text:
Left and Right in 2016
Before the Christmas break David Blanchflower asked me a question on twitter: "why do you think we have seen the move to right-wing rather than left-wing populism?" This is my reply. I'll just talk about the US and UK because I do not know enough about other countries. (Here is an interesting analysis of populists in Eastern Europe.) I'll take it as read that there are currently well understood reasons for people to want to reject established politicians, and the Blanchflower question is really about why that rejection went right rather than left.
In my answer I want to distinguish between two types of people. The first are those that are not that interested in politics, and are therefore not well informed. They depend on just a few parts of the MSM for their information. The second are those that are interested in politics and are well informed, using multiple sources which are not just confined to the mainstream media (MSM). I want to argue that this distinction is crucial in helping us understand what happened in 2016.
I also want to use the term populist for policies in its most simple form, as policies that are likely to be immediately popular with the public, without the negative connotations that I discussed here. Populist policies on the left would focus on measures to curb financialisation and the power of finance ('bashing bankers'), and measures to reduce inequality (which are popular if expressed in terms of the 1%, or CEO pay). Right wing populist policies include of course controls on immigration, combined with constant references to national identity. The need to control international trade can be invoked by left and right.
Among those who are well informed, there is no evidence that dissatisfaction with existing elites broke right rather than left. Indeed membership of political parties in the UK suggests the opposite is true. Party members in the UK are almost by definition likely to be much more interested in politics than the average citizen, and will not be dependent on one or two elements of the MSM for information. As the Labour party leadership has shifted left and adopted some of the left wing populism I've described, its membership has exploded. The figures are remarkable. The Labour party currently has a membership of over half a million. This is probably [1] at least three times the membership of the Conservative party. UKIP, the populist party of the right, has a membership of only 39,000, which is below the membership of the Greens.
The Sanders campaign indicates both the popularity of left wing populism among political activists in the US, but also that left wing populist policies can be as popular with voters as those from the right when they get a national platform. Sanders put greater taxes on the rich and additional Wall Street regulation at the centre of his platform, as well as opposition to trade agreements. The campaign was largely funded by individual donations, in contrast to the other campaigns. With the exposure that an extended election process gave him, Sanders' brand of left wing rhetoric got national coverage and proved pretty popular. Sanders claimed, with some justification, that he actually polled better against Trump than Clinton, and it remains an open question whether a populist from the left might have done better against Trump than Clinton, who epitomised the establishment.
During the Sanders campaign left wing populist ideas did get wide coverage in the MSM, but this is the exception rather than the rule. After the financial crisis there was a brief period of about a year when these more left wing themes were a major media focus, but since then they appear only occasionally in the MSM. In contrast parts of the MSM in both countries has for many years produced propaganda that supports right wing populism, and the non-partisan elements of the MSM have done very little to contest this propaganda, and on many occasions simply follow it.
Let me put these points in a slightly different way. For the few of us that do attach great importance to the media in understanding recent events, it would be a major problem if on occasions where alternative ideas were given considerable coverage in the media they were ignored by voters. It would also be a major problem if those who were much less dependent on one or two MSM sources for information behaved in the same way as the average voter. But fortunately for us both the Sanders campaign and UK party membership suggest neither problem arises, but instead these pieces of evidence provide support for our ideas.
So in both the US and UK, among those who are exposed to left wing populism or who access a much broader range of information than that provided by the MSM, there is no puzzle of asymmetry. Left wing populism continues to appeal. The asymmetry at the level of the popular vote, that gave us Brexit and Trump, can be explained by asymmetry in the media. Right wing populist ideas not only get much more coverage than left wing populist ideas, but sections of the MSM actively promote these ideas. Given that this focus on the importance of the providers of information is intuitive, it is really up to those who think otherwise to provide both theory and evidence to support their view that the MSM is unimportant.
[1] I say probably because the latest data we have for Conservative party membership is 2013. However I think it is reasonable to speculate that lack of publication means numbers have been going down, not up.
Labels: Blanchflower, media, party membership, populist, Sanders, UK, US
When is an economic recovery not a recovery?
This post may seem to be unusually pedantic, but please be patient
What do we mean when we say the economy is recovering from a recession? Do we mean it has started growing again, or do we mean it is returning to its pre-recession trend? Brief research suggests there is no standard definition, but Wikipedia is clear it is the latter:
"An economic recovery is the phase of the business cycle following a recession, during which an economy regains and exceeds peak employment and output levels achieved prior to downturn. A recovery period is typically characterized by abnormally high levels of growth in real gross domestic product, employment, corporate profits, and other indicators."
The second sentence is crucial here. All economies grow on average: they have a positive trend growth rate. An economic downturn (or worse still a recession) involves the economy dipping below trend (or in a recession not growing at all). Typically whenever that has happened in the past, most economies make up for the growth they lost in the downturn, by growing more rapidly than trend once the downturn is over. This had certainly been true for the UK. We expect economies to grow over time because of technical progress, so it seems almost obvious that a recovery must involve above average growth until we return to something like an underlying trend.
Imagine a 5,000 metres race. Suppose an athlete trips and stumbles, leaving the main pack behind. If 5 minutes later I said the athlete was recovering, would you think this meant that they were getting back to their previous pace but still well behind the main group, or that they were getting back in touch with the main pack? I suspect you would think it meant the latter, and you would call a complete recovery when they were back within the main group. If you think about the main group as the underlying trend path of the economy, then a recovery in growth means getting back towards this trend path.
For this reason I would define a recovery from recession as above trend growth, and I think most macroeconomists would do the same. Here is recent quarterly growth in UK GDP per head.
The red line is the pre-crisis trend growth rate. You can see from this that only 2014 could possibly be called a recovery, and even that is a bit of a stretch. The UK is far from unique in this respect, but unlike other countries the UK economy has a pretty clear and unchanged trend growth rate since the 1950s. Until now that is. This global lack of recovery begs many important questions, which those who read economics blogs will be very familiar with: has the financial crisis had a permanent negative effect on productive potential, was the pre-crisis period really a disguised boom, are we suffering from secular stagnation, what role did austerity play?
Yet all of these important issues are sidelined in popular discussion if we misuse the term recovery, and instead describe any positive growth after a recession as a recovery. This is not a problem for economists, who tend to talk numbers, but it does matter for the public debate. I cannot help feeling that calling any positive growth after a recession a recovery also adds to a sense of disconnect people have, particularly when (as in the UK) there has really been a recovery in employment, such that productivity has been virtually flat. People ask how come there has been a recovery and yet my wages are still so much lower in real terms than they used to be?.
When the underlying trend may have slowed or shifted, then it becomes difficult to know what is or is not a recovery, but that is no reason to misuse the term. When we are talking about the past, then things should be clear. Here is the same data for 1981.
It is obvious from this data that the recovery from the 1980 recession only really began in 1983. The two previous years saw as many periods of below trend growth as above trend growth: given normal growth, the economy was effectively standing still. Unless, of course, you have a political point to prove. In 1981 the Conservative government of Margaret Thatcher raised taxes substantially in the Spring Budget, despite just seeing 5 quarters of falling output per head. They increased taxes after falling output because they wanted to reduce the budget deficit. 364 academic economists quickly wrote a letter denouncing the policy - a Brexit like majority at the time.
In 2006 Philip Booth of the Institute of Economic Affairs wrote this:
"The economic recovery that the 364 said would not happen began more or less as soon as the letter appeared."
This sentence has been repeated time after time by right wing economists and politicians: so often that it is now repeated as fact by BBC journalists. It has become what I call a politicised truth: something that is false but is perceived to be true by journalists who talk to politicians but not academics. And the statement that the recovery began as soon as the letter appeared is simply false if you use the term recovery properly: the recovery began a year and a half later. Had fiscal policy not been tightened in the 1981 budget, the recovery might have begun earlier than the end of 1982. In that sense, the economists were vindicated by subsequent events.
In 2010, George Osborne was warned by many academic economists - almost certainly a majority at the time - that embarking on austerity so soon after the recession was folly. But, just as in 1981, he wanted to reduce the deficit. It is not difficult to imagine that as he pondered these warnings from academics, he thought to himself that Margaret Thatcher got the same advice in 1981 and everything he had read said the advice was wrong because the recovery started immediately after taxes were increased. He would have been emboldened to do the same, with what we now know were disastrous consequences. Just two years later, GDP per head had lost another 3% or more relative to trend.
This is partly a story about the dangers of propaganda that you begin to believe yourself. But it is also about the potential ambiguity of one single word: recovery.
Labels: 1981, 2010 austerity, 364, business cycles, recovery, UK
Understanding free trade
A past member of the UK's monetary policy committee once told me that they got much more intelligent questions from committees of the House of Lords compared to committees of the House of Commons. This should not be too surprising, as there are some people with considerable knowledge and experience in the Lords.
Below is an excerpt from the conclusions of a recent Lords EU Committee Report (HT Frances Coppola)
"The notion that a country can have complete regulatory sovereignty while engaging in comprehensive free trade with partners is based on a misunderstanding of the nature of free trade. Modern FTAs involve extensive regulatory harmonisation in order to eliminate non-tariff barriers, and surveillance and dispute resolution arrangements to monitor and enforce implementation. The liberalisation of trade thus requires states to agree to limit the exercise of their sovereignty. The four frameworks considered in this report all require different trade-offs between market access and the exercise of sovereignty. As a general rule, the deeper the trade relationship, the greater the loss of sovereignty."
There you have, in one calm and measured paragraph, the contradiction at the heart of the argument put forward by Liam Fox and others that leaving the EU will allow the UK to become a 'champion of free trade'. You cannot be a champion of free trade, and have sovereignty in the form of taking back control.
It is not a contradiction, of course, if you are happy to accept the regulatory standards of the US, China or India. That appears to be the position of Leave leaders like MP Jacob Rees Mogg. Ellie Mae O'Hagan spells out what this may mean in practice. Lead in toys - bring them in so we can sign a trade agreement with China. And you can be sure that this will be the nature of the discussion every time a trade deal is signed. In each case we will be told that we have to accept this drop in regulatory standards, because British export jobs are on the line.
This is the point of Dani Rodrik's famous impossible trilemma: you cannot have all three of the nation state, democratic politics and deep economic integration (aka free trade). His trilemma replaces sovereignty, by which in meant in this context the nation state being able to do what it likes, by democracy. In the past I have always found this problematic. Surely a democracy can decide to give away a bit of its sovereignty in return for the benefits of international cooperation (in the form of trade deals, or indeed any other kind of international cooperation). After all, every adult in a relationship knows that this relationship means certain restrictions on doing just what they would like.
At first sight, it would seem as if the Brexit vote shows Rodrik is right. Democracy voted to take back control, which means reducing trade integration. But I think it is becoming increasingly clear that this is the wrong interpretation. Voters were told they could take back control and be no worse off, and polls make it clear that message was believed by many Leave voters. As it becomes clear that people will be worse off, as depreciation induced inflation cuts real wages, opinion is changing. Polls already suggest that if the vote was held again, we would get a different result. Polls also suggest more voters want to prioritise favourable trade deals in negotiations, not curb immigration. Over the next year or two this will only intensify, as prices rise, as companies make plans to leave the UK, as the problems caused by declining immigration emerge, and as the UK's weak negotiating position becomes clearer.
Leavers know this, hence the attempts to remove any kind of democratic oversight from the Brexit process. At present MPs appear transfixed by the light of the Brexit vote, even though most know Brexit is an act of self harm. But it was utterly predictable from the day that Corbyn was re-elected that we would see a revival of the Liberal Democrats. As they chalk up election victories, it might just be possible that we could yet see some democratic oversight of the Brexit process. [1]
To see a model of what could and should happen, look to Switzerland, where referendums are part of political life. In February 2014 Switzerland voted to restrict immigration from the EU, even though this jeopardised their trade relations with the EU. Since then the EU has insisted that its bilateral trade deals with Switzerland depend on free movement. As a result the Swiss parliament has backed down, and just passed measures which greatly diverge from the referendum proposal, even though in Switzerland referendums are (unlike the UK) meant to be constitutionally binding.
So we see in Switzerland, and perhaps we will see in the UK, that parliamentary democracy can be compatible with trade integration. Rodrik is right that deep trade integration (the pressures from which will continue, as Richard Baldwin outlines) puts pressure on the ability of nation states to decide on their own laws, but a democratically negotiated compromise is possible. (After all, national languages are a barrier to trade.) Perhaps the examples of the UK and Switzerland suggest two things: first that these negotiated compromises should be out in the open rather than done behind closed doors, and secondly that what is very difficult to mix are trade integration with national referendums.
[1] The conventional logic is that MPs would go along with Brexit because the Remain vote is concentrated in too few constituencies. But outside Scotland the Leave vote is now split three ways (Conservative, Labour and UKIP). Labour may mock the LibDems as Brexit deniers, but as the LibDems get the votes not only of people who deeply care about being part of Europe (see the surge in Remain identity noted here) but also of those that voted Leave but are now getting concerned, they will be the ones with the last laugh.
Labels: Brexit, Dani Rodrik, democracy, Ellie Mae O'Hagan, Frances Coppola, free trade, House of Lords, Liberal Democrats, Switzerland, trilemma
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Some concrete proposals for economists and the media


