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Home / News / Jazz bands perform in busy concert season
Jazz bands perform in busy concert season
By Ellen Gustavson on February 23, 2010
Senior Brendon Wood plays trombone with the jazz ensemble at a recent practice for Friday's Tallcorn Music Festival. Hannah Van Meeteren Photo
The jazz ensembles are in the middle of a terrific season of shows and contests. They have performed in the IHSMA Jazz Festival, Tallcorn Music Festival and the Jazz Show.
Most recently, they participated in the Tallcorn Music Festival last Friday at UNI. Jazz I received 8th place out of the 4A bands, and Jazz Too! received 3rd out of the 1A/4A second bands. Not only did Jazz I and Too! perform, but they were also able to listen to jazz bands from all over Iowa, some from as far as Sioux City.
Jazz I member Louis Redfern said, "Tallcorn Jazz Festival is my favorite so far. Tallcorn has been the only one where we've been able to sit and listen to a lot of different high school bands and hear how other schools sound," he said. "The whole band gets to spend a little quality bonding time trying to park, drive around to eat, and enjoying some really great music."
In preparation for Tallcorn, the jazz bands played on Thursday during 4th hour for the rest of the band. This was actually very good practice for them. Redfern explained, "It's easy to stand up in front of strangers that have been listening to nervous kids all day, but to play all alone to your friends and classmates is tough."
Before that they had their Jazz Show on Feb. 6 in the CFHS auditorium. That Saturday, the two jazz bands from the Peet and Holmes junior highs performed at 5 pm. After an intermission, Jazz Too! played, followed by the Jazz Choir and Jazz I. The show also featured guest artist Mike Michaliceck on saxophone and jazz vocalist Samantha Takes.
Both groups received a Division I rating at the Iowa High School Music Association Jazz Festival, with Jazz I receiving a perfect ballot for sight-reading as well. The festival was held at Sumner-Fredericksburg High School, on Saturday, Jan. 30, with eleven other bands participating as either class 2A or 4A (Jazz I and Jazz Too! Both as class 4A).
All these performances have come from a lot of hard work. Last year, 11 seniors out of the 17 members of Jazz I graduated, which meant this year's band was very young. However, they have come together to play extremely well this year. One of their biggest strengths is the individual talent each section has. "Every section has at least one all-state musician; most have two," said Redfern. "We can show off any section, which is rare."
The jazz bands will next perform at NEIBA District Jazz Festival, on March 6 at Linn-Mar High School.
They will also play at the Pops Concert, which on Tuesday and Thursday, March 9 and 11 at the CFHS North Gym.
Related Itemsconcertellen gustavsonjazzjazz bandsTallcorn
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The third and final film of the Art and Money season. Interest in Aboriginal art has sky-rocketed in recent years and it is now a multi-million-dollar global industry. Ekow Eshun, director of the Institute of Contemporary Arts, looks at the complex issues surrounding the acquisition of indigenous art. As he meets well-known Aboriginal artists and other art industry players, it becomes clear that while some communities have learned to take advantage of the interest in their art, others continue to be exploited, being paid just a few dollars for paintings that could eventually sell for thousands.
The Mona Lisa Curse , the first film in Channel 4's three-part Art and Money season, is a timely polemic by internationally renowned art critic Robert Hughes that examines how the world's most famous painting came to influence the art world. Hughes explores how museums, the production of art and the way we experience it have radically changed in the last 50 years. Hughes tells the story of the rise of contemporary art and looks back over a life spent talking and writing about the art he loves, and loathes.


Paleographic results are almost always tentative, but frequently overstated by amateurs and professionals alike. For example, the Rylands Library Papyrus 𝔓52 was tentatively dated to the first half of the second century. Conservative scholars have continually pushed that date to the beginning of the century with little more reason than wanting it to be so.
Paleographic dating is a judgment call, based on many different factors. Unfortunately, scholars don't always realize when their faith clouds their judgment. For example, several scholars dismissed Morton Smith's letter from Mar Saba, which referred to a Secret Gospel of Mark, based in part on faulty and biased paleographic analysis.
Using one papyrus to date another is often misleading, because scholars (either knowingly or not) compare them using the same circular reasoning — i.e., a manuscript of uncertain date is used to firm up the date of another manuscript of equally uncertain date.
Once again, that pesky word rears its ugly head. We always need controls. What kinds of controls? Independent attestation, physical evidence, eyewitness accounts, and in this case, something "firmly dated" using a reliable method, rather than the comparison of scribal handwriting.
Tim is an RV Park host who lives with his wife and six cats in a 20-year-old motor home. To read more about Tim, see our About page.
Posted on 2019-02-22 22:09:14 GMT+0000 by Tim Widowfield.	This entry was posted in Biblical Studies and tagged P52, Palaeography. Bookmark the permalink.
Paleography – if I use Gothic font in a document that won't mean I wrote it in the 14th century.
The criticism of Detering referred to far later manuscripts on vellum, but it's not exactly easy to check any of the claims, since neither the manuscripts themselves nor the analysis behind the dating is readily available online.
That seems a bit hard to square with Detering's suggestion that Anselm is the forget (died 1109).
In principle, if Anselm were a forger, he might presumably use an ancient script for the purpose. So that's not dispositive. Even so, one still needs evidence to conclude forgery; and I do find Detering, in this as in much of his work, all too often substituted speculation for evidence, and ran rampant with possibiliter fallacies ("possibly x, therefore x"). Which doesn't discredit all his arguments and insights. It just means, much of them are unreliable; proposals at best, rather than conclusions, and it was wrong to paint the one as the other.
On paleographic dating though, typical comparators (from which chronological script databases are built) are dated in the manuscript itself (i.e. the scribe actually says when it was written) or by in situ provenance (i.e. in what dig layer it's found). Larry Hurtado has much to say on the point, e.g. here and here and indeed here, given that the latter references the rather brilliant revisionist work of Brent Nongbri (who wrote up an extensive treatise on the subject in God's Library).
One need merely compare Nongbri's work with Detering's to see the enormous difference between evidence-based revisionism and speculative revisionism being sold as fact. This is pretty much the whole difference people are keying on when they look side-eyed at Detering's work and even perhaps suggest he was a crank. Detering's work is galaxies apart from work like Nongbri's. And in ways that do indeed border on the difference between professional and crank scholarship, at least close enough to make some people suspicious.
I'm not invested in either conclusion. But I do understand why some people feel this way.
Dr. Carrier, how pleasant and informative your words are about this topic. It seems, alas that the Bible attracts a lot of cranks and that any interpretation of the Bible that goes too far outside the scholarly mainstream is dismissed – rightly or wrongly – as crankery.
Speaking of that, are you planning a re4sponse to the critique of your use of the story of Romulus to explain Christ mythicism?
Dr. Carrier, I would be interested in your review of "O du lieber Augustin." I have not found it yet.


