text:
Fowler, Martinez are the most likely of this group. Followed by Bader, Munoz, and then O'Neill based on the roles the Cardinals have in mind for them on the current depth chart.
If Orin's leaves, I get wanting to open spots for the youth but who bats clean up if Goldy hits 3? Leaves then vulnerable
by Matt from 11/11/2019 5:29:40 PM
The Cardinals do not have an answer for the cleanup spot. It's a concern.
Good morning Derrick, does Fowler automatically have the starting right field spot on opening day over the younger outfielders?
No. He could start in left field.
Would Kyle Gibson,Corey ****erson,Kole Calhoun or Tyler Clippard be of interest to you?
by Fix it man 11/11/2019 5:30:13 PM
Yes, except for Clippard.
Kolten Wong has really improved his approach over the past two years by concentrating on a more disciplined, contact oriented approach instead of swinging for the fences. Is Bader capable of the same type of approach renewal? He's the type of player that would benefit from it, in my view.
The Cardinals want him to be. They've talked to him about it. They've worked with him on this. Jim Edmonds has spent time talking to him about his approach. The parade of hitting coaches the Cardinals have employed have also talked to him. Wong is an excellent example of what happened for a player who embraced it, and it's one reason why the Cardinals had Bader in the eighth spot. Good spot in the order to get a feel for the strike zone, take some walks, and improve, as Wong did. Bader has to embrace the idea too.
Hello Derrick,
In your opinion, who do you think will be batting cleanup for the Cardinals on opening day 2020?
by TATERAMA 11/11/2019 5:32:51 PM
I have zero clue. They have no obvious answer. This is an issue.
From the press conference after the World Series, it appears that cardinals are content to bring back most of the underperforming players and don't wish to increase payroll and pursue free agents Is this somewhat accurate? They r printing money with attendance and ball park village can't imagine watching carpenter spend the summer rolling over to 2nd base tks Derrick
That is a fair read on what they said at the press conference, yes. To create some maneuverability they would need to make trades that reduce payroll and then go out and add it. I asked chairman Bill DeWitt Jr. about Ballpark Village and whether it was an ATM for the team rising beyond the center field wall during this Q/A. The answer might offer some insight into how the ball club and the ballpark village are related, for now: https://www.stltoday.com/sports/baseball/professional/dewitt-q---a-cards-chairman-discusses-pressure-on/article_bae7250a-ab76-59f1-90c1-c3b0d73e4ade.html
What will be the cards goal at this years gm meetings? They have pitching and OF depth along with a few guys on mlb roster that could help other teams like o nieil and jmart
by Choni 11/11/2019 5:35:14 PM
The GM meetings are the first date for deals, not the deadline. If you're expecting a whirlwind of activity in this first event of the offseason, you'll be disappointed. That doesn't mean there isn't news, and there isn't activity, and there isn't conversation. This is where it begins. This is where the conversations that netted a Goldschmidt trade gained momentum. This is where the trade talks for Heyward back in 2014 gathered steam. This is where the Cardinals had their first meeting in person with free agent Jhonny Peralta and then he signed a free-agent deal soon after. Heck, this is even where the Cardinals got deals for free agent relievers Luke Gregerson and Brett Cecil moving toward completion.
DG,
Do you think the Cubs will trade Bryant this offseason? Sounds like there is some tensions between the player and organization.
by DDMN 11/11/2019 5:43:09 PM
There always been really, ever since the billboard with Bryant appeared outside Wrigley before Bryant appeared inside Wrigley. The Cubs are fascinating. They need to replenish their farm system, and Bryant would be a way to do that, for sure. That trade is something they have to explore, and same with swallowing some of the cash on Darvish's deal to maybe move him for talent. They're a fascinating, tenuous spot.
Thank you for these chats! How concerned should fans be with the offense if the team goes into the 2020 season with the roster sans Ozuna and no additions?
It would be reasonable to expect the same that they got in 2019, then, right? I mean even if there's progression to the mean for Goldschmidt, Carpenter, Fowler, and DeJong, that would serve to make up for what was lost by Ozuna's departure.
Are the Cardinals really going to stand pat with the team that ended the season with Fowler and Carpenter on the bench?
by Keith 11/11/2019 5:45:47 PM
They don't want to, no. There is a world where they deal with the limitations of their roster and still find ways to change it. That can happen.
Not sure. I'm in the media work room where there aren't even windows.
Does free agent Didi Gregorius now confirmed having no draft compensation to forfeit likely move the needle any for the Cardinals?
He should. He has before. I'm eager to get a sense of what he's seeking, what kind of commitment. Expect to hear about a reunion with the Reds. Cincinnati is a sleeper for this offseason as far as who they can add and how quickly they can improve a team that had two top-20 starters in ERA and already added Bauer for next season.
How long are the GM meetings and what if anything might we expect, perhaps Waino news?
They last through Thursday. Wainwright news is on the front burner, yes. And also there will be resolution with Ozuna and the QO, which he is still likely to reject. That's his stance right now. He's planning to decline that offer.
Are the Reds one good offseason away from competing for a division or do they have enough holes that they'll need another year to build?
by Jake 11/11/2019 5:51:09 PM
They are a few moves away from competing for the division, yes. That's the team that is closest to advancing as a challenger, while some other teams are teetering.
Hi: You implied more than once in recent chat that the Cardinals could sign Moustakas? Do you still think that?
The Cardinals could, sure. Rick Hummel has written a lot about that fit, and the benefit of having a lefthanded hitter in the lineup, possibly at cleanup, and then playing third base. Those would be draws for the Cardinals, and the fact that he does not have QO attached to him. The commitment in years is going to be less. There are plenty of reasons for the appeal.
Would the Cardinals trade within the division if it meant getting somebody like Kris Bryant for a package built around Harrison Bader?
by Gordon 11/11/2019 5:55:15 PM
They would -- and they would call it Christmas from Santa Theo.
Will Willson Contreras be employed by a new team in 2020?
I've asked the Cubs beat writers who are here.
One: "It would be insane if he's not with the Cubs."
Two: "They're going to field offers all winter long, and not trade him."
Has the logo officially been changed at this point? My At Bat app has changed over at some point to the new logo.
by Kyle KS 11/11/2019 5:57:58 PM
Yes. That was set to happen this month, just in time for holiday shopping.
How does the court case involved with Kris Bryan effect his trade value? Is there a case where a team trades for two years of him but only comes away with one due to the hearing?
It would depend entirely on the grievance hearing, and any team trading for him would have to decide whether the risk is worth the reward there, and that would suppress what the Cubs could get for him, obviously. It would be part of the risk assessment any team would have to do before making an offer.
Why are the Cubs looking to trade Contreras? He seems to be one of the better young catchers in the game
Rumors, pal. Some of them don't have to make sense this time of year.


Giant annual rummage sale in the lower level of the church. This year's sale is particularly rich in semi antiques, vintage items, farmhouse treasures, artworks, furniture (lots of storage, living room end tables & console set, flatscreen stand, counter stools, vintage drafting table, lamps), vintage hats, fabric and quilting/sewing supplies, craft supplies, plus our usual giant assortment of housewares, small appliances, china & glassware, decorative items, clothing, books, board games and jigsaw puzzles. Don't bother with online shopping to set up your new house, condo or apartment--shop Good Shepherd first! Plus, you can shop guilt-free: the proceeds of this sale offset the church's deficit and help us continue our work helping people in Clinton and surrounding towns. Doors will open at 9am; sale goes until 3pm.


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Click the button below to add the Purse Pal Straps to your wish list.
The Talon Purse Pal is designed to solve the problem of securing a standard holster in a purse/pouch pocket. In many normal purses or packs, some of the internal or side pockets will accommodate a holstered pistol but they can't guarantee its reliable accessibility. A holstered pistol can move around or even turn upside down when unsecured in some way. That's where the Purse Pal can help alleviate the issue. Watch here as we explain the benefit of our Purse Pal.If you have a retention holster with belt loops, you can also use the Talon Purse Pal to thread through and extend the base of your holster to make a flatter bottom edge and the ends of the Purse Pal will fit tightly into the corners of the pocket, keeping it upright and secure. Try our Universal Purse/Pouch Holster that can be seen here demonstrated with and without the Purse Pal's in use. When you draw the pistol, the holster will stay put. Industrial-Strength Velcro secures the straps in place. These are made from the same high quality American Steer Hide our holsters are constructed from and are backed by the same No-Bull Guarantee as every other Talon product.
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Celebrating a fine year for FDI in Ireland are (l-r) Martin Shanahan, CEO IDA Ireland, President Michael D. Higgins and Frank Ryan, IDA's chairman of the board, all images via Maxwells
IDA lauds record-breaking FDI employment
by Gordon Hunt
The IDA is lauding a record-breaking year, after 2015 saw a 66pc rise in foreign direct investment (FDI) job creation, with total employment from this area topping out at 187,056.
Claiming that one-in-five of all private sector jobs now rely on IDA-supported FDI companies, CEO of the Irish body, Martin Shanahan, said the importance of companies moving into Ireland "has never been larger".
Shanahan also lauded a "broad-based performance", with the whole of the country, seemingly, feeling the benefit.
A net rise of 12,000 jobs through companies backed by the IDA in 2015 came on the back of a rise in actual investments, 213 last year as opposed to 197 in 2014.
"Many of the projects won in 2015 were capital intensive, and provided strong additional benefits beyond the jobs themselves," said Shanahan.
"IDA's performance is the result of hard work by IDA's global team, including the 35 new staff that joined the organisation under the Winning Abroad initiative in the last year."
Talent pool beyond our borders
Job loss rates were at their lowest ever, according to the IDA, which once again cited the talent pool in Ireland as a key attraction for major companies.
The talent pool is something that is never detailed in its entirety, so, for those who think it means there are loads of graduates coming through the Irish education system that satisfy industries like science, technology or the likes, you're wrong.
Always at the cutting edge of new innovation
Pictured at today's announcement are (l-r) Frank Ryan, IDA's chairman of the board, Minister Richard Bruton and IDA CEO Martin Shanahan
What is more likely is there is a finite number of indigenous workers that satisfy part of employers' needs, with additional access to a labour market far and wide thanks to complementary, yet unrelated, international labour agreements.
The IDA suggests that the level of job creation is actually 70pc higher than the figures provided, with indirect employment bringing it all up to 318,000 (thus, the one-in-five private sector positions).
Not just a capital calling
The regional breakdown is quite interesting, actually, with 59pc of the total IDA-client employment coming outside of Dublin – a slightly lower rate of 53pc relates to jobs announced in 2015.
Facebook's Meath expansion, Apple's Galway move (300 jobs), Pramerica's continued investment in Donegal (330) and Regeneron's $350m investment in Limerick (220) were highlights in the year outside of the capital, while the likes of Alexion Pharmaceuticals (200 jobs and 800 in construction) and Slack (100) in Dublin were also notable throughout the year.
The IDA reported that two-thirds of all corporation tax payments in Ireland came from their clients, with the biggest corporate tax year on record replicating the overall performance.
"There has been a very strong pipeline of new investments over the past 18 months and we can see from today's figures that multinationals are adding headcount at a high rate – which suggests a strong uplift in activity," added Shanahan.
Fireworks image via Shutterstock
Related: Ireland, jobs, reports, IDA Ireland
Gordon joined Silicon Republic in October 2014 as a journalist, moving on to a new position as senior communications and content executive at NDRC in August 2017. Unafraid of heights or spiders, Gordon spends most of his time avoiding conversations about music, appreciating even the least creative pun and rueing the day he panicked when meeting Paul McGrath. His favourite thing on the internet remains the 'Random Article' link on Wikipedia.
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10 failed Star Wars merch that sound like valid ideas