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Install the ink in the ink tanks and physically setup the printer using the Start Here sheet provided with the Epson ET 3750 printer.
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St. Marys peak South Sister (tallest peak on far right) taken from Scamander beach.
South sister peak and southern slope of South Sister taken from German Town. Much of this forest will be logged leaving an obvious scar visible to tourists and residents. South Sister taken from St Marys (southern view).


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text:
Music Awards for Tibetans in October
By Kelsang Rinchen,
Phayul Reporter
Dharamsala, May 8 – Tibetan music lovers will have a reason to smile in October this year. After the booming success of the first ever beauty pageant of the diaspora Tibetan community, Lobsang Wangyal Productions plan to come up with another mega event. Last year's Miss Tibet organisers will be holding the first music awards of the Tibetan exile community. Despite the lack of support last year for the pageant the event was a great success going by the coverage it has received in the media. Lobsang Wangyal, the man behind the event and Dolma Tsering, the winner of the Miss Tibet crown are just back from Malaysia where they took part in the Miss Tourism World pageant.
First of its kind, the award ceremony is aimed to felicitate the veteran as well as amateur musicians of Tibet. Talking to phayul, Lobsang said that through the event he plans to create awareness about the rich tradition of Tibetan music. The event was earlier planned to be held in Bangalore which would be helpful for the participants from the Tibetan settlements in south India but owing to financial restraints the venue has been changed to Dharamsala.
On asked about how he felt of the condemnation of last year's pageant by the Kalon Tripa, Lobsang said he understands how, with the general Tibetan mentality, his pageant's obscenity would not have fitted in the mind of a man of high philosophical values and that he hopes his music award will not certainly be looked the same way.
The event will take place in October this year at Tibetan Institute of Performing Arts. A website of the event has been launched. Music lovers can be a part of the event by voting their nominations for various categories of awards by logging on to www.musictibet.com
Kelsang Rinchen can be contacted at kalsangr@yahoo.com

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Not a small pet. Small pets are companion pets that don't fight. The ones you keep in your packs.
An NPC of this Albino Snake can be found in the pet store in Dalaran.
Sold by Бреанни for 50 gold.
Anyone know if you can get a from buying these or are they all ?
For developers looking for this pet's species id it's 74.
Любимый спутник магов Кирин-Тора. Эта рептилия заставляет задуматься, действительно ли она змея... или что-то совсем другое.


