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Quarterly Journal of Political Science > Vol 15 > Issue 3
Political Identity and Trust
Pablo Hernández-Lagos, New York University Abu Dhabi, Division of Social Sciences, UAE, pablo.hernandez@nyu.edu , Dylan Minor, University of California Los Angeles, Anderson School of Management, USA, dylan.minor@anderson.ucla.edu
Pablo Hernández-Lagos and Dylan Minor (2020), "Political Identity and Trust", Quarterly Journal of Political Science: Vol. 15: No. 3, pp 337-367. http://dx.doi.org/10.1561/100.00018063
Publication Date: 06 Jul 2020
© 2020 P. Hernández-Lagos and D. Minor
Public Economics, Economic Theory:Game Theory, Behavioral Decision Making, American political development, Game theory, Political economy, Political parties, Political psychology, Uncertainty, Principal-Agent
Trust, beliefs, political identity, polarization
We explore how political identity affects trust. In particular, we examine the extent to which political identity and objective information shape perceptions about others' trustworthiness. Using an incentivized experimental survey over a sample of the general US population, we vary information about partners' political identity to elicit trust behavior, beliefs about others' trustworthiness, and actual reciprocation. We find that beliefs depend on the political identity of the partner, but they are not always biased against out-groups. This suggests that the cross-party antagonism found in the literature does not necessarily translate into pessimism over what out-groups would do. We also find that people believe others are much less trustworthy than they actually prove to be. We then attempt to correct beliefs by disclosing historical trustworthiness. Subjects' beliefs shift only slightly, suggesting that incorrect stereotypes are difficult to correct.
DOI:10.1561/100.00018063


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The investigational MAGE-A3 antigen-s...
The investigational MAGE-A3 antigen-specific cancer immunotherapeutic does not meet first co-primary endpoint in Phase III melanoma clinical trial
In line with the Independent Data Monitoring Committee's (IDMC) unanimous recommendation, GSK will continue the DERMA trial until the second co-primary endpoint is assessed.
- In line with the Independent Data Monitoring Committee's (IDMC) unanimous recommendation, GSK will continue the DERMA trial until the second co-primary endpoint is assessed
GlaxoSmithKline plc (LSE:GSK) today announced that an independent analysis of the DERMAi study, a Phase III randomised, blinded, placebo-controlled trial of the MAGE-A3 cancer immunotherapeutic,ii showed that the study did not meet its first co-primary endpoint as it did not significantly extend disease-free survival (DFSiii) when compared to placebo in the MAGE-A3 positive population.
The DERMA study evaluated the efficacy and safety of the MAGE-A3 cancer immunotherapeutic in Stage IIIB/C melanoma patients with macroscopic nodal disease, whose tumours expressed the MAGE-A3 gene and had their tumours removed surgically. MAGE-A3 is a tumour-specific antigen that is expressed in a variety of cancers, including melanoma with no presentation in normal cells. MAGE-A3 is expressed in about 65% of Stage III melanomas.
In line with the Inependent Data Monitoring Committee's (IDMC) unanimous recommendation, GSK will continue the DERMA trial until the second co-primary endpoint is assessed. This endpoint, DFS in the gene signature positive sub-population, is designed to identify a subset of MAGE-A3 positive patients that may benefit from the treatment. Results from this analysis are expected in 2015. Until then, GSK will remain blinded to all safety and efficacy data.
The IDMC for the DERMA study indicated that the current review of the safety information raised no concern for the continuation of the trial.
"We want to thank all patients, their families and healthcare workers for their involvement in the trial and we remain committed to identifying a patient sub-population who may benefit from this investigational treatment," commented Vincent Brichard, Senior Vice-President & Head of Immunotherapeutics, GSK Vaccines.
GSK is continuing to evaluate the same investigational MAGE-A3 cancer immunotherapeutic in another independent Phase III study (MAGRIT) in Non Small Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC) following surgical removal of the primary tumour with first data anticipated in the first half of 2014.
GlaxoSmithKline – one of the world's leading research-based pharmaceutical and healthcare companies – is committed to improving the quality of human life by enabling people to do more, feel better and live longer. For further information please visit www.gsk.com
i A double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled Phase III study to assess the efficacy of recMAGE-A3 + AS15 antigen-specific cancer immunotherapeutic as adjuvant therapy in patients with MAGE-A3 positive resected stage III melanoma.(DERMA)
ii MAGE-A3 cancer immunotherapeutic consists of recombinant MAGE-A3 protein and a novel immunostimulant AS15 (a combination of QS-21 Stimulon® adjuvant, monophosphoryl lipid A, and CpG7909, a TLR-9 agonist, in a liposomal formulation). QS-21 Stimulon® adjuvant is licensed from Antigenics Inc, a wholly owned subsidiary of Agenus Inc. (NASDAQ: AGEN).
iii DFS is defined as the time from randomization to the date of first recurrence of the disease or death, whichever comes first.
1. W.H.J. Kruit, S. Suciu, B. Dreno, L. Mortier, C. Robert, V. Chiarion-Sileni, M. Maio, A. Testori, T. Dorval, J-J. Grob, J.C. Becker, A. Spatz, A.M. Eggermont, J. Louahed, F.F. Lehmann, V.G. Brichard, and U. Keilholz. Selection of immunostimulant AS15 for active immunization with MAGE A3 protein: Results of a randomized Phase II study of the EORTC Melanoma Group in metastatic melanoma). J Clin Oncol. 2013;July 1(Vol 31, n 19):2413-2420
2. J. Vansteenkiste, M. Zielinski, A. Linder, J. Dahabreh, E.E. Gonzalez, W. Malinowski, M. Lopez-Brea, T. Vanakesa, J. Jassem, H. Kalofonos, J. Perdeus, R. Bonnet, J. Basko, R. Janilionis, B. Passlick, T. Treasure, M. Gillet, F.F. Lehmann, and V.G. Brichard. Adjuvant MAGE-A3 Immunotherapy in Resected Non–Small-Cell Lung Cancer: Phase II Randomized Study Results. J Clin Oncol. 2013;Jul 1( vol. 31 no. 19 ):2396-2403

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


Throughout our history with the company, we performed multiple projects- Sales Process, Sales Structure, and Channel Management. Register here for a copy of our Inside Sales talent management scorecard to see how Inside Sales Reps should be evaluated.
They can't afford to hire enough sales people to cover the markets, they don't have enough deep expertise in certain markets, they need to collaborate with others to provide a complete solution to their customers. Most organizations have found they need to leverage some form of partner or channel to reach all the potential customers, maximizing their ability to sell and grow. In the end, through this benign neglect, the channel never quite reaches it's potential.
"Should we hire an external Sales Manager or promote from within?". Open Sales Management positions are bad for sales organizations. Having the wrong Sales Manager (SM) is worse. This post helps you decide between hiring an internal or external Sales Manager.
I read an article in which the position was put forth, "Inside sales does not have the responsibility for creating pipeline, only the responsibility for selling. Enter the realm of account management/territory. We have inside/outside/partner/channel sales people.
It doesn't matter what you call the role: the sales development rep (SDR), the business development rep (BDR) or the inside sales rep (ISR). Measuring a sales development rep's effectiveness matters. Many sales managers know this. By: Doug Dzina.
hire a two new sales reps. redo the sales process. change the sales strategy. promote a new sales manager. establish new territories. create a sales operations function. establish and inside sales team. build an outside sales team. develop a channel strategy. " or "Let's just create and inside sales team." You can't just. create a new comp plan and commission structure.
Increasing sales productivity. Senior sales leadership spends a great deal of time thinking about how to improve sales productivity. They invest in sales training . They change compensation systems and territorial designs. Adding Channels. Sales Training.
For sales leaders, this means identifying and executing on a new set of sales strategies to make our new number. Unfortunately, for most sales organizations there is very little strategy and a whole lot of goals. If you're head of sales and you're responsible for growth goals you need strategies NOT just goals. At the end of the day growth strategies are going to be different based on the industry, the company, the sales organization, the products and more.
Quantifying Sales & Marketing Maturity for VCs, Corporate M&A, & Private Equity. They were in the middle of uncovering just how much work they had to do on the sales and marketing front. The existing sales and marketing leadership was really struggling with everything from top of funnel lead generation to building the right org structure. And, from a maturity perspective, how mature is the sales and marketing organization compared to those key competitors.
If you're a regular reader of our blog, you've seen quite a bit about sales productivity in the last few weeks. And for good reason—sales productivity is the theme of our 2018 Growth Acceleration Summit! 6 Outdated Sales Techniques That Hurt Your Productivity. Sales productivity.


text:
package com.sharegame.model.user;

public enum Gender {
	MALE,FEMALE
}

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaGithub


Immediate Release – King of Prussia, PA – November 20, 2017 – RSVP Executive Director, Michele Moll was named a Winner of two Silver Stevie® Awards in the Female Executive of the Year and Most Innovative Woman of the Year categories in the 14th annual Stevie® Awards for Women in Business.
The Stevie Awards for Women in Business honor women executives, entrepreneurs, employees and the organizations they run – worldwide. The Stevie Awards have been hailed as the world's premier business awards.
More than 1,500 nominations from organizations of all sizes and virtually every industry were submitted this year for consideration in more than 90 categories, including Entrepreneur of the Year, Executive of the Year, Company of the year, among others.
Under the leadership of Michele Moll, RSVP has experienced dynamic program growth and expansion beyond Montgomery County to positively impact vulnerable populations in Delaware and Chester counties as well as to educationally disadvantaged youth and veterans in Philadelphia. Program expansion required additional staffing, as well as reassigning staff to manage program impact.
building support to other nonprofits and by reading to Head Start preschoolers. Last year, the lives of 11,000 community residents were improved by 1,200 volunteers. For the whole article,Click here.


