How High a Budget Deficit Can We Sustain?
The US can sustain a budget deficit of 5%, not 3% as commonly assumed, because 2.5% inflation and 2.5% real growth combine to keep the total debt/gdp ratio stable.
With both the financial crisis and European debt crisis having a root in excess borrowing, the American political debate has turned toward deficit reduction as well. If current budget deficits (averaging 10% of GDP since the financial crisis) are recognized as unsustainable over the long term, then what level of budget deficit is sustainable? At one extreme, politicians call for a balanced budget, and at the other extreme the budget deficit is considered a distant issue. Meanwhile, many economists set the sustainable deficit threshold at 3% of GDP, and EU rules formally set the budget deficit threshold at 3% as well. What is the basis for the idea of a "sustainable" budget deficit, and is the 3% figure too high or too low?
What is a sustainable budget?
There's just one problem with the 3% target for a sustainable budget deficit – it's too low! While GDP growth is measured in real terms, inflation also eats away at the value of the US debt over time. For instance, assume that the US has no future economic growth, but continues to have 2% inflation. Assume that we also manage to (magically?) balance the US budget. With no economic growth, does this mean that debt/gdp stays constant? Actually, inflation would cause the numerical value of GDP to continue rising, while the debt stays constant. This would cause the debt/gdp ratio to fall by around 2% per year.
In practical terms, this means that we have to look at the rate of nominal GDP growth to determine a sustainable budget deficit level . To be conservative, let's assume 2.5% real GDP growth (less than the 3% post-war average) and 2.5% inflation (within Americans' comfort zone, and less than the 90's and 2000's average). Taken together, this means that if nominal GDP grows at 5% per year, a budget deficit of 5% can be sustained long term. The difference between 3% and 5% of GDP is big, over $300 Billion in 2012. As the federal budget and spending again enter serious debate after the November elections, it's important that politicians understand the government's true borrowing capacity – and neither the populist "balanced budget" nor the typical economist's 3% magic number stand up to examination.
Using this data, we see that nominal GDP has grown at a compound annual rate of 6.6% over the post-war period (since 1947, when the data series begins). Over the past 30 years, nominal GDP has grown at a compound annual rate of 5.4% – and this period excludes most of the late 70's and early 80's inflation spike. Even over the past 20 years, which are skewed downward due to the financial crisis, the nominal GDP growth rate is 4.7%.
What Happens When The US Can Borrow No More?
In a previous post, I noted that the US can handle a debt load up to about $20 Trillion, even in the absence of rapid economic growth. Unfortunately, we appear to be rapidly headed past that figure, with the White House's official projection showing that total debt will pass $20 Trillion by 2016 , and will rise above $25 Trillion by the end of the decade!
The growth of the federal debt is thus unsustainable, as even politicians now acknowledge. Eventually, bond markets will be unable to consume the volume of debt that America needs to issue in order to continue spending. What happens at that point, when the US can no longer borrow to fund current spending?
Cut Spending: Spending cuts of $475B will be needed to reduce the budget deficit below 3% in 2015. A 3% budget deficit is generally viewed as sustainable by economists . Budget cuts this size would necessarily have to include cuts to Defense, Medicare, or Social Security, as they together make up 2/3 of the Federal budget.
Raise Taxes: As with spending cuts, $475B in taxes would be needed to drop the deficit below 3% in 2015. Taxes would have to be raised to 21% of GDP to close the gap, the highest total tax burden since at least 1975.
Monetize Debt: Since the start of financial crisis, the Federal Reserve has been purchasing US treasuries in order to keep interest rates down and to inject cash into the economy. The Fed could also bail out government finances by buying the $475B in excess Treasury issuance in 2015, but this is the equivalent of printing money. Such an approach will create inflation, and is unsustainable in the long term.
The federal government is likely to attempt a combination of all three approaches in order to minimize the pain on any one interest group. Inflation will likely rise above its recent norm of 2% as the Federal Reserve quietly injects money into the economy. The federal government's total tax burden will likely rise to at least 20% of GDP, and spending cuts in the hundreds of billions will be required. The sacred cows of Medicare, Defense, and Social Security will be cut, since there's little to cut outside these programs. The future looks increasingly to hold higher taxes and less government services, a penance decades in the making.
 See table S-14 for the OMB's debt projections.
 The OMB uses rosy economic growth projections (table S-13) of over 4% for most of the years between now and 2015. I use a more conservative 2% for real economic growth and 2% for inflation, for 4% total nominal GDP growth (vs. 5.6% used by the OMB). Using 4%, I estimate GDP at $18 Trillion in 2015, whereas the OMB projects $19.4 Trillion. My lower GDP estimate also lowers projected government revenue proportionally, so that my budget deficit estimate for 2015 is $1014 Billion (versus $752 Billion OMB estimate).
 Why is a 3% budget deficit acceptable? Long term real economic growth in the US is around 3.75%, so a 3% budget deficit will over time cause the overall debt to grow more slowly than the economy. As the debt-to-GDP ratio shrinks, interest payments on the debt become easier and easier to pay via the growing tax base.
How Much Can America Borrow?
From a fiscal stability standpoint, the US can manage a national debt up to around $20 Trillion – but paying those debts off will require huge spending cuts and tax increases.
How much can the US government borrow before it becomes a bad credit risk? How much can the government borrow before it has to resort to inflating its way out of debt rather than simply paying off the bills? On the surface, the US government does not appear overly leveraged, as analysts point to the fact that public debt is only 60% of GDP. But is this a realistic way to look at America's debt situation? Let's look at America's fiscal situation through the eyes of a loan officer, and see how it fares.
1. What is the US Government's income, its current debt, and debt-to-income ratio?
The US government's current debt-to-income ratio is 6.01. Using the US government's best income year (2007), its debt-to-income ratio is 4.93. In the best circumstances, an individual might be able to borrow up to a ratio of 4.
2. What is the loan-to-value ratio for funds that the US government is borrowing this year?
The US government expects to borrow $1.56 Trillion this fiscal year. The majority of the money is being spent on Social Security payments, Medicare, Medicaid, and Defense. Virtually none of the expenditures will be in tangible investments of any form. If we assume (generously) that $100 Billion of the deficit spending will be invested, the LTV of this year's borrowing is 15. Most individuals need an LTV of 0.9 or less to get a home loan.
3. What is the US Government's Total Debt Service Ratio? What percentage of revenue is spent on interest payments?
In 2009 the government spent $187 Billion on interest payments, for a TDS of 8.9%. The government's interest payments are extremely low because lenders are currently willing to lend the US government money at interest rates near 0%. If, hypothetically, interest rates went up to 5%, the government would have to pay $633 Billion in interest, 30% of 2009 revenue.
4. How does it add up? How much can the US borrow?
The federal government's DTI and LTV would be unsustainable for any private borrower. However, since individuals and governments have been willing to lend the US money at close to 0%, the US has been able to comfortably cover its debt service thus far. As the federal debt balloons that may begin to change.
Let's assume that US government debt average yield rises to 5% (closer to historical average), and that debt service should not exceed 40% of revenue. Using the government's highest annual income ($2.57 Trillion in 2007), this means that interest payments should not exceed $1027 Billion per year. If the average interest rate is 5%, this means that total debt carried at that point would be $20.5 Trillion.
While the US might be capable of borrowing $20 Trillion, at that point only 60% of revenue would be available for government programs. Since the government is currently spending 180% of revenue on programs, it's unlikely that it would be able to reduce spending on government programs by almost 70%. It's most likely that a combination of taxes, spending cuts, and inflation will have to be used to keep debt at sustainable levels at that point.
Can the US federal budget be balanced? It is obviously physically possible to balance the budget by either lowering spending, raising taxes, or a bit of both. But can the budget be balanced in a manner that is fiscally prudent while maintaining adequate funding for government's most important operations?
The actual federal deficit for 2008 was $459 Billion, which forms the goal for the cost cutting exercise outlined in the table below .
As the table shows, the US federal budget cannot be balanced without deep cuts in Medicare/Medicaid, Social Security, and the Department of Defense. Roughly 60% of the budget is allocated to these major programs, making a balanced budget impossible without reductions here.
A rationale for each major budget cut is provided in the footnotes below. I invite readers to share their balanced budgets as well, or to suggest changes in the cuts that I've suggested. Just make sure that the numbers add up, as cutting $459 Billion from the federal budget is harder than it looks!
 The core budget data for the table comes from Table S-3 of the US Budget Summary Tables. The 2010 budget document is used, as actual spending for 2008 is not available in earlier versions. The 2009 fiscal year data is incomplete, and also has significant one-time items like TARP and Stimulus package spending, so I chose to focus on the finalized 2008 numbers instead.
 The US defense budget represents almost 50% of the entire world's defense spending, leaving ample room for cuts without jeopardizing US security. Over time the US defense apparatus has become particularly bloated, and cuts may actually improve the DoD's efficiency over time. It's worth noting that the US won the Cold War with much lower defense budgets than today.
 Social Security was enacted to ensure that American seniors did not starve in their last years, but later grew into a mandatory retirement program. Cutting Social Security payments to upper income seniors would bring the program closer to its original goal. There are 5 million senior households with income greater than $50,000, and they represent the top 20% of all seniors in income terms. These seniors likely draw maximum social security benefits, around 30k annually if there is slightly more than one senior per household on average. Phasing out these benefits for the wealthiest 20% of seniors would save around $110 Billion. Gross benefits reductions would be around $150 Billion (5 million * 30,000), with an offsetting loss of tax revenue from the reduction in benefits.
 Along with defense spending, Medicare and Medicaid are the fastest growing parts of the federal budget. Since government resources are limited, government benefits must also be limited. Medicare and Medicaid spending can be contained by requiring individuals to pay 20% of their own health care bills beyond $40,000 per year. This change would affect only 5% of Medicare recipients, but would yield huge savings as many patients would decline expensive treatments once cost became a consideration. 32% of all Medicare spending occurs above the $40,000 line; if requiring coinsurance cut this in half, roughly $110 Billion would be saved. This analysis assumes that the breakdown in Medicaid spending is similar to that of Medicare. An additional $17 Billion annually could be saved by ending subsidies to Medicare Advantage, which is part of current health care reform proposals under debate.
 Non-defense discretionary spending includes almost all other federal departments. A 10% across-the-board cut would force all departments to shrink and increase efficiency. Alternately, targeted cuts could be used to shrink certain programs, but these cuts would still have to total $51 Billion annually. Health care cost growth could be reined in through heavy cuts at the NIH, which heavily subsidizes health care and pharmaceutical research. Cutting NIH's $30 Billion budget in half would enable other departments to get by with a 6% cut instead. One more alternative would involve eliminating Congressional earmarks, which would reduce spending by $20 Billion.
 Other Mandatory Programs includes federal funding for food stamps, unemployment insurance, farm subsidies, student loans, veterans' benefits, and other miscellaneous programs written into law with automatic spending formulas. Farm subsidies in particular deserve heavy cuts, as they distort the economy while worsening Americans' health. Eliminating commodity crop payment programs and crop insurance subsidies would save $15 Billion annually (see page 4). An additional $9 Billion in savings is possible through the removal of middlemen in federally-backed student loans. Since the federal government assumes all risk on these loans, there's no reason to compensate private banks to issue the loans.
US debt to exceed GDP by 2010!
In Febuary, I predicted that US federal debt would exceed US GDP by 2015. It appears that I was too optimistic at that time.
The Obama Administration's latest budget projections now show that the debt may exceed GDP as soon as 2010! This year's deficit is expected to rise to $1.75 Trillion, raising the total debt from the current 11.2 trillion (4/9/09) to almost 13 trillion by year end. Next year's deficit is projected to be in the trillion dollar range, driving the debt up to 14 trillion , which is roughly equivalent to 2008 GDP. Since GDP growth will be negative in 2009 and modest in 2010, it's not unlikely that GDP and gross federal debt will be equal at the end of 2010 .
It looks like the budget situation may force decisions on big government programs like Medicare, Social Security, and Defense sooner than most expected – and likely sooner than the Administration would prefer. Here's to the return (or beginning?) of fiscal discipline!
 See Table S-9 in the White House Budget for FY 2010, showing gross debt of 14.078 Trillion for 2010.
 Table S-8 shows the White House's economic growth assumptions, which are more optimistic than many mainstream economists' assumptions. In fact, the table itself shows that both the CBO and private economists have lower growth projections than the White House (kudos for the honesty). The CBO estimates GDP at 14.6 Trillion for 2010, meaning that any further slippage in the budget cause the debt to surpass GDP.


