For the first time in more than ten years, the Bank of England (BoE) has raised interest rates. The move from 0.25 percentage points to 0.5% comes on the back of an inflation rate rise to 3% in September and signals the start of a steady increase in borrowing costs over the next three years. "The symbolism of this hike is more significant than its economic impacts," said Chief Economist at Aberdeen Standard Investments Lucy O'Carroll.
He added: "Future increases in the bank rate would be at a gradual pace and to a limited extent.
The decision of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) attempts to set an interest rate that will return inflation to its 2% target. The panel is made up of nine members, including the Governor, three Deputy Governors for Monetary Policy as well as several members appointed by the Chancellor. On 2 November, seven out of nine members voted in favour of higher rates.
The panel said the rate increase was justified as a result of record-low employment, rising inflation and stronger economic growth. The BoE is currently trying to determine the right pace to increase interest rates; not too fast to damage the economy, but quickly enough to prevent inflation from rising further. At this time, the BoE has the same objectives as the US Federal Reserve. However, the Fed has pushed ahead with interest rates from 1% to 1.25%, with another increase on the cards in December.
Across the UK, almost four million households will now face higher mortgage payments, according to the BBC. Of these four million borrowers, the main losers will be homeowners with a variable rate mortgage as banks are expected to follow the BoE's lead by raising interest rates on home loans. Borrowers on standard variable rates and with tracker mortgages will be affected in the short term, with rates likely to rise in December. However, the modest rise is unlikely to push many households beyond the limits of affordability.
Mortgage brokers are expecting a surge in borrowers signing up to fixed-rate mortgage deals after the BoE stated that further rises in base rates were to be expected over the next three years. Some lenders have already seen fixed-rate mortgages increasing since Carney hinted at a rate rise in September.
The rate rise is good news for the country's 45 million savers who are likely to see a slight increase in their returns. For some time, savers have experienced non-existent returns on their savings, but experts claim, that it's unlikely that the high-street lenders will pass on the benefits of the rate rise to their customers.
It's also anticipated that there will be better deals for anyone considering buying an annuity for their pension as annuity rates are linked to interest rates, and the rate rise is likely to translate into higher income for pensions.
Until now, the BoE has been reluctant to raise interest rates, claiming that inflation had jumped as a result of the fall in the value of Sterling since the EU referendum in June 2016. The weaker pound is driving up the costs of imported food, fuel and other goods. The BoE claims this effect is more than likely at its peak right now.
The other issue has been that real pay or wage growth is falling and failing to keep up with inflation, currently at a five-year high. This prolonged drop in real wages to 2.1% reflects the rising pressure on household budgets as prices are rising at a faster rate than pay. Chief Economist at PwC John Hawksworth said this was a striking point of the modern economy that wage growth was so weak despite low unemployment.
However, the BoE forecasts wage growth steadily increasing next year and says there are already signs that this is happening.
He added: "Brexit-related constraints" on investment and workers are holding back the UK's economic growth. The MPC has also stated that the decision to leave the European Union is having a "noticeable impact" on the country's economic outlook.
"The biggest determinate of our outlook is going to be those negotiations ongoing on Brexit both a transition deal to a new arrangement and what is the length of the arrangement with the European Union," said the BoE Governor.
Jacob Rees-Mogg, the Conservative MP for North-East Somerset, remains unconvinced and has described Carney as an "enemy of Brexit" who has opposed Brexit right from the start and that his statements have consistently been hostile to Brexit.


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TheRebbe.org Wisdom & Teachings Social Teachings Empowering Women Correspondence
Return to Roots
Correspondence by Rabbi Menachem M. Schneerson, The Lubavitcher Rebbe
By the Grace of G‑d
15th of Teves 5739
[January 14, 1979]
Brooklyn, N.Y.
To All Participants in the 2nd European Convention
of Lubavitch Women's and Girls' Groups
Blessing and Greeting:
I was pleased to be informed of the forthcoming 2nd European Convention, beginning on Rosh Chodesh Shevat, on the keynote theme: "Roots." May G‑d grant that it should be with utmost Hatzlocho [success] in every respect.
The theme of the Convention is meaningful in many ways, reflecting the vital functions of roots in the world of plants—by way of instructive analogy for our Jewish roots, which—as our Sages declare—are our Patriarchs and Matriarchs, the founders of our people. To mention some of the most basic functions of roots:
The roots are, of course, the source of vitality of the plant, from the moment of its birth when the seed takes root, and thereafter, bringing it to fruition and constantly nourishing it throughout its life with the vital elements of water and minerals, etc., from the soil.
While the roots must work also for their own existence, growth, development and strength, their main function is to nourish the plant and ensure its full development, as well as its regenerative powers through the production of fruits and the fruits of fruits. At the same time the roots provide a firm base and anchorage for the plant, so as not to be swept away by strong winds and other elements.
It is in the sense of these basic functions of physical roots that we understand our spiritual roots.
The "primary roots" of our Jewish people are, as mentioned above, our Patriarchs, Avrohom, Yitzchok and Yaakov, as our Sages declare: "Only three are called Ovos (Fathers)." On the maternal side, our primary roots are our Mothers, Sarah, Rivkah, Rachel,and Leah. Each of these founders and builders of the House of Israel contributed a distinctive quality, which, blended together, produced the unique character of our Jewish people.
Most typical—and original (in the sense of parentage)—is Avrohom Ovinu, of whom it is written, "One was Avrohom," for he was one and only in his generation who recognized the oneness of G‑d and, with complete self-sacrifice, proclaimed the Unity of G‑d (pure monotheism) to a world steeped in polytheism and idolatry. His progeny, the Jewish people, is still unique in carrying on his work—a small minority in a world which has many gods. From whom we inherited, and derive strength from, the quality of Mesiras-Nefesh [self-sacrifice], as well as the supreme obligation to pass on our heritage to our children; for it was his greatest merit in his devotion and total dedication to G‑d that "he bequeathed to his children and household after him to keep the way of G‑d."
By referring to our Ovos as "roots," our Sages indicate a further essential aspect of roots that goes beyond the role of parents. To be sure, parents give birth to children and transmit to them some of their own physical, mental and spiritual qualities. But children are not directly dependent on their parents for survival; they can move away from their parents and from their parental home, and continue to thrive also after their parents are gone. But this is not so in the case of a plant and its roots. The roots are absolutely indispensable to the plant's existence, and their vitalizing influence must flow continuously to keep the plant alive and thriving. In the same way, our Fathers and Mothers must always vitalize and animate our own lives.
Every Jew and Jewess should realize that he or she is an integral part of the great "root system" that began with our Patriarchs and Matriarchs and continued to thrive through the ages, nourishing and sustaining our people, whom G‑d calls "a branch of My planting, the work of My hands, to take pride in them."
Yet, sad to say, there are some Jews who, for one reason or another, are not aware of their roots, and some whose roots have become so atrophied as to be in danger of becoming completely withered, G‑d forbid. It is therefore up to the healthy plants and roots to work all the harder to revive and strengthen the others, and help them rediscover their identity and place within the root system of our unique people.
In this life-saving work, the role of the Jewish woman is of crucial importance, since she is the Akeres Habayis, the foundation of the home, who largely determines the character and atmosphere of the household and the future of the children in particular, as has often been emphasized. In the same vein, there can be no greater fulfillment for a Jewish girl than to prepare herself for her vital role of building the House of Israel, as a worthy descendant of our Matriarchs. As indicated above, it is a dual process: actively pursuing one's own growth and development, and at the same time working for the preservation and growth of our people, through spreading and strengthening Yiddishkeit in the Jewish community at large, particularly in areas where Jewish mothers and daughters can contribute most, such as Kashrus, Taharas Hamishpocho [family purity], candle-lighting, etc.
Finally, to pursue the analogy from roots to one more significant point—one does not look for flashing color and external beauty in roots, nor are the latter concerned with what some people might say about their external looks; roots do their work humbly and modestly, indeed for the most part hidden from view altogether. Such is also the work of true Jewish mothers and daughters.
In a world where fashion and vogue hold sway, and where expediency often takes precedence over eternal values and principles, our worthy mothers and daughters are not concerned with what some neighbor or passer-by might say about the way they conduct themselves and their homes in accord with the laws of our sacred Torah and Mitzvos. If these appear "old-fashioned" to the onlooker with his "modern" ideas of "new morality," and the like—we, Jews, take pride in our old-fashioned, yet always new and eternal roots, and we strive to become ever more root-like and truer to the primary roots of our Jewish people, whom G‑d designated as a "Kingdom of G‑d's servants and a Holy Nation."
With prayerful wishes to each and all of you to go from strength to strength in all above, and
With blessing,
Letter of the Lubavitcher Rebbe, Rabbi Menachem M. Schneerson, of righteous memory.
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redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


Metropolitan Planning Organizations are required to develop Long Range Transportation Plans for their urban region every 4 or 5 years. As the vision for a region's future transportation infrastructure, these plans provide a unique opportunity to analyze the potential green house gas emissions from vehicles in the region.
Until recently, the US has been the worlds biggest emitter of carbon dioxide emissions. Texas leads the nation with more than 10 percent of total US emissions. If Texas were a county, it would rank 7th in the world for emission levels.
Gas and diesel engines are a significant source of green house gas emissions, second only to energy generation nationally, creating the most prevalent US green house gas, carbon dioxide. In Texas, transportation emissions constitute 29 percent of emissions, falling in behind electricity generation at 34 percent and industrial uses at 33 percent.
The new Federal Administration has already taken actions to focus on green house gas emissions and at least one Member of Congress has already drafted language to require MPOs to do this analysis.
This year, the federal transportation bill expires and it is not farfetched to anticipate Congress may not only require this level of analysis, but even require Long Range Plans to result in reduced green house gas emissions over the life of the Long Range Plan.
MPOs already analyze the impact of Plans on various emissions levels. SB 1597 would put Texas ahead of the curve, expanding that analysis to specifically include green house gases.
The analysis for carbon dioxide must be quantitative using the best available methods as determined by TxDOT in consultation with the Federal Highway Administration, Federal Transit Administration, US EPA and TCEQ.
The analysis of other green house gases could be quantitative or qualitative.
The results of the analysis would be presented to an MPO board and the public in advance of adopting a new Long Range Plan.
To ensure MPOs have adequate notice to incorporate these analyses into their planning process, this requirement will apply only to those Plans scheduled for adoption after January 1, 2011.


