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Jay Cutler traded to Chicago Bears for Neckbeard. Set your Broncos free.
News April 2, 2009 Jacob5 Comments
Jay Cutler is now on his way to The Windy City. For first-round picks in both 2009 and 2010, a third-round pick in 2009 and Kyle Orton — founder and president of the Neckbeard for Men Club, which just so happens to be moving its headquarters to Denver this summer — the Chicago Bears have acquired a Pro Bowl quarterback and an additional fifth-round pick in 2009.
While it's certainly better than Detroit might have been for the promising young quarterback, this trade leaves Cutler's status a little iffy. Other than Greg Olsen and the project that is Devin Hester, the Bears don't offer a lot of talented receivers up as targets. Without Marty Booker, it's hard to even rely on guys like Rashied Davis for a good circus catch.
Luckily, Jay Cutler's arm happens to be bionic and stronger than three of John Elway's arms acting in sync. It's hard to doubt that he can make something out of the Bears with his arm and his legs, and he's sure to bring the passing game up a notch across the board — lucky you, Hester and Olsen owners.
Matt Forte could certainly use a boost in the passing game to take the pressure off of him out of the box, but he could fade a bit in his production now that the Bears aren't constantly feeding him the ball. This new offense is one you'll want to watch come preseason because there's no telling what Chicago will do now that they have a quarterback — and not a Rex Grossman. I'd still like Forte as a borderline RB1/RB2, but that could change.
Busted Broncos
As I tweeted earlier — excuse me — you can mark your calendars today as the day the Broncos started a downward slide. Brandon Marshall could soon potentially face another suspension for his continued off-the-field issues; Josh McDaniels is going to try to establish a new offense while running a season of The Apprentice to decide who's going to carry the ball between J.J. Arrington, Correll Buckhalter, Peyton Hillis, LaMont Jordan, Ryan Torain, Selvin Young and Andre Hall; but at least they have a savior in their new quarterback, Kyle Orton…
Orton is an extreme downgrade. Despite his phenom run last year — during which, he was keeping pace with Peyton Manning in the fantasy points department — he's an inconsistent signal caller. He limits what the Broncos can do through the air and takes Brandon Marshall down a notch whenever Marshall does get a chance to return to the field.
Eddie Royal, sadly, might drop off the radar entirely unless Marshall is out for a prolonged period of time. It would seem that, at least in the short term, Josh McDaniels is content running the ball with 67 different running backs, so it's hard to rely on him to keep the passing game up to the level it was at last season. Don't even start looking to the tight ends. Tony Scheffler could be out of Denver sooner rather than later, and then it all goes to this very scary place where Daniel Graham might be the only one of the field.
In short, maybe it's time you let your Broncos go. Orton's worth a chance in 2009 just because of the talent around him — and his relative bargain value as a quarterback. Marshall can't be passed on even with his potential problems, which could make him a value pick in 2009 anyway. But there's no telling which running back emerges as the best option, and Eddie Royal could be decent or completely invisible in 2009.
Mark your calendars and thank Josh McDaniels. Today, the Broncos blew apart their fantasy goodness…just when I thought they had so much promise. Does anyone feel good about this new Broncos team?
Mark Schlereth, please explain how this happened.
Andre Hall, Brandon Marshall, Correll Buckhalter, Daniel Graham, Devin Hester, Eddie Royal, free agents, Greg Olsen, J.J. Arrington, Jay Cutler, Josh McDaniels, Kyle Orton, LaMont Jordan, Marty Booker, Matt Forte, Peyton Hillis, QB, quarterback, Rashied Davis, Rex Grossman, Ryan Torain, Selvin Young, Tony Scheffler, trade
On the Wire: Week 15 Pickups and Waiver Wire Grabs for Playoffs
Player Rankings, Waiver Wire December 10, 2008 JacobLeave a comment
Congrats, fools. If you're still following pickups at this point in the season, you made the playoffs. I guess there are some of you out there who may be seeking out ways to beef up your keeper or dynasty team for next year but for the large majority of you, playoffs. Good work. I hope our posts helped you make a call at least once, maybe even twice, during your season.
Now that you're here in the playoff circle and gloating profusely in front of all the less fortunate owners in your league, you probably don't want to change much. I've been shifting the pickups posts to later in the week in large part because I don't want people to immediately rush out and grab the "so hot right now" player. More than ever, it's important that you make really informed choices about who you put on your roster and kick to the free agent pool.
The recs I have for this week are slim because you obviously have a good enough team to weather the playoff storm if you made it here. You don't want to drop your studs for a fluke of a wide receiver. These guys are options if one of your backups is worthless or injured — or maybe if you lost Peyton Hillis, Joseph Addai or Frank Gore this week. If they're still available on the waiver wire, they're some of the only players I could see being able to provide good numbers for you in the playoffs.
Antonio Bryant, WR Tampa Bay Buccaneers — I still haven't quite decided whether he is the Britney Spears to Jeff Garcia's Kevin Federline, but Bryant had a huge, two-touchdown performance last Monday night. I'm not pegging him as a superstar because the Bucs like to run the ball all day, but Bryant has as good of matchups as anyone in the next two weeks — Atlanta and San Diego. Unfortunately, you might have to back off of him in Week 17 as he plays the Raiders and is likely to be covered by Nnamdi "Not Going to Catch Anything" Asomugha. Don't trust him as more than a low-end WR2 or WR3, but Bryant could be worth a plug in the playoffs.
Davone Bess, WR Miami Dolphins — Yes, Bess makes for a strong WR3 start these next few weeks as the Dolphins face the 49ers, Chiefs and Jets. He's been the top receiver on offense since the departure of Greg Camarillo, and he's more reliable than Ted Ginn Jr. One can only hope that that reliability translates into his use in the red zone. I'd only trust him as a WR3, but with the juicy matchups, he could surprise up to the level of a quality WR2.
Pierre Thomas, RB New Orleans Saints — The little Frenchmen looks to be blowing up much like his predecessor, Aaron Stecker, did on the Saints last season during the fantasy football playoffs. The Saints end the season with the Bears, Lions and Panthers, so there's plenty of opportunity there for Thomas to succeed. Unfortunately, a sort of returning Reggie Bush and sort of suspended Deuce McAllister make it hard to know what the Saints will do in the running game. If there was one to start and hope for the best though, it'd be Pierre. Oui, oui. Thomas is a low-end RB2 this week against the Bears but should be one hell of a RB2 during Week 16 against the Lions.
DeShaun Foster, RB San Francisco 49ers — You thought Foster was a name you could forget? Well, for the most part, it is, but he's also the backup to Frank Gore. If Gore sits out after being carted off with that ankle injury in Week 14, Foster would get the most carries at Miami. Now, a slower, veteran running back is not who you want to be starting against a strong run defense like Miami during your playoffs, but you might consider picking up Foster just in case he also gets the call in Week 16, against a St. Louis team is just thankful not to be the Lions. No recommendation for foster this week, but consider stashing him to keep him from the competition and for his potential in Week 16 if you don't have a solid RB option that week.
Tashard Choice, RB Dallas Cowboys — There's not an easy day in sight with the Giants and the Ravens coming into Big D these next two weeks. Choice would also suffer a drop in value if Marion Barber returned this week or next week, which is very likely. But, regardless of the matchups, if Choice can run that well against the Steelers, he shouldn't be shut down by the Giants, Ravens or Eagles these next three weeks. Watch the news about Marion Barber before you burn a decent roster spot for him. Of course, if you own Marion Barber, you should already have choice on your roster. If you don't, slap yourself and pick him up. For everyone else, take a long, hard look at your roster, and if someone on there won't be starting for you in the playoffs, swap them out for choice. I'd recommend him as a low-end RB2 or flex with a great deal of upside.
Tatum Bell and Selvin Young, RB Denver Broncos — Now that Peyton Hillis is done for the season, Shanahan is down to Tatum Bell and Selvin Young. Young's never fully returned from the hamstring injury he suffered earlier in the season, and I'd have my doubts about him moving forward. Tatum Bell is still the same ol' Bell. Neither player jumps off the page, but their playoff schedule does — Carolina, Buffalo and San Diego. Even though the Broncos will continue to pass first, all these upcoming defenses are around the middle of the league and, besides San Diego, show more weakness against the run than the pass. While Young is obviously more talented, it's hard to recommend him when he can't seem to stay on the field long enough to score. I'd conservatively recommend picking up Tatum Bell first and plugging him in as a weak RB2 or flex play. Very weak.
Cadillac Williams (a.k.a. Carnell Williams), RB Tampa Bay Buccaneers — A touchdown vulture who could see more carries as the season goes on or if Warrick Dunn suffers another injury? That's potential. Make sure you own Caddy if you have Dunn right now. He may even be worth a start over a full-time stud with games against Atlanta, San Diego and Oakland. A Raiders team with nothing to play for in Week 17 could make for a very lucrative Week 17, but unless his situation changes, Caddy will remain a low RB2 or RB3/flex start. I'd rather have a guy that starts.
