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Meet Soros-Funded Domestic Terrorist Brett Kimberlin Whose 'Job' Is Terrorizing Bloggers Into Silence
by The Instigator
Categories: Lamestream Media, MarxistWatch(TM), News: Legal, Personal Freedom & Liberty, Terror & Civil Unrest
Published on: May 26, 2012
Original Article Link - Meet Soros-Funded Domestic Terrorist Brett Kimberlin Whose 'Job' Is Terrorizing Bloggers Into Silence
Drug dealer, alleged child molester, and convicted perjurer, forger and Indiana Speedway Bomber (who is also believed to have played a role in the assassination of a grandmother), Brett Kimberlin, spent 17 years in prison before his ultimate re-absorption into American society
He started a non-profit dubbed "Justice Through Music (JTM)" that has, since at least 2005, been funded by George Soros' Tides Foundation and Barbara Streisand among other leftists
Along with his associate, Kimberlin also started an organization called "Velvet Revolution" that supports the Occupy movement
JTM's goal is to use music to foster "social justice" and fight Republican "voter fraud" (like the kind George Bush allegedly used to "steal" the Florida election)
Any blogger — conservative and liberal alike — who has written the truth about Kimberlin has come under vicious attack by either Kimberlin or his minions, suffering death threats (veiled and unveiled), multiple lawsuits, loss of jobs and worse
He has filed over 100 frivolous lawsuits against anything that isn't nailed down and somehow is being allowed to continue unchecked
This story has never been reported on in the mainstream media
Be prepared to enter an alternate universe, bizarre beyond any stretch of what you thought possible. And then keep reading, because this may be one of the most important exposés published on The Blaze to date. It will explain in frightening detail what it means to speak the truth at the expense of losing all you hold dear. And will reveal how easy it has been for one convicted domestic terrorist — backed by George Soros and Barbara Streisand alike — to use the U.S. legal system, as well as less desirable channels, to silence those who have dared tell the story of one Brett Kimberlin, a.k.a. the "Speedway Bomber."
How immutable are our First Amendment rights? Would they remain so even under the most dire conditions? There are about half a dozen bloggers who, at this very moment in time, are finding out just that, after having been subject to: death threats, blackmail, extortion, numerous frivolous lawsuits, cyber-attacks of email and social networking accounts and become the target of smear campaigns that have led to their firing until ultimately discovering that others who came before them, have turned up dead.
(Related: Kimberlin Victims Aaron Walker and Patrick Frey Tell Beck About Harassment, 'SWATting')
Move over Ayers, there's a not-so-new domestic terrorist in town
What follows is the unbelievable yet non-fictional tale of a left-wing ex-con with an extensive rap-sheet who, since his release from prison, has led the crusade against Republican "voter fraud" while simultaneously making it his life's mission to threaten, brutalize, shakedown, sue, slander and generally terrorize any writer — conservative and liberal alike — who dares speak plainly about his checkered past. The post is lengthy, as there is much ground to cover where Kimberlin's past is concerned, but the information is pertinent to understanding how and why he began brutalizing bloggers with whom he disagrees. Following this background, we will review the shocking accounts of two of his latest victims.
For reasons unknown, the far-left seems to have a penchant for throwing their full-fledged support — emotional, political and financial — behind domestic terrorists (see: Bill Ayers) and their latest protege is no exception. Also known as the "Speedway Bomber," Kimberlin set an Indiana town ablaze with a series of coordinated bombings in 1978, ultimately resulting in one man's suicide (this was proven in a subsequent court case) after his limbs were irreparably damaged in the explosion.
Kimberlin v. White, 7 F.3d 527 (6th Cir. 1993) relates what happened to the man during the six-day bombing spree:
In the worst incident, Kimberlin placed one of his bombs in a gym bag, and left it in a parking lot outside Speedway High School. CarlDeLong was leaving the high school football game with his wife when he attempted to pick up the bag and it exploded. The blast tore off his lower right leg and two fingers, and embedded bomb fragments in his wife's leg. He was hospitalized for six weeks, during which he was forced to undergo nine operations to complete the amputation of his leg, reattach two fingers, repair damage to his inner ear, and remove bomb fragments from his stomach, chest, and arm. In February 1983, he committed suicide.
Kimberlin was convicted of thirty three felony counts including illegal use of a Department of Defense insignia, and the Presidential Seal, both of which were used to procure the hard-to-come-by explosives used in the bombings.
While he went on to serve seventeen years in prison, Kimberlin's time behind bars only helped him hone his skills of "persuasion" by earning a law degree, which he appears to use often and indiscriminately. The suicide victim's widow ultimately sued Kimberlin several years later, winning a civil judgement in which she was awarded $1.6 million. He absconded from the debt, however, landing him back in prison for a spell.
But what was the motivation behind Kimberlin's rampage? Was he railing against war, or the rich, or the evil Western empire? The answer is more twisted than one can even imagine — and oddly, isn't political at all.
Suspected motivation
In what ultimately became the biography of a conman — "Citizen K" — respected journalist and author Mark Singer shared the details of his bewildering journey with Kimberlin, who had actually signed on to the book thinking Singer would portray him in a favorable light. What the author discovered, however, was the twisted web of deceit in which Kimberlin dwelled. Ultimately, Singer was able to piece together much about the likely catalyst for Kimberlin's bombing-spree. A description of the book provides background:
This book relates a journalist's worst nightmare: of getting deeply involved in a "big story" based on information from a single source who turns out to be a world-class liar. During the 1992 Presidential campaign Singer wrote a story for the New Yorker about the allegations by Brett Kimberlin, a former marijuana dealer then in prison for a series of bombings, that he had once sold marijuana to Vice President Dan Quayle. [...] After signing a book contract to expand the story, Singer invested more and more time, and became frustrated by holes, inconsistencies and dead ends in Kimberlin's tale. Embroiled in a Kafkaesque mystery, Singer recounts his painstaking journalistic detective work, and his growing sense that this would be the story that got away.
Based on this detective work — supported by historical record — Singer concluded that the Speedway bombings were not politically motivated at all, but were rather meant to serve as a distraction from yet another crime that had taken place shortly beforehand.
The Indy Star reported that on July 29, 1978, Speedway resident Julia Scyphers, 65, answered a knock at her door only to find a strange man who claimed he was interested in purchasing items she had recently tried to sell at a yard sale. Scyphers let the man into her garage to show him the items and he "shot her in the head." Her husband came out in time to see the perpetrator's car and catch a glimpse of the man himself.
When police began looking for a motive in the Scyphers slaying, they found there'd been a recent family clash. Julia Scyphers' daughter, Sandra Barton, had become involved with a man who seemed to Mrs. Scyphers to be inordinately close to one of Barton's young daughters. Mrs. Scyphers told friends she was so concerned that she'd arranged for both of her granddaughters to come live with her. Whether or not Mrs. Scyphers' fears were correct (no charges were ever filed to that effect), this incident led investigators to start looking at Brett C. Kimberlin.
Through pieces of information gathered from news reports, police records and descriptions from Singer's book, it is suspected that Kimberlin had engaged in an inappropriate relationship with Sandra Barton's daughter, Jessica, who was only 10-years-old when Kimberlin met her (he knew her for a number of years). Her grandmother, Julia Scyphers, had attempted to thwart the relationship in any way she could, even by allegedly sending a handyman to change the locks on her daughter's front door. When Kimberlin discovered Scyphers' interference, he complained to the building management that he was being "harassed" (a meme that would later become all-too familiar to Kimberlin). While evidence has ruled out that Kimberlin himself pulled the trigger, it is believed by some that an associate committed the murder at Kimberlin's behest.
As the heat against Kimberlin began to mount in the Scyphers slaying, he arranged a series of bombings that would take police attention away from the case at hand. Ironically, Singer's book also describes how Kimberlin, after being apprehended for the Speedway bombings, plotted for another person to plant identical bombs around town in order to give the appearance that the suspect was still at large.
With a rap-sheet that includes forgery, perjury, drug dealing, domestic terrorism and possible murder and child molestation, the future actions of the man many consider a "sociopath" and pathological liar become less-surprising.
Justice Through Music and Velvet Revolution
Ironically, the man whose credibility is in question now makes a "living" by calling into question, the credibility of others. Today, Kimberlin is the director and founder of "Justice Through Music (JTM)," a non-profit organization that "uses famous musicians and bands to organize, educate and activate young people about the importance of civil rights, human rights and voting." Since 2005, JTM collected $1.8 million in contributions from an illustrious list of donors including the George Soros-funded Tides Foundation, liberal songstress Barbara Streisand and Senator John Kerry's wife, Teresa Heinz-Kerry.
JTM claims that it has registered countless people to vote using "cutting edge technology in order to effect change through the ballot box."
"We support the aspirations of youth worldwide to be free to express themselves, and we take a stand against oppressive regimes that suppress freedom and deprive citizens of basic human rights," Kimberlin's website continues.
In an article detailing Kimberlin's "thinly veiled" tax documents, Ed Barnes expained how the 58-year-old Bethesda, Md., resident is raising a steady stream of money from the left in return for promising to put conservative bloggers out of business.
