At least 15 advertisers say they are pulling their ads from Laura Ingraham's primetime show on Fox News after the host mocked the Parkland, Fla., teen shooting survivor and activist David Hogg for receiving rejection letters from multiple colleges.
The latest companies to pull their ads from the show are Office Depot, the Atlantis, Paradise Island resort in the Bahamas, Progressive insurance, Liberty Mutual and the global investment group Principal.
In a statement to the Hill, the Atlantis said it "does not support or agree with the recent comments" made by Ingraham, the conservative firebrand.
The Daily Beast reported Office Depot's withdrawal on Friday afternoon.
On Wednesday, Ingraham tweeted a link to a story describing how the 17-year-old had been rejected by four University of California campuses, UC Los Angeles, UC San Diego, UC Santa Barbara and UC Irvine, despite having 4.2 grade point average and an SAT score of 1270.
"David Hogg Rejected By Four Colleges To Which He Applied and whines about it," Ingraham wrote.
The tweet drew a swift backlash, with many criticizing Ingraham for attacking the senior at Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School over a personal academic setback less than two months after the massacre at the school.
Several companies on Hogg's list — including Nestlé, Hulu, Wayfair, Nutrish, Johnson & Johnson, Expedia, Jenny Craig and TripAdvisor — have done just that.
But that wasn't sufficient for Hogg.
Hogg and many of his fellow Parkland students have become the leaders of the latest effort to reform U.S. gun laws, organizing this month's massive March for Our Lives rally. They have also become the targets of the National Rifle Association as well as conservative provocateurs like Ingraham, and far-right conspiracy theorists. Hogg and fellow senior Emma González, in particular, have drawn most of the attacks.
Earlier this month, Leslie Gibson, a Republican candidate for Maine's House of Representatives, called Gonzalez a "skinhead lesbian" and Hogg a "bald-face [sic] liar." Gibson later apologized.
On Sunday, a message posted on Iowa GOP Rep. Steve King's Facebook page suggested that González is a communist because she was wearing a patch of the flag of Cuba on her jacket. González is Cuban-American.
On Friday, the Washington Times published an op-ed by Cheryl Chumley who said Hogg "would've made a pretty decent brownshirt" — a reference to uniforms worn by members of the Nazi militia under Adolph Hitler before World War II.
Hogg, for his part, is apparently unfazed.


Ruby River One and Done Ranch is a modern architectural masterpiece set on the banks of the fabled Ruby River, often described as one of the best fly fishing rivers in the lower 48 states. Nestled on nearly 400 acres outside of Laurin, Montana is the 10,000+/- sq. ft. home created by Seattle architect, George Suyama with interior design by Christian Grevstad. A spacious infinity deck hangs over trout filled ponds from which spectacular western vistas of sunsets and rolling thunder storms create a perfect kaleidoscope of nature. The home combines the spaciousness of a classic Montana river valley with the stripped simplicity of a linear and minimalist approach to architecture to create a perfect ambiance of place.
I am interested in 52 Ruby Springs Ln, Alder, MT 59710 (Listing ID # 21809304).
© 2018 Montana Regional MLS. Information is provided exclusively for consumers personal, non-commercial use and may not be used for any purpose other than to identify prospective properties consumers may be interested in purchasing. Information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed and should be independently verified. Data updated 4/26/2019 11:01 AM CST.


Named after Dante Alighieri's The Divine Comedy, a homely, rustic taverna fittingly lies on Via dei Cimatori, only a few meters away from Dante's house.
The restaurant offers traditional dishes based on medieval recipes. Some are adapted and revisited for the modern age in a way that one maintains the omnipresent feeling of Florentine history and tradition – so much so that Dante himself could walk in and dine next to you. Others are as they were centuries ago.
Traditional medieval-style dishes include homemade ribbon pasta with wild boar and mushroom sauce, roast shin of pork with new potatoes and seasonal vegetables, risotto inspired by medieval Tuscan flavors, and tasting plates of assorted cheeses accompanied with fresh fruit and jams, including the taverna's specialty hot red pepper jam.
Also serving as a wine bar and pizzeria, the restaurant offers an eclectic selection of wines from its cellar, an outdoor summer terrace, and is fittingly decorated in a medieval style with armour and banners.


Shame on the Gaylord/ Otsego County Chamber of Commerce for their actions in regard to Hot Rod Dog's.
As a member of the chamber of commerce, I was given the impression that the mission of this organization was to promote all member businesses, not merely a select few who meet whatever standard for "upscale" is being used.
I don't know the LaFaves beyond the small talk over the counter when I stop in for lunch (great coneys, by the way), but they appear to be hardworking, conscientious people who take an interest in their community.
Aren't they exactly the type of people the chamber should be promoting?


He left us on Sunday 18 November 2018, in the wake of the First World War commemorations, which in recent years had taken a lot of his attention as a passionate researcher.
Born on 28 July 1940 in Liège, Jacques Wynants spent most of his professional life as a secondary school teacher.
After his training he took up studies in History and obtained a Master's Degree in History in 1982 from Université catholique de Louvain (UCL) with a thesis about the city of Verviers and the liberation at the end of the Ardennes battle.
He was a professor for some twenty years at the Institut Sainte-Claire in Verviers, and became head of the Saint-François-Xavier institute in 1984 until his retirement.
The history of the Second World War was a life-long passion of Jacques. This particular interest may originate in his personal recollection and experience as a child during this time.
This conflict was not his only focus of interest however. Other subjects close to his heart were the civil population during the First World War, social history from the 18th to the 20th century, the industrial revolution in his hometown of Verviers, cultural heritage, the history of the "East Cantons" and the "Ten Municipalities", German immigration in his home region (mainly 19th century), etc.
Jacques was not only a passionate but also a very committed man. He was a man of confidence and of action, just like his father, and did not hesitate to take up responsibility which he assumed to the end.
The list of associations that called upon him as secretary, president or administrator is long… very long indeed. He acted as president of the Verviers Society for Archaeology and History, the Church Council of the listed church of Saint-Remacle, a landmark of the "golden age of the clothiers city" (19th century). He was also secretary of the Administrative Commission for the Museums of Verviers, a member of the Scientific Committee of the tourism office for wool and fashion, and correspondent and later associated researcher of CegeSoma, and president of the non-profit support organisation of CegeSoma "Les Amis du CegeSoma" until early 2018.
The path of Jacques crossed the CREHSGM* – the predecessor of CegeSoma – at the early moments of the institution, in the years 1967-1968. As a close friend to José Gotovitch, he became correspondent for the Centre in 1969 and as such helped to bring numerous archives, journals and testimonies, which he gathered over the course of the years in the Verviers region, to our Centre.
Throughout these years, he also gave us the opportunity to get to know his warm, sympathetic and optimistic character. He always had a positive word for everybody, an open ear and constructive input for projects of all sorts.
After being a member of "Les Amis du CegeSoma", he became its administrator in 2004 and its president in 2007. He was obviously highly appreciated in this office.
Unfortunately, the time of his departure came, which has left colleagues and friends saddened and distraught.
Thank you, Jacques, for all these years of commitment and passion. Thank you also for your involvement in CegeSoma and its support organisation.