Shaun Hill, QB San Francisco 49ers — He's been a solid start since he replaced JTO, and as much as I liked JTO before he became "Mr. Turnover," I like Shaun Hill more. Hill has one of the best schedules for any quarterback as he faces the Miami, St. Louis and Washington to end the season. Unlike many playoff-bound starters, he probably won't see a single sit during these last few weeks either. Expect a hard-fought and less-than-explosive game this week against the sack-happy Dolphins to be followed by a huge day at St. Louis in Week 16. If you need him in Week 17, he's likely to be facing a Washington squad that's out of the playoffs and done caring about it.
Seneca Wallace, QB Seattle Seahawks — Wallace has the potential to put up some numbers against the Rams, Jets and Cardinals these next three weeks. My gut is telling me that Matt Hasselbeck doesn't get rushed back into the lineup with the season over and his back pain. As long as Deion Branch, who should also be owned in most leagues by now, is on the field, Wallace has potential as a sneaky play for a couple of touchdowns and 200+ yards. Wallace is a low, low, low-end start simply because he's as likely to bust as bang, but if you need a quarterback during the playoffs, like slapping yourself to feel alive or have faith that a desperation play will save you, go for it. (As always, if you can't decide whether to start Wallace over your stud/starter, you can always comment or contact us. There are certain starters that I would rank Wallace above these next three weeks.)
Steve Heiden, TE Cleveland Browns — While he won't be spectacular, Ken Dorsey is definitely going to need his help if Dorsey survives the next three weeks. As long as he doesn't spend all his time blocking, I like Heiden's chances for a solid handful of points. If you made it to the playoffs, I suspect that you already have a decent tight end on your roster unless you are unfortunate enough to be a Kellen Winslow owner like me. Heiden is a low-end starting option against the Eagles, who have issues covering tight ends, and the Bengals, but a terrible option in Week 17 against the Steelers.
Indianapolis Colts D/ST — The Colts defense has Bob Sanders back, which always raises their stock, but they also have one of the easiest playoffs schedules out there as long as you finish in Week 16, not Week 17. In Week 15, they face the Lions. In Week 16, they face a very stick-a-fork-in-them Jaguars squad. In Week 17, the Titans actually pose a challenge, but at least you know that the Colts offense will be fired up for that one. A defense focusing on strong cornerbacks is always a nice thing to have on your fantasy squad, but the Colts should be especially good these next two weeks after coming off two straight 15+ point fantasy weeks. They are a must start defense these next two weeks.
Droppables: Anyone you won't start in the next three weeks. Purge away unless you're in a dynasty/keeper league.
Aaron Stecker, Antonio Bryant, Bob Sanders, Cadillac Williams, Davone Bess, Deion Branch, DeShaun Foster, Deuce McAllister, drops, Frank Gore, Greg Camarillo, J.T. O'Sullivan, Jeff Garcia, Kellen Winslow, Ken Dorsey, Marion Barber, Matt Hasselbeck, pickups, Pierre Thomas, playoffs, Reggie Bush, Selvin Young, Seneca Wallace, Shaun Hill, Steve Heiden, Tashard Choice, Tatum Bell, Ted Ginn, Warrick Dunn
Foolish Thoughts on Week 14: Game balls and last-quarter falls
Culture, News December 9, 2008 Jacob2 Comments
I'm convinced that there is something in the water in Denver. If you're in Colorado, don't drink it. Just dump it down the drain and walk away. It must contain a chemical that turns your muscles into paper. How else would Shanahan lose four running backs in the same season — five if you count Selvin Young's never-quite-good-enough-to-play hamstring?
Maybe it's a higher power trying to teach Shanahan to choose, and every time he thinks of screwing fantasy owners, the gods smite one down.
I don't think Tatum Bell's juju is strong enough to will him back into a starting role, but he's the new running back of the week for Denver now that Peyton Hillis is out for the season with a torn hamstring. I only hope he helps Peyton Hillis get his bags since he was nice enough to do it for Rudi Johnson.
With Hillis out, the entire backfield of incoming rookies from Arkansas has come down with an injury during the course of this season. Felix Jones and Peyton Hillis were taken out for the season by hamstring tears while Darren McFadden suffered from turf toe in both feet for most of the season.
Maybe we should sniff out the water in Arkansas as well.
Of course, this injury curse means that Mike Shanahan will carry 10 running backs on his roster next season, forever making it impossible to predict which running back will tote the rock the most for the Broncos. Thanks, Fate. It wasn't hard enough already.
For next season, I'll just roll a dice each week to figure out which Denver running back to recommend as a start.
The Cowboys-Steelers game was painful to watch — not only because I projected the Cowboys to win but because it looked like only the defenses would be getting fantasy points out of that game. You got lucky if you played Tony Romo or Big Ben Roethlisberger and won this week.
Romo may have lost the game with that fourth quarter pick, but I don't put all the blame on him. He played poorly, but the team caved as a whole at the end of that game.
I'm more concerned with Romo's noticeable inability to hit his targets on several key plays. Whether it was the cold weather or having his splint off for the first time, Romo didn't look like the same guy that put up 300-yard games with his splint on these past two weeks.
Can you trust Romo for your fantasy team? Well, if you made it through the first week of playoffs or made it into the playoffs with his horrible Week 14 point total, sure. Just don't expect him to be the stud that wins your games these next few weeks.
You may find better options on your waiver wire — *cough* Shaun Hill *cough* — but there's no reason to sit him unless you have a gem of a matchup since he has the potential to blow up for 300+ yards against anyone.
The Giants are the best team in football. They're balanced. Their pass rush can get to anyone. They are packed full of talent. They will not be distracted by Plaxico Burress shooting himself in the hamstring.
Unfortunately, they will be distracted by a Westbrook. The Eagles managed to rebound from their slump by beating two of the best teams in the NFL, the Cardinals and Giants, in dominating performances in the last two weeks.
Both games were won on the back of Brian Westbrook because you have to get creative to stop him. That's why he can be such a huge asset, when healthy, for any fantasy football team. When he's good, he's matchup proof.
The oft-injured Eagles running back is heating up right at the perfect time for fantasy owners and has a delicious matchup against the finished Browns, who are once again waiting until next year. Sorry, Ken Dorsey, I don't believe in you.
On Sunday, the Eagles proved that a stout defense and the ability to negate the pass rush with a guy like Brian Westbrook can expose the Giants.
On Northern Exposure
Speaking of exposing giants, how about Visanthe Shiancoe? He has the balls — literally — to come out to see the lovely game ball presentation for Brad Childress' son, bound for the Marine Corps, in a tiny little towel?
Congratulations, Janet Jackson, you are now off the hook for your televised nudity. It's situations like these that make me wonder about the potential of the NFL in 3-D.
I'd post the video of the action here, but you don't really want to see that. No, really, you don't.
On hot or not
Instead, let's tackle a very important issue that seems to have come across my radar. Is Britney Spears hot again?
I mean, I know she's got the new album and the new body and all that, but isn't any hotness she now regains negated by the crazy we have seen in the past?
It's a lot like Antonio Bryant. No matter how many flashy games he has had this season, you still want to doubt him because, well, he's Antonio Bryant. He's got a little bit of crazy coach clash waiting in the wings and a little bit of suckage that always returns.
Does that make Jeff Garcia the equivalent of Kevin Federline? Garcia did sort of come out nowhere, the CFL, and every time you think he's down and out, he comes storming back into relevance — or the press in Federline's case.
I'll have to ponder that one a bit more. In the meantime, check out Britney Spears' new look for yourself. Hot or not, my foolish friends? Hot or not?
On the weather in Matt Jones' nose
Sadly, the snowy-nosed Matt Jones finally got reevaluated by Santa — err, I mean Roger Goodell — for the naughty or nice list and finally serves his suspension starting this week just because YOU might be needing him for your fantasy playoffs.
Now, I don't follow every intricate detail of the suspension and appeal process. I just try to avoid any players messed up in the system in any way, but how exactly did Matt Jones hold off this long?
Did the league wait to suspend him until the final three games of the season on purpose? Did he request he be able to finish out the one good season he's ever had? It seems a little fishy to me.
On the Packers' Super Bowl chances
The Green Bay Packers should not make the playoffs for this fan's dancing and this fan's dancing alone. The baby jersey doesn't help either.
Aaron Rodgers, Antonio Bryant, Ben Roethlisberger, Brian Westbrook, Darren McFadden, Eli Manning, Felix Jones, Jason Witten, Jeff Garcia, Ken Dorsey, Matt Jones, Mike Shanahan, NFL, Peyton Hillis, Plaxico Burress, playoffs, Roger Goodell, Rudi Johnson, Selvin Young, Shaun Hill, stud, Tatum Bell, Tony Romo, Visanthe Shiancoe
Foolish Thoughts on Week 11: There's no tying in football
Culture, News November 17, 2008 JacobLeave a comment
There's no tying in football. None. You only get one sudden death overtime, and if no team can manage to score a single point, you're done.
