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What a Trump victory means for CESEE
An 'America First' policy as envisaged by the newly elected president of the United States, Donald Trump, could have far reaching consequences. Economists at the wiiw discussed the economic and geopolitical implications for the CESEE region.
Summary by Richard Grieveson and Julia Grübler
Donald Trump's victory in the US presidential election creates a very high degree of economic uncertainty in the short term. This could persist over the medium term, depending on the policies implemented by Mr. Trump when he takes office in January.
The reduced likelihood of Fed tightening in December will produce some short-term relief for countries in Central, Eastern and Southeathern Europe (CESEE) such as Turkey running large current account deficits and dependent on capital inflows.
In security terms, Mr. Trump's victory means further US disengagement from Europe, creating a vacuum which Russia is likely to at least partly fill. The EU will not step up in the short and medium run as a serious security power.
US relations with Russia will receive a boost in the short term, but there is a high probability that Trump and Putin will fall out at some point.
US relations with Turkey could also improve in the near term, but there are significant areas of potential disagreement over Syria.
A successful conclusion of the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) agreement is now very unlikely. If Mr. Trump follows through on protectionist promises, global trade flows will decline. This would hurt the more open economies in CESEE in particular.
The impact on European domestic politics is likely to be a greater legitimacy for populist forces, affecting upcoming elections in Austria, the Netherlands, France and Germany.
Economic implications
Financial markets panicked when first election results were made public. Yet, Wall Street reacted positively on the election outcomes against all expectations and financial markets have calmed down after his victory speech.
From next year, a fiscal stimulus via infrastructure spending is likely, given Mr. Trump's previous pledges, emphasised in his acceptance speech. This would provide a certain short-term boost to US economic growth with spillovers to the global economy.
However, generally over the medium term there is a great deal of uncertainty around Mr. Trump's economic policies. It is very likely that this uncertainty could affect economic confidence in Europe. Any further weakness in European economic activity would further increase expectations that the ECB will not wind down its quantitative easing (QE) programme any time soon. This would put downward pressure on the Euro. If there is a setback in US growth as a result of Mr. Trump's policies (for example due to greater protectionism), and a broader downturn in global trade volumes as a result, CESEE's more open economies (notably Slovakia, Czech Republic, Hungary and the Baltics) would be negatively affected.
If Mr. Trump chooses to support the domestic energy industry with subsidies and deregulation (as appears possible) this would provide a boost to US energy production, potentially keeping oil prices lower for longer than currently expected. This could support private consumption growth in much of CESEE, but would further delay the economic recovery of oil exporting countries in the CIS, Russia in particular, as well as the countries that rely heavily on them for trade and remittances.
Mr. Trump's protectionist instincts are well known. He is notably against big trade deals. As a result, the chances of TTIP (Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership) and TTP (Transpacific Partnership) being successfully completed and ratified in the near future have fallen to practically zero.
Figure 1 / Share of goods exports to (imports from) the US in % of total
Source: UN Comtrade. Data for 2014.
Security implications
American security disengagement from Europe is already underway to a certain extent. This will likely now continue under a Trump presidency. A full scaling down of NATO is possible but not likely. The US military would resist this, and overall Mr. Trump appears keen to increase military spending.
Nevertheless, American disengagement will create a vacuum in European security. Europeans are highly unlikely to fill this gap. The appetite for greater military spending and military activity is very low in many key EU member states, notably Germany. The ability of France and the UK—the two traditional EU military powers—to provide leadership is very limited, with both distracted by domestic issues, including Brexit.
Those in CESEE who are more afraid of an increasing Russian influence (for example the Baltic states, Poland and Romania) will certainly push to increase security capabilities in the EU. However, those countries with more accommodative attitudes to Russia will probably resist. As a result, progress on the EU's Common Foreign and Security Policy (CFSP) will be limited.
We do not expect significant further US engagement in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, as long as Russia does not make additional territorial claims in Ukraine. If Mr. Trump makes moves to reduce or remove the current sanctions on Russia, he will be pushing at an increasingly open door among European countries, many of which would also be willing to consider a partial or total removal of sanctions.
Figure 2 / Military Spending in % of GDP
Source: NATO (The cut-off date for information used is 1 July 2016. Figures for 2016 are estimates.), World Bank for data on Russia. Note: Data for Bulgaria do not include pensions, wiiw visualisation.
Relations with Russia and Turkey
US disengagement from Europe will be welcomed by Russia, and could embolden Moscow in pursuing its own aims in CESEE. Mr. Trump has spoken positively of Vladimir Putin, the Russian president, and has shown an unwillingness to comment on Russian internal affairs (something welcomed by Mr. Putin). Overall we expect Mr. Trump to be more accommodative towards Russian interests in CESEE than his predecessors.
However, over the medium term there appears a reasonable chance that Mr. Trump and Mr. Putin will fall out. Mr. Trump's erratic approach and tendency to criticise could cause offence at some point. If Mr. Trump's support for the US domestic energy industry leads to increased oil production and lower prices, this could be one potential flashpoint. Higher military spending by the US could also provoke an arms race over the medium term.
Figure 3 / Developments of the oil price and the Russian rouble
Note: ECB (ECB reference exchange rate, Russian rouble/Euro); finanzen.at (Brent crude oil).
While many in Turkey have criticised Mr. Trump's remarks about Muslims and women, his reaction to the coup attempt in July gained him some credit. This has been reinforced by Mr. Trump's refusal to criticise Turkish domestic policy. However, the potential for conflict between a Trump administration and the Turkish government over Syria is clear. Mr. Trump is vocally pro-Kurdish, and has said that Turkey can do more against ISIS.
In the short run, the reduced likelihood of Fed tightening in December will produce some short-term relief for CESEE countries such as Turkey running large current account deficits and dependent on capital inflows.
Figure 4 / Turkey's external finance
Note: EUR bn. Source: wiiw monthly database
Domestic politics in the EU
We believe that on balance Mr. Trump's victory will strengthen populist forces in the EU. The spectre of someone with Mr. Trump's policies taking power in the US increases the legitimacy of similar politicians globally. The chances of victory for Norbert Hofer, the FPÖ candidate in the Austrian presidential election on December 4th, have probably increased. Most problematically, Mr. Trump's victory is likely to give a boost to Marine Le Pen in the French presidential election in April-May 2017. A victory for Ms. Le Pen (a strong opponent of the EU's supranationalism and the Euro) would further undermine the EU's ability to reach consensus on key issues.
wiiw Autumn Forecast 2016


