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Q: Is it wrong to estimate its moment probability with Bayes, beta parameter
*

*As far as I know I can decide beta parameter for Bayes estimation.
Let's say we estimate probability of coin flip distribution, and choose Uniform Distribution as Beta(1,1)
If 9 of 10 flips will come up heads, beta parameter would be Beta(1+9, 1+1). After next new trial, we would to update Beta parameter. I believe that these result in approaching to true probability rate.

My question
1. I wondered if I can apply to baseball batter hitting rate
Can we estimate batter's hitting rate??
For example, I  use past score of batter as prior distribution, and use score of this season to get posterior distribution.
The batter have the 100 of times at bat, and 30 hits. (In my country, calculate like 30/100 as hit rate). Then, beta would be Beta(30, 70)
Next, we gonna add this season's score like 10 of times at bat, and 9 hits. Then, beta parameter would be Beta(39, 70).
Is it ok??
2. I wondered if I can estimate this moment hitting rate.
Is it ok that we take most recent several score to estimate this moment hitting rate??
After the batter got the new result(hit or mis-hit), ignore the prior(=past posterior) distribution, and use original prior distribution with new recent score to get posterior??
If we decide to take recent 4 score and get this score for the batter. it would looks like this
1: mis-hit
2: hit
3: hit
4: hit
Beta(30, 70) as prior distribution would be Beta(30+3, 70+1)
And, after he got the new result for 5th (ignore 1st result cuz we assume most recent 4 score). It would look like
2: hit
3: hit
4: hit
5: hit
Beta(30, 70) as prior distribution would be Beta(30+4, 70+0)
I want to estimate this moment hitting rate, not approaching to true probability rate.

Any advice would be helpful such as baseball hitting rate in not fitted to modelling.
Cheers

A: Taking aside the technical aspects of applying the math, why would you want to do this? What you're basically saying is that each time you see new data point, you want to forget everything that you have learned until now and assume that you know nothing about your data besides the very recent history. Assume that your batter mis-hit one thousand times in a row and then had four hits, would you be prone to assume that he is a very good better because among the recent four bats he had 100% success rate? Unless you could assume that after four tries batter "forgets" all his previous skills and he becomes a totally different player, i.e. his past history tells you nothing about the current state, then your approach would be very flawed.
If you want to take consideration the recent history and the changes over time, where past history has somehow less "weight" on the recent outcomes, then the current history, then you should probably consider some kind of time-series model that takes those factors into consideration. I doubt that discarding valid data does any good in here.
Speaking more Bayesian, if you know the previous history, then you should adapt your prior to it, since prior tells you about your prior knowledge about the data. In this case, the past history is your prior knowledge. By discarding it you basically say that you don't care about the history and you know better what the batter's ability is -- this doesn't sound reasonable. This is the idea behind Bayesian updating.

A: I'm working on a similar case.  I have a program that gives the user the same questions over and over again, and they slowly learn the answers.  It takes them 3 or 4 attempts on average to 'learn' an answer.
I can easily calculate their probability based on data from the start of time.  The problem is that assumes the user never improves.  In reality their old answers need to be thrown out.
It is possible to add a weighting to newer events and still use this Rule of Succession method: probability = (success + 1) / (total + 2) .  But it means you have a trade off between punishing users for past mistakes or having a long and detailed memory about the user.
What i've found best so far is the same as you put originally in your question: Just use a history size of 10 questions and forget ones that are older.  The historic weighting / damping doesn't matter that much unless you want to avoid having sharp jumps in your results when the history buffer empties.

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaStackExchange


TWC did a conversion to all digital on 5/9/2018. They moved and added/removed channels. I submitted 2 channel maps (1st one seems to have been lost).
For the 3rd time, here is the new channel map that I pulled from my Ceton channel map page with the new listings. Why is it taking so long?
Randyord wrote: TWC did a conversion to all digital on 5/9/2018. They moved and added/removed channels. I submitted 2 channel maps (1st one seems to have been lost).
Time Warner still has not responded to Gracenote.... they need to confirm it before they go live.
So of course SD and Gracenote responded quickly, but Time Warner (as always) is a problem.