Fort Vermilion has had library services since the 1930's. The current library building was opened in 1994. Our library is open 35 hours per week. We have two full-time staff along with many volunteers. Our volunteers include Local Committee and Library Society members.
While the building is relatively new (constructed in the 1990's), the collection shows that the Library has been serving the community for over 80 years.
Tucked between the latest hot reads are first editions and books you will have to hunt to find anywhere else.
Walk into Fort Vermilion Community Library and you will notice one thing immediately, libraries aren't dark and dingy places. Windows line all three exterior walls and the entryway, making for a bright, relaxing room. An electric fireplace with two armchairs invite you to immediately sit down and pick up a book.
The Library isn't only a place to read, however. As a place of knowledge and learning, four public internet stations are well used and those who don't want to wait for busy computer stations can bring their own laptops, tablets and e-readers and use the free wireless service.
As a library in an aboriginal community, Fort Vermilion Community Library also has a large Aboriginal Collection. Books on these shelves are written by aboriginal authors with topics ranging from sensitive issues like residential schools to fiction for children and youth.
Membership is free. Fees apply for some services as outlined below.
With our stand alone building we are able to add to our operational revenue by renting out space. Our long-time partnership with FCSS has been beneficial to both parties. It is truly a one-stop shop for our Community!


text:
Burajka (Al-Kunajtira)
 Burajka (As-Suwajda)
 Burajka (Hajfa)

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaWikipedia


Welcome to Wuyishan Jian'ai Apartment, this is our wedding room. Every piece of furniture in every piece of furniture in the house costs us a lot of thoughts. Our community is a beautiful big park with clean, beautiful and clean environment. Here you don't have to worry about the noise of the city, you can comfortably sleep to wake up naturally, the property management in the community is safe and orderly, the security guard will patrol 24 hours, enter the need to brush the access card, hot water supply for 24 hours, you can cook and cook. I like to make friends, simple trust, this world after a period of stories, or sadness in the bottom of my heart, or forget about the clouds, meet a smile, and bless the blessing, life is a kind of bearing, but also a kind of blessing You are my friend, I will try my best to help you, and give you the most appropriate advice. Our community is located at the right side of the Wuyishan Expressway. There is a bus stop at the door, and the Drip taxi responds quickly. The driver can arrive in three to five minutes, 5 minutes drive from the north exit of the scenic spot, 15 minutes drive from the south exit of the scenic spot, and 5 minutes drive from the airport. From high-speed rail North Station 15 minutes, the impression Dahongpao 10-minute drive away, and the other we are also equipped with a 5 Beijing Hyundai sport utility vehicle, if required we can also provide a fee shuttle service, continuous two nights and offers a free pick-up service.


text:
Recepção > Vídeos > What's new ?
The month of september is always synonymous with new discoveries. but before the departure of the fashion weeks, here is the latest fashion news. there are many new adverts in magazines, with young models or popular stars, such as zendaya representing lancôme, or the still unbreakable models like kate moss representing at least four firms ; messika, giorgio armani, alexander mcqueen and zadig & voltaire. the french brand with whom she collaborated with to also create a line of bags available this month. her good friend and highly demanded fashion icon naomi campbell has accepted to pose in lingerie for calvin klein. and precisely speaking under it, undergarments have never been so fashionable. from kim kardashian's recently renamed "skims solutionwear" line of mainly nude tones, to rihanna who creates a buzz with a fashion show of her own brand, savage x fenty, which will be shown during new york fashion week and will be broadcasted exclusively in streaming on the amazon prime video platform available in 200 countries and regions worldwide. this is a big first in casting a shadow over the lingerie giant victoria's secret.fashion side,the end of summer is marked by the new environmental pact signed during the g7 summit in france by 30 big clothing groups including kering, chanel, hermès, h&m and inditex amongst others. it's a historical union for the fight for the climate and the protection of the environment. don't forget karl lagerfeld's first collection, without the designer but under the artistic direction of carine roitfeld, has just been unveiled with photos taken in karl's legendary studio library.marc jacobs has just received his first fashion prize at the mtvs awards and has launched a second line called "the marc jacobs" which is full of colours and pop accessories intended for the millenials.the month of september is of course synonymous of the fashion months holding four large fashion weeks beginning in new york with big names such as ralph lauren, michael kors and the return of tommy hilfiger to new york after his world tour. in london we expect a lot of burberry and victoria beckham along with the talented molly goddard and richard quinn. in milan, over five days, the fashion week will be well represented, opening with prada and closing with gucci. the fashion month will end with nine days of fashion shows in paris with images that will work so well on social media. musique free to take : portal by oliver michael artlist

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


Main Que: What is a Central air Conditioner?
Answer: A Central Air Conditioner is the traditional heating - cooling solution installed in most modern housing; utilizing ducts to distribute conditioned air to one or more area. Central Air systems offer the most versatility and options in terms of multi-zone temperature control and add-ons. Central units come in sizes up to 5+ tons (60,000 BTUs) for large volume applications but generally require HVAC experience to complete installation. Modular 2-piece design allows for up flow, downflow, counter flow and horizontal installations.