New militancy: Recent strikes in the broader provincial public sector by 13,000 university teaching assistants and Community Care Access Centre employees (mostly RNs) suggest increased willingness of some broader public sector employees to strike to maintain and improve their working conditions. Moreover the workers achieved some success in their strikes. In the health care sector, the Health Minister, Eric Hoskins, felt it necessary to publicly call for the negotiations to be settled by interest arbitration. Shortly after this, a leading arbitrator awarded both of the proposals (wage proposals) demanded by the union.
Both of the recent Teaching Assistant strikes at York and the University of Toronto put paid to the government's idea of "net zero" compensation increases, at least in the university sector, as the strikes made progress for those workers. Provincially coordinated teacher strikes are now underway to deal with the government's demands as well.
Ontario's economy improves. Will collective bargaining follow?
The Ontario Economy: The 2015 Ontario Budget has revised the government's real growth estimate up significantly from its 2014 Fall Economic Fiscal Outlook. Real growth for 2014 is now put at 2.2% for 2014, up from the fall forecast of 1.9% and real growth for 2015 is forecast at 2.7%, up from their fall forecast of 2.4%. Both of these forecasts are slightly lower than the forecasts from the banks and other private sector forecasters.
With lower oil prices and a lower dollar, Ontario is now growing faster than the rest of Canada.
Substantial Real Growth -- but who benefits? Seven years ago (starting the latter half of 2008) there was a recession in Ontario. It ended six years ago when economic growth began again in the third quarter of 2009 (i.e. July-Sept 2009). Since that time there has been significant economic growth, placing the Ontario economy well above its pre-recession high.


Gucci Mane released the cover art for his upcoming album ElGatoTheHumanGlacier. ElGatoTheHumanGlacier drops next Friday December 22, 2017. The album includes no features, Checkout more from Gucci Mane HERE .


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Snow showers. Low 27F. Winds S at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of snow 70%. Snow accumulations less than one inch..
Snow showers. Low 27F. Winds S at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of snow 70%. Snow accumulations less than one inch.
Benning: No more
Today I saw a picture of a busload of Vermonters on their way to Washington, D.C. They were Donald Trump supporters who remain convinced his election was stolen. I want to believe that all of them on that bus were heading down for a peaceful protest. But after witnessing several different news reports, and listening to the speeches of President Trump, Donald Trump Jr. and Rudy Giuliani urging them to go to the Capitol, I have to wonder whether anyone in that group got duped into joining the assault of that beautiful and historic building.
I'd be interested to know because, as someone who has spent years trying to convince Vermonters that conservative and constitutional principles have merit, that message will be made all the more difficult to deliver if it is associated with those extremists who call themselves Republicans, too.
Please don't embarrass us by saying these extremists were Antifa. Don't try to deflect by saying BLM or liberals started it or are just as bad. These thugs were Republicans devoted completely to Donald Trump. They are not "Patriots." They are not "real Americans." They are anarchists who believe in mob rule, plain and simple.
Many of them were egged on by a Donald Trump tweet that alleged Vice President Mike Pence would be shirking his constitutional responsibilities if he didn't reject elector certificates. Not only is the potential precedent of such a claim a direct threat to every election in the future, it has absolutely no foundation whatsoever in the one simple sentence (Article II, §1) in the Constitution that specifically directs the president of the Senate (Mike Pence) to open "all certificates." The president, in other words, was directing Pence to take an unconstitutional action.
I will credit Mike Pence for recognizing the Constitution does not allow him to reject elector certificates and its language limited him to a ceremonial role. But the extremists latched onto the president's false tweet to bash in the Capitol doors in an action that has resulted in a woman's death.
It is further troubling that these same extremists continue to believe the president's tweets over all the legal and factual arguments that counter them. Sixty courts at all federal and state levels, Senate Majority Leader (Republican) Mitch McConnell, the president's own Attorney General William Barr and Republican secretaries of state and state attorneys general in all the states being contested, have all concluded this election was not "stolen" and has never produced clear, unambiguous evidence of widespread fraud.
Yet some continue to cling to individual instances of alleged fraud and thus call for overturning the votes of millions of fellow Americans. They will accept nothing less than reelection of the candidate who lost the majority and Electoral College vote counts. And as I type this, the citadel of liberty and freedom, our nation's Capitol, is shut down. I cannot imagine the glee now emanating from governments in Iran, Russia and China.
Enough is enough. Even Twitter has finally shut down the president's tweet account. Republicans like Mike Pence, who courageously upheld the Constitution over the president's public insults, need to find our voices. This is not the Republican Party we are witnessing but make no mistake, it will be labeled so by those who seek scapegoats.
I have another picture of a group on a bus trip going to Washington, D.C., to visit the Capitol. A young eighth-grade boy is seen at the top of the photo, peering over the seats of his sleeping classmates. On his visit to the nation's capital, he was left with a wonderful idea of what America is supposed to be about. His class picture was taken on the very steps that Trump extremists invaded this afternoon. Today, 50 years later, he officially stepped down as minority leader of the Vermont state Senate. He will continue to espouse the Republican principles embodied in the Vermont GOP party platform as a state senator, but he can no longer tolerate extremists posing as Republicans. He prays other Republicans who believe in those principles will stand with him to reject the chaos and anarchy these extremists represent.
Joe Benning is Caledonia District state senator and former minority leader.
John G Jan 9, 2021 6:53pm
This commentary is a bright light shining over the darkest of times. The claims that these terrible actions were done by Antifa is completely disproven by the mass of videos and pictures that show all that happened. It is sad and shocking that so many of good heart have been overwhelmed by constant lies by those who have no interest in anyone but themselves. There is nothing more difficult to accept than admitting to yourself you have been played. My parents, my brother and I, although I was young at the time, could never forget how the good people of Germany came to accept the lies from the Nazis because they were being told what explained their plight. The lies became accepted as truth. After the second world war we remembered that treating the German people like dirt would bring about the same problem. Over 70 years later that enemy has been a strong supporter of our nation. The followers of the Trump lies fervently believe that he has the answers for getting rid of their fear of our nation not staying the way it is. But this great Republic was designed to encourage change for the good of the nation. This nation was designed to respect the past but acknowledge that we are not a perfect nation. Instead of allowing hate, anger, and lies to direct our lives we should get good information, we should actively participate in voting and we should do all we can to seek truth. Following those who lie to make you feel better and to bring us to the brink of 1930s type ruin is not a good choice. Never forget, while Covid 19 was killing us by the thousands and the economy was in crisis, Donald Trump, over the last number of months, did nothing for you, or me or any of us. All he focused on was himself. Never forget that lesson.

