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Home/Canada News/Tiff Macklem's soft landing could rest with business confidence
Canada NewsNews
Tiff Macklem's soft landing could rest with business confidence
Market Trading EssentialsJuly 15, 2022
FP Economy
Kevin Carmichael: Recession, soft landing may be determined by how much higher interest rates deter business growth plans
Bank of Canada governor Tiff Macklem. Photo by Justin Tang/Bloomberg
Taiga Motors Corp. probably deserved better this week.
The Lasalle, Que.-based company announced it had delivered the world's first electric personal watercraft, a significant milestone that attracted congratulations from federal Industry Minister François-Philippe Champagne and Quebec's Minister of Economy and Innovation Pierre Fitzgibbon.
It had all the makings of a good summer business story and Samuel Bruneau, Taiga's co-founder and chief executive, wanted to talk about his company's achievement. Just one problem: Bank of Canada governor Tiff Macklem dropped a bomb that blew every other economic storyline out of the water, even the world's first battery-powered water scooter.
The Bank of Canada's decision to raise interest rates by a full percentage point was a shot heard round the financial world; the most aggressive move by a rich-world central bank to date in the global struggle against inflation, stirring speculation that the United States Federal Reserve could do the same.
Macklem made a point of saying he disliked the characterization of his policy decision as "panic," even though central banks typically adjust borrowing costs with quarter-point moves. The Bank of Canada's decision followed an updated forecast that has year-over-year increases in the consumer price index accelerating to eight per cent this summer, an alarming number for a group of policymakers charged with keeping inflation at about two per cent.
The governor expressed empathy for those who end up getting squeezed by the abrupt shift in interest rates, but he didn't apologize. "The way to protect people from high inflation is to eliminate it," he said in his opening remarks at his quarterly press conference. "That's our job and we're determined to do it."
How determined? It would appear Macklem and his deputies are prepared to stomach a recession if that's what it takes.
To be sure, that's not the base case. The central bank is betting it can avoid the worst-case scenario and achieve what economists call a "soft landing" from elevated levels of growth.
The way to protect people from high inflation is to eliminate it
Tiff Macklem
The Bank of Canada's favourite gauge of the economy's temperature is the "output gap," which estimates the difference between gross domestic product and the amount of goods and services the central bank thinks the economy can produce without stoking inflation.
Its estimate of the output gap in the second quarter was between 0.5 per cent and 1.5 per cent, up from an estimate of between -0.25 per cent and 0.75 per cent in the first quarter, suggesting that "excess demand" grew, as households and companies were lining up to purchase more goods and services than the economy had capacity to produce. That produces scarcity, which drives up prices.
The central bank can't do much about supply, but it can influence demand, and it is now bent on curbing our desire to buy stuff.
The central bank … is now bent on curbing our desire to buy stuff
"The only way for the (Bank of Canada) to lower inflation is by slowing the domestic economy, creating excess capacity and reducing domestic inflationary pressures," Charles St-Arnaud, chief economist at Alberta Central and a former staffer at the central bank, said in a note. "This is a balancing act that will lead to a period of economic underperformance, notably in the labour market and consumer spending. Whether it will be a soft landing or a recession remains to be determined."
The determining factor could be the extent to which higher interest rates — and all the volatility they're whipping up in financial markets — deter executives such as Bruneau from following through on expansion plans.
Real estate, which now represents about 13 per cent of Canada's gross domestic product, compared with about 11 per cent at the start of the low-interest-rate era in 2008, will be a significant drag on growth for at least the next couple of years, according to the Bank of Canada's outlook.
Interest rates have risen more in the past four months than they did over the decade between the Great Recession and the COVID-19 crisis, and some of the world's frothiest housing markets are deflating quickly. The average price of an existing home was $665,850 in June, down two per cent from a year earlier and six per cent from May, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association.
Real estate will be a significant drag on growth for at least the next couple of years. Photo by Azin Ghaffari/Postmedia
The Bank of Canada now predicts housing will subtract 0.6 percentage points from economic growth in 2023, a much heavier toll than the 0.2-percentage-point drag it was expecting earlier this year.
Still, the Bank of Canada predicts the economy will manage growth of 1.8 per cent next year, down from 3.5 per cent in 2022, but a decent trajectory by pre-pandemic standards. Consumption and government spending will provide some support, but nothing like in recent years, as higher costs for essentials such as food, fuel and rent are eating up more of households' disposable incomes, and politicians have promised to curb spending after deploying an unprecedented amount of fiscal stimulus while fighting the COVID-19 recession.
That leaves business investment, which for much of the past decade has tended to disappoint forecasters. But there are good reasons to think business spending will hold up. Demand will fade, but it's difficult to envision household spending reversing, given that savings rates are unusually high and the unemployment rate is at a record low.
Exclusive: Tiff Macklem on the Bank of Canada's surprise rate hike, wrestling inflation and its forecast miss
What the Bank of Canada's full percentage point hike means for the housing market and your mortgage
Bank of Canada issues shock rate hike in effort to crush inflation
What economists are saying about Bank of Canada's steep rate increase
"We have no problem staying afloat because we're growing," Peter Ruis, president of Indigo Books & Music Inc., told the Financial Post's Bianca Bharti after the Bank of Canada increased interest rates. "We worked through COVID. We will work through this and who knows where it will go at the moment. We're still talking about there being GDP growth, so that's a positive thing. And we're still talking about there being money in Canadian consumers' accounts."
Mark Carney, the former Bank of Canada governor, told a conference in Montreal this week that the world is experiencing a "hinge moment in history," as economic and geopolitical paradigms are resetting in real time. That's jarring, but it's also a massive opportunity for companies that have the wherewithal to take advantage.
Signage outside a Taiga Motors Corp. facility in LaSalle, Quebec. Photo by Christinne Muschi/Bloomberg
Taiga is one of those companies. Bruneau talks about turning his company into the "Tesla of powersports," disrupting markets for snowmobiles and jet skis in the same way Elon Musk made electric automobiles mainstream. He doesn't anticipate higher interest rates hurting Taiga in the short term, because the company is working through a backlog of orders. However, he conceded the cost of his expansion plans — the kind of investment that will be necessary to offset a recession — just went up.
"On product demand, we're not seeing an impact at the moment," Bruneau told the Financial Post's Marisa Coulton. Projects "might cost more than we projected," he added. "So we're having to adjust and budget for that on our side, and start preparing for this."
• Email: [email protected] | Twitter: carmichaelkevin
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Ива́н Ива́нович Ля́пушкин (1902—1968) — советский  и , специалист по восточнославянскому средневековью, доктор исторических наук.

Биография
Родом из крестьян Самарской губернии, сын кузнеца. В 1914 году поступил в школу. В 1920—1924 годах работал школьным учителем в Поволжье и Фергане, а в 1924—1926 годах служил в Красной Армии.

В 1927 году поступил на исторический факультет Ленинградского педагогического института им. Герцена, в 1930 году окончил его. После окончания института был вынужден уехать на Южный Урал в город Миасс, где преподавал историю. Тяжело переболел туберкулёзом.

В 1935 году поступил в аспирантуру ГАИМК-ИИМК, с 1937 года — научный сотрудник ЛО ИИМК АН СССР. Под руководством профессора М. И. Артамонова начал работать над темой «Славяно-русские поселения на Дону и Тамани по археологическим данным». В 1940 году защитил её в качестве кандидатской диссертации.

С началом Великой Отечественной войны по объективным причинам работа над докторской диссертацией была прекращена, однако научная деятельность не прекращалась. С 1943 года И. И. Ляпушкин работал с Елабужской группой ИИМК в Поволжье. Только в 1945 году он возвращается в Ленинград и становится старшим научным сотрудником ЛО ИИМК (ИА). В 1950—1960-е годы был руководителем полевой практики студентов исторического факультета ЛГУ. 7 июня 1961 года защитил докторскую диссертацию «Днепровское лесостепное Левобережье в эпоху железа».