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Abortions for All! Very Well: Abortions for No One!
David Weigel | 10.17.2008 9:46 AM
This clip from the final Obama-McCain showdown is making the rounds:
My first reaction was bemused surprise at a national candidate using scare quotes to make a point. But after a while I remembered one of McCain's final breakout moments from the 2000 primary campaign, when he pummelled George W. Bush for accepting the pro-life plank of the GOP platform… which would prohibit legal abortion with no exceptions.
Some element of McCain's popularity, before this campaign, came from the impression that he was a moderate on all of the issues that so irritate independents about the GOP. That 2000 moment was formative in this. This week's moment reveals how tough it is to maintain that kind of image in the heat of a campaign. It doesn't exactly help if (and both candidates have done this) you alter your position and sound just as passionate as you did before.
NEXT: You Can Get Anything You Want...
David Weigel is a contributing editor at Reason.
October.17.2008 at 10:20 am
Somehow, I think putting "scare quotes" around "health" of the mother is a bigger deal than "spread the wealth" with swing voters or the "Plumber" named "Joe" from Ohio.
Swing Voters
domoarrigato
I really have no idea who this guy is anymore. He is just flopping around. He obviously has good ideas, and many things he says resonate – but he has 5 ideas at once and only manages to say the first 3 words of each idea in rapid sucession rendering himself incomprehensible.
brotherben
I never much paid attention to McCain over the last 2 decades. I am wondering. How in God's name has this man gotten re-elected so many times?
Mac: Pro-choice is pro-death!
Megan: Wow! Great rhetoric!
Mac: Thank you.
Megan: Hey, you're really hardcore, aren't you?
Mac: Oh, well, you know. I mean, if you really want to see hardcore…
Megan: What's this?
Mac: That's the list of doctors I'm gonna kill.
Megan: There's two already crossed out.
Mac: Yeah, I know.
rhywun
How in God's name has this man gotten re-elected so many times?
Well, there was that little law he worked on; what's it called…?
You mean the McCain/Feingold Incumbent Protection Act?
Disclaimer: McCain is full of shit. He doesn't care for the unborn. He pretends to support the rights of the unborn because he's desperate. In the unlikely event that he actually won the election, McCain will forget all his fine phrases about being against abortion.
In the real world, "health of the mother" has traditionally been a talismanic phrase to justify killing the unborn child. The rationale is so broad as to allow abortions because the mother is depressed about the pregnancy. Allowing a "health" exception is simply a Trojan horse.
If you want a "health" exception to an abortion ban, then would you want to extend that exception to an infanticide ban? Would you be willing to come out and say that it's OK to kill the post-born child because of broadly-defined "health" reasons, like post-partum depression? If not, then the matter at issue is the humanity of the fetus, and let's discuss the matter in those terms.
He was a POW.
Reinmoose
What if Jesus was aborted?
BDB,
"Health" of the mother refers to "psychological health"."Life" of the mother refers to physical health.A "health" of the mother qualifier on late term abortions-infanticide-means there is no restriction at all.
None of this should be in the purview of the Federal government.Unfortunately, the Supreme Court got us into this mess in 1973.
Yeah SIV, a Senator like McCain knows what health is, but not an actual doctor. Let's let the politicians decide, instead. Clearly they know more than the woman and the doctor ever could.
Spare me.
Mad Max would be foaming at the mouth about the Bhagavad G?t?.
Mr. Bartram, I have never met a vietnam vet that was willing to pimp his war experience for personal gain.
bro ben,
You have watch McCain drop his POW experience into every possible situation haven't you? He deserves to do whatever he wants with his reputation – but it makes me a little ill the way he does it.
If you want a "health" exception to an abortion ban, then would you want to extend that exception to an infanticide ban?
You really, really don't get the "it's the mother's body and she should have total control over it" argument, do you? Like, not even a little.
David Weigel
I'd allow a one-time exception on "pimping war experience" if it's what you need to do to shut up Alan Keyes. No problem for me in that exchange.
Hey, I just saw Religulous last night!
When anti-choicers bring up infanticide, it's kind of like when animal rights nuts bring up guys who torture dogs for fun. It's a big, giant, fucking red herring.
McCain was positioning himself as the more moderate, electable candidate in 2000. His rhetoric in the debate is much more in line with his voting record than his rhetoric in 2000.
You asked, I answered why the scare quotes are around health.
"Health" of the mother refers to "psychological health"."Life" of the mother refers to physical health.
I love how things are so cut-and-dried in the world of fetal adulation. What if the mother will have to be on dialysis for the rest of her life if she carries to term? Her life is not in danger, just her health. So she should obviously be forced to irreparably damage her kidneys in order to save what pretty much amounts to a fish swimming around in her belly, sucking her bodily resources.
Yes, psychological pretexts have often been used in the past under "health of the mother" laws, but if you think there aren't women who would sooner kill themselves than carry to term you are dead wrong. There were many who did exactly this in back alleys all over the country.
But sure, let's discuss the humanity of the fetus. Let's talk about how it's self-aware, conscious, has conscious preferences, that sort of thing.
Ugh should have closed italics after "physical health."
And I still say McCain did himself zero favor with women swing voters. White, moderate Republican women swing voters that live in places like NoVA, Denver, and Tampa.
But he did get that up-for-grabs fringe pro-life vote. Oh well, forget the up for grabs part.
Three days later, some really weird shi*t would have gone down in the Joseph home.
"You really, really don't get the 'it's the mother's body and she should have total control over it' argument, do you? Like, not even a little."
What rights does a baby have over *its* own body?
(Just to clarify, McCain is full of shit and doesn't care about the unborn).
I don't think the word "baby" means what you think it means. Fetus. FETUS. EMBRYO.
A baby is a born. A fetus is not born. Not "unborn child", not "baby", fetus.
But since your idea of women's health involves a coat hanger and a back alley, I won't expect you to understand the difference.
terminating the life of a child should be legal until they turn 18.
Yeah, just speak in code to the base of PWWATBI. How many of them were actually going to vote for B. HUSSEIN Obama anyway?
oh boy. here we go
When anti-choicers bring up infanticide, it's kind of like when animal rights nuts bring up guys who torture dogs for fun.
Well, pro-abortionists should be required to defend the positions of the less powerful reproductive rights positions, too. Like infanticide. Or something. Hey, it works for gay marriage.
Yeah rhywun pro-choice people are really jonesing to leaglize infanticide.
In other news, those of us who favor drug legalization want to give crack to six year olds.
Yeah, I'm bailing soon. This will probably get ugly.
only with the hope that it's an aphrodisiac.
The trick to speaking in code to your base is to make sure that what you're saying sounds innocuous to normal people.
Dismissing the concept of a mother's health as a trick by the abortionists? Not so much with the innocuous thingie.
The curious thing to me is that McCain is, at this late date, doing things that appeal only to the very hardcore repubs.
I'm bailing too. I figure slavery comparisons will be next, and at that point it's no more productive than arguing with someone who, after I tell them I favor drug legalization, they respond with OMG! YOU WANT TO LET MY LITTLE JOHNNY TAKE PCP IN FIRST GRADE??
Joe, as well as his answer that suggested that a judge that agrees with Roe v Wade is unqualified to sit on the SCOTUS.
Jonathan Hohensee
I'm with domoarrigato here.
You really, really don't get the "it's the mother's body and she should have total control over it" argument, do you?
Post fetal-viability* there are more than one individual's rights at stake.
*Post-conception/pre-viability I am sympathetic to the notion that the mother's rights trump the fetus' rights,if not morally then as a practical matter of privacy and keeping the State out of the whole thing.
Also, how you run in a primary is different from how you run in a general. McCain's just getting it confused. You're supposed to run to the extreme in a primary and to the center in the general. Derrr
The fetus (not a baby, Max) has no rights while it is residing in the woman's womb. The right to control your own body of a fully developed human woman supersedes the amorphous "rights" of a completely undeveloped fetus.
brotherben,
It's a balancing act. With the media calling this a done deal, his only hope at this point is the Bradley effect and making sure the base doesn't get too discouraged to actually bother with voting.
But… that said… the was in no danger of losing the PWWATBI base in the first place. You think it would have been a tip of the hat to evangelicals more murky to the left. I think it's is a gaffe, just like the totally uncoded "spread the wealth around" from Obama.
You fucking rule, dude.
How is it murder in some states, ironically in states that allow abortion, to cause the death of a fetus?
Equal parts sentimentality and a back-door tactic to illegalize abortion that has mostly failed but keeps a light alive in the base.
The right to control your own body of a fully developed human woman supersedes the amorphous "rights" of a completely undeveloped fetus.
I tend to agree as a legal if not moral matter.
What about a completely viable "fetus" that is capable of living outside the womb?
I believe that is the issue referred to in the original post.
It's only murder to kill white, wanted, wealthy babies. It's a public service when you abort black or hispanic, accidental, low income fetuses.
mantooth
Compromise: Abortions for some, miniature American flags for others.
If the mother agrees to have it removed to live outside, fine, but she would have to undergo the operation to do this, so her rights still supersede and she has to agree.
An underdeveloped fetus.
Head,
Shhh . . . you'll blow their cover!
You don't actually think that somehow shocks me, do you Max? How pathetic. But it is an excellent example of your failure to present a logical, non-emotion-based position here: you try to provoke emotional responses with pictures instead of presenting an argument.
SIV,
Still not a legal matter. Despite the rhetoric, very few late-term abortions are performed on an elective basis. The ability to abort children that are brain-dead, would live for only a few hours outside the womb anyway, or would kill the mother during birth is too valuable for women's health than the handful done because of the desire not to have a child.
Morally? I think a late-term elective situation should be a live-birth adoption, but I'm not going to advocate the use of force to tell a woman she should have to do that.
Mad Max – I hope you didn't misunderstand my comment to be sarcastic.
Are we endorsing some version of the "dependancy" argument – you can kill the fetus because it's dependant on the mother for its existence? That used to be a key talking point for the "choice" crowd. Of course, the argument proves too much, because an infant in the cradle is just as much dependent on its parents as an infant in the womb is dependent on its mother. So they then retreat to the argument that a woman can't be *conscripted* into carrying a child in the womb – the contrast is to post-born children, who can be put up for adoption so that it is not "necessary" to kill the fetus. But that also concedes too much, because eventually we might come up with technologies of surrogate motherhood or artificial wombs such that a woman can eject the fetus and put it in the care of another woman, or of an artificial womb, without destroying or "terminating" the fetus. The pro-"choise" crowd is uncomfortable with this, because they don't want to make the fatal concession that women can be "forced" to save the lives of their own children even if this means removing the "parasite" from their womb.
At weaker times, I hope some of the pro-lifers will someday have to endure what my wife and I did, but it's hard to sustain this feeling because it's so mean, even for people who so sorely deserve every bit of it. Here's the story.
We live in a red state where it's hard, but not impossible, to get an abortion after the very early stages (it's easy at that point).
We had a very much wanted pregnancy.
My wife is prone to gestational diabetes (temporary), which can lead to Type-II (permenant) and other nasty stuff.
The baby girl had trisomy 18, and by the time we learned this, we were past the "take a pill" stage, and well into the "you need to have a real procedure" stage – and not one of the easy ones.
Having to fight through some religious nut doctors to get them to take the baby out because it was incompatible with life (likely to die before delivery; guaranteed to die soon thereafter; with nothing but a short and extremely painful existence) but would still make my wife's health suffer as long as she carried her with possible permanent consequences for her was pretty goddamn brutal. All so SkyDaddy could have a chance to wave his magic hand and fix her chromosomes, my wife was supposed to carry our daughter to term only to see her either deliver dead or live through a short painful few days (at best).
Because of these religious asswipes, what we ended up having to do was go to a more sympathetic doctor who couldn't perform the actual delivery (not qualified), but he could (and did) inject the baby with salt so she died, hopefully painlessly, and then the ob/gyn would pretend she didn't know how the baby died and would then induce a delivery.
So fuck the lot of you. I wouldn't vote for a Republican at this point in my life if he had a firehose and my house was on fire.
But I still don't really hope you have to go through that, when it comes to brass tacks. Some things are just too inhuman even for inhuman fucks like you.
Oh, in case that wasn't clear, that whole thing shows why people who think "health of the mother" is just an excuse need to die in a fire. We didn't need an excuse. We desperately wanted to not have an excuse. We wanted a live, healthy, baby girl.
More abortions means fewer little boys for priests to rape.
The thing is to people that aren't deeply in the abortion rights debate, the scare quotes around mother's health makes you sound like an insensitive prick and doesn't appeal to swing voters at all.
VoR,
I am sorry that you went through such a family tragedy, and I share your contempt for Republicans. I hope that the pro-choicers forgive you for using the term "baby."
MadMax, you and yours would have made it even harder for us to do what we had to do. The pro-choice people, even if I don't like their language, never make anybody who wants a child have an abortion.
The difference is crystal-clear to me.
And I would think libertarians would be particularly prone to calling bullshit on pro-life arguments given the incredibly intrusive apparatus which would be necessary to actually enforce such abortion laws and the anti-liberty side effects that would inevitably occur.
Evidently your expressed contempt for Republicans is more like self-loathing.
Ulterior – I like your style.
VoR – though I'm sympathetic to your situation, you're basically appealing to emotion, and I'm not inclined to make a decision either way based on (admittedly tragic) tearjerkers.
TAO, I'm not expecting policy to be made by anectdote, but I am expecting people to understand that the claim that "health of the mother" is inevitably just an excuse for "I wanted an abortion" is a load of crap being pushed by very bad people. We obviously didn't 'want' one, and my wife's health was actually at stake (we were obviously going to take the risk for a healthy, live, baby, although others might choose differently).
There are lots of other reasons why carrying a pregnancy to term can impact the health of a mother (without being a matter of life and death). This is just one, but it's sufficient to disprove the claim.
Indeed, the fact that I am not, nor have ever been, a Republican, is a mere coincidence. Pray remind me who is the "self" that I am loathing?
I know you've been through a traumatic time, but that's no excuse for calling someone a Republican.
What exactly does "PWWATBI" stand for?
October.17.2008 at 12:01 pm
VoR – although I recognize that there are valid health concerns, I can also see how "health of the mother" has become an exceptionally elastic exception clause that pretty much swallows any ban.
Hey Max, got any more pictures? That seems to be the extent of your argument.
Epi, my puter won't go to max's link. Should I be okay with that?
Shem,
People Who Want Abortion To Be Illegal
I use it as a neutral description. The opposite is PWWATBL.
I swear, during the debate, about half my remaining respect for John McCain went out the window when he repeatedly used the term "pro-abortion."
I can only apologize to you for the choices and actions that this countrys inane politics made you endure. you are black, right?
Yep, it got ugly. Go figure.
Knee surgery is gory, too.
brotherben | October 17, 2008, 11:12am | #
Because the super-geniuses in the anti-abortion movement decided that it would be a really terrific way to advance their agenda by enshrining into the law the principle that the it is the wishes of the mother that determine whether terminating an pregnancy is or is not murder.
Thanks, guys! You rule!
an infant in the cradle is just as much dependent on its parents as an infant in the womb is dependent on its mother
What kind of dumbass shit is this? A fetus in utero is physiologically dependent on the mother for its oxygen and food; a baby in a cradle car breath on its own, and can be given an bottle by anyone with opposable thumbs.
A fetus in utero is physiologically dependent on the mother for its oxygen and food
After 6 months or so the baby is viable ex utero if you take it out in one piece.
Hint:They don't take it out in one piece.
SF-Thanks
you seem to be deliberately trying to obscure the fact that a doctor cutting out a fetus with surgical instruments isn't remotely the same as a person picking a baby up out of a crib. In case my argument isn't clear: in one situation the baby is independant, in the other it is obviously not.
If you deliver a pre-term fetus, it ceases to be in utero. The comment I was replying to was: an infant in the cradle is just as much dependent on its parents as an infant in the womb is dependent on its mother.
That's just not true.
October.17.2008 at 3:26 pm
Abortions for some, miniature American flags for everyone!!
Vote Kodos for President
Kang for VP
Damned newborns, sitting around pooping and crying instead of being self-reliant and getting a damned job!
When a baby reaches for a bottle, you know what it's saying? It's saying "I am a leech! I do not want to contribute to soci – uh, I mean, contribute to my individual self-fulfillment and self-esteem!"
So, Mad Max and joe, when you guys have a discussion, is it like looking at yourselves in a mirror?
prolefeed
October.18.2008 at 6:24 am
Oh, come on, you can do a more subtle job of trolling than this.
Or do you really believe that people who believe human life starts at an earlier moment than you believe it does have no real reason to call the killing of what they consider an unborn human being infanticide?
It's one thing to disagree with their assessment of when human life begins — it's a far less laudable thing to not even attempt to understand their POV and then call them insincere.
zoltan,
I suppose there's no point in trying to keep it secret any longer. It all began one night at the genetics lab. I was being bred as the perfect test-tube baby. The scientists got nervous that I might die right there on my petri dish, so they decided to clone me so they'd have a backup. The cloning was going swimmingly, until one of the inexperienced lab assistants inadverdently put some contaminated radioactive genes from one of their earlier experiments (a guy now known as James Carville – but that's another story) and put those genes in the clone's DNA. That was the origin of joe. We have been mortal enemies ever since.