text:
October 28, 2019 admin 0 Comments
Consistently, half of America eats at least one sandwiches, for the most part for lunch. That processes into 300 million per day. They're simple, they're filling, no muss, straightforward. What's more, you don't need to realize how to cook. The assortments are perpetual, so where do we start? The short rundown incorporates the BLT, Grilled Cheese, Club, Dagwood, French Dip, Monte Cristo, Muffuletta, Pastrami or Corned Beef on rye, PB&J, Cheesesteak, Po' kid, Reuben, Sloppy Joe, Submarine, Fried Egg. It's perpetual.
The British originally alluded to "bits of cold meat" as a "sandwich," named after John Montagu, fourth Earl of Sandwich, who was an eighteenth-century privileged person. Legend has it that he taught his worker to present to him some meat between two bits of bread while he was playing cards with his colleagues. Evidently he could play continuous, as the bread went about as a napkin (instead of his sleeve) and kept the card table clean. His sidekicks got on and pursued his lead. What was in them we'll never know, yet what a start (the Earl will never know).
How about we look at these top picks:
1) Elvis deified the seared nutty spread and banana sandwich, in spite of the fact that there's not a major require the.
2) Dagwood, named after funny cartoon Blondie's significant other, piles up fillings and bread, difficult to eat aside from in segments, however by one way or another Dagwood Bumstead oversaw.
3) The French began this corrupt sandwich in a Parisian bistro in 1910; there is nobody named Monte Cristo however just a French expression (Croque Monsieur) to depict a seared sandwich of ham and cheddar, not on any get-healthy plan no doubt.
4) Sloppy Joe: kids experienced childhood with these tart and muddled sandwiches. Its cause goes back to the 1930s and was made by a short request cook named Joe in Sioux City, Iowa. Initially called a "free meat sandwich" it appears Joe included tomato sauce which wrenched it up a score; as its ubiquity developed, Joe needed to get credit and renamed it after himself. People in Key West Florida demand it was cooked up at a neighborhood bar called Sloppy Joe's. A few antiquarians need to give Cuba the credit, however allows simply offer it to Iowa, alright?
5) Submarine: sub sandwich shops appear to duplicate day by day forever; otherwise called hoagies, saints or processors in the U.S. with a large number of fillings, they come in foot long and littler sizes, ideal for Sunday evening TV sports or a fast lunch.
6) Club: irrefutably the grande woman of sandwiches. Students of history track its creation to the Saratoga Club House, a select betting joint in Saratoga Springs, New York. Since its origin in 1894, the standard fixings haven't changed: toasted bread, lettuce, tomato, cut turkey or chicken, bacon,and mayonnaise, and remember the toothpicks. The BLT is a first cousin to its forerunner, without the turkey/chicken or third cut of toast. The Club has stood the trial of time. Its lone discussion is the turkey/chicken discussion. (World-class gourmet specialist James Beard demands chicken.)
7) If you're a New Orleans occupant, the sandwich of decision is the Muffuletta, whose notoriety is guaranteed by the Central Grocery where it got its beginning. An enormous round portion of Sicilian sesame bread is stacked with Italian cut meats and a hot Creole olive plate of mixed greens. (On the off chance that you don't live in New Orleans, you're individually.)
8) Peanut margarine and jam or barbecued cheddar, both adored no-brainers. I rest my case.
9) Reubens and pastrami or corned hamburger on rye take top charging at any self-regarding shop, particularly Jewish. Slather on some mustard, include a couple of Kosher dill pickles and you're good to go. For a Reuben, toss in some sauerkraut and thousand island
dressing.
10) Those Louisiana society sure love their firsts. The Po' Boy is essentially a sub loaded up with meat or singed fish, like the Northeast's lobster roll.
11) Oh kid, don't get some information about Philly cheesesteaks, in light of the fact that they are obsessive about them. Be set up for a verbose answer. The equivalent goes for Chicago's most mainstream sandwich, the Italian Beef: Italian bread stacked with daintily cut hamburger, bested with peppers and trickling with jus, hold the cheddar; all-American French plunge (regardless of its name) is a take-off, but instead flat by examination.
12) Can't forget about those awesome "bound" fillings: egg plate of mixed greens, ham plate of mixed greens, chicken serving of mixed greens and fish plate of mixed greens; we corner the market on those, regardless of whether they're daintily served at teas and parties or only a major old scoop on entire wheat.
12) Pita sandwiches packed brimming with turkey, cheddar, avocado, hummus or falafel; a stylish ethnic interpretation of the fundamentals.
13) Hamburgers and chicken cheap food sandwiches are an entire other subject.
Sandwich deals in the U.S. topped $27.7 billion and that is not including the sandwiches made at home. Goodness, that is a lotta bread, truly. Obviously, the U.S. isn't the main nation that likes their sandwiches. In 2017, the pre-made sandwich industry in the UK made and sold 11 billion in U.S. dollars, and that is not including naturally made.
We're not by any means going to begin on sandwich treats (Oreos) and frozen yogurt sandwiches. It's excessively debilitating. Such huge numbers of sandwiches, so brief period.


text:
S. S. High School,...
S. S. High School, And Junior College Morba, Morba, Raigarh (Maharashtra) information. S. S. High School admissions info, S. S. High School fee structure, S. S. High School ratings, S. S. High School reviews, S. S. High School affiliation type, S. S. High School contact number, S. S. High School address, S. S. High School online admission form, S. S. High School fee details, S. S. High School admission procedure, S. S. High School age eligibility criteria, S. S. High School entrance exam and other top schools in Raigarh.
S. S. High School And Junior College Morba Morba IN -
S. S. High School
And Junior College Morba, Morba, Raigarh (Maharashtra) - 402117
CREST Olympiads invites students of S. S. High School to participate in International Olympiad Exams
S. S. High School has not updated their results yet. Log In here and stay updated with the latest postings by the school.
C. K. Thakur Vidya. Madha. Mara. 15602
Panvel, Raigarh (Maharashtra) - 410206
C. K. T. Vidy Eng Medium Mady Vidy 15432
K. E. S. V. K. High School 15333
Marath, Panvel, Raigarh (Maharashtra) - 410206
Mh. School 15298
Off Acd And Sports Panvel, Panvel, Raigarh (Maharashtra) - 410206
P. J. Mhatre Vidya Navade 15351
Navade, Raigarh (Maharashtra) - 410206
C. K Thakur Vidyalaya New Panvel English Primary 15332
Gov. Primary Ashramschool Path 13332
Pathraj, Raigarh (Maharashtra) - 410201
Chhind, Sarangarh, Chhind
Rotary English Medium High School 12378
Uran, Uran Mci 1, Raigarh (Maharashtra) - 400702
Welspun Vidya Mandir 13082
Salav, Raigarh (Maharashtra) - 402202
S. T. Mary's Covent School 15392
Chendhare, Chendhare, Raigarh (Maharashtra) - 402201
Pandit H. P. S. V. M. Kudharipara 55730
Tamnar, Tamnar, Raigarh (Chhattisgarh) - 496107
Ka Bha Pa Vidyalaya Pirkon 12735
Pirkone, Raigarh (Maharashtra) - 410206
Dr Babasaheb Ambedkar College Mahad 15292
Mahad, Raigarh (Maharashtra) - 402301
Shri S. Saibaba Primary Vidy. N Panvel 15790
Jindal Mount Litra Zee School 12287
Sukeli, Raigarh (Maharashtra) - 402126
Jhagarpur, Lailunga, Jhagarpur