За 30 лет своей научной деятельности он написал три монографии и большое количество статей.

Скончался 23 сентября 1968 года.

Научная деятельность
Исследовательские интересы И. И. Ляпушкина были сфокусированы на теме истории восточных славян накануне сложения Древнерусского государства. К решению проблемы учёный подходил широко и в хронологическом, и в территориальном аспектах.

Ляпушкиным была выдвинута гипотеза о сложении салтово-маяцкой культуры из двух этнически различных культур — аланской и болгарской. Он показал, что проживание оседлых земледельцев на территории Днепровского Левобережья дважды прерывалось вторжением кочевников. Оседлость в регионе фиксируется в скифскую эпоху (VII—III вв. до н. э.) и в позднеримское время (черняховская культура III—IV вв.). Славянская культура появляется на Левобережье лишь в VIII—IX вв.

Сопоставляя славянские памятники Днепровского Левобережья со сходными памятниками правого берега Днепра, Центральной Европы и Балканского полуострова, Иван Иванович обосновал чрезвычайно важное положение о близости славянской культуры днепровской правобережной и левобережной лесостепи в VIII—IX вв., о единстве и монолитности в VI—VII вв. общеславянской культуры от Днепра до Эльбы и Дуная. Он выдвинул гипотезу о первоначальном членении единой славянской культуры не на западный и восточный варианты, а на северный и южный.

В 1940-х годах выделил и всесторонне охарактеризовал роменско-боршевскую культуру, также занимался раскопками Цимлянского городища салтово-маяцкой культуры.

В 1952—1954 годах исследовал Новотроицкое городище. На основе найденного здесь материала Ляпушкин доказал, что накануне образования Древнерусского государства первичной социально-экономической ячейкой восточных славян была не родовая, а соседская община, состоящая из отдельных семей и ведущая обособленное хозяйство. Анализируя материалы с городища, а также ранее полученный материал, археолог пришёл к выводу, что культура восточных славян не была архаична, как полагали ранее: «Исходя из данных городища, можно утверждать, что бытовавшая в великокняжеский период материальная культура в различных областях хозяйственной деятельности, в первую очередь в сельском хозяйстве, а равно и в области прикладного художественного ремесла, в своих основах сложилась уже в VIII—IX вв., до образования Киевского государства».

Последние годы жизни И. И. Ляпушкин посвятил изучению славян на севере, в лесной зоне. Результаты первых лет этой работы вошли в монографию «Славяне Восточной Европы накануне образования Древнерусского государства». В ней автор развивает и обосновывает мысль о том, что появление славян в лесной зоне относится лишь к VIII—IX вв. и что бесспорно славянские погребальные памятники северо-восточных славян следует искать не среди длинных курганов и сопок, а среди небольших круглых насыпей.

Историограф А. А. Формозов так отзывался о трудах Ляпушкина: «В противоположность Рыбакову, перескакивающему с памятника на памятник, он не спеша, методично изучал селище за селищем, район за районом. На Псле он полностью раскопал Новотроицкое городище роменского типа, развенчав красивую гипотезу Третьякова о жилищах со многими входами, подогнанную к известиям Псевдомаврикия, и рыбаковскую идентификацию роменской культуры с антами. Тщательно наносил он на карту скифские, салтово-маяцкие, славянские памятники, и эта скромная скрупулезная работа дала неизмеримо больше, чем любые эффектные спекуляции Третьякова и Рыбакова».

Основные работы

 Славяно-русские поселения IX—XII вв. на Дону и Тамани по археологическим памятникам. (Тезисы кандидатской диссертации) // Краткие сообщения Института истории материальной культуры. — Вып. VI. — 1940.
 Славяно-русские поселения IX—XII ст. на Дону и Тамани по археологическим памятникам // Материалы и исследования по археологии СССР. М.; Л., 1941. № 6. С. 191—246;

 Археологические памятники эпохи железа в бассейне среднего течения р. Ворсклы (г. Полтава — с. Бельск) // КСИИМК. Вып. XVII. 1947. С. 122—132.
 Итоги полевых изысканий в бассейне Ворсклы (Полтавская и Харьковская области) летом 1945 г. и некоторые выводы из них // «Рефераты научно-исследовательских работ за 1945 г.» (АН СССР. ОИФ). М. — 1947. — С. 82-84.

 Поселение эпохи железа в бассейне реки Ворсклы {сообщение о докладе} // КСИА. — Вып. XXI. — 1947. — С.96-98
 Археологические памятники в бассейне р. Ворсклы (из полевых изысканий 1945 г.) // КСИА. — Вып. XIX. — 1948. — С.27-37
 Из истории Левобережной Украины в эпоху железа. (По материалам полевых исследований 1938, 1940, 1945 и 1946 гг. в бассейне р. Ворсклы) // СА. — Вып. XI. — 1949. — С.385 −395.
 Поселения зольничной культуры («скифов-пахарей») в бассейне Сейма // КСИА. — Вып. XXVII. — 1949. — С.67-71.
 Старослов'янське поселення VIII—XIII ст.ст. на території м. Полтави (За матеріалами польових розшуків 1940, 1945 і 1946 рр.) // Археологічні пам'ятки УРСР. — 1949. — Т.I. — С.58-75.

 Итоги полевых изысканий 1945 г. в бассейне р. Ворсклы и некоторые выводы из них // СА. — Вып. XV. — 1951. — С.17-43.
 Поселение скифского времени близ дер. Пожарная Балка Полтавской обл. // КСИИМК. — Вып. XXXVII. — 1951. — С.125-130.

 Из полевых изысканий разведочного отряда Волго-Донской экспедиции 1950 г. // КСИИМК. — Вып.50. — 1953. — С.127-136
 Место роменско-боршевских памятников среди славянских древностей // ВЛУ. — 1956. — № 20. — Сер. история, языки и литература. — № 4. -С.45-60.

 Археологические памятники зоны затопления Цимлянского водохранилища. (По материалам разведочного отряда Волго-Донской археологической экспедиции ИИМК АН СССР 1950—1951 гг.) // МИА. — № 62. — 1958. — С. 227—262.
 Карнауховское поселение // МИА. — № 62. — 1958. — С. 263—314.
 Курганный могильник близ Карнауховского поселения // МИА. — № 62. — 1958. — С. 315—322.
 Средневековое поселение близ ст. Суворовской // МИА. — № 62. — 1958. — С. 323 −336.
 Славянское поселение на территории хут. Ближняя Мельница // МИА. — № 62. — 1958. — С. 337—347.

 Славянские памятники второй половины I тысячелетия н. э. верхнего течения р. Десны // КСИИМК. — Вып.74. — 1959. С.81-86.
 Ляпушкин И. И., Тиханова М. А., Гуревич Ф. Д., Станкевич Я. С., Каргер М. К., Лаушкин К. Д. Экспедиции ЛОИИМК по изучению славяно-русской археологии в 1957 году // КСИИМК. — Вып.79. — 1960. — С.96-98.

 Некоторые вопросы из предыстории восточных славян // КСИА. — Вып.100. — 1965. — С.116-125.
 Археологические памятники славян лесной зоны Восточной Европы накануне образования Древнерусского государства (VIII—IX вв.) // Культура Древней Руси. Сборник, посвященный 40-летию научной деятельности Н. Н. Воронина. М., 1966. С.127-136.
 Новое в изучении Гнездова // Археологические открытия 1967 г. — М., 1968. — С.43-44.
 Исследования Гнездовского поселения // Археологические открытия 1968 года. — М., 1969.

