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HIGH QUALITY RV RENTALS
Three Nights in Anza Borrego
by Katie | Jan 14, 2020 | Experiences, Trip Ideas | 0 comments
An Easy RV Camping Adventure Near San Diego
by Chris Emery of OutdoorSoCal.com
They say that with age comes wisdom. If so, my choice to rent an RV for a long weekend is clearly a sign I'm getting older because it's one of the best choices I've made in a while.
Over the recent Thanksgiving school break, my family and I planned a three-night trip to Anza-Borrego Desert State Park, an outdoor wonderland located just a couple of hours east of our home in San Diego. I am the publisher and editor of OutdoorSoCal.com, and was planning to collect information to flesh out a guide to the park we offer on the site.
The thought of chilly nights and mornings in a tent — especially with a 5-year-old in tow–made an RV especially appealing. So I went online and happened upon AdventureKT and booked a Winnebego Travato, one of the smaller Sprinter-esque RVs they rent out.
Todd, who owns AdventureKT with his wife Katie (coincidence?), walked me through the workings of the RV. This was the first time I'd rented a motorhome-style RV with all the bells and whistles — kitchen, toilet, shower, heating, cooling, fridge, freezer, you name it. I'll be honest, I think I retained about 80 percent of what Todd told me, but enough stuck to keep the land yacht sailing. (More later about my RV captaining fails.)
That evening we packed up and headed towards the desert. For dinner, we stopped in Julian, an old mining town in the Cuyamaca Mountains that rise up between San Diego and Anza-Borrego. We ate at Julian Brewing Company, and three hikers, who were just finishing up a four-month through-hike of the Pacific Crest Trail which runs through the area.
2019 Winnebago Travato, a Class B RV
From there it was downhill to the desert. I'd booked a couple of nights at Borrego Palm Canyon Campground, the largest campground in Anza-Borrego, and one that offers easy access and amenities for RVs. The first night of our adventure, however, I wasn't able to reserve a site, so we would need to either boondock or find a spot at a first-come, first-served campground. Fortunately, Anza-Borrego has eight official primitive campgrounds that don't require reservations. It was already dark when we pulled up to Yaqui Pass Primitive campground, situated in a mountain pass about 10 miles west of the town of Borrego Springs, the epicenter of Anza-Borrego.
Yaqui Pass (not to be confused with Yaqui Wash, a different campground further west) is essentially a large gravel parking lot. There are no bathrooms or other amenities. It's relatively smooth and flat, which makes it a good spot to park an RV overnight. When we arrived, there was only one other group RV camping at the campground.
Yaqui Pass Primitive Campground
With the lights of the RV turned off, the milky way cut a swath across the star-filled sky. Anza-Borrego is an International Dark Sky Park, an official designation for what regular visitors have long known. It's really an extraordinary place to take in the night sky. The Travato sleeps three, based on our experience. There is a bed for two in the back, and the dinette folds up to form a second bed. You could theoretically sleep two on the dinette bed, but it would be tight.
The next morning, we got up early and hiked to the Bill Kenyon Overlook, a short hike to a stunning 360-degree view of Anza-Borrego. The desert came alive in the early morning light, and we grabbed a photo of the three of us framed by tall ocotillo and surrounded by rocks and cactus – which we ended up using it for our Christmas cards.
Bill Kenyon Overlook Trail
Returning from the hike, we ate breakfast, packed up the RV and headed for Borrego Springs. Friends from San Diego were meeting us that night to camp together at Borrego Palm Canyon Campground, but we had some time to kill before the would arrive in Anza-Borrego.
Borrego Springs centers around a large park inside of a traffic circle known as Christmas Tree Circle, which has a number of restaurants on its fringes. We grabbed lunch at Kesling's Kitchen, a restaurant right on the circle, which is part of Borrego Art Institute, a non-profit gallery and creative space dedicated to the cultural enrichment of the community of Borrego Springs, California. (As a side note, one nice thing about a smaller RV like the Travato is how easy it is to drive and park. We had no problem parking in the spots in front of the restaurant, and that was true with parking spots throughout the trip.)
After breakfast, we headed to the Anza-Borrego visitor's center, operated by California State Parks. The visitor's center is located a couple of miles due west of Christmas Tree Circle, just south of Borrego Palm Canyon Campground. The building is set in the ground so that when you first pull up, all you see are some restrooms next to the parking lot. From the parking area, a path brings you around to the front of the building, made of rugged stone walls. The big front doors have handles shaped to look like the areas indigenous big horned sheep.
If you are headed to Anza-Borrego, the visitor's center is worth a stop. The building and surrounding desert landscape are striking and the exhibits inside are museum quality, covering everything from the geological history of the region, local wildlife, and the indigenous peoples that have called the region home for thousands of years. It's also a terrific place to get information on trails, camping and road conditions. The desert is prone to flash floods that can make roads impassable and heavy rains can make mud pits out of some of the primitive camping areas, so it's a good idea to check on the roads ahead of time if you'll be exploring in an RV.
Our friends called while we were entertaining ourselves at the visitors center, and we decided to hike The Slot, a classic Anza-Borrego slot-canyon trail, before heading to the campground. The slot is about a 20-minute drive southeast of Borrego Springs, and a little tricky to find. The road gravel road to the trailhead is easy to miss, and the tiny road sign doesn't help matters. Even though I'd set the mileage tracker on the RV, I blew right by it the first time and we had to circle back. The road is gravel with a good amount of washboarding, so the RV shook while we drove. It was a good reminder of why the doors of the inside cabinets lock shut.
Hiking The Slot
The Slot is a fun hike. It's only about a mile long, and winds through a steep and very narrow canyon. The trail gets so narrow in places, that I had to take off my backpack to squeeze through. Our son, Kai, and our friends two kids loved exploring the canyon, as there is a surprising geological twist around each corner. As you approach the trailhead, it's worth keeping a close eye on kids, because the canyon drops off steeply in places along the approach trail.
By the time we finished hiking The Slot, it was time to check-in at Borrego Palm Canyon Campground, which is a mile or so from the visitor's center. The campground comprises three loops, one of which is dedicated to RV camping and offers full hookups. I'd snagged a reservation in the southmost loop, which allows both tent camping and RVs (but no hookups). Our space was arranged such that the side door of the RV opened right onto the site's picnic table and shade ramada, which was convenient for bringing food from the RV to the picnic table.
This is a well-maintained campground. The bathrooms and shower facilities are elegant in their utilitarian simplicity. Everything is built to last and clearly well cared for (shout out to the state park service).
Borrego Palm Canyon Campground
That night, we grilled marshmallows over the sites firepit and admired the stars, which weren't as distinct as they'd been at Yaqui Pass, but were still better than anything you can see in most parts of the country.
Borrego Palm Canyon Campground is a great base of operations for exploring Anza-Borrego, especially the northern half of the park near Borrego Springs. There are several hikes nearby, including three that start at the campground. Borrego Palm Canyon Trail is a popular Anza-Borrego hike that brings you to a palm oasis just 1.5 miles from the campground and is a good choice for hiking with kids (as long as they can make the 3-mile round trip, or you can carry them in a backpack). The Visitor's Center Interpretive Trail and the Panoramic Overlook Trail, a short, steep hike, also start at the campground.
Getting ready for bed in the Travato
The next morning, we opted to try Panoramic Overlook Trail, as our friends had to get back to San Diego. The trail heads south for a few hundred yards from the campground along the base of the mountains before angling steeply upward. While this trail is not long, it will get you breathing quickly. It climbs about 265 feet in a quarter-mile to the overlook. We never made it to the top.
As we neared the overlook, the sides of the trail dropped off steeply and we decided it wasn't prudent to continue on with a 5-year-old and a 3-year-old in tow. Also, the 3-year-old, our friends' daughter, had a painful run-in with a cactus that required the attention of a pair of tweezers. Still, we got high enough to enjoy the epic views of Borrego Springs and the surrounding mountains and deserts.
That night, our friends headed back to the city and my wife, son and I had the campground to ourselves. Or we thought. At 11 pm a loud knock on the RV door woke me from contented slumber. I peered out through the side door window and was met with the aggressive beam of a flashlight in the face.
"Sir, is everything alright in there."
It was a woman's voice, speaking in the matter-of-fact tone of a police officer. I pulled my pants on and opened the door, and stepped out to greet the two park rangers who were shining lights on me.
"Sir, you're lights are flashing and we are checking to make sure everything's alright," the officer repeated.
Sure enough, the parking lights on the Travato were flashing every 10 seconds or so. Problem was, I had no idea why. I checked the carbon monoxide center inside and scanned the dashboard for some signal, but couldn't find anything to tell me why the lights would be flashing. After 5 minutes or so, the rangers must have figured we were fine, and they were dealing with an RV newbie, and moved on to less hopeless causes.
An hour of internet searching and reading the owner's manual for the RV later, I realized that the sliding side door wasn't closing all the way because the dinette bed where I was sleeping was in the way. I gave the door a good push, and the annoying light show stopped at long last.
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"Secreted NS1 of dengue virus attaches to the surface of cells via inte" by Panisadee Avirutnan, Lijuan Zhang et al.
Avirutnan, Panisadee; Zhang, Lijuan; Punyadee, Nuntaya; Manuyakorn, Ananya; Puttikhunt, Chunya; Kasinrerk, Watchara; Malasit, Prida; Atkinson, John P.; and Diamond, Michael S., ,"Secreted NS1 of dengue virus attaches to the surface of cells via interactions with heparan sulfate and chondroitin sulfate E." PLoS Pathogens.3,11. e183. (2007).


