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» Blog » The Potential of Big Data in Disrupting Pharma Industry
The Potential of Big Data in Disrupting Pharma Industry
Devendra Yadav | July 28, 2021
We have currently progressed to a state where there is too much information for one person to analyze. What we now call "Big data"- composed of more significant volumes, variety, and velocity of data than ever before, is just more data. With big data analytics, we now can process and make sense of that data, thus providing excellent opportunities for every industry.
Over the years, the demand for data has grown exponentially, and quick integration is now considered a business requirement. It is particularly true for pharmaceutical industries as they have always trusted empirical data to identify patterns, test theories, and understand the efficacy of treatments.
For big data analysis, one can manage an extensive collection of digital health records, administrative data, including medicine safety reports, drug prescriptions, and hospital discharge datasets.
Effectively leveraging these data will enable pharmaceutical companies better identify new potential drug candidates and develop them into effective, approved, and reimbursed medicines more quickly.
Exhibit 1. Big data analytics enables the pharmaceutical industry taking smarter and effective decisions.
How Is Big Data Impacting the Pharma Sector?
Sustainable Research and Development: The introduction of big data in the pharmaceutical industry help researcher gain insights about the potential therapeutic molecules and increase R&D productivity.
Better Clinical Trials: The data such as personality traits, genetic information, and disease status help recruit patients for effective clinical trials.
Expedite Drug Discovery: Researchers can apply predictive modeling to expedite the drug discovery process by utilizing big data in the pharmaceutical industry.
Controlling Adverse Drug Reactions (ADRs): Pharmaceuticals can leverage social media platforms, medical forums, and patient reviews to generate analytics around ADRs and build strategies to control these.
Empowering Personalized Medicine: Big data can be the key enabler of personalized medicine. Diagnosis and treatment of diseases are carried out using relevant data about a patient's genetic makeup, environmental factors, and behavioral patterns.
Exhibit 2. Omics data integration and analytics have the potential to promote personalized medicine.
Gain Insights on Sales and Marketing: Big data analytics will allow business leaders to examine large volumes of data about customer behavior, the impact of ad campaigns, customer retention, and competitors.
Boost Collaboration: Big data will help develop collaboration between pharmaceutical companies and healthcare institutions.
Big Data and Big Pharma Players!
Several pharma companies have already progressed by implementing big data technology into research and development, commercialization, and supply all phases are equipped with it.
GlaxoSmithKline recently announced a radical change in R&D spending, wherein the company will refocus on data analytics and the link between the immune system and human disease. GSK is trying to uncover bigger trends by studying the genetic profiles of patients with diseases. Scientists are starting to understand the cause that makes humans ill in the first place.
GE Healthcare and Roche Diagnostics have partnered to offer a comprehensive data dashboard to help providers coordinate care and target therapies to individuals and their needs.
Pfizer delivers Precision Medicine Analytics Ecosystem, a program that connects the dots among genomic, electronic medical record (EMR), and clinical trial data. And then rapidly delivers new drugs for specific patient populations.
Each of the three platforms Pfizer developed under this program represents a huge achievement.
1. The genomics research repository is built on tranSMART, an open-source data management system. It combines genomic data sets from internal and external sources, using the platform's data standards and processing capabilities.
2. Pfizer worked with Oracle and other partners to create a cloud-based clinical database called the Clinical Cloud.
3. The EMR module of Pfizer's data ecosystem contains "hundreds of millions" of anonymized records. Pfizer uses Tableau Software for data exploration and visualization for this module.
Johnson & Johnson can utilize data to learn more about who might be most at risk of getting sick by analyzing longitudinal data from a global COVID-19 registry about areas where the disease is most prevalent and hospitals in New York City.
Big Data Consortium
Paywalls and patents have long restricted the flow of information in the hypercompetitive industry. So, an interesting trend is growing collaboration amongst industry parties. For example, non-profit Structural Genomics Consortium partners with labs and pharma companies (Exhibit 3), who have promised to share their drug wish lists, results in open access journals, and experimental samples to speed up discovery.
Exhibit 3. Labs and pharma companies partner with Structural Genomics Consortium to promote open science.
Similarly, MedChemica, a UK startup, is at the core of a collaboration designed to speed up development using data mining while preserving each partner's intellectual property. MedChemica explores partners' databases of molecules to find closely matched pairs, performs an analysis between the two, and the output is consequently used to create rules that can be applied to virtual molecules to predict the impacts of similar structural changes. All partners in the consortium can advise where additional data is needed and can even agree to share costs for further testing.
Big Data Into Therapy Approach
Big data has changed the perspective of the treatment approach. The approach was based on 'One drug fits all medicine' before big data, wherein the outcome was decided based on trial and error. However, after big data, the treatment outcome was based on precision medicine (Exhibit 4). It resulted in minimizing the treatment error due to an evidence-based approach.
Exhibit 4. Big data enables the development of precision medicine over the conventional therapy approach.
Big data and analytics are crucial communication tools for effective decision-making. As a continuous process, pharmaceutical companies are looking for ways to get better upon the odds of getting a new drug in the market. They strive to go through drug discovery to market as quickly as possible and that too in the most cost-effective way and confronting numerous risks and legalities, at the same time to provide maximum benefit to patients.
To help companies achieve their business objectives and to overcome challenges, big data analytics that includes data integration, data mining, and analytics will help the pharmaceutical industry make smarter and quick decisions. With diverse data sources being added constantly, possibilities are immense. Undoubtedly, big data will advance over time, and we will deliver more excellent value to all the stakeholders. Applying these technology-assisted ways to benefit from big data, the healthcare sector or pharmaceutical could steadily change the tide of declining success rates and dormant pipelines.
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As developers, we have our user friendly programming languages to give instructions to computers but they are still translated into binary code for computers to be able to interpret them and run your programs.
Binary code is the most fundamental concept underlying programming and Computer Science. But, how does binary work then? How can a complex computer program consist of only 1's and 0's?
How does the binary number system works?
In the decimal system, each digit in a certain number represents the 1's, the 10's, the 100's, and so on, starting from the right hand side.


This is a bike Lindsay and I found while we were driving around after church one Sunday. Some lady had just got off and walked inside as we were driving by... and now it sits at the bottom of our stairs for Lindsay to enjoy!
Really, there was a big sign that said free bike so we stopped and put it in the back. I wasn't sure what was wrong with it, but I was excited to take on a little project. Fortunately not much was wrong. After taking the whole bike apart and putting it back together with a little bit of grease on the chain and air in the tires, we didn't even need some of the things I bought to fix it up. The tubes were in good shape and the rest of the bike is the same way. The brakes squeek a little when you apply them, but other than that it was worth every penny.
Lindsay likes to ride except when she gets half-way up a hill and gets to the last turn of the pedal and starts to roll backwards. In her defence she is pregnant and re-learning to ride a bike!


