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THE BIG SHORT (Movie Review)
December 23, 2015 July 1, 2016 Jeff Huston
***1/2 out of ****
for pervasive strong language and some sexuality/nudity
Released: December 11, 2015 limited; expands December 23
Directed by: Adam McKay
Starring: Ryan Gosling, Steve Carell, Christian Bale, Jeremy Strong, John Magaro, Finn Wittrock, Hamish Linklater, Brad Pitt
The Big Short is ranked #20 (tie) in the Honorable Mention section of my Top Ten List for 2015
People (even the really smart ones) are still trying to make sense of how the economy crashed in 2008 when the housing bubble popped, resulting in the biggest financial crisis of modern times. The Big Short, based on the superbly detailed and narratively framed non-fiction book by Michael Lewis, is as good a primer as you'll find to help you start wrapping your head around it all.
While this whirring, thrilling depiction is not entirely successful at making the whole disaster easily understood, here's the irony: that's basically the whole point. It's not that the necessary information isn't all there; it is. It's that there's simply way too much of it. It's all so complex, and it flies at you faster than you can humanly process. If after watching The Big Short you're still left shaking and scratching your head, well, then you've understood the most important point of all.
That isn't to say it leaves you confused. On the contrary, The Big Short makes the crash of 2008 – and the three years leading up to it – as accessible as it's ever been (or likely to be). No matter how many details may get lost on you, director Adam McKay (along with his co-screenwriter Charles Randolph) does a wonderful job of helping us get the necessary gist – and be entirely swept up by it along the way, with the help of a stellar cast that includes Ryan Gosling, Steve Carell, Christian Bale, and Brad Pitt (who also produces). Together, they take an insanely convoluted issue filled with terms like Mortgage Backed Securities, Subprime Adjustable Rates, Credit Default Swaps, and Collateralized Debt Obligations, and make it all not just fascinating but infuriating.
Most of the world still can't explain this corrupt mess, but The Big Short tells the story of a small group of loosely-acquainted financial investors, operatives, and dealers who not only understand it; they predicted it. More bizarre still, unable to stop the impending demise of this institutional behemoth, these men did what any self-interested financiers would do: they looked to make a profit from it.
As the big banks grew to a size that was "too big to fail" – snorting mortgages like cocaine through lucrative but immoral byzantine models that created the housing bubble – these men bet against them (and, by extension, the nation's homeowners). In the most insidious form of Crony Capitalism ever, private industry and government bureaucracies colluded to game the system, but these guys gamed the gamed system. They bet – into the hundreds of millions of dollars – that the foundation upon which a national and global economy was built (via a housing industry that had never in history lost money before, let alone collapse) would all come crumbling down. And it did.
While often a challenge to track, McKay does a better job of laying it all out than anyone has a right to expect. Necessarily, he holds our hands through the myriad of data, jargon, and complexity in clear, articulate ways, including the inventive (and hilarious) device of periodically pausing the narrative to have famous and/or sexy people simplify dense algorithms.
This is a major achievement for McKay, a guy who's career has been built on absurd comic collaborations with Will Ferrell. His hodgepodge filmmaking still leaves a lot to be desired; it's all over the place, inexplicably jumping between slick shots and shaky cams, often to the detriment of our ability to keep up. He's going for a Scorsese-style energy (which is a good tone to mimic), but it can also be a real mess. There's not so much a directorial vision here as there's a movie found in the editing room. Still, McKay provides the necessary juice to keep us engaged and entertained.
The cast is impressive, if at times also pushing it (but again, perhaps necessarily so). Bale in particular lays on the Rainman-light a little too thick, and Carell gets tripped up in his affectations (although he does nail some more vulnerable moments), but the heightened exaggeration also helps us to grasp this cluster. We may not comprehend what we just heard, but we can't miss how these people feel about it, or the alarming implications.
Gosling holds it all together, not only in providing the film's narrative voice-over but also as a first-rate d-bag slimeball that's hilariously sure of himself. It's the best performance here, and it needs to be, as Gosling seamlessly melds the film's comic and dramatic sensibilities. Of the lesser-knowns – all of whom take advantage of this golden career platform – the standouts are Jeremy Strong (as Carell's righthand guy Vinnie) and John Magaro (the brains of a duo that teams up with Pitt's guru). They both make very strong impressions, and I certainly expect to see more of them (Magaro, in fact, is currently in the critical fave Carol, which will begin to expand in the coming weeks).
Is it hard to follow? Yes. But stay with it. The Big Short explains and repeats the same information in a variety of ways. If you don't catch something the first time, just be patient. Yes, we're conflicted as we find ourselves rooting for these guys to win their bet against the American public, but it's impossible not to when you see just how corrupt the whole system is, especially as that system begins to overvalue assets past the legal point, thus undercutting these legitimately made "shorts" that were made.
And as the depth and reach of the most fraudulent Ponzi scheme of our time begins to sink in (along with the arrogance of those who perpetrated it), The Big Short makes a big impact.
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Nice review! This movie knocked me over. I was in a rage blackout by the end. Had no idea McKay had it in him.
Jeff Huston says:
Thanks Josh, appreciate it! Yeah, McKay really stepped up his game while still utilizing some of his core strengths. Not a complete maturation but definitely a solid one. Looking forward to see how he continues to branch out.
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As an Owner or Employee who oversees your workplace environment for safety, have you also investigated how you can reduce hazardous noise in those work environments? What are some ways you can effectively modify your work environments for safe noise exposure?
The 1st Step should be understanding the impact noise exposure has on your workers, staff and visitors entering the workplace area.
Beside considering the noise exposure of your associates and the potential noise induced hearing loss (NIHL), consider the effect noise has on their stress and therefore their safety. Recognizing the high impact that noise will have on many different levels to your workers can help you introduce the correct measures and the degree of importance to ensure these measures are introduced and what time frames they are introduced in.
What are your regulatory levels for noise safety levels?
Understanding accurately your regulatory levels and reporting requirements will allow your enhanced compliance and safety for your workers. What are your company standards for noise safety levels? Do you plan to exceed the regulatory recommendations and provide even safer levels? Do you also factor in the time exposure as safety levels are set in accordance with the amounts of time exposure permitted at certain levels? Do you have an accurate time clock practice to ensure that workers on longer shifts or shifts that may overlap 24 hour periods are still falling within the safety parameters? Do you also have a way to determine the exposure of visitors or workers who travel within different areas of noise exposure?
Your current machinery and other equipment used for their sound levels.
What new modifications exist or can be created for your current machinery or equipment?
What new equipment is available on the market that may impact your decision to possibly replace equipment?
Your worker's exposure to noise – are there other options such as physical sound barriers that could be implemented in certain work areas?
How you measure noise levels – are noise levels being correctly determined by the noise measuring tools you use and are you correctly measuring under differing conditions that may impact how those noise levels are recorded?
The possibility of isolating a noise source to an area that will limit the amount of people exposed to that noise.
Regular maintenance and check up of equipment and machinery to eliminate or diminish noise based on improperly functioning equipment.
The work area where the noise takes place. Is this an enclosed area that may need or be able to have sound muffling measures added? Is this an open area where sound may travel with less precision or under differing weather or environmental conditions? For example, working on a road crew in an area that has cliffs or in a valley setting where noise can boomerang and creating even higher noise levels vs a stretch of road that is open and flat may produce very different levels of noise exposure to your workers.
Your warning postings in areas of high levels of noise or warning posting devices if machinery is turned on that suddenly creates a new level of noise.
Assessing your training and compliance of your workers in high noise levels areas. Below are some key questions regarding noise exposure.
Do your workers understand the concerns to their hearing health from NIHL?
Have they been supplied the proper information to protect their hearing while on the job?
If they use personal hearing protection devices, are they properly fitted and appropriate for the noise levels they may be exposed to? Are they being worn?
Does your company supply frequent assessments of both the workers hearing and the protection device they wear? Does your company provide your workers the appropriate device for their personal use?
There are many ways that you can ensure and increase the noise safety in your workplace environment creating a win-win environment for all. Learn more about personal hearing protection and Fit Check Training.


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Q: How to assign a value to to a field stored in a custom setting? I'm building an app and I'm giving users the ability to select a specific field to populate from a list of all of their fields. I'm storing that field's API name in a custom setting.
I want to create a trigger that assigns a value to that field.
It tried concatenating 'c.' + the field API name, but I get an "Expression cannot be assigned" error.
Settings__c settings = Settings__c.getOrgDefaults();

for (Contact c : Trigger.new) {

    'c.' + settings.Field__c = 'test'

}

A: When you have a string that holds a field name, you need to use SObject's .put() and .get() instead of the normal dot-notation.
c.put(settings.Field__c, 'test');

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaStackExchange


New to the market is a large holding of sugar cane growing property on 3 titles.
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These properties must be sold as one parcel and are under cane.
An extensive list of machinery is included.


