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WELCOME TO HOPE GROWS FOR AUTISM
Become a Hope Grows Member
Patient Assistance Program
2020 Autism Patients Report Improvement in Symptoms Survey White Paper
Autism Clinical Trials
Autism Clinical Research Consortium
How Does Cannabis Help Autism
Webinar With Dr.Bonni Goldstein
Autism Dosing Survey
Financial Assistance Questionnaire
Patient History Questionnaire
Cannabinoid Medicine & Autism Training
Erica Daniels – President
Erica is the mother of a child with severe autism who is determined to give her son and family the highest quality of life possible. Her life changed and gained new purpose when her son was diagnosed with autism in 2007. After years of traveling the country seeing specialists, exasperating dozens of treatments for years with little or no success, Erica eventually discovered that natural treatments such as diet and medical cannabis dramatically improved the quality of life for her son and her entire family as a result.
Erica is an internationally recognized medical cannabis activist, autism advocate, author, public speaker and devoted mother. She is compelled to help as many families as she can and continues to make waves in the autism community.
Keri Akkawi – Community Outreach Coordinator
Keri is a dedicated mom to sons Girius, age 9, and Crosby, age 7. They were diagnosed with a rare genetic condition called Fragile X Syndrome (FXS) which is identified as the only genetic link to autism, and is caused by a deficient protein that is essential for brain development resulting in a lifetime of intellectual disabilities and behavioral challenges. Keri was introduced to holistic and natural treatments after her sons suffered severe negative side effects as a result of using pharmaceutical medication. It was then that she began treating her sons naturally and the results were positive. Overall, both of her sons experienced an increase in speech, decrease in self-injurious behaviors/aggression and an increase in attention to tasks.
Keri studied Criminal Justice at Temple University and graduated with a Bachelor's Degree 2005. She continued her education and earned an ABA Certified Paralegal Certificate from Villanova University in 2007. Keri spent 10 years as a paralegal and, ultimately, sacrificed her career to better accommodate the wide range of challenging behaviors her sons have to face on a day to day basis. She is a thriving medical cannabis activist and advocate for FXS and autism.
Adam Landau – Treasurer
Adam is responsible for overseeing the formulation and implementation of Permit Capital Advisors, LLC's investment strategy.He covers a rigorous process focused primarily on the various aspects of investment due diligence along with working to optimize the structure of client portfolios to maximize the expected level of risk adjusted return.
Prior to joining Permit, Adam served as Managing Director at McCabe Capital Managers, Ltd., where he oversaw the integration of McCabe Capital's advisory efforts, as well as served as one of two portfolio managers on three-investment fund of funds products, including a hedge fund of funds and a socially responsible investment fund of funds, offered to clients of a number of major insurance carriers through Private Placement structures.Prior to joining McCabe, Adam spent four years at Donaldson, Lufkin and Jenrette where he worked with both retail and institutional clients to develop asset allocation plans and construct appropriate equity and fixed income portfolios.
Adam received his MBA (Finance) from St. Joseph's University and a BA (Economics) from Rutgers University.He holds the Chartered Alternative Investment Analyst designation and is a member of the CFA Institute and the CFA Society of Philadelphia.He serves as Chair of the Board of Trustees at C.B. Community School, a private high school in Philadelphia dedicated to students from foster care.Adam is also on the Board of Directors of Bancroft, which is an organization serving children and adults with developmental disabilities, as well as Women's Way.He is also on the Advisory Board of the Field Center for Children's Policy, Practice and Research at the University of Pennsylvania, an interdisciplinary effort of Penn's Schools of Social Policy & Practice, Law, Medicine, and Nursing and the Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, focused on child welfare reform.
Adam has a son on the spectrum and is very active in supporting the autism community.
Roger Braunfeld – Secretary
Roger is the founder and partner of Royer Cooper Cohen Braunfeld LLC.His firm contains team players that appreciate how combined strengths can build pathways where obstacles once stood.Roger has a natural entrepreneurial spirit and that is the driving force behind his approach in assisting and supporting clients in matters pertaining to Business and Corporate Law.
His heart beats for family, the community, for camaraderie, and for the values that bring deeper meaning into focus.Roger's ability to wade through the minutiae and evaluate the truth named him in Philadelphia Business Journal's 40 Under 40.He empowers ambition by enabling his colleagues to achieve their goals and become great, and in the end benefiting themselves, their clients and the firm.
Prior to his current successes, Roger earned his law degree from Villanova University School of Law in 1999 and became a Corporate and Securities Attorney with Blank Rome LLP.He then became a Managing Director and General Counsel of XShares Group, LLC, and was directly involved with launching 31 exchange traded funds on the NYSE. He was also General Counsel and COO of Clear Asset Management after building experience as Mergers & Acquisitions and Securities and Corporate Finance. He also served as Managing Member of RJB Ventures LLC, Partner for Laurel Capital Partners and General Counsel for ConceptONE, LLC.
Jaime Gordon – Secretary
Jaime's role as an autism advocate began when her son Dylan was diagnosed with autism. She is currently self-employed as a Securities & Anti-Trust Attorney and Legal Business Advisor.Jaime earned her law degree from Widener University School of Law and shortly after became a litigation partner for the law firm of Margolis Edelstein where she practiced for over 16 years.
When she isn't managing her family or legal tasks, she is volunteering her time as a member of the Board of Directors for The Philly Friendship Circle, which is a non-profit organization connecting teens and young adults with special needs and their families through a full range of social offerings.Additionally, Jaime spends time as a Board Member of Lower Merion School District's Committee for Special Education.
Jaime continues to remain an active member in the autism and special needs community.
Brooke Goodspeed – Board Member
Brooke has been involved with the disability community since the birth of her second child in 2010.She contributed to the development of the New Parent Support Group for the Trisomy 21 Program at CHOP in 2011, and has served as a parent support member of Parent-to-Parent of Pennsylvania. She is an active member of the Council of Parent Attorneys and Advocates.
After graduating from the University of Pittsburg while earning a BA in History and Philosophy of Science, as well as a BS in Psychology, Brooke received a BSN and MSN from the University of Pennsylvania School of Nursing in 2005.She worked as a project manager at the University of Pittsburgh Medical Center in the Behavioral Medicine and Oncology Department before beginning her nursing career.Brooke has participated as an Oncology Nurse Practitioner for over 12 years, tailoring her clinical practices to focus on the integration of the medical, emotional, psychosocial, and spiritual needs of her patients.She is currently employed at the Abramson Cancer Center of the Hospital of the University of Pennsylvania.
In September of 2017, Brooke began the next phase of her advocacy work by pursuing her doctoral degree.She is presently a second year PhD student at the University of Pennsylvania where she is focusing her research on health disparities for adults with Autism Spectrum Disorder.
Shortly after the birth of their second child, Brooke and her husband, Jon, designed a community space that fosters diverse and inclusive programs to support successful community and social inclusion for individuals of ALL AGES and ALL ABILITIES! The goal at Great Expectations, Inc. is to provide each community member the opportunity to live and experience social and community involvement in an enjoyable, enriching and inclusive way.
Brooke is committed to serving the most vulnerable members of the disability community, specifically, those with limited to no resources or support.She strives to eliminate the stigma.
Marisa Liuzzi – Board Member
Marisa has over 12 years of public service experience, with a focus on helping those with physical and/or mental health disabilities, and over five years in the cannabis industry, with a focus on patient education and symptom/strain alignment. Marisa currently manages Ilera Healthcare's product education with all dispensaries in the PA Commonwealth, and acts as the liaison between dispensaries and Ilera's Grower/Processor. Additionally, Marisa is a board member for Hope Grows for Autism. She holds a Bachelor of Art in Psychology from Florida Atlantic University, and a Master of Science in Rehabilitation Counseling from Boston University. Prior to Ilera Healthcare, Marisa provided counseling and rehabilitation services to Veterans, Service Members, and civilians, through the U.S. Department of Veteran Affairs and U.S. Department of Education. While counseling, Marisa also worked at a local DC dispensary and was the Co-Chair of the Women Grow DC Chapter. She has a proven record in education, relationship building, and management and is a lover and advocate of cannabis science. Marisa currently resides in the Philadelphia area and enjoys exploring Pennsylvania with her dog, Bean.
Andi Moritz – Board Member
Andi is the inventory manager and former lead herbologist at Herbology Lebanon, where she also has the role of developing and implementing continuing education for the location's herbologists. Prior to working in the cannabis industry she was employed by the Humane Society of Harrisburg Area, helping find forever families for homeless animals. Andi is on the spectrum herself and has experienced firsthand the life improving qualities of cannabis for individuals with autism. The most rewarding part of her job is helping parents of children with autism navigate the world of medical cannabis. Her goal is for caregivers to leave the dispensary with the knowledge they need to feel comfortable and confident about administering medical marijuana. In her free time she enjoys hiking, kayaking, line dancing, and spending time with her cat, Sagwa.
Vikki Gitlin Smith – Board Member
Vikki is the Owner of Out of The Blue Productions specializing in traditional and digital media for healthcare and life sciences.She is also Executive Producer and commonly referred to as "Producer Woman." You see, she has a super power…. It's the ability to mind meld with her clients!Vikki has over 20 years of experience and claims to be able to get into the client's head, channeling their thoughts and desires for a project.
Vikki creates stories that truly connect, and make memorable impressions – beautifully, on time and on budget.She does whatever it takes to get it all done right.Her talents exceed her client's expectations because she can take even the most complicated concepts and transform them into incredibly engaging content for your audience.
She also enjoys challenging herself at Soul Cycle, where she's been known to sing loudly to the hits of Rihanna and Hamilton.
Vikki became involved and passionate about autism advocacy when she began to spend time with her teenage cousin who is severely affected by autism. Vikki remains active in supporting the disability community.
Carrie Stockmal – Board Member
Carrie has been an accomplished and innovative marketing, business development and production executive with over 20 years of unique experiences in the entertainment, media and marketing fields.
Carrie has been involved in the disability community since the birth of her son Jack in 2002.Thrust into advocacy by Jack's complicated medical and developmental history, Carrie has been committed to learning; forgoing a new a path and being part of the solution that helps Jack live his fullest life.As Jack's world has expanded, so has Carrie's and her commitment to bringing opportunities and solutions to the greater neurodiverse community is now steadfast.
In 2017, fueled by her discovery of limited work opportunities for people who are neurodiverse, Carrie began applying her talents to developing businesses that support people of all abilities.Combining her love for animals and her desire to provide employment for people of all abilities, PETacular Pet Sitting is Carrie's first effort to create employment experiences and opportunities for people with neurodiversity.PETacular employees are caring for pets on the Main Line while simultaneously learning the skills and building confidence that are necessary for individual growth.It offers opportunities for career development and increased responsibility.
She is deeply committed to creating opportunities for growth in the workplace for individuals of all abilities.Ears and eyes wide open, Carrie is growing her existing businesses while seeking innovative models so that she may continue to make an impact.
JOIN OUR COMMUNITY TODAY.
connect with other families sharing our autism journey. Join our discussion groups and stay up to date with current research
Website Legal Disclaimer and Terms of Use
This website is meant for informational purposes only and is not intended to take the place of consultation with your physician. This site is not a substitute for medical advice, diagnosis or treatment, nor is the information provided herein intended to replace consultation with a qualified physician.
Share your story, hear other stories, learn about treatments, Hope Grows for Autism is a caring community here to help.
outreach@hopegrowsforautism.org