 Гнёздово и Смоленск // Проблемы истории феодальной России. — Л., 1971. — С. 33—37.
 Место роменско-боршевских памятников среди славянских древностей // Антология советской археологии, том 3 (1941—1956). М. — 1996.

Примечания

Литература
 Памяти Ивана Ивановича Ляпушкина (1902—1968) // Советская археология. 1969. № 3;
 Артамонов М. И., Корзухина Г. Ф., Мачинский Д. А. И. И. Ляпушкин // Краткие сообщения Института археологии. Вып. 125. М.-Л., 1971;
 Формозов А. А. Иван Иванович Ляпушкин // Антология советской археологии. Т. III (1941—1956). М., 1996.
 STRATUM plus. — 2003/2004. — № 5 Мастера Средневековья. Столетию Ивана Ивановича Ляпушкина посвящается. СПб — Кишинев — Одесса — Бухарест. — 2005;

 Славяне Восточной Европы накануне образования Древнерусского государства. Мат. междунар. конф., посвящ. 110-летию со дня рожд. И. И. Ляпушкина (1902—1968). СПб., 2012.

Ссылки
 Щавелев С. П. Іван Іванович Ляпушкін
 Материалы к библиографии И. И. Ляпушкина
 Статья в энциклопедии «Всемирная история»
 Статья на сайте «Биографика СПбГУ»
 Статья в «Энциклопедии современной Украины»
 Биобиблиография И. И. Ляпушкина

Выпускники Российского государственного педагогического университета
Преподаватели исторического факультета Санкт-Петербургского государственного университета
Сотрудники ИИМК РАН

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaWikipedia


text:
Q: gem server: How to update gems with missing rdoc? I really like gem server command which bootstraps the webserver with local RubyGems Documentation Index.
The only problem I have: some gems don't have rdoc files.
How can I add missing rdoc(all gems are mainstream gems, not my own)?

Installed via Bundler; Rails 2.3.5

A: You can generate all rdoc of all of your gem with command :
gem rdoc --all

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaStackExchange


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text:
Qui sont les Kurdes?
Qu'organisons-nous?
Statement of Support by Writers and Journalists from Kurdistan
Editor's Note: Iran Press Watch is pleased to share the following informed statement of support by writers and journalists from Kurdistan. The Kurdistan region, covering land in Iran, Iraq, Syria, and Turkey, is victim to long-running separatist conflicts in which thousands of lives have been lost. Under such circumstances, the statement in support of Iranian Baha'is is a sign of courage, selflessness and humanity. Iran Press Watch recognizes that we are living through a major turning point in the emancipation of the Baha'i Faith in Iran. There is no longer a conspiracy of silence about the Faith, maintained through coercion against those who would publicly appreciate the nonviolence, inclusive principles, and spiritual ideals of the Baha'i community.
The Universal House of Justice
Human-rights Activist Groups in Iran
Human-rights Observer Groups across the Globe
Secretary General of the United Nations
With boundless greetings,
Reports from the Islamic Republic's news agencies and other non-official sources indicate that that the Leadership Council of the Islamic Republic has issued a defamatory circular letter to Intelligence, Security, Military and Disciplinary forces throughout the country in which it has reintroduced such old clichés as referring to the Baha'i Faith as "the wayward sect of Baha'ism", "being associated with Zionism" and the "necessity of reacting harshly against the followers of Baha" – demonstrating its firm intent to gird up its tyrannical resolve to design and execute a systematic crime against humanity and against the followers of the Baha'i Faith in Iran. This is also evidenced by the letter of the nation's Prosecutor-General to the Ministry of Intelligence.
Fundamentally, reference to any religious group in the world with a particular following as a "wayward sect" is not only unbefitting of our humanity, but the expression is now so undermined and outdated that any reference to it in any context quickly brings to mind the dark ages, the medieval period, the inquisition, the rule of religious deceit and taking advantage of the effects of religion on humans through misinterpretation and misrepresentation of lofty religious truths by a number of deceitful individuals clothed in the garment of leadership and spirituality.
Our first question is: Who has granted permission to the lords of bloodshed, murder and crime to attribute from the hogwash of their petrified, backward minds to any other religious, national, ethnical or political group such phrases as "wayward sect", "satanic faction", "arms of despotisms", "allies", "mercenaries", "agents of espionage", etc., and to hurl accusations against other schools of thought, against followers of such heterodoxies, against supporters of peace, freedom and democracy, and against those who resist following a grotesque and dead ideology by the name of the Islamic Republic.
Having accepted diversity and pluralism, the present-day mind undoubtedly accepts and values all dimensions of thought – national, religious, linguistic, political, cultural and social backgrounds – only within the overarching concept of humanity and as human beings.
Having accepted this reality, it will then recognize all other related details and hold itself responsible for observing and safeguarding the material and spiritual rights of groups with diverse belief, national, religious, linguistic, cultural and social backgrounds.
The world of today is a world that challenges any sort of oppression against any group of people belonging to any school of thought, nation, religion, language, culture or society. It accepts thinking differently – along with diversity – as an obvious and fundamental principle; and while defining its parameters, guides the efforts of human rights foundations, activists, writers, intellectuals, journalists and even governmental disciplines to respect others even in light of differences of thought and opinion.
The recent communiqué from the Leadership Council and the nation's Prosecutor-General to the Ministry of Intelligence of the Islamic Republic indicating the necessity for dealing harshly with the Baha'i Faith and attributing to it the baseless and unfounded accusation of association with the international Zionism demonstrates that, unable to design a plot on the immense scale of international conspiracies and fearful of subjects which might induce a crisis among different Iranian groups, and in order to cover up an imminent crisis in the disintegration of its regime, the Islamic Republic has once again – as it has attempted many times before – chosen the policy of concocting a pretence of conspiracy and suppression of the supposed conspirators and has targeted the followers of the Baha'i Faith for its purposes.
We, writers and journalists from Kurdistan in adherence to our humanitarian responsibilities, wish to inform the people of Kurdistan in general, and in particular those who live in Iran, of the reality that the Baha'i Holy Places and the World Centre of the Baha'i Faith were established 80 years prior to the formation of the State of Israel and during the reign of the Ottoman Empire in the two cities of Haifa and 'Akka; that the Founder of the Baha'i Faith – an independent religion with its own exclusive order – was exiled to that land by the order of the Iranian rulers of the time; that there is no relationship between Zionism, in a political sense, and Baha'ism with its religious foundations; and that we wish to announce our unconditional support for Kurdish Baha'is, for non-Kurdish Baha'is living in Kurdistan, for the nearly 350 thousand Baha'is living in Iran (and constituting the largest religious minority in the country), and for over six million Baha'is living across the globe bringing this religion to recognition as the second most widespread religion on earth.
While condemning the government's decisions, in the midst of the collapse of the Islamic Republic, to consider it necessary to clash with the followers of Baha in Iran, we announce our readiness – both by means of the pen as well as by more forceful action – to erase this recurring shame; and we earnestly expect the human-rights organizations and foundations of the world, as well as political groups and parties in Kurdistan and other ethnic groups in Iran, to leave no stone unturned in announcing official statements condemning this excessive scrutiny of beliefs, this design for the suppression of the friends of peace and fellowship (the people of Baha), and this neo-holocaust.
A group of writers and journalists from Kurdistan
Validity of signatures has been ascertained and they have been archived for security reasons.
[Published in Persian on 16 February 2009 at: http://komala.eu/kurdi/?p=562]
Copyright © 1978 - 2023 Institut Kurde de Bruxelles asbl · Tous Droits Réservés