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Torch Song é um filme de drama feito para a televisão produzido nos Estados Unidos em 1993, dirigido por Michael Miller e com atuações de Raquel Welch, Jack Scalia e Alicia Silverstone.

Telefilmes dos Estados Unidos de 1993
Telefilmes de drama dos Estados Unidos
Filmes de drama da década de 1990
Filmes com trilha sonora de Lee Holdridge
Filmes sobre alcoolismo
Filmes em língua inglesa da década de 1990
Filmes sobre cinema

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaWikipedia


As house prices tumble, banks implode and a nasty cold sweeps the globe, killing, ooh, tens of people, what better way to cheer myself up than to spend the bank holiday weekend locked in a cinema at my favourite horror film festival, Dead by Dawn?
Things get off to a cracking start with Adam (Broken) Mason's Blood River. Like a cross between The Hills Have Eyes and Wiseblood, it features an incredible performance from Andrew Howard as a demented serial killing preacher who stalks a barren desert wasteland so sunbleached and dry it makes you thirsty just looking at it, doling out a twisted, bloody, semi-supernatural redemption.
Friday begins with the What You Make It programme, kicking off with a truly demented slice of hillbilly Americana, as a purple-bearded woodsman takes on God in I Live In The Woods, followed by a satirical slab of capitalist greed in Next Floor, which recalls Peter Greenaway's The Cook, The Thief, His Wife and Her Lover with its super-stylish look and glistening reflection of gluttony, and Wish, a teen goth tragedy made even more shocking by the fact that it's based on 'actual events'.
John Bergin's animated labour of love From Inside takes us to a bleak, blood-drenched, post-apocalyptic wasteland, where we follow the progress of a mysterious steam train on its inexorable journey to hell. It looks beautiful but boy is it depressing, with searing, Holocaust imagery that really sticks in the mind.
Thank God, then, that the next film provides some comic relief. Revisiting Lucio Fulci's marvellously daft exploitation flick Zombie Flesh Eaters as it reaches the ripe old age of thirty is always going to be fun, but coupling it with an appearance from its star, Ian McCulloch, makes it all the more entertaining. A charming old luvvie who'd much rather be playing the Dane than fighting off rotting corpses, McCulloch is refreshingly honest about the fact that he's made a career of appearing in films he thinks are crap, spouting rubbish dialogue. Bless!
The Forbidden Door is the first Indonesian film I've ever seen, and is certainly interesting, if confusing. From its incongruous, Batman-meets-James Bond titles to its final cop out of a 'twist', it definitely holds the attention, but is a little unfocused.
The final film of the night is Tamami: the Baby's Curse, a classic J-horror haunted house movie that crosses the English gothic mystery of Rebecca with the gross-out sibling rivalry of Basketcase. Big ol' scary house in the woods? Check. Creepy evil rubber baby? Check. Sit back and prepare to be entertained – and, again, to feel somewhat sorry for the miserable monster in the walls, even as it melts its dad with sulphuric acid. Hooray!
Saturday begins with a real classic treat, a pristine edition of Charles Laughton's The Night of the Hunter. Again, we find ourselves in the company of a serial killing preacher, a deliciously laid-back, twisted performance from the sleep-eyed Robert Mitchum, who communes with the heavenly voice in his head while bumping off rich widows for a living.
The short film we're treated to before the next big feature, Aardman Animation's The Pearce Sisters, is possibly the ugliest thing I've ever seen in my life, and yet, while it boggles the mind to think that these hideous siblings share shelf space with dear old Wallace and Gromit, it shows the same clever attention to eccentric British detail that marks all the studio's work.
Fred Dekker's 1980s zombie alien frat party classic Night of the Creeps is preceded by another great short, How My Dad Killed Dracula, a charming, highly entertaining cross between The Goonies and The Lost Boys which I utterly loved. Night of the Creeps is also great fun. A marvellous mash-up of B-movie madness in which Plan Nine From Outer Space meets Return of the Living Dead, it's stuffed full of funny genre references, and also features one of the best jaded cop performances ever from Tom Atkins.
Computer game sci-fi animation Dead Space: Downfall isn't really my bag at all so I'm afraid I slept through most of it, and retired to bed before Peter Jackson's ultimate gross-out cannibal zombie comedy, Braindead, so no lawnmower death for me. Shame.
Sunday starts with one of my favourite horror movies, Misery, which I'm happy to say is as tense and nerve-wracking now as it was when I was a teenager. Horror films aren't generally renowned for star turns, but this has been a weekend of top performances, from Andrew Howard, Nick Searcy, Robert Mitchum and of course the marvellous Kathy Bates here, her bovine calmness punctured by sudden crazy rages which would terrify even the hardiest souls.
Afterwards we're treated to some classic shorts from past festivals, including one of my favourites, the creepy Irish haunted house movie The Ten Steps, before moving on to low budget thriller Dawning. This suspenseful tale of a dysfunctional family holed up in a hunting lodge in the middle of the woods is compelling and avoids many of the clichés you'd expect, but is perhaps a little too ambiguous to really serve up the scares.
Our final short, Heart of Karl, is like the kind of crazed, nasty dream you have after spending a weekend watching horror films: a nightmarish melange of hideous images, flayed skin and ghastly, skull-like visages – and another monstrous hero that we can't help feeling sorry for.
Our final feature, the French vampire comedy (yes, you really did read that right) Les Dents de la Nuit is pure fanged silliness. A group of party-loving friends are delighted when they manage to wangle invites for the super-exclusive Nuit Medicis, but quickly realise that being helicoptered into a creepy castle on a mountain top might not be so much fun after all, especially when the guest list and the menu are the same... The film is far too fluffy and daft to have any real bite but is good, old fashioned '80s-style fun all the same – think the exuberance of Weird Science mixed with the sleazy morality tale of Vamp and the SFX of The Lost Boys.
But as this weekend of bad parenting and strangely sympathetic monsters draws to a close, the biggest shock is yet to come, as festival director Adèle Hartley announces that there will be no Dead by Dawn next year. God knows she deserves a break, but the world shifted slightly sideways all the same – where will I be without my annual fix of daring, cutting edge, creative genre cinema? Mummified in the multiplex watching crappy J-horror remakes, that's where. Now that really is scary.


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redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaGithub


text:
Thousands march to protest terror
Thousands of people took to the streets across southeastern and eastern Turkey on Sept. 14 to protest against the PKK.
The mass protests were triggered by the killing of seven civilians as a result of a PKK attack on a vehicle carrying forest workers in the Diyarbakır province on Sept. 13.
The protests were dubbed "Condemn terror, call for brotherhood."
Non-governmental organization representatives, local governors and mayors and lawmakers attended the protests.
People carrying the Turkish flag chanted slogans against the PKK. "Turks, Kurds are brothers; separatists are rats," some said.
"I hope that the fight against terrorism will continue until there is not a single terrorist on this land. Those who point guns to these innocent people will be punished," Hakkari Gov. İdris Akbıyık said.
People also voiced support for families protesting against the PKK child recruitments. There is ongoing demonstrations by 24 families in Diyarbakır against the abduction of their children by the PKK.
"We live in a region which suffers from terrorism the most. I am calling on the young people deceived and kidnapped by the PKK and taken to the mountains: Come and ease the pain in your mothers' hearts, surrender to our state. Don't be someone's pawn," Sevim Bozan said, speaking on behalf of the families in Hakkari.
"The PKK is a terrorist organization that targets investments in the regions mostly populated by our Kurdish brothers, sets fire to the construction machines, burns down and destroys schools," said İdris Yıldız, the Siirt head of the foundation of Turkish Veterans and the Martyrs' Families.
"We will no longer send our children to the mountains, but to the school. They will be lawyers, engineers, scientists, and we will not play into the hands of the organization. We want to go to Cudi for a picnic. We want the tourists to come to the waterfall in Gabar," said Mehmet Nuri Genc, an opinion leader in Şırnak's İdil district.
The PKK is listed as a terror organization by Turkey, the United States and the European Union.
Maintenance fees of residential complexes soaring in Türkiye
Taxis in Istanbul to use roof lights
Woman climbs to Kilimanjaro summit to raise funds for girls' education