text:
Preparing for Mahana
I had the great pleasure of working on the Mahuia Bridgman-Cooper and Tama Waipara score for Mahana - a new feature film opening in cinemas on March 3. It's directed by Lee Tamahori and based on the Bulibasha book by Witi Ihimaera. The best place to read more about it is probably the movie Facebook page, so check that out. I was doing the music preparation, some orchestration and also flew to Wellington for the main day of recording to ensure everything worked a treat.
The score is really stunning, has a unique New Zealand flavour and it's so great to see new voices coming through in New Zealand film scoring. It was my first time working with Mahuia and I definitely hope not the last.
Each new project brings new challenges and things to be learnt, and it's always a great sense of achievement to be a part of such projects, even when in the scheme of things my contribution is only a small one.
Do ensure you get along to the film, I've seen most of it and it really is a goodie and of course quality New Zealand filmmaking needs to be supported.
And here's some images from the recording:
film score, mahana, mahuia bridgman-cooper, new zealand, nzso, orchestrator, preparer, recording, tama waipara, wellington
Orchestrating 'Belief: The Possession of Janet Moses'
June 11, 2015 by Ryan Youens in news
I was delighted to recently orchestrate Rhian Sheehan's score for 'Belief: The Possession of Janet Moses' - a new film premiering at this year's NZ International Film Festival. The film is about the 2007 Wainuiomata mākutu lifting of Janet Moses. I haven't seen the film myself yet but everything I've heard is that it is an impressive production.
"This impressive doco disperses the fog of shame and sensationalism to shed light on the tragedy that made international headlines in 2007 when a young Wainuiomata woman died during a mākutu lifting."
There were seventeen cues of varying lengths to work on and all for strings. The feel we were after meant there was a lot of experimenting with extended techniques, bow pressures, textures and so on - such fun! I flew to Wellington to conduct the session comprising of a very fine group of NZSO musicians.
Can't wait to hear how it all came together. There are two screenings as part of the NZ International Film Festival. Auckland's SKYCITY Theatre, Tuesday 28th July, 6:30pm and Wednesday 29th July 1:45pm. Full details here.
June 11, 2015 /Ryan Youens
arranger, auckland, film festival, film score, nzso, orchestrator, recording, rhian sheehan, strings, wellington
'The Forest Room' reaches Auckland finals
The 48Hours film-making weekend is always one to look forward to and this year we struck 'mystery' as our genre - good fun. Compared to previous years, the team was cut to only four crew and rightfully so one of those was a composer! This year we managed to make the Auckland finals and the guys picked up an award for best editing. Yay.
The film has very little dialogue and so I managed to create a single piece of music to last the whole film. Here's how it was looking in Logic:
With merely hours to compose the music, there's always things you wish you'd had time to do, but generally I'm reasonably pleased with the results. The goal was to keep an intensity throughout the film, matching a few key moments, but also to create an underscore which leaves enough room for the viewer to ponder their own mystery. Have a listen:
48 hour film festival, auckland, composer, film festival, film score, piano, premiere, sideways productions, strings
'School of Fools' makes it to Tropfest finals
February 21, 2015 by Ryan Youens in news
Last weekend we went to delightful New Plymouth to the Tropfest NZ finals. Sideways Productions has got into the finals the last three years, and I have enjoyed being part of the team. We finally had the chance to head down and see what all the hype was all about. It was a great event with some wildly good films (see all the finalists here).
Our film was called 'School of Fools', directed by Allan George and produced by Ben Fowler and Lisa Fothergill.
When power-suited motivational speaker Clive Doring is confronted with his epic delusion at the 'School of Cool', he finds himself lonely, without hope …or a muffin.
I put the music together in the few days before we left for Europe. It is uplifting and inspiring, yet there is sadness and disappointment - mix that all up, and you have the score. Have a listen to the music below, view the logic session or watch the whole movie:
[soundcloud url="https://api.soundcloud.com/playlists/93554218" params="color=ff5500&auto_play=false&hide_related=false&show_comments=true&show_user=true&show_reposts=false" width="100%" height="450" iframe="true" /]
February 21, 2015 /Ryan Youens
composer, film festival, film score, new plymouth, sideways productions, tropfest
Musical adventures in Europe
February 01, 2015 by Ryan Youens in opinion
If you have been following my twitter page you will know that I have just got back from an absolutely wonderful seven weeks in Europe. While most of the time my wife and I were doing our best to elegantly float from historic building to museum to gallery..., we did manage to make the most of the amazing musical offerings that Europe provides. We saw two orchestral concerts - the first being the London Symphony at the Barbican playing Brahms' 3rd symphony and 2nd piano concerto (photo above). Daniel Harding was at the helm with Emanuel Ax on piano. The second was the Czech Philharmonic in Dvořák Hall of the Rudolfinum. Jiří Bělohlávek conducted Martinů's "What Men Live By" and then Dvořák's Slavonic Dances. Such a thrill to hear Dvořák played in his own concert hall by an orchestra that he conducted the first concert of in 1896. Amazing also to hear how two of the world's top orchestras can sound so completely different.
We of course also snuck in the obligatory West End show - The Lion King at the Lyceum Theatre. While it certainly impressed we couldn't help but notice a lack of spontaneity and freshness that comes with performing a show every... single... day of the year. However, it WAS great, and we loved checking out West End and neighbouring Covent Garden.
Perhaps one of the most special offerings was my afternoon spent at Abbey Road Studios. Through my work on two of The Hobbit films I met with the legendary Jill Streater - she has worked as music copyist on about 102 films including The Lord of the Rings, Harry Potter, Casino Royale, Alice in Wonderland, The King's Speech, The Chronicles of Narnia and Gravity. I got in touch and she happened to be working on a project at Abbey Road while we were in London. It was so wonderful to meet her in person, chat about music prep, check out the studios and then observe the session. Oh, and I tried really hard not to have a 'crazy-teenage-fangirl' moment in the corridor as I passed Alexandre Desplat. Such an incredible place and so special to be able to spend some time there.
Everything else in this post will seem completely insignificant after the last paragraph, but I will continue... While we may not have seen concerts at these venues, we made sure we checked out the most impressive of the concert halls, including the Berlin Philharmonie - where we missed a Sir Simon Rattle led rehearsal by about 5mins (oh, the heartbreak, seriously), Musikverein and Konzerthaus in Vienna, Royal Albert Hall in London and the Concertgebouw in Amsterdam.
Musical instrument museums were in abundance - the one beside the Berlin Philharmonie was particularly impressive, as are the statues of the greats which make a great photo spot. I think we got to Strauss, Schubert, Bruckner, Mozart and Beethoven. We got to some old homes too - Handel's apartment in London, Mozart's apartment in Vienna, and his birth and childhood homes in Salzburg. It seems Vienna and Salzburg have a battle going on about who owns Mozart - either way, he earns both cities a lot of money as you can buy Mozart ANYTHING, from stress balls to underwear, chocolate to coffee, and of course the obligatory coasters and tea towels.
Well, let's leave the commercialisation of music and return to two final experiences that were absolute highlights. We'd been told to head up the hill in Florence to the Basilica of San Miniato al Monte where each evening at 4:30pm you can listen to the monks from the adjoining Olivetan Monastery singing in the crypt. While people came and went, we couldn't help but stay for the whole 50mins or so - we were absolutely captivated. Who knows what they were saying, but musically it was incredible.
Finally, in Salzburg on Christmas Eve we waited in the freezing temperatures to get a spot at the Midnight Mass in Salzburg Cathedral. It ended with four soloists singing "Silent Night" (which was written in Salzburg) by candlelight, accompanied by acoustic guitar, and with interludes from the divine organ and church choir. You could have heard a pin drop in the capacity-filled cathedral. Magic. As was every taste of music we had, and the whole trip.
abbey road studio, amsterdam, austria, berlin, berlin philharmonie, choir, concert, concertgebouw, czech philharmonic orchestra, europe, film score, florence, germany, jill streater, london, london symphony orchestra, monks, musical, musikverein, netherlands, orchestra, organ, prague, preparer, royal albert hall, salzburg, vienna, west end
Prepping music for The Hobbit's "The Last Goodbye"
December 11, 2014 by Ryan Youens in news
I was delighted to play a small role on the final song on the soundtrack for The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies. As was the case in The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey, the tremendously wonderful Victoria Kelly was called on to write the arrangement and orchestration for the final track, "The Last Goodbye", and so I landed the music preparation role.
This time around there was a lot of going back and forth with revisions, tweaks and rewrites so there was plenty more time to enjoy the process, as opposed to the work-through-the-night-marathon of the first film.
So from a combination of audio and MIDI parts I transcribed and prepped the vocals, horns, choir, harp, dulcimer, piano, acoustic guitar and mandolin (both as TAB and notation), and strings for the recording. What a ridiculously amazing job I have.
It was such a pleasure to work with Victoria once again and to be involved in such a special project.
The song is sung by Billy Boyd (who plays Pippin in The Lord of the Rings), who co-wrote it with Peter Jackson, Fran Walsh, and Philippa Boyens. It was recorded in Wellington and Auckland, and then the orchestra at Abbey Road in London.
You can read more about the song here (Billboard) and here (Entertainment Weekly).
December 11, 2014 /Ryan Youens
abbey road studio, film score, howard shore, orchestra, preparer, roundhead studios, the hobbit, victoria kelly
"Sounds Perfect" at Cannes
May 06, 2014 by Ryan Youens in news
I am deeply honoured that Sounds Perfect, a film that I wrote the music for and that has already appeared at a number of festivals, has now been selected for the Short Film Corner at the Cannes Film Festival in France this month.
The film, an adults-only comedy, was made for the inaugural Tropfest NZ Festival in 2012 and was a finalist, winning several awards. It has since gone on to play at about seven festivals around the world.
Dave Dobson is a self -proclaimed 'audio enhancement engineer' in the film industry. While his uninspiring workmates are happy to churn out the same clichéd slaps and squelches film after film, Dave hears a higher calling.
I put the music together in a matter of hours (they got it to me a day before it was due) and it definitely isn't characteristic of any other writing I've done but it makes me laugh and serves the film well.
It's amazing how we creators just do what we do and then sometimes a film just gets picked up and has a life of its own.
Cannes takes the cake, but it is also about to screen in the:
Wet Your Pants Comedy Film Festival in Indianapolis
Iron Mule Comedy Series in New York
LA Comedy Ninja Film Festival
Congrats to the Sideways Team (www.sidewaysproductions.co.nz). Bring on our next project!
May 06, 2014 /Ryan Youens
cannes film festival, composer, film festival, film score, france, sideways productions, tropfest
"On The Rocks" off to Tropfest!
January 29, 2014 by Ryan Youens in news
An accidental 'serial pet killer' thinks his luck has changed when he stumbles across a beautiful mermaid – but he soon finds she's no fairy tale girlfriend.
Just before Christmas I had the pleasure of working once again with the guys at Sideways Productions on the music for their new short film, On The Rocks. After having great success with our efforts last year on Sounds Perfect...
Official selection, AUSTIN FILM FESTIVAL 2013
Official selection, TROPFEST NEW ZEALAND 2013
Official selection, WAIROA MAORI FILM FESTIVAL (NZ) 2013
Official selection, imagineNATIVE
Winner, best actor, TROPFEST NEW ZEALAND 2013
Winner, best Maori director, TROPFEST NEW ZEALAND 2013
...the pressure was on. But we're very happy that On The Rocks has made it again into Tropfest with its world premiere being on 16th Feb at the TSB Bowl, New Plymouth.
If you're around New Plymouth, go and check out the festival.
composer, film festival, film score, sideways productions, tropfest
"Sounds Perfect" goes to Austin
September 20, 2013 by Ryan Youens in news
I am super proud of my friends at Sideways Productions who are enjoying success with their film, Sounds Perfect, including selection for the Austin Film Festival.
Dave Dobson is a self –proclaimed 'audio enhancement engineer' in the film industry. The adult film industry. While his uninspiring workmates are happy to churn out the same clichéd slaps and squelches film after film, Dave hears a higher calling.
I did the music - an interesting mix of styles and themes.
It's a hugely enjoyable yet slightly disturbing watch. Not for younger viewers or those with sensitive eyes!
September 20, 2013 /Ryan Youens
January 08, 2013 by Ryan Youens in opinion
2012 was a year full of great things, cool things, intriguing things, wonderful things and things to completely knock your socks off. Here's my list of the best (musical and digital) things of 2012. MUSIC BLOGS
One of the first things I do each day is read all of the blog posts that are waiting eagerly for me in Google Reader. There are three feeds that, without fail, I will read and learn something from every time.
Of Note - a Sibelius and Finale blog by the legendary Robert Puff.
Sibelius Blog - hints, tricks and interesting stories about Sibelius by Philip Rothman (originally Daniel Spreadbury).
Technology in Music Education - if you're a music teacher of some description you'll love hearing about how the latest technologies can be used in music education.
I'm usually not a big reader of actual books but there are some that sit pride of place on my shelf, actually, only when they're not sitting open on my desk.
Behind Bars by Elaine Gould - my bible of music notation. I'd really love a digital version too!
How to Write for Percussion by Samuel Z Solomon - the title sounds very underwhelming, but is a wonderfully comprehensive guide to writing for percussion.
Essential Dictionary of Orchestration - mine is looking old and tatty - a good sign! It's an essential reference for instrument ranges, general characteristics, tone quality descriptions, technical pitfalls and more.
The internet is just one big overwhelming resource! There are four in particular that I have used a lot this year and deserve a mention.
Spotify - gone are my days of wasting money buying music only for a specific occasion or to only listen to a few times. Now I can access everything, anywhere, for only a small fee.
MusicNotes - I've been buying a fair bit of sheet music lately and you can't go past MusicNotes for the best range, quality and easiest website.
MacProVideo - a massive range of resources for users of pro audio (and other) software.
MusicPrep.com - has wonderful resources for Sibelius and Finale and even links to books on scoring, notation and orchestration.
MUSIC INSPIRATION
You're procrastinating and you find yourself mindlessly surfing the internet - these are probably the places where I would end up.
Scoring Sessions - for any orchestral film soundtrack fan this is a wonderful site of photos, news and videos from scoring sessions in Hollywood, London and more.
YouTube - most of the world's pro audio software and hardware companies have channels on YouTube. A recent great watch was the Vienna Symphonic Library Artist Videos.
TED - amazing talks from amazing people.
Most of my job would be a nightmare, or quite simply not possible, without the help of some wonderful computer software so a much deserved shoutout goes to them.
Sibelius 7 - they've had a rough year but a big salute goes to the number one notation software.
Logic 9 - the stalwart DAW in my studio, always impressing.
Pro Tools 10 - a new acquisition and some great projects done already, clearly some big steps forward since I last used it a few years back.
I rely on my mobile device rather a lot, here's my top three "I could not live without" music apps. I did a full post on musical iOS apps earlier in the year, click here to visit it.
FiRe - a professional field recorder wonderfully adequate to do a great recording when out and about.
Concise Oxford Dictionary of Music - dealing with music notation and teaching students all the time means I'm always checking this great app.
Dr Betotte - a metronome like no other. 5 volume sliders and mute buttons to, tap tempo, halftime feel, adjustable swing feel functions, multi beat mode...
The "cloud" is a hot word at the moment and rightly so - there are some fantastic ways how you can have your data anywhere, anytime and on any device.
Evernote - probably my most opened app. Most databases, documents, lists and resources are all on Evernote and thanks to the cloud they are all universally accessible.
Dropbox - constant backup of my system and access to it anywhere via the iOS app. Also great to email large attachments to clients for download.
Xero - my in-the-cloud accounting software. I can write and send invoices, amongst other things, on my iPhone and have access to it at all times.
Every musician needs an online home and maintaining mine, learning about the finer details and marketing it is a real hobby - three things make it an absolute joy.
Wordpress - always makes developing the website a breeze. Special mention goes to Automattic who has produced many of my most loved plugins this year including the breathtakingly-good VaultPress.
MailChimp - I have a newsletter, which evidently you can sign up to here(!), and they always impress me with the service they provide.
SoundCloud - could easily fit into several categories mentioned in this post, but I'll add it here. I remember the days when it was such a huge deal (and sometimes expense) to embed audio on your website, but now SoundCloud makes it quick and easy and it looks beeeeautiful.
I hope you enjoy checking out some of these. Got any to add? Leave a comment below.
apple logic, arranger, automattic, behind bars, composer, daniel spreadbury, dropbox, essential dictionary of orchestration, evernote, film score, finale, google, how to write for percussion, macprovideo, mailchimp, makemusic, musicnotes, of note, philip rothman, preparer, pro tools, Robert Puff, ryan's music mail, scoring sessions, sibelius, soundcloud, spotify, teacher, ted, vaultpress, vienna symphonic libraries, wordpress, xero, youtube
"Sounds Perfect" to be in a final
I recently wrote the music for Sounds Perfect - a short film by Sideways Productions which has made it to the finals for Tropfest New Zealand 2013. Tropfest International is the world's largest short film festival.
A disturbingly amusing and enjoyable film.
All finalists will be screened at an outdoor gala event at the TSB Bowl of Brooklands, New Plymouth, on Sunday 27 January. This is a free event and you are welcome to come along, bring a picnic and join in that buzz that is the inaugural Tropfest NZ screening. The winning film will be announced on the night. Venue opens at 5pm, films start 6.30pm.
film score, new plymouth, premiere, sideways productions, tropfest