As Living Values Education enters its 20th year, our heart is full of the wonder of this gift to our world that is brought to life through the dedication of our Focal Points, Associates, IAC members, Trainers, the Board and mainly, and most significantly, yourselves.
Living Values Education has grown with love from the heart and continues to do with such a spirit of altruistic volunteerism. Thank you to you all and may this year be a year of true celebration of the richness and diversity of our cultures and shared values.
Living Values Education is like a rainbow of colours all leading to the treasure of shared values at the end of the rainbow. The colours come in many forms from every culture, belief system, tradition and wisdom across the world and bring hope to us all.


text:
using System;
using System.Net;
using System.Net.Sockets;
using System.Security.Cryptography.X509Certificates;

namespace OpenQA.Selenium.Safari.Internal
{
    /// <summary>
    /// Provides an implementation of a WebSocket server.
    /// </summary>
    public class WebSocketServer : IWebSocketServer
    {
        private readonly string scheme;
        private X509Certificate2 authenticationX509Certificate;

        /// <summary>
        /// Initializes a new instance of the <see cref="WebSocketServer"/> class.
        /// </summary>
        /// <param name="location">The location at which to listen for connections.</param>
        public WebSocketServer(string location)
            : this(8181, location)
        {
        }

        /// <summary>
        /// Initializes a new instance of the <see cref="WebSocketServer"/> class.
        /// </summary>
        /// <param name="port">The port on which to listen for connections.</param>
        /// <param name="location">The location at which to listen for connections.</param>
        public WebSocketServer(int port, string location)
        {
            var uri = new Uri(location);
            this.Port = uri.Port > 0 ? uri.Port : port;
            this.Location = location;
            this.scheme = uri.Scheme;
            var socket = new Socket(AddressFamily.InterNetwork, SocketType.Stream, ProtocolType.IP);
            this.ListenerSocket = new SocketWrapper(socket);
            this.ListenerSocket.Accepted += new EventHandler<AcceptEventArgs>(this.ListenerSocketAcceptedEventHandler);
        }

        /// <summary>
        /// Event raised when a message is received from the WebSocket.
        /// </summary>
        public event EventHandler<TextMessageHandledEventArgs> MessageReceived;

        /// <summary>
        /// Event raised when a connection is opened.
        /// </summary>
        public event EventHandler<ConnectionEventArgs> Opened;

        /// <summary>
        /// Event raised when a connection is closed.
        /// </summary>
        public event EventHandler<ConnectionEventArgs> Closed;

        /// <summary>
        /// Event raised when an error occurs.
        /// </summary>
        public event EventHandler<ErrorEventArgs> ErrorOccurred;

        /// <summary>
        /// Event raised when a non-WebSocket message is received.
        /// </summary>
        public event EventHandler<StandardHttpRequestReceivedEventArgs> StandardHttpRequestReceived;

        /// <summary>
        /// Gets or sets the <see cref="ISocket"/> on which communication occurs.
        /// </summary>
        public ISocket ListenerSocket { get; set; }

        /// <summary>
        /// Gets the location the server is listening on for connections.
        /// </summary>
        public string Location { get; private set; }

        /// <summary>
        /// Gets the port the server is listening on for connections.
        /// </summary>
        public int Port { get; private set; }

        /// <summary>
        /// Gets or sets the certificate used for authentication.
        /// </summary>
        public string Certificate { get; set; }

        /// <summary>
        /// Gets a value indicating whether the connection is secure.
        /// </summary>
        public bool IsSecure
        {
            get { return this.scheme == "wss" && this.Certificate != null; }
        }

        /// <summary>
        /// Starts the server.
        /// </summary>
        public void Start()
        {
            var localIPAddress = new IPEndPoint(IPAddress.Any, this.Port);
            this.ListenerSocket.Bind(localIPAddress);
            this.ListenerSocket.Listen(100);
            if (this.scheme == "wss")
            {
                if (this.Certificate == null)
                {
                    return;
                }

                this.authenticationX509Certificate = new X509Certificate2(this.Certificate);
            }

            this.ListenForClients();
        }

        /// <summary>
        /// Releases all resources used by the <see cref="WebSocketServer"/>.
        /// </summary>
        public void Dispose()
        {
            this.Dispose(true);
            GC.SuppressFinalize(this);
        }

        /// <summary>
        /// Raises the ConnectionOpened event.
        /// </summary>
        /// <param name="e">A <see cref="ConnectionEventArgs"/> that contains the event data.</param>
        protected void OnConnectionOpened(ConnectionEventArgs e)
        {
            if (this.Opened != null)
            {
                this.Opened(this, e);
            }
        }

        /// <summary>
        /// Raises the ConnectionClosed event.
        /// </summary>
        /// <param name="e">A <see cref="ConnectionEventArgs"/> that contains the event data.</param>
        protected void OnConnectionClosed(ConnectionEventArgs e)
        {
            if (this.Closed != null)
            {
                this.Closed(this, e);
            }
        }

        /// <summary>
        /// Raises the StandardHttpRequestReceived event.
        /// </summary>
        /// <param name="e">A <see cref="StandardHttpRequestReceivedEventArgs"/> that contains the event data.</param>
        protected void OnStandardHttpRequestReceived(StandardHttpRequestReceivedEventArgs e)
        {
            if (this.StandardHttpRequestReceived != null)
            {
                this.StandardHttpRequestReceived(this, e);
            }
        }

        /// <summary>
        /// Raises the MessageReceived event.
        /// </summary>
        /// <param name="e">A <see cref="TextMessageHandledEventArgs"/> that contains the event data.</param>
        protected void OnMessageReceived(TextMessageHandledEventArgs e)
        {
            if (this.MessageReceived != null)
            {
                this.MessageReceived(this, e);
            }
        }

        /// <summary>
        /// Raises the ErrorOccurred event.
        /// </summary>
        /// <param name="e">An <see cref="ErrorEventArgs"/> that contains the event data.</param>
        protected void OnErrorOccurred(ErrorEventArgs e)
        {
            if (this.ErrorOccurred != null)
            {
                this.ErrorOccurred(this, e);
            }
        }

        /// <summary>
        /// Releases the unmanaged resources used by the <see cref="SocketWrapper"/> and optionally
        /// releases the managed resources.
        /// </summary>
        /// <param name="disposing"><see langword="true"/> to release managed and resources;
        /// <see langword="false"/> to only release unmanaged resources.</param>
        protected virtual void Dispose(bool disposing)
        {
            if (disposing)
            {
                this.ListenerSocket.Dispose();
            }
        }

        private void ListenForClients()
        {
            this.ListenerSocket.Accept();
        }

        private void OnClientConnect(ISocket clientSocket)
        {
            this.ListenForClients();

