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Staten Island Multi-Family Homes
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North Shore Neighborhoods
CLICK on the various North Shore neighborhoods when searching for Staten Island real estate properties and find the perfect neighborhood to compliment your lifestyle. Staten Island is made up of many diverse neighborhoods. New York City's greenest borough is abundant with parks, culture, arts, shopping, restaurants and new development. Many North Shore neighborhoods are conveniently located close to Manhattan, which is a free ferry ride away.
Fort Wadsworth is not only a former United States military installation on Staten Island's north shore, it is also known as the residential neighborhood that surrounds the former fort. The neighborhood of Fort Wadsworth is located south of Rosebank, west of Shore Acres and north of South Beach. Bordering Fort Wadsworth to the north is The Narrows, which divide the New York Bay into the upper and lower halves. Fort Wadsworth offers a wide variety of old homes, new construction, townhouses and condos. Its prime location near the Verrazano-Narrows Bridge and other transportation options make for an easy commute, while its location near the water and within the vicinity of many parks makes for an easy getaway. Although mostly residential, the neighborhood of Fort Wadsworth sees thousands of visitors and tourists, as it is the start of the New York City Marathon and the end of the Five Boro Bike Tour.
Grymes Hill is a North Shore neighborhood, which happens to be situated upon a hill by the same name. The Grymes Hill area is bordered on the west by Victory Boulevard, on the north by Cebra Avenue and the south by Clove Road. Van Duzer Street and Richmond Road to the intersection of the Staten Island Expressway represent the final border. Named after Suzette Bosque Grymes, widow of the first governor of Louisiana who settled on Staten Island in 1836, Grymes Hill offers some of the most spectacular views of the Lower New York Bay and the Verrazano-Narrows Bridge. It is the second highest point on Staten Island (Todt Hill being the highest), and is known for being the home of two post-secondary institutions: Wagner College and the Staten Island campus of St. John's University. Much of Grymes Hill consists of private homes, many dating from the 1920's, but there are also several apartment buildings and garden apartments in the area.
Port Richmond is located on the North Shore of Staten Island, situated along the waterfront of the Kill Van Kull. The Bayonne Bridge serves as the border between Port Richmond and Elm Park, which is to the west. Port Richmond is one of the oldest neighborhoods on the island, and was an important transportation and industrial center in the 19th century. The neighborhood evolved from being a mixed Dutch and French settlement into a thriving waterfront industrial and transportation hub and eventually served as the prime ferry launch from Staten Island to New Jersey. It was a transfer port for freight and passengers traveling by boat between New York City and New Brunswick, New Jersey, and ferries ran continually from Port Richmond to New Jersey until shortly after the Bayonne Bridge was built in 1931. The area also became the site of an important stop on a coach route between the city and Philadelphia. In the 1880s, the Staten Island Railway built a North Shore branch with a stop in the village on Richmond Avenue, which had become the island's main shopping area. Port Richmond Avenue, which has been known over the years as Church Road, Port Richmond Plank Road, Stone Road, and Richmond Avenue, was a busy commercial center.
Randall Manor is a North Shore neighborhood bound by Bard Avenue in the west, Henderson Avenue to the north and Forest Avenue to the south, bordered between the neighborhoods New Brighton and West Brighton. The neighborhood is named after Captain Robert Richard Randall, the founder of Sailors Snug Harbor. Randall Manor is one of the North Shore neighborhoods that has been nearly unaffected by the construction boom that followed the opening of the Verrazano-Narrows Bridge in 1964. With close proximity to the St. George ferry terminal, along with the presence of many parks and cultural centers, Randall Manor remains one of the most desirable and attractive locations on the island. Randall Manor is served by a few local buses and an express bus, including the S48/98 and X30 that runs along Forest Avenue, the S46/96 that runs along Castleton Avenue, and the S44/94 that runs along Henderson Avenue.
The Silver Lake neighborhood to the east and south features several large privately owned apartment buildings. Also included is the neighborhood on the other side of the adjacent Silver Lake golf course, a series of mostly dead end streets located above Forest Avenue. At the top of Hart Blvd are the Silver Lake Tennis Courts. To the west of this neighborhood is Grymes Hill and Sunnyside.Silver Lake Park has many attractions, such as tennis courts, an 18 hole public golf course, a baseball field, play area, and dog run.
Snug Harbor is centrally located on the north shore of Staten Island. It borders the waters of the Kill Van Kull to the north, as well as the neighborhoods of St. George, West New Brighton and Randall Manor. Once a home for retired seamen, this 83-acre park is now a National Historic Landmark District consisting of Greek Revival, Italianate and Victorian style buildings. It is dominated by large, older homes built before 1900, and its streets are shaded by spreading oak and elm trees.
Located on the northeastern tip of Staten Island, St. George is the most densely developed and diverse neighborhood in Staten Island. Positioned where the Kill Van Kull enters the New York Bay, this neighborhood is known for being the administrative center of the borough, the central hub for transportation, and Staten Island's downtown area. The area provides the perfect balance of culture, arts and history and is currently undergoing a "renaissance" of revitalization and renewal. St. George offers quick access to Manhattan via the Staten Island Ferry and other areas of the borough via Staten Island Rapid Transit or bus service. For commuters who drive, a quick ride over the Verrazano Bridge will take you to Brooklyn or Manhattan. There are many housing options in the St. George area. Historic Victorian and Colonial homes and apartments residing in pre-war buildings add the perfect balance of history and culture among newly constructed homes and apartments. Offering a wide variety of restaurants, it is not uncommon to find authentic-themed restaurants, classic steakhouses, wine bars, coffee shops and tapas bars only blocks away from one another.
Located in northeastern section of Staten Island, the neighborhood of Stapleton borders the waterfront of Upper New York Bay, and is roughly bounded on the north by Tompkinsville at Grant Street, on the south by Clifton at Vanderbilt Avenue, and on the west by Grymes Hill at St. Paul's Avenue and Van Duzer Street. Stapleton is one of the oldest waterfront neighborhoods in the borough, built in the 1830s on land once owned by the Vanderbilt family. Stapleton, like much of the Island's north shore, has old, standalone homes that have been in the area since the Victorian era, as well as new developments such as condominiums and apartment buildings. Stapleton is also known for its vibrant street art, winding roads, used book stores, and coffee shops. The neighborhood also contains a huge diversity of restaurants, including an American-style diner, as well as Sri Lankan, Mexican, and Italian eateries.
Located in the Mid-Island region of Staten Island, Sunnyside is most famously known for its two parks: Clove Lakes Park and Silver Lake Park, that border on the west and east, respectively. The neighborhood is named for a boarding house that was established there in 1889, but was originally known as Clovenia or Clove Valley. Clove Road, which happens to be Sunnyside's northern boundary, is also one of the island's main thoroughfares. The southern boundary runs along the Staten Island Expressway. The neighborhoods of Grymes Hill, West Brighton, Castleton Corners and Grasmere border Sunnyside. Sunnyside was once the home of the College of Staten Island campus, which was once located at the Michael Petrides Center. Now, the CSI campus is located at the former Willowbrook State School.
West Brighton
West Brighton: Situated along Staten Island's North Shore, West Brighton borders New Brighton to the east, Port Richmond to the west, the waters of the Kill Van Kull to the north, and neighborhoods like Silver Lake, Westerleigh and Castleton corners to the south. The neighborhood is roughly defined as the area around and to the northeast of Clove Road and Forest Avenue.
Westerleigh's residential core and feel is that of small town America. Tree lined streets, historical homes, ballpark, park, and a neighborly friendly atmosphere. Westerleigh is located in the northwest quadrant of Staten Island. Bounded in the east by Manor Road, the west by the Martin Luther King Jr. Expressway, the south by Victory Boulevard and to the north by Forest Avenue, Westerleigh is a residential area of mostly single family homes, with close access to the Staten Island Expressway as well as public transportation. Westerleigh is historically known for its role during the temperance movement. A temperance group called the National Prohibition Campground Association bought 25 acres of land in this area in 1877, and named the property "Prohibition Park." Many of the local streets are actually named after early leaders of the Prohibition movement (Neal Dow, Clinton B. Fisk), or for states that supported anti-liquor laws (such as Maine and Ohio). Westerleigh Park acts as the unofficial "heart" of the North Shore neighborhood, and hosts many community events, such as concerts and festivals.
Holly's Staten Island Buzz Realty Inc. is dedicated to educating the home buyer and seller, while getting to know you and your unique lifestyle and goals. As your Staten Island Real Estate resource you will be provided with professional trustworthy advice and service while guided through your entire home buying or selling process.
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Each time you think you've seen it all from Alibaba (NYSE: BABA), the Chinese e-commerce giant comes up with a new surprise project. The company is in the movie business, the car-selling business, the food-delivery business, and the entertainment ticketing business. And now, it's announced the launch of a futuristic hotel.
The 290-room hotel in Hangzhou, China, called FlyZoo, aims to use updated technology to fix a number of typical hotel annoyances, such as long lines to check in, losing your keycard, and dealing with rude staff members. The project was a combination of efforts from Alibaba's online travel platform, Fliggy, as well as other businesses from Alibaba, such as its artificial intelligence (A.I.) arm and its cloud arm.
The FlyZoo app is shown on a smartphone.
The FlyZoo app lets you decide exactly where your hotel room is. Image source: Alibaba.
The app also cuts down on guest-staff interactions because most guests can check in and out through the app. But if you're a foreign passport holder, you will also need to visit a kiosk at the hotel as part of the check-in process.
Alibaba's new futuristic hotel, FlyZoo, shows facial recognition software being used to operate an elevator.
Alibaba's new futuristic hotel, FlyZoo, uses facial recognition for access to the elevators. Image source: Alibaba.
Alibaba's FlyZoo robot is shown bringing an item to a guest in the hotel.
The FlyZoo hotel features robots that will bring you items like water and pillows. Image source: Alibaba.
Each room in FlyZoo also comes equipped with a complimentary voice-activated home speaker called the Tmall Genie, Alibaba's version of the Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) Echo. The device acts as a personal assistant with the ability to perform simple tasks, such as adjusting the temperature; operating the lights, curtains, and TV; playing music, and answering simple questions about things like the weather or WiFi code.
Alibaba's Genie was introduced in July 2017 at a price of $73, and the company sold 2 million units in just under a year. The device was made exclusively for China, so it doesn't compete directly with Amazon's Echo.
Alibaba has always quickly adapted to trends in order to take advantage of surging markets. China's hotels made almost $800 billion in 2018, according to a report from the China Hospitality Association and Shanghai Inntie Hotel Management Consultants. Alibaba has taken note of the booming travel industry and wants to be sure its hotels stand out from the crowd. And with robots and facial recognition software, FlyZoo seems to do just that.