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Relief provided to families affected by landslides
Relief has been distributed to the victims' family of Sayal village who lost their lives in the floods and landslides.
NepalNews
2021 Nov 03, 11:18, Kathmandu
Nepali Army personnel walking down the waterlogged street to reach out and rescue people stranded in flood, landslide and inundation caused by torrential rain. Photo courtesy: Nepali Army/Twitter
Relief has been distributed to the victims' family of Sayal village who lost their lives in the floods and landslides caused by the continuous rains since October 18. Chief District Officer Shankar Bahadur Bista had reached the area and provided relief of Rs 200,000 per family. Bista said that relief would be distributed in other areas of the district as well.
Similarly, Nepal Red Cross Society, Doti Branch has provided utensils, blankets and clothes to the victim's family. A check has also been handed over to the relatives of Mandhari Valayar who died in the landslide in Shikhar Municipality-11 and Gaonpalika-5.
Fifteen people were killed and one is missing in the district. It is estimated that at least worth Rs 10 million damages has been caused due to the unseasonal rain.
19 missing in Bajhang landslide presumed dead
President Bhandari arrives in Manang
Five roads yet to reopen in aftermath of floods, landslides across nation
Landslides and flood causes damage of Rs 41 million
floods Landslides continuous rains Shankar Bahadur Bista Nepal Red Cross Society. Unseasonal Rain Chief District Officer utensils blankets
Cultural similarities might play key role in successful immigrations


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Your Trip in Bosnia Herzegovina
Nestled between Croatia, Serbia and Montenegro, this small country of less than 4 million inhabitants immediately evokes the last conflict that rocked the former Yugoslavia in the 1990s. Most tourists come from elsewhere to see traces of this war. But, once there, it's a completely different choice that we discover: the wilderness, the Olympic ski resorts around Sarajevo, the Mediterranean climate of Herzegovina, the rivers to be traveled by rafting, the one of the best cuisines in the Balkans.
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Contact us, describe your travel plan and your desires for your trip to Bosnia Herzegovina.
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Suggested duration: 8 days
Average Budget : 680 €
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Sarajevo, the Jerusalem of Europe
One of the least visited countries in Europe, the former Yugoslav nation of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a treasure trove of architectural and natural beauty. Capital of the country and one of the most fascinating cities in Europe – Sarajevo is a must-see when visiting Bosnia and Herzegovina! For such a low-key city, Sarajevo has too often been at the center of turbulent history: this is where the First World War began, this is where the 1984 Winter Olympics took place, it is where the longest siege in modern history took place.
A cheap destination
Bosnia and Herzegovina is a budget travelers' paradise. Food, drink and accommodation are all affordable, even in the cities. Free or wild camping is very easy or there are many beautiful and inexpensive campsites. A meal costs around € 4 and a beer costs € 1 or less in a bar / restaurant
Mostar, both old and new
Mostar is the typical postcard-perfect image of Bosnia and Herzegovina that adorns almost every tourist advertisement in the country. Stari Most, the old bridge that is not so old after being rebuilt after a conflict, attracts cruise day trippers and is where most people choose to spend their short trips to the country. Away from the crowds on the bridge, where daredevil divers leap into the freezing waters below, this town has a truly charming and peaceful way of life.
Whenever Bosnians want to discuss something, they head to the nearest cafe. Indeed, wherever you go in Bosnia and Herzegovina, it seems almost impossible to find a bad beer. Many Bosnians now choose Italian espresso, but true Bosnian coffee is something unique. It comes in an individual long neck copper pot called a džezva. Flavor-wise, it's similar to Turkish – served in thick mud in dice-sized cups, often with a cube of lokum (Turkish delight) – but unlike Turkish coffee, the grounds are carried to boil several times to create a suitable cream.
Incredible nature
Bosnia and Herzegovina has some of the most breathtaking natural sites in the world and it is one of the most biodiverse country in Europe, prides itself on being home to dozens of endemic species of flora and fauna Green rivers emerald with fascinating Ottoman architecture, this Balkan country has it all and should be one of the places to visit at least once in your life.
What to see in Bosnia Herzegovina ?
Discover the country's must-sees
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Prepare to leave for Bosnia and Herzegovina
Discover essential information and all our advice on Bosnia and Herzegovina in order to prepare your trip in optimal conditions!
Mostar the pearl of Bosnia Herzegovina
The small town of Blagaj
Pocitelj, a small medieval bastion
Blidinje National Natural Park
Pliva Falls
The waterfalls of Kravice, Skakavac and the Parc de la Una
Travnik, a sublime heritage stronghold
The magnificent walled city of Trebinje
The best time to enjoy Bosnia and Herzegovina is between March and May and between October and November.
Entry formalities
For nationals of Schengen countries, an identity card will allow entry into Bosnia and Herzegovina, but it is best to have your passport to receive a stamp with an entry date, because the stay is limited to 3 months.
No particular risk is identified in Bosnia and Herzegovina, on the other hand it will be necessary to be careful to remain on the roads and forest paths, zones remain still mined.
Plane ticket
Expect to find plane tickets ranging from € 180 to € 250 from Paris.
The time zone is UTC +01: 00. In other words, there is no time difference with France.
There are several languages used: Bosnian, Croatian and Serbian, all from Serbo-Croatian which no longer exists as such officially.
Address and useful numbers
French Embassy in Bosnia and Herzegovina: +387 33 282-050 – Mehmed Bega Kapetanovića Ljubušaka 18, Sarajevo 71000.
Embassy of Bosnia and Herzegovina in France: 01 42 67 34 22 – 174 Rue de Courcelles, 75017 Paris.
Telephone and internet
Telephone code to call to Bosnia and Herzegovina: +387.
Internet access is available across the country, in most hotels and bars, at slow speeds.
Classic as in Western Europe: + 230V and sockets of the same type as in France
Discover our latest articles
Articles that accompany you before, during and after your trip
Bosnia and Herzegovina, the beautiful unknown!
The most spectacular landscapes of Montenegro
North Macedonia, a viticultural resurrection
The most spectacular landscapes in Albania
15 days - 8 countries