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Weather Stations Near 38.317 -76.45133
Call distance direction age temp speed gust direction rain* rain 24h rain midnight humidity barometer
EW1072 1.8 E 00:00:06:30 33 2 9 84 0 0 0 49 1028.8
CW6344 2.2 SW 00:00:16:40 33 4 4 296 0 0 0 49 1026.6
N8HTG 3.7 SW 00:00:01:58 33 3 5 338 0 0 0 45 1027.0
N1LID 3.7 S 00:00:04:39 33 4 10 338 0 0 0 44 1025.5
EW1442 3.8 NE 00:00:00:01 33 7 62 52 1025.9
FW6735 4.3 S 00:00:01:26 34 2 9 308 0 0 0 41 1028.1
CW1084 4.7 NE 00:00:03:59 33 2 12 30 0 0 0 49 1025.9
K3GJ-2 7.3 W 00:00:21:12 35 2 3 24 0 0 0 44 1022.7
DW0282 13.6 NW 00:00:03:45 33 11 17 343 0 0 0 46 1026.5
EW1760 15.0 SW 00:00:05:15 33 9 14 344 0 0 0 55 1027.4
AA3CS-1 18.5 NW 00:00:06:49 33 3 8 337 0 0 0 43 1027.5
EW0513 21.7 E 00:00:06:31 32 2 12 57 0 0 0 53 1027.8
DW2613 22.1 E 00:00:02:53 32 4 14 313 0 0 0 57 1026.9
DW4923 22.1 NW 00:00:03:04 33 7 13 357 0 0 0 47 1027.8
DW5018 23.9 W 00:00:03:41 34 4 13 18 0 0 0 45 1028.0
DW7875 24.4 N 00:00:06:29 34 5 12 49 0 0 0 30 1027.4
EW9280 24.5 SE 00:00:05:28 35 1 6 317 0 0 0 51 1025.7
EW4629 26.5 NE 00:00:06:03 32 0 9 342 0 0 0 47 1026.9
CW1729 26.6 NE 00:00:00:49 32 0 10 62 0 0 0 46 1024.0
EW5058 29.7 NE 00:00:03:47 37 15 20 338 0 0 0 42 1026.9
rain*: This column is either rain in last hour or cumulative rainfall.
Greyed out stations have not reported their conditions in the last hour.
Click on the callsign to see station's weather history.


The idea of buying your wedding gown online might be daunting, but it doesn't need to be. In fact, with just a little bit of ground work, you'll suddenly have access to an amazing range of frocks at every price point.
First things first. You need to know your styles, colours and fabrics that suit you. The best way to work this out is by trying on and creating a list of all the elements that flatter and those that don't.
Everybodys shape deserves a gown that does it justice. Let yourself be guided by flattery, not fads, and you'll look every bit your bridal best.
A-LINE -The A-Line fit style gradually widens from the hip to the hem, creating an 'A' shape as the name suggests. If you have extremely narrow shoulders and wide hips you may want to avoid this style, which might emphasise an imbalance. However A-line dresses for a wedding are a classic for a reason, they suit most body shapes and have a timeless feel.
EMPIRE - Empire wedding dress style gowns have a seam under the bust, rather than at the hip or the waist. Often, the back can be designed to follow the bra line, or scoop into a low back, thereby making a feature of it. Because this style emphasises the narrowest point of your body, it can create a slimming appearance for those with wider hips and thighs. Additionally the raised waistline can create the appearance of added height for shorter brides, and can make the bust appear more full.
BALL - By far the bridal world's most regal and fairy-tale-esque style, ball gown style wedding dress feature a slim-cut bodice, an ultra-narrow waist and a full bell-shaped skirt, often created with multiple layers to give a floating effect. While the style can be overwhelming on a particularly small frame, this look suits most other body shapes.
SHEATH - A sheath wedding dress is a long, narrow, slim-fitting silhouette which skims the body and features straight, elegant lines. It's typically made from lighter fabrics, such as satin or chiffon, but is often seen in floaty or lacey boho styles as well. Most flaterring on slim frames, the sheath silhouette is versatile, being well-suited to modern, vintage, formal and informal events. Pay special attention to undergarments as any seams or gaps that aren't properly fitted will be highly visible.
MERMAID/TRUMPET - The ultra-glam fit-and-flare mermaid wedding dress style features an elongated silhouette which hugs the body below the hips, and a skirt that flares at the knee or mid-thigh. this cut emphasises an hourglass shape, but might not be the easiest to walk or dance in - consider this if you'll be trekking up a hillside for your bridal photo shoot.


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COVID-19 Second wave: Lagos to go tough on motorists
As Nigeria battled the second wave of the coronavirus pandemic, the Lagos State Government, on Monday, warned motorists in the state to comply with all transportation safety guidelines or face sanctions.
The state Commissioner for Transportation, Frederic Oladeinde, made this known in a statement today.
He stressed that it was mandatory for passengers and commuters to wear face masks, wash their hands with soap under running water and sanitise their hands with alcohol-based sanitisers before and after every trip.
The commissioner further stated, "It is still compulsory for all Transport Operators/Companies to regularly disinfect their vehicles, parks and garages in line with the standards of disinfection approved by the State Government.
"Okada remains banned in all areas of the metropolis and are not expected to carry passengers due to their being susceptible to the coronavirus infection and warned motorists driving against oncoming traffic to desist from the reckless act."
Oladeinde also warned operators of mechanic villages in the state to "ensure that all abandoned vehicles within their premises are evacuated immediately while ensuring that the environment is kept clean, as non-compliance will attract serious sanctions from the Ministry".
The commissioner said all water transport operators would not be allowed to operate beyond 6pm daily while they must ensure that their passengers comply with the transportation safety guidelines on every trip.