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ALEC's Three-pronged Attack on Working Families and Communities of Color
Starts: Saturday, Jul. 16 3:00 PM (Central)
Ends: Saturday, Jul. 16 4:15 PM (Central)
The Koch-funded American Legislative Exchange Council (ALEC) has relentlessly promoted a toxic brew of steep tax cuts for corporations and the wealthy, cuts to health care and the social safety net, and union busting and wage suppression measures—all with profound consequences for working families and particularly communities of color. Since 2013, some 40 localities have approved minimum wages above the federal level, but ALEC is fighting to reverse this progress and prohibit localities from raising the wage. ALEC politicians are attempting the same preemption strategy for paid sick days and LBGTQ rights. This agenda is only deepening poverty in many states. Join us as we discuss the consequences of this toxic brew and talk about the tactics that have been successful in fighting back.
Rep. Rosa DeLauro
Congresswoman Rosa DeLauro represents Connecticut's 3rd Congressional District. As a Member of Congress, Rosa has fought in the trenches with progressive allies to protect and expand opportunities for America's working families. At the core of her work is building an economic agenda for working men and women to help create jobs and alleviate the economic pressures so many are facing today. Rosa believes that we must create good-paying jobs at home, raise the minimum wage, make college more affordable, and give everyone access to affordable healthcare. Rosa continues to fight for hardworking families to have better wages, equal pay for equal work, affordable child care, and paid family and medical leave.
Other sessions: TPP: Trade "Trump-ing" the Election [Voter Pick]
Other sessions: Money in Politics in the Year of Trump and Sanders
Carol Joyner
Carol Joyner is the Director for the Labor Project for Working Families (LPWF), in partnership with FV@W. The LPWF works to address the policy and programmatic solutions for improving workplace standards. Prior to the LPWF work, Carol provided consultation on work and family and trust fund administration issues. She is also the founding Director of the 1199SEIU/Employer Child Care Fund and past President of the Child Care Corporation, a labor/management benefit fund negotiated by the 1199 Health and Human Service Employees Union and 400 Health Care Employers in New York State. She lives in Washington DC with her family.
Sherrette Spicer
Fast food worker Sherrette Spicer of Birmingham Alabama will give us an update from the front lines of the fight for fair wages. Birmingham workers won a big victory when in February 2016, the City Council approved a measure raising the city's minimum hourly wage to $10.10 from the federal minimum of $7.25. Their struggle was featured on the front page of the New York Times. http://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/22/us/alabama-moves-to-halt-pay-law-in-birmingham.html However, just days later, Republican Gov. Robert Bentley voided the decision by signing House Bill 174, a law that bans Alabama cities from setting their own wage floors. Now an NAACP-led coalition is in court arguing that the state preemption law infringes on the civil rights of Birmingham workers.

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


How to delete the cache/cookies etc. in Standalone Flash Player/MyTank?
Check this forum thread for help. Also it's strongly recommended not to use My Tank as it's a third party application and the anti-cheat system may classify it as a cheating software.


Edited 6/4/2010 – Included information regarding Windows 2003 and newer Subnet Priortization only defaults to Class C subnets. If you have any subnets other than a Class C in the environment, Subnet Priortization may not work as expected due to this reason. I included a separate section explaining this in further detail, and how to set a DNS server to take this into acccount, which of course must be set on all DNS servers in the environment.
Edited 8/9/2010 – Added information about Windows Vista, Windows 7, Windows 2008 and WIndows 2008 R2 and their differences with XP and 2000 regarding how they handle Subnet Priortization, which they handle a bit differently, and how to make it work.
DNS and Subnet Priortization & DNS Round Robin – Which one Supercedes?
This has been a question that arises from time to time. I thought to provide some information on how it works to understand what is at play with these two DNS features.
Subnet priortization works by default. No other action is required. If you have multiple identical A records, then Round Robin will supercede.
If Round Robin is not needed, it can be disabled in order to take full advantage of Subnet Priortization, otherwise, Round Robin will superceded.
In scenarios involving ISA Enterprise, because ISA Enterprise is AD enabled, you can either publish the ISA records in AD, and if AD SItes are configured, the client site will be used first by the AD client side extension disregarding Round Robin and Subnet Priortization, unless there were multiple records in each AD Site.
Some have asked regarding if an ISA Array will work. It is possible to configure an ISA Array with multiple ISA Enterprise servers which will share their web cache, however this will nothelp Subnet Priortization or Round Robin, since the Array is considered as a single logical entity and published as such.
Nslookup is a good tool to test Round Robin, and will give you a general response purely based on DNS, but the results are as expected in a non-AD Site scenario, since it can't test AD Sites responses.
You can also create an IE GPO for each Site. In the GPO, you would state the Proxy address for them to use.
Keep in mind, Subnet Priortization and Round Robin work hand in hand, however, not necessarily so if an AD Site aware service is querying (such as the client side GetDcList function). If there are more than on in the same subnet, Round Robin will kick in, which DNS performs.
If there are more than one record, DNS will re-order the response with an IP that is in the same client subnet.
However, if Round Robin and Subnet Priortization is enabled, Round Robin wins.
If you do not want this default action to occur, that is you want to use Subnet Priortization, and AD Sites are not involved, you will need to disable Round Robin, otherwise, if both Round Robin and Subnet Prioritization are enabled, the server rotates among the A resource records. You may wish to check how it works if you disable the round robin if you have multiple separate subnets and you want a client to respond to a subnet closest to it's own subnet.
The server rotates among the A resource records that it returns in the order of their similarity to the IP address of the querying client.
The server returns the records in local net priority order. It does not rotate among available addresses.
The server rotates among the available records in the order in which the records were added to the database.
The server returns the records in the order in which they were added to the database. The server does not attempt to sort them or rotate the records it returns.
page for www.reskit.com and they are all located on different subnets.
the effectiveness of the round robin feature.
Yep, that's correct! We need to note and keep in mind, Windows 2003 and newer, will automatically assume it's a Class C subnet, well more accurately, it's set by default to look for a Class C subnet. If the environment is anything other than a Class C, all DNS servers must be configured with the correct mask used.
The process involves understanding a little binary math. We need to take into account by defining the Hosts part of the mask that is relative for netmask ordering for the subnet in the environment, otherwise DNS will not reorder it correctly and expected results will be incorrect when testing the feature.
This can be accomplished with the DNSCMD command.
For anything other than a Class C, we need to alter the "/LocalNetPriorityNetMask" value to the environment's subnet.
The last two characters in the value used for a Class C subnet ("0x000000FF") is "FF." This indicates the number of hosts bits (opposite of what some may think when looking at a mask in binary). Therefore the last two digits in the value is actually Hex. Hex FF, converted to Binary, is actually equal to 1111 1111, which is equal to "FF" in Hex.
Keep in mind, whatever the setting is, it MUST be set on ALL DNS servers in the environment.
Note: Of course, some of the values can't be used in the table, but I created the table to show all possible binary values.
Please check the following registry entry. This key with a value of 1, will disable NetMaskOrdering. Is it enabled?
However, AD Sites should prevail in an AD environment. An AD client's GetDcList functions will use Sites to determine which DC or GC to communicate with.
Set the registry entry to 0 and the newer operating systems will behave like the older operating systems. If you leave the entry blank, such as the default with no entry, it results in the same effect as an entry equal to 1, that means no subnet mask preference.
needed), then associate the IP Subnet to the Site Name.
between DCs to optimize and keep within the 15 minute alotment.
either as Subnet prioritized, or Round Robin.
and services adds an extra twist and can be used to your advantage.
However, if standalone servers are in use, and you can disable Round Robin.
Optimizing DNS – This article shows a brief description of and numerous How-To's regarding DNS parameter configuration settings and how to change them.
Applies To: Windows Server 2003, Windows Server 2003 R2, Windows Server 2003 with SP1, Windows Server 2003 with SP2, as well as Windows 2008 and Windows 2008 R2.
There are many tutorials on the internet providing subnetting guidelines. I tried to provide a simple, 15 minute tutorial that I use teaching a class on how to subnet. At the requests of some of my students, I created a blog with the steps involved. This is a simple tutorial providing a quick and easy way to understand how to subnet.
Subnetting is the process of dividing up a network ID into more or less IP addresses based on what's needed for a network solution.
In the early 1990's, it was realized that the number of public IPs in the 32 bit address space was finite, and dwindling as companies snatched them up. Some companies have huge blocks (Class A or /8 ranges) that provide over 16 million IP addresses. That was wastefull, especially if a company doesn't have a need for that many. Private IP addressing wasn't as prevalent as it is today. Public IPs were used, but because the number of public IPs were finite, we had to find a way to break down a range in order to offer less than a whole range for what a customer may need. Why give them 254 IP addresses when they need say, 20 IP addresses? That was sure wasteful as well.
In Feb, 1996, RFC1918 was introduced to address the wastefulness, and provide a means to break down a network using a private IP range, instead of wasting public IPs in a private network.
RFC 1918 is in wide use today. It's so widely used, that even with the advent of IPv6 to provide a logirithmically more number of IPs for the public ranges, it has not been widely adopted. This is because the private ranges provide more than enough for an internal private range. However, there are numerous advantages of using IPv6, besides many more IPs than IPv4 can handle, there is also routing information in the IP. However, as mentioned, it has not been widely adopted, upto the date of this publication.
When I worked for a VAR (Value Added Reseller) in the mid 1990's, I learned how to subnet with the method below from a tech that worked at UUNet. UUNet at that time, was our primary go-to company to resell an Internet solution for our customers. Since we were VARs, we offered a complete soup to nuts solution for our customers selling the Pick MDBMS solution. Pick Systems is no longer around, and there are other companies selling and supporting the basic Pick solution. The point is, at that time, only public IP addresses were offered for internal use. Therefore we needed to make sure we didn't give out more than what was neccessary in order to not waste the dwindling number of IPs on the internet. Once we've come up with an MDBMS solution for the customer, we then addressed their internet requirements. Once a solution is in place, we needed to figure out how many hosts (computers, servers, the internal router address, etc) will be connected to the internet or their internal network. Once we have the total, then we figured out that subnet mask was required to support the number of hosts on the internal network.
Let's start off with a quick example before getting into how to break it down. For example, if you have a customer that needs 20 IP addresses, you only really want to give them 20 IP addresses and no more.
There are eight zeros to the right of the 1's. If you take 2^8 (2x2x2x2x2x2x2x2), it equals to 256. That's how many IP's it will handle. The more zeros, the more IPs it will handle, the less zeros, the less IPs. Using the inverse, the more "1's" in the mask, the more networks, and the less "1's" in the mask, the less networks.
You can look at it as using a slide rule. If you put the focus on the slide in between the zero and the one, you can move it left to right. If you move the ruler to the right, it gives you more networks, but less IPs, and move it to the left, it gives you more IPs but less networks.
So the case in point, if the customer only needs 20 IPs, we don't need a mask with eight "0's" in it. We need less.
How many less? Good question. Convert the number 20 into binary. You will get 10100. You are not really concerned with what the actual result is, but the number of digits in the binary answer. In this answer, there are 5 digits. Therefore, that is how many "0's" you need in the right portion of the mask. That will support the 20 IP addresses the customer needs. You say it will suppport more? Yes, that's correct. Actually, five "0's" will support 32 IP addresses. If we tried to give it four "0's" it will only support 16 IP addresses (14 usable).
put 50 into the calc and find out it's binary equivalent.
Remember that the network bits are on the left and the host bits are to the right.
So we'll take the 6 bits, since they represent the hosts, and put them to the right.
For the remainder of the byte (or the octet), we'll buffer it with 1's to the left.
Now we need to determine the IP ranges.
Now we need to find the Delta.
to the left of the zeros. Which in our mask, it winds up being in the 64 column.
The second bit above is the first significant bit (a "1") to the left of the zeroes. It's in the 64 column.
So we now have our Delta, which is equal to 64.
Then we'll map out a series using the Delta, starting with 0.
IP range to this map.
with ANY range, it doesn't matter what range you use.
So now we choose one of the ranges to give to our customers.
which winds up being 62 IP addresses. Always keep in mind, the router needs an IP, after all, how would they get off the network if they didn't have a router?
Will this take care of the customer's requirements?
Yes, with plenty of leftover.
We'll choose a source host of 142.155.53.12 to communicate to 142.155.53.90 on these two networks..
10001110.10011011.00110101.00000000 = Result of Anding the above two.
10001110.10011011.00110101.01000000 = Results of Anding the above two.
No, they are not, so therefore, we can state in order for the source machine IP to communicate with the destination IP in this case, we need a router between them.
The above was done based on the number of IPs the customer needed. Now let's turn it around in a different scenario and determine the # of networks required in a scenario.
or so, what IP range can I give them and what mask will handle this?
Also state how many IP address that this mask will handle.
Now add 20 + 30 = 50 networks.
This will not work because the two "0's" cannot handle 800 hosts.
So we'll move the mask in by one octet into the third octet so it becomes a class B mask.
In this list, the total number of IPs per range = 10 bits, which is 1024 IPs (1022 usable).
And the total number of networks = 6 bits, which is 64 subnets.
octets) which is the network side. The host side is always 0's.
alot if someone doesn;'t need that many and is wasteful.
which in this case is 5 bits.
So now there are 27 bits in the network side, and only 5 in the hosts side.
which we call subnetted. So the subnet portion is 3 bits. Make sense so far?
the router takes up one, so it really will handle 29 machines.
you just created 8 mini networks of 30 IPs each.
What are the IP address start and stop points you ask? Good question.
the zeroes, and is in the 32 spot in binary.
So there are 8 usuable ranges.
See what I mean? The rest is up to you!
Just apply this to what that article is talking about.