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Snapchat just did something crazy. It beat expectations.
Snap CEO Evan Spiegel
Image: JAE C. HONG/ASSOCIATED PRESS
By Kerry Flynn 2018-02-06 21:42:53 UTC
Snapchat has a reputation. Yes, for sexting, but also for its inability to impress investors. That narrative changed on Tuesday after Snap Inc. scored a massive beat on its quarterly earnings report, recapping revenue and user growth 2017.
To the surprise of investors, Snap reported that both its user growth and revenue growth are accelerating. The company brought in $285.7 million, beating expectations of $252.8 million. The app now reaches 187 million daily active users, up from 178 million in the last quarter and a bump of 18 percent year over year.
SEE ALSO: Snapchat opens Snap Store in app. Yes, there's a Streaks hat.
Snap CEO Evan Spiegel pointed to his willingness to change the company and the product.
"Our work during 2017 is proof that we aren't afraid to make big changes for the long-term success of our business," Spiegel said in his prepared remarks. "We redesigned the Snapchat application, transitioned our Snap Ad business to an auction model, and made changes to our team to improve productivity and collaboration."
These financial and growth achievements come after months of a declining stock, news of top talent leaving the company, and concern of older users fleeing to Facebook's Instagram Stories. The highly anticipated redesign, teased to analysts at its third quarter earnings call, has been met with criticism from early users.
And yet, Snap is soaring. The company's stock shot up by more than 27 percent in after-hours trading.
Image: google finance
"Nice revenue quarter," one of the analysts said on the call before asking more about the growth and ad opportunities.
"Congrats on the solid results," Matt Diamond of Deutsche Bank said later in the call.
Snapchat executives emphasized that not every quarter may look this glorious.
"We are a brand business, and we do believe that the brand business seasonally peaks in the fourth quarter," said Drew Vollero, Snap's chief financial officer. He also noted that the company's revenue from Spectacles, its video camera sunglasses, should decrease in the coming quarters. It brought in $8 million in the first quarter of 2017.
Of course, not every high number is great. Snap continues to have high spending, losing nearly $350 million in the fourth quarter of 2017. At least, spending is lowering from the previous quarters, and Spiegel acknowledged that the company had rapid hiring. Over the last two years, Snap hired more than 2,400 employees, about 100 per month. Now, Snap is focused on developing the in-house talent.
"While it was critical to build our team to keep pace with the growth of our business, it has become clear that we can now unlock substantially more productivity simply by changing the way that we work and by continuing to build an inclusive and creative culture," Spiegel's prepared remarks reads.
'Chopping a lot of wood' = Android
Android helped drive Snapchat's growth over the past year. The retention rate of new Snapchat users on Android increased by nearly 20 percent compared to the year prior, according to Spiegel's prepared remarks. On the call, Spiegel emphasized that he has been preaching that focus for awhile, and it has paid off.
"On the DAU side obviously," Spiegel said with a laugh, "in 2017 we talked a lot about Android ... streaming is making a huge different. I think that's a great step in the right direction, especially with the redesign. We've been chopping a lot of wood on that."
Snapchat's other big investment is a redesign. So far, the app's redesign is out to 40 million Snapchat users, Spiegel said in the call, and it's expected to reach all users by the end of the first quarter. Users who have the redesign told Mashable last month that they weren't happy but some acknowledged it simply takes some adjustment.
The redesign is faring well, according to Spiegel. The prepared remarks included that during these tests its been increasing Snapchat usage among older users.
"Compared to the old design, core metrics around content consumption and time spent in the redesigned application are disproportionately higher for users over the age of 35, which bodes well for increasing engagement among older users as we continue to grow our business," Spiegel's prepared remarks reads.
Money moves
Adding and retaining users is great to keep eyes and attention on Snapchat, but the driver of Snap's business is good advertising. Snap has been opening up its ad system to be easier to use and more accessible.
Snap doesn't want to completely open themselves up, but they're growing and offering more products. For example, advertisers can buy a Promoted Story and says users are watching their Stories for more than 10 seconds on average.
"Anyone can buy through our platform and buy advertisement," said Imran Khan, Snap's chief strategy officer. "With our strength in the millennial market ... we're really excited with what we can offer. That's a great way to grow our business without compromising potential privacy issues."
Snap Maps, the app's visualization of curated Stories on a map of the world, also has the potential to add ads, whether it be ads within Stories or Promoted Stories on the map. But that remains untapped, and Spiegel told analysts there's "nothing to share on that front."
"We're trying to stay way ahead of the curve."
Snap is also continuing to grow Discover, its network of media partners including Mashable. Discover itself generated $100 million in revenue for its dozens of partners in 2017. Starting this week, Snapchat launched its Stories for the Winter Olympics with NBC, BuzzFeed, and the International Olympics Committee as official partners.
But one narrative that Spiegel continues to stress is Snapchat isn't just for TV-like content. The core focus is friends.
"What we're trying to say is there's a really big difference between talking to your friends on the telephone and broadcasting on a TV channel," Spiegel said. "For us, as we evolve the product, this allows us to reinforce the great things about our communication product."
Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg has a similar mission with a new focus on "meaningful" connections and the rise of Facebook Watch. But Spiegel's feelings are summed up quite nicely with this line from the call: "We're trying to stay way ahead of the curve."
WATCH: Unlock Jeff Koons' art installations around the world with Snapchat's new AR feature
Topics: evan spiegel, Facebook, Mashable Must Reads, snap inc, Snapchat, snapchat stories, social-media-companies, Tech


hd00:08VIANDEN, THE LUXEMBOURG - JULY 31 2015: Vianden Castle, Medieval Festival. Musketeers.
hd00:30KATHMANDU, NEPAL - DEC 22: Unknown pupils during dance lesson in primary school, Dec 22, 2013 in Kathmandu, Nepal. Only only 25% of girls attend schools and half of the children can reach the 5 grade.
4k00:15Medieval army before the battle during the reenactment of the Siege of the Castle of Brescia (1238 AD), Brescia (Italy) on 7 June 2015.
4k00:19HAIFA, ISRAEL - MARCH 03, 2015: Firefighters discuss outcome and conclusions of drill of Haifa, Northern Israel Fire Brigade.


In this episode of View 360, the following issues are discussed.
1) President Donald Trump finally gave his 2nd State of the Union address. He emphasised on policies free from political point scoring.
2) The dialogue between Taliban and the United States under Afghan Peace Process are underway in Moscow. Both the parties are hopeful for a better and positive result.
3) Artificial prosthetic arm which works completely like a natural one.
The Afghan Peace Process – What are the new developments?