Kimberlin had, as of 2010, called for the arrest of Karl Rove, Andrew Breitbart, Chamber of Commerce head Tom Donohue, Massey Energy Chairman Don Blankenship and now, conservative bloggers Patrick Frey, Aaron Walker and others. Barnes asks if a review of tax filings for Kimberlin's "Velvet Revolution" and "Justice Through Music" raises "troubling questions" about whether his 'nonprofit' operation is dedicated to public activism or is "just a new facade for a longtime con artist."
Though neither website publicly reveals Kimberlin's role, tax and corporate documents show that he is one of four directors who incorporated the Velvet Revolution, and that he is the registered agent for the tax-exempt, non-stock company, which is registered at his mother's house in Bethesda.
Velvet Revolution is Kimberlin's other enterprise dedicated to furthering a leftwing agenda. What is perhaps most galling, however, is the description on its website:
Velvet Revolution is a term coined to describe the peaceful road to change in countries where governments ignored the inalienable rights of the people. A few inspiring Velvet Revolutions occurred in the former Soviet Union, East Germany, Czechoslovakia, South Africa, Ukraine, Egypt, Tunisia and other countries.
It is interesting that Kimberlin mentions the Soviet Union. Is that because he is seeking to emulate its policies on free speech?
Indeed, anyone who has dared to question why a reputed terrorist is given legitimacy, a steady stream of money, and a platform with which he can influence young, impressionable voters, is repaid in spades by Kimberlin and his minions.
A recent picture of Kimberlin posted on the JTM website. Ironically, he is the one holding up the "peace" sign.
The shakedown
While the above information provides background, the heart of this story lies with those who have become the target of Kimberlin's scorn — that is to say, any blogger who has mentioned truthful elements about the ex-con's past.
Los Angeles County Assistant District Attorney Patrick Frey who blogs under the moniker "Patterico," started writing about Kimberlin in October of 2010 after the late conservative pundit Andrew Breitbart noted the hypocrisy of Kimberlin's business partner, Brad Friedman, in scorning the "tactics" of James O'Keefe when he went undercover to expose ACORN voter fraud. Shortly thereafter, Frey received an email from Kimberlin threatening to sue if he did not retract his story. Since the Speedway Bomber was unable to prove why any of Frey's entries were untrue, he decided to escalate the situation to unthinkable heights.
According to the account, Kimberlin proceeded to call Frey's secretaries, telling them that the assistant district attorney was a "racist, a homophobe, and a stalker" and that he would be filing a restraining order against him. The convicted perjurer subsequently filed a complaint with state bar association as well, a move that was heavily publicized by Kimberlin-accomplice and Democratic consultant Neal Raushauser.
To illustrate just how sue-happy Kimberlin is, he once sued a pornographer for selling him pornography that was not provocative enough. Yes, we forgot to mention that Kimberlin was in that business too.
That is not where it ended for Frey, however, not by a long shot. Soon, his home address, along with Google earth and satellite images of it were published on Kimberlin's other website Occupy for Accountability. As it turns out, a favorite tactic of the Speedway Bomber, according to those who have felt his wrath, is to stalk his "rivals," particularly their wives, children and parents and post personal information about them, including their home address, online. He allegedly follows the move on occasion with blog posts detailing how he fears for their lives.
While difficult to imagine, the situation gets worse.
The SWAT Team at your door
While the evidence is thus far only circumstantial, Frey believes that based on key elements and the Kimberlin disciples involved, it is more than likely that the Speedway Bomber was behind yet another unspeakable attack — this one far worse than those that preceded it.
Essentially, a yet-to-be identified man (but one who sounds much like a Kimberlin associate, according to Frey) placed a call to law enforcement on the early morning hours of July 1, 2011, to announce that he had just shot his wife. The man then proceeded to give the operator Frey's home address. Of course, the call was intended to make it look like Frey had just confessed to murdering his wife at his home. Just after midnight, a SWAT team descended on Frey's doorstep, screaming at the top of their lungs for the attorney to place his hands behind his head. They arrested him and dragged him to the patrol car while simultaneously dragging his wife out of bed.
"I could have been killed," Frey told The Blaze in an interview as he recalled the disturbing story. He explained that he was only "99% in shock" because a similar incident had happened to someone else just one week prior, and likely for similar reasons.
Three days later Frey told me that Raushauser penned a piece in the Daily Kos (from which he has since been ousted) detailing how he was engaged in a "cyber-stalking" campaign against Kimberlin.
Ultimately, Frey admitted that he is disappointed with the way the investigation unfolded as it took nearly seven months for officials to obtain copies of the phone records that would determine who in fact had placed that fateful call. In the end the case was closed rather unceremoniously.
Please listen below to the chilling audio of the call that sent a SWAT team to Frey's door:
It is important to note that this extreme form of harassment, dubbed "SWATting" can actually get people killed.
Frey explains:
SWATting is a particularly dangerous hoax in which a caller, generally a computer hacker, calls a police department to report a shooting at the home of his enemy. The caller will place this call to the police department's business line, using Skype or a similar service, and hiding behind Internet proxies to make the call impossible to trace. Anxious police, believing they are responding to the home of an armed and dangerous man, show up at the front door pointing guns and screaming orders.
So who perpetrated this heinous crime against Frey and his family? On his blog, the Assistant D.A. writes:
But there is circumstantial evidence suggesting who may be responsible. I met personally with the nationwide experts on swatting in December 2011: the FBI office in Dallas, Texas. They told me that swatting is an extreme form of harassment — and that swatters typically combine swatting with other forms of harassment, including: complaining to the victim's workplace, defaming the victim online, "Googlebombing" the victim, publishing the victim's address online, filing phony reports of criminal activity by the victim, and so forth.
He goes on to explain that all of the above forms of harassment have happened to him and other critics of Kimberlin since July 2011. "The harassment has been relentless and has occurred almost every day," Frey writes.
"It would literally take a book to catalogue it all. What you read in this post, incredibly, is only part of it."
Now meet Kimberlin sycophant Ron Brynaert, a self-described journalist who has taken to harrassing and threatening Frey and his wife in a rather explicit manner. Consider the following tweets from Brynaert:
That looks like "journalistic intergrity" in action, doesn't it?
On his blog, Frey notes that Brynaert has been a guest blogger at The Brad Blog, run by Kimberlin's business partner Brad Friedman and was for years the editor of a Raw Story, a publication that has teamed up with the Brad Blog to produce Friedman's radio show. He also claims to be friends with Friedman.
Since Frey has had conversations with Brynaert, he is familiar with the sound of his voice. While it has yet to be proven by voice recognition software (which law enforcement has thus far refused to perform) it became apparent to Frey after listening to the audio (featured above) of the erroneous murder confession, that it could very well have been Brynaert who placed the call to law enforcement.
In terms of legal recourse, the assistant D.A. said that while he could sue for defamation, he observes the failures of law enforcement and believes that the justice system — civil or criminal — will not do anything about this unless he [Kimberlin] hurts or kills someone."
At the end of the day, what is most important to Frey is that Americans around the country discover what one terrorist is doing to silence free speech and to realize that this is not a "partisan issue." While Kimberlin may use leftist politics to secure his cash-flow, Frey believes the bomber is apolitical, and is engaged in this behavior simply out of monetary greed and his own self-interest.
"This is a story about how someone can use this brass-knuckles reputation management by going after anyone who criticizes him." And that should be a concern for everyone, regardless of their political bent.
For more details about Pat Frey and the unspeakable ordeal he has suffered, please visit Patterico here.
Battling perpetual lawsuits
Aaron Walker, who sometimes blogs as "Aaron Worthing," is another attorney and also one of Kimberlin's latest victims. After being tormented since last December Walker and his family only seek justice.
After providing legal advice to Seth Allen, a staunch liberal who also drew Kimberlin's ire after writing truthfully about him, Kimberlin wrote to Walker, requesting that he ask Allen to waive the attorney-client privilege between them. This would, in Kimberlin's mind, allow Walker to testify against Allen. When Walker — who was blogging anonymously at the time — refused, that was when Kimberlin's vendetta began.
Inevitably, Kimberlin won a default judgement against Allen but that was not enough. "The next thing I know, he places a motion to reveal my identity," Walker told The Blaze.
"All he wanted was my identity," he added. In the end, Kimberlin got it and made certain that Walker's full name, address, high school, Yale attendance, name and address of employer as well as family information was in black and white for the world to see. Walker attempted to seal the record, but each time, Kimberlin would file a motion to unseal the record.
When the two finally encountered one another after court, Kimberlin boasted that he had been successful in his goal of exposing the identity of Aaron Walker and then held up an iPad. Not knowing if it was another bomb, or intended to be used as a weapon, Walker took the iPad out of Kimberlin's hand and kept it away until sheriff's deputies arrived and rectified the matter.
In his trademark fashion, the bomber then twisted the story, concocting a claim that Walker had savagely "decked" him and that the skirmish was so bad, it had to be broken up by bystanders. The incident did draw courthouse security.
Kimberlin then filed second-degree assault charges against Walker that carry a sentence of up to ten years. Eventually video of the incident proved that the attorney never laid a finger on Kimberlin but it did not stop the Walkers from paying thousands of dollars in legal costs to prepare.
Thus far, the State's Attorney, while he was encouraged to do so, has not filed charges against Kimberlin for having lied under oath about the assault.
