text:
Two young Japanese entrepreneurs discuss their recent buyouts
B Dash Camp Osaka 2013
Cyta.jp
Mediba
Nobuhiro Ariyasu
Stores.jp
See the original story in Japanese. This is a part of our coverage of B Dash Camp Osaka 2013. Two Japanese startups that have experienced an strong growth in the last several months are Coach United, the startup behind private lesson portal Cyta.jp, and Bracket, which operates instant e-commerce platform STORES.jp. On day two of B Dash Camp Osaka last week, we had a chance to hear from Coach United CEO Nobuhiro Ariyasu and Bracket CEO Yusuke Mitsumoto. Also on the panel were Rakuten executive officer Takeshi Homma, and KDDI general manager Shigeki Matsuno. This year Ariyasu sold his startup to Japanese recipe site Cookpad, and Mitsumoto sold his startup to leading Japanese fashion commerce company Start Today. Moderator Hiroyuki Watanabe started the sessions with asking about their recent exits. When did you start preparing for buyouts? Ariyasu explained: When we launched our company back in 2007, I had no idea about funding or M&As. We couldn't help but enjoy developing our product at that time. Two or three years later, we finally could make our business profitable, and had a chance to receive offers from some people [1]. The company kept using bank loans but were exploring funding opportunities…
Bracket CEO Yusuke Mitsumoto and Coach United CEO Nobuhiro Ariyasu
See the original story in Japanese.
This is a part of our coverage of B Dash Camp Osaka 2013.
Two Japanese startups that have experienced an strong growth in the last several months are Coach United, the startup behind private lesson portal Cyta.jp, and Bracket, which operates instant e-commerce platform STORES.jp. On day two of B Dash Camp Osaka last week, we had a chance to hear from Coach United CEO Nobuhiro Ariyasu and Bracket CEO Yusuke Mitsumoto. Also on the panel were Rakuten executive officer Takeshi Homma, and KDDI general manager Shigeki Matsuno.
This year Ariyasu sold his startup to Japanese recipe site Cookpad, and Mitsumoto sold his startup to leading Japanese fashion commerce company Start Today. Moderator Hiroyuki Watanabe started the sessions with asking about their recent exits.
When did you start preparing for buyouts?
Ariyasu explained:
When we launched our company back in 2007, I had no idea about funding or M&As. We couldn't help but enjoy developing our product at that time. Two or three years later, we finally could make our business profitable, and had a chance to receive offers from some people [1].
The company kept using bank loans but were exploring funding opportunities for the next stretch.
Bracket is not an old company but has been running a number of businesses for about five years. In contrast to his past businesses, Mitsumoto was aggressively exploring funding opportunities to boost their e-commerce platform. He attributes this to the many competitors in that space [2].
What's the most impressed in the entire session was the following interaction between the pair.
Ariyasu asked Mitsumoto,
If Base (Bracket's main competitor) wasn't around, would you still sell your startup to Startup Today?
Mitsumoto answered, saying:
Without them, we probably might have not achieved the revenue we have.
Why not aim for an IPO?
Since these two startups were rapidly growing but self-funded, their founders could probably consider IPOs as possible options. But they emphasized a good match with the companies that acquired them.
Ariyasu explains:
I'm not really a person who drives after an IPO. It's all up to you to determine whether an IPO and an M&A is a better choice for you. … I actually got an offer from Murakami (Livesense CEO) but I think it was not so aggressive. I'm close with him, and we have been fishing together. The reason why we partnered with Cookpad was I thought the both companies have something common in their corporate culture.
In a explanation about how Bracket's Mitsumoto decided to sell his startup, he unveiled it was finally decided over the phone with Start Today's CEO Yusaku Maezawa, which surprised the audience.
Bracket CEO Yusuke Mitsumoto
The decision was surprisingly smooth. I've been in touch with Maezawa for almost three years since he sent us an inquiry via our website. … I've handled four different businesses in the past, and I finally managed to find success in my fifth. The recent announcement that Yahoo Japan made of making its e-commerce platform free this year will be a big turning point in the Japanese e-commerce industry, where more players will make more bold decisions to defeat competitors.
Buyer's perspective, seller's perspective
KDDI's Matsuno was involved in Mediba's [3] acquisitions of startups such as Nobot and Scaleout. In a response to moderator Watanabe's question about criteria around M&As, he says:
You probably need the perspectives of both a buyer and a seller. When your company is acquired by 100%, you will totally lose your ownership. In an extreme case, you might lose your position as the CEO. When you think of a company that you could sell your business to, you will need to build a good relationship of mutual trust (not to be asked to step down).
Rakuten's Homma concluded the session with saying that:
Both for a seller and a buyer, the more experience you have, the better you can understand how you should proceed.
We previously featured Ariyasu and Cyta in this article.↩
Our readers may recall that we visited the Bracket office just last month, and had a chance to speak more with Mitsumoto about Stores.jp.)↩
Mediba is a mobile advertising-focused subsidiary of KDDI.↩
CyberAgent CEO Susumu Fujita chats with Japanese entrepreneurs about their journey
Japanese founders discuss the difficulties of sustaining a startup
Tokyo Office Tour: Bracket, Before and After Acquisition
Tokyo Office Tour
Yusuke Mitsumoto
Read this article in Japanese In Japan, we have seen a lot of hype around the e-commerce sector, and one of the startups getting a lot of attention is Stores.jp. Launched almost a year ago, the service recently made headlines when it was acquired by Start Today, the company behind the mega fashion e-commerce Zozotown. We visited the very cool Shibuya office of Bracket, the company behind Stores.jp, and talked to the CEO, Yusuke Mitsumoto, about their journey to this point, and where they go from here. The Bridge: Why did you choose Shibuya as the location to set up the Bracket office? Yusuke: I graduated from Aoyama Gakuin University which is located in Shibuya, so I'm very familiar and comfortable here. I really can't think of any other place. We moved here about three weeks ago, but it's only a five-minute walk from our previous office. We only had five people before, but the team has grown to be more than 20. The Bridge: How did you end up starting your own company? Yusuke: I use to work for a foreign advertising agency. The ad industry was so much fun, in fact too fun that I even felt a…
Read this article in Japanese
In Japan, we have seen a lot of hype around the e-commerce sector, and one of the startups getting a lot of attention is Stores.jp. Launched almost a year ago, the service recently made headlines when it was acquired by Start Today, the company behind the mega fashion e-commerce Zozotown. We visited the very cool Shibuya office of Bracket, the company behind Stores.jp, and talked to the CEO, Yusuke Mitsumoto, about their journey to this point, and where they go from here.
The Bridge: Why did you choose Shibuya as the location to set up the Bracket office?
Yusuke: I graduated from Aoyama Gakuin University which is located in Shibuya, so I'm very familiar and comfortable here. I really can't think of any other place. We moved here about three weeks ago, but it's only a five-minute walk from our previous office. We only had five people before, but the team has grown to be more than 20.
The Bridge: How did you end up starting your own company?
Yusuke: I use to work for a foreign advertising agency. The ad industry was so much fun, in fact too fun that I even felt a little scared. In Japan, the job of an ad agency is to sell media space sort of similar to a realtor, but outside Japan, you are more of a partner where you charge your fee by the hour. It was interesting to be able to work for different companies in various industries, from airlines to car manufacturers to even mineral water. But at the end of the day, the final decisions are always made by the client. I wanted to drive my own business and that's why I started my own company.
The Bridge: Can you tell us about Bracket and its current business?
Yusuke: I founded Bracket as an internet business company back in October of 2008. Five years have since passed and it feels like the blink of an eye. The first service we released was CaFoRe, a C2C car-sharing service, and we now operate five web services in total. The others are Shoes of Prey, Privaterobe, Stores.jp, and ModelTown.
The Bridge: How did you end up making those five products?
Yusuke: The first two years we focused on CaFoRe, and in the third year we released everything except Stores.jp. We launched Stores.jp almost a year ago. We've been bootstrapped all this time, so we had to produce more sources of income and each product made contributions to our revenue.
The Bridge: In terms of revenue, which is the biggest contributor?
Yusuke: It's more like a little from all products, but Shoes of Prey had more impact than we had expected. E-commerce is a simple business: you sell, you get cash. C2C services on the other hand requires a lot of time to grow. Currently, we have about 30,000 registered users on Shoes of Prey.
The Bridge: So would you say that you've been the only captain on the boat until now?