The intelligent internal design reduces the depth of the product reducing its footprint, whilst maximizing internal cavity. That's more space free on your countertop. Convenient functions let you display the auto menu, use the word prompting/operation guide, and more. By removing the fan from the back of the oven, the interior depth has been increased.


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info@creativedanceandmusic.com
Instruments and instructors
Musical milestones
5 Ways to Make the Most of Music Lessons
2-5 Year Old Dance Classes
6-11 Year Old Dance Classes
12+ Year Old Dance Classes
Dancer's Manners
4 Things to Consider for Dance
Dance Instructors
Music Instructors
What Our Families Say
Meet Your Music Instructors
Jennifer Erwin White - Music Director & Instructor (Voice, Piano, Ukelele, Guitar)
Jennifer has been singing and playing piano since the age of five, and teaching both since 2000. Coming from a family of musicians, she grew up active in school and church choirs, performing in plays and singing solos, and playing clarinet in marching band from 6th to 11th grades. She earned a degree in Voice from the University of Oklahoma, and a Master of Fine Arts in Creative Writing from the University of Arkansas. While at OU, Jennifer was voted Outstanding Soprano her senior year, and won several scholarships throughout her time there. She also played in three bands that performed in Norman and Oklahoma City, and later in a large country-folk group in Fayetteville Arkansas, where she sang and played guitar and mandolin. Jennifer loves the jazz and blues heritage of New Orleans, and believes in learning to play whatever style of music you like through a foundation of solid classical technique.
Jennifer has been teaching with Creative Dance & Music Studio since 2009. She is a well rounded, caring instructor teaching piano, voice and guitar students.
Craig Wilson - Instructor (Guitar, Drums, Beginner Piano)
Craig started playing the piano at age 7, and by the age of fifteen, he had also learned to play guitar and drums as well. He received a Bachelor of Music degree at the University of Southern Mississippi. Also preforming on bass guitar, Craig has enjoyed performing music one way or another for over 30 years. He has been teaching private lessons since 2008 and is excited to begin his eighth year with us at CDMS.
Brian King - Instructor (Guitar, Bass, Ukulele & Piano)
Brian King was born and raised in the culturally rich city of New Orleans. He studied guitar and piano at the New Orleans Center for the Creative Arts and went on to receive a Bachelors in Music from Oberlin Conservatory and a Masters in Music from the Royal Conservatoire of Scotland. Brian has performed throughout the United States and Europe and has received numerous prizes from competitions including the Southern Guitar Festival Competition and the New Orleans International Guitar Competition.
Brian's teaching approach is aimed at creating a relaxed environment for students to have fun and grow, and his extensive musical background allows him to adapt to whatever the student's interests are. Brian teaches guitar, bass, ukulele, and piano.
Michael Martin - Instructor (Voice & Piano)
Michael Martin is an active performer and teacher of music. He graduated Summa Cum Laude with a Bachelor of Music Education from Northwestern State University in Natchitoches, Louisiana, and most recently with a Master's of Choral Conducting from Kansas State University. While there, he was the graduate teaching assistant where he taught classes, provided private instruction, and conducted choirs. He has been playing piano for many years, and is the director of the New Orleans Street Choir, a non-profit choir dedicated to providing musical experiences to the unhoused of New Orleans.
Frankie White - Instructor (Voice, Piano, Guitar, Ukulele)
Frankie has taken classical piano and voice lessons for over 15 years, starting at the age of five. At the age of 12, she taught herself to play guitar and ukulele as well. She is a professional musician who tours the country with her band as they play at a variety of different venues. She will be receiving her bachelor's degree in Popular Commercial Music at the end of this school year. She is a caring, enthusiastic teacher who loves to help others discover their own passion for music.
Dates to Remember:
2/4 - Boost Mini
2/6-2/9 - Mardi Gras Spirit Week & Banana Split Week
2/6-2/9 - Yearbook Forms due
2/18-2/23 - Mardi Gras Break
2/25 - TTP Class @ 10am
716 Belle Meade Blvd., Gretna, LA 70056
© 2012-2023 Creative Dance & Music Studio. All Rights Reserved

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


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Massey University and the nuclear test veterans
Artesian aquifers and Sauber's nose-slot
Ferrari's new sidepods
Adrian Newey and the chromatic conditions for crea...
Mercedes' DRS-activated F-duct
Smallest racing car ever
The unification of internal and external flow
Red Bull's underpass
Electromagnetism, fluid mechanics, and the mathema...
Ferrari have admitted that they need to re-design the sidepods on their 2012 Formula 1 car to take full advantage of the exhaust-blown effects still available within the current regulations. In fact, the re-design will be sufficiently radical to require a new side-impact crash-test.
So why exactly can't Ferrari just modify their existing sidepods? Mark Hughes explains in this week's Autosport that Ferrari need to move their exhaust exits further forward, thereby requiring a re-arrangement of the sidepod internals.
However, there's perhaps something else here which hasn't received much attention. Ferrari's original sidepods combined the radiator cooling exits with the exhaust outlets, whereas the trend on other cars such as the Red Bull and McLaren, is to separate the two, with a single cooling exit placed at base of the engine cover in the centre of the car.
The idea of having the cooling exit duct co-axial with the exhaust outlet was very popular in the early 2000s, and the reason is that the flow of exhaust gases can be used the increase the mass-flow rate through the cooling system, a phenomenon sometimes referred to as 'aspiration'. If you pull the flow out of the cooling system more quickly, you can get the same mass-flow rate for a smaller inlet area, and a smaller inlet provides aerodynamic benefits. This concept was studied by Parra and Kontis in their 2006 paper, Aerodynamic effectiveness of the flow of exhaust gases in a generic formula one car configuration, published in the The Aeronautical Journal:
"Due to the characteristic configuration of a Formula One car, the exhaust pipes pass through the chamber located directly behind the radiators. This chamber is normally shaped so that it enhances the outflow of gases. However, an extra outflow could be generated by inserting the exhaust pipe into a bigger diameter duct to create a mixing stream. Such mixing is believed to generate an aspiration along the outer duct, based on the same principles of operation as an ejector pump. Because this enveloping duct connects the chamber behind the radiator with the atmosphere, an outflow of gases through this passage would increase the efficiency of the radiator," (p574).
The exhaust outlet on Ferrari's original 2012 sidepod was inside the cooling exit duct, which in turn, was inside a downwardly-inclined funnel at the rear of the sidepods. Thus, Ferrari's original 2012 solution was perhaps a very neat idea: they might have been trying to use the exhaust gas to aspirate the cooling flow, and simultaneously use both the internal cooling flow and the external sidepod flow to pull the exhaust jet downwards.
However, once this failed to achieve the desired exhaust-blown effect, it became necessary to separate the exhaust outlet from the cooling outlet, as seen in testing at Barcelona (pictured). Once the exhaust outlet is separated from the cooling outlet, the mass-flow through the cooling system is no longer aspirated by the exhaust, and it may now be necessary for Ferrari to design a sidepod with a larger cooling inlet, as well as one which brings the exhaust outlet further forwards.
Moreover, with a reduced mass-flow through the radiators, it may be necessary in the interim for Ferrari to turn their engines down slightly, and Stefano Domenicali confirmed in Melbourne that "the car at the moment is slow in a straight line."
Posted by Gordon McCabe at 9:16 am
Crucial_Xtreme said...
The team has confirmed that the launch position of the exhaust exit gives the most performance. But the team said it was evident in Jerez that the configuration would not be ready in race form before Australia so they reverted to a less aggressive approach until it can be developed further.
Stefano Domenicali said this configuration would be developed, updated and tested again at the in-season test at Mugello with intentions on using it for the rest of the year. What the update to the system entails is anyones guess but it seems they like it and the team describes it as "a performance advantage".
If they can get it to work, that's all well and good but it seems that there is something inherently wrong wrong with this configuration that is playing poorly with lateral airflow & perhaps creating low pressure areas in the wrong places.


Outstanding views from this lakefront home with approx 140 feet of water frontage & private pier on charming English Lake. Over 1,800 sq ft of open concept living with new kitchen appliances and flooring. Walk out lower level has generous family room, bar, full bath, bedroom and 4 season room with hot tub. Loads of outdoor living space with gorgeous mature trees and several large decks. 3 bedrooms with ample closet space and 2 full baths. Enjoy the lake life!
All Rights Reserved. Great Western Properties © 2018.