Rent a Dumpster in Millcreek Now!
Simply give us a call and we will answer any questions you may have about the Millcreek dumpster rental procedure, allowed materials, size you may need, etc.
Our roll off containers can usually be delivered in Millcreek the day after you place your order. Make sure to call us early to ensure timely delivery.
Depending on the size of your endeavor, you may require a little or large dumpster that can hold all of the debris and remaining materials.
The most frequent dumpsters contain 10-yard, 20-yard, 30-yard, and 40-yard models. When you have a small endeavor, such as clearing out a garage or cellar, you can probably benefit from a 10-yard or 20-yard dumpster. When you have a larger endeavor, such as a complete remodel or constructing a brand new home, then you'll most likely need a 30-yard or 40-yard dumpster.
A lot of folks decide to rent a larger dumpster than they believe they will want. Although renting a larger dumpster prices more money, it is more economical than having to an additional dumpster after a little one gets total.
The total amount of time that you have to rent a dumpster in Millcreek generally depends on the kind of project you're working on. A small project, including a basement clean out, will probably take a number of days to complete while bigger projects, like building a new house, could take several months.
Most firms in Millcreek are happy to adjust their schedules to suit your needs. Keep in mind, however, that the longer you keep the dumpster, the more you will have to pay for it.
When you contact firms in Millcreek, ask them how long their durations are. Many will allow you options such as several days or one week, however there are generally longer terms available, too.
The cost to rent a dumpster in Millcreek depends on several variables such as the size you need and how long you need to keep it to complete your job. Typically, you can expect to spend more money for bigger dumpsters. Keeping the dumpster for a longer amount of time may also raise the cost.
Getting quotes is one of the very best methods to compare dumpster costs to be sure to get a fair deal. Since some firms may charge additional fees, it is very important to make sure the price quote comprises all the gear and services which you need.
Usually, renting a dumpster in Millcreek is an affordable means to remove debris from a construction, remodeling, or clean out endeavor. As long as you get price quotes so you can compare your options, you need to find that you could get a good deal on a in Millcreek.
The smallest size roll-off dumpster generally accessible is 10 yards. This container will carry about 10 cubic yards of waste and debris, which is approximately equivalent to 3 to 5 pickup truck loads of waste. This dumpster is a good option for small jobs, including modest dwelling cleanouts.
Other examples of jobs that a 10 yard container would work well for contain: A garage, shed or attic cleanout A 250 square foot deck removal 2,000 to 2,500 square feet of single layer roofing shingles A modest kitchen or bathroom remodeling project Concrete or soil removal Getting rid of junk Be aware that weight restrictions for the containers are demanded, so exceeding the weight limit will incur additional costs. The standard weight limit for a 10 yard bin is 1 to 3 tons (2,000 to 6,000 pounds).
A 10 yard bin will help you take good care of small jobs around the house. For those who have a bigger project coming up, take a peek at some bigger containers also.
Virtually all roll of dumpsters have the exact same width (typically eight feet). That makes it feasible for businesses to make use of the same trucks to transport a wide variety of dumpsters. When you see a dumpster's measurements, Thus , you can presume they refer to depth and length. You may even see dumpster sizes recorded by yards. This actually refers to square yards that measure the dumpster's volume.
In case you are coordinating a sizable commercial job, then you'll likely need a 40-yard dumpster or larger. Substantial house renovations may demand a 30-yard dumpster, but most smaller home repairs just need 20-yard or even 10-yard dumpsters. Speak with an expert if you need more advice on picking a dumpster size that fits your project.
Renting a 40 yard dumpster can get you a container that holds about 40 cubic yards of waste. Dumpster sizes and dimensions are not totally standard from company to company, but common measurements for a 40 yard container are 22 feet long by 8 feet wide by 8 feet high. This is the largest size that a lot of dumpster businesses normally rent, therefore it is perfect for large residential projects in addition to for commercial and industrial use.
All major credit cards accepted for dumpster rentals in Millcreek.


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Stefan, imię świeckie Stefan Kalaidżiszwili (ur. 9 lutego 1959 w Achalciche) – gruziński duchowny prawosławny, od 2015 metropolita Cageri i Lentechi.

Życiorys
27 listopada 1994 otrzymał święcenia diakonatu, a 10 listopada 1996 prezbiteratu. 27 października 2002 przyjął chirotonię biskupią. 1 listopada 2015 podniesiony został do godności metropolity.

Bibliografia

Linki zewnętrzne
 Biogram w bazie orthodoxia.ch

Gruzińscy biskupi prawosławni
Urodzeni w 1959

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaWikipedia


Whether you have used a distributor or fulfillment house for years, or are newly exploring the possibility, as a publisher you should be aware of legal and financial pitfalls lurking inside these contracts.
The terms of a distribution or fulfillment agreement should be spelled out in detail in a written contract and signed by both parties. Ideally, that contract will be drafted by an experienced attorney. But sometimes distributors or fulfillment houses draft their own contracts without attorney input, often creating ambiguities that can strain the relationship when the parties interpret a provision differently.
Either way, the distributor or fulfillment agent generally presents you with its form contract. As publisher, you should be on the lookout for troublesome provisions in the contract before you sign and for instances when your agent does not fulfill its promises after you sign.
The relationship between a publisher and distributor or fulfillment company is an agency agreement that designates the distributor or fulfillment house as the publisher's financial agent. The agreement often authorizes the agent to collect money for books you have sold and remit payment to you. It also specifies that the agent may deduct its service fees from your collections before remitting the balance to you. Your agent is allowed to keep sale proceeds it has collected on your behalf only when and in the amounts that you specifically authorize.
The following are some of the more frequent pitfalls I have seen in the distribution and fulfillment contracts I have reviewed as counsel for publishers.
Undisclosed charges. These are line-item charges that appear on your invoice but not in your contract. My clients have been surprised by noncontractual charges for everything from Barnes & Noble freight chargebacks, the Baker & Taylor rebate program, and shipping charges the distributor said it would pay, to 1.5 percent late fee penalties, and an $80 fee for correcting one numeral in database entries. Hidden charges may appear under the heading "Miscellaneous" on your agent's invoices.
Other undisclosed charges may apply when you terminate the agency relationship, such as hundreds of dollars in fees for picking and packing cartons of your books, labeling the cartons, and palletizing the cartons. Your contract may list only a flat fee for termination and not these hidden costs. So ask about all costs you might incur when terminating the relationship before entering into a new or renewal contract.
By far the largest hidden charge can cost publishers up to thousands of dollars a month. I have never seen a contract that authorizes this practice. But many companies handling fulfillment as agents force their publisher-customers to bankroll them—essentially give them a line of credit as a bank would—when book wholesalers return the publisher's books.
For example, when a wholesaler, such as Ingram or Baker & Taylor, orders your books in May, your fulfillment agent adds the discounted purchase price of your books to a master invoice it sends to the wholesaler. That master invoice also lists books that the wholesaler ordered that month from your agent's other publisher-customers. The invoice does not mention you or any other individual publisher. The wholesaler just gets an invoice in the agent's name for a total sum.
The wholesaler may not have to pay your agent's May invoice until September or later under the terms of its contract with the fulfillment agent. But the wholesaler may return some of your books in June that it ordered in May, books whose costs appear on your agent's May invoice. The wholesaler then pays your agent less in June because it has deducted the cost of the returned books. When September rolls around, the wholesaler will still pay for all of your books ordered in May even though some of them were returned in June.
Rather than carry the June cash-flow shortfall itself from June to September, your agent charges you for it in June by deducting the shortfall from the amount of collections it remits to you. The result is that you end up lending the money the wholesaler owes your agent (and you) for your books until the wholesaler pays the agent's May invoice in September. In effect, you buy your own books for a few months.
To avoid these and other unpleasant surprises, ask that your contract list all possible types of charges you might ever see on your agent's invoice (even if some of them appear unlikely), and the potential amounts. Request this charge sheet before you initially enter into or renew a distributor or fulfillment house contract. Then if you see a charge that is not in the contract, demand that it be taken off your invoice. You do not want to pay a fee you did not agree to pay simply because you did not assert your legal rights.
Return reserves. Fulfillment agents also force publishers to bankroll them with "return reserves." For example, one contract I reviewed states expressly that the distributor/fulfillment agent will remit to the publisher only 70 percent of book sale proceeds it collects each month, keeping the other 30 percent for a rolling nine months as a reserve against book returns. After nine months, the 30 percent withholds more than nine months old begin to be paid to the publisher on a rolling monthly basis. The reserves over a period of nine months can total thousands of dollars.
Other fulfillment agents may selectively withhold collections for a month at a time as a return reserve.
I have yet to see a contract that permits either practice. If your fulfillment agent withholds your funds as a return reserve, check to see whether your contract gave it the right to do that. If not, keeping those funds from you is illegal.
Insurance charges. Some distributors or fulfillment houses give you the option of insuring your books stored in their warehouse, either through your own insurance agent or through them. Insurance is a must, as hundreds of warehoused books have been known to disappear at a time.
If you choose to insure through the distributor or fulfillment house, make sure it is authorized under state law to sell insurance by checking the state department of insurance's Web site. Otherwise, it is collecting your insurance premium payments illegally. I know of one large distributor currently under investigation for insurance fraud for this reason. To be sure, ask the distributor or fulfillment agent for a copy of the Certificate of Insurance issued by a bona fide insurance company showing your company as a named insured on the policy.
Percentage of orders service charges. Most companies performing fulfillment duties charge a percentage of the dollar amount of book sales invoiced to buyers each month as their service fee. The charge can be as low as 14 percent to 30 percent or more, depending on whether your agent also does marketing for you.
Many distributors and fulfillment houses also assess a variety of add-ons to the percentage fee. For example, one distributor/fulfillment agent I know charges an 18 percent monthly fee plus piece rates for every step of fulfillment, including answering the phone, creating labels, and using its computer or fax to receive an order. Another distributor/fulfillment agent charges the higher of a percentage of sales or a flat rate. Still others say they will remit to the publisher a percentage of the retail or wholesale price of books sold.
Read your contract carefully to determine what you have agreed to pay for services your agent renders. Then analyze your monthly invoices to confirm that only contractual charges are being deducted from your payments.
Annual fee increases. Some distribution and fulfillment agents unilaterally increase their service fees and/or add-on charges every year without negotiating an increase with you. If your contract does not expressly allow fee increases to be imposed on you, the new rates are not legally binding. You must agree to any change in the terms of your contract for it to be enforceable.
If you point this out and your agent asks you to sign a contract amendment that allows fee increases, demand something of value in return for the amendment. A contract, including an amendment, must have "legal consideration" to support it. In this context, consideration means something of value to the publisher in return for the fee increase. For example, you might negotiate that the new fees be locked in for five years, or that another fee be reduced, or that return reserves be paid over to you immediately, or that some other contract term be changed in your favor before you sign the amendment.
● Can the distributor change the discounts given to wholesalers or retailers without your permission, reducing your income as a result?
● Are you responsible for book buyers' bad debts?
● Is a "shrinkage" percentage specified, allowing your agent to lose or damage a percentage of your books without paying you for them?
● What are the penalties for late payment of your agent's invoice (for instance, can it refuse to accept book orders until you pay)?
● What do you have to do to get out of the contract (such as give so many days advance notice), and does your agent have to continue its duties during the notice period?
With a little cooperation from both sides, publishers and distributors or fulfillment houses can amicably negotiate and navigate the relationship of trust they both expect.
Nanci L. Danison, J.D., is an attorney with 35 years experience and an author of three books and 20 CDs/DVDs. She can be reached at NDanison@sbcglobal.net.