Yusuke: Yes, I've been the only executive until now. However, one of the team members Aya Tukahara, joined me on the board this year. All of the business decisions have been made by me. There are a few entrepreneurs outside the company that I can talk to, but many people choose to get funded or they already have enough funds at hand, so it's hard to find someone in the same shoes as me.
The Bridge: Tell me a little about your current team.
Yusuke: There are roughly 20 members on our team including part-timers. Of those, about half are designers and engineers, and a quarter consists of managers and business development. The rest belong to customer support. There are no divisions within these teams, designers work on designs for all five products. But this year, we've pretty much focused on Stores.jp and Shoes of Prey.
The Bridge: How do you recruit people?
Yusuke: That's the hardest part, but many are through introductions. We do put out recruiting ads but it's been difficult to find qualified people. We don't want to rush to hire people, because it just means more work when it doesn't work out. Recruiting takes patience.
The Bridge: Can you tell us the current status of Stores.jp?
Yusuke: Since its launch almost a year ago, we have about 50,000 stores on the platform. About half of those are individuals, and the other half are small businesses with physical stores. Many stores owned by individuals sell design products like t-shirts and handmade items.
The Bridge: Your direct competitor is BASE. Why do your users chose Stores.jp over them?
Yusuke: We make many opportunities to speak directly with our users, and many chose us for our design and usability. They feel that the Stores.jp brand is cool. I think our simple domain Stores.jp helps with that branding.
The Bridge: What do you have planned for Stores.jp in the future?
Yusuke: We're trying to enhance the ability to sell. At the end of July we released a feature called Promotional Switch. By turning this switch on, items within your store are promoted via partner e-commerce and media sites. We want to increase the number these partners to boost Stores.jp selling power.
The Bridge: Can people sell their items abroad?
Yusuke: Yes, there is a feature to translate stores into English. Not many stores use this feature, but we want this total to increase.
The Bridge: What's your next big goal?
Yusuke: By the end of the year, we want to double the number of stores on Stores.jp.
Working with Start Today
The Bridge: Has anything changed since you joined Start Today, the company behind Zozotown?
Yusuke: Not really. Generally, when a company is acquired by another, you start your job the next day at the new office, you're given new business cards, and even a new team. But for us, nothing has changed. The decision to move to our current office was decided before we began talking to Start Today, and I'm still the CEO with the same team working together. But by partnering up with Start Today, we now have access to the many powerful resources that they own.
The Bridge: We heard that the acquisitions talks only took two phone calls.
Yusuke: That's correct. I have known Mr. Maezawa, the CEO of Start Today, for a few years. Before we launched Stores.jp or Shoes of Prey, he somehow found us and contacted us through our website. Ever since then, I've occasionally had dinner with him. Bracket had always been bootstrapped, so it was a big decision and a scary one to get funding from outside. But it was time, and we were looking for two hundred million yen.
The Bridge: So you were already in talks with potential investors.
Yusuke: Yes. At first we were talking about a business alliance with Start Today because Zozotown and Stores.jp had the potential to work together to boost each other's service. But if we're doing business together, I suggested it might be best for them to invest in us so that we can really work together.
The Bridge: How do you plan to work with them?
Yusuke: This is unintentional, but almost 70% of store owners on Stores.jp are in the apparel sector. There is obviously a huge demand in the apparel industry, and to cultivate this opportunity, it is crucial that we work with Zozotown which has a big influence in that industry.
The Bridge: How many users does Zozotown have?
Yusuke: They have over five million users, and we can certainly leverage these members, maybe providing stores to these people. They also have an impressive inventory, so its possible for us to provide these services to stores owners on Stores.jp. There are so many possibilities and opportunities that come from us working together, and we want to do that to boost the power of Stores.jp by every possible way.
Check out the video below where Yusuke gives us an intro to Bracket as well as some photos from their new office.
Yusuke Mitsumoto, the CEO of Bracket
Japanese fashion commerce giant Zozotown acquires DIY shop startup Stores.jp
Tokyo Office Tour: A look at Monoco's new showroom
Tokyo Office Tour: Panoplaza has a 360-degree view of the world
Japanese shop builder Stores.jp partners with Panoplaza for 360-degree e-commerce
Kadinche
panoplaza
Rick Martin 2013.07.11
We have previously written about Panoplaza, a slick photography solution that can be used to create virtual online stores using panoramic photos of real stores. The company's founder Soko Aoki tells us today that it has now partnered with up-and-coming Tokyo-based, e-commerce startup Stores.jp, a service that lets anyone easily create their own online shop. As of this past April, Stores.jp hosted over 30,000 online stores. It already offers professional photography services for items users wish to sell. So for any small retailers who already have an offline presence, the capability to bring that online with this new Panoplaza's unique 360-degree store view is a very attractive offering. Stores.jp users can now apply for the service, which costs 25,000 yen, or about $250. The idea, of course, being that once viewers see the store online, that it would induce them to visit the store in person. In Japan, we're seeing a number of intriguing e-commerce startups providing alternatives to the perennial market leader Rakuten, which still has an abundance of painfully ugly online store fronts harkening back to the days of GeoCities and Altavista. Stores' competitor Base recently launched a new iOS app that allows users to build their store…
We have previously written about Panoplaza, a slick photography solution that can be used to create virtual online stores using panoramic photos of real stores. The company's founder Soko Aoki tells us today that it has now partnered with up-and-coming Tokyo-based, e-commerce startup Stores.jp, a service that lets anyone easily create their own online shop.
As of this past April, Stores.jp hosted over 30,000 online stores. It already offers professional photography services for items users wish to sell. So for any small retailers who already have an offline presence, the capability to bring that online with this new Panoplaza's unique 360-degree store view is a very attractive offering.
Stores.jp users can now apply for the service, which costs 25,000 yen, or about $250. The idea, of course, being that once viewers see the store online, that it would induce them to visit the store in person.
In Japan, we're seeing a number of intriguing e-commerce startups providing alternatives to the perennial market leader Rakuten, which still has an abundance of painfully ugly online store fronts harkening back to the days of GeoCities and Altavista.
Stores' competitor Base recently launched a new iOS app that allows users to build their store completely on their mobile. Base is a hot startup in the Japanese space these days, and when I asked Soko about them he says that he would welcome a conversation with them as well, but notes that he hasn't spoken with the company yet.
Japan's Stores.jp partners with major e-commerce portals to help merchants find traffic
How Stores.jp is helping small businesses in Japan come online
While it is unlikely that we'll see an ecommerce competitor as huge as Rakuten in the near future, there is still much room to grow in the online commerce sector, especially for small businesses. According to research by Japanese Ministry of Economy, the portion of of the country's retail industry who are online is only 2.8%. That means that 97.2% of all retail businesses in Japan limit themselves to selling things offline. Of this 97.2%, the overwhelming majority are very small business run by only a few people with presumably limited internet skills. Stores.jp is aimed at these small businesses, allowing them to create online stores in a matter of minutes. It's the equivalent of services like Yokaboo or Flying Cart. The company behind Stores.jp, Bracket, also runs other services such as Shoes of Prey, an online custom shoes service (headquartered in Australia), and a C2C car sharing site called Cafore. Shoes of Prey promises satisfaction guaranteed, allowing users to return their custom designed shoes if they are not 100% happy with them. To sell off these returned shoes, the company tried using services like Stores.jp, but found them too confusing to use with too many features. So they decided…
While it is unlikely that we'll see an ecommerce competitor as huge as Rakuten in the near future, there is still much room to grow in the online commerce sector, especially for small businesses. According to research by Japanese Ministry of Economy, the portion of of the country's retail industry who are online is only 2.8%. That means that 97.2% of all retail businesses in Japan limit themselves to selling things offline. Of this 97.2%, the overwhelming majority are very small business run by only a few people with presumably limited internet skills.
Stores.jp is aimed at these small businesses, allowing them to create online stores in a matter of minutes. It's the equivalent of services like Yokaboo or Flying Cart. The company behind Stores.jp, Bracket, also runs other services such as Shoes of Prey, an online custom shoes service (headquartered in Australia), and a C2C car sharing site called Cafore. Shoes of Prey promises satisfaction guaranteed, allowing users to return their custom designed shoes if they are not 100% happy with them. To sell off these returned shoes, the company tried using services like Stores.jp, but found them too confusing to use with too many features. So they decided to build a more simplified version, and that resulted in Stores.jp.