Prayerfully read Genesis 18 at least two times and then read the following notes.
After a stunning introduction, the book of Genesis divides into two unequal halves of five sections each. The first half of the book (2:4–11:26) deals with the history of humanity as a whole, from its creation to the birth of Abram. The second half of the book (11:27–50:26) focuses on the history of the patriarchs. In this first part of the seventh installment of the story of Abraham, the promise of a son for Abraham and Sarah is confirmed even as the judgment of Sodom and Gomorrah draws near.
(18:1–19:38) It is important to note that chapters 18–19, though we will be taking two weeks to cover them, form a single continuous section in the story of the life of Abraham. These two chapters provide clearly parallel panels that we are intended to compare and contrast to one another. In these two panels, both Abraham and Lot meet unexpected visitors, they both feed their guests a meal, they both plead for cities to be spared, they both have their future offspring described, and that is only the beginning of the parallels!
(18:1) In the first part of this verse, the narrator gives a "heads up" to the reader that the Lord will reveal himself to Abraham in the story that follows, something that Abraham himself becomes aware of only gradually. Abraham's initial ignorance of the identity of his visitors is crucial to the flow of the narrative and is confirmed by the interpretation of the writer to the Hebrews (13:2).
(18:2a) Abraham's visitors are described as men because that is how they appeared to Abraham. Yet it is vital that we distinguish between the Old Testament appearance of God (and his angels) in human form and the incarnation of the eternal Son of God who, at a particular point in time, took on human nature in the person of Jesus Christ of Nazareth. It is in the difference between these two realities that our salvation is found.
(18:2b) While Abraham's prostration certainly showed great honor to these strangers, his bowing by no means indicates that he (initially!) saw these visitors as more than human (see for example Genesis 33:3).
(18:3a) Throughout chapters 18–19, there are a mind-bending number of switches between the singular and the plural in the conversation between Abraham and his visitors. See also under 18:22.
(18:4) As extraordinary as Abraham's hospitality was, he still did not wash the feet of his guests—what Jesus did in John 13 was simply beyond belief!
(18:6) The rapid fire imperatives of the Hebrew text of this verse reflect the urgency with which Abraham pursued his task of hospitality. By even the lowest of estimates, three seahs of flour comes out to over 80 cups—roughly enough for 20 full size loaves of bread! Given that this was the heat of the day, when work of any kind wasn't ordinarily done, Abraham's haste was extraordinary.
(18:7) The actions of the father in the parable of the prodigal son bear a number of striking resemblances to the actions of Abraham in this story. In both cases, an elderly man runs (something very much out of the ordinary in Middle Eastern culture) to kill the fatted calf for an unexpected visitor. As the true identity of the children of Abraham is very much in the background of Jesus's parable, these allusions are unlikely to be accidental.
(18:9) Apart from the narrator's comment in 18:1, this is the first hint that we are given that Abraham's visitors are no ordinary men. Not only do these men know that the name of Abraham's wife (who has not even left the tent) but they also know of the spelling/pronunciation change which took place only a few months before.
(18:10) There is once again a sudden shift from the plural of verse 9 to the singular of verse 10. As verse 13 makes it clear that the Lord is the one speaking, a number of translations supply the subject here as well.
(18:11) This comment by the narrator serves to explain why Sarah was rebuked, rather than punished for her unbelief—she had long since ceased to have her monthly cycles. See also below.
(18:12b) Rather than giving her a further rebuke for unbelief, Peter focuses in on the respectful way she refers to her husband (1 Peter 3:6). How much more gracious our Lord is to us than we our to each other or even ourselves!
(18:13) Though Sarah had laughed in her heart, the Lord responded audibly. Just as Christ was present when Thomas thought him absent (John 20), so also could the Lord see the struggle in Sarah's heart—and the secret worries that each of us face as we seek to follow in the footsteps of our Savior.
(18:14) The answer to the Lord's rhetorical question is both obvious and wonderful—nothing, nothing at all!
(18:18) Once again we see the two-fold emphasis in God's promises to Abraham. God's promises to Abraham were never about Abraham alone but also about God's plan to bless the nations through the fulfillment of promises to Abraham and his immediate descendants.
(18:19) There is a striking contrast between the Lord's prediction regarding the long-range success of Abraham's parenting and the sorry conclusion of the story of Lot and his daughters in the second panel of this story.
(18:20–21) The Lord, of course, did not stand in need of further information about the sins of Sodom and Gomorrah. These words are rather intended to teach us that there is no sin, however heinous, that justifies a rush to unconsidered judgment. As the whirlwind pace of public shaming via social media renders such judgment altogether impossible, it is something that no Christian should ever be involved in no matter how deviant the alleged belief or behavior might be. The piranha-esque feeding frenzy so common today even among professing Christians reflects the tactics of the men of Sodom (19:4–11) rather than the example given to us by our Lord.
(18:23–33) "Until now Abraham has spoken with God three times (Gen. 15:2, 8; 17:17). On each occasion his personal welfare has been the sole subject of discourse. Now a change takes place. The next dialogue with God involves a concern for the welfare of others, total strangers."4 This is in fact the first time that Abraham is represented as seeking to be being a blessing to anyone outside of his immediate family. Though Sodom and Gomorrah were ultimately destroyed, "as the sorry story of Lot at the end of Genesis 19 shows, Abraham succeeded in saving two entire (future) nations: Moab and Ammon."5 Prayer has far more to do with reshaping our hearts than with re-framing God's mind.
Abraham was sheltering from the midday heat, waiting for the afternoon breeze that would enable work to resume, when three men suddenly appeared. Though he could not have realized it at first, Abraham's immediate and extravagant hospitality to these total strangers turned out to be perfectly in keeping with their true identity as the angels of the Lord. Through these representatives, the Lord reiterated his promise that Sarah would be the one to bear the promised seed before revealing to Abraham the soon-coming judgment of Sodom and Gomorrah.
Discuss the meaning of the text and then walk through the following application questions as you discuss the difference this meaning ought to make in our lives today.
Though God was fully aware of the sin of Sodom and Gomorrah, he chose to model for us the necessity of deliberation before judgment. How might we be tempted to ignore this pattern by prematurely condemning others?
Examples: Participating in social media "mobs"; Treating those we otherwise disagree with as guilty until proven innocent; Disciplining our children based on our "knee-jerk" reaction to their offenses.
Though Abraham had no way of knowing the identity of the three strangers who so suddenly appeared, he nevertheless treated them royally, thereby entertaining "angels unawares." In what ways could we more closely follow this example of hospitality?
Examples: "Going the extra mile" to make even the most last minute of guests feel welcome; A willingness to show open hospitality even to those we feel have no "claim" on our generosity.
Child of God. Husband of Ashley. Father of Petey and Chloe. Student of the Word. Preacher of the Gospel.
New Book of the Month!
Raising Dangerous Children Starting This Sunday!


Could it be five in a row? Team GB have never failed to win an Olympic women's skeleton medal, since the sport made its debut at the 2002 Games in Salt Lake City.
Here's a look back on those successes, with a few words from stars gone by about 2018 hopefuls Lizzy Yarnold and Laura Deas.
And, of course, Dom Parsons's bronze means Team GB have now won medals at every Games since skeleton returned to the Olympic programme 18 years ago.
The former RAF intelligence officer won the British title at the first time of asking and quickly made the transition onto the world stage.
She won the World Cup title for three straight years between 2000 and 2002 and claimed silver at the World Championships in 2001.
She broke her wrist just ten days before the Games but still won a famous bronze with Americans Tristan Gale and Ann Parsley winning gold and silver on their home track.
She retired shortly after the Games but during her career set track records at La Plagne, Lake Placid, and Nagano.
Shelley Rudman raised £4,000 to pay for a new sled for the Games, which reaped dividends when she won Team GB's only medal in 2006 with her silver in the women's skeleton.
She was thought a top ten contender but posted a series of impressive training runs and registered a storming second run to move from fourth to second.
On her return she received an open top bus parade in her Pewsey home town.
After Turin she won the world title in 2013 and the overall World Cup title in 2012. She carried the British flag at the 2010 Games and finished sixth on her second Olympic appearance and 16th in Sochi.
Now working with Eurosport in PyeongChang, she said: "Lizzy hasn't had the best season but she's a performer for the big stage but she's going to have to put everything together.
Amy Williams became the first British gold medallist in an individual event at the Winter Olympics for 30 years, following Robin Cousins' victory in figure skating at the 1980 Winter Olympics in Lake Placid, and the first British female individual Winter Olympics gold medallist since Jeannette Altwegg in 1952.
After missing out on selection for 2006, she made amends to win gold by more than half a second, upgrading her silver from the previous year's World Championships in Lake Placid.
She retired from the sport in 2012 after a succession of injuries and is working in PyeongChang for BBC Sport.
And she's also backing the class of 2018.
"On current form Lizzy hasn't had quite as good a season as past years but she always steps up," said Williams. "She always ups the anti when it comes to a major championships and thrives off the pressure.
Flagbearer Lizzy Yarnold followed Jayne Torvill and Christopher Dean and won her Olympic gold on Valentines' Day.
Inspired to take up sport by watching Denise Lewis at the Sydney Olympics, she arrived in Russia as the new World Cup champion.
She had the fastest run of each of the four runs and set new track records on her first and third run.
Yarnold's victory was the tenth gold medal ever achieved by British athletes in 90 years of Winter Olympics competition. She won the world title the following year before taking a one year break from skeleton.
Can she become the first British athlete to defend a Winter Olympic title?


Ripple is pulling back slightly after an extraordinary surge in the past week. The third most valuable cryptocurrency is now trading at $0.87 after losing about 1.5% of its value in the last 24 hours.
The digital asset started to slide on Sunday after a strong performance last week that saw it almost hitting $1. It was trading at $0.90 at 12 pm on Sunday.
Its market capitalisation now stands at $34.2 billion adding about $10 billion from a week ago. Overall, it has gained over 36% in the last seven days despite the losses incurred in the last few hours.
Last week, it was leading a resurgent market posting nearly 20% in intraday trading on Friday alone.
Ripple has been boosted by recent news that Banco Santander was using its xCurrent software to enable international transfers in at least four European countries.
The cryptocurrency market has largely remained green in the last seven days in what caught many by surprise.
The strong performance could in part be attributed to the passing of the US tax deadline. Many were fearing a huge sell-off as the April 17 deadline approached.
Bitcoin was just a whisker away from $9000 before making a slight retreat. It is now trading at $8,907 having lost 0.15% in the last 24 hours.
Bitcoin Cash posted the strongest performance today having gained 15% in the last 24 hours. Its value shot up rapidly in early morning trading. A unit is now trading at $1,396 and a market capitalisation of $23.8 billion.
Ripple has particularly been hit by the general downward trend for much of this year. At its peak in January 4, it was trading at $3.71 according to data from CoinMarketCap. A year ago on April 23, the cryptocurrency was trading at just $0.03. This means it has gained over 2700% in value over the period.


