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text:
Neighbors, business leaders discuss West Seventh crime concerns after mass shooting in St. Paul
Police say they're stepping up patrols later into the night, while the city is deploying Rapid Response teams for crisis situations.
Author: Danny Spewak
Published: 10:11 PM CDT October 14, 2021
Updated: 10:11 PM CDT October 14, 2021
ST PAUL, Minn. — St. Paul Police and city leaders laid out plans on Thursday to improve safety in the busy West Seventh corridor, where a mass shooting at Seventh Street Truck Park last weekend left one person dead and 14 others injured.
During an hour-long Zoom discussion with the area's district council, known as the West Seventh Street/Fort Road Federation, both SPPD Commander Jeremy Ellison and Ward 2 Council Member Rebecca Noecker answered questions from concerned neighbors and business owners.
For example, Brian Ingram, who owns Hope Breakfast Bar down the street, said he's experiencing more crime than ever before and "never had a gun pulled on me until this last year." Although the city and police department say that overall crime has fallen, violent crime has seen a noticeable increase, with homicides and gunshot victims up at least 20% compared to the same time last year.
"What are you guys going to today -- not tomorrow, not a month from now, not two months from now -- what are you going to do today," Ingram said to the city, "to protect us?"
For starters, Commander Ellison said that St. Paul Police have authorized more overtime for officers, so that they can patrol West Seventh deeper into the night and early morning hours.
"Typically, we were only out there walking the beat until about 7 o'clock. But, based on the incident as well as some other factors, we are going to be -- at least on the weekend nights -- we'll be there until 2 in the morning walking the beat," Ellison said.
Many neighbors also expressed concerns about the location of the homeless shelter Freedom House, although as Council Member Noecker pointed out, there is no connection between that shelter and last weekend's mass shooting.
However, Noecker did say that the city is using federal American Rescue Plan funding to deploy a Rapid Response Team for people in crisis across the city, including West Seventh.
"A rapid response team that is specially trained to do that, is really better suited," Noecker said, "and can free up our officers to handle other criminal calls."
To help the police department reach its full authorized strength, Noecker also said she's exploring the idea of a second police academy during budget negotiations this fall.
Noecker said she's also had discussions with representatives from both EcoLab and Securian Financial, which sent letters expressing their concerns about crime in St. Paul.
"I think that the key here is to engage them in conversations and solutions," Noecker said. "I think both of these leaders are very committed to downtown St. Paul. That's why they sent those letters."
Two St. Paul CEOs demand action to end gun violence
'Outrage, frustration, anger': Mayor Melvin Carter addresses crime in St. Paul

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


text:
Q: Arima function in forecast package and predict() I have a series named Price with 30 observations:
Price
[1] 0.2946825 0.2962453 0.2995118 0.3250501 0.3413176 0.3212861 0.3285121
 [8] 0.3223009 0.3219386 0.3049079 0.3046129 0.2912507 0.2947570 0.2947570
[15] 0.2930427 0.2877321 0.2875071 0.2929681 0.2890062 0.2896052 0.2863812
[22] 0.2826947 0.2799019 0.2758878 0.2742928 0.2847277 0.2839752 0.2919977
[29] 0.2797507 0.2739887

I run this command Prediction_Price_30 <-predict(Arima((Price[1:29]),order=c(1,1,0)),n.ahea=1) in order to generate an Arima(1,1,0) model using totally 29 observation and to predict 30th one with "one ahead".
The result is 0.2805374
Time Series:
Start = 30
End = 30
Frequency = 1
[1] 0.2805374

I was wondering how predict function conduct the prediction. Does it insert the 29th actual observation (by differencing) in to the generated ARIMA (1,1,0) model and calculate the prediction of 30th value?
summary(Arima((Price[1:29]),order=c(1,1,0)))
Series: (Price[1:29])
ARIMA(1,1,0)

Coefficients:
          ar1
      -0.0662
s.e.   0.1910

sigma^2 estimated as 0.0001622:  log likelihood=82.96
AIC=-161.91   AICc=-161.43   BIC=-159.25

Training set error measures:
                        ME       RMSE         MAE         MPE      MAPE
Training set -0.0006482771 0.01228864 0.008384534 -0.05293643 0.6172495
                  MASE        ACF1
Training set 0.9673133 0.003299951

I mean if Price_prediction30 = -0.0662*(Price_actual29 - Price_actual28)?