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The Obama Diary
Posts Tagged 'carries
By Chipsticks 53 Comments
Categories: All Photos, All Videos and Articles
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President Barack Obama greets the 2011 Presidential Citizens Medal recipients in the Blue Room of the White House prior to a medal ceremony in the East Room, Oct. 20. (Official White House Photo by Pete Souza)
9:30 AM President Obama signs the Korea, Panama, Colombia Free Trade Agreements and the renewal of Trade Adjustment Assistance for workers
10:30 The President attends a reception in the Rose Garden
2:30 The President honors recipients of the 2010 National Medal of Science and National Medal of Technology and Innovation
Andrew Sullivan: To rid the world of Osama bin Laden, Anwar al-Awlaki and Moammar Qaddafi within six months: if Obama were a Republican, he'd be on Mount Rushmore by now.
Ian Swanson (The Hill): Obama stands tall after the demise of Libyan strongman Gadhafi
The death of Moammar Gadhafi represents another major foreign policy victory for President Obama, who backed a months-long air campaign in Libya while facing criticism from the left and the right.
Obama stared down congressional skeptics across the political spectrum … Through it all, Obama kept his resolve.
…. On Thursday he basked in the second greatest foreign policy triumph of his administration, after the successful operation this spring that killed Osama bin Laden. Gadhafi's death comes less than a month after the U.S. drone strike killed al-Qaeda leader Anwar al-Awlaki in Yemen.
…. For the unwavering Obama, Thursday came the big payoff as Gadhafi's hopes for returning to power ended in a field outside his hometown of Sirte.
…. Obama entered the Oval Office as a novice on the international stage, criticized for a naïve outlook on the world.
…. three years into his term, both the bin Laden and Libya events suggest Obama can be steely in making decisions about U.S. force, and in sticking with them.
Jake Tapper: Have you had any difficulty discerning Republican presidential frontrunner Mitt Romney's precise position on the US involvement in the NATO mission in Libya?
The one consistency has been criticism of President Obama. But beyond that, he's seemed a bit all over the Libyan map.
Position 1: Obama was weak in not doing this sooner
Position 2: (Nothing to say)
Position 3: Obama is being too aggressive
Position 4: After Gadhafi fell: Hooray! Now release the Lockerbie bomber
Position 5 – (Somewhat similar to position 1): It's about time! The world is a better place without him!
See full post here
Washington Post: Marco Rubio's compelling family story embellishes facts, documents show
During his rise to political prominence, Sen. Marco Rubio frequently repeated a compelling version of his family's history that had special resonance in South Florida. He was the "son of exiles," he told audiences, Cuban Americans forced off their beloved island after "a thug," Fidel Castro, took power.
But a review of documents – including naturalization papers and other official records – reveals that the Florida Republican's account embellishes the facts. The documents show that Rubio's parents came to the United States and were admitted for permanent residence more than 2 and a half years before Castro's forces overthrew the Cuban government and took power on New Year's Day 1959.
The supposed flight of Rubio's parents has been at the core of the young senator's political identity …. he mentions his parents in the second sentence of the official biography on his Senate Web site. It says that Mario and Oriales Rubio "came to America following Fidel Castro's takeover."….
The real story of his parents' migration appears to be a more conventional immigrant narrative, a couple who came to the United States seeking a better life. In the year they arrived in Florida, the future Marxist dictator was in Mexico plotting a quixotic return to Cuba.
Michael Tomasky (Daily Beast): The economy needs help. The Democrats' proposals are popular. And yet they're dying in Congress. Why? Because the GOP hates Obama more than it loves America.
Maybe as early as Thursday night, the Senate will take its first vote on one bite-size piece of President Obama's jobs bill, a $35 billion measure to fund the hiring of 400,000 teachers and a smaller number of cops and firefighters. It will fail. As usual not a single Republican will vote for it….
…. The Republican Party's posture to the American people is this. Your opinion on issues like teachers and taxes doesn't matter a whit to us … if you keep that man in the White House, we will block everything he and you want. Everything. And nothing will happen in this town for those next four years. The Republicans can't say any of this, of course, but they don't have to. People get it. It just sort of seeps out of them, like oil from a polluted stream.
I have trouble keeping lunch down when I read these jeremiads about how sad and mysterious it is that our institutions of government are failing. It's not a mystery. One side wants them to fail. And there's very little the other side can do about it, besides point it out, which the president has started doing – and now he's the one being divisive! They've turned the world inside out.
The video is glitchy, will get a better version tomorrow – but stick with it, Rachel was on fire
Nearly there, thank you so much everyone:
LA Times: Republican-led opposition in the Senate blocked a key element of President Obama's jobs plan – a proposal to send $35 billion to cash-strapped states to keep public school teachers, police and firefighters on the job.
The Senate voted 50-50 late Thursday, falling short of the 60 votes needed to advance. Polls have shown the proposal is among the most popular flanks of Obama's jobs initiative.
President Obama shakes hands with Sen. Mark Pryor (D-AR) after he signed the Twenty-First Century Communications and Video Accessibility Act, October 8, 2010
The Hill: Democrats Ben Nelson (Neb.) and Mark Pryor (Ark.), who voted last week to block Obama's full jobs measure, again sided with Republicans.
Sen. Joe Lieberman (Conn.), an independent who caucuses with Democrats, also said no, citing concerns about the legislation's cost effectiveness.
Contact Mark Pryor here
Ben Nelson: Twitter – Email
Joe Lieberman – Twitter – Email
From two days ago:
Joan, in case you drop in, thinking of you, hope all's well and you're recovering from your surgery. Take care of yourself, see you soon.
"honey? i got the shopping"
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Tags: bag, bags, Barack, burgers, carries, carry, carrying, food, house, Obama, President, shopping, takeaway, white
President Barack Obama returns to the Oval Office after going on a hamburger run for West Wing staffers and aides, May 29, 2009. (Official White House Photo by Chuck Kennedy)
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Ignore the bait: Why it's the right strategy for Democrats to focus SCOTUS fight on health care Spandan Chakrabarti
BIG: Judge halts Trump administration attempt to shortcut the census Spandan Chakrabarti
Trump doesn't want peaceful transition of power. Legally, it doesn't matter. Spandan Chakrabarti
Fauci goes off on Rand Paul Spandan Chakrabarti
Mollie Hemingway Isn't Actually Interested in Election Integrity
How Trump's Big Lie Could Hurt Republicans in the 2022 Midterms
How to Raise an Authoritarian
Can Someone Who Has Been Criminally Indicted - or Convicted - Run for President?
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After Biden conference, will allies be left wondering if U.S. will waffle on Ukraine?
Biden disappointed but not deterred after Senate fails to pass voting rights reform
Push Putin into accepting a diplomatic outcome in Ukraine, says security expert
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Microsoft wants to help protect companies from hack attacks, and it's introducing a new Windows 10 feature soon to improve the operating system's security capabilities.
Windows Defender Advanced Threat Protection is aimed at helping businesses deal with serious threats by using machine learning to protect Windows 10 devices. The feature builds a profile of how a computer behaves, and then alerts IT managers if it starts acting in a way that's indicative of a security breach. If the system detects an attack, it will provide administrators with recommended steps to remediate it.
That's supposed to help IT managers sleep a bit better at night when facing threats powered by undisclosed "zero-day" vulnerabilities, along with social engineering attacks that take advantage of users making mistakes.
Terry Myerson, the head of Microsoft's Windows and Devices Group, said in an interview that the company has found it takes 200 days for an organization to realize that it has suffered a security breach, plus an extra 80 days to get it under control. Windows Defender ATP is designed to cut down on that timeline drastically by letting IT managers know when a machine is acting up right away, so they can better contain any potential damage.
It's all powered by the same machine learning systems, security analytics and other capabilities that underpin Microsoft's other intelligent security products like Advanced Threat Analytics and Office 365 Advanced Threat Protection.
Using Windows Defender ATP does require giving Microsoft access to usage data from all of the devices enrolled. Myerson said that all of the information will be acquired in a way that's not personally identifiable, or organizationally identifiable, but that it's important the machine learning system behind ATP has access to as much data as possible.
"And so, we want to have that machine learning system getting as many of the right signals as possible," he said.
It's still early days for the feature. Myerson said that the company hasn't decided which versions of Windows 10 will be usable with Windows Defender ATP, or what sort of business model will underpin it. Right now, it's in a private preview with a set number of organizations, securing about 500,000 devices. In the future, the company will make it more broadly available to members of the Windows Insider Program, so they can kick the tires and provide feedback.
After those rounds of customer inputs, Windows Defender ATP will be made available to the public -- though it's not clear precisely when that is. Microsoft is announcing it now as part of its push to be more transparent with Windows 10's features, even if that means it's being revealed at a time when the company doesn't have all of the details figured out.


So needless to say because of their behavior towards me i did not let them search my house. i told them my neighbor has cameras and see my son walk home by himself.
I step outside and all 8 hover around my son and i . Insinuated i was the worst person in the world and they were sure i was harboring a little boy in my home.
I am having a full on panic attack.
Now my mom and i are nothing but 5'2. I have no idea what is going on or why they are here.
So 8 police officers come to my house for a missing boy who was last seen with my son.
I am a single parent who works hard . i own my own car.I do live in a fifth wheel on my mom's property.I am the parent who chooses my son over drugs and drinking any day.I have worked hard for what i have.
What would be your first impression of me?
Is my marriage valid after my boyfriend divorced his wife?
If it is valid, are we supposed to do anything or contact anybody regarding this?
Is my marriage to him valid now?


With an impressive display of modern solutions for living spaces and kitchens in particular at the international exhibition 2017 VietBuild in Ho Chi Minh City on June 23-27, Häfele not only welcomed thousands of visitors, but won a "best booth design" at the prestigious event.
Häfele's exhibited products, including fridges, hobs, ovens, and washing machines, wowed visitors thanks to classy designs and smart features bringing optimal convenience to users in daily tasks, such as cooking, washing, and storing. Many too showed an interest in Häfele's hi-tech electronic locks promising to make the protection of their home a much more efficient job.
Aside from top-notch home appliances, Häfele presented five kitchens developed with Germany's cutting-edge fitting technologies to offer consumers the best functionality despite minimalist designs. In fact, the kitchens attracted hundreds of people to bid for ownership at auction.
The giveaway of 10 smart locks to the first 10 Airbnb hosts to visit Häfele's booth also drew a great deal of attention. As solutions for Airbnb hosts and homeowners to control guests' access to their home, the locks will be exclusively distributed by Häfele in Vietnam under a strategic partnership with Singaporean-owned startup igloohome.
One of the largest events in Vietnam's construction and architecture sectors, VietBuild is not only a place for Häfele to introduce modern home solutions, but an opportunity to connect with local consumers better, and thus being able to invent more and more Vietnamese-tailored solutions.
Häfele would like to send our deep gratitude to those who visited Häfele's booth the 2017 VietBuild HCMC. And, please look forward to more innovative solutions from Häfele at the next events!


