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Ayuso's brother's masks were cheaper and of poorer quality than those that appeared in the award
What type of mask did the Community of Madrid buy from that company from which the brother of President Isabel Díaz Ayuso charged a commission? In the transparency portal contract, available here, there is talk of FFP2 and FFP3 masks. These acronyms refer to different protection standards approved by the European Union. Between the two, FFP3 is the most expensive, and also the one with the best protection: 98% filtering efficiency, compared to 92% for FFP2. But the reality is that the company Priviet Sportive SL – which paid a commission to Tomás Díaz Ayuso – delivered a different sanitary material than the one that appears in that award: cheaper and of inferior quality.
Everyone is Ayuso in the town of the president and the businessman
They were not FFP3, the most effective masks. There were none of those. Neither is FFP2. Those that finally arrived at the Ifema pavilion in April 2020 were all KN95: a Chinese quality standard, in theory with similar filtering benefits as the FFP2, but which do not go through the same type of controls required by the European standard.
With the KN95, the quality control is carried out by the manufacturer itself: it is a self-certification. Sometimes – as happened with numerous lots discovered in June 2020– what the manufacturer says is very far from the real quality. While in Europe the masks have to be approved by an independent public body, which carries out quality tests and checks that they do indeed filter what they should filter. That is why the KN95 were cheaper than the FFP2 and much cheaper than the FFP3.
That does not mean that there are no 'made in China' masks that have FFP2 or FFP3 certificates. But all of them are subject to European quality control, something that does not happen with the KN95.
With the arrival of the pandemic and the shortage of medical devices, almost all European countries temporarily allowed the importation of masks that were not approved in Europe, even though it was a lower standard. In Spain, that free way to the KN95 was published in the BOE on March 20, 2020 and was in force throughout that year, until December 31, when its sale was banned again.
Four days after the Government allowed the sale of this type of mask – on March 24, 2020 – the Community of Madrid accepted the offer presented by Priviet Sportive, according to the contract documentation. Although at that first moment, in that offer, there was a type of mask that never arrived: "FFP2-3". This is the file in question of the company that paid a commission to Tomás Díaz Ayuso:
The description of the material is quite clear: "FFP2-3 mask". The price: 5 euros, plus VAT (6.05 euros for each one). 1,512,000 euros in total. As an expected delivery date, Priviet Sportive SL promised that the masks would be delivered to the makeshift hospital of Ifema on April 10, 2020, something that was also not fulfilled.
The first batch, 182,000 masks, arrived through Barajas Airport a week later than expected: on April 17. And the remaining 68,000 landed two weeks later: they did not arrive at Ifema until April 29. But beyond this delay – understandable at the time it occurred – what is relevant in the receipts for these deliveries is that the content is different, different from what appears in the award: "FFP2/KN95 masks". All identical. None FFP3.
The reality is that neither were "FFP2-KN95" what Priviet Sportive imported from China and sold to the Community of Madrid. They were KN95 to dry. And the proof is a publication on Facebook by the Sotillo de la Adrada City Council, the town where the Ayuso brothers and Daniel Alcázar, the businessman who participated in this award, met.
Just on the same dates -April 24, 2020- in which they closed that operation with the Community of Madrid, the Sotillo City Council thanked another Daniel Alcázar company for donating 400 KN95 masks to the municipality. As seen in the picture, they were never FFP2.
This post on Facebook is no longer available on the Town Hall page. Three months ago, when this newsroom exclusively uncovered this irregular contract, elDiario.es linked it to that first piece of information. Shortly after, this compromising track was deleted from Facebook. The mayor of Sotillo de la Adrada is in the hands of the PP.
A price above the market
Isabel Díaz Ayuso, this Friday, defended that the price that had been paid for these masks – 5 euros plus VAT for each one – was lower than that of other purchases that the Community of Madrid signed in April 2020. And to argue it, she put these examples:
-BIOGEN FFP3: €10.5
-Palex FFP2: €6.5
-Lost Symmetry: FFP2 6 €
-Helianthus FFP2: €5.95
-Barna: FFP2: €5.30
The comparison is tricky, even if what Priviet Sportive had delivered had been an FFP2 homologated in Europe, instead of a KN95 without homologation. Because as Newtral's collaborator has revealed Marcelino Madrigal, Ayuso lies when providing this data: in all those prices he cites, he speaks of contracts where the successful bidder delivers different types of masks –FFP2 and FFP3– and details a different price for each model. And Ayuso, in the figures he provides, always takes the most expensive price as a reference: that of the FFP3.
For example, these are the prices of the company Barna Import: which sold the FFP3 to the Community of Madrid in April 2020 at 5.30 euros and the FFP2 at 4.30 euros. Nor is the figure that Ayuso gave about Lost Symmetry correct: at the end of April, the Madrid Health Service bought FPP2 masks for 2.59 euros. On April 15, another company, Tower TBA, supplied 50,000 FPP2 masks to the Community for 2.95 euros. And one last one, Vin Doré 24K SL, which on April 17, 2020, sold the FFP2 mask to the regional government for 2.78 euros.
But we must remember that what Priviet Sportive sold to the Community of Madrid was neither an FFP2 nor an FFP3: it was a KN95. In April 2020, the Community of Madrid also commissioned another supplier 4,200 masks of this type for the Madrid Metro. The price? 3.5 euros per unit.
On those same dates, the KN95 could be bought on Ali Express at a price of 1.45 euros per mask. As evidenced by this request of April 19, 2020 made by Daniel Paltrinieri, a reader of elDiario.es.
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Uganda gets 1200 doses of clinical trial vaccines for Sudan Ebola Virus (SEV)
By: Aguti Raniah Bless
Uganda has received a total of 1200 doses of trial vaccines against the Sudan Ebola Virus (SEV).The vaccines were delivered to the Ministry of Health on December 8, 2022, by the World Health Organization.
While receiving the vaccines, Health Minister, Dr. Jane Ruth Acheng, said they will be kept at the National Medical Stores pending trial on high-risk individuals or those who are most exposed to the risk of infection.
"We have received 1200 doses of one of the three candidate vaccines against the Sudan Ebola virus from WHO. This will be used in the Tokomeza Ebola Clinical Tria," Dr. Acheng tweeted.
Dr. Acheng also revealed that Uganda is the first country to receive the trial vaccines, and more doses are expected to arrive in the country in the coming weeks.
The clinical trial vaccine code-named "Tokomeza" will be spearheaded by the Makerere University Lung Institute, led by Bruce Kirenga.
Uganda is 2nd Largest World Matooke Producer – President Museveni
Police arrests suspect behind theft of Ugx1.5b drugs in Kitgum
Aguti Raniah Bless

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


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U.S. Army Medical Research Acquisition Activity (USAMRAA) Henry M. Jackson Fdn f/t Adv of Mil Med Thailand HIV/AIDS, Neurology and Mental Health 10/1/14 9/29/19
Interventions for Symptom Management in Older Patients with HAND NIH National Institute of Nursing Research United States HIV/AIDS, Dementia and Cognitive Impairment 9/26/14 6/30/20
Global Brain Health Institute South Africa; Viet Nam; Turkey; Greece; Mexico; Argentina; Brazil; Cuba; Dominican Republic Neurology and Mental Health, Dementia and Cognitive Impairment, Training International Scholars and Clinicians, Residencies, Fellowships, and Postdoctoral Training 7/1/14 6/30/20
Midcareer Mentoring Award for Patient-Oriented Research in HIV and Cognition NIH National Institute of Mental Health United States HIV/AIDS, Aging 10/15/15 10/14/20
Machine learning to distinguish HAND from Alzheimer's disease in HIV over age 60 NIH National Institute of Mental Health United States HIV/AIDS, Neurology and Mental Health 5/1/17 1/31/22
Cognitive Impairment in HIV Over 60 Years of Age United States HIV/AIDS, Dementia and Cognitive Impairment 7/1/08 6/30/09
Cognitive Health and Brain Vulnerability in Aging Insulin Resistant Patients Larry L. Hillblom Foundation United States Diabetes, Neurology and Mental Health 7/1/07 6/30/10
Dementia in HIV Patients over 60 Years of Age NIH National Institute on Aging United States HIV/AIDS, Neurology and Mental Health, Dementia and Cognitive Impairment 9/30/08 7/31/12
Central Nervous System Effects in Acute HIV Seroconversion NIH National Institute of Mental Health Thailand HIV/AIDS 7/1/09 5/31/13
HIV and Global Drug Therapies: Peripheral Neuropathy Complications and Mechanisms University of Hawaii Thailand HIV/AIDS 8/1/09 7/31/13
HIV-1 Specific Immune Responses in Thai Individuals with HIV Dementia University of Hawaii Thailand HIV/AIDS, Dementia and Cognitive Impairment 8/1/09 7/31/13
Peripheral Reservoir of HIV Monocytes Pivotal to Cognition in HIV NIH National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke Thailand HIV/AIDS, Neurology and Mental Health, Dementia and Cognitive Impairment 8/1/09 1/31/15
Neurodevelopment and Imaging among HIV-infected Children from the PREDICT Study NIH National Institute of Mental Health Cambodia; Thailand HIV/AIDS, Neurology and Mental Health, Pediatrics 5/18/10 1/31/16
Long-Term Central Nervous System (CNS) Consequences of Treatment during Acute Infection NIH National Institute of Mental Health Thailand Dementia and Cognitive Impairment 7/26/11 5/31/17
Creating Maps of 4D Brain Images to Unravel Dementia Heterogeneity of Aging HIV Population University of Alabama System United States Drug and Diagnostics Development, Dementia and Cognitive Impairment 8/15/14 5/31/17
Midcareer Mentoring Award for Patient-Oriented Research in HIV and Cognition NIH National Institute of Mental Health United States HIV/AIDS, Dementia and Cognitive Impairment, Residencies, Fellowships, and Postdoctoral Training 12/6/12 11/30/17
Therapeutic Interventions during Acute Infection to Address the CNS Reservoir for HIV Yale University Thailand HIV/AIDS 5/1/13 4/30/18
Determinants of Resilience on Youth with HIV Infection and Youth Affected by HIV Henry M. Jackson Fdn f/t Adv of Mil Med South Africa Neurology and Mental Health, Adolescent Health 9/12/14 7/31/18
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"The MBA program is intense and will push you hard, but the rewards are well worth it. The program, professors, overall administration, and fellow students are world-class.
The first residency was definitely life changing. I realized that with the support of a strong and well-structured team, I could accomplish just about any business problem - no matter how overwhelming the project or deliverables might seem at first. I also met fellow learners who have since become colleagues and friends.