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


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A Choice, Not An Echo
Are both political candidates equally toxic to our country?
By Will Offensicht | October 14, 2016
When Sen. Goldwater ran against incumbent President Lyndon Johnson in 1964, his slogan was "A Choice, Not An Echo." Mr. Goldwater was saying that he was not echoing Democratic political positions and that his programs would be very different from Mr. Johnson's.
Mr. Johnson won, and gave us both an expanded Vietnam War and the Great Society welfare programs. As one disappointed Goldwater supporter said, "Mr. Johnson told me that if I voted for Goldwater, we'd have a half-million men in Vietnam. I voted Goldwater, and sure enough, we have a half-million men in Vietnam."
Are these really our candidates?
The American people had a choice and they made it. Nobody knows what President Goldwater would have done about the Vietnam War, but we do know that he would never have supported President Johnson's expansion of FDR's and JFK's welfare programs into what we call the "Great Society."
Great Society? Or Great Trouble?
The results of Pres. Johnson's social experiments are in. Our acknowledged debt has ballooned to $19 trillion dollars without counting Social Security obligations or unfunded government employee pensions. Several years ago, USA Today estimated our overall debt at $62 trillion, or roughly a half-million dollars per US household. There's no way that amount of money can ever be paid back except by inflating it away and destroying everyone's savings.
The Great Society wasn't just a financial disaster. At the time it was started, roughly 7% of American children were growing up in single-parent homes and that was usually because a parent had died; earlier welfare programs hadn't damaged family structure very much. With the Great Society, however, welfare paid more than uneducated men can earn, so women don't worry as much about getting married. More than half of American children are now being born to single mothers.
We now know that fatherlessness is associated with crime, drug use, and unemployment. Fatherless mobs burned down Detroit, rioted in London, they're starting to burn Baltimore, and they're shooting each other in Chicago and other Democrat Disaster cities. As Thomas Sowell put it, "The black family survived centuries of slavery and Jim Crow. It could not survive liberal welfare programs." Even Time Magazine and The Atlantic Monthly admit that this is a problem.
What's worse is that, in large part, this was intentional:
As a matter of fact, it was Democrat President Lyndon Baines Johnson who stated, "I'll have those n*****s voting Democratic for the next 200 years" as he confided with two like-minded governors on Air Force One regarding his underlying intentions for the "Great Society" programs.
This societal disaster is what Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn, author of The Gulag Archipelago, meant when he warned Harvard graduates of:
"An atmosphere of moral mediocrity, paralyzing man's noblest impulses" and a "tilt of freedom in the direction of evil ... evidently born primarily out of a humanistic and benevolent concept according to which there is no evil inherent in human nature."
He also said, "In order for men to commit great evil, they must first be convinced that they are doing good."
Rank and file liberals are so convinced that all welfare programs are good that they may not see the evil they do. Liberal leaders know full well that using affirmative action to put black kids in schools too tough for them and excusing black kids from normal disciplinary standards because they get in trouble more often than white or Asian kids sets them up for failure. This keeps black people dependent on government handouts which increases the Democrat vote at the cost of destroyed lives.
1964 voters didn't know that President Johnson would do us so much harm just to lock in the black vote, but that's how it worked out.
Time for Another Choice
The 2016 election offers us a similarly-stark choice. We have no idea what a President Trump would do about the Syrian war. We have about as many boots on Syrian ground as we had in Vietnam when President Johnson took over after President Kennedy's assassination. The next president will face the same "escalate or withdraw" choice that President Johnson faced, and the Chinese and Russians are a bit more involved now than they were then.
We don't know much about Mr. Trump's policies, but we know a lot about what a President Hillary would do. The failure of the Left to change the Constitution with the Equal Rights Amendment in the 1970s led liberals to achieve their goals by appointing liberal judges or bypassing the Constitution entirely as Mr. Obama has done. Hillary has said that she plans to appoint Mr. Obama to the Supreme Court to reinterpret the Constitution so that she won't have to bypass it.
She has stated that she plans to appoint other Supreme Court judges to overturn the decision that declared that bearing arms is an individual right. She plans to pass other anti-gun laws such as impossible licensing requirements or huge taxes on ammunition that would effectively destroy the Second Amendment.
She doesn't like the First Amendment either because it lets mere peasants criticize her greatness. She plans to make political speech subject to government approval as Mr. Obama gave control of the Internet to the UN so they would shut us up.
Her vice president has declared that a law to legalize all the illegals would be submitted in their first 100 days. We've explained the permanent harm that would do.
She's spoken favorably of Mr. Sanders' proposal for free college which would expand the ranks of tenured Democrat-leaning academics who delegate most of the actual teaching to ill-paid adjunct professors, and even further lock in the far-left propaganda that is our so-called education system. The economic consequences are difficult to predict exactly, but history shows that any "free lunch" fantasy always turns out badly.