To use the site, no coding or HTML skills are required. To create your store, all you need is your email and password. After registration, just upload photos, names, and descriptions of your products and your online store is completed. When orders come in, you send out the product and the money will be paid to your designated bank account. Stores.jp follows a freemium model where up to five items per month can be sold with zero cost. For sellers with more items to sell, the monthly cost is 980 yen (about $10) with an additional payment system usage fee of 5%. For premium accounts, the site offers marketing and log analysis features as well.
Stores.jp was released in August of last year, and so far over 25,000 stores have been opened on the site. According to Bracket CEO Yusuke Mitsumoto, the total number of stores on Rakuten is 40,000. The number of items registered exceeds 70,000 and it currently has more than 500,000 monthly users.
But Stores.jp is not without competitors. Three months after its release, an almost identical site called Base was released and had over 7,000 stores within three weeks. In an effort to stay ahead of the competition, Stores.jp offers additional services including professional photography and the creation of store business cards. Both options are provided free, with photography available for maximum of twenty items.
Merchants on the site are mainly small businesses but there are also well-known chains like Krispy Kreme Doughnuts and a famous magazine called Tokyo Calendar. These bigger companies use the site to create online shops dedicated for a particular campaign or content. For example, Tokyo Calendar opened a Japanese sake shop for its sake issue.
To find out more about how the Stores.jp works, check out the video below.
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The worldwide success of Olympus Has Fallen has convinced the principal cast that another installment is needed. This time in London.
After raking in $161 million worldwide earlier this year, Nu Image has decided to build upon their success with another action smash starring Gerard Butler and Aaron Eckhart.
The two are said to be reprising their roles alongside Morgan Freeman for London Has Fallen in a plot where terrorists plan to strike the city during the funeral of the British Prime Minister. It's up to the President of the United States (Eckhart), his secret service head (Butler) and an English MI6 agent to save the day.
Millennium Films is producing and financing the project, which also sees Gerard Butler's G-Base also listed as a producer. Focus Features is more than likely to distribute in the U.S. under the watchful eye of incoming CEO Peter Schlessel, whose FilmDistrict released the original last March.
Original screenwriters Katrin Benedikt and Creighton Rothenberger will return to write the screenplay. No director has been listed yet.
Shooting is scheduled to begin in London on May 5, 2014.


Saturday afternoon's contest against Adrian College proved to be rather ironic. On Thursday, Lakeland University Head Football Coach Colin Bruton commented on Muskies Matters that he didn't care if his team won 70-60, as long as they won. Saturday afternoon's affair wasn't that high scoring, but it did produce 87 points as quarterback Michael Whitley threw for seven touchdowns in the Muskies 47-40 victory over the Bulldogs. That moved the team to 3-2.
Adrian College received the opening kickoff and was forced to punt after four plays. That put the ball in the hands of the Lakeland offense, and Eldrada Meeks got the drive going with three straight runs, gaining 32 total yards. After a Dezmon Eddie run for 14, two successive plays yielded no yards, setting up a third and 10. That is when quarterback Michael Whitley completed a 31-yard pass to Jamal Hawkins-Sconiers for the touchdown to make it 7-0.
After being forced to punt on their first two possessions, the Bulldogs would get on the board, tying the score at seven. It was the running game that led the way, as David Nutter and Emmanuel Stewart combined to carry the ball on eight of the first nine plays of the drive. The big play on the possession came on third and 5 at the Lakeland 44 when Clayton Uecker completed a 25 yard pass to Jerron McGaw to the 19 yard line. Six plays later, Stuart bolted into the end zone for the two yard touchdown to make it 7-7.
The Bulldogs euphoria was short-lived, as Larry Rivers returned the kickoff 69 yards to the Adrian 18 before he was pushed out of bounds. On the next play, Whitley found Jody Harrison for 18 yards and the score to make it 13-7.
A 39 yard field goal by Cameron Cook made it a three-point game, and the Bulldogs would take the lead on their next possession. After taking over on their own 49, Adrian College moved the ball to the Muskies 25 where it was first and 10. Nutter then took the ball on a sweep and raced to the 5 yard line before he was finally tackled. Stewart scored his second touchdown of the game on the next play to make it 17-13 and the momentum was beginning to swing the direction of Adrian.
Just before the half, the Bulldogs extended their lead to seven. Once again, using a short field, Adrian moved from their own 42 to the Lakeland 30 yard line where they were faced with a fourth and 4. Cook drilled a 47 yard field goal to make it 20-13.
The Lakeland Muskies received the opening kickoff of the second half and marched 75 yards in 10 plays to tie the score. After Whitley completed two passes to Meeks to start the drive, the team would be unable to move the ball on the next two plays. That set up a third and 10 and, once again, it was the combination of Whitley to Hawkins-Sconiers that delivered the big blow, first a 43 yard strike that moved the ball to the 18, followed by an 18 yard pass play that put the ball on the three. It looked like the Adrian defense would hold, as an incomplete pass and two runs made it fourth and goal at the three, but Head Coach Colin Bruton rolled the dice and Whitley delivered, completing a pass to Dezmen Morse for the score to tie the game at 20.
Adrian would retake the lead with 4:24 left in the third quarter. A 24 yard punt went out of bounds at the Lakeland 34, giving the Bulldogs incredible field position. They moved to the Muskies' nine where they were faced with a fourth and 8. Cook connected on a 26 yard field goal to make it 23-20 Adrian College.
The Muskies responded right away. After an 11 yard completion moved the ball to the Lakeland 36, Whitley kept the ball and raced for 6 yards before he was tackled. On the next play, the Lakeland QB hit Eddie who then raced the distance for the touchdown to give Lakeland a three point lead.
That sent the game into the fourth quarter, which looked more like a Wild West shootout than a football game. After Cook tied the game with a 21 yard field goal nine seconds into the quarter, Whitley led his team on a 72 yard drive that lasted six plays and 2:33 off the clock before they would retake the lead. It was a 54 yard strike to Eddie once again that led to the touchdown to make it 33-26.
The Bulldogs responded right away to tie the game. Starting from their own 22, they were able to move to their own 44 where they were faced with third and 3. Uecker handed the ball off to Stewart, who broke free and raced 56 yards for the touchdown to tie the game at 33.
On their next possession, the Muskies retook the lead. Eddie's 39 yard kickoff return put the ball at the Lakeland 40. On third and 10, Whitley completed a pass to Harrison for 28 yards to the Adrian 32. Two plays later, the Lakeland University quarterback ran for 14 yards to the 18, and a Whitley swing pass to Meeks allowed the running back to gain a little room and he raced toward the end zone for the 18 yard score.
On their next possession, Adrian College mounted an impressive 13 play, 86 yard drive to tie the score. Three times the Bulldogs were faced with a third-down situation, and converted in each case, including a third and 17 at their own 33 when Uecker passed to Stewart, who made it to midfield for the first down. On first down at the 15, Nutter made a nice move before out racing the Lakeland defender for the end zone and the touchdown to tie the score at 40.
There was just 2:50 left in the game, but anyone who is familiar with Lakeland University football knows that is plenty of time for Michael Whitley. After being tackled for a 2 yard loss on the first play, Whitley connected with Harrison for 38 yards down to the Adrian 29 yard line. Two plays later an 18 yard completion put the ball at the 11 before the Muskies quarterback passed to Eddie for 11 yards and the score. That was Eddie's third touchdown reception of the game and the seventh touchdown toss by Whitley.
That left just 56 seconds left in the contest, but the way this game was going that seemed to be plenty enough time. Uecker was sacked on the opening play of the drive and had to leave the game. That brought Hunter Hamm on, who completed two huge passes, one for 25 yards and the other for 17 to the Lakeland 29. Two plays later, he completed a 12 yard pass to McGaw for the first down at the 17. That left time for just one play. Hamm went back and fired for the end zone, but Oman Smothers picked it off to end the game and preserve the seven point victory.
Michael Whitley led the Lakeland offense with 433 yards passing and seven touchdowns. Dezmon Eddie had just three catches, all of which went for touchdowns and 123 total yards. He also had two catches for 14 yards. Jody Harrison had six catches for 108 yards and a score, and Jamal Hawkins-Sconiers had three catches for 92 yards and a touchdown. Jeremy Stokes led the Lakeland defense with 11 tackles.