The Durdle Door 3-Bay Dovecote - made in Dorset! A beautifully Arched Dovecote - it doesn't have to have real doves to create a lovely garden feature on a wall, barn or fence.
But, if you decide to add the real thing, then there is a spacious home for three pairs of gorgeous white garden doves.
The front panel can easily be removed for access to clean. Delivered ready assembled and easily mounted in place by screwing from the inside back panel into your wall.
Dimensions (external): 84cm wide at the base; 45cm deep (front to back); 72cm high.
The Durdle Dovecote will be delivered ready assembled. Currently a 2 - 3 week delivery time and, once we receive your order, we will call to arrange a suitable delivery date for you.


I've edited about 175 pages by now. The entire story is about 300 and something. I'm just over halfway done and I start to get worried that I'm going to take longer than I wanted.
I know this is something that I should NOT rush, but when I set myself an ambiguous deadline of "April 2013" I start to panic that I'm not reaching that deadline. I've tried to mentally change it to April 30, 2013 so that I can rest assured that I still have LOADS of time, but sometimes trying to trick your own brain is a bit difficult.
With my husband gone, my weekend guests leaving today, I do have lots of free time to continue editing. I think another reason I'm relatively nervous is the fact that I have reached the point in the story that I was somewhat unhappy with when I wrote it the first time. This means that this part is going to need a lot of attention to bring it up to my standards.
Which, of course, means I've been avoiding it for two weeks 😛 But this is good. I've taken a good break from this and when I return to editing this afternoon it should be with fresh eyes again.


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L-arginine: Supplement Tested On Fit, Athletic Men Shows No Advantage
One of the most recent, popular supplements for athletes looking to boost performance comes in the form of a naturally-occurring amino acid called L-arginine.
The reason for its popularity is twofold says Scott Forbes, a doctoral student in exercise physiology. "First, L-arginine is a precursor for nitric oxide that is known to improve blood flow, which in turn may aid the delivery of important nutrients to working muscles and assist with metabolic waste product removal. Secondly, L-arginine has been shown to increase growth hormone levels in the blood."
The benefits of growth hormone are diverse, including increasing the use of fat as a fuel as well as insulin and insulin-growth factor-1 (IGF-1) levels. However, most of the research conducted on L-arginine has been in a clinical setting and the benefits for physically active individuals are not as established. In some cases they are conflicting.
"One of the reasons for this is that the amount an individual has to consume has not been clearly established and this information is rarely provided by the manufacturers of such products," explains Forbes, a doctoral student in exercise physiology.
For Forbes it was a theory worth testing - and he wanted to test two different L-arginine doses on healthy, athletic men - the group most likely to purchase this readily-available supplement.
"L-arginine is interesting for a few reasons," says Forbes. "It can increase growth hormone response, and so can increase muscle mass. Also it has an impact on insulin, which is another anabolic hormone. A recent hot topic has been about nitric oxide as a vasodilator. The theory is that if you can vasodilate your arteries you can potentially enhance blood flow to the muscles and enhance nutrient delivery and waste product removal."
L-arginine is also often prescribed for older adults with cardiovascular disease, endothelial dysfunction or hypertension for its vasodilation properties and is rarely studied in younger, more vigorous populations.
For this study, Forbes recruited 14, active, physically fit men (age: 25±5yrs; weight: 78.0±8.5kg; height: 179.4±4.7cm), who were free of nutritional supplements, to examine a low and high dose of oral L-arginine on blood L-arginine, markers of nitric oxide, growth hormone, insulin, and insulin-like growth factor-1. In the double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled study participants were first pre-screened, completing a one-day food record which was analyzed for carbohydrates, protein and fat consumption and caloric intake, then required to follow a modified diet to regulate intake of food and water prior to being dosed with L-arginine.
"After a 10-hour overnight fast, and no breakfast, we gave them a different dose of L-arginine - either .075 g per kilogram of body mass for the low dose, .15 g per kg of body mass for the high dose, or a placebo," says Forbes.
Blood samples were drawn with the athlete at rest, every half hour for three hours after the L-arginine or placebo dose. The reason explains Forbes, is that "Previous studies show that two hours after consumption L-arginine tends to reach baseline again."
What Forbes found was that in healthy, young, physically active males the two different doses significantly elevated L-arginine concentrations in the blood at rest, and both a low dose and a high dose were equally effective in doing so, but neither dose promoted a significant increase in nitric oxide, growth hormone, insulin, or insulin-like growth factor-1.
So, according to the study, it appears that L-arginine's impact depends on one's current health status: the more healthy and athletic the person, the less they'll benefit from it.
Now that he's established how L-arginine impacts the fit, young body at rest, he's embarked on two more studies - one with strength-trained athletes and one with aerobically-trained athletes - cyclists in this case - to look at the impacts of L-arginine on the body during exercise. "This time we're looking at the effects of supplements under two extremes: aerobic and strength exercise.
"There's a lot of money in nutritional supplements," he adds. "The industry might not be too happy when they see the results at rest, but who knows, it may be different with exercise."
Forbes has completed both of the exercise studies and hopes to publish the results in the near future.


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Suvarna Home
Suvarna Garge (Editor)
A rose by any other name would smell as sweet whats in a name - William Shakespeare
Guangfeng District
Prefecture-level city Shangrao
Time zone China Standard (UTC+8)
Vehicle registration 赣E
Province Jiangxi
Capital Yongfeng
Area code 0793
Country People's Republic of China
Guangfeng District (simplified Chinese: 广丰区; traditional Chinese: 廣豐區; pinyin: Guǎngfēng Qū; literally: "wide & luxuriant") is a district of Shangrao prefecture, located in most eastern Jiangxi province province, eastern China.
Map of Guangfeng, Shangrao, Jiangxi, China
The county borders Zhejiang and Fujian provinces. It covers 1,377.79 km2 (531.97 sq mi).
The population is 760,000 people.
The district was first established during the Tang dynasty in 758 as a county, then repealed in 812. In 1074, during the Song dynasty, the district was reestablished as a county.
Guangfeng has been a county for over 1,300 years. Administratively, the district is part of the prefecture-level city of Shangrao. The county administers 23 townships.
The climate is temperate, with abundant rainfall during the monsoon season. It has clearly differentiated summers and winters.
Guangfeng was once a poor district, but now it is one of the wealthiest counties of Jiangxi. The most famous industry of the district is the tobacco industry. The GDP of 2005 is 7.29 billion.
Guangfeng's most famous feature is Boshan Temple, which lies in the west of the county. The Buddhist temple has a history over 1000 years. Xin Qiji, the famous poet of the South Song dynasty, visited it often.
Sheshantou Site, in Guangfeng District, is an important Neolithic archaeological site of Jiangxi Province.
Guangfeng District Wikipedia
Jurrat (film)
Dajana Cahill
Willem Mandigers


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Can I travel to China from the Netherlands?
China-bound passengers departing from the Netherlands must take direct flight; otherwise, the QR code with "HS/HDC" mark for boarding will not be issued. China-bound passengers departing from third countries where passengers can take direct flights to China, will not receive the QR code with "HS" or "HDC" mark.
Can you get a visa to China right now?
Yes. China currently allows foreign nationals with valid residence permits and visas to enter the country under certain very limited conditions.
Why are there no flights to China?
The move comes as China has been suspending flights by American carriers after alleging in-bound passengers had later tested positive for the coronavirus. The U.S. government argues that the policy is an unfair restriction on aviation that violates a long-standing agreement between the two countries.
Which countries fly direct China?
China will begin allowing direct flights to Beijing from eight countries, starting 3 September. Flights from Thailand, Cambodia, Pakistan, Greece, Denmark, Austria, Sweden and Canada will be "restored to Beijing", the Civil Aviation Administration of China (CAAC) said on 2 September.
Can people leave China?
Through most of China's history, strict controls prevented large numbers of people from leaving the country. In modern times, however, some have been allowed to leave for various reasons. For example, in the early 1960s, about 100,000 people were allowed to enter Hong Kong.
Does America have a Chinese embassy?
The people's Republic of China currently maintains one Embassy in Washington D.C., but also maintains 5 consulates-general in the following U.S. cities: New York, NY; Chicago, IL; San Francisco, CA; Los Angeles, CA; Houston, TX.
Does America have an embassy in China?
Embassy Complex Completed in 2008, the main U.S. Embassy compound in Beijing, China, is a secure, state-of-the-art facility located northeast of the Forbidden City in Beijing's Third Diplomatic Enclave.
Who is Raj Kalesh?
What wheels do cruiser boards use?


Students will concentrate on heads and hands, but may also work on feet, ears, and other areas that inspire terror. Think of this class as a fun version of an "immersion therapy". Gesture, contour, volume studies, simplified architectural shapes and general proportions help in observing and analyzing the problem areas. We will be tying these studies into the whole figure. Students should have some experience drawing from a model.
Objective: Learning to see and reproduce the true shapes of complex forms.
For most classes we will use the same format. Warm up will be blind contour and gesture. In these processes, we will explore conscious and subconscious observation. Most classes will include some demonstration. We will follow with 15-20 minute studies. We will emphasize at least one different approach each week. Among the approaches will be envelope forming and cutting away of negative spaces, organizational lines, geometric construction and cross contour, the idea of working from the simple to the complex, tonal drawing, light and dark pattern, and volume constructions. Usually the last drawing of each class will be connecting the head/hand to the model.
Optional as time allows: other "parts" like feet, knees, or elbows that students wish to study intensely.


Since there are millions of dollars to be made by becoming an NBA player, parents are getting their children involved in the sport at increasingly younger ages, hoping they can gain the skills necessary to make it to the big time. This series follows several Chicago-area women who are entrepreneurs and mothers of young basketball stars. The feisty ladies do whatever it takes to make sure their businesses succeed, and they have the same mindset with their hoop prodigies. It's not easy to balance their businesses with their family lives and basketball, but the women are determined to make sure it all works out -- even if it means fighting with the other moms to ensure that their own kids reach the top of the ladder.