She's made it clear that she intends to destroy religious organizations which oppose gay marriage, won't let men into women's bathrooms, or oppose the leftist agenda in any way. The Washington Post quoted her as saying, "Deep-seated cultural codes, religious beliefs and structural biases have to be changed," and went on to say:
This is perhaps the most radical statement against religious liberty ever uttered by someone seeking the presidency. It is also deeply revealing. Clinton believes that, as president, it is her job not to respect the views of religious conservatives but to force them to change their beliefs and bend to her radical agenda favoring taxpayer-funded abortion on demand.
Thousands of leaked emails have shown that her campaign has coordinated with a pro-Clinton PAC, which is illegal; nobody in law enforcement seems to be interested in pursuing the matter, however. It's clear that Hillary regards herself as being above the law, and the FBI has gone along with this wrong-headed notion.
Parts of her secret speeches to Goldman Sachs have appeared on the Internet in which she said, "But if everybody's watching, you know, all of the back room discussions and the deals, you know, then people get a little nervous, to say the least. So, you need both a public and a private position." Given that we don't know about her "private positions," it doesn't matter what she says, nobody knows any more about what she would really do than they know what Mr. Trump would do.
She also said that the banks were wrongly blamed for the financial collapse for political reasons, while she asked Wall Street financiers for campaign financing. A President Hillary certainly won't be delivering justice for banksters - something both the left and the right should find unacceptable.
At the height of the Watergate crisis, Sen. Goldwater and senior Republican senators called on President Nixon. Having seen the evidence, they told him, they would vote to impeach him when the Democrats brought charges. Faced with the certainty of conviction, Mr. Nixon resigned.
By ignoring Mr. Obama's many impeachable offenses, not to mention the Clintons' decades of corruption, Democrats have shown that they wouldn't impeach Hillary no matter what she does. In contrast, nervous establishment Republicans combined with corrupt, hyperpolitical Democrats would serve as a very real and much needed check on the powers of a President Trump.
Karl Marx once observed:
History repeats itself, first as tragedy, second as farce.
President Johnson's actions in expanding the Vietnam war and expanding welfare to the point of destroying families has brought us great tragedy. The choices this time are more farcical than tragic although the end result could be even worse than the damage wrought by President Johnson no matter who wins.
Must We Choose One Of Them?
If Bernie Sanders voters are real Democrats, Hillary isn't a Democrat. Similarly, compared with what we usually expect from the GOP, ex-Democrat Trump isn't really a Republican. Lyndon Johnson was a dyed-in-the-wool liberal Democrat who bought votes through government spending; Sen. Goldwater was a principled conservative who agreed with David Thoreau that "Government is best which governs least."
Both 2016 candidates are egomaniacs who are in it for themselves. For all that voters are in an anti-establishment mood, both Hillary and Mr. Trump are well-established in the .1%. There is a difference, however.
Hillary has grown rich as part of the political establishment which lives by taking money from us under threat of putting us in jail. As a sideline, politicians write laws to encourage "campaign contributions" in return for regulatory relief, access, and other services. Mr. Trump's business establishment gets money only when customers voluntarily choose to spend their own money buying goods or services.
Secondly, Hillary, like Mr. Obama, is convinced that we peasants have no clue how to operate our lives. As a certified Exalted Being, Hillary finds it unquestionably obvious that she must force us to do whatever she thinks best.
During the 1993 fight over HillaryCare, Hillary explained Democratic reasoning to then-House GOP Leader Denny Hastert. If Americans are allowed too much discretion over how they spend their health-care dollars, she said, "We just think people will be too focused on saving money and they won't get the care for their children and themselves that they need."
"The money has to go to the federal government because the federal government will spend that money better."
That's her philosophy in a nutshell - the more money the government takes from us, the better they can take care of us, the more dependent we get, and the more votes they buy. Obamacare was based on HillaryCare and we all know how that turned out.
Mr. Trump, in contrast, knows that the more money consumers are allowed to keep, the more they can spend on his businesses.
The leaked emails show that Hillary has sold billions of dollars worth of taxpayer-funded services to rulers all over the globe. Our final contrast is that Hillary, having been on the world stage for decades, considers herself a "citizen of the world" just as Mr. Obama does.
Mr. Trump, in contrast, for good and for ill, is an American at heart. By now, many voters have learned the cost of having a national leader whose heart isn't with our country.
Which Road?
As in 1964, we have a choice between very different albeit imperfect philosophies: it's either politics as usual or business. This time, both candidates are so disliked that very few voters can vote for either; most plan to vote against the one they loathe the most regardless of policy differences.
We've shown that America will collapse unless spending is cut, and it will also collapse under unlimited immigration. Hillary will make both of these problems worse than a President Trump would.
We have a choice, but as with choosing President Johnson's ruinous Great Society, we will all have to live with the consequences.