All the while, Kimberlin has kept filing responses to unseal Walker's records and has even published identifying details about Walker's home. Eerily, the Internet-terrorist has written to law enforcement about his "fear" that Walker or his neighbors might get killed.
As a result, Walker and his wife both lost their jobs. While Walker's former employer never divulged the real reason for the termination, he believes the move was made out of fear.
"They are terrified of this guy," Walker told me. So afraid in fact, that when his former employer thought Walker might come back to work to collect his belongings (even though he did not), they felt that major police presence was required. "They wouldn't even let us back in to get my books."
He said that while he understands their fear, the company's move to let him go and not stand by an innocent person who had been through such an ordeal "was disheartening."
Since then, Kimberlin has filed yet another harassment lawsuit, or series of suits against Walker, based on half-truths and distortions from comments taken out of context. Somehow, the court system is "surprisingly [allowing Kimberlin] to get away with it."
Still, Walker vowed to push forward, and says he'd even go to prison if he had to in his effort to stand his ground and not succumb to the slander and intimidation of someone who has made his life's work an act, and art, of terror.
"I will take it to the Supreme Court if I have to," the attorney said firmly.
Kimberlin, who Walker labels a clear sociopath, once threateningly warned the attorney: "I would suggest, Mr. Walker, that you just leave me alone."
To which Walker replied, "I'll continue to tell the truth about you."
It is important to note that given the background and tactics involved, Frey, Walker, and other bloggers like Robert Stacy McCain are legitimately fearful for their safety and the safety of their family members. Thus far, Kimberlin has been allowed to terrorize members of the blogosphere as there has been little push-back from mainstream media or even free speech advocates. Perhaps with greater media exposure, this brazen assault on free speech will be arrested in its tracks. For more detailed accounts of Walker's experience, please visit his blog here.
Friday, May 25th, has officially been dubbed: "blog about Brett Kimberlin day." With this in mind we will continue coverage, as Walker and Frey are only two of the domestic terrorist's victims, and there is more to Kimberlin's outfits, associates, and benefactors than meets the eye.
Editor's note: This post has been updated for accuracy and with information about Ron Brynaert.
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@Clarknt67 @wewintheylose @ifollowhate You lie. You wrote to me "Gives you more time for your wide stance meetings with Larry Craig" LIAR.Tuesday, 05.29.12 01:24
@ifollowHATE @WeWinTheyLose @Clarknt67 Clarknt67 is gay and he stoops to calling others gay that disagree with him. Why do that? It is sick.Tuesday, 05.29.12 01:08
@ifollowHATE @wewintheylose @nomupdate I am saying that YOU are mentally ill for picking fights and then claiming to be the victim. Sick.Tuesday, 05.29.12 00:50
Video: Maggie Gallagher on Threats to Religious Liberty Posed by Gay "Marriage" http://t.co/GTvTag9u via @sharethisMonday, 05.28.12 17:34
NHS removes word 'Dad' from pregnancy handbook (In UK - USA Next!) http://t.co/Y88yFJgQMonday, 05.28.12 17:31
Euro-zone Crisis Will Hit Russia Hard http://t.co/JrUMrW39Monday, 05.28.12 17:27
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Breitbart Is Here: Late Conservative Hero Admired Ted Cruz's Fighting Spirit http://t.co/RCxqwaFoMonday, 05.28.12 16:57
@ifollowHATE @wewintheylose @nomupdate What comes from me is the ability to say NO to the mental illness you represent. Live with it sicko.Monday, 05.28.12 16:47
Union Statistics: What You May Not Know http://t.co/C5icA7dHMonday, 05.28.12 13:19
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NHS removes word 'Dad… by The Instigator
Original Article Link - NHS removes word 'Dad' from pregnancy handbook (In UK – USA Next!)
Pregnancy booklet has been revised after a complaint
The complaint said it was excluding same-sex couples to use term 'dad'
Review identified 'need to use language that was more inclusive'
The Health Service has removed the word 'dad' from a pregnancy handbook for fear of offending gay and lesbian parents.
Officials decided to use the term 'partner' throughout the 200-page guide, titled Ready Steady Baby, after receiving a complaint that 'dad' was discriminating against same-sex couples.
But the omission of the word has angered some campaigners who claim that traditional family values are being undermined.
The NHS feared that the term 'dad' may offend same sex couples and therefore replaced it with 'partner' (picture is posed by models)
Norman Wells, of the Family Education Trust, said: 'This is all part of an agenda to present as natural a type of family that cannot be created by natural means.
'The NHS should not be squandering taxpayers' money to advance the cause of a minority interest group.
'No matter how much effort is made to present positive images of families headed by same-sex couples, the fact remains it takes a man and a woman to create a child.'
Robert Oxley, from the TaxPayers' Alliance, said: 'It's barmy that the NHS is wasting money reprinting guides because of a single complaint. Becoming a dad isn't synonymous with one type of couple so it seems ridiculous to worry about changing it.
'The NHS has bigger priorities than prescribing how to define who wants to be called dad.'
Although the guide is published by the NHS, it is given only to pregnant women in Scotland when they go to ante-natal classes. Expectant mothers in England are given a similar pamphlet, The Pregnancy Book.
A spokesman for the Department of Health, which produces it, said there were no plans to remove the word 'dad' from this guide.
A spokesman for NHS Health Scotland said it had been reviewing the wording anyway and had made several other changes. They confirmed it cost £100,000 to print 90,000 copies of the new version.
The spokesman added: 'It is standard practice to review publications on a yearly basis, if not more often. At the time this complaint was received the Ready Steady Baby text had just been through its annual review, changes made and the new edition was printed in December 2011.
'The review process identified the need to use language that was more inclusive, particularly in relation to same-sex partnerships.'
NHS Scotland has upset taxpayer organisation TaxpayerScotland with the reprinting of the pamphlet
Only last week a decision by the NHS to consider offering same-sex couples free fertility treatment angered some campaigners. NICE, the NHS watchdog, issued draft guidelines stating that gay and lesbian couples should be offered one cycle of IVF – as long as they had already tried to have a baby six times previously through a private clinic.
For the first time the guidelines also stated that women aged 40 to 42 should be offered IVF treatment on the NHS.
But Josephine Quintavalle, founder of the group Comment on Reproductive Ethics, described the same-sex move as 'absurd'. 'We are not prepared to accept what constitutes fertility from a biological perspective,' she said.
'Fertility treatment is very important but in this case what we are trying to do is rewrite biology.'
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Euro-zone Crisis Will Hit R… by The Instigator
Original Article Link - Euro-zone Crisis Will Hit Russia Hard
The political collapse in Greece and Moody's downgrade of the rankings of 16 Spanish banks at once have led to the decline in stock indexes all over the world. In Russia, the head of the Central Bank, Sergei Ignatiev, showed an optimistic reaction to such unpleasant news. Making a speech at the government last week, the official urged everyone not to panic. According to him, Russia is prepared to the crisis much better than it was four years ago.
Economists say, though, that there are no reasons for optimism. The country is prepared for the new wave of the crisis much worse than it was in 2008. Should something happen to the oil prices, everyone will feel the consequences very soon.
Aleksei Ulyukayev, first deputy chairman of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation, does not believe that the world economic crisis may occur again either. He believes that Russia entered the period of high degree of volatility and is going to stay there for years. It means that the probability of local crises (sovereign debt, stock markets) is rather high. However, one should not expect a decline similar to that in 2008, Ulyukayev said.
Russian experts with the Higher School of Economics compared the state of affairs in the Russian economy in the first quarter of 2012 with the results of the first quarter of 2008. The current economic situation is worse, they concluded.
The research, which the experts conducted, showed that the state of affairs with the foreign debt was better, whereas the growth of the bank crediting was based on the financial support from the Central Bank, rather than on deposits or foreign borrowings, as it was in 2008.
There are reasons for worries, indeed. The outflow of capital from Russia in April made up $7 billion, and the process may continue in May. "In this connection, the optimism of the head of the Central Bank looks more than just strange," experts concluded.
Russia becomes more and more dependent on the oil prices, they added. The level of the oil and gas deficit remains near 10% GDP, and it can not be cut during the forthcoming years.
Even if oil prices drop moderately to $80 per barrel, the volume of the Reserve Fund lwill not let the Russian economy stay afloat for at least one year. Th budget obligations can be fulfilled only if oil prices grow by 8-9 percent annually.
Experts also said that in order to realize grandiose plans, the government needs grandiose assets. The assets can be attracted only if the investment climate in the country improves. However, investors can see presumably negative signs.
The current outflow of capital is comparable to most critical quarters in 2008-2009. they have already exceeded the inflow observed four years ago twice.
In May, the Central Bank of Russia announced the stagnation of the banking sector, which occurred during the first quarter of 2012. The banks do not have the reserves to increase their credit offers. The currency instability is also obvious. The US dollar has gained two rubles to its cost since March 2012.
However, the Central Bank does not believe that the situation is alarming. Quite on the contrary, CB officials say that there is a healthy trend in Russia, which replaced the crazy recovery growth of the recent years, when the financial sector was growing by 20, 30 and even 50 percent. Central Bank officials say that the crisis in the eurozone can pose a risk to the Russian banking system, but such risks will be moderate and acceptable.