For the sign, I first painted my board white, just around the edges and on the back. Then I created the word art in Storybook Creator (my scrapbook software that I LOVE!), printed it out and mod podged it on to the board. Easy peesy! I like to cover the board with mod podge and then put the glue on the back of the paper, too. It seems to bubble and curl less that way. I also use a brayer (or credit card, or just your hands) to smooth out all the bubbles I can. I let that dry well, and then put a coat or two on the top. Oh, I also sanded the edges of the board for a distressed look. See the above picture for the finished product.
The onesie I found a year or so ago on a super clearance and grabbed a couple just for this idea. I've just never gotten around to it until now. :) I found an image I liked and cut it out with my Cricut. I like to give bigger clothes, like 12 mo. size, since it seems like I was always given tons of 0-6 mo. So I didn't want something too babyish. The P!ay Hard was perfect. When I'm cutting vinyl of any kind, I always test my image by cutting it out on cheap cardstock first. Why waste the good (expensive) stuff on errors. Did my adjusting, and then cut it out of the Silhouette flocked iron-on vinyl. This stuff is cool! I can't wait to do more projects with it. Then it was easy as ironing it on, letting it cool, and pulling off the top coating layer (I washed the onesie first, too). Again, check out the top picture for the finished product.
I really hope my friend likes it as much as I liked making it. Making things for others is just so much fun!
Happy belated Mother's Day to all you wonderful mothers out there. I hope you had a great weekend, I sure did. Thursday was Bill's birthday, and Sunday was our anniversary and Mother's Day, so we did a lot of celebrating all weekend.
Saturday was a beautiful day, weather wise, which means we had to get some work done. However, we still couldn't get our garden planted since my FIL flooded (seriously about 4" of water ALL DAY LONG) our garden a couple days ago. lol Oh, well, Bill got all the weeds sprayed and we're toying with the idea of not even planting it this year and just attaching the stupid vine that is EVERYWHERE and nothing seems to kill. He sprayed the whole yard, put out some ground distillante, too, just hoping to keep the weeds in the field and out of our yard. Not easy. We also moved a little apple tree, I know, not the best time, but since the frost last week probably killed any chances of fruit we decided to move it. That will make it easier to get the lawn mower in and out of the shed.
Sunday was nice and relaxing. Bill made us breakfast while I got to sleep in a little longer. The triplets had presents they made at school. Cheyenne gave me a purse that I bought for someone to give me. :) Natalie gave me candy, peanut butter M&Ms, always a great choice. And Billy (and everyone else, thanks to Bill) gave me a sno-cone maker! It is so fun!! It sure beats the Snoopy house sno-cone maker I always wanted. So after dinner yesterday, we introduced all the kids to the wonders of a sno-cone - I think Cheyenne is the only one who'd ever had one before. They loved them!
Like I said, yesterday was also our anniversary. I can't believe we've been married for 17 years now. We looked through our wedding pictures yesterday and boy, was I skinny then! lol Cheyenne and Natalie just laughed, not at us so much, but at everyone else who was so young. My sister and Bill's brother, my nieces and nephews who are in college now. It was fun doing a little reminiscing.
On to the real reason for the post, this week's menu.
it, and add some BBQ sauce for another hour or so.
Sunday - hmm, I never decided, I guess, maybe chicken and rice.
Now that would be some awesome Hunger Games!! lol Except who is the Gamemaster? He's the only one I don't recognize - probably a scary movie, huh, we don't watch scary movies.
Last week in this post about The Avengers, I told you we are big super hero fans here at our house. I also told you I'd share with you my boys' super hero room. It was not a big expensive redo, in fact it's been very thrifty.
My favorite part of their room, aside from the cute boys themselves, is this gallery wall.
There dresser has never been this clean since. :) We need to replace this dresser now, it's too small for their clothes now, they're growing up and getting taller. Decorating is a never ending process, isn't it?
Anyway, these awesome super hero pictures are old comic book covers, well, copies that were a calendar. When my sister, Leslie, and I went to visit my other sister, Kristen, in Colorado a couple of years ago we went shopping in Boulder one day. While walking around, we stumbled across this cool calendar and since both our boys were very into super heroes, it immediately caught our eye. However, it was a little pricey, so we left it. By the time we were clear down to the end of the whole shopping area and waiting for a table for dinner, we decided we did want it. lol So while Kristen and her family kept waiting, Leslie and I ran back down to the store and bought it, planning on sharing it with this purpose in mind. I know, random story, but I just love my sisters, and every time I look at these pictures it reminds me of our fun weekend.
Here's a close up of the pictures so you can see how totally cool they are.
This is right in their doorway. Boy, it is really hard to take good photos of pictures. Reflections are hard!
This is my favorite, I just framed this one, too, and it hangs over their desk. These are all scripture heroes - great men, great stories, plus they still have swords and stuff so the boys love them, too. I got these prints from Real Hero Posters. My older girls have some in their room, too, you can see them here. I'm not affiliated with Real Hero Posters in any way, I just think they are awesome!!
So the moral of this post, calendars are a great, inexpensive way to have nice art work in your home. Now is a great time of year to buy calendars as they are marked down considerably. Calendars.com is one of my favorite places to buy calendars. There are calendars for every interest and every theme and decor. So next time you need some new art work for whatever room you're decorating, check into calendars first.
I hope you all had a wonderful weekend, I sure did. We took all the kids to Avengers on Saturday morning/afternoon - it was awesome!! Chloe and Maddie looked a little bored during the movie, but after it was over they both said they loved it. Everyone else loved it, too, and we were already quoting (okay, everyone else was quoting - my memory is not that good) our favorite lines by the time we got to the car. We spent the rest of the afternoon and all of Sunday doing pretty much nothing, just relaxing, being together, I read a book I'm embarrassed to admit I read, it was just a nice weekend.
Anywho, it's a new week and unfortunately I have people here who insist on eating every day. ;) So here is this weeks menu. Bill's birthday is this week, and our anniversary is on Mother's Day so we'll have plenty of celebrating to do.
We have a love of super heroes in our home, both boys and girls, the bigs and the littles. We all have our favorite heroes, our favorite cartoon episodes, our favorite movies, my older girls and I drool discuss our favorite actor super heroes (I'm a little partial to Thor!), the boys' room is all super heroes (I'll show you next week), our little 4 all dressed as super heroes a few years ago for Halloween and then lived in those costumes for a long time. In fact last night we were given a little music concert performed by Batman, Spiderman, and Harry Potter, they have grown into the bigger size costumes however. :) So, in honor of the movie coming out today, a little ode to The Avengers!
I apologize for no sources on many of these. I found them on Pinterest and most didn't have any sources. If anyone knows where they came from, I'd love to give credit for them.
Okay, so this one isn't technically all Avengers, it's still pretty dang cool!
She gives you detailed directions of how she created these fabulous looks.
Now wouldn't you love a manicure like that!
Ahh, so much fun! I can't wait to see the movie. I hope we're going tomorrow, of course that's after Bill sees it today. It's his Friday "training film" for work. :) So is your family as super hero crazy as mine is? Who's your favorite super hero?
P.S. We did go see it on Saturday and it was AWESOME!! The whole family ages 37 to 7 loved it!
We're starting the countdown to the end of school at our house. We even got a message yesterday that my youngest 4 get out a day earlier than planned. Yeah! Now if your kids are like my kids, their clothes are starting to look like it's the end of the school year. I don't think Maddie has one pair of jeans that don't have holes in them. The boys do, only because they grew and needed new pants a couple months ago. Many shirts are stained and my kids are starting to look like little rag-a-muffins. :) So a little DIY clothing rescue is in order.
Seriously stained shirts, even my awesome Stain Pretreater couldn't get these really set-in stains out. At my children's school, Friday is "wear red day" so a red shirt is an absolute must (they get a prize if they wear red.) So these shirts had to be salvaged.
For Chole's shirt, I did a reverse applique, my first time ever. It was fun! I found this great tutorial from Sweet Verbena. The shirt had a few more stains that the applique didn't cover so I added a few circles of the same material just stitched on (they were small enough that I didn't use interfacing on them.) I also decided to add a little more color by just dabbing on some fabric paint in the flower petals.
Finally, I turned a shirt of mine, that was now to short into a shirt for Natalie. She doesn't like long-sleeved shirts, but 3/4 shirts are okay so I couldn't let this one go to waste.
First of all lay down the shirt to be altered, inside out. Lay a shirt that fits on top of it. Match shoulder seams and center it. I use an old piece of soap - best tailor's chalk ever!, to carefully trace the edge of the top shirt. Then just stitch up the new seam and turn right side out. Since this was such a little adjustment and not a work of art, I just left the extra material because Natalie didn't care. If it was a big adjustment, you could cut off the extra and serge or just zig-zag the edges.
Just a little more fitted and a little shape to it now. Natalie liked it, yeah!
Now to tackle the pile of pants I cleaned out of their drawers to turn them into shorts for the summer. :) What's your favorite way to extend the life of clothes at your house?


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Q: React gives 'URLSearchParams' is undefined in Edge v38 Is React 16 still compatible with old Edge browsers such  38.14393.2068.0?
Yes I know this one is old, but it would be nice to support also older browsers... What EDGE browser versions are supported?
Any workaround for this error?