text:
It's time to end the failed regional forest agreements
The Regional Forest Agreements (RFAs) that govern logging in nearly 7 million hectares of state forests in NSW, Tasmania, Victoria and WA have failed in all their objectives and should be terminated when they expire over the next four years. That is the damning assessment by over 30 environmental groups in a statement released today.
"The RFAs commenced in the 1990s and did not take factors such as climate change into account" said Lorraine Bower of the Australian Forests and Climate Alliance (AFCA). "Now we know that forests are vital for moderating climate and storing carbon, and that logging significantly reduces carbon stores in forests.
"By giving the logging industry unfettered access to public forests over the 20 years of the RFAs, other industries that could support jobs and growth, such as the carbon market and tourism, have been stymied.
"The RFAs act as a loophole excluding logging from accountability to federal environmental laws that would apply to any other industry, enterprise or individual landowner" said Ms Bower. "It's no surprise then that numerous studies have shown that the logging of native forests has resulted in devastation of forest ecosystems, loss of wildlife, reduction in water supplies and decline in soil health.
"In essence, the RFAs function as a license to devastate our forests with impunity.
"Just two weeks ago greater gliders became the latest forest species to be listed as threatened1. Clearfell logging and the loss of hollow-bearing trees are the key reasons in their decline. The magnificent mountain ash forests of Victoria have been so battered by fire and logging that just 1% is now unburnt and unlogged, and the ecosystem faces collapse in just 50 years2. Leadbeater's possum is on course to enter extinction even sooner.
"Yet the logging industry keeps pushing for the use of native forests for low value products like paper, export woodchips and firewood, and now the government sanctioned burning of native forest logs for the production of electricity."
"The logging industry has flouted regulations with innumerable breaches, and not even been able to turn a free resource into financially viable industry. It loses money in all four states, and employs few workers" said Ms Bower
"For so many reasons the RFAs must not be rolled over or renewed when they expire, and the industry moved to the prosperous plantation sector, where 80% of the jobs already reside".
Read more from the statement released today by over 30 environment groups here (PDF)
1http://www.environment.gov.au/biodiversity/threatened/species/pubs/254-conservation-advice-05052016.pdf
2http://www.greatforestnationalpark.com.au/uploads/1/5/5/7/15574924/2014_ecosystem_assessment_of_mountain_ash_forest_in_the_central_highlands_etc_-_australecol_doi.pdf
Topics Federal politics, Logging and Clearfell, Politics, Regional Forest Agreements, State politics, Threatened Species
Previous: Previous post: Petition for Ambition: Victoria's Renewable Energy Targets
Next: Next post: Call To End Special Treatment For The Logging Industry


Q. How can I make a file accessible?
Butler has a new 24/7 self-service tool for this! Butler and CAT have contracted with SensusAccess to provide a "do-it-yourself" document conversion tool that will allow members of the Butler community to convert documents to more accessible formats.