It is possible that the Central Bank does not want to cause panic in the country: the Russian market has been extremely nervous lately.
"Meaningful Work̶… by The Instigator
"Education" is a word that covers a lot of very different things, from vital, life-saving medical skills to frivolous courses to absolutely counterproductive courses that fill people with a sense of grievance and entitlement, without giving them either the skills to earn a living or a realistic understanding of the world required for a citizen in a free society.
The lack of realism among many highly educated people has been demonstrated in many ways.
When I saw signs in Yellowstone National Park warning visitors not to get too close to a buffalo, I realized that this was a warning that no illiterate farmer of a bygone century would have needed. No one would have had to tell him not to mess with a huge animal that literally weighs a ton, and can charge at you at 30 miles an hour.
No one would have had to tell that illiterate farmer's daughter not to stand by the side of a highway, trying to hitch a ride with strangers, as too many college girls have done, sometimes with results that ranged all the way up to their death.
The dangers that a lack of realism can bring to many educated people are completely overshadowed by the dangers to a whole society created by the unrealistic views of the world promoted in many educational institutions.
It was painful, for example, to see an internationally renowned scholar say that what low-income young people needed was "meaningful work." But this is a notion common among educated elites, regardless of how counterproductive its consequences may be for society at large, and for low-income youngsters especially.
What is "meaningful work"?
The underlying notion seems to be that it is work whose performance is satisfying or enjoyable in itself. But if that is the only kind of work that people should have to do, how is garbage to be collected, bed pans emptied in hospitals or jobs with life-threatening dangers to be performed?
Does anyone imagine that firemen enjoy going into burning homes and buildings to rescue people trapped by the flames? That soldiers going into combat think it is fun?
In the real world, many things are done simply because they have to be done, not because doing them brings immediate pleasure to those who do them. Some people take justifiable pride in working to take care of their families, whether or not the work itself is great.
Some of our more Utopian intellectuals lament that many people work "just for the money." They do not like a society where A produces what B wants, simply in order that B will produce what A wants, with money being an intermediary device facilitating such exchanges.
Some would apparently prefer a society where all-wise elites would decide what each of us "needs" or "deserves." The actual history of societies formed on that principle — histories often stained, or even drenched, in blood — is of little interest to those who mistake wishful thinking for idealism.
At the very least, many intellectuals do not want the poor or the young to have to take "menial" jobs. But people who are paying their own money, as distinguished from the taxpayers' money, for someone to do a job are unlikely to part with hard cash unless that job actually needs doing, whether or not that job is called "menial" by others.
People who lack the skills to take on more prestigious jobs can either remain idle and live as parasites on others or take the jobs for which they are currently qualified, and then move up the ladder as they acquire more experience. People who are flipping hamburgers at McDonald's on New Year's Day are seldom flipping hamburgers there when Christmas time comes.
Those relatively few statistics that follow actual flesh-and-blood individuals over time show them moving massively from one income bracket to another over time, starting at the bottom and moving up as they acquire skills and experience.
Telling young people that some jobs are "menial" is a huge disservice to them and to the whole society. Subsidizing them in idleness while they wait for "meaningful work" is just asking for trouble, both for them and for all those around them.
Thomas Sowell is a senior fellow at the Hoover Institution, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305. His website is www.tsowell.com. To find out more about Thomas Sowell and read features by other Creators Syndicate columnists and cartoonists, visit the Creators Syndicate Web page at www.creators.com.
Moscow Police Detain 40 As … by The Instigator
Original Article Link - Moscow Police Detain 40 As Gays Push for Parade
Gay activists tried to stage two demonstrations in Moscow on Sunday to demand the right to hold a gay pride parade in the Russian capital, but they were blocked first by Orthodox Christian opponents and then by police, who detained a total of about 40 people from both sides.
The gay activists first gathered outside the city council building, where a few scuffles occurred as their opponents tried to disrupt the demonstration, decrying homosexuality as a sin. After police broke up that protest, another group tried to stage a second protest at city hall, but once again police moved in and detained participants, including prominent gay rights activist Nikolai Alexeyev.
The majority of those detained were gay activists, but some of the Christian demonstrators also were pushed into police buses. Police said about 40 people were detained in all.
Homosexuality was decriminalized in Russia in 1993, but anti-gay sentiment remains strong.
Activists have long petitioned the Moscow government for permission to stage such a parade, but have always been denied. Former Mayor Yuri Luzhkov described gay parades as "satanic," while current Mayor Sergei Sobyanin has said he disapproves of gay gatherings because they could offend the religious beliefs of many Russians.
Gay activist Galina Kaptur criticized city authorities for treating homosexuality as a contagious disease that would be spread through society if gays were allowed to hold a parade.
"It's as if they thought that if all left-handed people held a parade, then afterward everyone would become left-handed," Kaptur said. "This is wrong."
Among the opponents of gay rights was Dmitry Tsarionov, who spoke to the crowd in front of a sign that said "Moscow is not Sodom."
"I will not allow perverts to bring the wrath of God onto our city," he said. "I want our children to live in a country where a sin that so awfully distorts human nature is not preached in schools."
This month, Alexeyev became the first person convicted under a new law in St. Petersburg, Russia's second-largest city, which makes it a crime to spread "gay propaganda" among minors. Alexeyev was charged after he picketed St. Petersburg's city hall with a placard that said "homosexuality is not a perversion." He was fined 5,000 rubles (about $170).
The Russian parliament is considering extending the measure nationwide, which gay activists say would make it even easier to ban their public demonstrations.
Gallup: Veterans Give Romne… by The Instigator
Original Article Link - Gallup: Veterans Give Romney Big Lead Over Obama
U.S. veterans, about 13% of the adult population and consisting mostly of older men, support Mitt Romney over Barack Obama for president by 58% to 34%, while nonveterans give Obama a four-percentage-point edge.
These data, from an analysis of Gallup Daily tracking interviews conducted April 11-May 24, show that 24% of all adult men are veterans, compared with 2% of adult women.
Obama and Romney are tied overall at 46% apiece among all registered voters in this sample. Men give Romney an eight-point edge, while women opt for Obama over Romney by seven points. It turns out that the male skew for Romney is driven almost entirely by veterans. Romney leads by one point among nonveteran men, contrasted with the 28-point edge Romney receives among male veterans.
The small percentage of female veterans in the U.S., in contrast to their male counterparts, do not differ significantly in their presidential vote choice from the vast majority of women who are not veterans.
The proportion of U.S. men who are armed forces veterans rises dramatically among those who are 60 and older. The military draft was in force in the U.S. from shortly before the U.S. entry into World War II until the early 1970s. A majority of men now 70 to 89 served in the military, including almost three-quarters of those aged 80 to 89. Less than a fifth of men younger than 50 have served in the military. There is little variation in military service among women across these age groups.
Age makes little substantive difference in the vote preferences of male veterans. Those younger than 50 are roughly as likely to support Romney as are those 60 and older. Male veterans aged 50 to 59 are slightly less skewed toward Romney, but still support him by a 15-point margin.
Veterans in the U.S. today are mostly male and two-thirds are aged 50 or older. In a population that is currently evenly split in its preferences for Barack Obama or Mitt Romney for president, veterans stand out for their 24-point preference for Romney. About a fourth of men are veterans, and it is their strong skew toward Romney that essentially creates the GOP candidate's leading position among men today. Among nonveteran men, Obama and Romney are essentially tied.
Why veterans are so strong in their preference for the Republican presidential candidate is not clear. Previous Gallup analysis has suggested that two processes may be at work. Men who serve in the military may become socialized into a more conservative orientation to politics as a result of their service. Additionally, men who in the last decades have chosen to enlist in the military may have a more Republican orientation to begin with.
Veterans' strong preference for Romney in this election occurs even though Romney himself is not a military veteran — though Obama shares this nonveteran status. This will be the first election since World War II in which neither major-party candidate is a veteran.
Barring unforeseen developments such as the re-institution of the military draft, the proportion of the male population in this country that will have served in the armed forces will decrease in the years ahead as the older population dominated by veterans dies off. These data suggest that Democrats could get an overall boost from this demographic phenomenon as these apparently reliable Republican voters become a smaller and smaller proportion of the population.
Survey MethodsResults are based on telephone interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking April 11-May 24, 2012, with a random sample of 43,352 adults, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia.
For results based on the total sample of national adults, one can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is ±1 percentage point.
Other results are based on telephone interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking April 11-May 24, 2012, with a random sample of 7,133 veterans, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. For results based on this sample, one can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is ±2 percentage points.
For results based on the sample of 3,327 veterans who are registered voters and asked the presidential election ballot question, one can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is ±2 percentage points.
The margin of error for other subsamples used in this analysis will vary, depending on sample size.
For more details on Gallup's polling methodology, visit www.gallup.com.
Religious freedom vs. Obamacare by The Instigator
Original Article Link - Religious freedom vs. Obamacare
More than 40 Catholic individuals, dioceses and universities have sued the Obama administration to prevent trampling of their First Amendment right to practice religion by forcing them to pay for abortifacients, sterilizations, contraception, devices and pills that would violate their religious beliefs.
We would be stunned and alarmed if the courts reject their arguments, grounded as they are in the constitutionally protected right to free exercise of religion.