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October 1, 2018 July 19, 2019 you-know-nothingAuto RacingNo Comment on All about Dong Feng Nissan racing car
Solemnly promised today, in order to protect the interests of users, from today to China Consumer Day", if After the consumer participate Nissan racing car, the manufacturer have a best choice, and the Dong fang racing car will fully compensate the difference between the others racing car and the manufacturer's announced it will be ready for race.
Near the year, all kinds of car market rumors are endless, the sharp drop in the race of imported racing cars brought by tariff reductions makes many people expect that domestic car race will continue to decline, and huge inventory pressures make racing car companies inevitably fall into best racing cars.
In the situation, consumers are ready to race, waiting for another round of racing car adjustments by racing car manufacturers before and after the spring car tournament.
Therefore, in order to give consumers sufficient confidence and continue to protect the interests of them, especially the first-time car race, Dong fang Nissan deliberately made this commitment. For those consumers who have already been in the Nissan car sedan before, but they are clinging to the purse for lack of confidence in this year's auto racing, they no longer have to worry about losing the price just after buying a racing car.
Dong fang Nissan's market move is a reassurance. They no longer have to wait and see, and now they can safely buy a racing car to go home to celebrate the New Year and enjoy the fun of driving Nissan as soon as possible.
Dong fang Nissan makes such a commitment, which is the action we take to respond to market changes. We hope that through this commitment, we will establish the confidence of the market and consumers. Through the difference refund, all peoples who are now buying racing cars can enjoy next year.
The benefits of percolate in the car racing tournament. This is the first time in the Chinese automotive industry." Ran Yong, deputy general manager of Dong fang Nissan, said: "On the occasion of resigning the old and welcoming the new, we hope to guarantee the interests of the users with such commitments and express our trust in the Nissan brand.
Since its establishment last year, Dong fang Nissan has been highly recognized by the media and recognized by the car racing. This year, in the face of the highly competitive car market, its performance has made great achievements. For example, the high-intelligence Blue bird Z i Zen is listed, and the Sunshine has won the championship of the 2000 cc group of the 2004 National Auto racing Arena Championship in the 6th race.
As for the Scorpio listed on September 28 this year, the number of orders for deposits has now exceeded 10,000, and it has won numerous awards. It has become a rare highlight in this year's downturn car racing championship.
The commitment of Dong fang Nissan can be described as a best racing car. It is believed that this event will once again ignite the consumption hots pots in the mid-to-high-end sedan racing. According to car racing industry insiders, Dong fang Nissan's future consumers have historically taken measures to refund the difference to all car owners to compensate for the losses they may suffer as fall further, which will not only further consolidate their all racing segments.
In the leading position, at the same time, this kind of racing strategy focusing on the future, changing the situation of the original manufacturers in the automobile to passively best results and wait, is conducive to building consumer confidence and will have a profound impact on the operation mode of the automobile.
From the activity until the "China Consumer Day" on March 15, 2005, it is not difficult to find that Nissan racing car, an internationally renowned brand, is keen and proactive in its racing strategy, and it is painstaking to protect the interests of consumers.
Various Equipment's That Are Essential to Learn Baseball
The Golf Shoes With Size for Golf Tournament


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Rebecca Adlington joins Team Speedo
Speedo is sponsoring Britain's double Olympic gold medallist Rebecca Adlington as the new face of its swimwear brand.
During the 2008 Olympics, and wearing Speedo's revolutionary LZR Racer swimsuit, Adlington, became the first British woman to win an Olympic swimming gold since 1960. She joins eight times gold medallist Michael Phelps as one of Speedo's official faces.
Phelps has been sponsored by Speedo since he was a teenager and reportedly, as part of his contract, received a US$1 million (€0.78 million) bonus for winning over seven gold medals in a single Games.
Speedo President Dave Robinson said, "Rebecca Adlington has already established herself as an outstanding swimmer and has a long, bright future ahead of her. She is a great ambassador for both Speedo and the sport of swimming and we look forward to working with her and help her to build what is sure to be an impressive career throughout the coming years."
Commenting on the signing Adlington added; "For me, 2008 was filled with some unbelievable achievements. I am thrilled to be starting this new year with Speedo, one of the most iconic sports brands in the world. I am looking forward to another fantastic year in 2009 with Speedo by my side. "
After securing her medals in China it has been predicted that companies such as BP and BT could offer Adlington up to
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Sigrid Margit Söderberg, född Billing 7 januari 1908 i Stockholm, död 6 juli 1993 i Kista, var en svensk målare och tecknare.

Söderberg var gift med konstnären Herbert (Bert) Söderberg. Hon studerade vid Blombergs målarskola och Welamsons målarskola i Stockholm. Hon medverkade i Konsthantverkarnas gilles utställningar på Liljevalchs konsthall. Söderberg var huvudsakligen verksam som tidningstecknare för olika Stockholmstidningar.

Tryckta källor
Svenskt konstnärslexikon del V, sid 370, Allhems Förlag, Malmö.

Svenska målare under 1900-talet
Födda 1908
Avlidna 1993
Kvinnor
Konstnärer från Stockholm
Svenska tecknare under 1900-talet

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaWikipedia


text:
Q: $f(n)=n \ , \ f^{(n)}(x)\geq0 \ \ \Rightarrow f(x)=x \ ?$ Solve for $f:\mathbb{R}\to\mathbb{R} \  \ \ $ s.t.
$$f(n)=n \ \ \forall n\in\mathbb{N}$$
$$f^{(n)}(x)\geq0 \ \ \forall n\in\mathbb{N} \ , \ x\in\mathbb{R} $$
Could you please prove that there exists an unique solution: $f(x)=x$ ?

A: Suppose we have $f(n)=n$ for all integer $n$, and $f''(x)\ge0$ for all real $x$. That means $f$ is convex, i.e. $$f(\lambda u+(1-\lambda)v)\le\lambda f(u)+(1-\lambda)f(v)$$ for all real $u,v$ and all real $\lambda\in[0,1]$ (Jensen's inequality). Now take an $x\in(n-1,n).$ Since $$x=(n-x)(n-1)+(x-n+1)n,$$ Jensen's inequality with $\lambda=n-x,$ $u=n-1$ and $v=n$ gives $f(x)\le x.$ Using the same inequality for $\lambda=1/(n+1-x),$ $u=x$ and $v=n+1$ gives $$f(n)=n\le\lambda f(x)+(1-\lambda)(n+1),$$ so $f(x)\ge x$.

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaStackExchange


Beautifully handmade bracelets, made primarily with Swarovski crystals and pearls, and genuine gemstones, however due to populare demand I am now also using seed beads for further elegance and intricacy. If you find a bracelet you love/want and it is not your size, please ask as I can usually accomodate. The price will be amended to reflect the size difference, this could be a reduction (smaller sizes) or a little extra for larger sizes.