'URLSearchParams' is undefined in react-dom.development

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaStackExchange


Based on training and experience, every polished concrete contractor will perform polished concrete different. Here are some basic guidelines and understandings for how to polish concrete.
The scratch test or (MOHS Hardness test) tells us the hardness of the concrete and helps determine the correct diamond hardness of the concrete grinding tools to begin the first diamond polishing step.
The first major noteworthy distinction we have is whether to wet grind or dry grind; when deciding how to polish concrete take this major health and safety factor into consideration. Titus performs its grinding wet for the sake of the health and well-being of our employees and our customers. This will be discussed extensively in this site and also through various channels, such as YouTube and social media, managed by us. The initial concrete grinding stages will be performed by progressively following the grit number of the diamonds, achieving refinement without leaving visible scratches.
The concrete polishing process is made possible by tooling that contain diamonds embedded in the resin, metal or ceramic matrix. There are may different types of diamond tools for different circumstances. They can differ in shape, pattern, lippage of the rim, hardness, and grit (size of diamond). It is important to know that starting from the appropriate grit and achieving an even scratch pattern, followed by the right sequence of refinement is the proper way to achieve great diamond polished concrete floors. The higher the final grit used, the finer the scratch pattern will be, resulting in a shinier finish. (Types of diamonds and their many differentiations will be treated in a separate case study, in the category "Diamonds grinding tools" in our blog.
Densifiers are distinguished first of all for their chemical basis. There are 3 main types of densifiers available: Potassium, Sodium and Lithium based. Titus only uses a proprietary lithium-based densifier. This lithium-based densifier penetrates into the concrete increasing surface density and helping to eliminate dust. This is commonly referred to as concrete floor sealing, but it is also used as part of the concrete floor polishing process.
The concrete floor polishing stage is similar to concrete grinding process but uses finer diamond tools. Diamond tools used in this process may differ in the shape and material composition. Polishing occurs when the floor becomes more refined and begins to shine. When learning how to polish concrete, it is important to watch for scratches left in the floor during these steps.
Stain protection is an option based on the customers' needs. Using Titus' proprietary brand of lithium silicate, polymer enhanced stain protection will provide a surface that is resistant to stains while allowing the concrete to breathe.
If stain protection is right for the customer's project, it will be burnished into the concrete at high temperatures using a diamond-impregnated pad. This makes the stain protection resistant to flaking or peeling and enhances the shine of the polished surface.


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In Pharaoh's Army: Memories of the Lost War is the second memoir by American writer Tobias Wolff, published on October 4, 1994.

The book chronicles the author's experiences as a US Army officer in the Vietnam War. Before beginning his year tour of duty proper in Vietnam, Wolff spent a year in Washington, D.C. learning the Vietnamese language; prior to that he had been trained as a paratrooper with Special Forces. Wolff was stationed with South Vietnamese Army soldiers near Mỹ Tho and he was present during the Communists' Tet Offensive. The memoir includes a recollection of that battle as well as vignettes of various personal experiences, both in and out of Vietnam.

The book picks up more or less where Wolff's first memoir, This Boy's Life, leaves off. It was a National Book Award finalist for non-fiction.

Reception
The New York Times noted limitations of Wolff's characteristic style, finding that it may be too limited for a war memoir, however precise and evocative his writing. The reviewer describes Wolff's writing about his year in Vietnam as "an elegant gallery of small sketches in which he is almost invariably the central figure..." but praises his conveying "for example, the altered sense of time and space that he and other American servicemen developed in Vietnam."

The Independent noted: "Even under fire, Wolff was self-consciously having an experience, giving himself something to write about one day. And quite a large part of what is only a small book is taken up with memories of the author's father, an ex-convict whose indisciplined life fostered in Wolff the desire for order."

Publishers Weekly noted that Wolff expressed "a sense of futility and growing disillusionment with the war" in his memoir. After being discharged, he was somewhat adrift, but the memoir extends through his four years of study of English literature at Oxford, a period when he committed to writing and "found himself".

Kirkus Reviews called it "an excellent volume" that "evenly weighs the many costs and few gains of coming of age in a war."

References

1994 non-fiction books
Books by Tobias Wolff
Alfred A. Knopf books
Vietnam War memoirs

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaWikipedia


Marion Jones is a former world champion track and field athlete. She won five medals at the 2000 Summer Olympics in Sydney, Australia but voluntarily returned all her Olympic medals and forfieted all her race results from September 2000 after admitting she lied to federal investigators about her use of a performance-enhancing drug.
After her release from prison, Marion sought to take her experiences and encourage others to learn from them. She is actively speaking to teens and other groups and spreading her "Take a Break" message through which she advices young people to stop, take a break, think and seek proper advice from people you trust and who have your best interests at heart before making critical decisions that will have a profound impact on their lives. In short, Marion encourages young and older people alike to stay on track and just do what's right.
Currently, Marion is living a dream deferred and is playing professional basketball as a Rookie for the WNBA team the Tulsa Shock in 2010. She and her husband and children make their home in Austin, Texas.


War crimes, crimes against humanity and genocide are being committed in Iraq and Syria. The speakers will discuss measures to hold perpetrators accountable, focussing on: crimes committed on behalf of governments, crimes committed against the Yazidis by ISIS, and prospects for prosecution in domestic courts.
The meeting will be followed by a short drinks reception at 19:00 and is accredited with 1.5 CPD points. Please click here to register interest.
This event, held in partnership with Chatham House, is in commemoration of John Jones QC.


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This article is more than 1 year old
Mario Vargas Llosa quits writers' body over Catalan remarks
Nobel laureate resigns after Pen International calls for release of jailed Catalan leaders
Vargas Llosa said Catalan Pen had portrayed Spain as a country that 'crushes freedom of expression and locks up dissident writers'. Photograph: Mariscal/EPA
Sam Jones in Madrid
@swajones
The Nobel prize-winning author Mario Vargas Llosa has resigned as emeritus president of Pen International after the writers' freedom of expression group called for the release of two jailed Catalan civil society leaders and claimed Catalans been persecuted "in a way not seen since the Franco dictatorship".
Jordi Cuixart, the president of Òmnium Cultural, and Jordi Sànchez, former president of the powerful grassroots group the Catalan National Assembly (ANC), have been in pre-trial detention since October 2017.
Both men have been charged with sedition and rebellion over their alleged roles in orchestrating pro-independence protests in September 2017, during which police officers were trapped inside a Barcelona building and their vehicles destroyed.
Jennifer Clement, the president of Pen International, described the charges as "clearly excessive" and said they ought to be dropped.
In a joint statement released on Monday, Pen International and the group's regional branch, Pen Català, said: "In light of our commitment to defending the right to freedom of expression, we call on the Spanish authorities to drop the charges against Sànchez and Cuixart and to release them immediately.
"Beyond having expressed their ideas peacefully, they have also ensured, from the organisations over which they preside, the free circulation of the ideas of writers in Catalonia."
The statement was also signed by the Irish writer Colm Tóibín, the Angolan writer José Eduardo Agualusa, and PEN chapters in countries including Mexico and Argentina.
The calls drew a furious response from Vargas Llosa, who was born in Peru but holds Spanish citizenship and has been an outspoken critic of the Catalan independence movement.
In a letter to Clement published in El País on Tuesday, the author said the joint statement had been "full of lies and slanders" against Spain's democratic government.
Vargas Llosa also described the October 2017 unilateral independence referendum – held unilaterally and in defiance of the Spanish government and constitution – as "an attempted coup" by pro-independence Catalans.
He added: "It's a shame that an organisation like Pen International, which possesses such clean credentials when it comes to defending human rights and freedom of expression, should buy into the fairytales of the Catalan Pen, which is a militant organ of the Catalan independence movement, which has been rolling out an international campaign to distort the truth and which, judging by your statement, has managed to catch out many Pen groups, among them some Latin American ones, by presenting Spain as a country that crushes freedom of expression and locks up critical and dissident writers."
Twelve former Catalan leaders are due to stand trial at Spain's supreme court over the coming weeks charged with rebellion, sedition and misuse of public funds relating to the failed referendum and subsequent unilateral declaration of independence.


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Q: C# error CS1061. get method name I wrote this code in visual studion on windows:
public static double timeTest(Func<List<int>, List<int>> method, int len)
{
    System.Console.Write(String.Format("Testing {0} for {1} elements...\n", method.Method.Name, len));
    /*snipped*/
}

And it works fine and produced output like:
Testing foo for 500 elements...

But then i tried to build this code on linux with dotnet-cli, it failed compilation with this error:
/home/puck/lab6/Program.cs(22,92): error CS1061: 'Func<List<int>, List<int>>'
does not contain a definition for 'Method' and no extension method 'Method'
accepting a first argument of type 'Func<List<int>, List<int>>'
could be found (are you missing a using directive or an assembly reference?)

So, what is the problem?
P.S: fixed my problem by replacing method.Method.Name with System.Reflection.RuntimeReflectionExtensions.GetMethodInfo(method).Name


With the year heading into its final two weeks, it's safe to call "Venom" one of the most divisive movies of 2018.
The Sony tentpole, starring Tom Hardy as one of Spider-Man's most iconic villains, is one of the worst reviewed movies of the year (it has a 29% on Rotten Tomatoes from nearly 300 reviews), and yet that hasn't stopped it from being a massive popular hit. "Venom" is the fifth highest-grossing film of 2018 at the global box office with a haul of $852 million, and the character's co-creator Todd McFarlane has an idea about the divide between critics and audiences.
McFarlane created the Venom character with writer David Michelinie in a 1988 issue of "The Amazing Spider-Man." While the comic book creator admitted he is biased when it comes to Venom, he said Hardy and director Ruben Fleischer properly brought his original vision for the antihero to the big screen.
"This thing delivered everything it was supposed to. It was gnarly, it was nasty, it has a big cool Venom, which was what I was looking for. [That] was my bias — I just wanted to see the visualness of Venom that I had created 30 years prior," he said.
McFarlane said "Venom" triumphed in comparison to the character's inclusion in Sam Raimi's "Spider-Man 3," where Eddie Brock/Venom was played by Topher Grace.
While "Venom" continues to make money overseas, the film is now available to purchase on digital HD and Blu-ray.