The two headed running attack for Adrian College had a huge day. Emmanuel Stewart ran for 168 yards and three scores on 27 attempts, and David Nutter had 155 yards and a touchdown off of 26 carries.
Next weekend, Benedictine University comes to Taylor Field to take on the Lakeland Muskies for homecoming. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00.


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Anime Forum dot Com > General Talk > Video Games > Which game is the best rpg ever?
View Full Version : Which game is the best rpg ever?
You can choose between on line games, this sites chat(lol), xbox games, so on and so forth, be creative.
I would say FINAL FANTASY!
Cause it very much rocks!
Baldur's Gate II. I've been playing it for years, and i still don't get tired of it!
FF is too overly hyped by people. It's like the only RPG people know as it's got too much media attention and people can't see past it all.
Nobody actually role-play's on any RPG's that I have, but the best one is definitally EQ.
For online games, Dark Age of Camelot is a nice one and Guild Wars seems to have the potential to compete with WoW and DAoC.
Many of you are saying final fantasy, but the original final fantasy wasnt very good. In my opinion, the overall best RPG is final fantasy seven. It has a great storyline with an excellent gameplay and battle system. Plus, the materia system is the best way for learning magic that I have seen on any video game.
As far as online games go, my favorite would have to be runescape. But, that is a biased opinion because runescape is the only one I play.
Final Fantasy 7-9. Chrono Trigger/Cross, Xenogears, and Thousand Arms are all kick-***. Legend of Dragoon, Skies of Arcadia, Breath of Fire III, and Grandia II all get honorable mentions. I'd like to play the Lunar games and the Suikoden games.
Final Fantasy 7-9. Chrono Trigger/Cross, Xenogears, and Thousand Arms are all kick-***. Legend of Dragoon, Skies of Arcadia, Breath of Fire III, and Grandia II all get honorable mentions. I'd like to play the Lunar games and the Suikoden games.Yeah, Chrono Trigger is a great game, but I didnt enjoy Chrono Cross very much.
FF-7 and Suikoden 2 for me.
I'd have to say Tales of Symphonia. I've never gotten more attatched to any video game characters than the Tales crew.
Final Fantasy 7, Final Fantasy 10, Kingdom Hearts, and Fable (would have been better if it were waaaay longer).
Doesn't anyone play anything other than the FF games. Sure they were great fun, but face the facts: THERE ARE OTHER GAMES OUT THERE!
I really didn't like Final Fantasy games, they were just too slow for me. Also I dont like those turn-based attack system's, they are crap.
Doesn't anyone play anything other than the FF games. Sure they were great fun, but face the facts: THERE ARE OTHER GAMES OUT THERE! This guy speaks the truth... one of the few people here that know it! As i said, it's cause it's getting all the media hype, things that are more 'underground' and not well known are infact usually the best.
Final fantasy 7, 8, 9, 10 Where's FF 1-6? They are better than most of the others!
Thank god there are a few people here who played something besides Final Fantasy.
I am very much looking forward to buying a gamevube and playing Tales of Symphonia, and when the PSP finally arives here I can't wait to play Tales of Eternia (although I am fearing the vocal dubs).
Next, forum RPG's. There are two RPG's that will forever be engraved onto my memory. The first is Dance of the Relics, which had a short life but was my very first forum RPG. Then there was Turn upon the Tide of Darkness, an RPG which had the largest posts I have seen up to date, that one too, unfortunatly, has died.
There, not a single Final fantasy!
Tough question dude, but it is either ff7 or perhaps chrono trigger.It is hard to pick one out of all the great rpg games out there.
alright someboy who likes champions of norrath i have already beaten both of them but i would go with star ocean till the end of time and fabel.
It's a no-brainer, Final Fantasy of course!
Xenosaga owns final fantasy every day!!!!!!!!
Xenogears owns xenosaga ANY DAY.
The Legend of Zelda Twlight Princess (I played the demo).
Zelda is a platformer, not an RPG.
Didn't anyone like the seiken densetsu series? They're my favorites. I loves them all.
I agree with thyrax,you guys make it seem like thats the only rpg thats actually good.I myself like Star Ocean 2 the second story,Suikoden 3,Kingdom Hearts,Star Ocean and Final Fantasy 7.


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Depending on which data you look at employee engagement has tended to be flat or declining over the last 15 years. There is obviously something wrong with the way that firms have been attempting to manage engagement within their organizations. Our view is that the core issue is that engagement typically suffers flawed analysis leading to ineffective changes.
A simple way of thinking about the way most traditional surveys are designed is by considering the questions in two groups: a set of questions that make up the engagement index and another set, usually larger, which is used to identify factors that are correlated to that engagement index.
If we consider how this works in more detail we can see that what we're doing is looking at the differences in views between engaged and disengaged employees.
Most engagement survey analysis is static – i.e. no knowledge of each respondents' previous states or answers are considered when conducting the analysis. Where history is included it is usually at the sub-organization (eg team, department) level where there can significant differences in the underlying respondents from survey to survey.
During the analysis stage of a survey typically variables that are most closely linked with engaged / disengaged employees are identified. Unhelpfully these are often called 'drivers' implying, at least to the lay-person, that they are causal. They are not, they're simply correlations.
What these analyses do is identify symptoms of being engaged rather than what causes the employee to become engaged in the first place.
There are several reasons this matters. The first and most obvious is that any post-survey action is likely to be sub-optimal. I can take a flu-remedy which prevents my nose running and tempers my headache but I still have the flu. As soon as the medicine wears off the headache returns.
The second reasons is that our sensitivity to certain issues changes as a result of our overall view. We probably all know people who cited reasons such as 'they left the toothpaste lid off' when explaining why they changed partners. When love disappears these things become more grating, but overall they aren't the reasons why love is lost.
To understand the issues that are linked to employees moving from an engaged to a disengaged state (or vice versa) we need to include how any individual changes over time in our model.
We can look at the transition between engaged & disengaged at an individual-level and understand what happened to them. One way of doing this is to link employee background (education level, function, tenure etc.) and event data (eg pay rises, job changes, performance reviews) and build models which identify which combinations are linked to changing individual-level engagement. We can look at which responses change and explore whether there were underlying reasons why this might have occurred.
We can ask people if they feel more / less engaged (or even identify it from their history) and if they feel a change what events, experiences or factors have influenced their changes in feeling.
When analysing data in this way we see significantly different issues that are cited as reasons for a change in engagement (or recommendation when using eNPS).
Our employee feedback tool, Workometry, uses open questions instead of traditional scale questions. It then uses highly sophisticated text analytics approaches to summarise the statement and group them into meaningful groups (with meaningful descriptions such as 'More clarity on the future direction'). The summaries and groups the algorithms find will depend on the answers to the question asked (and often be organization-specific).
Many of the reasons cited for changes in engagement would not be part of a typical engagement survey, meaning that there is no way they'd be able to identify them, and by implication that you wouldn't be able to act upon them.
Measurement and incentive related issues are common. These could include targeting at the general level or where targets are badly aligned to things that are important to employees values, such as delivering great customer experiences.
Various events that could all be categorised in a general 'Employee Experience' group can have significant changes. For individuals where we see sharp drops in engagement over two, close time periods there is usually an event which has caused the change.
New senior leadership and refocussed strategies can increase engagement for certain groups.
Given the reasons we see most of the action that is likely to be effective would be bottom-up rather than the typical long, top-down approach. There will be some systematic issues that will need to be addressed but in general a principle of 'decisions / action should be made at the lowest possible level' is probably correct.
For organizations which really want to get this right will be building teams to address more structural issues. I'd imagine such teams would have experience in areas such as process and job design, technology enablement and incentives. Such changes would need to be formally costed / valued and prioritised.
As an extension of this organizations need to have a serious debate about how to 'close the loop' with employee issues in a timely manner. Whilst customer feedback can trigger this easily, in organizations employee feedback is usually provided with a promise of confidentially. Technology offers opportunities here.
'Low hanging issues' need to be fixed quickly. We always see issues such as staff facilities that are broken or policies, designed for one situation which are inappropriate in another area. Fixing these things quickly will likely not address fundamental reasons (they're the toothpaste-lid sort of reasons mentioned above) but rapidly taking action sends a signal to employees that feedback is being listened to and providing it is worthwhile.
Overall we believe that much of the failure to improve engagement in organizations is due to using static analysis to understand dynamic systems issues. Businesses address the causes rather than the symptoms will realise significant benefits.