Here at Anice, we are fortunate enough to work in an environment that has been built, grown and nurtured by women. Everything we do and everything that we stand for, is because of and inspired by the beautiful and strong women who walk through our door on the regular. We would be nothing without the creativity and passion that the women around is exude, and in turn, inspire us to exude alongside them.
To celebrate International Women's Day, and as an ode to women in general, we have created pieces that can be ordered custom for yourself, your mama, your bff, etc.


Are you thinking of accommodation in Gold Coast? You are in right place. Burleigh Heads is a beautiful beachside suburb situated on Gold Coast in North Queensland. Burleigh Heads is beautifully situated between two amazing destinations. Surfers Paradise is on the south and Coolangatta is on the south from Burleigh Heads. This suburb is like a comma between these two locations. Burleigh Heads is a very popular location for this and also for its scenic beauty. It never fails to attract the tourists. There are plenty of amusing thing to do in Burleigh Heads. To enjoy the beauty of the Burleigh Heads you can choose the beachside apartments for your stay. There are many self contained hotels near the Burleigh beach esplanade which also provide lovely accommodation. The luxurious resorts are also good option for staying in Burleigh Heads. You can choose your holiday accommodation according to your taste and desire.


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So How Much Does A Pop Up Camper Weigh? Our Findings.
Now is a great time to buy a pop up camper. They have changed so drastically over the years, taking advantage of advancements in technology to deliver the sort of efficiency and comfort that will appeal to both amateurs and professional campers.
This is an important question that can affect the layout and attributes of your camper. This is what you should know:
Pop up camper weight tends to vary quite widely
A pop up campers weight tends to vary quite widely. Some hard-side weight of a pop up camper can be just 1,180 lbs. That figure can jump to 2,700 lbs in others, especially those models that are similar to an Aliner.
You also have tent-style pop up camper where its average weight falls somewhere between 1,300 lbs and 3,700 lbs.
Extreme sport-style models weight of a pop up fall within a similar range. Some are as light as 1,722, while others are as hefty as 3,777 lbs. As you can see, there are plenty of options to choose from.
It is a question of the need and your preference.
Pop up campers style can affect weight
The style of a pop up camper will affect its weight. This is why selecting the right weight is so difficult in some cases. Each style has its advantages and disadvantages.
Some campers have exterior storage units. Others have a rugged build with durable wheels that can contend with rough terrain.
You also have those styles with a hard exterior that provides additional protection. It isn't enough to select a camper weight option that fits your purposes.
You must make sure to balance the benefits of your chosen weight option with the strengths and weaknesses of the style.
The key is to find a balance between the two, that is to say, you should locate a camper that pairs the best weight with the most appropriate style.
One thing to note is cargo carrying capacity and to include the total weight of features when calculating how much will your pop up camper weigh. Trailer brakes, tow bar towing capacity and the spare tire as well as extra exterior storage should all be noted.
Keep an eye on the amenities
The best pop up camper can often be saturated too many features. However, while these amenities are guaranteed to enhance your comfort, you should also count on them to increase the weight.
Again, it is a question of finding balance.
Amenities include air conditioning, fire extinguishers, fans, stoves, refrigerators, spare tires, and mattresses, to mention but a few. They can also include shelves, generators, tables, chairs, and a canoe rack. All these items sound appealing.
They will bring a sense of order to your pop-up. But they are going to add to the weight of the pop up camper, which is why you have to determine whether or not you need them.
This is no different from a backpacker that chooses to leave certain items behind because they don't want to make their backpack so heavy that it becomes impossible to carry.
The towing capacity is vital
Fight the urge to max out your vehicle tow. You need to leave some room for additional cargo. Give yourself space to add extra luggage or passengers if the situation arises.
Understanding The Weight Basics Of A Pop Up Camper
Large pop up campers versus smaller pop up campers can greatly change your vehicle's towing capacity. Just remember how much weight the towing vehicle needs to support includes your family and your gear, maybe a full lp propane tank and inventory as well as pulling your camper's weight.
With a pop up camper, matters of weight are more complicated than you think. But you can begin to make sense of the issue by educating yourself on factors such as the following:
Unloaded Vehicle Weight
This is one of the more precise weight measurements to consider. The UVW is the weight of the entire pop-up travel trailer. It is inclusive of the LP propane tank (full), hitch, and axels.
Cargo Vehicle's Carrying Capacity
The CCC is also straightforward. This measurement is concerned with the total weight a pop up camper is capable of carrying.
Gross Axel Weight
The GAW rating refers to the maximum weight the axels of the pop up camper can carry safely. That last part is essential. Many trailers can exceed their gross axle weight rating, but that wouldn't make their condition safe. The GAWR includes the cargo the unit is carrying
Gross Vehicle Weight Ratio
To get the GVWR, you must add the vehicle's maximum carrying capacity to the weight of the hitch. The carrying capacity includes the cargo and how many people.
Anyone that intends to purchase a pop-up trailer should consider and account for all these factors before making a choice.
These weight basics will affect the style of pop-up you choose, not to mention your vehicle's ability to vehicle tow it.
Pairing your Pop Up Camper With The Right Vehicle
Know the lightest pop up camper, or how much will a mini pop up camper weigh will greatly impact the tow vehicle, hitch weight and how much much towing capacity your pulling vehicle requires.
When looking or deciding on pop up campers. You cannot buy the perfect one merely by looking at its amenities. You must make sure to consider its weight and the impact it will have on your vehicle's ability to tow it.
This assumes that you already have a vehicle that can pull the pop up camper.
If you intend to purchase a vehicle after securing the pop-up, you have a lot more flexibility.
If you already have a vehicle, then your choice of a pop up camper matters even more because the camper weight has to fit the limitations of your car.
It isn't feasible to get a new vehicle to match the weight of the pop-up. You are better off getting a pop-up that is compatible with the vehicle you already have. A pop-up is useless if your vehicle cannot tow it safely. This is what you should know:
To determine whether or not your vehicle can tow a particular pop up camper, you have to look at the vehicle's tow rating usually through an owner's manual. This will tell you everything you need to know about the vehicle's overall weight bearing abilities.
Don't base your understanding of your vehicle's tow rating on the words of a salesperson. A salesperson is concerned with selling their product. They will do everything they can to convince you that a particular vehicle is suitable for your needs, and that includes lying. Look at the manual. It will show you the tow rating. If you don't have a manual, check the internet.
Pairing the right vehicle with the right pop-up takes some work. You must look at the UVW and gvwr gross vehicle weight. The hitch weight refers to the weight the pop-up applies to the hitch.
As was noted above, the UVW (unloaded vehicle weight) is the weight of the pop up camper, including the axle, hitch weight, and full tank.
You also have the gross trailer weight to consider. Your vehicle must be strong enough to contend with the dry weight of the car and the weight of its contents.
Some people miss this. They think that their vehicles are sufficiently strong because they can carry the weight of the pop up camper.
They do not realize that the weight of the pop up camper will rise the moment you add people and luggage.
Are Trailer Brakes Necessary?
You don't have to get trailer breaks. Plenty of pop up campers get by without them. But you are encouraged to add them if the option is available because they might come in handy down the line.
The common belief is that every camper that exceeds 3000 pounds should get trailer brakes.
They are not that difficult to acquire. You can just install a controller in the tow vehicle.
Visit any RV dealer in your vicinity to get this done. Some are more expensive than others. But travel trailer brakes are worth it.
Are Pop-ups Worth It?
Keep in mind that finding the right pop up camper is a challenge. But they are decent companions for anyone that wants to go camping.
The point of camping is to become acquainted with nature. However, camping is uncomfortable, which is why many people avoid it.
A pop-up allows you to camp in comfort. Some pop up campers are quite luxurious and spare no expense.
You can satisfy your adventurous spirit without abandoning the amenities to which you have grown accustomed.
Pop up campers come with freshwater tanks that you can use to shower and wash your dishes. Some pop up campers come with toilets. By utilizing a Tote-N-Store, you can recreate the tranquillity of the bathroom in your home.
Precautions that will Guarantee a fun Trip with your Pop-Up
That last thing you would expect to know when buying an average pop up is things like pop up camper weight, gross vehicle weight rating and how much towing capacity pop ups can hold. But it's essential to know if you plan on using lots of gas mileage and time out on the road.
Pop up campers have plenty of benefits, but keep in mind they can turn your trip into a nightmare if you fail to prepare. Keep the following in mind:
Every camping trip needs a list. Write everything you need on a piece of paper. Refer to that checklist before you leave to ensure that you've packed all your essentials.
There is nothing more annoying than reaching your camping destination only to realize that you went some crucial piece of luggage back home.
Check the tires of your vehicle before you set off. You don't want to discover a flat tire when you're miles away from civilization.
Additionally, you should keep a spare on hand for emergencies. Tires up to 500 pounds can go flat for all sorts of reasons. Be prepared for the worst.
Check all your tools and accessories to ensure that they are functioning as required. That includes the lighting, propane tanks, and electrical cords.
You cannot afford to go camping with faulty gear. It will ruin your entire trip. This is why you are encouraged to test everything.
So How Much Does A Pop Up Camper Weigh Wrapping Up
We hope that this article now gives you a better understanding of regular camper average weight and how much does a pop up style camper weigh.
A pop-up is supposed to act as your home away from home. And it will play that role if you take the time to identify the average weight and how much does a pop up weight and your uses for the camper.
The right pop-up will enable you to enjoy the great outdoors as an individual or a group. It will also make camping a less stressful experience, especially for beginners.
carsguide.com.au
4wdingaustralia.com
campertrailers.org
Categories Campervan
1 Pop up camper weight tends to vary quite widely
2 Pop up campers style can affect weight
3 Keep an eye on the amenities
4 The towing capacity is vital
5 Understanding The Weight Basics Of A Pop Up Camper
6 Pairing your Pop Up Camper With The Right Vehicle
7 Are Trailer Brakes Necessary?
8 Are Pop-ups Worth It?
9 Precautions that will Guarantee a fun Trip with your Pop-Up
10 So How Much Does A Pop Up Camper Weigh Wrapping Up

