text:
Not Expected Even in Berkeley: The Espresso Machine Repair Truck Pays a Residential House Call: Live from La Farine CLXV: May 1, 2014
April 30, 2014 at 23:08 in #acrossthewidemissouri, #berkeley | Permalink | Comments (0)
Econ 2: Spring 2014: UC Berkeley: Sample Final Exam II
A. Identifications
B. Supply and Demand
C. Natural Monopoly
D. Elasticities
E. "Say's Law"
F. The Income-Expenditure Framework
G. The Government Budget
H. Next Time
I. Review Your Work
.pdf | .pages
April 30, 2014 at 15:18 in #berkeley, #economics, Econ 2 Spring 2014 | Permalink | Comments (1)
Econ 2: Spring 2014: UC Berkeley: Econ 2: Sample Final Exam II: E. "Say's Law"
Back in 2009 University of Chicago Professor and (now) Nobel prize-winner Eugene Fama wrote:
Bailouts and stimulus plans are funded by issuing more government debt.... The added debt absorbs savings that would otherwise go to private investment.... [S]timulus plans do not add to current resources in use. They just move resources from one use to another.... I come back to these fundamental points several times below....
The Sad Logic of a Fiscal Stimulus: In a "fiscal stimulus," the government borrows and spends the money on investment projects or gives it away as transfer payments to people or states. The hope is that government spending will put people to work.... Unfortunately, there is a fly in the ointment.... [G]overnment infrastructure investments must be financed -- more government debt. The new government debt absorbs private and corporate savings, which means private investment goes down by the same amount....
Suppose the stimulus plan takes the form of lower taxes... we can't get something for nothing this way either... lower tax receipts must be financed dollar for dollar by more government borrowing. The government gives with one hand but takes them back with the other, with no net effect on current incomes...
Fama's argument is that the government cannot increase its total planned expenditure without somebody else decreasing their planned expenditure—that any cash the government spends must be either borrowed from or taxed from private individuals, who then must cut their planned expenditure by as much as the government increases its. This is, it seems to me, the doctrine called "Say's Law". Write a 20-minute essay trying to convince Professor Fama he is wrong.
April 30, 2014 at 15:04 in #berkeley, #economics, Econ 2 Spring 2014, Principles of Economics, Principles of Economics: Problems | Permalink | Comments (13)
Econ 2: Spring 2014: UC Berkeley: Econ 2: Sample Final Exam II: D. Elasticities
Consider the demand curve:
P = 30 - Q/30000
What is the elasticity of demand at Q = 900000?
What is the elasticity of demand at P = 30?
What point on the demand curve maximizes total revenue?
Why wouldn't a monopolist ever produce a quantity more than 450,000?
April 30, 2014 at 15:04 in #berkeley, #economics, Econ 2 Spring 2014, Principles of Economics, Principles of Economics: Problems | Permalink | Comments (0)
Econ 2: Spring 2014: UC Berkeley: Econ 2: Sample Final Exam II: F. The Income-Expenditure Framework
Suppose that it is December 2018 and you are in charge of forecasting the state of the economy in 2020. You believe that potential output in 2022 will be $20 trillion, with a 2% inflation rate, and your baseline forecast given current policies for output in 2020 is $19.4 trillion. You also believe that the marginal propensity to consume is 2/3, and you are working in the income-expenditure model. Suppose, also, that you believe the aggregate supply curve is strongly kinked with inflation anchored at 2%/year: that whenever potential output is above actual real expenditure the inflation rate is 2%/year, but if expenditure rises above the level consistent with output equal to potential output times the price level at 2% inflation, inflation accelerates and the price level rises to keep actual output from rising above potential.
Suppose that the federal government undertakes an extra $200 billion fiscal stimulus infrastructure construction program for 2020, and the Federal Reserve remains passive. How does this change your forecast of GDP and inflation in 2020?
Suppose that the federal government undertakes an extra $400 billion fiscal stimulus infrastructure construction program for 2020, but the Federal Reserve acts to keep inflation from rising above 2%/year. How does this change your forecast of GDP and inflation in 2020? What components of GDP do you think rise and what components of GDP do you think fall in this scenario?
How would your answer to (1) have been different if potential output were not $20 trillion but $21 trillion?
Econ 2: Spring 2014: UC Berkeley: Econ 2: Sample Final Exam II: G. The Government Budget
In the first quarter of 2014 the Commerce Department's Bureau of Economic Analysis estimated that local, state, and the federal government purchased $716.2 billion worth of goods and services, in a context in which total GDP in that quarter was $3,986.6 billion—government purchases were thus 17.9% of the entire economy. Do you believe that this number is lower than is optimal, about optimal, or too high to be optimal? Why? What things have you learned in this course that have changed or confirmed your view of this question?
Econ 2: Spring 2014: UC Berkeley: Econ 2: Sample Final Exam II: H. Next Time
This is the first time we have taught Econ 2 since 2007, so we are especially anxious for feedback. Write a four-paragraph essay. Pick one element of the course that you thought worked best, and explain why you thought it worked best. Pick one element of the course that you thought worked badly but needs to be improved, and explain how you think it could be improved. Pick one element of the course that you thought worked badly and should be dropped. and explain why it should be dropped. And pick one topic not covered in the course that you think should be added, and explain why it should be added.
Econ 2: Spring 2014: UC Berkeley: Econ 2: Sample Final Exam II: I. Review
Go back and spend the last twenty minutes of the exam filling in holes in your arguments and answers, and checking your work…
Over at Project Syndicate: The Poverty of Right-Wing Piketty Criticism
Project Syndicate: In The Baffler, Kathleen Geier recently attempted a roundup of conservative criticism of Thomas Piketty's new book Capital in the Twenty-First Century. The astonishing thing to me is how weak the right's appraisal of Piketty's arguments has turned out to be. READ MOAR
Continue reading "Over at Project Syndicate: The Poverty of Right-Wing Piketty Criticism" »
April 30, 2014 at 11:55 in #economicgrowth, #economics, #equitablegrowth, #highlighted, #politicaleconomy | Permalink | Comments (9)
They Start at the Top of the Evil Tree...: Live from the Roasterie CLXIV: April 30, 2014
...and hit every single branch of the evil tree on the way down. As Jon Gruber said, the propaganda from the Republican Party to scare people away from taking advantage of their benefits under the ACA is "awesome in its evilness".
Robert Calandra: Once opposed to ACA, now a convert: "Dean Angstadt... self-employed, self-sufficient logger... uninsured since 2009...
wanted nothing to do with the Affordable Care Act. "I don't read what the Democrats have to say about it because I think they're full of it," he told his friend Bob Leinhauser, who suggested he sign up. That refrain changed this year when a faulty aortic valve almost felled Angstadt.... "A lot of people I talk to are so misinformed about the ACA," Angstadt said. "I was, before Bob went through all this for me. I would recommend it to anybody and, in fact, have encouraged friends, including the one guy who hauls my logs."... It was taking him 10 minutes to catch his breath after felling a tree. By fall, he was winded after traveling the 50 feet between his house and truck.... "I knew that I was really sick," said the Boyertown resident. "I figured the doctors were going to have to operate, so I tried to work as long as I could to save money for the surgery. But it got to the point where I couldn't work."...
Continue reading "They Start at the Top of the Evil Tree...: Live from the Roasterie CLXIV: April 30, 2014" »
April 30, 2014 at 10:35 in #acrossthewidemissouri, #economics, #moralresponsibility, #politicaleconomy, #politics, Economics: Health, Obama Administration | Permalink | Comments (4)
Econ 2: Spring 2014: UC Berkeley: Econ 2: Sample Final Exam II: B. Supply and Demand: Bubble-Tea Drinks Near Crony Capitalism University
B. Supply and Demand: (20 minutes—if you are not through after 20 minutes, skip to the next question): In the central part of the state of Euphoria there is an enormous suburban sprawl, somewhere in the middle of which is Tall Stick, home of Crony Capitalism University. [Founded by a nineteenth-century Robber Baron who told his British investors that their money was safe in his enterprises because he was not just a financier but also a big wheel in the dominant political party and an ex-governor of the state of Euphoria. Ha, ha! Silly British investors! What they thought would be their profits became instead the core endowment of CCU.] We will look at the daily market for bubble-tea drinks near CCU.
Suppose that the quantity of bubble-tea drinks demanded and the quantity of bubble-tea drinks supplied daily are given by the equations:
Demand: P = -10 + Q/800
Supply: P = 20 - Q/1600
where P is the price of a bubble-tea drink in dollars:
What is the market equilibrium price?
What is the market equilibrium quantity?
What is the producer surplus?
What is the consumer surplus?
Explain, intuitively, why the distribution of producer and consumer surplus is what it is.
What would the distribution of consumer and producer surplus be if the supply curve equation were: {IF (10>P) THEN (Q=0)} AND {IF (P≥10) THEN (Q=16000)?
Econ 2: Spring 2014: UC Berkeley: Econ 2: Sample Final Exam II: C. Natural Monopoly
C. Natural Monopoly: (20 minutes—if you are not through after 20 minutes, skip to the next question): All of the 10,000 students at Crony Capitalism University are addicted to The Social Network. The Social Network has no costs: the programming has been done, and the maintenance, bandwidth, and cloud-storage costs are negligibly small. The Social Network sells ads at $1/minute per student—thus if every student watches an ad the advertiser pays The Social Network $10,000; if half the students watch an ad the advertiser pays The Social Network $5,000; and if no students watch an ad the advertiser pays The Social Network $0. The students at CCU who do not install ad-blocking software on their browsers see all ads. The students at CCU who do install ad-blocking software on their browsers see no ads. The fraction F of CCU students who install ad-blocking software is given by the following equation:
F = 0 + Q/300
where Q is the number of minutes of advertisements TSN sells.
What is the revenue curve for advertisements sold by TSN—that is, how much money does TSN earn as a function of how many ads it sells?
What is the profit-maximizing number of ads that TSN as a natural monopolist sells?
Suppose that it costs each CCU student $300 to install ad-blocking software—they have to hire computer-science majors from Euphoric State as consultants to do the job, you see. Assuming watching each one-minute ad is equally painful in utility terms to each CCU student, what is the willingness--to-pay of CCU students for ad-blocking software?
Suppose that CCU decided to charge each of its students a flat fee and use that money to get TSN to supply an ad-free version to CCU students. How large a fee would CCU have to charge to induce TSN to take the deal? Qualitatively, which CCU students would gain from this arrangement relative to the natural-monopoly equilibrium? Which CCU students would lose?
Econ 2: Spring 2014: UC Berkeley: Econ 2: Sample Final Exam II: A. Identifications
A. Identifications (20 minutes—if you are not through after 20 minutes, skip to the next question): Briefly, in one or two sentences, explain the terms set out and how they have been used in the course:
"Social Welfare" or "Societal Well-Being"
Willingness-to-Pay
Non-Rivalry and Non-Excludability
"Say's Law"
Output Gap
https://www.icloud.com/iw/#keynote/BAJyIHj2wec7YuneZJmB9uqBj63LabiLvkqF/20140430_Econ_2_Sample_Final_Exam_II_Answers_DRAFT.key
Possible Signature of ACA Implementation?
Peter Orszag notes that health-care expenditures grew nearly four times as fast in the first quarter of 2014 than over the previous three years...
If this is a signature of ACA implementation--of people who are newly-eligible for insurance actually getting to the doctor--it is a very good sign indeed...
April 30, 2014 at 06:43 in #equitablegrowth | Permalink | Comments (0)
Liveblogging World War II: April 30, 1944: The Russo-German Front, December 2, 1943-April 30, 1944
The Russo-German Front, December 2, 1943-April 30, 1944:
April 30, 2014 at 06:14 | Permalink | Comments (2)
Worthwhile Canadian Initiative: Functional Finance vs the Long Run Government Budget Constraint: Hoisted from Other People's Archives from Three Years Ago
Nick Rowe: Worthwhile Canadian Initiative: Functional Finance vs the Long Run Government Budget Constraint: "Functional Finance says you only use taxes...
...if you want to reduce Aggregate Demand to prevent inflation. The Long Run Government Budget Constraint says you use taxes to pay for past, present or future government spending. They sound very different. They aren't. There's a general principle in economics: first you eat the free lunches; then you look at the hard trade-offs. Functional Finance says "first eat the free lunches". The Long Run Government Budget Constraint says "then look at the hard trade-offs".
Continue reading "Worthwhile Canadian Initiative: Functional Finance vs the Long Run Government Budget Constraint: Hoisted from Other People's Archives from Three Years Ago" »
April 30, 2014 at 02:19 in #equitablegrowth, Streams: Cycle | Permalink | Comments (1)
William Hogarth: Gin Lane: The Original "Culture of Poverty"...
April 29, 2014 at 16:25 in #books, #economichistory, #economics, #politicaleconomy | Permalink | Comments (3)
In This Morning's Mail...
I presume that the Piketty galleys have been lost in internal Berkeley mail hell for some months now...
April 29, 2014 at 16:24 in #berkeley, #books, #economicgrowth, #economichistory, #economics, #equitablegrowth | Permalink | Comments (1)
Athanasios Geromichalos et al.: A Search-Theoretic Model of the Term Premium
http://herrenbrueck.weebly.com/uploads/1/3/3/9/13395560/geromichalos-herrenbrueck-salyer_-_a_search-theoretic_model_of_the_term_premium.pdf
Cf. J.W. Mason: http://slackwire.blogspot.com/2014/03/liquidity-preference-and-solidity.html, citing Homer and Sylla...
April 29, 2014 at 14:27 in #berkeley, #economics, #finance | Permalink | Comments (0)
Astonishing Imprint of the Pattern of Racial Housing Segregation on Jogging Routes in Kansas City...
Joseph Stromberg: This interactive map shows the most popular running and cycling routes in your city: "Strava, a popular app used to log routes and times for cyclists and runners...
...has an an interactive heatmap of 77 million rides and 19 million runs recorded by users over the past few years. It is made up of more than 220 billion total data points, and it is amazing...
Terrifying rather than amazing, I would say...
Daily Piketty Afternoon Must-Read: Mike Konczal: Studying the Rich
Mike Konczal: Studying the Rich: "Piketty's book warns that capital and inequality are likely...
...to make even greater strides in the next few decades; the influence of wealth and inheritance could make our economy look a lot more like the nineteenth century, with its dominance of dynastic fortunes, than the joint prosperity we have come to assume is the natural state of advanced economies.... Piketty's argument is convincing and well-supported. So what is the debate over?... Generally, critics have come at him from two different directions.... By not locking his own argument tightly to a model he also leaves himself vulnerable to criticism that there are trends towards equality.... Some... have argued... the more capital there is... the rate of return should fall. If it falls rapidly, the capital share of national income will not increase....
Continue reading "Daily Piketty Afternoon Must-Read: Mike Konczal: Studying the Rich" »
Afternoon Must-Read: Matthew Yglesias: Our Vacant Homes Aren't Where People Need Houses
Matthew Yglesias: Our Vacant Homes Aren't Where People Need Houses: "I argued... zoning regulations are holding back a potential construction boom....
One key challenge to that view comes from... housing vacanc[ies]... which... remains stubbornly high.... Banks who've foreclosed on homes prefer to keep these houses vacant and preserve their paper value as assets than to sell the houses at current market rates and acknowledge the extent of their financial losses. But... if rents are rising nationwide... why aren't these empty houses increasing in value and being brought back to the market?... Vacancies are in the wrong places. People can't move into vacant homes in Florida, Detroit, and Las Vegas and commute to jobs in Silicon Valley, Manhattan, or Washington DC.... The markets in the San Francisco Bay... have super-low vacancy rates... so do the suburbs of the three major cities of the Northeast Corridor, and... the two highest-wage cities in the interior of the country, Denver and Minneapolis. The places where people could find the most economic opportunities, in other words, don't have the housing supply.... Rents are rising in these areas, but they're also the toughest markets to get permission to build. So we're left with the worst of both worlds--high rents and empty houses...
Morning Must-Read: Annie Lowrey: Recovery Has Created Far More Low-Wage Jobs Than Better-Paid Ones
Annie Lowrey: Recovery Has Created Far More Low-Wage Jobs Than Better-Paid Ones: "The poor economy has replaced good jobs with bad ones....
'Fast food is driving the bulk of the job growth at the low end...' said Michael Evangelist.... Higher-wage industries--like accounting and legal work--shed 3.6 million positions during the recession and have added only 2.6 million positions during the recovery. But lower-wage industries lost two million jobs, then added 3.8 million...
Noted for Your Morning Procrastination for April 29, 2014
Over at Equitable Growth--The Equitablog
Morning Must-Read: Ezra Klein: The Republican replacement for Obamacare is Fauxbamacare
The Daily Piketty: Kathy Geier, Michael Bird, and Tim Noah
Over at Business Insider: Five Questions and Answers About Thomas Piketty's "Capital in the Twenty-First Century": Monday Focus; April 28, 2014
Is This the Worst Review of Thomas Piketty's "Capital in the Twenty-First Century"?
Things to Read on the Morning of April 29, 2014
Continue reading "Noted for Your Morning Procrastination for April 29, 2014" »
April 29, 2014 at 08:38 in #weblogging | Permalink | Comments (5)
Should-Reads:
Eric Monnet: A Monetarist History of the Fed: "The monetarist prism through which [Allan] Meltzer sees the history of monetary policy is also the cause of certain errors and oversights.... The history of ideas and... political relations... supplants administrative history.... His analyses of decision-making and administrative processes are nowhere near as extensive as his history of monetary theory. For instance, he never mentions the number of people employed by the Fed; little detail is offered about the operation of the twelve regional federal banks; and there is no discussion of the relation between these banks and regional economies. The... primacy accorded to the monetary prism... prevent[s] the author from considering Fed decisions in any framework other than one of simple... price stability.... It is hard to deny that in a democracy the representatives of the people are entitled to make the law, which cannot be set aside in the name of economic efficiency defined in a highly theoretical manner. This of course raises the question of the political legitimacy of Fed policy, which Meltzer dismisses with the assertion that the Fed must be credibly committed to price stability.... In the end, it is difficult to overlook a certain gap between the history that Meltzer recounts and the conclusions he draws.... Even if the decisions of the Fed draw on a framework of economic theory, that framework cannot fully determine the outcome because it is never comprehensive enough to yield unambiguous solutions to problems as they arise in real time.... Despite this cognitive complexity, Meltzer simply reiterates his belief in the need for price stability as a long-term goal, along with a credible rule for anchoring expectations, and he regards any deviation from such a rule as a failure of monetary policy.... His interpretation... does not really do justice to the complexity of the phenomena.... He shares... the old monetarist dream of an 'automatic monetary policy'.... Despite Meltzer's own position on the issue, his absorbing history of more than seventy years of Fed activity will convince many readers that such a rule is absolutely impossible to define..."
Duncan Black: Whatever Pisses Off Liberals: "The reverse isn't true. I really don't see liberals supporting or opposing things because they imagine it'll piss off conservatives.... 'Increased MPG standards will sure piss off Limbaugh! Let's vote for that!' It's somewhat unrelated, but I'm reminded of when the Last Honest Man In Washington, Joe Lieberman, briefly floated Medicare buy-in at 55 as a kind of compromise for the public option in the ACA. I pleaded with everyone I knew to STFU about it, because of course liberals would have taken that deal. I knew that the instant the greatest man who ever lived got wind of the fact that liberals would actually love that deal he'd back off supporting it, because liberals. And he did..."
Should Be Aware of:
Continue reading "Things to Read on the Morning of April 29, 2014" »
Governor Beshear: 413,000 sign up for health care in Kentucky: Live from The Roasterie CXLIII: April 29, 2014
Adam Beam: FRANKFORT, Ky.: Beshear: 413,000 sign up for health care in Ky: "Beth Moore left her job - and her health insurance...
...to start her own company in January. In March, while visiting Texas, she had an emergency appendectomy followed by a nasty bout with pneumonia that added up to more than $30,000 in medical bills. But Moore was one of 413,410 Kentuckians who signed up for free or subsidized health insurance through kynect, Kentucky's state-run health insurance marketplace made possible by the federal Affordable Care Act. So far, the most she has paid for her treatment is $150. "If I had not had insurance (it) would have been catastrophic for me," Moore said. "I'm very grateful that I am a resident of Kentucky and that this was an option for me."
Moore told her story alongside Democratic Gov. Steve Beshear and other state officials Tuesday who were celebrating the end of the open-enrollment period of Kentucky's health insurance marketplace.... "We're going to keep enrolling people until everybody in Kentucky who needs health coverage has it," Beshear said. About 80 percent of those 413,410 people have their health insurance through Medicaid, meaning the state and federal government pays for their health care. The other 20 percent purchased private plans, but - thanks to a government subsidy - at a discounted rate...
I am wondering: how soon before we begin to see the signal emerging from the noise as states that implement the ACA start pulling ahead, economically, of the others? Enrico Moretti tells me that in the long run each additional state "export" job comes with five other jobs. And from the perspective of a state, a federal government-financed healthcare job is a regional "export". ACA subsidy plus Medicaid expansion do look to approach 1% of GDP in implementing states. And Chodorow Reich et al. definitely find that federal Medicaid dollars matter a lot in the short (Keynesian) run, and that also means they matter even more in the long (resource shift) run...
Plus: would Beshear make a good president?
April 29, 2014 at 08:13 in #acrossthewidemissouri | Permalink | Comments (3)
A 2% Inflation Target Is too Low: Hoisted from the Archives from 2011
This Is Brad DeLong's Grasping Reality...: A 2% Inflation Target Is too Low...:
Live at the Economist: Economist Debates: Inflation:
First, the question is not whether the Federal Reserve should raise its target inflation rate above 2% per year. The question is whether the Federal Reserve should raise its target inflation rate to 2% per year. On Wednesday afternoon, Federal Reserve Chair Bernanke stated that he was unwilling to undertake more stimulative policies because "it is not clear we can get substantial improvements in payrolls without some additional inflation risks."
Continue reading "A 2% Inflation Target Is too Low: Hoisted from the Archives from 2011" »
April 29, 2014 at 08:12 in #economics, #finance, #highlighted, #monetaryeconomics, Streams: Cycle | Permalink | Comments (15)