            WebSocketConnection connection = null;
            connection = new WebSocketConnection(clientSocket, this.scheme);
            connection.MessageReceived += new EventHandler<TextMessageHandledEventArgs>(this.ConnectionMessageReceivedEventHandler);
            connection.BinaryMessageReceived += new EventHandler<BinaryMessageHandledEventArgs>(this.ConnectionBinaryMessageReceivedEventHandler);
            connection.Opened += new EventHandler<ConnectionEventArgs>(this.ConnectionOpenedEventHandler);
            connection.Closed += new EventHandler<ConnectionEventArgs>(this.ConnectionClosedEventHandler);
            connection.ErrorReceived += new EventHandler<ErrorEventArgs>(this.ConnectionErrorEventHandler);
            connection.StandardHttpRequestReceived += new EventHandler<StandardHttpRequestReceivedEventArgs>(this.ConnectionStandardHttpRequestReceivedEventHandler);

            if (this.IsSecure)
            {
                clientSocket.Authenticated += new EventHandler(this.SocketAuthenticatedEventHandler);
                clientSocket.Authenticate(this.authenticationX509Certificate);
            }
            else
            {
                connection.StartReceiving();
            }
        }

        private void ListenerSocketAcceptedEventHandler(object sender, AcceptEventArgs e)
        {
            this.OnClientConnect(e.Socket);
        }

        private void ConnectionClosedEventHandler(object sender, ConnectionEventArgs e)
        {
            this.OnConnectionClosed(new ConnectionEventArgs(e.Connection));
        }

        private void ConnectionOpenedEventHandler(object sender, ConnectionEventArgs e)
        {
            this.OnConnectionOpened(new ConnectionEventArgs(e.Connection));
        }

        private void ConnectionBinaryMessageReceivedEventHandler(object sender, BinaryMessageHandledEventArgs e)
        {
            throw new NotImplementedException();
        }

        private void ConnectionMessageReceivedEventHandler(object sender, TextMessageHandledEventArgs e)
        {
            this.OnMessageReceived(e);
        }

        private void ConnectionStandardHttpRequestReceivedEventHandler(object sender, StandardHttpRequestReceivedEventArgs e)
        {
            this.OnStandardHttpRequestReceived(e);
        }

        private void ConnectionErrorEventHandler(object sender, ErrorEventArgs e)
        {
            this.OnErrorOccurred(e);
        }

        private void SocketAuthenticatedEventHandler(object sender, EventArgs e)
        {
            throw new NotImplementedException();
        }
    }
}

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaGithub


Time once again for the monthly Inkin' Krew Blog Hop. I am always so happy to participate in hopping with my team and we have some real "tweets" in store for you LOL!
When I saw the Bird Banter stamp set in the Occasions Catalog I knew right away that it was perfect for a birthday card I needed and that's how this project was born. It's very simple and clean looking and super easy to create.
Using Whisper White cardstock (100730) I cut the focal panel using the largest square in the Stitched Shapes Framelits Dies (145372). I love how the stitching really gives the panel a finished look. Onto this I stamped the branch from Bird Banter Photopolymer Stamp Set (145852). The branch is longer than the panel, so I masked the end with a sticky note before inking it up with the Smoky Slate Classic Stampin' Pad(131179). I then used the light Old Olive and Crumb Cake Dark markers in the Stampin' Blends Markers Collection (147475) to color in the branch and leaves. Next, I chose the cute parakeet from the same stamp set and inked it up again using Smoky Slate, stamping it right on top of the branch. This is very easy to line up since these are photopolymer stamps. This cutie pie was colored with a combination of Pool Party light and dark, Bermuda Bay light and Daffodil Delight light Blends. I also colored in his beak with the Pumpkin Pie dark Blend. All that remained was to stamp the sentiment, again from Bird Banter, at the top of the panel using the Tuxedo Black Memento Ink Pad (132708).
I wanted the focal panel to have a cute background to sit on, so I cut a piece of Whisper White cardstock 4″ x 5-1/4″. I then took the leafy branch stamp from another Occasions stamp set, Petal Palette (145785), inked it up in Pear Pizzaz (131180) and stamped it twice from the center out to the upper left and again to the lower right.
That looked nice, but it still needed a little something extra to set off the focal panel. I happened to have a small piece of the green striped pattern found in the Delightful Daisy DSP (144137) that was just big enough to mount the focal panel onto with about 1/8″ border all around. This was glued to the focal panel with Multipurpose Liquid Glue (110755). Now I was ready to finish assembling the card.
I hope you enjoyed this card – if you have any questions about how I made it, please drop me a comment below and I will be happy to answer them. Now on to the rest of the hop! You can click either of the buttons or click on a name in the list below. Ta ta for now!
I think it's so cool that we both used the same stamp set in totally different ways for the hop. I adore your parakeet. The glossiness really adds to his/her beauty. Perfectly created imho.
Just shows how versatile this stamp set is and I love how you used a fun-fold on yours!
Super cute! I love the shine! Thank you for the inspiration and detailed instructions!
Beautiful bird and totally cute card.