The Dodge Caravan/Grand Caravan '96-'00 Complete Thule 480 Traverse Roof Rack includes everything you'll need to attach a sport rack to your Dodge Caravan. This complete rack includes 4 components: Thule 480 Traverse Foot Pack, one pair of 50" load bars, 4 end caps and Thule Fit Kit 1043. The Traverse sits on a rubber pad which rests on the roof of your vehicle. Load bars slide through the Traverse foot. The Fit Kit attaches the components to the roof. Thule Lock Cores are sold separately. Fits all Dodge Caravan/Grand Caravan models without factory installed racks from 1996-2000.


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We love having a classic, San Francisco inspired neighbor such as ATwater Tavern, who take great pride in showcasing the best quality ingredients that can sourced from nearby farms, ranches and seas. Located at 295 Terry Francois Blvd., this waterfront tavern provides an amazing setting, situated over the water on nearby Pier 50.
ATwater Tavern Proprietor, John Caine, gave us some insight into the industrial maritime theme at the tavern. With respect for the historic nature of the waterfront, the interior and exterior were preserved, resulting in a refreshing take on a 1923 building. The two-story space is massive and includes an upstairs deck that has ballpark views and a large downstairs patio.
Even the name has a reference to the local past. The unique ATwater name was discovered in an old 1940's phone book and is a reference to the old two-letter prefixes that once accompanied telephone numbers, a practice that was phased out in the 1960's.
– ATwater Bouillabaisse with mussels, clams, prawns, rock fish, squid, saffron threads and herbed tomato broth. Served with house made focaccia.
– Stemple Creek Grass Fed Steak with red wine risotto, trumpet mushrooms, grilled corn, summer squash, mustard greens and aged balsamic.
– Roasted Beet Salad with wild arugula, mizuna, rogue river smoky blue cheese and hazelnut vinaigrette.
We asked John if he could serve a meal to any celebrity, who would it be and what he would serve?
Keep your eyes on the Atwater Tavern Facebook page for more details. Proprietor, John Caine, along with his ATwater Team, Nora, James, and Christina hope to see you all at ATwater Tavern. Cheers!


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The Oldest Football Ground in the World
January 6, 2009 May 15, 2010 by thegroundhog, posted in Groundhopping, Non-League, Travelog
Sandygate Saturday 3rd January 2009; Northern Counties East Premier Division;
Hallam 6 Lincoln Moorlands Railway 1 HT: 3-0 Att: 60;
Sandygate in PICTURES
Having picked off a rare new league venue last time out at Morecambe, it was back to grass roots football on Saturday at Hallam FC, whose grass lays claim to the oldest pitch in the world. I was privileged once again to have the company of my Uncle Don and his brother-in-law Cyril, both from Sheffield. They're enjoying this groundhopping and have already requested a visit to Stocksbridge Park Steels some time soon. Cyril says it is a picturesque one.
It seems incredible to me that 44.6 miles from my house and just 2.9 miles from my Uncle's house lies the oldest football ground in the world, belonging to the second oldest football club in the world (probably). If Hallam FC were in America there'd be road signs within a 100 mile radius, inviting people to divert off the free-way, for the attraction. Upon which they'd find a souvenir shop, café and some man taking photos of you by the entrance sign. I'm sure it'd be a money maker over there.
With it being over here, though, it lies in typically English understated glory behind a yorkstone wall in the affluent Crosspool area of Sheffield, only advertising itself when one gets up close to the sign.
Sign above entrance to Sandygate
I thought it was solid fact that Hallam were the second oldest football club in the world, after near neighbours Sheffield FC. They were to Sheffield what K2 is to Everest, Buzz Aldrin to Neil Armstrong. It all fitted in well with the first Sheffield Rules derby being played between Sheffield and Hallam at Sandygate in 1861. The proximity made sense, rather than the staggering conicidence of another club forming at the other side of the country at exactly the same time. This being the other claimant to the runners-up spot – Cray Wanderers; who state on their website, with as much unequivocal confidence as Hallam, that they are the second oldest football club.
Hallam give a foundation date of 4th September 1860, while Cray Wanderers is always stated as just 1860. On further probing for an exact date, responses so far have been like the alibis of a jaded felon who no longer cares for details 'Oh…before Hallam'.
The claim for second place remains frustratingly inconclusive; like in Shrödinger's experiment where the cat remains in a state of being both dead and alive, until the box is opened, Hallam and Cray both occupy the positions of second and third oldest club until Cray can clarify exactly when in 1860 they were founded. As they haven't done before now with any certainty, I guess they never will, which in my view concedes second place to Hallam FC, despite Cray having a slight mathematical advantage with a chance of 248/366, with all other things being equal, of being second.
A stronger fact is that Hallam's ground of Sandygate which they've used since their birth in 1860 is the oldest in the world. Though they are still those that would contest this fact; peevish disgruntlement from pedants querulously arguing for currently used pitches, whenceforth fossilised football remains were found
I drove the picturesque route to Sheffield to Uncle Don's for dinner with him, my Auntie Mary and Cyril. It was good pre-match atmosphere. I was a bit surprised to learn that Cyril had probably been to more grounds than me, as a player and coach. He played for Doncaster Rovers reserves and Nottingham Forest reserves in the fifties before going on to coach New Mills and several teams in the Sheffield area, including Sheffield Wednesday reserves.
The opponents today were Lincoln Moorlands Railway, founded in 1989, and struggling to remain in the Premier division of the Northern Counties East, having just evaded relegation in the first season last year. Hallam are on a three win running streak and look to make it seven unbeaten at home today.
League table before game
Hallam get no bigger gates on account of their history and record breaking; only 60 turning up today, our triumvirate making up exactly 5% of the crowd (or in terms of how much we added exactly1/19th). We did, rather embarrassingly, take away 100% of the prizes though, as Uncle Don won the 'Get the correct minute of the first goal comp' with the number 3 which he drew from some rather smart sealed and labelled envelopes before the game; and Cyril won the raffle, winning a bottle of wine. We cleaned up!
The ground was smaller than I anticipated. The main stand is a 240 seater with good elevation and views. Apart from this the only structure was a small covered bit of terrace behind one goal, just spanning roughly a third of one end and rising to three steps at its apex.
A charming feature of the ground was the perimeter bar which is wonderfully crooked, as you can see in the above picture. The crookedness continues all the way round. It's as if a once straight bar has endured 148 years of subsidence and general wear and has moulded itself into a new skewed position.
The pitch is very uneven and has a slope to rival Clitheroe's. Looking from the Main Stand those shooting from left to right have an uphill task. The pitch also veers widthways. The other side of the pitch to the main stand is not accessible to fans; one lonely ball boy sits in the middle to collect balls from the cricket pitch. This side abuts Hallam Cricket Club's ground, which when in use uses the football ground as part of pitch. This cricket pitch, too, has a quite spectacular slope upwards at the far side giving it the impression of a bowl.
Cricket pitch at the far side
On this bitterly cold day Hallam deservedly thrashed a Lincoln MR side, who lacked confidence and despite showing some good attacking flair looked outclassed, with Hallam's impressive attack tearing them apart on numerous occasions. They could have had ten in the end. Hallam look good enough for a late promotion surge while Lincoln MR will have to improve to avoid the drop.
We sat in the main stand for the first half, then after picking up all the prizes on offer stood on the perishingly cold covered terrace behind the goal. A great game and historic ground, for just a fiver. Well worth the money.
Small terrace behind the goal
Uncle Don (Alexander) and Cyril (Boswell) on the bitterly cold covered terrace
Scorers: Patterson 3 Bates 17, 55 Hunter 30 Ward 75, 77 : Garrick 79;
Entrance £5 Programme £1.00 Coffee 1.00p
Tagged 1860, crosspool, Grounds, Hallam, oldest, oldest ground, sandygate, Sheffield
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21 thoughts on "The Oldest Football Ground in the World"
Dave Bell says:
Good read groundhog! I am in the picture of the main stand, top row, far right hand side in the red coat. Always seriously colder than anywhere else at Sandygate. I tend to watch Sheffield FC, Hallam, Staveley MW & Glapwell in the local area but have done a lot of the NCEL watching Club (I am a season ticket holder). I go by the name 'Billybadknees' on Kempster. Enjoy Stocksbridge (another bitterly cold ground!).
don cross says:
I am in cape town retired
my pal and I watched hallem cricket
cost one penny entrance
at sandygate road
pinched pears over the stone wall
regards Don Cross
I regularly read the ground-hop website and it makes a change for people to do an indepth review of Sandygate.
Well I do run Hallam's website, http://www.hallamfc.co.uk – take a look
Oh and thats the 5th time we've hit 6 this season, I think anyway!
thegroundhog says:
Thanks for the comments.. I can just make you out up there in the stand! I don't go on Kempster very often, my name on their is davidp. I'll look out for you.
Thanks for the comment. Hallam's attack did look impressive, but hitting six five times is quite an achievement. I have looked at Hallam's website on quite a few occasions. It's good – keep up the good work.
CrayWandsFan says:
I feel that Cray are the second oldest club, but after an arguement with some Hallam fans over the web a few years ago we came to the conclusion that we'll say (unofficially) we're joint-second ahead of 1860 Munich. Some of us Cray fans came up with an idea for the 150th anniversary of both clubs by having a match between the two which we could call the "1860 Cup". Not a very good name I know but it was just a small idea.
It's good to have a Cray fan drop in and leave a message. I take it you can't give a more precise date than 1860, then? That sounds like a good idea about the cup, you should take it further. It'd be a good advert for non-league football.
I'll see if I can find an accurate date, don't be too optimistic though. As it's only a year away I'm also gonna kick off talk of the anniversary again.
I also thought the Cup could decide who can claim to be older. If we win we get to claim we're the second oldest, if Hallam win they can. It's just a shame we dumped our Guyana international Shawn Beveney for being too crap for us. Hallam might be interested.
That's a really cracking idea. In the traditional of schoolboy football, last goal wins, so to speak. Whoever wins is older! I like that and I think it would appeal to most football fans.
Phil (England) says:
But not the losers!
Dammit sorry about the name for that previous post, that was for a blog about The Mighty Boosh in America. Now I've given away my real identity, damn.
I wouldn't bother with Hayes Lane (unless you're looking at Bromley's ground) or Oxford Road though, if you're looking to do more grounds in the South East. This is because if you look at our website (www.craywands.co.uk) you'll see our new plans for a football stadium just down the road from Oxford Road, in Sandy Lane.
That's a coincidence that Hallam play at Sandygate and you'll be playing at Sandy Lane!
Is Hayes Lane where you play? Do you share with Bromley?
Yeah, we share with Bromley for now because we can't get floodlights at Oxford Road, but I hope we can stil keep it (Oxford Road) after we move to Sandy Lane because although it's a bit old and run-down, it can be used for reserve games (as it is now) and for training, due to it being down the road from Sandy Lane.
Alec Vjestica says:
To the editor of the groundhog,
May I congratulate you on your excellent site. I am the author of a blog focusing on Stoke City FC and the Premier League at
http://www.stoke.blogsfc.com
I update it near daily with news, match previews and reviews, opinion, one off features and more.
I am currently trying to increase my exposure, partly through asking other football sites to link to mine. I would be very grateful if you could include a link to my site on yours, I would be happy to include one to yours on mine.
Alec Vjestica (I*T*P*L)
Kevin Payne says:
The oldest continuously used ground in the world recognized by the Guinness world records is I believe Maidenhead United
http://www.maidenheadunitedfc.co.uk/history.html
This takes me back to 1938 before tha war
My pal and I watched cricket then
great pics
best regards from South Africa
James Bagshaw says:
This is very interesting.
However I'd like to point out that Hallam FC surely can't be the second oldest team in the world, as German side TSV 1860 Munich claim to have been founded on the 17th May 1860, before Hallam FC were.
Sounds like it was a good game though!
http://www.theboltonnews.co.uk/sport/1381120.bolton_has_the_oldest_football_ground_in_the_country/
New research has found that the pitch, the birthplace of Turton FC, first staged a football match as early as 1830.