The Healthy Ladybug – Making a healthy income from home. Living a healthy and happy lifestlye. Here's how.
Here's a cute little video that is trending on Youtube.com today. Fun to see a different perspective. Eating healthy is really the most important thing, but when it tastes good thats really great too!!
Do you feel like you are always talking yourself out of success? As soon as you start to set goals for yourself, do you suddenly have nagging thoughts about how you aren't up to the task or how you simply aren't qualified to carry it through?
If you have ever experienced either situation, you need to change the way you respond to your inner dialogue. Instead of obeying your negative commands, you can use positive self-talk to counter the negativity and overcome nearly all anxious thoughts.
Are you initially filled with excitement when you first set goals for yourself? Are these thoughts then followed by self-doubt and self-defeating thoughts that stop you in your tracks before you even get started?
It can be difficult to make the most of your life when you are constantly talking yourself out of being a success. It can be frustrating and discouraging to have these thoughts constantly plaguing you. Many of us, in fact, don't even realize we have them! All we know is that we don't have the confidence to stick to our plans and reach our goals.
Positive self-talk is an effective way to set goals and ensure that you stick to them, even if you have never been able to do this before. The way this works is that you decide what goal is important to you, and then you plan the logistics of how you are going to attain this goal. When self-doubt starts kicking in, you will respond with affirmations that prove your success without surrendering to the negative pressure. Since you're reading this article, it's clear that you're no quitter and you're certainly not a failure, so start believing in yourself!
Affirmations are essentially positive statements that re-program your mind for the positive. The moment you have a self-defeating thought you'd be able to counter the negative with a motivating statement. An example of a positive affirmation is: "I am worthy of great success," or "I see myself in the winner's circle." What this does is replace negativity with thoughts that will help you move toward your goals instead of further away from them.
Positive self-talk is easier to implement than you might think. You may not be aware of the severity of the negative dialogue currently within your mind. However, once you begin with positive self-talk, you will suddenly realize that you are self-sabotaging the goals you set for yourself from the minute that you make them. This process can open your eyes to exactly how much this inner conversation has been interfering with your life. You'll feel hopeful that you can now set goals and surpass them.
Through positive self-talk you will be able easily set long and short-term goals for yourself. And when you use affirmations, you'll have accessible tools to help you push yourself further than ever before. Learning to quiet negativity with positive thoughts is a great move toward setting and attaining future goals with ease.
Have a fun weekend! Check out this video for great camping tips!
I LOVE this song and wanted to share it with you. The video is pretty cool too. Sometimes you just need to let go and listen. Great beat, good melody. Music is one of my passions!
Planting a Succulent Garden – Super cool!!
So ladies, have you seen some of those beautiful succulent gardens out there? If you go to Home Depot there are some very nicely done little gardens for you to take home. They cost anywhere from $25 on up. I don't know about you, but if I can make something for less than if I buy it, and I'll have fun making it, I'm going with my own creation.
Today I'm going to show you what you will need to create your own succulent garden or terrarium, where to get the supplies for the best price and how to put it all together. Ready? Let's go!!
First, there is almost no difference between a garden and a terrarium. Below I've included the definition of a terrarium from Wikipedia.
Terrariums are usually sealable glass containers that can be opened for maintenance and to access the plants inside. However, this is not essential; terrariums can also be madials, and some are open to the atmosphere rather than being sealed. Terrariums are often kept as decorative or ornamental items in the same way as aquariums.
So for the rest of this article I will just refer to our creation as our garden.
Now you'll want to decide what size garden you're wanting to create. This can be as small as an empty spice jar to as large as an outdoor planter. The choice is yours. For today we will start some where in the middle, around 10 to 12 inches in diameter or length and about 3 inches or so deep.
I had some old mixing bowls in the garage and I used one of those. You can find containers for this kind of a project at garage sales for pennies, or at the Goodwill for a couple of dollars and you can find really cool ones too!! Just look for a container that fits your style and will make a great new home for your plants.
Then you're going to want to gather up all of your other supplies, most of which you can find at Home Depot for a reasonable price. However, I found my activated charcoal at the pet store (it's the same kind of charcoal used in aquarium filters). You don't need much, so I bought a package of fish tank filter bags that had about 4 bags in the package and they are $4-$6 for the package depending on where you purchase them. So that was the best value for the activated charcoal that I found. I also bought my pea pebbles there, in a small 5lb bag, I think it was like $3 but that wasn't the best value I've found. I actually found a much larger bag for only $2 online at Home Depot, so check that out and call your local store to be sure they have it.
For the moss I accidentally came across it at a florists shop. The owner was glad to give me a fairly good sized bag of it for $2. I left there with about 2 sandwich bags full of pretty green moss and I was one happy camper!! You can find potting soil anywhere and get a large bag of it for $3 to $8 or so. So now all you need are the plants!
Succulents are beautiful and for the most part pretty hardy. You can find them on Etsy.com, I just did a search and more than 22,000 results came up. Beyond a shadow of a doubt Etsy is going to be the best place to find the best and largest variety. They have people from all over the world selling things on their site so the variety available there is beyond compare. You will have to order them online and have them shipped to you, but if you don't mind waiting that's a good option.
You can also find succulents at many of your local stores, again I got mine from Home Depot, but this is not a commercial for them, it's just where I found my supplies. I have seen small succulent plants for sale in small little pots for $3-$4. I collect a few here and there, and water them and enjoy them and then create my garden or terrarium when I'm inspired to. I will say that the variety of plants I purchased were all mostly just green. There are some very pretty varieties that are purple, yellow, orange all colors of the rainbow! You'll see that kind of awesome variety on the Etsy site and the different colors really do enrich the esthetic value of your creation.
If you have any painted rocks or beach glass or any pretty little baubles you'd like to decorate your garden with definitely incorporate them into your finished product, it gives your garden character and interest while giving it a nice finishing touch.
Here's a diagram I found at BedBath&Beyond.com, just to give you a quick visual reference.
It's time to assemble!! Layer about ½ and inch of the pebbles along the bottom of the container, then but a thin layer of the activated charcoal on top of that. Once those items are in place you can add about 2 inches or so of the potting soil. Next you'll put your succulent into their new home! Just pop them right out of their pots and position them where you'd like them to be in your container.
Now that your succulents are all arranged, add more potting soil around the plants, so that it comes up to the bottom of the plant and the plants are securely in place. I put a layer of pebbles on top of that, but you can use the moss if you prefer. Then add your embellishments and arrange everything so that it's all nice and neat and cleaned up. That's it! VwaLa! You have your very own quite lovely succulent garden.
Make sure to water it so that it's damp, not soaked and then be sure to water it once a week or so the same way, do not soak it. These are succulents, and they do well in a dryer climate. They do not like their roots to be wet all the time so don't over water them.
If you'd like to find more information on terrariums and succulents you can find all kinds of great stuff on Pinterest. In fact Pinterest is where I found the awesome selection of succulents that are available on Etsy.com.
Here's a pic of my succulent garden. I was very happy with the way it turned out. It's very personal to me, because my container is a bowl I got from my grandmother and the ladybug rock was made for me by my daughter. I hope you enjoyed this article and making your succulent garden. For more fun things to make you can sign up for your free newsletter at www.thehealthyladybug.com.


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The payments are not an FIA issue, but a Liberty one.In real life, people commonly wait for weeks or months to access talk therapy.26, Kraft Heinz, the National Hockey League and the National Hockey League Players' Association announced today.To find all players born within a certain month and year, for example all players born in December of 1985, choose the month and year with the drop down boxes and then choose the 'Month and Year Search' option.We look forward to helping their fans, who will be cheering them on from afar, fuel their own moments at home, said Levine.
UP NEXT Tigers RHP Spencer Turnbull will make his 30th start in the season finale on Sunday.As part of the deal, Panera Bread will deliver food to NBA 2K League hosts, broadcasters and players during live broadcasts.Lyles: The classic face-up power forward.Building on a strategy it used earlier this year to target millennials, Ford has tapped into popular Japanese anime characters from the two Japan-based series in new spots for the car company's Fusion and Focus.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 15.Miami Dolphins 6.�?The historic 14-page manuscript written by Baron Pierre de Coubertin in November 1892 laying out the original plans to revive the Olympic Games was donated Monday to The Olympic Museum in Lausanne, Switzerland, http://www.authenticnikejetstore.com/nathan-shepherd-jersey-for-sale-c-93.html by Alisher Usmanov, who is also president of the International Fencing Federation.Zucker, who serves as Hockey Is For Everyone ambassador for the Wild, scored 21 goals this season and pledged $1 for each one.That's one of my main strengths is how vocal I am.
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This entry was posted in Nathan Shepherd Jersey and tagged Elite Nathan Shepherd Jersey, Seth Joyner Authentic Jersey on March 19, 2020 by admin.