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Adding a teen driver to your auto insurance policy will make your premium payments go up, but there are things that you and your teen can do to keep costs to a minimum. Many of these are quite easy to do, and your time and effort will pay off with a more affordable monthly bill.
Many of the top insurance companies offer discounts to those customers that purchase more than one type of coverage. You may find that it is more affordable to buy auto insurance for your teen through the same company that provides you with your life, home, or other policies. You also want to compare insurance quotes from several carriers to see which are the cheapest.
Many auto insurance companies offer discounts to adults that take driver safety courses or defensive driving classes. They will often do the same for teen drivers that complete similar safety courses. These classes are offered online, in person, and via DVD. You will also want to encourage your teen to keep their grades up. Almost every auto insurer has a "good student" discount available for young drivers.
It is usually cheaper to get auto insurance for older vehicles or late model cars than it is for new ones. Your teen will merely have to overcome wanting something new and trendy. Focus on putting your teen in a safe vehicle that has an excellent crash-test rating along with the latest safety equipment to ensure lower rates.
Add your young driver to your existing policy. Putting them on your adult policy is often much more affordable than purchasing their auto insurance separately. Check with your carrier to see which of your vehicles is the most affordable to insure. You should list them as the primary driver of this car.
You can manipulate your deductible to lower your overall premium price. For example, a policy with a $1,000 deductible is more affordable with a teen driver than one that is $500, $250, or less. A higher deductible shouldn't be too much of an issue, especially if the car they are driving is older. Many states only require teens to have liability coverage. You'll save money by skipping comprehensive and collision.
Ask your provider about any college-related discounts they may offer. If your child attends a college that is over 100 miles from home and does not have a car there, you may be entitled to a significant discount. You can also stress to your teen to drive safely. Avoiding traffic citations will keep your rates low.


Prospect Personnel Temporary Worker of the Month!
We are pleased to announce the Prospect Personnel November Temporary Worker of the Month award!
We feel it's really important to reward our stand out candidates, for their hard work & dedication within their temporary jobs in Banbury & beyond.
This month, it goes to Andrea Arvai who is currently working at Lloyds Commercial Finance in Banbury. Well done Andrea, you've set the bar very high indeed!


Maybe you're wondering what the hell I'm talking about? Well, have you ever read a really good book and you just REALLYYYY needed to talk to someone about it? Yeah. Me too. If you know me and follow me, you know how I feel about personal development and the importance of taking charge of your life. Living the best possible version of you.
BUT that's pretty hard if you aren't feeding your mind with material that will inspire you. It's hard to do when you aren't surrounded by other people who inspire you. Who support your goals, feelings and dreams.
For many years, I didn't have that. I had to create that environment for myself and then decided that I was going to do my best to bring it to others. To offer an atmosphere of positivity, self love and pure badassery... with the shared loved of books and coffee. Yes, oh yes... delicious coffee. If you aren't a coffee drinker, replace the coffee with your drink of choice. At this point you know what I'm getting at.
I have decided that each month I'm going to host a group (online via FB) where we can come together and read a book filled with material that will inspire us to get closer to our goals and instead of just "chasing" our dreams, we can take steps to start living them.
For December I've decided that The Desire Map by Danielle LaPorte is the book of the month. It's an amazing read. Ultimately we are all chasing a feeling. Whether it be passion, happiness, prosperity, all of the above and/or others. Feelings are the driving force that will get us there.
This book helped me to look at what I was doing with a different way of thinking and it gave me a little extra "umph". I think it will for you too.
What will you need for this group?
You WILL need to purchase "The Desire Map" if you don't have it already. I am an affiliate, so your purchasing your book through my link (directly below) is much appreciated.
Click below to go to my event page and select "Going" if you're planning on joining so I don't miss adding you to the Private FB Group when it's time.
I'm so glad you're joining!


Central Park may seem like a strange place to host a rock climbing competition, but that's exactly where the UBC Pro Tour Eastern Mountain Sports Pro finals will be tomorrow. The event is the second on U.S. climbing's pro tour schedule and the first major climbing competition ever held in Manhattan. With no dedicated climbing gyms on the island, organizers at NE2C Productions had to construct the walls for the finals from scratch, trucking in four tractor trailers' worth of wood panels and steel beams and assembling them onsite. "This is competition climbing in the most important city in America, and it will stand on its own two feet," NE2C Managing Partner Pete Ward wrote in a blog post. The contest kicked off on Thursday with preliminary rounds at The Cliffs in suburban Valhalla, NY. East Coast athletes dominated the early action, with New England-based climbers Vasya Vorotnikov and Francesca Metcalf taking first for the men and women, respectively. Several favorites are missing from the otherwise strong field: regular contenders Daniel Woods, Alex Johnson, and Alex Puccio are in Europe competing on the Bouldering World Cup circuit. Saturday's finals will be webcast live, beginning at 2 P.M. EST.


Happy new year to you all! Let it be full of delicious veg……..but first make two new year resolutions.
1. To go out and enjoy the garden this year; sit in it & chill out!
2. Not to worry so much about doing it right. Half the fun of gardening is having a go & discovering new veg. Put it in, cosset it (care for and protect in an overindulgent way!) and have fun.