But sadly, it's unsurprising that President Barack Obama's administration attempts such abuses. The administration also has distorted the Constitution to presume authority for dictating Americans buy a private insurance policy or pay a fine.
Both these egregious authoritarian mandates stem from the Affordable Care Act, which the administration uses to bludgeon the Constitution. We shudder to think what other constitutional violations lie ahead as the president's bureaucrats churn out more diktats
CARTOON BY LISA BENSON
under Obamacare, which doesn't take full force until 2014.
The media shamefully has downplayed the 43 Catholic lawsuits, despite the gravity of the potential infringement of rights.
"If this isn't 'news,' then there's no such thing as news," complained Brent Bozell, president of the Media Research Center, an advocacy group that monitors the press for liberal bias. "This is the worst bias by omission I have seen in the quarter century history of the Media Research Center. … They are now withholding news from the American people if it is harmful to the reelection of Barack Obama."
Indeed, the president's reelection campaign faces potential damage. We believe it likely the U.S. Supreme Court this year will strike down Obamacare as unconstitutional. Another 43 lawsuits promise to add to the negative fallout.
The administration this year already suffered a 9-0 ruling by the high court slapping down its attempt to dictate employment policies to a Lutheran School. The frightening inclinations of this administration are unmistakable.
"We do not seek to impose our religious beliefs on others," said Notre Dame University president John Jenkins. "We simply ask that the government not impose its values on the university when those values conflict with our religious teachings."
Breitbart Is Here: Late Con… by The Instigator
Original Article Link - Breitbart Is Here: Late Conservative Hero Admired Ted Cruz's Fighting Spirit
The late Andrew Breitbart saw in Ted Cruz the future of the conservative movement.
On paper, Cruz seems like someone out of central casting, perfectly put together to represent conservatism's future. His father fled oppression in Cuba for freedom in America. He grew up immersing himself in the works of Frederick Bastiat, F.A. Hayek, Ludwig von Mises, and Milton Friedman, earning scholarships by giving speeches about their ideas. He went to Princeton and Harvard law without losing the common touch. He racked up legal victories that helped defend the Second Amendment and America's sovereignty against the World Court.
But while Breitbart admired these things about Cruz, they were not why, after speaking with the conservative GOP Texas senate candidate (Texas's primary is on Tuesday) at what would be his last Conservative Political Action Conference, Breitbart told close friends and associates that Cruz represented conservatism's future.
It was because Breitbart saw in Cruz, first and foremost, a fighter who was fierce, principled, uncompromising, and relentless. These were the characteristics Breitbart first looked for and those who were a part of the "Army of Davids" had in spades.
Stephen K. Bannon, the filmmaker who was one of Breitbart's closest friends and whose movies have captured the fierce and patriotic spirit of Jacksonian Tea Partiers, always remembered how effusively Andrew Breitbart "admired the fact that Ted Cruz was a fighter and came from a family of fighters." Breitbart also knew, when he learned how Cruz had been "preaching the gospel of constitutional limited government since he was a teenager all across Texas," that fighting for constitutional conservatism was in Cruz's bones. He knew Cruz was the real deal and not a poseur.
Cruz told Breitbart News how proud he was "to call Andrew a friend" and recounted the hours they spent at the last CPAC of Breitbart's life.
"One of my favorite pastimes is scheming to defeat leftists, so understandably I'll always deeply appreciate the hours I spent with Andrew at CPAC this year engaging in what he did best," Cruz told Breitbart News. "Andrew was fearless in speaking truth to power. He had the vision and mastery to use cutting-edge tools to share conversations with the world to help advance the cause of liberty."
Other conservative leaders have also seen what Breitbart saw in Cruz. In fact, three of the fiercest conservatives are among his most enthusiastic supporters.
Former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin, when endorsing Cruz, wrote, "Your conservative principles, passionate defense of our Constitution and our free market system come at a time when these cornerstones of our freedom and prosperity are under attack. Our shared goal isn't just to change the majority in control of the Senate, but to assure principled conservatives like you are there to fight for us."
Talk radio host Mark Levin, when he endorsed Cruz in 2011, said he would "fight profligate spending," "only appoint originalists to the court," and, most importantly, "do it without prodding."
And Sen. Jim DeMint (R-S.C.), who has almost single-handedly willed the Senate to become more conservative, came on board early. His conservative brigade in the Senate — Mike Lee (R-Utah), Pat Toomey (R-Pa.), and Rand Paul (R-Ky.) — enthusiastically got on board too.
Three particular things stand out in Cruz's background that make conservatives feel comfortable that he is a conservative before a Republican. Cruz, as Texas's Solicitor General, "stood up against 90 nations to guarantee the right for Texas and the United States to carry out justice for a brutal murderer and rapist, without being subject to the laws of the World Court" by representing "Texas before the U.S. Supreme Court in Medellin v. Texas, which upheld U.S. sovereignty and held that the World Court cannot bind the U.S. justice system and the President cannot order the state courts to obey the World Court."
He also, in the landmark Second Amendment case that overturned the unconstitutional ban on gun rights in Washington, D.C., led a coalition of 31 states in filing a brief. He also "sued the federal government, on behalf of Texas and four other States, to strike down portions of the Medicare Prescription Drug program as an unconstitutional intrusion in the sovereign authority of the States."
These accomplishments are highly touted by his campaign and website — and rightfully so. To conservatives who were dismayed by domestic programs enacted by the Republican Congress — and George W. Bush — during the 2000s, Cruz directly took on Republicans and the Bush Administration.
Most notable about Cruz's Campaign, though, has been the supporters he has drawn. His fiercest supporters are those who would feel at home in Breitbart's anti-establishment "Army of Davids."
One such supporter is Texas Tea Party leader Katrina Pierson, who has fiercely and relentlessly advocated on Cruz's behalf on Twitter and all throughout Texas, often driving to candidate forums and debates.
Texan Michelle McCormick (@TexMex817) referred to Pierson (@KatrinaPierson) as a Twitter "ninja" andtweeted, "A candidate who has @KatrinaPierson in his corner is much happier than the candidates who [don't]…"
This was quite the compliment coming from McCormick, a fierce citizen activist who trekked from Texas to Iowa on the weekends — and then took a leave from her job to temporarily plant herself in Iowa — to lay the groundwork for a potential Sarah Palin presidential candidacy in 2012 even though she had no assurances or guarantees that Palin would run.
McCormick, who many consider to be one of the best newcomers into the political arena — she was drawn into it by Palin and the Tea Party movement — knows a fighter when she sees one.
Pierson first met Cruz nearly two years ago at a fundraiser, but Cruz earned her fierce support, which she does not give lightly, over a series of forums and events. Pierson adds that Dewhurst skipped 35 events over the course of the campaign put on by conservative, grassroots groups across Texas who, as she said, are "in the weeds" of local government.
"I have met Ted, his courageous father Rafael, and his charming wife Heidi," Pierson told Breitbart News. "Ted and his family have achieved the American dream in a manner of which most Americans have only read about."
Pierson said "most of us spend our days working in our American office environments and tending to our families in a free country" but Cruz's father, Rafael, "fled communist Cuba after fighting in the war, being beaten and tortured in prison, bribed out by his father and fled to the United States with a one hundred dollar bill in his underwear." Pierson said she was struck when she heard Cruz's father say, "I fled from Cuba; there is nowhere to flee from here."
"This is not the kind of appreciation that most people have for liberty," Pierson said. "Tyranny is not just some illusion that exists on cable news. The Cruz family has an understanding of the importance of preserving freedom."
Pierson said Cruz appealed to her and conservatives and Tea Partiers across Texas because he has "fought and won in the U.S. Supreme Court," and "fought and won Texas's sovereignty."
"We need someone who has fought and won for our state and our nation against foreign attempts to change our laws," Pierson said, and, while acknowledging that lawyers are maligned, added, "conservatives need lawyers too."
Pierson told Breitbart News that the government needs a massive overhaul, and "it is time for constitutional conservatism to be reintroduced to American society."
"It is time to elect senators that fight on the floor instead of phoning it in," Pierson said. "We need statesmen who has achieved the American dream and not an elitist who has never had to work a real job, writing laws that create separate classes of citizens, exempting themselves from policies, and enforcing only the laws that are politically expedient for their future."
"What Texas needs is a Constitutional Conservative fighter," Pierson said. "Every problem facing this country can be solved by electing people who will create laws based on the Constitution, and governing accordingly."
Upon learning of Breitbart's tragic passing, Cruz tweeted, "@AndrewBreitbart was a friend, and best way we can honor his inspirational & unique legacy is by continuing to carry the torch of freedom."
What Cruz may not have fully known was that he was one of the people Breitbart hoped would carry the torch of freedom for conservatives.
Union Statistics: What You … by The Instigator
Original Article Link - Union Statistics: What You May Not Know
The folks at UnionFacts.com have a 'vital statistics' page that provides some good information about unions that many Americans may not know. Here is just some of the information:
Annual Dues Paid to Unions: $8,217,838,676
Total Union Assets: $8,804,794,935
Total Spending
Representational Activities: $4,081,097,858
Political Activities: $579,624,489
External Contributions: $321,121,214
Overhead: $3,905,927,269
Unions that fail to pass Department of Labor audits: 92%
Percentage of Employees that Voted for their union: Less than 10%
Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and the National Labor Relations Board indicates that less than 10 percent of currently unionized employees voted for the union in their workplace.