Ventilation Fans are designed and developed under the Air Turbo Ventilators does not require any power or electricity to operate , Continuously in motion with the wind ,removes extremely hot air in the summer.guidance of vendor's skilled professionals as per industry norms. Our developed Industrial Ventilation Fan are based on the latest technology and are effective in managing the temperature inside the industry and exchange air from inside to outside in automatic fashion. This ventilator or ventilation Fan is used for ventilation purpose and for keeping humidity and temperature at required level. Industrial Roof Ventilators provides a safe , cool healthier and more controlled environment by removing the entrapped heat and industrial emission ensuring the health of workers , thus contributing to an increase in workers productivity. The offered ventilator is made available in various dimensions suitable for different organizational sizes.
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ARV is a reputed, leading supplier of industrial louvers in India. Industrial Louvers are manufactured using superior quality material and latest techniques. ARV Louvers are fitted with horizontal and vertical slats that allow light and fresh air, reduces noise, restricts the entry of rain and direct sunlight. Aluminium Louvers enhances a building structural aesthetic appeal and meets prerequisites of air ventilation, facilitating free flow of air with restricted entry of water and dust. ARV Louvers are most preferred by industries due to its high durability and perfect design.Moreover, these are available in attractive colours / coatings to suit different types of exterior facades.
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Renowned for industry expertise in roofing sheets and installations, ARV has earned a indomitable reputation for superior quality sturdy roofing sheets and ease-of-installation at the industrial units. The roofing sheets confirms to international standards and are handled only by professionals with relevant industry experience. To suit the diverse nature of requirements across varied industry segments, ARV offers a wide range of products in different dimensions and in multiple colour variants.
Exhaust fan with safety louvers.
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© 2017. Air Roof Ventilators. All Rights Reserved.


SUSAN ELIA MACNEAL: Some of you (Hank, probably!) may remember when I posted pictures of a spontaneous art installation on our street — a children's castle had, taken over by toy knights, had been left by a tree.
I'm delighted to report that not only is the castle still there after all this time, but others have gotten into the creative spirit.
Another neighbor on the same street, who's always had a rock garden with succulents, recently added dinosaurs. Yes, dinosaurs.
Do you think when no one's looking, the knights and the dinos get together (they're only a few doors down from each other) and have swingin' dance parties at the castle?
I remember the castle, Susan, and the adorable dinosaurs are a perfect addition to the street . . . Happy Sunday!
I wouldn't mind a pink flamingo revival.
these are so cute Susan--I remember the castle too! Happy Sunday everyone!
Seriously, I love my street.
I remember and I love this! so much!
I remember the castle pictures. Glad to read it is still there. Love the dinos. You live on a very creative (and sharing) street!
Oh, Susan, you live on a good street. Whimsical is one of my favorite characteristics, and your street has that in wonderful abundance. And, with your creative family, you all really are at home.
Xxxx thx you Julia for the Wonka!


Since the majority of women are not content with their natural lashes, they turn to different options for enhancing the appearance of the mink lashes.(While 3d mink eyelashes, mascara, and eyelash curlers can give eyelashes great daily enhancement) Today, the use of lash enhancers is the most popular option.
However, the main question is if this is really the best option. Are there better options available? In order to answer this important question, we will inspect the most popular eyelash enhancement options on the market and look at their strengths and weaknesses. By the end of this article, we will be able to affirm if the use of an eyelash enhancer is the best option for having fuller,thicker and more attractive mink lashes.
This is another popular option today. The main advantage is that like eyelash extensions, the results are considerable and fast. However, you have to find a qualified and experienced professional to ensure quality work. Otherwise, your natural mink lashes can get damaged or eye irritation may occur. Compared to the best eyelash enhancers, the use of false mink lashes is a lot more risky. There is even a possibility that a significant number of your natural lashes will fall out when low quality false mink lashes are installed incorrectly.
Mascara definitely works in making the mink lashes more noticeable. This is a good option for eyelash enhancement but it is only temporary and you have to apply it every day. Also, some formulations contain harmful chemicals that can also damage the natural lashes. Some chemicals can even affect the healthy growth of hair follicles causing the lashes to fall out. The best eyelash enhancers also offer a mascara effect resulting in instant eyelash enhancement and at the same offering permanent results.
There are two main categories when it comes to eyelash curlers: heated and non-heated. The heated variety is usually more effective but low-quality heated curlers can damage the natural mink lashes. Also, you have to learn how to use these gadgets properly in order to prevent damaging your mink lashes. The major advantage of this option is that it offers fast results and can make your lashes beautiful within minutes. The main problem with this eyelash enhancement option is that it puts pressure on your mink lashes and this can weaken them leading to damage in the long term. This option can be used every now and then but using eyelash curlers every day is not good for your natural mink lashes.
Eyelash growth serums or eyelash enhancers promote the healthy growth of natural mink lashes. These products strengthen the lashes making them grow longer and thicker. This is obviously the best option but you have to be aware that there are ineffective and unsafe products being sold on the market. You have to make sure that you end up with the best eyelash enhancers which are not just effective but also free from harmful ingredients. Meticulous research will help you find the right product that can give you longer, thicker and more attractive mink lashes permanently.
Sharon S Collins is a beauty author who loves to write articles for beauty and makeup related topics. She enjoying in writing the feed-backs regarding various beauty and skincare related products. She has written many articles on makeup tips, skincare issues, beauty tips, beauty products, eyelash enhancer reviews like revitalash, lilash, rapid lash, maxolash, etc.(For more information about 3d mink lashes to visit we website http://www.axstn.com) eyelash growth products and so on.


Today in Nairobi, Derek Baker, Amos Omore and David Guillemois reported on a project to analyze the impact of business development services. It took a preliminary look at the use of network approaches to trade in smallholder livestock systems, and some initial results using data collected in Uganda and Tanzania.
Tags: Amos Omore, David Guillemois, Derek Baker. Bookmark the permalink.


text:
#ifndef I_REFLECTION_CONTROLLER_HPP
#define I_REFLECTION_CONTROLLER_HPP

#include "core_variant/variant.hpp"

namespace wgt
{
class PropertyAccessor;
class ReflectedMethodParameters;
class IEditor;

/**
 *	Handles getting, setting and invoking data on reflected objects via the
 *	Command System.
 */
class IReflectionController
{
public:
	/**
	 *	Get a reflected value.
	 *	This will block until all commands have modified it.
	 *	@param pa the property for which to get the value.
	 *	@return the value of the property.
	 */
	virtual Variant getValue(const PropertyAccessor& pa) = 0;
	/**
	 *	Set a reflected value.
	 *	This may execute on a background thread later.
	 *	@param pa the property for which to set the value.
	 *	@param data the value of the property.
	 */
	virtual void setValue(const PropertyAccessor& pa, const Variant& data) = 0;
	/**
	 *	Invoke a reflected property.
	 *	This will block to get the return value.
	 *	@param pa the property for which to set the value.
	 *	@param parameters arguments to the function.
	 *	@return the result of the function.
	 */
	virtual Variant invoke(const PropertyAccessor& pa, const ReflectedMethodParameters& parameters) = 0;
	/**
	 *	Insert an element into a reflected property.
	 *  Only valid for reflected properties that are collections
	 *	This will block
	 *	@param pa the property for which to insert the element.
	 *	@param key the key of the element to insert.
	 *	@param value the value of the element to insert.
	 */
	virtual void insert(const PropertyAccessor& pa, const Variant& key, const Variant& value) = 0;
	/**
	 *	Erase an element from a reflected property.
	 *  Only valid for reflected properties that are collections
	 *	This will block
	 *	@param pa the property from which to erase the element.
	 *	@param key the key of the element to erase.
	 */
	virtual void erase(const PropertyAccessor& pa, const Variant& key) = 0;

	using ExecuteFunc = std::function<bool ()>;
	using UndoFunc = std::function<bool ()>;
	/**
	*	Executes a custom command.
	*	This will block
	*/
	virtual void customCommand(ExecuteFunc executeFunc, UndoFunc undoFunc, const std::string& description) = 0;