professional Bastian Schweinsteiger Jersey , your goal should be to purchase homes or real estate significantly below market value so your investment has equity the day you close and, if you choose, can turn a profit for you based on the rental income opportunity. This is most likely to happen in a short sale situation or through foreclosures. It just happens that the state of Colorado has a significant number of these real estate properties available at the moment.
So, you might ask, who holds foreclosures that I can look into and how did they get them?
1. Banks repossess real estate and homes for sale in Colorado Springs that they have loaned funds against and the owners are not paying their mortgage, and have not been for quite a few months. These properties are referred to as real estate owned (REOs) in the real estate community. Most large banks have a real estate owned division that are completely dedicated to the resale of these homes, if you are serious about gaining access to these types of opportunities, you should meet with people working inside the REO division of the bank and express to them your desire for specific property types in specific neighborhoods, cities or zip codes. By making this introduction Arturo Vidal Jersey , you are giving yourself the opportunity to be one fo the first people to know when a property is taken into possession by the bank. This can be a tremendous advantage to a real estate investor.
2. Every year, the federal government is forced to forecloase on 100s and even thousands of real estate properties in Colorado Springs and beyond. The federal government must do this because of entities such as the Veterans Administration (VA), Housing and Urban Development (HUD), FANNIE MAE and Federal Depository Insurance Corporation (FDIC). The little known item about these particular foreclosures is that the government, in some cases, will allowbuyers to takepossessionof these homes with little or no down payment and, in certain circumstances, even provide you with repair funding.
With foreclosures, it is important to note that not all of these homes or real estate properties are going to be bargains. Banks Arjen Robben Jersey , in particular, are in the business world and are not always going to list a property for huged discounts under what a home is worth, particularly when a piece of real estate may have been 100% financed and the loan was defaulted upon less than a year after it was sold. Do not fall into the trap of thinking that all foreclosed properties are going to be a homes for sale steal fest, they aren't, and that type of thinking could end you up on the foreclosure list next!
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It's a while before we learn anything, even a name, about the title character in The Wedding Guest. Played by Dev Patel, who delivers an unexpectedly stoic -- yet predictably appealing -- lead performance, he is a man of deep professionalism and equally deep mystery.
Despite a title that sounds like a rom-com, The Wedding Guest initially gives the impression that it is a conventional thriller. Before two days have dawned in Younganabad, Jay has managed to abduct a bride-to-be, Samira (Radhika Apte) -- at gunpoint -- from her well-to-do family's compound on the eve of her own wedding. It is not quite as efficient an operation as Jay has led us to expect of him: An armed guard is killed trying to stop Jay.
But then things get really weird -- and a lot more interesting.
Jay, it turns out, has been hired by Samira's lover, Deepesh (Jim Sarbh), to save her from an arranged marriage to a man she doesn't want. But what happens between the kidnapping and the reunion of Deepesh and Samira -- and even after that reunion -- is a satisfyingly unpredictable meditation on female agency, in a culture in which women are too often treated as a man's possession.
Does Samira want to go back to her shotgun wedding, Jay asks, or allow herself to be delivered to Deepesh? "It's up to you," he says.
"No, it isn't," Samira shoots back. "That's the point."
Nor is he the film's antihero. For one thing, he's a coldblooded killer. (The guard isn't the only collateral damage.) For another, the film belongs just as much to Apte, whose complex, contradictory character makes a great case for the argument that the film is misnamed for another reason. It's her story, not his.
In truth, it's both of theirs, but not in the way you might think.
A lesser storyteller would have brought Jay and Samira together, pursuing the love-on-the-lam narrative. And for a while, The Wedding Guest looks as though that's where it's going. On the run from the police and her family, as they wait to coordinate a meeting with Deepesh -- who tuns out to be as complicated as Samira -- the kidnapper and his hostage briefly become something more than that.
And then -- well, saying more would spoil the pleasure of the film, which surprises, in small ways, at every turn. Samira, like Jay, is no saint. Deepesh calls her a "snake" at one point, but he misses the point. She's not treacherous because she defies his -- and our -- expectations. She's simply human.


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Home Baseload Bioenergy UK Industries Here to Share
UK Industries Here to Share
Lara Skinner, Reporter, RenewableEnergyAccess.com
Las Vegas, Nevada [RenewableEnergyAccess.com] Individual businesses know the importance of attending an industry tradeshow, and each kiosk at the 2005 PowerGen Renewable Energy conference is a showcase for technology or marketing. Representatives from the United Kingdom (UK) are promoting 14 different industries at the UK Pavilion this year, double the number of last year for the first PowerGen. But they are all here under the umbrella of the UK Department of Trade and Industry (DTI), which is hosting the UK Trade Mission to the USA.
Barry Holmes, a trade promoter with DTI, said the renewable energy industry has a lot to look forward to. "It is very much at the bottom curve of the growth cycle, which is what makes it so exciting," he said. Growth is exactly what the industry should see in the UK because of strong federal government support. The region has a renewables obligation (RO) goal of 10 percent by 2010, and that could be increased to 20 percent by 2020, according to Sarah Kydd, who is the deputy director of the DTI's 2010 Renewable Energy Target Team. In 2004, according to industry information available from DTI, the government announced US $30 million in funding for the Major Photovoltaic Demonstration Program, $160 million for the Offshore Wind Capital Grants Scheme, and $50 million for marine energy projects and a marine energy research center in the country. Federal funding for renewable energy technologies is not unheard of in the United States. However many states and municipalities rely on local funding so projects, and research and development efforts will receive support. "We realize that what we've got is this good, solid policy," Kydd said. "We've got a policy that's driving innovation." The ability and willingness to share policy ideas and innovative technology is a strong reason to bring UK industry to the states, and vice versa, Kydd said. Environmental passion, and a shared history with their respective Rotary clubs, was enough for Greg Johnson of U.S. based Five Star Energy and Eric Hawkins of Powertech Solar in Dorset, UK, to form an overseas partnership two years ago. Powertech Solar manufactures solar thermal collectors for residential and commercial applications. But instead of simply selling the collectors to customers, the company provides a whole house or business heating solution to customers. Solar thermal is about more than selling the product, it's about giving people an alternative, Johnson said. While an alternative solution is an easy sell at PowerGen, breaking into the U.S. market with any kind of alternative is challenging. Johnson said he works closely with contractors and builders so they understand the concept behind solar thermal, and are comfortable with installing something other than the standard water heater. ReCycled Refuse International Chairman Anthony Haden-Taylor said he encounters a status quo obstacle when he comes to the U.S. with his landfill reform scheme. Communities across the nation have used transfer stations, landfills and recycling programs in the same ways for years. Despite efforts to sort recyclables and reduce the amount of garbage going into landfills, many towns and cities are still running into problems managing their waste. Unfortunately, Haden-Taylor said, workers' unions and the public's acceptance of the way in which current waste programs are run in the U.S. work against his company's waste treatment facility model that converts organic waste into a biomass product suitable for gasification power projects. The facilities may generate power and create a viable market for cleaned recyclables, but people aren't comfortable changing the system for political and personal reasons. "We need to make people aware that there is a solution," he said. Potential solutions to save and create energy are what each of the 14 businesses at the UK Pavilion offer. Business and personal connections in the states are welcome additions to the country's already thriving renewable energy industry, but hosting a trade mission in Las Vegas is about more than growing the UK's industry. It's about sharing innovation and encouraging renewable energy education across political borders and environmental attitudes, Johnson said.
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This Xpeed weight vest comes in 2 different weights to provide a wide range of resistances. The removable weights are located high on the torso to protect the stomach from bouncing as you run. The vest is made of heavy-duty reinforced nylon, featuring double padded shoulders for added comfort and. The padding is designed to be contoured to your shoulder for maximum comfort.
Each vest contains removable 1kg pouches for the user to adjust the weights as they desire and improve their training capacity. The vests are adjustable through the nylon straps on either side to ensure maximum comfort and manoeuvrability during exercise.
– Weights are loaded at top body front & back for optimum performance.


Mark has been living and working in Eketahuna since 1980 where he has established a large studio workshop and gallery. He has had over 20 solo exhibitions in galleries throughout New Zealand including Wellington, Auckland, Christchurch, Palmerston North, Whangarei, and Masterton, and has been part of many group shows. Mark's practice is governed by the search for original imagery and a highly technical approach to his painting style. Early influences were the cubists such as Gerorge Braque, Pablo Picasso and Juan Gris.


text:
Perri tapped to lead South Bend parks
DTSB's Perri named to succeed St. Clair
Erin Blasko
SOUTH BEND — In appointing Aaron Perri, executive director of Downtown South Bend Inc., to replace Phil St. Clair as director of Parks and Recreation, Mayor Pete Buttigieg described the South Bend native as a forward-thinking leader.
In a twist, Perri also will oversee the city's strategy for managing city venues, including the Morris Performing Arts Center, Century Center and DTSB.
"He'll become my primary adviser on all three of those assets," Buttigieg said Friday.
What that means is not clear at this point, but it's likely to involve more oversight of city assets by the parks department.
"The specifics need to be worked out, but I see us moving in the direction of tighter alignment of all of those resources," Buttigieg said, referring to Parks and Recreation as well as those downtown venues.
Said Perri, "Perhaps some of these historically separate departments can cross-utilize each other's talents to improve the experience for the community."
"It's hard to know what that will look like until I start looking into numbers and talk to folks," he added, "but I think it's clear when you look at these organizations they're really focused on making South Bend a better place."
The move follows St. Clair's announcement last week that he intends to retire at the end of the year after 34 years with the city, including 22 as director of Parks and Recreation.
In choosing Perri, Buttigieg said he considered his administrative skills as well as his "experience and proven leadership."
Perri will earn $91,800 per year in the new position.
"Aaron Perri's skills and talents will serve him well in driving excellent results and new approaches throughout our parks system and as a member of the administration's leadership team," he said in a news release announcing the move.
Said St. Clair, "Aaron has a long history of working with Parks and Recreation to create exceptional events, and I wish him well in his new position."
Perri is a South Bend native and a graduate of Adams High School and the University of Notre Dame. He previously served as general manager of Legends of Notre Dame.
He also served as chair of the South Bend 150 Committee, oversaw the downtown River Lights project and co-founded the annual "On the River" festival, benefiting the Center for the Homeless.
As executive director of DTSB since 2011, Perri has helped organize events such as Art Beat and Restaurant Week and overseen the transition to management of downtown parking, including the three city-owned parking garages.
He also has helped to attract and develop business downtown and establish various beautification programs, such as the "Grow Downtown" and "Light Pole Banner" programs.
And he played a key role in the city's response to the downtown power outage, coordinating backup power resources for businesses and acting as a liaison between the city and power company and the public.
"I'm definitely looking forward to working with the dedicated team that's over there at parks," Perri said Friday. "I really construe this as an expansion of what I've been doing over the past few years in the community."
Perri expressed familiarity with the five-year parks master plan adopted by the Parks Board in September of last year, which calls for further investment in capital and programs.
"It's a great document, a road map to the future of the parks," he said.
Perri inherits an award-winning parks system that nonetheless has struggled in recent years due to the financial pressures of property tax caps and the lingering effects of the recession.
Asked about the biggest challenge moving forward, "It's too soon for me to tell," he said. "I haven't even officially taken over the role, I haven't even got a chance to look under the hood to be able to effectively answer that question."
eblasko@sbtinfo.com
@ErinBlasko