Candidate experience is one of the hottest topics in recruiting and hiring, and for good reason. An enjoyable candidate experience boosts your applicant to candidate conversion rates, increases the effectiveness of your hiring process, and builds a strong employer brand. Unfortunately, many organizations still fall short when it comes to treating candidates like customers. Most employers focus strictly on top of the funnel activities like making their apply process easy, and vuola- candidate experience right? Nope. That's just one chapter in the story.
The reality is that the candidate experience is comprised of every single touch point that a candidate has with your company throughout the job search and the application process- your website, your job posting, your application, your emails, phone screens, employee interviews, your offer process… it becomes dizzying, right? Orchestrating a hire is tough business.
For this reason, at Newton, we take an end-to-end approach when it comes to creating the ideal candidate experience. In fact, rather than having an experience, we believe that candidates embark upon a full-fledged journey when they decide to apply for a job. To provide the ideal candidate journey, you need to meet candidates where they are at (at every fork in the road), to guide them through the process and keep them from straying off course.
To add business context to the candidate journey, we like to think of it as a funnel. Similar to a sales funnel, a large number of candidates enter in at the top of your recruiting funnel and then need to be nurtured through the various stages to convert them into hires.
The top of your funnel consists of all the candidates that you've attracted to your jobs. Remember that your job description is an advertisement, so be sure to treat it as such. Write something that compels a job seeker to take the leap and apply.
Speaking of applying, nearly 70% of job searches are initiated from a smartphone. If you haven't noticed, we're in the midst of a mobile revolution. The number of mobile-only internet users is growing every day. If your job application process isn't mobile-optimized you are missing out on a massive group of applicants. Unsure where to start in optimizing your apply process for mobile? Check out our 6 rules for mobile-optimized recruiting.
Keep in mind, simply making your application mobile-optimized doesn't automatically make it user-friendly. If your current application is cumbersome or complex, mobile-optimized or not, candidates won't want to complete it. Still not ready to give up all of those questions? It's time to rethink your application process. But what is the ideal length of an online job application? There is no conclusive answer but a SHRM referenced study found that keeping your application process under 5 minutes increases candidate conversion rates by 365 percent!
Need hard evidence that longer application times lead to higher candidate drop-off rates? Take a look at the aggregate data pulled directly from nearly 1400 small and medium-size, US-based employers that rely on the Newton applicant tracking system.
Once you have attracted a candidate, and they enter into your funnel, it's time to engage them. Engagement starts with acknowledgment. A study by Talent Board found that nearly half of all candidates never even hear back about the status of their application. No one wants to apply to a black hole.
To set yourself apart as an engaged employer and to maintain an attractive employment brand, you need to acknowledge every applicant. Nearly every applicant tracking system has functionality that allows you to customize and automate the delivery of thank you emails.
Just like with restaurant reviews, the world of employment has been democratized. If you don't engage job applicants consistently, sooner or later it will catch up to you. 70% of people now look to employer reviews before they make career decisions, and these reviews play a deciding role in whether or not a candidate will consider employment at your organization. To be certain, this is a list that you don't want to make.
While screening candidates, there is nothing more important than frequent communication. Effectively closing candidates, starts with the first conversation and the process never really ends. When employers provide candidates with all of the information that they need upfront (such as interview/phone screen times, who they will be speaking with, location, etc.), they reduce the natural anxiety that inhibits many candidates from putting their best foot forward. This allows candidates to open up and be their true self, which helps you to make a fair assessment of their potential fit for your position.
Communication does not stop if the candidate is not selected to move forward. Delivering bad news may not be fun but it's critical for offering closure. While candidates may feel rejected, in the end, they need to know where they stand so that they can move on and focus on other opportunities. Nothing is worse than being left in limbo, especially when a candidate has put themselves out there to interview with you.
Remember, you don't have to to be the sexiest employer with the most perks and highest salary to close candidates. Many times, candidates will gravitate towards the employer that has communicated consistently and thoroughly throughout the hiring process.
Many employers think that once they have identified a candidate to hire, their work is done. This couldn't be further from the truth. Chances are, your candidate is deciding between several offers. You have already invested so much time into this process, now is not the time to get complacent and throw it all away. Remember the cardinal rule- time is the enemy of all deals. Once you have selected your hire, you need to get them to the finish line, and fast.
To start, take a look at our guide to boosting your offer acceptance rates, where we outline 5 steps to closing 95% of your job offers. In conjunction with these 5 steps, you need to make it easy for candidates to say yes. To that end, it is important to digitize the final steps of the candidate journey just like you have the beginning.
Online submissions are completed nearly 70% faster than using paper forms and PDFs.
Background check providers present all of the compliance notices to candidates that register online.
HR and Recruiting staff won't be storing risky PII in their emails and on their computers.
Once everything's in order, it's time to create and send an offer letter. While some still argue that mailing physical offer letters is more personal, it creates an inconvenience for applicants. Will they be home to sign for the package? Are they supposed to mail it back or fax it? Who has a fax machine? You might as well send a carrier pigeon. Also, this takes us back to the importance of time. Postage mail just isn't efficient.
The vast majority of employers send offer letters via PDF email attachments. Although a better alternative to the methods mentioned previously, this is still not user-friendly for the candidate. How are they supposed to sign the offer letter and date stamp it? And remember all of those mobile users. Can they easily view an emailed PDF attachment on their phone?
Make it easy to say yes. Close out the candidate journey on a high note and drive candidates through the final conversion stage by utilizing digital offer letters than can be easily delivered, reviewed, signed, and returned from any device.
You Can Create the Ideal Candidate Journey – Learn How!
In our October Bootcamp, Newton co-founder, Joel Passen, will elaborate on the above topics and share his step-by-step guidance for creating an application process that leads to an enjoyable candidate journey.


text:
Cop leaves hospital one year after being dragged by stolen car
Lorena Mongelli,
Social Links for Lorena Mongelli
Stephanie Pagones and
Social Links for Stephanie Pagones
Max Jaeger
Social Links for Max Jaeger
May 7, 2018 3:33pm
Dalsh Veve with his daughter, Darshee, and his wife, Esther.	Richard Harbus
The NYPD officer who was run over by a gang member and dragged for three blocks was released from the hospital on Monday — nearly a year later.
Hundreds of officers gave Detective Dalsh Veve a hero's welcome as he left the Kessler Institute for Rehabilitation in West Orange, NJ, around 2:30 p.m. Monday.
Cop hit, dragged three blocks by gangster's car set to leave rehab
Veve's 3-year-old daughter, Darshee, sat on his lap and wife Esther kept her hand on his shoulder as he emerged in a wheelchair and was placed into a van.
"This is an important day. This is a positive day in Dalsh's progress," said NYPD Commissioner James O'Neill. "His wife, she said from Day 1 this day was going to come. I'm not sure we all believed, but we know she did."
Veve did not speak but a faint smile crossed his lips as he was moved toward the van for the ride hometo Long Island to continue his recovery.
"He's whispering, he just gave us a thumbs-up," O'Neill said.
Veve was investigating gunshots in East Flatbush, Brooklyn, on June 3, 2017, when teenage gang member Justin Murrell allegedly hit him with a stolen car, dragging the cop three blocks before Veve fired two shots, hitting Murrell in the mouth and getting him to stop the car.
Murrell was arrested and charged with attempted murder. He pleaded not guilty at arraignment and his next court appearance is June 20.
Veve was so badly hurt that he could not recognize his own wife and child until January.
"He's made tremendous progress," Veve's doctor, Neil Jasey, said.
Read Next Two men cleared after wrongful imprisonment for rape


If you are in need of medical care, specifically from a hospital, you can always find hospitals using your cell phone or searching on the web from your PC at home. If you are in the Houston area, there are quite a few hospitals that you can choose from. They are designed for both adults and children. For example, there is the Women's Hospital of Texas. There is also the Houston Method is Hospital. They have a Shriners Hospital there for kids, and there is also the Memorial Hermann-Texas Medical Center. For all of these reasons, you should never feel as if you will never be able to get medical attention. They are going to have medical care options for everyone. Let's take a look at some of the best that are there, and also show you how to find information on all of the other ones that are currently available.
What Is The Best Hospital In Houston Texas?
Although there is some debate over this, there are many people that consider Baylor St. Luke's Medical Center to be the best. It is ranked in the top three of all hospitals in the Houston area for both performance and Houston, and also performance on a national basis. It's also the location where many people come to school, producing some of the most aspiring and astounding surgeons and doctors in the world. If you will need to go to Medical Center that has the best of the best, Baylor is the one that you will want to choose.
You can find news reports on the rankings of hospitals very easily. You can also go on the web to look at websites where they have done the same. According to many reports, the Houston Methodist Hospital is considered the best, and the one that many people will use that they are injured. After looking at the mall, it really comes down to availability. Also, you may want to travel to one that is closer to your location. If it is an emergency, you are not going to be concerned about how much higher one ranks over the other. You will always want to just get medical help as soon as possible.
These tips on how to choose the best Houston Texas hospitals will help you get into the best one. If you have the time to make a choice, you can evaluate this information and place yourself, or a loved one, in the care of one of these professional institutions. If not, simply choose one that is close by if you are in an accident and you need to get medical attention immediately. There are always going to be rooms available for people that need to use one of the local Houston hospitals.


text:
Karnatak Monuments - 10 X 10
Model: MN101005
Category: Monuments
MYSORE PALACE The city's main palace, the Mysore Palace, was designed by the English architect Henry Irwin in 1897. The palace's exterior is Indo-Saracenic in style but the wealth of detail inside is distinctly of Hoysala. VIDHAN SOUDHA (STATE ASSEMBLY) Vidhana Soudha situated in Bengluru is an imposing building, constructed in a style sometimes described as 'Neo-Dravidian', and incorporates elements of Indo-Saracenic, Rajasthani Jharokha and Dravidian styles. It was completed in 1956. GOL GHUMAT (THE TOMB) The tomb, located in the city of Bijapur was build in 1659 by the famous architect, Yaqut of Dabul. The construction of this building was completed and the king was interred in 1656. HAMPI One of India's top historical destinations, the laid back village of Hampi was once the last capital of Vijayanagar. It has some extremely captivating ruins, which date back to the 14th century, stretch for just over 25 kilometers and comprise more than 500 monuments. YAKSHAGANA Yakshagana is a separate system of music independent of Karnataka Sangeetha and the Hindustani music of India, believed to survive as an indigenous phenomenon of Karnataka.