Nissan and Infiniti door detent mechanisms (a.k.a. door check straps) are poorly designed. The doors like to close on your legs when you're trying to get in and out of the car. A new part is $80.00 and must be purchased from the dealer. I have devised a modification or fix for the problem.
The detent mechanism shown is for a 2005 Infiniti G35 2 door coupe. The same part is used on Nissan Maxima and many other Nissan and Infiniti models. To remove the detent mechanism you have to remove the door panel. Then remove the speaker (3 Phillips 10mm hex head screws). With the door fully opened remove the 3, 10mm hex head bolts in the door jam that mounts the detent mechanism. Reach in through the speaker hole and pull out the detent mechanism.
Once the detent mechanism is removed mark the top position of the cover and the housing (Pic1 and Pic2). You will want to reassemble in reverse order. Pry open the 4 locking tabs so you can remove the cover. Inside you will see 2 pieces of nylon and 2 rubber pieces compressing the nylon inserts into the detent bar (Pic3). Make a small shim from a piece of sheet metal 1.5 mm thick (Pic4). Pry out the top piece of rubber and cut and grind the shim until it fits evenly in the housing. For easier installation, taper the back of the shim almost to a knife's edge. Put the rubber piece back into the housing and lubricate the shim with some soap or wax. Press the shim in between the housing and rubber. It will not go in easily, you will need to use vise grips or channel lock pliers. Once installed, the shim should fit flush (Pic5).
I decided to modify the detent bar because the radiuses were too rounded from wear. I used a 1/8 inch carbide cutter to square off the radius. This makes it more difficult for the nylon pieces to slide over the detent bar. Pic Stock Radius and note the difference after modification (Pic6).
Reassemble the cover. I bolted the cover together with 2, 10 mm head bolts and washers to align and hold the cover to the body. Then I bent the locking tabs back over the housing and tapped them tight with a small hammer.
Reinstall the detent mechanism through the speaker hole in reverse order.
You will notice a big difference in its operation. Let me know how this modification works out for you. I'm checking into making my own nylon inserts for the detent mechanism and I will make them over size so shims will be unnecessary.


Thats the $64,000 question is a cliche due to the same dollar amount being used in most cases of when this phrase is spoken. What this idiom means is that it is a question that is the most important and most difficult question to answer concerning a particular problem or situation. It is usually spoken to the person who seems to pinpoint the most difficult question to answer in whatever situation or problem it is pertaining to.


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Sports March 1, 2014
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AP: Tiger Woods to get new sponsor for PGA event – Boston Herald
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Fundraiser with Chris Christie, Mitt Romney, Charlie Baker hits snag, changes … – Boston.com
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A Pinpointer is a metal detecting tool used for locating your targets when digging, also called a probe.
The purpose of this device is to save your recovery time. Think of it as a tiny metal detector that you could insert in the hole you're digging to find your target without digging a crater.
If you have a hard time pinpointing with your metal detector, consider buying one of these probes.


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Home Nigeria Lagos CP Counters Shogunle, Says Having Public Sex is Indecent, Illegal
Lagos CP Counters Shogunle, Says Having Public Sex is Indecent, Illegal
Imohimi Edgal,
Chiemelie Ezeobi
Days after the Head of Police Public Complaint Rapid Response Unit (PCRRU), ACP Abayomi Shogunle, advised consenting members of the public to engage in public sex in their cars, the Lagos State Command, Wednesday countered his submission.
The state Commissioner of Police, Imohimi Edgal, in a statement said such act of public indecency is not allowed in the state.
The statement made available to THISDAY by the state police spokesperson, CSP Chike Oti, stipulated that the law holds that such offender is liable on conviction to two years imprisonment.
He said: "The attention of the state Commissioner of Police, Edgal, has been drawn to an online publication credited to @POLICENG_PCRRU to the effect that 'Sex in a car in a public place is not a crime in Nigeria provided; location is not a place of worship; parties are 18 years plus, the act is consensual (agreed to by parties) and parties are of opposite sex.
"If threatened with arrest over above, please contact @POLICENG_PCRRU'.
"Sequel to the development, the CP Lagos has been advised by the Director of Public Prosecution of the state Ministry of Justice and the Legal Department of the state Police Command, Panti, Yaba, with relevant sections of the law as follows: Section 134 (a) Criminal Law of Lagos State 2015 prohibits any indecent act in any public place without lawful excuse. The law holds that such person is liable on conviction to two years imprisonment.
"Section 136 of the Criminal Law of Lagos State 2015, provides that any person who commits any act of gross indecency with another person in public commits an offence and liable on conviction to three years imprisonment.
"It must be noted that section 134 which deals with offences against morality, particularly section 134 (a), has it that indecent act in a public place makes both parties engaging in the act liable to imprisonment for two years.
"In the same vein, section 231 of the Criminal Code Act which is a federal law and applicable in states other than the northern states where Penal Code is applicable, also make indecent acts punishable.
"Going forward, the authorities of the Lagos State Police Command hereby declares that the assertion that sex in a car in a public place is not a crime in Nigeria is misplaced as the provisions of the Criminal Law of Lagos State prohibits such acts in public, even if it is done with consent of the other party.
"To this end, Edgal wants Lagosians to be guided by relevant sections of the law against such acts."
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CUNCAICHA
LOMAS-1
QUEBRADA JAGUAY
PACHAMACHAY
PANAULAUCA
CARBUN RUAN
LAB WORK
PALEOENVIRONMENT
4480 meters above sea level, 15º South
Cuncaicha is the highest known Pleistocene settlement in the Andes. We discovered this site in 2007 and excavated here from 2010-2015. With well-dated deposits spanning from 12,500 years ago to present day, the site is important for understanding how humans came to settle and adapt to life at high elevation.
Early inhabitants used Fishtail and stemmed projectile points made of local Alca obsidian to hunt wild camelids vicuña and guanaco, Andean deer, and rabbit-like vizcachas. They worked hides with stone scrapers, fashioned beads out of bird bone, and collected quartz crystals, chert, and plants from the plateau and occasionally from lower elevations.
Men, women, and children lived here episodically for millennia in the Pucuncho Basin. Beginning in the Early Holocene, about 9000 years ago, some of these people were buried in Cuncaicha rockshelter. Insights about early Andean diet, mobility, and adaptations - and how these patterns changed over time - are coming from physical anthropology, stable isotope, and paleogenetic studies of these skeletons.
30 meters above sea level, 15º South
Quebrada Jaguay 280, located 150 km south of Cuncaicha on the southern coast of Peru, is one of the earliest maritime sites in the Americas. The site was discovered in 1970 and excavated in the 1990s. From 13,000 to 8000 years ago, some of the earliest Americans lived on the rich bounty of the Pacific Ocean. Remains of Terminal Pleistocene structures and combustion features are preserved. Non-local petrified wood, prickly pear cactus fruit seeds, and Alca obsidian show that this coastal site was linked with others in the intermediate and high Andes, including Cuncaicha rockshelter.
Like many coastal sites, QJ-280 is under imminent threat of destruction. The site is being mined for gravel and sand and has lost nearly half of its deposits to bulldozers. Our 2017 project mapped the site with drone and ground-penetrating radar and opened new excavations for precise radiocarbon dating and studies of seasonality and site formation processes.
Panaulauca is a large limestone cave located in north-central Peru just west of Chinchaycocha (Lake Junín), the second largest highland lake in Peru. The site was discovered and tested in the 1970s by Ramiro Matos and Peter Kaulicke, and excavated in the 1980s by John Rick, Katherine Moore, and others. It contains a ~4-m sequence of deposits, including stone tools and debris and the richest faunal assemblage of any hunter-gatherer site in the high Andes. The site is interpreted as a residential base camp periodically occupied by hunter-gatherers beginning in the Early Holocene, between 11,300 and 10,500 years ago.
As a clear residential function is suggested by the site's artifacts and food remains, we are studying Panaulauca to understand similarities and differences with other early residential sites in the high Andes, such as nearby Pachamachay and Cuncaicha rockshelter in southern Peru. Our team re-excavated Panaulauca in 2019 to improve the chronology and study formation processes, ahead of planned re-analysis of the site's legacy collections.
Carbun-Ruan is a large rockshelter located at the edge of the Andean plateau in southern Peru. It occupies an intermediate location between Cuncaicha and Quebrada Jaguay and Pampa Colorada. Preliminary radiocarbon dates suggest this rockshelter is at least 10,000 to 7000 years old. Carbun-Ruan contains stone tools made from both high-elevation and lower-elevation raw materials. Study of these artifacts may shed light on coast-highland connections in the Early Holocene.
Pachamachay is another classic limestone cave located in the Puna of Junín. The site was first identified and excavated by Ramiro Matos in 1969. Subsequent excavations by Peter Kaulicke and John Rick in the 1970s revealed a 2.5-m deep sequence securely dated to at least the Early Holocene, 11,000-9400 years ago. Like nearby Panaulauca, the site is interpreted as a residential base camp periodically occupied by hunter-gatherers beginning in the Early Holocene.
Our team re-excavated Pachamachay in 2019 to improve the chronology and study formation processes, ahead of planned re-analysis of the site's legacy collections.
PAMPA COLORADA
300 meters above sea level, 15º South
Pampa Colorada is a colorful coastal plain west of Quebrada Jaguay. The area is rich with shell middens, stone tools, and burials, initially discovered in the 1960s. Investigations in the 2000s showed that many of these sites date from 11,000 to 8000 years ago. Petrified wood and Alca obsidian at sites indicate a long-lasting connection between this area and the high Andes.
In 2017 we rescue-excavated surface burials being exposed by wind erosion. Our team is now conducting provenance analysis of stone tools and studying human skeletons to examine local adaptations and inter-zonal connections with the highlands.
Created by Emily Milton and Kurt Rademaker 2018
© Content the property of contributors