During the last year Proven has been managing a variety of significant retail projects, including the expansion of the Karrinyup Shopping Centre Expansion, the expansion of the Rockingham Shopping Centre, the expansion of the Phoenix Shopping Centre and the DFO at Perth Airport.
We have also managed land subdivision projects including Waters Edge Estate, Kenby Heights, Surf Drive and Brookton Highway. We have also been working on other complex projects like Capital Square, Harmony Apartments and Wasley Street.
We celebrated our one year with 40 Client and consultant guests at the Subiaco Hotel. Thanks to all that attended and we look forward to working with our Clients and consultant partners for many more years to come.


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Every TV Show, Movie, and Original Coming to Netflix This Week (January 4)
By Allison Schonter - January 5, 2021 11:04 pm EST
Netflix is kicking off 2021 in a big way. During the first full week of the new year, the streaming giant is treating subscribers to 16 new titles, setting the pace for new additions to come throughout the year. The new additions join the nearly three dozen titles added on the first of the month and include a total of 14 Netflix original series, films, and specials.
Netflix subscribers scrolling through the streaming library beginning Friday will be able to press play on any of the new additions, including the highly-anticipated series History of Swear Words, starring Nicolas Cage. A trailer for the hilarious show generated plenty of buzz on social media in December. This weekend, the library will also be boasting the additions of a new season of ¡Nailed It! México and Inside the World's Toughest Prisons. The streamer will also be adding a few selections for the younger viewers.
Keep scrolling to see everything set to be added to the streaming library this week, and don't forget to check out all of the titles that are set to leave before the end of the month!
'History of Swear Words'
Netflix is recruiting the help of actor Nicolas Cage to get down to the nitty-gritty details of swear words. On Tuesday, Jan. 5, the streamer is dropping its highly-anticipated series History of Swear Words, a series in which Cage will break down the origins, pop culture-usage, science and cultural impact of curse words. The six-episode series will feature interviews with experts in etymology and pop culture, historians and entertainers, as well as guest stars including Sarah Silverman, Nick Offerman, Jim Jefferies, Nikki Glaser, Joel Kim Booster, DeRay Davis, Open Mike Eagle, Patti Harrison, London Hughes, Zainab Johnson, Baron Vaughn, and Isiah Whitlock Jr.
'¡Nailed It! México: Season 3 '
Netflix is headed south of the border for the third outing of its comical baking special ¡Nailed It! México, adding a Mexican flair to the popular Netflix original series. The series will see very amateur bakers competing to re-create elaborate deserts to epic failure in an effort to win the grand cash prize of 200,000 pesos ($10,000 USD) and bragging rights. ¡Nailed It! México is set to debut Tuesday 5.
Inside the World's Toughest Prisons: Season 5'
Netflix subscribers are again getting the chance to experience life in some of the world's toughest prisons. On Friday, Jan. 8, the streamer's original docuseries Inside the World's Toughest Prisons returns for its fifth season. In the series, journalist Raphael Rowe, who spent 12 years behind bars for a crime he didn't commit, not only visits some of the most terrifying and violent prisons on Earth but also lives among the inmates to experience life there.
'Mighty Little Bheem: Kite Festival'
A small Indian town will be putting winter behind them and looking towards a new season n the upcoming Netflix original animated children's special Mighty Little Bheme: Kite Festival. Hailing from director Rajiv Chilaka and based on the mythological character Bheem from the Indian epic the Mahabharata, the animated series, Netflix's first Indian preschool animated series, follows ultra-strong, brave and intelligent Mighty Little Bheem as he travels through his hometown, bringing mischief and adventure. In Kite Festival, set for a Friday release, Bheem and his townspeople usher in a sunny new season in all their favorite ways during the Makar Sankranti festival.
What else is being added this week?
Avail. 1/5/20:
Gabby's Dollhouse – NETFLIX FAMILY
LA's Finest: Season 1
Ratones Paranoicos: The Band that Rocked Argentina – NETFLIX FILM
Surviving Death – NETFLIX DOCUMENTARY
Tony Parker: The Final Shot – NETFLIX DOCUMENTARY
Pieces of a Woman – NETFLIX FILM
Charming – NETFLIX FILM
The Idhun Chronicles: Part 2 – NETFLIX ANIME
Lupin – NETFLIX ORIGINAL
Pretend It's a City – NETFLIX DOCUMENTARY
Stuck Apart (Azizler) – NETFLIX FILM
What's leaving this week?
Leaving 1/4/20:
Mara (2017)
The Tudors: Seasons 1-4
Mary Poppins Returns (2018)
'WandaVision' Pays Homage to Classic Sitcoms 'I Love Lucy,' 'Full House' and More
'The Crew' on Netflix: Kevin James' NASCAR Series Gets First Trailer, Release Date (Exclusive)
Netflix Releases Trailer for Football Docuseries 'We Are: The Brooklyn Saints'
Everything Coming to Netflix This Weekend (January 15)
Mindy Kaling Gives an Update on 'Sex Lives of College Girls,' 'Never Have I Ever' Amid LA's COVID Production Pause (Exclusive)
'Cobra Kai': Netflix Announces Massive Viewing Numbers for Season 3
'Rick and Morty' Seasons 1-4 Blu-ray Release Date Revealed
Every TV Show, Movie, and Original Coming to Netflix This Week (January 11)


You are not your body, your mind or intellect. You are not your senses and organs of action or organs of perception. You are not what your body and any of your internal or external organs that you are made up of. You are not your thoughts or your mind. You are not your name or your fame. All these are matters that you have acquired in this life. You are the Soul or the electricity that runs all these equipments. You are the pure spirit. You have taken this body along with all its attachments for experiencing what ever you wanted to experience. Yet, the experience is not you. Neither are you the experienced. You are the spark that gave life to every material objects. You are that. Pure and eternal.


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ArchiveNewsStudent Association
Student Association fills Senate position
Alexander Meseck has been hired as the Student Association Senate's Parliamentarian. Although Meseck is a freshman, he started his college career with the 35 credits he earned in high school.
"I took some courses through Clinton (Community College), some courses through Paul Smith's College and some AP courses," Meseck said. "I was going to have 41, but I didn't pay for two of my classes, so I only got 35."
Though he is only in his second week with the Student Association, Meseck said he likes the position.
"The parliamentarian's role is to moderate the discussions and to assist the speaker of the Senate and the vice president," Meseck said.
One way he does that is by keeping track of the number of yields each member has in accordance with Robert's Rules of Order, the rules of etiquette that the SA Senate – and many governmental bodies – use to conduct their business.
Yields, which are counts of permission for a Senate member to speak, are limited to three.
"One, you don't want it to go on for hours, and sit here until 5 a.m.," Meseck said. "The second is that you want everyone to have a chance to speak."
Meseck said each Senate member has a total of three yields, and each yield lasts three minutes. When each person ends their time on the floor, they yield back to the chair – the speaker of the senate, Veronica Marchello.
Meseck said he gained experience in Robert's Rules while in Model United Nations in high school.
Parliamentarians, as moderators of discussion, are not allowed to speak during meetings.
"It kind of has taught me to not say anything," Meseck said. "That's one of the biggest challenges of this position for me — I'm a very active person, and I like to put my opinion out there."
Meseck said neither Marchello nor he "get a vote."
"We have a long and humorous tradition – I jokingly call it 'The Curse of the Parliamentarian,' where they constantly quit a relatively high-paying job for campus … so they can run for Senate," SA President Kevin Clayton said.
While it is not a "tradition," Clayton said it tends to happen year after year.
During his interview for the position of parliamentarian, Meseck was asked if he would consider running for an elected position.
"It's better to learn about the senate more and see the different positions that are possible before I actually make any moves toward something like that, but it's definitely in my vision for the future," he said.
Marchello said previous experience with Robert's Rules helped him stand out from the pack in an applicant pool of two.
She said while the act of leaving the position for a Senate position is something that has happened historically, she is not worried about that, as the time to be on the ballot for the upcoming special election has already passed.
Marchello also said that while Meseck is new to his position, his potential for growth helped him stand out.
"He's doing well so far," Marchello said. "We run our meetings in kind of a specific way, so for someone who has not been to a lot of meetings, it's hard to pick up, but he's doing well."
Faculty senate passes resolutions, will hold business meeting to consider SA resolutions Friday
Timothy Lyman - February 27, 2018 0
The faculty senate met in Yokum 200 Tuesday to discuss and vote on resolutions proposed in the wake of student protests against racism and...
SA prepares for elections
Timothy Lyman - November 7, 2016 0
In the week preceding the Student Association election process, the SA did not meet for either the weekly executive or Senate conferences. Meetings will...
SA Senate looks to help hurricane victims
Timothy Lyman - October 17, 2016 0
Plattsburgh State student and Haitian native Kira Paulemon approached the Student Association Senate Wednesday night to discuss possible philanthropic methods to provide relief to...