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


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Boulter, who secured the biggest win of her career last week when she beat former US Open champion Sam Stosur in Nottingham, is joined by Naomi Broady, Harriet Dart, Katy Dunne, Katie Swan and Gabriella Taylor in the main draw.
TENNIS ACE Katie Boulter has been awarded a wild card into the main draw for the women's singles at Wimbledon.
The Wimbledon wild card comes on the back of a great year for the 21-year-old who has broken into the world's top 150 for the first time in her career after a fantastic run at the Nature Valley Open at Nottingham.
The British No.4 from Woodhouse Eaves won her first ever main draw matches at a WTA top-tier tournament in Nottingham, beating former US Open champion Sam Stosur before falling to top seed and tournament winner Ashleigh Barty of Australia in the quarter-finals.
Her progress to the last eight has seen her rise to a new career best ranking of 139.
She said: "Nottingham was really good, it kind of helps me see where I am right now with everything that I've been doing, it's been a really good week and an eye opener, and it can help me for the rest of the season and the rest of the year, I feel like I can compete with these players and I think I showed that last week.
Boulter is relishing being competitive against top players, and that was her highlight from Nottingham.
"I haven't been in that environment before, I haven't played many of those matches and finding a way to get over that line and win the match, it means a lot to me.
This week at the Nature Valley Classic in Birmingham she faced World No.18 Naomi Osaka of Japan and was beaten 6-1 6-2 but had said before the tournament started that a defeat wouldn't affect her and she was grateful to get another chance to play a top 20 player.
"I do the same thing day in day out, I work hard and whether it happens this week, the week after, I'm hoping that I what I have put in is going to come out. I won't be disheartened if I have bad week here and there because that's tennis, it's how you pick yourself up and get back to the next one.
"Hopefully each week I'm going to get better and feel more comfortable out there. I had a lot of confidence coming into Nottingham and I have got a lot of wins behind me recently before the grass as well which has made a huge impact.


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Lenarchus fautini is een schietmot uit de familie Limnephilidae. De soort komt voor in het Nearctisch gebied.

Schietmot uit het Nearctisch gebied
Limnephilidae


Arsene Wenger has revealed he retains total faith in Jack Wilshere as the Arsenal talisman prepares to sign a new contract.
Wilshere's current £90,000-a-week agreement has two-and-a-half years left but the Londoners do not want to risk a situation where he could be antagonised into pushing for a transfer.
"He has two years left and I want Jack to stay here," explained the Arsenal manager at his media conference on Wednesday. "He is a special case because he is a special talent and he comes out of the club. And he is an England international and I hope his injuries will stop at some stage.
"I've spoken to him about the injuries because when you love football and at his age, when you wake up in the morning and you can't practice that's terrible. They need support and I try to give it to him.
"But he is strong and he is dealing with that. He started at 17 and played every single game and suddenly it stopped. So I believe that can make you stronger.
The injury-plagued midfielder is ready to commit to a deal that will lift his salary to £110,000-a-week and run until 2021.
Wenger expects Wilshere to be out until February after a series of setbacks in his recovery from the fractured left fibula.


Kingsman: The Secret Service was a real breath of fresh air to the spy genre. It told a compelling story, started a universe that felt fleshed out and fully realized by the film's end AND managed to pass the torch from the old guard to the new in one two-hour installment.
One of the best sequences of the film was the church fight. It was a crazy brawl that ended with the death of master spy Harry Hart, played by Colin Firth. It was sad to see Firth get sent packing before any future installments as his relationship with Taron Egerton's Eggsy was a highlight of the film and I would have liked to see it explored more in the future.
I hope this wasn't a major plot point the filmmakers were trying to keep under wraps!
So when the Kingsman go across the pond to meet up with their American counterparts will Harry Hart once again join up to fight the good fight? It seems so.
Sources for The Hollywood Reporter also confirmed that Colin Firth would be back but didn't say in what capacity. It could be in flashbacks or as an evil twin (which would be a great throwback nod). They could even just wave the death away (did the Kingsman ever really see the body?) and have him come back to help out in the nick of time.
We'll have to wait a bit before we find out how Firth will be involved when the Kingsman team-up with the Statesman in Kingsman: The Golden Circle. What is certain is that the film is slated to drop on June 16, 2017.
This entry was posted in Film and tagged Colin Firth, Kingsman: The Golden Circle, matthew Vaughn. Bookmark the permalink.


text:
View Obituary The Times-Picayune Obituaries
Salvador Joseph Barcelona Sr.
Salvador Joseph "Sal" Barcelona, Sr., passed away surrounded by loved ones on December 2, 2018, at the age of 84. He is survived by his loving and devoted wife of sixty-four years, Melva Rita Danos. He was the only child of Anthony and Felicie Biondolillo Barcelona. A longtime resident of Marrero, Louisiana, Sal was a graduate of the 1952 Class of Marrero High School. He graduated from Louisiana State University with a Bachelor of Science in Accounting and remained a Fighting Tiger fan for life. He obtained a Juris Doctor degree from Loyola University Law School. From 1960 through 2000, Sal found an outlet for his natural calling of helping others as an agent for State Farm Insurance. He established the first State Farm location on the West Bank of New Orleans; he was proud to serve all who entered his agency on Barataria Boulevard. His office was always a lively place, where he considered his dedicated staff to be like members of his family. Clients were welcome to linger and were encouraged to provide meandering answers to the question that he always asked of others: "How can I help you " He generously donated his time to the American Red Cross, the Knights of Columbus, and the Lions Club. In the late 1960s and through the 1970s, he dedicated much of his time to the Visitation of Our Lady Catholic Parish in Marrero, where his children attended school. Sal is survived by five children: Kathy (Charles) Richard, Amy (Richard) Hernandez, Christopher Barcelona (Tina Teddlie), Laurie (Robert Kennedy) Barcelona, and Salvador Barcelona, Jr. He cherished the role of "Pappa" to his seven grandchildren: Kaitlyn Richard, Christopher Barcelona, Jr., Charles (Bailey) Richard, Jr., Daniel Hernandez, Elliot Barcelona, Marcelle Richard, and Emily Hernandez. Upon marrying Melva, Sal's family grew to include the numerous loving relatives of the Claudia Guidroz-Paul Danos clan, with whom he shared many holidays, vacations, and fantastic meals. Sal also had many friends, with whom he exchanged endless Boudreaux and Thibodeaux jokes, among other "stories." He was a Patriarch in the truest sense. Generous with his heart, wisdom, and time, he mentored many clients, friends, and family members regarding a variety of subjects, including the importance of safe driving, college majors, and career decisions. He loved to play cards and especially enjoyed teaching many of the young children in his extended family how to play bourré and win. He lived well and was well loved. We will all miss him dearly. The family would like to extend their heartfelt gratitude to the administration and staff of Lambeth House and to the caregivers of Mercer's Way at Lambeth House. Through his struggles with Parkinson's disease, the extraordinary caregivers of Mercer's Way managed to reach and maintain Sal's loving nature and sense of humor until the very end. They helped his family greatly throughout his illness and especially in the last weeks and days. The family would also like to thank Guardian Angel Hospice for their compassionate care and advice. Relatives and friends are invited to attend a Visitation on Friday, December 7, 2018 beginning at 9:30 AM followed by a Funeral Mass at 11:00 AM all at Visitation of Our Lady Church, 3500 Ames Boulevard, Marrero, LA. Interment to follow at Westlawn Memorial Park Cemetery, Gretna, LA. In lieu of flowers, donations in memory of Sal Barcelona can be made to Mercer's Way at Lambeth House (Attn. Natalie Hooks), 150 Broadway Street, New Orleans, Louisiana 70118. Donations can also be made in memory of Sal Barcelona to Visitation of Our Lady Church, 3500 Ames Boulevard, Marrero, Louisiana, 70072. Mothe Funeral Home, 2100 Westbank Expressway, Harvey, LA. in charge of arrangements. Family and friends may view and sign the online guestbook at www.mothefunerals.com .
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Harvey, LA 70058
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All arrangements are locally delivered to Mothe Funeral Home Harvey by a local Harvey, LA florist.
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Bright, fresh, beautiful and just right for an elegant expression of heartfelt sorrow and devastating loss. This classic standing arrangement is constructed by a local FTD artisan florist of hand-selected pink blossoms ranging from pale pastels to deep blushing pink. It includes roses, carnations, stock, cushion pompons, Asiatic and Stargazer lilies and hydrangea beautifully set among a field of lush contrasting greens like aspidistra and ivy vines. It comes with a wooden easel for flexible display options and makes an impressive memorable tribute at a wake, funeral or graveside service. Deluxe is approximately 31"H x 20"W.
Bright, fresh, beautiful and just right for an elegant expression of heartfelt sorrow and devastating loss. This classic standing arrangement is constructed by a local FTD artisan florist of hand-selected pink blossoms ranging from pale pastels to deep blushing pink. It includes roses, carnations, stock, cushion pompons, Asiatic and Stargazer lilies and hydrangea beautifully set among a field of lush contrasting greens like aspidistra and ivy vines. It comes with a wooden easel for flexible display options and makes an impressive memorable tribute at a wake, funeral or graveside service. Premium is approximately 32"H x 22"W.