A: I think this question should be asked in Cross-validate.
However, to answer your question. When you specify d = 1 , you suppose that the difference between two succesive value of ''y'' is constant.
Ŷt  =  μ  + Yt-1  +  ϕ1 (Yt-1 - Yt-2)

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaStackExchange


text:
3D Technologies
Take a ride on a floating cycle path on the River Thames
Cycling is a great method of travelling that is not only good for the environment but also helps towards keeping you fit. However, many people in London are put off from cycling due to the traffic congestion but they may interested in the plans of Hugh Broughton Architects and Arup. Together they make up the River Cycleway Consortium and they want to build a cycle path that would float on the River Thames at a cost of around £600 million.
[Image Source: HBA]
If the plans were to go ahead the Thames Deckway would cover 7.45 miles, starting at Battersea and ending at Canary Wharf. The cycle path would be close to the edge of the river so that cyclists would not be in harm's way from the other traffic on the Thames. The pathway would be designed to float and so it would rise and fall with the natural tide of the Thames. There would be plenty of access ramps going up and down to the embankment which would be situated at key points along the route of the pathway.
The River Cycleway Consortium said that the cycle path would allow a cyclist that was fairly fit to complete it in about 30 minutes. The single journey would have a price tag of around £1.50 and refreshment kiosks would be situated at various stopping points. Families could rent bicycles which come with infant carriages.
The designers of the cycle path said that traffic flow along with river motion and other data would be monitored by satellite, while power needed would come from the wind, tide and sun.
At the moment, the consortium is looking to raise funds so that a feasibility study can take place and if this goes well, they will seek private investments. It has been said that the Thames Deckway could be in force in just two years from having been given the go-ahead.
Watch the video: Lea Valley to the Thames cycle route guide miles with Debdencycle. (January 2023).
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Copyright 2023 \ Take a ride on a floating cycle path on the River Thames...


text:
Things for iPad Adds Enhanced Cursor Support with Context Menus and Special Clicks
Today Things, the excellent task manager, was updated with enhanced support for the iPad's new cursor just in time for the Magic Keyboard's arrival. While you could use the iPadOS cursor in the app before, now all of the interface elements respond appropriately to it and key additions like context menus and special clicks make the experience complete.
The iPad's cursor acts like a living, dynamic force, snapping to different parts of an app's interface to indicate significance. For example, in Things if you're simply hovering over a task's name, the cursor will remain its default shape as a small circle, but if you move it near the checkbox next to a task, it will snap to that box and fill it to indicate what's selected.
Things follows the example set by Apple of causing selected elements to grow in size in response to the cursor, giving the impression that they're popping off the screen a little. In most Apple apps I've tried, this effect is fairly subtle, but I love how Things emphasizes it where appropriate. For example, when the cursor snaps to a task's checkbox, or to the Magic Plus Button for creating new tasks, those elements jump forward in a fun, playful way. Their enlarged size has the added functional benefit of reflecting how, in order to de-select those elements, you'll need to move the cursor slightly further away than you might with a traditional Mac cursor.
Things' new context menus.
The team at Cultured Code has done more than just the basics with Things cursor controls. The app now features custom-designed context menus that are only accessible when using a connected trackpad or mouse. A right-click on any task, area, project, or other list in the sidebar will reveal these new context menus. Rather than following the standard design Apple introduced in iOS 13, Things' menus reflect the app's unique aesthetic. They offer shortcuts to important actions, such as scheduling or moving tasks, or opening lists in new windows. While I don't understand why these menus are exclusive to mouse and trackpad use, rather than also being available via a long-press as context menus typically are, they're a great addition nonetheless.1
Special clicks are another enhancement to using a pointing device in Things. In a move that should come as no surprise considering Things' extensive keyboard support, Cultured Code has included a couple options that integrate keyboard and mouse or trackpad clicks. If you click a task while holding down the Command key, then rather than opening that task, it will be selected instead and you'll enter multi-select mode. Or, if you want to cancel a task (a feature I forgot even existed), you can do that by holding down Option while you click the task's checkbox.
The only additional trackpad enhancement I'd like to see in a future update is support for navigating back to the main menu via a two-finger swipe gesture. The app does support two-finger gestures for swiping over tasks to schedule them or enter multi-select mode, so adding a similar gesture for moving from a list view back to the main menu is a natural inclusion. You may not need it when working in full-screen, where Things can display both a list and the sidebar menu at once, but in multitasking setups like Split View or Slide Over, it would save having to manually move the cursor to the top-left corner where the back button lies, and would also offer greater consistency with other apps like Apple's Reminders and Files.
That small request aside, Cultured Code has given Things an excellent complement to its first-in-class keyboard support. The cursor implementation is thoughtful and the enhancements of custom context menus and special clicks are exactly the kind of power user features I would expect from one of the best task managers on Apple platforms.
Things for iPad is available on the App Store.
I suspect the problem is that long-pressing currently is used for dragging and dropping tasks. However, it's extremely common for other third-party apps to successfully implement both features at once. Perhaps the main issue is that Things uses a custom drag and drop system rather than the default one provided by Apple, thus making it more complicated for Cultured Code to support both features. ↩
Tags: task management