Stories from Storage Lockers...: You should have written your Grandma back!
ahhhhh heartbreaking, hopefully he cleaned up his act and went and visited Grandma.
Psssst. Grandma...there's this new invention. It's called the TELEPHONE! I know Grandma, your number is Fernwood-372. Seriously, though..he may have been one of those guys who gets out of high school with the inability to read (especially cursive). In which case he didn't know who the letters were from or what they said. Sad tale indeed.
I would write grandma and tell her the circumstances and ask if she would like the letters back. She probably knows about her grandson and even if she doesn't, people want information and closure.
I ended up putting all of my letters into my storage in Chilliwack for safekeeping. You'll never know when you'll want to look at those old letters again.
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That's pretty crazy! I am looking for some storage lockers in Toronto. Do you know of any places to look? Thanks.
I really like how you've taken the tv show into your own storage edmonton unit adventures. It seems like a really fun way to earn some money.
I would like to buy some storage spaces like you see on tv. Is there a storage company that would let me purchase a space and in effect assume control of the property found in the storage unit?
It is amazing what you can find in older storage lockers. Those things are really like time capsules. I bet there are still some turn of the century lockers that have not been opened yet.
I'm trying my best to find the best moving storage containers in edmonton and because of my dedication I found the best. It has a lot of discounts and really good attitude plus quick and easy service.


WHETHER the NDIS is rolling out in your region tomorrow, in six months or in a year, you need to start getting ready now.
Pre-planning is vital to ensure you know exactly what you want and need before you have a program tailored to suit you.
1. Assess your situation: Write down your current needs, the current support you receive, anything else you require or would make life easier. Gather all the information you can about your disability including medical assessments and reports. If you don't have access to any records, don't worry, your NDIS caseworker can help you arrange them.
2. Think ahead: What do you want your future look like? Think about the perfect scenario, what you hope to achieve and any ideas on what you might need to get there.
3. Day in the life: Diarise a typical day or week in your life. Ensure you include any barriers you face, any support you receive etc.
4. Network: Where possible, try to connect with other people and families in a similar situation as you. Compare notes and seek various perspectives. This will help you better understand what others are doing, any things you may not have considered, or types of support you could also be entitled to.
5. Research: Become familiar with the language associated with the NDIS. Understand what the various components are and what certain terms mean. Keep up to date with information on our website. Start looking at providers in your area so you are familiar with who they are and their principals.