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Christmas truce 1914 summary
Joyeux Noël (Merry Christmas) is a 2005 epic war drama film based on the Christmas truce of December 1914, depicted through the eyes of French, Scottish, and German soldiers. It was written and directed by Christian Carion. [2] On December 7th, 1914, Pope Benedict XV made a suggestion to the warring sides: take a break from slaughtering one another to celebrate Christmas. The guys in control of each respective nation never agreed to any official one-day truce.
On this day in History, The Christmas Truce on Dec 25, 1914. Learn more about what happened today on History. On this day in History, The Christmas Truce on Dec 25, 1914. Learn more about what happened today on History. German and British soldiers played soccer and exchanged gifts during a brief truce on Christmas Day in the first year of World War I.
CLAIM German and British front-line soldiers sang carols, exchanged gifts, and played soccer during a World War I Christmas truce. A fictional version of the story of the legendary Christmas Truce of 1914, written by Aaron Shepherd: Christmas Day, 1914My dear sister Janet, It is 2: 00 in the m In my opinion the Christmas Truce of World War I in 1914 depicted by Stanley Weintraub's Silent Night, is one of the most amazing events in the history of war.
The thought that people who are killing each other can come together in peace for any amount of time is truly inspiring. The Christmas Truce has become one of the most famous and mythologised events of the First World War.
But what was the real story behind the truce? Why did it happen and did British and German soldiers really play football in no-man's land?
Late on Christmas Eve 1914, men of the British. The Christmas Truce, which occurred primarily between the British and German soldiers along the Western Front in December 1914, is an event the official histories of the" Great War" leave out, and the Orwellian historians hide from the public. The Christmas Truce has become one of the most famous and mythologised events of the First.
THE CHRISTMAS TRUCE ON THE WESTERN FRONT, 1914. Presenter and historian Dan Snow explores the real story behind the modern myths surrounding the Christmas Truce of 1914. This is how the Christmas truce happened on the Western Front in 1914. It is crucial to realize that for the vast majority of the participants the 1914 Christmas truce was a matter of.
Dec 23, 2011. Several factors combined to produce the conditions for this Christmas Truce. By December 1914, the men in the trenches were veterans. The WWI Christmas Truce of 1914. December 24-26, 1914: The Christmas Truce. In December 1914 the world was reeling from the trauma of five months of horrifying bloodshed, which spread death. The Christmas Truce that occurred during World War I in 1914 is one of the most memorable and amazing events in the history of war.
Stanley Weintraub's Silent Night depicts this event in detail from his own knowledge, diaries, journal entries and other records from actual soldiers Christmas truce 1914 summary the war. The Christmas Truce of 1914 is one of the most interesting events that occurred during World War I. In the midst of war and fighting, soldiers along the western. The Story of the WWI Christmas Truce. Several factors combined to produce the conditions for this Christmas Truce.
By December 1914, the men in the trenches were veterans, familiar enough with. Yet for many at the time, the story of the Christmas truce was not an example of chivalry in the depths of war, but rather a tale of subversion: when the men on the ground decided they were not fighting the same war as their superiors.
Find out more about the history of Christmas Truce of 1914, including videos, interesting articles, pictures, historical features and more. Get all the facts Christmas truce 1914 summary HISTORY. com " Shooting at the Stars the Christmas Truce of 1914" is a skillfully written children's Christmas book based on actual events along many miles of trenches near the. The 1914 Christmas Truce occurred December 24-25 (in some places December 24-January 1), 1914, during the first year of World War I (1914-1918).
After five months of bloody fighting on the Western Front, peace descended over the trenches during the Christmas season of 1914.
Jan 10, 2014. Find out what happened during the first Christmas of World War One in 1914. The Christmas Truce that occurred during World War I in 1914 is one of the most memorable and amazing events in the history of war. Stanley Weintraub's Silent Night depicts this event in detail from his own knowledge, diaries, journal entries and other records from actual soldiers in the war. Find out more about the history of Christmas Truce of 1914, including videos, interesting articles, pictures, historical features and more.
Get all the facts on HISTORY. com The Christmas Truce By Nicole Maassen – Bartow Middle School I. Lesson Summary Summary This lesson takes a humanistic approach to studying trench warfare during the first World War. The Christmas truce (German: Weihnachtsfrieden; French: Trêve de Noël) was a series of widespread but unofficial ceasefires along the Western Front of World War I around Christmas 1914. The Christmas truce occurred during the relatively early period of the war (month 5 of 51).
WWI Christmas Truce of 1914. Lesson Summary. During World War I, the soldiers on the front line of the war in Europe decided to take a temporary pause. Instead of fighting on Christmas in 1914. The Christmas truce (German: Weihnachtsfrieden; French: Trêve de Noël) was a series of widespread but unofficial ceasefires along the Western Front of World War I around Christmas 1914. The Christmas truce occurred during the relatively early period of the war (month 5 of 51).
The Christmas Truce of 1914 8 December 2015 December 18, 2017 Remembering the Christmas Truce of 1914, Albert Moran of the 2nd Queen's Regiment wrote: "It was a beautiful moonlit night, frost on the ground, white almost everywhere; and. there were those lights — I don't know what they were. Claim: German and British front-line soldiers sang carols, exchanged gifts, and played soccer during a World War I Christmas truce.
December 24-26, 1914: The Christmas Truce. In December 1914 the world was reeling from the trauma of five months of horrifying bloodshed, which spread death and sowed hatred on a scale almost beyond comprehension. The Story of the WWI Christmas Truce.
Several factors combined to produce the conditions for this Christmas Truce. By December 1914, the men in the trenches were veterans, familiar enough with. In my opinion the Christmas Truce of World War I in 1914 depicted by Stanley Weintraub's Silent Night, is one of the most amazing events in the history of war. The thought that people who are killing each other can come together in peace for any amount of time is truly inspiring. Directed by Christian Carion.
With Diane Kruger, Benno Fürmann, Guillaume Canet, Natalie Dessay. In December 1914, an unofficial Christmas truce on the Western Front allows soldiers from opposing sides of the First World War to gain insight Christmas truce 1914 summary each other's way of life.
World War I: The 1914 Christmas Truce. In the 1980s, the strange events of Christmas 1914 inspired the song Christmas in the Trenches, 1914, written and put to. The Christmas Truce of 1914;. Publisher's Summary. On Christmas Day 1914, amid the bloodily stalemated trenches of Flanders just five months into World War I, a.
This is a fascinating history of this interesting event, that event being the" Christmas truce" of 1914 during WW I. It is written in a story-like fashion that makes for engaging reading. I don't know enough about the period to know if the author has any axes to grind in this book, but none jumped out at me in any case. Christmas Truce of 1914 Summary For this prompt 'Basically, during WWI, the troops independently decided to stop fighting on Christmas day, and the opposing countrymen met and some exchanged groups.
summary. In late December 1914, German and British soldiers on the western front initiated a series of impromptu, unofficial ceasefires. The Christmas Truce. The Christmas Truce of 1914 was a remarkable episode during World War I; a single fleeting moment of man's humanity, amidst the horrors of war. Summary; Recently Viewed. W Britain Soldiers WWI A Friendly Game 1914 Christmas Truce Set No 1.
1. The Story of the World War I Christmas Truce WWI. New. Find out more about the history of Christmas Truce of 1914, including videos, interesting articles, pictures, historical features and more.
Get all the facts on. Find great deals on eBay for christmas truce. Shop with confidence. A good (albeit incomplete) summary is Gary North's article "Nisbet versus Plato and Rousseau". But is definitely not from the Christmas truce of 1914. It is. The Christmas Truce of 1914 was a remarkable episode during World War I; a single fleeting moment of man's humanity, amidst the horrors of war.
Christmas truce 1914 summary course takes a.
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This has been going on since 1965 when Lyndon Johnson's Great Society locked us all into having a health insurance program for when we hit 65. The government holds the money for us until we retire. The idea is that at that point, we can use it to help with our medical expenses. It was a great idea if only it was funded properly.
Johnson and the Congress realized they couldn't really afford the Vietnam war so they found all this money from Social Security and Medicare in a big unlocked box so they could afford the war and current government expenses at the time. They thought when the tooth ferry brought in more gold, they would pay it back. Instead tons of IOUs now live in that unlocked box.