It's bad enough that Andy Reid and the Eagles have a hard time managing the clock, but before taking the field to come away even with one of the worst teams in the NFL, did no one on the sidelines discuss that the game would be over at the end of the first overtime? You know, a tie?
I think knowing that they only had a few precious minutes to score would have come in handy when the Eagles were letting the time tick by, but maybe Andy Reid was just as tired of watching the miserable performance as we were.
Left guard Todd Herremans said hearing the referee declare the game a tie was an odd experience.
"I've never tied before. Definitely a strange feeling," Herremans said. "Empty. It feels like the game's unfinished. Neither team is happy with a tie."
I'll tell you what made me feel empty and strange, watching Brian Westbrook collect just 60 rushing yards against one of the worst run defenses in the NFL.
Please tell me why the Eagles would suddenly decide that their passing game was the answer against a team that is top-10 against the pass and in the bottom 10 against the run?
I should have spent the afternoon learning how to play the theremin.
Tarvaris Jackson wasn't doing it for the Vikings during the first two weeks of the season and saw the bench so that the Vikings could give an older, wiser, smarter quarterback, Gus Frerotte, a shot.
Now that we're halfway through the season with ol' Gus, maybe they should go back to Tarvaris. Frerotte's scoring in the end zone, but he's still not a fantasy-worthy QB with nine picks in his last five games. Those Super Bowl predictions for the Vikings before this season were terribly misguided.
Why wasn't anyone talking about the Cardinals instead? Oh yeah.
While you guys were busy salivating over Tyler Thigpen, Shaun Hill made his run at being the best backup quarterback to come in for the second half of the season. He made a pretty good case for himself with two passing touchdowns and a rushing touchdown against the Rams…in the first half.
Thiggy and Hill could save several fantasy teams here at the end of the season and in the playoffs. Both will probably be passing quite a bit in Weeks 14, 15 and 16.
The top quarterbacks from Week 11 are Matt Cassel, Shaun Hill and Kerry Collins. How messed up is that? Very.
Kurt Warner and Jay Cutler were supposed to amaze this week, but both QBs found other ways to win while having mediocre fantasy days. Thanks, jerks.
Even worse than the QB ranks for this week, the wide receiver ranks feature Justin Gage as the leading scorer. If every team tries to take away the Titans running game from here on out, the fantasy production on that team could flip to the passing game.
I'm not saying that I would pick up any of the Titans receivers, but it might be worth watching if you are sitting on a bunch of deadbeats at receiver.
Email I just received from Joseph Addai:
Well, hello there, everyone. Just wanted to let you know that I am back. Hope you enjoyed watching me go crazy on the Texans. You better not have benched me to wait and see what I would do! The rushing schedule from here looks fantastic.
Email I received minutes later from Ryan Grant:
What he said. Me, too. kthxbai.
Peyton Hillis got two touchdowns in his first appearance as the primary back for Denver. If you have to bet on a horse out of the Broncos' stables of misfortune, he looks like the one to take.
Tatum Bell was seen eyeing Hillis' bags after the game but decided to steal all of Selvin Young's underwear instead.
The real story of the week was the kid drafted in the sixth round out of Arizona, Spencer Larsen, who goes both ways.
No, really, he started on both offense and defense as Denver's middle linebacker and fullback. What did you think I was saying?
In fact, he started on special teams as well, so I guess that means that he went three ways. No comment.
The Dallas Cowboys at least have a little fire in them now that Romo has returned, but Marion Barber is the real gear that turned to get them a win in Washington last night. Going forward, they'll have to develop the passing game, but owners of Tony Romo and Terrell Owens are going to have to wait a little longer.
If you own the Steelers defense, you're probably really pissed that the forward pass penalty nullified the last-second fumble recovery for a touchdown. The refs are now saying it should have counted, but even if the NFL changes the score, will your fantasy system/site update the Steelers D/ST points?
Sometimes these things get left "as is" for fantasy owners if a change isn't made until after Monday night. I expect some controversy to come out of this one, and I want my six points!
Looking ahead at Monday night, I only have one question. Which QB will look the worst: Miss Brady Quinn or Trent "Too Smart for His Own Consciousness" Edwards?
Can't wait to find out.
Brady Quinn, Brian Westbrook, Dominic Rhodes, Donovan McNabb, Gus Frerotte, Jay Cutler, Joseph Addai, Justin Gage, Kerry Collins, Kurt Warner, Marion Barber, Matt Cassel, NFL, Peyton Hillis, Ryan Grant, Selvin Young, Shaun Hill, Spencer Larsen, Tarvaris Jackson, Tatum Bell, Terrell Owens, Tony Romo, Trent Edwards, Tyler Thigpen
Foolish Thoughts on Week 10: Enter the tight end zone
Culture November 11, 2008 Jacob3 Comments
Do yourself a favor and forget everything that happened in the first half of the season. As we've seen from the past two weeks, not every team is going to bow out of the season quietly. The Chiefs, 49ers and Seahawks might surprise a few top contenders before they put a nail in the 2008 season's coffin, and the Broncos aren't ready to fade out.
Denver's still got it
The 'Welcome Back' cards are in the mail to Denver for Jay Cutler, Brandon Marshall, Tony Scheffler and Eddie Royal this week. It appears the potent Denver fantasy offense isn't quite dead.
As long as the Broncos pass the ball effectively, opposing teams will be forced to pass instead of wasting time running the ball. Maybe it won't matter that the Broncos couldn't stop a light breeze for less than five rushing yards.
Unfortunately, the 'Welcome Back' cards are probably going to be slowed by all the 'Get Well Soon' cards I also sent to Michael Pittman, Andre Hall, Ryan Torain and Selvin Young. Peyton Hillis is now the last man standing in Denver — except for that Tatum Bell character. Watch you luggage, Selvin!
Peyton Hillis is a threat as a receiver and a decent pass blocker, and I see him handling the do-everything back role well for the Broncos. If they keep with what we saw Thursday night, the Broncos might use him mostly as a pass blocker and outlet pass.
Selvin Young would obviously take over if his hamstring was healthy, but at the rate he's going, that it might be playoffs before we see the former Longhorn take the field again.
If the Broncos want to make a run at the playoffs, they'll need a running game. For now, I'll settle for Cutler throwing for 500+ yards every game. I mean, I do have him on a roster or two.
49ers pantsed again
The 49ers, notorious for turning over the ball with JTO under center, turned the ball over just three times in Monday night's showdown. Shaun Hill threw two interceptions and had one botched snap taken out by a bumbling guard.
Minimizing turnovers against a defense that is fierce at home, especially in this close showdown, is a good sign for the Shaun Hill era (and the Singletary era).
San Francisco is going to be competitive down the stretch with Shaun Hill, Josh Morgan and Frank Gore, so don't blindly start your defense against them without reevaluating how they measure up.
This little Thiggy went to market
It looks like all that the Chiefs needed was Tyler Thigpen and Mark Bradley to save their season. There's two names we never though we would need to know at the beginning of the season.
Here in the middle of the season, the Chiefs the chance to become a fantasy savior with Tyler Thigpen, Tony Gonzalez, Dwayne Bowe and Mark Bradley all worthy of starts, they could be as productive as the Houston Texans fantasy players were prior to the Matt Schaub injury.
The Chiefs have plenty of potential shootouts and pushovers left on the schedule with the Saints, Broncos, Chargers and Raiders still to come.
If Larry Johnson keeps his hands off the ladies and returns to this team, he might actually be effective. The passing game is just dangerous enough to keep defenses honest.
For once, Johnson wouldn't be the main target of opposing defenses, but he will still be a major target for opposing lawsuits.
Seattle a light at the end of the tunnel
Wipe the slate clean for Seattle if Matt Hasselbeck comes back under center at 100 percent. At the beginning of the season, we had Hasselbeck minus his best receivers, then we had a banged up Hasselbeck with a few of his receivers and now, in Week 11, we might finally see a healthy Hasselbeck with his best weapons, Deion Branch and Bobby Engram, on the field.
A nice day against the division-leading Cardinals might be the perfect time for the Seahawks to remind them why they haven't seen the playoffs in a long while. At least, it might be…
Tight end zones are so hot right now
So Todd Heap (of crap) is NOT dead. Heap recorded two touchdowns and 58 yards against the Texans in a trampling just like his tight end brethren, Tony Gonzalez and Kellen Winslow. Kevin Boss should have had two touchdowns if he could hold onto the ball.
Needless to say, it was a good week for tight ends — Bo Scaife and Dustin Keller agree.
While Tony, Kellen and Boss are the real thing, I'm not anointing Todd Heap just yet, even with Derrick Mason looking to miss time with a dislocated shoulder. Heap's two touchdowns were late in the fourth quarter, and his name is just too good for nicknaming purposes.