The Works of Jonathan Edwards have been rightly hailed as a singular monument to America's Theologian — "no comparable digital resource for an American religious figure exists." But what remains to be done with this mountain of text? Mine it and discover the veins of its precious metals! This is a task for deep visualization….
One of the featured speakers at "Jonathan Edwards for the New Millennium" will be Avihu Zakai, Professor of early modern history and early American history at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem. I recently purchased Professor Zakai's latest book, Jonathan Edwards's Philosophy of Nature: The Re-enchantment of the World in the Age of Scientific Reasoning (2010)….


text:
Publishing on Snapchat
How Elisabeth Murdoch is trying to crack Snapchat
July 14, 2017 by Sahil Patel
One of Snapchat's most prominent original series partners is a Venice, California-based media startup founded by a scion of the Murdoch media empire.
Earlier this week, Snap greenlit an eight-episode unscripted comedy series from Vertical Networks, a mobile-focused media startup from Elisabeth Murdoch, and production studio Avalon, which is best known for Amazon's "Catastrophe" and HBO's "Last Week Tonight with John Oliver." "Ghost Hunt" is hosted by comedian Matteo Lane, and will focus on reconnecting people with past dates that "ghosted" — disappeared — on them. Debuting later this year, it's the fourth short-form show Snap has commissioned from Vertical Networks.
"If you rewind back to 18 months ago, we were built to be a mobile-first content studio," said Tom Wright, CEO of Vertical Networks.
Vertical Network's first product wasn't a Snapchat show, but an original daily channel called Brother, which targets millennial males. Launched almost a year ago, Brother now reaches more than 38 million unique viewers per month, according to Wright.
Brother has proven to be a testing ground for show ideas and formats that Vertical Networks then pitches to Snap as part of the company's expanding Snapchat shows initiative.
Take, for instance, another Vertical Networks show called "Yes Theory." The show follows four friends from different countries as they travel the world and meet people seeking help to conquer an everyday fear. This idea wasn't "plucked out of the sky," Wright said. Instead, Brother featured the four friends traveling around the world and doing things like crashing the "La La Land" Hollywood premiere or taking a Christmas card photo with Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau. Roughly 6 to 7 million people watched this early version of "Yes Theory" on Brother, which gave the company the confidence to pitch it to Snap.
This testing process continues. Yesterday, all 16 pods within Brother's daily edition were devoted to a show format where a man tries out corsets, cinchers and Spanx to get a better understanding of what women have to deal with that men largely can't relate to.
"What we're trying to do is not pitch a piece of paper," Wright said. "We've got data and insights that put us on a specific path to see what a bigger version of the show could look like."
Vertical Networks' most successful Snapchat show to date, "Phone Swap," is also the most popular show on the platform. The show features two strangers in each episode who get full access to the other person's phone before they go on a date. In its first season, the series averaged 11 million viewers per episode, prompting a recent renewal by Snap. In the second season, both Vertical Networks and Snap will sell sponsorships and integration opportunities to advertisers.
Wright describes a "special relationship" with Snap, through which — so far — it's the only non-legacy media company making shows for Snapchat Discover. Other Snapchat show partners include NBCUniversal, A+E Networks and Time Warner. Of course, it's important to note that Snap is an investor in Vertical Networks, owning about 40 percent of the company, according to Recode.
Besides focusing on Snapchat, Vertical Networks is also looking toward TV. For instance, Vertical Networks has partnered with production studio Endemol Shine North America — formed after a merger between Endemol and Elisabeth Murdoch's former company, Shine Group — to develop and pitch a TV version of "Yes Theory." Similarly, Vertical Networks has recruited Robin Ashbrook, an executive producer behind "MasterChef," to develop a TV version of "Phone Swap."
"We come up with short-form [intellectual property] that we know has the capacity to travel," said Wright. "Where most [of Snap's] broadcast partners are typically coming up with companion pieces to their existing content, we're engineered to build [intellectual property] that we can launch on mobile and then take it elsewhere."
Digiday+ Research: Where publishers see revenue growth in 2022
Publishers with diversified businesses are less optimistic about ads growth than those focused purely on advertising.


It is a well-known undeniable fact that concerning many Western men whom got down to look for Filipina brides online, many islands happen to be have been people of dating scams or are currently becoming scammed right. While most Philippine women continue to be decent, it will only take an individual bad experience to sprint your thinks of selecting cardiovascular system mates. In this article, we can discuss strategies to defend your heart together with your bank-account with dating fraud Filipino-style.
Throughout online dating sites you may increase the numerous your acquaintances within a dramatical level. This also offers a extra intriquing, notable and enjoyable experience for anybody involved with it. Day-to-day is a cutting edge adventure, because you do not ever exhaust new all those to meet. It also is made with a certain bridge between various ethnicities and supplies solutions for individuals to figure out oneself better.
Escorted singles holiday is mostly in line with a theme and also an adventure. Single person holiday not anymore offers the misapprehensions to be departed alone devoid of protection. People now head to striking adventure trips and vacation cruises on singles tours. The company organising holidays for one persons try its beneficial to help to make sole cruise packed with entertaining and activities that indulge each of the people together and fosters creating among fellow travellers. Nevertheless there is no compulsion to wait these activities; one can possibly also just bask available anywhere lazily extraordinary solace to become solitary.
Really popular particularly regarding the small professional group is pre-dating, mainly because it supplies chance speak to similar market within a typical setting. In short it comprises of band of micro dates geared towards producing want you to multiple potential dating partners really limited time. Acceleration dating come in many town and generally happens at the drink station, club, or restaurant. Platforms are set up for under two persons and everyone extends to use frequently some minutes in conversation just before switching to a different partner. Anywhere from 30 to 100 singles participate per affair, making it feel like very simple to be able to meet likely dating partners.


text:
package com.google.firebase.example.messaging;

import android.app.NotificationChannel;
import android.app.NotificationManager;
import android.app.PendingIntent;
import android.content.Context;
import android.content.Intent;
import android.media.RingtoneManager;
import android.net.Uri;
import android.os.Build;
import android.util.Log;

import androidx.annotation.NonNull;
import androidx.core.app.NotificationCompat;
import androidx.work.OneTimeWorkRequest;
import androidx.work.WorkManager;
import androidx.work.Worker;
import androidx.work.WorkerParameters;

import com.google.firebase.messaging.FirebaseMessagingService;
import com.google.firebase.messaging.RemoteMessage;

public class MyFirebaseMessagingService extends FirebaseMessagingService {

    private static final String TAG = "MyFirebaseMsgService";

    // [START receive_message]
    @Override
    public void onMessageReceived(RemoteMessage remoteMessage) {
        // TODO(developer): Handle FCM messages here.
        // Not getting messages here? See why this may be: https://goo.gl/39bRNJ
        Log.d(TAG, "From: " + remoteMessage.getFrom());

        // Check if message contains a data payload.
        if (remoteMessage.getData().size() > 0) {
            Log.d(TAG, "Message data payload: " + remoteMessage.getData());

            if (/* Check if data needs to be processed by long running job */ true) {
                // For long-running tasks (10 seconds or more) use WorkManager.
                scheduleJob();
            } else {
                // Handle message within 10 seconds
                handleNow();
            }

        }

        // Check if message contains a notification payload.
        if (remoteMessage.getNotification() != null) {
            Log.d(TAG, "Message Notification Body: " + remoteMessage.getNotification().getBody());
        }

        // Also if you intend on generating your own notifications as a result of a received FCM
        // message, here is where that should be initiated. See sendNotification method below.
    }
    // [END receive_message]

    // [START on_new_token]
    /**
     * There are two scenarios when onNewToken is called:
     * 1) When a new token is generated on initial app startup
     * 2) Whenever an existing token is changed
     * Under #2, there are three scenarios when the existing token is changed:
     * A) App is restored to a new device
     * B) User uninstalls/reinstalls the app
     * C) User clears app data
     */
    @Override
    public void onNewToken(@NonNull String token) {
        Log.d(TAG, "Refreshed token: " + token);

        // If you want to send messages to this application instance or
        // manage this apps subscriptions on the server side, send the
        // FCM registration token to your app server.
        sendRegistrationToServer(token);
    }
    // [END on_new_token]

    private void scheduleJob() {
        // [START dispatch_job]
        OneTimeWorkRequest work = new OneTimeWorkRequest.Builder(MyWorker.class)
                .build();
        WorkManager.getInstance(this).beginWith(work).enqueue();
        // [END dispatch_job]
    }

    private void handleNow() {
        Log.d(TAG, "Short lived task is done.");
    }

    private void sendRegistrationToServer(String token) {
        // TODO: Implement this method to send token to your app server.
    }

    private void sendNotification(String messageBody) {
        Intent intent = new Intent(this, MainActivity.class);
        intent.addFlags(Intent.FLAG_ACTIVITY_CLEAR_TOP);
        PendingIntent pendingIntent = PendingIntent.getActivity(this, 0 /* Request code */, intent,
                PendingIntent.FLAG_IMMUTABLE);

        String channelId = "fcm_default_channel";
        Uri defaultSoundUri = RingtoneManager.getDefaultUri(RingtoneManager.TYPE_NOTIFICATION);
        NotificationCompat.Builder notificationBuilder =
                new NotificationCompat.Builder(this, channelId)
                        .setContentTitle("FCM Message")
                        .setContentText(messageBody)
                        .setAutoCancel(true)
                        .setSound(defaultSoundUri)
                        .setContentIntent(pendingIntent);