Liveblogging World War II: April 29, 1944
From World War II Today: Heinz Knoke: I Flew for the Fuehrer:
Three Bomber Divisions are launching an offensive from the Great Yarmouth area. Our formations in Holland report strong fighter escorts. My orders are to engage the escorting lighters in combat with my Squadron, draw them off and keep them occupied. Other Squadrons of Focke-Wulfs are thus to be enabled to deal with the bombers eiectively without interference.…
Continue reading "Liveblogging World War II: April 29, 1944" »
Rob Wile: Brad Delong On Piketty: Below is a Q&A with Brad Delong...
...economics professor at Berkeley. The topic was Thomas Piketty's new book "Capital in the Twenty-First Century." This Q&A went out to subscribers of our "10 Things You Need To Know Before The Opening Bell" newsletter on Monday morning. Sign up here to get the newsletter and more of these interviews in your inbox every day.
I have expanded my answers a bit:
BUSINESS INSIDER: What one comment or idea has stuck with you most from Berkeley's "Piketty Day?"
BRAD DELONG: That Piketty has a very uphill climb to get modern American economists to believe his story. Their--our--default models were built for an age in which there was very little movement in inequality and in the capital share of income, and thus the models assume that virtually nothing has a big effect on income and wealth inequality or the capital share of income. Thus our knee-jerk reaction is to reject Piketty's story because it does not fit our standard models. But, then, no story that accounted for the rise would fit our standard models.
Continue reading "Over at Business Insider: Five Questions and Answers About Thomas Piketty's "Capital in the Twenty-First Century": Monday Focus; April 28, 2014" »
Morning Must-Read: Ezra Klein: The Republican replacement for Obamacare is Fauxbamacare - Vox
Ezra Klein: The Republican replacement for Obamacare is Fauxbamacare: "Scott Brown... called Obamacare a 'disaster'...
...Then he was asked what he's for — and he went on to describe Obamacare.
I've always felt that people should either get some type of health care options, or pay for it with a nice competitive fee. That's all great. I believe it in my heart. In terms of preexisting conditions, catastrophic coverages, covering kids, whatever we want to do... [it could] include the Medicaid expansion [for] folks who need that care and coverage...
Oh, he also promises his plan won't raise taxes, cut spending on Medicare, or make people drive very far to go to the hospital. So his plan will have more generous insurance options and no way to pay for them. In other words, his plan will be like Obamacare, but even better! Call it Fauxbamacare.... The polls around Obamacare... [suggest] a huge opening for an unprincipled opponent — someone who opposes 'Obamacare', but supports virtually all of the policies in Obamacare. Someone who supports Fauxbamacare....
Republicans could have seen Obamacare as a victory. Instead, the party underwent a we-have-always-been-at-war-with-Eastasia process and turned against ideas they'd once seen as uncontroversial (Sen. Chuck Grassley, June 2009: "I believe that there is a bipartisan consensus to have individual mandates."). The problem with turning against all those ideas is that it's actually really difficult to come up with workable health-reform plans that aren't also terrible politics.... The American people don't want Obamacare. However, they like what's in Obamacare. And they don't like it when Republicans try to get rid of Obamacare. Brown's position shows Republicans a way out.... Fauxbamacare.
First-World Problem...
As time passes, I find I want more and more to pretend not to be an illiterate barbarian. I want to be able to say "安史之亂" rather than "that mid-eighth century Civil War that separates Great Tang from Later Tang" and "唐玄宗" and "安祿山" rather than "that silly besotted emperor" and "the rebel Sogdian general".
The problem is that I literally cannot hear the tones and the breathing. So I have no idea how to say "安史之亂", "唐玄宗", or "安祿山" correctly.
Can anything be done?
April 28, 2014 at 14:32 in #berkeley | Permalink | Comments (18)
Kathy Geier rounds up conservative critics:
Kathy Geier: What Piketty's Conservative Critics Get WrongThe Baffler: "A conservative backlash to Piketty was inevitable...
...the only surprise is that it's taken so long to develop.... Send in the clowns! Reihan Salam... doesn't appear to have read a word of the book, but took it upon himself to write about it anyway...cribbing from one of the few less-than-glowing reviews of Piketty on the left, by economist Dean Baker, Salam decides he didn't like the book because of its 'pessimism.' But he disagrees with Baker's ideas about policies to fix inequality.... Earlier this week, the economist Branko Milanovic tweeted, "And the award for the stupidest review of Piketty's book so far goes to... (no surprise there) @WSJ"... Daniel Shuchman.... I didn't think it was possible to find a more hack-stastic review of Piketty in a major publication than the one by Shuchman. Like Milanovic, I was ready to award the dunce cap to the Journal and call it a day. But then along came Megan McArdle... one of the most extraordinary openings of a book review I have ever read:
I apologize in advance, because I am going to talk about a book that I have not yet read. To be clear, I intend to read Thomas Piketty's "Capital in the Twenty-First Century"...
Okay then! She proceeds to argue vigorously against Piketty's policy proposal on taxes—although, to repeat, she did not read his arguments in favor of them....
There have been more serious reviews as well.... Kevin Hassett... claims that consumption inequality is not on the rise. Nice try, but no.... Scott Winship claims that... the bottom 90 percent still experienced significant gains.... I'm skeptical.... [And] let's be real: are we to deduce from Winship-type arguments that conservatives believe that the way to deal with inequality is to increase welfare spending, and make the tax system more fair for low-income earners?...
And Michael Bird surveys worthwhile reviews:
Michael Bird: A revue of reviews - everything you could ever want to read about Piketty's Capital: "You may not have read French Economist Thomas Piketty's...
...near-700 page long Capital in the Twenty-First Century, but there's no need to worry - neither have some of the people who've reviewed it. Below are some of the biggest reviews.... If I've missed one or several that you think should be included, please leave a comment..."
And Timothy Noah adds a good, substantive review:
Tim Noah: The Dead Are Wealthier Than the Living: Capital in the 21st Century: "Patrimonial capitalism—and the landed or urban gentry living off of inherited wealth...
...was dealt a mortal blow by the Great Depression and World Wars. But it's making a comeback, and the only way to stop it might be a worldwide tax on capital.... To belong to the landed or urban gentry of the 18th and 19th centuries—that is, to possess "books or musical instruments or jewelry or ball gowns"—you needed at least 20 to 30 times the income of the average person, and the most lucrative professions paid only half that. You needed capital, typically in the form of land. And you needed a lot of it.... Consequently, "society" (i.e., the rich) consisted almost entirely of rentiers living off inherited wealth.... Like most public-policy books, Capital is more satisfying in its diagnoses than in its prescriptions.... It's always dangerous to project current trends into the future, but here's one extrapolation I'll subscribe to: predictions about the future will usually prove wrong.... We lack sufficient data to determine how, or whether, capital accumulation goes haywire in the coming years...
http://vox.com "Card Stacks" All Need a "What to Read Next" Card in Them...
April 28, 2014 at 10:15 in Web/Tech | Permalink | Comments (6)
Euphoric State University, Crony Capitalism University, etc.: Sample Final Exam I DRAFT ANSWERS: Econ 2: Spring 2014: UC Berkeley
https://www.icloud.com/iw/#keynote/BAJdMDptcbR0SKnFu4iBPh2sCFIy2iSaZVmF/20140428_Econ_2_Sample_Final_Exam_I.key
Euphoric State University, Crony Capitalism University, etc.: Sample Final Exam I: Econ 2: Spring 2014: UC Berkeley
D. Externalities
E. "Envy"
F. Macroeconomic Policy
G. Economic Growth
H: Next Time
Econ 2: Spring 2014: UC Berkeley: Sample Final Exam I: A. Identifications
Briefly, in one or two sentences, explain the terms set out and how they have been used in the course:
Supply and Demand Curves
Consumer and Producer Surplus
Pigovian Taxes
Price Ceilings and Price Floors
Planned Expenditure
Suggested Answers:
Econ 2: Spring 2014: UC Berkeley: Sample Final Exam I: B. Supply and Demand
In the central part of the state of Euphoria there is a small city, Avicenna, which is the home of Euphoric State University. ["Avicenna" is a corruption of the Arabic Ibn Sina, the byname of the great eleventh-century Iranian Abu Ali al-Husayn ibn Abd Allah ibn Sina: academic administrator, Quran reciter, astronomer, chemist, geologist, psychologist, theologian, mathematician, physicist, physician, poet, and paleontologist.] We will look at the daily market for espresso-based drinks in Avicenna.
Suppose that the quantity of espresso drinks demanded and the quantity of espresso drinks supplied daily are given by the equations:
Demand: Q = 20,000 - 2000P
Supply: Q = max(-16000 + 8000P, 0)
where P is the price of an espresso-based drink in dollars:
What would the distribution of consumer and producer surplus be if the supply equation were: P = 3.6?
Econ 2: Spring 2014: UC Berkeley: Sample Final Exam I: C. Elasticity
Still in Avicenna—same setup as B—but this time we have different supply and demand curves
Demand: P = 148.413 x Q(-0.5)
Supply: P = 1/54.598 x Q
What is the elasticity of demand at Q = 1?
What is the elasticity of supply at Q = 1?
What is the market equilibrium price
At what quantity is total revenue maximized?
Econ 2: Spring 2014: UC Berkeley: Sample Final Exam I: D. Externalities
Externalities can be subtle… Let us move across the bay and 60 miles south from Avicenna to the town of Tall Stick, home of Crony Capitalism University…
The 10,000 students at CCU do two things with their disposable incomes of $5,000/year each:
Buy gourmet pizzas at $20/pizza
Rent BMWs at $5000/year
Utility of each student:
U = (number of pizzas) + 500(if renting BMW) - (1/20)(number of other students renting BMWs)
This utility function thus has both envy and spite…
If nobody rents a BMW, what is the utility of a typical student?
If nobody else rents a BMW, what is the utility of a student who rents one?
If everybody else rents a BMW, how does a typical student spend his or her money?
If everybody else rents a BMW, what is the utility of a typical student given his or her choices?
Since it made sense for each student to rent a BMW, how come moving from a situation in which nobody rented one to one in which everybody rented one reduced average utility from 250 (which is the answer you should have gotten for D.1) to 1/20 (which is the answer you should have gotten for (D.4)?
What is the optimal externality-compensating Pigovian tax on BMW rentals at CCU?
Econ 2: Spring 2014: UC Berkeley: Sample Final Exam I: E. "Envy"
Back in January 2012 Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney said:
You know, I think it's about envy. I think it's about class warfare. When you have a President encouraging the idea of dividing America based on the 99 per cent versus one percent—and those people who have been most successful will be in the one per cent—you have opened up a whole new wave of approach in this country which is entirely inconsistent with the concept of one nation under God. The American people, I believe in the final analysis, will reject it…
This is an argument that when we do benefit-cost calculations with a utility function like the one in D:
We should count the first two terms and add them up as parts of our social welfare function and throw away the third term.
Write a short essay of three paragraphs: the first paragraph should set out what are, in your estimation, the strongest reasons for rejecting Mitt Romney's argument; the second paragraph should set out what are, in your estimation, the strongest reasons for Mitt Romney's argument; and the third paragraph should choose a side and explain why you chose the side you did.
Econ 2: Spring 2014: UC Berkeley: Sample Final Exam I: F. Macroeconomic Policy
Suppose that it is December 2016 and you are called to Washington to audition for a cabinet-level post in the next administration and to advise him or her on the proper size of the economic stimulus program.
Your forecast is that, were 2018 to be a normal business-cycle time, that the level of real GDP in 2018 would be $17.0 trillion/year. You are conducting your analysis in the income-expenditure framework where: Y = C + I + G + X , C = co + cy(Y - T). You believe that cy = 0.5.
You project that there will be little change from trend in consumer confidence co, which you project at $2.5 trillion/year in 2018. you project that business demand for investment spending will be $3.5 trillion/year in 2018. You project that exports will be $2 trillion/year in 2018. And you project that the Federal Reserve will not take additional steps to stimulate the economy.
What level of government purchases spending G do you recommend for 2018? Explain why?
Suppose that the President-Elect's political advisors say that it is very important, politically, to cut government spending. What do you say in response?
Suppose that the collapse of the euro suddenly drives up interest rate spreads, and leads you to forecast that I in 2018 will be not $3.5 trillion but $2.5 trillion. How do you change your recommendation for G?
Econ 2: Spring 2014: UC Berkeley: Sample Final Exam I: G. Economic Growth
In 8300 BC there were roughly 5 million people in the world—with an average standard of living of about $500/year. In 1700 there were roughly 640 million people in the world—with an average standard of living of about $500/year. In 1900 there were roughly 1.6 billion people—with an average standard of living of about $1000/year. Today there are roughy 7.4 billion people— with an average material standard of living of $8000 dollars per year.
Use the Rule of 72 to calculate the average population growth rate and the average global real GDP growth rate between 8300 BC and 1700 AD.
Use the Rule of 72 to calculate the average global real GDP growth rate between 1700 and 1900 AD.
Use the Rule of 72 to calculate the average global real GDP growth rate between 1900 and 2014
How much faster has global real GDP growth been over 1900-2014 than it was over 8300 BC-1700 AD?
How much faster has global real GDP growth been over 1900-2014 than it was over 1700-1900?
What would global real GDP be in 2100 if it were to grow as rapidly between now and 2100 as it grew from 1900-2012?
If there are 10 billion people in the world in 2100 and if global real GDP be in 2100 if it were to grow as rapidly between now and 2100 as it grew from 1900-2014, what would average living standards be in 2100?
Econ 2: Spring 2014: UC Berkeley: Sample Final Exam I: H: Next Time
This is the first time we have taught Econ 2 since 2007, so we are especially anxious for feedback.
Write a four-paragraph essay:
Pick one element of the course that you thought worked best, and explain why you thought it worked best.
Pick one element of the course that you thought worked badly but needs to be improved, and explain how you think it could be improved.
Pick one element of the course that you thought worked badly and should be dropped. and explain why it should be dropped.
And pick one topic not covered in the course that you think should be added, and explain why it should be added.
April 28, 2014 at 09:45 in #berkeley, #economics, Econ 2 Spring 2014, Principles of Economics: Problems | Permalink | Comments (0)
Monday DeLong Smackdown: Federal Reserve "Forward Guidance" Weblogging
With facts confusing me again he is:
Robert Waldmann: "Ah, yes a bold Volcker-like regime change...
...would move expectations. Thus we recall that Volcker's obvious extreme determination to fight inflation caused an anomaly in inflation expectations controlling for lagged inflation.
Based on the Livingston expectations survey we know that supposed experts had significantly different inflation forecasts when Volcker was chairman than when Burns was chairman (coefficients on dummies in regressions of the median Livingston inflation forecast which include lagged personal consumption expenditure deflator minus food and energy inflation). Yes, conditional on Volcker being chairman they forecast significantly higher inflation. This is an elementary statistic published (on the web). Can you reconcile your recollection with this datum?
http://angrybearblog.com/2014/03/inflation-expectations-credibility-and-paul-volcker.html | http://angrybearblog.com/2014/04/inflation-expectations-in-the-usa.html
I think it is totally wrong to claim that there was a Volcker change of regime which affected outcomes through expectations beyond the effect through pushing the fed funds rate up about 10% and causing high unemployment. Volcker could overcome the most stubborn inflation phobia because there isn't an upper bound on the federal funds rate. The evidence from the Volcker years strongly undermines that your view that some sort of more vigorous forward guidance would work.
You can still argue that FDR didn't do much of anything so whoever was Fed chair was key to the recovery. Or you could look at the effect of Kuroda (have you ever noticed that the case for monetary policy working is based on Abenomics and Abe is leader of the majority which controls fiscal policy and not a central banker)
Haruhiko Kuroda or Hjalman Horace Greeley Schacht are your examples. Not FDR (who was you know president not chairman) abd certainly certainly not Paul Volcker...."
April 28, 2014 at 08:58 in #economics, #monetaryeconomics, Streams: Cycle | Permalink | Comments (1)
Exercise Tiger: Wikipedia:
Early on the morning of 28 April... a convoy of follow-up troops was attacked by nine German E-boats in Lyme Bay. Of the two ships assigned to protect the convoy, only one was present. HMS Azalea, a corvette was leading the nine LSTs in a straight line, a formation which later drew criticism since it presented an easy target to the E-boats. The second ship which was supposed to be present, HMS Scimitar, a World War I destroyer, had been in collision with an LST, suffered structural damage and left the convoy to be repaired at Plymouth. Because the LSTs and British naval headquarters were operating on different frequencies, the American forces did not know this.
ObamaCare Insurance Denialism on the Prairie: Live from The Roasterie CXLII: April 28, 2014
Brian Buetler: The Right's New Scam: Feigning Anger on Behalf of People They Encouraged to Skip Obamacare: "Beginning last summer, and continuing unabated until a few weeks ago...
...conservatives undertook... to discourage people... from enrolling in ACA-compliant health plans... to deny state-based insurance markets critical mass... and send them into actuarial death spirals... appealing to strangers to undertake considerable personal risk in service of dubious ideological principles... [and] almost certainly succeeded at convincing some people to skip Obamacare.... [C]onservatives now want you to be outraged about the fact that the Affordable Care Act creates limited open-enrollment periods each year to prohibit precisely that kind of free riding....
Continue reading "ObamaCare Insurance Denialism on the Prairie: Live from The Roasterie CXLII: April 28, 2014" »
MY DAY by Eleanor Roosevelt: WASHINGTON, Wednesday—I did not mention yesterday that the Prime Minister of Australia, Mrs. Curtin, President-elect and Senora de Picado and I had lunch with the President at my husband's vacation residence in the South. I was extremely glad to have the opportunity to meet the man who will be at the head of the Costa Rican government in the near future, and I am sorry that his stay in this country will be so short.
Suresh Naidu: Capital and Labor: Substitutes or Complements?: Weekend Reading
Suresh Naidu: The Slack Wire: Substitutes or Complements: Marx and Brad and Me: "Since Brad Delong has attributed some thoughts on Marx to me...
...and I have gotten some emails inquiring whether or not I did say them, I thought it would be useful to publicly air what I understand to be the context. Brad has been a mentor and advisor for 10 years now, and is one of the very few economists broad and open enough to know anything about what Marx wrote. I have met very few other people in mainstream economics departments who cared enough to read Marx, let alone enough to assign the Communist Manifesto and Wage Labor and Capital in a mandatory first-year economics Ph.D. course (even I don't do that).
Continue reading "Suresh Naidu: Capital and Labor: Substitutes or Complements?: Weekend Reading" »
April 27, 2014 at 06:54 in #economichistory, #economics, #politicaleconomy, #weekendreading, History, Streams: Cycle | Permalink | Comments (8)
There are many candidates for the worst review of Thomas Piketty's Capital in the Twenty-First Century**. Consider Allan Meltzer. He opens:
Allan Meltzer: The United States of Envy: "In advance of the 2014 election...
...the Obama administration has drawn the political discussion away from its unpopular and flawed healthcare plan, usually called Obamacare, to bring public attention and support for increased income redistribution.... We can all expect this theme to be trumpeted loudly by the mainstream press as the mid-term election approaches: Some of us can have more, the argument goes, if we force others to have less. Support for the alleged social benefits of setting much higher marginal tax rates on the highest incomes has now been endorsed by the International Monetary Fund, based heavily on research by two French economists named Thomas Piketty and Emanuel Saez. The two worked together on the faculty at MIT, where the current research director of the IMF, Olivier Blanchard, was a professor. Like Piketty and Saez, he is also French. France has, for many years, implemented destructive policies of income redistribution....
I agree that in the past there was a notable positive association between economic growth and the spread between the shares of income going to the top 1, 5, or 10 percent of the earners and the share going to the remainder. The mistake is to conclude that narrowing the distribution contributes to growth. The far more plausible explanation is that economic growth in capitalist countries over the past two centuries contributed to a steep decline in the share of the top earners...
What can we say? That Meltzer has not read the book, because if he had read the book he would know that one of Piketty's big points--r > g, remember--is that patrimonial capitalism weakens when economic growth is fast? That he is too disconnected from the world to remember that Emmanuel Saez was never on the MIT faculty? That he is too lazy to check his (faulty) memory against Emmanuel Saez's cv? That there are many people in France who are as opposed to progressive taxation as Allan Meltzer? That France's income-redistribution policies have not kept it from having as high median after-tax incomes with a lot more vacation time and better health care outcomes than the United States? Or that the lead with its invocation of the joint conspiracy of the mainstream media and the Obama Administration to distract attention from ObamaCare is unhinged wingnut regurgitation of mendacious talking points at its worst?
Vladimir Lenin Quotes Keynes: Weekend Reading
Vladimir Lenin: The Second Congress of the Communist International: Report on the International Situation and the Fundamental Tasks of the Communist International: July 19, 1920:
(An ovation breaks out. All present rise to their feet and applaud. The speaker tries to begin, but the applause and cries in all languages continue. The ovation does not abate.) Comrades, the theses on the questions of the fundamental tasks of the Communist International have been published in all languages and contain nothing that is materially new (particularly to the Russian comrades). That is because, in a considerable measure, they extend several of the main features of our revolutionary experience and the lessons of our revolutionary movement to a number of Western countries, to Western Europe. My report will therefore deal at greater length, if in brief outline, with the first part of my subject, namely, the international situation.
Continue reading "Vladimir Lenin Quotes Keynes: Weekend Reading" »
April 26, 2014 at 18:27 in #economichistory, #economics, #equitablegrowth, #finance, #monetaryeconomics, #politicaleconomy, #politics, #weekendreading, History, Streams: Cycle | Permalink | Comments (12)