Outsourcing past-due account recovery from business-to-business activities to ACT's Commercial division provides a cost-effective means to improve cash flow. ACT Commercial understands the unique nature of B2B account collections, which is why we keep our team separate from our consumer collections staff.
When collecting commercial debt, ACT creates a program around our client's specific industry and needs. We then extensively train collectors specializing in our client's debt type on the communication techniques needed for their customer base. Applying leading-edge technologies, such as real-time voice analytics and advanced call center capabilities, our highly trained staff will motivate your customers to remedy a delinquency in a timely fashion.
Our consultative approach engages your customers in developing the solution to get you paid. When your customer makes the decision to pay, as compared to having it forced upon them, you will be paid quicker, with fewer hostilities. This equates to more money back in your company's bank account for reinvestment.
Gaining a debt resolution requires having the necessary information to approach your customer from a position of strength. Using our many databases, along with private investigators or field agents when necessary, ACT will get a clear picture of your customer's financial situation and seek solutions based on real information. Researching data on real and personal property ownership, client lists, trademarks and patents, subsidiaries or sister companies and other pertinent data can provide additional leverage in the negotiation.
As needed, ACT will also use skip tracing techniques to investigate the trail of your missing customer through third party contacts. Having access to multiple databases assists ACT in location discovery, helping us find your debtors efficiently.
ACT makes every effort to recover your funds in a voluntary fashion from your customers. In some cases, attorney involvement and litigation may be necessary to collect delinquent debt. With your approval, we will manage the entire litigation process. Beginning with a pre-litigation analysis, you will be given insight into the decision to litigate as well as a grading of the recovery potential. Upon approval of suit, we will hire the attorney, give instruction, and monitor progress until the debt is resolved.
ACT has advanced call center capabilities that can be used for many aspects of business in addition to collections. Whether you have seasonal spikes of incoming or outgoing calls, a need to remind customers of appointments or upcoming events, or any other reason, ACT has the ability to make the calls needed to support your business needs. See Solutions>Call Center Services for more information.
When the volume of incoming or outgoing customer calls surpasses your staffing levels, you have two choices: increase staffing or reduce calls. To avoid losing money or losing clients to subpar service, outsource your calls to ACT. In most cases, business process outsourcing is cheaper than hiring, training, and managing your own staff. See Solutions>Business Process Outsourcing for more information.
Contact Us today to learn how our comprehensive solutions can help your business achieve a better bottom line.