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> > >>>>not by emacs.
> > >try it under Cygwin 1.7.15 or current CVS.
> > didn't want to spam the list.
> > P.S. BTW, I tested today's snapshot, and the problem is still there.
> Changelogs.  Please point out the places which seem suspicious to you.
old one.  Sorry about that.  Now I can reproduce the SEGV.


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ABOUT NOVELNY
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N.Y. STATE LIBRARY
The NOVELNY Program : Background Information
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Search the NOVELNY Databases now
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The NOVELNY Program
Background and Information
The NOVELNY Databases
Register for Databases
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Library Services and Technology Act (LSTA) Program in New York State
Evaluation of New York's Library Services and Technology Act Program
NOVEL: An Evaluation Review
Interim Update: September 2006
This document also available in .PDF
The New York Online Virtual Electronic Library (NOVEL) is New York's statewide virtual library. It offers a collection of electronic resources that provide access from library, home, school, or office to thousands of full-text national and international newspapers and magazines, health and medical resources, business collections, Spanish-language materials, and age-appropriate materials for youngsters.
New York State residents have access to NOVEL through local public libraries, academic libraries, special libraries such as hospital libraries, and school libraries. Remote access at www.novelnewyork.org is also available to New Yorkers through the use of a borrower's card from the New York State Library or by means of a New York State Driver License or Non-Driver ID Card.
New York took the first steps in building the electronic content of NOVEL through its EmpireLink pilot project, which was funded through the federal Library Services and Technology Act. Launched in January 1999 by the New York State Library, the project provided access to electronic resources for users in thousands of libraries statewide free of charge.
In July 2000, the New York State Board of Regents adopted the final report of the Regents Commission on Library Services, Meeting the Needs of All New Yorkers: Library Service in the New Century, as Regents policy. The first of the 10 recommendations on which this report is based is "Create NOVEL, the New York Online Virtual Electronic Library, to deliver high-quality, reliable digital information to all New Yorkers."
Since that time, NOVEL has expanded and diversified its collection of electronic resources. It has become more widely available to New Yorkers through increasing numbers of participating libraries and through remote access from homes and offices. A NOVEL Steering Committee, which includes library leaders from a broad spectrum of libraries and systems throughout the state, in partnership with the New York State Library, has been working to implement the NOVEL Plan, Libraries Expanding Information Access for New Yorkers in the New Century (August 2001). More detailed information on the origins of NOVEL and the NOVEL Steering Committee.
NOVEL Evaluation
NOVEL continues to be supported by federal Library Services and Technology Act (LSTA) funds awarded to the New York State Library by the federal Institute of Museum and Library Services. As part of the required evaluation of New York State's LSTA Five-Year Plan for 2002-2007, the State Library identified the NOVEL initiative as the focus for an evaluation to be conducted by Himmel & Wilson, Library Consultants. Himmel & Wilson has conducted planning and evaluation projects with libraries, regional library systems, and state library agencies in 35 states since 1991.
The evaluation of NOVEL includes three components:
A web-based survey designed to capture opinions and comments from end-users and librarians. Almost 900 librarians, students, teacher/educators, business users, personal users, and other users responded to the web survey between May 21 and July 21, 2006, from 483 different zip code areas. Seventy-seven percent of the respondents were women, and 51 percent were between the ages of 35 and 54.
Focus groups of users and librarians. Between July 10 and July 18, 2006, Himmel & Wilson conducted focus groups in nine regions that included all of New York State-generally a users' group and a librarians' group in each region -- with a total of 119 participants. The nine librarians' sessions had a total attendance of 90; the eight user's sessions had a total attendance of 29.
Personal interviews. This component, consisting of one-on-one interviews with NOVEL users, is in progress.
The consultants provided extensive data obtained from the survey and the focus groups, as well as notes and comments from the focus groups. In brief, the findings include the following:
Most Frequently Used Resources:
Survey: Respondents reported using newspaper databases most frequently, followed by health databases.
Focus Groups: Librarians reported that Health & Wellness (consumer health), Consumer Reports; Business & Company Resources Center, MasterFILE Select, and Custom Newspapers were used most frequently.
NOTE: Focus groups (both librarians and users) do not distinguish NOVEL databases from other databases.
Success in Finding Information/Ease of Use:
Survey: Respondents have a fairly high level of success (3.91 on a 5-point scale) in meeting their information needs with the databases. Eighty-seven percent said they had no difficulty in finding the information they sought. Nineteen percent of the business users indicated they had difficulties in using the databases.
Focus Groups: Librarians and users stated that the complexity of the searching process is an issue: different access points look different; the searching strategy must vary from database to database; users want "Google-like searching."
NOTE: Both survey respondents and focus-group participants were mixed in their opinions about federated searching (searching across all databases in a single search). Some want the ease of a single search; others complain of too many useless hits.
Most-Liked Features:
Survey: Respondents most appreciated the accessibility and ease of use of the databases, and the fact that they are "free." They also liked the "full-text" feature of some of the databases and the wide variety of topics covered.
Focus Groups: Users' groups liked the variety of resources in the databases and the fact that NOVEL provides "one-stop shopping"-an adult can use it and a child can use it. Some users also said that the free access to NOVEL is a great feature.
Level of Use of NOVEL:
Survey: Twenty-nine percent used one of the NOVEL databases several times each week.
Focus Groups: Librarians reported using NOVEL resources every day, but said that frequency of use is often an issue with users, who may use a database once every two to three months and forget how to do it in the meantime.
Publicity/Awareness of NOVEL:
Survey: Overall 44 percent said they learned about the NOVEL databases through a librarian or a school library media specialist.
Focus Groups: Librarians said that widespread marketing and promotion are needed to make potential users aware of the information available in NOVEL resources. Users think that librarians are missing a "great PR opportunity" with NOVEL and that a PR campaign should go beyond the library to bring in new users.
NOTE: Librarians' focus groups remarked that "NOVEL" is misleading and confused with Novell and Novelist. The term "database" is also misunderstood (many users do not understand the difference between databases and the Internet).
Training in Use of NOVEL:
Survey: The survey did not specifically ask about training. However, from responses to other questions involving ease of use, etc., users appear to have opinions and needs similar to those expressed in the focus groups.
Focus Groups: Librarians' focus groups said training in the use of the databases is largely "self-taught" and "hands-on." Although vendors, library systems, and the state provided training in the use of the NOVEL databases earlier, participants did not see it as an ongoing effort being made by those sources. They also see the need for ongoing training to address the changes in the databases. Users often said they got their training in using databases and software at the library; however, many were self-taught as well, largely through trial and error.
Other (from Focus Groups):
NOVEL is important to smaller libraries of all types, especially those less well funded. The program is most important to small public libraries and the libraries in small schools. Academic libraries generally offer access to many online resources in addition to NOVEL, but often consider the NOVEL databases as building blocks in what they are able to provide.
Libraries have changed their buying patterns because of the NOVEL databases and no longer purchase some materials on paper; consequently, any withdrawal of NOVEL support would create holes in library collections.
For many libraries, the NOVEL databases are an integral part of their electronic resources.
Provided by the New York State Library, NOVELny connects New Yorkers to 21st century information. NOVELny is supported with temporary federal Library Services and Technology Act funds from the Institute of Museum and Library Services (IMLS).
Privacy Notice | NYSED Web Accessibility Policy
Website Design & Programming :