Christmas Selection Box: 35mm Film | Analogue Wonderland | Save 25%!
Home / Gifts for Film Photographers / Christmas Selection Box: 35mm Film | Analogue Wonderland | Save 25%!
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Christmas party for 200: How a South Pasadena Instagram star pulls it off every year
Three weeks before Christmas, Leslie Saeta starts baking for her family's annual holiday party for 200.
(Mariah Tauger / Los Angeles Times)
By Lisa BooneStaff Writer
Leslie Saeta loves Christmas.
Standing in her South Pasadena kitchen in early December, you would think it is Christmas as Saeta, dusted in flour and flanked by wreaths, bakes dozens of frosted sugar cookies for her annual holiday party.
The first party took place 33 years ago: "We had 45 friends for the party," Saeta recalls. "Now, we have more than 200."
How does she do it?
We caught up with Saeta, a 60-year-old marketing executive turned Instagram star, in the beginning stages of her monthlong party prep, an annual adventure she chronicles on her popular blog and Instagram account, My 100 Year Old Home, to find out.
Leslie Saeta and her dog, Sport, inside her South Pasadena home.
She has taped a color-coded Excel spreadsheet to-do list to the kitchen cabinet. On it, she has detailed her pre-party plan: She and her friends will prepare 500 crab cakes with lemon dill sauce on the Thursday and Friday before the party (color coded orange). Fig jam and holiday decor will be finished one week prior (yellow); flowers are to be arranged on Friday (blue). Many of the recipes (categorized by assorted colors) will have to be increased by tenfold.
The home is an ideal setting for a holiday party. The kitchen walls are painted a pale green, and the white cupboards and Carrara marble countertops add to the older home's modern farmhouse vibe — familiar to the 259K who follow her on Instagram. There are sparkling Christmas trees in the living room and dining room; 18 wreaths hang throughout the five-bedroom house. While holiday songs play on Pandora, fragrant evergreen swags, tied to the dining room chairs, scent the air.
Every year, Leslie Saeta transforms her South Pasadena home into a Winter Wonderland — in October. (Mariah Tauger/Los Angeles Times)
For her holiday cocktail party for 200, Saeta will make 17 appetizers, which will be laid out on her dining room table. (Mariah Tauger/Los Angeles Times)
Saeta works on sugar cookies in her South Pasadena kitchen, three weeks before her annual party. (Mariah Tauger/Los Angeles Times)
An array of festive cookie cutters includes a black one that's a replica of Saeta's 100-year-old home. (Mariah Tauger/Los Angeles Times)
Saeta ices sugar cookies. (Mariah Tauger/Los Angeles Times)
Saeta bakes desserts in advance of the holiday party and freezes them. (Mariah Tauger/Los Angeles Times)
Frosted sugar cookies are a Saeta holiday tradition. (Mariah Tauger/Los Angeles Times)
The blogger and DIY guru created the place mats, which include verses from holiday carols. (Mariah Tauger/Los Angeles Times)
DIY tree decorations, made by Saeta, are detailed on her blog My 100 Year Old Home. (Mariah Tauger/Los Angeles Times)
The color scheme, and the pillows, reflect the holiday. (Mariah Tauger/Los Angeles Times)
Wreaths in Saeta's craft room are among 18 that hang throughout the house. (Mariah Tauger/Los Angeles Times)
The holiday is in the details for Saeta. (Mariah Tauger/Los Angeles Times)
A vintage sign hangs in the family room. (Mariah Tauger/Los Angeles Times)
The entryway of the South Pasadena home, which Saeta and her husband bought from his parents. (Mariah Tauger/Los Angeles Times)
Leslie Saeta works in her kitchen, with Sport by her side. (Mariah Tauger/Los Angeles Times )
Holiday decor gives the modern farmhouse-style kitchen a festive mood. (Mariah Tauger/Los Angeles Times)
The entryway features greenery from the Original Los Angeles Flower Market. (Mariah Tauger/Los Angeles Times)
Leslie Saeta and Sport. (Mariah Tauger/Los Angeles Times )
Saeta cooks everything for the stand-up cocktail party herself, including 17 hors d'oeuvres and desserts she bakes in advance and stores in two freezers. By 3 p.m. the day of the party, she says, she is done and "off the clock." (She hires caterers to help her with serving and cleanup.)
"I really enjoy it," Saeta says as she cuts snowflake-shaped cookies with a cookie cutter. "It's so rewarding to cook for people. It's our gift to our friends, our children and our community."
After more than 30 years of entertaining, Saeta has learned that, with a little planning, it is possible to throw a party for a huge crowd without a lot of stress.
Leslie Saeta bakes sugar cookies in advance of her holiday party and freezes them.
And that's really the essence of her blog and Instagram account.
"I want to show people that they can throw a party and have fun and it doesn't have to be perfect," she says. "I don't host house tours because this is where I live. It's not a place to show. It's a place to share."
On the night before the party, Mary Liz Burns, who has attended the party since the beginning, helps Saeta get ready with a crew of friends whose kids all grew up together. "It's a South Pasadena tradition," she says. "Everyone knows about it. There's always a line for the crab cakes. The key to their success is that they are bite-sized. You just pop them in your mouth."
Burns is not surprised by her longtime friend's success as an online influencer. "Leslie puts 250% into everything she does," she says. "People might have hosted similar events in the past but stopped or quit. She has always understood the bigger picture of what the holidays mean to people."
And then there's The Dress: "Our husbands went to high school together," Burns explains. "Our wedding pictures are almost identical. We got married at the same place. Our wedding dresses look so similar except she made hers." Of course she did.
Leslie Saeta's 100-year-old home is transformed into a Christmas wonderland inside and out.
Thanks to the popularity of Joanna Gaines' farmhouse-modern design (Google Trends listed farmhouse style as the No. 1 trending home style of 2019), My 100 Year Old Home has become a beacon for the fans and followers who are drawn to Saeta's warmth and unpretentious style — she shops at Costco, Trader Joe's and the wholesale Original Los Angeles Flower Market in downtown Los Angeles — and affordable DIY tips.
Of course, it helps that she and her husband, David, happen to live in a traditional 1913 South Pasadena home that exudes Norman Rockwell charm.
The residence, which has been decked out for the holidays since October, is a favorite with set decorators and location scouts who have filmed commercials, television shows and, most recently, the Ben Affleck film "The Way Back."
"Last year, it took the film crew two and a half days to put away all of my Christmas stuff, dress the sets and then put all of my Christmas stuff back when they were done," she says, laughing at the memory.
Leslie Saeta's dining room is ready for the holiday party.
David grew up in the house, and the couple purchased it from his parents in 1998. Since then, the pair, who have three grown sons, have remodeled the house three times. "They were always very generous about the changes," Saeta says of her in-laws.
As a self-described "open book," Saeta says she enjoys sharing her life at home, including DIY crafts and entertaining projects, the family's irresistible 7-year-old Labrador, Sport, and the home's Hollywood exploits.
Saeta works about 70 hours a week on her blog, Instagram and brand endorsements and tries to answer every direct message and comment that she receives.
Still, it doesn't feel like work.
'It's the best job in the world," she says. "I get paid to create things. I've done that all of my life."
DIY tree decorations, made by Saeta for the holidays and detailed on her blog My 100 Year Old Home.
Leslie Saeta's Christmas Party Menu
· Spicy grilled shrimp
· Beef tenderloin with rolls
· Smoked turkey with cranberry-orange muffins
· Smoked paprika salmon with lemon dill sauce
· Chicken lettuce wraps
· BLT tomatoes
· Skewered chicken with peanut sauce
· Skewered flank steak with peanut sauce
· Crab cakes with lemon dill sauce
· BBQ chicken sliders
· Ham and Swiss sliders
· Phyllo with spinach dip
· Whipped sweet potatoes in crusts with pecan topping
· Brie cups with pomegranates
· Seared ahi tuna in sesame wonton cups with maple soy sauce
· Pesto stuffed mushrooms
· Fig, pear and gorgonzola grilled cheese sandwich
· Double mint chocolate cookies
· Peanut butter fudge
· Frosted sugar cookies
· Coconut joy candy bars
· Christmas crack (Saltine cracker toffee)
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Lisa Boone
Lisa Boone is a design writer for the Los Angeles Times. Since 2003, she has covered home design, gardening, parenting, even youth sports, for the Home section and L.A. at Home. She is a native of Los Angeles.
SAG Awards 2020: Fashion hits and misses from the silver carpet
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He built his 20-foot-wide house over a secret brook in the middle of L.A.
Brookside is an enclave in Mid-Wilshire that is named for the water that runs from the Hollywood Hills through the neighborhood and out to Ballona Creek.
Our love of old buildings brought us together. My drinking drove us apart
That night, when I ran away, he had grabbed me by the shoulders and shook me hard and there was anger in his voice when he said, "You're drinking too much and you have to stop."
Learn how to ID all the trees in your 'hood
Garden-related events include workshops in soil building and
On the Beverly Center escalators, Pae White's art makes for an uplifting ride
Pae White's art installations at the Beverly Center have taken over the walls along the five-story escalators.
At this SoCal resort, kids as young as 5 learn to ski in after-school program
Snow Valley Mountain Resort has been teaching youngsters about the slopes for more than half a century.
Where to go tubing and sledding right now in SoCal
Snow is one of the winter perks that's materializing this season in the local mountains.