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


American Gypsum's Submittal Sheets are in the Adobe PDF format. You will need Acrobat Reader to view these documents.
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Today I'd like to welcome Mak to the DNSimple team as our first ever DevOps Apprentice!
Mak will be working with me for the next few months to learn everything DevOps at DNSimple while also learning to be an effective remote worker. He tells me that he'd like to travel the world while doing awesome DevOps work at DNSimple and we couldn't be happier to have him working with us.
Mak is a recent graduate of the Dev Bootcamp Chicago "Copperheads" cohort and has been very interested to learn what makes the internet run. Originally from Bosnia, Mak and his family emigrated to the U.S. in 1995 and lives in Chicago. He's also a big fan of the Chicago sports teams, specifically the Blackhawks, Bulls, and Bears (in order of favorites). When he's not watching sports, he's also playing or talking about video games (his favorite is Mass Effect).
I'll be writing more about the process we created to hire Mak along with updates on his progress in learning DevOps and remote working.


IS ANY IDENTIFICATION NEEDED FOR JACK BENNY, EDGAR BERGEN AND EDDIE CANTOR?
Sunday was the most popular night for listening during Network Radio's Golden Age. Over the years its schedule was loaded with Hall of Fame greats like Jack Benny, Edgar Bergen and Eddie Cantor. It was also the night for spectacular failures like The Big Show and Radio Hall of Fame plus several short-lived wonders that either fell from favor, (Stop The Music, for example), or moved on to other nights, (Major Bowes' Original Amateur Hour).
Network Radio Ratings, 1932-1953 reports that 17 programs and personalities registered at least three seasons in Sunday's Top Ten over the 21 years of the Golden Age. .
Listed below are all 17 in alphabetical order.
Here's your challenge: Create a list of Sunday's All Time Top Ten in order of their popularity. To help with your list we've added the total number of Sunday Top Ten seasons that each of these attractions scored during the Golden Age.
If you think that all you need do is rank them by their number of Top Ten seasons, think again. It's not that easy and there's a fooler or two in the mix that are sure to surprise you. Have fun building your All Time Top Ten list of Sunday's favorites.
Look below the book cover and you'll find the answers.
4/ Phil Baker's strong finish began with his three season run on Gulf Headliners in the 1930's and continued the next decade with his comedy quiz Take It Or Leave It, all resulting in 62 points.
5/ Eddie Cantor was Sunday's first superstar with three first place finishes from 1932 to 1935. He added a fourth and second place before leaving Sunday nights in 1937. Cantor returned to host Take It Or Leave It in 1949 with so-so ratings. His Sunday total was 49 points but he moved on to find greater success on Wednesdays.
8/ Fitch Bandwagon capitalized on the popularity of the big bands to score eight consecutive seasons in Sunday's Top Ten from 1938 to 1946 for 40 points.
9/ One Man's Family enjoyed six straight Sunday night Top Ten seasons before it was shuffled off to Blue and then NBC's Sunday afternoon lineup. The Carleton E. Morse drama registered 35 points in Sunday prime time.
The rest of the candidates for Sunday's All Time Top Ten were: American Album of Familiar Music - 26 points; Phil Harris & Alice Faye - 26 points; Our Miss Brooks - 21 points; The Great Gildersleeve - 19 points; Horace Heidt's Youth Opportunity Program - 15 points; Blondie - 12 points, and Theater Guild On The Air - 10 points.


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How Did Animal Farm End?
Why was Comrade Napoleon dying?
Why did squealer say Napoleon is dying?
Did Benjamin die in Animal Farm?
Do the pigs die in Animal Farm?
Who cheated in the card game in Animal Farm?
Why was Animal Farm banned?
What does the ending of Animal Farm mean?
What is ironic about the ending of Animal Farm?
Who dies at the end of Animal Farm?
Does Animal Farm have a happy ending?
Is snowball killed in Animal Farm?
What were boxer's last words?
Is Animal Farm banned in Russia?
Why did Boxer Die in Animal Farm?
Who is Benjamin's best friend?
What move the animals to attacked Frederick and his men at the battle of the Windmill.
The men blew up the animals' Windmill.
Why was Comrade Napoleon dying.
Napoleon had apparently had to much whiskey and he was hungover, not dying..
This was when Squealer stated that Napoleon was dying. It was Napoleon's first experience with drunkenness. He had a hangover after a night of drinking.
Benjamin is a donkey in George Orwell's 1945 novel Animal Farm. He is also the oldest of all the animals (he is alive in the last scene of the novel).
Old Major. The prize-winning boar whose vision of a socialist utopia serves as the inspiration for the Rebellion. Three days after describing the vision and teaching the animals the song "Beasts of England," Major dies, leaving Snowball and Napoleon to struggle for control of his legacy.
Napoleon and Pilkington have played the ace of spades simultaneously, and each accuses the other of cheating. The animals, watching through the window, realize with a start that, as they look around the room of the farmhouse, they can no longer distinguish which of the cardplayers are pigs and which are human beings.
Animal Farm by George Orwell (1945) Before the book was even published it was rejected several times by publishers, as it was written during the UK's wartime alliance with the Soviet Union. It was also temporarily banned in the UAE because of its talking pigs, seen to be against Islamic values.
The book's final image expresses the animals' realization that the pigs have become as cruel and oppressive as human farmers. The ending also makes the argument that political power is always the same, whoever has it and whatever ideology is used to justify it.
The best example of dramatic irony is at the end of the story. It is stated that the onlooker was unable to differentiate between a man and the pig. To the animals, it seems they cannot tell the difference but this is clearly well seen and understood by readers (Orwell 2003). The subtitle of the story is also ironic.
Years pass, and Animal Farm undergoes its final changes. Muriel, Bluebell, Jessie, and Pincher are all dead, and Jones dies in an inebriates' home. Clover is now 14 years old (two years past the retiring age) but has not retired.
In the book, they don't and there is no happy ending, with Muriel the goat having died prior to the book's ending. At the end of the movie, a new and kinder family moves into the farm who the surviving animals will work alongside to produce a better future. This never happens in the book.
While his fate is unclear in the novel and 1999-film, history suggests that just like the original Trotsky was killed by KGB assassins, Snowball was killed by Napoleon's dogs.
Squealer claims to have been present at Boxer's death, a tale he relates emotionally to the other animals. He claims that Boxer's last words were, "Forward, Comrades! … Forward in the name of the Rebellion" and "Long live Animal Farm! Long live Comrade Napoleon!
Animal Farm by George Orwell Animal Farm along with other writings of Orwell were forbidden in Russia until the fall of the Soviet Union in 1991.
Animal Farm is eventually proclaimed a Republic, and Napoleon is elected President. Once his hoof heals, Boxer works as hard as he can at building the windmill — until the day he collapses because of a lung ailment.
horse BoxerThe horse Boxer is his best friend.
Can Toyota Track My Stolen Car?
Can Sirius XM track a stolen car? Yes, if you have
Question: Why Is Bath Spa University?
Is Bath Spa a Russell Group uni? Top universities
Question: How Can A Girl Increase Her Height After Periods?
At what age girls get periods? Most girls start their
Quick Answer: Is Cheese Inflammatory?
What are the most inflammatory foods? Here are 6 foods
Question: Why Are My Angelfish Always Hungry?
How often should I feed my angelfish? 3 times a dayTo