Gaining the attention of airline passengers can be a turbulent task for flight attendants.
Smartphones, e-readers, and travel fatigue are just a few of the challenges flight attendants face during the preflight safety demonstrations.
To recapture passengers' attention, many airlines have transformed their in-person and video-based safety demonstrations.
Whether you're designing e-learning for puddle jumpers, transport carriers, or fancy private jets, there's always a creative way to engage learners.
And that's what this week's airline safety training challenge is all about!
This week, your challenge is to share an e-learning example for airline safety training.
You can create an interactive safety card using labeled graphics, a safety presentation, guided tours, dos and don'ts, interactive pictures, anthropomorphic characters, or anything else related to airline safety training!
Inflight Passenger Announcements: Great collection of announcement scripts.
Airline Announcements: Audio recordings of the common pre-flight announcements.
Airline Safety Speech: Good overview of the common aspects of the preflight safety demonstration.
Wishing you safe travels, E-Learning Heroes!
The concept is so creative! Thank you for sharing.
I've flown many times in my younger years working with the airlines. It's refreshing to see safety in a new light. Thanks Dianne and David for sharing the videos and other resources.
That's pretty cool and extraordinary which makes it engaging. Thanks for sharing Dianne.
Can i just move there?
We may be a long way away from everyone, but we love our beautiful country - you can always come and visit Jeff!
What a beautiful country we live in Dianne, thanks for sharing.
That's another great safety video! I just updated the resources at the top of the post to include your Qantas example, Dianne! Thanks.
That's gorgeous Dianne, brought a tear to my eye! and Jeff, you are very welcome to move here!
Thanks, Alexander. Everything should be updated now.
Awesome interaction Tracey, I love the turkey at the end!
Cool concept for carry-on items! I wrongly assumed lighters would not be allowed. Nicely done, Tracy!
I messed up on the lighter too. Nice course Tracy.
Cool Tracy, great sound effects and colours!
Nice Tracy, i really like it.
That was entertaining and informative Tracy. Thanks. I haven't flown for a while and was hoping to take my baseball bat on board when I head off to Italy. Not doing that now! Thanks again.
I got inspired by an image I found on iStock for this. http://elearninglaboratory.articulate-online.com/8281486396 Quite simple (I set myself a limit of 3 hrs for every challenge). I imagined it playing on a tablet on the seat.
Very nice Phil! Did you edit the images, or were they all included?
Thanks Linda, I downloaded the AI file and most of the images were in there, i added in a few images and only needed to edit 3 of the parts of the image.
Great work Phil! I like the interaction used & the images.
Always a fan Phil... excellent work.
Lovely graphics and great animation. Love the tune! Great work Phil!
It still works for me Tristan. Try another browser.
Beautiful, Phil! I love the retro feel & the music. Is it the Catch Me if You Can theme?
Thanks Tracy, yep you got the music, think it is the second time I used it in a challenge.
This is phenomenal Linda, I love the concept and creative approach.
Linda, Superb design and superb execution, just superb!
Fabulous idea Linda! very creative.
Very creative Linda, well done!!
I really liked the subtle hint at new employment options in another area. The option to not only have them say there is a weapon, but also identify the weapon is phenomenal. Great job Linda!
Very Inspiring!! I love this concept.
I liked how you matched the luggage going in with the x-ray version, Linda! Nice work!
Great idea Alex, I love how you used the seat background.
Using the screen in the seat back is super effective Alex. You have a engaging and unique style of design!
That's just so great Alexander!
Thanks for sharing Alex...I realy liked the diversity of learning styles that you've put in this one!!!
That 's a good one, Alex.
Fantastic Alex! I always love how you get the learner active and involved in the learning by making them click to take the required action. It brings it to life. This is something I want to consider using when I build lessons. Thanks for the inspiration.
Thanks to all of you for the great feedback.
Thanks Bola! :) Just wanted to confirm did the course run well for you coz some are experiencing issues with it?
Nice looking course Samar. I couldn't get it to go past the exit slide. I'm not sure if it ends there, or if I just had trouble viewing it.
Hmmm, I got stuck on the "Life Vest" slide - I can see the indicator that the course is loading (the rotating round thingy keeps rotating :) ), but nothing happens. Same happens after I reload the page/course. Not sure if this is me, Google Drive, or the course? I'm guessing not the course, since some of us obviously got through it.
Hi Maija! Apologies for the bad experience. There are some issues these days with Google drive while hosting a file. I'm looking for other alternatives (free! :P), if any suggestions it'll be helpful.
Hi Samar. No need to apologise for technology! In terms of hosting, I'm personally using AWS S3 service, which is technically free for the first 12 months after you sign up (with some limitations, which may be quite generous if you're storing just e-learning challenges). If you exceed the limits and/or after 12 months, it uses "pay as you go" pricing: https://aws.amazon.com/s3/pricing/ They do have a "simple" pricing calculator, but it's simple if you actually know the numbers about the amount of data you're storing, how often you upload new data and how frequently it is accessed.
That was nice Samar. I like the "Nah, I'm fine". If you want to try DropBox, it is a good option for publishing. See this video for a demo: https://vimeo.com/108414673 Compliments of Ashley Chiasson. She has some great videos!
Thanks Daniela! :) Appreciate the sharing of video feed. Though I've already signed up for Amazon's web host as suggested by Maija, Dropbox could be a good alternative if I run into any problem with Amazon.
Dianne I think that looks great worth the time spent. I cannot get the video it does not load in safari just a white background, odd. I have to limit my time or I get too ambitious, case in point the Star Wars challenge I spent 5 hours just drawing R2D2 using shapes in Storyline.
Thanks Phil - that's weird about Safari. I should put in a support request because it's just a video added to a slide and published, so in my mind this should work. Have you had this issue with any other published courses you've tried to view that have video in them? I can totally relate to your story about spending 5 hours on something challenge-related. This is great for skills-building and good if you've got the time - otherwise it could be seen as being a bit obsessed, I guess!
Sorry been buried in work, I have not seen before but may be related to dropbox. As far as time goes I really try to limit it or will go wild and build crazy stuff. I have huge list of things i want to build (one day0.
lol - going wild and building crazy stuff sounds OK to me! I'm betting my list of things I want to build is at least equal in length to yours Phil! The highlight of my week is when a challenge topic is posted that is aligned with something I already have in mind to build, or have started building and put a lot of work into - then I can release it quickly.
Wow - thank you Bola!
Beautiful Dianne, I love the effect of the filters that you used.
Awesome work Dianne! It's clean & very easy to understand.
Gee - thanks Jay. I've never had someone use the term "stunning" to describe my designs before!
This was really great - I'm super impressed with how you tweaked the images.
I liked the small interactions and highlights, like opening the window and pointing out the chair in the wrong position.
I like the pencil sketch and comic effect in your images Dianne. I find that really neat.
Super-clean, readable design, Saurabh. Very intuitive. Nice work!
Thanks Jay for your kind feedback.
Nice use of graphics Saurabh.
So one day, this will come in handy when we can buy tickets to the moon! Nice images. Cute Saurabh!
Great! I would have liked a slide at the end that said something like "Great news! The people are probably alive!
What a great idea! I like your new photo too Paul.
I really liked this. What a great idea. Loved the accent. Love the images. Really grabbed my attention. And it should. How many times do we just read our magazines during the safety procedures (oops, my bad!). Thanks for sharing Paul!
I thought about skipping a week, but suddenly had some free time! Here's my submission for this challenge: http://bit.ly/1SL3i31 inspired by the article "What Airlines Won't Tell You During The Safety Demonstration" As some have mentioned before, the time budget for the challenges is often limited - this was the case for me as well. In addition, I haven't found any really free images that would be helpful for the idea I had in mind, so I had to improvise. While I wouldn't try this example on actual passengers (and shouldn't they be turning off their electronic devices before take-off?), it was an interesting exercise in thinking about ways to create a compliance/safety training (with no assets on top of that!).
Maija, I like your use of the drag and drop letter options.
Awesome work Maija! Very smooth. I liked how you built in the cases with feedback. Very nice!
Very funny Adam - great approach!
I like this one Adam, good use of humour. Is there only one question? I wasn't able to move on from the first question no matter what I answered.
Sweet Adam! Loved that movie. Makes me think how important it is to include humour and things people can relate to or that are popular. Gains their interest and attention.
Spent most of today working on this. Demo: https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/104082595/CH%20%23128%20Airline%20Safety%20-%20Storyline%20output/story.html I just want to shout out to all of you who post source files. You are so kind and I really appreciate it. It is helping me build my SL skills. Thank you!
Great idea Daniela, I like your Audio included icon, a lot of time my users have the sound turned off when they start a course, I will be using a icon like this in the future, Thanks for the idea!
Ditto to Julia's comment, the audio included icon is a great idea.
Thanks for all the feedback !
Hi Colleen! I got stuck on the first screen and I think it's because you're hosting via Google Drive. I faced the same issue this time.
The animations for the tabs is really slick!
Great images and animation. Really like your idea.
Very cute use of the cats Tamara! Nice scenario.
Hi everyone! Just a quick post to let you know the airline challenge recap is current: https://community.articulate.com/articles/airline-safety-training-elearning/ If you shared an example and it's not in the recap, let me know immediately so I can add it. Thanks!


NEW Kodak Mini 2 Instant Photo Printer Black Wireless KODMP2B MP2-B FREE Ship!
Taking pictures has become the most popular and trendy thing in today's society, and printing them quickly and easily is essential for every photography lover. However, when it comes to choosing a photo printer, there's a lot to consider. With a ton of options currently on the market, it can be difficult making a decision. That's why we here at Comparaboo have put together this shopping guide to help you find the photo printer that's right for you.
There are essentially four types of photo printers to choose from: Basic Photo Printers, Wireless Photo Printers, All-in-One Photo Printers, and Compact Photo Printers. Let's break it down.
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text:
David C. Johnson est un flûtiste et compositeur de musique électronique américain, né le 30 janvier 1940 à Batavia (New York).

Biographie
Durant sa jeunesse, Johnson étudia à l'université Harvard en 1964, avec Nadia Boulanger à Paris et enfin à Cologne où il suivit les cours du compositeur Karlheinz Stockhausen. En 1966, il devient collaborateur indépendant à l'Electronic Studio de la WDR, où il a notamment assisté Stockhausen dans la production du fameux morceau Hymnen, ainsi que dans quelques-unes de ses œuvres telles que Mixtur et Ensemble en 1967, Musik für ein Haus en 1968.