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Q: Set another class' property I want to set an NSString property of a main view from a nested view. I do so right now by allocating the previous class and accessing the class.property. When I pop the view controller programmatically and NSLog the property from the main view, it's null.
How does this happen?
EDIT:
MainViewController *controller = [[MainViewController alloc] init];
switch (indexPath.row) {
    case 0:
        controller.category = @"Categorie 1";
        break;
    default:
        break;
}
[controller release];

A: You mentioned you are going to pop the viewController so I assume you are trying to set a property of the controller below the navigation stack.
Instead of creating a new object of the class, you should get back the original object that was already created.
NSArray *viewControllers = [self.navigationController viewControllers]; // array of viewControllers currently on the navigation stack.
MainVC *mainVC = (mainVC *)[viewControllers objectAtIndex:viewControllers.count - 2];
[mainVC setProperty:...];

A: Well first of all, you cannot access a specific instance's properties by simply calling the class.  The class has no connection to any specific instance of it.
You need to have an instance variable in your nested view that references the parent.  set this up when you create it.  Then when you are in the child view controller you can still access the parent.
Something like this in the child:
MyParentViewController *parentVC;

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaStackExchange


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text:
← We Are Who We Eat
The Sword and Laser Anthology is Out! →
Alandar: The Duchy of Galaspin
Ruling the better part of the fertile Trell River Valley, Galaspin is country of adventurers, entrepreneurs, explorers, and craftsmen who have forged for themselves and impressively stable, if somewhat corrupt, nation in an area coveted by everyone from nurlings to Dellorans to the distant arahk. While not as wealthy as Eretheria, powerful as Akral, large as Eddon, or influential as Saldor, Galaspin has established its reputation on its good relationship with the prickly Guilds of Freegate and its undying devotion to the Arcanostrum and the Alliance — two connections that have served it well over the centuries. Known as the "terriers of the West" Galaspin's greatest export — heroes — has placed its name in the annals of every history book from Eddon to Obrinport.
Galaspin is not a feudal kingdom in the manner of Eretheria or Akral. The Duke of Galaspin is the supreme ruler of the territory—he makes the laws, he levies the army, he collects the taxes. There are no 'noble' houses here, and the title of 'knight' or 'baron' is simply an indication of a level of service to the Duke, bestowed upon whomsoever His Grace sees as fit to fulfill the position at hand. Barons serve as executive overseers of certain areas of country, usually working from a home base in a castle or small town with a series of knights underneath them as deputies, and act with the Duke's full authority, though they are not allowed to supercede that authority in any way. The Duke is advised by the Parliament of Guilds—an association of guild leaders (called 'Guild Lords') that keeps the Duke appraised of the economic and social needs of the people. Though they have no actual power in Galaspin political life, the Guild Lords represent a large, wealthy, and influential group of people who, if angered, could cause serious trouble for a headstrong Duke and possibly even have him overthrown. This, in theory, keeps the Duke somewhat in check and makes sure that he pays attention to his people…that is, in theory anyway.
In practice, Galaspiner politics is far less cut-and-dry. Though the Duke does hold sway in all matters of state, the Dukes of Galaspin have been, by and large, great admirers of a laissez-faire philosophy of government. Though the Duke's barons will keep the peace and ensure that life runs smoothly, all it takes for an enterprising individual to get the law to look the other way is to put a little money in the local baron's coffers. Known as paying 'right tribute,' such bribes are perfectly legal in Galaspin, so long as the Duke gets his cut. Of course, Galaspiner law is designed to require as many of these bribes as possible, meaning that there are de facto rules and regulations governing just about every possible aspect of society. Want to build a house larger than 10' x 10'? Pay right tribute. Want to sink a well on your farm deeper than 12' 6"? Pay right tribute. Want to get married without a local knight coming to 'inspect' the bride? Pay right tribute. The size of these tributes is largely dependent on what the briber can afford, though being unfriendly with the local baron can cause a Galaspiner incredible headaches as they find the cost to own so much as a single horse and saddle is exorbitant.
No Baron wants somebody like this challenging them to a duel.
Despite the inherent corruption in the system, rare are the instances when a baron is able to abuse or exploit those beneath him without repercussions. Repercussions take the form of the guilds that blanket every facet of common life in Galaspin. Just about anybody a baron seeks tribute from is likely a member of one guild or another (or is relatives with someone who is), be it the Bakers' Guild, the Smiths' Guild, or even the Thieves' Guild. If a guild finds that a local baron is abusing his power or being needlessly harsh to a guild member, the local Guild Lord will often loan the victim the money to pay off the baron, place sanctions on the baron's household, or, in rare instances, hire private mercenaries to intimidate or even kill the troublesome lord. At least once every few years there is an instance where a headstrong or foolish knight crosses the wrong guild and winds up being challenged to a duel with a scarred old mercenary and *poof!* , no more knight. As if this set of checks and balances weren't enough, the Duke himself keeps a corps of professional soldiers on retainer. Should any civil unrest get out of hand, the Ducal Guard are quickly on the scene to put a stop to it in a bloody confrontation. Usually Guild Lords and barons do everything in their power to avoid this kind of trouble, settling their differences as peaceably as possible to evade the Duke's attention.
Much of how smoothly the Galaspiner government runs is dependent on the capabilities of the Duke (or Duchess) him/herself. Galaspin's history is filled with tales of both wise and cruel Dukes who have brought the country both to the heights of prosperity or the depths of famine and war. Succession in Galaspin is hereditary, and the closest to a 'noble' class that Galaspin has is in how closely one's family is related to the Duke's. Should a Duke die with no heirs, the ducal historians will search the birth records until such time as they can find the next closest relative, who will then become Duke. Succession has proceeded in this manner without interruption since the nation's founding some 1200 years ago, and, barring any unforeseen catastrophe, it will likely continue in this vein, as well. The current Duke, Umbar Greathand II, has four sons, all in great health, and Umbar's direct line has been in power for better than three centuries. They have ruled wisely, and are respected, if not liked, by their people.
Diplomatically speaking, Galaspin is one of the most important nations in the Alliance. Through Galaspin, the Alliance has the ear of one of the most cantankerous governments in the world: the Free City of Freegate. The relationship between Freegate and the Galaspin predates the founding of the Duchy itself, during the First Arahkan War, where refugees from both Galaspin and the Dragonspine were fleeing the Arahk. Much is written about how the Galaspiners helped the mountain people survive outside of their beloved mountains and how the mountainfolk, in turn, sold their lives defending Galaspiner civilians that had given them shelter. Following the end of the war, where Galaspin soldiers and mountain chieftains had fought side by side, the Great Mountain King granted a rare audience with the Chieftain of the Valley, where the two rulers, it is reported, struck up a grand friendship that lasted the rest of their lives. Since that time, the mountain folk (and the Freegaters that descended from them) and the Galaspiners have gained a lot from one another. The guilds of Freegate sell the humans raw iron ore and worked metal goods while, in turn, the Galaspiners give Freegate access to such lowland fineries as steak, wine, grain, and a magical assistance (should they need it). Galaspin's famed bodyguards have been known to work for traveling Freegate merchants just as a pair of veteran Freegate advisors always attend the Duke in matters of finance or diplomacy. Also, the close relationship between the two peoples through the years has led to the intermingling of cultures. It is not by chance that the Guild Lords hold such sway over Galaspin, nor is it an accident that native Freegaters model their military training and education after Galaspiner models.
Finally, though it is important to mention the Galaspiner relationship with Freegate, one must remember that it isn't to the Guilds but to Saldor that Galaspin owes its allegiance. As the first nation to pledge its support the Arcanostrum, Galaspin has been its most stalwart defender since time immemorial. It was Galaspin's ancestors that bled to defend Saldor from the arahk of the First Arahkan War, Galaspin that marched against the Nurlings when Oodnar the Goblin King ravaged the land, and Galaspin that guarded the Aranostrum from Ihynish occupation during the Akrallian Wars. Where Saldor goes, so too goes Galaspin. This, of course, has its benefits. Mage Towers (Arcanostrum-accredited magical institutions) can be found scattered across the Duchy, magical items tend to be cheaper there than elsewhere, and Galaspiners are very popular in Saldor as a rule. Also, more Galaspin natives have ascended to the office of Keeper than any other single nationality—a fact that drives Akral crazy.
Land and Points of Interest
Galaspin is almost wholly located in the Trell River Valley, the city itself perched at the split of the Trell and Magis Rivers in the heart of this fertile area. Like Eretheria to its west, southern Galaspin's climate is mild and its growing season long, and Galaspin farms grow a variety of crops—everything from wheat in the heartlands to cranberries in the south, apple orchards in the northwest to sheep and goats on the slopes of the Dragonspine in the east. Though less densely populated than Eretheria, Galaspin is a highly civilized nation, with good roads, frequent taverns and villages along the major highways. Its network of defensive towers and forts, however, were mostly destroyed when the Mad Prince Sahand invaded the country during the Illini/Delloran wars and have yet to be entirely rebuilt due to a variety of political reasons.
Due to this under-build defensive infrastructure Galaspin is nowhere near as safe and secure as its western neighbors. The Duchy is tied with Illin as the second most dangerous place in the Alliance (the first being Eddon, of course), as Galaspin's borders are teeming with all manner of dangers. To the north lies the region of wilderness between the Dragonspine and the Great Forest that stretches north all the way to Dellor. This has long been a haven for bandits, raiders, trolls, nurlings, and others who strike south to attack the trade routes headed for Trell's Pass and Freegate. Furthermore, the mountains are a constant source of nurling threat. Finally, thanks to its status as a sort of crossroads for everyone heading from West to North or vice versa, Galaspin is a haven for mercenary bands of all sizes and descriptions. While some of these bands are legitimate and behave themselves, many more cause as much civil unrest and pose as great a threat to the Duchy as they do bolster the Duchy's defenses. The Ducal Guard, assisted by local knights, are constantly attempting to regulate and reign in these sometimes dangerous groups, but attacks on villages and towns occur nevertheless. Because of this, it is unusual to find a Galaspiner who does not go about armed with at least a quarterstaff, dagger, or poniard to aid in his or her defense should a nurling pop out of a hole or a mercenary challenge him to a duel.
Finally, though they share only a short border with Isara'Nyil, Galaspin has no more cordial a relationship with the woodkin than do the Eretherians. Unlike the Eretherians, however, Galaspin is always attempting to rectify this situation, hoping in their eternally optimistic and determined way, that they might be granted logging rights to portions of the forest. Their overtures have gone unanswered for at least the last 1000 years, but who knows? As they say here: By tomorrow, today will be yesterday, and that changes everything.
The City of Galaspin: Resting astride the great Trell River, the city of Galaspin is a bustling hub of trade and commerce that is populated by some 56,000 people. Split as it is by the river, the city is segmented into two regions—Eastbank and Westbank. The majority of the indigenous population makes its home in Eastbank, where the government offices, guild halls, and local Magetower can be found, as well as the Freegate Embassy (also known as the Freegate Exchange). Westbank is the haven for most people just passing through the territory, and is home to most of the inns, stables, marketplaces, and is also where the heaviest fortifications are to be found.