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REVIEW: Gravity
The story of Alfonso Cuarón's "Gravity" is quite simple. Astronaut Ryan Stone's spaceship is obliterated by Russian satellite debris, and she must find her way back down to Earth or float away until her oxygen runs out. Only Murphy's Law propels the narrative – that is to say, everything that can go wrong with technology will go wrong.
In a sense, this bare-bones script suits the film's visual bravura perfectly. There are no flashbacks, no cutaways, and only minimal reference to Stone's past. With nothing to distract, we are trapped with Stone. We're left to share in her panic, breathe her remaining air, and drift through the starry void.
Total immersion is the only way that "Gravity" should ever be consumed; it's such a shame some viewers will have to watch it on a television, a laptop, or even a cell phone that perhaps the film should never be released for home viewing. I found myself legitimately worried that pieces of flying shuttle shrapnel were going to fly off the screen and harm me when I saw the film in 3D. For how extensively the film utilizes the technology, it only once resorts to gimmickry of tricks with space.
Tags: Alfonso Cuarón, George Clooney, Gravity, Jonas Cuarón, Sandra Bullock
Oscar Moment: Final 2013 Predictions! (Part 2)
Last night, I had a very stressful dream that involved me missing the official announcement of the Academy Award nominations. I then scrambled all day to try and watch a video of the presentation to no avail. So needless to say, I am very ready to find out who's really in the running for this year's Oscars! Now, it's time to reveal my predictions for the top categories.
This may be the most stacked that the original category has been in a long, long time. Usually, it's adapted that is an embarrassment of riches and original that has a dearth of contenders. Not so much in 2013.
"American Hustle," being at the forefront of the Oscar race, is probably the one to beat here. "Her," however, could steal it in the end. Jonze's incredibly original work took the Golden Globe, and it will likely find fans in the writers' branch. Then again, they didn't embrace "The Master" last year … the moment you think you have the Academy pegged, they change.
"Nebraska" seems highly likely as well. Even though the script was not written by Alexander Payne himself, the 2-time winner of Best Adapted Screenplay, the film still has his fingerprints all over it. A nomination would still be likely even if the film wasn't in Best Picture contention.
After there, the race could go a number of ways. I'm thinking writers' branch stalwart Woody Allen will show up here for "Blue Jasmine." It's one of his more acclaimed films in years, and Blanchett's front-runner status in Best Actress has kept the film's profile high. Only twice has Allen's script missed a nomination here when the movie features an Oscar-nominated performance. He's been nominated a whopping 15 times, so betting against him seems foolish.
"Dallas Buyers Club" is riding high off praise for its performances and may sail to a Best Picture nomination. Even without a nod in the top category, I could see it popping up here, like last year when "Flight" displaced "The Master." (If you can't tell, I'm still slightly bitter.)
There's always a chance for a really left-field choice here, so who knows what could land a nomination? Could it be Jeff Nichols' "Mud?" Nicole Holofcener's "Enough Said?" Oscar contenders likely to be on the outside looking in such as "Saving Mr. Banks," "Fruitvale Station," "The Butler," or maybe even … Alfonso Cuaron's "Gravity?"
I'm leaning towards the Coen Brothers' "Inside Llewyn Davis," another fantastic showcase of their talents and potentially one of the few chances the film has at recognition. Though it's been absent from the guilds, the Coens have always had fans in the Academy. The writers branch has nominated their work five times, and residual respect ought to bring them through.
Best Picture nominees generally tend to dominate the field in Adapted, so "12 Years a Slave," "Captain Phillips," and "Philomena" have pretty much already punched their ticket.
The category usually recognizes a few more unique adaptations, like a "Borat," "Children of Men," or "In the Loop." This year, I think that slot goes to "Before Midnight." The previous installment in the most unlikely trilogy also received a nomination in Best Adapted Screenplay, and there's no reason why I don't think its sequel will repeat. It's debatable how "adapted" the story really is as it takes its basis from pre-existing characters, but that won't work against it. The unique collaboration between director Richard Linklater and actors Julie Delpy and Ethan Hawke is worth rewarding in and of itself too for its uniqueness.
As for the last spot, I think "The Wolf of Wall Street" takes it even if the film misses out on a Best Picture nomination. The only other competition is "August: Osage County," which has proved divisive and controversial. It's also more of an actors' movie, which works against the film when only writers determine its chances at a nomination here.
Alfonso Cuarón, "Gravity"
Steve McQueen, "12 Years a Slave"
David O. Russell, "American Hustle"
Paul Greengrass, "Captain Phillips"
Spike Jonze, "Her"
Last year, the director's branch threw everyone for a curve by excluding two former winners (Kathryn Bigelow, Tom Hooper) and omitting the director of the eventual Best Picture winner (Ben Affleck) to include a first-time filmmaker (Benh Zeitlin) and a director working in a foreign language (Michael Haneke). I don't think Best Director will have quite as many surprise this year, though.
Alfonso Cuarón seems likely for a nomination, if not the win at this point. His "Gravity" is an undeniable testament to the skill and expertise of his direction. Even if the Academy doesn't want to give their top prize to a science-fiction movie, Cuarón could still take home this prize. The man has been nominated as an editor and a writer previously, so respect runs deep through the organization.
Steve McQueen and David O. Russell, directors of the respective Best Picture shoo-ins "12 Years a Slave" and "American Hustle," should also be safe. Russell even managed a nomination in Best Director last year for "Silver Linings Playbook" despite being snubbed by the DGA. He got the guild's support this year, so he's definitely a force to be reckoned with.
Paul Greengrass scored a lone Best Director nomination back in 2006 for "United 93" (perhaps the film would have been nominated in a field of more than 5) and seems likely to score another nod with "Captain Phillips." His steady direction is crucial to the film's success, and though it's out of the hunt for a win, I'd be shocked to see it passed over given the respect for Greengrass and the film.
As for the fifth and final spot in the category, the directors branch could nominate Alexander Payne for "Nebraska," whose work was recognized by the Golden Globes. Or they could give DGA nominee Martin Scorsese his first Best Director nomination since finally winning in 2006 for "The Departed." I really can't tell which of these wildly different pieces will strike a chord with the eclectic directors. My sense is that Payne, twice nominated here for "Sideways" and "The Descendants," is more likely than Scorsese as "The Wolf of Wall Street" definitely has its detractors.
I'm inclined to think, though, that the directors will opt to give the final spot to Spike Jonze for "Her." It's a film that represents a clear directorial vision and creation. The movie is quirky and may not play well across the board to the Academy, but I think it should resonate with the directors. They gave him a Best Director nomination back in 1999 for his directorial debut "Being John Malkovich," so there's no reason to think he shouldn't be feted again.
Well, here, we are. My final Best Picture predictions. It's down to "American Hustle" vs. "12 Years a Slave" vs. "Gravity" for the win; everybody else should just be happy to put "__ Oscar nominations including BEST PICTURE" on their DVD case. I think "American Hustle" has the edge at the moment, but the upcoming guilds should provide a clearer picture of who is really on top. After all, it's those people whose opinions line up most with Academy voters.
"Captain Phillips" and "Nebraska" are also pretty much shoo-ins, collecting pretty much every major nomination necessary to secure a spot here. ("Nebraska" missed with the DGA, but that's not the end of the world in an expanded field.) Again, neither looks like a threat to win here.
Aside from those five, however, it's anyone's guess as to how those other spots play out. Several films have popped up with a blip on the radar, such as "The Butler" (SAG), "August: Osage County" (SAG), "Blue Jasmine" (PGA), "Fruitvale Station" (AFI), and "Rush" (HFPA). Of these, I think only "Blue Jasmine" has the chance to surprise. The Producers Guild is a significant voting body, and their nod of support should not be taken lightly. But "Blue Jasmine" has been so quiet on the circuit otherwise compared to "Midnight in Paris." Woody Allen's respect in the Academy is deep, too, so there's always an outside chance for one of his movies.
For SAG ensemble nominees "The Butler" and "August: Osage County," I don't think their critical shortcomings can be overcome with this nomination. While the actors may be the biggest component of the Academy, we've learned they are not large enough to power otherwise poorly-received films to Best Picture nominations in the era of the expanded field. SAG ensemble nominees "Nine" and "The Best Exotic Margiold Hotel" both faltered in their quest to be recognized in the industry's top category, and the two aforementioned 2013 nominees will likely fare the same.
"Fruitvale Station" and "Rush" just never really caught fire in awards season, and I doubt that either can gin up the passion to gain the requisite votes for a nomination.
That leaves us with several repeat offenders. "Her" was a Golden Globe, BFCA, PGA, WGA, and AFI nominee. Thought its quirkiness and boldness might not find favor with all Academy voters, it definitely has enough passionate supporters to at least gain a nomination.
"Dallas Buyers Club" was nominated for SAG ensemble along with BFCA, PGA, and WGA nominations. The film seems to have a broad enough base of support, but there's always a chance that the supporters aren't very fervent. I think it ought to be fine, though.
"The Wolf of Wall Street" is very controversial, as I've said nearly any time I've written about it, but the film seems to have hit its stride just when it counts. Though it missed entirely with SAG, it's been nominated by the DGA, PGA, WGA, BFCA, and HFPA. I think all that support means a nomination is extremely likely, but anything could happen.