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Home › Business › UK and World
Construction firm SIG warns on profits amid weak UK building sector
The company issued a profit warning – its second since October
building materials business SIG has issued a profit warning. (Andrew Matthews / PA)
By Simon Neville, PA City Editor
The downturn in the UK construction sector was laid bare on Thursday as building materials specialist SIG issued its second profit warning since October.
https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/business/uk-world/construction-firm-sig-warns-on-profits-amid-weak-uk-building-sector-38848004.html
https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/business/uk-world/c8a07/38848002.ece/AUTOCROP/h342/bpanews_70073b21-ac23-4857-b4e5-8a726319db9e_1
Bosses at the FTSE 250 firm said underlying profits before tax for the year are now expected to be around £42 million, compared with analyst expectations of £68 million.
Following the announcement, shares plunged 24.5p, or 21%, to 94.7p by Thursday afternoon.
The company said: "The group has been reporting an ongoing deterioration during the year in the level of construction activity in key markets and key indicators continue to point to further weakening, principally in the UK.
"The group has also experienced some challenges in sustaining sales rates during a period of considerable and rapid organisational change. This deterioration in sales accelerated during December, with sales per working day in the month around a quarter lower than November."
It added that revenues for SIG's distribution business fell 26% in the second half of 2019, with its exteriors roofing business down 10.8% during the period.
In total, UK and Ireland operations at SIG were down 15.5% for the year, with sales rising in France, Poland and the Benelux countries, and falling in Germany.
The big fall in UK sales was partly due to the company shifting away from low-margin work.
An agreed sale of the Air Handling and Building Solutions businesses will generate around £204 million and result in a net cash position by the end of June, the company added.
The construction sector has been one of the hardest hit in the UK economy in the past year, as the political and economic uncertainty from Brexit led to a contraction, according to analysts.
Earlier this month, the closely followed Markit/CIPS UK construction purchasing managers' index (PMI) reported its eighth consecutive month of decline in the sector.
The reading for December was 44.4 for the month – anything below 50 is seen as a contraction – reflecting a slump from 45.3 in November.
The report highlighted a "sharp reduction" in construction output for December, which saw the sharpest decline in civil engineering activity for more than a decade.
By August Graham, PA City Reporter PayPoint warned that its pre-tax profit would miss expectations in the financial year after an unusually warm Christmas period ate into its bottom line.
By Shawn Pogatchnik Dublin has the fastest-growing major airport in Western Europe, according to new analysis for airport operator DAA.
By August Graham, PA City Reporter Asos revenues broke through £1 billion in the last four months of the decade as the online fashion retailer was lifted by a record Black Friday.
By Simon Neville, PA City Editor Hotel Chocolat has revealed a boost in sales over Christmas, although bosses warned that the growth came at a higher-than-expected price.
Workplace dispute protocols in Northern Ireland set to change next week Northern Ireland
Closure of Crane Stockham in east Belfast 'a body blow' Northern Ireland


So I've been doing a lot more streaming, at least three times a week and as such, I've got a spiffy new layout, done by Kessel_Runs!
I've got awesome new BRB, Offline, lobby, and shiny buttons! Since I've sunk some time and money into doing more Twitch stuff, I wanted to have an informal survey of sorts. I've embedded it below, or you can go here and take the survey.


Richard Gregg Maxon - Hill & Ponton, P.A.
Richard (Gregg) Maxon is Of Counsel to Hill & Ponton.
Brigadier General Richard Gregg Maxon retired on July 1, 2008; culminating military and state service careers as the Director of the Arizona Department of Veterans' Services. Appointed by Governor Janet Napolitano, he assumed duties as the Director on March 28, 2007.
Gregg enlisted in the Army in May 1972 serving as a linguist for the Army Security Agency, serving in Thailand and Fort Hood, Texas. Separating from active duty in July 1975, he attended Arizona State University where he earned Bachelor of Science, Master of Business Administration, and Juris Doctor degrees.
In October 1980, Gregg re-entered active duty as a Judge Advocate with the U.S. Navy. He joined the Arizona Army National Guard as a Judge Advocate in August 1984. In June, 1999, he was appointed as the Assistant Adjutant General and promoted to Brigadier General on December 12, 2000. Gregg retired from military service on July 9, 2007.
Gregg is accredited to practice before the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs and is admitted to practice before the U. S. Court of Appeals for Veterans Claims. He serves as a Judge on the Arizona Court of Military Appeals and was recently appointed as a Judge Pro Tem in the Tempe and Mesa Municipal Courts where he presides over the Veterans Treatment Court. Gregg is a 2011 inductee into the Arizona Veteran's Hall Of Fame.
Gregg is a member of the National Organization of Veterans Advocates, American Legion, Veterans of Foreign Wars, Vietnam Veterans of America, Disabled American Veterans, Military Officers Association of America, National Guard Association of the United States, Reserve Officers Association and the Southeast Asia Army Security Agency Association.
He is married to the former Janine Elizabeth Lucas. They have two sons, Major Bradley Maxon, US Air Force and Sergeant Jeffrey Maxon, Kansas Air National Guard.


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Grateful Dead - Portland memorial - Portland - 6 LP Limited Edition Set
Limited six vinyl LP pressing. Live archive release. The Pacific Northwest offers up a rich feast of land, sky, and water. It is ripe with influences, abundant with symbols, deep and spirited. It should, therefore, come as no surprise that The Grateful Dead played some of their most inspired shows on these fertile grounds. Dip your toe in the transformative waters with Pacific Northwest '73-'74: Believe It If You Need It, a compilation that highlights performances from the complete boxed set. The Grateful Dead was inducted into the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame in 1994. They have sold more than 35 million albums worldwide.
U2 - We Will Follow - The Legendary Broadcasts - 4 CD Set
Disk: 1
1. Missisippi Half-Step Uptown Toodeloo (Live at Portland Memorial Coliseum, Portland, OR 5/19/74)
2. Mexicali Blues (Live at Portland Memorial Coliseum, Portland, OR 5/19/74)
3. Big Railroad Blues (Live at Portland Memorial Coliseum, Portland, OR 5/19/74)
4. Black Throated Wind (Live at Portland Memorial Coliseum, Portland, OR 5/19/74)
5. Scarlet Begonias (Live at Portland Memorial Coliseum, Portland, OR 5/19/74)
6. Beat It On Down The Line (Live at Portland Memorial Coliseum, Portland, OR 5/19/74)
7. Tennessee Jed (Live at Portland Memorial Coliseum, Portland, OR 5/19/74)
8. Me And Bobby Mcgee (Live at Portland Memorial Coliseum, Portland, OR 5/19/74)
1. Sugaree (Live at Portland Memorial Coliseum, Portland, OR 5/19/74)
2. Jack Straw (Live at Portland Memorial Coliseum, Portland, OR 5/19/74)
3. It Must Have Been The Roses (Live at Portland Memorial Coliseum, Portland, OR 5/19/74)
4. El Paso (Live at Portland Memorial Coliseum, Portland, OR 5/19/74)
5. Loose Lucy (Live at Portland Memorial Coliseum, Portland, OR 5/19/74)
6. Money Money (Live at Portland Memorial Coliseum, Portland, OR 5/19/74)
1. China Cat Sunflower (Live at Portland Memorial Coliseum, Portland, OR 5/19/74)
2. I Know You Rider (Live at Portland Memorial Coliseum, Portland, OR 5/19/74)
3. Promised Land (Live at Portland Memorial Coliseum, Portland, OR 5/19/74)
4. Bertha (Live at Portland Memorial Coliseum, Portland, OR 5/19/74)
5. Greatest Story Ever Told (Live at Portland Memorial Coliseum, Portland, OR 5/19/74)
6. Ship Of Fools (Live at Portland Memorial Coliseum, Portland, OR 5/19/74)
1. Weather Report Suite (Live at Portland Memorial Coliseum, Portland, OR 5/19/74)
2. Wharf Rat (Live at Portland Memorial Coliseum, Portland, OR 5/19/74)
3. Big River (Live at Portland Memorial Coliseum, Portland, OR 5/19/74)
1. Peggy-O (Live at Portland Memorial Coliseum, Portland, OR 5/19/74)
2. Truckin' (Live at Portland Memorial Coliseum, Portland, OR 5/19/74)
3. Jam (Live at Portland Memorial Coliseum, Portland, OR 5/19/74)
1. Not Fade Away (Live at Portland Memorial Coliseum, Portland, OR 5/19/74)
2. Goin' Down The Road Feeling Bad (Live at Portland Memorial Coliseum, Portland, OR 5/19/74)
3. One More Saturday Night (Live at Portland Memorial Coliseum, Portland, OR 5/19/74)
4. U.S. Blues (Live at Portland Memorial Coliseum, Portland, OR 5/19/74)
"I don't write many reviews, but this warrants one. This vinyl release is utterly amazing. So full sounding. Have heard a lot of wall-of-sound shows and this is the best I can recall. Not all the way through the final lp, but, between the mix, the setlist, the energy of the show, the GREAT vocals, and of course Jerry's solos, I am glad I snagged this. It's like this cross between the best of the 72 shows and the vibe of 77. Thank you to whomever for the mix and the release. Please keep em comin!!
- Ponde
Very happy with this release. Always feeling frustrated having to stream shows from websites like Archive or YouTube and catching only a glimpse of what they should sound like. Finally I feel a bit closer to the music and what a great choice of show!
Bon Jovi - 10 CD Set


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Home Companies Apple Apple's Video Streaming Service: From Just $500 Million to $4.4 Billion by...
Apple's Video Streaming Service: From Just $500 Million to $4.4 Billion by 2025
Neeraj M
The era of going to the theatres are long gone. We live in a time when everything is available on demand, at your fingertips. Reed Hastings, CEO – Netflix, certainly thought ahead of the tech curve before giving the world its first on-demand video streaming site. The astounding growth of the company in the last few years has attracted many eyeballs, and now the other big players are trying to invest their money in the same space. Reputed multinational investment bank Morgan Stanley has predicted that the world's most valuable tech company Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) is going to make around $4.4 billion in revenue through its video streaming site by the end of 2025. It's going to be a remarkable growth for Apple considering the company's video streaming service is expected to garner just $500 million in 2019.
Apple Video Streaming Service: The Game Plan
Morgan Stanley cited the reason behind this prediction of profit to be the fact that Apple houses the world's most "valuable" technological platform, catering to over 1.3 billion active devices. This gives it a better head-start among its competitors with respect to them starting to provide new services. And this aspect of profitability is not just true for the on-demand video streaming domain. It also gives them a good foothold if they want to venture into other domains like Augmented Reality, autos, health and home.
Apple is rumoured to launch Netflix competitor sooner than expected. In fact, we won't be surprised to see Apple announcing the launch of its video streaming service on 12th September, alongside the launch of 2018 iPhones. Apple has started hiring a number of executives from the TV industry and already working on a number of TV shows.
The worldwide video streaming market is estimated to be $19.57 billion in 2018. Between 2018 and 2022, the market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 5.1% to $23.88 billion. It's also expected that by the end of 2022, one in every 10 people will be using video streaming service worldwide.
Others Too Want A Sizeable Chunk of The Pie
Apple is not the only one trying to explore the on-demand video streaming domain after the success of Netflix. If anything, Apple is the company which has come late to the party. There have been loads of attempts at trying to replicate Netflix's success, but no one has been able to replicate it to that extent. Some of the most popular ones include Hulu, Sling TV, Amazon Prime Video, etc. Even HBO has started offering its services for its customer base which is moving on from the traditional cable subscription. Its streaming platform, HBO Now, fulfils this requirement.
What Is Apple Up To
This has been a very good year for Apple. Last month, it became the first publicly traded company to achieve a market cap of $1 trillion. In addition to that, the iPhone launch event on the 12th of September is predicted to be a huge success. Apple is now trying to foray into space which is already being explored by other big competitors like Amazon. Funnily enough, all three companies in question, Apple, Amazon and Netflix, make the cut for the best performing tech stocks, along with Google and Facebook. This has earned them an acronym, called FAANG. Whether more companies are added to this remains to be seen.
Netflix to Launch Cheaper Mobile-Only Subscription Plan In India: A Bid to Strengthen Its Presence!
Number of Netflix International Streaming Subscribers
Netflix Annual Revenue Worldwide – From 2002 to 2018
Number of Netflix US Streaming Subscribers
Netflix International Streaming Revenue, by Quarter
Netflix Revenue from the US, by Quarter