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


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Tina Red
Mariah Carey's 'Elusive Chanteuse' Tour Receive Negative Reviews
Mariah Carey kicked off her new tour in Tokyo over the weekend, "Elusive Chanteuse." She's said to have performed over 20 classic songs from her musical arsenal. Unfortunately, her live performance was met with unease, as some attendees vented on social media that she vocally struggled throughout the concert.
The video clips below do confirm some of the rumblings. Take a peek at Ms. Carey fighting through "Hero" and "My All."
http://youtu.be/-D68vAspwQc
Keep in mind, Mariah has been off the scene for a while, let alone embarked on an extensive tour, so it's very possible this won't be an occurrence for the other 19 scheduled dates. She also ran into technical difficulties with her microphone. I'm hoping these were first show mishaps that will be rectified.
Moreover, reports claim Mariah possibly took a shot at her soon to be ex-husband Nick Cannon while singing a rendition of Billie Holiday's "Don't Explain." She sang the original lyrics "Cry to hear folks chatter/And I know you cheat/Right or wrong, don't matter/When you're with me, sweet" but added "I know you cheated, mother*cker."
http://youtu.be/JpcdsNlIfw0
Her cover wasn't bad, at all! I'm going to go out on a limb and say the few clips posted on social media are just that, clips. The show in itself was 2+ hours long. I'm sure she seamlessly pulled through some of her hits. And seeing that she's going through a very public divorce, I won't attack one of her last sacred places left…the stage.
Pull through, Mariah! We're rooting for you!
Ariana Grande, Concert, Mariah Carey, Nick Cannon, Tina Red


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redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaStackExchange


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Home / Sports / Transgender man warmly received in sports Hall of Fame ceremony
Transgender man warmly received in sports Hall of Fame ceremony
by Loknath Das / Sports / 06 May 2018
All that mattered was being there.
J McKnight, a transgender man who was a girls sports star four decades ago, provided a poignant moment Saturday night at the Los Gatos High School Hall of Fame induction ceremony.
Then known as Jennie McKnight while competing in basketball, softball and volleyball in the 1970s, McKnight told a rapt audience how grateful he was that the "flow of history" gave girls a chance to compete after the passage of the anti-discrimination law Title IX.
And now he has "gratitude that the flow of history allowed me to show up here as I am," McKnight said.
He synthesized his life's arc through sports, saying athletes never know how it will unfold once a game begins.
"The game will call you into those moments and life will too," he said. "I was reluctant to attend this ceremony. I live in New York. It would be a lot of money to spend and I couldn't take time away from work, which is so wrong — I'm self-employed."
McKnight, who started identifying as a transgender man four years ago, wanted to avoid the awkwardness of no longer being addressed as a woman.
"I still carried the shame and fear that there was something wrong about me," he told the audience.
But McKnight softened his stance because of attention from a Bay Area News Group profile on his life and award.
"I bought a plane ticket and bought an orange and black tie," he said, standing in a sharp black suit.
His wife Rhonda Morton, mother Nancy Avoy, stepfather Don Avoy, brother Tom McKnight, half-brother Kevin Avoy and longtime friend Leslee Hamilton were in attendance. It was difficult to get the entire blended family together at the same time with seven half- or step- brothers and sisters.
"With that kind of rooting section the fears that I had don't matter so much," McKnight said.
"Thank you one more time for the honor to allow me to show up."
McKnight, 58, received a standing ovation, the highlight of the evening that honored nine other Los Gatos athletes.
He was part of the 15th Hall of Fame class from the close-knit hillside South Bay town. The committee inducted athletes at La Rinconada Country Club ranging from Steve Lepurin of the class of 1932 to Carlos Alonso, who graduated in 2006.
Other inductees were Chuck Stewart, Mitch Mandich, Gary Bersano, Jay Slivkoff, Derek Reichstein, Amy White Hockenbrock and Anita Reyes Wierima in an event that illustrates Los Gatos' smalltown aura in the face of encroaching Silicon Valley.
McKnight's appearance can be framed in the context of changing views toward gender identification.
The same could be said when McKnight represented the Wildcats on the fields and courts.
Hamilton, Guadalupe River Park Conservancy executive director, recounted her friend's fierceness as a freshman wanting to play in the Girls Athletic Association.
"The GAA excluded freshmen," she said. "J challenged it. She wanted the right to play."
McKnight started all four years, including the final two seasons when Los Gatos fielded varsity girls sports in the aftermath of Title IX.
Former Wildcats football coach Bruce Cattolico, the event's emcee, said McKnight is the Hall's first Title IX inductee.
"He started his career in the small gym and ended it at the Oakland Coliseum," Cattolico said of the basketball team that reached the Tournament of Champions after finishing second in the Central Coast Section playoffs.
McKnight's accolades came to the attention of the 10-member Los Gatos Athletics Association selection committee through his half-sister Katie Avoy and Hamilton.
Hamilton, who played softball and basketball with McKnight, said it was like having a coach on the field because her friend really understood the game.
McKnight, a hard-playing power forward in basketball, wore No. 24 but not to pay tribute to her favorite Warriors player at the time, Rick Barry.
"He wore it for Willie Mays," Cattolico said.
McKnight's wife didn't know her spouse was a former basketball star. But Morton knew about his softball playing days because he remained a devoted Bay Area baseball fan.
"I have learned to watch the Giants," said Morton, who met her future partner at a singers' event at Asilomar State Beach.
They met when McKnight, a psychotherapist in upstate New York, identified as a lesbian. Morton identifies as a heterosexual woman with two grown children.
"You fall in love with someone," she said before the ceremony. "You don't fall in love with labels."
Morton also didn't plan to attend the ceremony. But a week ago in Portland, Maine, she had a change of heart.
"Maybe I should be there," she thought.
Like McKnight, Morton showed up too.
source:-mercurynews
Tags:ceremony, Fame, Hall, in, Man, of, received, sports, Transgender, warmly
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Asian Countries Seen Benefiting Most From Trump Trade War
Kenneth Rapoza
I write about global business and investing in emerging markets.
Nov 2, 2018, 12:08pm EDT |
Even before the trade war, Bangladesh's share in readymade garment exports was on the rise thanks to cheap labor.
The trade war will result in a significant shift in export-oriented manufacturing from China to other markets in Asia
The Port of Long Beach in Long Beach, California. A roaring U.S. economy and inventory stockpiling... [+] due to the trade war with China has expanded the trade deficit. As companies redraw their supply chain maps, smaller Asian countries are seen benefiting more from manufacturing leaving China than the U.S. (AP Photo/Marcio Jose Sanchez)
Based on Friday's job numbers, the U.S. looks like it is winning the trade war. Plus the U.S. stock market is up (though not much) and the Chinese stock market is heading in the opposite direction. Shanghai and Shenzhen market indexes are in a bear market.
As a result of the China-U.S. trade war—or trade friction, as the Chinese prefer to call it—companies here have been busy stockpiling inventory out of concerns that President Trump will make good on his threats to increase tariffs on everything China exports to the U.S. The trade gap between the U.S. and China is on the rise.
But that does not mean that Trump's trade tariffs are not working. Companies that have set up shop in China to export to the world are now redrawing their supply chain maps. Those who were thinking about this already, as China becomes a more advanced economy with a richer labor force and tighter environmental regulations, are speeding up the process. In other words, if they are not there to sell to the Chinese, they are more likely to move to Vietnam, Indonesia or Thailand.