In Thomas Jones We Trust
Okay, okay, if you held onto Thomas Jones through his suckfest, you've been mopping with him in the last five weeks. That's all great, and I'm happy for you and your trash talking.
But…because I know you wanted a butt here…you have to think that Brett Favre's going to get back in it eventually. Perhaps against a questionable Patriots secondary? Or a weak secondary like the 49ers, the injured Bills or the pathetic Seahawks? (Watch out! That's fantasy playoffs.)
Tennessee and Baltimore are football teams
I thought they were just a track team, but on Sunday, the Titans showed they can pass the ball as well. I guess I finally have to respect Kerry Collins — just like every other NFL team.
To congratulate you on proving your worth, your bottle of scotch is in the mail, Collins. Enjoy it on me. It might be a good way to celebrate the end of the season because this Titans team, even with the appearance of a passing game, is likely to not survive the playoffs.
The Ravens proved they were a complete team on Sunday by mopping the floor with the Texans on both offense and defense and collecting a safety and four interceptions. It was a Sage-like performance typical of what we have seen of the Texans' backup quarterback this season.
Is Flacco the Roethlisberger equivalent for Baltimore to make it to the Super Bowl this year? I doubt it. The Ravens could easily still finish the season 8-8 with very few guaranteed wins in the final half of their schedule.
Besides, the Ravens have become the new Broncos with their running back carousel. As a fantasy footballer, I must frown upon that.
Can we use the ball machine?
Unfortunately, due to league rules and the inability to find a properly fitting jersey — Shaun Rogers and LenDale White special order — the Lions are not going to be able to start a ball machine at quarterback in Week 11.
Calvin Johnson was the most upset as he enters into the toughest part of the Lions' schedule with little hope of making big plays.
Parting one-offs
Brian Westbrook is fine.
Jake Delhomme is fine.
Steve Slaton is fine.
Aaron Rodgers is mostly fine.
Jessica Biel is mighty fine.
LaDainian Tomlinson is questionable.
Marc Bulger is trying to remember the question. Trent Green is no help.
Willie Parker is NOT fine.
And JaMarcus Russell is hopeless.
Dear Andy Reid, does the game move slower in your head, or do you just make it seem that way? What's with that Philly clock management? It's not like I could have used a Westbrook touchdown or anything…
Aaron Rodgers, Andre Hall, Ben Roethlisberger, Bo Scaife, Bobby Engram, Brandon Marshall, Brett Favre, Brian Westbrook, Calvin Johnson, Deion Branch, Derrick Mason, Dustin Keller, Dwayne Bowe, Eddie Royal, Frank Gore, Jake Delhomme, JaMarcus Russell, Jay Cutler, Joe Flacco, Josh Morgan, Kellen Winslow, Kerry Collins, Kevin Boss, LaDainian Tomlinson, Larry Johnson, LenDale White, Marc Bulger, Mark Bradley, Matt Hasselbeck, Matt Schaub, Michael Pittman, NFL, Peyton Hillis, Ryan Torain, Sage Rosenfels, Selvin Young, Shaun Hill, Shaun Rogers, Steve Slaton, Thomas Jones, Todd Heap, Tony Gonzalez, Tony Scheffler, Trent Green, Tyler Thigpen, Willie Parker
On the Wire: Waiver Wire Free-for-all from Week 9
Waiver Wire November 5, 2008 Jacob1 Comment
It's time for change, America.
Bring me your injured, your underperforming, your studs gone duds. Together, we can reshape your fantasy team for the future into a team without injustice, without phantom starts (see: Willis McGahee) and without any of Shanahan's running backs — well, maybe just one.
Yes, we can. Yes, we can. YES, WE CAN.
And on that very original campaign note, Fools in 2012.
I hope you all voted yesterday, but while you were busy at the polls, I was busy collecting a vast array of pickups that could help you make it to the playoffs. In fact, this might the largest waiver wire column I've ever written, and upon finishing it, I just wanted to call my friends in to look at it before I unleashed it on the world.
This week in fantasy football, we have another free-for-all on quarterbacks as injuries took the fantasy lives of several recent stars. Going with our theme of "change," a handful of very bad teams had quarterbacks show promise this week, and there's no pork in that.
With all the turnover and surprises, we're going very, very in-depth with a long list of names and fantasy fortunes because, short of a few quick fixes, I wouldn't expect many fantasy studs to emerge for your playoff run. Gather the depth you need and take a few chances if you can afford the roster space.
There are four more wins to be had, and these guys could be the ones to get you there and keep you there through Week 16 or 17.
It could happen in '08, people. You can still write yourself in on that final fantasy playoff spot ballot — that is, unless you already lost Ohio.
Worth Claiming
Ryan Torain, RB Denver Broncos — I said he might be the last man standing last week, but now he really is. Michael Pittman and Andre Hall were both placed on the IR after Week 9, so Selvin Young and whatever RB depth Shanahan finds in a back alley this week are Torain's only competition.
Don't be scared off by Torain's one yard on Sunday in three carries. Shanahan wants to bring him along slowly, but if Selvin Young's hamstring is still holding him back, Torain should get the start against the Browns this week.
Of course, after one series, Shanahan will probably make sure that 75 percent of the touches go to Peyton Hillis so that Hillis looks like the best fantasy back in Denver. Oh, how I hate you, Leatherface.
Ray Rice, RB Baltimore Ravens — McGahee hasn't been healthy all season, and after disappearing off the map, Rice exploded in Week 9 with 154 yards rushing and 22 yards receiving.
In Week 10 against the Texans, Harbaugh says that both McGahee and Rice will carry the football, but I'd bet Rice sees more looks. The schedule is unkind to Baltimore running backs after this week, but we know they'll run the football until the very end.
Jamaal Charles, RB Kansas City Chiefs — Much like Torain, Charles is the one and only for the Chiefs…until Larry Johnson returns at least. Charles had 100+ yards against the Bucs, a very tough defense, on only 18 carries.
Johnson remains suspended for Week 10, so Charles could handle a majority of the load against the Chargers. While the Chargers are right in the middle — 16 out of 32 — as far as run defenses go, many a team has had a problem containing Charles. I saw him play at Texas, and when he's making the right moves and holding onto the ball, he can be deadly — "Let Booby spin!"
When Johnson returns in Week 11, it'll be interesting to see where the Chiefs want the carries to go, but the rock could stay in Charles hands for a good while with a strong showing this week. We know L.J. is lacking in the gold stars and brownie points.
BenJarvus Green-Ellis, RB New England Patriots — He's a lock for a score at least once in every Patriots game until Sammy Morris' or LaMont Jordan's return. If both continue to sit, "Law Firm" is a decent option in week 10 against Buffalo.
After that, his production against the Jets, Dolphins and Steelers will probably trail off until Sammy Morris or LaMont Jordan make him irrelevant. For now, he's a solid depth option, and he's got such a cool nickname.
Maurice Morris, RB Seattle Seahawks — It's a split, but I like his half better than Julius Jones' half. A few good matchups still to come for the Seattle run game, and the passing game doesn't provide much competition.
Ted Ginn Jr., WR Miami Dolphins — He's still not reliable enough to put all your hopes in after his low-scoring Week 9 performance — that's why I ignored you last week, Ginn — but don't take him off your radar just yet.
He doesn't play a solid secondary for the rest of the season, so Chad Pennington might find him again and again and again. You'll probably have to get him on your roster now to have him when he goes off again, so add him for some depth if you can or if you're desperately seeking a WR to stay in the hunt.
Just try not to start him until he has another good game.
Shaun Hill, QB San Francisco 49ers — Hill's actually my top QB rec this week if you lost one or need a filler for a few more weeks. He's a Mike Martz quarterback, and he faces the Cardinals, Rams, Cowboys and Bills before playoffs. Only two of those teams rank in the top half of passing defenses, and those same two (Cowboys and Bills) currently have banged up corners. In the fantasy playoffs, Hill faces the Jets, Dolphins and Rams again.
He showed good ball control last season in giving just one interception in three games, and with Martz backing him, he could more productive than he was last season. Maybe he can break the 200-yard mark more frequently, which he almost did in the last half of the game in Week 8.
Brady Quinn, QB Cleveland Browns — Yeah, so that happened. The Browns are making the switch to Brady. I am sure the Browns female fan base is excited, but frankly, I don't like Quinn anymore than I like Derek Anderson. In fact, I might like him less.
Quinn looked iffy in the preseason, and I couldn't quite form an opinion on him versus Derek Anderson. He's not exactly a rookie with almost a full two seasons in the Browns system under his belt, but I expect him to make mistakes, force the ball to Braylon Edwards and maybe even lean on the tight end. Fortunately, the Browns have a pretty good one in Kellen Winslow.
Seems like this move is just one of those "okay, fans, we're trying" efforts, and I don't like it. Still, if you had Anderson on your roster, Quinn should produce similar numbers after overcoming growing pains in promising games against the Broncos, Bills, Texans and Colts.