There is a chinese translation available here.
Re the GISTEMP Land-Ocean Index graph: I should think that an 8-year RUNNING MEAN would give an astonishingly-good fit to the data; one that will be statistically-sound as a regression. But would we welcome the eventual outcome of its prediction?
That said, I do have a question that's come up in my mind after some discussions with perhaps more knowledgeable "skeptics" than Tierney and Pielke Jr. As you put it, "the climate system has enormous amounts of variability on day-to-day, month-to-month, year-to-year and decade-to-decade periods." and this seems to derive from the chaotic forces that determine weather itself.
So the question is – do we have a good handle on the natural decay times for random perturbations on the climate system? Pinatubo provided one example of a delta-function perturbation, and it seemed like the response decayed over roughly a year. But there are certainly longer-term responses as well: the deep ocean we know has 1000-year response times, the large icesheets presumably also on about that timescale. What about in between? Wouldn't a natural climate system response time of several decades make it almost impossible to get meaningful averages out of climate system variables, if they could be significantly influenced by random fluctuations accumulated over such long time periods? Any good references on this issue?
I have seen that the hadley center has said that the global average temperatures since 2001 and 2007 are statistically indistinguishable. each year has a temperature that falls within the error bars of all the years 2001 – 2007. That being the case you can say NOTHING about any trend in this data set except that the data indicates no change in temperature over that period. Whether you think that is evidence that global warming has halted is debatable but you can't bring any statistical analysis to bear to show that the temperature change in the period was other than zero.
You are working hard with a lot of statistical analysis to see structure in the 2001-2007 period that you are just not justified in seeing. We know nothing about any trend in this period because we haven't measured a trend. The measurements show the temp has been constant and no amount of 'analysis' on your part will change that.
Congratulations on an excellent post. I thought I would draw attention to a stark example of a national newspaper in the UK repeatedly claiming that global warming has stopped, using exactly the flawed reasoning that you have highlighted – a columinist for 'The Sunday Telegraph' has made this claim nine times in the last six months – most recently last Sunday (see halfway down: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2008/01/06/nbook106.xml). I have written a number of times to the newspaper to correct the misleading impression he is creating – sometimes they publish the letter, mostly they don't. But Booker hasn't stopped repeating his misleading claim. I'm now planning to take the case to the UK Press Complaints Commission on the grounds that it represents a persistent breach of its code on misleading and inaccurate reporting.
Thanks for this post. There are a few clarifications that you ought to probably point out, and I'd ask that you present my comments in full, rather than selectively edit them.
1. IPCC 2007 issuing a "prediction" starting in 2000, is not really a prediction, since it starts at a time before the prediction is made. As you know, rigorous forecast evaluation begins at the date a prediction is made. Thus, what I prepared and John Tierney showed are simply examples of how a forecast verification is done. In addition, the figure that you point to in IPCC AR4 Chapter 1 really wouldn't qualify as a rigorous forecast verification (except perhaps for 1990).
2. One way to look at a comparison of models and short-term is as you have and suggest that it is "misguided" because models are based on the longer-term. My view is the opposite — modelers are doing us a disservice by neglecting the short-term. If multi-year and decadal variability is so great as to obscure a long-term trend, then it would be nice to see that reflected in the uncertainty estimates of the models for what to expect over the next 10 years. You run very close to suggesting that climate predictions simply cannot be verified except on a multi-decadal time scale, which I think overstates the case at best, and moves modeling outside the realm of falsifiability, and thus away from the scientific method. Hindcast checks are great, but science aways works better with falsifiable hypotheses on timescales that allow for feedback into the research process.
There are perhaps good reasons for this like IPCC treatment of aerosols and a subsequent volcanic eruption (but forecast failures always tell us why they were wrong, which is part of their value). IPCC 1995 dramatically lowered its predictions (and as I'll post up on our blog soon, and had a much more accurate prediction through 2007). But both IPCC 1990 and IPCC 1995 cannot be consistent with observations, since 1995 cut its decadal average trend by 50%.
4. Finally, the IPCC has made many predictions in 1990, 1995, 2001, and 2007. To suggest that comparing the evolution of predicted variables with observations is misguided is itself a strange dodge. There are good reasons to compare models with data, and in fact, your deconstruction of Douglass et al. paper does exactly that. Over the long run, if your believe your predictions to be correct, then a comparison with actual data will eventually prove you to be correct. That there is large variability in the shorter terms simply means a bit larger uncertainty bounds on such predictions. But to avoid forecast verification altogether is a strange position to take.
[Response: Roger, How can you read the post above and claim that we're avoiding forecast verification altogether? This is just perverse. I spend almost all of my time comparing observations with predicted variables, so I don't see what you are getting at in point 4 at all. The point being made is that each comparison has varying degrees of usefulness. 8 year trends in the global mean temperatures are not very useful. 20 year trends are more so. Better still are superposed averages of the response to volcanoes or ENSO variability etc. In each case, models predict a mean response and an estimate of the noise.
Dealing with your individual points though, IPCC may have been published in 2007, but the model runs reported were made in 2004 in most cases, similarly, Hansen's paper was published in 1988, but the model runs were started in 1985, thus forecast validation can usefully be made from when the runs started, rather than when they were published. Secondly, the pictures you and John showed were not correct if you wanted to do a short term forecast simulation. The line you took from IPCC was not the envelope, or even a fair distribution of the simulations over that short period. You would find that the actual simulations would have a substantially greater error bar (as in the distribution of 8 year trends we mentioned above). Instead you used the IPCC estimate of the long term trend (which has a much smaller uncertainty). This data is easily available, and if you want to do forecast validation properly you should use it. The response you've got from other scientists is precisely because they are aware of this.
I'm not really sure what was being forecast in 1992, and I'll have to look it up before responding.
Gavin- A further comment. Based on your analysis is it fair to conclude that linking the 2007 NH sea ice melt to long-term climate change is equally as misguided as comparing an 8-year record of global temperatures to long-term climate change?
Bob Ward should take the UK's Met Office Hadley Center to the courts as they have made exactly the same claim as the telegraph Newspaper. What's source for the goose is source for the gander as I think they say.
I offer this brief off-topic introduction. I have been a regular at the accuweather blog for awhile now, and I've come here because I welcome the more disciplined moderation policy here. I'm weary of seeing the same denier lies repeated relentlessly with no apparent intervention. The mere fact that several of the more egregious deniers there complain of being "censored" here raises my appreciation for this site.
This particular piece is an excellent example of the kind of reasoned, analytic, and scientific information about AGW that I seek. Regarding Corneliussen's comment (number 3) above, I do hope that nobody takes Jacoby too seriously. While there is, of course, some statistical likelihood that we are entering a period of cooling, I would remind us that a) even a stuck (analog) clock is right twice a day and b) even if we do enter a period of cooling, my take on our current understanding (which may eventually prove incorrect) is that the anthropogenic warming signal will make such cooling less pronounced than it would otherwise be.
In short, even a period of cooling will not, of itself, invalidate the AGW hypothesis whatsoever. Even in that scenario, it seems to me that the question is whether or not the measured temperature is or is not warmer than it would be without the measured dramatic increase in anthropogenic atmospheric CO2.
I am curious why you chose an 8 year running average. Those who suggest that global warming has "stopped" or that the data does not suggest recent global warming usually say "since 2000" or "since 2001". These would indicate 7 year or 6 year averages, yet you choise a 8 year average for illustration.
Fig.1.1. of the 4AR reference given clearly shows that since 2001 we have stable global temperatures (2001 to 2005, now we know this to be true also for 2006 and 2007); this is an observational situation that was never found before since 1990. So ignoring trends, and focusing on year to year variability, what would be the correct conclusion to draw?
For what it's worth, the blue 8-year trend lines all seem to converge into a positive linear trend between 1995 and 2005, suggesting a consistent increase in temps. Obviously it isn't worth much since a decade isn't really long enough to look for climate trends, but I don't understand what Tierney and Pielke Jr's logic is. Even a rudimentary understanding of trends and stats renders their point moot.
I've been staring at the Hadley data lately, and they are definitely reporting cooling for the last two to three years. It seems this is far more southern hemisphere than northern, and far more ocean than land.
First, what meaning can be derived from the difference between land and ocean anomalies? Is it accurate to produce a global average which gives the ocean temperature more weight than land? In other words, is an "area average" a good way to determine the actual global trend?
Second, have the instruments being used to determine sea surface temperature been satisfactorily validated? If I recall correctly, there have been some problems correctly interpreting readings from the instruments which were launched several years ago.
Or is this more related to the difference in methods Gavin mentioned?
Well, my first clue is when you misrepresented why I did, and what John Tierney reported. You characterized the effort as "attempts to validate (or falsify) IPCC projections of global temperature change over the period 2000-2007." No such claims were made by me, and I don't think by Tierney.
So why misrepresent what we said? Models of open systems cannot in principle be "validated" (see Oreskes et al 1994).
I simply compared IPCC predictions with observations as an example of how to do a verification, which is standard practice in the atmospheric sciences, but much less so in the climate modeling community (and yes, I think this is indeed the case). Instead of telling your readers all of the reasons that a verification exercise is "misguided" you might have instead constructively pointed to the relevant forecasts with proper uncertainty bars (please do post up the link), or better yet, simply shown how an analysis comparing 2000-2007 with relevant predictions would have been done to your satisfaction.
Given that you point to the IPCC AR4 Figure 1.1 in positive fashion, I remain confused about your complaint about what I did — I don't recall you complaining about IPCC efforts in verification previously.
How about this: We agree that rigorous forecast verification is important. There also does not a clear agreement among researchers as to (a) what variables are most important to verify (b) Over what times scales, (c) what actual constitutes the relevant forecasts, and (d) what actually constitutes the relevant observational verification databases. Then this is a subject to work through collegially, rather than try to discredit, dismiss, or suppress.
PS. As I stated on my blg. If discussing forecast verification in the context of climate model predictions is to be a sign of "skepticism," then climate science is in bad shape. For the record I accept the consensus of IPCC WG I.
Can you provide graphs of the other data sets? I want to see them do just as well..
If you replace 8-year trend lines with n-year, at what value of n do they start to faithfully reflect the underlying trend?
I see now that in reporting in item 3 above on the Boston Globe's Jeff Jacoby's contribution in the category of misconstruing weather as climate, I probably should have bee explicit: my own opinion, for what it's worth, is that Jacoby's contribution is preposterous.
You indicated that the GISS product extrapolates over the arctic region. Extrapolate means to infer or estimate by extending or projecting known information. How is this done and can you explain why is it valid? Is this simply using widely spaced and limited data from within the arctic itself and extrapolating to cover the entire region, or extrapolating somehow from the perimeter of the arctic?
B. Your graphs starts immediately before a volcanic eruption that had a large effect on global temperatures.
I'm afraid burying it (and IMO downplaying it) in your comments does not draw an accurate picture.
Jon P writes " Can you provide graphs of the other data sets? I want to see them do just as well" I agree. And this, of course, brings up the perennial question. Which of the various data sets of average annual global temperature anomaly is closest to the truth? When we get some good scientific analysis which brings an understanding of that question, we will have advanced the yardsticks a very long way.
Is there an element of "cherry picking" in this article? Would an illustration using HadCRU or RSS with a moving average of either 5, 6, 7, or 9 years been as helpful to you in making your point?
As a layman who is trying to understand this issue, I've been struggling with how to assess the forecast skill of the GCMs. I think this is an extremely important issue and I wish I could find more information regarding tests that would confirm or falsify the forecasting skill of the GCMs. I agree with your point that short-term deviations from a trend are not necessarily significant and do not necessarily indicate that the GCM's are unreliable. However, I think that Roger Pielke, Jr. has a point when he suggests that accurate short-term forecasts are used to show how reliable the GCMs are, but inaccurate short-term forecasts are attributed to random noise in the actual data. This seems like a "head we win, tails you loose" verification method.
As another example, I have read here how the GCM's accurately forecast the effect of the Pinatubo erruption. If by accurate, you mean that the GCM's predicted that dumping massive amounts of aersols into the atmosphere would cause cooling, I am not impressed. The mental model that exists in my head would be just as "accurate". If, however, by "accurate" you mean that the GCM's made reasonably close predictions of the extent of the cooling, then it seems you are playing the "head I win, tails you loose" game suggested by Roger Pielke's comment.
Walt, you said you'd been "staring at the data" and that Hadley was "definitely reporting …." How much statistics do you know? Did you do any math? People are very good at detecting trends simply by looking at images — and very often see what is not actually there.
This worked to detect large predators — imagining a leopard has low cost compared to not seeing a leopard — but the same talent leads to gross error — imagining a recession is expensive compared to not noticing a recession.
Looking doesn't suffice for definitely reporting. Math may.
I understand the problem with short term trends.
However, if someone says "the last 6 or 7 years is suggestive that global warming has stopped" it is not good form to refute by showing a spread of 8 year trends. It just inserts another issue.
Why 8 for the refutation rather than the 6 or 7 year record advanced in the original assertion?
The problem here is that you dont have weather variability you have VOLCANO variability. If you factor out the volcano effects, ( I recall tamino doing something similiar on his site) and then look at the 8 year trend you will get a different picture. That might be an interesting excercise. Tamino??
Some interesting comments here, and would just like to add my own observations, well not my "own" but reports here in Scandinavia. Spitzbergen is having extremely mild conditions, and when I say mild, well. Last week is was the warmest place in Norway about +8C, and heavy preciptation at their main weather station, 43mm in one day, and no it was not snow, it was rain. There is still no winter sea ice south of the islands, neither was there any for the past 2 winters. Further south on the mainland of Norway, the high plateaus are having huge snow deposits and its only January, something like 10-12 meters already on the Jolsterdals glacier. Because of the milder winter "weather", records are being broken all the time with precipitation, most likely the record of over 5000mm is in danger.
Thanks but this is a pretty lame response: "In a collegial spirit, I suggest you download the model data directly from PCMDI and really look at what you can learn from it." You are the climate scientist no? If you are unwilling to explain what is substantively wrong is my efforts to provide an example of forecast verification, then so be it.
1) Nothing really can now be said on the skill of 2007 IPCC predictions.
2) By contrast IPCC dramatically over-predicted temperature increases in its 1990 report.
For 1995, 2001 (and some interesting surprises) please tune in next week.
Gavin, if you do decide to provide substantive critiques of the two conclusions above please do share them, as I still have absolutely no idea what your complaint about this exercise actually is, other than the fact that it took place.
Is there a connection that's obvious from the models, or other studies?
Roger Pielke Jr is capable of doing good work, but too often he just likes to be provocative and will be disingenuous to do it. His latest critique of the IPCC is another unfortunate example of the later.
Roger took a quote from a comment of mine on RealClimate about Environmental Defense's website. I wrote that I liked the Q&A section where readers could submit questions about climate change. Roger on his blog dishonestly claimed that Dr Judith Curry made my comment and claimed Dr Curry was endorsing Environmental Defense's politics. Roger then blocked my comments when I tried to correct his mistaken claims.
Its a bit of a stretch for him to complain that RC is selectively editing his comments.
So what is it that you are complaining about again?
p.s. If you're still not getting it, try reading our popular post "Doubts about the advent of spring".
Not sure I follow your train of thought, but I can handle that last question: the Hadley graphs clearly come down for the past two years, and I have seen the results from number crunchers which validate that result.
The color coded maps clearly show two large cooling regions, both over water.
The graphs for northern and southern hemisphere are broken out; the northern hemisphere goes up continuously while the southern hemisphere goes down in the last two years.
The graphs for land and sea are broken out. Land goes up sharply through the most recent year; sea temps trend down noticably over the last two years.
Mr. O'Sullivan (31): I'm not sure why RC lets off-topic hearsay comments with personal attacks through like this but for the record you are welcome to post a comment on our site at any time. I have no idea what you are talking about regarding Judy, but she is a top scholar who I have an awful lot of respect for, even though we don't always agree on everything.
In no case is the uncertainty low enough for the 8 year trend to be useful for testing models or projections.
A pdf / frequency distribution of the eight year trends from your graph might be interesting too. The centre of the distribution should be ~0.2/decade.
Gavin, I think you're copying me! My own version of the signal-to-noise issue is here, my display of year-end results from NASA GISS is here, and while I'm waiting for HadCRU and NCDC to post their year-end data I looked at northern-hemisphere land data from NASA here.
I guess it's often true, great minds think alike.
Jon, it looks like my blog isn't the only place you're contributing a drive-by pot-shot. As I responded there, I haven't posted the year-end results from HadCRU or NCDC because they haven't been put in the online data files yet.
My last comment on this thread. As the focus of your criticism, you have selected from a series of posts leading to one focused on a much longer time period starting in 1990 an example that I provided to show what verification looks like using IPCC AR4 predictions from 2000 (hence 8 years). You ignore the longer term view that I have provided.
Not only that, you pretend as if I did not explicitly acknowledge in my first post that nothing can be said about verification over 8 years, for exactly the reasons that you describe here. Instead, you suggest that I have implied otherwise.
If you can do a better verification of historical IPCC predictions, then by all means show it. There are many forecasts that have been made since 1990 and the more people engaged in this the better.
More generally, you guys at RC may indeed be the smartest guys in the room, but sometimes constructive efforts are more appropriate than simply criticism of why everyone else doesn't meet your standards. I'll continue the exercise next week, with verifications for IPCC 1995 and 2001 and then I'll place all four assessments into comparative context. I have no doubt that you won't like any of it, but even so, your comments are welcomed, but especially constructive comments.
Thanks for the exchange today, and providing a forum for discussion here at RC.
So it appears from Pielke's graph from 1990 on that the actual data is consistent with a CO2 doubling sensitivity of about 1.5C and from Wigley's comments based on observations prior to 1987 a climate sensitivity of less than 2C for 2x CO2. So looking at these "long-term" trends isn't it reasonable to question the output of GCM that place CO2 climate sensitivity well above 2C?
I realize this may be a complex question to answer so if you could direct me to link with an explanation that would be helpful to me.
Jon Pemberton has commented on my blog that he's not taking pot-shots, just asking a question. I have no reason not to believe him. So, my apologies.
Well, no, because a sample size of N = 7 isn't enough to be statistically meaningful. But if you do a linear regression, the trend is up. Try it yourself!
I think that roger is trying to wind you all up here RC. It looks to me as if you have wasted enough time answering his queries and deliberate attempts at obfuscation.
You have a great deal of patience.
I second that pete best (#43).
What is your opinion on the "skill" of the 2007 IPCC projections?
I was caught off guard by the 2007 NASA hemispheric and global temperature anomalies which just came out. It seems that December of 2007 was much warmer than NOAA and others had figured.
Re #40: Gavin, now why did you exclude the volcanic forcing when figuring the GISS "actual" forcing increases? Is there no "average natural aerosol forcing" that is assumed in the projections? It seems plausible anyway that when volcanic forcing is added then the forcing increase due just to the emmissions scenario is going to be higher than you have shown. It may in fact be close to what is shown by the 1992 report? Roger states that we are running on the high end of the emmissions scenario. Please advise.
Cite please? For a two or three year trend to be significant it has to be huge.
Gavin, Tamino, could y'all do what William Connolley did in his exercise (stoat, link above) and indicate on your similar images which of the short-term trend lines are significant and which aren't? It helps make the point that we can't _see_ which is which on a picture.
What I would like to see is a 29 year graph (1979 – 2007) with all the data sets GISS, UAH, RSS, and HADCRUT3v as a comparison.
Love to have an explanation of the differences between the data sets (what average warming trend they are showing and why they 'might' be different) and if there are discrepancies between the actual data and any modeling for the same period.
I am assuming that this data exists for the requested time period.
As you can all tell I am a layman, but find this all very interesting and believe all temperature measurement data in one "post" would be the most beneficial to many people.
No deniers, no alarmists, just science. Cue the Coke commercial music…..
Ref 42 Christian writes "Well, no, because a sample size of N = 7 isn't enough to be statistically meaningful. But if you do a linear regression, the trend is up. Try it yourself!" I have and you are quite right when you start any time in the 1970's. Which means current temperatures are significantly higher than they were in the 1970's. However, if you try any other sort of least squares regression fit, e.g. polynomial, then the NASA/GISS data still shows increasing temperatures, but the other data sets show that temperatures have stabilized, if not actually peaked. I used CurveExpert 1.3 for the analysis; shareware.