Fortunately, the Web is full of resources for teachers. We have looked at hundreds of educational websites in order to compile this list that contains 50 of the best.
If you have a thirst for scientific knowledge, there are many websites that can start to quench that thirst. From news about scientific discoveries to resources for teaching science, you can find a wealth of scientific information on the web.
Strapped for time, I began to look for free resources for teachers that would help my. The Stanford History Education Group focuses on improving education by.
Since 2013, Help Teaching has brought you our Top 100 Free Education Sites.We're continually updating our list to provide you with the best resources. Not only can you find the top free sites for teaching math, science, English, and social studies, but we've also added some of our favorite computer science and coding sites, language sites, and this year we've also added our favorite.
"I see the day-to-day struggle our students go through and our teachers can't provide what they need, they don't have the resources. mental health and care about the best opportunities to give them.
Mar 7, 2019. The face of education is changing, with Internet being right at the core of this change, and teachers and students have a lot to benefit from this.
Over 60 parents and teachers filled the Wilson School District boardroom. They believe the programs are important to educational success at Wilson and are a source of community pride that a.
32 Great Educational Websites for Teachers – Quality list!. 70 Best Educational Apps Teaching Technology, Teaching Tools, Educational Technology, Teacher.
About 500 teachers walked out of 15 schools that serve more than 7,000 students, demanding better pay, smaller class sizes and more resources for special. administration's competitive education.
Puerto Rico Secretary of Education Julia Keleher is leaving her position as the island's top K-12 official. with the American Federation of Teachers), saying that aside from school choice.
For Common Core resources, teacher videos, strategies and lesson plans, go to. Find great ideas and strategies in classroom teaching videos covering Math, leverages our best-in-class library of effective practices; Teachers can easily.
Lakeland's state and nationally accredited education program will usher you into the classroom, fully prepared for a rewarding career. According to a recent Georgetown University report, the retirement rate for teachers over the next decade will be high, as will the hiring rate for new education graduates.
As a special education teacher, finding effective resources is necessary for success. Explore ten websites to find classroom materials and more.
EdSurge | Education Technology News and Resources. Silicon Valley About.
8 of the BEST Educational App Review Sites UPDATED. Some might wonder why Teachers With Apps would publish a post with live links to what may be.
Really Good Stuff – the home of fun and creative classroom teacher supplies. Summer Learning Kits · Language Arts · Math · Science · Social Studies.
Year seven students of Brickhall School, Abuja, have successfully developed and launched an educational and game mobile. it was a pointer to the fact that time and resources invested by the.
Teachers and teaching students face many challenges in the modern classroom. Learn about resources for teachers and get expert advice from a seasoned. How can teachers best make use of resources available to them at school?
The initial versions of both bills included merit pay provisions for districts seeking to reward top-rated teachers with higher. according to the district website. Bilingual and special education.
The teachers were honored at the March 11 Utica Community Schools Board of Education Meeting. "We are proud to elevate and honor the profession of teaching by recognizing the dedicated educators.
Harris framed her proposal as a response to teachers around the country who have gone on strike to call for better pay and more resources to do their jobs. support among the disproportionately.
As with any other field, there are stars in education. gives students and teachers a chance to learn together, find the pitfalls and give students the tools to lift themselves up. Duncan said she.
Behavior: Menu of Best Practices & Strategies. The behavior menu provides best practices for LAP students in grades K–12 and focuses on addressing behavioral needs to.
further catapults to the national stage the educator unrest that's unfurled across the country as teachers take to the picket lines to protest underfunded school systems, low pay, overcrowded classes.
many music education programs are not adequately funded and struggling for adequate resources for their proper place in the curriculum," confirmed Luehrsen. "The Best Community districts and.
Through these interactive professional development opportunities, participants will learn best practices. multimedia resources, and the largest professional learning network of its kind, Discovery.
Apr 7, 2016. Here is a List of the 50 Best Free Teacher Resources Available Today. 03. Share My Lesson: Swap teaching resources with other educators.
He truly is a phenomenal teacher, and he gives his best to his students. director of OCSD5's human resources department, said Humphrey was no stranger to education. "Prior to Ms. Humphrey.
Ted Cruz on Education : Republican Texas Senator: Click here for 12 full quotes by Ted Cruz OR click here for Ted Cruz on other issues. Race-to-the-Top is blackmail against the states. (Mar 2016) Abolish the U.S. Department of Education.
On top of this. if the welfare of all staff, from teachers to lecturers, is prioritised. If these priorities are successfully implemented, Nigeria's education system would be well on its.
The future of education lies in embracing. are still prepared by a live teacher and downloaded online. In fact, registering on the best online tutoring websites is a great way to get a.
Nov 18, 2016. Finding educational and helpful math websites used to be a challenge for teachers. Now, the problem is finding the best ones. That's because.
Fralick from his position and also will notify the Illinois State Board of Education about the matter so it can review whether to suspend or revoke his teaching license. and staff is and will.
"Today, as I fear we all know, education is under threat all over the world from funding shortages, lack of resources, and importantly, too few teachers. "This is particularly true in the case.
If you haven't hopped on board the Internet train, it's time to consider that tried- and-proven websites offer great ways to get teaching ideas. But with so many.
Teachers don't have to limit their career and job options to just working in a traditional setting – inside a classroom – to have an impact in the education industry. There are a lot of education-related occupations waiting to be explored and here are some of those you might consider. With teaching one of the most popular majors, and high burnout rates after college, keeping your options.
Click to Call. Welcome from the Dean. These are exciting times in the College of Education and Behavioral Sciences and we welcome you to become involved in the numerous opportunities and experiences provided by our faculty and staff.
Jul 7, 2016. This summer, while you're thinking ahead to next year's classroom, check out our INFOGRAPHIC for the best educational websites for teachers.