Now that the baby boomers are getting old enough to collect, they want their share of the unlocked box. But, there is nothing there. So, Uncle Sam now must pay the benefits from current tax revenues which is not enough. If seniors would only take the moldy IOU's it would be great but the government made the mistake of educating the people and well, they just don't want the IOU's.
Not only the senior citizens but the government found they cannot get doctors, grocers, landlords, or Harley Shops to accept any paper more worthless than greenbacks. For a long time the Chinese were willing to loan the government money so they could pretend that we were not bankrupt, but even that good will seems to be running thin nowadays.
Now that the government has extended health insurance benefits to a great number of persons—illegal immigrants included—who can't afford it; or for some other reason failed to pay for it, Uncle Sam had to find more money for what the government likes to call a new "entitlement?" So, this is what they did. They went out and swiped half of the current Medicare tax payments, and they carefully placed those funds over into the special Al Gore-built Obamacare lockbox. President Johnson, a socialist Democrat had set the precedent and Obama, Reid and Pelosi, all avowed socialists, have had no problem stealing again from the suckers. And, nobody is squealing because most think that this is just a Medicare Advantage thingy.
The Republicans put up a fuss on behalf of the people but now the Democrats have claimed victory and with all the cheering even the seniors seem to be caught up in how wonderful it is that healthcare is now free for all except those that need it. In the case of seniors, their opportunity for care has just been reduced and the dollars are gone forever to pay for care for somebody who has never earned it.
It's not like Medicare was not already I trouble. That's why the Obama-theft was so clever. Nobody would believe they would steal from someplace that did not have a lot. Hey, they are stealing from the Lids student loans now by jacking up the prices as part of the Obamacare package. Why not take from the young and the old alike to pay for whom? You got me on that? I think seniors have already given up enough. Taking their Medicare payments and diverting them to deadbeats does not seem a fitting tribute to the elderly set.
Everybody suggests that the program needs to be fixed, not raided to create another new government program. Too bad. Done deal. Watch the clever Obama team make the Republicans look bad for trying to rain on their victory. Obama and Joe Biden and Nancy Pelosi and Harry Reid are scoundrels. Their victory is like Bonnie and Clyde ripping off a bank and then having a barbecue for the town in front of the bank.
Hey folks, this is not something being borrowed from the Chinese. This is money that you and I have put into Medicare, not Obamacare. For this to be diverted to Obamacare is worse than a travesty. This is money senior citizens and all of us have paid into the Medicare program during our working careers. This is money the government promised to hold "in trust" for them. This is to help pay for their medical expenses, not the medical expenses of a deadbeat or an illegal alien. Let tem get their own insurance. Like it or not they did it, and seniors still do not believe it has happened. it's like when your wallet is stolen and you don't notice it's gone until you reach back for it when you need it. It's gone folks. No matter how far you reach back, it is gone.
Nothing from nothing leaves nothing. The reconciliation bill steals exactly $528 billion from senior citizens and nobody is screaming. The Medicare cuts do including a $136 billion reduction for Medicare Advantage. The Medicare Advantage cuts will force 4.8 million seniors off the popular plan by 2019. An additional $23 billion in cuts to Medicare will come from a panel charged with slashing Medicare spending.
Remember in Obamacare, there were $500 billion in Medicare Benefit reductions. In the Reconciliation Bill, the House spent even more than that so now it is over $528 billion with over $600 billion in new taxes. Nothing is free here. Do you think in the middle of a recession, this is the time to raise taxes on businesses and on of all things -- critical medical devices such as Pacemakers?
I am convinced that the only reason seniors are permitting $ 500 billion to be stolen from Medicare to pay for the healthcare of deadbeats who never paid into Medicare is because they trust that they will not be hurt. Should you trust the government? They weren't around when Johnson put in all those IOUs in the 60's. They don't know how corrupt the Congress really is. So, why is AARP not screaming against this as they claim to be advocates for seniors. Well, they have a major conflict of interest and the dollar is mightier than sticking up for seniors. Obamacare is adding big time to the coffers of AARP. Long live Truth, Justice, and the American way.
You know that Obama painted the insurance companies as the bad guys in the Obamacare debate. Ironically, even without the rationing of Medicare this will bring, today the organization that denies more insurance claims is not big insurance, it is big government. In fact, it is Medicare and Medicaid if you want their names. Both reject twice as many claims as insurance providers. Yes, by two to one Medicare stiffs seniors very quietly more than insurance companies.
With the $528 billion in cuts coming, more denials are forthcoming. Plus, the bill appoints a commission to determine what gets covered -- rather than your doctor deciding. With Obamacare, expect faceless bureaucrats to deny more and more claims. It is ironic for sure that seniors are going along with the idea that insurance companies are the only bad guys as good ole Medicare denies far more claims than insurance companies.
Do the math. With $525 billion less to pay in benefits, what do you think will happen to benefits? It can only get worse. Expect the word known as "rationing" to be used soon now that the bill's ink is dry. This will describe the scenario of medical care for seniors. If doctors prescribe what is needed, and go against the commission, their reimbursement rate will go down. And, as you may know, other than in Florida, Medicare Advantage is gone so choices are gone. Thank AARP for that. The government paid off AARP for its support of Obamacare by giving them more insurance income opportunities. .The Congressional Budget Office reports that cuts can have a devastating affect on seniors' health care options. If you are on Medicare or are about to be on Medicare when this bill passes, you can expect less Medicare - a lot less.
From a fiscal perspective, either the government could not add or chose to be even more deceptive regarding the Medicare funds confiscation. In 2010, Americans realized big time that anything that adds to the deficit or the debt is not good for the economy. In Mid March as the president talked about all the wonderful things that were going to happen to the Medicare funds, it seemed that the President did not know what he was talking about. The bottom line is that President Obama double dipped into Medicare once to put the funds into a "lock box" to stabilize the fund, and secondly, he took the same funds out a second time to pay for the cost of his Obamacare bill. The funds however existed only in one place.
Yes he did! He counted the $528 billion twice! What does this mean? The smallest minds in the economic field know that Medicare lost over $528 billion and it will be hurting as most things do when they become unfunded or under-funded. The deficit therefore and the debt are going to get hammered by another $528 billion over the same time period. So, all the ballyhoo about saving money and paying down the debt. That was all hooey. And it's gone, gone, gone.. that is for sure.
As a blast against seniors that enjoy a choice, when Obama, Nancy Pelosi, and Harry Reid took $528 billion out of Medicare, it was deemed that Medicare Advantage had no value. One Hundred Thirty Six of the $528 was for Medicare Advantage savings. Of course, Florida got a special deal along with a number of other special deals. The President did not seem to care that seniors like Medicare Advantage. This is the only private option that seniors currently have.
In fact, for those of us who have given it a look, the plan should have been expanded. However, AARP, the company with a conflict of interest in healthcare as wide as the grand canyon is both an advocate for seniors and an "insurer." It turns out that AARP has a competing plan from which they would benefit financially if Medicare Advantage were discontinued. So, they got that nice bone for their support as they sold out seniors on Obamacare. To increase its share of the business, many feel AARP sold out seniors in a big way.
I know my brother Ed feels that way and he is out of AARP philosophically and he has become a complainer but for the time being he still has AARP insurance. This group of left leaning liberals have placed ideology and their desire for profit in front of the good of seniors. They are about to make a lot of money on Obamacare now that it is passed.
The expansion that would be good for Medicare Advantage would have been to add more patient choice options for doctors and hospitals rather than just government approved managed care companies. Why shouldn't seniors be able to take their "cash" wherever they want? Taking the option away is a step closer to a full government takeover so it is understandable why the President does not like anything that gives a patient a choice. That is not the Marxist way.


박지성 선수 연속 선발 출전하며 연승에 도전..
윤석영은 명단에 이름을 올리지 못함..
이번 경기에서는 타운젠트와 호흡을 맞추고 그라네로 지나스는 벤치 대기..
QPR XI: Green, Bosingwa, Samba, Hill, Fabio, Townsend, Park, Mbia, Hoilett, Zamora, Remy.
Subs: Murphy, SWP, Mackie, Granero, Onuoha, Jenas, Bothroyd.
SAFC XI: Mignolet, N'Diaye, Larsson, Gardner, Graham, Colback, O'Shea, Bramble, Johnson, Fletcher, Sessegnon.
Subs: Westwood, Bardsley, Rose, Kilgallon, Vaughan, Mangane, Cuellar.