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Feb 25 2020 Updated version of "Quick Guide to IPTC Photo Metadata and Google Images"
We are pleased to announce that we have updated our popular Quick Guide to IPTC Photo Metadata and Google Images document to cover the planned updates to Google Image search that we announced last week.
First published in October 2018 after the announcement that Google Images displays image credits based on embedded IPTC Photo Metadata, the Quick Guide has proved very popular as a quick instruction guide showing how photographers and image owners can add the correct metadata fields to their images in a way that ensures image rights information will be displayed in Google search results pages.
Now that Google's updates to handle "licensable images" have been announced (in beta), we have added new sections to the document so everyone can see all of the IPTC Photo Metadata fields used by Google in one place. We also make clear which fields will be used by Google straight away and which fields will only be displayed after the public launch of the new feature.
All comments and suggestions to the document are welcome. Please post to the public iptc-photometadata discussion list or use the IPTC contact form if you would like to get in touch.
Feb 20 2020 Announcing Google's "Licensable Images" developer release
We are excited to announce that the result of our latest collaboration with Google has been launched in a beta phase: Licensable Images.
This feature, that Google is exploring with this beta, will enable image owners not only to receive credit for their work but also to find ways to raise people's awareness of licensing requirements for content found via Google Images.
Mockup of how licensable images might look on google.com when it launches to users later this year.
By embedding IPTC Photo Metadata fields into their images (or using schema.org markup), Google will place a badge on licensable images in search results pages.
Under the image preview, Google will show embedded rights metadata (creator, copyright and credit fields). These have been displayed since IPTC's collaboration with Google in 2018, but will now be given more prominence.
Along with the rights metadata, Google will now show links to the image's usage licence and also a link to "Get this image".
See the image for a mockup of how it might look.
By embedding IPTC Photo Metadata into your images, these links will be shown for images on your own website and also when your customers publish images on their sites.
Along with the photo industry organisation CEPIC, IPTC has been working with Google on this project since the IPTC Photo Metadata Conference at CEPIC Congress in June 2019.
The user-facing side of the feature is planned to launch in the next few months. Google has released some developer documentation to encourage image owners to get ready for the launch.
Learn how to make licensable images work for your image collections
For IPTC members, we will be running a webinar today, Thursday 20 February at 15:00 GMT.
The webinar will explain how the licensable images feature works and what image owners can do to get ready for the launch.
The speakers will be Michael Steidl, Lead of the IPTC Photo Metadata Working Group, and Brendan Quinn, Managing Director of IPTC.
Please check your email for the announcement and information on how to join.
For non-members, we will be publishing a page on this site on Friday 21 February that will explain how to take advantage of the feature.
UPDATE: We have now updated our Quick Guide to IPTC Photo Metadata and Google Images to include information on how to embed rights and licensing metadata in your images.
We're very pleased to see this launch. We look forward to seeing how our members will use this feature to draw more attention to the importance of image rights and licensing.
To support the work of IPTC in this and other areas, please consider joining IPTC.


The next ingredient we're covering in our ongoing series on Healthy Ingredients for Your Pet is Green Tea.
Green Tea originates from the plant species, Camellia sinensis. This is the same species that black tea comes from and it's only the variety of tea plant and method of processing that distinguishes the two. Green tea is considered to have originated in China. China's Yunnan province is considered to be the original home of the Camellia sinensis plant species.
Why would Green Tea be in pet food?
Green tea's benefits are plentiful. It is an excellent source of antioxidants and alkaloids. It also contains plenty of vitamins including vitamins A, D, E, C, B, B5, H and K, manganese and other minerals such as zinc, chromium and selenium. Green tea is about 30 percent polyphenols by weight, including large amounts of a catechin called EGCG. Catechins are natural antioxidants that help prevent cell damage and provide other health benefits.
Be an anti-cancer agent, and to lower blood cholesterol. Cancer tumors of the stomach, gall bladderbalder, lung & intestine are thought to be inhibited by green tea.
Looking at all these benefits, it makes sense you would want your pet to benefit from a little cup of tea.
Are there any risks to feeding your pet Green Tea?
Green tea does contain caffeine and may interrupt your pet's sleep or make them jumpy or overactive – just as too much caffeine does in humans. It's not a supplement to put in their water bowl, but there are many dog foods that contain green tea and the amounts provided through these meals would be conservative and acceptable.
One popular legend suggests that Shennong, Emperor of China and supposed inventor of Chinese medicine, discovered tea as a beverage around 2737 BC when fresh tea leaves from a nearby tea tree fell into his cup of just boiled water.
Green tea is essentially the same thing as the trendy 'matcha' tea. Like black tea, matcha is in the same family and just undergoes a different farming process. It's typically consumed as a powder rather than in leaf form which makes it more concentrated and higher in caffeine.
It's rumored that tea might help prevent fleas, so you can sprinkle some green tea leaves around your pet's bedding.


Nestled at the base of the Catalina Foothills, my in-home studio is designed to have everything you need to ensure your newborn session is everything you dreamed of. With natural light, a private bathroom for changing and wraps and knit caps in every color, I keep my studio well stocked with an ever-changing rotation of props and goodies. You don't have to worry about providing anything for our session other than your baby!
For sessions with families, as well as toddlers and older children, our studio is a quick drive to some of the most picturesque areas of Tucson, including Mt. Lemmon & Sabino Canyon. Ask me, to learn about my favorite photography locations in & around Tucson!


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Der Klassiker erscheint nun bereits zum achten Mal und beglückt uns auch 2019 wieder Tag für Tag mit einem Sofortbild und einer eigenen kleinen Geschichte. Der Kalender zeigt nahezu intime Momentaufnahmen von 365 bekannten Fotografen und Newcomern, von Profis und Privaten aus aller Welt.
The photo-tear-off-calendar is already set to appear for the 8th time and will delight us again every day in 2019 with an instant photo and its own little story. 365 times, the calendar shows the almost intimate snapshots of well-known photographers and newcomers, professionals and individuals.
On the front of each calendar page there is a instant photo in original size, on the back a little text to the emergence of a picture and information about the photographer and the film used.


Glass.Net is here to help customers in Folsom, California replace or repair cracked or damaged auto glass in an affordable manner. With our easy-to-use two-step system, we can help you find the lowest prices from the most reputable auto glass specialists.
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Alliance was very quick & polite.


Well said, Simon. The internet has been a great tool for collecting and sharing information but its anonymity makes it easy for people to engage in rude behavior. I'm sure the conversation about this letter would've been much more civil if the writer had been in the room with her critics and supporters.
When I feel I'm being attacked online I try to draw on my Canadian reputation for politeness – I take a deep breath and ask myself if I'm misinterpreting something. Frequently I am – what appears to be an attack is simply a poorly worded offer if help. And if it turns out I am being criticized unfairly, I question whether it's worth my time to get I to an online fisticuffs. The answer is almost always "no". If I'm happy with the work I'm doing, then frankly I don't care what others think.
I'll admit I do use a variation of the "show me yours" response in extreme cases. I remind my critic that hobbyists are always keen for fresh material and I encourage them to write an article / produce a video / start a blog / etc and share their knowledge with the world. Since, in this hobby, that requires actually doing something, it rarely happens. But I haven't decreed that others can't comment without doing it – just that it's more constructive to share their knowledge in a medium that, yes, will expose them to criticism, too.
"When I feel I'm being attacked… …I try to draw on my Canadian reputation for politeness".
Funny thing is, when I feel I'm being attacked, I try to think how you might respond, being a polite Canadian and good with words for a living!
And you're right: I find the fine scale communities – or the people who work in coarse scales but with a fine scale attitude – are much more civilized. They're also more likely to make an effort to understand what another modeller Is trying to achieve before offering comment. The "model trains are fun" bunch seem to have thinner skins, and to be quicker to pass judgement based on their own needs and wants in the hobby.
I watched that play out. Once upon a time I might have said something, but these days I really can't be bovvered. Rule One (It'sMyTrainSet) and 'Where's yours then?' get played so often they've become favourite excuses by the purveyors of arrogant mediocrity to take offence and scream insolence and effrontery at anyone who, even politely, dares to suggest that an area could be improved upon. And that it was a little woman….well, how DARE she! I doubt he'd have reacted the same if it was one of the big male names of yesteryear such as Denny or Jenks who'd written the letter.
Well tough. If you shove your modelling under the collective noses of your peers, especially if they have to pay to see it in a magazine, and if you've got your facts wrong then be prepared for a good kick up the jacksie, accept it gracefully and then ask for another for good measure.
OK, that's a little harsh, but what's the harm in saying 'thanks for taking an interest in the toys of my second childhood, and I appreciate your comments' – even if you've no intention on following through on them?
Hope you don't mind, but I removed direct references to the specific debate, as I am not looking to continue the specific argument, but highlight a general issue.
No, of course that's fine.
It's a bit unfair of you to remove my derogatory remarks about your method of eating asparagus though.
I picked up comment whilst stuck in traffic on the M42, so was glad of the relief!
Anything to cheer up your dull journey!
Well, I thought I would spare your blushes, at least as far as casual browsers (as opposed to subscribers/followers) are concerned. But as you demonstrated that time, calabrese is remarkably good at removing the avocado stains. Who would have thought it?
My comment would be to spare a thought for the Moderators (if any) of the forum with members like the ones described.
It's a "damned if you do" and a "damned if you don't" situation as regards intervening, and as for reminding such members to be civil otherwise their privileges to post freely might be impeded…….
As Trevor says, the behaviour allowed by anonymous posting to a board far exceeds what would happen face to face (I hope) and over such a ridiculous topic as supposedly grown men playing with their train sets.
The sad thing here is that once published the layout owner seemed to think that elevated the value of his opinion over that of others. Sadly the forums are full of people who are only in it to be told how great they are. In this case being top of the mediocrity is still just mediocre.
Apologies for coming late to this, but I'm surprised by just how far word has spread of this incident. It was, as others have suggested, one of the most unedifying tantrums I've seen for some time. But sadly the 'inverse elitist' culture is well known now, the kneejerk reactions to anything remotely negative or anyone who wants to talk of raising standards.
Terry, it's difficult to comment on the moderation aspect without veering into the specifics of an area that Simon may not want visiting; suffice to say perhaps that the general 'piling on' mentality that was evident here has long been a cultural thing on that site, and that the admin (IMHO) does little to dissuade it.
Thanks for that comment: I stumbled across the piece via a friend's blog. As you say, I would rather not get into the specifics of where it happened.
I do think that there was an admin attempt to dissolve the situation with humour, but it was too subtle and nowhere near strong enough, at least in hindsight.
Hohum. I do frequent parts of that board, but rarely venture outside of three forums: north American, S scale and 'pre-grouping'. I am told that the "specialist" forums create virtually no trouble, but the more "common user" (take that as you will!) forums can be a nightmare, as we both know.