        NotificationManager notificationManager =
                (NotificationManager) getSystemService(Context.NOTIFICATION_SERVICE);

        // Since android Oreo notification channel is needed.
        if (Build.VERSION.SDK_INT >= Build.VERSION_CODES.O) {
            NotificationChannel channel = new NotificationChannel(channelId,
                    "Channel human readable title",
                    NotificationManager.IMPORTANCE_DEFAULT);
            notificationManager.createNotificationChannel(channel);
        }

        notificationManager.notify(0 /* ID of notification */, notificationBuilder.build());
    }

    public static class MyWorker extends Worker {

        public MyWorker(@NonNull Context context, @NonNull WorkerParameters workerParams) {
            super(context, workerParams);
        }

        @NonNull
        @Override
        public Result doWork() {
            // TODO(developer): add long running task here.
            return Result.success();
        }
    }
}

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaGithub


This clock is extremely well carved, retaining all its original elements, i.e. the detachable urns and statue. The face is porcelain with original hands and has a silk suspension pendulum. This clock has been regold-leafed and is brilliant. What sets this clock apart is the carving, which is a tour de force of the best. Please enjoy the close-ups.


New calculation shows that universal expansion appears to be 8 percent greater than expected, which isn't good news.
April 14, 2016, 11:55 p.m.
The most up-to-date measurement of the expansion rate of the universe seems to indicate that the cosmos is expanding much faster than previously thought. Though you might think this sounds like good news, think again. That is, unless you're looking forward to the end times.
There is growing consensus among scientists that the universe is steadily getting larger, but this increase in size isn't due to the cosmos getting filled with more "stuff." Rather, it means that the space between all the stuff is stretching. In other words, everything is moving further and further apart from everything else.
If this doesn't smack you with a sudden pang of profound loneliness, it gets worse. As the universe expands, heat will become more evenly distributed across that widening space, meaning that the universe is also cooling off. Eventually, the cosmos will enter a deep, distant freeze, and time will essentially end. It's in this way that scientists who are measuring the expansion rate of the universe are also calculating its time of death.
Worse yet, this cosmological doomsday clock just got sped up. The universe appears to be expanding 8 percent faster than previous calculations had indicated, reports Nature.
The surprising find is not just profoundly depressing, it could also cause a profound paradigm shift in how we understand the laws of cosmology.
"I think that there is something in the standard cosmological model that we don't understand," said astrophysicist Adam Riess, who led the study.
The main factors that determine the expansion rate of the universe are dark matter and dark energy. Dark matter's gravity binds everything together, while dark energy pushes everything apart. Discovering that the universal expansion rate is faster than previously thought might indicate that our understanding of these forces is insufficient. It might even mean that dark energy is mysteriously getting stronger with time.
The silver lining in all of this, insofar as there is one, is that even factoring in the increased expansion rate, the universe is not set to end for a very long time. The end times are not near, not by any stretch of the imagination. And who knows, maybe the next discovery will bring about a new theory with a rosier outlook.
If this latest measurement proves anything, it's that there's much we still have to learn about the ultimate fate of existence. And with uncertainty, perhaps there's also hope.


Please add more options and functionality for navigating between groups/pages in Survey123.
I have a survey with 7 groups, I want to have the functionality that only allows one group to be open at one time, or if you have one group open and then try to open another group, the previous group closes.
Along the same idea, if you use pages instead of groups, you can only navigate between the pages through a menu at the top of page or a next button at the bottom of page.


text:
Urnes Style Disc Brooch
by The Trustees of the British Museum
Dished gilt copper-alloy disc brooch, Urnes style, from Pitney, Somerset, c. 11th century.
The British Museum, London.
Within a scalloped border, the convex surface of the circular brooch bears an openwork design of a coiled, ribbon animal in combat with a snake. The head has a pronounced lentoid eye, and an S-shaped lappet on the upper jaw. The creature bites its own body, which is composed of a plain and a beaded band. It has spiral hips; the sharply angled foreleg terminates in a three-toed foot and the hind leg divides into two tendrils. A snake's head with two prominent eyes, seen from above, bites the animal's neck.
The British Museum has released this image under a a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International (CC BY-NC-SA 4.0) license. You can read more about the British Museum and Creative Commons here. Original image by The Trustees of the British Museum. Uploaded by Irina-Maria Manea, published on 20 December 2021 under the following license: Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike. This license lets others remix, tweak, and build upon this content non-commercially, as long as they credit the author and license their new creations under the identical terms. When republishing on the web a hyperlink back to the original content source URL must be included. Please note that content linked from this page may have different licensing terms.
Viking Art
Art made by Scandinavians during the Viking Age (c. 790-1100 CE...
Celtic Brooches
Ancient and medieval Celtic cultures produced many forms of jewellery...
The Vikings in Ireland
In early Medieval Europe, a prime subject of frightening tales-come-true...
Alfred the Great (r. 871-899 CE) was the king of Wessex in Britain...
Vikings: Jewelry, Weapons & Social Change at The VIKINGR Exhibition
In April 2019 The Museum of Cultural History in Oslo, Norway opened...
Museum, T. T. o. t. B. (2021, December 20). Urnes Style Disc Brooch. World History Encyclopedia. Retrieved from https://www.worldhistory.org/image/15043/urnes-style-disc-brooch/
Museum, The Trustees of the British. "Urnes Style Disc Brooch." World History Encyclopedia. Last modified December 20, 2021. https://www.worldhistory.org/image/15043/urnes-style-disc-brooch/.
Museum, The Trustees of the British. "Urnes Style Disc Brooch." World History Encyclopedia. World History Encyclopedia, 20 Dec 2021. Web. 21 Jan 2022.


text:
Q: How do I prove that a subset of a manifold is not a submanifold? I know of ways to prove that a given subset of a smooth manifold is a smooth submanifold, but what if I have some subset which I suspect is not a smooth submanifold? What are some approaches to proving that it is not?

A: If $S\subset M$ is a subset of the manifold $M$, then it has a tangent cone $C(s)$ at every $s\in S$, which consists of the tangent vectors at $0$ of smooth  curves $\gamma:I\to S$, where $ I\subset \mathbb R$ is an open interval containing  $0 $ .
A necessary condition for $S$ to be a submanifold of dimension $k$  is that $C(s)$ be a vector space of dimension $k$ at every $s\in S$.
An example
If $M=\mathbb R^2$ and $S$ is the graph of the function  $|x|$, then at $O=(0,0)$ the cone $C(O)$ is the zero vector space  and at every other point of $s\in S$ the tangent cone $C(s)$ is $1$-dimensional.
Thus $S$ is not a submanifold of $M$.

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaStackExchange


Congratulations Elizabeth, Amanda, and Allison! Your polishes are on the way and should reach you within the next week. Keep your eyes peeled for the mailman, and I hope you enjoy your new gifts.
Thank you everyone for reading Messy Wands!
Thank you! Can't wait for the mailman to bring my beautiful new LMdB nail polish!


This month, Justin Lee and Charles Park turn a regular monitor into a large touch-screen Android device. Tobias takes us for a look at some classic retro gaming on Commodores. We also have the next two parts of our Coding Camp series for the ODROID-GO, where we learn to control LEDs and read button presses. Next we speed things up on our ODROIDs with two high performance computing articles, and then keep them secure with a Kali Linux guide for the ODROID-XU4. These and many more articles can be found in this month's issue of ODROID Magazine!


text:
Home > Breaking News > lisa marie presley
Lisa Marie Dead At 54 After Going Into Cardiac Arrest, Mother Priscilla Confirms
Lisa Marie Presley has died at 54 years old — hours after it was revealed she was rushed to the hospital after going into cardiac arrest.
"It is with a heavy heart that I must share the devastating news that my beautiful daughter Lisa Marie has left us," Lisa Marie's mother, Priscilla Presley, said in a statement to People.
"She was the most passionate strong and loving woman I have ever known. We ask for privacy as we try to deal with this profound loss. Thank you for the love and prayers. At this time there will be no further comment," she continued.
As OK! previously, was in a coma and critical condition earlier on Thursday, January 12.
The singer received life-saving CPR inside her home in Calabasas, Calif., before they rushed her to the hospital to receive medical care.
Priscilla previously spoke out about her daughter's condition.
"My beloved daughter Lisa Marie was rushed to the hospital. She is now receiving the best care. Please keep her and our family in your prayers," Priscilla, 77, said in a statement. "We feel the prayers from around the world and ask for privacy at this time."
MICHAEL LOCKWOOD CLAIMS ESTRANGED EX LISA MARIE PRESLEY TRIED TO RUIN HIS REPUTATION WITH SCIENTOLOGY 'FAIR GAME' PRACTICES
Priscilla Presley Breaks Silence On Daughter Lisa Marie's Hospitalization: 'She's Receiving The Best Care'
Lisa Marie Presley Is In The ICU At A Los Angeles Hospital After Going Into Cardiac Arrest
Lisa Marie Presley Was 'Grateful To Be Alive' Prior To Hospitalization, But Her Inner Circle Was Still 'Worried' About Her Health
Lisa Marie, who shares actress Riley, 33, and late son Benjamin, with ex-husband Danny Keough, struggled with addiction for a long time, but in 2019, she shared how she was "grateful to be alive."
"You may read this and wonder how, after losing people close to me, I also fell prey to opioids," Presley, who is the daughter of Elvis Presley, wrote in the foreword Harry Nelson's book The United States of Opioids: A Prescription for Liberating a Nation in Pain.
"I was recovering after the [2008] birth of my daughters, Vivienne and Finley, when a doctor prescribed me opioids for pain," she shared of the twins she shares with Michael Lockwood. "It only took a short-term prescription of opioids in the hospital for me to feel the need to keep taking them."
"[It's] a difficult path to overcome this dependence, and to put my life back together," she stated. "Even in recent years, I have seen too many people I loved struggle with addiction and die tragically from this epidemic. It is time for us to say goodbye to shame about addiction. We have to stop blaming and judging ourselves and the people around us … That starts with sharing our stories."