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


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Rodeo legend Cook enters in Badlands event
The first rodeo in Medora Rex Cook ever went to was in 1942.Yet even today, nothing has kept him from the sport.At the age of 88, Cook will be competing in the Medora Badlands Rodeo, which begins at 6 p.m. today and continues at 1 p.m. on Saturda...
Rex Cook, at the age of 88 years old, plans on competing in the Medora Badlands Rodeo, which begins today, at Ranch-O-Rama Arena. (Submitted Photo)
By Colton Pool
The first rodeo in Medora Rex Cook ever went to was in 1942.
Yet even today, nothing has kept him from the sport.
At the age of 88, Cook will be competing in the Medora Badlands Rodeo, which begins at 6 p.m. today and continues at 1 p.m. on Saturday, at Ranch-O-Rama Arena. The event marks the North Dakota Rodeo Association season opener.
Cook, a 2010 inductee of the North Dakota Cowboy Hall of Fame and NDRA champion in 1962, hasn't officially been in a rodeo in decades, but still competes in team roping regularly.
"I suppose it's ignorance, probably," Cook joked about why he still rides. "I should know better. But I like to rope, and I like to ride. As long as I can do it, I'm going to do."
Cook will be competing in team roping - which North Dakota Cowboy Association President Kevin Holten said Cook basically invented in the state - and will be teaming up with Holten.
"You've got the guy who originated team roping in the state of North Dakota," Holten said, "and he's roping in our rodeo this weekend. I don't know how to compare it. It's like having Babe Ruth play in your pickup baseball game."
Cook, born at his parents' homestead just north of Sentinel Butte in 1928, broke in his first horse when he was 12 and began ranching when he was 14.
He always knew he wanted to be a cowboy.
"I suppose I wanted to be around the culture," Cook said. "A lot of people didn't like to compete in rodeo, but I was around people who did and I just started doing it."
After graduating from high school, Cook went to Dickinson State College and graduated in the 1950s. Cook married his wife, Ann, and has two children, Sally Reichert and Ryan Cook. Soon after, Cook served the military overseas in Japan.
Merle Aus, who grew up in Amidon but moved to Glendive, Mont., when he got married in the 1960s, was the first roping partner Cook ever had. Cook and Tex Appledoorn won the 1958-59 North Dakota team roping championship in Belfield, and Aus and Jim Jefferies were his roping partners.
"We roped together a lot until a few years ago," Aus said. "It was an important part of our lives for both us."
Aus, 91, met Cook when they entered in a team roping event in Belfield in the 1950s, but neither had a partner. They won that event and have been friends ever since.
"If it weren't for team roping, I would've never had gotten very acquainted with Rex," Aus said. "We just hit it off right away."
After a few different jobs, Cook began teaching school in Dickinson and retired in 1989.
But throughout it all, Cook always had time for raising horses.
"Rex always knew what to do with the horses," Aus said. "He's just a good ole guy. ... He was a saddlemaker and knew how to build saddles. We just kept building them. Rex is a real artist. He could make one look really nice."
But from what he's watched, Cook has seen plenty of change in rodeo since he started competing when he was 17 years old.
"It's gotten more popular, and like anything else, it's gotten more competitive," Cook said. "The skill level has increased quite a bit, I think. It used to be if you could tie a calf in 15 seconds you could win some money. Now if you tie one in 10 you're probably not winning that much."
Cook likes team roping more now because it's something he can do - even now in his 80s.
"I needed to pay for my habit or my addiction," Cook said. "Like anything else, if you like it, it's a great thing. But you have to like it or have a passion for it. I couldn't imagine anybody doing it if they didn't like it."
But Holten said Cook not only continues to rides horses, but he talks and acts unlike a normal 88-year-old.
"It's like roping with somebody who's still in high school," Holten said. "He's just not old. Everybody respects him. Everybody in the cowboy world knows who he is and respects him. … Roping with him is like roping with somebody 30 years younger. Everybody marvels at him."
Holten added that Cook is still sought after for advice on things like brandings - he did custom brandings years ago - as well as horsemanship and riding in general. Cook is also a historian of the area, Holten added. In fact, Holten uses Cook as a source for the content he produces about rodeo with the NDCA.
"All those guys in the '50s and '60s who dominated rodeo nationally, they were his neighbors," Holten said. "He grew up with those guys. At the age of 14, he was working with some of the legends in ranching in western North Dakota. You can always go to him with any question on horsemanship. … He's a gift to us all right now because he has all that history, and we can tap into it. It's almost someone going back into the past. Plus, he's a great storyteller, and he's got a million stories."
On top of it all, Holten said Cook is encouraging and is a positive and patient reinforcement. Cook makes the lives around him better, Holten said.
"He's looked up to," Holten said. "He's got your back. It's great to have him around because it's a certain level of expertise that you're there with. It almost elevates you in your own mind. Whether it's Brad Gjermundson, four-time world champion, or whoever, they all know him well and stop and listen to him. It's a respect thing."
Even at a social gathering like a branding, Holten said people make sure to watch Cook rope, or at the very least, get a chance to talk to him.
"He knew all of the legends and they knew him," Holten said. "The current competitors, they know that, so they want to mix with him. It's almost like touching the past."
But because Cook is a legend, Holten confessed he's nervous to rope with Cook. Holten doesn't want to miss on his part.
"Everybody's going to be pulling for him, and now the pressure is on me," Holten said with a laugh. "It's a great honor, but it's a little added pressure."
Just because he's 88, Holten said Cook isn't backing down from the competition - it's no ceremonial go.
"It's not like a gift that he's competing," Holten said. "It's like, 'Good luck beating him.' Because he wins. … This is not a relic. This is a legitimate competitor in this rodeo at the age of 88. And he does it so casually and so smoothly. He goes out there and puts it on. I mean, I hope I'm riding a horse at 88. When you're too close to it, you don't appreciate it, but it's a miracle, it really is."
Related Topics: MEDORARODEO