Though technically part of the same city, the two parts of Galaspin are entirely capable of existing independently of one another in the case of a siege. Each has its own walls and guardhouses as well as their own barracks, though the barracks of Westbank are the larger of the two. The four bridges that span the Trell River are constructed to be not only sturdy but also easily destroyed in case one half is taken by an invading army, as happened during the nurling wars (to this day Westbank is still referred to as 'Goblintown' by Eastbankers). The stonework of these bridges, as well as the walls themselves, have all been constructed by the best civil engineers the Guilds can produce, and are therefore considered among the most imposing battlements in the west. The streets are designed to wind and a turn, making it difficult for an attacking force to advance, and every ten houses in both halves of the city are made of fortified stone. These houses are built at strategic points throughout the city's design and could be used as a guard post or small keep in times of trouble. These houses, known as 'keystones,' are quite large and are usually owned by wealthy merchants, guild members, or occasionally are used as official buildings like hospitals, libraries, courthouses, temples, or schools. Most impressive among Galaspin's defenses, however, is the Duke's keep, known as the Stonewatch. Built on a stone promontory jutting out from the center of the Trell itself, the Stonewatch is a relatively small but intensely vertical fortress of stone battlements and grim turrets. Perhaps only 100 yards across at its base, the keep reaches 650 feet into the sky, towering over the rest of the city. Connected by only a small dock to receive riverboats, the Stonewatch rests a full 300 yards from either bank of the river and is considered un-assailable by most military commanders—a fact the nurlings discovered to their intense dismay during the Wars of the Goblin King.
Beyond its defensible nature, Galaspin has much more to offer a casual visitor. Though many complain about how crowded the city can get within its imposing walls, the bright side of this is that there is always something happening in Galaspin. Westbank is a constant bustle of traffic either from the river or the two highways that meet here. Fighting halls hold exhibitions all night, the taverns never close, and it is said that the brothels of Galaspin have no equal. This is truly a traveler's town, and most of the people here are only passing through. Across the river in Eastbank is one of the few places in the world where people can witness Thostering mercenaries patrolling the streets in force and the guild halls are among the best places in the world for a mercenary to find work. Every morning, scores of sellswords cross the river to peruse the posting boards outside of all the major guildhalls as well as a few permanent kiosks where wealthy members of Galaspin society seek to hire adventurous men and women for various purposes. Those who can't read are advised to hire a scribe once over the river for the low cost of 1 Mark a day (or 3m for one who tells the truth).
All those who travel to Galaspin should plan to have money on-hand. Taxes and surcharges are everywhere for the foreign visitor—charges to enter the gates, charges to travel the river, charges to cross the bridges, charges to wear a weapon, and so on and so forth. The Ducal Guard is quite efficient at exacting these taxes, and those who refuse to pay are usually ejected from the city and not re-admitted. Of course, even if one does manage to pay all the official charges, the cost of things in Westbank like lodging and food is often exorbitant when compared to cities like Akral or even Saldor. Finally, there is the local Thieves' Guild, the Whisperers, to deal with. Known for having some of the most skilled pick-pockets in the world, the Whisperers exact a tax of their own on most travelers coming to Galaspin and make sure to pay right tribute to the Duke for the privilege. In the end, many foreigners are content to leave Galaspin as soon as they can, thinking it a den of thieves and corruption, but to the natives it is a city of plenty and the safest place for thousands of miles. They are both right.
Culture and People
If there is one trait that has come to define Galaspiners over the years, it is tenacity. Attributed to their mountain folk heritage, Galaspiners are never ones to give up, even if something seems impossible. They are incurable optimists and plucky souls, constantly challenging the accepted limits of what 'can' and 'should' be done. To a Galaspiner, the only thing between you and an impossible task is the conception that it is impossible. In this way, Galaspiners can be both encouraging and annoying to others, who really don't want to hear about how if they 'put their heads together' they can defeat that encroaching arahk band with a pair of shovels and a bedroll.
The people of Galaspin believe very strongly in the idea of the 'team-player.' Intensely competitive, Galaspiners recognize the need to stay on top of the competition and, in their view, the best way to do that is to get together with your friends and family and work together to overcome obstacles. In a way, the whole of Galaspin politics is a version of this tactic. The Duke runs the show by recruiting the best and brightest to levy his taxes and police his borders. The Guild Lords do much the same thing, only in competition with the Duke—looking out for their own, keeping the Duke out of their business, and so on. Each side works together to keep the upper hand over the other side, and in this way the whole thing stays fairly balanced. Galaspiners are game players and competitors, not conquerors. Though the Guilds might conspire to have a knight discredited or even killed, they rarely act towards the knight with rancor—he's just doing his job, and they're just doing theirs. While this may seem cold-blooded, Galaspiners just think of it as the way the world works. If he didn't want to accept the risks of being a knight, then he shouldn't have gotten into the whole knighthood racket in the first place.
This competitive aspect to Galaspiner society works on every level. Every village is a web of inter-village rivalries—who is the best baker, who is the strongest man, who is the best mother, etc., etc.. Village and even regional competitions are common, and most people throw themselves into them with gusto. By competing to the best of their ability, Galaspiners see themselves as not only improving their skills but also showing respect for one's opponents whom, again, the Galaspiner does not see as an enemy, but rather a fellow competitor in the great game of life. Everybody remember that, even though you may have lost the smithing competition today, tomorrow you may be asked to stand next to your rival and protect the village from marauders and the day after that you might need to work with the marauders to stave off a nurling invasion. Every Galaspiner has multiple levels of allegiance—first to the family, then to the village, then to the guild or Duke, and then to humanity in general. Competition is fine, but when trouble comes knocking, Galaspiners are the first to cast aside petty disputes and attack the new problem head on as a unified whole.
The end result of all this guild competition is that Galaspin produces some of the finest manufactured goods in all of the world. While Akrallian woodwork might be more fashionable or even more beautiful, a piece of Galaspin furniture will last you a lifetime and never break, warp, or rot. Galaspin blades are the finest in the West, Galaspin artists are the most acclaimed, and Galaspin stonemasons are sought after by all the noble houses of the Alliance. While the things they make may not be as flashy or expensive as those made in other places, anything bearing the stamp of a Galaspin guild is sure to be of the highest quality. By that same token, Galaspin mercenaries and bodyguards are regarded as some of the best to be had anywhere. Their intense natures and never-say-die attitude as well as their willingness to work in a team means that they are both effective and professional soldiers. Finally, Galaspiner diplomats and traders are known for their terrier-like fortitude when negotiating either treaties or prices and, while not necessarily as shrewd their Illinian or Ihynish counterparts, are well known and respected by their peers worldwide.
In their private lives, Galaspiners are usually jovial and outgoing, always trying to organize some kind of contest, wager, or game. Great lovers of tests of skill in all arenas, Galaspin is known for the popularity of its physical sporting events (like ring fighting or spirited contact sports like charger or baffle-ball) and games of intellect (magestones, sel'narn, bastions, etc.). Honor in contest is stressed in all these situations, and most Galaspiners are both gracious in victory and dignified in defeat. "You can judge a loser by the color of his face" is a common saying in this nation, where it is considered bad form to hold grudges against someone who beat you fair-and-square. Cheating is the ultimate sin in Galaspin, and anyone who would think to accuse someone of this vile act had best be prepared to duel to the death. Also taboo is giving up—to forfeit a contest is the ultimate sign of weakness and cowardice here, and anyone who does so endangers losing the respect of everyone he or she knows. In the end, the only way to repair such damage is to cheer up, get your act together, and come out swinging next time even if there is no way you can win.
Finally, another prominent facet of Galaspin society, though hardly exclusive to this realm, is the duel. Though, in a perfect world, Galaspin would be a land or good-natured competition and rivalry without rancor, exceptions are not uncommon. Many a heated game of charger has ended with one team or the other feeling as though their honor was insulted or, worse, they were cheated out of victory. Though laws do exist to police such incidents, it is far more likely that the matter will be settled by dueling. Though cheating necessitates a duel to the death, most duels are simply fought until one party can no longer stand. Dueling may be done with any weapons (or even magic) that the two parties agree upon, and, should one of the parties die during the fight, the winner is expected to pay the loser's funeral expenses. Furthermore, it is technically required that an officer of the Duke be on hand to officiate, though in practice this is just so the officer can demand right tribute on the Duke's behalf. This is accepted as both an attempt to discourage the duel and an aspect of the great game the Duke and his citizens play every day.
Galaspin was hit hard by the Illini Wars. Arguably nowhere besides Illin suffered so much as a result of the war that rocked the west a little over a quarter century ago. When Illin and Rhond were attacked by the Kalsaari Empire, the Duke of Galaspin was the first to offer his support. No levy was issued – when news spread of their ally under attack, Galaspiners young and old flocked to their local barons, volunteering for service in the army. Galaspiner mercenary companies also set sail across the Syrin to fight for the Alliance (and earn some coin in the process). Galaspiner infantry was of crucial importance in every major engagement in Illin, from the defense of the Dreaming City itself, to the pivotal Charge of Atrisia. Conrad Varner, High General of the West, said of his Galaspiner regiments: I'll take one Galaspin footman walking in worn boots over any five Eretherian gentlemen in pretty saddles on any day of the week. He meant it – when Varner went to battle, he went on foot among the Galaspiners who bled for him. No Galaspiner has ever forgotten this. To speak ill of "The General" (as Varner is known) in this land is to find oneself in a fight before you finish your sentence.
There is a reason for their reverence that goes beyond Illin and Rhond. Whilst the flower of Galaspin youth and the balance of its military might fought for the Alliance across the sea, the Mad Prince Banric Sahand of Dellor invaded Galaspin from the north. He sacked towns. He put men to the sword. He burned villages. The whole of the Duchy fell beneath his merciless bootheel; he managed to claim the Stonewatch by treachery, and held the old Duke's children and grandchildren hostage. He threatened the Galaspin bannermen that, should any of them set foot in their home country again, he would strap Duke Umbar I's infanty granddaughter, Maya, to a trebuchet and "see how far she sails." For this reason, even after the end of the war in Illin, most of Galaspin's soldiers could find no one willing to return to lead them in their fight against Sahand.
No one but Varner.
Varner's reconquest of Galaspin was somehow bloodier than all his fighting in Rhond or Illin, though it was briefer. In a campaign that raged throughout an uncharacteristically harsh winter, Varner at last routed Sahand at the Siege of Calassa. After his victory, it is said that he offered his neck to old Duke Umbar I, on account that his granddaughter had been killed by Sahand just as he had promised. Umbar spared him, but asked that Varner leave his country, never to return. So he did – returning to the North to assist his brother, King of Benethor – but no one in Galaspin has forgotten what he did for them.
Today, Galaspin is the industrial engine behind Saldor's sorcerous renaissance. Galaspiner artisans and sorcerers labor to invent and create the new sorcerous materials that drive much of the Western economy. The Spirit Engine network has one of it's major hubs in Galaspin, and Galaspiner guild members travel across the continent, sharing knowledge and expanding the wealth and modernization of the West. It is still, however, a nation scarred by war, though those scars are fading. Few, however, will forget the courage and loyalty of its armies – the Terriers of the West, who very probably saved the Western world from destruction.
Posted on May 9, 2014, in Alandar and tagged Alandar, fantasy, fiction, The Oldest Trick, world building. Bookmark the permalink.	Leave a comment.