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Join Philly Mag for a Virtual Secrets From the C-Suite Event Series
GoPuff co-founders and co-CEOs Rafael Ilishayev and Yakir Gola, our special guests, will talk about how the company became essential during a global pandemic.
By Fabiola Cineas·	 5/23/2020, 8:20 a.m.
GoPuff co-founders and co-CEOs Rafael Ilishayev and Yakir Gola will join Philadelphia magazine for the third part of virtual Secrets From the C-Suite, presented by Comcast Business on Thursday, May 28th at 1:30 p.m.
The entrepreneurs launched the on-demand convenience store as students at Drexel University in 2013. Now nearly ten years later, goPuff, backed by a recent $750M investment, serves more than 180 locations, employs more than 3,000 people and runs 24/7 in many areas. On goPuff's website and app, shoppers can find everything from home essentials and snacks to cleaning supplies and medicine. While goPuff's trajectory is a legendary Philadelphia tale, the co-CEOs will talk to us about the company's latest stage — finding opportunity amid a global pandemic.
GoPuff spotted opportunity and earned its spot as an essential business. Since mid-February the company has seen an increase in customer demand, particularly in their newest categories — baby, pet, masks, and light groceries (milk, eggs, bacon, bread, etc.). A key differentiator for the service is its vertical integration. All products on the company's website are housed in its many warehouses, and unlike other services like Instacart, goPuff owns the entire customer experience from the app to the moment their driver partners deliver the products at your doorstep. There are no middlemen nor delivery windows. Even during the pandemic, the company aims to deliver within 30 minutes.
Ilishayev and Gola will shed light on how they've made decisions to foster unprecedented growth and bring value to consumers during the pandemic. Looking forward, they'll explain how they plan to keep the momentum alive once people get the green light and the confidence to return to grocery stores more regularly. In addition, tune in to hear how the entrepreneurs are leading differently during this time and working to protect everyone involved in the goPuff operation.
To register for the free live event, click here.
Secrets From the C-Suite, presented by Comcast Business launched in mid-May with La Colombe founder and CEO Todd Carmichael. The second event featured Skai Blue Media founder and CEO. You can watch a recording of each segment below.
Secrets From the C-Suite featuring Todd Carmichael
Secrets From the C-Suite featuring Rakia Reynolds
Philly CEOs
Fabiola Cineas	Senior Editor @fabiolacineas
fcineas@phillymag.com
Permits, Parking and Kiddie Pools: How to Throw a Raging Philly Block Party This Year
"Abbott Elementary," Set in Philly, Is Taking the TV World by Storm


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10 to watch: Hilary Knight hopes to bring gold back to U.S. hockey
Roxanna Scott
USA TODAY profiles 10 top American athletes to watch during the Pyeongchang Winter Olympics, which begin Feb. 9.
Before Hilary Knight was named to her first Olympic team, those who saw her play hockey caught a glimpse of what would make her one of the greats in the game.
Angela Ruggiero, a Hall of Famer and four-time Olympic medalist, remembers Knight as a teenager coming to skate with the Connecticut Polar Bears, Ruggiero's team at the time. "I'm like who the heck is this kid? She's jumping first in line. She's bigger than everyone at this point, almost as big as me," Ruggiero said of seeing Knight in action in 2005. "She's confident, not cocky. She was very shy but she was confident on the ice, and I was just super impressed with her. ... She just caught my eye."
Mark Johnson, a star player on the 1980 U.S. men's hockey team who scored two goals against the Soviets in the "Miracle on Ice" game, recruited Knight to play for him at the University of Wisconsin.
Johnson, who also coached Knight in the 2010 Olympics, says there are several factors that make her such a dangerous threat on offense.
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"Her size, her strength and her speed, some of the things she's able to do with the puck, whether it's stickhandling and beating somebody one-on-one, taking a quick snap shot and beating the goalie in a tough situation," Johnson said of what separates Knight's game. Strong and lean, Knight is listed as 5-11 and 172 pounds on the national team roster.
"I know a few times at Wisconsin she'd come down the ice and score on the slap shot; in our game you don't see it a lot," Johnson said in an interview in January. "You see kids take slap shots, but to beat goalies from distances and to beat them at (a) high-velocity slap shot can be quite intimidating. I think you put all those things together and you get consistently what she brings to the table."
Playing for the Badgers, she broke the school record for all-time goals scored during her junior season, a record held by her coach. Knight finished her career in Madison with 143 goals, including 30 game-winners.
Heading into her third Olympics, Knight has 101 goals and 78 assists in 152 games for the U.S. team, the most points of any current player. In world championship and Olympic tournaments, she is third in goals scored behind Cammi Granato, one of the players she looked up to growing up in Chicago (Knight also wears No. 21 like Granato), and Natalie Darwitz.
In the last three world championships, Knight, 28, has scored a combined 18 goals to help lead the Americans past rival Canada for gold in all three tournaments.
And it's the bitter rivalry with Canada that continues to drive Knight and her teammates as they prepare for the Olympics in Pyeongchang. They'll play Canada on Feb. 15 in the preliminary round, and the two countries are expected to meet again a week later with the gold medal on the line.
Canada has dominated on the Olympic stage, winning the past four golds. The disappointment of losing to Canada twice in the Games resonates with Knight and five of her teammates who were in Sochi in 2014 and in Vancouver four years earlier.
"We came so close last time; we beat ourselves. I think that was the most frustrating thing is when you have a lead and to give it up," Knight said last fall of the 3-2 overtime loss in Sochi. The Americans took a 2-0 lead, but the Canadians tied the score with 55 seconds left in regulation. "The most crucial parts of the game, to kind of have it fall through your fingertips, but to also have the opportunity four years later to potentially right the wrong so to speak with a new group of women on the world stage, it's so exciting. I can't wait."
Knight was 8 when the U.S. team won its only Olympic gold in Nagano, where women's hockey made its debut in the Games. She was at a friend's sleepover the night Granato, Ruggiero and their teammates beat Canada, but Knight's mom, Cynthia, made sure she'd be awake to watch.
"When I was 5, I'm like I'm doing this, whether there's women's ice hockey, men's ice hockey, whatever it was in my future," said Hilary Knight, who comes from a family of skiers. Her cousin, Chip Knight, is a three-time Olympian in Alpine skiing.
After the family moved from California to Chicago, Cynthia Knight looked for a way to keep her kids active. Hilary and her three younger brothers all learned to play hockey. She played on boys teams while growing up before moving to Connecticut, where she attended Choate Rosemary Hall, a private boarding school.
"I just fell in love with the sport," she said. "If you asked me if I'd be able to travel the world, get an education and meet amazing people, I would have been, you're crazy. I just want to play a sport."
Her contributions to women's hockey go beyond the goals she scores on the ice. Knight is one of the most high-profile players in the game and has sponsorship deals with GoPro, Nike and Red Bull, among others.
She has nearly 72,000 followers on Twitter, which she leveraged to spread the players' message in their battle with USA Hockey for equal pay last year. Players threatened to boycott the world championships unless USA Hockey provided pay and benefits equitable to what the men's national team received. Days before the tournament began, the players signed a deal that guaranteed greater financial support and benefits and outlined opportunities to market and grow the women's game.
The experience has helped bring the team closer together, Knight said. "You can do as many team-building (exercises) as you want and try to build chemistry, but that was something that we all lived together," she said.
It was a defining moment for this team, but Knight says now her attention is singularly focused on beating Canada for gold.
"It's been 20 years since the women's hockey team won a gold medal, and it's time," she said. "Everything I do is for a gold medal for this country. I know if I look to the right or look to the left in the locker room, it's the same."
Contributing: Rachel Axon


For practically a decade, Hal Shelton has devoted his life to serving to small companies succeed. However if you happen to nevertheless can get a dependable marketing strategy writer to fulfill your wants you are not only going to be glad you did however you'd additionally reap many potential advantages in future with regard to managing and operating your online business successfully. Discovering and correcting these deficiencies can tremendously enhance your odds of enterprise success. A discussion of the choice making standards that should be used to approve the plan.
It is important to have a practical, working marketing strategy once you're starting up a enterprise. Having a marketing strategy and operating your business in accordance with that plan will be elementary to a enterprise's success. A stakeholder is somebody who has a stake or interest in the outcome of the enterprise. Not solely will you be less prone to get funding in case you copy a business plan, you will be significantly reducing your probabilities of success because you did not write a plan that is right on your specific enterprise, its particular location, goal market, and your unique services or products. I have identified 18 frequent mistakes/challenges faced by entrepreneurs in developing their business plan.
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Frankfurt trains halted briefly after nearby bank robbery
Posted: Aug 2, 2019 / 09:28 AM CDT / Updated: Aug 2, 2019 / 10:44 AM CDT
An ICE train is seen on track 7 is seen in the main train station in Frankfurt, Germany, Tuesday, July 30, 2019. An eight-year-old boy was pushed on the rails there and died on Monday, July 29, 2019. (AP Photo/Michael Probst)
FRANKFURT, Germany (AP) — Trains at Frankfurt's main station, one of Germany's busiest, were halted for about an hour on Friday after a robbery at a nearby bank set off a major police deployment.
Police tweeted than an unspecified number of people gained "unauthorized access to deposit boxes" at the bank and set off an alarm. They fled, and police fired at least one shot.
All trains to and from the station were halted. Police said later Friday that they had arrested three people, and railway operator Deutsche Bahn said that services were resuming.
No one was hurt at the bank, police said, and they also had no information that anyone was injured outside.
The incident comes four days after an 8-year-old boy was killed when a man pushed him and his mother in front of a train that was pulling into the station. An Eritrean man who lived in Switzerland is in custody in that case.