Used in various finished products as a fastener. Often used in latching and securing applications. Used in fixture design where a part is indexed via a located or blind hole. Used in in various fixture and OEM applications.
View More In Round Nose.
If you have any questions about this product by TE-CO, contact us by completing and submitting the form below. If you are looking for a specif part number, please include it with your message.


Orbital Welding Narrow Groove Welding Arc Machines, Inc.
Arc Machines, Inc. (AMI) is pleased to announce the newest addition to our automated fusion orbital welding systems the M217P which began shipping on October 1, 2016. This new workhorse is offered as a compact unit creating ease of portability for on site applications while maintaining all the functionality of the M217. The M217P replaces the M205.
What do the numbers and lines on the monitor mean?
quot;What do the numbers and lines on the monitor mean?quot; This is a difficult question to answer without being able to see the actual monitor. What is listed below are some of the things routinely monitored in an ICU with brief explainations.
Just under the lid or door on the washing machine, a small plastic switch serves to sense when the door is shut so the machine can operate. If this switch is faulty, the machine may fail to drain correctly. With the door open and the machine running, press the switch by hand and listen for a clicking sound.
A urine drug test, also known as a urine drug screen or a UDS, is a painless test. It analyzes your urine for the presence of certain illegal drugs and prescription medications.
Buy cash registers at discounted prices online. Brands by Casio, Sam4s, Sharp and Royal.
All the latest movie news, movie trailers reviews and the same for TV, too.
Made of solid and robust stainless steel filters, with welded stainless steel micron meshes, this Pollen Extractor Machine handles both softer and harder plant material and has been made to last a long time sized and designed to support both a lightweight or a very intensive use by home growers.
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Central FL Rescreen Machines,Inc. is here to serve you for all your screen porch repairs and rescreening needs. Remember that at Rescreen Machines, we can repair any part of your screen door, from the handles to the plungers and the bug sweep, which keeps out all those unwanted pests.
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I have had the same problems with my fridge ER I F on the display called for service but in 24 hours it started making ice again and the display went back to normal The other thing that has happened is the freezer light went out but the bulb is not burned out I tried it in another place it still worked .
National Business Systems in the largest and oldest dealer of SAM4s cash registers in North America. We sell SAM4s cash registers all over the United States and Canada.
Screen Machine Sports, established in 1997, provides quality screen printing, embroidery, cut vinyl, heat transfer and vinyl car decals. Proud to have a collegiate license to print Kansas State University, we have a large retail store. We carry our local high school spirit wear for Junction City High School Blue Jays and surrounding areas.
This year, weve archived 66 billion URLs and fixed 1.5 million broken links using the Wayback Machine. The Internet Archive is a bargain, but we need your help. If you find our site useful, chip in what you can today. Thank you. Brewster Kahle, Founder, Internet Archive.
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SAM4s Cash Register ER 920 is a great machine for quick service restaurants, bakeries, bars, clubs and more. Large flat keyboard, single receipt printer and a great 5 bill 5 coin drawer. Large flat keyboard, single receipt printer and a great 5 bill 5 coin drawer.
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Bag female stingray leather. Inside the bag fabric. Side, bottom, handle and trim bags are made of calfskin.
Dimensions: width - 34 cm, thickness - 10 cm, height - 30 cm, height with handles - 55 cm.
Color: Black with color zebra.


In a world that's continually evolving, businesses cannot afford to stand still. They must continually invest in technology to ensure they can adapt and survive. In no sector does this apply more than in manufacturing.
Now is the time for British manufacturers to make the right preparations for the challenges that lie ahead. Whilst the next few years may not be easy, the latest advancements in Industrie 4.0 technologies could open a whole new world of opportunity to revive the UK manufacturing industry.
With over 25 years in the business of IT, Systems Assurance works with some of the largest manufacturing companies in the world. Not only are we experts in the provision of Microsoft technologies, but we also deliver bespoke, professional services that are tailored to achieve the specific business objectives of manufacturers.
Ready for a Data Centre Update?
Gone are the days where you could choose from having only two benefits in a choice of fast, cheap or good quality. Tomorrow's manufacturers will potentially be able to offer all three by capitalising on Industrie 4.0 technologies.
Managing change is never easy. Even in smaller companies where physical implementation may be simpler, cultural idiosyncrasies often exist across different functions that can present barriers to progress. Bringing different parts of an organisation together in a co-ordinated effort can be the hardest part of any new implementation. However, with the right planning, processes and communication it doesn't need to be a difficult process.
Change cannot happen all at once, so it's important that consideration is given as to how digital transformation can be broken down into individual smaller projects.
"The first rule of any technology used in a business is that automation applied to an efficient operation will magnify the efficiency. The second is that automation applied to an inefficient operation will magnify the inefficiency.".
Our free 16 page guide takes a look at British manufacturing and how Industrie 4.0 is changing the manufacturing landscape.
We will not use your information for anything other than sending you this PDF guide.
Our free 16 page guide takes a look at British manufacturing and how Industrie 4.0 and Digital transformation is changing the manufacturing landscape.


Social media is arguably the most significant evolution in communications over the past decade, and now research confirms that it is the fastest and preferred way to advance customer-service and loyalty programs as well. Nearly 80 percent of social media users who contacted a brand through social media platforms received a response within 12 hours, compared to a paltry 37 percent of consumers who heard back when contacting a company via email, according to new research from United Kingdom-based eDigitalResearch.
Even more surprising is that researchers discovered that social media is the only customer-contact channel that guarantees a response from a brand. Of the consumers eDigitalResearch surveyed who used social media to get in touch with a company, all of them received a response to their post, comment or tweet.
"While there are still a limited number of consumers using social media channels to contact brands (our survey showed that just 2 percent have recently their Facebook, Twitter or other social media accounts to get in touch with a brand), it is currently the only channel that ensures that all consumers receive a response following their contact," said Derek Eccleston, commercial director at eDigitalResearch.
These results suggest businesses could provide the best contact experience possible by upping their social media game. There are a variety of ways we can help you design a social media program that breeds customer loyalty.


difference between a reformist and a revolutionary period: in a reformist period, global revolution remains a dream which, if it does anything, merely lends weight to attempts to change things locally; in a revolutionary period, it becomes clear that nothing will improve without radical global change.
(Click the CC button for English subtitles).
I plan to write more about this later — Tea Party, Real America, all that slang — but I'm tapped out right now. Back to school, syllabi to stick in the toaster oven, too much red tonight, all that jazz.
"Some Principles of Democracy and Deconstruction—American or Otherwise" by Sam Kimball.
1. Democracy and deconstruction name the namelessness of a we, the people in relation to this people's unimaginable possibilities of collective self-identification to come.
2. For this reason democracy and deconstruction locate the we in a future that transcends any possible transcendence of time, and therefore that remains utterly contingent and extinguishable, able to be obliterated in an apocalypse of the name.
3. Democracy and deconstruction attempt to respond to a demand—untraceable to any face or mind, to any consciousness—for absolute justice.
4. To this end, and because "we are all heir, at least, to persons or events marked, in an essential, interior, ineffaceable fashion, by crimes against humanity" (Derrida, Of Cosmopolitanism and Forgiveness, 29), democracy and deconstruction demand of the citizen to come an attitude of radical forgiveness and hospitality.
5. To this same end, and for similar reasons, democracy and deconstruction also entail a radical affirmation—that is, they are ways of saying "Yes?" or "Who's there?" in the absence of any determinate voicing.
6. This means that democracy and deconstruction respond to a call that comes from an unimaginable and indeterminate future.
7. For all these reasons as well as the fact that "all nation-states are born and found themselves in violence" (Of Cosmopolitanism and Forgiveness, 57), democracy and deconstruction are provisional names for an historically unrealized ideal.
8. Thus, democracy and deconstruction require an incessant work of critique.
9. Democracy and deconstruction are ways of working toward forms of community that must necessarily exceed, transgress, transcend, and therefore remark all political borders, most especially those that define the sovereignty of the nation-state.
10. The spirit of the spirit of democracy and deconstruction has no single emotional marker, cannot be contained within or encompassed by any single emotional apprehension, is not identifiable as an affective state.
11. Democracy and deconstruction are inseparable from the fictionalizing, virtualizing power of literature.


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How do you guys like those Hogue grips for shooting?
They make it really easy to hold onto the pistol under recoil - not pretty as wood but very practical.
They look "thick" in the pictures but it looks like they are using the same grip screws.
Do they make the grips feel too large? In talking to Patrick it sound like my FE is getting close and I was pondering getting a set for it.
They feel quite slim; yes they use the regular grip-screws.