"100 BEST ARABIC POSTERS" is a platform to create and establish the first design network in the Middle East. It aims at creating a dynamic space celebrating the diversity of our visual culture through design.
A poster is an advertising medium for business, culture and social affairs. It is an advertising medium for commissioned work of semi public and public spaces, it could be used as a material for self-promotion, for example, politics, branding, etc. Thus, from the design point of view, the poster provides the basis for functioning visual communication– is responsible for designing correctly and artfully designed posters, transporting information and consequently knowledge from different levels. In the Arab region in general, and in Egypt in specific, the majority of the posters are used as information sources for national as well as international corporation and for political purposes.
100 BEST POSTERS is a non-profit organization taking place each year in a country among the Arab world with the participation of the local and region's population, the organization act as a collective and dynamic platform with the aim of reviving and embracing the diversity of the Arab world's visual language, solely through collected and selected Arabic posters. It is an association of design communities and designers in general.
The fonts used are 29LT Azer and 29LT Kaff, designed by Pascal Zoghbi 29LT Type Foundry.
The interdisciplinary workshop Spatial Layout with Prof. Christine Albert from TH Nürnberg/Germany and Dipl.-Ing. Christoph Muth, head of the 100/100 Architecture section at the GUC, took place from 29/11 to the 04/12 at the Germany University in Cairo. It aimed at providing the 100/100 core team with an elaborated vocabulary of spatial typologies in the field of contemporary exhibition design, in order to merge the two disciplines of Graphic Design and Architecture into coherent "Spatial Communication" for upcoming 100/100 moving exhibition in 2016. Starting with an "Urban Safari" through Cairo, in order to explore the rich diversity of the Arab Culture/identity, the workshop featured advanced discussions and lectures concerning the different topics of the exhibition design, as well as DesignBuild sessions to test ideas on physical models. The output of the workshop was presented to the public in the framework of the 100/100 TEASER EXHIBITION at DAAD on the 04/12/15 in Cairo.
100 Best Arabic Posters is a non-profit organization taking place each year in a country among the Arab world. With the participation of the local and region's population, the organization act's as a collective and dynamic platform with the aim of reviving and embracing the diversity of the Arab World's visual language, solely through collected and selected Arabic Posters.
100 Best Arabic Posters seeks to be the leading organization in the Arab world, aspiring to place the graphic design of the region at the center of the attention. By engaging and exposing the public's work, the organization becomes a center of visual cultural exploration and celebration.100 Best Arabic Posters enriches the present and the future generations through their locality by encouraging and inspiring a progressive Arabic graphic design.
Engaging, Anyone is welcome to take part of the organization with the condition of submitting an Arabic design.
Exposing, Displaying the Arabic design to the region and the outside world to promote its diversity and unique identity.
Connecting, A timeless purpose grouping the region's countries from a generation to the other through visual language.
On the 4th of December 2015, 100 Best Arabic Posters started its jouney at the German Science Center in Cairo (DWZ), the public was welcomed to an intiatibe exhibition lead by 100 Best Arabic Posters, acknowledging and stating the value of poster design as a communicaing medium. Most importantly, it welcomed the earlt inauguration of the region's most unique and qualified design organization.
A two-week poster workshop under the supervision of Prof. Bernard Stein took place place in early April 2016. In addition to the students of the German University in Cairo, as well as students from other universities. The workshop is designed as an intensive workshop and is limited to two full days for each student. This allows a high number of participants within the two weeks. In the final workshop, a presentation session, exhibition and a documentation of the results will be developed.
As a documentation of the outcome of the workshops, four volumes were produced inlcuding the work executed by the students in the two-days intensive workshop. The volumes were distributed at the exhibition held at the Kodak Passage 20 Adly Street in Downtown, Cairo.
The project implementation, execution and organization is under the supervision of the GUC teachers and students.


I am a Hypnotherapist, Past Life Regressionist, Psychic, Tarot Card Reader, Channel, Dream Interpreter, and Medium. I also offer astrology, palmistry, and tea leaf readings. Some of my specialties as a Certified Hypnotherapist include pain management, weight loss, breaking habits, relationship improvement, and helping actors, artists, writers, and musicians to maximize their creative and financial potential.
My goal is to help you improve your life, whether that's with hypnotherapy or psychic readings. I enjoy working with clients who are open to the benefits of self-improvement. I'm wishing you the very best in your journey to finding all you want in life.
We're the newest of the news, reporting it before it even happens!
Psychic News Network...where the forecasters become the newscasters!
July 29, 2014: Kyra's psychic predictions about this week's Philadelphia carjacking case have been confirmed and the crime's been solved.
March 17, 2014: Kyra predicted the Los Angeles Earthquake at 12:07 am.
Copyright 2014 Kyra Oser. All Rights Reserved.