The focus of this statement is placed on identifying practical and achievable measures that can be taken to ensure that aid effectiveness initiatives are linked to the achievement of our development goals.
The 2008 Aid Effectiveness Report draws from a wide body of quantitative and qualitative evidence: the TWG reports to the GDCC, the Paris Declaration monitoring survey, the technical cooperation analysis, the Evaluation of Aid Effectiveness and its Independent Review, and many of the global studies that were prepared for this year's High-level Forum in Accra — including the Accra Agenda for Action itself. But it is the conclusions and recommendations that are contained in the Report, rather than the technical detail, that is important to the CDCF dialogue.
All of the combined evidence suggests that progress has been mixed. On some priority initiatives and in some sectors there has been progress, elsewhere there has been little headway beyond establishing policies and plans, drafting reports and holding meetings. While it is therefore encouraging to report that aid flows are increasing and to note that alignment with the NSDP is improving, there is still little evidence to show that the significant efforts made with regard to aid effectiveness have delivered a satisfactory return in terms of more efficient aid management and more impact in meeting our NSDP targets.
The challenge for Government and development partners is to work within the existing Harmonisation, Alignment and Results Action Plan framework to prioritise and integrate these lessons into our sectoral and central planning and budgeting processes. In addition we must work together to implement the joint commitments we made in Accra.
Good progress in establishing tools and processes yields little evidence of links to development results. Signs of increasing fatigue imply that political interventions and leadership required.
Efforts need to focus on less complicated – "good enough" – measures that are more integrated in sector and central planning/budgeting processes.
Improved partnership dynamics are needed to support multi-stakeholder processes that deliver results in an accountable, effective and partnership-based manner.
Broader engagement – of RGC, DPs, CSOs - is necessary but requires commitment and competency to be effective and results-focused.
The future role for partnerships in development cooperation must increasingly focus on capacity development.
At central level, the Ministry of Economy and Finance, the Ministry of Planning and CDC will work together in closer collaboration to harmonise the processes of collecting aid information, including it in the Public Investment Programme, and then ensuring that the PIP is used to prepare the budget and MTEF. This will strengthen both central and sectoral planning and budgeting functions. In addition, the Council for Administrative Reform – CAR – will continue the process of developing the National Capacity Strategy, and this will guide the use of technical cooperation, on which much effort has been devoted in 2007 and 2008.
It is proposed that each Ministry and agency that is represented in the TWGs identify its own set of aid effectiveness priorities, based on the H-A-R Action Plan, and in the context of the Accra Agenda for Action. This need not be complicated; indeed a light and focused process is to be encouraged as long as it is based on the realities and priorities of the sector. This will enable a relatively short set of priority actions to be identified that: first, have a high level of political commitment, second, are linked to the achievement of our development goals; and, third, are feasible in the context of a sector's own context and capacity.
These actions are to be developed and implemented by Government as this is how ownership and sustainable capacity development becomes a realistic possibility. They may be prepared in collaboration with TWGs but they are the responsibility of Government first and foremost. TWGs are only facilitating bodies, although their support for developing and implementing these plans will clearly be crucial, and the identified priorities will become part of the aid effectiveness JMI. The existing TWG Guideline also makes a provision for the identification of aid effectiveness priorities so that consistency with established procedures during the implementation phase is assured.
The Accra Agenda for Action represents a global consensus that national systems should be used as the 'first option.' It is proposed that common assessments of these systems be made, led by Government and supported by development partners. It is also noted that the Accra Agenda for Action requires development partners to make clear their reasons for not using country systems as well as a time-frame for developing capacity to do so. For Government this provision has significant appeal.
There is a need to make an increased effort to move beyond the development of a sector plan or strategy that encourages alignment only at a basic level, and omits altogether most aspects of harmonisation. Further consolidation and application of programmatic practices is required, especially related to whichever of the following are suited to the sector context: (i) development of RGC-led comprehensive sector policy/strategies; (ii) all support to be programmed within a sector framework or annual operational plan; (iii) TWG effectiveness and coordination: (iv) use of national systems: (v) harmonised and common implementation and management procedures and funding modalities; (vi) coherent capacity and technical cooperation programming; and, (vii) joint reviews.
Partnerships also need to be strengthened in the context of a more effective ownership, something which the Evaluation of Aid Effectiveness has highlighted. In a complex multi-stakeholder environment both Government and development partners must have the partnership-based competencies to engage in a sector process, to be able to communicate, negotiate, monitor progress jointly and demonstrate flexibility. Training in partnership-building and results-based management may therefore be offered by CDC in 2009, which will mean expanding the TWG Network to include chairs and development partner facilitators. Other areas for promoting TWG effectiveness are more straightforward but often overlooked: they concern membership and participation at an appropriate level, and the continued need for translation services, which are available and should be used more readily (using the block grant provided by CDC if necessary). Recent momentum in improving dialogue mechanisms will also be maintained.
Division of labour is a necessary part of a broader reflection on excessive fragmentation both across and within sectors. There are still too many partners spreading their resources too thinly across too many sectors, and within those sectors project fragmentation is creating an unsustainable burden. This makes it difficult to associate any development partner country programme or individual project with meaningful outcomes. The Government is supportive of a division of labour exercise in principle and the Aid Effectiveness Report (page 20) sets out some criteria. This must be applied pragmatically however, meaning that each sector and partner must enter into such an exercise voluntarily based on their own needs, and that overall NSDP financing consistency must be maintained. There are a number of other technical challenges that we must be aware of (e.g. definition of a sector, country programme focus and timeframes, role of multilaterals), as well as alternatives (e.g. using PBAs, delegating cooperation, or simply managing some of these 750 projects more efficiently). The first step is to confirm sufficient interest in principle and then to undertake a detailed mapping of each sector. We will then ask each TWG to reflect on the levels of fragmentation, the extent to which this is burdensome and if a rationalised division of labour would deliver improved results. Such a reflection should of course consider the context of implementing a programme-based approach, which can facilitate the efficient management of multi-partner support. The Government understands that EU partners are also interested in looking more closely at this initiative and Government is prepared to lead this initiative in 2009.
Undertaking this work may appear formidable but we propose that it be kept light and manageable. The Independent Review of the Evaluation of Aid Effectiveness noted that "preparation, design and launching of reform... is now in danger of drowning in its own process. There seems almost a danger that the preparation is becoming an excuse for the limited action." Developing excessively ambitious and needlessly detailed plans must therefore be replaced by more limited actions identified and grounded in sector realities. Implementing the whole of the H-A-R Action Plan in every Ministry, as perhaps we have tried to do in the past, may therefore not be relevant: it places a burden on scarce capacity and results in very little being achieved. There is nothing wrong with identifying one priority issue, taking effective action and then reflecting on what more might be needed. Indeed, the creation of long-term, universal and comprehensive plans may have been our un-doing as we become overwhelmed, paralysed and fatigued.
It is proposed that each TWG chair, representing his or her Ministry, works with: (i) a representative from other Ministries and agencies participating in the TWG; (ii) a member of the secretariat (iii) an official from CRDB, (iv) and. if our partners are agreeable, one of the many aid effectiveness experts that are now engaged in development partner agencies, although their work at present may have no particular grounding in any sector. This will allow a prioritised list of options to be identified by each Ministry. Based on development partners own reflections and consultations with their capitals I am hopeful that we can then move forward quickly to use the TWGs to support the Ministries during the implementation phase, which will become part of the aid effectiveness JMI. Our ambition must be focused on creating momentum and achieving results in the short-term, not on addressing each and every provision of the HA-R Action Plan in every sector. Oversight and support can be provided using the Partnership and Harmonisation TWG, the JMIs, the GDCC and the TWG Network.
These recommendations are designed to address the problems identified as a result of significant analytical work and reflection, as well as the global commitments agreed in Accra. Identifying discrete and results-oriented actions will allow us to strengthen central linkages, prioritise and implement only those actions that make sense at sector level, and translate our commitments into results. The CDCF provides an opportunity to do three important things: (i) underline political will to take this work forward; (ii) to seek the views of Government colleagues regarding their preparedness; and (iii) to consider the steps that we may take together early next year to begin this important initiative.


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"The Fear of the Lord is the Beginning of Wisdom"; A study of Proverbs, Wed. Nights 7:30-8:45, 5/22, 29 & 6/12, 19
Home » News » Site News » "The Fear of the Lord is the Beginning of Wisdom"; A study of Proverbs, Wed. Nights 7:30-8:45, 5/22, 29 & 6/12, 19
Posted by: Chelsea Badeau on Tue, May 14, 2013
The book of Proverbs isn't well known - it appears only a few times in the lectionary - but it's both provocative and delightful. In it we hear the female voice of Wisdom (Sophia) calling all to receive the Lord's instruction, and poetic observations and words of advice on the way of the world. It's a book that reflects its times and lifts up the virtues of order, but it's also inspired feminist reflection and has its revolutionary moments. All welcome!
"The Fear of the Lord is the Beginning of Wisdom"
A study of Proverbs, Wednesday evenings 7:30-8:45,
May 22, 29 and June 12 and 19
The book of Proverbs isn't well known - it appears only a few times in the lectionary - but it's both provocative and delightful. In it we hear the female voice of Wisdom (Sophia) calling all to receive the Lord's
instruction, and poetic observations and words of advice on the way of the world. It's a book that reflects its times and lifts up the virtues of order, but it's also inspired feminist reflection and has its revolutionary
moments. All welcome!
Discussion: "The Fear of the Lord is the Beginning of Wisdom"; A study of Proverbs, Wed. Nights 7:30-8:45, 5/22, 29 & 6/12, 19


"23 days. That was back in 2004. 16 matches in 16 cities, 5 autograph signings in different cities, and 2 travel days on the road to home."
"The one hour iron man match with Brock Lesnar. It was intense… and so was Brock. Not to mention my sister passed away the night before. That match was 2 world class athletes going toe to toe for 60 mins. Intense."
"I had no idea what to do, I just did what I was told. In this business, being a great leader also entails being a great follower at first. I was an excellent follower when I started. I listened extremely well when my career began. And that morphed into me being an excellent leader years later."
"It WILL get better, it always does. But you gotta get through the situation that is setting you back right now. It takes a little time. It will eventually pass. And U will be okay!"


Arsham Rezai, the citizen who has been jailed at Tehran notorious Evin prison, was sentenced to eight years and six months prison term. The sentence was delivered to Arasham after he was summoned to the court on March 16, 2019. He was arrested by IRGC security forces in Tehran on January 7, 2019. Arsham was taken into Evin prison after being kept in the Quarantine Ward for two weeks.
The sentenced was allegedly handed over to Arsham, according to Human Rights Activist News Agency (HRANA).
He was sentenced to prison on the false charges of "propaganda against the regime", "assembly and collusion to disturb national security", and "insulting the Supreme Leader".
Arsham is being kept at Ward 4 of the Evin prison.


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Pendleton är administrativ huvudort i Umatilla County i Oregon. Orten har fått sitt namn efter politikern George H. Pendleton. Enligt 2010 års folkräkning hade Pendleton 16 612 invånare.