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


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PHOTOS BY THE AUTHOR
A cut of loaded hoppers bound for local Staten Island industry is pulled from B&O car float No. 56 by the assigned St George switcher. While fully operational, the float bridge is only tem- porarily installed here at its final location. As soon as the flats in the background are finished, the rest of the groundcover com-
pleted, and most importantly, the harbor "filled" with water, the author will fasten everything down securely. Until then crews have to be vigilant that neither the float nor the float bridge itself are knocked out of alignment! This photo shows the culmination of a project that started some 32 years ago.
Modeling the B&O's St. George float bridge
Located on Staten Island, this structure was vital to the railroad's operations in New York Harbor/Tom Griffiths
ntil the mid-1970's, the Balti- more & Ohio Railroad operated its own marine fleet in New
York Harbor, interchanging cars with several other railroads. These opera- tions were based at the St. George yard of its subsidiary Staten Island Rapid Transit. They also had a small freight yard with a float bridge connection on the west side of Manhattan, as well as several pier-side terminals without rail service in Manhattan.
After the B&O sold the Staten Island passenger operations to the New York Transit Authority the remaining freight operations were passed over to another operator. Service ended around 1990 with the closure of the Proctor & Gam- ble plant in Port Ivory; freight trains re-
turned to the island on a limited basis in 2006-2007. With the exception of a few rotting wood pilings and some mysteri- ous chunks of concrete, the former B&O freight yard and all traces of the marine operations are gone at St. George. In their place is the minor league ballpark of the Staten Island Yankees, and al- most exactly on the site of the float bridges (there were once three) is the Staten Island 9-11 Memorial. On a very hot Sunday a week after
4th of July, 1976, I made a visit to the then still-active yard at St George. I was in the company of several friends, and we were accompanied by the fa- ther of one who happened to be the yardmaster at Staten Island's Arling- ton Yard. His presence presumably lent
an air of legitimacy to the expedition. We spent about two hours wandering around the yard, which, it being Sun- day, was quiet. I took many photos of the facilities there, including the wood float bridge. Until that visit, I had nev- er really thought much about how the railroads managed to get all those freight cars onto and off of the floats that were constantly being shuttled around the harbor. I dropped the film off at the Camera Barn on my way to work the next morning, and that sim- ple act turned out to be the start of a project that would extend far into the future, it not being completed until 2008, some 32 years later! Upon getting my slides back a few days later, I realized that the float
Produced with Yudu - www.yudu.com


I have a cold problem, DNS, and sinusitis from 14 years old and now I am 26. I did't get smell for 7 years. At first it came back time to time and then again lose, but now it permanently gone. I didn't take any antibiotics but treated some medicine like, antazole, rhinozole, alactrol, flunospray e.t.c. I didn't take medicine for 3 years also. What can I do now?
I also have the problem of getting the right smell especially during winters! I have consulted a few doctors, but my situation haven't improved much. Can anyone suggest remedies for this problem of mine?
I am a 32-year-old male who has been suffering from anosmia for the past 10 years. Initially, I had sinusitis problems and has been undergoing different kinds of treatments without any significant relief. one of those was the ayurvedic treatment of nasya for approximately 10 days, which made my life a hell, where I lost my smell and consulted an ENT and was told was due to mucus infection and had undergone again various treatments resulting in polypoidectomy too, but everything was in vain. Ultimately, these treatments have provided nothing, but depression, a life without taste, smell, nothing more than a hell, it just continues. Right now, I am undergoing homeopathic treatment, but that too without any success. It should be noted that once in a while, for a fraction of second, I do get smell, and it vanishes for ever. Please may I know kindly if there is any remedy for me to regain my smell and taste back, so that my life will be of some meaning to me. Please do guide me as to which physician I need to consult. Of note, I had CT scan about 5 years ago, which did not reveal anything of significance.


During South Africa's sweltering summer months, Addo's waterholes become a magnet for animals in search of refreshment. Wild traveller Ayesha Cantor was amidst the hustle and bustle when a "particularly big elephant" passed their vehicle heading straight for Hapoor waterhole.
"I would guesstimate there were 90-plus elephants. Groups came trundling in from afar through the spekboom thickets… Great grey blobs, and little ones, all on their way to the waterhole. I'm sure they could hear the happy elephant sounds from great distances," says Ayesha.
We laughed like hyenas! We totally did not expect such a scene to unfold in front of our eyes.
An adult elephant's trunk can hold 5-10 litres of water.
Elephants require fresh water daily and will drink 100-200 litres a day.
Drinking is a social occasion and various family groups may meet at waterholes or rivers.
Additional source: Understanding Elephants. Elephant Specialist Advisory Group. Struik Nature. 2017.
What a stunning capture – I don't blame you for laughing – I just love Ellies and their antics – particularly when there is water involved! Thank you for sharing.
Sometimes we are blessed at being in the right spot at the right time. Thanks for sharing this event of "a gentle giant".
Hi it's amazing how the human pleasure button is triggered by the dangerous incidents involving man and beast. What you found so hilarious and funny could have been potentially fatal as the elephants lungs could have collapsed if he did not come out of the nosedive in time. I love ellies too !
I am an orthopaedic surgeon who only does Knee Surgery. I am doing a study on the elephant's knee as it is the only mammal that fully straightens and bends its knee, and the elephant knee works the same as the human knee. Would it be possible to use your photos 1, 3, 5 and 6 in your sequence published in "Wild" as they show the flexibility and use of the knee just as humans do?
You all and the Ellues gsve a safe and good time.
I was there in November 2016 with my family.
We also spent many hours at Hapoor to watch them drink and play, it was amazing !!
After seeing a lot of elephants in Kruger we thought we had seen enough of them, but so happy we visited Addo too!!
AAAhhh ek voel so jammer vir hom. Hy het seker ook maar verlee gevoel. Lief jou oom olifant!
A really great sequence of pictures – can almost see the embarrassment in the expression on the ellie's face in the last pic. Such sightings are a treat and should be cherished. Well done !!


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Brown-Forman's cooperage in Louisville, Kentucky has an impact on whiskies all over the world. The cooperage makes all of the barrels for Jack Daniel's, Woodford Reserve, and Brown-Forman's other whiskies...and of course, those barrels are later sent to distilleries in Scotland and around the world for aging whiskies. It's also one of the few cooperages open for tours, and general manager Greg Roshkowski will give us a tour in this episode. In the news, the Christchurch earthquake and its connection to the whisky world, plenty of awards, and more new whiskies!