Tyler Thigpen, QB Kansas City Chiefs — When you're a young quarterback, you just have to hope you end up landing somewhere with a dependable tight end and a dominant wide receiver to target. Luckily for Thigpen, he's got that, and it's done him well the past two weeks.
He's also got a few trick plays up his sleeves and some nice matchups over the next four weeks: Chargers, Saints, Bills and Raiders with fantasy playoffs against Broncos, Chargers and Dolphins.
It's hard to recommend him with any certainty because he's no lock to put up points, but he hasn't turned over the ball and has Dwayne Bowe and Tony Gonzalez. I think he's a sleeper to keep it up through the end of the season, but at least you know that he won't hurt you too badly if he falls in production.
And for some reason, it disgusts me less to recommend young Thigpen than it did to point out Kyle Orton's success this season. Is it all in the neck beard? Only time will tell.
Sage Rosenfels, QB Houston Texans — Matt Schaub was knocked out for a month with a knee injury. Now Texans fans can finally get that Sage they've been looking for this season?
What? They don't WANT him to start after he helicoptered his way back in the backup role against the Colts?
Rosenfels takes over one of the most potent offenses in fantasy football this weekend, but he also faces the Ravens, Colts, Browns and Jaguars before Schaub returns. That's not exactly the stretch you want to see for a guy who is known to lead big drives only to end them with a fatal mistake.
It'll be risky picking him up and expecting studs like Andre Johnson to produce for him in tougher games, but at least the Ravens secondary isn't at full strength for Week 10.
Claim him if you have Schaub and don't want to chance other options, but if you are already a lock for the playoffs, why not take chance on someone like Thigpen to produce for you? (Wow, now I'm cheerleading for the guy. Someone virtual-slap me.)
Daunte Culpepper and/or Drew Stanton, QB Detroit Lions — I think the best part of Dan Orlovsky's current thumb injury is that he had "zero" doubt about playing in Week 10. Maybe Orlovsky's struggles are due to his misunderstanding of math and percentages? Perhaps he thinks the Lions 0 percent win percentage is a good thing.
Regardless, a thumb injury has him out for Week 10 and possibly much longer. We don't really know how long at this point.
Drew Stanton knows the system but doesn't have the confidence of the coaching staff, which is probably why they signed Daunte Culpepper. But Culpepper, a week into the job and almost a year removed from playing football, will be a shaky start in Week 10 against the Jaguars. Marinelli expected him to pick up the offense quickly but not this quickly.
If I had to choose one, I'd take Culpepper for the possible start in Week 10 and the more likely start long-term. Culpepper could develop into a nice No. 2 QB during fantasy playoffs. He plays the Vikings, Colts and Saints, and he has "Megatron" (Calvin Johnson) to throw to each week.
Rex Grossman, QB Chicago Bears — See how that happens? All this outpouring of Kyle Orton love coming out before his game against the Lions, and then a fat Lion takes out his ankle.
With Orton out for four weeks, Grossman is your starter. He's a shaky start against the Titans, Packers and resurgent Rams defense with his tendency to throw interceptions, but he's not a bad desperation play.
At least he'll be able to lean on Matt Forte outside of this week against the Titans.
Kevin Boss, TE New York Giants — Two touchdowns in the past two games, and even though he's a little banged up with a bad ankle, he faces a Philly defense in Week 10 that's admitted to having a problem covering tight ends. How's that sound?
Dan Carpenter, K Miami Dolphins — He's not on many radars, but Carpenter has put up 29 fantasy points in the last two weeks with seven field goals made and four extra points in that span. The best fantasy sign is that the Dolphins are lining him up deep. Three of his attempts in Week 9 were more than 40 yards out, but he hasn't been asked to kick one longer than 50.
If he continues to get this many long field goal chances or more extra points once the Dolphins' offense starts scoring left and right against a bunch of weak fantasy defenses (Seahawks, Raiders, Patriots, Rams, Bills, 49ers, Chiefs), then he could be one of the best kickers to own in the second half.
Guys you probably should have already picked up:
Visanthe Shiancoe, TE Minnesota Vikings — Three touchdowns in his past four games.
Derrick Mason, WR Baltimore Ravens — PPR monster with 130+ and a score in Week 9, but a rough schedule from here.
Anthony Gonzalez, WR Indianapolis Colts — Two TDs in Week 9.
Greg Camarillo, WR Miami Dolphins — More reliable than Ginn and 100+ yards in Week 9.
Kevin Curtis, WR Philadelphia Eagles — Finally showing up with 83 yards, but tough schedule the rest of the way.
Tim Hightower, RB Arizona Cardinals — Now starting and eating touchdowns for breakfast.
Matt Ryan, QB Atlanta Falcons — Not blasting you out of your seat, but good QB2 production and getting better.
Marc Bulger, QB St. Louis Rams — He's sort of back and has an easier schedule in the second half.
Pierre Thomas and Aaron Stecker, RB New Orleans Saints — We're getting close to Deuce McAllister's appeal, so we'll know soon enough whether he'll be leaving the Saints' services. If so, both are likely to produce numbers until the return of Reggie Bush, who might throw things out the window again.
Week 11, the Saints have the Chiefs followed by the Packers, and if for some reason Bush isn't back by Week 14, then the Saints backs have Atlanta, Chicago and Detroit. Playing the Lions in the fantasy championship game? Check and mate.
Selvin Young, RB Denver Broncos — If he's healthy, the starting could be his…or Peyton Hillis'…or it might belong to the guy that guy in a cubicle next to you. Regardless, he has value when healthy, and if someone was silly enough to drop him, he could fight for you in games against the Browns, Falcons, Raiders, Jets, Chiefs and Bills.
The playoff section of that run isn't great, but his return in Week 11 could help you get there. Keep in mind that the Broncos are now a pass-first offense, and pick him up as you see fit.
J.J. Arrington, RB Arizona Cardinals — The speedy back has taken the No. 2 spot in the RB depth chart now that Tim Hightower is the starter. Edgerrin James is not likely to get more than handful of carries in any game, and on Sunday, Arrington was involved in 11 plays with 62 rushing yards and 57 receiving yards.
As long as he's being used as the compliment to Hightower, Arrington could post similarly impressive numbers, but he's boom or bust as a third-down, big-play back. Let's see what he can do against the 49ers in Week 10 before he goes on a roster.
Sidney Rice, WR Minnesota Vikings — The Vikings have been more productive passing the ball, but Rice is just now returning from injury and might not have a chance to make an impact. Even though he caught a TD on Sunday, that was his only catch. Still, if you are preparing for the playoffs, he gets the Lions, Cardinals and Falcons in Weeks 14-16. That's promising if he gets back in this offense by then.
Mark Bradley, WR Kansas City Chiefs — A former QB and emerging star in the Kansas City offense. He's been a big part of Thigpen's success and might be worth jumping on now if you can afford to chance it. Bowe and Tony Gonzalez can both pull double coverage at times to leave Bradley open for a play.
Byron Leftwich, QB Pittsburgh Steelers — If Roethlisberger misses any time with his bruised AC joint, Leftwich should be a capable filler QB in Week 10 against the Colts. Don't underestimate the Colts passing defense, but to win, the Steelers might have to put some points on the board.
An even better matchup looms large in Week 11 against the Chargers, but I doubt fantasy owners can expect Big Ben to miss that much time. If you just can't find a QB this week or want to take a chance, keep your eye on the QB situation in Pittsburgh.
Joe Flacco, QB Baltimore Ravens — If you need a quarterback, there are plenty of options this week (see above), but Flacco should be one of the best. He has put up a very good two weeks, and he faces the Texans.
After Week 10 though, he's probably not worth a roster spot with an intimidating run against the Giants, Eagles, Bengals, Redskins, Steelers and Cowboys.
Yeah, if you don't need him this week, just keep an eye on him in case miracle juice starts spraying out of his arm after Week 10.
Brent Celek, TE Philadelphia Eagles — So he's more than just a backup…maybe? Celek, much like Billy Miller, now makes an intriguing fill as long as L.J. Smith is hurt. Smith is expected to make his return in Week 10, but he is currently still listed as questionable.
If he doesn't go, Celek could get the start against the Giants, ranked second against the pass, and even if Smith is healthy, we'll have to see how much the Week 9 franchise record-setting performance helped Celek's stock with the Philly coaching staff.
Consistency is hard to find in the Philly offense, but Celek is worth keeping an eye on if you need depth at the tight end position.
Desmond Clark, TE Chicago Bears — Greg Olsen is to Kyle Orton as Desmond Clark is to Rex Grossman. Rexy just likes the big guy better, and word on the street is that the Chicago passing game might move back to using the tight ends more as short-range options.
Keep your eye on Clark to see how much he factors in. We know Rex will have to escape quite a bit against the Titans in Week 10 and the Vikings in Week 13 until Kyle Orton comes back under the helm.
But even if he finds success with Rex, Clark's not a playoff depth option when Kyle Orton returns.