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A StratoSolar platform's unique capability to enhance emerging satellite Internet communications
400 satellites in polar orbits at 800km altitude. 20 orbital planes with 20 satellites in each plane. Each satellite has four nearest neighbours.
Google and Facebook have both publicly announced they plan to spend billions on satellite communications to bring internet access to the developing world. Recent departures from Google of key personnel associated with Google's satellite communications effort shed some light on the reality of what is happening at Google and elsewhere. These efforts are very real and have implications far beyond internet access for the developing world.
Apparently a team that Google had hired from O3b including Greg Wyler, Brian Holz and David Bettinger have recently departed Google and are the founders of WorldVU a satellite internet start up aiming to launch 360 satellites into 800 km and 950 km polar orbits starting in 2019. WorldVU has the rights to 2 GHz of KU band (12-18 GHz). Satellites will fly in 20 planes each with 18 satellites providing complete world internet coverage.
Also, Michael Tseytlin, another satellite executive previously at Google recently joined Facebook's connectivity lab. This article implies he has some authority.
While these departures imply some confusion at Google, their recent purchase of Skybox means they now have in house capability to design and deploy satellites. Skybox has made and launched small satellites for imaging. This has obvious tie ins with lots of Google mapping and geographical information efforts but this expertise could also be leveraged for telecommunications.
So it appears that there are three very serious efforts to launch low earth orbit constellations of satellites for internet communications. WorldVU, Google and Facebook are publicly each spending billions on their individual efforts and the movement of the key individuals mentioned previously backs up the reality of their statements. These are the early participants in what may turn into a new wild west in space as the broader implications of this emerging technology become apparent. Obvious examples of companies with both the financial resources and business need to compete are Apple and Microsoft.
The public focus of these efforts at the moment is on the satellite to ground links that provides Internet access to the developing world, but the implications of the technology are potentially far more significant than that. The point to point communication links between satellites together form a private, high bandwidth, global, secure, reliable, backbone communications network that is independent of any nation. Based on free space optical (FSO) links and/or high frequency point to point microwave links the bandwidth of this backbone in space could eventually surpass that of the terrestrial internet backbone. Nations can control communications from the satellites to the ground but not point to point communication between satellites.
Discussions of satellite communication for the developing world usually focuses on the customer end but an equally important aspect is the backhaul communications to the internet backbone. Backhaul relies on high bandwidth wireless communication between satellites and complex ground stations connected to the Internet backbone. This communication needs expensive, scarce and highly regulated bandwidth and expensive and complex ground stations.
This is where StratoSolar platforms can offer a unique capability not possible with Loon, drones or High Altitude Airships. Because they are above most of the atmosphere, the same (unregulated) free space optical (FSO) links or high frequency microwave links used to communicate between satellites can communicate reliably with a receiver on a StratoSolar platform that then forwards the communications down high bandwidth fiber optic links attached to the tether. The tether is a unique attribute of StratoSolar platforms that is usually seen as a negative, but for this application it is a big positive.
This connects the backbone in space directly to terrestrial backbone networks with the same private, high bandwidth, secure, reliable, communications. StratoSolar platforms can be situated near convenient connection points to the backbone or data centers. When thought of as data center connections, the ability of the platforms to also provide reliable 24/7/365 power to the data centers would allow more flexibility in data center location and less dependence on external energy infrastructure or logistics like fuel supply.
This vision of an internet backbone in space seems an entirely plausible consequence of the coming low earth orbit satellite networks and the unique capabilities of the StratoSolar platform and its tether would make the case even stronger.
Edmund Kelly
Providing low cost broadband wireless internet service to the developing world.
Wireless Internet Platform over Dhaka, Bangladesh
Wireless Internet Platform coverage area over Dhaka, Bangladesh
Google and Facebook have raised awareness of alternative strategies to get Internet service to the other three billion (O3B) without internet access in the developing world. Their motivations are not altruistic. The O3B are their future customers. Google is pursuing balloons with the Loon project, high altitude drones with its purchase of Titan, and satellites with its announcement that it plans to deploy a constellation of 180 medium earth orbit satellites. Facebook has announced it is deploying satellites and purchased Ascenta, a drone company.
A quick look at internet statistics shows that the majority of those without an Internet connection are in Asia, about 2.8 Billion. A look at land areas in the countries that account for the bulk of the market shows that population densities are very high. This combination requires a high total bandwidth over relatively small land areas. We call this a high bandwidth density solution. Current and proposed satellite solutions can only provide low bandwidth density. Similarly Google Loon and high altitude drones have very small payloads and can only provide low bandwidth density. All these technologies are years from deployment and have difficulty with a low $1.00/month price.
We propose a high bandwidth density StratoSolar platform wireless Internet solution using stratospheric permanently tethered platforms. A platform tethered at 20km altitude can provide reliable wireless internet service to a radius of about 75km, which is an area of about 15,000km2. For the population density in Asia, a wireless internet platform solution covering an area of 15,000km2 needs to provide enough bandwidth for from about 1,000,000 to 8,000,000 customers, or up to a total of about one terabit per second for broadband access.
A crude analysis to scope the problem yields a platform count of about 1,100 for Asia. In most cases there are low population density areas that would be best served with low bandwidth density solutions like satellites, so the number of platforms would be less (perhaps 600). This is especially true for China. There would also be very high bandwidth density areas in urban cores where the wireless platform bandwidth density would be insufficient to satisfy the entire market.
We propose a quickly deploy-able solution based on existing hardware and software currently being used by the rapidly growing wireless internet service provider (WISP) market that uses the unlicensed radio bands. As is currently done with satellites we propose to provide very large overall bandwidth by using many spot beams with massive frequency re-use. The solution can be thought of as a WISP with a very tall tower that supports a lot of antenna.
With highly directional antenna at both the platform and the customer the link budgets are conservative and the interference requirements of the unlicensed bands can be met.
We would envisage from about 271 to 1000 cells per platform, providing broadband Internet access to from 1,000,000 to 8,000,000 customers. The aggregate cell throughput exceeds 1Gb/s.
The large payload, large antenna support structure area, and large continuous PV power with gravity energy storage provided by the platform are what enable the rapid deployment of this platform composed largely of off the shelf wireless internet and internet switch hardware. The off the shelf wireless hardware and the antenna are not designed for miniaturization and weigh several tonnes and consume several kW of power.
The major impediment to deployment is political. Each country will be different. The only physical problem is the hazard that tethers pose to aviation, which can be handled by the airspace regulator of each country. Commercial aviation in Asia is very small and general aviation is almost non-existent compared to the US and Europe. The politics of communications infrastructure are harder to gauge. China may be a non starter. The initial goal is to get one country to deploy one platform.
The economics are very favorable and would provide internet service at prices that most households in Asia could afford . If the average platform has 4,000,000 customers at $1:00/month, that is $48M/year income for a platform that costs about $4M including the wireless hardware. Customer premises equipment (CPE) would be about $25 or less per customer. $25 is a lot of money in large parts of the target market, so reducing CPE costs and methods of financing CPE are important.
From an individual countries perspective, internet service deployment can occur without much investment and in a timeframe dictated mostly by customers. High altitude platforms will deploy in less than a week once airspace is approved. Coverage for a country could be deployed in less than a year. Initially a backbone internet could be provided with wireless or FSO links between platforms.
Once a platform is deployed customers can buy or rent CPE and be on the internet immediately. They will need electricity, but that might come from a PV panel and a battery in an isolated area. A local wireless base station could provide Wi-Fi internet to a village.


text:
Jake Owen is well-known to hit the top of the country charts. He has had seven No. 1 singles to date. "I Was Jack (You Were Diane)" is the No. 1 single on the country airplay charts and the 2X PLATINUM anthem "Barefoot Blue Jean Night," PLATINUM-certified hits "Beachin'," "Anywhere with You," "Alone with You," "The One That Got Away," and, GOLD-certified "American Country Love Song." Most recently, Owen signed with Big Loud Records where his first single was, "I Was Jack (You Were Diane)". It was credited at the most-added single on country radio for two consecutive weeks and the fastest rising single of his career.
David Lee Murphy
Kicks Country Fair Playlist


text:
Q: Memory is rising too fast in high rates I'm working on a simple proxy application on an embedded system, and I'm having some issues related to memory management.
The concept:
recv_daemon() // thread
{
    // recv packets from tcp
    // allocates node and push to queue
}

recv()
{
    // wait until queue is not empty
    // pull message from queue and frees it
}

send()
{
    // send message with tcp
}

main()
{
    while(1)
    {
        recv(buffer);
        send(buffer);
    }
}

so I think it's pretty easy to understand.

*

*the daemon constantly receiving packets from the network

*the daemon push a message to the queue

*the main function calls the recv() function who pulls a message from the queue

*the main function sends the packet received to the other side

*repeat 3 and 4

The issue:
to test the application, I tried to send packets in a high rate (but still a rate that the hardware should be ok with).
The problem is that for each packet that the daemon pushes to the queue, it allocates memory (which makes sense).
Because of that fact, and the fact that the send function is taking a bit time, there is much more allocations than frees, because the recv() function (which pulls messages) gets called less than the recv_daemon() pushes.
Which makes the memory fly up.
I tried to make the send a little more efficient and it did help a little but not enough.
I tried commenting out the send() and there was no problem.
Problem is that the couple of functions that send have, must be there and there is no way no make it more efficient than it is (even it there was, it wouldn't be enough).
I'm wondering if there is a solution to this problem. Even maybe in the design?
BTW, I'm using a thread cause I wanna handle messages that are not data (like pings).