text:
Monroe man sees life from a different perspective
Paintings represent themes of recovery
by Khela Kupiec
Ken Kimball and his son, Aidan, pose with the six portraits Kimball painted in the two years after he survived a rupture of blood vessels in his brain. The six portraits are of Aidan (from left), who represented hope and the future; Ken Kimball, whose self-portrait was one of self-acceptance; Jason Tors, who symbolized the importance of creativity; Kim De Lutis, who embodied laughter and its healing powers; his wife, Jill Kimball, who was strength and love throughout it all; and Jae Kim, who helped Kimball focus on the details that helped him adjust to his new life. Khela Kupiec/The Littleton Courier. (click for larger version)
MONROE – Lined up along a wall in Ken Kimball's Monroe home, the six black-and-white portraits – each composed of two identical images displaced diagonally – are almost dizzying to study. It takes more than a second to make sense of the shapes to make sense of the whole – the brain has to reconcile with double vision that it can't fix.
But the portraits, which can be seen at Dartmouth-Hitchcock Medical Center in Lebanon, are not meant to be an abstract statement about life or an artist's attempt at pushing the envelope – they're how Kimball has seen people and objects every day for the past two years.
Kimball's life was changed drastically July 15, 2009, as he was training in Franconia with a friend, John Hennessey of the Littleton Coin Co., for the mountain biking portion of a triathlon.
They had been training all summer, but as he was biking on this day, Kimball, now 41, says he suddenly felt dizzy, got off his bike, then stumbled and fell and went into shock.
"I think the last words out of my mouth were, 'Get me to a hospital,' and then everything just went black," said Kimball.
Hennessey and Kimball didn't always ride together, but Hennessey just happened to check back with Kimball at that time, and he started the chain of events that saved his life.
Hennessey was able to quickly get Kimball out of the woods and into an ambulance, which took him to Littleton Regional Hospital, and the doctors there sent him by helicopter to Dartmouth-Hitchcock Medical Center in Lebanon.
Hennessey was just one of the many quick thinkers in those first few days who worked together to give Kimball the quality of life that he has today.
Doctors discovered Kimball had an arteriovenous malformation (AVM) – or an abnormal connection between blood vessels – in his brain that had ruptured, and it took two days of eight-hour surgeries to stop the bleeding, he said.
Kimball still suffers from chronic nausea and wears glasses that correct for the double vision, but "it would be a lot worse if they didn't act so quickly, and I'm grateful for that."
After his surgeries were completed, Kimball, who was a Web designer at Garnet Hill in Franconia, was told it would take about nine months before he could get back to work, but he was committed to going back to work in three months.
"I couldn't walk, and I had to relearn how to eat and talk and everything else, but I thought I'd be back to work in three months," said Kimball. "[In] three and a half months, I was able to go back to work for one hour a day."
Garnet Hill, he said, allowed him to go in and accomplish however much he felt he could do on any given day.
"I just really appreciated that," said Kimball. "I really needed to go back to work, and they created that environment for me."
Eventually he was able to work up to six hours a day until he had to leave last December to continue the healing process, he said.
However, it was during that time at Garnet Hill, that Kimball was given the idea that he should paint what he sees with double vision – and later a more strict goal of painting six 18-by-24 inch black-and-white portraits to get a good foundation and idea of what he actually was seeing by the time he was done.
Since his childhood, Kimball had identified himself as an artist and had spent much of his 39 years up until July 15, 2009, following and making a living out of that passion.
Creativity was very important to him, but after all that he had gone through, he was avoiding his art because he didn't want to discover that he could no longer draw or paint.
"It came to a point that just making a peanut butter and jelly sandwich was so ridiculously challenging and so much anxiety," Kimball said.
But allowing himself to paint what he sees lessened the worry of not measuring up to his previous self, and he started thinking about certain themes that were important to him as he was going through rehabilitation.
His first painting was of his friend Jason Tors:
"When I painted Jason, I was really thinking of the importance of creativity," said Kimball. "Whether you are an artist or accountant you need to be responsible to create the life you want to have for yourself. So I wanted to paint someone that symbolized that."
That first 18-by-24 inch portrait took four months to complete. For five to ten minutes a day he would paint from a photograph that Tors had taken, but it wasn't always clear to him what he was painting.
"As an artist it was weird because I didn't know what I was seeing at all in these first few paintings," said Kimball, "so its amazing that they look like people.
"When I was painting Jason's portrait, it was just shapes … I knew I was looking at eyes, but it was really just a mass of shape and color. It was hard for me to realize that it was a nose or a mouth."
For the second painting, which took six months, Kimball turned to his wife of 15 years, Jill Kimball, and their son, Aidan, now six, to symbolize the strength and love they gave him.
"When you go through an event like this, it's just amazing how much the family goes through, said Kimball. "It's so taxing.
"I can see why some families just crumble under such pressure, yet my wife and son were so strong."
Another blessing, Kimball said, was the idea of having hope.
"Having a young son in my life was just an anchor toward the future. I had to get better."
So for the third painting, the subject is just Aidan, who represented hope and the future, and that painting only took three months.
For Kimball, the length of time each painting took is indicative of how his brain was healing. Each one started to take less and less time, until the last painting only took five days.
For the fourth painting, he chose to paint Tors' wife, Jae Kim -- her portrait took only three weeks.
Kim was Kimball's supervisor at Garnet Hill, and she held "his hand to become a Web designer again." Both Kim and Tors helped make it obvious to Kimball that he was still going to be a designer and a painter, he said, but Kim's portrait symbolizes her helping Kimball with paying attention to details.
The next step of the recovery process was looking inward.
"I realized that … I should stop trying to be the old Ken," said Kimball. "I should just accept the fact that I need to heal, and I need to focus on these paintings and my family right now and let go of being a Web designer and just become someone new.
"And I discovered that it's not that I'm disabled, I just haven't discovered how I'm abled."
So to symbolize self-acceptance, Kimball's fifth painting was of himself – and it took only two weeks.
Finally, to wrap up the project, he wanted to illustrate the importance of laughter.
"It's such a huge pain control tool, and as much pain as I was in when I went back to work, I had such good friends that I could laugh with."
Kim De Lutis, a freelancer in the Web department at Garnet Hill and painting No. six, has a wonderful sense of humor, Kimball said, and she made it obvious to him that laughter was key.
All these themes and the "tremendous support" of people that were there for him from that day in July have helped him heal physically and emotionally.
Having a hobby, Kimball said, was also a blessing because it carried him beyond the years of pain that he described as feeling like he had broken glass in his head all the time or a migraine for a year and a half.
"If you have a hobby, you have a focus that's beyond pain or boredom."
"When I look back at the past two years, what I remember is the laughter and excitement of producing this art."
And now, after having finished all six portraits, he knows exactly what he's looking at.
Kimball plans to sell limited-edition prints of the portraits. He can be reached through his website, http://www.explorepotential.com/.
Ammonoosuc Habitat for Humanity seeks director
Grafton County Nursing Home relaxes visitation restrictions