As we begin our return to being a full "Human Being", many people's thoughts are turning to the Earth and wanting to help to re-awaken Her consciousness. Whilst these thoughts are, on the face of it, admirable, the question arises as to whether the Earth actually requires our assistance or not? Does She require to be re-awoken or have some people misread the situation? The main problem is one of scale. If you look at the photograph, above, you will see, through the clouds, North and South America in their place within the oceans and, the sphere of the Earth. What is not shown in the photograph is any thing to do with man. Even our cities are too small to register within the continents, let alone individual people. Yet, the photograph encompasses the whole of the Earth. In other words, on the scale at which the Earth exists, humans, along with all of our endeavours, do not even register.
The Earth is a soul, a consciousness, who has survived through many trials and disasters in order to fulfil Her promise. She is an immense consciousness capable of acts of Creation unseen in any other region of our Universe. Throughout the whole of Her existence, She has nurtured life and, in particular, nurtured humanity to the point where we can fulfil our own promise and potential. We are tiny, insignificant souls in comparison to the immensity of the Earth's own soul and, yet, human arrogance has led many to believe that the Earth needs our help at this time of change.
All loving thoughts that humans direct towards the Earth are, obviously, appreciated by Her but, we must remember the difference in scale, the difference in soul potential, that exists between humans and the Earth. In all of the [many] millennia of Her existence, She has never slept and, She has never forgotten the life that relies on Her for their physical presence and well-being. As humans begin to fulfil our potential, in terms of soul re-integration, She is with us. She is supporting us and, She is providing all of the love and nurture that we humans will allow Her to give to us. But, we live in a Universe that is founded on the energies of freedom of choice and, so, Her activities and support are limited by how much we choose to let Her do on our behalf.
If we throw back Her help, such as by attempting to build "portals", it holds Her back. If there was a need for "portals" that opened gateways to regions outside of the solar system, She would have already built them for us. The fact that they do not exist is very clear evidence that those who have asked for the portals to be built are not working with the Earth but, against Her. Another recent request that has arisen from those who are not working with the Earth has been to "charge up the Earth's crystal deposits". In order to help us with all of the energies we require to make our consciousness change, the Earth energised all of Her crystal deposits on the 2nd of August 2004. The recent call to "charge up the crystals" was an attempt to take control of the energies, that are helping people, away from the control of the Earth and transfer all of that energy into the control of a race that does not have the Earth's, or humanity's, best interests at heart.
To understand just how much the Earth is doing to help and guide people through our soul re-integration, we need to take a brief look at what She has done in the past to bring us to the point where we can now, at long last, begin to be ourselves and, return to being true Human Beings once again. In understanding Her role and the extent of Her desire for true Human life, we can also begin to understand that we are the masters of our own destiny and, that, we do not need help from anywhere or anyone other than from the Earth Herself.
Our solar system was deliberately designed to be an experiment. The purpose of this experiment was to determine whether life at the energies we consider to be physical could actually exist. Throughout the Universe, many, many billions of souls exist. Some are souls that make up galaxies, some are souls that make up solar systems, some souls are more or less "human sized" but, have no physical density at all and some are also more or less "human sized" but, do have physical bodies that are considerably less dense than human bodies. So, there was a form of life that was missing…"physical" life-forms that live on "physical" planets. This is the purpose of our solar system…to explore the possibilities offered by being physical.
A region of an outlying galaxy was selected to be the host for this physical experiment where a sun already existed. This lone sun was also a consciousness, a soul. This solar soul agreed to provide the nurturing energies to a solar system that was formed from thirteen souls who wished to take on "physical" energy densities and explore the different forms of life that being physical could conjure up. This all happened 40 million years ago. This time-scale is greatly at odds with current "scientific" thinking but, this is the time frame that is recorded in the Akashic. The scientific time scale, that of 4 billion years, is based on the assumed age of a meteor that could have arrived on Earth from anywhere within the Universe and, so, is no more than a false assumption.
Our solar system is contained within an energy "envelope" that is shaped a little like a rugby ball. This envelope was necessary in order to keep out all of the other energy patterns that exist within our galaxy and within our Universe. There is not much point in creating an experimental region of space if it could be contaminated by energy patterns that could make the experiment pointless. So, we exist in a controlled and protected "envelope" that originally contained thirteen souls who had taken on the role of forming physical planets that could create and nurture as diverse a range of physical forms of life as possible.
All thirteen planets began to form 40 million years ago, each expressing the "personality" of their soul in the forms of life they created. Individual souls are Created by the Creator, planetary life is created by the soul of the planet. However, the soul that is the Earth took Her time to consider all options before She settled down to experiment with the type of life-forms She wanted to develop. In this way, life on Earth only began to develop 25 million years ago. Again, this is very much at odds with the scientific view of life on Earth. However, if you research back through the history of scientific thinking, you will find that this figure of 25 million years is one which was favoured by scientists for a number of years. It only changed when the "new" science of geology came along and tried to find answers to the ages of rock strata. Most of the assumptions made by these early geologists turn out to be based on false premises but, scientists being scientists, they have not admitted to their mistakes and, have maintained the false theories and incorporated these false dates into current thinking. When the meteorite, mentioned above, was found, they came up with this new age of 4 billion years for the Earth. The technique used to arrive at this date has never been explained, adequately. It seems to have primarily been conjecture and wishful thinking.
To continue reading, download the PDF version (it's nine pages) HERE.
This entry was posted in Chris Thomas, Evolution, Forum Blog Posts, History and tagged 2004, 2012, 25 million years, 40 million years, adolfo felix, arrogance, assistance, august 2, charge up crystals, Chris Thomas, chris thomas files, consciousness, consciousness change, creation, crystals, earth, earth history, envelope, experiment, galaxy, human being, human shaped, january 6, non-physical, physical life, portals, potential, progress report, promise, reintegration, solar system, soul energy, soul reintegration, the human soul, universe, unsplash.
Ohhhh, I can't take ANY credit for Chris Thomas' material. This was not my essay. It's his. This post is straight up copy & paste.


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Q: Finding common points of $\cos x$ and $(1/2)^x$ This might be easy math for you guys but I'm just not getting it.
Question says,graph:
$y= \cos x$
$y=(\frac{1}{2})^x$
On the same axis. Easy enough.
Next part says, state $4$ points where the two intersect.
I think they mean algebraically, because other way it would be too easy.
So I did $\cos x=(\frac{1}{2})^x$ and blanked out.
I tried a learning resource for Grade $12$ math to no avail.
Am I misunderstanding the question? If not, how do I solve this?
Hints are just as good as answers, thanks for your help!