text:
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Lucky Lady Charm Deluxe Overview
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Provider Lucky Lady Charm Deluxe
Game Type Vegas Slots
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Lucky Lady Charm Deluxe review
Are you a lucky person? Well, the lady who is the subject of this Novomatic slot game certainly is but she probably cheats a little bit with a spot of sorcery and use of amulets to ensure that luck smiles on her too. It's an entertaining slot game with several chances to get some good wins when playing this game.
Before you start playing this slot, there's a spot of responsible gambling to deal with. The Reality Check Interval may sound a little bit scientific but is just a way of making sure that you keep in touch with how you are doing financially when playing this slot. It's easy to get engrossed in a slot and lose track of time and this stops that happening. If for example, you choose a time interval of 15 minutes, then the game is suspended each time that is reached and shows you how you are getting on. Then you are given the option to either quit or continue playing so this is something that you need to pay attention to.
This is a five-reel game that has a total of 10 pay-lines on its three rows of symbols. You don't have to play those ten pay-lines on each spin, however many you play is entirely down to the player. To set how many pay-lines and your stake on the number you do activate, it's necessary to click on the menu button. The minimum stake with the ten pay-lines in play is 0.10 and the maximum 100, just settle on a budget that you can afford to lose.
Symbols in this game include several that are luck-related. That means we get to see crystal balls, ladybugs, four-leaved clover, a rabbit foot (not so lucky for the rabbit), horseshoes and also gold coins. We also get the nine to Ace playing cards symbols which are the lower paying ones in this slot. The symbols are basic in their look but more than do their job.
It's the Lucky Lady symbol which has the honour of being the wild symbol in this slot. This can help get you some winning combinations via its ability to substitute for any symbol which isn't a scatter (that means it can't replace the Crystal Balls symbol). Any win that it does create will be doubled so you will be wanting to see as much of this symbol as possible. If you can manage to get five of the wild symbols on a pay-line then that wins you the top prize in the game which is 900,000 coins if playing at the maximum stake.
To get hold of 15 free spins you need to get three or more of the crystal ball scatter symbols. This is a free spin you will love because any win you get during the free games is tripled, so hopefully the big wins will come along for you. It's possible to keep getting those tripled wins if the scatter symbols appear in triplicate again. There are different reels used for the free spins round
Find out as much as you can about this game before playing it for real. How do you do that? Well, go to the paytable where there's lots of details about how the game runs. This includes where all the pay-lines are, how much winning combinations pay out and the rules for the bonus games/wild and scatter symbols. Also have some free games to see how everything works and then your preparation for the real gameplay will be complete.
The game also includes a gamble feature. When a win comes along in the base game, the gamble option appears to the left side of the reels. There's no need to take up the gamble if you don't want to. If you decide to take up the gamble, it's the usual card game where you need to guess the colour of the next playing card. Get it right and well done because you have doubled your win and you can try another four times if you wish. One wrong decision robs you of the win you have just had so be careful with this.
If you enjoy your time playing this game, there are a few others out there that are exact matches in terms of gameplay. For example, there's another Novomatic slot entitled 'Gryphons Gold Deluxe.' That also has just the ten pay-lines and is of a high variance but also has 15 free spins on offer with wins tripled. Also try 'Fruit Farm' also from Novomatic that has a similar RTP with a wild symbol that appears on all the reels.
You need a bit of luck for anything in life and especially when you play slot games. This game has a basic look to it and is ideal for players who aren't too experienced at playing games of this nature. The theme is a good one and well adhered to and the free spins round can be very lucrative particularly if you can get those free spins re-triggered. Be careful with the gamble feature though and never risk big wins on this.
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text:
title: @VitaDock can I connect vitadock and Google fit, so i can have the data from my scale in fit?
date: Fri Jul 08 04:02:20 +0000 2016
taxonomy:
    category: blog
---

@VitaDock can I connect vitadock and Google fit, so i can have the data from my scale in fit?
— affe (@0xAFFE) July 8, 2016

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaGithub


Unique Tungsten Cross Pendant .4mm wide Surgical Stainless Steel Box Chain. Blue Carbon Fiber Inlay.
Beautiful Designer Cross Pendant (reversible) with Blue Carbon Fiber Inlay on a sturdy surgical stainless steel box chain, 4mm width, 22 inch long. This is a solid pendant measuring 24mm width x 44mm length x 4.5mm thickness. The pendant is reversible and can be worn both sides. The backside can be laser engraved. Because of the strong characteristics of tungsten, which makes it almost impossible to scratch, the back side will keep it's very polished and shiny appearance.
This pendant comes with a nice size 4mm wide and 22 inches long surgical stainless steel necklace (rounded box chain style) with lobster clasp. We designed and manufactured this necklace to ensure a sturdy and reliable chain to securely hold the heavy tungsten pendant (approximately 30 grams without necklace). Most companies don't offer such necklaces due to cost and other restrains such as additional research and development.


The puzzle game of Mathoku is similar to Sudoku but with a mathematical twist. The goal is to place numbers from zero to nine in the spaces to produce the correct total for each row and column, utilizing the mathematical operations shown.
Mathoku is easy to learn and very addictive. Since the app utilizes random numbers to generate each puzzle, the number of combinations is almost endless (over 2 million games per level).
New in this version is the ability to save scores and view reports of those scores.
Created by a certified Math teacher, Mathoku can help sharpen a child's arithmetic and mathematical skills as well as stimulate the logical mathematical minds of young adults. Fans of Sudoku, Twenty-four and Kenken will love it.
There are five difficulty levels and the ability to ask for a hint when needed. The mathematical rules of order of operations are reinforced with this app.
The ability to save scores and create reports. Also updated interface.
This is really a fun math puzzler. You really have to think and reason out the answers. I think kids would also like it and it would help them with their math facts. The hint feature is a big help, especially on the hard levels.
My students love this game! I use it as a reward and they don't even realize they are learning math because they are having so much fun. The harder levels really make you think. Thank you for using the proper order of operations!
This is really addictive. I hate asking for hints but it is great to have this feature. The upper levels are very challenging.


The Advanced Workbook is for students ages high school to adult. It reviews the material from the reader with Greek reading, writing and oral exercises. Students practice vocabulary with translations from Greek to English and English to Greek. The Greek grammar review exercises include fill-in-the-blank, multiple choice questions, true or false questions, picture identification and sentence completion.