• For each minute a victim of sudden cardiac arrest is not receiving a shock from an AED, his chance of survival decreases by up to 10%.
• The length of time from collapse to the first AED shock can dramatically influence a victim's chance of survival.
• AEDs are safe and easy to use.
An Automated External Defibrillator (AED) is a critical device responsible for providing a shock to a victim's heart after a fatal abnormal cardiac rhythm strikes the victim unconscious. After sudden collapse, immediate CPR should be initiated until an AED can be applied. The optimal time from collapse to the first shock from an AED is less than four minutes.
The GW Lifesavers Program offers Medical Direction and Program Oversight to both individuals and organizations. A physician from the Department of Emergency Medicine oversees all clients' devices to ensure that they are working properly. This service includes an annual inspection of all AEDs, automatic reminders for expiring batteries and pads and access to an online tracking system to manage equipment. Should a GW Lifesavers client use an AED, the Medical Director will complete all required paperwork and reports to send to the state EMS agency. Some states, including the District of Columbia require every AED to be under the Medical Direction of a physician, and a prescription is required for purchase. These services are all provided by the GW Lifesavers Program.
For any questions or concerns about the GW Lifesavers Program, please contact a Program Coordinator (mkrentsa@mfa.gwu.edu or 202.741.2958).


text:
Full news listing
Calling Princess Leia: How the out-of-this-galaxy Star Wars hologram just became a step closer to reality
Flying butterfly created by the Multimodal Acoustic Trap Display
Globe hologram created by the Multimodal Acoustic Trap Display
Academics at the University of Sussex have come the closest yet to recreating one of the most iconic of Star Wars technology by developing for the first time holograms that can be seen by the naked eye as well as heard and felt.
While not yet able to transmit a 3-D distress call from Princess Leia, the Multimodal Acoustic Trap Display (MATD) is capable of showing a coloured butterfly gently flapping in mid-air, emojis and other images which are visible without the need for VR or AR headsets.
Lead author Dr Ryuji Hirayama, a JSPS scholar and Rutherford Fellow at the University of Sussex, said: "Our new technology takes inspiration from old TVs which use a single colour beam scanning along the screen so quickly that your brain registers it as a single image. Our prototype does the same using a coloured particle that can move so quickly anywhere in 3D space that the naked eye sees a volumetric image in mid-air."
The MATD uses ultrasound to trap a particle and illuminate it with red, green, and blue light to control its colour as it quickly scans through an open space to reveal the illusion of volumetric content.
The prototype scans the content in less than the 0.1 second that the eye takes to integrate different light stimuli under a single shape.
As well as visual content, the prototype developed by a team at the University of Sussex's School of Engineering and Informatics can also blast out a chorus of Queen or create a tactile button in mid-air through the use of ultrasound alone.
Dr Diego Martinez Plasencia, co-creator of the MATD and a researcher on 3D User Interfaces at the University of Sussex, said: "Even if not audible to us, ultrasound is still a mechanical wave and it carries energy through the air. Our prototype directs and focuses this energy, which can then stimulate your ears for audio, or stimulate your skin to feel content."
The research team believe that the MATD system could become an incredibly useful visualisation tool for a huge range of professions including anyone working in biomedicine, design or architecture.
Project leader Sri Subramanian, Professor of Informatics at the University of Sussex and a Royal Academy of Engineering Chair in Emerging Technologies, said: "Our MATD system revolutionizes the concept of 3D display. It is not just that the content is visible to the naked eye and in all ways perceptually similar to a real object while still allowing the viewer to reach inside and interact with the display.
"It is also the fact that it relies on a principle that can also stimulate other senses, putting it above any other display approaches and getting us closer than ever to Ivan Sutherland's vision of the Ultimate Display."
The MATD is able to create additional perceptual sensations compared to rival hologram technologies such as 3D TVs, light-field displays or volumetric displays.
The authors believe that its potential to manipulate matter without touching could open up interesting opportunities to mix chemicals without contaminating them, conduct ultrasound levitation inside tissues to accurately deliver life-saving drugs and numerous lab-in-a-chip applications.
Dr Hirayama added: "The MATD was created using low-cost and commercially available components, we believe there is plenty of room to increase its capacity and potential.
"Operating at frequencies higher than 40KHz will allow the use of smaller particles, increasing the resolution and precision of the visual content, while frequencies above 80KHz will result in optimum audio quality.
"More powerful ultrasound speakers, more advanced control techniques or even the use of several particles, could allow for more complex, stronger tactile feedback and louder audio.
"So even though we have yet to match the Rebel Alliance's communications capability, our prototype has come the closest yet and opened up a host of other exciting opportunities in the process."
To read the paper in full, visit here.
By: Neil Vowles
Last updated: Tuesday, 19 November 2019
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When Ralph Blackington formed the Horne Construction Company, he wanted it to be a different kind of Construction Company and replace the typical adversarial relationships with a true teamwork approach.
At Horne Construction we realize that we have to bring the Owner, Design Professionals, Subcontractors and Suppliers together as a Team to accurately address the requirements and needs of the project.
We are able to deal with customers with a variety of needs because we take the time to fully understand our customer's requirements. The earlier an Owner involves Horne Construction in their project the better we are able to see the full scope of the project and communicate that to all of the Team members.
During our history, we have been fortunate to have constructed great projects for terrific Owners all the while developing the best team of dedicated construction professionals to be found anywhere in the industry.
Please take a moment to look at the various projects to see our wide range of capabilities.


The arrival of a new year means many people will be making resolutions. But columnist Loretta LaRoche says resolving to make changes accomplishes very little; you need attainable goals and a plan for achieving them.
Here we go again. Another year is upon us and millions of individuals are ramping up to make changes in their lives through myriad resolutions. It certainly makes sense to evaluate our lives and try to renew our minds, bodies and spirits. But all the good intentions will never be brought to fruition without a plan, attainable goals, a timeline and action.
And – let's get real – without action, you can expect to achieve nothing. Many of us are masters at talking about what we want to do, but not at doing it. Thinking about losing weight might burn a few calories, but eating less and moving more will definitely make a difference. Telling your friends and family about your lousy relationship day in and day out and how sick it makes you will do nothing but make you sick. Feeling overwhelmed, fatigued and taken advantage of will not get you a place in history but it could get you an earlier demise.
Believe me, I have expended a lot of energy talking about things that left me feeling miserable. Only when I began to take steps toward solutions was I able to free myself from being a prisoner of my thoughts and redundant babble. But, staying stuck becomes par for the course, especially if we have been discussing our problems for years. They become part of us, like a pair of worn slippers. We're used to them, and getting rid of them means we have to break in a new pair. Changing habits is similar. It's uncomfortable and often painful. It's hard to imagine feeling good when you're used to feeling bad. Especially when you misconstrue overeatingand not being respected, nurtured or cherished as par for the course. Often change happens quickly and dramatically when people face daunting challenges. A heart attack, stroke or cancer often gives people huge incentives to get healthy. Discovering that a partner is cheating often drives individuals to finally move on.
However, we do not have to get to the proverbial end of our rope. There are no easy answers, but what I've discovered is that each day is "the day." Make the most of each day by seeing yourself as someone who deserves to live your best possible life. I know I can keep promises to myself one day at a time. And it feels so much better than a whole list of resolutions that could make me feel guilty and stressed. Happy New Year!
Author, humorist, PBS star and Fortune 500 trainer Loretta LaRoche live in Plymouth, Mass. To share your pet peeves, questions or comments, write to The Humor Potential, 50 Court Street, Plymouth, MA., 02360, send email to GetALife@lorettalaroche.com, visit the website at www.stressed.com, or call toll-free 1-800-99-TADAH (82324).


In order to promote the Network's complaint reporting form please post a link to the form on your website.
If your organization would like to use a unique URL that will allow the Network to automatically track the complaints your organization submits on behalf of homeowners, please email us at partnersupport@preventloanscams.org to become an official reporting partner.
While the best way to report scams to the Network is through the online complaint form, there will be times when partners do not have access to the internet. To ensure that complaints are still reported, the Network has created paper complaint resources.
Partner organizations and agencies are encouraged to train their staff and volunteers on the best way to screen for and report scams to the Network. The LMSPN has created brief, yet detailed instructions on how to report scams to the Network.
Click here to download a PDF document detailing how to report a scam to the Network.
Homeowner education is critical to combating loan modification scams. The Network has created a tip card that provides red flags for homeowners to know, information on how to access free HUD-certified counseling, and a way to report scams online or over the phone. Please distribute these tip cards to your networks to ensure they do not join the countless homeowners who have fallen victim to these scams.
Submit a Complaint, Now What?
Once you submit a complaint to the Networks national database valuable information will be provided to help local, state and federal enforcement efforts to stop illegal loan modification scams.
You have submitted a complaint, click here to download a PDF version of the Networks next steps.
Visit www.loanscamalert.org to learn more about loan modification scams. NeighborWorks AmericaTM hosts the website as part of a comprehensive national media and outreach campaign. There you will find important educational information for homeowners and a toolkit of ready-made materials on loan scams for partners.