Kända personer från Pendleton
 Michael J. Kopetski, politiker
 Gordon Smith, politiker

Källor

Orter i Oregon

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaWikipedia


peb fabrication machines - stadco.
peb fabrication machines; ... PEB Steel Structure China PEB Steel Structure Supplier . ... PEB Fabrication vibrating sieve separator.
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Foundation Design for Vibrating Machines.pdf - Download as PDF File ... (supporting structure without the footing) ... rules-of-thumb-for-steel-structures.pdf.
Vibrators & vibrating machines - webac .
Alloy Crusher Structure - learnersacademy.


Magnet Cleaners There are 10 products.
The Mag float algae magnet for cleaning aquarium glass is a new product from the only company that doesn't make "sinking magnets", Mag Float. Recommend to be used on aquarium surfaces up to (16mm) surface.
Replacement blades for the Mag float scrapers. 2 in a pack.
For Glass Aquariums up to 6mm Cleaner pad is approximately 77mm x 47mm.
For Glass Aquariums up to 12mm Cleaner pad is approximately 100mm x 65mm.
Fl!pper is made with the strongest rare earth magnets optimized for fresh or saltwater aquariums up to 1″ (25mm) in thickness.
Recommend to be used on aquariums up to 125 gallons with a surface thickness up to 3/8"
Recommend to be used on aquariums up to 350 gallons with a surface thickness up to 5/8"


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Opinion » Street Talk
Forgive me for repeating myself, but would somebody shoot me? I've said it before, but nobody ever takes me up on the request. I'm serious this time. Somebody just walk up and shoot me in the head. Please.
It's time change time. Again. Which means that I'm losing an hour of precious, precious sleep, and I hate losing even one second of my precious, precious sleep. I'm about ready for the big sleep, as Raymond Chandler called it, which brings me back to the part about shooting me in the head. Do it.
Do it already. Aw, come on.
Well, on second thought, maybe a bullet to the brain isn't the best way to go. Oh, I'm sure that it's fast and all much quicker than, say, getting pummeled by a pillowcase full of doorknobs but it's oh-so-cliche, and I can't shuffle off this mortal coil on such mediocre terms. Mine has been a life marked by spontaneity, creativity, and dare I say? whimsy. Nah, that's too fluffy. How about playfulness? Yeah. Playfulness.
So forget the gun. Send me packing to the afterlife with a skateboard. That's playful enough, and there's no gunpowder required. It's a win-win.
Now before you squawk at me for being insensitive about that skateboard attack that happened a while back in San Luis Obispo, allow me to squawk at you first. I have skateboards on the brain and by that I mean I was thinking about getting brained by a skateboard because the San Luis Obispo County Courthouse just decided to ban the alternative modes of transportation from within its hallowed walls on the grounds that they can be used as weapons.
By that logic, I assume that just about anything of that relative size and shape could be used to off someone. A briefcase would certainly fit the bill especially one of those expensive, hard-sided ones with metal-reinforced corners. But I doubt the courthouse will ban briefcases, because then clerks and lawyers would have to walk around carrying big stacks of loose paper, and someone could get a paper cut and bleed to death, which is an even slower way of going than getting beaten with the doorknobs in the pillowcase.
What I want to know is when they're going to take that final step and prohibit judges from using gavels, which are basically just hard wooden hammers. I know that we all generally trust judges to act responsibly and only pound their mini-mallets on court-sanctioned surfaces, but if one of them snaps, the robed reprobate could probably get in a few whacks before the bailiff stepped in. Of course, I've seen a proceeding at which the only man in the room for security as far as I could tell kept nodding off, so I'm sure you'll understand if I want to keep my money with the skateboarders.
And I still want to go back to sleep. But since I can't, I'll just plow forward and hope that somebody sticks a knife in my back before I get to the end of this column.
We're still three time changes away from the next supervisor election, but word is the contenders are already lining up. Speculation is swelling in the North County over who might replace four-term pork-whisperer Harry Ovitt, and when speculation swells, somebody usually gets dragged out to sea. Mmmm That sounds nice.
Anyway, will it be Paso Robles mayor Frank Mecham? Cheesehead and Paso councilman Fred Strong? Barack Obama? But he'll get shot!
Blue types in San Luis Obispo are no doubt itching to get rid of Ovitt's pro-growth cohort, red type Jerry Lenthall, who played in an interesting scene Tuesday in Supervisors' chambers. Apparently, the supe got locked in a spar with David Duggan, one of Los Osos' more outspoken residents. For damn near nine years, birds like Duggan have been flapping and squawking over sewer issues at the regular CSD meetings every Thursday night in Los Osos. When Sam Blakeslee's summer bill gave power to the county, well, they had to go somewhere, right?
That somewhere was county supervisors' chambers. After a while, the room got so full of feathers and poop that the supes set up an aviary. A January motion set aside a plot of agenda space dealing with the Los Osos sewer project and nothing else. Any Los Osos talk during regular public comment was strictly verboten, which is a fancy German word for "nuh-uh."
This week, that decision fueled some drama when Duggan showed up looking to discuss some kinda-sorta-but-not-really-sewer-project-related issues, mostly dealing with the 2005 recall and mysteriously missing water board official Roger Briggs. Did you see the cover story this week? Did you?
Lenthall gaveled the man down, cut off his mic, and called recess to pow-wow with Duggan. I don't know what happened during that time for sure, but when the meeting reconvened, Lenthall called up the next speaker on the list and a Sheriff's deputy walked up to cart off the shouting Duggan. When the rabblerouser returned for the aviary, Lenthall read a prepared statement expressing the county's commitment to the First Amendment.
I'm glad to hear that the Bill of Rights is important to our supervisors and all, but I still want to know what promises or threats were tossed around behind those doors, and how First Amendment-y they were.
But what I really want to do is sleep. Or die. At this point, it's six of one, half-dozen of the other.


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The 3 Zodiac Signs With Rough Horoscopes On December 12, 2022
Photo: Janiecbros from Getty Images Signature via Canva Pro
Everybody is on everybody else's nerves this week. While that might be a setup for the kiss and makeup scenario, it's not going to be easy to get through the first part.
We need to fight it out to figure out that we don't like fighting it out. So, on December 12, 2022, we will spend way too much time feeling like we have to defend something that we may or may not even believe in.
That's how pride works; it blinds and hurts relationships.
Today's transit guide has us working with moon square Uranus and the Moon sextile Mars, these are both powerful transits, albeit confusing and somewhat negative.
RELATED: The 3 Zodiac Signs With The Best Horoscopes On Monday, December 12, 2022
Today will have us feeling very 'testy,' Who will we end up testing? Our loved ones, of course. It's as if we are desperate to find something to do on this day.
The only thing we can come up with is to tease someone they are sensitive about. We need a better hobby!
The worst part about today is that we KNOW we are causing damage, and we can't stop ourselves.
Three zodiac signs will take that way too far and end up hurting others simply because we feel frisky and scrappy.
We want to engage with someone, and all we have to offer is our negative outlook on life. We will challenge others today because we are afraid to look within ourselves for answers.
The three zodiac signs with rough horoscopes on December 12, 2022:
1. Libra
Today will be a balancing act for you, Libra, as you figure out where you want to place your emotions. You could show the world that you aren't who they think you are, as you assume everyone thinks of you as cool, calm, and well-balanced.
Yet, today, December 12, have you feeling anything but balanced? You need to blow off some steam, which is where you find your trouble today.
You have a feeling you know what's at the bottom of all your woe today, but rather than look into it, you push it aside and give in to your anger instead. You do not want to look at something in your life and this thing keeps happening. It may be time to go deeper, Libra. Feel it to heal it, and all that.
RELATED: The 3 Zodiac Signs Who Will Be Betrayed During Moon Sextile Uranus On December 12, 2022
This might end up being a day that you resent. You didn't want any of the chores associated with this day, and you didn't want to 'have to show up for anybody's anything.
You feel like being alone and in your head because you know yourself very well: if you are alone, you won't be telling anyone off, and you'd instead get through this day alone than be part of the negativity that you could potentially be spouting, left and right, throughout the day.
Your ability to say a scathing thing to people is unchecked today, as the Moon square Uranus tends to thrust insults into the spotlight.
But you're not to blame, Capricorn; you are trying to keep it cool. You may fail, but you know yourself well enough to know that staying OUT of the game, on this day, is way better than being a player.
3. Aquarius
Moon square Uranus will have you believing your lie on this day, Aquarius. While you don't like to think that you've lied to yourself, you know the truth: you are trying your best not to admit it. You'll notice that you decided to live a certain way, in rebellion, and it doesn't feel like your rebellious move is paying off for you.
You do NOT want to look at what you've done wrong as it's almost impossible for you to admit defeat or wrongdoing. You are stubborn about owning your failed moves, as you can't allow that kind of negativity.
What you've done instead is that you've built yourself a world based on a lie, and now, during this holiday season, it's coming back to bite you. Truth hurts, but once it's out in the open, you never have to deal with it again.
RELATED: Each Zodiac Sign's Weekly Love Horoscope For December 12 - December 18, 2022


Folk Concert and Midsummer Fayre…..
Featuring: Will Pound – superb harmonica player lately played on Robbie Williams' Album! Dan Walsh – Britain's best banjo player, just returned from USA; Matt Price – Home-grown talent returning for the 10th year! Nath Fischer – Our own stunning blues singer; and Arian Sterreveld – current Folk Degree student.
£5 adults, £3 pupils. Concert starts 7:30 – refreshments available in interval.
Don't miss this, no-one will believe that you witnessed this much talent all in the same concert – and all here at Elmfield!
And then on Sunday 25th it's the Midsummer Fayre at 12–4pm on the bottom field in the school grounds.
A music stage like last year with live music all afternoon.
Coconut shy, bouncy castle, crockery smash, face painting, splat the rat, beanbag game and lots of other games to take part in.
BBQ, salad stall, tea and cake stall, 2nd hand clothes stall, book stall, plant and garden stall.
It should be great fun, we look forward to seeing you there!