Total disconnect. China is in a bear market. The trade war isn't helping.
Bloomberg Markets
Asia will be the biggest beneficiary as manufacturers shift out of China, the Economist Intelligence Unit said in a 15-page white paper published this week.
The world's top two economies have nearly $360 billion in new tariffs between them now, with Trump telling Laura Ingraham this week on her Fox News show that he is ready to slap extra duties on another $250 billion or so of Made in China goods. Investors are hoping that Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping can at least put further tariffs on hold, and indeed expect that to happen, though conviction remains weak.
The one conviction on the outcome of all this is that supply chains are moving out of China. It's not a mass exodus, but a new rebalancing is in order, and southeast Asia stands to benefit from that.
"We expect the trade war to escalate further in the coming months, ultimately covering finished consumer products including mobile phones, laptops and other electronic goods, as well as apparel," EIUs report authors wrote. Chinese automotive parts manufacturers are also targeted. In order not to lose market share in regions like Latin America, which have often served as an entry point into the U.S. via Mexico under the old NAFTA agreement, China might have to move some of that manufacturing to other Asian countries.
American multinationals in China will also have to shift gears.
A strong network of free-trade agreements in some southeast Asian nations makes it easier for them. The recently agreed Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP), which Malaysia, Singapore, and Vietnam will be part of, represents the latest iteration of this trend. The U.S. is not part of the CPTPP.
Trump and Xi. Best Frenemies 4-Eva. Photographer: Qilai Shen/Bloomberg
Two Sector Trends
Automotive has been one of the hottest areas in trade talks. It's a sexy part of any economy because it requires all skill sets, and is heavy on new technology and blue-collar manufacturing labor. Not everyone in the world is a Google engineer or wants to be.
According to the EIU's numbers, China accounted for almost 20% of U.S. vehicle exports by value in 2017, equivalent to goods worth $10.3 billion though most of that was for the American-based assembly lines of BMW and Mercedes Benz. Most of the top American cars in China, namely Buick, are made in China. Tariffs on American auto parts are not really a big problem because less than 10% of our exports go to China.
China is expected to turn to Thailand and Malaysia for auto parts manufacturing and imports.
Winners and losers in the car wars.
Economist Intelligence Unit
A number of luxury marques, including BMW and Mercedes-Benz, already have operations in Thailand. The EIU expects these companies to ramp up their local output to support shipments to China. Although finished vehicle and auto parts exports are a small part of its total exports, Malaysia has over 800 auto component manufacturers, as well as a similarly diversified auto-component export network. This should position it to be another beneficiary of the Trump vs. Xi trade war.
Other areas: clothing. Gone are the days when your shirt label reads Made in China. It's going to be Made in Bangladesh, Vietnam and India now.
Like China pre-WTO, multinational corporations are on the hunt to find cheap labor and lackluster regulations. Bangladesh, Vietnam, and India are all members of the World Trade Organization and are required to abide by certain rules.
Even before the trade war, Bangladesh's share in readymade garment exports was on the rise thanks to cheap labor. Major international fashion brands—such as H&M, The GAP, Levi's and Zara have manufacturing facilities in Bangladesh already and can easily divert orders to Bangladesh if tariffs on imports from China make such products more expensive in the U.S.
The EIU analysts said it will take time for local operators to build production capacity to fully absorb supply disruptions. The garment industry in Vietnam is expected to be another winner. Vietnam is now the world's third-largest exporter of readymade garments and has strong trade ties with the U.S. Vietnam exported garments worth $12.3 billion to the U.S. alone in 2017, representing almost 50% of its total clothing exports and 5% of its GDP.
Zara has stitch-and-sew clothing factories in Bangladesh and could shift more of its supply chain... [+] out of China if Trump slaps tariffs on every single Made in China product. Supply chains have already been shifting as China moves up the value chain. The trade war has expedited that process. Photographer: Brendon Thorne/Bloomberg
The trade war isn't ending any time soon.
Nor is it a get-rich-quick scheme for southeast Asia.
But as manufacturing labor leaves a more modern, developed China and heads to real emerging markets to its south, new money and new wealth will develop in countries that are still far behind China. Vietnam GDP per capita is only around $2,300, compared to around $12,000 for China. Bangladesh GDP per capita is around $1,500.
From the EIU:
The trade war will result in a significant shift in export-oriented manufacturing from China to other markets in Asia , a relocation that is likely to have a net positive impact for many countries in the region. (In some ways, this will represent a reversal of the trend seen in the early part of this century, when China's rise as an export powerhouse diverted investment from ASEAN economies that were still reeling from the 1997 Asian financial crisis.) The shift will help to drive the development of the local automotive, ICT and apparel sectors in South and South-east Asia, bringing in more advanced equipment and technical expertise.
However, for a majority of the countries involved the impact of these changes will not be felt overnight. Indeed, it is likely to take at least two to three years for the effects of the trade war to be fully realized. Multinational companies will need time to draft new global and regional strategies, find new partners, navigate different legal systems and secure the required licenses and permits for new production facilities. As a result, the negative, disruptive effects of the trade war will predominate in the short term. Even under the most optimistic scenario, the benefits for Asia's winners in the trade war are unlikely to be seen before 2020. —EIU report, Creative Disruption: Asia's Winners in the U.S.-China Trade War, released November 1, 2018.