En 1968, il donne des cours sur la musique électronique à Cologne, et rencontre des musiciens locaux : Holger Czukay, Michael Karoli, Irmin Schmidt et Jaki Liebezeit. Il forme avec eux un groupe de rock expérimental, bientôt figure de proue de la scène allemande Krautrock, Can. En 1969, il désapprouve le virage rock entamé par le groupe, et quitte ce dernier.

En 1970, il continue d'assister Karlheinz Stockhausen dans ses travaux sur la musique électronique et participe avec lui à l'Exposition universelle d'Osaka. De retour en Europe, il fonde, en compagnie de Johannes Fritsch et Rolf Gehlhaar, le Feedback Studio à Cologne en 1971, et collabore activement au Studio de Musique électronique d'Utrecht. Toujours en 1971, il rejoint l'Oeldorf Group, une association de musiciens, regroupant également Péter Eötvös et Mesías Maiguashca, avec lesquels il se produira chaque été, lors d'un festival consacré, jusqu'en 1975.

Jusqu'en 1985, il dirige nombre de studios d'enregistrements, uniquement réservés aux artistes d'avant-garde et de musique électronique. Il vit désormais en Suisse. Il a eu un enfant avec l'artiste allemande Mary Bauermeister.

Compositions
 Three Pieces for string quartet (1966)
 Dort wo wir leben (1967)
 TeleFun  (1968)
 Ton-Antiton (1968)
 Prorganica (1970)
 Organica I–IV (1970–72)
 Triangles (1975)
 Ars Subtilior Electrica (1977)

Liens externes

Musicien américain de musique électronique
Compositeur américain de musique classique de la période contemporaine
Naissance en janvier 1940
Étudiant de l'université Harvard
Élève de Karlheinz Stockhausen
Flûtiste américain

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaWikipedia


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//Taken from stack overflow -> should be revised...
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If you are interested in booking your own outdoor family photo session with Ottawa's Danielle Lynn Photography, I'd love to hear from you! I am currently booking sessions for Summer 2015!
This entry was posted in Family and tagged Mother Daughter Photos, Ottawa family photographer, Ottawa family photography, Outdoor family photos in Ottawa, portraits on June 5, 2015 by Danielle Lynn Bernier.