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When you choose to work with us, you are choosing to work with the best people in the real estate market – here at Man Investment Group you will speak directly to our executives. Guided by honesty, integrity, and diligence, our straightforward approach toward client relations earns us many accolades from property owners and prospect clients.
Call or email us today and learn why we are your best choice in today real estate market.


In the past, I used to just give the person the cygwin1.dll DLL and a program (SPLIT.EXE,say), let the person run it on their computer, explaining that it will crash with an error about a missing DLL. Then they would come back to me and say that they also need cygintl-8.dll and try again. It will crash again because cygintl-8.dll just happens to link to cygiconv-2.dll. After supplying this third DLL file, my co-worker can finally run SPLIT.EXE and break their huge data set into manageable chunks. Everyone's happy.
The whole process is a bit embarrassing for me and annoying for them (though they could just download the base Cygwin install like I asked…) So, to solve this problem somewhat, I set about thinking "I wonder if there's a Cygwin tool that can find DLLs in a program?".
Well, a quick look at info binutils reveals that there is nothing that directly solves my problem of listing which DLLs a program links to. There is this thing called dlltool, but it is for creating PE dynamic libraries, not for listing the libraries used by a PE executable. Bummer.
Well, there is also a tool called strings, which will list text strings in binary files. Now, Windows PE executables happen to contain the name of their linked DLLs as text strings, yay! So all I need to do, is pass strings over a given program, filter for DLL names (to strip out error messages and such) and I have my list.
# finds all the DLL files linked by a Win32 PE executable.
# sharing just that program with other people.
printf "Usage:  $PROG <command to list DLLs for>\\n"
printf "        (you should not add '.exe' to the end).\\n"
There we are, a list of DLLs used by a given program, and the DLLs that those DLLs use.
It's not perfect: it is not recursive, so only goes one level deep, but this should cover most cases. One day I might come back to this, when I figure out how to write a recursive function in bash.
So now I know which DLLs to give to my co-worker along with the nifty tool they want. But where on my system are they? Cygwin installs most DLLs into /usr/bin. But sometimes they can be in /usr/lib. So do I have to make a search?