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After something of a hiatus, the California Historical Society has re-instituted its program of annual meetings. The 2009 meeting was held on June 20, and the focus was the history of water use in California. Among the speakers, Deputy San Francisco City Attorney Josh Milstein offered a particularly interesting presentation on the water delivery systems in San Francisco from the Gold Rush to the present, including the Spring Valley Water Company and Hetch Hetchy. This is a topic that has been addressed elsewhere by Norris Hundley, Gray Brechin, and others; Milstein's contribution consists in his foregrounding of legal battles over claims to water rights. Rita Schmidt Sudman, executive director of the Water Education Foundation, followed this up in her presentation by addressing contemporary conflicts among agriculatural, environmental and consumer interests regarding Hetch Hetchy. The California Historical Society will be hosting additional upcoming events.


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Iran and China sanction outgoing Trump administration officials
Syria Condemns US 'Systematic Looting' of Its Resources, Oil in NE, Calls for Immediate Withdrawal of Occupation Forces
Displaced Syrians Demonstrate against Turkish Military Presence in Afrin
Biden Fires Trump's White House Chief Usher
Suicide Attack Leaves 15 Dead, 20 Injured in Central Baghdad Market
Yemenis Rally in Sanaa Against US Blacklisting of Ansarullah
Egypt, Qatar Resume Diplomatic Relations
Three Dead after US Military Helicopter Crashes in New York
Islam World
The martyr of Quds
Friday 16 October 2020 - 08:20
Samir Geagea Seeking Scorched Earth Strategy In Lebanon
Islam Times - The head of Lebanese Forces Samir Geagea recently at a private meeting with Walid Jumblatt of Progressive Socialist Party proposed the resignation of lawmakers of the two parties and added that he was bent on confronting Hezbollah "to the end."
He reportedly said that "I have 15,000 fighters and we can counter Hezbollah which is very weakened due to home and regional conditions."
The remarks by the former militia commander come as Lebanon is undergoing a state of political disorder and crisis as the PM-designate Mustafa Adib failed to form a new cabinet and stepped down from the post two weeks ago.
The threats give rise to a question: Why is Geagea making such comments at the time being and essentially what is behind his remarks about readiness to counter and even wage a war against Hezbollah?
Geagea: A criminal-turned-politician
To shed light on the recent comments by Geagea, we need to take a flashback to the past and records of the warlord-turned-politician. Geagea is one of the main actors of the Lebanese civil war that started in the 1970s and ended in 1990 with the Syrian intervention. He was commander of Christian militias dubbed "Falangists" during the civil war. When the war ended, he rose to act in politics as a pro-Western anti-resistance figure.
Geagea, 68, carried out many political assassinations and kidnapping operations. For example, in 1982 his fighters kidnapped four Iranian diplomats at a checkpoint, with their fate remaining unknown to date. He also was an accomplice to the Israeli massacre of Palestinian and Shiite Lebanese refugees in Sabra and Shatila refugee camps in 1989, during which over 3,000 innocent civilians were killed.
After the war, the Judicial Council, Lebanon's highest court, tried and imprisoned him for war crimes. His initial verdict was execution, however it was shifted to life sentence. He was handed life sentences several times for political assassinations, including killing Prime Minister Rashid al-Karami in 1987. He however was released after 11 years in prison in 2005 following a parliamentary bill granting amnesty, turning into one of the key poles of power within the ranks of the Western-sponsored March 14 Alliance. He is presently leading part of the Christians in the country. His record of the civil war shows that he is seeking to ignite a new crisis and even farther a new civil war in the shadow of the unfolding political developments in the country.
Geagea, a pawn to the crisis-making domino
In analyzing Geagea's recent announcement about readiness for a military confrontation with Hezbollah in the current conditions the secret Saudi and American role in provoking him to create a crisis and conclude the plot of driving Hezbollah out of the government and the politics should be taken into consideration.
Over the past years, Washington and Riyadh have gone to great lengths to expel the resistant movement from the political structure only to meet their failure each time. Over the past few months, especially after the suspicious blast that destroyed a vast part of the capital Beirut including the vital port, the Americans and Saudis, as well as the Israelis, stepped up their anti-Hezbollah push.
Meanwhile, Geagea and his forces are the pieces of the puzzle to implement the anti-Hezbollah scheme. The basis of the plan is that the government in Lebanon sinks in unending crises and instability, so complicated that no manager can settle the national troubles.
The third layer of the plot is preventing the formation of a coalition government. As it was clear, they faked a blast to fail the government of PM Hassan Diab. The next move was setting up big roadblocks ahead of Adib's efforts to form a new government.
As part of this path, Geagea in the past few months put the skids under all of the political initiatives, including that proposed by France. Absence in Diab's government, avoiding cooperation with Adib, and showing lack of commitment even now that Hariri can secure the PM post all signal his meaningful political actions.
From another aspect, it can be asked that in such critical economic conditions, where the budget for 15,000 fighters and their arms come from and why the US and Europe which constantly seek Hezbollah disarmament never question arms of the Geagea militia that has a black criminal record.
It can be daringly said that Geagea and his militia are a pawn to the American, Saudi, and Israeli program to fuel crisis in Lebanon and pressure the Hezbollah to concede to the so-called technocratic government, whose sole aim is to isolate the movement in politics, and disarmament.
Can Geagea threats against Hezbollah be implemented on the ground?
Certainly, the anti-Hezbollah threats of the former warlord are to prepare the ground for a new civil war and implementation of "scorched earth" policy, reminding the bitter years of the civil war in the country.
This situation only serves the sides and parties that are afraid of democracy and resorting to ballot boxes, where the Lebanese resistance managed to garner public support and win the 2018 general elections. Contrary to Geagea's actions and behavior, Hezbollah and resistance's arms in Lebanon serve the national security and independence in the face of the Israeli threats and at home Hezbollah is committed to democracy.
In the current conditions threatening to resort to scorched earth to put strains on Hezbollah is unviable. In case of such threat, Hezbollah, which is now a regional actor paralyzing the armed-to-the-teeth and allegedly invincible Israeli military, can nip in the bud any internally assisted foreign conspiracy with the help of the army and popular forces as it foiled ISIS emergence conspiracy in Lebanon in 2016 and 2017.
Source : Alwagt
Russia: Iran Pioneer in Fight against Terrorism
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The 10 States Most Responsible For Climate Change Are Making Up More Than Half Of The Country's Greenhouse Gas Emissions
By Melanie Schmitz
Sean Gallup/Getty Images News/Getty Images
New data out of the World Resources Institute has helped climate scientists (and armchair activists) pinpoint the main culprits in the United States' battle against greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions — and surprisingly enough, it seems to largely be coming from a relatively small sampling. The organization's latest interactive graphic shows who's really responsible for climate change in the country. Just 10 states make up over half of all GHG emissions in the country — the rest, says the WRI, are spread out evenly over the remaining 40 states. While a few of the states on the list are arguably predictable offenders, the remainder of the roster is a bit unexpected.
President Obama on Monday released his massive Clean Power Plan that aims to reduce overall emissions and overhaul the legal hurdles placed in front of the EPA. So the WRI's new figures that identify the root of the problem and its approximate location (both metaphorically and literally) couldn't have come at a better time.
At the top of the list, according to the WRI data, is the second largest state in terms of land mass: Texas makes up nearly 13 percent of the nation's GHG emissions alone, sitting at the opposite end of the table from states like Maine (0.28 percent GHG emissions), Nevada (0.63 percent), and Massachusetts (1.09 percent). Texas has a population of around 27 million and most of its emissions stem from the state's massive electrical and industrial sectors, so it's not a huge shock that the Lone Star State ranks in at No. 1.
Second on the list is the state of California at just under 7 percent. The Golden State perhaps isn't so surprising a culprit either, with the majority of its GHG emissions flowing from transportation. With Los Angeles alone playing host to some 5.8 million registered vehicles (that doesn't include cars belonging to drivers who never quite made it to the DMV), the fact that over half of the state's emissions are caused by automobiles, trucks, and pretty much anything that isn't an electrical golf-cart or a Razor Scooter, is not altogether impossible to comprehend.
For the most part, however, the majority of the remaining states could be considered a bit more unforeseen.
Sitting solidly at No. 3 on the list of the country's worst GHG emissions offenders, for example, is Pennsylvania — which, when its major industries are factored into the equation, might not seem so surprising. According to the EPA, electrical power plants, like the ones based in the nation's second-highest electricity generator, tend to spew copious amounts of sulfur dioxide. When combined with the state's nearly 9 million licensed drivers and the remainder of its power plants, Pennsylvania's 4.4 percent figure begins to make more sense.
Joe Raedle/Getty Images News/Getty Images
It's not all palm trees and sandy beaches. At No. 4, Florida's spot on the list of GHG suspects can be attributed mainly to the state's more than 15 million licensed drivers. Combined with Florida's nearly 95 million tourists (according to a 2014 estimate, that number has skyrocketed around 10 percent since 2011), the main source of GHGs unsurprisingly stems from its transportation emissions.
JOSHUA LOTT/AFP/Getty Images
Second only to its service sector is Illinois' manufacturing industry. Despite the breezy connotations associated with the bustling "Windy City," nearly 2 percent of its own GHG emissions stems from the electric and industrial sector. And given its place as one of the country's leading processed foods providers, there's no guarantee that figure will come down anytime soon.
BRENDAN SMIALOWSKI/AFP/Getty Images
It's been a rough year all around, and Ohio officials might not have long to bask in their coal-powered manufacturing glory — one of the few points of pride they have left — for long. The EPA on Monday gave the state 15 years to reduce its power plant emissions to a federally acceptable level — a challenge which manufacturing magnates say they simply can't achieve. But as the nation's No. 6 contributor to GHG emissions, it's not a gamble they can afford to take.
Scott Olson/Getty Images News/Getty Images
The Hoosier State (around 4 percent of national GHG emissions) was also hit hard on Monday by the EPA, which announced that Indiana officials, like their Ohio counterparts, had until 2030 to comply with federal mandates. But the state's leaders aren't going down without a fight: Gov. Mike Pence has already said he would fight the relatively lax requirements in court, arguing that the suggested mandates would make electrical prices skyrocket.
AFP/AFP/Getty Images
Sitting at around 3.6 percent, not everything is as shiny in the bayou as the state of Louisiana would have you think. Unfortunately, given the state's tough decade of natural disasters and oil spill clean-up, it'll be a hard sell to try and convince the mineral production and petrochemical manufacturers, which are just getting back on their feet, to start complying with a new set of EPA mandates.
Is it any surprise that New York made the list? At No. 9 on the list of worst GHG offenders is the Empire State, with all of its 11 million frustrated cabbies, delivery trucks, and stuck-in-traffic-too-long drivers, and its busy commercial spaces and residential stacking-cups — I mean, apartment buildings — which make up the majority of its overall emissions.
Handout/Getty Images News/Getty Images
Even with the downward spiral of what was formerly the nation's biggest industrial cities, Detroit, and EPA regulations for the remaining few that followed, Michigan has still managed to make the top 10 list of the United States' biggest GHG contributors. But with that downfall comes a silver lining: With the closure of many of the state's coal plants (largely due to outdated technology and production capabilities), a new sector in the clean energy industry has opened up, giving the state reason to look up.
Images: Getty Images (8)