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Q: Xamarin Forms - Slider Thumb border color I'm facing an issue with my Slider with dynamic ThumbColor :
<Slider ValueChanged="Handle_ValueChanged" MaximumTrackColor="{StaticResource Grey}" MinimumTrackColor="{StaticResource DarkGrey}" Maximum="100" Minimum="0" ThumbColor="{Binding ThumbColor}" Value="{Binding ColorValue}" />

The binding in ThumbColor can have multiple color, but for once, the color if the same of the background :
When is OK :

When is NOK :

Facing to design guidelines, it will be hard to change the background color.
And the white thumb color comes from backend data.
So if anyone knows have a solution to see the white one.


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Paul Shortino (14 de mayo de 1958 en Lima, Ohio) es un vocalista estadounidense, reconocido por su asociación con las bandas Rough Cutt, Quiet Riot, Bad Boyz y Shortino. También hizo parte del proyecto Shortino/Northrup junto a JK Northrup. Participó en el álbum benéfico liderado por Ronnie James Dio, titulado Hear n' Aid, en la canción "Stars", junto a muchos de los más reconocidos músicos de heavy metal de la época, como Geoff Tate, Rob Halford, Kevin DuBrow, Yngwie Malmsteen, Dave Murray y Adrian Smith.

Actuó en la película This is Spinal Tap, representando el papel de "Duke Fame".

Discografía

Con SEGA
 E.G.G.M.A.N.

Con Rough Cutt
 Used And Abused y A Little Kindness (1981)
 Rough Cutt (1985)
 Wants You! (1986)
 Rough Cutt Live (1996)

Con The Cutt
 Sacred Place (2002)

Con Quiet Riot
 Quiet Riot (1988)

Con Bad Boyz
 Bad Boyz (1993)

Con Shortino
 It's About Time (1997)
 Booked, Toured,...Released!
 Chasing my Dreams

Con Shortino/Northrup
 Back On Track (1993)
 Afterlife (2004)

Solo
 Stand Or Fall

Con Javier Vargas, Carmine Appice y Tim Bogert
 Vargas, Appice, Bogert, featuring Paul Shortino (2011)

Con King Kobra
 King Kobra (2011)
 King Kobra II (2013)

Colaboraciones
 Con Mägo de Oz, interpretando en su álbum Celtic Land una versión en inglés de la canción "Satanael" (2013).

Referencias

Cantantes masculinos de Estados Unidos
Cantantes de heavy metal de Estados Unidos
Músicos de heavy metal


Following on from our recent contract and client relationship with Fasken Martineau a leading international litigation and business law firm, we wanted to delve a little deeper into this particular sector of business. Oncore IT has recently provided an encrypted online backup solution for the London based office, using the Asigra technology. Although there are much tougher regulations in place for these types of businesses throughout the world due to the sensitivity of materials and possible perceived security risks, cloud based technology is none-the-less being increasing adopted by related law firms.
Cloud adoption in the UK throughout all sectors of business has increased, due to end user satisfaction flexibility and cost-savings that cloud solutions offer, but within law the majority of businesses have been hesitant to adopt until relatively recently.
The cloud can help aid law firms, the benefit of being able to access data when it's physically unreachable, during the 2012 Hurricane Sandy in the US, law firms and staff were unable to get into their offices, whose paper-based information and digital data was stored and backed-up in-house, which restricted their services to clients. Although this is only extreme example of con being able to get access to data, the principle still remains. Law firms need to stay up-to-date like any industry.
Typically law firms would traditionally use physically secure systems, in a secure room or storage area, using cloud based services can help free up this space and allow the firms to reduce costs of hiring dedicated IT managers, or spending money on infrastructure to cater for this.
Disaster recovery is also a solution that can help with certain circumstances such as the Hurricane Sandy, a power cut or any other unanticipated event, using a cloud-based practice solution. Another benefit for large firms that work internationally, or require collaborative requirements for people based throughout different locations is the ability to secure access information from any internet access where staff may be, further reducing any unnecessary administration costs.
Admittedly, using cloud technologies isn't a solution for every law firm due to the nature of the business, but technology innovators such as Peppermint Technology have produced a cloud application for law firms. They made the observation that for decades the legal sector has been considered to be slightly behind compared to other industries, but due to the changing shape of the market in recent years, the legal industry has taken a lead when it comes to adopting technology and using innovative ideas.


I have made the return trip to Seattle and am already missing the warm weather and CA sunshine, walking along Venice Beach in January with no coat on, well it spoils you quick! I was only gone for 10 days and it was a bit of a shock to come back to the cold 30 degree Seattle weather (of which I don't usually complain about because I grew up in freezing below zero temps of North Dakota!) but it's good to be home and back to work. I enjoyed my first NAMM experience, met lots of great people, enjoyed live music and I did well with my booth as a first timer. Things went smoothly there were a few hiccups in getting it set up but luckily there was a home depot nearby and I was able to improvise. I learned a lot and really enjoyed connecting with so many other music loving people and getting to speak to them face to face. I didn't get to wander the aisles too much since I was working my strap booth, but I did manage to sneak up to the PRS room on the second floor to admire the beautiful guitars, and I saw one of the Misfits walk by in full costume after he was done with an autograph signing session.
I can imagine paul was busy! good you at least connected though. Cali or nevada is going to happen for me, when I dont know depends on a lot of factors – would like the sunshine, and the cost of living is way less (inland of course!) – have family down there you know, and I miss them sometimes. Did you get a chance to visit the sister?
I got to chat with him for a brief second just long enough to give him my business card for the straps, he was surrounded by store owners and distributors, so hard to get a moment in at an event like that. I hear ya on the moving thing haha my sister lives there and she is trying to get me to move now, but I do like the NW a lot too, so no plans for now.


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Innovative Bristol engagement campaign increases food waste collected by 87 per cent
By Kate Dickinson | 12 January 2018 | Add a Comment
January is the month for getting in shape, but in South Bristol it's the wheelie bins that have been put on a diet. A campaign by Bristol Waste Company, in partnership with waste management firm GENeco, has been encouraging residents to divert food waste away from black refuse bins and into food waste caddies.
The campaign, titled 'Slim My Waste - Feed My Face', has been trialling visual engagement techniques to increase people's awareness and understanding of food waste recycling. Residents were reminded of the 'no food diet' for black bins with tape measure stickers placed on every receptacle in the Hartcliffe area of the city ('Slim My Waste'), while more stickers were handed out for households to turn their food waste caddies into different playful characters ('Feed My Face').
According to Bristol Waste, the company responsible for waste collection and recycling across the city, the average family in Bristol wastes £60 of food per month. And this is by no means a local problem; the most recent figures from the Waste and Resources Action Programme (WRAP) show that nationally, UK households produce 7.3 million tonnes of food waste every year, and up to 5.7 megatonnes (Mt) of that is preventable waste.
Bristol Waste's fun campaign has seen a significant rise in food waste collected from caddies
Reducing the amount of food we waste as a country is one thing, but ensuring the waste we do create goes to the right place is also crucial. WRAP has stated that only 1.1 Mt of household food waste (HHFW) is recycled - 3.5 Mt ends up unnecessarily in sewers or landfill.
Alongside the stickers, the 'Slim My Waste' campaign communicated with residents via social media, where people could share their caddy characters to win prizes. The team also used leaflets, educational workshops and school assemblies to encourage residents to avoid food waste and to better utilise their food waste caddies.
Results from the project, which ran for a month in October 2017 across 2,786 households, have been impressive. Hartcliffe, an area among the most deprived 10 per cent in England, has seen a nine per cent increase in the use of food caddies (almost 1000 of which were handed out during the campaign), and an 87 per cent increase in the amount of food collected from them, from 10.5 tonnes pre-trial to 19.6 tonnes in the month after the trial. In addition, there was a 10 per cent decrease in the amount of general waste in black refuse bins over that time.
Tracey Morgan, Managing Director of Bristol Waste, said the measures have had a positive effect on the area: "We are very encouraged by the findings of our 'Slim My Waste' campaign. We will continue to monitor activity in the area but results clearly indicate a sizeable uplift of food waste collected at the kerbside. This might mean rolling elements of 'Slim My Waste' out in other parts of the city."
As well as improving residents' engagement on the kerbside, the campaign sought to raise awareness of what happens to food waste along the line, providing information from GENeco about its anaerobic digestion plant in Avonmouth. There, the waste is transformed into fertiliser and biogas used in part to fuel Bristol's 'Bio-Bus', which is also powered by sewage waste and produces up to 84 per cent less CO2 than a diesel equivalent.
From GENeco, Solid Bioresources Manager Richard McCluskey commented: "It's great to see so many households recycling their food waste. By doing so, residents are recycling their waste in the most sustainable way and actually creating renewable energy that can power homes and even power transport."
Statistics from the Department of Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra) show that from January to December 2016, there was a 15 per cent increase in separately collected HHFW sent for composting and anaerobic digestion. However, there remains huge variation in how much different areas recycle. Although Bristol Waste's campaign only lasted a month, it is hoped that the results in Hartcliffe may lead to similar projects emerging in other parts of the city.
UK food technology company It's Fresh! has signed an agreement with the Ecuadorian banana association, ACORBANEC, to increase the use of its innovative technology which prolongs the green life of bananas.
CCC urges biodegradable landfill ban as carbon reduction efforts stall
The Committee on Climate Change says the UK should bring forward a ban on biodegradable waste to landfill to 2025 after a new report published by the Committee revealed the UK to be 'lagging far behind' on efforts to curb greenhouse gas emissions.
Over one third of 'meal prep' food wasted
Research from food waste app Too Good To Go reveals that a third of 'meal prep' dishes are thrown away due to uncertainty over how long they can be kept for.
Scotland has increased its food waste recycling by 40 per cent between 2013 and 2017, saving thousands of tonnes of carbon emissions, according to new reports published by Zero Waste Scotland.
UK makes progress towards zero food waste to landfill
The UK has reduced the amount of food waste going to landfill by almost two million tonnes since 2013, says a new report from ReFood, but big challenges remain before we can reach zero waste.


text:
<?php use QCubed\QString;
use QCubed\Query\QQ;

require_once('../qcubed.inc.php'); ?>
<?php require('../includes/header.inc.php'); ?>

QQ and Reverse Relationships

The power of QCubed ORM is the ability not just to code generate the code to handle foreign key
	relationships, but also the ability to have that code handle the "reverse" foreign key relationships.
	So in the Examples Site data model, we're talking about not just a Project and its ManagerPerson
	property... but we're also talking about a Person and methods like getProjectAsManagerArray().