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Archive for the 'Forecasting' Category
Wet summer warning system developed
Posted: December 20, 2017 by oldbrew in Forecasting, Natural Variation, research, Temperature, weather
Forecaster highlights the jetstream over the UK [image credit: BBC]
It's more predictable than we thought, they say – at least in some ways. The test of time awaits.
Researchers in the UK have developed a method of improving the long range accuracy of summer weather in the UK and Europe, says the BBC.
The scientists found a connection between sea surface temperatures in the North Atlantic in March and April and the subsequent summer's rain or shine.
The researchers say the new method may benefit agriculture, tourism and construction.
Alan Carlin: None of the climate alarmist apocalypses have occurred or are even possible
Posted: December 7, 2017 by oldbrew in alarmism, climate, Forecasting, modelling, opinion, predictions
Tags: climate
Earth and climate – an ongoing controversy
Lack of predictive success is a strong warning sign that something is amiss in the world of climate science in general and its modelling in particular.
The climate alarmists have long tried to sell their apocalyptic scam by claiming that their policies will avoid catastrophic increases in global temperatures, writes Alan Carlin.
The Daily Caller has recently inventoried some of the widely publicized such climate apocalypses predicted over the last 30 years by examining 12 of them.
The alarmists' 12 apocalyptic predictions have proved uniformly wrong. That's zero percent correct.
Why you shouldn't believe a UK snow forecast more than three days ahead
Posted: December 5, 2017 by oldbrew in Forecasting, Uncertainty, weather
Tags: snow
Channel 4's Liam Dutton
TV weather presenter Liam Dutton runs through some of the pitfalls awaiting UK forecasters.
Predicting snow in the UK is difficult and weather computer models rarely get it right more than a few days ahead. But why is this the case?
The past week has seen Arctic air and snow affect the UK, and with another cold blast later this week, there is much excitement about the prospect of snow.
Twitter has been awash with graphics from various weather computer models showing large swathes of the UK covered in snow in a week's time.
However, the bottom line is that you should never believe a detailed UK snow forecast more than three days ahead.
Warren Buffett Bets On The Fossil-Fuel Highway
Posted: October 8, 2017 by oldbrew in Forecasting, government, Travel
Tags: energy policy
No certainties, but some bets are better than others in the mixed-up world of climate-related government policies.
The sage of Omaha knows a policy bubble when he sees it—and electric vehicles are a prime case, reports the GWPF.
A sucker is born every minute, and Warren Buffett just proved it. He agreed to spend an undisclosed sum of his shareholders' money to buy a controlling stake in Pilot Flying J, the truck-stop chain that sells food, coffee and diesel fuel to truckers.
After all, aren't truckers about to be replaced by robots, and diesel by battery power? The sucker in this scenario, we add, is anyone who believed such futuristic forecasts in the first place.
The global warming backpedalling begins. "It's less worse than we thought"
Posted: September 19, 2017 by tallbloke in alarmism, Forecasting, Idiots, Incompetence, IPCC, modelling, Temperature
Computer modelling used a decade ago to predict how quickly global average temperatures would rise may have forecast too much warming, a study has found.
Myles Allen, professor of geosystem science at the University of Oxford and one of the study's authors told The Times: "We haven't seen that rapid acceleration in warming after 2000 that we see in the models. We haven't seen that in the observations."
Half-mile wide asteroid close approach on Wednesday
Posted: April 19, 2017 by oldbrew in Celestial Mechanics, Forecasting, solar system dynamics, Uncertainty
Credit: VIRTUAL TELESCOPE [click to enlarge]
Dr Roy Spencer discusses today's asteroid approach, the closest for 13 years.
An asteroid capable of destroying Washington D.C. and New York City at the same time will be making its closest approach to Earth on April 19.
At a half-mile wide, it will have over 30,000 times as much mass as the 2013 meteor which exploded over Russia in 2013.
The current asteroid, called "2014 JO25", is traveling at the unimaginably fast speed of 75,000 mph. It has been estimated that an asteroid of this size is capable of wiping out an area the size of New England, and causing global cooling from the dust that would be lofted into the stratosphere.
"2014 JO25" will be the closest approach asteroid of this size in the last 13 years.
We really don′t know clouds at all
Posted: March 25, 2017 by oldbrew in atmosphere, Clouds, data, Forecasting, modelling
Tags: baffled scientists
Despite confessing to being 'baffled by clouds', climate science and its media followers are still prone to assertions like 'as the world warms' – as though it's bound to do so indefinitely.
Though we see them every day, clouds remain such a mystery to scientists that they are inhibiting climate change predictions. But a new atlas could be a game changer, thinks DW.COM.
Nothing beats a lazy afternoon sitting on the grass and watching the clouds roll by. These white fluffy friends can feel like a constant and comforting presence in life. And since the dawn of air travel, as folk singer Joni Mitchell once sang, we've looked at clouds from both sides now.
But as Mitchell cautioned, somewhow we still don't know clouds at all. Her words were true in 1969, and they are still true today.
Forecasters predict El Niño may return by summer
Posted: March 1, 2017 by oldbrew in climate, ENSO, Forecasting
Tags: climate change
The El Niño of 1997-8
The report says 'the possible return of El Niño this year would present a unique situation'. Is there still excess heat in the system as sunspots go further into 'quiet mode'?
H/T GWPF
The path to another round of El Niño in 2017 appears to be shortening, as tropical Pacific Ocean waters have been warming at a substantial rate. Several models suggest that El Niño could be comfortably in place as early as May.
Weather forecasters have been eyeing for a couple of months a possible return this year of El Niño, which normally comes around every two to seven years and last occurred in 2015/16.
GWPF: Computer predictions of climate alarm are flawed
Posted: February 21, 2017 by oldbrew in alarmism, climate, Critique, Forecasting, predictions, Uncertainty
Image credit: relativelyinteresting.com
Results so far from climate models are very unconvincing, despite huge resources of manpower and technology.
London, 21 February: Claims that the planet is threatened by man-made global warming are based on science that is based on inadequate computer modelling. That is the conclusion of a new briefing paper published today by the Global Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF).
The report's author, eminent American climatologist Professor Judith Curry, explains that climate alarm depends on highly complex computer simulations of the Earth's climate.
But although scientists have expended decades of effort developing them, these simulations still have to be "tuned" to get them to match the real climate. This makes them essentially useless for trying to find out what is causing changes in the climate and unreliable for making predictions about what will happen in the future.
As heavy rain and snow end California's 5-year drought, climate alarmists look foolish
Posted: January 13, 2017 by oldbrew in alarmism, Forecasting, weather
Is this the US weather this winter? [Credit: Farmer's Almanac]
The unending California drought theory seems to have bitten the dust, or the snow, as The GWPF reports.
The recent onslaught of rain and snow finally brought much-needed relief to northern California, ending a punishing five-year drought, federal officials said Thursday.
"Bye bye drought … Don't let the door hit you on the way out," tweeted the National Weather Service's office in Reno, Nev., which monitors parts of the region.
Best weather satellite ever built rockets into space
Posted: November 21, 2016 by oldbrew in Forecasting, innovation, weather
Lift-off [image credit: NASA]
Forecasters will get pictures "like they've never seen before" reports Phys.org. 'More data, more often, much more detailed' is promised.
The most advanced weather satellite ever built rocketed into space Saturday night, part of an $11 billion effort to revolutionize forecasting and save lives.
This new GOES-R spacecraft will track U.S. weather as never before: hurricanes, tornadoes, flooding, volcanic ash clouds, wildfires, lightning storms, even solar flares. Indeed, about 50 TV meteorologists from around the country converged on the launch site—including NBC's Al Roker—along with 8,000 space program workers and guests.