Our beginning in historic preservation work started in Yellowstone National Park in 1976. The beauty of Old Faithful Inn and its counter part Old Faithful geyser seem to meet each other in the sky and complement one another like few things on the earth. This architecture radiates the natural world and invites visitor to explore nature and themselves. This concept has driven our company for the last twenty-five years, and will continue to do so into the future.
With our roots interwined in Yellowstone we moved on to other aspects and trades involved in historical preservation work. The downtown districts of Montana and Wyoming offered new challenges and for ten years we preserved business, churches, government buildings and private homes. We have also worked on state and federal historic sites including Bannack, Fort Union, Elkhorn, and historic buildings in Grand Teton Park, Bryce Canyon, and ruins in the southwest. The resulting experience of this work has led us to where we are now offering training, history education and the stabilization, restoration, and preservation of all pre-historic and historic structures.
The preservation field is a difficult path to follow, and it requires more than tools or experience. The appreciation of our ancestors achievements, and respect for their ideas is the motivating factor behind our mission.
Join us on our journey back in time, to find where we are now, and know where we have yet to go.
Почему так мало дают денег за монеты в слотах http://www.severpechat.ru/deneg-za-monety-v-slotah. . Vulkan автоматы аппараты игровой клуб вулкан всегда рад своим посетителям которым может.