QCubed Query also has this built-in capability, which works very similar to the way QQ handles Associations.
	And this should make sense -- from Person's point of view, it has a "-to-Many" relationship with Project as a Manager
	(via the reverse relationship), and it has a "-to-Many" relationship with Project as a Team Member (via the
	association table).  Therefore QQ has the ability to perform the full set of QQ functionality
	(including conditions, expansions, ordering, grouping, etc.) on tables related via these reverse relationships
	just as it would on tables related via a direct foreign key or association table.

The naming standards for the relationship as well as the differences between expand() vs. expandAsArray()
	are all the exact same as the case with association tables.

Get All People, Specifying the Project They Manage (if any), for Projects that have 'ACME' or 'HR' in it

Notice how some people may be listed twice, if they manage more than one project.

<?php
	$objPersonArray = Person::queryArray(
		QQ::orCondition(
			QQ::like(QQN::person()->ProjectAsManager->Name, '%ACME%'),
			QQ::like(QQN::person()->ProjectAsManager->Name, '%HR%')
		),
		// Let's expand on the Project, itself
		QQ::clause(
			QQ::expand(QQN::person()->ProjectAsManager),
			QQ::orderBy(QQN::person()->LastName, QQN::person()->FirstName)
		)
	);

	foreach ($objPersonArray as $objPerson) {
		printf('
%s %s (managing the "%s" project)
',
			QString::htmlEntities($objPerson->FirstName),
			QString::htmlEntities($objPerson->LastName),
			QString::htmlEntities($objPerson->_ProjectAsManager->Name), false);
	}
?>

Same as above, but this time, use expandAsArray()

	Notice how each person is only listed once... but each person has an internal/virtual _ProjectAsManagerArray which may list more than one project.

<?php
	$objPersonArray = Person::queryArray(
		QQ::orCondition(
			QQ::like(QQN::person()->ProjectAsManager->Name, '%ACME%'),
			QQ::like(QQN::person()->ProjectAsManager->Name, '%HR%')
		),
		// Let's expandasarray on the Project, itself
		QQ::clause(
			QQ::expandAsArray(QQN::person()->ProjectAsManager),
			QQ::orderBy(QQN::person()->LastName, QQN::person()->FirstName)
		)
	);

	foreach ($objPersonArray as $objPerson) {
		_p('
'.$objPerson->FirstName . ' ' . $objPerson->LastName, false);

		// Now, instead of using the _ProjectAsManager virtual attribute, we will use
		// the _ProjectAsManagerArray virtual attribute, which gives us an array of Project objects
		$strProjectNameArray = array();
		foreach ($objPerson->_ProjectAsManagerArray as $objProject){
			array_push($strProjectNameArray, QString::htmlEntities($objProject->Name));
		}
		printf(' via: %s
', implode(', ', $strProjectNameArray));
	}
?>

<?php require('../includes/footer.inc.php'); ?>


The faculty of the Grubb School of Organisational Analysis is drawn from a wide range of skilled and passionate workademics. This means that our faculty manage the boundaries between the work in the real life of organisations and the challenge of using that experience in the higher education sector, enabling the development of new organisational theory from the practice of live organisational work. All of our work is approached from an action research orientation and is rooted in the desire to bring learning to the forefront of organisational practice.
The Faculty are all experienced international consultants who have worked at all institutional levels in society on every continent of the globe. They have presented and published their work and thought in books, journals and via all kinds of media. They share the conviction that values, beliefs, spirituality and faith (of all kinds and none) are key resources for offering leadership in today's world.
Rebekah specialises in organisational leadership capacity, organisational purpose and the leadership of whole system transformation programmes. Working globally she develops and directs systemic programs of work, stimulating collaboration and exploring what is called forth from leaders and organisations in a shifting global economy and market. She undertakes this work from her role as the Managing Director of the Global Leadership Practice.
Her unique approach examines the mental, emotional, physical, spiritual and energetic dimensions of leadership and organisational life. Rebekah has worked in various capacities across Africa, U.S.A, U.K and South America, including senior and executive level organisational roles. Sectors include; Aid and Development, Engineering and Construction, Education, Telecommunications, Information Technology and Retail.
As an Organisational Analyst and Executive Coach Marjoleine's passion is learning with others to create a space in which the full human experience and energy present in organisations and leadership is released, to reveal the core purpose of why and how we do business and co-create the way forward to unleash performance. She works internationally in a variety of cultures, languages, sectors and organisations with senior leaders, leadership teams and whole systems.
Jane is responsible for the faculty administration for Crossfields Institute's Higher Education provision. In this role, she is heavily involved in the planning and coordination of faculty for the Masters of Science in Practical Skills Therapeutic Education (Integrated Professional Development), accredited by the University of the West of England and co-developed with Ruskin Mill Trust. She has worked in an administrative capacity in education for the last 20 years, 9 of which she served within the Ruskin Mill Trust adult education departments. Prior to that, Jane was a school administrator for over a decade and she also worked for Dun and Bradstreet, where she was responsible for organising events ranging from small UK seminars through to large conferences in various European locations for upwards of 500 people.
Errica is a Leadership Development Consultant and Executive Business Coach, with over 20 years experience. A trained psychologist, consultants' trainer and coaching supervisor, she works with senior executives, board members and teams both in the UK and internationally in a variety of business sectors. These include: Financial Services & Investment Banking, Insurance, Law, Pharmaceutical, Intl Charities, Media, NHS, Intl Professional services.
Olivia's passion for leadership grew through early experiences in voluntary and community work and an interest in philosophy and theology. This passion was cemented at the age of 21 when she took up the role of National Director for a UK Jewish youth movement. From there she dived into transformative community mediation, conflict resolution work with young people at risk, and organisational consultancy.
Sector experience includes Energy, IT, finance, local government, schools, not-for-profits and social enterprises, spanning the UK, Singapore, and Australia. She holds professional memberships with Group Relations Australia and the International Society for the Psychoanalytic Study of Organisations. Olivia was in the first cohort to graduate with a Masters in Organisational Analysis from the Grubb Institute (2011).
Susan supervises research students and conducts organisational research at a variety of universities including INSEAD in Singapore, MEICAT, University of Melbourne, University of Divinity in Melbourne and Crossfields. As an organisational consultant in private practice she works with organisational change, executive coaching, board development, role analysis, team development and management training. She originally trained as a clinical psychologist and psychotherapist. Her experience of working with people as individuals and in groups and organisations gives her a broad perspective on management practices.