text:
How will Court address challenges to the First, Fourth ?
Since the beginning of the War on Terrorism, shortly after the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001, much speculation has occurred on how policy and legislation enacted will be analyzed against the rights provided by the First, Fourth and Fourteenth Amendments. Specifically garnering criticism is the Patriot Act, which was enacted 45 days after September 11, 2001. According to David L. Hudson, Jr.
, a First Amendment research attorney, "supporters contend the Patriot Act is responsible for preventing further catastrophes", while "detractors counter that the Patriot Act represents a loss of individual liberty and a naked grasp for power by the executive branch of government, particularly over the judicial branch". (Hudson, 2006) The Patriot Act, however, has not yet been fully tested by the Supreme Court, and so it is interesting to speculate on how the Court will decide on various provisions in light of their interaction with Constitutional amendments.
Hudson writes that while many believe that the impact of the Patriot Act is felt only upon the Fourth Amendment, it also affects the First and Fourteenth Amendment. The First Amendment, which provides the freedom of religion, speech, press, assembly, and petition of the government, is the most debated and challenged Constitutional amendment, making it the backbone of many Supreme Court petitions.
The Fourth Amendment provides the right against unreasonable search and seizure. The Fourteenth Amendment provides an Equal Protection Clause, making all citizen equal in the sight of the law and ensuring equal treatment by the Federal and state governments. The combination of these three amendments really provides the basis for the rights and liberties enjoyed by Americans.
The Court has shown time and time again its unwillingness to butt heads with the President, and especially in times of war and emergency. Therefore, the Court will tread very lightly when any cases against the Patriot Law comes under its review, in order to ensure that while the rights of individuals are protected, they are not protected at a risk to the overall safety and wellbeing of the country as a whole.
In the case of the First Amendment, cases have already come about alleging a violation of the freedom of speech through the use of wiretaps designed to record terrorist planning activities. So long as the Federal government can continue to show the necessity of such an extreme measure – in effect, spying on Americans on American soil – the Court will be likely to decline to end those efforts.
Because the War on Terrorism has shown to be an overreaching war whose impact on America is far different than past wars, extra leeway may be shown in order to ensure future safety and stability. In terms of the Fourth Amendment, challenges have occurred in several realms since the start of the War on Terrorism, and specifically deal with the continued holding of captives in Guantanamo Bay as well as the imprisonment on American soil of people suspected of aiding and abetting the enemy.
Challenges to the Fourteenth Amendment include much the same issues – the treatment of prisoners on and off American soil, and whether they are afforded the protections of the Equal Protection Clause. Similarly to how the Court will most likely decide on First Amendment challenges to the Patriot Act, the Court will also likely continue the precedent of the Marshall Court and the Warren Court and decline censure on narrow laws during times of war and emergency.
Administrative Law - Paper
Court Systems and Jurisdiction
State Constitution
The U. S. Supreme Court
Supreme Court's
Court systems in America
Juvenile Court Workgroup
United States Court System
Bush's 2004 Immigrant Law


Significance: Part of naval complex. / St. Peter's Chapel is significant as a key contributing element of the Mare Island Historic District, listed in the National Register of Historic Places and as a National Historic Landmark, and individually, as one of the most important chapels owned by the U.S. Navy. Built in 1901, St. Peter's Chapel is the second-oldest Navy chapel in the United States and the oldest on the West Coast. It is a handsome Shingled Gothic church, possessing an impressive display of signed Tiffany art glass windows. It also includes a nearly-complete set of original interior furnishings. The art glass windows as well as commemorative ceiling and wall tablets were contributed by the public, making St. Peter's Chapel an important memorial chapel to U.S. Navy personnel and a symbol of the sense of community that existed at the Mare Island Naval Shipyard through its many years of service. The building is almost completely unmodified, the few alterations to it restricted to small additions at the rear of the building, and to incidental interior modifications, including the installation of a second story room in the vestibule, as well as the installation of new carpet, organ pipes, and lighting fixtures.


As New England campaign chairman for Bush-Cheney '04 Inc., Tobin stepped down two weeks before the election when state Democrats accused him of involvement in a phone-jamming scheme on Election Day 2002. Tobin was later indicted for conspiracy.
In November 2002, Tobin was regional director of the National Republican Senatorial Campaign Committee. On election day, computerized hang-up calls jammed phone lines set up by the New Hampshire Democratic Party and the Manchester firefighters' union. Over 800 phone calls were made to a get-out-the-vote phone bank over the course of two hours. The Senate contest in New Hampshire was between Democratic Gov. Jeanne Shaheen and Republican Rep. John E. Sununu. Sununu won by about 20,000 votes.
"Tobin reported to NRSCC executive director Mitch Bainwol and political director Chris LaCivita. U.S. Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist chaired the NRSCC at the time," The Manchester Union Leader wrote. "Subsequently, Tobin and LaCivita worked together at DCI Group, a Washington GOP lobbying and public relations firm, along with Brian McCabe, a GOP activist who formerly worked in several roles in New Hampshire, including as a campaign manager for former U.S. Rep." Bill Zeliff.
During the summer of 2004, Chuck McGee, former executive director of the New Hampshire Republican Party, pleaded guilty to conspiracy and admitted paying $15,600 to an Alexandria, Virginia telemarketing company, GOP Marketplace, that hired another business to make the calls. Republican consultant Allen Raymond, GOP Marketplace's former president, also pleaded guilty in the summer to a conspiracy charge in federal court. McGee sentencing date is Feb. 8, 2004; Raymond on March 7.
On December 1, 2004, Tobin was indicted by federal grand jury on four counts related to the get-out-the-vote phone-jamming. Tobin pleaded innocent to the charges. The indictment describes Tobin as the go-between who put McGee and Raymond in touch with each other. "The four-count indictment charges Tobin with conspiracy to commit telephone harassment and aiding and abetting telephone harassment. He is the highest-level Republican official to be implicated in the case and faces up to five years in prison if convicted," the Manchester Union Leader reported.  Tobin's trial was set for February 1, 2005, but has since been pushed back.
Not to be confused with the Nobel Prize winning economist, James Tobin, who died in 2002.
Indictment against James Tobin, New England Regional Director for the Republican National Committee, May 18, 2005.
Erik Stetson, "GOP official, accused in phone dispute, quits his post," Boston Globe, October 16, 2004.
Mark Hayward, "Ex-Bush chairman indicted on charges related to jamming," Union Leader (Manchester, NH), December 2, 2004.
Katharine Webster, "Former Bush campaign official indicted for phone-jamming," Associated Press (Foster's Online), December 13, 2004.
John DiStaso, "Granite Status: News today about Arel, Pennichuck," Union Leader (Manchester, NH), December 16, 2004.
"Two degrees of separation: Tobin to Frist to Rove," Tough Enough, May 21, 2005.
Kathleen Sullivan, "What Is the RNC Hiding?" TPM Cafe, August 11, 2005.
John Solomon, "GOP Paying Legal Bills of Bush Official," SF Gate, August 11, 2005.
Anne Saunders, "GOP Official Convicted in Phone-Jamming," Associated Press (Around Philly), December 15, 2005.
This page was last edited on 11 August 2008, at 04:49.