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text:
An exercise
by Colman Wed Dec 5th, 2007 at 10:06:59 AM EST
Define "overpopulation".
Define "decent living standard"
Demonstrate that the current population is inherently unsustainable.
Determine the maximum population that can be maintained at a decent standard of living.
Update [2007-12-5 10:42:10 by Colman]: Supplementary question, suggested by kcurie: 0. Define sustainable.
An exercise | 57 comments (57 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)
Re: An exercise (4.00 / 3)
Submissions will be graded by throwing them down the stairs.
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Wed Dec 5th, 2007 at 10:08:40 AM EST
great add up.. overpopulation is having more population than those living sustainible.. now go figure how to define sustainability...
I guess it would be soemthing like using less energy, less materials and less food than those the earth cycle can provide..
and now we should go about how much an earth cycle can provide in terms of energy , materials and food.
matarials would be the easy one..... how much we can recycle and how much we can produce to keep production constant in say 500 years.. I put the figure of 500 years as somethign I propose.
regardign eenrgy..well not consume more energy than the ones the trees which grow each year and fall, the wind and the water can provide.. I would also add up the nuclear if the leftovers are properly dealt with.. if not erase nuclear. yes I would eliminate coal and oil except at ranges of extraction constant at 500 years for coal (one fifth of the present extraction at minimum) and 200 year for oil (something like 10 milion barrels a day for the whole world)
regardign food... that's the most difficutl one.. because soil science is one of the most difficult topics in scince..r ealy.. just below neurobiology (probably).. there is a huge research ecenter in Israel (where I met people).. it is really togh to know how much a soil can provide .. it depends ont hings like.. the global cliamte, humidity (so water in the soil)... the msot difficult of course.
regardign water.. well.. that's not a problem.. see enrgy and add center of potable production form sea water.
A pleasure
I therefore claim to show, not how men think in myths, but how myths operate in men's minds without their being aware of the fact. Levi-Strauss, Claude
by kcurie on Wed Dec 5th, 2007 at 01:15:39 PM EST
1. Not interested... Popualtion that can be mantianed "sustainable" with preset technology coudl be defined if we define sustainablity.
2 The way of living of a portuguese in 1980.
State of the world rport (I think from an issue before 2000) stablishing that Porutgal at the begnning of the 80's was enviromentally sustainable.
From the density of population in Portugal, 100 hab/km^2 and taing into account that not all the world is equally suystainable..a dn that Spain is a much mroe conmfortable place regardgin space.. and then dividing by two given for no-go-zones we get ana verage of 40 hab/km^2. fivent hat the land surface of the Earth is 150 million km^2, we get the wonderful measure of 6 billion (one billion up one billion down) living like portuguese int he 1980's (on energy consumption, resources consumption....)
by kcurie on Wed Dec 5th, 2007 at 10:37:45 AM EST
Re: An exercise (none / 0)
On 1., why present technology?
Your last point, of course, is key: the question is total resources energy consumption.
present technology on energy use. The more efficient the equipement , the better you can live and more enrgy consume.... there is stila lot of room for efficiency in some aspects of life.
regardignt materials.. the best they are recycled, the more you c n consume. see for exaple the case of paper.. we worried long tiem ago about trees..a dn their disappearance.. no more due to paper.. paper is mostly recycled now..and tres are cut for other stuff like uber-expensive tables... paper production problem now is basically quanititt of water used (and still not as much as it used to be).
regarding food.. well.. I am fraid that's pretty much constant nowadays.. and actually a little bit less of meat to keep it sustainable...
,,,and actually a little bit less of meat to keep it sustainable...
I'm wondering if there is a point when meat goes from a) it get made like it does now, to b) the meat growing structure that has been created just collapses when x number of people can no longer afford it.
Water is getting more scarce, and someday they are going to have to do something about the pollution that concentrated meat farms create...these things will slowly add up until the meat eaters eat chicken and the chicken eaters eat more soy...then there is more water and more soy because it isn't all going to the wasteful meat farms...which makes the world sustainable for more people.
Never underestimate their intelligence, always underestimate their knowledge.
Frank Delaney ~ Ireland
by siegestate (siegestate or beyondwarispeace.com) on Wed Dec 5th, 2007 at 05:39:57 PM EST
it's nice being a cerealarian....
there's enough for everyone, and those who wanted to could still have meat a few times a month...
harvested from the petri vat in the basement!!!
'The history of public debt is full of irony. It rarely follows our ideas of order and justice.' Thomas Piketty
by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Thu Dec 6th, 2007 at 08:34:41 AM EST
2. The way of living of a portuguese in 1980.
Hmmm, and what would that be?
The average between my grandmother's who cooked on wood fire on the floor of her "kitchen" and preserved food in salt, and the life style of those people who went to London for shopping on weekends?
Anyway, i bet one could do a lot better, because efficiency was not a priority in those days.
by Torres on Wed Dec 5th, 2007 at 11:58:25 AM EST
the average.. and with energy efficency you could get a very decent standard of living.
There is only one term that needs to be defined: "decent" as in decent standard of living, from this everything else follows.
If the decent standard of living is unachievable with the current population than that means we have overpopulation.
If the decent standard of living can't be maintained indefinitely into the future then we don't have sustainability.
So, decent:
As people get introduced to more materialism their frame of reference shifts and what they consider necessities changes as well. What was adequate for a Victorian would seem primitive to even poor families in the US or EU today. Imagine no indoor plumbing or electricity. Imagine no antibiotics or other medical advances. Imagine no mechanized transport except rail.
My hobbyhorse has been to get people to redefine "decent" so that it includes less of the material and more of the communal. This means more person to person interaction, more social groups, more entertainment and ritual and more relaxation. It doesn't mean giving up modern technology, but it probably means cutting down on excess and wastefulness.
If you want a number take the GDP of the world, reduce it by the current excess consumption (estimated at 1.3 to 1.6) beyond sustainability and then divide by the world population (6.6 billion). Whatever that number is would be the needed per capita GDP on average with current levels of technology.
I'm guessing it would require that the US reduce its consumption by about 80%. I don't see that happening without a fight, and neither does the DoD, which is why they are already planning for the next war against China or Russia.
Policies not Politics
---- Daily Landscape
by rdf (robert.feinman@gmail.com) on Wed Dec 5th, 2007 at 11:49:29 AM EST
Adam Smith: The Wealth of Nations (Project Gutenberg)
By necessaries I understand, not only the commodities which are indispensibly necessary for the support of life, but whatever the custom of the country renders it indecent for creditable people, even of the lowest order, to be without. A linen shirt, for example, is, strictly speaking, not a necessary of life. The Greeks and Romans lived, I suppose, very comfortably, though they had no linen. But in the present times, through the greater part of Europe, a creditable day-labourer would be ashamed to appear in public without a linen shirt, the want of which would be supposed to denote that disgraceful degree of poverty, which, it is presumed, nobody can well fall into without extreme bad conduct. Custom, in the same manner, has rendered leather shoes a necessary of life in England. The poorest creditable person, of either sex, would be ashamed to appear in public without them. In Scotland, custom has rendered them a necessary of life to the lowest order of men; but not to the same order of women, who may, without any discredit, walk about barefooted. In France, they are necessaries neither to men nor to women; the lowest rank of both sexes appearing there publicly, without any discredit, sometimes in wooden shoes, and sometimes barefooted. Under necessaries, therefore, I comprehend, not only those things which nature, but those things which the established rules of decency have rendered necessary to the lowest rank of people. All other things I call luxuries, without meaning, by this appellation, to throw the smallest degree of reproach upon the temperate use of them. Beer and ale, for example, in Great Britain, and wine, even in the wine countries, I call luxuries. A man of any rank may, without any reproach, abstain totally from tasting such liquors. Nature does not render them necessary for the support of life; and custom nowhere renders it indecent to live without them.
So, clearly, what constitutes a "decent" standard of living is partly a cultural construct. Is there a universal, lowest-common-denominator standard of decency? Should we be satisfied with providing everyone with that minimum standard, or do we need to allow for leeway for people to pursue higher levels of need on Maslow's hierarchy? And, should we decree that certain culturally defined decency norms (like, for instance, in California a creditable day labourer would be ashamed to appear in public without an SUV) are unacceptable and therefore the respective cultures should be reformed?
We have met the enemy, and he is us — Pogo
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Dec 5th, 2007 at 02:03:51 PM EST
Have you read 'The Human Biocomputer' by Dr John Lilley? Quite an eye-opener at the time it was published in 1974
You can't be me, I'm taken
by Sven Triloqvist on Wed Dec 5th, 2007 at 02:21:25 PM EST
No, never heard of it.
http://www.futurehi.net/docs/Metaprogramming.html
Don't fight forces, use them R. Buckminster Fuller.
by rg (leopold dot lepster at google mail dot com) on Thu Dec 6th, 2007 at 12:47:20 PM EST
and wine, even in the wine countries, I call luxuries. A man of any rank may, without any reproach, abstain totally from tasting such liquors. Nature does not render them necessary for the support of life; and custom nowhere renders it indecent to live without them.
I would consider indecent to live without wine!
"Dieu se rit des hommes qui se plaignent des conséquences alors qu'ils en chérissent les causes" Jacques-Bénigne Bossuet
by Melanchthon on Wed Dec 5th, 2007 at 02:21:52 PM EST
But is it indecent to live without good wine?
by the stormy present (stormypresent aaaaaaat gmail etc) on Wed Dec 5th, 2007 at 02:26:04 PM EST
What do you think I mean when I say wine? Bad wine?
Like Oscar Wilde, I have the simplest tastes. I am always satisfied with the best...
You clearly don't live in Egypt. Akeed.
Although I guess I could start referring to the domestic product as "wine," making those little quote marks with my fingers every time I say it. Or I could say "so-called wine," with or without the little finger-quotes.
You clearly don't live in Egypt.
NO, but you can find excellent wines in Morocco, Algeria, Tunisia and Lebanon, let alone Turkey...
... Moroccan wine? Had not even thought of that. The others I'm familiar with, especially the Lebanese ones, although the best Lebanese wine has gotten ridiculously hard to find in Beirut, as it's mostly being exported now. :-(
I travel often enough that I am able to keep a relatively good supply of decent wine on hand, either through duty-free purchases or flat-out smuggling. I have honed the concealment of wine & whiskey bottles in my luggage into an art form -- out of necessity, of course. ;-) (Would it be crass to take pleasure in the very act of smuggling?)
I'm pretty sure it's necessary for the support of life as well. ;)
"Pretending that you already know the answer when you don't is not actually very helpful." ~Migeru.
by poemless on Wed Dec 5th, 2007 at 02:26:19 PM EST
Migeru:
So, clearly, what constitutes a "decent" standard of living is partly a cultural construct.
Well, decent is usually taken to mean a first derivative of constant improvement and enhanced life opportunities.
A contraction of opportunities is considered unacceptable whether or not it's sustainable.
Aside from a few eco-pioneers, there is nowhere in the developed world which doesn't take this as a given.
So I think if you want to define sustainable you have to start with a cultural redefinition before you can get to a practical one.
This isn't just theory. In practice people only put up with work because they're distracted by a constant stream of shiny new toys every year. If that stream stops, you either have totalitarianism - to keep the proles in place - or revolution.
At that point physical sustainability will probably come out in the wash anyway.
I haven't see anyone writing about cultural sustainability as a concept - it's implied in Maslow, but it doesn't seem to be talked about explicitly.
If you create a sustainable world where everyone spends 12 hours a day growing food, you no longer have the same culture that you have today. So although you've 'saved' something, you haven't actually saved your civilisation.
This might not be a bad thing - some people would love a culture where there's nothing to do except grow food, and people like Bookchin argue that this is how it should be, and people who grow stuff are more important than people who think about stuff.
But converting a culture back to subsistence will have a huge effect on people's emotional and cultural horizons. What defines our civilisation is accumulation of insight and information. We could probably work out sustainable ways to support that, but only if we start from the premise that accumulation of insight and information isn't a bad thing and should continue in some form.
The challenge to sustainability isn't just about growing food and producing energy, but maintaining enlightenment values of curiosity and cultural development. I think by default if you have steady-state physical and economic sustainability you'll most likely get steady-state art and science too - which may mean there won't be a whole of it.
by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Wed Dec 5th, 2007 at 05:56:38 PM EST
TBG - you wrote: (4.00 / 2)
"Well, decent is usually taken to mean a first derivative of constant improvement and enhanced life opportunities." I think that it is an integral. For one thing, if the improvement is constant, it plays no part in your derivative.