On his last day as prime minister, Malcolm Turnbull fessed up: "The truth is that the Coalition finds it very hard to get agreement on anything to do with emissions." Today, as the world reacts to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's dire warning that the world has just 12 years left to limit warming to 1.5 degrees, we see more evidence of what Turnbull was belatedly saying. What planet are these people living on?
Prime Minister Scott Morrison, who carried a lump of coal into parliament and whose chief of staff was formerly deputy CEO of the Minerals Council, says [$], "We're not throwing money into some global climate fund and getting pulled around by the nose by all these international agencies when it comes to these other reports." The deputy PM and Nationals leader Michael McCormack maintains that the government won't change policies on coal "just because somebody might suggest that some sort of report is the way we need to follow and everything that we should do". The new environment minister, Melissa Price, a former mining industry lawyer, gives a train wreck interview on the ABC, where she gets her degrees Celsius and per cents mixed up. Price also blithely insisted, without any reference to facts, that Australia was on track to meet its Paris targets, and that the suggestion coal use would need to be phased out by 2050 was "drawing a very long bow".
A small network of concerned Liberals is trying to turn the party's denialist position on climate change around. Former Liberal leader John Hewson is a regular commentator in favour of climate action. In late 2016, Kristina Photios, wife of the NSW Liberal Party powerbroker Michael, quit the party to speak out against a "vocal minority" of conservatives who she said were preventing any progress on climate policy by the Turnbull government. Then there's former chief executive of the Clean Energy Finance Corporation (CEFC), Oliver Yates, who was last year ejected from a Liberal Party fundraising event in Melbourne after loudly objecting to the presentation of a lump of brown coal to then treasurer Morrison, by Senator Jane Hume. A decade ago, Yates himself unsuccessfully sought preselection for the NSW Liberals Senate ticket.
Yates spent more than a decade at Macquarie Bank and ran the CEFC for five years, including under the Abbott government, which tried and failed to abolish it, so knows the economics of energy and emissions well. The CEFC was set up under the Labor government of Julia Gillard, at the behest of the Greens, and was given $10 billion to invest in clean energy. Dubbed "Bob Brown's slush fund" by the Liberals, the CEFC actually made money, lending to a slew of renewable energy projects that otherwise may not have gone ahead. When he spoke to RenewEconomy last year, Yates flagged that he might set up a Liberal Environment Party, and run in the Melbourne electorate of Kooyong (Josh Frydenberg's seat) where he now lives – perhaps picking up where the old Liberals for Forests left off. Yates hasn't done that, choosing instead to continue trying to change the Liberals from within. When he speaks at local branch meetings, he says, there are the usual climate deniers, but on average roughly 40 per cent of the audience will agree with him. He gets loud claps.
The problem with today's Liberal Party, Yates says, is that the average age of members – the so-called "base" – is about 68, and their narrow extremism makes meetings unappealing to anyone with moderate views, who therefore shy away. Hawthorn Football Club would swamp the whole membership. Yates says preselections are undemocratic, controlled by a cabal, and bullying is rife – he has had Liberals try to get him sacked for speaking out about climate change.
The Guardian reports that Racing NSW has cancelled a live barrier draw for the Everest horse race, citing security risks amid ongoing public outrage at plans to project the results on the Sydney Opera House.
Also in The Guardian, columnist Greg Jericho examines where China's $40 billion investment in Australia is going.
According to The Australian, in a move to bring more firepower into the government's senior ranks, Scott Morrison has appointed [$] Peter Conran, a former senior adviser to John Howard, as his new cabinet secretary.
The AFR reports [$] that the Australian Tax Office is examining whether tax promoter penalties can be applied to the big four accounting firms, Deloitte, EY, KPMG and PwC, as it examines emails that detail how aggressive schemes were marketed.
The Australian reports [$] that the Morrison government will impose new visa conditions for thousands of migrants a year, requiring them to settle outside Sydney and Melbourne for up to five years. Labor, however, has dismissed the plan as a "thought bubble", and said that the PM voted against a similar idea when he was in Opposition.
The Guardian's Essential poll finds that voters are evenly divided on whether asylum seeker and refugee families on Nauru should be brought to Australia. The poll also shows Labor ahead of the Coalition, 53–47, unchanged from a fortnight ago.