Derek Fine, TE Buffalo Bills — Fine is one "fine" tight end (Forgive me) if you just look at his 43-yard, one touchdown stat line from Week 9, but the rest of this season, he's put up blanks.
If Buffalo involves him in the offense more frequently than the other TEs now that they are lacking a dependable No. 2 receiving threat, Fine could continue to be "fine." (Sorry, again — they flow out like candy.) Keep your eye on him in Week 10 against the Patriots.
Defenses to watch for the fantasy playoffs:
Arizona Cardinals D/ST — STL, MIN, @NE for a defense that has been deadly at home.
Miami Dolphins D/ST — @BUF, SF, KC with a sack machine coming on strong and an improving secondary.
Cedric Benson, RB Cincinnati Bengals — 100+ yards?!? And a score? The saddest part of Benson's Week 9 performance was that it was only the third 100+ yard game of his career. THIRD. That's just crazy.
Unfortunately, unless your playoff bound, he probably won't ever do it again for you. He faces off against the Eagles, Steelers and Ravens after returning from a bye in Week 10. Sad but true.
The only good matchups remaining on his plate are the Colts in Week 14 (who just got back Bob Sanders) and the Browns in Week 16 — come on, you playing Benson for your championship game. If you have a Week 17 championship game though, he does face the Chiefs, and that could be a worthy start.
Unless you're going to the playoffs, you can probably safely drop this one-week wonder or wait to see what happens against the Titans. Geesh.
Peyton Hillis, RB Denver Broncos — He caught a lot of passes in Week 9 (116 yards and a TD), but it's hard to see that happening again this season.
Then again, I guess I said the same thing after Leonard Weaver had his day for Seattle. Shanahan could use his evil force powers on this one and make Hillis the feature back in Week 10, but I still stand by ignoring him as a waiver wire pickup.
If Shanahan makes him worth something, he's likely to be gone as quickly as he came…I hope. Torain is the guy I would grab from Denver.
Koren Robinson, WR Seattle Seahawks — I think that was a miracle play for the Seahawks, and lightning is not likely strike twice in the same spot. That's a fact.
Droppables
Rather than make this article cross any further into the 3000+ word realm, I'll end here, but if you have any questions about who you should drop to get any of these guys, you know what to do!
Hint: Drop them in the comments!
Aaron Stecker, Anthony Gonzalez, Ben Roethlisberger, BenJarvus Green-Ellis, Brady Quinn, Brent Celek, Byron Leftwich, Cedric Benson, Dan Carpenter, Dan Orlovsky, Daunte Culpepper, Derek Fine, Derrick Mason, Desmond Clark, Drew Stanton, drops, Greg Camarillo, J.J. Arrington, Jamaal Charles, Joe Flacco, Kevin Boss, Kevin Curtis, Koren Robinson, Marc Bulger, Mark Bradley, Matt Ryan, Matt Schaub, Maurice Morris, Peyton Hillis, pickups, Pierre Thomas, Ray Rice, Rex Grossman, Ryan Torain, Sage Rosenfels, Selvin Young, Shaun Hill, Sidney Rice, Ted Ginn, Tim Hightower, Tyler Thigpen, Visanthe Shiancoe, Willis McGahee
Week 3 Hot Hands and Cold Shoulders
Start or Sit September 18, 2008 Jacob10 Comments
Obviously, things change in fantasy football. There's no Tom Brady, and therefore, no Randy Moss. Offenses in Seattle, Cincinnati and Cleveland are in shambles. Jacksonville keeps turning it over, and the Denver Broncos might have the most explosive offense of 2008.
Shanny, we knew you had it in you. I won't even say that I called it. (I CALLED IT), but it was right there in front of our noses. This year might be a competition between T.O. and Baby T.O. for the top wide receiver spot.
Who else is hot this week? (Well, besides theobvious.)
J.T. O'Sullivan, Bryant Johnson, Isaac Bruce vs. Lions: We are starting bold. The 49ers face off against Mike Martz's former home. I think Detroit probably knows a lot of Martz's schemes, but Martz also knows how to exploit the Detroit defense — not like that information is really top secret. I like this one to be high scoring and crazy. If you have J.T. O'Sullivan on your roster, this week and next week against the Saints look like his best starts of the year.
Frank Gore vs. Lions: Detroit cannot stop the run. Gore will get some action.
Jon Kitna, Calvin Johnson vs. 49ers: An explosive contest and a weak secondary make the interception-prone QB a nice play this week.
All Your Broncos vs. Saints: Jay Cutler and his boys manhandled the Chargers defense last week. They'll do the same to the Saints. Brandon Marshall could break the record for most receptions in a game in this one. I like it. The only exception to this rule is Selvin Young, who might be only a yardage guy from here on out.
Chris Johnson vs. Texans: Fast Willie Parker had 3 TDs, and this kid is faster.
Reggie Bush vs. Broncos: He'll be relied upon as a target against the corners in Denver. Bush will have to pull some big plays to win, and Darren Sproles made the Broncos look they were standing still a few times last week.
Steve Smith vs. Vikings: Just in case you forgot he was on your roster. If he's not on your roster and you want to get crazy, send a trade offer to see if you can smuggle him away before he even sees the field. With Randy Moss gone, Steve Smith might be the only challenger to Terrell Owens and Baby T.O. for the top WR spot.
Brandon Jacobs, Ahmad Bradshaw vs. Bengals: Destroy, Brandon Jacobs! Destroy! Ahmad Bradshaw even makes a decent start since he's forgotten what he learned in kindergarten and no longer plans on sharing touchdowns. What does Jacobs have to do for a touchdown? Run over TWO safeties. I think Jacobs gets his first score this week. The Bengals defensive players are only on the roster because they are trying out for the offense.
Eli Manning, Plaxico Burress vs. Bengals: Surely, Eli and Plax will join in on the fun as well. You can't just let Brandon Jacobs run the ball all day.
Randy Moss, Wes Welker, Matt Cassel vs. Dolphins: This week, Moss wakes up. He still remembers what to do when the ball comes his way.
Buffalo Bills D/ST vs. Raiders: JaMarcus Russell against the aggressive, healthy Buffalo defense. *Salivating* If the Oakland cornerbacks come to play, this game could become a contest to control the clock. Buffalo's schedule gets good from here.
Philip Rivers vs. Jets: With L.T. slowed by his injury, Rivers could look to find Chambers again. They'll want to put plenty of points on the board to keep themselves out of trouble in this one.
Matt Hasselbeck, John Carlson vs. Rams: New wide receivers and an easy day against the Rams could be all that Hasselbeck needs to come alive again. He might be the slow-starting Brees of 2007. Even though Hasselbeck gets new hands this week, he just might be growing fond of Carlson's. Look for the rookie TE to have a decent day against the Rams — who doesn't?
Julius Jones vs. Rams: Jones could have a similar day to his 127 yards and a TD against San Francisco.
Bubble Boys
Michael Turner vs. Chiefs: Injury could hinder his performance, but if he's 100 percent, Turner could tear the Chiefs run defense up just like Michael Bush and Darren McFadden did last week. Pop this bubble if you see him off the injury report come Friday.
Aaron Rodgers, Greg Jennings vs. Cowboys: If Rodgers wants to win this one, he's probably going to have to air it to stay ahead of Romo. I respect the Dallas corners even if they have given up a lot of yardage. Rodgers isn't going to have as big a week as he did against Detroit, but he should do something.
Randy McMichael vs. Seahawks: Seattle might be on the worst defenses that the Rams face all year, but they should still get after Bulger. McMichael could have another Week 1 performance where he reaps the benefit of Bulger's rushed passing. It's a risk I'm willing to take unless, of course, I have a better option.
Brett Favre vs. Chargers: Favre's risky, vertical throwing could get him into trouble against this secondary. The Chargers are hungry for a win after they had the Broncos' game stolen by 'Roid Ref. You might consider giving Favre a week off, but then again, it's Monday night. That Stuckey guy will probably nail a TD or two down. That guy's my nemesis.
Maurice Jones-Drew, Fred Taylor vs. Colts: Matt Forte didn't need that great of an offensive line to run on the Colts. The Jags line could come together to make these two productive again, but maybe the Colts go up by so much, they don't get a chance. I remember when this Colts-Jaguars matchup used to be a heated showdown…those were the days.
Larry Johnson vs. Falcons: L.J. is losing carries to Jamaal Charles, and I hated Charles when he was a Longhorn. Charles is just a fast pair of legs with unsure hands, but L.J. is an unsure set of legs with fast hands. (That means he's good at magic tricks like making a five-yard play into a one-yard gain.) If Johnson's yards per carry decreases, it's because he's running backwards. Might be time to put Charles on your roster.
Lee Evans vs. Raiders: I know Jay Cutler exposed the Raiders lazy cornerback play, but Evans will get blanketed by he who cannot be named, Nnamdi Asomugha. While Evans is back to fantasy relevance this year, he should have a quiet one this week.