A: I am going to gamble on approximate solutions being the best solutions. The equation $\cos(x)=\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^x$ clearly has integer solution $x=0$. There will be no other rational solutions, and that is a discussion probably deserving its own page. There is certainly no algebraic solution. However, we can find infinitely many approximate solutions, each becoming better by the following logic:
As $x$ approaches infinity (becomes larger), the function $\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^x$ monotonically converges to zero. Formally,
$$\displaystyle\lim_{x \rightarrow \infty}\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^x =0.$$
The $\cos(x)$ function however has zeroes wherever $x=\frac{(2n+1)\pi}{2}$, where $n$ is an integer ($n\in\mathbb{Z}$).
What this specifically means in regards to finding approximate solutions to the equation $\cos(x)=\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^x$, is that as $n$ becomes larger, the solution $x=\frac{(2n+1)\pi}{2}, \, n \in \mathbb{N}$ becomes more exact.
It should be said that the $x$ intersections will never be rational for $x>0$.
Just for fun you might declare that, other than $x=0$, you can declare a solution that is more precise than any other in the class. For example, other than $x=0$, I doubt that anyone will declare a more exact solution than $x=\dfrac{\left(2 \cdot 10^{100}+1\right) \pi}{2}$. I usually save googols for when I really need them though in circumstances like these.

A: As also noted in the comments, I believe it's safe to say that you're out of luck obtaining many "exact" solutions, since you are dealing with the transcendental equation $ \ \cos x \ - \left( \frac{1}{2} \right)^x = 0 \ $ .  I rather suspect that you are being asked to find solutions graphically...
Since $ \ -1 \le \cos x \le +1 \ , $ it's pretty straightforward to show that any solutions must be non-negative, and of course we can spot $ \ x = 0 \ $ as a solution "by inspection".  Also, because $ \ 0 \ < \ \left( \frac{1}{2} \right)^x \ <  1 \ $ for $ \ x > 0 \ , $ we expect there to be two solutions in the intervals $ \ ( -\frac{\pi}{2} + 2k\pi \ , \ \frac{\pi}{2} + 2k\pi )  \ $ for positive integers $ \ k \ $ , with the solutions rapidly growing closer and closer to the $ \ x-$intercepts at $ \ x = \frac{2n+1}{2} \pi \ $ .
[This is pretty much redundant to J.W. Perry's answer, since I took too long to finish typing it out...]
EDIT [12/27/13] --
I thought I'd revisit this problem once I found some time, since I couldn't quite leave alone this issue of how fast the solutions approach the zeroes of $ \ \cos x \ $ .  We can compare Taylor series expansions about those zeroes for cosine and for $ \ \left( \frac{1}{2} \right)^x \  . $  The first few derivatives for $ \ 2^{-x} \ $ are
$$ [ \  2^{-x} \ ] \ ' \ = \ (- \ln 2 ) \ \cdot \  2^{-x} \ , \ [ \  2^{-x} \ ] \ '' \ = \ ( \ln 2 )^2 \ \cdot \  2^{-x} \ , \ [ \  2^{-x} \ ] \ ''' \ = \ (- \ln 2 )^3 \ \cdot \  2^{-x} \ . \  $$
$$\\$$
It will be helpful to split the solutions into two sets.  For the zeroes of cosine  $ \ \frac{(4k+1) \ \pi}{2} \ , \ k \ \ge \ 1 \ , $ the solutions to the equation lie a little "early" relative to them.  The Taylor series are
$$ \cos x \ \approx \ \cos (2k \pi  + \frac{\pi}{2} ) \ - \ \sin (2k \pi  + \frac{\pi}{2} ) \cdot \ (x - [2k \pi  + \frac{\pi}{2}] \ ) $$
$$ - \ \frac{1}{2!} \cos (2k \pi  + \frac{\pi}{2} ) \cdot \ (x - [2k \pi  + \frac{\pi}{2}] \ )^2 $$
$$ + \ \frac{1}{3!} \sin (2k \pi  + \frac{\pi}{2} ) \cdot \ (x - [2k \pi  + \frac{\pi}{2}] \ )^3 \ + \ \ldots$$
$$ \approx \ - \epsilon \ + \ \frac{1}{3!} \epsilon^3 - \ \frac{1}{5!} \epsilon^5 + \ \frac{1}{7!} \epsilon^7 \ + \ \ldots \ , $$
with $ \ \epsilon \ $ being $ \ (x - [2k \pi  + \frac{\pi}{2}] \ ) \ < \ 0 \ $ here, and
$$ 2^{-x} \ \approx \ 2^{-[2k \pi  + \frac{\pi}{2}]} \ - \ (\ln 2) \cdot 2^{-[2k \pi  + \frac{\pi}{2}]} \cdot (x - [2k \pi  + \frac{\pi}{2}] \ )$$
$$  + \ \frac{1}{2!} (\ln 2)^2 \cdot 2^{-[2k \pi  + \frac{\pi}{2}]} \cdot (x - [2k \pi  + \frac{\pi}{2}] \ )^2 $$
$$  - \ \frac{1}{3!} (\ln 2)^3 \cdot 2^{-[2k \pi  + \frac{\pi}{2}]} \cdot (x - [2k \pi  + \frac{\pi}{2}] \ )^3 \ + \ \ldots $$
$$ \approx \ 2^{-\frac{\pi}{2}}  \cdot \left( 2^{- 2 \pi} \right)^k \cdot [ \  1 \ - \ (\ln 2) \epsilon \ + \ \frac{1}{2!} (\ln 2)^2 \epsilon^2 \ - \ \frac{1}{3!} (\ln 2)^3 \epsilon^3 \ + \  \ldots \ ] \ . $$
It turns out that everything beyond the linear terms rapidly becomes negligible, so we can estimate the solutions increasingly well by simply setting
$$ 2^{-\frac{\pi}{2}}  \cdot \left( 2^{- 2 \pi} \right)^k \cdot [ \  1 \ - \ (\ln 2) \epsilon \ ] \ = \ - \epsilon $$
$$ \Rightarrow \ \epsilon \ \approx \ -\frac{2^{-\frac{\pi}{2}}  \cdot \left( 2^{- 2 \pi} \right)^k}{1 \ - \ (\ln 2) \cdot 2^{-\frac{\pi}{2}}  \cdot \left( 2^{- 2 \pi} \right)^k} \ = \ -\frac{1}{ 2^{\frac{\pi}{2}}  \cdot \left( 2^{ 2 \pi} \right)^k \ - \ \ln 2} \ . $$
We see that the logarithm in the denominator will quickly become insignificant.  For the other zeroes of cosine at  $ \ \frac{(4k+3) \ \pi}{2} \ , \ k \ \ge \ 1 \ , $ a similar argument produces
$$ \cos x \ \approx \ \  \epsilon \ - \ \frac{1}{3!} \epsilon^3 +  \ \ldots \ \ \text{and} \ \ 2^{-x} \ \approx \ 2^{-\frac{3 \pi}{2}}  \cdot \left( 2^{- 2 \pi} \right)^k \cdot [ \  1 \ - \ (\ln 2) \epsilon \ + \ \ldots \ ] \ ,  $$
now with  $ \ \epsilon \ = \ (x - [2k \pi  + \frac{3 \pi}{2}] \ ) \ > \ 0 \ ,  $ since the solutions of the equation come "late" relative to the zeroes of cosine.  The estimate here is given by
$$ 2^{-\frac{3 \pi}{2}}  \cdot \left( 2^{- 2 \pi} \right)^k \cdot [ \  1 \ - \ (\ln 2) \epsilon \ ] \ = \  \epsilon \ \ \Rightarrow \ \ \epsilon \ \approx  \  \ \frac{1}{ 2^{\frac{3 \pi}{2}}  \cdot \left( 2^{ 2 \pi} \right)^k \ + \ \ln 2} \ . $$
From this, we find that the difference of the solutions from the zeroes of cosine grow smaller with each successive period by a factor of ever closer to $ \ 2^{2 \pi} \ \approx \ 78 \ $ .  Without making this too tedious, we find solutions
for $ \ \frac{5 \pi}{2} \ \ (k = 1) \ : \ \ \epsilon \ \approx \ -\frac{1}{230.7} \ \Rightarrow \ x \ \approx \ 7.8496 \ ,  $
for $ \ \frac{9 \pi}{2} \ \ (k = 2) \ : \ \ \epsilon \ \approx \ -\frac{1}{18,017.5} \ \Rightarrow \ x \ \approx \ 14.137111 \ ;  $
for $ \ \frac{7 \pi}{2} \ \ (k = 1) \ : \ \ \epsilon \ \approx \ +\frac{1}{2042.4} \ \Rightarrow \ x \ \approx \ 10.99606 \ ,  $
for $ \ \frac{11 \pi}{2} \ \ (k = 2) \ : \ \ \epsilon \ \approx \ +\frac{1}{159,011} \ \Rightarrow \ x \ \approx \ 17.2787659 \ .  $
Beyond these, using the zeroes of the cosine functions as the equation's solutions is quite accurate.