Ask for "VistA Community Meeting - GMU" rate of $89 per night. Cutoff is May 15, but group rate will be honored if room is available. Free Internet & WiFi. Free Continental Breakfast included.
If you take the shuttle, get off at the Shenandoah (formerly Sandy Creek) Parking Deck (#43 on map) and use the map to get from there to meeting which will be held in The Hub (the old Student Union II) , which is #56 on the map.
Should you decide to drive, the Shenandoah (formerly Sandy Creek) Parking Deck (#43 in purple on the maps)is the most convenient to the meeting. The meeting is on the top floor of the "The Hub" (formerly Student Union II where we met in 2011) , which is #56 in red on the maps. Parking is $14 a day at any of the garages on campus BUT you may need to have a special permit to be able to use the garages. Nancy Anthracite will find out closer to the time of the meeting.
If you are going to be staying in the Comfort Inn, you can take the Gold Cue Bus from the North Side of the Vienna Metro Station for $1.80 (cash) or $1.60 with a SmartTrip card. There is shuttle bus service from the hotel to the campus so you could also take the shuttle and then call the hotel for pickup from the campus, (703) 591-5900. Schedule a ride and reserve a seat on the shuttle at the Comfort Inn front desk.
CS Tools: A replacement for MOCHA for non-VA users of VISTA to use First Databank (vendor).
10:15 Break - Sponsored by DSS Inc.
Internationalization - UTF8 for VistA Etc. - Chris Richardson, et. al.
Break Sponsored By DSS Inc.


On nights like these, the apartment is quiet.
There isn't a lot to say, after all. The missions always leave something behind: an imprint on their skin, calluses on their fingertips, a heavy, empty silence that bleeds from the walls and settles into the air. And on nights like these, they can feel it. Even as they peel off their sweat-soaked suits and scrub the blood and dirt from their hands until their palms are raw, they can feel it.
It's why, when he stumbles into the kitchen that night, Liam makes six cups of tea instead of one. It's why, even though she could do it just fine on her own, Valerie lets Piper's gentle hands tend to the gash on her forearm. It's why Archie doesn't immediately retreat into his room like he always does, why the ever-efficient Nia leaves the mission report unfinished on the counter, why Taya and Jamil sit a little closer than strictly necessary and no one really minds. It's why they all linger in the living room for just a few moments too long.
"Maybe we should all get some sleep," Nia says finally, after some time has passed. Her hands are wrapped tightly around the mug that Liam had pressed into them, and her eyes and voice are tired, but she makes no move to go to her room. None of them do. Maybe they aren't ready to fall asleep yet.
Maybe they just don't want to be alone.
Slowly, Viriya nods, and a little bit of the tension in the room seems to ebb away. Then Piper waves her hand and a pile of blankets floats down from the closet shelf, and they're clambering onto the couch together, squeezing to fit and laughing softly as Archie and Liam tousle for the best spot.
Taya curls up against Jamil, who squeezes her hand and intertwines their fingers. "Maybe we should play a game?" she suggests quietly, because it doesn't take long for it to become clear that none of them will find sleep any time soon.
"You just have so many great ones, it would be a shame to let them go to waste," Valerie taunts, settling her head into his lap with a grin. He retorts with a none-too-gentle tug on the end of her dark braid, and she swats at his hand with a scowl but still doesn't move. Nia chuckles a little, and Taya hides a giggle behind her hand. This is how it has always been, will always be, between the two of them, something so simple and easy that somehow it makes everything a little lighter. The brightness of their banter is almost contagious.
Piper pauses in thought. "What about Never Have I Ever? The um, non-alcoholic version?" she offers.
Archie cackles at the others' expense and high-fives Valerie as the four superpowered teens reluctantly lower a finger each.
"You're gonna pay for that," Jamil says, his voice dangerously low. He's always true to his word.
It's sometime around 6 A.M., and the sky has already started to lighten when their laughter begins to taper off, when the delirious high from the night slowly starts to fade away. As it leaves, exhaustion sinks back into their bones, and the hollowness in the air makes itself known again. It's suddenly harder to ignore.
"Nia?" Taya inquires carefully, receiving a soft hum in response. "What happened with the mission yesterday...those kids--" she swallows tightly and clutches Jamil's arm a little tighter. She doesn't--can't--finish. She doesn't have to.
"There was...there wasn't anything more we could've done," Nia responds, and her voice is heavy and shaking enough to make Taya wish she hadn't said anything. But maybe they all need it, the quiet reassurance from their leader that it's going to be okay. Maybe Nia needs it too.
They've all heard it a million times before. From their mentors, their parents, each other. It doesn't dull the blow any, though; the words still ring in the air, sharp enough to sting in how truthful they are.
For a moment, it's painfully quiet.


text:
Jewish Culture Interpretation Centre
A walk through the Jewish influence in the city
In Ximénez de Enciso Street, in the heart of the Santa Cruz neighbourhood, you can visit the Interpretation Centre of the Jewish influence in Seville, a privately owned project whose main objective is to recover and enhance the culture of this group, which lived through a splendid period in Spain until it was expelled. It is worth mentioning that the Jewish quarter of Santa Cruz is where the Seville Jewish quarter was located and that it reached the area of San Bartolomé. The aim is to make known a part of the Jewish culture that has often been forgotten and is part of the history of Spain.
A serie of pieces and objects are exhibited that tell the story of the Jewish district of Seville, its physical limits in the city, its history, its most outstanding figures, its legends, its social and cultural achievements and the persecutions that were seen there, weaving a narrative thread that will allow the visitors to learn about the past of one of the most beautiful areas of Seville.
The centre's collection includes a jewel of Spanish painting: "The expulsion of the Jews from Seville", a painting by Joaquín Turina Areal, a painter from the 19th century Sevillian School.
"It is one of the few pictorial works that have dealt with the subject of the expulsion of the Jews in Spain, and their lament over the loss of what was their homeland, Spain, since the first century after Christ.
Numerous legends about characters from the Sevillian Jewish community, run through the place.
General admission: 6.50 €
Reduced admission: 5 € for children, students and groups.
C/ Ximenez de Enciso, 22