text:
MARKO LULIĆ (1972)
Museum of Revolution
wood, acrylic on glass
160 cm x 70 cm x 40 cm
Muzej Revolucije
Lulić's oeuvre is based on exploring of strategies for deconstructing the concepts of the legacy of modernism in Eastern and Western Europe, monuments, architecture, issues of collective memory, and historical, economic and social aspects of art. Many of his works are related to Yugoslav modernism, an authentic post-war phenomenon, an amalgam of the Western Bloc modernism and Eastern European communism. He looks into the selected topics and objects from a certain distance and with a touch of irony, without reviving the current political demands originally loaded into them. Using various media (sculpture, video, performance, photography), Lulić critically re-examines the relations of form and ideology, deconstructs, re-contextualizes and re-conceptualizes, giving new meanings to objects and spaces.
Lulić's Museum of Revolution was originally designed as a work of monumental dimensions intended for a public space. In 2010 the inscription in red metal letters, inspired by the aestheticism of American billboards, was temporarily installed on the roof of the concrete extension of the Belvedere Museum in Vienna. The starting point for the work was the initiative for establishing and building the Museum of Revolution in Belgrade in the early 1960s, whose realization remained at the construction of its foundations, near the Museum of Contemporary Art. With this work, Lulić questions the meanings of the concepts "museum" and "revolution" – what the nature of a museum of revolution as an institution should be if we presume that the idea of the museum classification and presentation of a revolution is paradoxical, taking into account the fact that it is through revolution that institutional and social frameworks are re-examined; what a museum is today, what it should be like and what its role in society is. For the artist, this unrealized museum is a good example of how manifestos of a revolution can turn into symbols of decline. The work in the October Salon Collection is identical in form, while it differs in material and is intended for exhibiting in an inside (institutional) space, thus itself becoming a museum / gallery exhibit, highlighting the previously open questions without pretensions to provide definitive answers and leaving room for different interpretations. The work was exhibited at the 55th October Salon.
Gift Contract: III-5-294/1/29.9.2014.
Inventory No. 043
Photo: Milan Kralj
Marko Lulić – FUTUROLOGY. Exhibition Jun. 30 – Sept.10, 2017, Lentos Kunstmuseum Linz, Vfmk Verlag für moderne Kunst GmbH, Vienna, 2017
Marko Lulić – o. T. (Lichtung) / Untitled (Clearing). 2010 was realized for sculpture project kunstwegen raumsichten. Publication: edition kunstwegen Städtische Galerie Nordhorn, Vienna, 2012
Marko Lulić DEATH OF THE MONUMENT. Dieser Katalog erscheint anlässlich der Ausstellung Marko Lulić New Works, Kunststiftung Erich Hauser, Oct. 10 – Nov. 1, 2009, Rottweil SCHLEBRÜGGE.EDITOR, Vienna, 2009
Marko Lulić (1972, Vienna, Austria) studied at the University of Applied Arts and the Academy of Fine Arts in Vienna, where he also taught from 2008 to 2014. He has won a number of awards and participated in residency programmes in Europe and America. He has exhibited at numerous group and solo exhibitions at key international art institutions, museums and galleries (Austria, Norway, USA, Croatia, Serbia, Poland, Germany, South Korea, Sao Paolo, Greece, France, the Netherlands, Italy, England…). He currently teaches at the Faculty of Architecture and Spatial Planning of the Vienna Technical University.


Lee, the master and creator behind Marvel's biggest superheroes, died at age 95 on Monday. As fans celebrate his contributions to the pop culture canon, some have also revisited how the Marvel wizard felt that with great comic books came great responsibility. When black people were risking their lives in the 1960s to protest discrimination where they lived and worked, Lee enacted integration with the first mainstream black superhero. Black Panther, along with the X-Men and Luke Cage, are on-screen heroes today. But back then, they were the soldiers in Lee's battle against real-world foes of racism and xenophobia.
"Stan Lee had the attitude of 'We're in New York City. How can we possibly not have black people in New York City?'" Foster said.


text:
Today in Trump's America: Democrats appear to avert disaster in California primaries
ByEmily C. Singer
Welcome to Mic's daily read on Donald Trump's America. Want to receive this as a daily email in your inbox? Subscribe here.
Good morning from Emily Singer at Mic.
Here's what's happening in Trump's America:
• California is still counting votes, but Democrats are breathing a sigh of relief as it appears they've avoided the nightmare scenario of being shut out of general election contests in competitive seats.
About last night: Democrats avert disaster in California
Democrats feared being shut out of general election contests in a handful of competitive House contests in California — which has a wonky primary system in which the two highest primary vote recipients advance to the general election, regardless of party ID.
Their fears didn't materialize, however, as Democrats appear to have secured general election spots in every competitive district, with most votes counted. Getting locked out of general election contests in California would have thrown a wrench in Democrats' quest to pick up the 23 seats they need to win a House majority in November.
Aside from avoiding lockouts, the candidates that national Democrats backed — either tacitly or explicitly — look to have won their primaries.
In California's open 39th District, Democrat Gil Cisneros — a veteran and lottery winner who was backed by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee — appears to have made the general election ballot with 100% of precincts reporting. He will face off with Republican Young Kim in this seat, which is being vacated by retiring GOP Rep. Ed Royce. Hillary Clinton carried the seat by a 9-point margin in 2016, making this one of the top Democratic pick-up opportunities in the country. The race is rated a "toss-up" by the political handicapping outlet Inside Elections.
In California's 45th District, Democrat Katie Porter appears to have advanced to the general election to take on GOP Rep. Mimi Walters in a district Clinton carried by 5 points in 2016. Porter, a lawyer and consumer advocate, was endorsed by Emily's List, an organization that backs Democratic women who support abortion rights.
In California's 48th District, DCCC pick Harley Rouda appears to have secured a spot in the general election with GOP Rep. Dana Rohrabacher. With 100% of precincts reporting, Rouda leads Democrat Hans Keirstead by just 73 votes. Either way, Rohrabacher looks like he'll be facing a Democrat in November in a district Clinton won by 2 points.
Rohrabacher himself had a poor showing in the primary, garnering less than a third of the vote — abysmal numbers for an incumbent. The Russia investigation may play big in this district, as Rohrabacher has been a defender of Russian President Vladimir Putin, leading to him being dubbed "Putin's favorite congressman." The race is rated "tilt Republican" by Inside Elections.
And in California's 49th District, Democrat Mike Levin appears to have made the general election and will face off with Republican Diane Harkey. The seat is open thanks to GOP Rep. Darrell Issa's retirement. Clinton carried the district by an 8-point spread, and the seat is rated a "toss-up" by Inside Elections.
Outside of California, there were other interesting contests.
GOP Rep. Martha Roby was forced into a July 17 runoff in Alabama. Roby was dogged by her declaration in the 2016 election that she would not vote for Trump after the Access Hollywood tape dropped. Roby got just 39% of the vote in a multi-candidate primary, a poor showing for an incumbent that makes her extremely vulnerable in a one-on-one runoff.
Democratic women fared well in Iowa.
Democrat Abby Finkenauer won the Democratic nomination in Iowa's 1st District. She'll try to oust vulnerable Republican Rep. Rod Blum in a seat rated a "toss-up" by Inside Elections. If she wins, she'll be one of the youngest members of Congress at just 29 years old.
And Cindy Axne won the Democratic primary in Iowa's 3rd District to take on GOP Rep. David Young in a district Trump carried by a 4-point spread. The race is rated "likely Republican" by Inside Elections.
In New Mexico, Democrat Deb Haaland won a primary in the state's heavily Democratic 1st District. She is poised to become the first Native American woman in Congress.
In Missouri, Democrats flipped their 42nd state legislative district, with Democrat Lauren Arthur defeating Republican nominee Kevin Corlew by nearly 20 points in a special election, the Washington Post reported.
And back in California, Aaron Persky, the judge who sparked outrage in giving a lenient sentence to Brock Turner, the man convicted in the Stanford rape case, was recalled by voters.
Mic covered all of the primary results in a live blog that you can check out here.
Conspiracy theories: As primary results trickled in Tuesday night, Trump went on a Twitter tear once again bringing up "Spygate" — the conspiracy theory even Republicans have knocked down. But he went a step further Tuesday, tweeting about a theory on "Spygate" that Politico's Kyle Cheney says appears to have been started on the website Reddit.
You're fired: Kelly Sadler, the White House communications aide who came under fire after making a mean-spirited joke about GOP Sen. John McCain, is no longer on staff, the White House announced Tuesday night. "Kelly Sadler is no longer employed within the executive office of the President," Raj Shah, the White House principal deputy press secretary, said in a statement.
The best people: The Secret Service on Tuesday arrested a contractor for the National Security Council, who had a warrant out for his arrest for an attempted murder charge, ABC News reported.
No rest for the weary: Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell announced Tuesday he's canceling three weeks of August recess. McConnell's move appears to be an effort to keep vulnerable Democratic senators facing re-election in states Trump won off the campaign trail. But it's unclear how much impact that move will have. And, for what it's worth, McConnell also announced he was cancelling some of the August recess last year, but he let senators leave town early anyway.
Lip-sync gone wrong: Trump didn't appear to know the words to "God Bless America" during an event to celebrate patriotism. Trump held the event instead of hosting members of the Philadelphia Eagles to celebrate their Super Bowl win, unfairly blaming the cancellation on the national anthem controversy he has ginned up. Trump said he'd allow 1,000 Eagles fans to attend the event at the White House, but it appears there were very few Eagles fans in the crowd.