Creating you wedding registry can be lengthy and you will want to start as soon after your engagement as possible. It's a good idea to consider taking several outings to complete your wedding registry. This is the first of many tasks you will complete together as a couple. Celebrate the moment and work together in its creation. Doing so will ensure you have not only what you need, but that you receive truly welcomed gifts from friends and family.
Depending upon what you will need as you begin your life together, consider registering at a couple of different stores. One registry might include small tools such as a hammer, screwdriver set, wrench set, drill & drill bits, hand saw, measuring tape, flashlight, weed wacker, garden equipment, work gloves, etc.


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a letter from cEO Daniel S. Mariaschin: reflecting on b'nai b'rith international's work in 2017 and looking ahead to 2018
I am very proud of the work B'nai B'rith accomplished this year.
When the United Nations and international bodies adopted nearly 20 anti-Israel resolutions, B'nai B'rith worked quickly to take action and condemn those resolutions.
When elected officials in Washington, D.C. were debating legislation that could cut funding from low-income seniors, B'nai B'rith worked tirelessly to advocate with top policy makers as the leading Jewish voice in senior issues, social security and health care, while continuing to sponsor affordable housing for over 8,000 residents in 28 supportive communities throughout the United States.
When communities were hit with natural disasters, when important human rights needed an advocate and when YOUR voice needed to be heard across the globe, B'nai B'rith was able to respond immediately because of your support.
It is only through the generosity of you, our donors, members and supporters, that B'nai B'rith was able to tackle every issue as it arose throughout 2017. But new issues will most certainly arise in the year 2018, and we need your support TODAY to provide the resources needed to address them.
Make your online tax-deductible gift to B'nai B'rith International today, give us a call at (800) 573-9057 or mail your gift, payable to:
B'nai B'rith International
1120 20th Street NW, Suite 300 North
Thank you for your generosity, and I look forward to your continued support of our work in the new year. A year we hope will bring you happiness, good health and prosperity.
Sincerely,
Daniel S. Mariaschin
CEO and Executive Vice President
P.S. If you have already made your 2017 gift, but feel you might be affected by changes in the tax laws for 2018, consider making your 2018 gift before year's end to take the charitable deduction this year as permitted by law.


USDA 502 Guaranteed or Direct Loan?
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Woman spent months exchanging texts with scammer she thought was George Ezra
The 51-year-old appeared on This Morning to explain how she was nearly scammed out of thousands of pounds
George Ezra performs at Spark Arena (Image: Dave Simpson/WireImage)
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A woman in the UK has appeared on television to speak about her experience of being catfished and almost scammed out of thousands of pounds by someone she thought was pop star, George Ezra.
Appearing on This Morning with Phillip Schofield and Holly Willoughby, 51-year-old Helen (who only gave her first name) explained that over the course of a few months, she had been exchanging text messages with someone she assumed to be the award-winning singer.
The ordeal began when she made a post on Ezra's official Facebook page that complimented him. The woman soon received a message from a page of the same name as Ezra and the pair began texting, eventually exchanging up to 40 messages a day.
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Helen told the presenters that nothing seemed amiss even though the supposed George Ezra never called her, with the woman explaining that it seemed normal given his busy schedule touring and life with three kids.
However, once trust had been made, the scammer behind the fake George Ezra profile attempted to make their move and scam thousands of pounds from Helen under the pretence of a meet and greet.
According to Helen, the scammer said the only way they could meet was if she transferred £5,000 so they could engage in an official meet and greet without arousing suspicion of the press. This prompted her to report the ordeal to Catfish UK.
Speaking on This Morning, as quoted by Manchester Evening News, Helen explained: "He said he wanted to meet me and that the only way to do it without arousing suspicion for the press was to do it through an official channel of a meet and greet, which would cost £5,000.
"But that included the flight and I told them I was in London so I didn't need the flights. And they said: 'Oh, just £2,500 will do then.'
"He started to put the pressure on, saying: 'C'mon, I want to see you, it isn't that much money. Don't you love me then if you're not willing to spend this much money?'"
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« Trump changes the political conversation | Bleeding-heart WaPo treatment of illegal alien leaves a bit out »
Bad economies equals bad month for socialism in South America
By Silvio Canto, Jr.
Two weeks ago, the people of Argentina made a peaceful turn to the right. President-elect Macri will take over this week, and he is already sending some very different signals, from Iran to better relations with foreign investors. Argentina's reputation suffered a lot under the populist and irresponsible policies of Mr & Mrs. Kirchner.
Yesterday, Venezuela made a sharp turn away from Chavismo.
The turnout was huge, according to news reports. The final results put the opposition somewhere between 99 and 110 in the 167-seat legislature. The government tried to keep some polls open, but it was not enough to erase the massive anti-government vote.
Maduro will continue to be president. However, the opposition could expose the corruption and may even call for his removal. It takes 4 million signatures to demand a referendum and recall him (via Fausta's blog).
What fed the anger in these two countries? The answer is a lousy economy in Argentina and toilet paper shortages in Venezuela. (Hotels are asking visitors to Venezuela to bring their own toilet paper.)
Socialism has not been good for Latin America. It has created bloated governments, corrupt public-sector unions, crony capitalism, and high taxes. The net result is underachieving economies and capital flight.
Congratulations to our friends in Venezuela. They put a fatal dagger in that corrupt thing called "Chavismo."
Look for Brazil to go next. They have the same problems of bloated bureaucracies, corruption, and a leftist president who may be impeached soon.
Feliz Navidad will be a lot more fun to say this Christmas!
P.S. You can listen to my show (Canto Talk) and follow me on Twitter.


Alzheimer's is now the 5th leading cause of death in the United States, having the fastest increase than any other disease – 123% increase from 200 to 2015. The United States leads the world in Alzheimer's incidence. Find out why. Find out how to prevent this condition from the author of Saving Your Brain: Causes, Prevention, and Reversal of Dementia/Alzheimer's. Each letter in the title, S-A-V-I-N-G Y-O-U-R- B-R-A-I-N, is an acronym for something that is important to protect your brain. Autographed copies of the book will be available. Special offers on Brain assessments will be available.