Union Officials
Total union officers and staff members: 173,503 people
Total compensation paid to union officials and officers: $1,141,540,980
Total compensation paid to union employees: $2,562,757,481
Major Unions with White Presidents: 94%
Major Unions with Male Presidents: 89%
Labor Law Violations
Unfair Labor Practices filed against unions in the last 10 years: 65,529
Duty of Fair Representation 32,235
Hiring Halls 2,236
Actions of Picketers 1,742
Union Security Related (including Beck) 1,636
Coercive Statements 1,376
Source: National Labor Relations Board Case Activity Tracking System database.
Union Membership as a percentage of total U.S. Labor Force
Total Union Members: 14.7 Million
Percentage of Workforce that is Unionized: 11.9%
Private Sector Employees: 7.0 million (6.9%)
Public Sector Employees: 7.6 million (36.2%)
Source: UnionStats.com analysis of Bureau of Labor Statistics ' Current Population Survey.
Polls on Gay "Marriag… by The Instigator
Original Article Link - Polls on Gay "Marriage" Not Yet Reflected in Votes (But The Polls CAN'T Be Wrong!)
Poll after poll shows public support for same-sex marriage steadily increasing, to the point where it's now a majority viewpoint. Yet in all 32 states where gay marriage has been on the ballot, voters have rejected it.
It's possible the streak could end in November, when Maine, Maryland, Minnesota and Washington state are likely to have closely contested gay marriage measures on their ballots.
For now, however, there remains a gap between the national polling results and the way states have voted. It's a paradox with multiple explanations, from political geography to the likelihood that some conflicted voters tell pollsters one thing and then vote differently.
"It's not that people are lying. It's an intensely emotional issue," said Amy Simon, a pollster based in Oakland, Calif. "People can report to you how they feel at the moment they're answering the polls, but they can change their mind."
California experienced that phenomenon in November 2008, when voters, by a 52-48 margin, approved a ban on same-sex marriage in the state constitution. A statewide Field Poll that September indicated Proposition 8 would lose decisively; an updated poll a week before the vote still showed it trailing by 5 percentage points.
California is an unusual case. It's one of a few reliably Democratic states that have had a statewide vote rebuffing same-sex marriage. The vast majority of the referendums have been in more conservative states, which have a greater predilection for using ballot measures to set social policy. The 32 states that have rejected gay marriage at the polls make up just over 60 percent of the U.S. population.
Voters in liberal states such as Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut and New York, where gay marriage was legalized by judges or legislators, might vote to affirm those decisions but haven't had the opportunity.
Most of the states that voted against gay marriage did so between 2004 and 2008. Since then, only Maine in 2009 and North Carolina on May 8 have rebuffed same-sex marriage in referendums, while legislatures in Washington state, Maryland, New Jersey, Hawaii, New York, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, Illinois and Delaware have voted for same-sex marriage or civil unions.
In all, there are now six states with legal same-sex marriage and nine more granting gay and lesbian couples broad marriage-style rights via civil unions or domestic partnerships. Together, those 15 states account for about 35 percent of the U.S. population.
Over the past year, there's been a stream of major national polls indicating that a majority of people support same-sex marriage. According to a Washington Post-ABC News poll released Wednesday, 53 percent of those questioned say gay marriage should be legal, a new high for the poll, while 39 percent, a new low, say it should be illegal.
Political consultant Frank Schubert, a leading strategist for campaigns against same-sex marriage in California and elsewhere, said such polls are misleading and he asserted that same-sex marriage would be rejected if a national referendum were held now.
"The pollsters are asking if same-sex marriage should be legal or illegal, and that phrasing is problematic because it implies some government sanction against same-sex couples," Schubert said. "People want to be sympathetic to same-sex couples, so polls that use that language aren't particularly useful."
The more useful question, Schubert said, is whether marriage should be defined as the union of a man and a woman the gist of the constitutional amendments approved in 30 states.
"If you ask that question, you get strong majorities," Schubert said.
Mark DeCamillo, director of the Field Poll in California, agreed with Schubert that same-sex marriage probably would lose in a hypothetical national referendum now. One important factor, he said, is whether there would be more intensity among supporters or opponents.
In California, same-sex marriage has such overwhelming support today that Prop 8 almost certainly would be overturned if a new state referendum were held, DeCamillo said.
The latest Field Poll, in February, measured voter approval of gay marriage among registered California voters at 59 percent, which was the highest in 35 years of polling on the issue, while only 34 percent disapproved. In the first Field Poll on the topic, in 1977, 59 percent opposed gay marriage and 28 percent were in favor.
Nonetheless, the largest gay-rights group in the state, Equality California, remains cautious and isn't yet ready to begin a campaign to overturn Prop 8. A federal court has struck down the law, but that ruling has been appealed.
"We aren't confident that the level of support is stable enough to withstand the rigors of a referendum," said spokeswoman Rebekah Orr. "We know that people are conflicted. Their intellectual position can show up in a poll and their emotional position shows up in the voting booth."
California is among 30 states where voters have approved amendments limiting marriage to unions of one man and one woman. In Hawaii, voters passed an amendment in 1998 empowering the Legislature to ban gay marriage, which it proceeded to do. The ban remains in effect, though Hawaii lawmakers approved civil unions last year.
The other statewide vote was in Maine in 2009, when 53 percent of the voters overturned a law that would have legalized same-sex marriage.
The issue is back on Maine's ballot for Nov. 6, with voters getting another chance to approve same-sex marriage. Schubert, who is advising gay-marriage opponents in Maine, depicts it as the toughest contest for his side among the four statewide elections this fall.
In Minnesota, voters will be deciding whether to approve a gay-marriage ban similar to those in the other 30 states. In Maryland and Washington, assuming enough valid signatures are gathered by gay marriage opponents, there will be ballot measures seeking to overturn same-sex marriage laws passed by legislators this year.
However those four referendums turn out, there's widespread belief among gay rights activists and many pollsters that support for same-sex marriage will continue to grow nationwide.
"The numbers are inexorably moving in one direction," said DeCamillo. "Older folks, who are more in opposition, are dying out and younger folks are more inclined to support it. It's not rocket science."
He said support for gay marriage is surging in California among young Latinos and Asian-Americans. Nationally, according the recent Washington Post-ABC News poll, support has risen among blacks since President Barack Obama's endorsement of same-sex marriage on May 9.
Phyllis Watts, a consulting psychologist from Sacramento, Calif., has worked with several recent ballot-measure campaigns, including the failed effort to defeat Prop 8 in California and a successful drive last year to defeat an anti-abortion "personhood" measure in Mississippi.
She believes a statewide vote in favor of same-sex marriage is likely to come soon. But she suggests that any particular poll should be viewed with caution.
"People are in a fluid state around same-sex marriage. They really can feel one way one day and another way another day," she said. "I don't think the polls are able to track, with a level of nuance, what's actually occurring inside people's hearts."
Editors Note: Is it possible that people tell pollsters what the pollsters want to hear and give their true opinion only when in the privacy of the voting booth?
Probably. Probably something like this:
Pollster: "Do you support gay marriage, or are you a bigot?"
Polled: "Well, gee, I guess I support it." And then they vote their true conviction.
Revealed: Hundreds of Words… by The Instigator
Original Article Link - Revealed: Hundreds of Words to Avoid Using Online if You Don't Want the Government Spying on You
The Department of Homeland Security has been forced to release a list of keywords and phrases it uses to monitor social networking sites and online media for signs of terrorist or other threats against the U.S.
The intriguing the list includes obvious choices such as 'attack', 'Al Qaeda', 'terrorism' and 'dirty bomb' alongside dozens of seemingly innocent words like 'pork', 'cloud', 'team' and 'Mexico'.
Released under a freedom of information request, the information sheds new light on how government analysts are instructed to patrol the internet searching for domestic and external threats.
The words are included in the department's 2011 'Analyst's Desktop Binder' used by workers at their National Operations Center which instructs workers to identify 'media reports that reflect adversely on DHS and response activities'.
Department chiefs were forced to release the manual following a House hearing over documents obtained through a Freedom of Information Act lawsuit which revealed how analysts monitor social networks and media organizations for comments that 'reflect adversely' on the government.
However they insisted the practice was aimed not at policing the internet for disparaging remarks about the government and signs of general dissent, but to provide awareness of any potential threats.
As well as terrorism, analysts are instructed to search for evidence of unfolding natural disasters, public health threats and serious crimes such as mall/school shootings, major drug busts, illegal immigrant busts.
The list has been posted online by the Electronic Privacy Information Center – a privacy watchdog group who filed a request under the Freedom of Information Act before suing to obtain the release of the documents.
In a letter to the House Homeland Security Subcommittee on Counter-terrorism and Intelligence, the center described the choice of words as 'broad, vague and ambiguous'.
Threat detection: Released under a freedom of information request, the information sheds new light on how government analysts are instructed to patrol the internet searching for domestic and external threats
They point out that it includes 'vast amounts of First Amendment protected speech that is entirely unrelated to the Department of Homeland Security mission to protect the public against terrorism and disasters.'