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Things to do in Southampton
Explore activities and events in and around Southampton
Visit Southampton
Thanks to Southampton's location by the sea, the city has a long maritime history, with many world famous ships sailing from Southampton including the famous Titanic and Mayflower. Modern day Southampton still has an important connection to the sea, possessing one of the largest European cruise ports. There are lots of things to do in Southampton with a selection of great attractions, as well as fantastic shopping, eating and entertainment.
Southampton Airport is located in a convenient place near some of the South's best tourist attractions. From Paultons Park and Marwell Zoo to Portsmouth Historic Dockyard, there is plenty to entertain all ages and all within an hour's drive.
Take a look at this great video to see all the attractions on offer or visit the Hampshire's Top Attractions website. You can book a number of attraction tickets and tours with our partner Get Your Guide.
Paultons Park and Peppa Pig World
Paultons Park has over 60 wonderful rides and attractions and is home to Peppa Pig World, Peppa Pig's very own theme park! Peppa Pig World is perfectly themed to give the feeling of stepping into Peppa Pig's world. There is a great selection of themed rides including Grandpa Pig's Little Train Ride and George's Dinosaur Adventure. You can also visit Peppa's house and even meet Peppa and George.
Marwell Zoo
Marwell Zoo allows you to get close to the wonders of the natural world and play a big part in helping to save them. The 140-acre park is home to over 180 exotic and endangered species, in beautiful, landscaped surroundings. Species include Giraffes, Humboldt Penguins and Tigers. You can even see species mixing together as they would in the wild in the African Valley.
Portsmouth Historic Dockyard
Portsmouth Historic Dockyard is the world famous home of the Royal Navy's historic ships. Go aboard HMS Victory, HMS Warrior 1860 and find out more about the Mary Rose story for one of the best days out in the South of England. Portsmouth Harbors' leading attraction also includes the National Museum of the Royal Navy, Action Stations and Harbor Tours.
Beaulieu is a guaranteed great family day out with lots for everyone to enjoy including the world famous National Motor Museum. Situated in the heart of the New Forest National Park, Beaulieu is home to a stunning collection of automobiles, Palace House, historic Beaulieu Abbey and World of Top Gear featuring vehicles from some of the most ambitious Top Gear challenges.
Explore more than 1000 years of history in Europe's longest medieval Cathedral. Discover the beautiful illuminated Winchester Bible, 12th-century wall paintings, medieval carvings, contemporary art and the awe and wonder of this magnificent building.
Thruxton Motorsport Centre
Thruxton race circuit plays host to many races including the British Superbike and British Touring Car Championships. As well as races, Thruxton offers driving experiences with a wide range of cars including Ferrari, Aston Martin and Lamborghini. There are also junior driving experiences available for children aged 12 and over.
Take a behind the scenes tour of Southampton Football Club and visit the players' dressing rooms, warm-up room, the baths and the tactics board. Stand at the tunnel entrance and imagine the deafening roar of the crowd as the teams enter the stadium or watch a match.
The Ageas Bowl is the home of Hampshire Cricket as well as an events venue live music and events.
Stonehenge is one of the wonders of the world and the best-known prehistoric monument in Europe.
Stonehenge now has a transformed visitor experience, with a new world-class visitor centre, housing museum-quality permanent and temporary exhibitions, plus a spacious shop and café.
Longleat Safari & Adventure Park
The UK's number 1 Safari Park, Longleat Safari & Adventure Park was the first of its kind outside of Africa when it opened in 1966. It now offers an extensive drive through Safari Park where you can get unbelievably close to some incredible animals including giraffes, zebras, cheetahs, monkeys, elephants and lions. As well as the Safari experience, the park also offers over 20 fabulous attractions including the Longleat hedge maze, which is one of the world's longest labyrinths and the beautiful stately home, Longleat house.
Bombay Sapphire Distillery
The Bombay Sapphire Distillery is based at Laverstoke Mill, near Whitchurch in Hampshire. Choose from the Self-Discovery Experience and guide yourself through the distillery with an interactive map or the Hosted Experience where one of their friendly hosts will accompany you. You can learn about the history of gin, Laverstoke Mill, and Bombay Sapphire; and also find out about the flavours of the botanicals which make Bombay Sapphire gin so unique. Each tour is finished with a cocktail in the Mill bar.
Cruise from Southampton
Southampton is regarded as the cruise capital of Northern Europe with over four million passengers a year. Many large cruise ships sail from Southampton including the luxurious Queen Mary 2. For more information about cruising from Southampton see our cruise page.
Southampton's enchanting medieval Old Town has lots of unique historical features. The Bargate is the historic entrance to the town and through this you can look at many ancient monuments and buildings including the third longest stretch of unbroken medieval defensive walling in England.
SeaCity Museum
SeaCity Museum tells the story of the lives of the people of Southampton and their important connections with the sea. It features three excellent exhibitions including two on one of the most famous ships to have sailed from Southampton, the Titanic.
West Quay Shopping Centre
West Quay Shopping Centre is located in the heart of Southampton City Centre and offers a fantastic range of over 100 shops. There is also a growing range of eateries including Nandos, Pizza Express, Wagamama and many other places to grab a quick bite to eat.
Mayflower Theatre
The Mayflower Theatre is the largest theatre in Southern England and offers a wide range of shows from musicals, dance and opera to comedy and dramas. The Theatre plays host to many touring productions and famous musicals transported from the West End such as War Horse, CATS and Hairspray as well as the annual Christmas Pantomime.
Southampton Guildhall
Southampton Guildhall is the South's largest multipurpose entertainment venue. It is situated in the centre of the city with a large selection of restaurants and shops surrounding it. The Guildhall has played host to some of music's biggest names, comedians and other special events.


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Q: Why do regression parameters change when adding more explanatory variables in ordinal logistic regression? I have been using ordinal logistic regression with the ordinal package in R and the clm() function to complete an analysis of ordinal survey research data. In essence, I would simply like to discern the strength and direction of relationships between the predictor variables and the response variable (all of which are ordinal). Building a model to predict with is not the goal here.
Having already identified a set of 5 predictor variables from a possible 94, I have passed them on to an ordinal logistic model looking like this:
formula: support_measure ~ effect_mobility + effect_lifequal + effect_health + measure_aq_limit_traffic + effect_smell
data:    Data_new_reg_sup_meas

 link  threshold nobs logLik  AIC    niter max.grad cond.H
 logit flexible  3428 -242.70 521.41 8(0)  1.43e-07 1.9e+02

Coefficients:
                                   Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
effect_mobilitysehr verbessern       2.1829     0.7348   2.971 0.002972 **
effect_mobilityverbessern            0.9145     0.5250   1.742 0.081536 .
effect_mobilityverschlechtern       -1.4085     0.3356  -4.197 2.70e-05 ***
effect_mobilitysehr verschlechtern  -2.7106     0.3517  -7.707 1.29e-14 ***

effect_lifequalsehr verbessern       2.9934     0.9742   3.072 0.002123 **
effect_lifequalverbessern            0.9899     0.4044   2.448 0.014368 *
effect_lifequalverschlechtern       -0.6849     0.4105  -1.668 0.095266 .
effect_lifequalsehr verschlechtern  -2.0562     0.5684  -3.617 0.000298 ***

effect_healthsehr verbessern         0.5033     0.9709   0.518 0.604206
effect_healthverbessern              1.9633     0.4367   4.496 6.93e-06 ***
effect_healthverschlechtern          0.3893     0.4400   0.885 0.376355
effect_healthsehr verschlechtern     1.9282     0.5402   3.569 0.000358 ***

measure_aq_limit_trafficJa           2.6409     0.2725   9.692  < 2e-16 ***

effect_smellsehr verbessern          0.5936     0.9377   0.633 0.526711
effect_smellverbessern               0.5261     0.4588   1.147 0.251501
effect_smellverschlechtern          -0.8122     0.3688  -2.202 0.027636 *
effect_smellsehr verschlechtern     -0.9458     0.4066  -2.326 0.019997 *
---
Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1

Threshold coefficients:
        Estimate Std. Error z value
Nein|Ja   2.3023     0.3883    5.93

All of these results make sense, given the distribution of responses in the contingency tables for each predictor vs the response, except for that of effect_health. When you look at the contingency table of this variable with the response, you see that the estimates don't seem to make any sense.
table(Data_new_reg_sup_meas$support_measure, Data_new_reg_sup_meas$effect_health)

       kein wirkung sehr verschlechtern verschlechtern verbessern sehr verbessern
  Nein          931                1215            868         50               7
  Ja             56                  22             17        162             100

The model estimates indicate that a response of "sehr verschlechtern" (German for 'greatly worsen') is significantly associated with higher odds of the response "Ja" ('yes') for the dependent variable support_measure. This simply cannot be correct, given the distribution of responses in the contingency table.
When I run the model with just one predictor, effect_health, then the regression parameters change significantly and seem to accurately describe the underlying relationship:
formula: support_measure ~ effect_health
data:    Data_new_reg_sup_meas

 link  threshold nobs logLik  AIC     niter max.grad cond.H
 logit flexible  3428 -551.20 1112.39 7(0)  7.88e-11 2.9e+01

Coefficients:
                                 Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
effect_healthsehr verbessern       5.4702     0.4145  13.198  < 2e-16 ***
effect_healthverbessern            3.9865     0.2124  18.771  < 2e-16 ***
effect_healthverschlechtern       -1.1221     0.2809  -3.995 6.48e-05 ***
effect_healthsehr verschlechtern  -1.2005     0.2554  -4.701 2.58e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1

Threshold coefficients:
        Estimate Std. Error z value
Nein|Ja   2.8109     0.1376   20.43

My question here is, how is it possible that the regression parameters change so drastically between a model containing all the predictors and one containing one individual predictor?
From a publication by R.H.B. Christensen (cited below), the author of the ordinal package, I found a tentative explanation:

"Observe that the regression parameter in cumulative link models, cf.
  (16) are signal-to- noise ratios. This means that adding a covariate
  to a cumulative link model that reduces the residual noise in the
  corresponding latent model will increase the signal-to-noise ratios.
  Thus adding a covariate will (often) increase the coefficients of the
  other covariates in the cumulative link model. This is different from
  linear models, where (in orthogonal designs) adding a covariate does
  not alter the value of the other coefficients"

Christensen R H B 2015 Analysis of ordinal data with cumulative link models—estimation with the ordinal package CRAN R-Project 1–31 Online: https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/ordinal/vignettes/clm_intro.pdf
While this seems to explain why regression parameters will change when more variables are added to a model, I cannot seem to apply this idea to the major changes I am seeing between these two models for the variable effect_health.
I have already consulted Alan Agresti's excellent textbooks "Categorical Data Analysis" and "Analysis of Ordinal Categorical Data", as well as an endless set of online resources and have not been able to answer my question. Any responses or pointers of how to answer this question would be greatly appreciated. This is also the first time I'm asking such a question here in Stack Exchange, though I have used it often to help with other issues in the past.
Furthermore, since I am only looking to get the Odds Ratios of the relationships between the predictors and the response variable, does it make more sense to make a model using all of them together and extract the estimates (such as the first example I gave here), or to compare them individually and then extract the estimates (as with the second example I gave)?