I have a Hot Dog Stand. I use chopped onions every day, can I re use the left over chopped onions the next day? The onions are in a container that keep them cold all day long. Some days the onions have a lot of liquid in the bottom, is that a problem? I do not want to get anyone sick.
If you're operating a hot dog stand, I'm going to guess that you'll want to follow your local health codes. There's a very good chance that it'd be a violation.
In most areas, it wouldn't be anything to stop you from using it for your own meals, so long as you didn't serve it to the public. (and you might have to transfer it to a different container, so you keep the public & personal stuff seperate). So long as they've been kept chilled through the day, I'd be inclined to use them in some sort of cooked dish for dinner. At worst, you get sick, but you don't get the public sick.
This is a good thread to read about storage time for onions after they've been cut.
There are also some ways to attempt to keep an onion fresh.
If you're cutting your onions to serve then Joe is correct in stating that you'll want to adhere to local health codes and possibly even consider cutting your onions to order or only cutting a small amount and adding to it as needed- any good customer would prefer a fresh cut onion to an off, cut up cup of them anyway, right?
It's also prudent to remember that in nearly all cases you cannot see whether or not a food has gone bad entirely, but since you stated there is a watery liquid in the bottom of your onions it sounds like there are some visual indicators.
Just remember: If in doubt- throw it out (especially when you're serving it to the public)!
Most cut vegetables have a shelf life of 24 hours, I've worked in restaurants were they "extended" the shelf life, but a health inspector would look for a same day sticker to indicate that those onions are not left over. If you are finding yourself overwhelmed with the amount of prep needed and are over prepping to compensate and stay ahead, pre-prep your onions. You can do this by having a cambro of peeled onions (or complete whatever primary or secondary steps you follow before reaching your final product) and then cut only what is needed for that day. If you're having trouble figuring out how much onion you need for the day weigh the amount of onions you prepped before and after service, and see how much was used.
Use 3-4 smaller containers so you are not opening and closing it multiple times and bringing the onions out of the cooler multiple times. And you are not mixing old onions with new.
What happens if I brine my turkey for 2 days?
Can you develop an immunity to chopping onions causing tears?
Can baked savory pastries with ham or bacon be left at room temperature?


text:
Home Crime Driver passes out in the drive-thru
Driver passes out in the drive-thru
Dec 29th, 2017 · by Lake Okeechobee News · Comments:
OKEECHOBEE — A 25-year-old Texas man was arrested on a misdemeanor charge of driving under the influence when he was found passed out in the drive-thru line at McDonald's.
According to an arrest report by Deputy DeMarcus Dixon, of the Okeechobee County Sheriff's Office (OCSO), at approximately 3:33 a.m. on Dec. 23, he responded to McDonald's located in the 4100 block of U.S. 441 South in regards to a call for service.
Upon his arrival, Deputy Dixon saw a black, four-door Dodge pickup truck in the drive-thru line operated by a white male, who was passed out in the driver's seat. The truck was blocking the drive-thru, preventing the restaurant from serving other customers.
Deputy Dixon stated in his report that the truck was still running and the driver's side window was down. Deputy Nathaniel Mitchell reached inside of the truck and shut the engine off noted the report. Deputy Dixon reportedly recorded Deputy Mitchell's attempt to wake the driver. After multiple attempts to wake him, the driver became alert to their presence. The man appeared confused, lethargic and had the odor of alcohol coming from his breath.
Deputy Mitchell reportedly asked for the man to present his driver's license multiple times but he only gave the deputy a power inverter and a $100 bill. The report noted that the man was supposedly not aware of his surroundings or the lawful commands given to him and appeared impaired.
Deputy Dixon ceased recording and assisted the driver out of the vehicle as it was difficult for him to stand on his own. He needed to lean on the bed of the pickup truck to support himself, stated the report.
The report pointed out that when the man did eventually speak to law enforcement, his words were slurred and difficult to understand. The man appeared so impaired that field sobriety exercises were not administered due to possible injury if attempted. The man was placed under arrest for driving under the influence and his vehicle was towed by John's Towing Service.
The report concluded that the man was transported to Okeechobee City Police Department (OCPD) for a breath sample to be collected by intoxilyzer operator, Officer Kelly Margerum. The man reportedly would not provide an adequate sample for the intoxilyzer to give a reliable result and was considered a refusal to provide a breath sample. The man was then transported and booked into the Okeechobee County Jail and his bond was set at $500.