How about 6 hours per day, six days per week, for agricultural work for all who are adult and physically capable? That leaves a fair amount of time to build wind turbines and to write sonnets.
I wasn't there, but some observers of working class' life from the last two centuries in the U.S. claim that some loggers and cowboys knew Shakespeare well enough to shout the lines out when the plays were presented at the local dancehall. Then there's the down-home musicians, of whom I have known many, who also put in a full (U.S. terms) workweek.
paul spencer
by paul spencer (spencerinthegorge AT yahoo DOT com) on Wed Dec 5th, 2007 at 07:25:28 PM EST
great comment, but i beg to disagree...
high tech can facilitate innovation and technical genius, but just because it has accelerated exponentially these last 100 years is no reason to think that we won't continue to grow scientifically in a plateau of 80's portugese peasant level life.
many great inventions we still use today were born without the huge advantages computing gives us now.
we have gone to the edge, and if we pull back now, we will have learned the lessons from gazing into the abyss, and will have to be more responsible from now on...
we have the tools...
Good one, melo - (none / 1)
My third cousin, Reginald Fessenden, came off of the farm in Quebec to become one of the principal inventors of radio and sonar (the first to describe radio from a theoretical standpoint - "heterodyne" principle). The Wright Bros. were mechanics in a rural/small town environment. Jimmie Dale Gilmore and Buddy Holly came from the vast, parched mesquite forests of West Texas. Clearly, science, invention, and great art can arise from environments associated with "static" cultural conditions.
Balance - moderation - concepts that have been proven to serve us all very well, but somehow dynamism has the cachet.
by paul spencer (spencerinthegorge AT yahoo DOT com) on Thu Dec 6th, 2007 at 11:00:23 AM EST
Re: Good one, melo - (none / 0)
'"Static" cultural conditions'? What does that mean? How on earth was, say, early 20th C rural America a static cultural environment?
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Thu Dec 6th, 2007 at 11:03:49 AM EST
aren't you splitting hairs, here, colman?
even cavemen didn't live in a 'static' environment, but tbg was inferring that if we go back to 1800 style life we may not have any more great scientific breakthrough, or many less.
my guess is the proportion we lose because of less ubiquitous access to tech will be more than repaid by the healthier living conditions ensuing from not spewing so much damn sulphur, carbon, mercury, benzene and strontium, to name but few, into our environments.
just guessing tho'...
by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Thu Dec 6th, 2007 at 12:23:04 PM EST
I don't think I am splitting hairs at all.
And the assumption of "less ubiquitous access to tech" is justified because? Or that spewing pollution is a necessary pre-condition to electronic technology, which is what I assume you mean by "tech". Or are you expecting to forget how to school a horse?
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Thu Dec 6th, 2007 at 12:50:38 PM EST
_ Or that spewing pollution is a necessary pre-condition to electronic technology, which is what I assume you mean by "tech"
no, i think we _could run a cyber-infotained society off alt energy, it doesn't suck that much juice...
i mean compared to running 18-wheelers back and forth carrying california oranges to florida and vice versa etc, natch...
a little hit on the ET crackpipe after cutting grass for the rabbits and other chores...
And how, and why, would we return to an "1800's style lifestyle"? That's just plain silly. Are we going to uninvent everything? Why 1800? Why not 1200 or 1900 or 100BCE?
i should have known better than to take you on, colman...
i do silly, yes, but i was pulling that number out of you know where...
i personally believe we'll get to keep the high tech communications, the dvds, torrents whatever, because without them there might be the kind of social unrest characteristic also of those times..
maybe there'll be less pcs, we may have to share more, but i do think without the mass entertainment people have become addicted to, there'd be chaos.
what we probably won't have is so many techy gadgets like electric nosehair clippers, leafblowers etc...
we'll be raking those leaves for compost anyway...
and what's horse training got to do with tech?
i'm not arguing with you. lol!
"Technology is a broad concept that deals with a species' usage and knowledge of tools and crafts, and how it affects a species' ability to control and adapt to its environment. ..." ( Wikipedia)
Restricting the term to just mean the most recent products of "high" technology is plain wrong. Horse schooling to produce a rideable or bidable horse is a technology: applied knowledge.
thanks for enlightening me, mustard man...
in my ignorance i was willing to concede you that lunge lines qualified!
now i see even my brain's effluvia is a form of tech!
i feel suddenly more equipped.... no equine quip intended...
Re: Good one, melo - (4.00 / 2)
Hang on a bit! Brace yourelf....
by Sven Triloqvist on Thu Dec 6th, 2007 at 01:32:07 PM EST
heh, if ET is the brace, you sure are one of the bits...
you know the drill...
trust you to show up, your ruthless and immoderate use of puns is infectious
Did someone mention me?
Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.
by ceebs (ceebs (at) eurotrib (dot) com) on Thu Dec 6th, 2007 at 01:45:40 PM EST
Somebody did, but not Someone.
Oh wow, it's like I'm 12 again!
i heard that mustard induces merriment...
i like it on (potato) pancakes
<dux>
i meant it affectionately, but you knew that...
Yes, balance and moderation would be nice. Unfortunately, no-one seems to be interested in those. It seems to be either one extreme or the other: "winddown" and 80's peasant conditions or let the market deal with it.
What is a stable state economy and why would we want one?
Maslow's stuff is nice cataloguing of needs, but the hierarchy is nonsense.
People just don't satisfy their need for food before they start worrying about status or morality or affiliation: we don't work that way. We're capable of starving ourselves to death in pursuit of "higher levels" of need.
Those "higher levels" of need are essential to any definition of decency that considers people as more than economic machines.
Maslow arranged it in a hierarchy because Fuzzy Cognitive Maps hadn't been invented when he was writing.
She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre
by ATinNM on Thu Dec 6th, 2007 at 07:35:13 PM EST
Ok so say we work out the optimum sustainable consumption that will give a decent standard of living. How much slack do you think would have to be allowed in the system to stop local areas degrading due to extreme events andgradually dragging the entire biosphere/economy/resource base down?
by ceebs (ceebs (at) eurotrib (dot) com) on Wed Dec 5th, 2007 at 06:06:19 PM EST
You define and implement a "safety factor" the same we way do when designing objects like bridges.
you are the media you consume.
by MillMan (millguy at gmail) on Wed Dec 5th, 2007 at 06:25:05 PM EST
I just love this place. People bored at school, home, work drop by and are asked to draw up a blueprint for nothing less than saving the human race. So refreshing to see people have such high expectations of each other. Makes one feel warm inside.
I'm not being sarcastic.
You're not being sarcastic, but Colman is.
I wasn't aware that he could be any other way ... ;)
Colman: discover the many shades of grumpy.
I'm not being sarcastic: I genuinely don't feel that these things have been adequately explained or demonstrated by people who seem to think they understand them deeply.
Or has rigour above rhetoric gone out of fashion around here?
Hmmm.. I'm in the difficult position that I think we can have a 'decent life' with current population, and could still have that same decent life with twice the population at time x in the future if we in the mean time make adjustments y and z and improvements xy and xz.
If you talk about the future past a 30 year horizon*, it seems probable that the amount of unknowns explodes. Hey, you know, the singularity might happen and super-intelligent robots or post-humans could Save Us All! At the same time much of the sustainability and global warming issues we talk about here require us to look over this horizon. So, we speculate.
Speculation about global population peaking at around 8 billion globally is reasonable if we look at current trends and the drivers behind these. If the singularity or a mere set of innovations in medicine gives us longevity far beyond these trends, of course it becomes nonsense. And talk about allocating regional reproduction limits might actually become reasonable. But I'd guess you are impatient with such rather far-out 'what if' scenarios?
To go back to speculation about the future, it is somewhat necessarily at a very high level of abstraction. You deal with concepts like 'population', 'wealth', 'technology'. These can give you a feeling of control over the complex of facts and eventualities you're dealing with, but they only do so because they hide the particulars. So you need to realise that you're speculating.
At the same time it's too easy to just call bullshit on all speculation. If we can't discuss problems that will arise past a specific horizon, then why should we do anything about the patterns that are currently leading us to these problems? Why give a shit about sustainability?
(in the very broad sense of bequesting future generations a world worth living in)
What is a decent life can vary to a very high degree. We see that general happiness does not improve when a certain set of material preconditions has been met, iow, material affluence has diminishing returns and becomes a positional game past a certain point. There is a large and increasing body of scientific evidence that backs this idea up. I don't think happiness alone should define a decent life, which is something that everyone should find out for themselves. At the same time, I think we as a human community can define a set of preconditions that allow people to strive for their own idea of a good life. And that seeing to it that these preconditions are available for everyone, and can still be available for everyone in the future should be a prime political objective.
* 30 years is only a half-random number. It represents a generation, and a generation's work (at least afew seems to define the core working age population as between 25 and 55...) and at the same time it is the cut-off for most long-term bonds.
by nanne (zwaerdenmaecker@gmail.com) on Thu Dec 6th, 2007 at 06:19:29 PM EST
what seems grumpy to me is failing to link to the ten, twelve or possibly more, extensive and fairly technical discussions of this topic that have occurred over the last year or so: the "one terron" thread and its spinoffs in particular, the long "define decent life" explorations by Nomad et al.
so it's not as if these questions have not been gnawn -- my new creative past tense for the day -- over, right here at ET, at considerable length, on more than one prior occasion, with a lot of fairly serious thought and even some -- gasp! -- numbers going into the discussion.
surely there are new things to be said, but it's mot like we haven't been here, and with some rigour even.
The difference between theory and practise in practise ...
by DeAnander (de_at_daclarke_dot_org) on Thu Dec 6th, 2007 at 07:27:01 PM EST
oh poemless, and i love you for saying that!
what she said...
Overpopulation is the state when a species becomes too numerous to sustain its numbers in its ecological niche.
Sustainable: a process whereby a species does not achieve overpopulation
Decent living standard: materially, a set, or group, of accidentals such that an individual has sufficient food, clothing, and shelter for the climatic conditions that individual encounters. "Accidentals" meaning ontological varieties and variations found within a Property. The psychological, social, and cultural aspects are too obstreperous to deal with in a simple blog post.
I've already posted two diaries intimating the current population is unsustainable. Technically it is not "inherently" unsustainable as a breakthrough in a number of scientific disciplines or technology, e.g., fusion, could change the Fitness Landscape substantially. Even a dramatic shift in the dominate cultural epistemology could change the situation. Thus, the 'inherent-ness' of unsustainability is - call it - a functor of the epistemic and praxiologic structures of the agents and the material 'package' those agents have to work with.
I have no idea what the maximum human population at a decent standard of living is.
This is an interesting question. For example, what is the time scale for the definition of sustainability? There's evidence that prehistoric humans were responsible for various cases of animal extinction, for example.
pibbs.unm.edu/CourseMaterials/Spring2007/blackburnExtinction.pdf
And prehistoric humans were responsible for pollution, too.
http://cadair.aber.ac.uk/dspace/handle/2160/245
Suppose we do the "build a few thousand nuclear power plants" thing and live in paradise for a few decades, then have a big accident and wipe out half the global population. (That would be quite an accident!) Would that be better or worse than killing the same number of people by disease and economic displacement caused by climate change?
I think there is a fundamental human desire for pastoral settings with "modern" conveniences hidden in the background. We'd like to live in a world that's like our mother's was, only with proper medical care, health insurance, meaningful jobs, and no global stress--not the real world of the 1930s or 1940s or 1950s, depending on how old you are.
So my definitions:
Overpopulation: The earth could easily support a population of 1 billion people, about that of 1800. At least one continent, perhaps North America, should be depopulated and used as a wildlife preserve.
Decent living standard: 30 hour work week, otherwise 1950 economic level.
The current population level is unsustainable because biologists aren't as smart as they think they are, and one of these days a bug is going to develop that we can't stop in time. Probably avian flu, although there are plenty of other contenders.
The maximum population is defined by how many people we want to have around us, not by the carrying capacity of the earth.
by asdf on Thu Dec 6th, 2007 at 10:51:44 PM EST
There is also that whole "turn Sahara and the Fertile Crescent into deserts" thing. Even neolithic technology can be quite unsustainable.
There are parts of France (the Causses) where peak population density happened around 2000 BC...
Un roi sans divertissement est un homme plein de misères
by linca (antonin POINT lucas AROBASE gmail.com) on Fri Dec 7th, 2007 at 08:20:13 AM EST