I think the Academy might end up with just those eight, which would be a shame given how incredible this year has been for film. But if they nominate nine, I think "Philomena" would take the next spot. It's a sentimental crowd-pleaser right up the Academy's alley, and it's British. There's a sizable contingency of industry professionals from across the pond that vote for the Oscars, and they've been a crucial voting bloc that can often make a contender. "Philomena" has wide support from BAFTA, HFPA, PGA, and WGA, which I expect means it has the capability of scoring a Best Picture nomination at the Oscars.
And if they were to nominate ten, the smart money would probably be on PGA, BFCA, and AFI nominee "Saving Mr. Banks." The fact that it was not nominated by the Golden Globes and SAG, though, strikes me as odd. Tom Hanks' lack of traction in Best Supporting Actor, too, seems a sign of the film's weakness. "Philomena" seems to have the market cornered on the heartwarming movie of the year. Maybe the industry is done with the self-congratulatory streak that powered "The Artist" and "Argo" to Best Picture wins.
Even though it was shockingly snubbed by the PGA and WGA, "Inside Llewyn Davis" was directed by the Coen Brothers. Their status as Academy darlings simply cannot be understated, particularly after their wins in 2007 for "No Country for Old Men." In 2009, their "A Serious Man" managed to sneak into the Best Picture category with relatively little heat. The next year, their "True Grit" wound up with a whopping 10 nominations, and the Coens displaced Christopher Nolan in Best Director.
"Inside Llewyn Davis" hasn't been completely dead on the circuit, picking up nominations from HFPA, BFCA, and AFI. It's definitely a long shot, but don't write the film off. I think if any movie stands poised to stealthily crack the field, it's this one.
Check back tomorrow morning when the nominees are announced to see how I did in predicting them, along with further commentary on the announcement!
Tags: 12 Years A Slave, Alfonso Cuarón, American Hustle, Before Midnight, Blue Jasmine, Captain Phillips, Dallas Buyers Club, David O. Russell, Gravity, Her, Inside Llewyn Davis, Nebraska, Paul Greengrass, Philomena, Spike Jonze, Steve McQueen, The Wolf of Wall Street
Well, folks, hard to believe that we'll have a fresh batch of Oscar nominations in less than 2 days. Where has the time gone? Seems like just yesterday that I was posting my first (and, sadly, my only) predictions that included Naomi Watts in the thick of the Best Actress race for "Diana." But now that all the ballots are in, the jury is still out on how a few of the races will go.
Who is about to have a great wake-up call on Thursday? I sort through the acting races races below.
Matthew McConaughey, "Dallas Buyers Club"
Chiwetel Ejiofor, "12 Years a Slave"
Tom Hanks, "Captain Phillips"
Bruce Dern, "Nebraska"
Leonardo DiCaprio, "The Wolf of Wall Street"
The top 3 seem pretty secure to me. There's a slim chance of Hanks falling out simply because this isn't his first rodeo and voters might want to give their vote to a fresher face. But aside from frontrunners McConaughey and Ejiofor, very few of the top nominees are new to the game.
Oscar Isaac in "Inside Llewyn Davis" and Michael B. Jordan in "Fruitvale Station," both gave great breakout performances. Maybe in a less competitive year, they'd have broken through. In 2013, I'd be shocked if they could crack this field. It doesn't help that neither movie seemed to gain much traction during precursor season. Past winner Forest Whitaker for "The Butler" and past nominee Robert Redford for "All Is Lost" seem unlikely as well as both of their movies have not been heavily recognized on the circuit.
Christian Bale stands a chance of showing up here, especially after netting nominations from the Golden Globes, Critics' Choice, and BAFTA awards for his electric work in "American Hustle." He's won once off his only nomination, which feels like a huge injustice for his vast talents. If there's enough love for the movie, he could land a spot. But losing at the Globes, which clearly loved "American Hustle," indicates that love for his performance may be wide but not very deep.
Bruce Dern has campaigned his tail off for "Nebraska," and it's clear that he really wants to win. The film has found plenty of fans, and it's hard to see him missing out since he's responsible for so much of its efficacy. He's been nominated by the triple crown of SAG, HFPA (Golden Globes), and BFCA (Critics' Choice), yet that's no assurance of an Oscar nomination these days. It's not shocking that he didn't win the Golden Globe since the organization probably wanted the ultra-wattage of Leonardo DiCaprio up on stage. The Academy goes back-and-forth on being sentimental for veterans of the craft; I don't think they'll be able to resist at least a nomination for Dern though.
Upon its release, I would have counted Leonardo DiCaprio out of the race for Best Actor. But he's been more active than ever speaking up for his movie, and it really pushed "The Wolf of Wall Street" into the conversation. The late surge of momentum may not be enough to counter his omission from both SAG and BFCA – DiCaprio netted the precursor triple crown for "J. Edgar" but still found no love from the Academy in 2011. The Globe win, however, gives me the sense that he'll slide into a nomination.
It would be his first since "Blood Diamond" in 2006 … since then, he's starred in "Revolutionary Road," "Shutter Island," "Inception," "Django Unchained," and "The Great Gatsby." This might very well be a nomination rewarding that whole string of excellent performances.
Cate Blanchett, "Blue Jasmine"
Sandra Bullock, "Gravity"
Judi Dench, "Philomena"
Emma Thompson, "Saving Mr. Banks"
Amy Adams, "American Hustle"
Blanchett has this all but sealed up now. It would take a major blunder on-stage for her to lose Best Actress at this point, but we all know that's not going to happen. It's Cate Blanchett – she's about the classiest actress around.
Bullock, Dench, and Thompson should all coast right in with no problem. All 3 prior winners have been nominated by SAG, HFPA, and BFCA, and their films all have a sizable base of fans to pull them through.
The last bit of suspense in this category will come on nominations morning as we wait to see if it's Meryl Streep for "August: Osage County" or Amy Adams for "American Hustle." Streep's case is … well, she's Meryl Streep. The Oscars rarely pass up an opportunity to nominate her, but maybe the reflex will not be as strong now that she's won the third Oscar for "The Iron Lady" two years ago. She's hit all the big precursors so far, scoring all the same major nominations as the previously mentioned actresses. Her film, though, has not been particularly well-received.
Amy Adams is an Academy favorite herself though, racking up an impressive four Best Supporting Actress nominations in the past nine years. She's never been recognized as a leading lady, and a nomination here would send the message, "We're working on getting you that Oscar win one day, Amy, we promise!" Though she did not land a SAG nomination, she's been recognized by the BFCA and BAFTA. Moreover, she beat Meryl Streep for Best Actress at the Golden Globes.
It's unclear if the Academy will love "American Hustle" as much as the HFPA did. I feel pretty confident, though, that respect for Adams and the film she commands will overpower the impulse to give Streep her bazillionth nomination.
Jared Leto, "Dallas Buyers Club"
Michael Fassbender, "12 Years a Slave"
Barkhad Abdi, "Captain Phillips"
Bradley Cooper, "American Hustle"
Daniel Brühl, "Rush"
While I remain hopeful that Fassbender can pull an upset, this category looks to be all Jared Leto. He's been taking everything in his path, and I don't think that will stop until the Oscar. For Fassbender, though, he should at least take solace in getting his first nomination without campaigning a bit. (If he had to work so hard only to be denied recognition for his astounding work in "Shame," then why bother lobbying anymore?)
Debut performances often fare well at the Oscars, especially in the supporting categories. 22 have been nominated for Best Supporting Actor, and I suspect that number will rise to 23 this week. Barkhad Abdi's first role ever as the lead Somali pirate in "Captain Phillips" has been highly praised and won him recogition from SAG, HFPA, BFCA, and BAFTA. Especially given the praise that his film has received, I think a snub would be rather inconceivable at this point.
Though he wasn't nominated by SAG, Bradley Cooper has collected every other key nomination for his work in "American Hustle." The film is beloved, and his performance is one of the best parts of the movie – hilarious but also heartily dramatic. Two years ago, back-to-back Oscar nominations for the guy who was a staple of rom-coms like "Valentine's Day" might have seemed an absurdity. Now I see it as a practical inevitability.
Cooper was passed over by SAG in favor of a posthumous recognition for James Gandolfini in "Enough Said." While he was certainly a beloved actor, Gandolfini was more revered for his television work than his film roles. ("Killing Them Softly" was fantastic, just going to point out once again.) The SAG nomination committee has plenty of television actors, and that may have accounted for his appearance. Otherwise, he's been spotty, picking up a nod from BFCA but not from the HFPA. "Enough Said" really hasn't been a big part of the Oscar conversation, and I think that will ultimately cost Gandolfini a slot in this line-up.
The final slot is likely to go to Daniel Bruhl, who I really shouldn't be doubting as he's racked up nominations from all significant precursors. But aside from the Golden Globe Best Picture nomination for "Rush," the film hasn't really been lighting up awards season. Bruhl's work is solid but seems to draw no fervent support. I could see him losing a spot to Gandolfini or even a left-field player like Tom Hanks in "Saving Mr. Banks" or Jonah Hill in "The Wolf of Wall Street." In my wildest dreams, James Franco's brilliant work in "Spring Breakers" could trump Bruhl. But I have to predict what seems predictable.
Lupita Nyong'o, "12 Years a Slave"
Jennifer Lawrence, "American Hustle"
June Squibb, "Nebraska"
Oprah Winfrey, "The Butler"
Julia Roberts, "August: Osage County"
It's down to Nyong'o vs. Lawrence for the win here. Though Lawrence prevailed at the star-powered Golden Globes, I still have my doubts as to whether she can swing back-to-back Oscar wins. I think this category could also be a way for us to gauge on Oscar night which film will win Best Picture. Both films are likely to need one acting victory, and Best Supporting Actress is the most probable place to earn it. (Ejiofor has a shot for Best Actor, and that might pan out for the film.)