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Q: Probability for Joint CDF of two Random Variables I have a joint CDF of two random Variables $F(x,y)$. I need to determine the probability that $Y$ is greater than some value $y_1$ given that $X$ is equal to some value $x_1$?
Also I want to  determine  the  probability  that $Y$ is  greater  than  some value $y_1$ given that $X$ is greater than some value $x_1$?
For the First Part differentiating the Joint CDF would yield me a Joint PDF $f(x,y)=\frac{d^2 F(x,y)}{dx\ dy}$. Also from Conditional Probability theorem I can deduce the Value of $Y$ at $x_1$ as $f(y|x1)=\frac{f(x,y)}{f(x)}$. Using this Probability equation would be as
$P(Y > y_1 | x = x_1) = \int_{y_1}^\infty f(y|x1)\ dy$
And for the Second Part I cannot use the Conditional Probability since it is given $X$ is greater than some value $x_1$
Then the Probabilty equation would turn out as
$\begin{eqnarray} P(Y > y_1 | X > x_1) & = & \frac{P(Y > y_1 \cap X > x_1)}{P(X > x_1)} \\
& = & \frac{\int_{y_1}^\infty \int_{x_1}^\infty f(x,y)\ dxdy}{\int_{x_1}^\infty f(x) dx} \end{eqnarray}$
Are the Answers to above questions Correct? I have understood the Concept but I am bit Skeptical with my Results. Any reply confirming the same would be much appreciated

A: The answers seem correct, but I see that you are twice differentiating then integrating back in the first problem -- two steps down and one step back up.   You can save some work by just stepping down once.
Since $$\int_{-\infty}^{y_1} \left.\dfrac{\mathrm d^2 F(s,t)}{\mathrm d s~\mathrm d t}\right\rvert_{s:=x_1}~\mathrm d t ~=~ \left.\dfrac{\mathrm d F(s, y_1)}{\mathrm d s}\right\rvert_{s:=x_1}$$
Then we have:
$$\begin{align}\mathsf P(Y>y_1\mid X=x_1) ~&=~1-\left.\dfrac{~~\dfrac{\mathrm d F(s,y_1)}{\mathrm d s}~~}{\dfrac{\mathrm d F(s,\infty)}{\mathrm d s}}\right\vert_{s:=x_1}\end{align}$$

The second problem can be solved without using any calculus.   You were taking two steps down and two steps back up!

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaStackExchange


text:
THE WOMAN NEXT DOOR:
Mabel Seeley
"I still pinch myself and say it isn't true. I still wake at night to reach for the tangible proof within touch of my hand. If anyone should say to me, "Those things didn't really happen to you last summer; they're just part of some story you've read," I'd probably have dazed moments of wondering if I couldn't distinguish between reality and fiction anymore... "
The Crying Sisters, 1939
I was twelve when my mother gave me a copy of The Crying Sisters to read. I still remember lying in bed on a hot summer's eve in Los Angeles, the scent of jasmine and smog drifting in the open window while I read of the eerie call of loons across a Minnesota lake and "death crying in the night, when I saw it indicated by a plantain leaf and discovered in a plaything, when I saw it rising in a muddy bundle from the lake."
Mabel Seeley, the author of The Crying Sisters (1939) and six other mysteries, is nearly forgotten these days, but in the 30s and 40s she was a popular crime writer who received rave reviews from such arbiters of literary fashion as the New York Times, the Saturday Review and the New Yorker. Her novels were published by Doubleday and distributed by The Crime Club. The Chuckling Fingers won the Mystery of the Year award in 1941. Then in the early 50s, Seeley gave up writing to focus on her new marriage.
Sound like a feminist's nightmare come true?
Despite the reprint covers of the 60s, which mostly featured wholesome-looking young women fleeing gloomy chateaux with solitary window lights, Seeley did not write romantic suspense as the genre is understood today. True, a self-reliant Seeley heroine did usually get her man -- as well as the murderer -- but that seemed to be more or less one of the perks of being a self-reliant heroine rather than the ultimate point of these tales. The typical Seeley heroine is smart, frank and strong-willed. She's not afraid to go toe-to-toe with the Seeley hero, who is himself a decent chap with a fully-developed set of opinions.
When Seeley's heroine narrates in The Chuckling Fingers, "... but Heaven defend me from ever again having to stand helplessly by while it becomes more and more apparent to almost everyone but me that the person I love most in the world is murderously insane... " she is NOT speaking of a brooding, hawkishly handsome, misunderstood man. Nope, she's talking about her SISTER.
Pretty darned refreshing, if you ask me.
Unlike such female crime writer contemporaries as Delores Hitchens and Leigh Brackett, Seeley's women are not private investigators. They are ordinary mid-Western women -- women caught in extraordinary circumstances and fighting to save those they love -- as well as themselves. Nor are they really amateur sleuths because we know, as we turn the last page, that the Seeley woman is too practical to get involved in a murder case more than once.
The Seeley female protagonist is a working middle-class woman: a librarian, a copy-writer, a stenographer. No free rides for this lady -- even if she ruefully wishes for one. These characters are uniquely American: sassy, tough-minded, loyal, independent. A Seeley woman wouldn't know what to do with a French Count if she fell over one in her native Minnesota woods. She doesn't pack a gat. A fedora is not something she accessorizes comfortably. And despite the chauvinistic attitudes of some of the Seeley male characters (real life, anyone?), the Seeley protagonist manages to hold her ground and still get the guy.
I admit my preteen mind reeled as I read of Janice Ruell, a small-town librarian who has just been jilted... Jilted? When The Crying Sisters opens, Janice is living a life of "quiet desperation" Recklessly, she takes a job with taciturn Steve Corbett, posing as his wife. It's the first out-of-character thing she's ever done and it is a turning point in Janice's hitherto unremarkable life.
Raised on a steady diet of Nancy Drew, the Dana Girls and the Hardy Boys -- and despite the brutal realities of my own schoolyard battles -- I had trouble with this. Janice was not popular? Janice got dumped by her boyfriend? She had an ordinary unglamorous job? Her mother... (gulp)... died? (Well, Nancy Drew's mother was dear-departed too, but in every other way things were cheery and bright: she had lots of "chums" and a shiny roadster and good old Ned Nickerson to fall back on -- oh, and most importantly, a housekeeper). This hired-to-take-care-of-some-grumpy-guy's-kid was a bit too much like real life. Before many pages in, I believed that Janice could end up at the bottom of The Crying Sisters lake.
Had I But Known...
Janice had things easy compared to some of Seeley's characters. In The Beckoning Door (1950), Cathy Kingman is eaten alive with jealousy of her chic cousin Sylvia who inherits the estate Cathy feels should be rightfully hers. Worse, Sylvia callously breaks up Cathy's romance. During the course of the novel, Sylvia and Cathy do not grow to understand each other and share sweater sets -- Sylvia gets murdered and Cathy is the prime suspect. In The Whistling Shadow (1954), Seeley's final novel, Gail Kiscadden is middle-aged. Her son dies and her newborn baby grandson is kidnapped and held for ransom. Hardly the stuff little girls' dreams are made of.
And yet, viewed against the current trend of tough girl bounty hunters and wise-ass chick PIs, there's something revolutionary -- and admirable -- in these stories of average janes who come face to face with evil and refuse to back down. Let's face it, the Girl Next Door -- sorry, the Woman Next Door -- probably doesn't have any training in the martial arts, works nine to five at a job that bores her, and likely will not marry some bloke in a castle by the sea (with or without menacing dwarves) or even a museum curator with a cool Manhattan loft.
These novels are amazingly contemporary and realistic. In Seeley's first effort, The Listening House (1938), the sinister Mrs. Garr's corpse is shut in with her equally sinister dog and cat -- with sinister results. Despite cover blurbs that offer tripe like, "A haunting fascination leads a young girl to a strange deception and a dangerous love... " (Say what?) these books are closer kin to the modern crime novel than the traditional romantic-suspenser.
Which leads to me to style. (It's a chick thing.)
Seeley takes a lot of heat for overusing the Had I But Known device. In point of fact, it's an effective stratagem in these tales told from a conversational, first-person point of view. Not everyone used the HIBK as skillfully certainly, but this should hardly be held against Seeley. For the rest of it, her prose is natural and surprisingly modern in tone. She writes well, and is especially gifted at creating mood.
"The hall wasn't inviting. It smelled old gas. It smelled animals confined to cellars. The ghosts of long-fried dinners, the acridity of long-burned cigarettes haunted the air that was a thicker, foggier dark than the gray day outside; a murk that might have been the grime of the outside walls floated loose and suspended in the halls."
The Listening House, 1938
Dialog is another Seeley strength, and some of the best takes place between the Seeley heroine and the man she will land on the last page with. Though surrounded by dark forces and stalked by murderers, there is always an easy give and take between these two, characterized by bracing honesty and frequent laughs.
Love American Style??
THE MYSTERY NOVELS OF MABEL SEELEY
The Listening House (1938)
The Crying Sisters (1939)
The Whispering Cup (1940)
The Chuckling Fingers (1941)
Eleven Came Back (1943)
The Beckoning Door (1950)
The Whistling Shadow (1954; also known as The Blonde with the Deadly Past)