	/**
	* Access to IEditor interface.
	*/
	virtual void setEditor(IEditor* editor) = 0;

	using CustomSetValueFunc = std::function<bool(const PropertyAccessor& pa, const Variant& data)>;
	virtual void setCustomSetValue(CustomSetValueFunc setFunc) = 0;
	using CustomEraseFunc = std::function<bool(const PropertyAccessor& pa, const Variant& key)>;
	virtual void setCustomErase(CustomSetValueFunc eraseFunc) = 0;
	using CustomInsertFunc = std::function<bool(const PropertyAccessor& pa, const Variant& key, const Variant& value)>;
	virtual void setCustomInsert(CustomInsertFunc insertFunc) = 0;
};
} // end namespace wgt
#endif // I_REFLECTION_CONTROLLER_HPP

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaGithub


text:
What the Media Won't Tell You About Trump's Big North Carolina Win
RUSH: The special election in North Carolina. (laughing) This is so… Yesterday, the Drive-Bys have Trump losing the White House because of this election. It was over. It was a bellwether. It was not even a possibility. Now two Republicans won in North Carolina. Two of them! The Democrats get shellacked. And the Drive-By Media headlines are still about "the trouble this win portends for Donald Trump." It's flat-out hilarious. I have that and whole bunch of other stuff, and we'll get to it when we get back.
RUSH: I want to read a headline to you here. And then I want to ask you, what'd you think might have happened after having read this headline? "North Carolina Gives Republicans a Wake-Up Call." Would you think after reading that headline — that headline, by the way, is from The Atlantic. If you read that headline — let's say you didn't know anything. You didn't know there was a special election. You didn't know that — well, no. Let's say that you did know there was a special election, but that's all you know. You have no idea really when it was. You don't know how it ended up.
So the next headline you see, "North Carolina Gives Republicans a Wake-Up Call." You would think the Republicans lost the election, would you not? You would think that everybody expected the Republicans to win this. That all of the experts had weighed in, the conventional wisdom was that the Republicans were gonna win the special election and they didn't, and it was a huge wake-up call. You would not be blamed for thinking that.
And then this is how the story begins. "Why does election fraud happen? Because it works, of course. Usually it works because it's undetected, and the candidate who commits the fraud, or on whose behalf it is committed, wins."
So a classic illustration of the Drive-By Media with misinformation, fake news trying to make you think the Republicans lost, but they still tried to cheat nevertheless, but they didn't get away with it. The headline and the first paragraph of this story, that's what you would conclude.
You want to hear the truth? The truth is that the Republicans won the bellwether elections in North Carolina after all. The media are ignoring Greg Murphy's win because he won by a huge margin, 62% to 37. The Democrats got smoked in that election.
But in the other election, the Bishop-McCready race — this is the one that everybody was — the Drive-Bys were talking about was gonna be the harbinger of Trump's defeat in 2020. And they do that every special election with that clown Ossoff down in Georgia or any of the others. Every special election is gonna be a referendum on Trump, and so was this gonna be. And McCready was gonna win this thing, gonna run away with it. The Republicans were gonna get smoked.
There was all of this outside money. And it was true. This was the most expensive special election in U.S. history, not because of money spent natively. The Democrats tried once again to buy another seat in a formally red state, and yet the Republicans still won. And Bishop actually won by a bigger margin than the Republican candidate won by last year. And the Democrats and their media said that he cheated. That's what the election fraud's all about.
It's heartwarming to read and frustrating at the same time. But we talked about this yesterday. They had Bishop already defeated. Trump was on the way to losing in 2020. This was gonna be a harbinger. This was the early telltale sign. There's just one thing. Donald Trump went into North Carolina, he had a rally on Monday night.
Donald Trump turned this race around. If in fact the Republicans were on the way to losing it — and we can't know that, because nobody knows the way people were gonna vote before the election. All we have were preelection polls. You can't trust them. You just don't know. But the conventional wisdom was the Republicans were gonna lose.
Trump goes in, turns the election, and you know where he turned it? Democrat rural strongholds. The Republican ended up getting a significant amount of support from Democrat areas, rural areas in this district. The Drive-Bys are not going to tell you that. And I'm not aware that they brought up Russia yet, but give them time.
Now, the Drive-Bys and the Democrats are consoling themselves by saying these elections prove that Republicans are in trouble in the suburbs! This is how it works. Oh, yeah, Trump might have won the hick vote, he might have gotten the hayseeds, but he's still in trouble in the suburbs. So even when Republicans win, they lose. When Republicans win with certain demographics, they lose. And there's no two ways about it.
Now, the reason the Democrats are so excited to try to convey that the Republicans have trouble in suburbia is the Democrats, already in their minds, own the cities. And so the conventional wisdom is that suburban women hate Donald Trump and that Trump was gonna lose this, even though Trump wasn't on the ballot. Bishop was gonna lose this because Republicans are hated by suburban women, particularly Donald Trump.
Here's AP's headline this morning, good example. It was originally: "GOP Holds North Carolina Seat, Easing Fears of Democrat Momentum." I guess that was too positive for the Republicans, so now the headline is: "GOP Holds North Carolina House Seat, But Shows Frailty in the Suburbs." Obviously, the Democrat base pummeled the AP. "What do you mean, reporting it that way?" I'm sure this happened.
The Democrat base on Twitter and wherever else pressures the AP and they change their headline, which has to indicate Republicans are in trouble. "North Carolina Gives Republicans a Wake-up Call." "GOP Holds North Carolina House Seat But Shows Frailty in Suburbs." Here's the truth. Dan Bishop, the Republican, won Cumberland County, North Carolina. That county is 35% black. There's a 35% black population in Cumberland County. Republican Dan Bishop won it by a margin of 0.3%.
Donald Trump lost Cumberland County in 2016 by over 20,000 votes. Tonight, the Republicans won it back. So why isn't this the news? Well, we know why this isn't the news 'cause this does not look good for the Democrats. They have a 35% black population in Cumberland County, North Carolina. Trump lost it by 20,000 votes in 2016. Tonight, the Republicans win with a slight majority of black voters. What's going on? Well, take a look at African-American unemployment. Take a look at African-American poverty dropping.
Take a look at African-American food stamp participation dropping. Take a look at the number of African-Americans who have jobs and getting raises. It's phenomenal! It's more than ever happened for them when Democrats have been in control. You could say this is historic. Trump loses by 20,000 in a 35% black county, and the Republican wins it? That is a trend the Drive-Bys do not want you knowing anything about. The Democrats poured $8 million (about that) into this district, North Carolina 9.
They outspent the Republicans by a huge amount — it was a big, big factor — and they lost again! They lost with Beto O'Rourke in Houston with all of that outside money in Texas, all that outside money. This is what happens when Republicans fight back. This is what happens when Republicans get in the game. This is what happens when Republicans stop apologizing. It's what happens when Republicans stop being moderates. It's what happens when the Republicans stop begging people to not dislike them and just go out and fight for it, explain who they are.
Trump tweeted that Bishop was down by 14 points at one point in the polls, and that's exactly right. Bishop comes back and wins. Trump was a difference maker, he was a factor, and this has got to just destroy the media. "Trump's over, don't you see? Trump's days are over! Trump has already been defeated. Trump is either gonna be impeached or he's gonna be defeated in 2020. Everybody hates Trump. Trump doesn't have any power! He's losing his base!" And then he goes to North Carolina, and helps turn the black vote in a county — and then the rural vote comes in — and all the Democrats can say is the Republicans are in trouble in the suburbs.
RUSH: A couple of more stats on the North Carolina race. Now, these come from Brad Parscale, who's running the Trump 2020 campaign. In Robeson County, North Carolina… This is just south of Cumberland. It's a lot of numbers to try to follow here, but I am an excellent communicator. I will make this clear. In the 2018 midterms, the Republican candidate lost by 15 points. Last night, Bishop lost by only 1.1%. Now, they still lost, but that's a 14-point shift in Robeson County. Now, there are a lot of reasons for this.
One of the reasons is Trump went in there. Trump worked hard and turned a lot of votes. But do you know what else happened, folks? Do you know what else happened? One of the things the Bishop campaign did, the Republican, is they went around in their campaign and they talked a lot about The Squad. They talked a lot about Ilhan Omar. They talked a lot about Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, the Green New Deal, all of the craziness these people are proposing. They talked about Rashida Tlaib — and let me tell you something.
That, I think, was a huge factor in turning rural Democrats to the Republican.
You know, Democrats still have a bunch of rural voters. The Democrats don't care about 'em. They make fun of 'em, just like they make fun of everybody that lives on a farm or a rural area. But the Republican candidate was able to go in there, focusing on all of this craziness that's being talked about by The Squad — Cortez and her gang — and, according to the best information people been able to gather, that mattered. That worked in turning rural Democrat votes to Bishop, to the Republicans. That's not a surprise, and it's something to learn for other Republicans as we head into 2020.
RUSH: In his victory speech, Dan Bishop said that voters "said no to radical liberal policies." The reason he said that is because that's what he told people he was opposing. That's his description of The Squad, Ocasio-Cortez, Ilhan Omar, Rashida Tlaib and all the rest.
RUSH: I'm wondering about this North Carolina special election. I've learned one more thing about this. You would be stunned to learn the amount of money the militant gay faction of the Democrat Party poured into this district. They have been trying to beat this guy for years, Dan Bishop.
Now, my question is, I wonder if the Republicans are gonna realize what happened last night. I wonder if they're gonna learn from. All these Republicans retiring and quitting 'cause, ah, I don't want to go on, I'm not comfortable being in the minority, I may not like Trump.
This was a lost cause last night! Yesterday. Supposedly. Will the Republicans pay attention? Will they believe their eyes, or will they believe the media spin today? Let me go to Rhonda in Willow Springs, North Carolina. Great to have you, Rhonda. Welcome to the program.
CALLER: Hi, Rush.
RUSH: Hi.
CALLER: I'm so excited. Yes. I do believe that the Republicans need to pay attention. Those establishment Republicans need to open up their eyes and wake up. As I was telling Snerdley, I think the bottom line, we're not gonna be a purple state come 2020. I really truly believe we're gonna go red.
RUSH: Well, I happen to know people in North Carolina politically in touch, politically attuned, and they are telling me that it's too close, it's too dangerous. That at the very bottom of the local level, the Democrats are taking charge from dogcatcher on up in county after county after county, that it's not being reported. That it appears, if you look at state government and all this, it might appear that North Carolina still is a red state but that the Democrats are making great inroads and that's why this election last night is so important, folks.
And it really is crucial to me what the Republicans are gonna believe in the aftermath. This was a victory. It was a victory that many believe was snatched from the jaws of defeat. So how did it happen? Well, you can't eliminate the presence of Donald Trump. You can't eliminate the details of the campaign.
Bishop went after the radical elements of the Democrat Party by name, The Squad, Cortez, you name it, got some Democrat rural voters to cross over. The media is trying to downplay the significance of it now. But there's a lot here that could be inspirational for Republicans, especially given what everybody's expectations were, expectations set by the media, of course.
RUSH: So the media is now trying to downplay the significance here. But what's obvious about this election — one of the many things obvious about it — is you cannot ignore Donald Trump's appeal, Donald Trump's amazing ability to energize Republican voters. Let's look at this the other way. Let's look at Donald Trump the way the media portrays him every day. And how is that? "Well, everybody's tired of Trump now. They just wish Trump would go away.
"Everybody regrets voting for Trump. Trump is an embarrassment. Trump's an ogre. Trump tweets too much. Trump is just… Ew! Just no manners. He's foul-mouthed. The guy is unsuited. He's unqualified. Everybody realizes we made a mistake. We gotta impeach the guy! He cheated with the Russians. We gotta get him out of there." That's how the Drive-By Media portrays public opinion about Donald Trump every day. So what happens?
Well, we got this special election North Carolina 9 where the Democrat has been running for this seat for 27 months! A Republican has been running for this seat for a few. The Democrats are throwing eight-million bucks in there. The militant gay population donors of the Democrat Party, they are in there. They don't like Bishop. They want him gone. The media's telling everybody the election's over before it happens. "It's a referendum on Trump!