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Michael Bassett
HELPING THE UNDERCLASS AND OURSELVES AT THE SAME TIME
Two bits of socio-economic news this last week collided. The first was that as many as 20% of Maori youth are unemployed, most of them on benefits. The second was the serious shortage of workers that is putting stress on horticulture and business owners for whom temporary workers from overseas have been doing the necessary work in recent years.
Limiting the number of imported workers is hindering our economic recovery from the pandemic. The government meantime seems content to keep the immigration doors nearly closed, believing that employers will be forced to lift wages for low-skilled jobs. Ministers naively hope that that will attract the unemployed to work. However, the government is bumping up benefits big time, meaning that many in the private sector can't out-pay the state. Firms will probably go under. It's a case of ill-considered ideology trumping common sense, yet again.
Two socio-economic problems need dealing with in this context. Horticulture and business would happily settle for a short-term fix: opening the immigration gates and going back to a migrant workforce that sustained them over recent years. But this temporary relief overlooks the fact that seasonal workers don't take trade apprenticeships to train in the shortage areas that have developed over the last few decades. Carpenters, plumbers and other tradies are in hot demand, especially with the pressures of new house construction.
And what of the unemployed themselves? We need to get to grips with the growth of inter-generational welfare that is expanding under this government, and will escalate as higher benefits make the unemployment choice even more attractive to them. Having large numbers of young people unemployed has never been a good idea. The old saying that the Devil finds work for idle hands has always applied. Unemployed young from dysfunctional families where domestic violence is steadily rising are easily enticed into gangs, drugs, and other criminal activity. They get stuck in a negative cycle that ruins their lives, while it keeps the Police and the Justice systems busy. In their turn, they corrupt and destroy their own children. With serious welfare problems now fifty years old, a cure won't be easy. But in the absence of any sensible policies emerging from Jacinda's government, there is one idea that offers some hope.
In the midst of the Great Depression of the 1930s President Franklin Roosevelt pulled together the two daily realities of unemployment and a need for urgent work on conservation into an extremely successful scheme known as the Civilian Conservation Corps. It conscripted young people into training schemes run in conjunction with the army and the Forest Service. Huge numbers of young Americans were introduced by the CCC to disciplined learning. They worked on farms, forests, soil erosion schemes, drought relief, and acquired skills that were eventually used in many other areas of their lives. Many apprenticeship schemes emerged out of the CCC experience.
Aspects of our Compulsory Military Training scheme in the 1950s were designed to imbue youth with a sense of pride, discipline and self-worth. In the early 1970s Prime Minister Norman Kirk, whom Jacinda Ardern says she admires, was captivated by the CCC idea. Involving the armed forces in training schemes as well as their mandated roles to preserve national security appealed to him, but hopes of implementation died with him. In the mid 1980s Frank Corner's Defence Enquiry revealed that large numbers of Kiwis supported some form of Defence involvement in skills training to combat anti-social behaviour, poor self-esteem, and lack of parental guidance. The Army responded with costings about what would be needed for it to undertake an expansion of its role. But nothing came of what, in my view, is a project that could get "the nephs off the couch", to use Shane Jones' phrase. Charter schools, introduced under the last government, proved their worth and ought to be expanded, but they should be linked up with some form of post-school training opportunities that could pull many of the young and rudderless into a form of constructive, socially positive behaviour.
It's a challenge, and it won't be cheap, but it could produce a significant rise in the number of the tradies, forestry and seasonal workers we need, while reducing the compounding effects of multi-generational welfare which destroys young lives. To date, none of the policies of this government appears to have any chance of solving the needs of business, let alone getting nephs off the couch, improving their life chances, or building their self-respect.


Last week in front of the MBTA Fiscal Control and Management Board, State Representative Adrian Madaro testified at a hearing on the MBTA's late night service that fell victim to budget cuts, but is essential to many hard working East Boston commuters that rely on late night service to get to and from downtown.
Madaro said without a late night public transportation option, his constituents must spend nearly 20 percent of their pretax income just to get home from work.
Thousands of Boston residents are employed in professions that require them to work during nontraditional hours, including over 19.3 percent who work in healthcare and social services, and 9.5 percent who service the hospitality industry.
Madaro said In an effort to develop a firsthand understanding of the financial impact that this quandary places on families and minimum wage workers, he tested all options available to his constituents during the last few days of the T's late night service.
As staggering as these numbers are, what impacted Madaro the most about this experience was his trip home via the T.
Madaro concluded that eliminating late-night MBTA service is a regressive measure that will disproportionately impact members of his community that need help the most.
"As you review the merits of late night T service I hope you take a moment to consider how your life would change if you had to spend so much of your income just to commute home, and think how many lives could be improved with effective and affordable late night public transportation options," he said.


As you gaze off into your holiday Christmas lights, dreaming about what it would be like to stand so beautiful and sparkle with such elegance and beauty we have this stunning all that glitters jumpsuit just for you.
Fit Session: This Runs true to size! Thank goodness for that 5% spandex as this jumpsuit fit me nicely!! I would add a cropped cardigan to complete this look!! This is the jumpsuit brand that is Sara's Favorite from this Summer.