After years of reports and rumors, Chinese state media has officially declared that the country's new stealth bomber, the Hong-20 or H-20, has made "great progress" and now another report has suggested this might imply that the aircraft will soon be ready for its first flight. The public reveal of the plane, whether it's official or unofficial, would be the latest in a string of advanced aviation and other significant military developments to emerge from China in 2018 and comes as the country is taking an increasingly assertive stance against its rivals, chiefly the United States.
State-run China Central Television described the "Hong-20" as a "new long-distance strategic bomber" and used the H-20 name in a broadcast in August 2018, the first time an official outlet has used the official moniker, according to the Global Times newspaper. The Chinese government had disclosed it was working on this type of aircraft in 2015, but did not give it an official designation at that time. The H-20 designation subsequently emerged in the press. The Xi'an Aircraft Industrial Corporation (XAC), part of the larger state-operated Aviation Industry Corporation of China (AVIC), has reportedly been working on the stealthy design, often described as a rough analog to the U.S. Air Force's B-2, since the early 2000s.
Global Times is an offshoot of the People's Daily, the official newspaper of the Chinese Communist Party. It has both Chinese- and English-language editions and is available in the United States in print.
This image, purportedly from a China Central Television broadcast, showing an H-20 prototype is one of many that does not appear to be real.
It is worth noting that Song does not officially speak for the Chinese government and his views are his own. Global Times also has a history of sensational reports, including a warning about the potential of an all-out war between the United States and China over the contested South China Sea in 2017.
However, Song has strong credentials as a graduate of the People's Liberation Army's Second Artillery Engineering University, serving as a lecturer there from 1995 to 2003, and then going on to be the editor of the "Military Digest" for the Second Academy of China Aerospace from 2011 to 2016. Now known simply as the Rocket Force, China long referred to its nuclear ballistic missile units as the Second Artillery Corps.
In May 2018, AVIC also cryptically teased the possibility of an H-20 reveal in a flashy, CGI-heavy video to mark the 60th anniversary of the founding of XAC in 1958. What appeared to be a clip at the end showed flying wing-shaped aircraft under a sheet, which was clearly meant to invoke the imagery Northrop Grumman used to tease the U.S. Air Force's future B-21 stealth bomber during an advertisement it aired during Superbowl XLIX in 2015.
A side-by-side comparison of Northrop Grumman's 2015 advertisement, at top, and the clip from the AVIC video, at bottom.
There is little hard data about the H-20, but the information that is available says that it will reportedly be a stealthy flying wing that can carry at least 10 tons of weaponry out to an unrefueled range of approximately 5,000 miles. This would be a significant improvement in basic capability over the People's Liberation Army Air Force's (PLAAF) existing H-6 series of bombers, which are derived from the Soviet-era Tu-16 Badger. By going straight from that aircraft to the new stealth bomber, China will skip multiple generations of bomber concepts that have come in the interim.
Carrying a full-load of CJ-10K air-launched cruise missiles, which can carry a conventional or nuclear warhead, the aircraft could give China an entirely new long-range strategic capability to deter potential opponents. A new version of the CJ-10 with a reduced radar signature may also be in the works. With the H-20, the country would have its own so-called "nuclear triad," consisting of ground-based intercontinental ballistic missiles, submarine-launched ballistic missiles, and the long-range nuclear-capable bombers.
With a range of 5,000 miles, the bombers could also be critical tools for defending China's territorial claims in the Pacific Region, especially in the South China Sea, in the opening phases of a crisis. The Chinese government has already been taking a more hard-line stance to assert its control over the South China Sea, with one of its warships sailing dangerously close to an American Arleigh Burke-class destroyer near Gaven Reefs in September 2018.
The H-20 would be a more general threat to the United States in the Pacific region, too, as it would give the PLAAF another means of challenging American naval surface task forces, such as carrier battle groups, and key air and naval bases on land, including Guam. The U.S. military is already increasingly preparing for a situation in which its established facilities might end up destroyed or otherwise unavailable and recently had B-2 bombers practice operating from remote Wake Island for the first time ever.
If nothing else, if the H-20 finally does emerge and appears to be quite advanced, it could send shockwaves throughout the U.S. military and the American defense industry, which would move to develop new systems and tactics, techniques, and procedures to counter the aircraft. Depending on its exact features, it may also once again raise concerns about the extent of Chinese efforts to steal critical technical information about some of the United States' most advanced weapons.
The stealthy H-20 could be useful for possible operations against regional opponents, such as India. The aircraft could penetrate through hostile air defenses to neutralize high priority targets, such as airfields and command and control facilities during a large-scale conventional conflict. They could also simply neutralize air defense nodes in order to clear a path for follow-on strikes by less well-protected aircraft, including China's H-6s.
The PLAAF is likely to continue operating both bombers for the foreseeable future, much in the same way the United States expects to retain the versatile B-52 even as it begins flying the new B-21 Raider stealth bomber in the future. The older H-6s will still be able to perform important roles in lower risk environments and be able to serve as launch platforms for new, longer-range weapons that will help keep them further away from enemy threats, including air-launched ballistic missiles.
An annotated satellite image of China's man-made outpost in Gaven Reefs.
Gaven Reefs is home to one of numerous Chinese man-made military outposts in the region, as well. China has steadily increased the defenses at these facilities, to include long-range surface-to-air missiles and shore-based anti-ship missiles, which would present further obstacles for its opponents during any future conflict. In May 2018, the PLAAF also deployed H-6 bombers to an airfield on Woody Island for the first time ever, showing its ability to operate large aircraft from that site and further demonstrating the ability of these bases to provide significant air support for Chinese forces in the area.
Revealing the H-20 now, or otherwise allowing images or video of it to emerge, would be well in line with other government developments that are clearly, at least in part, intended to dissuade countries such as the United States from interfering in areas such as the South China Sea. Most notably, in January 2018, images appeared online showing what China later confirmed was an experimental naval railgun, another potentially game-changing development.
Those images were not official, but the Chinese government clearly deliberately allowed the ship to be in a place where it knew bystanders would see it and then likely share the images on social media, if they were not more directly responsible for the "leaks" themselves. There have since been more official and quasi-official revelations about Chinese work on advanced manned and unmanned aircraft, hypersonic weapons, and anti-satellite systems, among others.
The U.S. and Chinese governments are already in the midst of a spike in tensions over a host of issues, as well. Beyond the South China Sea, these disputes include military assistance to Taiwan, a bitter trade war, and China's apparent attempts to sway public perception in the United States against President Donald Trump and his administration through the media. With all this in mind, it is also possible that the Chinese government has allowed official media to highlight the H-20 to further emphasize its growing military capabilities, regardless of the actual progress of the development of the aircraft.
If China has indeed been working on the H-20 for close to two decades, it is very possible that they are close to having a flying prototype. Given the current state of its relationship with the United States, it would hardly be the worst time to show it off.


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Conor McGregor NOTORIOUS
For Feature Length Documentary
Conor McGregor is the biggest star in the history of Mixed Martial Arts and one of the biggest sports stars alive today. Filmed over the course of 4 years, Notorious is the exclusive, all-access account of Conor's meteoric rise from claiming benefits and living in his parents' spare room in Dublin to claiming multiple championship UFC belts and seven figure pay-packets in Las Vegas. Featuring unprecedented access, never before seen moments and explosive fight footage, this is the ultimate behind-the-scenes look at a sporting icon and his spectacular rise from the bottom to the very top.
After the world premier in Dublin's Savoy cinema, the film screened across multiple territories including USA, Canada, New Zealand, Australia, UK & Europe. The film has become the highest grossing Irish documentary of all time.
A Universal Pictures Film
Gavin Fitzgerald
Jamie D'Alton
For information on where to watch the film, please see -
http://www.conormcgregorfilm.com/
Buy or watch on Netflix US, Amazon, Itunes or YouTube now!
The world premiere at the Savoy cinema in Dublin. November 2017.
Production still from Las Vegas with Myself, Conor, Graeme McDonnell and Darragh McCarthy
Liam Gallagher AS IT WAS Next
The Million Dollar Pigeon Race
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