Metroluxe Ratchada Condominium Din Daeng Bangkok is a condominium project, located at 419 Soi Inthamara 47, Khwaeng Din Daeng, Khet Din Daeng, Krung Thep Maha Nakhon 10400. Metro Luxe Ratchada is a Ready to move condominium project. Its construction was completed in 2016. This condominium comprises of 4 buildings, having 8 floors and includes 535 units.
Location: Inthamara 47, Ratchadapisek Rd.
Sinking Fund: Estimated 500 Baht/Sq.m.
Metroluxe Ratchada Condominium Din Daeng Bangkok conveniently located just within 780 meters or about 10 minutes' walk from MRT Huai Khwang. If you drive, the nearest tollway entrance is located 2.9 km from the condo.
Also a Family Mart convenience store, located just 5 minutes' walk away, will satisfy resident's needs for everyday items shopping.
Golden Years Nursing Home Hospital is the nearest hospital, which is located 1.1 km from the condominium. It will take about 8 minutes by car to go there.


A Clarion Call to Action: God's heart is broken over the millions of enslaved people; He understands the suffering of each and every one of them. He is not indifferent to their cries for love, mercy, justice and deliverance and has sent His redeemed and chosen people, the body of Christ (the Church) for the restoration of justice in an unjust world!
God the creator - creation ex nihilo (Gen), created both men and women; boys and girls and declared them good. Every human being thus created is precious and valuable in God's sight and He has called us to accept and love one another, just as He accepts us in Christ and loves us. He calls on the Church to ensure that every human being is free from enslavement and granted freedom to enjoy their human rights - the whole Gospel that reaches the whole person.
The more we come to know God; we continue to realize the wonder of Creator God. He establishes within us His deepening sense of wonder and worship. (Psalm 8: 3) and our responsibility for the earth and all who dwell within. As He calls us into personal relationship with Him, he instills compassion of care for creation, a value for human life and dignity and a desire to contribute to the common good.
This is further strengthened by the biblical doctrine of redemption (Colossians 1 and John 3: 16), that declares that God so loved the world that He sent His only begotten Son to die to save humanity! The forgiveness of sin, deliverance from spiritual and moral darkness into God's marvelous light, brings freedom to captives, and acts justly, in demonstrating God's love for humankind and desire for abundant life!
Salvation daring to sing the songs of justice in any storm.


Price range: $20.39 - $29.95 from 9 Seller with a available.
Strengths: Sleek action and easy to figure out thumb controls. Nice to have bubble levels handy. Alu construction looks sturdy. Free second hot shoe a plus. Very stable.
Weaknesses: Slowly extending legs make set up tedious. Cheap plastic rings and leg locks make me wonder how many bumps and dumps will it take before they break.
Summary: Quick delivery was excellent. Tracking on the Net included too many steps. E-mail letter about shipment being complete should link directly to UPS tracking number. No need to sign in onto BuyNow first.


text:
The FootballScoop Coaches of the Week Awards - Week 5
Head Coach of the Week - Dana Holgorsen
Holgo took the blame and vowed things would be different following West Virginia' 37-0 loss to Maryland last week. Needless to say, things were quite different. The Mountaineers juggled the two-deep from top to bottom, and their 21 changes produced an entirely different team. In what has to be considered the biggest upset of the season through five weeks, West Virginia toppled No. 11 Oklahoma State, 30-21. It definitely wasn't pretty - new starting quarterback Clint Trickett needed 50 passes to throw for 309 yards and tossed two interceptions, the Mountaineers ran for just 1.7 yards per carry, they punted eight times and missed two field goals - but it was the Mona Lisa compared to the team's effort seven days ago.
The path doesn't get any easier from here, not with a trip visit to Baylor waiting next week, but for the time being West Virginia is officially tied for first in the Big 12 - and Oklahoma State is not.
Offensive Staff of the Week - Georgia
The story of this game was so clear, so ominous, that the task of defending these two offenses occupied the top two spots in our top 10 coaching match-ups of the week. Eighty-five points later, Georgia is left standing - on Saturday evening, in the SEC East race and in the national championship hunt.
Just to be sure we're all on the same page in appreciating what Mike Bobo's offense accomplished on Saturday, let's take a look at the beast Georgia just slayed. The 44 points were the most allowed by an LSU defense since Oct. 25, 2008 - 64 games ago - which just so happened to be a 52-38 Georgia win. The win snapped LSU's nation-leading 29-game September winning streak and LSU's 34-game winning streak when scoring at least 30 points. In a game where their defensive counterparts had little room to breathe, the Georgia offense answered the bell time after time after time, where there were five total ties and two lead changes just in the fourth quarter, the Bulldogs threw for 298 yards and four touchdowns (8.8 yards per play) and rushed 36 times for 198 yards (5.4 yards a pop) and another score. In all, Georgia produced points eight times in a dozen total possessions.
Defensive Staff of the Week - Alabama
Well, then. The Alabama offense didn't get much done (boy, hasn't that become a theme for the Tide away from College Station?) but it didn't matter. Nick Saban and Kirby Smart's defense outscored the Ole Miss offense on their own, 2-0. The Alabama defense took an Ole Miss offense averaging 250 yards through the air and 240 yards on the ground, folded them into a nice little square, put them in their pocket and kept them there for 60 minutes.
Ole Miss suffered through its first shut out since Nov. 7, 1998, and the 205 yards of total offense (159 passing/46 rushing) were the fewest of the Hugh Freeze era, 13 yards below last year's season-low that also happened to occur in Tuscaloosa. Freeze and company planned to be aggressive, and Saban and Smart used that aggression against them. The Rebels were just 4-of-14 on third down and 1-of-4 on fourth down. Perhaps all you need to know about this game is that Ole Miss sent its kicker on to the field one time - for the second half opening kickoff.
Special Teams Unit of the Week - Idaho
Like the rest of his team, Idaho kicker Austin Rehkow hadn't experienced much success this season. The freshman was just 1-of-3 on field goal tries kicking for an 0-4 team. That changed Saturday. In a game where Idaho needed each and every one of his 14 points, Rehkow knocked in 4-of-5 field goal tries (his only miss coming on a 50-yard try) and both of his extra points to help Paul Petrino's team break through for their first victory of the season, 26-24 over Temple. Rehkow also pinned four of his seven punts inside the 20-yard line, and the Vandals' coverage units limited Temple returners to a 23.7-yard average on three kickoff returns and just three yards total on five punt returns
GeorgiaAlabamaWest VirginiaDana HolgorsenPaul PetrinoMike BoboKirby SmartNick Saban