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaStackExchange


text:
Eric Hill (19272014) was an English author and illustrator

Eric Hill may also refer to:

Eric Hill (cricketer) (19232010), British cricketer
Eric R. Hill (active 195457), Australian radio-astronomer, see Mills Cross Telescope
Eric J. Hill (active from 1970), American architect
Eric Hill (American football) (born 1966), American football linebacker
Eric T. Hill, United States Air Force general

See also
 Erica Hill (Erica Hill-Yount, born Erica Ruth Hill in 1976), American news presenter
 Hill (surname)
 All pages with titles containing "Eric Hill"

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaWikipedia


There are Some Considerations In Choosing Home Fence Design. In choosing a fence for your home must also consider the budget that you have prepared. Select the fence in accordance with the design of the house and the price is also in accordance with the budget that has been prepared. In addition to the price of minimalist fence that must be considered, the cost of installing the fence you should also take into account properly. Both have to be taken so that the cost you spend too much and certainly not within your capabilities.
To choose the cheap and quality fence you can ask the help of your friends who are already experienced in making or ordering fence. Ask your friends to recommend a qualified fencing and also the price is not too expensive.
In addition to getting a good quality fence and affordable prices select a fencing that is experienced and also have many repeat customers. You can also order the fence through the services of contractors who build your house, it can save time and costs should you spend to make the fence. See also Modern Minimalist House Fence Design Trend In 2015.
In addition to price and quality design should also be considered. Minimalist fence design should be selected in accordance with the design of your home. Suitability of both will make the house will seem beautiful to look at. Fence design options are very diverse, there is a short fence design and also design of high fence.
Both can be chosen to adjust the shape and also the circumstances around your home. Selection of a suitable fence design and fit will make your home look more minimalist. Design your fence can also create your own liking. Read also Simple Minimalist House Fence Pictures Gallery.
Make the fence does not have to do, but with the house in addition to the security fence also can make your home look good and beautiful. Designs and models of your fence should match the style of your home, including the selection of colors should match the color of the fence outside the walls of the house.
Everything will make a beautiful home and a beautiful fence, which is important to the fence that looks good, the exterior design of the house will also be good. Choose the Design of Minimalist fence of the house and also adjust to the existing budget.


text:
Douglas Carl Engelbart (Portland, Oregón; 30 de enero de 1925-Atherton, California; 2 de julio de 2013) fue un inventor estadounidense, descendiente de noruegos. Es conocido por inventar el ratón, y fue un pionero de la interacción humana con las computadoras, incluyendo el hipertexto y las computadoras en red. Su visión sirvió para que los ingenieros de Xerox PARC llegaran finalmente a un mejor diseño del mouse, empleado por la Xerox Alto, la primera computadora personal con interfaz gráfica.

Engelbart recibió un título de grado en ingeniería eléctrica de la Oregon State University en 1948, un título de grado en ingeniería de la Universidad de Berkeley en 1952 y un doctorado de UC Berkeley en 1955.

En otoño de 1968, en una conferencia de expertos en informática, Doug Engelbart hizo una presentación que duró 90 minutos. Además de hacer la primera demostración pública del ratón, incluyó una conexión en pantalla con su centro de investigación, es decir, fue la primera vídeo-conferencia de la historia y es recordada con el sobrenombre de «la madre de todas las demos».

NLS, el "sistema oN-Line", desarrollado por el Augmentation Research Center bajo la dirección de Engelbart con financiación principalmente de ARPA (como se conocía entonces a DARPA), demostró numerosas tecnologías, la mayoría de las cuales son ahora de uso generalizado; incluía el ratón de ordenador, las pantallas de mapa de bits, el hipertexto; todo ello se mostró en "La madre de todas las demostraciones" en 1968. El laboratorio fue transferido del SRI a Tymshare a finales de la década de 1970, que fue adquirida por McDonnell Douglas en 1984, y el NLS pasó a llamarse Augment (ahora Instituto Doug Engelbart). Tanto en Tymshare como en McDonnell Douglas, Engelbart se vio limitado por la falta de interés en sus ideas y de financiación para llevarlas a cabo, y se retiró en 1986.

En 1988, Engelbart y su hija Christina lanzaron el Instituto Bootstrap, que más tarde se conoció como el Instituto Doug Engelbart, para promover su visión, especialmente en la Universidad de Stanford; este esfuerzo dio como resultado algunos fondos de DARPA para modernizar la interfaz de usuario de Augment. En diciembre de 2000, el presidente de los Estados Unidos Bill Clinton concedió a Engelbart la Medalla Nacional de Tecnología, el mayor premio tecnológico de los Estados Unidos. En diciembre de 2008, Engelbart fue homenajeado por SRI en el 40.º aniversario de la "Madre de todas las demostraciones".

Biografía

Filosofía orientadora
La carrera de Engelbart se inspiró en diciembre de 1950, cuando se comprometió en matrimonio y se dio cuenta de que no tenía más objetivos profesionales que "un trabajo fijo, casarse y vivir feliz para siempre". Durante varios meses razonó que:
 centraría su carrera en hacer del mundo un lugar mejor
 cualquier esfuerzo serio para mejorar el mundo requeriría algún tipo de esfuerzo organizado que aprovechara el intelecto humano colectivo de todas las personas para contribuir a soluciones efectivas.
 si se pudiera mejorar drásticamente la forma de hacerlo, se estaría impulsando todo esfuerzo en el planeta para resolver problemas importantes - cuanto antes mejor
 los ordenadores podrían ser el vehículo para mejorar drásticamente esta capacidad.

En 1945, Engelbart había leído con interés el artículo de Vannevar Bush "As We May Think", un llamamiento a la acción para que el conocimiento esté ampliamente disponible como un gran reto nacional en tiempos de paz. También había leído algo sobre el reciente fenómeno de los ordenadores y, por su experiencia como técnico de radar, sabía que la información podía analizarse y mostrarse en una pantalla. Imaginó a los trabajadores intelectuales sentados en "puestos de trabajo" de pantalla, volando por el espacio de la información, aprovechando su capacidad intelectual colectiva para resolver juntos problemas importantes de forma mucho más potente. Aprovechar el intelecto colectivo, facilitado por los ordenadores interactivos, se convirtió en la misión de su vida en una época en la que los ordenadores se consideraban herramientas para hacer números.

Como estudiante de posgrado en Berkeley, colaboró en la construcción de CALDIC (California Digital Computer). Su trabajo de posgrado dio lugar a ocho patentes. Tras completar su doctorado, Engelbart permaneció en Berkeley como profesor adjunto durante un año antes de marcharse cuando quedó claro que no podía perseguir su visión allí. Engelbart formó entonces una empresa emergente, Digital Techniques, para comercializar algunas de sus investigaciones doctorales sobre dispositivos de almacenamiento, pero al cabo de un año decidió en cambio seguir con la investigación con la que había soñado desde 1951.
Como operario de radar en las Filipinas durante la Segunda Guerra Mundial, Engelbart se inspiró en un artículo de Vannevar Bush, As We May Think, para buscar la manera de usar las computadoras para mejorar la sociedad. Cuando terminó la guerra, y siguiendo esta idea, Engelbart renunció a su trabajo como ingeniero y se fue a estudiar a UC Berkeley.

Primeros años y educación
En 1957 ingresó como investigador al Stanford Research Institute y en 1959 ascendió al cargo de Director del Augmentation Research Center, que el fundó. En 1962 Engelbart, contando con un financiamiento de la Fuerza Aérea de los Estados Unidos, publicó su trabajo «Augmenting Human Intellect: A Conceptual Framework» (Aumentando el Intelecto Humano: Un Marco Conceptual). En este consideraba que las organizaciones tenían una capacidad para resolver problemas que dependía de características genéticas del ser humano y de elementos técnicos y no técnicos, como el lenguaje, las costumbres, las herramientas y los procedimientos; éstos se desarrollaban lentamente, a lo largo de siglos, pero, la tecnología electrónica digital estaba creciendo en forma explosiva. La propuesta consideraba que el intelecto colectivo aumentaría si se aceleraba la evolución de los diferentes elementos técnicos y no técnicos para aprovechar la nueva tecnología. En 1962 Engelbart se entrevistó con J.C.R. Licklider, quien había publicado un trabajo titulado «Simbiosis Hombre-Computador» y que entonces tenía el cargo de Director de la ARPA (Agencia de Investigación de Proyectos Avanzados) y se había propuesto impulsar el desarrollo de tecnologías de avanzada para mejorar la relación entre el hombre y las computadoras. Licklider accedió a financiar el trabajo de Engelbart. Durante los años siguientes el equipo liderado por Engelbart se dedicó a crear la tecnología necesaria para mejorar la forma de trabajar con las computadoras y así aumentar el intelecto humano. Él fue la fuerza motriz detrás del diseño del primer sistema en línea, oN-Line System (NLS), en el Stanford Research Institute. Junto con su equipo en el Augmentation Research Center desarrolló varios elementos básicos de la interfaz humana de las computadoras actuales, como pantallas con imágenes en bits, ventanas múltiples, y software multiusuario. También fue el co-inventor del ratón, del que nunca recibió regalías.

Cuando ARPA creó una red para unir los diferentes laboratorios asociados, el Centro de Investigación de Engelbart fue el segundo nodo que se unió a la que fue la precursora de la Internet.

Sus ideas radicales no tuvieron la aceptación que esperaba, y fue perdiendo presupuesto para sus investigaciones. En 1978 el laboratorio se cerró por falta de fondos, aunque el sistema NLS y su sucesor, Augment, fueron vendidos a Tymshare, una compañía que más tarde fue comprada por McDonnell Douglas. Parte de su equipo se fue al centro de investigación Xerox PARC, donde siguieron desarrollando el ratón y desarrollaron la interfaz gráfica.

En 1988 Engelbart y su hija, Christina, fundaron el Bootstrap Institute, una entidad que aconsejaría a empresas sobre cómo usar la tecnología para lograr una mejor organización. Dos décadas después la entidad cambió su nombre por el de Doug Engelbart Institute.