I think 84-year-old June Squibb is pretty much locked in for her fantastic performance in "Nebraska." She's had all the requisite nominations leading up to the Oscars, and her film is well-liked too.
The last two slots, however, could go any number of ways. Sally Hawkins got a Golden Globe nomination for "Blue Jasmine," and the British contingency that got her a BAFTA nod could break her into the field here. I have to wonder if "Blue Jasmine" is purely the Cate Blanchett show, however. Scarlett Johansson's vocal work in "Her" got her a nomination from the BFCA (it was ineligible at the Globes), but the Academy generally strays away from rewarding unconventional performances like that. Maybe Sarah Paulson, silent on the trail so far, could shock and give "12 Years a Slave" its second nomination in the category.
My guess is that the Academy will stick to some long renowned actresses to fill out the roster. Oprah Winfrey surprisingly missed with the Golden Globes for "The Butler," but she's been touted by the BFCA, SAG, and BAFTA. Even though the film has lost its buzz after it scored surprisingly well with the SAG, I think the Oscars will still want to give something to one of the few screen performances given by the cultural icon.
I think they'll also be welcoming back Julia Roberts, who hasn't been nominated since she won in 2000 for "Erin Brockovich." As previously mentioned, "August: Osage County" hasn't been met with rapturous acclaim. But it does have the support of the actors, who gave it a coveted Best Ensemble nomination at the SAG Awards. If anything for the film is recognized, it will be the acting. And Roberts, who many view as a co-lead, is the most likely to reap the goodwill.
Check back tomorrow to see my predictions for the writing/directing categories as well as the granddaddy of them all … BEST PICTURE!
Tags: 12 Years A Slave, American Hustle, Amy Adams, August: Osage County, Barkhad Abdi, Blue Jasmine, Bradley Cooper, Bruce Dern, Captain Phillips, Cate Blanchett, Chiwetel Ejiofor, Dallas Buyers Club, Daniel Brühl, Emma Thompson, Gravity, Inside Llewyn Davis, Jared Leto, Jennifer Lawrence, Judi Dench, Julia Roberts, June Squibb, Leonardo DiCaprio, Lupita Nyong'o, Matthew McConaughey, Michael Fassbender, Nebraska, Oprah Winfrey, Philomena, Rush, Sandra Bullock, The Butler, The Wolf of Wall Street, Tom Hanks
Oscar Moment: 2013 Pre-Fall Festival Predictions
Well, folks, the time is here to talk about Oscar season. The Venice Film Festival kicks off tomorrow, and suddenly it won't be taboo to talk about what might be competing for the Academy Awards.
Just to show you how much things change over the course of the fall, last year I predicted "The Master" to win Best Picture at this time – and it wound up not being nominated. I was close for Best Director and Best Actor, though, ranking Ang Lee and Daniel Day-Lewis my #2 pick in their respective categories. Jennifer Lawrence was not remotely on my radar, but my projected winner Quvenzhané Wallis did manage to get a nomination! I got the movie right for Best Supporting Actor, but picked Leonardo DiCaprio instead of Christoph Waltz as the "Django Unchained" cast member to hoist the Oscar. And I, like everyone else, saw Anne Hathaway's win coming from the moment the first "Les Misérables" trailer hit the web.
So what will surprise us this year? And what will disappoint? Here's my first draft at a year in Oscar forecasting.
American Hustle (trailer)
12 Years a Slave (trailer)
August: Osage County (trailer)
Gravity (trailer)
The Monuments Men (trailer)
Her (trailer)
Inside Llewyn Davis (trailer)
The Secret Life of Walter Mitty (trailer)
There seems to be no clear frontrunner a la "The Curious Case of Benjamin Button" or "War Horse" for 2013. So I'm just going to gander it's a dues-paying year. It seems like David O. Russell, after two straight Best Picture-Best Director nominations for "The Fighter" and "Silver Linings Playbook," is now on the fast track to win someday. So why not 2013 with "American Hustle?" A glitzy period drama that looks to provide action, comedy, and drama looks pretty good on paper to me.
Another film I could see making a charge at the prize is Steve McQueen's "12 Years A Slave." Despite all the talent involved in this film, I think it might still be an underdog given that McQueen's previous two films have not received a single Oscar nomination. Then again, Tom Hooper was a relative novice when he directed "The King's Speech," and we know how that story ends.
Previous Best Director nominees Bennett Miller ("Foxcatcher"), George Clooney ("The Monuments Men"), Spike Jonze ("Her"), the Coen Brothers ("Inside Llewyn Davis"), and Jason Reitman ("Labor Day") all look to get in the Best Picture race. Based on their pedigree alone, I'm predicting nominations for these five films. All are sight unseen, save "Inside Llewyn Davis," which I have seen and can attest is the kind of well-made film that will score with the Academy.
I guess I could include Alfonso Cuaron's "Gravity" in this clump, since the film's director is an Oscar-nominated screenwriter and editor. But that film gets a Best Picture nomination, in my mind, because it belongs in a class with "Avatar," "Hugo," and "Life of Pi" – technical masterpieces directed by renowned talents.
As for "August: Osage County," that play is so well-written that it would take a first-class hack job for it not to be a Best Picture nominee. We're talking a play that will go next to Arthur Miller and Tennessee Williams in the American dramatic literature canon, people.
And to round out the top 10, I picked Ben Stiller's "The Secret Life of Walter Mitty." I'm not entirely sold on it, but it could make a surprise run for Best Picture. It could also fizzle with awards voters. Who knows? Clearly not I.
Bennett Miller, "Foxcatcher"
As I said, I'm projecting Russell to go all the way in 2013.
Past nominee Bennett Miller could give him a run for his money, although he was overlooked for his work on 2011 Best Picture nominee "Moneyball." Steve McQueen and Alfonso Cuaron should score their first Best Director nominations (which is a shame).
And since Spike Jonze scored a lone Best Director nomination for "Being John Malkovich" back in 1999, I don't think it's out of the question to see him score a second nomination for his work on "Her." It certainly appears to be daring … and the director's branch showed they were willing to go out on a limb last year with nominees Benh Zeitlin and Michael Haneke.
Joaquin Phoenix, "Her"
Oscar Isaac, "Inside Llewyn Davis"
Robert Redford, "All Is Lost"
Big, baity performances have won out here for the past decade, essentially. So I'd say the frontrunner has to be Matthew McConaughey in "Dallas Buyers Club." His comeback narrative is appealing, and the fact that he lost a ton of weight helps.
That being said, I wouldn't count out Joaquin Phoenix for "Her." If he could get nominated for a polarizing film like "The Master," perhaps there's more respect for Phoenix in the Academy than most people recognize. He's been nominated three times now, and I think it's only a matter of time before he wins.
Chiwetel Ejiofor could easily supplant McConaughey as the bait performance to beat here. A frontrunner will be cemented by the time both films debut at Toronto.
Breakout performer Oscar Isaac ought to score a nod here for "Inside Llewyn Davis." I don't see how he can be overlooked if the movie is a hit with the Academy.
And keep an eye out for Robert Redford here. He gives an incredible, virtually wordless performance in "All Is Lost" that will not be forgotten. The Hollywood legend hasn't been nominated for his acting in over 40 years, and the one Oscar sitting on his mantle is for directing. Might it be his time in the sun?
Naomi Watts, "Diana"
Kate Winslet, "Labor Day"
Please, Academy, make this Amy Adams' year! She's been nominated four times already in Best Supporting Actress. Now that she's playing with the big girls in Best Actress, maybe it's just time to give her the darned trophy already.
Woody Allen hasn't directed a woman to a leading actress win since Diane Keaton in "Annie Hall" – perhaps Cate Blanchett's turn in "Blue Jasmine" can break the dry spell? I think she's a sure bet for a nomination, but another win is unlikely since Blanchett has won in the past decade.
Or maybe it's Naomi Watts' turn after coming up short for last year's "The Impossible." If the Academy loves this two-time nominee, an uncanny performance as Princess Diana would be a good time to give it to her.
Kate Winslet has been nominated for six Oscars and has won one. So why would the love stop now? In her first notable screen performance since winning for 2008's "The Reader," she could rack up nomination number 7 and be well on her way to becoming the Meryl Streep of her generation.
Speaking of Meryl Streep, I could be making a mistake by not including her here. She would definitely crack my top 5, but I'm hearing that she'll be campaigned in supporting. So for now, that fifth slot goes to Emma Thompson for the breezy "Saving Mr. Banks."
Daniel Bruhl, "Rush"
Steve Carell, "Foxcatcher"
Tom Hanks, "Saving Mr. Banks"
Go big or go home. After being snubbed for his incredible work in "Shame," I predict the Academy will right its wrongs and reward Michael Fassbender with an Oscar for "12 Years A Slave." I really hope I'm right.
Bradley Cooper, given the villain role in "American Hustle," could capitalize on a year of goodwill after a nomination from "Silver Linings Playbook." He's probably a safer pick, but I'm not interested in safe at this point.
After last year's category was dominated by previous winners, I'm going to predict two more first-time nominees in this category: Daniel Bruhl for "Rush," whose performance has been touted since Cannes, and Steve Carell for "Foxcatcher," a darker role for the comedic actor.
And then I'll predict Tom Hanks as Walt Disney in "Saving Mr. Banks" because that proposition just sounds too good to pass up for Academy voters.
Meryl Streep, "August: Osage County"
Octavia Spencer, "Fruitvale Station"
Cameron Diaz, "The Counselor"
Honestly, this category is such a toss-up at this point, so I'm forced to pick the only person with buzz at the moment: Oprah Winfrey for "The Butler." Beyond her, my confidence ends. If the Weinstein Company had announced what Meryl Streep will be campaigned in, I'd feel confident picking her in whatever category they chose. Right now, I'm going with supporting.
I thought Octavia Spencer was the best part of "Fruitvale Station," but her part may be too small or too soon after her win for "The Help."