정찬성 선수에게 챔피언 도전 기회가 주어질듯한 올해 조제알도의 경기력을 보는것도 즐거울듯..


I love you Zim! I don't care if he's differnt! I still love him!
By the way nice pic!
i know how Zim feels......awwwww!!!! *hugs Zim* ALL BETTER *sorta* FAVES!!!!!!
O Zim-Zim, don't be sad! Wot did ya do 2 ma honey! Still, gr8 art!
I like the "Woz I ere part"!
I totally agree that it's hard being different. I'm weird and I like it thought.
*Faves and hugs Zim* I like the writing. You'd expect a lot of that from the kids at Zim's school.


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claudia chwalisz
politics, policy, data & democracy
British Politics
French Legislative Elections 2017: First Round Analysis
June 20, 2017 by Claudia Chwalisz In European Politics Leave a comment
Note: This article, co-written with Matthew Elliott, was originally published on the Legatum Institute website on 15 June 2017. It is also on the Populus website here.
Following on from our analysis of the French presidential election (link), this short paper provides an analysis after the first round of voting in the legislative elections. The second round will take place one week after the first, on Sunday 18th June.
Turnout for legislative elections reached a record low on Sunday at only 48%, much lower than the 58% turnout in 2012.
Only four seats were won outright by candidates who garnered over 50% of the vote – a large drop from 2012 when 36 candidates won after the first round alone.
Due to low turnout, there will only be one 'triangulaire' – a run-off between three candidates in the second round. This will take place in Aube, where Grégory Besson-Moreau (La République en Marche) came first with 29.86% of the vote. He will be against the incumbent Nicolas Dhuicq (Les Républicains, 25.68%) and the National Front's Bruno Subtil (24.89%). In 2012, there were 46 'trinangulaires', reduced to 34 after some candidates withdrew. In all other seats, it will be a two-person run-off.
Emmanuel Macron's party La République en Marche (LREM) put forth 461 candidates (and allied with centrist Modem's 76 candidates). Between the two parties, they won two seats outright and the latest projections suggest that they will win between 415 to 455 seats on Sunday (Ipsos – Sopra Steria 11 June 2017).
The Republicans, who are allied with the Union of Democrats and Independents (UDI) fielded 480 and 148 candidates respectively. Only one UDI candidate won outright. While the party's aim at the outset was to win a majority, projections suggest they will win only 70 to 110 seats – a fair drop from the 225 they won in 2012. Economy Minister Bruno Le Maire is in a good position to win his seat, though former candidate in the presidential primaries Nathalie Kosciusko-Morizet came second in her constituency.
The Socialists, who won 295 seats to form a majority in 2012, only fielded 414 candidates this time, the lowest number amongst the main parties. They garnered only 7% of the vote, with numerous big names eliminated, including presidential candidate Benoît Hamon and party leader Jean-Christophe Cambadélis. Manuel Valls came a close first, but will have a tight battle in the second round against the LREM candidate. The Socialists are predicted to win between 20 to 30 seats.
Jean-Luc Mélenchon's movement 'La France Insoumise' was present in 556 constituencies. Despite the remarkable presidential election result, the far left party (including the Communist Party) won only 13.74%. Mélenchon looks to be in a comfortable position to win in Marseille. The parties are expected to win around 8 to 18 seats between them.
After winning its largest ever number of votes in the second round of the presidential election on 7 May, the National Front fielded 571 candidates, more than any other party. Its hopes were likely pinned on the 45 constituencies where Marine Le Pen won over 50% in the second round of the presidential race. However, the National Front only won 13.2% of the vote – 538,071 less votes than it did in the 2012 legislative elections. While Marine Le Pen looks like she will likely in Pas-de-Calais, her deputy Florian Philippot is less assured and the party is only projected to win one to five seats overall.
Table 1. Final results of the 2017 legislative election compared to 2012 results
Figure 1. First round legislative results
First Round Polls Analysis and Seat Projections
It has been unusual for French pollsters to conduct opinion polls in the lead-up to the legislative elections. Until this year, the first round of the presidential election offered a fairly accurate indicator of how many seats each party would win a few weeks later. However, the anomaly of En Marche (now La République en Marche) appearing as a new movement that galvanised enough support to bring its leader to the presidential post meant greater uncertainty about how presidential support for an individual would translate into parliamentary support for a new party.
Immediately following the presidential election, polls had LREM, the Republicans and the National Front neck and neck at around 21-23%. Over time, the gap between them widened significantly (see Figure 1). Days before 11th June, LREM had a large lead with around 30% support, followed by the Republicans at around 23% and the National Front trailing at 18%. Mélenchon's party was even further behind in fourth place below 15%, a five per cent drop in support since the first round of the presidential election. The final result was quite close to these polls; only the National Front did worse than expected.
Figure 2. The lead for La République en Marche grew substantially over time (all OpinionWay, Kantar and Ipsos polls conducted between 24 May and 4 June 2017 that included both percentage estimates and seat projections)
Figure 3. Difference between first round legislative polls and first round presidential results (Ipsos 4 June poll)
Figure 4. Seat projections before the first round of the legislative elections (all OpinionWay, Kantar and Ipsos polls conducted between 24 May and 4 June 2017 that included both percentage estimates and seat projections)
There are a few reasons why LREM likely defied initial scepticism to storm to a majority. One is that a law from Hollande's time in office has now come into place, banning politicians from holding multiple posts at once, such as being mayor and MP at the same time. This meant that there were many new faces running to represent the Socialists and the Republicans as well, lessening LREM's disadvantage. However, this alone does not explain everything, as heavyweights from both the main parties were wiped out or face strong challenges in the upcoming second round.
Second, in the few weeks since he took office, Emmanuel Macron has won the backing of a large proportion of French people who are willing to give him a chance. As an Ipsos poll on 6 June 2017 shows, the majority (60%) of French people are satisfied with Macron, including a large majority of Socialist (71%) and Republican/UDI/other right-wing voters (60%). Even a large proportion of Mélenchon supporters (43%) think Macron has done a good job so far. There seems to be a genuine belief that Macron might be able to bring about the change that he promises and that France needs.
Testament to how far Macron has managed to broaden his support, Ipsos's exit poll shows that LREM came ahead in every category of age, profession, salary, education, geography (city/rural), as well as among the unemployed. The best scores were among the demographics who voted for Macron disproportionately in the presidential race, but nonetheless, La République en Marche has widened support across socio-demographic lines considerably. Equally, LREM has broadened support geographically as well, coming first in more constituencies than Macron in the first round of the presidential election.
Even ahead of the first round of voting, the polls were picking up on this shift among all groups to Macron. We have conducted a correspondence analysis on Opinionway's poll conducted 30 May – 1 June, about a week before the first round of voting, to visualise the similarities and differences between the different parties and their respective political positioning. It is a statistical technique that spatially represents the political landscape in which parties operate. Where parties are opposite each other, the greater the difference between them. When there is greater proximity, this represents greater similarity in the demographics between their supporters. The axes are approximate, but the horizontal one is left-right and the vertical one is globalist-nationalist.
In the two figures below, it is clear that Macron's support emanates from the centre. His strongest support comes from those in professional and superior jobs, who are over 65, small business owners, in the Paris regions and large towns. However, La République en Marche is still closer to all the other demographics than any of the other parties, indicating that Macron has siphoned off support from both the left and the right.
Figure 5a. Correspondence analysis (Opinionway poll 30 May – 1 June)
Figure 5b: Correspondence analysis (Opinionway poll 30 May – 1 June)
Third, LREM's route to a majority seems to be aided by the fact that abstention levels reached a record high – it is the first time that turnout has ever fallen before 50%. Ipsos analysis shows that the largest group of abstainers are those who did not vote in the first round of the presidential election, followed by those who had voted for Le Pen and Mélenchon. A smaller proportion of Fillon, Macron and Hamon voters also abstained this time. The most cited reason given by non-voters was a disappointment in politicians (30%), followed by a belief that regardless of the result, nothing would change (18%), being too busy (18%), and that none of the manifestos was convincing (16%). Only nine per cent of abstainers thought that their vote would not change anything because La République en Marche was sure to win, indicating that the choice to stay away from the polling station was not necessarily a latent endorsement of Macron or his party.