Engelbart falleció el martes 2 de julio de 2013 en su casa en Atherton, California, por infarto.

El ratón

El ratón, el invento más conocido de Engelbart fue descrito en 1967. Las pruebas que se realizaron demostraron que era más eficiente y efectivo que otros dispositivos que se diseñaron para realizar selecciones en la pantalla, como el lápiz de luz y el joystick; permitía interactuar en forma sencilla y práctica con las computadoras. Engelbart concibió este artefacto y el ingeniero Bill English, un miembro de su equipo, realizó el diseño detallado.

Engelbart solicitó una patente en 1967 y recibió en 1970, con el casco de madera con dos ruedas de metal (el ratón del ordenador), que se había desarrollado con Bill English, su ingeniero jefe, unos años antes. En la solicitud de patente se describe como un «indicador de posición XY para un sistema de visualización». Engelbart reveló más tarde que fue apodado el «mouse», porque el cable de conexión parecía la cola de un ratón.

Años más tarde, la mayoría de los miembros del equipo de Engelbart, incluyendo a English, se trasladaron a Xerox-PARC. Los investigadores allí redefinieron el uso del dispositivo integrándolo en un sistema que utilizaba símbolos icónicos en la pantalla.

Honores
Engelbart recibió varios premios en los últimos años, como el Premio Memorial Yuri Rubinsky, el Premio Lemelson-MIT, el Premio Turing, la Medalla John von Neumann y la Medalla British Computer Society's Lovelace.

En 1997, le fue concedido el Premio Lemelson-MIT, del Instituto Tecnológico de Massachusetts. Este premio está dotado con medio millón de dólares y se otorga a inventores de Estados Unidos por un desempeñó sobresaliente; Engelbart y el equipo que lideró desarrollaron ideas que contribuyeron a mejorar la interfaz entre los ordenadores y los seres humanos.

El 9 de diciembre de 2008, Engelbart fue honrado en la celebración del 40 aniversario de la Madre de Todas las Demos de 1968. Este evento, producido por SRI International, se llevó a cabo en el Memorial Auditorium de la Universidad de Stanford.

Los oradores incluyeron varios miembros del equipo original de Engelbart, incluidos Don Andrews, Bill Paxton, Bill English, el patrocinador principal Jeff Rulifson, y otros pioneros de la informática interactiva. Además, Christina Engelbart habló sobre los aportes e innovaciones realizados por su padre.

Referencias

Enlaces externos

 Douglas Engelbart Institute
 Demo original
 Douglas Engelbart - Biografía LaFlecha.net

Inventores de Estados Unidos
Informáticos teóricos de Estados Unidos
Informatólogos de Estados Unidos
Ganadores del Premio Turing
Medalla John von Neumann
Medalla Nacional de Tecnología
Pioneros de Internet
Futurólogos
Militares estadounidenses de la Segunda Guerra Mundial
Graduados honorarios de la Universidad Yale
Nacidos en Portland


Is cumann sóisialta é an Cumann Gaelach. Is é aidhm an chumainn ná an Ghaeilge agus an cultúr Gaelach a chur chun cinn ar an gcampas agus craic a bheith againn le linn an ama. Ba mhaith linn dá mbeadh an Ghaeilge mar pháirt de bhur saol ollscoile i mbliana, go háirithe agus Bliain na Gaeilge faoi lán seoil. Ní gá go mbeadh Gaeilge líofa ag ár mbaill, ionas go bhfuil siad paiseanta agus tacúil i leith na Gaeilge.
Ranganna Gaeilge - Téigh i dteaghmháil linn!
Bál na Gaeilge.. Tá ár mBál féin againn tá muid chomh snásta sin!
Agus neart eile! Bígí linn!
An Cumann Gaelach is a social society. The aims of the society are to advance the Irish language and Gaelic culture on campus and have fun in the process. Come to our events, learn a bit of Irish, meet a few new friends and have the craic! Fáilte is fiche róimh chách!
Oifig 114, Aras na Gaeilge, Ollscoil na hÉireann, Gaillimh.


Deep in the swamp they find a forgotten moon.
I created this scene for Weekly CG Challenge #130 - "Lunar" in a couple of days using blender.
Since my initial concept was very loose, I played around a lot and I feel it ended up a bit cheesy.
I can imagine coming back to this, making it more interesting and finished looking.


More 💰: Facebook spent $2.38 million this quarter, up from the same period last year but far from a record. Microsoft's bill for the quarter was just over $2 million.
Key context: Tech has been pushing back on some of the Trump administration's high-profile actions. But there's also issues like taxes and trade where major companies could score wins from the Republican Congress and White House.


More than 100 new products were featured at the show.
natural products, organic and transparency of the supply chain.
"Snack! Attack!" next to its rack oven.
promising talents, in addition to well-established professionals.
equipment or sales point design and arrangement.


text:
Home » Features » Ortho Dx
Ortho Dx: Swelling Around the Clavicle
Image 1. Photographic image of the patient's clavicle
Figure 1. Anteroposterior radiograph of the sternoclavicular joint.
A 50-year-old woman presents to the office with a 1-month history of swelling around the medial clavicle and mild discomfort with shoulder movement. She is alarmed at how prominent her clavicle appears. Physical examination reveals swelling over the sternoclavicular (SC) joint without erythema or warmth (Image 1). She has no pain with horizontal adduction of the arm. Anteroposterior radiograph of the SC joint is obtained (Figure 1).
The SC joint is a fibrocartilaginous joint that is supported by an articular capsule and anterior/posterior ligaments. The SC joint is synovial-lined and contains a thick intra-articular disc that acts as a buffer between joint surfaces. The SC joint is...
Submit your diagnosis to see full explanation.
The SC joint is a fibrocartilaginous joint that is supported by an articular capsule and anterior/posterior ligaments. The SC joint is synovial-lined and contains a thick intra-articular disc that acts as a buffer between joint surfaces. The SC joint is a diarthrodial joint that allows for a wide range of movement with clavicle and shoulder motion.1,2
Several disorders can occur at the SC joint including osteoarthritis and synovitis, joint sprain, dislocation, and septic arthritis.2,3 As the SC joint is superficial, swelling can be easily seen on physical examination. SC joint swelling, most commonly from arthritis, can occur in a large area around the joint, which may make the clavicle on the affected side appear more prominent. More often than not, asymptomatic swelling is the presenting complaint of patients with SC joint arthritis. SC joint sprains and dislocations usually are the result of a high-energy injury such as a motor vehicle accident or a sports-related injury.1,2
Standard radiographs are recommended as initial imaging for nontraumatic SC joint swelling and pain. For traumatic injuries, computed tomography is recommended to evaluate the SC joint in multiple planes. Posterior dislocation is a serious condition that may be missed on plain radiographs. Posterior dislocation can compress on the mediastinum causing venous congestion, cough, dysphagia, and a feeling of choking.1,2
Treatment for SC joint swelling due to arthritis includes observation, oral nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, and ice. Injections are rarely performed in the SC joint due to risk of neurovascular injury.1,2
Dagan Cloutier, MPAS, PA-C, practices in a multispecialty orthopedic group in the southern New Hampshire region and is editor in chief of the Journal of Orthopedics for Physician Assistants.
1. Yood RA, Goldenberg DL. Sternoclavicular joint arthritis. Arthritis Rheum. 1980;23(2):232-239.
2. Robinson CM, Jenkins PJ, Markham PE, Beggs I. Disorders of the sternoclavicular joint. J Bone Joint Surg Br. 2008;90(6):685-696.
3. Edwin J, Ahmed S, Verma S, et al. Swellings of the sternoclavicular joint: review of traumatic and non-traumatic pathologies. EFORT Open Rev. 2018;3(8):471-484.
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The kids are enjoying their summer vacation even on a hot weather like this. They're alternately studying and practicing piano lessons, having online activities for recreation and playing board games. The little boy is asking where can we find yoyo store that will give him enough choices for his preferred style. He loves playing it with his elder sister and told me that he wants to learn exhibition styles. He has collection of some sorts but those are just simple styles I bought from various stores I dropped by on my way going home. They're not branded and not expensive so I want to give him some stylish and quality yoyo for his collection.
Its great that kids are practicing piano lessons. Enjoy your trip.