"What's so exciting is that we're going to be getting more data, more often, much more detailed, higher resolution," Roker said. In the case of tornadoes, "if we can give people another 10, 15, 20 minutes, we're talking about lives being saved."
Per Strandberg: The physical forces driving UAH global temperature
Posted: October 13, 2016 by tallbloke in Analysis, ENSO, Forecasting, solar system dynamics
I presented here a while back my research using an Artificial Neural Network analyzing ENSO.
Learn more here http://www.coolingnews.com/the-cause-of-enso
I'm going to write here how it all started, but first I like to show my updated recent ENSO data and forecast which I presented at the recent climate conference in London.
Fig 1: ENSO result from my ANN. Training period is from 1979 and up to 2005. The testing period is from 2005 and up to the end of 2015. From 2015 and up to the end of 2022 it is a forecast. The red line is the real ENSO value and dark line is the result I got from the ANN. As you can see the dark line is from the average values from ensemble.
How predictable is the timing of a summer ice-free Arctic?
Posted: September 1, 2016 by oldbrew in climate, Forecasting, modelling, Natural Variation, sea ice, Uncertainty
Tags: arctic
A polar bear inspects a US submarine near the North Pole [credit: Wikipedia]
'How predictable' assumes some predictability of a future 'ice-free' Arctic in summer – debatable at least.
H/T US CLIVAR – Climate Variability and Predictability Program
The strong decline in the summer sea ice cover of the Arctic over the last decades has led many to ask when the Arctic will be ice-free for the first time.
Rather than providing yet another answer to this question, in a recent Geophysical Research Letters article by Jahn et al., they focused on determining how well the occurrence of an ice-free Arctic can be predicted, due to the inherent internal climate variability of the system.
An Inconvenient Truth: Few Signs Of Global Warming In Antarctica
Posted: August 29, 2016 by oldbrew in alarmism, Forecasting, modelling, Natural Variation
Tags: Antarctic, arctic, baffled scientists, sea ice
Ah, natural variability – the curse of the fanatical warmist.
They don't understand it and don't want to believe it exists.
But it does, so they'll have to put up with it.
By Paul Homewood
http://dailycaller.com/2016/08/27/an-inconvenient-truth-few-signs-of-global-warming-in-antarctica/
From the Daily Caller:
Antarctica has confounded scientists, defying the dire predictions of scientists the South Pole would shrink and exacerbate sea level rise in the coming decades.
Climate models predicted Antarctic sea ice would shrink as the world warmed, and that warming would boost snowfall over the southern continent. Neither of those predictions have panned out, and now scientists say "natural variability" is overwhelming human-induced warming.
"Truth is, the science is complex, and that in most places and with most events, natural variability still plays a dominant role, and undoubtedly will continue to do so," Chip Knappenberger, a climate scientist with the libertarian Cato Institute, told The Daily Caller News Foundation.
"This applies to goings-on in Antarctica as well as in Louisiana," Knappenberger said, referring to the recent flooding in Louisiana activists have already blamed global warming for.
What recent studies have shown is that…
New Dawn Of Truth: London Climate Change Conference 2016
Posted: August 1, 2016 by tallbloke in Analysis, Astronomy, Astrophysics, atmosphere, climate, Critique, Cycles, data, ENSO, Forecasting, IPCC, LOD, Measurement, methodology, modelling, Natural Variation, ozone, physics, Politics, predictions, research, sea ice, Solar physics, solar system dynamics, Temperature, Thermodynamics, Tides, volcanos, waves, weather, wind
It's finally happening. Thanks to Herculean efforts by Niklas Morner, we are presenting a two-day conference in central London on the 8-9th September. Speakers are coming from all over the world to present their work, and it is not to be missed!
Take the 8-9th September off work and join us for this historic event. The first UK climate conference in decades which will counter the scaremongering of the IPCC with a cool, rational approach to the study of climate change, presenting alternative explanations, new data, theory and commentary. Topics include solar-planetary theory, causes of ENSO, sea ice extent, sea level, ozone depletion, volcanos, regional forecasting, journal gatekeeping and many more.
The list of contributors is long, we are packing a huge number of presentations into this two day event. Speakers include Niklas Morner, myself, Ned Nikolov and Karl Zeller, Nicola Scafetta, Per Strandberg, Jan-Erik Solheim, and thats before lunch on day one! Piers Corbyn will be there! So will Christopher Monckton! See the full programme and the extended abstracts in this 35 Megabyte document for full details. There are also some travel and booking details on the geoethic.com website. An updated version is available on reseachgate
Elite merchants of #Brexit doom expose their own pre #EUref lies
Posted: July 22, 2016 by tallbloke in alarmism, Analysis, Big Brother, EU Referendum, Forecasting, People power, Politics, propaganda, solar system dynamics
Post referendum analysis from Rodney Atkinson at Freenations.net
One of the most obnoxious features of the post Brexit climate is that the biggest liars and doom mongers in political history – the Remain campaigners – now accuse Leave Campaigners of lying! This has been picked up in continental attacks on Boris Johnson who, if anything, was rather kind and accommodating given the damage done to people, banks and businesses by the Euro corporatist elites. Now those liars are exposing their own lies:
THE IMF
Before the Brexit vote the IMF head, Christine Lagarde (whose appointment was avidly supported by George Osborne) said that the impact on the UK economy of a Brexit vote went from "pretty bad to very, very bad" and that there could be a recession.
Today the IMF says it has a "benign" view of the Brexit effect on the UK economy, there would be no recession and their revised forecast for UK growth is the same as their revised forecast for USA growth (-0.2% for 2016). Their forecast for UK growth in 2017 is 1.3%
A retrospective, Climate Audit and the late Prof. Kreiss
Posted: July 8, 2016 by tchannon in Forecasting, general circulation, Maths, Obituary
Tim writes,
Published 27th February 2016 Climate Audit published a small article in honour of Kreiss to do with atmospheric modelling, the hydrostatic balance… or not.
Comments follow from Names. I think the comments are worthy of a read and decode by Talkshop readers who have an interest in this kind of topic.
Gerry Browning: In Memory of Professor Heinz Kreiss
Gerry Browning writes:
The Correct System of Equations for Climate and Weather Models
Temperatures Falling As El Niño Fades Quickly
Posted: April 15, 2016 by oldbrew in ENSO, Forecasting, Temperature
ENSO trend [credit: NOAA]
How much of recent El Nino-backed warming was 'man-made', if any? NOAA has issued a La Niña watch so we may well see average temperatures going into reverse before too long.
El Niño is quickly fading. Sea surface temperatures are coming down in the tropical Pacific, and winds in the region have weakened. History tells us, and forecast models predict, that La Niña conditions will be quick on its heels.
The long descent toward cycle 25
Posted: September 4, 2015 by tchannon in Cycles, Forecasting, Solar physics
Our sometimes contributor Michele has posted an article on his Italian language blog.
Watching solar: The long descent of solar cycle SC24 has started!
(hopefully Google Translate will kick in automatically (see top of page), or use Bing translation)
Do I (Tim) agree with Michele, yes, will be about now.
We have the most uncertain solar situation in living memory.
MET Office: Forecasting months/seasons ahead "Still in its infancy".
Posted: September 1, 2015 by tallbloke in Forecasting, MET office
Roundup of comment on MET Office performance with UK summer weather forecasting from Benny Peiser at GWPF:
Image Credit: Cartoons by Josh
The Met Office has defended its forecast for a hot, dry summer despite some areas looking set to have the most rain since records began. As summer officially came to a close amid extreme downpours on Monday, the forecaster was left facing questions about why it predicted a 'drier-than-average' season even though a strong El Nino climate event was expected. In May the Met Office said that it 'wouldn't expect (El Nino) to be the dominant driver of our weather' in the summer months. Yet this weekend Met Office chief scientist Professor Dame Julia Slingo said that the El Nino phenomenon had disturbed weather patterns, which might have been predicted. "We all know that forecasting months and seasons ahead is still in its infancy and much more research needs to be done."–Sarah Knapton, The Daily Telegraph, 31 August 2015