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Zack Snyder Shows (Again) How Young Darkseid Could've Looked In Justice League
Adam Holmes
Jul. 12. 2019 7:09 PM
Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice laid a lot of groundwork for the DC Extended Universe, some of which was followed up on, some of which was not. Falling into the latter category was Darkseid, ruler of Apokolips and Steppenwolf's master, who was supposed to appear in Justice League (played by Justified's Ray Porter), but was left out of the theatrical cut.
Last month, director Zack Snyder posted a picture showing Darkseid in the distance during Justice League's flashback battle sequence, but now we have a much better look at the villain's younger self, when he was still known as Uxas.
While it was cool to see Uxas in the distance leading his Apokoliptan forces against humanity, Amazons, Atlanteans, Olympians and even a few Green Lanterns in ancient times, it's definitely nice to be able to make out his features. Granted, he doesn't look quite as physically imposing as he's usually depicted in the present day, but he's formidable nonetheless, and you can bet he left a lot of carnage in his wake during that battle for Earth so long ago.
In the original DC Comics continuity, Uxas was the son of King Yuga Khan and Queen Heggra. He was second-in-line for the Apokoliptan throne, but he seized that power for himself when he killed his older brother Frax and claimed the Omega Force that Drax had taken on his own. With that raw power coursing through him, Uxas was transformed into his recognizable rocky form and renamed himself Darkseid.
In the New 52 continuity, Uxas was instead a farmer who became Darkseid when he tricked the deities of his world into fighting one another, then killed them in their weakened states and stole their power. Whatever Darkseid's origin is, his goal is to eliminate all free will from the universe and reshape reality as he sees fit, which he aims to the accomplish with the Anti-Life Equation.
Thus far, no details about Darkseid's DCEU origins have been revealed. In fact, the only signs he exists in this continuity is through Batman v Superman's Knightmare sequence (namely that giant Omega symbol burned into the ground) and Steppenwolf mentioning him just once in Justice League.
Given that Justice League critically and commercially underperformed, there are no plans to make Justice League 2 anytime soon, if at all. There's still the chance that Darkseid could appear in the DCEU, most likely in Ava DuVernay's New Gods, but for now, this picture that Zack Snyder shared on Vero remains our only official, close-up look at this franchise's version of the character.
Apparently the original intention for Darkseid in Justice League, along with featuring him in the flashback battle sequence, was for him to appear in front of the movie's heroes on the other side of a Boom Tube, presumably the same one that Steppenwolf was dragged through. That supposedly would have led to Darkseid battling the Justice Leaguers in Justice League 2, defeating them and "leveling" Earth, and then Justice League 3 would have seen the protagonists making one last stand against Darkseid and the forces of Apokolips.
Alas, those plans have almost certainly been shelved, but you can be sure that CinemaBlend will let you know about any major news regarding Darkseid's future on the big screen. For now, you can keep track of what DC movies are currently in development with our handy guide.
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How Tim Allen Feels About Ricky Gervais' Golden Globes Joke About Him television