Each body has its art. Discover Yours.
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Angel Lee is the founder and head piercer at Angel Art. As an avid collector of body art, Angel Lee can offer advice in all areas of body modification. She thrives to offer clients a safe, precise body piercing, tattoo or other body art in a clean, relaxed and friendly studio environment.
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text:
OBIT: Rev. Maurice Moore
By Editor | July 15, 2019
Former Carthage United Methodist Church pastor Rev. Maurice Moore, a resident of Dickson, Tennessee since 2009, died Tuesday June 25, 2019 at the Alive Hospice Residence in Nashville following an extended illness.
Funeral services from the Dickson First United Methodist Church were conducted at 12 noon, Friday June 28th with former Carthage United Methodist Church pastor, Rev. Steven Lee, and Rev. Ed White officiating. Graveside services and interment were Monday afternoon July 1st at 2:30 p.m. at the Historic Spring Hill Cemetery on Gallatin Road in Nashville.
Born Maurice Brown Moore on May 19, 1930 in the Fairview Community of Williamson County he was one of six children and was the son of the late Rev. Eugene Moore and Annie Lee Brown Moore.
At the time of his birth his father was the pastor of the Pleasant Valley Charge and his father served many rural area charges as their pastor.
He was preceded in death by two sisters, Frankie Moore Keyes and Margaret Moore and by two brothers, Rev. Eugene Moore and Irvin Moore.
In 1950 Rev. Moore was united in marriage to Nashville native, the former Nancy Sadler.
They were preceded in death by a daughter, Annemarie Moore.
As his father was a pastor and served many churches, Rev. Moore attended schools in Humphreys, Wayne, Hickman, and Lawrence County where he would graduate from Lawrence County High School in 1948.
He attended Martin College in Pulaski from 1948 through 1950, and in 1953 graduated from Scarritt College in Nashville where he received a Bachelor of Arts degree.
In 1956 he was awarded a Master's of Divinity degree from Vanderbilt University.
He received his degree to preach from the Methodist Conference in 1948.
In 1953, while at Vanderbilt University, he was admitted to the Tennessee Conference, ordained a Deacon in 1954 and ordained as an Elder in 1956.
During his career and also partly while receiving his higher education he served the following congregations, Nashville Larger Parish, 1950-1951; Gallatin Circuit pastor, 1951-1963; Lambuth Memorial in Gallatin, 1953-1956; Lafayette United Methodist, 1956-1953; again at Lambuth in Gallatin, 1963-1965; Carthage United Methodist Church, 1965-1972; Connell Memorial in Goodletsville, 1972-1975; Lebanon First United Methodist Church, 1975-1978; Director of Conference Council on Ministries, 1978-1980; senior minister of Cookeville First United Methodist Church, 1980-1985; Cookeville District Superintendent, 1985-1990; First United Methodist Church in Pulaski, 1990-1995.
Following retirement in 1995, he served St. Paul in McMinnville, the Shiloh/Mt. Lebanon, Centertown Circuit and Hickory Point.
After retiring to Dickson he occasionally filled pulpits and preached at the Dickson First United Methodist Church.
Surviving in addition to his wife of sixty eight years are their two daughters, Carol Elaine Moore of Dickson, Mary Susan Moore Bradshaw and husband Keith of Centerville; their son, John Keith Moore and wife Deborah of Arlington, Texas; sister, Mary Lou Moore of Nashville; five grandchildren, Laura Ann Evans and husband Sam, Claire Elaine Ryan and husband Paul, Kyle Joseph Bradshaw and wife Mariah, Abigail Sadler Moore and Luke Justice Bradshaw; six great-grandchildren.
The Moore family requests memorials to the Martin Methodist College, H. E. and Annie Lee Moore Endowed Scholarship Fund.
This notice provided as a courtesy to the Moore family.


text:
Trees, Bikes and Nature on Yom Ha'atzmaut
By David Krantz
NEW YORK (April 26, 2012) — Falafel fests, movie nights, dance parties — Americans celebrate Yom Ha'atzmaut in many ways. But what do Israelis do on Independence Day? They head outdoors.
Last year so many people jammed into the country's de-facto national-park system, run by KKL-JNF, that parks were closed because they reached capacity. So, how many people was that, you ask? About one in every five Israelis — more than 1.5 million people — which is also about the same number of trees that have been planted in Israel since 2007 because of the work of the Green Zionist Alliance. That's right, we've gotten a million-plus trees planted in the last five years.
Of course, as those who remember the recent Carmel fire know, it's not just planting trees that matters, but the type and diversity of trees. That's why one of the first things that we did after we first participated in our first World Zionist Congress was adding more trees to the planting mix. Thanks to our work, more varieties of trees are being planted today than the classic pine — and that includes trees suitable for semi-arid climates.
But when Israelis head outdoors today, it won't just be the trees that they'll be enjoying — many will be biking on some of the hundreds of miles of bike trails that have been built across the country because of the Green Zionist Alliance. That includes the Kinneret Circumference Trail, the Trans-Israel Bike Trail and many others — the list gets longer every year as our work gets more and more bike trails built and expanded.
Today Israelis also are enjoying both the nature reserve in Nes Tsiona, an open space in between Tel Aviv and Jerusalem, and the Samar sand dunes, near Eilat — both of which have been preserved because of the work of the Green Zionist Alliance.
This Yom Ha'atzmaut, give Israel an environmentally friendly birthday gift: Join the Green Zionist Alliance and help green Israel. Then go outside.
David Krantz is the president and chairperson of the Green Zionist Alliance.
"Humankind was not created until the sixth day so that if pride should govern it could be said, 'Even the tiniest flea preceded you in creation.' "
- Tosefta Sanhedrin 8:4
Israel's largest single source of fresh water is the Mountain Aquifer, much of which runs under the West Bank.


text:
Silvia Saige Bio, Wiki, Real Name, Age, Net Worth, Height & More
Published on: July 18, 2022 by not
Silvia Saige (born March 5, 1984) is a US-based actress, model & famous personality. She came into the limelight after appearing in numerous movies & TV series. So far, Silvia has been actively acting for over eight years. Moving forward in the article, you can find all the details such as her bio, wiki, real name, age, net worth, height, weight, body measurements, net worth, family, ethnicity & more.
image source: Instagram
Silvia Saige Wiki
Born in an American family in Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, Silvia Saige celebrates her birthday on the 5th of March every year. Her nickname is Silvia while her zodiac sign is Pisces. Silvia was brought up in a small town in the Midwestern part of the United States. She graduated high school at a local private school in her hometown. Then, she graduated from an unknown university with a degree in the medical field.
Her ethnicity is Caucasian. However, she has decided to not reveal any information about her father, mother, or siblings on the internet till now. We will update them when we get the latest details. Silvia's marital status is unmarried while her current relationship status is single. However, she has been in more than one relationship over the past few years.
Real Name Not Known
Nickname Silvia
Profession actress, model & famous personality
Date of Birth March 5, 1984
Birthplace Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Hometown Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Silvia Saige Age, Height & More
Silvia Saige's age is 38 as of 2022. Her height is 5 feet 7 inches (170 cm) & her weight is 54 kg (120 lbs). Silvia has blue eyes & light brown hair. Her body measurements are 34D-26-32 & her shoe size is 8 (US). Coming to her physical appearance, she has a gorgeous body & a charming personality. Read about this adult actress Annabel Redd Age, Height, Weight, Wiki, Bio, Net Worth, BF & More.
Silvia Saige kickstarted her acting career in the year 2015. Before that, she did stand-up comedy for a while. Even earlier, she worked as an X-Ray technician for almost eight years. She got into the industry because of her friend who had just begun her acting career. She signed up with the same agency as her friend. Silvia's parents always supported her in whatever she does including adult acting. Regardless of her mother being a religious person, she still supports her.
Finally, she made her debut on the stage named Silvia Saige. She appeared alongside Danny Mountain in her debut appearance in an episode of the TV series Dirty Masseur. Because of this, she got pretty popular for her stunning performance. Since then, she has appeared in numerous amount of videos & TV series episodes. In fact, she has over 125 credits as an actress according to IMDb. Over the years, she has worked with prominent film studios including N@ughty Amer1ca. Not just that, she appeared with popular personalities such as Jade Baker, Ike Diezel, etc.
Being a very popular actress in the industry, she has gained a great following on social media as well. She runs a fairly known podcast "Sexy Funny Raw" and shares the video version of the podcast on YouTube. She has featured personalities such as Reagan Foxx, Alexis Fawx, and many more on the podcast. Silvia is verified on Instagram where she has more than 811k followers. Continue reading this article Lisa Sparks Wiki, Bio, Age, Height, Weight, Net Worth, Boyfriend & More.
A post shared by Silvia Saige (@thesilviasaige)
Silvia Saige Net Worth
Silvia Saige lives a comfortable life as a famous actress. Her estimated net worth is $650,000 while her major income sources are acting, modeling & paid subscriptions. She earns a great remuneration by working with various brands in the case of acting & modeling. However, her pay remains a mystery as it is usually kept a secret.
Next, Silvia shares premium content on Onlyfans with her paid subscribers. Her subscription plan is priced at $12 a month or $72 annually. She is very active on the platform & often uploads self-made content. As per our estimations, her earnings from this platform are in five figures. She makes an extra income by making personalized videos on Cameo. She usually charges about $150 for a short video with a message. So far, she has completed more than 500 orders on the platform.
She currently lives in Los Angeles, CA.
She has a tattoo inked below her stomach.
Silvia is a fitness enthusiast.
Her favorite music genres are country, hip-hop, and RnB.
She is managed by OC Modeling.
Her favorite movie is Pulp Fiction.
Does Silvia sm0ke? Yes.
Does she drink alc0hol? Yes.
She has more than 145k followers with 19k+ tweets on Twitter.
With almost a million followers on Instagram, she follows almost 1900 people.
She loves traveling & has been to many places across the country.
FAQs about Silvia Saige
Who is Silvia Saige?
Silvia Saige is an actress, model & famous personality.
What is Silvia Saige's age?
She is 38 years old as of 2022.
How much is Silvia Saige worth?
Silvia Saige's estimated net worth is $650,000.
What is Silvia Saige's height & weight?
Silvia Saige is 5 feet 7 inches tall & weighs 54 kg.
What are Silvia Saige's body measurements?
Silvia Saige's body measurements are 34D-26-32.
That's it. This is the latest information about Silvia Saige. Check out WikiofCelebs.com for more wikis and biographies. Share this article with your friends if you found this helpful.
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text:
.class final Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController$MotionListener;
.super Landroid/hardware/TriggerEventListener;
.source "DeviceIdleController.java"

# interfaces
.implements Landroid/hardware/SensorEventListener;

# annotations
.annotation system Ldalvik/annotation/EnclosingClass;
    value = Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;
.end annotation

.annotation system Ldalvik/annotation/InnerClass;
    accessFlags = 0x12
    name = "MotionListener"
.end annotation

# instance fields
.field active:Z

.field final synthetic this$0:Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;