text:
Dysoxylum cyrtobotryum är en tvåhjärtbladig växtart som beskrevs av Friedrich Anton Wilhelm Miquel. Dysoxylum cyrtobotryum ingår i släktet Dysoxylum och familjen Meliaceae. Inga underarter finns listade i Catalogue of Life.

Källor

Kinesträdordningen
cyrtobotryum

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaWikipedia


In this installment, I'd like to touch upon the new sensor API. This is only available in the NDK 2.0 and later and it replaced the old accelerometer API. Through this API, a developer would be able to query for the accelerometer, magnetometer, gyroscope (if there is one), temperature, light, etc. The list of supported hardware deceives is rather extensive and may not be supported on every BlackBerry device that is produced. This post will only deal with a few of these sensors.
Initialization is similar to that of the previous examples in this series. Request sensor events by calling sensor_request_events() and stop by calling sensor_stop_events().
Following initialization and verification of sensor availability, you would start the main event loop. To request events from a specific sensor, call sensor_request_events(). Once a BPS event is received, you can call sensor_get_domain() to determine whether it was a sensor event and bps_event_get_code() to determine the type of sensor event.
The sensor event codes seem to be missing from the NDK reference webpage. However, they are available in the sensor.h header. The Magnetometer, Accelerometer, Gyroscope, Gravity and Linear Acceleration are all described in values of x, y, and z. However, in the case of the accelerometer and linear acceleration events, those values measure G forces. For the magnetometer, it is a magnetic field along a vector of [x, y, z]. For the gyroscope, the value is in radians per second. Lastly, for gravity, it's the direction measured in meters per second squared.
Similar to the above is the azimuth/pitch/roll sensor. Azimuth refers to the angle between magnetic north (not true north) and the y-axis, around the z-axis. If you require the azimuth relative to true north, you must apply magnetic declination manually. Pitch refers to the rotation around the x-axis, with positive values indicating that the z-axis is moving towards the y-axis. Roll refers to the rotation around the y-axis, with positive values indicating that the x-axis is moving toward the z-axis.
Probably the most useful sensor API are the two that generate a matrix and vector based on the physical rotations of the device. Both easily plug into OpenGL.
There are more sensors that could be polled but, to keep this post brief, I'll stop here. Before sensors can be used with any degree with accuracy, they need to be calibrated to a relative point. The relative point can change and so can the accuracy of the sensors due to floating point calculation errors and other factors. During the development of your application, consider writing a calibration step if you require a high degree of accuracy from these sensors. For most applications, this shouldn't be a problem. According to the BPS reference documents, the device relies on background calibration during the use of the device to keep sensors calibrated.
Thank for sharing those codes.
I will appreciate a link for download them.


This children's crawl through features seven beautifully crafted , high performance race cars that children will zoom through from start to finish. This attraction is plastered with amazing digital graphics. You'll be very pleased with the award winning look and the endless fun that it provides for your special event. Children, start your engines!


text:
Porsche turbo 1975 – now
In 1975 Porsche introduced the very first Turbo. The engineers
experienced this latest engine and Chairman Ernst Fuhrman
made the decision they can use a turbo on the production vehicle. The
first prototype was displayed at a number of European shows in
1973. In 1974, "911 Turbo" continued purchase and at that time it'd
a 3. liter 260 bhp engine.
The brand new Porsche was filled with luxury. The conventional Turbo had
air-conditioning, electric home windows, tinted glass, headlamp washers,
a leather interior and Bilstein shocks. Initially, it had been supposed
to become a special edition, with simply 500 models to become offered. However,
the demand am high which more than 1000 cars were offered. It had been
now obvious that Turbo might have a safe and secure future.
What attracted a lot of customers was its huge rear wing, widened
wheel and large tires. This excellent look combined with effective engine
made the Turbo look quicker than every other 911.
In 1978, the model was improved through the increase from the engine
ability to 3.3 liter and a few other modifications. The engine
created 40 bhp more. The trunk wing seemed to be revised: the 2
separate grilles were substituted with one bigger fine surface, placed
just a little greater to make room to have an intercooler.
In 1979 though, the Turbo was withdrawn from US and Japan, like a
reaction to the 2nd energy crunch.
In 1986, Turbo grew to become again available in america. It was the very first
year Porsche used flares which were produced within the rubber stamping – process
from the fenders. In 1992 Porsche demonstrated the Turbo S at Geneva's
Motorshow. It's engine delivered 381 bhp. The vehicle weighted 120
kg less then your standard Turbo which helped making Turbo S
really fast. There have been built only 80 Turbo S.
In 1993, the engine capacity was elevated again, now reaching 3.6
liter. It had been easily identified by the Turbo 3.6 badge. Also, there is
a 93 Turbo 3.6 based 911 Turbo S built.
In 1996 Porsche launched another Turbo, in line with the 993 series.
Its engine created 408 bhp, having a six-speed gear box and
four-wheel drive. It looked more elegant because of the less evocative
rear-wing. The wheels are 18 inch across. It saves 20% from the
weight since the five spokes are hollow. The leading wing has
air-ducts contributing extra cooling air towards the brakes, which makes them more
effective than ever before. They are able to steer clear of the Turbo from 100 hm/h by 50 percent.6
seconds and from 200km/h in only 5 seconds, growing car's safety.
Porsche has lately introduced the 996 Turbo. The styling differs
in the previous Turbo models. Its the rules of aerodynamics are improved, making
it considerably faster compared to 993 Turbo. It will get to 100 km/h in just 4.2
seconds and it has a high speed of 305 km/h. The brand new Turbo includes a couple of
details making it simple to recognize: bi-xenon headlights, air intakes
behind the doorways along with a movable rear-spoiler.