Pierre Thomas, Deuce McAllister vs. Broncos: You can run on Denver, but who is doing the running? If Deuce really does get worked into this rotation, it just muddies the value of Thomas. Are they playing Denver or is this Shanahan coaching their run game too?
Earnest Graham vs. Bears: He had a nice score last week, but this week's Bears defense won't let him get loose. He'll have yardage, but I wouldn't count on much more than that.
Ryan Grant vs. Cowboys: Until he's healthy, he's not going to have a good game. Against the Cowboys defense, he'll need a good hamstring to be effective.
Steve Slaton, Chris Taylor vs. Titans: The Titans eat running backs for breakfast, lunch and dinner. Don't try. Just don't.
Chad Pennington vs. Patriots: Lacking their star corner, the Patriots still make it tough to throw on them. It won't matter if Pennington has a My Size Barbie arm. Putting the ball through the air is just going to be hard.
All Raiders besides Darren McFadden vs. Bills: Buffalo will attack JaMarcus Russell from all sides. This game should show everyone that Buffalo is worth carrying on your roster as a starting defense, and it doesn't get bad for the rest of the season.
Derek Anderson, Jamal Lewis vs. Ravens: One more week of pain.
David Garrard vs. Colts: See above.
Carson Palmer, Chad Johnson/Ocho Cinco, T.J. Houshmandzadeh vs. Giants: The New York RB wrecking crew controls the clock in this one and will require that the Bengals put something in the air to win, but Palmer just doesn't have it right now. The Bengals passing game is bench-worthy until I see a spark.
Green Bay Packers D/ST vs. Cowboys: It's just not a good idea to play your defense against the Cowboys this season.
Sleeper candidates:
I'll take a few shots in the dark this week, and we'll see how that works out for me.
Michael Pittman vs. Saints: When the Broncos get close, look for Pittman to punch them into the end zone all day. Don't get too confident. The Saints might let Royal and Marshall finish every catch at the goal post, but Pittman could get you a score or two in this one if you are hurting at RB.
Jerious Norwood vs. Chiefs: If Turner is slowed, Norwood could have a big day. McFadden used his speed to torch the Chiefs last week, and Norwood has some speed of his own.
Post any sit/start questions in the comments for help setting your roster this week. I have to get back to practicing my route running with Matt Hasselbeck.
Aaron Rodgers, Ahmad Bradshaw, Brandon Jacobs, Brandon Marshall, Brett Favre, Bryant Johnson, Calvin Johnson, Carson Palmer, Chad Johnson, Chad Pennington, Chris Johnson, Chris Taylor, Darren McFadden, David Garrard, Derek Anderson, Deuce McAllister, Earnest Graham, Eddie Royal, Eli Manning, Frank Gore, Fred Taylor, Greg Jennings, Isaac Bruce, J.T. O'Sullivan, Jamaal Charles, Jamal Lewis, JaMarcus Russell, Javon Walker, Jay Cutler, Jerious Norwood, John Carlson, Jon Kitna, Julius Jones, Larry Johnson, Lee Evans, Matt Cassel, Matt Hasselbeck, Maurice Jones-Drew, Michael Pittman, Michael Turner, Philip Rivers, Pierre Thomas, Plaxico Burress, Randy McMichael, Randy Moss, Reggie Bush, Ronald Curry, Ryan Grant, Selvin Young, Start or Sit, Steve Slaton, Steve Smith (CAR), T.J. Houshmandzadeh, Tony Scheffler, Wes Welker
A Fool and His Money in Week 1
Best Bets September 7, 2008 ChadamLeave a comment
Now that we have the explanation out of the way, let's talk Week 1 picks.
Jacob's Ed. Note: Note that due to some compulsive gambling this weekend, we didn't get the Week 1 picks up before the games. If you didn't notice, congratulations — you rock. Starting Week 2, picks should be up prior to the weekend's festivities. Now, on with the show…
Enter the Chadam
Hi. My name is Chadam, and I'll be half of the two-headed team that will be leading you through the crazy world of picking NFL spreads.
Make no mistake; I am hardly what you would call an "expert." My resume consists of a gambling addiction formed in my high school years, the borderline drinking problem that graces plagues most males in their twenties and the unlawful possession of irrational reasons for loving or hating certain teams and players.
In other words, I'm might be just like you and a large majority of the fantasy football community.
I'm a diehard Texans fan and will never bet against them under any circumstances, so take my analysis of their games with a grain of salt.
Elisha Manning is my sworn enemy and his older brother is a close second, which won't affect my picks but will almost certainly rear its head in my commentary.
Finally, I'll be bringing a few stats to the table. I won't bore you with numbers, but merely alert you to some statistical trends that everybody can utilize, whether you're in a friendly office pick 'em pool or a regular weekend gambler.
My goals this year are to correctly pick 54 percent of the spreads, which is my rough estimate of the percentage that will guarantee you a profit against Vegas after taking into account the vigorish on bets, and to finish with a better record than Nick, the other guy.
It's more than likely that my record will hover around .400, which allows you to insure a profit by choosing the opposite of whatever I do.
Enjoy our lighthearted analysis on the spreads, may your fantasy teams stay healthy this year and all of your sleepers pan out.
Pick Nick (Ed. Note: Get it?)
My name is Nick, and I'm the other guy making picks along with Chadam.
Chadam claims we are not experts, but I disagree. Do we not place our own hard-earned money on the line every week making bets? Did we not go to Vegas last year for the NFL Wild Card playoffs and steal some loot back from Caesar's Palace?
We put our own money on the line, so I think that makes us experts. That being said, we aren't experts that you should trust blindly, but we'll do our best to point out what we think are the best bets each weekend and, hopefully, drop a little gambling knowledge on a few of you sports book virgins.
Consider this week's picks my first step towards dominating Chadam this year. Enjoy!
A Fool and His Money…
Today, we'll start with our predictions on the NFL opener Thursday between the Redskins and Giants and the rest of opening weekend.
Washington Redskins at New York Giants
Chadam Takes: GIANTS (-4) over Redskins
Talk about a lack of respect for the defending champs. I am in the camp that believes in the year-after curse for Super Bowl champs (The Steelers in 2006 are a good example) unless they prove otherwise.
That defense is a shadow of last year's squad, and I can see Plax not trying as hard to stay on the field for all 16 games this year. That being said, Jason Campbell looked awful this preseason, and I think he's another year from breaking out.
The Giants' offensive cogs haven't played enough games yet to be injured (I'm looking at you, Brandon Jacobs), so I think they'll put enough points on the board to stay comfortably ahead the entire game.
Nick Takes: Redskins (+4) over GIANTS
I like the Redskins with points in the game tonight. I've been pretty high on Jason Campbell lately and expect him to have a breakout year despite his shoddy preseason performance. The Giants won't have anything close to the pass rush they had last year, and I think that's just what the doctor ordered for Campbell.
He does have one of my many personal sworn enemies on his team, Keenan McCardell, but hopefully, nobody will be counting on anything from him for the rest of his life. That guy cost me a playoff spot in one of my fantasy leagues a few years ago, and I will never forgive him for it. Ever.
Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens
Chadam Takes: Bengals (-1.5) over RAVENS
I think the record of rookie QBs in their first game has to be like 0-23968, right? With McGahee questionable, I don't see where the Ravens' offensive assault is going to come from in this one — unless, of course, Ray Lewis stabs somebody again.
Nick Takes: Bengals (-1.5) over RAVENS
I don't like trusting the Bengals defense, but they are going up against an injured running back and a Division II QB who has never played a game in the NFL.
Detroit Lions at Atlanta Falcons
Chadam Takes: Lions (-3) over FALCONS
Did I mention that I hate rookie QBs? You know the Lions are putting up at least 24 points. Do you really believe the Falcons will score 20?
Turner could run for 230 yards in this one though.
Nick Takes: Lions (-3) over FALCONS
I think both teams will do better than they did last year, but the Falcons have too many new faces to mesh together right away.
New York Jets at Miami Dolphins
Chadam Takes: Jets (-3) over DOLPHINS
Poor Pennington. Everywhere he goes people seem to knock him for his girlish arm strength. What a crappy stigma to have.
Can anyone think of a worse fault to have (that's NFL scouting report related)? Help me out in the comments if you have any ideas.
Nick Takes: DOLPHINS (+3) over Jets
Chad Pennington is going to be mad. The Big Tuna is always mad. Dolphins' head coach Tony Sparano always looks mad, and Ricky…well, he's at peace with himself and everybody around him.
I think the Jets need a little more time before Favre is comfortable, and I'm guessing Bill Parcells has no moral problem with asking Pennington about the Jets' offense. I pick Miami in an upset.
Houston Texans at Pittsburgh Steelers
Chadam Takes: Texans (+6.5) over STEELERS
This pick is more of a homer pick. I think the Steelers have a legit chance of blowing this game wide open. Sadly, since Houston is such a popular sleeper this year, they're being overhyped in the spreads. Nick might be benefiting this year from my automatic Texans picks.