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Incorporating 21st Century Science into Risk-Based Evaluations
Project Scope:
A ad hoc committee under the auspices of the National Research Council (NRC) will provide recommendations on integrating new scientific approaches into risk-based evaluations. Specifically, the committee will first consider the scientific advances that have occurred following the publication of the NRC reports Toxicity Testing in the 21st Century: A Vision and a Strategy and Exposure Science in the 21st Century: A Vision and a Strategy. Given the various ongoing lines of investigation and new data streams that have emerged, the committee will then propose how best to integrate and use the emerging results in evaluating chemical risk and identify how traditional human-health risk assessment can incorporate the new science. It will consider whether a new paradigm is needed for data validation (or acceptance), how to integrate the divergent data streams, how uncertainty might need to be characterized (or how characterization of uncertainty might need to change), and how best to communicate the new approaches so that they are understandable to various stakeholders. It will focus its recommendations on pragmatic solutions and provide case studies that illustrate its recommendations. Finally, the committee will identify barriers or obstacles to advancing and integrating the various types of science, and ultimately transforming risk assessment.
PIN: DELS-BEST-14-04
Project Duration (months): 24 month(s)
RSO: Mantus, Ellen
Division(s):
Division on Earth and Life Studies
Board(s)/Committee(s):
Board on Life Sciences
Board on Environmental Studies and Toxicology
Environment and Environmental Studies
Geographic Focus:
Committee Post Date: 03/03/2015
Jonathan M. Samet - (Chair)
Jonathan M. Samet is a pulmonary physician and epidemiologist. He is Distinguished Professor and Flora L. Thornton Chair for the Department of Preventive Medicine at the Keck School of Medicine at the University of Southern California (USC) and director of the USC Institute for Global Health. Dr. Samet's research has focused on the health risks of inhaled pollutants. He has served on numerous committees concerned with public health: the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Science Advisory Board; committees of the National Research Council (NRC), including chairing the Biological Effects of Ionizing Radiation VI Committee, the Committee on Research Priorities for Airborne Particulate Matter, the Committee to Review EPA's Draft IRIS Assessment of Formaldehyde, the Committee to Review the IRIS Process, and the Board on Environmental Studies and Toxicology; and committees of the Institute of Medicine. He is a member of the Institute of Medicine. Dr. Samet received his MD from the University of Rochester, School of Medicine and Dentistry.
Melvin E. Andersen
The Hamner Institutes for Health Sciences
Melvin E. Andersen is Distinguished Research Fellow at ScitoVation. His research career has focused on developing biologically based dose-response models and applying them to human health risk assessments for many environmental chemicals. Before joining ScitoVation in 2016, he held positions at the Hamner Institutes for Health Sciences, the Chemical Industry Institute of Toxicology, Colorado State University, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, and the Department of Defense with both the Navy and the Air Force. He has served on several National Research Council Committees, including the Committee on Toxicity Testing and Assessment of Environmental Agents. Dr. Andersen is a fellow of the Academy of Toxicological Sciences and a diplomat of both the American Board of Toxicology and the American Board of Industrial Hygiene. He earned a PhD in biochemistry and molecular biology from Cornell University.
Jon A. Arnot
Arnot Research & Consulting, Inc.
Jon A. Arnot is an adjunct professor in the Department of Physical and Environmental Science and in the Department of Pharmacology and Toxicology at the University of Toronto and president of ARC Arnot Research & Consulting Inc. He has 15 years of research experience in the development, application, and evaluation of methods and models to assess the exposure, hazard, and risk of organic chemicals to humans and the environment. His research has focused on the application of high-throughput screening methods for prioritizing chemicals for risk assessment. He is the principal investigator or co-investigator of various international projects including collaborations in the United States, Europe, and Canada. He was the recipient of the James M. McKim III Innovative Student Research Award (2008) from the International QSAR Foundation to Reduce Animal Testing and the Society of Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry (SETAC) Best Student Paper Award (2009). Dr. Arnot earned his PhD in environmental and life sciences from Trent University.
Estaban Burchard
Estaban Burchard is Professor of Medicine and Biopharmaceutical Sciences at the University of California, San Francisco (UCSF). His research interests center on identifying genetic, social, and environmental risk factors for asthma in ethnically diverse populations. Dr. Burchard has created the largest gene-environment study of asthma in minority children in the United States. Dr. Burchard directs the UCSF Center for Genes, Environment & Health. Dr. Burchard received his MD from Stanford University School of Medicine and his clinical training from Harvard's Brigham and Women's Hospital and UCSF. He also completed epidemiology training at Harvard and UC Berkley Schools of Public Health.
George P. Daston
Procter & Gamble Company
George Daston is the Victor Mills Society Research Fellow at the Procter & Gamble Company. He has published over 100 articles and book chapters and edited five books in toxicology and risk assessment. His current research efforts are in the areas of toxicogenomics and mechanistic toxicology, particularly in addressing how findings in these fields can improve risk assessment of chemicals and the development of non-animal alternatives. Dr. Daston has served as President of the Teratology Society, as Councilor and Treasurer-Elect of the Society of Toxicology, and on the U.S. EPA Science Advisory Board, the Board of Scientific Counselors of the National Toxicology Program, the National Research Council's Board of Environmental Studies and Toxicology, and the National Children's Study Advisory Committee. He is Editor-in-Chief of Birth Defects Research: Developmental and Reproductive Toxicology. With scientists at the U.S. Humane Society, Dr. Daston manages the AltTox website, which is devoted to the exchange of scientific information leading to the development of in vitro replacements for toxicity assessments. Dr. Daston has been awarded the Josef Warkany Lectureship and the Distinguished Service Award by the Teratology Society, the George H. Scott Award by the Toxicology Forum, and the Society of Toxicology's Best Paper of the Year Award, and is an elected Fellow of AAAS. Dr. Daston is an adjunct Professor of Pediatrics at University of Cincinnati. Dr. Daston earned his PhD in developmental biology from the University of Miami.
David B. Dunson
David B. Dunson is Arts and Sciences Distinguished Professor in the Department of Statistical Science at Duke University. His research interests include Bayesian statistics, complex hierarchical and latent variable modeling, and nonparametric statistical modeling. His ongoing methodologic research focuses on nonparametric Bayes, latent variable methods, big data, scalable Bayesian inferences, functional and object data, and dimensionality reduction. He is a member of the International Society for Bayesian Analysis, the Institute of Mathematical Statistics, the American Statistical Association, and the International Biometrics Society. Dr. Dunson received his PhD in biostatistics from Emory University.
Nigel Greene
Nigel Greene is the Director of Predictive Compound ADME and Safety at AstraZeneca and specializes in the application of computational and in vitro approaches to assess compound liabilities. His specific duties include establishing and managing a group of PhD-level scientists that profile chemicals for off-target pharmacology. His group uses computational modeling and analysis of chemical properties and in vitro assay profiles to help to predict the safety profile of chemicals in early discovery programs and to aid in chemical series and compound selection before in vivo studies are conducted. Dr. Greene's other activities include mining internal and public databases of gene expression data to explore biological mechanisms of toxicity and developing new in vitro assays for safety profiling on the basis of findings from the mining exercises. He recently served as a member of the National Research Council Committee on the Design and Evaluation of Safer Chemical Substitutions. Dr. Greene received his PhD in organometallic chemistry from the University of Leeds.
Heather B. Patisaul
Heather B. Patisaul is Associate Professor in the Department of Biology at North Carolina State University. Her research examines the steroid-dependent mechanisms through which sexually dimorphic behaviors and brain circuits arise. She also explores the mechanisms by which sexually dimorphic systems and behaviors can be disrupted by environmental estrogens. Her laboratory is interested in the mechanisms by which exposure to environmental estrogens can advance puberty and impair fertility in females. Dr. Patisaul served on the World Health Organization expert panel that assessed the risks of bisphenol A in 2010 and recently served on the National Research Council Committee to Review EPA's Draft Paper, State of the Science on Nonmonotonic Dose Response. Dr. Patisaul received her PhD in population biology, ecology, and evolution from Emory University.
Kristi Pullen is a Staff Scientist with the Natural Resources Defense Council (NRDC) health program. Her multidisciplinary training spans nearly 20 years and includes work in molecular biology, biochemistry, structural biology, computational biology, and population health. Dr. Pullen's work at NRDC has focused on the application of high-throughput technologies in predictive toxicology and chemical risk assessment. Before joining the health and environment team, she served as the sole scientist for the Environmental Law and Policy Center, where she worked on air quality, drinking water quality, science communications, and environmental justice projects. Dr. Pullen received a PhD in molecular and cell biology from the University of California, Berkeley.
Beate R. Ritz
University of California, Los Angeles School of Public Health
Beate R. Ritz is Professor and Chair of the Department of Epidemiology at the University of California, Los Angeles, (UCLA) Fielding School of Public Health. Her research focuses on the health effects of occupational and environmental toxins, such as pesticides, ionizing radiation, and air pollution, on chronic diseases, including neurodegenerative and neurodevelopmental disorders, cancers, adverse birth outcomes, and asthma. In her research, she uses geographic information system (GIS) modeling of environmental exposures, including pesticide use and traffic-related air pollution in California, and investigates links between genetic susceptibility factors and environmental exposures in populations. Dr. Ritz is a member of the Center for Occupational and Environmental Health and the Southern California Environmental Health Science Center and co-directed the NIEHS-funded UCLA Center for Gene-Environment Studies of Parkinson's disease. Dr. Ritz received her MD and a PhD in Medical Sociology from the University of Hamburg, Germany and a MPH and PhD in Epidemiology from UCLA.
Ivan Rusyn
Ivan Rusyn is a Professor in the Department of Veterinary Integrative Biosciences in the College of Veterinary Medicine and Biomedical Sciences at Texas A&M University. Before joining TAMU, Dr. Rusyn was professor of Environmental Sciences and Engineering at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. Dr. Rusyn's laboratory has an active research portfolio with a focus on the mechanisms of action of environmental toxicants, the genetic determinants of the susceptibility to toxicant-induced injury, and computational toxicology. His studies on health effects of environmental agents resulted in over 150 peer-reviewed publications. He has served on several National Research Council committees and is currently a member of the Committee on Emerging Science for Environmental Health Decisions and the Committee on Toxicology. Dr. Rusyn received his MD from Ukrainian State Medical University in Kiev and his PhD in toxicology from the University of North Carolina-Chapel Hill.
Robert L. Tanguay
Robert L. Tanguay is Distinguished Professor of Molecular Toxicology in the Department of Environmental and Molecular Toxicology at Oregon State University. His research interests are varied and include exploiting the advantages of the zebra fish (Danio rerio) model to improve human and environmental health; evaluating biological interactions and responses to environmental chemicals, pharmaceuticals and nanoparticles using rapid throughput approaches; and understanding the mechanisms underlying the toxicity of chemicals, such as 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin, PAHs, ethanol, pharmaceuticals, and pesticides. Dr. Tanguay is involved with Oregon State's Superfund Research Program as the project leader for an investigation into PAH-induced developmental toxicity, as a co-investigator on work involving biological response indicator devices, and as a research coordinator within the program. He received his PhD in biochemistry from the University of California-Riverside.
Justin G. Teeguarden
Justin G. Teeguarden is a Senior Scientist in Biological Monitoring and Modeling at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory. His current research involves developing an integrated systems-biology-directed research program in particulate matter on respiratory health. He works with the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) and private companies to develop and apply physiologically based pharmacokinetic models and other dosimetry approaches to support risk assessments. He served as chair and president elect for the Dose-Response Specialty Section of the Society of Risk Analysis and as a member of the EPA STAR grant review panel (Computational Toxicology). In 2003, Dr. Teeguarden received an award from the Risk Assessment Specialty Section of the Society of Toxicology for the Best Published Manuscript Advancing the Science of Risk Assessment. Dr. Teeguarden served on the National Research Council Committee on Human and Environmental Exposure Science in the 21st Century. He received his PhD in toxicology from the University of Wisconsin, Madison.
James M. Tiedje
James M. Tiedje is the University Distinguished Professor of Microbiology and Molecular Genetics, and of Plant, Soil and Microbial Sciences, and is Director of the Center for Microbial Ecology at Michigan State University. His research focuses on ecology, physiology, and genetics underlying important microbial processes in nature, including biodegradation of pollutants. He has made notable contributions using genomics and metagenomics to understand ecological functions, speciation, and niche adaptation. He has served as editor-in-chief of Applied and Environmental Microbiology and as editor of Microbial and Molecular Biology Reviews. He has over 500 refereed papers, including seven in Science and Nature. He shared the 1992 Finley Prize of UNESCO for research contributions in microbiology of international significance, is a fellow of the American Association for the Advancement of Science, the American Academy Microbiology, and the Soil Science Society of America, and is a member of the U.S. National Academy of Sciences. He was president of the American Society for Microbiology in 2004-2005. He received his PhD from Cornell University.
Paolo Vineis
Paolo Vineis is Professor and Chair of Environmental Epidemiology at Imperial College London, School of Public Health. He is a leading researcher in the field of molecular epidemiology and his latest research focuses on examining biomarkers of disease risk, complex exposures, and intermediate biomarkers from omic platforms in large epidemiological studies. He also studies the effect of climate change on non-communicable diseases. Dr. Vineis is coordinating the European Commission funded Exposomics Project and is a principal investigator or co-investigator of numerous international projects. He has more than 700 publications including in Nature, Nature Genetics, Lancet, and Lancet Oncology. Additionally, he is a member of various international scientific and ethics committees and vice-chair of the Ethics Committee at the International Agency for Research on Cancer. Dr. Vineis received his MD from the University of Torino, Italy.
Michelle A. Williams
Michelle Williams is Stephen B. Kay Family Professor of Public Health and Chair of the Department of Epidemiology at the Harvard School of Public Health. Her research interests lie principally in the field of reproductive and perinatal epidemiology where she focuses on integrating epidemiological, biological, and molecular approaches into rigorously designed clinical epidemiology research projects. Her overarching goal has been, and continues to be, to use biological and molecular biomarkers as objective measures of exposure and as validated pre-clinical proximal determinants (such as oxidative stress, systemic inflammation, and endothelial dysfunction) of discrete outcomes of clinical, public, and global health importance. She is the principal investigator of three large projects funded by the National Institutes of Health and previously served on the National Research Council Committee on Evaluation of Children's Health: Measures of Risks, Protective and Promotional Factors for Assessing Child Health in the Community. Dr. Williams received her ScD in epidemiology from Harvard University.
Fred Wright
Fred Wright is Professor of Statistics and Biological Sciences and Director of the Bioinformatics Research Center North Carolina State University. He is an internationally known statistical geneticist who has wide-ranging research interests, including genomics, bioinformatics, toxicogenomics, and the statistical principles underlying high-dimensional data analysis. Dr. Wright has been principal investigator of numerous grants, with activities ranging from development of new methods of gene mapping to expression-quantitative trait mapping for multiple tissues. He was principal investigator of an EPA-funded STAR Center to apply genomics principles to long-standing problems in toxicology. He is an elected fellow of the American Statistical Association and the Delta Omega Honor Society for Public Health. Dr. Wright received his PhD in statistics from the University of Chicago.
Lauren Zeise
Office of Environmental Health Hazard Assessment California Environmental Protection Agency
Lauren Zeise is Deputy Director for Scientific Affairs for the California Environmental Protection Agency's Office of Environmental Health Hazard Assessment (OEHHA). Dr. Zeise oversees the department's scientific activities, which include the development of risk assessments, hazard evaluations, toxicity reviews, cumulative impact analyses, frameworks and methods for assessing toxicity and cumulative impact, and the department's activities in the California Environmental Contaminant Biomonitoring Program. Dr. Zeise was the 2008 recipient of the Society of Risk Analysis Outstanding Practitioners Award. She has served on advisory boards and committees of the Environmental Protection Agency, the Office of Technology Assessment, the World Health Organization, and the National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences. Dr. Zeise has served on numerous National Research Council (NRC) and Institute of Medicine committees, including the NRC Committee on Toxicity Testing and Assessment of Environmental Agents and the NRC Committee on Improving Risk Analysis Approaches Used by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. Dr. Zeise received a PhD from Harvard University.
Committee Membership Roster Comments
Effective January 2015, the committee membership changed with the passing of Edward Carney on January 12, 2015.
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How risky is driving among teen drivers for the rest of us?
One of the moments teens most often look forward to is getting their driver's license. During this season of their lives, many teens look forward to reaching certain milestones in their lives with a lot of ancipation, parents often see things a bit differently. Teaching your child to drive then having to eventually stay behind at home waiting for their safe return can be nerve-racking to say the least.
Parents' fears are seemingly rightfully placed according to a study conducted by the AAA Foundation for Traffic Safety. Their research shows that at least 40 percent of all teen motorists are involved in a crash during the first year that they have their driver's license.
While most of these crashes are nothing more than a minor fender-bender, a significant number of the collisions that do occur are catastrophic. As many as 300,000 teens are injured and another 6,000 are killed in car crashes each year in the United States.
Oftentimes, crashes teens are involved in don't just end up killing themselves either. As many as 66 percent of all crashes that American teens are involved in end up also killing other adult motorists or pedestrians.
Traffic safety experts warn that the more time a teenager spends driving while supervised, the more likely they are to be safer drivers. They note that far too many parents readily turn the keys over to their teens the minute they get their licenses. Oftentimes, they contend, teens haven't learned the proper rules of the road including how to drive in different weather conditions by then.
Parents can greatly decrease their teen's chances of becoming involved in physically debilitating or fatal crashes by ensuring that they practice driving among different road conditions early on. Safety experts note that parents should have their children drive in heavy-traffic areas, while it's snowing and raining and at night.
They also note that it's important to ride along with them and coach them when they violate road rules so that they can learn not to repeat the same error again when driving on their own. It's also important to advise them of the legal implications of driving distracted or drunk as well.
If you've been seriously injured after having been struck by a newly licensed teen driver, then a Chicago motor vehicle accidents attorney can advise you of your right to file a lawsuit in your case.