A senior Homeland Security official told the Huffington Post that the manual 'is a starting point, not the endgame' in maintaining situational awareness of natural and man-made threats and denied that the government was monitoring signs of dissent.
However the agency admitted that the language used was vague and in need of updating.
Spokesman Matthew Chandler told website: 'To ensure clarity, as part of … routine compliance review, DHS will review the language contained in all materials to clearly and accurately convey the parameters and intention of the program.'
MIND YOUR LANGUAGE: THE LIST OF KEYWORDS IN FULL
News: Elections (59)
'That's Really … by The Instigator
Democrats, Losing Ground in… by The Instigator
How Patronage Ruined the De… by The Instigator
MSNBC's Chris Hayes: … by The Instigator
Religious Liberty is the Is… by The Instigator
Bob Schieffer Laughs Out Lo… by The Instigator
Ex-ABC News Head Westin Def… by The Instigator
Homosex Agenda (38)
Gay Students Graduate Openl… by The Instigator
Michelle Obama: President O… by The Instigator
Personal Freedom & Liberty (33)
Number of Homeschoolers Gro… by The Instigator
Lamestream Media (30)
Christie Administration in … by The Instigator
MarxistWatch(TM) (27)
Ex-NY Times CEO Clashed Wit… by The Instigator
"I Would Vote For Obama!" S… by The Instigator
Hecklers Mar Romney's Visit… by The Instigator
News: On The Right (27)
Ban On Using Tax Money to L… by The Instigator
Christie's 'Crazies': Shari… by The Instigator
Stealth Islamic Propaganda … by The Instigator
News: International (21)
Panetta: U.S. is Ready to S… by The Instigator
Lloyd's of London Pre… by The Instigator
30 North Korean Officials I… by The Instigator
News: Legal (18)
Obama Should Blame Himself,… by The Instigator
Meet Soros-Funded Domestic … by The Instigator
House to Examine UN "… by The Instigator
Convicted Libtard Bombers C… by The Instigator
Terror & Civil Unrest (18)
Miami Police Shoot, Kill Ma… by The Instigator
Scumbag Al Sharpton Alleges… by The Instigator
The Instigator on Is Justice Ginsburg Risking…
Too late Libtards! No nominee for scotus is getting a vote until after Jan. 20, 2013. I just hope Romney ...
The Instigator on A 'Prominent' D…
Need more proof this is about recruitment of the young?
The Instigator on I Killed Two of My Children…
Here is something you will NEVER see in the MSM.
Welcome , today is Monday, May 28, 2012
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7/02/2018 · I can capture the image to the local hard drive, but when I try to connect to the WDS server to upload it, it takes about 5 minutes and then tells me that the network path cannot be found. I am able to use the wizard to create a .wim file which I can then upload manually, but I would much rather upload the image through the wizard and save myself an extra step. Tuesday, November 14, 2006 8:58... To approve a device, log on to the server and launch the WDS snap-in. Click on the Pending Devices node and you'll find a listing of all the devices requesting access to WDS.
28/12/2013 · I'm afraid I know nothing about the BMW hard drive and how you get songs in there, but assuming it supports the iTunes song format of aac, then I don't know why you couldn't put iTunes purchased files on the BMW.


Long term interest continues for Cathay Pacific, after the airline announced its worst half year loss in at least two decades as passenger numbers and fares declined. We are seeing increased directional demand for VMware, Inc. (VMW) as investors question if the share price rally is warranted. Meanwhile in Europe, borrowers are seeking shares of German Potash miner, K+S, after the firm revised its 2020 profit figure off the back of a challenging price outlook.
Under Armour, Inc. (UAA) saw its share price decline amid slowing growth, competition, and political controversy. Last week, UAA CEO Kevin Plank joined other CEOs in quitting the White House advisory council prior to its dissolution. While he may have hoped this would win back the support of shareholders and his own endorsers, this has not been the case and the share price fell to a 52-week low of $18.22 on 8/15. Plank faced immediate backlash starting in February as he voiced support for Trump and the POTUS' "pro-business" approach. However, this is not the end of investor concerns with UAA as growth has slowed for the brand and competition from much larger rivals, Nike Inc. and Adidas AG, mounts.
We are seeing increased directional demand for VMware, Inc. (VMW) as investors question if the share price rally is warranted. On 8/14, VMW rallied to a 52-week high of $98.02; this is up 14% from the six-month low of $85.89 reached on 7/3. VMW saw their share price decline as investors were focused on concerns with stagnancy in their legacy market of virtualization software, growing competition to their core business from Microsoft, and declining revenue growth. "The virtualization market is being increasingly commoditized as large portions of new enterprise workloads are moving to the cloud. Additionally, Microsoft is including virtualization software as part of its server operating system and other vendors are bundling products, heightening competition for stand-alone virtualization offerings." Despite these concerns, the share price has been trending higher as bullish investors focus on the "fourth consecutive quarter of double-digit bookings growth which suggests that newer products are gaining traction, especially the company's network virtualization offering, NSX, which saw bookings rise 50% in fiscal 1Q18." VMW is a name to watch as fee levels, utilization and demand trend higher.
The beleaguered Japanese conglomerate Toshiba Corp has seen a temporary respite from its recent woes after a series of broker upgrades and increased investor support. In recent weeks, three brokerage firms, Citigroup, CLSA, and JP Morgan upgraded the company's prospects and suggested a corner has been turned for the firm that has been beset by mounting losses following a multibillion dollar write-down of its nuclear power equipment business. In addition, several event-driven hedge funds such as Greenlight Capital and King Street Capital reported recent increases in their stakes in Toshiba, citing a better than expected performance of its lucrative NAND memory business. We have seen a softening in securities lending demand for Toshiba in recent weeks, which has seen its share price rally by over 20% since the beginning of August on this renewed optimism.
Cathay Pacific Airways announced its worst half year loss in at least two decades as passenger numbers and fares declined. Chief Executive Officer Rupert Hogg rejected calls to setup a budget carrier and instead announced plans to focus on better services to return the carrier back to financial health. Following the earnings announcement, shares in Cathay Pacific rose in Hong Kong trading after analysts upgraded the stock and forecast an improved outlook for future profitability. We have seen moderate long term lending interest in Cathay Pacific Airlines.
German Potash miner, K+S, revised its 2020 profit figure off the back of a challenging price outlook. The German miner highlighted that it would not be able to meet its 2020 EUR 1.6 billion profit figure this week due to uncertainty of future prices for the potassium based commodity. The target was based on a potassium chloride price of $330 per tonne; however, recent prices are closer to $240 per tonne with no indication of levels set to rise in the near-term. Heavy investment, due to 2011 price highs, have meant new mines have created an oversupply in the market putting downward pressure on price levels. The share price has fallen just over 9% this week with short interest in the name currently fluctuating around 15%.
UK commercial property short interest spiked following a negative earnings outlook and adverse headwinds. Shares of mixed-use developer Sirius Real Estate and shopping center REIT Intu Properties have seen utilization and fees climb over the past week. Structural issues such as leverage risk, tenant default, and fundamental earnings growth/dividend prospects may hamper these names in the near to mid-term. Negative sentiment among short sellers may be compounded by the rise of online retail and the subsequent challenges facing brick and mortar; however, shareholders stand to benefit through generating out-performance in their lending programs.


text:
U.S. Air Force Chief of Staff hopeful Gulf crisis will end soon
By Alexander Cornwell
Reuters 16 November 2019
U.S. Air Force Chief of Staff General David Goldfein talks to journalists at the Royal International Air Tattoo at Fairford
DUBAI (Reuters) - U.S. Air Force Chief of Staff David Goldfein said on Saturday he was hopeful a bitter dispute between Gulf Arab states could soon end and urged them to unify military capabilities as tensions with Iran simmer.
Washington sees an ongoing political rift that Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain and non-Gulf state Egypt have with Qatar as a threat to efforts to contain Iran and has pushed for a united front.
However, in a sign the dispute may be easing, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Bahrain said this week they would compete in regional soccer tournament in Qatar despite a boycott they have imposed on Doha.
"Certainly I am hopeful," Goldfein told Reuters in Dubai when asked if he thought the rift could soon be resolved. "It's certainly in our best interest to see if they can come to a political solution."
Washington has unsuccessfully tried to mediate the dispute, in which the four nations have severed political, trade and transport ties with Qatar since mid-2017 over accusations it supports terrorism.
Doha denies the charge and says the embargo aims to impinge on its sovereignty.
The United States is allied to all six Gulf Arab states. Qatar hosts Al-Udeid air base, the largest U.S. military facility in the region, while Bahrain is home to the Navy's Fifth Fleet.
Goldfein earlier pressed the Gulf states to resolve their differences and work together to defend against the threat he said Iran poses to their security.
"When a missile or a UAV (drone) is en route from Iran that is not the time to reconcile past grievances. That time is now. Today," he said at an air chiefs conference.
The United States blames Iran for a series of attacks in the Gulf over the summer, including the Sept. 14 missile and drone attack on Saudi Arabia that temporarily shut down half the kingdom's oil production. Tehran denies involvement.
"No one country has everything it needs to defend itself but together we have exactly what we need for collective defense," Goldfein said.