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


text:
2gether NHS Foundation Trust
2gether struggles with children and young people backlog
PERFORMANCE: 2gether Foundation Trust has seen an "unanticipated" increase in referrals to its children and young people's service.
A report on a meeting of the delivery committee, presented to the mental health trust's July board meeting, said this was impacting on efforts to reduce the waiting list.
It added: "The committee agreed that this matter was getting increasingly urgent and asked that a formal report setting out the key issues, including the number of extra referrals and additional resources funded by 2gether, be produced and presented at the contract board with commissioners in July, with an update back to the delivery committee in September."
Board paper
2gether Foundation Trust board paper (attached)
Serious incident declared over cancer diagnostics backlog
A serious incident has been declared at a trust after a backlog in scans delayed five patients' cancer diagnosis.
First quarter A&E performance worst since records began
The NHS has recorded its worst first quarter accident and emergency performance since records started, data released this morning revealed.
CCG raises concerns over controversial patient records system
Commissioners have raised concerns about a hospital trust which has failed to report basic waiting time data for almost two years after it went live with a controversial government-subsidised patient records system.


The importance of caring for our tresses.
Just think about all the situations where your hair cut, style or color plays a major role. High School graduation pics, job interview, first date, blind date, and meeting the future in-laws. As you can see, it's basically all the significant rites of passage of our lives. Our hair defines our personality. It can tell stories, and potentially it can say to others, "I'm approachable, or I'm not approachable." How would you feel going into a job interview with severe, grown out roots or worse, a tangled mane with frizz everywhere? An employer will consciously or subconsciously make judgements based on your appearance. An insightful employer will know, if you aren't able to have discipline and respect for your appearance, you will extend this same carefree attitude when it comes to your work.
What about when we watch TV Makeovers? What is the one change that makes all the difference? It's the hair which changes the face.The change in hair creates a new mood. It gives confidence and a new love for life. The individual always talks about how the change in the hair as one of the major factors in the transformation.
Based on the above, as well a last week's post, it would seem everyone would understand the importance of a good haircut and spending a little more for quality, craftsmanship and longevity. Yet, so many have had a bad haircut or color, and still do not learn from their mistakes. For many, hair is not on the priority list when it comes to selfcare. We spend on monthly gym memberships; we will pay top dollar for anti-wrinkle creams or go as far as lip fillers, as we have seen on many Hollywood stars. We spend thousands of dollars trying to make ourselves look "better," but the simplest, most profound change can be a great haircut. Even at its highest cost, it will still be relatively lower than the others mentioned.
How important is a good haircut? It's a universal theme. There are E-cards about the feeling you get after a great cut. There are memes about bad cuts and color. That feeling you get once you leave the salon, it makes you feel invincible. So, next time you're debating if you need a new cut or freshen up your color, try to remember the positive (short and long) impact it will leave not just on yourself, but with others.


Just a few blocks away from the Highline Park, Chelsea Market, the Meatpacking District, Union Square, and the many shops and restaurants in the West Village - this cozy one bedroom apartment will comfortably fit 2-3 people looking to enjoy Manhattan to its fullest.
A full kitchen, free wifi, one AC/heater unit, cable TV, windows that overlook the street, and a very comfortable bed and couch await you after a long day of running around NYC. The location of this apartment is ideal - as its close to many incredible restaurants and tourist attractions, and also just a minute-long walk to the L, ACE and 123 trains (conveniently located at the end of the block).
Originally from San Diego, CA - and have been living in NYC for the past 4+ years.