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SPECTRE: Welcome to the new MI6
Posted on March 3, 2015 by The Spy Commander
SPECTRE teaser poster
Minor spoilers in this post.
By Nicolás Suszczyk, guest writer
The countdown has already begun for the release of the 24th James Bond film, SPECTRE, on Nov. 6.
The movie is directed by Sam Mendes, who helmed the previous 007 film Skyfall, whose story (apparently) completed the James Bond reboot process bringing back the full MI6 team missing in the first two previous James Bond films starring Daniel Craig, Casino Royale and Quantum of Solace.
Throughout the story, the 2012 film introduced the audiences to Miss Moneypenny, played by Naomie Harris; gadget-master Q, played by Ben Whishaw; and a male M in the person of Ralph Fiennes' Gareth Mallory.
By the end of Skyfall, we had the MI6 team as we know it from the 1960s Bond films: M, Q and Moneypenny. The latter two were absent in Casino Royale and Quantum of Solace, while M was still portrayed by Judi Dench who was first cast in 1995's GoldenEye, the first outing of Pierce Brosnan as James Bond.
But is SPECTRE bringing back the old MI6? We'll just get Bond flirting with Moneypenny, then M's briefing followed by the Q lab scene? Probably not.
In a videoblog last week, Mendes – who says he shaped Fiennes, Harris and Whishaw in their roles – pointed out that the trio "will risk their careers in order to help Bond," a far cry from the old days where the service remained in Whitehall or Vauxhall Cross to brief Bond and wish him luck on the job.
In fact, since Tomorrow Never Dies in 1997, Judi Dench's M has had more screen time, even going to the field to assist Bond (something that Robert Brown and Bernard Lee barely did) or being a substantial part of the plot in 1999's The World is not Enough as well as Skyfall.
Introduced in Skyfall as the chariman of the security comittee, Gareth Mallory is set to replace the Dench's M. A former lieutenant colonel of the British Army, he was captured by the IRA and after his retirement he turned into a bureaucrat.
Nevertheless, he gets involved in a shootout very well as he proves during Silva's attack during the inquiry audience, even after being wounded by one of the villain's bullets.
In SPECTRE, M will battle political forces – in a fight where Andrew Scott's Denbigh character probably is involved. What makes us think that Mallory won't be going into the action this time?
More of this in Moneypenny's future in SPECTRE?
Lois Maxwell's Moneypenny sat at a desk of MI6 facilities in Egypt and Brazil in The Spy Who Loved Me and Moonraker, or posing as a HM Customs officer in 1971's Diamonds Are Forever. But it looks as if Naomie Harris's version will be involved in the action, as we saw during the inquiry scene in Skyfall. In February 2014, the British actress said she thinks her character "needs to be in the action," even when she followed Bond's advice that "field's work is not for everyone" and took a desk job.
A big revelation may be provided by Ben Whishaw who plays Q.
Desmond Llewelyn's Q is known for heading to the field to deliver Bond his gadgets as we could see in You Only Live Twice, The Spy Who Loved Me, Octopussy and most notably Licence to Kill, just to name a few examples. On the contrary, John Cleese's Q in Die Anopther Day stuck on the MI6 underground lab proud of his invisible Aston Martin Vanquish.
Recently, German actor Detlef Bothe told the press that he'll have a showdown with Ben Whishaw's character on a cable car, which seems pretty logical after footage of Q entering a gondola in Austria has been released on the videoblog.
Ben Whishaw with Daniel Craig in Skyfall
This probably leads to a new approach of the MI6 quartermaster, perhaps taking advantage of Whishaw's age (34) that seems more suitable for fist-fights than the elderly Desmond Llewelyn and John Cleese.
Twenty-six years ago, in Licence to Kill, the character of Q had the longest screening time appearance in the series when he decides to help Timothy Dalton's 007 on his personal vendetta against drug lord Franz Sánchez in the field, not only as his armorer but as a field operative and integral part of the mission. He poses as Bond's chauffeur at Isthmus City and helps the agent and the CIA's Pam Bouvier to sneak into the Wavekrest vessel.
It's likely that Whishaw's Q will have a similar part in SPECTRE while going even one step further – action scenes. According to Empire Magazine, 007 visits Austria following the lead of one Dr. Madeleine Swann, Léa Seydoux character, apparently a psychiatrist or therapist working on a clinic in the Austrian Alps.
If Q is going to the clinic to assist 007 or take part into the mission, is he probably doing the same than Agent Campbell in the 1969 film On Her Majesty's Secret Service? Maybe he won't face the same fate than the "sportsman" agent, who was hanged upside down by Blofeld in his Piz Gloria clinic. With that in mind, it wouldn't be strange that Q would play some kind of aid on the field to James Bond.
However it is done, it'll be interesting to see Mendes' take on the new MI6 staff, classic but redefined and modernized.
Nicolás Suszczyk is editor of The GoldenEye Dossier.
Filed under: James Bond Films | Tagged: Ben Whishaw, Daniel Craig, James Bond Films, Naomie Harris, Ralph Fiennes, Sam Mendes, Skyfall, SPECTRE |	Leave a comment »
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Telluride Resort Reservations, the official central reservations for Telluride and Mountain Village, offer dozens of lodging options, from ski-in, ski-out hotels like the Peaks Resort and Spa and the Inn at Lost Creek to private condos and homes. To get the best service, selection and rates, make sure you research and book your lodging early.
Once you are here, you can park your car and forget about it until it's time to leave. With dial-a-ride, Mountain Village shuttles, the Telluride Gondola and pedestrian-friendly layouts of both Telluride and Mountain Village, feel free to forget your keys.
No matter where you go during your visit to Telluride, the views are jaw dropping. Take in beautiful mountain vistas, rugged peaks and some of the best sunsets your eyes will ever see.
Getting back and forth between the town of Telluride and Mountain Village is easy, with Telluride's free Gondola, the first and only free public transportation of its kind in North America. Between the two towns is San Sophia Station, where you can get off the gondola to visit the Resort's flagship restaurant, Allred's.
Kick-off your first day on the mountain with a complimentary mountain tour from one of our Mountain Ambassadors. Learn about the history of the mountain and get acquainted with its various areas of terrain. Mountain Tours depart daily at 10am from the top of the Coonskin Lift (Lift 7).
Lace up your skates and take a spin under twinkling lights around the Mountain Village ice rink next to the Madeline Hotel and Residences. Skates are available for rent, or you can bring your own.
If you are planning on skiing two days or more, buy your lift tickets at least 48 hours in advance at a lower price than you would see at the window.
All winter long Telluride comes alive with live music and events, from our Club RED concert series to rail jams and more. Visit our events calendar to see what might be happening when you are in town.
Allred's, located at San Sophia Station at the top of the Gondola, offers sweeping views of the San Sophia Range and the historic town of Telluride below. During the day, visit some of our on-mountain restaurants including Alpino Vino and Bon Vivant for a fine-dining experience with spectacular scenery.
Telluride is an experience meant to be shared. Bring your loved ones and make this a vacation to remember.