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RAY BENNETT | movies • stage • TV • music
About Ray Bennett
← BAFTA to keep theatrical eligibility and add casting prize
'The Go-Between' and 'The Criminal' restored for Blu-ray →
Restored classic western 'High Noon' in UK debut on Blu-ray
By Ray Bennett
LONDON – Fred Zinnemann's Oscar-winning 1952 western 'High Noon' will be released for the first time on Blu-ray Disc in the United Kingdom on Sept. 16 by Eureka Entertainment.
The 4K restoration is part of the distributor's Masters of Cinema series with 3,000 copies featuring a 100-page book about the film and a hardbound slipcase. Regarded as a classic, 'High Noon' won four Academy Awards including best actor for Gary Cooper, best film editing for Elmo Williams and Harry Gerstad, best music for composer Dimitri Tiomkin, and best song for 'High Noon (Do Not Forsake Me, Oh my Darlin')' by Tiomkin and Ned Washington. The film was nominated as best picture with nominations for Zinnemann as best director and Carl Foreman for best screenplay.
Writer Foreman, who was blacklisted in the Hollywood 'red scare', said he viewed the story of a brave lawman who finds himself alone protecting a town against invading outlaws, as an allegory about the 1950s communist witchhunt led by US Senator Joseph McCarthy. Zinnemann said he saw it as the story of individual heroism that just happened to be set in the Old West. Despite the setting, it is much more than a western; a marvellously gripping tale with great staging and fine performances.
Gregory Peck told me that he turned down the lead role of Marshal Will Kane because he had recently had a box office hit with the western 'The Gunfighter' and did not want to repeat himself. Peck said, "I should have done it. I'm not saying I would have been as good as Coop but it was such a great role."
The film also is notable for a splendid cast that includes Grace Kelly, Thomas Mitchell, Lloyd Bridges, Katy Jurado, Lon Chaney Jr., Harry Morgan, Sheb Wooley and Lee Van Cleef. Cinematographer Floyd Crosby, who won an Oscar for F.W. Murnau's 1931 film 'Tabu: A Story of the South Seas', shot the film in glorious black-and-white and the release screens in the original 1.37:1 aspect ratio. Production design is by Rudolph Sternad (Oscar-nominated for 'The Talk of the Town' [1942], 'A Thoursand and One Nights' [1946] and 'Judgment at Nuremberg' [1962].
The limited edition book in the Eureka release includes many stills and onset photos, stories about the filmmakers, the original story on which the film was based, 'The Tin Star' by John W. Cunningham, viewing notes and full production credits.
This entry was posted in Film, News and tagged 'High Noon', Dmitri Tiomkin, Eureka Entertainment, Fred Zinnemann, Gary Cooper, Grace Kelly, Masters of Cinema. Bookmark the permalink.
Krakow Film Music Festival
Locarno International Film Festival
Recalling …
TIFF Toronto International Film Festival
Play it, Sam
Bill Brioux's TV Feeds My Family
Cue Entertainment
Ron Base's 'Sanibel Sunset Detective'
Ron Base's blog


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Tag: Lionsgate
John Wick Hex: an action-strategy game announced for Consoles, Windows PC and Mac
May 9, 2019 May 9, 2019 Inside Indie
Publisher Good Shepherd Entertainment, in partnership with global content leader Lionsgate, has announced John Wick Hex, the upcoming video game from acclaimed Game Director, Mike Bithell (Volume, Thomas Was Alone, Subsurface Circular). John Wick Hex is a fast-paced, action-oriented strategy game that makes you think and strike like the professional hitman of Lionsgate's critically acclaimed film franchise, returning to theaters worldwide on May 17, 2019, with John Wick: Chapter 3 — Parabellum. The game is in development for consoles and will be available for Windows PC and Mac exclusively via…
Consoles, PCCosmocover, Good Shepherd Entertainment, John Wick Hex, Lionsgate


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Purchase - $5.00 NBER Subscribers Download
Valuing the Global Mortality Consequences of Climate Change Accounting for Adaptation Costs and Benefits
NBER Working Paper No. w27599
56 Pages Posted: 4 Aug 2020 Last revised: 29 Nov 2021
See all articles by Tamma Carleton
Tamma Carleton
Amir Jina
Harris Public Policy, University of Chicago ; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
Michael Delgado
Rhodium Group
Michael Greenstone
University of Chicago - Department of Economics; Becker Friedman Institute for Economics; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
Trevor Houser
Solomon Hsiang
University of California, Berkeley; National Bureau of Economic Research
Andrew Hultgren
University of California, Berkeley - Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics
Robert E. Kopp
Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey - New Brunswick/Piscataway
Kelly McCusker
Ishan Nath
University of Chicago - Department of Economics
London School of Economics & Political Science (LSE) - Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment
Ashwin Rode
Hee Kwon Seo
University of Chicago, Booth School of Business
Arvid Viaene
Analysis Group, Inc.; University of Chicago - Department of Economics
Jiacan Yuan
Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey - Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences
Alice Tianbo Zhang
Washington and Lee University - Williams School of Commerce, Economics, and Politics
There are 3 versions of this paper
University of Chicago, Becker Friedman Institute for Economics Working Paper No. 2018-51
Number of pages: 158 Posted: 01 Aug 2018 Last Revised: 16 Aug 2021
Number of pages: 56 Posted: 04 Aug 2020 Last Revised: 29 Nov 2021
You are currently viewing this paper
Number of pages: 162 Posted: 18 Aug 2020 Last Revised: 22 Sep 2021
Date Written: July 2020
Using 40 countries' subnational data, we estimate age-specific mortality-temperature relationships and extrapolate them to countries without data today and into a future with climate change. We uncover a U-shaped relationship where extreme cold and hot temperatures increase mortality rates, especially for the elderly. Critically, this relationship is flattened by both higher incomes and adaptation to local climate. Using a revealed preference approach to recover unobserved adaptation costs, we estimate that the mean global increase in mortality risk due to climate change, accounting for adaptation benefits and costs, is valued at roughly 3.2% of global GDP in 2100 under a high emissions scenario. Notably, today's cold locations are projected to benefit, while today's poor and hot locations have large projected damages. Finally, our central estimates indicate that the release of an additional ton of CO2 today will cause mortality-related damages of $36.6 under a high emissions scenario and using a 2% discount rate, with an interquartile range accounting for both econometric and climate uncertainty of [-$7.8, $73.0]. Under a moderate emissions scenario, these damages are valued at $17.1 [-$24.7, $53.6]. These empirically grounded estimates exceed the previous literature's estimates by an order of magnitude.
Institutional subscribers to the NBER working paper series, and residents of developing countries may download this paper without additional charge at www.nber.org.
Carleton, Tamma and Jina, Amir and Delgado, Michael and Greenstone, Michael and Houser, Trevor and Hsiang, Solomon and Hultgren, Andrew and Kopp, Robert E. and McCusker, Kelly and Nath, Ishan and Rising, James and Rode, Ashwin and Seo, Hee Kwon and Viaene, Arvid and Yuan, Jiacan and Zhang, Alice Tianbo, Valuing the Global Mortality Consequences of Climate Change Accounting for Adaptation Costs and Benefits (July 2020). NBER Working Paper No. w27599, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3665869
Tamma Carleton (Contact Author)
University of Chicago ( email )
7737026763 (Phone)
Harris Public Policy, University of Chicago ( email )
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) ( email )
1050 Massachusetts Avenue
Rhodium Group ( email )
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Becker Friedman Institute for Economics ( email )
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
University of California, Berkeley ( email )
2607 Hearst Avenue
HOME PAGE: http://gspp.berkeley.edu/directories/faculty/solomon-hsiang
National Bureau of Economic Research ( email )
University of California, Berkeley - Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics ( email )
310 Barrows Hall
Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey - New Brunswick/Piscataway ( email )
HOME PAGE: http://www.bobkopp.net/
University of Chicago - Department of Economics ( email )
London School of Economics & Political Science (LSE) - Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment ( email )
London, WC2A 2AE
HOME PAGE: http://existencia.org/pro
University of Chicago, Booth School of Business ( email )
Analysis Group, Inc. ( email )
Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey - Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences ( email )
Wright-Rieman Laboratories
Busch Campus, 610 Taylor Rd.
Washington and Lee University - Williams School of Commerce, Economics, and Politics ( email )
HOME PAGE: http://https://www.alicetianbozhang.com/