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Trump Delays Moving American Embassy In Israel From Tel Aviv To Jerusalem
Kaitlan Collins White House Correspondent
President Trump signed a waiver Thursday that delayed moving the U.S. embassy in Israel from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem. He was required to make a decision by Friday because a six-month waiver signed by President Obama was set to expire.
Trump signed the same waiver that every president has signed twice a year since 1995 when a law was passed requiring the embassy to be located in Jerusalem. It will expire in six months, when the president will be faced with the decision of moving the embassy again.
(Photo: Olivier Douliery-Pool/Getty Images)
Press secretary Sean Spicer said in a statement afterwards that Trump still plans to move the embassy, but it is now a question of when.
"While President Donald J. Trump signed the waiver under the Jerusalem Embassy Act and delayed moving the U.S. Embassy in Israel from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem, no one should consider this step to be in any way a retreat from the President's strong support for Israel and for the United States-Israel alliance," Spicer said. "President Trump made this decision to maximize the chances of successfully negotiating a deal between Israel and the Palestinians, fulfilling his solemn obligation to defend America's national security interests. But, as he has repeatedly stated his intention to move the embassy, the question is not if that move happens, but only when."
On the campaign trail, Trump said he would move the embassy to Jerusalem "fairly quickly" once he was in office, but his secretary of state Rex Tillerson signaled in mid-May that he may not move the embassy yet.
"The president is being very careful to understand how such a decision would impact the peace process," Tillerson said.
Tags : donald trump jerusalem tel aviv
Kaitlan Collins


Regular visual wave observations have been performed from 1954 at several coastal sites of Estonia. This data are very valuable for understanding wave climate in Baltic Sea. The main goal of the seminar is description of the wind wave mesurment procedure and interpretation of different wind wave parameters recorded in historical diaries.


Brown Hello I am Katy! I love travelling and I have visited many countries. My favorite was the United States and I hope to live there one day. I went to Miami and it was beautiful, sunny and very much fun. I also love animals and I have 2 dogs and a huge cat.


The use of unlimited third-party payments in the ANZ Championship has led a prominent sports lawyer to label the salary cap as ineffective.
ANZ Championship general manager Anthony Everard revealed yesterday that there was no upper limit on payments to players outside the competition's cap of $300,000 a team.
"The competition rules do allow for additional benefits to be made available for players," Everard said.
"The cap is defined as to what those additional benefits can be, but there is no dollar amount attributed to those."
Such payments are defined as reasonable assistance from a franchise towards individual players' accommodation and travel costs, cars, mobile phones and laptop computers.
The benefits sweeten the deal for star players and may explain how the Waikato/Bay of Plenty Magic and the Southern Steel, who abide by the salary cap, can still attract so many Silver Ferns.
Wellington sports lawyer and former New Zealand Rugby Union chief executive David Rutherford said there was no way a "soft" cap like the one being used in the ANZ Championship could provide an even playing field.
"A hard salary cap like the NRL's captures all payments, but a soft salary cap doesn't capture all payments and therefore allows the wealthier teams to capture more talent," he said.
"A soft salary cap will, by definition, not achieve an even spread of talent, which this one isn't. [However] a hard salary cap is more likely to be challenged in the courts for restraint of trade."
Rutherford said that, in his opinion, the ANZ Championship was regulated by a soft cap, which was far more flexible than the versions seen in competitions such as rugby league's NRL.
Queensland Firebirds coach Vicki Wilson criticised New Zealand's teams this week as being lopsided, and questioned whether the Waikato/Bay of Plenty Magic were breaching the rules of the cap.
However, Everard stood behind the cap being used and was adamant it was spreading talent.
"Our priority is to have 10 competitive teams and, as long as that is the case, we think the competition rules are working," he said.
"At the moment we feel, after two rounds, we already have statistically closer games than last year. We feel we do have 10 competitive teams out there. There will always be some teams that are stronger than others and that will go in cycles."
He was satisfied all teams were playing by the rules. "It is something we take very seriously in terms of the salary cap and we have procedures in place to audit the teams."
The ANZ Championship board had the capacity to look at the rules during an end-of-season review, he said. "It would be a matter of tweaking things, rather than overhauling things, but it is too early to make those judgments.
"I don't think it's a matter of the number of international [Silver Ferns or Australian reps] players in a particular team. It is the competitiveness of the team on the court and I think we need to look at things over an extended period of time.
"Basing any changes on one season and two rounds is probably a little premature. We'd prefer to let this competition settle and wait to the end of the season to consider any changes."
The salary cap was introduced to regulate payments to players. TransTasman Netball Limited allows NZ$300,000 to be divided among the 12 contracted players, with a minimum payment of $12,000.


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Kettleers Take Down Hyannis Mets, 6-4, Now in 2nd Place
By Sean Walsh, Web Editor
HYANNIS, MA — The Cotuit Kettleers took a giant step toward earning a coveted playoff spot last night at McKeon Park, downing the host Hyannis Mets, 6-4. The win placed Cotuit (19-16-2) in a two-way tie with Wareham in second place in the Western Division, and three points shy of first place Bourne.
The Kettleers plated three runs in both the fourth and fifth innings to give Missouri's Nathan Culp (2-1) his second Cape League victory this season.
Top hitters for Cotuit included Arizona's Jason Donald (1-2, RBI), Delaware's Todd Davison (2-4), Tennessee's Julio Borbon (1-4) and Brown's Devin Thomas (1-3, RBI).
The Kettleers host Falmouth today at home (Friday, July 29) at 2 p.m.


During the spring of his senior year in high school, quiet Tatsuma Hiyuu transfers to Magami Academy in Shinjuku. The mysterious boy's "outsider" status and his profound skills in martial arts quickly earn him the friendship of class delinquent Kyouichi Houraiji. Through an uncanny connection and a happenstance challenge, he also meets Yuuya Daigo of the wrestling club, the captain of the girls' archery club, Komaki Sakurai, and Aoi Misato, the Student Council President.
During their encounter, there is a sudden, harsh disruption of the Ryumyaku (literally Dragon Pulse, otherwise known as Dragon Vein or Dragon Stream), the flow of arcane energy. The surge awakens within the five teenagers a latent power, giving them each a supernatural ability. Enlightened to their newly acquired gifts by Hisui, the young heir of the Kisaragi Clan who maintains his family's antiques shop – as well as their duty to protect Tokyo from Oni (demons) – the Magami students decide to use their power to protect the city from the onslaught of dark forces.
Battling the demons alongside Hisui Kisaragi, the five unlikely friends discover that they may have to face a greater threat to Tokyo other than destroying a few malevolent, random monsters. The Ryumyaku had been disrupted by force, from someone invoking the Dark Arts – and that person has a wicked desire to unleash a long-dead evil.
Can the teenagers overcome their own fears and flaws to fight against the Dark Arts? And soon they will also have to face their own destinies as they discover their Stars of Fate.
This anime is based on a manga, which was based on the Nintendo role-playing video game originally released in 1998.


A great opportunity to step up into one of the largest media agencies in New Zealand and work on a high-profile retail brand.
My client is one of New Zealand's most awarded media agencies, managing some of the country's largest-budget advertisers. They are part of a global network of agencies - so this is your chance to join a stable and well-established business that has international standing. With stunning offices in central Auckland and a warm, positive work culture, this is an opportunity not to be missed.
This is a 6-month contract that works exclusively on one of NZ's top brands. It's a fast-paced role which is very client facing and perfect for someone who likes working with big budgets and multi-tasking.
As a digital specialist you'll be responsible for digital planning and some execution and will help to lead a team of planner/buyers. You'll also get involved in workflow management, digital upskilling and operational improvements across the wider Client Service team.
We are looking for a seasoned digital planner buyer with experience in working on large accounts. You'll be a great multitasker with a real eye for detail, and great with clients.
You can apply for this role now by sending us your CV - or if you'd rather, please feel free to call us for a 100% confidential chat about the position.
Campfire Digital Recruitment currently have a variety of digital media, digital marketing and ad-tech / mar-tech job opportunities across New Zealand so please get in touch with us to find out how we can help you.


The Ohaus triple beam scale is great for mixing small to medium batches of glaze. It includes a stainless steel plate and 10gram, 500gram, and 100gram measurements. The 750 model features three notched and tiered beams with center reading, sliding poise, zero adjust compensator, and has a 0.1 grams readability and 610 grams capacity.
A three piece weight set is sold seperately and can increase the weight capacity.