Figure 6. Vote transfers between the first round of the presidential election and the first round of the legislative elections (Ipsos France)
Following the first round of voting, La République en Marche is predicted to win an even larger majority – ranging from 415 to 455 seats. Although the main casualty of this "democratic revolution" is the Socialist Party, the centre right has equally taken a large hit as French voters have decided to give their young new president a chance to renew the polical sphere and implement his programme of reform. According to Opinionway's exit poll, three quarters (73%) of those who voted for a LREM candidate believe that the situation in France will get better in the next few months – their expectations are high.
Implications of a large LREM majority
What will it mean for France, for Europe and for Brexit if La République en Marche wins big on Sunday as expected?
For France: Economic and political reforms
A massive majority should permit Macron to push through his economic and political reform agenda. The new president has staked his reputation on labour market reform in particular – a key component of his election platform and the first thing he has started doing since he took office. He spent his first day as president in back-to-back meetings with business leaders and trade union officials, demonstrating his determination and trying to win over their backing for both the substance of his proposals and the way in which he wants to go about them – a quickened procedure that shortens the amount of time for parliamentary debate.
Passing the labour market reforms first and fast is Macron's priority. If seat projections are correct, he no longer needs to be concerned about not having a parliamentary majority to back them up. The aim of his reforms is to give small and mid-size firms more flexibility to adapt wage and working conditions so as to make hiring more attractive, thus creating more jobs. The main way Macron proposes to achieve this is by decentralising collective bargaining to individual company level, bringing France closer to the Scandinavian and German models. The national minimum wage and the 35 hour working week are set to remain the legal benchmarks, but companies will have to pay extra time costs for those wanting to work more hours. Macron also wants to revise unemployment benefits and the welfare system management, though these will likely be done later in the year.
While he has started well by involving unions and businesses in the talks from the beginning, the reforms will likely infuriate some of the unions and provoke street protests. His proposals go much further than a reform passed by the Hollande government in 2016, which created quite some turmoil at the time and was watered down heavily by the time it passed. Although he is planning to do the bulk of negotiations over the summer, when public attention is focused on holidays and people are less mobilised, by ratifying the reforms without parliamentary debate, it could provoke a backlash in September. On the whole, however, these protests are not likely to undermine Macron entirely. The final product might be less ambitious than first hoped for, but it looks like the French president is determined. If they have the effect envisaged of stimulating the economy, this will be what counts most.
The labour market reforms are just the starting point, however. Macron's aims as president also include a €60 billion savings plan for public finances, corporate tax reduction, wealth tax reform, and council tax exemption for 80% of taxpayers. He also intends to reform pensions, harmonising the multitude of existing regimes to reduce the privileges of civil servants, for instance. With a strong majority in parliament, these all look more likely to happen as envisaged, likely with support from the Republicans, whose proposals were not radically different. The greatest points of tension might be around pension reforms, as past attempts have failed, and unemployment benefits, which could also provoke people to take to the streets.
Beyond economic reforms, Macron has also proposed numerous political reforms. These are partly to use the political capital available to make quick progress and send a strong signal that he is serious about "moralising political life." These will be easier to pass than the economic reforms. As a response to the low level of trust in parliament and politicians more generally, particularly after François Fillon's 'Penelope-gate' scandal, Macron wants to ban the hiring of relatives, place a limit on MPs holding no more than three terms, and creating a public bank for funding political campaigns. These will be relatively easy wins, as which politician will want to be seen as blocking such proposals?
During his presidential campaign, Macron had also proposed introducing more proportional representation into the system. This was always rather vague, however, and it is questionable whether after winning such a large majority in the current system there will be motivation to follow through on this idea. He might do as Justin Trudeau did in Canada – after making it a central campaign promise, the Canadian Prime Minister abandoned his electoral reform proposal due to 'lack of consensus' on Canadians' desired preference.
Overall, the large parliamentary majority will give Macron the flexibility of changing his prime minister and ministers if he encounters resistance in his cross-party government, making it more likely he will actually carry out a good proportion of his agenda.
2. For France: Political realignment
The other key question about what Macron's strong majority means for France is about the impact on political parties and allegiances in the longer term. It is perhaps too early to say. The left and the right appear cornered for now and Macron looks set to retain strong leadership for a long time. But the French people's expectations are high and the government's popularity cannot last at such high levels for the entirety of his presidential term. Such a large majority can only weaken with time as well. The appeal of 'the centre' might shrink as a result.
In the short term, however, the centre-left and centre-right have some existential questions with which to grapple. In particular, the Socialists have taken a greater hit than the Republicans. Their presidential candidate and their party leader were both eliminated in the first round of the legislative elections. Former prime minister and presidential hopeful Manuel Valls has held on for now, but has indicated he is willing to support Macron and LREM in parliament. Paris mayor Anne Hidalgo has in the meantime launched a new movement with former Justice Minister Christiane Taubira and Lille mayor Martine Aubry called "From Tomorrow." But whether this will be the revival the party needs to survive is questionable. The lack of alternative leadership is the most pressing problem for the moment.
On the other hand, while they have been weakened for now, the Republicans seem to be standing firm and ready for Macron's eventual weakening. While the president himself is likely to survive the street protests, the prime minister could be sacked as a result. The Republicans might win back some of those who have backed LREM. It will depend on how many seats they manage to hold on to on Sunday and how many big names they lose as well. Former presidential hopeful and one of the younger, moderate faces of the party Nathalie Kosciusko-Morizet looks set to lose her seat, for instance. Those who are more on the centre-right have chosen to support Macron for now – will this push the Republicans further to the right to occupy the space that a weak National Front seems to be vacating? Time will tell.
3. For Europe and Brexit
With Marine Le Pen as Emmanuel Macron's main opponent in the presidential race, the EU played a central role in both of their campaigns. An ardent EU supporter, Macron made it clear that he is pro-integration, but favours institutional reform rather than an acceptance of the status quo. His long-term objective is to convince Germany to change tack on the Eurozone and adopt a more growth-friendly stance, as well as some form of mutualisation of risks. It is an agenda that is already largely in line with what the European Commission has recently proposed: a Eurozone budget for countries respecting fiscal rules and reform commitments and a Eurozone finance minister under Eurozone MEP scrutiny.
Macron's EU reform ambitions are another reason why he is adamant on pushing through economic reforms to the labour market early on in his mandate. The hope is that by proving he is serious about reform domestically, he will be able to convince Merkel to make concessions on more ambitious EU institutional reforms. The timing is ripe for such a debate in Germany too given the upcoming election. Although Wolfgang Schäuble, the Finance Minister, is against treaty change, Merkel appears to be open to discussion.
In broader terms, Macron's wider vision is a "Europe that protects." Protection is defined in numerous ways:
Defence: he is in favour of pooling efforts and of an avant-garde with Germany
Stricter rules on free circulation of workers
A fight against tax optimisation (corporate tax harmonisation)
And, most importantly, defensive trade measures: a tougher EU stance against dumping; a 'Buy European Act' reserving public procurement contracts to companies locating half their production in the EU; EU control of foreign investments in strategic sectors, etc. Macron is not necessarily opposed to new free trade agreements, but he wants to ensure social and environmental standards feature highly.
On Brexit, Macron does not deviate much from the EU27 script: the exit must be negotiated before the new relationship; EU unity is paramount; there can be no Single Market access à la carte for the UK. He has been particularly clear on removing the financial services passport. One area specific to France which could throw up some tensions is related to UK border controls. This could be a thorny issue as renegotiation of the agreement has been floated.
However, it is worth remembering that Macron is a business-friendly anglophile with more a deal-breaker profile than Hollande. In Westminster in February 2017, he talked about a "special relationship" between the UK, France and the EU, stressing "mutual interests over the long term." Direct, frank discussions with Theresa May and Angela Merkel after the German elections in the autumn are thus quite likely. Ultimately, it is in France's interests to guarantee a smooth transition towards tariff-free trade and light customs procedures.
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The People's Verdict: Adding Informed Citizen Voices to Public Decision-making


The Hyperlink Analyzer is a development tool to ease Hyperlink system development efforts providing enhanced debug and diagnostic capabilities, as well as real-time monitoring of application performance. The HyperLink Analyzer provides the ability to read local HyperLink configuration registers and monitor HyperLink application performance in real-time. The HyperLink Analyzer Kit consists of a HyperLink evaluation core, HyperLink Analyzer Hardware Module, and PC software application which includes a graphical user interface.
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