"Trump is so hated, so reviled, so despised, voters in North Carolina are gonna tell the nation what the nation thinks of Trump." That's what the media says. So Trump goes in there. Now, tell me something: If Trump is so hated and despised — if people are so embarrassed that they voted for him, if they regret that they did, if they wish that he would stop tweeting, if they wish Trump had better manners, if they wish Trump would just stop embarrassing them — then how is he able to go in and turn a district that he lost by 14 points into a loss by only one in a certain segment?
How is he able to go in there so hated and so reviled? How is Donald Trump able to end up making the difference? Because he did. He went in and did a rally the night before, focused on the election. So how can what the media says about Trump be true? Trump should have bombed out. Trump should have failed miserably. (impression) "Why, he's hated. He's despised! People are embarrassed. People have buyer's remorse! People regret vote for Trump. He's so bad. He tweets too much."
And yet Trump went in there and is the difference maker. So are the Republicans gonna believe what they saw or are they going to continue to react to the media? Because Trump proved again last night that he is a force. He proved he's not on the ropes. In fact, it's the exact opposite. Trump's not on the ropes. He's the one delivering knockout punches on the economy, the ChiComs, his battle with leftists in the media.
Right now, Donald Trump's the best friend Republicans have had since Reagan. Will they realize it? Let's go to the audio sound bites and I'll show you what I'm talking about. Here is Norah O'Donnell. She's the new infobabe anchorette at the CBS Evening News. She's talking here with national correspondent Dean Reynolds. These are the people who see themselves as the heirs of Walter "Klondike," and here is a portion of her report about the special election in North Carolina — that, again, the Republican won.
O'DONNELL: A new update on that House race tonight in North Carolina. It's getting a lot of national attention as a possible preview for 2020. Polls say it is neck and neck in a district that President Trump won by 12 points in 2016. Dean Reynolds reports from North Carolina's Ninth CD.
REYNOLDS: The big question in the special election here today is whether the Republicans can hold onto this traditionally Republican seat without cheating.
RUSH: (Snort!) That's the big question? "The big question … is whether the Republicans can hold on… without cheating"? That's the CBS Evening News last night. New we have before the election a montage of several Drive-Bys saying that North Carolina 9 was a referendum on the Trumpster…
JOHN BERMAN: Today's special election. This is a big day, not just for North Carolina but, I think, for the entire Trump presidency.
ROBIN MEADE: …a test for President Trump going into 2020!
DIANNE GALLAGHER: …a litmus test for 2020!
KRISTEN WELKER: …a barometer for voters' energy for him in 2020.
JONATHAN LEMIRE: It's being viewed sort of as a referendum!
RON BROWNSTEIN: If you see this kind of district go down for Republicans, it would be a sign of a pretty broad suburban recoil from the president.
RUSH: There you have it. That's Ron Brownstein. He's with.. I don't know who he's with anybody. These people are just revolving doors, travel off, and they work for member of Congress then go back to the news, then back to a senator, back to the news. I don't know where Brownstein is. Anyway, they all had him losing. You see. His loss was a harbinger. His loss was the barometer. This was going to be the evidence last night that Trump's presidency is over, that Trump doesn't stand a prayer of winning in 2020 — unless he cheats — because of the sad circumstances and situation in the suburbs.
Okay. So it was a referendum on Trump. This was gonna tell us that Donald Trump's presidency was over, except Dan Bishop won. Donald Trump campaigned for Dan Bishop. So we would expect the media today to point out, "Hey, you know, it's looking pretty solid for Trump in 2020. Last night's election was a harbinger. It was what we were telling you — a referendum, a barometer — and it looks like Trump is sitting pretty."
Let's see if that's how they did report this.
DON LEMON: This is a race that should be an easy win for the GOP. It shouldn't even be close.
FREDO: This should have been a no-brainer for the Republicans, a layup!
CHRIS HAYES: … a district that the Republican candidate should win walking away.
JOHN KING: The president won the district by 12 points. So why are we talking about this tonight?
DANA BASH: The fact that we are talking about this is a big deal.
NIA-MALIKA HENDERSON: If you're Republican, you're worried!
HEIDI PRZYBYLA: It shouldn't be that narrow.
TERRY MORAN: It is a win — and a win is a win — but it does spell trouble for Republicans.
LARRY O'DONNELL: If the election is a referendum on Donald Trump, he will lose.
RUSH: That was Lawrence O'Donnell. That's the guy who claimed a source told him that Russian oligarchs had bankrolled Trump's finances. So the night before, this was it. This was a barometer of how Trump's presidency is over, that he's finished, that this was gonna illustrate once in a while the American people are tired of Trump. So the Republican wins. And what's the Drive-By Media reaction? "Man, oh, man, is this trouble for the Republicans!
"Man, oh, man, they are sweating bullets today. Holy cow! Did you see how narrowly the Republican won?" It turned out to be not that narrow a win. It was a pretty decent win. It wasn't a landslide, but it wasn't close enough for any kind of a recount or anything. So the Drive-Bys cannot even be consistent. They can't say today, "Well, you know what? Trump's reelection bid might not be looking so bad as we thought. He came in and he made this election turn around for this guy, Bishop."
But no! It's all about how, "Well, the only way they can win was cheat. Trouble! Trouble for Republicans! If you're Republican here, you've gotta be worried." So if this is what happens when Republicans win, what the hell would the news have been in Bishop had lost? (laughing) Folks, I maintain… I said to you yesterday, I think people notice this stuff. I think all kinds of people who believed these people every day for two years that Trump it colluded, that Trump stole the election, that Trump cheated, colluded with Putin.
People believed that crap for two years; then all of a sudden, "Sorry, didn't happen!" I don't believe people just forget it. I think the media is damaged, and they're not even acknowledging it. No apology, no attempt to hold on to their audiences that now are obviously confused. They just roll on with the same agenda: Get Trump, however. "This doesn't work? Okay, here. We'll launch something new. We'll go from hoax to hoax to hoax." My point is that I believe…
It's gonna be hard to know, it'll be hard to prove this, but I think these people are doing irreparable damage to themselves. You just can't assure people of something for two years, something as basic as the president's a traitor — as basic as the president cheated, the president stole this election from Hillary Clinton — and then you cite the sources, all the respectable people in the intel community and all the respectable people in the FBI and all the…
You can't just bombard people with that stuff, and then have it blow up in your face and not a shred of it be true, and have it not have an impact on people. I think the same thing here. They've been telling everybody for a week Trump was toast. Bishop was toast — this is gonna prove Trump's presidency is finished — and the guy wins? And people that ended up believing the media are scratching their heads. "Wait, this is not what they told us was gonna happen."
RUSH: Shane in Charlotte, North Carolina. Great to have you with us in the EIB Network. Hi.
CALLER: It's a pleasure, Rush. Just get to my point real quick and you touched on it already. The importance of the fact that McGreedy — I'm sorry, Freudian slip — McCready was campaigning for 27 months and Dan Bishop only four but he still won.
RUSH: Yeah, the Democrats have been eyeing this seat for all the reasons that we have been discussing here. But $8 million of outside money — well, I don't know how much of it is outside. But $8 million and Bishop didn't spend anywhere near that.
CALLER: Nowhere near it at all.
RUSH: I don't know how apparent it was. There was a lot of support for McGreedy, as you say, behind the scenes. Some of it was from the really militant left-wing gay donor faction from the Democrat Party. And they're a big bunch. They donate a lot of money. They're militants, and they're very, very active radical leftists, and they spend money all over the country for Democrats. And some of their money was in there too. They had targeted Bishop for obvious reasons. That's why I say there's a lot of things for the Republicans to learn here. What did you think was gonna happen before the results came in.
CALLER: I mean, it was close the last race except for the balloting issues that they had. I mean, it was a tight race. But most people that I talked to felt that Bishop was gonna win.
RUSH: Yeah. Well, you know what —
CALLER: I travel both states, North and South Carolina all day for work.
RUSH: I did too. I thought Bishop was gonna win. I'm not in North Carolina. I don't have any inside knowledge. It wasn't just a reaction of hope. I'm watching the media talking about it, and I don't believe 'em. I just don't believe that the Republicans are as hated and despised or that Trump is like the media portrays. And I don't believe that people who voted for Trump have abandoned him and I don't believe that they're embarrassed. I don't believe any of this.
When Trump announced he's going in there for a rally on Monday night in Fayetteville and is gonna work on it — and, by the way, let's not forget something else, Mike Pence spent the whole day in there on Monday. Mike Pence was doing the old-fashioned politics is local business. He was calling people on the phone and getting them out to vote, which is how you do it.
Mike Pence was engaging in old time, old-fashioned retail politics, and it worked. Which is the point. It can work. It does work. I wish I could give you a list of political reasons that would demonstrate my prescience and brilliance on why I thought bishop was gonna win but I can't. It was just a hunch. It was a gut instinct.
And also, when I run into a lot of people that are pessimistic, there are a lot of people in North Carolina who wanted it to be so bad they were just — kind of like you think you know your team is gonna lose in the Super Bowl. "Oh, my God. I know they're gonna lose." You get prepared for being disappointed. I don't fall for that. I think it's gonna be a good night. Turned out to be.
RUSH: This is Chad in Austin, Texas. Great to have you on the program, sir. Hello.
CALLER: Thank you so much for taking my call.
RUSH: You bet, sir.
CALLER: You know, I had called to kind of second what you were talking about earlier, that, you know, the Democratic Party and the left and the Drive-By Media, they're the most vocal people, even though it's a small handful. And so, you know, these polls and the media are convincing everybody that Trump is so unfavored, and I don't believe any of it. I think they're using metadata to target the demographs that they want to get the polls that they need.
But, you know, Trump supporters are quite a bit different. I'm a Trump supporter, all my friends. We don't put Trump stickers on our cars 'cause we don't want our windows broken out or our tires slashed, but here in Austin, you know the hipsters have — everybody's got a Beto sticker. And they're creating an echo chamber for the small majority that they have. And they're just the loudest. It's not that they're the majority. They're just the most vocal.
RUSH: That is an excellent point. And you throw the media in with their daily trumpeting of Democrats and Democrat issues and the fact that Trump supporters, Republicans in general are not loud and attention seeking. They're not bombastic, they just go about their lives and they live out there in relative anonymity until there is an election. And then all these people on the left end up being shocked, surprised and blown away 'cause they believe their own hype! They believe all of their polls. They believe their own hype. But that is an excellent point. The left is a small minority that's loud as hell, creating a perception about them that's not correct.
RUSH: We got Larry here in Peoria, Illinois. We have time to get one more in here. Larry, how are you? Great to have you EIB Network. Hello.
CALLER: Hello. I was listening Monday to mainstream media, and they were playing part of the North Carolina District 9 Democrat candidates stump speech. He talked about reaching across the aisle and working with Republicans. And I thought to myself, there's no way that is ever gonna happen. 'Cause if he truly is sincere and believes that he's gonna be able to do that, the leadership in the Democrat will never allow that to happen.
RUSH: Right.
CALLER: I'm sorry.
RUSH: No, I was gonna say that's exactly right. This guy, that's a foolish thing to campaign on. But it tells you what he thinks his voters wanted to hear. This Democrat thinks his voters wanted to hear he was gonna reach across the aisle, work with Republicans. Do you know a Democrat that wants to work with Republicans? I don't. Now, they may exist in rural North Carolina, I don't know.
But see, I think that's standard, boilerplate politics 101 in both parties. I think this guy doesn't know what he's talking about. I don't think he knows his constituency. 'Cause you're exactly right. Even if he does want to do that, even if his voters did want that, the Democrat leadership isn't gonna permit that.
RushLimbaugh.com: NC Special Election Is Tricky for Republicans - 09.10.19
Atlantic: North Carolina Gives Republicans a Wake-Up Call
Daily Caller: Republicans Dan Bishop, Greg Murphy Win North Carolina Special Elections
AP: GOP Holds North Carolina Congressional Seat, Easing Fears of Democratic Momentum
AP: GOP Holds N Carolina House Seat But Shows Frailty in Suburbs