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Tag Archives: Marvel
Reviews, Television
Wandavision—Absolution, Forgiveness, and Redemption
If the global virus of the past year has been good for anything (other than billionaires), then it's been good for the Marvel division of Disney's entertainment megaplex. Not long after their ten-year story hit its climactic peak with Avengers: Endgame, the world got dropped into an enforced hiatus. As a result, instead of risking saturation of the market, Marvel got to take a break that Disney would never have allowed and instead begin its new era with smaller-scale TV offerings.
Moreover, those TV series themselves got rearranged in favour of those that could be filmed on closed sets, so instead of leading with the more traditional action offering of The Falcon and the Winter Soldier, Marvel kicked off phase four with the much stranger, much more personal Wandavision. Which, as its nine-week run unfolded, proved to be a tale of trauma and the harm that can spill out from it.
In an era when binge-watching has faded from prominence, but in which people are as eager as they've ever been for new media to consume, Wandavision was discussed and dissected endlessly online across its run, not just among Marvel fans but among more casual viewers. It's mostly great in my opinion, so if you haven't watched it, don't read any further, as I'm mostly going to be talking about the ending.
Continue reading Wandavision—Absolution, Forgiveness, and Redemption →
absolutionforgivenessMarvelredemptionWandavision
Cinema, Reviews
Captain America: Civil War – Bucking the Trend
May 4, 2016 cerandor	Leave a comment
Red vs. Blue. Isn't that always the way?
For all of the successes of the Marvel superhero universe, most of the sub-franchises haven't enjoyed uninterrupted upward curves. Iron Man 2 was a mess, Thor: The Dark World was a bit dull, and Avengers: Age of Ultron seemed tired by comparison with its mega-successful predecessor. Only the Captain America movies have shown consistent progress: starting well with The First Avenger, getting better with The Winter Soldier, and now topping the lot with Civil War.
(All the spoilers below…)
Continue reading Captain America: Civil War – Bucking the Trend →
Black PantherCaptain AmericaCaptain America: Civil WarIron ManMarvelSpider-ManWinter Soldier
JJ + SJW VS GG
December 23, 2015 cerandor	Leave a comment
The promotional materials for Jessica Jones helped to tease the villain and set the mood.
Marvel's Netflix offerings stand at a remove to the 4-colour heroics of their cinema offerings (and the connected Agents of SHIELD series). Drawing on modern iterations of street-levels heroes, the idea behind them was evidently to provide a darker and more complex take on superhumans than The Avengers. So far it's working well. Daredevil was a promising beginning, and with Jessica Jones Marvel and Netflix kick it up a notch.
Spoilers for Jessica Jones below…
Continue reading JJ + SJW VS GG →
David TennantJessica JonesKilgraveKirsten RitterMarvel
Flawed Heroes, Edgar Wright and the Incorruptible Ant-Man
July 20, 2015 cerandor	Leave a comment
The grand "what might have been." The eternal tale of how life is. Image from here.
Director Edgar Wright's departure from Marvel Studios' Ant-Man before it was due to start filming will keep film critics and academics in coin for years. Wright, one of the most creative and inventive directors around, had worked for several years on the film and retains both executive producer and screewnwriter credits on the final feature. However, for all that Ant-Man retains some of the hallmarks of Wright's work, it's not one of his films. For better or worse, his replacement as writer and director, Peyton Reed, has made it his own. Continue reading Flawed Heroes, Edgar Wright and the Incorruptible Ant-Man →
Ant-ManEvangeline LillyMarvelMarvel StudiosMichael DouglasPaul Rudd
Games, Reviews
Free-to-Play Three Ways: Capitals, Future Fight and Fallout Shelter
July 2, 2015 cerandor	Leave a comment
*Some terms and conditions may apply.
I have no aversion to spending money on mobile games, and some of my best experiences with iOS games have been paid for: Plants Vs Zombies, Hitman Go, Thomas Was Alone and Monument Valley to name but four. Still, the plethora of free-to-play games does allow me to try out new gameplay experiences more or less forever, as long as I'm willing to risk the intrusion of money-making schemes into your fun. Recently, I've been playing three F2P games that have taken very different approaches to monetising fun, with very different results.
Monetization-Lite: Capitals, NimbleBit
Capitals is a clever little app that combines a Scrabble-like word game with some simple head-to-head strategy. You and your opponent start with one space each (your "capital") on a hexagonal board, and the aim is to grow your territory and ultimately conquer your opponent. You do this by claiming spaces: each space has a letter, and if you use the letter in a space connected to your territory, you expand into it. But if your opponent claims territory bordering yours, some of your territory will turn neutral again.
A huge amount of strategy emerges from this simple gameplay: Sometimes it's better to avoid a big word in favour of shoring up your defences. Sometimes you see an opportunity to strike deep into your opponent's territory. Sometimes you want to use up convenient letters so as to cramp your opponent's options. In the games I've played, some have been brief and wild struggles, others chess-like confrontations of advance and retreat.
There's not much to complain about on the gameplay front: a few games turned into slogs as I tried to grind my opponent down (or they tried to grind me down), but there's plenty of fun to be had. All the same, you wonder whether NimbleBit thought out their F2P strategy very far. Right now you can pay for unlimited "lives," which you can also claim by watching promotional videos (one view equals one life). It feels restrictive, and Nimblebit might have been better simply making this a cheap paid game instead. Still, they've been updating Capitals gradually since it came out, and they might yet get the balance right. In the interim, I'd recommend giving it a try.
Monetization-Heavy: Marvel Future Fight, Netmarble
I'm a comic book geek, and when it comes to superheroes, you can Make Mine Marvel. So a F2P fighting game starring a range of Marvel heroes, with good gameplay and high production values should be a winner, right? Future Fight certainly makes a good start, giving you three leading heroes (Iron Man, Captain America and Black Widow) to start with and plenty of free goodies just for logging in every day. But it then buries the whole experience under layers of complexity, social networking hooks and premium currencies.
The core gameplay is a lot of fun—the three hero types (brawler, speed and ranged), are each stronger or weaker against one of the other types. Missions last no more than two minutes, providing experience and equipment to improve your heroes, and there's even a story illustrated with quick cut scenes before and after missions. So that's fun. The problem is that managing everything else becomes a chore. There are multiple ways to improve your hero, multiple types of mission you can take on, and coins, gems and tokens galore to collect.
If you've got the patience to get to grips with all of this, there's a rewarding game to be found under all of the cruft. However, I found myself reduced to logging in once a day to pick up my daily reward, telling myself that I'd try to get to grips with it later. I never did. It's one of the problems of F2P—having paid nothing, I'm not invested, and the grind of gaining expertise and levelling up my characters has put me off. Which is a shame. This is a well-coded, slick and fun game that might have done better had it been paid-for with much less in the way of complications.
Just Right?: Fallout Shelter, Bethesda Game Studios
Fallout Shelter caused a lot of fuss when Bethesda announced it alongside Fallout 4 at E3 recently. As a promotional iOS app, trading on an established franchise name and using a F2P model, it could have been awful. It isn't. In fact, it's one of the friendliest F2P games out there, with an in-app purchase model that actually seems to work. (It's currently at #18 in the top-grossing games in Ireland.) How did Bethesda manage this? By keeping things simple and sticking to the feel of the Fallout franchise.
Whimsical '50s nuclear paranoia might not seem like a good basis for a game, but it's worked for Fallout for years. The main Fallout games have been roleplaying-focused, but this is a management game that charges you with creating a paradisiacal "Vault" in the midst of a post-apocalyptic wasteland. To do this, you'll have to guide your vault dwellers to create food, water, energy and medical supplies, send them out to explore the wasteland, and encourage them to breed in order to swell your population. Do it right and everyone will be blissfully happy. Do it wrong and you'll have miserable, radiation-raddled inhabitants who fall prey to radroaches, raiders and the occasional nuclear reactor fire.
The first ingredient that makes this game so appealing is the grace notes sprinkled across the game (equipment descriptions, wasteland explorers' journals, and cheesy banter between dwellers—the writing is uniformly excellent). The second ingredient is an in-app purchase system that doesn't intrude and even enhances the game. The standard currency is bottle-caps, with which you pay for new rooms (and occasionally resurrecting unlucky vault dwellers). The premium currency is lunchboxes, which serve as booster packs that contain equipment, caps or dwellers, some of them better than any you're likely to find in game. You can earn these lunchboxes through the game, but the excitement of opening a new one is enough to encourage you to plonk down actual money for more.
It's not a perfect game—the learning curve is a little steep if you don't RTFM, and there's a lack of depth in the challenges you'll face as you build your Vault beyond 100 inhabitants. But even so, it manages the SimCity trick of making you feel proud of what you've created while allowing you to peek in on the lives of your dwellers and even get a little invested in their continued existence.
BethesdaBethesda Game Studios Fallout ShelterCapitalsF2PFalloutFallout Shelterfree-to-playiOSMarvelMarvel Future Fightmobile gamesNetmarblenimblebit
Cinema, Reviews, Television
Age of Ultron and Daredevil: Marvel Testing the Limits
April 27, 2015 cerandor	Leave a comment
Age of Ultron definitely has higher production values on the posters at least. (Image via Comicvine.)
From a point of bankruptcy in the 1990s, Marvel has built its comic-book properties into a billion-dollar film and television franchise that's so omnipresent you never have to wait long for the next Marvel product. Two movies a year and multiple TV series are enough to sate the most avid fan, and while we may be nearing oversaturation, the quality has remained remarkably high so far. The latest two offerings—Avengers: Age of Ultron and Daredevil—represent Marvel working harder than ever to maintain that quality as it stretches the limits of what superhero fiction can do on screen.
A:AoU is of course the follow-up to Joss Whedon's ensemble blockbuster movie, whereas Daredevil marks the first offering from Marvel's tie-up with Netflix, presenting heroics at a more gritty street level than Avengers' apocalyptic, primary-colour adventures. Having watched them both to completion over the past weekend, I thought comparing the two might prove interesting.
Spoilers abound below…
Continue reading Age of Ultron and Daredevil: Marvel Testing the Limits →
Age of UltronAvengersAvengers: Age of UltronDaredevilJames Spaderjoss whedonMarvelMarvel moviesMatthew MurdockNetflixPaul BettanyWilson Fisk


* Sun Jul 04 2010 Dag Wieers - 9.04-1- Updated to release 9.04.
* Mon Dec 01 2008 Dag Wieers - 4.61-1- Updated to release 4.61.
* Sat Nov 08 2008 Dag Wieers - 4.58-1- Updated to release 4.58.
* Tue Dec 18 2007 Dag Wieers - 4.57-1- Updated to release 4.57.


Please fill out the form below to suggest plays that you think Pine Tree Players should consider producing.
Inidviduals are invited to submit up to three plays for consideration.
We strongly encourage you to identify a director for your play since submissions that include a director are more likely to be produced.
If you would like to direct any of the plays submitted, please complete the section below to let us know about your directing skills and experience. If you're a first time director we encourage you to submit a one act play and/or show you have a plan in place to deliver a quality production.
We encourage you to submit up to three plays to improve the chances that your submission will be produced. Our goals are to increase our audience reach and to provide an experience for our volunteers that results in them returning again and again. Please note submissions that include a qualified director are more likely to be produced.
Either the full play or excerpt(s) if available on YouTube, Vimeo, etc.
Which date/venue are you applying for? Select all the apply.
What is your vision for this production? Please include information about the set, costumes and props.
Please upload any additional documentation on set, wardrobe or props.
Does the play contain any controversial elements? If so how will you handle them?
Please list the names of anyone you have recruited for the production.
What challenges might PTP have in mounting this production?
What is your vision for this production? Please include details on the set, costume and props.
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Mission of the Center for Speaking & Listening
Speaking Across the Curriculum
My Appointment
How and when to apply to be a Speaking Fellow
How to apply for a Student Speaking Fellow
Public Speaking Festival
Public Speaking Contest
Public Speaking in a Second Language
Speaking Science to the Public
Center for Speaking & Listening Hours (Easter 2020)
Sunday – 1:30-4:00 p.m. & 7:00-9:30 p.m.
Monday – 1:00-4:00 p.m. & 7:00-9:30 p.m.
Tuesday – 1:30-4:00 p.m. & 7:00-9:30 p.m.
Wednesday – 1:30-4:00 p.m. & 7:00-9:30 p.m.
Thursday – 1:30-4:00 p.m. & 7:00-9:30 p.m.
The Center for Speaking & Listening