# direct methods
.method private constructor <init>(Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;)V
    .locals 1

    iput-object p1, p0, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController$MotionListener;->this$0:Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;

    invoke-direct {p0}, Landroid/hardware/TriggerEventListener;-><init>()V

    const/4 v0, 0x0

    iput-boolean v0, p0, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController$MotionListener;->active:Z

    return-void
.end method

.method synthetic constructor <init>(Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController$MotionListener;)V
    .locals 0

    invoke-direct {p0, p1}, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController$MotionListener;-><init>(Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;)V

    return-void
.end method

# virtual methods
.method public onAccuracyChanged(Landroid/hardware/Sensor;I)V
    .locals 0

    return-void
.end method

.method public onSensorChanged(Landroid/hardware/SensorEvent;)V
    .locals 3

    iget-object v1, p0, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController$MotionListener;->this$0:Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;

    monitor-enter v1

    :try_start_0
    iget-object v0, p0, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController$MotionListener;->this$0:Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;

    invoke-static {v0}, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;->-get13(Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;)Landroid/hardware/SensorManager;

    move-result-object v0

    iget-object v2, p0, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController$MotionListener;->this$0:Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;

    invoke-static {v2}, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;->-get11(Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;)Landroid/hardware/Sensor;

    move-result-object v2

    invoke-virtual {v0, p0, v2}, Landroid/hardware/SensorManager;->unregisterListener(Landroid/hardware/SensorEventListener;Landroid/hardware/Sensor;)V

    const/4 v0, 0x0

    iput-boolean v0, p0, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController$MotionListener;->active:Z

    iget-object v0, p0, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController$MotionListener;->this$0:Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;

    invoke-virtual {v0}, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;->motionLocked()V
    :try_end_0
    .catchall {:try_start_0 .. :try_end_0} :catchall_0

    monitor-exit v1

    return-void

    :catchall_0
    move-exception v0

    monitor-exit v1

    throw v0
.end method

.method public onTrigger(Landroid/hardware/TriggerEvent;)V
    .locals 2

    iget-object v1, p0, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController$MotionListener;->this$0:Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;

    monitor-enter v1

    const/4 v0, 0x0

    :try_start_0
    iput-boolean v0, p0, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController$MotionListener;->active:Z

    iget-object v0, p0, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController$MotionListener;->this$0:Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;

    invoke-virtual {v0}, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;->motionLocked()V
    :try_end_0
    .catchall {:try_start_0 .. :try_end_0} :catchall_0

    monitor-exit v1

    return-void

    :catchall_0
    move-exception v0

    monitor-exit v1

    throw v0
.end method

.method public registerLocked()Z
    .locals 5

    iget-object v1, p0, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController$MotionListener;->this$0:Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;

    invoke-static {v1}, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;->-get11(Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;)Landroid/hardware/Sensor;

    move-result-object v1

    invoke-virtual {v1}, Landroid/hardware/Sensor;->getReportingMode()I

    move-result v1

    const/4 v2, 0x2

    if-ne v1, v2, :cond_0

    iget-object v1, p0, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController$MotionListener;->this$0:Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;

    invoke-static {v1}, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;->-get13(Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;)Landroid/hardware/SensorManager;

    move-result-object v1

    iget-object v2, p0, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController$MotionListener;->this$0:Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;

    invoke-static {v2}, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;->-get10(Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;)Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController$MotionListener;

    move-result-object v2

    iget-object v3, p0, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController$MotionListener;->this$0:Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;

    invoke-static {v3}, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;->-get11(Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;)Landroid/hardware/Sensor;

    move-result-object v3

    invoke-virtual {v1, v2, v3}, Landroid/hardware/SensorManager;->requestTriggerSensor(Landroid/hardware/TriggerEventListener;Landroid/hardware/Sensor;)Z

    move-result v0

    :goto_0
    if-eqz v0, :cond_1

    const/4 v1, 0x1

    iput-boolean v1, p0, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController$MotionListener;->active:Z

    :goto_1
    return v0

    :cond_0
    iget-object v1, p0, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController$MotionListener;->this$0:Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;

    invoke-static {v1}, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;->-get13(Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;)Landroid/hardware/SensorManager;

    move-result-object v1

    iget-object v2, p0, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController$MotionListener;->this$0:Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;

    invoke-static {v2}, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;->-get10(Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;)Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController$MotionListener;

    move-result-object v2

    iget-object v3, p0, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController$MotionListener;->this$0:Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;

    invoke-static {v3}, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;->-get11(Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;)Landroid/hardware/Sensor;

    move-result-object v3

    const/4 v4, 0x3

    invoke-virtual {v1, v2, v3, v4}, Landroid/hardware/SensorManager;->registerListener(Landroid/hardware/SensorEventListener;Landroid/hardware/Sensor;I)Z

    move-result v0

    goto :goto_0

    :cond_1
    const-string/jumbo v1, "DeviceIdleController"

    new-instance v2, Ljava/lang/StringBuilder;

    invoke-direct {v2}, Ljava/lang/StringBuilder;-><init>()V

    const-string/jumbo v3, "Unable to register for "

    invoke-virtual {v2, v3}, Ljava/lang/StringBuilder;->append(Ljava/lang/String;)Ljava/lang/StringBuilder;

    move-result-object v2

    iget-object v3, p0, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController$MotionListener;->this$0:Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;

    invoke-static {v3}, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;->-get11(Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;)Landroid/hardware/Sensor;

    move-result-object v3

    invoke-virtual {v2, v3}, Ljava/lang/StringBuilder;->append(Ljava/lang/Object;)Ljava/lang/StringBuilder;

    move-result-object v2

    invoke-virtual {v2}, Ljava/lang/StringBuilder;->toString()Ljava/lang/String;

    move-result-object v2

    invoke-static {v1, v2}, Landroid/util/Slog;->e(Ljava/lang/String;Ljava/lang/String;)I

    goto :goto_1
.end method

.method public unregisterLocked()V
    .locals 3

    iget-object v0, p0, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController$MotionListener;->this$0:Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;

    invoke-static {v0}, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;->-get11(Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;)Landroid/hardware/Sensor;

    move-result-object v0

    invoke-virtual {v0}, Landroid/hardware/Sensor;->getReportingMode()I

    move-result v0

    const/4 v1, 0x2

    if-ne v0, v1, :cond_0

    iget-object v0, p0, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController$MotionListener;->this$0:Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;

    invoke-static {v0}, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;->-get13(Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;)Landroid/hardware/SensorManager;

    move-result-object v0

    iget-object v1, p0, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController$MotionListener;->this$0:Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;

    invoke-static {v1}, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;->-get10(Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;)Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController$MotionListener;

    move-result-object v1

    iget-object v2, p0, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController$MotionListener;->this$0:Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;

    invoke-static {v2}, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;->-get11(Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;)Landroid/hardware/Sensor;

    move-result-object v2

    invoke-virtual {v0, v1, v2}, Landroid/hardware/SensorManager;->cancelTriggerSensor(Landroid/hardware/TriggerEventListener;Landroid/hardware/Sensor;)Z

    :goto_0
    const/4 v0, 0x0

    iput-boolean v0, p0, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController$MotionListener;->active:Z

    return-void

    :cond_0
    iget-object v0, p0, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController$MotionListener;->this$0:Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;

    invoke-static {v0}, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;->-get13(Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;)Landroid/hardware/SensorManager;

    move-result-object v0

    iget-object v1, p0, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController$MotionListener;->this$0:Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;

    invoke-static {v1}, Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;->-get10(Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController;)Lcom/android/server/DeviceIdleController$MotionListener;

    move-result-object v1

    invoke-virtual {v0, v1}, Landroid/hardware/SensorManager;->unregisterListener(Landroid/hardware/SensorEventListener;)V