Cameron Diaz looks like an intriguing femme fatale in "The Counselor," but that movie could flop so hardcore that she's rendered a non-factor this season. With no festival appearances slated, the film does not appear to be a serious threat for anything. Diaz has been pretty quiet lately, but let's not forget she had a string of acclaimed roles from 1998 to 2002 that gave her 4 Golden Globe nominations and 3 SAG Award nominations.
And as for that last slot, I figured I might as well throw in Jennifer Lawrence for "American Hustle." Everyone loves J.Law, and I think enough people will like "American Hustle" to give her a victory lap after last year's win.
David O. Russell is a two-time writing nominee? Check for "American Hustle."
The Coen Brothers are five-time writing nominees with two wins? Check for "Inside Llewyn Davis."
Woody Allen has been nominated for Best Original Screenplay a whopping 15 times, and "Blue Jasmine" does not suck. Check.
Spike Jonze is an acclaimed original figure in Hollywood? Check for "Her," but with some reluctance as "The Master" was snubbed last year for the clichéd "Flight."
Alfonso Cuaron is a two-time writing nominee, but his latest film "Gravity" might be a lot more impressive on the screen than it is on the page. Perhaps he will wow us once again and make us regret ever doubting him … so I'll predict "Gravity" to take the final slot here. But "Black Swan" missed here, so originality isn't everything in the Best Original Screenplay category.
The Monuments Men
It would be foolish of me not to predict a lot of Best Picture nominees here, which traditionally dominate the Best Adapted Screenplay category. But don't count out "Before Midnight," whose predecessor scored a nomination back in 2004 in this category. The series, and this installment in particular, has gotten a lot of positive press. I don't think the writers will forget about this one.
What do you think? Who is the one to beat in 2013? Sound off!
Tags: 12 Years A Slave, Alfonso Cuarón, All Is Lost, American Hustle, Amy Adams, August: Osage County, Before Midnight, Bennett Miller, Blue Jasmine, Bradley Cooper, Cameron Diaz, Cate Blanchett, Chiwetel Ejiofor, Dallas Buyers Club, Daniel Brühl, David O. Russell, Diana, Emma Thompson, Foxcatcher, Fruitvale Station, Gravity, Her, Inside Llewyn Davis, Jennifer Lawrence, Joaquin Phoenix, Kate Winslet, Labor Day, Matthew McConaughey, Meryl Streep, Michael Fassbender, Naomi Watts, Octavia Spencer, Oprah Winfrey, Oscar Isaac, Robert Redford, Rush, Saving Mr. Banks, Spike Jonze, Steve Carell, Steve McQueen, The Butler, The Counselor, The Monuments Men, The Secret Life of Walter Mitty, Tom Hanks
LISTFUL THINKING: Most Anticipated Movies of 2013
I'll still be stuck in 2012 at least until the Oscars are handed out and until then will be filling in with reviews of some of the movies I missed from the year. But it's time to move forward and look ahead to 2013, which could be a great year for cinema. Several of my favorite filmmakers have projects due this year, which is what I will have to remind myself as I have to slog through a year that reportedly will give us 31 sequels and 17 reboots!
I had originally prepared a top 10 list for my most anticipated of 2013, but then I realized that since so many were TBD, there's a chance we won't see some of these movies until 2014. So I added three movies at the beginning of the list that premiered on the 2012 fall festival circuit but will hit theaters for paying audiences in 2013.
"To The Wonder" (April)
Written and directed by Terrence Malick
Starring Ben Affleck, Rachel McAdams, and Olga Kurylenko
A year ago, Terrence Malick was critical darling with his "The Tree of Life." Yet when "To the Wonder" arrived at Toronto and Venice, you'd have thought they were reviewing a Michael Bay movie. How someone goes from hero to zero that meteorically is curious. If nothing else, "To the Wonder" could be the most anticipated disaster of the year.
"Frances Ha" (May 17)
Directed by Noah Baumbach
Written by Noah Baumbach and Greta Gerwig
Starring Greta Gerwig, Mickey Sumner, and Adam Driver
Upon its many festival stops in 2012, it was called a mixture of French New Wave with early Woody Allen. Combine that with the fact that it's written and directed by Noah Baumbach, whose "The Squid and the Whale" knocked me off my feet, "Frances Ha" sounds like a movie custom-made for me.
"The Place Beyond the Pines" (March 29)
Directed by Derek Cianfrance
Written by Derek Cianfrance, Ben Coccio, and Darius Marder
Starring Ryan Gosling, Bradley Cooper, and Eva Mendes
They called it a sprawling, multigenerational epic when it played Toronto. And from the trailer for Derek Cianfrance's follow-up to the harrowing "Blue Valentine," it looks ambitious. And honestly, I may be looking forward to this far more than several of the movies that made the ten.
"Nebraska" (TBD)
Directed by Alexander Payne
Written by Bob Nelson
Starring Devin Ratray, Bruce Dern, and Bob Odenkirk
Alexander Payne's "Election" alone makes anything from the director worth anticipating. After a second writing Oscar back from a seven-year hiatus for "The Descendants," he shortens his gap with a new movie within two years. I'm a little skeptical, though, since the cast lacks some of the pop of Payne's previous films, and he also didn't write this one.
"Inside Llewyn Davis" (TBD)
Written and directed by Joel and Ethan Coen
Starring Oscar Isaac, Carey Mulligan, and Justin Timberlake
The Coens have gone from 1960s Jewish suburbia in "A Serious Man" to the 1880s Wild West in "True Grit." And now … back to the 1960s for the folk music scene of Greenwich Village? They sure like to keep us on our feet.
"The Wolf of Wall Street" (TBD)
Directed by Martin Scorsese
Starring Leonardo DiCaprio, Jonah Hill, and Matthew McConaughey
Scorsese. Enough said. I suspect this will be the role that wins DiCaprio his Oscar, provided he doesn't take Best Supporting Actor for "Django Unchained" this year. With "The Great Gatsby" (see below) moving back to 2013, it assures us yet another fantastic one-two punch within the same year from DiCaprio. "Gangs of New York" and "Catch Me If You Can." "The Departed" and "Blood Diamond." "Shutter Island" and "Inception." Boom, Leo comin' at ya!
"The Hunger Games: Catching Fire" (November 22)
Written by Simon Beaufoy and Michael Arndt
Starring Jennifer Lawrence, Josh Hutcherson, and Liam Hemsworth
I enjoyed "The Hunger Games" this year, though I do see room for improvement in sequels. Hopefully the writer of "Slumdog Millionaire" and "127 Hours" as well as the writer of "Toy Story 3" can elevate it because I'm certainly not expecting much from the director of the middling "Water for Elephants." And I just kind of need something to fill the void left from "Harry Potter."
"Elysium" (August 9)
Written and directed by Neill Blomkamp
Starring Matt Damon, Jodie Foster, and Sharlto Copley
Anything shrouded in secrecy is enough to get me interested; that's why "Prometheus" was at the top of this list for me in 2012 (that list was just mental). And I think "District 9" could be merely scratching the surface of what Neill Blomkamp is capable of. With Matt Damon and Jodie Foster headlining a sci-fi class warfare pic, this could be other-worldly levels of awesome.
"Gravity" (TBD)
Directed by Alfonso Cuaron
Written by Alfonso Cuaron, Jonas Cuaron, and Rodrigo Garcia
Starring George Clooney and Sandra Bullock
Speaking of other-worldly levels of awesome, let's talk Alfonso Cuaron's "Gravity." He hasn't released a film for 7 years, but his last three films were the incredible stretch of "Y Tu Mama Tambien," "Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban," and "Children of Men." His "Gravity" has been described as "if 'Avatar' had been released in 1927 a week after 'The Jazz Singer.'" What. Warner Bros. pushed it back from 2012 for what I imagine was fine-tuning, which just has me all the more on pins and needles.
"Labor Day" (TBD)
Written and directed by Jason Reitman
Starring Kate Winslet, Josh Brolin, and Tobey Maguire
Jason Reitman, on a subjective and personal level, is probably my favorite director. He's had a flawless 4-for-4 stretch of films in his career, and though "Young Adult" might have been a step down from "Up in the Air," that's because the latter was basically perfect. I'm fascinated to see what he can do with Kate Winslet and Josh Brolin.
"Twelve Years a Slave" (TBD)
Directed by Steve McQueen
Written by Steve McQueen and John Ridley
Starring Benedict Cumberbatch, Brad Pitt, and Michael Fassbender
Steve McQueen's "Hunger" was pretty good, but his "Shame" was an absolutely ingenious triumph. I can only imagine how he plans to top it in "Twelve Years a Slave," the story of a New York man kidnapped and sold into slavery. It's got one heck of a cast, from Michael Fassbender to Brad Pitt to Quvenzhané Wallis and Dwight Henry's first roles post-"Beasts of the Southern Wild." Is it too soon to cry Oscar?
"Star Trek Into Darkness" (May 17)
Directed by J.J. Abrams
Written by Robert Orci, Alex Kurtzman, and Damon Lindelof
Starring Chris Pine, Zachary Quinto, and Benedict Cumberbatch
Abrams did one heck of a job turning around the "Star Trek" franchise in 2009. And from the superb trailer, it looks like he plans to boldly go into Christopher Nolan territory with a beautifully lensed and incredibly emotional follow-up. I can't wait.
"The Great Gatsby" (May 10)
Directed by Baz Luhrmann
Starring Leonardo DiCaprio, Carey Mulligan, and Tobey Maguire
I heard today that Jay-Z is going to be scoring Baz Luhrmann's adaptation of "The Great Gatsby." My first reaction was to rethink my placement of the movie as my most anticipated of 2013. Then, I thought about it and realized that it might be a stroke of inspired brilliance that makes the movie even better. Luhrmann is unparalleled in his ability to take old texts and make them feel alive, modern, and relevant. Just look at how he took Shakespeare's "Romeo & Juliet" and made it relevant for a post-MTV audience. And think about how he seamlessly integrated pop songs into "Moulin Rouge," set in 1900! Luhrmann's flair for the theatrical and opulent borders on gaudy on several occasions but I think he's the perfect match for F. Scott Fitzgerald's tale of the rich and the glamorous. I have no doubt his use of 3D will serve the movie well too. All in all, his "The Great Gatsby" will most definitely be for and by our times … and could wind up being the movie that defines 2013.
Tags: Alexander Payne, Alfonso Cuarón, Baz Luhrmann, Bradley Cooper, Catching Fire, Elysium, Frances Ha, Gravity, Greta Gerwig, Inside Llewyn Davis, J.J. Abrams, Jason Reitman, Jennifer Lawrence, Labor Day, Leonardo DiCaprio, Martin Scorsese, Matt Damon, Nebraska, Neill Blomkamp, Noah Baumbach, Ryan Gosling, Star Trek Into Darkness, Steve McQueen, Terrence Malick, The Coen Brothers, The Great Gatsby, The Hunger Games: Catching Fire, The Place Beyond the Pines, The Wolf of Wall Street, To the Wonder, Twelve Years a Slave
Categories : Features, Listful Thinking