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El Primetime Emmy a la millor actriu en minisèrie o telefilm (en anglès Primetime Emmy Award for Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Miniseries or a Movie) és el Premi Emmy que s'atorga anualment a la millor actuació femenina en una minisèrie televisió o telefilm.

Guanyadores i nominades
El guanyador de cada any es mostra sobre fons groc:

Dècada del 1970
 1975: Juliet Mills- QB VII as Samantha Cady
 1976: Fionnula Flanagan- Rich Man, Poor Man as Clothilde
 1977: Olivia Cole - Roots as Mathilda
 1978: Blanche Baker - Holocaust as Anna Weiss
 1979: Esther Rolle – Summer of My German Soldier as Ruth

Dècada del 1980

Dècada del 1990

Dècada del 2000

Dècada del 2010

Enllaços externs
 Pàgina web dels Premis Emmy

Actriu Principal En Miniserie O Telefilm

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaWikipedia


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Geografia
 Rumigny (Ardenes), municipi de França
 Rumigny, nom francès del municipi de Bèlgica Rummen


Wood gasification boilers achieve the high efficiency by the use of when burning wood, a gas is emitted. This wood gas is superheated and mixed with air resulting in complete combustion , and can achieve temperatures within the chamber of 1200 deg C. The heat is then transferred to the boiler via the heat exchangers built within the boiler. An additional benefit of the gasification process is that the complete combustion leaves little or no ash. The dual chambers are designed that when they burn a load of wood in one continuous burn the heat is then transferred to the large buffer tank where it is stored until the heat is needed within the building. In these systems, the gases flow down through the fire into a secondary chamber where firebrick (or a ceramic material) creates the superheated environment necessary to complete the efficient combustion process. Keeping this secondary chamber at high temperatures is key to the performance of the overall system, hence the need for one continuous burn so that this chamber does not cool and lower the boiler efficiency. Manufacturers recommend using a minimum of 55L of buffer storage per Kw of boiler for to achieve best efficiencies (i.e. 25Kw boiler:- 25Kw 55L = 1375 L).
Solarbayer is located in the county Eichstätt in the region of Ingolstadt in Bavaria, Germany. More than 12000 m² of storage space are providing a fast availability products. There own construction and product development office and modern product engineering are a guarantee for highest european quality.
The Angus Orligno 200 range of boilers are suited to heating various types of premises and are commonly used in detached houses, drying rooms, production halls and workshops. This boiler can combust wood of various granulation, from sawdust to blocks. Shavings and other small pieces should be burnt together with blocks.
Installed with a 2500L accumulator tank to heat a 3200 sq/ft farm house outside Donemana, Co. Tyrone.
Installed with 2 No. 1500L accumulator tanks heating a modern 6000sq/ft house in Strabane, Co. Tyrone.
Installed with a 3000L Akvatherm accumulator tank to heat a 2800sq/ft house outside Ballymoney, Co. Antrim.
Installed with a 5000L Akvatherm Accumulator tank. This boiler was installed as a commercial heating system which heats two premises and was installed with metering to claim the commercial Rewnewable Heat Incentive payments.
Installed with 2 No. 1500L Accummulator tanks, heating a 4600sq/ft house located outside Lifford, Co. Donegal.


My tolerance for the present administration in Washington, D.C., has come to an end.
The major players in this administration, after more than enough time in office, have shown themselves to be two-faced, triple-talking, bigoted, smear-happy, opportunistic, money-grubbing, throwers of red herrings; and, masters and mistresses of chaos and confusion.
Words matter. Actions matter. Words and actions reflect the character of a person. The words and actions of the major players of this administration become more transparent, self-revealing, disturbing and profoundly embarrassing. Undignified. Rude. Petty. Insulting international leaders, long-standing allies, while insulting then complimenting and admiring other leaders of less than applaudable character who torture or murder their own citizens and systematically squelch and incarcerate any whisper of dissent against their own government.
This is some kind of surreal madness. A world turned topsy-turvy. Up is down. Truth isn't truth. What was stated one day is mocked and denied the next day.
Does this administration believe that enough folks will forget a couple of years from now and be duped again? Do the folks who voted this administration into office continue to believe that these elected officials are making decisions based on their best interest or their own?
How long can the duplicitousness of this administration continue? How many more lies? How many more insults, slurs and misogynistic, racist, bigoted barbs to be shot out and then denied and/or spun away?
I, for one, have had more than enough. Have you, dear Reader, had enough of this, too? If you answered "Yes.", my next questions to you are: What are you doing today? What are you going to do the next opportunity you have to stand up and speak out for what you believe?
Finally, I have never liked bullies. I am decidedly uncomfortable with inflated, self-centered personalities. Those three attributes in one person who is the President of the United States is chagrining, disheartening and, ironically, motivating.
It is my goal that Donald J. Trump be a one-term President.
This is the last in a series of three (3) "Open Letters".
This entry was posted in New and tagged actions, bigots, bullies, bullying, chaos, citizen, confusion, Donald J. Trump, dream, free speech, inspire, Jessan Dunn Otis, John Quincy Adams, leader, leadership, learn, President, red herrings, Rhode Island, slurs, strategic of distraction, strategic writer, Tweets, Twitter, United States of America, WashingtonDC, words matter, writer on August 23, 2018 by Jessan Dunn Otis | Writer.
Hi Jessan. I don't "do" facebook, twitter, or whatever "W" therefore I will respond by ordinary e-mail. Contrary to popular opinion, 1984 did in fact materialize; it was just 34 years late.
Impeachment is not the answer because I do not trust the guy waiting in the wings anymore than I trust Trump. The best option seems to be waiting for 2020 and then opposing re-election with everything we've got. I trust that by then the Trumpster will have so thoroughly burned his bridges and trashed the Republican party that even some of his loyal fan base may begin to desert and that the Democrats and unaffiliated voters will unite. Only fly in the ointment is that the Democrats have a mere 27 months to come up with a viable and credible roster of candidates.
Ordinary e-mail works just fine to reply; and, thank you. On all points you make I wholeheartedly agree.
With or without additional tampering, I still believe that every vote counts; and, that my vote is my voice. As much as any electronic system can be protected, it's incumbent upon those responsible for that to go above and beyond to assure and guarantee that that is secure. In addition, please stop mucking around with gerrymandering and get rid of the electoral college.
There are many folks who are paying close attention to the present administration. I agree with some of those folks and I disagree with other of those folks. We can agree to disagree and still maintain a civil discourse. "Civil discourse" is essential. This administration, however, continues to go way beyond that and worse.
Again, Susie, thank you for sharing your thoughts and perspective.


Forces the horse to lift his whole front end so they will shift their weight onto the back end usually used on heavier horses. Special cheek straps are needed. It can be used with 1 single pair of reins. 22mm stainless steel hollow mouthpiece and 78mm rings.
Forces the horse to lift his whole front end so they will shift their weight onto the back end usually used on heavier horses.
Special cheek straps are needed.
It can be used with 1 single pair of reins.
22mm stainless steel hollow mouthpiece and 78mm rings.