    goto :goto_0
.end method

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaGithub


text:
One Track Mind: Loscil
The Canadian producer goes deep on Glenn Gould's 1981 recording of Aria da Capo.
The premise of One Track Mind is pretty simple: I ask artists to pick one track that means a lot to them – either something they've discovered recently, something that's been with them for years, or one that reminds them of a specific time in their life or career – and tell me what makes it so special to them. I get to talk to the artists I love, and they get to talk about the artists they love. Love all round!
Today we welcome Canadian electronic producer Scott Morgan -better known as Loscil – to the blog. One of the most singularly talented producers and an absolute TPW favourite, Scott has produced around 16 Loscil albums over the past two decades. His latest Clara – like them all – is carefully considered and completely engrossing, and a testament to just how powerful and emotionally rewarding electronic music can be when done right.
For his track, Scott waxes lyrical about his obsession with Glenn Gould's interpretation of Bach's Goldberg Variations, in particular his 1981 recording of Aria da Capo.
Loscil on Gleen Gould – Aria de Capo
I'd like to write about an artist whose legacy has shown up many times in my life in strange ways – Glenn Gould. There are several of his recordings and ideas that have been inspirational but perhaps the one I'm most fond of is the Aria da Capo from his 1981 recording of Bach's Goldberg Variations.
For some reason and without much effort from me, Glenn Gould's legacy has shown up in my life repeatedly over the span of the past 25 years. I was first introduced to his radio work, most notably his seminal radio documentary: The Idea of North while studying tape editing. Not only was it incredibly inspiring to hear Gould introduce musical ideas like counterpoint and dynamics to radio documentary, but it also drew me into Gould's unusual but inspiring views on music and culture. The world of classical music was a bit foreign to me but Gould pulled me in with his innovation, philosophical ideas and his personal quirks.
Shortly after graduating from university I worked on a project centred around Glenn Gould called The New Listener. The goal of the project was two-fold: to provide a relatively encyclopaedic collection of data about Gould, his life, his thinking, his recordings and secondly, to bring some of his more forward thinking musical ideas into an interactive context. We built interactive versions of his recording "kits" where listeners could assemble their favourite studio takes into different final versions of his recordings and recreated his multi-microphone recording of Sibelius with a real time mixing interface. All of this opened up my mind not only to the idea that classical music could be presented differently but also that the relationship between musician and listener could be something other than passive.
Most recently, I was invited by Ryuichi Sakamoto to participate in the celebration of Gould's life in Tokyo and to perform with him at the Canadian Embassy there. For this, I decided to seek out and record two of the existing former pianos of Gould, the most notable being the Steinway CD318 housed at the National Arts Centre in Ottawa. Being able to spend time with this instrument up close knowing it was Gould's preferred piano for a time was pretty special.
On the tails of this piece, I was invited by my good friend and frequent collaborator, choreographer Vanessa Goodman, to contribute music to her project Wells Hill. When Vanessa was young, she grew up in the former family home of Marshall McLuhan in Toronto. It was said to her by members of the McLuhan family that Gould would visit the house and they would exchange philosophical discussions about art, communications, music, etc. She used this as inspiration for her work and I used the samples of Gould's piano to compose music for her choreography. We also used and transformed several of Gould's recordings, including ending the piece with the Aria da Capo from the 1981 Goldberg Variations.
Of course, there are two famous recordings by Gould of the Goldberg Variations. The early one is quick, technically flashy and virtuosic. But the latter recording is incredibly slow and expressive. He imbues the work with sentimentality and introspection. He plays it mournfully and you can hear Gould's patented, mumbly sing-along in the background of the recording. Knowing he died not long after this recording adds to its nostalgia and romanticism. For me, it's one of the most sad and beautiful musical recordings I can think of.
Loscil – Clara is out now
https://loscil.bandcamp.com
Tags aria de capo, bach, glenn gould, goldberg variations, loscil, one track mind
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Is "denser than Singapore" too dense for Sydney?
Waterloo, Sydney as it is today; but is the NSW Government intent on turning it into something out a JG Ballard novel?
The Sydney Morning Herald reported yesterday that the City of Sydney is alarmed by the Government's plans for the redevelopment of a 19 hectare State-owned site in inner suburban Waterloo (see Clover Moore alarmed by Waterloo apartment plans that dwarf Singapore's squeeze).
The government is planning a precinct of 20 and 30-storey towers that would increase the density around Waterloo, where a new rail station is planned, to the equivalent of 70,000 people per square kilometre, the council says.
That would be more than four times as dense as the current densest area in Australia, Pyrmont, which houses 14,000 people per square kilometre. The Green Square area, which is already an emerging transport nightmare, is planned to house a comparatively modest 22,000 people per square kilometre.
70,000 persons per square kilometre? 20 – 30 storey towers? Denser than anywhere in Singapore? Denser than all but "pockets" of Hong Kong and New York? Is this a scene from a dystopian movie? That's the way readers of the Herald responded this morning.
Melburnians are used to hearing these sorts of apocalyptic scenarios and especially the references to Asian cities, as if Hong Kong and Singapore are hell on earth rather than being two of the richest cities in the world (see Is Melbourne really turning into Hong Kong?).
But hang on a bit, is it really that bad? I think there are a number of points to consider.
First, this is not a case of imposing high-rise housing on a leafy suburban landscape. This is a Government-owned site with a number of existing buildings that exceed 30 storeys (see exhibit).
Second, the level of density isn't by itself a satisfactory guide to whether or not the development will provide adequate amenity for residents and neighbours; that depends at least as much on how well it's designed.
Third, even if it were redeveloped at Hong Kong densities, 19 hectares is pretty small in the context of a built-up metropolitan area of circa 300,000 hectares. It's equivalent to the area of a circle with a radius of 250 metres. I don't have numbers for a Sydney equivalent to hand, but it's only circa ten times the size of the MCG pitch. It's only a fraction of the 700-hectare area of Melbourne's CBD.
Fourth, comparing such a small site – 19 ha is only 0.19 sq km – with areas elsewhere of one square kilometre is problematic; larger areas inevitably have a lower average density because size evens out variability.
Fifth, 700 persons/ha is certainly a high density, but it's not as scarily dense as Council makes out. A report by Melbourne City Council compared the densities current planning policies in various cities would permit on the same-sized block of land (see More over-reach on the problem of high-rise towers?).
It found a density of 1,290 persons per hectare is permissible in Vancouver i.e. 84% more than what Sydney City Council says is proposed for Waterloo. It calculated the maximum permissible density is 2,620 persons/ha in Hong Kong and 2,560/ha in New York; that's almost four times higher than what's supposedly slated for Waterloo.
The City of Melbourne produced the report because it's concerned that a particular block of land in Melbourne's CBD could have a density of 6,290 persons/ha under State government policies i.e. nine times the density that the City of Sydney and the Sydney Morning Herald are shouting dystopia and doom about.
Finally – and this should end the silly claims – the NSW government states bluntly that the City of Sydney is simply wrong. Premier Mike Baird says the density intended for Waterloo will be similar to that in Green Square i.e. 220 persons/ha. That's a third of what Council is claiming (NSW Premier dismisses concerns Waterloo will have density levels like Hong Kong).
The authority responsible for the development of Waterloo, the curiously named UrbanGrowth, confirms the Premier's claim and says the planned density for Waterloo is "lower than comparative projects closer to the CBD such as Central Park and Darling Square".
The City of Sydney might well have other legitimate complaints about Waterloo and the broader Central to Eveleigh project, but the planned density for Waterloo isn't one of them. The Sydney Morning Herald should've given Council's claims at least a cursory review before giving them so much exposure.
Expand the range and quality of local services accessible by residents.
Increase the efficient use of infrastructure like the planned new Waterloo rail station.
Improve the scope for value-capture to finance better infrastructure (this is one of those cases where the government fortuitously already owns the land).
Help lower demand for development in other parts of the metropolitan area that are less well-suited to development e.g. outer suburbs.
Reduce the demand from residents for car travel.
The greatest danger in Waterloo isn't excessive density; it's exclusion of those who can't afford the entry price dictated by the unreasonably high minimum amenity standards set down in NSW planning policy – SEPP 65 (see Can apartment residents be trusted to make their own decisions? and Does housing supply impact on inequality?).


This week in our Literary Resolutions blog series, we hear from Blair's Margaret Couch about how her reading group helped her stay on track.
I rarely make New Year's resolutions, but I realized when I was asked to write a blog about book resolutions that I actually had already made one for 2014.
Over the last few months, I've been going through papers and books at my parents' place. Among my discoveries were my father's C. S. Lewis books. Growing up, we read some of Lewis's fantasy books at the dinner table, and they were favorites. However, I don't recall ever reading any of his nonfiction books. Instead of putting the books I was going through into the giveaway box, I brought most of them home, thinking I would get around to reading one or more sometime in the future.
One Lewis book in particular that I had always wanted to read was Mere Christianity. I remember my father recommending that one, and I was happy to have his copy in my possession. But as is my habit, once the book was in my house, I never picked it up to read. I prefer fiction and always have a stack of books either on the bedside table or on my list to read. I realized I would probably never read any of C. S. Lewis's theologically based books unless I made myself accountable to a group. It was then that I thought about starting a book club at my church. In talking with members there, I found others who wanted to join me in reading and discussing issues presented in books such as Mere Christianity. Our group started meeting in January, and I have, as I anticipated, kept myself on track and read each section of the book in preparation for our weekly meetings. I give my thanks to the group for unknowingly getting me off to a good start on keeping my resolution.
Check back in next week for more in our Literary Resolutions blog series. Happy Reading!
We hope you all had fantastic holidays and are ready to face the new year head on. Blair is celebrating the beginning of 2014 with a new blog series on our literary resolutions. I start us off this week with the simple goal to Easier said than done.
Shocking though it may be about an English major and publishing industry professional, I have almost always been an avid reader. I would read late into the night, constantly have new titles awaiting me, and usually have a favorite book on hand.
I still love the idea of reading, collect books that I want to read, and plow through ones that I substantially start, but since becoming a passably functioning adult, I am usually in a less-than-alert state when I get home.
Rather than reading for a while, I am ready to curl up and fall asleep as early as acceptably possible (Meaning 8 p.m.-that's acceptable, right?).
Sometime I get stressed out about not having finished a physical book in a while and I pressure myself to read. Anxiety-induced reading, however, is not enjoyable. No matter a title's literary merit, very little of the text will register if I have to force myself to read it.
and I quickly give up on the futile resolve to make myself read.
So this year I pledge to calm down about reading.
Rather than starting books that I think I should be reading, I am going to go with my gut and pick titles based purely on literary desire.
And I'm going to read at a pace set completely by my whims, not worrying about finishing for finishing's sake. Sometimes this will be in a fervor fueled by the intensity of my enjoyment, but often this will be simply at my leisure. And that's okay.
By stripping away the pressure and letting myself enjoy reading again, I hope to regain my footing in the fold of true book lovers. 2014 is the year I fall back in love with literature. So watch out books, here I come!
Check back next week for another post on Blair's literary resolutions. Happy reading!
Don't Forget Those Holiday Tips!
The holidays are a good opportunity to show people in your life that you appreciate them. Whether with gifts, baked goods, kind gestures, or generous tips.
He hopes you'll not his Hopes destroy….
By filling up his pockets higher!
This poem is featured in American Christmases: Firsthand Accounts of Holiday Happenings From Early Days to Modern Times by Joanne Martell, a great book which offers insight into the history of Christmas in America.
As part of Small Business Saturday Blair will be holding a book sale on November 30 from 10 a.m. to 3 p.m. Stop by the Blair offices at 1406 Plaza Drive, Winston-Salem, NC, for 30% off all titles, including the perfect gifts for everyone on your holiday checklist.
We are also excited to announce that The Great Escape Food Truck will be joining us from 11 a.m. to 3 p.m.
Buy local and get 30% off all books. We look forward to seeing you!
Today, November 19th, marks the 150th Anniversary of President Abraham Lincoln's 1863 Gettysburg Address. This anniversary is being honored by a Dedication Day Ceremony in the Soldiers' National Cemetery at Gettysburg National Military Park in Gettysburg, PA.
You can watch a live stream of the ceremony here. The wreath laying begins at 10 a.m. and opening remarks at 10:15 a.m.
Gettysburg National Military Park will be hosting numerous events throughout the weekend in honor of the Dedication Day anniversary. A full list of these events can be found here.
James and Suzanne Gindlesperger, authors of So You Think You Know Gettysburg? will also be on hand for the festivities, with a book talk and signing Saturday, November 23, from 3 to 5 p.m. at the American Civil War Museum and Gift Center.
Join in by watching the live stream of the ceremony or by reading the full text of Lincoln's Gettysburg Address.


...I'm certain that means that the possessors of the necklaces in question cheerfully gave them up once the situation was explained to them. It couldn't really mean anything else, right?
Had a good Gen Con, as usual. More than the games, a big highlight for me is meeting up with people who I might only see in person once or twice a year. That and being able to go a little nuts in the dealer's room and buy some of the things that are too esoteric, crazy or expensive the entire rest of the year.