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2008-09 NHL Draft Kit: Centre Rankings
September 3, 2008 | By Mike Chen | comment on this post
A lot of RotoRob readers are still shaking off the effects of their football drafts, but don't look now — hockey's right around the corner! For the next few weeks, RotoRob will be rolling out its 2008-09 NHL Draft Kit to help you prepare for your pool/fantasy league. Let's start with everyone's favourite — cheat sheets, today focusing on the centre position, where a couple of flightless waterfowl from the Steel City are the obvious top choices.
Please note that while different fantasy leagues may shift players around from wing to centre and vice versa, all players on this list were listed at centre as per Yahoo!
1. Sidney Crosby, Pittsburgh Penguins: Duh. After Crosby's stellar playoff performance, there's not too much more to say about him. Can his magical passing revive Miroslav Satan's goal-scoring ability? I'm guessing so, as Satan has more natural talent than Crosby's non-Marian Hossa linemates from last season. Don't forget that Sid the Kid also shares power play time with Evgeni Malkin.
2. Evgeni Malkin, Pittsburgh Penguins: Malkin's Crosby-less trial-by-fire last season was a resounding success. What to do for an encore? Ryan Malone is replaced with Ruslan Fedotenko, but Malkin's chemistry with Petr Sykora should remain strong. Like Crosby, Malkin still has years before he gets to his physical peak.
3. Joe Thornton, San Jose Sharks: Consider this — Thornton's usual linemate Jonathan Cheechoo was recovering from double-sports hernia surgery for two-thirds of the season and Big Joe still led the league in assists. A healthy Cheechoo, a more offensive blueline, and a new coach with an offensive mindset should mean that Thornton eclipses 100 points again — and very likely the 30-goal barrier (he had 29 last year) for the first time as a Shark.
4. Vincent Lecavalier, Tampa Bay Lightning: Lecavalier's season was short-circuited by the Lightning's total collapse. The Bolts are much stronger up front, meaning that Lecavalier can focus on producing with linemates Martin St. Louis and Vaclav Prospal (along with creating shorthanded situations with St. Louis) without worrying about being the only offensive threat on the team.
5. Jason Spezza, Ottawa Senators: Poor Spezza. Even though he consistently has 90-point seasons, he's constantly criticized for not being better. After coaching him at the World Championships, Ken Hitchcock noted that Spezza has maxxed out his natural skills and needs structure to be better. New Coach Craig Hartsburg might be the right person to take Spezza to the next level.
6. Pavel Datsyuk, Detroit Red Wings: Is it a bad thing to have too many quality players? The Red Wings not only kept their team together, they added Marian Hossa to the mix. Early lines show that Coach Mike Babcock is sticking with the Datsyuk/Henrik Zetterberg/Tomas Holmstrom combination while Hossa will flank Johan Franzen and Valtteri Filppula. Will that mark a decrease in special teams time for Datsyuk? With so many options, look for his point totals to stay around where they were last year — a stellar 97 — but not increase too much.
7. Eric Staal, Carolina Hurricanes: For a long time, Staal has had Erik Cole riding shotgun. With Cole shipped out to Edmonton, that tandem is no more. However, Staal was a force after team captain Rod Brind'Amour went down last season, almost single-handedly willing the Hurricanes into a playoff spot. Look for Staal to push back towards elite status rather than the 70-80 point area he's been in for the past couple of seasons.
8. Ryan Getzlaf, Anaheim Ducks: The torch has officially been passed to Getzlaf and teammate Corey Perry; even if Teemu Selanne comes back, it's really now the Getzlaf/Perry era in Anaheim. There's no telling how much second-line support Getzlaf will have, but he still put up strong numbers even during the Scott Niedermayer-Selanne-less part of last season. Getzlaf should eclipse the 30-goal mark for the first time in his young career.
9. Mike Richards, Philadelphia Flyers: Say hello to the new face of the Flyers — or as many Philly fans like to think, the second coming of Bobby Clarke. Richards definitely has a long ways to go in order to live up to that, but he's still trending upwards. And, unlike teammate Daniel Briere, Richards is more adept at producing points in all situations.
10. Marc Savard, Boston Bruins: Savard just keeps quietly putting up the points. While he'd certainly have more if he still had Ilya Kovalchuk on his wing, Savard's second season in Beantown was still successful. If Phil Kessel and Milan Lucic have breakout seasons, look for Savard's passing to be the catalyst for that.
11. Olli Jokinen, Phoenix Coyotes: For years, Olli Jokinen kept producing points despite revolving linemates and the frustratingly slow development of Stephen Weiss and Nathan Horton. Now Jokinen has proven scorer Shane Doan on his wing; at the same time, the young Coyotes are developing enough that they've got the secondary scoring to alleviate some pressure from the top unit. Look for Jokinen to eclipse his point totals from Florida.
12. Paul Stastny, Colorado Avalanche: Regardless of Joe Sakic's return, Stastny is now the main man in Colorado. While the team was ravaged by injuries, Stastny continued to put up points — that is, until he was hit by his own injuries. With a refreshed Avalanche lineup, look for Stastny to continue to get better. And with Sakic officially back, Stastny should have an even better year and the Avs should have two solid lines as they look to rebound. Somewhere, Peter Forsberg's foot is hurting in jealousy.
13. Mike Ribeiro, Dallas Stars: Left for dead in Montreal, Ribeiro found new life in Dallas by meshing with captain Brenden Morrow. Morrow's bull-in-a-China-shop work on the boards and in front of the net are the perfect fit for Ribeiro's slick puck control and deft passing skills.
14. Nicklas Backstrom, Washington Capitals: Is Backstrom ready to be a 90-point guy yet? The up-and-coming Capitals have enough talent to mix-and-match Backstrom's wing slot. There's always the fear of a sophomore slump, but don't expect Backstrom to disappear from the map; expect a slight improvement over his 69 points and hope for an 80-point campaign.
15. Anze Kopitar, Los Angeles Kings: Kopitar skates with the puck on a string and little help from a frustrating Kings' team. If Kopitar played for the Rangers or Leafs, he'd be getting a ton of press but he skates with little fanfare in L.A. other than from the Kings' die-hard fanbase. Still, the young King forwards will continue to develop as a team, meaning that they should all progressively get better, Kopitar included.
Others to Consider
Henrik Sedin, Vancouver Canucks
Jonathan Toews, Chicago Blackhawks
Derek Roy, Buffalo Sabres
Scott Gomez, New York Rangers
By Mike Chen
This entry was posted on Wednesday, September 3rd, 2008 at 2:29 pm	and is filed under 2008-09 NHL Draft Kit, Cheat sheets, HOCKEY, Mike Chen. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can skip to the end and leave a response. Pinging is currently not allowed.


Public Relations in ancient times.
Prove that PR started in ancient times.
What first steps in PR development do you know?
What contribution did the Greek and Roman theorists make to public relations development?
What rudimentary elements of PR were found in the ancient civilizations of Asia?
How did PR started in England?
Ivy Lee, Edward Bernays, Carl Byoir, Samuel Adams and their contribution to Public Relations.
Speak about the most important facts from their biographies which are connected with PR activity.
What contribution did these prominent people make to the development of PR.?
Functions of Public Relations specialist.
Define PR. How does the conceptual definition of public relations unify the main activities and purposes of PR?
What is the function of PR practitioner in case of disaster?
What are the duties and responsibilities of PR specialist?
Speak about the topic of your diploma project.
What's the goal of your diploma project?
Why is the problem you discuss in your diploma project so actual?
What is the practical use of your diploma project?
1. Introducing yourself. (Name, age, country, occupation, personal qualities for your future profession of PR writer).
2. Talk about a famous PR writer or an advertiser in history.
3. Talk about your leisure activities (your favourite season, hobbies, interests connected with your future profession).
4. Describe your future working place.
5. Talk about your last holiday.
6. Talk about your home town.
7. Talk about your future profession.
8. Differences between two professions: advertiser and PR writer.
10. Speak about your diploma project.


Abstract We present a novel method for valence optimization of the Centroidal Voronoi Tessellation (CVT). We first identify three commonly appeared atomic configurations of local irregular Voronoi cells, and then design specific atomic operations for each configuration to improve the regularity within the CVT framework.
GB/T 7714 Yifan Men,Zeyu Shen,Dawar Khan,et al. Improving regularity of the centoridal voronoi tessellation[C],2018.


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Australian Education Institute: "We don't want to discriminate against anyone"
Australia's national education institution has issued a statement to staff and students urging them to "respect and abide by the rights and principles of equality".
Key points:The national education institute says it will now have an "open dialogue" with all staff and staff members about how to address issues with "gender identity"In a statement issued on Tuesday, the Australian Education Union (AEU) says it has "no doubt" that "this is the first of many" of the organisations it has identified as having a problem with "transgender" students and their teachers.
"There are a number of people in our society who are uncomfortable with a transgender person and they have the right to be," the statement reads.
"We do not want to be in the business of discriminating against anyone.
We do not believe that there is any reason to be concerned."
The statement is part of the group's "open dialog" with staff and members.
The ABC contacted the Australian education association for comment but did not receive a response by time of publication.
The statement goes on to say: "As a society we value the rights of every individual.
We understand that our actions can have a significant impact on the lives of many people."
The ABC has contacted the Victorian Education Department for comment and will update this story if we receive a reply.
But the Australian Human Rights Commission (AHRC) said it is "not a safe place" for a person to be.
"It is an incredibly difficult subject to talk about," AHRC chair Dr Karen Smith said.
"But there are some important principles that we should all be able to agree on: that everyone has the right not to be discriminated against, regardless of their gender identity or expression."
This includes discrimination based on their sexual orientation, gender identity, disability, pregnancy, pregnancy-related health conditions, marital status, marital and family status, religion or belief, or gender expression.
"And it is an absolutely fundamental right to live free from discrimination based upon those identities."'
I'm happy to say no'The statement comes amid the government's "gender-neutral" policy, which has been criticised by the ABC's Dan Sheridan for not allowing schools to "discriminate".
Under the policy, schools will now be required to provide a gender-neutral bathroom for all students.
But in a statement, the Victorian Government said it was not aware of any schools that did not comply.
"Schools are required to comply with all Victorian law, and this policy will ensure they do so," the ministry said.
But Mr Smith said the government should not be "pushing for schoolchildren to use bathrooms that are not gender-specific".
"It's not just that they are transphobic, it's that they're a form of discrimination," she said.
Ms Smith said there was no reason to have a "transphobic" policy.
"If you are going to force children to use the wrong gender, that's not OK," she added.
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