text:
WHAT IF COVID-19 ENTERED THE ...
THEY REALLY READ IT FOR ...
WHAT IF COVID-19 ENTERED THE CARLISLE BARRACKS?: A SIMULATION OF INSTALLATION CONTAGION
By Nicholas Blasco June 24, 2020
What if Carlisle Barracks went back to a "business as usual" model and faculty, staff, or students happened to be infected with COVID-19?
Throughout the United States, governments are trying to devise strategies to return to normalcy following the shutdowns caused by COVID-19. Carlisle Barracks is no different and has been having consistent virtual town hall meetings to discuss updates and ways to move forward. However, what if Carlisle Barracks went back to a "business as usual" model and faculty, staff, or students happened to be infected with COVID-19? How long would it take the virus to spread throughout the installation? How many people would ultimately become infected and even die? In this article, I use epidemiological modeling to answer these questions.
The frequency data from Johns Hopkins of new COVID-19 infections in Pennsylvania indicate that the leadership on Carlisle Barracks implemented mitigation strategies at the best time possible. If Carlisle Barracks opens too early and the virus is introduced into the population, we could see widespread infection and 33-55 deaths. Thus, the results of this simulation suggest that continued mitigation strategies are still required even after faculty, staff, and students resume in-person work. However, it should be noted that these results do not consider age and gender of the population. Due to the increased risk to the War College faculty, the estimates generated in this study are conservatively low.
COVID-19 Research at the USAWC Center for Strategic Leadership (CSL)
In February, before I started analyzing COVID-19 data, Professor of Strategic Futures Kris Wheaton was working on projections about COVID-19's impact on the United States. Based on airline flight patterns and transmission rates of the virus, Wheaton predicted New York would be one of the cities hardest hit even though there was not a single positive case reported in NYC to date. Professor Wheaton promptly informed the Homeland Defense and Security Issues Group, doctrine representatives in the Center for Strategic Leadership (CSL), and the Strategic Landpower and Futures Group Director, COL Greg Smith.
A simultaneous effort was underway by Ben Leitzel, Professor of Cyber. Leitzel took the available data on at-risk populations and closely tracked infection frequencies to calculate the fatality rates within assisted living homes. As many faculty at the Army War College fall under the at-risk age group, Professor Leitzel knew the proportion of at-risk individuals on Carlisle Barracks could be greater than the general population. Professor Leitzel began to work with CSL leadership on preparing for possible changes at the War College.
A COVID-19 Simulation at Carlisle Barracks
One of the best ways to determine the effectiveness of mitigation strategies, such as social distancing, is using calculus and linear algebra to calculate the result of a specific epidemiological model called a SIR (Susceptible, Infected and Recovered) model. These methods are commonly used to model communicable diseases. I used this modeling technique to determine how the virus would impact the Carlisle Barracks population if carriers of the virus worked and interacted with those on post.
I used parameters that have been gathered around the world to simulate an epidemic of COVID-19 at the United States Army War College. The total population of the installation, including employees and residents, is 1615. I set the number of exposures to 10 per day; however, this may underestimate the true number of exposures due to choke points like doorways—where nearly everyone will touch such a surface. The probability of contracting COVID-19 is not 100%. Many people have been exposed to people who are infected with COVID-19 and not become infected themselves. Because probability of infection is low, I set the probability parameter to 0.05. Lastly, I set the recovery rate at 0.05 which gives the model a mean recovery rate of 20 days with a median recovery rate of 14 days. Most people recover within two weeks, but some, like older or other at-risk populations, may take longer to recover. The simulation does not take age or gender into account. These parameters are substantiated by the R0 values generated by the model and the similar R0 values reported by Johns Hopkins University researchers.
In Figure 1. the number of infections indicated by the red line spike dramatically within the first two weeks and reaches the peak number of infections about three weeks into the epidemic. This exponential growth pattern is common all over the world. The corresponding number of susceptible individuals (the yellow line) goes down because they have now joined the infected group. The green line represents individuals who recovered from the virus.
Figure 1. SIR Model of Infections at Carlisle Barracks
Figure 2. represents the same baseline simulation but the Susceptible population and Recovered population have been removed. This allows for easier visualization of infections, hospitalizations, and fatalities. Notice at the peak of the epidemic, there are nearly 500 people infected and exhibiting symptoms and over 300 people infected but asymptomatic. Self-isolated means a presumed-positive case, with no positive test. However, it should be understood that the solid red line represents a mean estimation of all infections.
Figure 2. Infections Per Day at Carlisle Barracks
These numbers look frightening, but they do not take into consideration the telework order many students, faculty and staff received about a month prior to writing this simulation. Continuing a telework strategy would almost guarantee the prevention of an epidemic breaking out on Carlisle Barracks; however, in-person work will eventually have to resume.
Figure 3. represents the number of infections based on various mitigation strategies and adherence to social distancing protocols. For clarification, social distancing means staying two arms lengths (six feet) away from people, limiting group interaction, and avoiding crowded places. This change seen in Figure 3. is reflected by reducing the number of exposures per day from 10 to 5 to 2. The graph in the upper left shows a 'business-as-usual' approach if everyone stayed on post and with no change in behavior. Even with strict social distancing, the model suggests an infection of 61% of the Carlisle Barracks population. This high infection rate signifies that social distancing alone is not enough.
One way to decrease the probability of infection is by following the Department of Defense's Health Protection Condition (HPCON) guidelines. Some of these guidelines include hand washing and wiping down commonly-used surfaces. Implementing these HPCON strategies would have a substantial impact on the percentage of infected individuals, but its only slightly better than the social distancing strategy when used alone.
Figure 3. New Cases of COVID-19 with Mitigation Strategies
Coming Back to Work with a Contagious Host
It is understandable to want return to normal working conditions. Despite this desire, there is always the possibility for Carlisle Barracks to come back from teleworking and for one or two or three individuals to unknowingly spread the virus. Asymptomatic carriers are common, and the incubation period can be up to two weeks, so the virus can spread before anyone knows there is a problem. To model this, we look at what would happen if symptoms did not appear for a week and if mitigation strategies were ordered on the first day of returning to in-person work, and assuming everyone came back to work at once.
Figure 4. shows a scenario in which the faculty return to work, and leaders order those with symptoms to self-isolate and telework (if they are healthy enough). Notice that the number of infections has declined, but a large number of asymptomatic people infecting others remain, ultimately causing several hospitalizations and a number of deaths.
Figure 4. Self-Isolation as Symptoms Arise
Figure 5. shows a better visualization of those extreme cases that involve hospitalization or death. While there is a substantial decrease in deaths and hospitalizations, we can expect to see around 8 or 9 hospitalizations each day from Day 30 to Day 40, and 13-14 deaths by the time the virus finally burns out.
Figure 5. Comparison Between "Business as Usual" and Increased Isolation after One Week
Figure 6. represents three experiments that can be compared to the baseline model. The first experiment (the second from the top) has already been explained in Figure 4. The third model in Figure 6. contains the introduction of social distancing starting the first day back to in-person work on post, but nothing else. This experiment is similar to the top row of graphs in Figure 3. Notice in both figures that this strategy alone does not produce desirable results even with the meaningful reduction in infections, hospitalizations, and death. The last experiment in Figure 6. depicts the strict social distancing and quarantine from Day 1.
Figure 6. Comparison Between "Business as Usual" and other Mitigation Strategies
It becomes clear that each strategy by itself is not acceptable. First, the business-as-usual model in Figure 3. shows a 100% infection rate before the virus burns out. This translates to approximately 55 deaths at Carlisle Barracks. Second, even while using one of the mitigation strategies, we could expect between 33 and 38 deaths on post. Using more conservative R0 values that may reflect the virus dying out across the state still produces a considerable amount of case fatalities on post. Mathematically, the optimal strategy would be to continue a work-from-home protocol. However, in the event in-person work continues, strict social distancing and adherence to HPCON guidelines will prevent new infections and death.
All data and subsequent figures were produced using the R programming software. For those interested in the code, please feel free to contact the author nicholas.j.blasco.civ@mail.mil
Nicholas Blasco is a Postdoctoral Fellow in the Homeland Defense and Security Issues Group at the United States Army War College. The views expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of the U.S. Army War College, the U.S. Army, or the Department of Defense.
Photo Description: The AY20 Resident Class of the U.S. Army War College stands at attention as the commencement ceremony begins on 5 June, 2020. Social distancing was observed for the entirety of the ceremony. This class completed nearly a third of their studies via remote means during the COVID-19 outbreak.
Photo Credit: U.S. Army War College
Other releases in the "COVID-19" series:
SARS-COV-2 AND THE WAR AGAINST WMD (COVID-19 SERIES)
OWING AND OWNING: LATIN AMERICA, CHINA, AND THE PANDEMIC
THE FEW, THE PROUD, THE LAST: MARINE CORPS RECRUITING AND GAMING IN A COVID-19 WORLD
CULTURAL TERRAIN IN DOMESTIC OPERATIONS
A NEW WASHINGTON NAVAL CONFERENCE FOR A POST-COVID WORLD?
LESSONS FROM 1918: GET A FLU SHOT, WASH YOUR HANDS
Carlisle Barracks
Center for Strategic Leadership
Nicholas Blasco
WAR(GAMING) WHAT IS IT GOOD FOR? A WHITEBOARD