text:
Lake County becomes first Florida county to declare itself a 'Second Amendment Sanctuary'
Photo by George Frey/Getty Images
LAKE COUNTY, Fla. - Lake County Commissioners voted unanimously on Tuesday to declare Lake County a 'Second Amendment Sanctuary.'
They passed the resolution 4-0, meaning that residents are guaranteed their second amendment rights.
Commissioner Blake brought the resolution up because of the national gun debate. He said that "There have been very terrible crimes that have been committed by very terrible people, as we're all aware. I think it's kind of compounded the tragedy that many of these crimes have taken place in gun-free zones where people were not legally allowed or able to defend themselves with force."
He continued, stating that "Unfortunately, one of the primary reactions nationally to these criminal acts has been to penalize law-abiding citizens who make up the vast majority of gun owners in this country."
Lake County Sheriff Peyton Grinnell also signed off on the resolution, fully supporting Lake County becoming a Second Amendment Sanctuary.
"This draws a line in the sand. It doesn't mince words, and I hope it sends a message to what can best be described as the authoritarian control freaks," Commissioner Blake said.
Lake County is the first county in the state of Florida to declare itself a Second Amendment Sanctuary.
Second amendment sanctuaries are popping up all over the country. For example, some areas of Illinois have done so.
MORE NEWS: 5 dogs found at Florida home in 'appalling' conditions, stuffed in small cages and without food or water
"This is a national movement. We'll be the first county in Florida to do this but this is not new. This has been happening the last couple years as a response to these attempted overreaches by the government," Commissioner Blake added. "Many Americans have been absolutely shocked to hear recent pronouncements by prominent national candidates who are vying for the presidency of the United States threatening and even outright calling for national gun bans of some of the most popular and commonly owned rifles in this county."
This story was written in Orlando, Florida.
'Dangerously low' wind chills, freezing temperatures forecasted in Central Florida this week