


City of London police were overwhelmed by demonstrators in the 'March on the City' against bailing out the bankers on Oct 10 2008 and turned to strong-arm methods. This officer seemed to be applying pressure to a sensitive point on a demonstrator's neck, causing considerable pain but having no restraining effect on the progress of the marchers pushing from behind.
After teaching for many years Peter Marshall became a full time writer and photographer in 1999, and for eight years he wrote a commercial web site on photography. As well as appearing in print, his photographs are in museum collections and on various web sites including his own 'My London Diary', and he contributes regularly to independent media websites.


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text:
Monolistra is a genus of isopod crustaceans in the family Sphaeromatidae. Its members are restricted to countries of the former Yugoslavia and neighbouring Italy. It contains the following subgenera and species, four of which are listed as vulnerable (VU) or endangered (EN) on the IUCN Red List:
Microlistra Gerstaecker, 1856
Monolistra bolei (Sket, 1960) –
Monolistra calopyge Sket, 1982 –
Monolistra pretneri Sket, 1964 –
Monolistra schottlaenderi Stammer, 1930 –
Monolistra sketi (Deeleman-Reinhold, 1971) –
Monolistra spinosa (Racovitza, 1929) –
Monolistra spinosissima (Racovitza, 1929) –
Monolistra Gerstaecker, 1856
Monolistra caeca Gerstaeker, 1856 - , ,
Monolistra monstruosa Sket, 1970 –
Monolistrella Sket, 1964
Monolistra velkovrhi Sket, 1960
Pseudomonolistra
Monolistra bosnica Sket, 1970 –
Monolistra hercegoviniensis Absolon, 1916 -
Monolistra radjai Prevorcnik & Sket, 2007
Typhlosphaeroma
Monolistra bericum (Fabiani, 1901) – ,
Monolistra boldorii Brian, 1931 –
Monolistra lavalensis Stoch, 1984 –
Monolistra matjasici Sket, 1965 –
Monolistra pavani Arcangeli, 1942 – ,
Monolistra racovitzai Strouhal, 1928 – ,

References

Sphaeromatidae
Taxonomy articles created by Polbot

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaWikipedia


Intense GProCongress preparation; Inspirational Challenge deadline today!
Thank you for praying in the power of the resurrected Lord Jesus Christ! We hope your Easter celebration of our Savior was sweet.
The GProCongress team is facing many challenges as they prepare for eight highly intentional, carefully scheduled days in June. Pray for wisdom, precision and sensitivity to the Holy Spirit in the coordination of all the moving parts. Ask God for His power to prevail in behind-the-scenes operations. Pray for just the right people to fill the remaining presentation slots. Pray that those already committed to serve as emcees, speakers, presenters and coaches will be clearly directed by the Spirit as they prepare.
In delegate recruitment, we are asking in faith for not more than 5,000 pastoral trainers from 200 countries. Currently, more than 2,000 from 97 countries are in various stages of application/registration/payment. Intercede for the right pastoral trainers representing every nation of the world to be motivated and able to attend. Uphold Dr. Richard as he considers a number of pending recruitment trips to Central America, South America, Asia and Africa.
Please also pray for many to be moved to give toward the Congress in the final hours of our Inspirational Challenge. Over 75% has come in; we are in need of about $260,000 to meet our March 31 goal.
We are grateful beyond words for your faithful intercession for physical/spiritual/mental/relational protection and provision for Dr. Richard, the RREACH and GProCongress teams, and the RREACH board. God is able!