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This amazing video just gave us an excuse to quote "Clueless" a whole bunch.
Azalea plays Cher Horowitz in the video, which hits all the best scenes of the movie: Cher's digital closet ("But seriously, I actually have a way normal life for a teenage girl. I mean, I get up, I brush my teeth and I pick out my school clothes!"), debate class ("And in conclusion may I please remind you it does not say R.S.V.P. on the Statue of Liberty!"), phys-ed ("Ms. Stoeger, my plastic surgeon doesn't want me doing any activity where balls fly at my nose." "Well, there goes your social life.") and the Val party ("Do you prefer 'fashion victim' or 'ensembly challenged?'").
I want to know who did the costumes because they're pretty much dead-on, from Cher's yellow tartan getup -- complete with "collie" backpack ("It's faux!") -- to Dionne's crazy hat ("Been shopping with Dr. Suess?"), which I'm just going to guess they don't make many of anymore.
And it turns out that viral "Clueless"-inspired video was part of the campaign.
Now if she could just crop things from her Twitter account. Zing!
The first episode is here, and it's not as industry-focused as we'd hoped.


What is the probability of $\gcd(e,\varphi(n))=1$, where $e$ is an odd number and $\varphi(n)$ is an even number with $ e<\varphi(n)$?
This is needed because I use a random function to generate the encryption key in RSA setting to generate random numbers and check if $\gcd$ is $1$.
Browse other questions tagged rsa or ask your own question.
How are random numbers for RSA generated?
Can $d$ and $e$ be the same number in RSA?
RSA: How to compute the number of possible plaintexts if $e$ is not coprime to $\varphi(n)$?
Why is a smaller value preferred for the public key in RSA?