text:
_ COVID-19 vaccination campaign: 32,734 people immunised in last 24h
COVID-19 vaccination campaign: 32,734 people immunised in last 24h
Romania's National COVID-19 Vaccination Coordination Committee (CNCAV) reported on Sunday that in the last 24 hours, 32,734 doses of the Pfizer, Moderna, AstraZeneca and Johnson & Johnson COVID-19 vaccines were administered, 6,020 first doses, 12,274 second doses, and 14,440 third doses.
Since the beginning of the mass vaccination campaign on December 27, 2020, 15,128,779 doses have been administered to 7,791,948 people, of whom 7,523,356 have been fully vaccinated, and 1,654,532 have been vaccinated with a third, booster shot.
The administration of the booster shot started on September 28, Agerpres.ro informs.
In the past 24 hours, five side effects were reported, all general.
Since the beginning of the immunisation campaign, there have been a combined 19,494 side effects to the COVID-19 vaccines, of which 2,111 local and 17,383 general.


While a lot of the simulation video games offer in depth storylines with multiple missions to win the sport, the arcade video games are restricted to single game objectives. Drag Racing is another drag racing game very like CSR and, admittedly, it doesn't look almost as good as its competitor. Now for something more retro: if you happen to grew up on arcade-racing video games like Out Run, Horizon Chase will bring the memories flooding back. Games are more practical than ever now too, so you already know you're getting an unimaginable approximation of the real thing once you sit down at house to play. ABCya is the leader in free academic computer video games and cellular apps for kids. ABCya's award-profitable Kindergarten computer video games and apps are conceived and realized under the direction of a certified expertise education trainer, and have been trusted by parents and teachers for ten years.
Gaming on our Android smartphones and tablets is becoming increasingly more popular because of an enormous selection of high quality games, large HD shows, and highly effective processors inside flagship gadgets like the Galaxy S7 or Nexus 6P. Racing video games are extraordinarily well-liked however it's exhausting to single out some of the high quality options which are really worth downloading.
Simulation model racing video games attempt to convincingly replicate the handling of an automobile They typically license real automobiles or racing leagues, however will typically use fantasy automobiles constructed to resemble actual ones if unable to accumulate an official license for them.
It's an incredible Formula 1 racing sim that doubles as a sports sim and racing RPG, as well as features some nice classic racing options because of its small but gratifying collection of historic F1 cars. By sharing these games on social networks, you may challenge your mates to see who finishes first. Challenge your friends by the video games offered on-line and reside intense moments in front of your display screen!


Way before maca, cacao, and goji berries hit the mainstream, spices were the original superfoods. No shade intended toward the newest generation of health-boosters—we're all about antioxidant-loaded treats like banana-chocolate chia pudding! But can we just take a moment to recognize how powerful some of the most-loved spices in our pantry are?
Fiery cayenne and freshly ground black pepper boost metabolism and help the body break down fat cells. Golden turmeric has anti-inflammatory properties that give Advil a run for its money, and coppery paprika is full of vitamins A and E that support cell growth and fight free-radical damage. And in irony of ironies, cinnamon, which is so often found in sugary-sweet desserts and pastries, effectively lowers blood sugar.
Missing any of the above? It might be time to upgrade your spice rack. You might want to replace any that've been chilling in your pantry for more than a year, as spices slowly lose their potency over time, even if they don't technically spoil. Keep track of how then they've been open, and definitely toss anything that's been living with you for more than three years. Then, it's time to get cooking—and you don't need to wait until dinner. Here's how to amp up the flavor (and the health factor) of breakfast favorites with a dash of ginger powder, a pinch of cayenne, and every spice in between.
So many icy drink variations, so little time. Whipping up a superfood smoothie full of fruits, veggies, and protein is one of the healthiest ways to start the day. Here's how to kick yours up a notch with spices.
Take a cue from this peach-turmeric smoothie and add a teaspoon of turmeric powder to the mix. It has an earthy taste, so the anti-inflammatory spice pairs well with bright and sweet flavors like citrus or berry.
In recipes with more fruit or natural sweeteners like honey, a scoop of cinnamon not only makes the flavors pop, but also helps prevent a spike in blood sugar levels—and the subsequent crash. Bonus: it also helps decrease bad cholesterol.
Fresh ginger has a tendency to overwhelm other flavors. Powdered ginger has all the same health benefits—it's a common anti-nausea aid and has also been studied for its anti-inflammatory and pain-relieving effects—without the biting flavor. Add at least a teaspoon to your drink to start reaping the rewards.
It's been a minute since avo toast first graced flooded our Instagram feeds, but the fast and healthy breakfast (or snack!) isn't going anywhere anytime soon. Sure, the basic recipe tastes perfectly good—it's hard to argue with a ripe avocado spread over crunchy bread. But by adding just a few spices, you can put together a restaurant-worthy plate in just a few minutes.
A teaspoon of paprika and a little sea salt sprinkled on top make a subtly spicy, savory combo. Plus, it's that happens to be great for your skin. Paprika is loaded with vitamin A, or retinol, which increases cell production and is used to treat almost every skin problem including acne, eczema, psoriasis, cold sores, wounds, burns, and sunburn. Paired with hydrating fats in avocado, this toast combo will bring on the glow.
Mix in cumin, garlic powder, and onion powder for a smoky guacamole-style mash. Cumin shows up in Middle Eastern, Indian, and Mexican cuisines, and was traditionally used as a substitute for expensive black pepper. Go nuts and throw this one into breakfast, lunch, and dinners—cumin has immunoprotective qualities so powerful that it's even been found to shield the liver from dangerous toxins.
Still a little wary of eating healthy fats? Sprinkling a little freshly ground black peppercorn over your toast may help block the formation of new fat cells. Maybe we've found our newest (and strangest) ice cream topping?
When it comes to scrambled eggs, salt and pepper is a no-brainer. But get a little creative with your power breakfast and you might find the rest of your day is a little more exciting.
Sprinkle in Italian seasoning. The pre-mixed combo of oregano, basil, marjoram, sage, and garlic makes it way easier to add Mediterranean flair to any dish—eggs included! Make this a little more culinary by cooking the eggs in tomato sauce like shakshuka and serve with some crunchy ciabatta toast.
Can't forget the cayenne! This red-hot powder delivers just enough heat to make otherwise plain scrambled eggs a main event.


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