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VoS Goes to Concerts
News: Howl Finish Recording Album, Announce Tour
12:34 PM earsplit, howl, news, tours No comments
Providence, Rhode Island riff manglers, HOWL, recently completed the recording of their upcoming new full-length. Titled Bloodlines, the band's sophomore offering was recorded at Planet Z studio in Hadley, Massachusetts, produced by Chris "Zeuss" Harris (Soulfly, Crowbar, Municipal Waste, 3 Inches Of Blood et al) and offers up 10 tracks of lead-footed audio menace.
Comments the band on the results: "Bloodlines is HOWL 2.0/HOWL on steroids/the bigger, heavier album. We took our signature sound and pushed it to the next level. This is a metal record influenced by doom, rather than vice versa. There's more aggression, more extremes, it's harder-hitting. Zeuss really helped us capture the sound we wanted, the way we truly sound. Bloodlines is huge, brutal, monstrous!"
Bloodlines is set for release via Relapse Records April 30, 2013. As a precursor to the record's official unveiling, HOWL will take their metallic doom to the road on a month-long run of live takeovers set to begin next month in New London, Connecticut. HOWL will be joined by a host of sonic assassins throughout the tour.
HOWL Tour 2013:
2/28/2013 The El N Gee - New London, CT w/ David Caradine, Heavy Breath, Hivesmasher
3/01/2013 St. Vitus Bar - Brooklyn, NY w/ Samothrace, Pilgrim
3/02/2013 Kung Fu Necktie - Philadelphia, PA w/ Ominous Black, Die Choking, Mainline Cocksucks
3/03/2013 Strange Matter - Richmond, VA w/ Gritter, Cut the Architects Hand, Uncle Jimmy
3/04/2013 The Nightlite - Chapel Hill, NC w/ Mortal Man
3/05/2013 The Milestone - Charlotte, NC w/ Pig Mountain, Kato
3/06/2013 Earshot Records - Greenville, SC
3/07/2013 Poison Lawn - Knoxville, TN
3/08/2013 Owl Farm - Nashville, TN w/ Cove, Demeaner
3/09/2013 The Buccaneer - Memphis, TN w/ Crowlord
3/10/2013 Siberia - New Orleans, LA w/ She Rides
3/11/2013 Walter's - Houston, TX
3/17/2013 Parade Of Flesh Afterparty @ The Double Wide - Dallas, TX w/ Mutilation Rites, Ken Mode
3/18/2013 The Sound Pony - Tulsa, OK w/ Senior Fellows, The Way it Was
3/19/2013 The Riot Room - Kansas City, MO w/ Abbot, Keef Mountain
3/20/2013 Fubar - St. Louis, MO w/ Grand Inquisitor, Predatory Witch
3/21/2013 Frank's Power Plant - Milwaukee, WI w/ Gravedirt
3/22/2013 Ultra Lounge - Chicago, IL w/ Jar'd Loose
3/23/2013 The Bishop - Bloomington, IN w/ Torturess
3/24/2013 The Berkley Front – Detroit, MI w/ The Armed, Dead Church
3/25/2013 Kobo Live - Columbus, OH w/ Stormbrewer
3/26/2013 Now That's Class - Cleveland, OH w/ She Rides
3/27/2013 The Smiling Moose - Pittsburgh, PA
3/28/2013 The Sidebar - Baltimore, MD w/ Strong Intention
3/29/2013 The Tuscan Cafe - Warwick, NY w/ Strong Intention
3/31/2013 The Shaskeen - Manchester, NH w/ Strong Intention
4/01/2013 Nectars – Burlington, VT w/ Strong Intention
4/03/2013 Dusk – Providence, RI w/ Tinsel Teeth, Graveside Service
Commended for their distinct brand of "furious, bone-crushing, head-splitting doom" by MetalSucks, and their "huge riffs, excellent tone and an attitude not usually seen in bands with this much groove" by Crustcake, HOWL unleashed their Full Of Hell debut to unsuspecting ears in 2010. Gushed About.com in a near perfect rating of the record: "Full Of Hell isn't just one of the best metal debuts of the year. It's likely to be one of the best metal albums of the year."
https://www.facebook.com/HowlHeavyMetal
http://www.relapse.com
http://relapserecords.bandcamp.com
http://www.facebook.com/RelapseRecords
The Above Provided by: Earsplit PR
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DOCUMENTARY FEATURE AWARDS
BEST FEATURE DOCUMENTARY
A WORLD NOT OURS
Director: Mahdi Fleifel
2012 | UK | Lebanon | Denmark | UAE | Palestine
A World Not Ours is an intimate and humorous portrait of three generations of exile in the refugee camp of Ein el-Helweh, in southern Lebanon. Based on a wealth of personal recordings, family archives, and historical footage, the film is a sensitive, and illuminating study of belonging, friendship, and family.
Director: Steve Hoover
2012 | USA | India
Rocky Braat went traveling through India and met a group of HIV positive children living in an orphanage – a meeting that changed everything for him. He left his life, friends, and career in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania to live with the kids. In an effort to find out what compelled Rocky to give up every source of stability in his life, his best friend decided to trace Rocky's story, following him to India and witnessing Rocky and the kids endure disease, abject poverty, and death. 'Blood Brother' is a story of friendship. It's a story of a life, stripped down to its essence. Most of all, it is a story about love and endurance.
A RIVER CHANGES COURSE
Director: Kalyanee Mam
2013 | Cambodia
A River Changes Course captures the stories of three young Cambodians struggling to maintain their traditional way of life while the modern world closes in around them. The once abundant forests and plentiful rivers have fallen victim to land grabbing, deforestation, and dwindling fish stock that rural and indigenous communities heavily depend on to survive. This stunningly photographed documentary is a powerful tribute to the struggles of all families coping with the challenges of a rapidly changing world.
GIDEON'S ARMY
Director: Dawn Porter
2013 | USA
Gideon's Army follows three young public defenders that are part of a small group of idealistic lawyers in the Deep South challenging the assumptions that drive a criminal justice system strained to the breaking point. Nearly 50 years since the landmark Supreme Court ruling Gideon vs. Wainwright that established the right to counsel, can these courageous lawyers revolutionize the way America thinks about indigent defense and make "justice for all" a reality?
BEST SOUND EDITING
THE STATE OF INSANITY
Director: Francesco Cordio
2013 | Italy
In Italy there are 6 OPG, commonly called criminal asylums, in which about 1500 people are locked up. The first-person account of an actor, ex-inmate in one of these hospitals, is intertwined with scenes filmed, without prior notice, in these places that have been "forgotten" about even by the State.
DOCUMENTARY SHORT AWARDS
BEST SHORT DOCUMENTARY
WHEN THE TIME COMES
Director: Charles Gay
2012 | France | Kenya | USA
Shot among the Samburu semi-nomadic tribe of Kenya, "When The Time Comes" portraits its relation to the ancestral and controversial practice that is female circumcision (Female Genital Cutting) and highlights the inter-generational debate that is taking place in their communities, allowing girls and women to fight for their rights, with the support of many men.
MINERITA
Director: Raul De la Fuente
2013 | Spain | Bolivia
Cerro Rico in Potosí (Bolivia) is a lawless territory, characterized by brutal violence. The miners risk their lives every day, digging for silver and zinc in crumbling galleries. The ones that survive think they're entitled to anything and everything. And that's when they go on the hunt… for women. Minerita is the story of three women—Lucía (40), Ivone (16) and Abigail (17)—who work as night watch women in the mines, struggling to survive in an inhuman inferno. Their only weapon is their courage… and dynamite.
OM AMIRA
Director: Naji Esmail
2013 | Egypt
Om Amira, "Amira's Mother," is now a Cairo resident living on one of Downtown's roof tops with her husband, Gamal, and their two daughters. Having no other option but to toughen up to support her family and her sick daughter who has heart disease, Om Amira sells homemade fried potatoes sandwiches in a side street, meters away from Tahrir Square where the spark of the Egyptian Revolution started.
AFTER THE FALL: HIV GROWS UP
Director: Frederick Taylor
2012 | USA | Romania
In 1989, as Communism fell across Eastern Europe, doctors and nurses in Romania quickly discovered they were dealing with a grand epidemic of pediatric AIDS in their hospitals and institutions. This film offers an intimate portrait of some of the survivors- heroes with inspiring stories that demonstrate triumph in the face of remarkable challenges.
THE LITTLE GUERILLA GIRL
Director: Giancarlo Bocchi
2013 | Italy | Burma |
For the last seventy years, the Karen, one of the most important ethnic minorities in Burma, have been fighting for their freedom, first against the Japanese and immediately afterwards against the military regime in power. In the longest armed resistance in contemporary history, fought in an impenetrable territory covered in a hostile jungle between Thailand and the Andaman Sea, the Karen women fight on the front line for the independence of their people.
JURY PRIZES DOCUMENTARY CATEGORY
TRANSPARENCY (SPONSORED BY DEEDA PRODUCTIONS)
STEALING AFRICA
Director: Christopher Guldbrandsen
2012 | Zambia | Switzerland | USA | UK
Zambia has the third largest copper reserves in the world, but 60% of the population lives on less than $1 a day. Ruschlikon is a village in Switzerland with a very low tax rate and very wealthy residents. It receives more tax than it can use thanks to one resident, Ivan Glasenberg, CEO of Glencore, whose copper mines in Zambia are generating huge profits.
STYLISTIC ACHIEVEMENT (SPONSORED BY G TECHNOLOGY)
LENS TO ACTION (SPONSORED BY THE ANGEL STATION)
ETHOS (SPONSORED BY DEEDA PRODUCTIONS)
ONE DAY AFTER PEACE
Director: Erez Laufer
2012 | Israel | South Africa
Can the means used to resolve the conflict in South Africa be applied to the Palestinian-Israeli conflict? Born in South Africa during the Apartheid era, Robi attempts to initiate a dialogue with the Palestinian who killed her son while he was serving in the Israeli Army. After facing rejection, she embarks on a journey back to South Africa to learn more about the country's TRC in overcoming years of enmity. Robi's thought-provoking journey leads from a place of deep personal pain to a belief that a better future is possible.
JURY PRIZES – IMPACT VIDEO CATEGORY
INNOVATION (SPONSORED BY GO CAMPAIGN)
Director: Gonzalo Escuder & Nacho Gomez
2013 | USA | Spain
Students from Washington State University visit the prison at Coyote Ridge in order to participate in a debate about gun control. The rest of the participants are the debate club members from the prison – a group of inmates that have been transformed and inspired by their new contact with education; prisoners that cling to it as their last chance for redemption.
IMPACT (SPONSORED BY GO CAMPAIGN)
THE ROAD TOWARD PALESTINIAN SELF-DETERMINATION IN DEVELOPMENT
Director: Sami Alalul
2013 | Palestine
How can Palestinians achieve self-determination in development if they don't control their own resources? Palestinian community foundation, the Dalia Association, shows how small, unrestricted grants help communities focus on their priorities and build skills and credibility to increase impact.
SPECIAL MENTIONS – DOCUMENTARY FEATURE CATEGORY
FUTURE MY LOVE
Director: Maja Borg| UK | Sweden
How much freedom are we prepared to give to the ones we love? And how much responsibility are we ready to take for our society? At the brink of losing the idealistic love of her life, Borg explores a radically different economic and social model proposed by 95-year-old futurist Jacque Fresco and poignantly depicts the universal struggle between our heads and hearts in times of big change.
TOUGH BOND
Directors: Anneliese Vandenberg & Austin Peck | USA | Kenya
There is a new tribe in Kenya called "Survivors" and they are easily identified by the bottle pressed against their lips. This fiercely loyal gang of children exists in the margins of an urban wilderness, huffing glue to endure the hell of street life. Following 4 kids over three years, Tough Bond delivers an alarming portrait of life in modern day Kenya.
THE SHEBABS OF YARMOUK
Director: Axel Salvatori-Sinz | France | Syria
The Shebabs have made up a small group of boys & girls since they were teens. Now on the eve of adulthood, they have a genuine thirst for life and for absolute, while being all confronted to intricate situations. Between the need for freedom and sticking to the group, between longing for revolt and the prospect of a well-ordered life, choices are hard to make; even more so if you're a Palestinian refugee in the camp of Yarmouk, in Syria.
SPECIAL MENTIONS – DOCUMENTARY SHORT CATEGORY
Director: Eunice Lau | Somalia
For two decades, Nobel Peace Prize Nominee Dr Hawa Abdi has been a beacon of hope for 90,000 Somalis who found refuge on her farm during the conflict. At age 19, Ilwad Elman returned to war-torn Mogadishu to continue the work of her father by running rehabilitation programs for child soldiers. After witnessing the destruction of her homeland, Edna Adan returned to Hargeisa to build the University Hospital of Somaliland. 'Through the Fire' shows how three remarkable women helped hold their country together during its darkest hour.
THE SOUND BARRIER
Directors: Thibault Dufour & Philip Drouin | Burkina Faso | France | USA
A mosquito-repellent soap that prevents malaria, straw bricks made out of agricultural residues for more sustainable housing, a biodigester made out of recycled plastic to create bio-gas for rural populations. The film follows 3 innovative social business ideas from students in Africa to take on major challenges faced by their continent. As they compete with hundreds of projects from around the world, one project starts to demonstrate that it just might have what it takes to make it all the way; a step towards international recognition that could mean a symbolic victory for the African youth.
Directors: Julia Bacha & Rebekah Wingert-Jabi | USA | Palestine | Israel
My Neighbourhood chronicles the coming-of-age story of Mohammed El Kurd, a Palestinian boy growing up in the heart of East Jerusalem. When Mohammed turns 11, his family is forced to give up part of their home to Israeli settlers, who are leading a campaign of court-sanctioned evictions to guarantee Jewish control of the area. Determined to remain in their homes, Mohammed and his neighbors wage a campaign of nonviolent protests against the evictions. In a surprising turn, they are quickly joined by scores of Israeli supporters who are horrified to see what is being done in their name.
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