text:
The Global Mean Temperature Anomaly Report: Why It Is Misleading
There is a new important paper out by the CO2 Coalition which makes the very clever point that the temperature extreme in, say, Denver over a year is around 99 degrees fahrenheit. Therefore, a global mean temperature change of a degree or less should be very manageable. They deal with far greater extremes in Denver on a yearly basis.
Here is the introduction and executive summary:
The Global Mean Temperature Anomaly Record
How it works and why it is misleading
by Richard S. Lindzen and John R. Christy
The CO2 Coalition is honored to present this Climate Issues in Depth paper by two of America's most respected and prolific atmospheric physicists, MIT professor emeritus Richard Lindzen, who is a longtime member of the Coalition, and University of Alabama in Huntsville professor John Christy.
Professor Lindzen has published over 200 scientific articles and books over a five-decade career. He has held professorships at the University of Chicago, Harvard University and MIT. He is a fellow and award recipient of the American Meteorological Society and the American Geophysical Union. He is also a member of the National Academy of Science and was a lead author of the UN IPCC's third assessment report's scientific volume. His research has highlighted the scientific uncertainties about the impact of carbon dioxide emissions on temperature and climate more generally.
Professor Christy, the director of the Earth System Science Center at The University of Alabama in Huntsville, began studying global climate issues in 1987. He has been Alabama's State Climatologist since 2000 and a fellow of the American Meteorological Society since 2002. He and CO2 Coalition member Dr. Roy W. Spencer developed and have maintained one of the key global temperature data sets relied on by scientists and government bodies, using microwave data observed in the troposphere from satellites since 1979. For this achievement, they were awarded NASA's Medal for Exceptional Scientific Achievement.
The purpose of this paper is to explain how the data set that is referred to by policy-makers and the media as the global surface temperature record is actually obtained, and where it fits into the popular narrative associated with climate alarm.
At the center of most discussions of global warming is the record of the global mean surface temperature anomaly—often somewhat misleadingly referred to as the global mean temperature record. This paper addresses two aspects of this record. First, we note that this record is only one link in a fairly long chain of inference leading to the claimed need for worldwide reduction in CO2 emissions. Second, we explore the implications of the way the record is constructed and presented, and show why the record is misleading.
This is because the record is often treated as a kind of single, direct instrumental measurement. However, as the late Stan Grotch of the Laurence Livermore Laboratory pointed out 30 years ago, it is really the average of widely scattered station data, where the actual data points are almost evenly spread between large positive and negative values.
The average is simply the small difference of these positive and negative excursions, with the usual problem associated with small differences of large numbers: at least thus far, the one-degree Celsius increase in the global mean since 1900 is swamped by the normal variations at individual stations, and so bears little relation to what is actually going on at a particular one.
The changes at the stations are distributed around the one-degree global average increase. Even if a single station had recorded this increase itself, this would take a typical annual range of temperature there, for example, from -10 to 40 degrees in 1900, and replace it with a range today from -9 to 41. People, crops, and weather at that station would find it hard to tell this difference.
However, the increase looks significant on the charts used in almost all presentations, because they omit the range of the original data points and expand the scale in order to make the mean change look large.
The record does display certain consistent trends, but it is also quite noisy, and fluctuations of a tenth or two of a degree are unlikely to be significant. In the public discourse, little attention is paid to magnitudes; the focus is rather on whether this anomaly is increasing or decreasing. Given the noise and sampling errors, it is rather easy to "adjust" such averaging, and even change the sign of a trend from positive to negative.
The common presentations often suppress the noise by using running averages over periods from 5 to 11 years. However, such processing can also suppress meaningful features such as the wide variations that are always being experienced at individual stations. Finally, we show the large natural temperature changes that Americans in 14 major cities must cope with every year. For example, the average difference between the coldest and warmest moments each year ranges from about 25 degrees Celsius in Miami (a 45-degree Fahrenheit change) to 55 degrees in Denver (a 99-degree Fahrenheit change). We contrast this with the easily manageable 1.2-degree Celsius increase in the global mean temperature anomaly in the past 120 years, which has caused so much alarm in the media and in policy circles.
This is from the conclusion:
Indeed, the 1.2 degree Celsius global temperature change in the past 120 years, depicted as alarming in Figure 7, is only equivalent to the thickness of the "Average" line in Figure 9. As the figure shows, the difference in average temperature from January to July in these major cities ranges from just under ten degrees in Los Angeles to nearly 30 degrees in Chicago. And the average difference between the coldest and warmest moments each year ranges from about 25 degrees in Miami (a 45 degree Fahrenheit change) to 55 degrees in Denver (a 99 degree Fahrenheit change).
Global Mean Temperature Anomaly Record 12.20
Here's Figure 7:
The Lab Manager December 11, 2020 at 10:26 AM
Are we not told to always believe the science?
https://www.nasa.gov/feature/goddard/2016/carbon-dioxide-fertilization-greening-earth