text:
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Film Acquisition Rundown: Grasshopper Film Picks Up 'The Human Surge,' Factory 25 Buys Peru's Oscar Contender
Sat 26, Nov 16 | By Tori Dumstorf
Keep up with the wild and wooly world of indie film acquisitions with our weekly Rundown of everything that's been picked up around the globe.
– EXCLUSIVE: Grasshopper Film has announced the acquisition of all U.S. distribution rights to "The Human Surge," the electrifying debut from Argentine filmmaker Eduardo Williams, which was recently awarded the Golden Leopard at the Locarno Film Festival from a jury led by Dario Argento. The film will open in theaters next year.
The film follows Buenos Aires resident "Exe, 25 years old, has just lost his job and is not looking for another one. His neighbors and friends seem as odd to him as they always do. Online, he meets Alf, a boy from Mozambique who is also bored with his job and who is about to follow Archie, another boy who has run away into the jungle. Through the dense vegetation of the forest, Archie tracks ants back to their nest. One of them wanders off course and comes across Canh, a Filipino, sitting on top of a giant heap of earth and who is about to go back to his strange, beautiful home town."
"It's impossible to describe the ingenuity and sheer excitement of watching Eduardo Williams' 'The Human Surge,'" said Grasshopper Founder and President Ryan Krivoshey in a statement. "Easily among the most virtuoso debuts in recent memory, we look forward to bringing this amazing film to U.S. audiences so they can experience it for themselves."
– Factory 25 has announced that it has acquired the rights to Peru's 2017 Academy Award Submission for best Foreign Film, "VIDEOFILIA (and Other Viral Syndromes)." The International Rotterdam Film Festival award winner for best international film is the second feature directed by Juan Daniel F. Molero, whose 2005 film "Reminiscencias" was an international festival favorite.
The film "begins with a teenage misfit spending her first days out of school slacking, experimenting with drugs and cyberspace. She meets Junior online. He's an aspiring amateur porn dealer, who's into conspiracy theories and is convinced that the Mayan Apocalypse is happening. Once they meet in the 'real world,' a series of bizarre events unfold in this contemporary non-love story portraying postmodern Lima as a glitchy computer virus full of corruption, psychedelia and ancient ruins."
Factory 25 will premiere the film theatrically December 2 – 8 in New York City at Spectacle Theater, followed by weeklong runs on December 7 in Los Angeles at Arena Cinema and January 6 in San Francisco at The Roxie, followed by screenings across the country throughout the winter.
– Kino Lorber has acquired all North American rights to "A Small Good Thing," a documentary by Pamela Tanner Boll that "explores the disparity between material wealth and personal happiness, by following several individuals as they seek to lead more meaningful lives, forming strong bonds with their families, communities, and the natural world around them."
The film will be released by Kino Lorber's Alive Mind Cinema label, specializing in documentaries in the areas of enlightened consciousness, secular spirituality and culture. The film will become available on VOD platforms including iTunes, Amazon, Google Play, and Vudu on December 20, to be followed by a DVD release early next year.
– IFC Midnight has announced the acquisition of a psychological thriller feature from Alpine Labs and director Tony E. Valenzuela, "The Axe Murders of Villisca," starring Robert Adamson, Jarrett Sleeper, Alex Frnka, Conchata Ferrell and Jon Gries. The film is Valenzuela's feature-length directorial debut and was written by Owen Egerton, story by Kevin Abrams and Valenzuela.
The film "focuses on the paranormal repercussions of what many consider to be the most horrifying unsolved murders in the United States. Now used as a tourist destination, the Villisca Axe Murder House has terrified visitors from around the world and is considered one of the most haunted houses in America. The film follows the present day story of three troubled teens who decide to break in and spend the night at the house, forever changing who they are and what is known about the original murders."
– Screen Media Films acquired U.S. rights for the horror feature "The Void," which is written and directed by Jeremy Gillespie and Steven Kostanski and stars Aaron Poole, Ellen Wong, Kathleen Munroe, Stephanie Belding, and Kenneth Welsh. The film will be released in theaters day-and-date in Q1 2017. The film previously made its world premiere at Fantastic Fest earlier this year, followed by additional festival screenings at the London Film Festival, Toronto After Dark Film Festival, Stockholm International Film Festival, and Abertoir Horror Festival.
In the film, "officer Daniel Carter (Aaron Poole) happens upon a blood-soaked figure limping down a deserted stretch of road while he's in the middle of a routine patrol. He rushes the young man to a nearby rural hospital staffed by a skeleton crew, only to discover that patients and personnel are transforming into something inhuman. As the horror intensifies, Carter leads the other survivors on a hellish voyage into the subterranean depths of the hospital in a desperate bid to end the nightmare before it's too late.
– Kino Lorber has picked up the North American rights to Attila Till's "Kills on Wheels," Hungary's official submission to the 2017 Academy Awards. The film debuted at Karlovy Vary earlier this year, later going on to win the Golden Alexander award at the Thessaloniki International Film Festiva and the Roger Ebert Award at the 2016 Chicago International Film Festival.
The dark comedy "stars non-professional disabled actors in the lead roles and focuses on two twenty-something close friends and roommates at a disabled care facility. When they meet the ex-fireman and wheelchair-user, the trio decides to strike a unique partnership and sell their services to the mafia as a gang of hired assassins." Kino Lorber will open the film theatrically in the spring, before rolling it out on demand and home video in the fall. The news was first reported by Variety.
– Good Deed Entertainment has picked up North American rights to "The Runaround," a comedy starring J.K. Simmons and Emile Hirsch. GDE will release the film theatrically next year. Analeigh Tipton, Taran Killam, Kristen Schaal and Shannon Woodward also star in the film.
The film is directed by Gavin Wiesen and written by Seth W. Owen, it "follows a workaholic father (Simmons) as he attempts to visit his daughter during a layover in Los Angeles, only to discover that she's disappeared. In order to find her, he's forced to team up with her awkward ex-boyfriend (Hirsch) and they end up having a life-changing night." The news was first reported by Deadline.
This originally appeared in IndieWire: http://www.indiewire.com/2016/11/film-acquisition-rundown-grasshopper-film-the-human-surge-1201747740/
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Trying to find something new on the way from Jackson to Atlanta can be a little trying. I'm almost always in Meridian or Tuscaloosa come lunch time, and despite reader recommendations, I was bored with good in those two towns. For this trip to Atlanta, I decided to wait till Birmingham for lunch, specifically for a Cuban sandwich.
I normally don't go out of my way for a Cuban sandwich, but when I heard that Kool Korner had relocated to Birmingham. I knew I should go pay a visit and see if Mr. Ramirez's sandwiches are that good.
There's one immediate problem with Kool Korner, for an out of towner, it's a pain to find. Of course, google maps weren't much help. On the other hand, being stuck in the corner of a strip mall, with no sign visible from the road, Kool Korner doesn't make itself easy to locate. However, once those aggravations were over, I walked inside an impeccably clean restaurant.
Wanting to sample a few different items, I decided to try the Classic Cuban and the Stuffed Eye of Round. I barely had time to leaf through a local paper before the sandwiches were on my table and ready to eat.
There it is, the envy of Atlanta, the Kool Korner Cuban.
Inside the crusty, Cuban bread, this sandwich is dressed to the gills with lettuce, tomato, mustard, Swiss cheese, pickles, and mayo.
Right away, I'm in love with the two types of pork in the sandwich. There's a sliced deli ham with a real unique flavor, from the mojo sauce I think. Just as delicious is the sliced jamon, with all the flavors of lechon asado. Overall this is a very tasty sandwich, but surprisingly cold. There aren't any dominating flavors here, just a beautiful blend of pork, bread, and dressings.
Aside from the Cuban Sandwich, there was a Stuffed Eye of Round sandwich waiting on the table.
Stuffed with chorizo, this seemed like a dynamite combination.
Right away, there's an incredibly different flavor. The beef is almost muted in this sandwich.
Imagine my surprise when I find the chorizo stuffing is just slices of chorizo thrown in between the folds of eye of round. Still, the chorizo brings a nice bit of heat and paprika flavor to the sandwich.
Trying the beef separately, I actually found it to be dry and overcooked. However, when eaten as part of the sandwich, it blends in and seems perfectly juicy.
Knowing full well I couldn't eat two large sandwiches and expect to make the rest of the trip, I asked Mr. Ramirez for a to go bag. He immediately expressed concern about me not finishing the sandwiches. He says "if someone doesn't finish it all, it's a bad sandwich." I assured him that I enjoyed the sandwiches, and that I had actually ordered two just to get a better taste of his menu. It may be a little detail, but it's comforting to see an owner take that much pride in his wares.
On the way to Atlanta, I had plenty of time to reflect on the sandwiches and Kool Korner. It really is a nice restaurant with a very nice, concerned owner, but I suppose it wasn't as good as I was expecting. I feel that's just a case of reading too much into random yelp reviews from the Atlanta location. Kool Korner makes a quality sandwich, so much so that I had to stop on the way back to Jackson and pick up two Cubans to go for a friend. Of course, there's no reason to waste a stop, so I ordered a salami for me for the ride home. I love the crusty bread on these sandwiches, but they really are messy as hell in the car.


text:
A Melodrama of Yesterday è un cortometraggio muto del 1912 diretto da F.J. Grandon (Francis J. Grandon).

Trama

Produzione
Il film fu prodotto dall'Independent Moving Pictures Co. of America (IMP).

Distribuzione
Distribuito dall'Universal Film Manufacturing Company, il film - un cortometraggio di 182,88 metri - uscì nelle sale cinematografiche statunitensi il 4 maggio 1912.

Nelle proiezioni, veniva programmato con il sistema dello split reel, accorpato in un'unica bobina con un altro cortometraggio prodotto dalla IMP, la commedia Breach of Promise.

Note

Voci correlate
Filmografia della Independent Moving Pictures

Collegamenti esterni

Cortometraggi commedia

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaWikipedia


text:
Q: How to make an image and shape interactive using fabric js with React I've been struggling for a while on this. I am using React with Fabric js and I am trying to resize / move an image a user uploaded. I also want to resize / move a shape I created as well. It unfortunately does not do that. In the other hand if I get an image straight from the url, it works. What am I doing wrong?
Here is a simplified code example:
  function App() {
  const [canvas, setCanvas] = useState(null);
  const handleFileUpload = (e) => {
    const reader = new FileReader();
    reader.onload = function (e) {
      const image = new Image();
      image.src = e.target.result;
      image.onload = function () {
        const img = new fabric.Image(image);
        canvas.add(img).setActiveObject(img).renderAll();
      };
    };
    reader.readAsDataURL(e.target.files[0]);
  };

  useLayoutEffect(() => {
    const initCanvas = () =>
      new fabric.Canvas("c", {
        height: 800,
        width: 800,
      });
    setCanvas(initCanvas());
  }, []);

  const addRect = () => {
    const rect = new fabric.Rect();
    rect.set({
      height: 100,
      width: 100,
      fill: "red",
    });
    canvas.add(rect).setActiveObject(rect).renderAll();
  };

  return (
    <div className="App">
      <canvas id="c" />
      <button onClick={addRect}>Rectangle</button>
      <input
        type="file"
        accept=".doc,.ppt,.pdf,.mp4,image/*"
        id="cameraInput"
        name="cameraInput"
        onChange={(e) => handleFileUpload(e)}
      />
    </div>
  );
}

Here is also a demo

A: I think this issue has something to do with React - strict mode.
  <StrictMode>
    <App />
  </StrictMode>

https://reactjs.org/docs/strict-mode.html
Here is the demo with a similar code as the demo shared in the question but without strictmode.
Demo-without strict mode