There is melody within Rosy Reflections, although it's only upon its recurrence that it becomes possible to recognise it as such. Both tracks on Will Long's latest release utilise a thick tonal blanket caught within a dynamic cycle of rise and fall; gooey blurs of synthesiser that surge and retreat with the synchronicity and fluidity of water flow. So subtle are the chord variations – with slight pitch changes buried between and beneath the constant, unchanging drones – that it's not until the same sequence returns for the fourth of fifth time that the listener latches onto the fact that these pieces are mere fragments fed into eternal loops, rather than an unrepeating stream of sound.
Rosy Reflections is very implicative; it's not particularly suggestive of a particular place, neither announcing an allegiance to major or minor keys, or positive or negative mood. Listeners will perhaps either dismiss this as timid and indistinctive, or be allured by Long's mysterious sonic clouds, from which any number of imaginary shapes and significances may be derived. It's a simple release that makes no particular effort to seize a space all of its own – likening itself to many other artists operating within such abstract and ethereal ambient – but such observations only surface in retrospect, and make no blemish on the hypnotic powers of Rosy Reflections' gentle to and fro.


This special web survey and experimental exercise produces a powerful economic message framework for the President and Democrats in Congress. These messages significantly shift which party voters trust to address the economy and spending, which party is on your side and will bring the right kind of change, and shifts perceptions of the President on key attributes. The right framework shifts the vote for Congress and for president in favor of the Democrats. Progressives are not powerless in the face of this troubled economy.
The economy is in trouble and voters have lost trust in the Democrats and the president on handling the economy and on addressing spending and the deficits.
That leaves the President just barely ahead of Romney and Congressional Democrats just barely behind the Republicans. But this special web survey and experimental exercise produces a powerful economic message framework for the President and for Democrats. These messages significantly shift which party voters can trust to address the economy and spending, which party is on your side and will bring the right kind of change, and shifts perceptions of the President on key attributes. The right framework shifts the vote for Congress and even more important, the vote for president in favor of the Democrats. Progressives are not powerless in the face of this troubled economy.
4. The nexus of Washington and Wall Street that keeps government from acting on behalf of the middle class. The frameworks tested here incorporated that learning, which will enable them to dominate the conservatives and Republicans for the first time in this work.
Based an experimental web survey of 2000 likely 2012 voters conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner for Democracy Corps July 8-11, 2011. Unless otherwise noted, margin of error= +/- 2.2 percentage points at 95% C.I.


text:
'I couldn't breathe': Covid-19 survivor has a message to share with SA
23 December 2020 - 11:38 By TimesLIVE
Amy Louw has spoken about her battle to overcome the coronavirus during a 10-day stay in hospital.
Image: Supplied
"You can't let this virus get to you. You're young. Don't give up."
These are the words Amy Louw remembers hearing a doctor say while she lay in the Brackengate Hospital of Hope intermediate care facility with severe Covid-19 symptoms.
Louw, who works as an admin clerk at a local motoring company, has spoken about her battle to overcome the coronavirus during a 10-day stay in the field hospital.
As the Western Cape heads towards the peak of a second wave of infections, with some hospitals operating at more than 100% of capacity, she has advice to share: "Please stay home if you can. Be safe. Wear your mask."
In a statement released by the provincial health department on Wednesday, Louw said: "I was healthy before Covid-19 and I was so cautious."
She started feeling sick on November 25.
"I didn't think I had Covid-19. I was hoping it would just be flu. I was at work when I started to feel sick. I had headaches, coughed a lot and had phlegm on my chest. I could still taste and smell. It became bad the next day. My taste went away and I couldn't smell. I was sent home."
She received her positive result on November 28.
Western Cape health-care workers exhausted as Covid-19 roars again
The Western Cape has 761 active infections among health workers, with 68 in hospital and five mortalities in the past fortnight. Ninety-four health ...
In the days that followed she self-medicated at home, but had to be taken to hospital on December 2.
"When I woke up on that Wednesday morning, I was OK, but by 11am I couldn't breathe at all. My sister phoned the ambulance and they came to get me.
"I was so scared. It was really bad. I panicked. When the ambulance arrived they provided me with oxygen and I felt OK. This is the first time in my life I had to receive oxygen support."
Louw said she did not realise how many people were already sick at the time.
"I first went to Mediclinic Panorama but was later transferred to Brackengate Hospital of Hope. I was surprised to see so many other people who had Covid-19, like me. It was scary."
Mentally, the road to recovery was not easy.
"I was laying there and looked at the people around me. There were so many old people. It's very hard to fight Covid-19. All we can do is fight it and do our best to keep positive.
"At first, I remember feeling weak and I didn't want to help myself, but then I pushed myself. I'd say: 'Don't give up, you can overcome.' I remember a doctor told me: 'You can't let this virus get to you. You're young. Don't give up.'"
Heartbreak at Christmas: SA families mourn several loved ones lost to Covid-19
"It floods my mind in an agonising way. The memories are at times too much to bear."
Louw said she found comfort in prayer and speaking to family members via video calls.
"The doctors and nurses checked on me every 30 minutes. I could ask them anything and they'd do it. They helped me to recover and supported me during this scary journey," she said.
Louw spent five days on oxygen support.
Amy Louw is on the road to recovery.
"I just started praying. I prayed my way through Covid-19.
"On the sixth day, I'd recovered well enough for the oxygen to be turned off and realised I could breathe on my own again. It was such a happy moment. Before that, I would take 10 steps and I was out of breath."
After being discharged, a small effort like taking a shower left her out of breath, but her energy levels are slowly returning to normal and she will spend Christmas with family.
Getting ill has changed her perspective about socialising.
"I live with my parents and siblings. My other family members have not visited yet, but we keep in touch via video calls and messaging.
"Remember, it's not necessary to go to events. Things are really bad out there with this virus.
"Please stay home if you can. Be safe. Wear your mask and keep 1.5m from other people if you have to go out. Wear your masks, and not only around your mouth - it must cover your nose too. This virus is terrible, and we need to be safe."
MEC Ravi Pillay after Durban walkabout: flouting of Covid-19 rules 'is frightening'
The personal-care industry and liquor outlets have been slated for failing to create an environment in which to fight Covid-19, exposing customers ...
Covid-19: Help us protect our passengers, taxi operators urge government
Taxi owners have called on the government to help them protect passengers from Covid-19, as tens of thousands of people prepare for long-distance ...
Western Cape doctors make life-and-death decisions as Covid-19 cases soar
Public sector doctors have started to apply strict criteria that may mean some patients won't be admitted to ICU.


Want to see Numerology in action?
Stop by the monthly Aurapalooza in Minneapolis, MN to get a Numerology mini-reading from Wes Hamilton, Master Numerologist.
You can see how his What's My Destiny app works while he gives you a glimpse of your destiny.
Dates: Every third Saturday of the month.
He brings insight with him where ever he goes. The good news is, he figured out how to do this and he can teach you be insightful too with Numerology, Core Passion, meditation, and personal and professional Spiritual, Life Leadership coaching.