text:
Mississippi Pharmacist Pleads Guilty to More than $180-Million Health Care Fraud Scheme
A Mississippi pharmacist pleaded guilty today for his role in a multimillion-dollar scheme to defraud TRICARE and private insurance companies by paying kickbacks to distributors for the referral of medically unnecessary compounded prescription medications that were ultimately dispensed by his pharmacies. The conduct allegedly resulted in more than $180 million in fraudulent billings, including more than $50 million paid by federal healthcare programs.
According to court documents, David "Jason" Rutland, 42, of Bolton, a pharmacist and co-owner of various compounding pharmacies, admitted that he participated in a scheme to defraud TRICARE and other health care benefit programs by distributing medically unnecessary compounded medications by, among other things: adjusting prescription formulas to ensure the highest reimbursement without regard to efficacy; soliciting recruiters to procure prescriptions for high-margin compounded medications and paying those recruiters commissions based on the percentage of reimbursements paid by pharmacy benefit managers and health care benefit programs, including commissions on claims reimbursed by TRICARE; and routinely and systematically waiving and/or reducing copayments to be paid by beneficiaries and members, including utilizing a purported copayment assistance program to falsely make it appear as if Rutland's pharmacy and its affiliate compounding pharmacies had been collecting copayments.
Rutland pleaded guilty to conspiracy to defraud the United States and solicit, receive, offer and pay illegal kickbacks, and faces a maximum penalty of five years in prison. Sentencing has been scheduled for Nov. 30. A federal district court judge will determine any sentence after considering the U.S. Sentencing Guidelines and other statutory factors. Rutland must also pay restitution and forfeit all assets traced to the ill-gotten gains.
Acting Assistant Attorney General Nicholas L. McQuaid of the Justice Department's Criminal Division; Acting U.S. Attorney Darren J. LaMarca for the Southern District of Mississippi; Special Agent in Charge Michelle Sutphin of the FBI's Jackson Field Office and Special Agent in Charge Cynthia A. Bruce of the Department of Defense Office of Inspector General Defense Criminal Investigative Service (DCIS) Southeast Field Office made the announcement.
The FBI and DCIS are investigating the case.
Trial Attorneys Emily Cohen and Alejandra Arias of the Criminal Division's Money Laundering and Asset Recovery Section and Assistant U.S. Attorney Kathlyn Van Buskirk of the Southern District of Mississippi are prosecuting the case with assistance from Sara Porter and Dustin Davis from the Criminal Division's Fraud Section.
Component(s):
Criminal - Criminal Fraud Section
Criminal - Money Laundering and Asset Recovery Section
USAO - Mississippi, Southern
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Adams Kearney Law has been serving clients in Ridley Park, PA and Delaware County for a combined 80 years. We're a general practice firm, covering everything from business law, criminal law, elder law, estate planning, probate, family law, divorce, personal injury and real estate.
We are conveniently located within minutes from I-95 and The Blue Route (Rt. 476). As you enter East Hinckley Avenue where we are located, a one-way street, we are the first building on the right. We offer our clients free and convenient parking in the large parking lot on the right just past our building.


Do you need help going managing your privacy on Facebook? Do you know how to review your Facebook posts, for example? Do you know whether your online friends can view the things you post on your profile?
If you don't, no worries at all. Facebook has made it a little easier for Facebook users to check their privacy settings. They've also made it easier to check who can see our Facebook posts and which apps can send you notifications.
Best of all, we're going to show you how to review who can see your Facebook activity step by step.
As we just stated, managing your privacy settings on Facebook is much easier than before.
Let's go through them together, one by one.
When you click on Privacy Checkup, the first step will take you through how to make sure you're sharing your posts with the right people.
Underneath that, you will find the current privacy settings for your Facebook posts.
• If it's set to 'Public,' anyone can see your Facebook posts (whether they have a Facebook account or not).
• If it's set to 'Friends,' your friends can see your Facebook posts.
• If it's set to 'Only Me,' no one else can see your posts except you.
• There's also a 'More options' tab, which gives you the opportunity to create a customized list of Facebook friends you would like to see your posts.
Can I Create Some Facebook Posts for 'Friends' and Some Posts for 'Only Me'?
Under the Facebook post you create, there are two buttons: one is to post, and the other for who can see it.
You don't have to change your privacy settings if you want to create a post with different privacy options. Just change it for that specific post once you create it; you'll get the same options as the ones noted above.
You Can Even Go Back to Change Your Previous Facebook Posts!
Remember that you can change the sharing settings of any individual Facebook update you post… even ones you already posted. To do this, click on the blue button right next to the date you posted the video.
Mobile apps are probably everyone's favorite thing nowadays. After all, there's an app for just about anything!
You'll be surprised at how many apps you installed through Facebook. The only problem is when you don't use them anymore.
When you stop using Facebook's apps, you give them permission to post to your Friends list.
Remember all those Candy Crush and Farmville requests you used to get? If your reviewed their Facebook app permissions, you wouldn't have this problem.
These app requests can get annoying, right?
Do you remember all the Facebook apps you used during your time on Facebook? Review your list of apps in your Facebook privacy settings; we're sure you'll find one that you don't need anymore.
This second part of the privacy checkup shows you a list of every app you agreed to install to your Facebook account. It also shows you what sharing permissions it has (i.e. whether it can share with your friends, the public, or just you).
We recommend that you should just delete the app if you don't use it. Don't be that annoying Facebook friend everyone hates because you don't know how to review your Facebook app settings.
The third and final element the Facebook Privacy Checkup allows you to review is your Facebook profile.
Here, you can find out who can see some very personal information. This includes your email address, your birthday, your hometown, your relationship status, and many other personal details about your life you may have added to your profile.
If you have ever added information about yourself, it's very important that you review who can view it.
To change it, follow the same instructions you did for reviewing Facebook posts in Element #1.
• Public: anyone can see this information if they go to your profile (whether they have a Facebook account or not).
• More Options: create a list of specific Facebook friends you would like to see your profile information.
Similar to our suggestion about who should see your posts, we recommend that you set your profile so that only you and/or your friends can see the information you put on your profile.
• Under emails, your Facebook profile will automatically show the one you registered with.
• Your birthday is separated into two categories: day/month, and year. It's done like this in case you don't want people to know your age on Facebook.
• For the 'Hometown' category, advertisers use this information to target you with their ads.
Finally – and this is the most important point – there is a lot more information you have probably shared over the course of your time on Facebook. Be sure to visit your About page, which is available at the bottom of Facebook's Privacy Checkup page.
I Found Something in My Facebook Profile That I Want to Delete. Can I Do it?
If you want to delete something, go to your About page and click on 'Update Info'. You can find it to the right of your profile picture, as seen below.
Remember, though, deleting this information does not mean the information is no longer on the web. Deleting it from your profile just makes it easier for people to track.
When you finish these three elements, click 'Finish Up'. It will lead you to this page.
Be sure to find out more about Facebook's privacy basics and/or check Facebook's Advanced Privacy Settings for more information.


My new Sony Alpha α55 camera and collection of lenses definitely need a case to call home ... just in case! And not just any case, but unquestionably, a HARD case!
Wow! What a case! After trying various configurations, I've finally settled on a way to arrange all of my equipment, with a bit of room left over for any future additions. After investing so much money in a great camera system, it sure feels good to store it all in a strong, protective case ... just in case!