"We have the power to begin this right now as we face a common adversary who seems committed to malign behavior across the region."
Gulf military chiefs last month called for unified efforts between their armed forces following the attack on Saudi Arabia.
Emphasising the principle of collective security, Goldfein said the best chance to defend the UAE could be from Qatar or neighbouring Oman.
"Neighbours to the right and to the left who by geometry-alone have a better shot," he said.
(Reporting by Alexander Cornwell; Editing by Edwina Gibbs and Clelia Oziel)
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redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


SEACAM listens carefully to its clients and purposefully collects questions. Here we give you interesting and useful information surrounding your underwater housing and accessories. Surely you will find an answer to your question on the following pages.
Have you got further questions? Send us an email to service@seacam.com.


text:
The Secret that Lies Off the Coast of South Carolina
Beverly Willett,
Morgan Island, a privately owned island off of Beaufort, S.C., is home to more than 3,000 monkeys.
Once used in research, the monkeys now roam the island uninhabited by humans. However, controversy lingers over reports that some monkeys are still being taken away for research.
Set your course for 32.4774º N and 80.5195ºW, and you'll reach Monkey Island, a real-life place many people considered a legend until only recently. Still, the island remains cloaked in secrecy.
Located in the St. Helena Sound between the Coosaw and Morgan Rivers, off the coast of Beaufort, S.C., 4,489-acre Morgan Island got its unofficial name when a breeding colony of rhesus macaques (aka monkeys) was relocated from the Caribbean Primate Research Center in Puerto Rico.
Monkeys carrying the herpes B virus had apparently escaped from the facility and caused panic among locals, resulting in relocation of the monkeys during 1979-80.
"Over time, the colony of 1,400 grew to the present day population of 3,500."
Privately held at first, the island was sold to the South Carolina Department of Natural Resources ("DNR") in 2002. The monkeys themselves are owned by the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID), part of NIH.
The monkeys and 400 acres of upland where they reside were originally leased to Labs of Virginia, which later became Alpha Genesis (AGI), a nonhuman primate research facility and primate supplier located in Yemassee, S.C. (Former Beaufort mayor David Taub served on Monkey Island's original management team.) In 2007, Charles River Laboratories ("CRL"), a $1.36 billion operation serving the pharma and biotech industries, acquired the leases.
WHAT ARE RHESUS MACAQUES?
Native to Asia, these highly intelligent creatures are often revered as sacred. "They're the ones you see running all over the temples in Thailand," says environmental specialist Jeanette Klopchin. "The perfect experimental animals."
NIAID says they can live naturally to about 25 years old.
Perhaps the most famous is Able who was launched into space in 1959 to test the effects of space travel on humans. His body is preserved and on view at the National Air and Space Museum in Washington, D.C.
In the wild, these monkeys live in groups called troops, predominated by females. They have complex ingrained and long-lasting family and other social structures, and are the most wide-ranging primates, next to humans.
LIFE ON MONKEY ISLAND
DNR biologist Phil Maier says the 4000-plus acre tract includes creek, marsh, transitional areas and various small hammock islands. The upland portion is primarily maritime forest.
The macaques are free-ranging, forage for acorns, insects, shellfish and plants, and "are the last standing group of rhesus monkeys used for medical research in the U.S.," according to Klopchin. NIAID maintains that no research is conducted on the island, however.
Klopchin visited Monkey Island many times to study whether the monkeys were having an adverse environmental impact. She concluded they had little to none, their presence actually contributing to a sounder vegetation structure on the island.
Boaters have observed monkeys sunbathing, strolling the beach, and dunking in the marsh. Klopchin says they also have favorite places to hang out, play, and mate, and even a spot where elders go to die.
To read more about Monkey Island and its furry residents, subscribe now or pick up the April/May issue of South magazine.
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Could our favorite colors tell our personalities? Check out these colors and what they mean. Tell us, does your fave color match your personality? Your BFF's?
RED – If red is your fave color, you have lots of will-power and control. You're able to overcome obstacles and challenges more easily than other people. Also, you've got tons of energy and are interested in many different areas of life.
GREEN – Do you like green the best? If so, you are very determined and motivated, so when you're left alone, you can accomplish so much. You also enjoy relaxing AND you have an artistic side. You're a very hard worker, too.
BLACK – If you like black, you really enjoy being in a calm environment, free of conflict and disagreement. You're also able to be calm and comfortable in many different settings and places. You enjoy attention, but are unsure of how to handle it. Just treat others as you'd like to be treated. It works!
GRAY – So, you like gray, eh? Then you also prefer calm and relaxing environments. You are easy-going and original, and are willing to learn new things and try anything once. You're gentle and very confident, so you're capable of being everyone's friend. You also work well in groups or teams.
BLUE – Is blue your hue? You really appreciate life! You are capable of going against the odds and reaching your goals, even when times are tough. You have control of your life and your personality. So you're a go-getter and can take charge. You're a leader!
PURPLE – You're very spontaneous. You've got a quick and original mind and are very creative. Also, you really enjoy nature. You're very unique and are comfortable in your skin – you like being you!
YELLOW – If yellow is your color of choice, you are a powerful thinker, and you're able to complete challenging tasks. You're really easy-going and sometimes free of worries and concerns. You're calm and relaxed and you try not to cause conflicts or 'rock the boat'. Also, you're always on the search for new ideas, methods, and styles!
PINK - Pink is the color of peace. People who love pink try to find the positive side of things. They want to draw the little smiley faces on everything. You're intelligent and can sometimes be a little shy at first, but love to make people in your life happy!
ORANGE - Orange is the color of nature, so if this is your fave color, you probably love outdoors and nature. And you love sports, too! You're always there to help others who may need some assistance. You're rather adventurous, and love to learn and remember from your own experiences.
WHITE – If you like the color white, you're a very patient person. When you're in a group of people, you are good at expressing your thoughts and opinions. You've got your own opinions and you're comfortable with who you are! You are organized and like a clean, relaxing environment in which to hang out.
So now tell us, are you the same as your hue? How about your BFF? Let us know right here!
My fave color (pink) is literally the exact definition of me. I draw smiley faces on anything that comes anywhere near the tip of my pen.
I'm blue. It really describes me!?!
They totally reflect my personality, good job iTwixie!
My favorite colour is blue but I can tell you it does NOT describe me at all. xD Black and purple describe me more.
I love purple and it's description actually really suits me!
Outgoing, but tries to be more laid-back and cool in public.
Can be agressive and hyper (like Kagamine Rin!).
When someone is annoying to me, I'm not afraid to say so.
I'm always stating my opinion on things- and sometimes people get mad at me for doing so.
I can be a bit bossy and kinda rude, but it's just in my nature.
I'm musical, and a bit artistic, too.
my favorite color is red but it doesn't really describe me.
ALL OF THEM! I AM A RAINBOW!!!
Purple is my Fav color. It describes me!! It seems like it really works. Wow!
My favve color is GREEN. And this is so true of me. What about you? Do you like green the best? If so, you are very determined and motivated, so when you're left alone, you can accomplish so much. You also enjoy relaxing AND you have an artistic side. You're a very hard worker, too.
My FAVORITE color sutes me well!
Yeah red and blue describe me to!
My fave color is blue! My fave color discribes me! Yay Yay Yay!!!
My fave color is blue! My fave color describes me!
My favorite color describes me. My favorite color is blue.
My favorite color is red !!
Purple and red both suit me well!
YES! Yellow is right on!
My favorite color is green and it totally matched me perfectly!
I am pink and black, which I like pink a lot, and black a lot. I am always trying to find a peaceful way with things… and with black I am shy and sometimes do like attention, but I never know how to handle it, and then I get shy. See what I mean?
I love black and it so reflects me!
Yeah I see what you mean, this always happens to me and I always feel different ways about it. I so feel you !
My fave colour is Red and it suits me well !!!
I love yellow and it totally suits me!
I love looking for new things and using my imagination.
My family's fave colors really do describe them. My dad likes green, and he is a hard worker. My mom likes blue, and she really is a good leader. I like purple, and I am creative. I was super surprised!
I must say my fave color blue describes me quite perfectly.
my favorite colors are black and blue and they totally describe me.
my fave color is pink and red.
My favorite color is Green. My second favorite color is purple. I think that purple describes me very well. I also like blue and yellow because they stand out, and some aspects of both have a lot that is like me which is very cool!
I am so totally blue in the description, but my fave colors are yellow pink and green. I guess I'm green, it describes me well AND like the color.
my fav color is GREEN and it toataly describes me!
Orange i love nature and sports that suits me very well!
My favourite colours are purple, green and blue and this describes me perfectly!!!!
my fave color is purple and this describes me well!
My fave color is green and OMG! It's so me!!!!!!!
pink fits me i love smiley faces and i am shy!!
Red fits me very well.
My fav colors(purple and blue) describe me perfectly!
I am so like that except that sometimes I'm not comfortable in my skin, but really who is?
I get why you're not always comfortable being you. Try to not worry about stuff so much. It worked for me. I was worried about not doing well on a test, but when I told myself, "You can do this with a little hard work," I was completely comfortable then.
Green…. oh my golly. xD That actually describes me really well, haha!
I was actually surprised to find my fav color (purple) describes me quite well.


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