The French troupe Les Arts Florissants have just left us. By us, I mean Brooklyn and anybody who could get there to hear and see their wonders. Why can't they forsake Paris and just stay around here? What does Paris have that …? Never mind.
When I was in music school, a rumor went round that a guy from a few years before had run off to Paris and was intending to tell the French how to perform and appreciate music that they had themselves long neglected. There was lots of chuckling that Bill Christie was heading for a tumble. I, being too ignorant even to have an opinion, just heard all this and stored it away. I had heard a very fine harpsichord recital by him when he came back to collect a doctorate, but a recital does not a whole new operatic culture make.
We see Dido die and feel as centuries have felt at her fate, while hearing some of the most sublime music ever devised.
Why can't more opera companies be so innovative — while also being not so much preservative as revivifying? I went to a rehearsal of their Fairy Queen last Friday. Mind you, this rehearsal was four days after the first performance of the run. Can you imagine the Met doing such a thing? Well, they simply opened the doors, charged people $20 to watch a 45-minute spot-check (i.e., the conductor giving "notes") of how the production was going, with some commentary addressed to the audience. I, for one, did not feel in the least cheated by the brevity or the opportunism of the affair (photo below of the orchestra during the event). It was really quite wonderful, and one felt connected with an important enterprise. This is what I call intelligent marketing. Besides, at the "Baroque Cabaret" that they gave the weekend before, a BAM official had said that "When we do an opera series, we lose more money by intermission than we do in our whole theater season." Glad to help, ma'am.
And sounds like. The great Magda Olivero turned 100 this week.
In his own blog, Tyler Cowen has listed the ten books that have influenced him most and asked other bloggers to do the same. He is also aggregating other people's lists. I choose to take the seat-of-the-pants approach and am writing the first ten that I think of rather than poring over this. Not the ones that I think I should say or the ones that necessarily would most influence me today.
James Boswell: The Life of Samuel Johnson, Ll.D.
UPDATE: Looking this over one day later, I'm fairly shocked by one fact: Dorothy Parker is the only American writer in the list.
ANOTHER UPDATE: I've been asked why the Bible is not on my list. Because I assume that practically everyone in our society has been influenced, if not most influenced, by that book or gathering of separate books. If you ask me my favorite drinks, should I list water? Or must breathing figure in my list of favorite activities? Even the person in our culture most adverse to its teachings is mightily "impacted," as the cant goes, by that volume.
I'm sure that I was far from alone among readers of The New York Times on March 4. When I read the article "At Caramoor, a Focus on Songs of the Belle Époque," I thought: "Now that's something I'd like to know more about." Imagine my delight, then, when I heard from Michael Barrett, Executive Director of the Caramoor Center for Music and Arts, inviting me to come up to the fabulous estate — for once, the over-used fabulous is precisely the mot juste — in Katonah, New York, for a day of observation and informal interaction with the participants who had already spent a week living, learning, cooking, debating, and making music together.
It would be hard to imagine a project more perfect of its kind. Steven Blier, Artistic Director of the two-decade-old New York Festival of Song, of which he is a co-founder with Mr. Barrett, is in his second year of running for Caramoor this ten-day "spring break" concentration of minds and voices on a compelling subject that varies by the year. This year it was the French art song — or mélodie, as they say — that fell under their study, scrutiny … just what is the right word? As I watched Blier and Barrett and the four young singers at work, I must say that images of both the dining room and the kitchen kept coming before me. They were falling upon this material with an appetite that was certainly sometimes ravenous, but also full of the more refined approach of the epicure and a Julia Childlike preoccupation with the original creation of the poetry and music and, now, its re-creation.
Seeing the singers in a conference with their two mentors was a lesson in cooperative interaction, but it was when they entered upon a run-through of the actual concert-to-be that I got to the meat of what had been going on here. The first singer to come out interpreted the theme song for the week, Fauré's "Le Plus Doux Chemin (The Sweetest Path)." The baritone John Brancy was something of a known quantity, since I see him around musical events quite often and had heard him — first when he was a high schooler, appearing on the PBS show From the Top. His rich, perfect vocal production and entirely professional stage presentation made it difficult to believe that he is just 21 and is still an undergraduate at the Juilliard School.
Then came Matthew Peña, a tenor who was new to me. The moment he began to sing, however, a magnetism that was the essence of the song he sang seemed to take over everything about him. He is somewhat more experienced, since he already has two degrees from Oberlin and one from the Manhattan School of Music, but it was his first interaction with this NYFOS crowd — I almost said cult — and it was clear that he was going to fit right in.
When Rebecca Jo Loeb bounced out on to the stage, it was not surprising that she was going to sing about an amorous elf. Though this mezzo-soprano projected a much more serious affect later in this varied program, she does excel at the songs that allow her to communicate in a mischievous manner with the audience. But I thought it spoke well of her that her high point came with a song in the grand tradition by the great mezzo Pauline Viardot. Since she brings with her an education at the University of Michigan, the Manhattan School, and Juilliard, we were seeing interaction of four bright young talents with a nice mixture of backgrounds.
In addition to the well-known expertise of Blier and Barrett, the group had had input the day before my visit from the French opera star and singer of song Jean-Paul Fouchécourt, who is in the country for the opening of the New York City Opera spring season, in which he portrays the male lead in Emmanuel Chabrier's L'Etoile. Since, in this program, we were never far from some song by Chabrier — a particular favorite of Steven Blier — Fouchécourt must have seemed like a Gallic prophet to these singers, some of whom were encountering large doses of French poetry and music for the first time. Indeed, he said he found them to be veritable sponges.
This kind of avid absorption must be very gratifying to all the devisers of this ambitious mentoring project. Indeed, I had a chance to hear of her own satisfaction from Eileen Schwab, whose idea the mentoring program in vocal song was. Through the support of the Terrance W. Schwab Fund for Young Vocal Artists, the program grew out of Caramoor's other mentoring programs, for instrumentalists and opera singers. This seems very important, since mentoring is one of the greatest needs in the musical art — not to mention in all of society — if skills learned in studio and classroom, and drilled in the practice room, are to take flight in the real world. But Mrs. Schwab's enthusiasm was not just because of the process. I was hearing from her after the culminating New York concert in the Merkin Concert Hall. It was the result of all that work that inspired a rapt audience to ovation after ovation for a particularly meaty survey of French mélodie, from Gounod to Poulenc — with not a longeur all evening.
So is it the process or the result that is the point? I'd say we really don't need to choose, since the concert that thrilled audiences in both Caramoor and New York treated the public to a valuable finished product; but, with these extraordinary young singers, we have not even begun to see the good things that will flow from their experience at Caramoor. And Steven Blier and Michael Barrett have plenty more up their commodious sleeves, as well.
It's a great pleasure to be able to say that the important spring season of the New York City Opera opened last night not only with a French operetta perfect of its kind, but with a general élan about the place that is greatly inspiriting for the many who have missed the company's presence near the center of the city's cultural life. The impression persists from the fall season — and is, if anything, augmented — that this company has a new lease on life.
The largely Gallic cast, and entirely Gallic flavor, of this very well-integrated mounting of L'Étoile by Emmanuel Chabrier (about whom a little more tomorrow) is very fine indeed, but to a New Yorker a special gratification must be a more residential element: the crack orchestra and a chorus that even approached the supererogatory Broadway level of choreographic gameness. For an evening of lighthearted, stylish entertainment, this show — which runs till April Fool's Day — is a rare treat.
– Why does music exist?
– My drive to produce reaches no further than tapping my foot.
– Do they perceive it in a different way?
– What makes them different?
– Music is in my head!
– And the hands of virtuosos?
– At this altitude she tells me this [or can a reader provide a better translation?]!
Thanks to José Franch Ballester for pointing out the original article.
The revolution that the Internet has brought, and is bringing, can both horrify and exhilarate — or, more likely, do both at once in different proportions in different people. As an important new article points out, the Internet is eminently about Now while also offering unprecedented facilities for harnessing the lessons of history.
This somehow reminds me of the burden/opportunity of being a musician today. Our ancestors, right up until quite recent times, were interested exclusively in the music of their time and place. The Now, in fact. These days, musicians need just as much of the past's traditional Now — at least as incarnate in fundamental skills and the ability to produce well-formed music in the present — while at the same time being burdened/endowed with a very extensive and conscious past. The degree to which this is true is unprecedented. In "classical" music, at least, composers and performers are almost universally informed by the past far more than ever before.
It is a commonplace of automatic-pilot journalism that Schoenberg broke with the past. But it is also true that he did so furnished with a knowledge of traditional harmony and counterpoint that may have been all but unequaled in the musical culture in which he was rampant. Composers now have to be prepared to have their work compared with everything from the phasmagoric twelfth-century polyphony of Notre-Dame de Paris to the sometimes similarly acrid effusions of Radiohead. And a modern keyboard performer may need to be able to play Ligeti etudes one night and Baroque continuo from a figured bass the next — while using the very latest digital technology to convey to her students something of the background of virginal-playing in the Elizabethan court one semester and of the Parisian experiments of Messiaen the next. The same knowledge of harmony will be needed for a thorough treatment of all of these.
The more I think about it, the more I suspect that the well-prepared modern musician may be of all people the most readily-naturalized citizen of that global cyberworld that is now here, and is to come.


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There are a few steps you need to do if you want a website, you can find them here. After reserving the domain name you may want to design your own website instead hiring someone to do this job for you – the result depends of your webdesign skills. If you don't want anything important, ust a presentation web site with a few static pages it's ok to use HTML tags with CSS, but if you want something more complex, such a dynamic website that's not enough.
The first thing you have to do in designing your website is to choose one programming language (as php, C#, JSP, Java) and a database (MySql, Oracle or others). if you really want to do it youself or to hire an expert web designer to do this job for you, you can use and customize a free Content Managment System (CMS). In the first situation you can get a free CMS to use for (as Joomla – there are some reasone why you should use it, Drupal or WordPress), you configure it and you let people know your website.
Webdesign How to design your own web site /Dan-Marius.ro – felia mea de internet / Oradea, Bihor, Romania.


text:
from __future__ import absolute_import

import pandas as pd
import numpy as np

# import '.' as pyaf_new_name
# pyaf=pyaf_new_name
# from pyaf
import pyaf.ForecastEngine as autof
import pyaf.Bench.TS_datasets as tsds

#get_ipython().magic('matplotlib inline')

b1 = tsds.load_ozone()
df = b1.mPastData

#df.tail(10)
#df[:-10].tail()
#df[:-10:-1]
#df.describe()

lEngine = autof.cForecastEngine()
lEngine

H = b1.mHorizon;
lEngine.mOptions.mMaxFeatureForAutoreg = 5;
lEngine.train(df , b1.mTimeVar , b1.mSignalVar, H);
lEngine.getModelInfo();
print(lEngine.mSignalDecomposition.mTrPerfDetails.head());

lEngine.mSignalDecomposition.mBestModel.mTimeInfo.mResolution

lEngine.standardPlots("outputs/my_ozone_max_ar_5_");

dfapp_in = df.copy();
dfapp_in.tail()

#H = 12
dfapp_out = lEngine.forecast(dfapp_in, H);
#dfapp_out.to_csv("outputs/ozone_apply_out.csv")
dfapp_out.tail(2 * H)
print("Forecast Columns " , dfapp_out.columns);
Forecast_DF = dfapp_out[[b1.mTimeVar , b1.mSignalVar, b1.mSignalVar + '_Forecast']]
print(Forecast_DF.info())
print("Forecasts\n" , Forecast_DF.tail(H));

print("\n\n<ModelInfo>")
print(lEngine.to_json());
print("</ModelInfo>\n\n")
print("\n\n<Forecast>")
print(Forecast_DF.to_json(date_format='iso'))
print("</Forecast>\n\n")