Looking for a Used Sportage in your area?
CarGurus has 20,920 nationwide Sportage listings starting at $1,795.
The 2016 U.S.-market Kia Sportage compact crossover receives only minor upgrades and changes for the new model year, significant because the 2016 Sportage is changing substantially for markets overseas. Here in the U.S., we move ahead with the same design until further notice, which could very well come mid-year.
So, for now, the 2016 Kia Sportage will retain its three trim levels and two engine choices. The base trim is the two-wheel-drive LX, which Kia says will start at $23,000. With a list of standard equipment that includes privacy glass, a heated rear window with washer/wiper, alloy wheels, and Bluetooth connectivity, the LX is similar to the step-up level in many brands' trim lineup. It comes with a 2.0-liter, four-cylinder engine and six-speed automatic transmission that produce 183 hp, comparing well to the RAV4, base Subaru Forester, and Mazda CX-5. But the AWD Sportage's fuel economy numbers of 19 MPG city/26 highway/22 combined fall well short of the segment's leaders.
The mid-level EV receives an undated list of standard equipment for 2016, including leather trim, keyless entry and push-button start, larger 18-inch alloy wheels, a rear spoiler, roof rails, and automatic lighting. The EX uses the same drivetrain as the LX and has the same mileage ratings; it starts at $27,500. For an additional $3,600, the popular Premium Package adds a panoramic sunroof, navigation, ventilated front seats, Infinity Premium Audio, a cooled glove box, integrated turn signals in the heated side mirrors, and front fog lights.
Kia's 2016 Sportage SX carries its own 2.0-liter turbocharged four-cylinder engine, producing 260 hp and coupled to a six-speed automatic transmission. The engine also produces 269 lb-ft of torque at just 1,850 RPM, which feels very powerful when driving around town. The SX comes with everything featured on the EX Premium, plus dual exhaust pipes, LED daytime running lights and tail lights, aluminum door sill plates, and its own alloy wheel and grill design. At about $33,000, the AWD 2016 Kia Sportage SX is only about $1,800 more than the EX Premium, and its price point matches up well with the 2016 Subaru Forester 2.0XT, which has a very similar specification sheet but sells for about $1,500 more when comparably equipped.
Safety is one area the in which Kia Sportage does not measure up to its top competitors, such as the Mazda CX-5, Toyota RAV4, Subaru Forester, and Honda CR-V. All four of those popular compact crossovers have earned top crash ratings, and their optional forward collision prevention systems make them Insurance Institute for Highway Safety (IIHS) Top Safety Pick Plus-rated vehicles (TSP+). Because the Sportage earned a score of Poor on an important IIHS crash test in 2015, and because it does not offer the required FCP, the 2016 model is not eligible for top safety ratings.
Fans of Kia know that the company is part of Hyundai and that the two companies have mirror-image vehicle lineups, so we would be remiss if we did not report that the Hyundai Tucson, previously a close sibling to the Sportage, is changing for 2016. It is becoming larger, safer, and its new engines and transmissions offer better fuel economy and more power. The Sportage could also change mid-year here in the U.S., as Kia/Hyundai has never been shy about making big changes halfway through a model year. If the company does decide to introduce its new Sportage here mid-year, the vehicle will be very different. It will grow in length and wheelbase, adding passenger and cargo room, and it will look more modern overall. Most importantly, the trim levels will change and a new drivetrain will be introduced, the 1.6-liter gasoline direct injected and turbocharged four-cylinder engine (with about 175 hp) now found in the Hyundai Sonata Eco. The new engine will be mated with a modern, dual-clutch transmission (DCT), which offers sporty shifting and improved fuel economy. The newer Sportage will also have advanced safety features not currently available on the 2016 model, such as forward collision mitigation with auto-braking.
Shoppers who consider the 2016 Kia Sportage should keep the vehicle's pending changes in mind. One would assume this outgoing model would be offered at a considerable discount from MSRP, given that its new design is already revealed and available across the street at Hyundai.
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