Join Davide Rondoni and the Hofstra community in a celebration of the 200th anniversary of the poem "L'infinito" ("The Infinite"), by Giacomo Leopardi (1798-1837). Rondini is the director of the Center for Contemporary Poetry at the University of Bologna, Italy, and an award-winning poet, essayist, translator, novelist, playwright, and public intellectual who appears on Italian television and in various print media. Rondoni will present his book Infinito 200 (Fazi Editors, 2019), in which he examines one of the greatest contributions in the history of poetry, to show us how, in these days of trying economic and social issues, Leopardi's "L'infinito" is more relevant than ever; it reminds us that, despite our limitations, we aspire to that which is limitless.
Following the presentation, there will be a brief reading of Rondoni's poetry, presented in Italian, English, and Spanish.
Co-sponsored by European Studies, Department of Romance Languages and Literatures, and Hofstra College of Liberal Arts and Sciences.
For more information, please email Professor Gregory Pell at Gregory.M.Pell@hofstra.edu.


text:
The Games that Weren't: Propeller Arena
Features / Games That Weren't / by Graham Russell 1 /
There are a lot of game projects that just didn't happen for one reason or another, but to me, it's most heartbreaking when a game's completely finished and just doesn't see the light of day. Propeller Arena, a first-party flight combat game for the Dreamcast, is one of those games. Why didn't it release? Well, it was a late-2001 game about planes flying around tall buildings, so it suffered the fate that the original Advance Wars avoided by a day: a world that just wasn't ready to have fun with that setting.
Propeller Arena
What It Was: A plane-combat party game for the aging Dreamcast
What Happened: September 11th attacks made a release inappropriate
Why We Wanted It: The Sega-made party-shooter was a perfect fit for the system
It's unfortunate, because Propeller Arena would've been one of those late-life cult hits we're always talking about. By that time, the Dreamcast was on its way out, and that's precisely why we didn't get it once the world had started to recover from tragedy. Developed by Sega AM2, the game featured rather slow-paced flying, making it more about combat than aerial maneuvers. It featured the arcade sensibility we've come to know and love from the company, and was a showcase for the system's multiplayer focus, with both local 4-player and online play.
One level in particular seems to have been the game's downfall: Tower City, an arena roughly modeled on New York City and featuring tall skyscrapers as the area's main obstacles. The buildings don't take damage or fall if you fly into them, and no other levels feature buildings of any kind, but Sega simply didn't want to take the risk, or go through the effort to remove the one level and release the rest as it made the transition to a third-party role.
As with most games that are completely done but don't release, Propeller Arena has surfaced online, giving us a good sense of just what we missed out on. The AM2 sensibilities are definitely there, from the obnoxious audio cues to the strange and silly characters. If it had been released, it would've followed in the footsteps of Alien Front Online, with voice chat and even broadband support. Mostly, though, it would've been in the same breath as Power Stone 2 as a Dreamcast game that makes the system worth playing with friends for years to come.


Best Kitchen Flooring Options | DIYIt comes in a huge array of colors and styles, from plain Jane to embossed vinyl that does a good job mimicking ceramic tile and stone. Standard sheets are 12-feet wide so seams are minimal. Sheet vinyl is resilient flooring, which means it feels slightly soft underfoot. That eases fatigue and makes hours of food prep easier. Also, resilient flooring is forgiving of dropped bowls and glasses. If you're looking for cheap kitchen flooring, some types of sheet vinyl are downright inexpensive.
Some Great Budget-Friendly Bathroom Floor Ideas - The Spruce19 Apr 2017 ... One of the best ways to add a sense of fresh energy to your home, while also increasing its inherent property value, is to replace the flooring in your bathroom with something new and stylish. However, you want to be budget conscious when you do this, while also ensuring that you choose a material that will be easy to clean and able to handle the rigors of the bathroom.
Workshop Flooring Options | DIYThis flooring option is easier on feet than a concrete floor because the rubber mesh material is flexible. The mesh makes it difficult to move tools with casters around the shop. The advantage to the open grid is if the work area gets wet, the water will drain through the holes and the surface will be less slippery than a flat surface. Each of the squares locks together with pins.
6 cheap flooring ideas for your home - Homify17 Feb 2017 ... flooring can be very expensive if you don't know your options well. However, if you are aware of the options available, you are more likely to make an appropriate purchasing decision that is suitable to your budget. This ideabook is here to guide you and give you some tips on several popular cheap flooring options available. We hope you will be able to find something suitable for your home here, or at least gain some understanding about different flooring materials.
Inexpensive Bedroom Flooring Ideas - The Spruce3 Oct 2017 ... Price is always a concern when choosing a flooring material. In the bedroom. the price of the floor has to be offset by the necessities of the space. These include factors such as comfort, beauty, and the way the floor feels beneath your feet. Luckily, there are a variety of economically priced flooring materials which can fulfill the requirements of this serene setting.
Cheap & Chic: Inexpensive Materials Looking Great in the Bathroom ...cheap & Chic: Inexpensive materials Looking Great in the Bathroom. Herringbone TileLuxury Vinyl TileLuxury Vinyl flooringVinyl TilesVinyl Tile BathroomBasement BathroomBath IdeasBathroom RemodelingBudget Bathroom. DIY Herringbone floor Using Peel n' Stick Luxury Vinyl Tile!
7 Cheap Materials That Look Beautiful At Home | Rubber flooring ...Banish thoughts of tatty lino in student houses and rubber flooring in your old sports hall rubber and vinyl flooring has stepped up its game and is fast beco.
The Best 7 Home Gym Floors to Buy in 2018 - The Spruce3 Jan 2018 ... Read reviews and buy the best home gym floors from top manufacturers including ProSource, Sorbus and more.


text:
City of College Park holds forum on allocation of COVID-19 relief funding
Grace Yarrow
The College Park City Council met virtually on Nov. 30, 2021. (Screenshot by Grace Yarrow/For The Diamondback)
The City of College Park held a public forum Tuesday night to seek input on how to allocate $22 million of federal COVID-19 pandemic relief money.
College Park received the money through the federal government's American Rescue Plan Act of 2021. Starting Wednesday, individuals, families and small businesses can apply for grants on the city website.
Of the money College Park has already collected, $1.9 million will fill in lost revenue from 2020 and another $5.075 million will cover the city's estimated amount of lost revenue in 2021 and 2022. Officials have also dedicated $325,000 in grants to food service organizations and a new retail store, Shop Made in Maryland. Another $350,000 was utilized for COVID-19 prevention and ARPA administration.
[College Park City Council delays finalization of VeoRide contract again]
Individual and family assistance grants of up to $5,000 and small business or local nonprofit grants of up to $25,000 will be awarded through the application process, said Gary Fields, the city's finance director.
The city obtained the first half of the funding in July and will get the second half next year. Officials have already allocated a chunk of the money, leaving $8.8 million at the city's disposal to allot to local organizations and projects.
About a dozen residents who tuned in to the public hearing suggested a number of ways the $8.8 million could be spent. Pitches included funding for College Park's civic associations, improving bike paths and adding sidewalks, stormwater management, broadband internet access and upgrades to houses for older adults.
[UMD community members air frustrations about lack of e-scooter violation enforcement]
According to Terry Schum, the city's planning and community development director, 87 residents also filled out an online survey to receive more ideas for ARPA use, which will be added to the list of proposals from Tuesday's virtual hearing.
The applications for family and organization grants will stay open until the funds are exhausted, said Michael Williams, the economic development manager. Williams added that he hopes the money will be claimed as quickly as possible, but the process could take three or four months.
Prince George's County extends indoor mask mandate until March 9
Christine Zhu
City Council airs grievances with county-proposed Purple Line sector plan
Shreya Vuttaluru
City of College Park inaugurates council with two new members


Ingredients: 100% roasted and ground Arabica coffee.
Flaffe Drip Coffee is made from 100% Arabica coffee beans selected from the Da Lat plateau. Coffee Flaffe is a natural bitterness from coffee and gentle sour taste and it is a sophisticated drink for those who enjoy the delicacy, especially suitable for coffee drink of the Western guests.
Flaffe Drip Coffee consists of 10 filter bags for convenient use wherever you go to make coffee without using the filter..
Weight per bag: 7 grams * 5 bags filtered.


text:
package com.bridgewalkerapp.androidclient;

import android.app.AlertDialog;
import android.app.Dialog;
import android.content.DialogInterface;
import android.os.Bundle;

import com.actionbarsherlock.app.SherlockDialogFragment;

public class ErrorMessageDialogFragment extends SherlockDialogFragment {
	private static final String MESSAGE = "message";

	@Override
	public Dialog onCreateDialog(Bundle savedInstanceState) {
		String message = getArguments().getString(MESSAGE);

		AlertDialog.Builder builder = new AlertDialog.Builder(getSherlockActivity());
		builder.setMessage(message)
					.setPositiveButton(R.string.ok, new DialogInterface.OnClickListener() {
						@Override
						public void onClick(DialogInterface dialog, int which) {
							/* do nothing */
						}
					});
		return builder.create();
	}

	public static ErrorMessageDialogFragment newInstance(String message) {
		ErrorMessageDialogFragment fragment = new ErrorMessageDialogFragment();
		Bundle args = new Bundle();
		args.putString(MESSAGE, message);
		fragment.setArguments(args);
		return fragment;
	}
}

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaGithub


Fullback Mike Rozier scored four touchdowns and broke Jacksonville's rushing and scoring records Thursday as the Bulls squeezed out a 34-31 overtime win over the Orlando Renegades before a crowd of 31,883.
Bulls kicker Brian Franco, who had missed on a 31-yard field goal attempt with 14 seconds remaining in regulation, ended the game with a 29-yard-field goal 9:17 into the extra period. The win gives Jacksonville a 2-3 record; Orlando is 0-5.
Rozier rushed for 199 yards on 38 carries to break the Bulls' previous record of 97 yards.