Nick Takes: STEELERS (-6.5) over Texans
I feel like I know what I'm going to get from the Steelers. I like that.
I don't feel like I know what I'm going to get from the Texans. I'm going to predict they put just enough points on the board in garbage time to make me nervous but still lose by seven.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans
Chadam Takes: Jaguars (-3) over TITANS
The most ridiculous line of the day. I love the Jags this year, and hopefully, after creating their fifth turnover of the day, people might respect their defense a little more. Besides, you know the whole team will be JACKED UP to play if Matt Jones is back in the locker room.
Nick Takes: Jaguars (-3) over TITANS
Vince Young is my hero, especially after I saw him down on Sixth Street (in Austin) the other night and because of that whole National Championship thing, too, but I do learn from my mistakes. I'm not betting again on a QB who had a horrible preseason with a new offensive coordinator.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints
Chadam Takes: SAINTS (-3.5) over Buccaneers
I almost chose the Bucs in this one, but I love the Saints' offense this year. So does Nick apparently — he drafted four Saints in the fantasy football league Jacob and I share with him.
It's a win-win. I either get a correct pick, or I watch Nick's fantasy team suck it up and start 0-1.
Nick Takes: Buccaneers (+3.5) over SAINTS
I like the Saints this year, but they are going to be playing in a relatively empty stadium against a very underrated defense. I like the Bucs with the points in this one.
Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers
Chadam Takes: Cardinals (-2.5) over 49ERS (NINERS)
Every year, the Cardinals are a sleeper, and this year is no exception. I don't think they'll come close to the playoffs, but for this game, I'm being suckered in by the Cardinals.
Arizona's passing game is going to make Martz wonder why he picked such a terrible team for his system (No QB, WRs or offensive line).
Nick Takes: Cardinals (-2.5) over 49ERS (NINERS)
I like this bet a lot. I'm not convinced Mike Martz can fix the 49ers' sorry offense, and even if he could, it still couldn't compete with the weapons they are packing in Arizona.
Kansas City Chiefs at New England Patriots
Chadam Takes: NO ONE
Jacob Ed. Note: Chadam, being the smart guy that he is, failed to turn in a pick in this contest. Apparently, he figured it was such a lock for the Patriots that he blocked it out of his mind when he turned in picks this week. Clever, but for the sanctity of his pick record, mark this one up as a miss for Chadam.
Nick Takes: PATRIOTS (-15.5) over Kansas City
I absolutely hate giving anybody 15.5 points, but it's tough not to like the Patriots in a slaughter over the Chiefs.
Seattle Seahawks at Buffalo Bills
Chadam Takes: BILLS (-1) over Seahawks
I kinda feel bad for Holmgren; his offense will be Bears-esque this year.
Let's see. He's lost four of his top-five WRs from last year (Deion Branch, D.J. Hackett, Bobby Engram and Ben Obomanu), replaced the inept Shaun Alexander with the equally-inept Julius Jones, lost two offensive lineman in camp and now Matt Hasselbeck has back problems?
Holmgren's probably counting down the days until retirement.
Nick Takes: Seahawks (+1) over BILLS
I would have expected to see Seattle favored in this game. Normally, that would make me excited, but for some reason, I'm nervous.
Oh well, you gotta have nerves to be a gambler.
St. Louis Rams at Philadelphia Eagles
Chadam Takes: Rams (+7.5) over EAGLES
Which QB will be injured first? I actually think the Eagles will be great this year, but a healthy Rams team is no pushover either. I say Philly wins by three.
Nick Takes: EAGLES (-7.5) over Rams
I like the Eagles this year and think they could do some damage in the NFC. The Rams are going to have to prove to me that they are capable of staying close with opponents before I even think about betting on them.
Carolina Panthers at San Diego Chargers
Chadam Takes: Panthers (+9) over CHARGERS
How many passing attempts will there be in this game from both teams combined? 20? 25?
With Smith out and Gates not likely to make a significant impact, I'll go with the underdog and hope I'm right.
Nick Takes: Panthers (+9) over CHARGERS
Not too much to say here. I like San Diego to win, but I don't feel comfortable giving up nine points.
Dallas Cowboys at Cleveland Browns
Chadam Takes: Cowboys (-5.5) over BROWNS
What a bad matchup for the Browns. Anderson, Edwards and Lewis are all banged up while Dallas is completely healthy with a motivated Pacman (Ed. Note: Now, Chadam, he goes by Adam) Jones?
Money in the bank. God, I hope Nick chose the Browns.
Nick Takes: Cowboys (-5.5) over BROWNS
I hate any team that has anything to do with the flamer that is Brady Quinn, but I don't need to make this bet out of spite.
Cleveland finished horribly last year, and all their studs are coming of injuries. I'm laying down quite a few bucks on this game and in anticipation of a blowout.
Chicago Bears at Indianapolis Colts
Chadam Takes: COLTS (-9.5) over Bears
I hate to say it, but I think Manning's knee problems are overblown. Harrison's problems, however, are not, and my constant drafting of Anthony Gonzalez backs up my assertion. I think this will be a really low-scoring game — like 17-7. And yes, the only points for Chicago come from a Devin Hester punt return.
Nick Takes: Bears (+9.5) over COLTS
To be honest, I don't like this bet at all. I'm not really sure what to expect in this game.
The Colts will be pumped up in the new stadium but will be missing Jeff Saturday. The Bears have a good defense, special teams and running game, but they have no passing game whatsoever.
When in doubt, I like to take the points.
Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers
Chadam Takes: PACKERS (-2.5) over Vikings
My dark horse NFC champion against the terribly overhyped Vikings? Only three points?
I'm betting my rent money on this one.
Nick Takes: PACKERS (-2.5) over Vikings
Good luck, Aaron Rodgers. You're going to need it. The Vikings are going to be coming after you hard, but I predict Rodgers will calm down after a miserable first half and bring the Packers back to win it by a field goal.
Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders
Chadam Takes: RAIDERS (+3) over Broncos
Nnamdi Asomugha, cornerback (CB) for the Raiders (Ed. Note: FYI, Chadam didn't sneeze), should be a household name. He is so filthy-good I think he was created in a lab with DNA from Champ Bailey.
Anyways, Brandon Marshall should be glad Asomugha is not schooling him Monday night…and Shanahan will torture my soul by starting Selvin Young but letting Andre Hall get 30 carries.
Nick Takes: Broncos (-3) over RAIDERS
I like Oakland's young nucleus and head coach, but I still think it will take them awhile to learn how to win games. Look for Selvin Young to save the day in this one.
UPDATE: Friday Morning Trash Talkin'
Chadam: This Season: 1-0-0. Games Ahead of Nick: 1.
Nick: So I started off on the wrong foot by picking the Redskins on Thursday night's opening game. No problem.
I'll let Chadam brag because it will be the only time this whole season that he will be ahead in the picks.
So congratulations, Chadam. Maybe you and your mom, who you still live with, can go out and celebrate. I'm just going to concentrate on making more money this weekend.
Aaron Rodgers, Adam Jones, Andre Hall, Anthony Gonzalez, Antonio Gates, Ben Obomanu, bets, betting, Bill Parcells, Bobby Engram, Brady Quinn, Brandon Jacobs, Brandon Marshall, Braylon Edwards, Brett Favre, Chad Pennington, Champ Bailey, D.J. Hackett, Deion Branch, Derek Anderson, Devin Hester, Jamal Lewis, Jason Campbell, Julius Jones, Keenan McCardell, Marvin Harrison, Matt Hasselbeck, Matt Jones, Michael Turner, Mike Holmgren, Mike Martz, Mike Shanahan, Nnamdi Asomugha, Peyton Manning, Plaxico Burress, Ray Lewis, Ricky Williams, Selvin Young, Shaun Alexander, Steve Smith (CAR), Tony Sparano, Vince Young, Willis McGahee
Brandon Marshall now suspended only one game, lights fantasy skyrocket
News August 28, 2008 Jacob1 Comment
If you haven't drafted yet, I'm sorry. Life just isn't fair. Cry me a river and try hosting a party in a cave or under a rock so that the rest of your league doesn't hear this news.
If you have drafted, you just might be sitting on fantasy gold if you snagged Brandon Marshall late. His three-game suspension has just been reduced to just ONE game.
"Baby T.O." is now back in my good graces. I was high on Brandon Marshall coming into this season — higher pre-McDonald's rapper spillage but high nonetheless — but his suspension had made me come down a bit.
In his rookie year, Marshall stepped up for an injured Javon Walker and finished the year just beneath Marques Colston and T.J. Houshmandzadeh in standard scoring.
This year, things were looking even better for Marshall. Jay Cutler was going to have his diabetes under control and would have another season of experience, Denver had brought in a pack of complimentary receivers through free agency and the draft — Eddie Royal plug — to keep double teams off Marshall and even receiving-threat tight end Tony Scheffler was healed up and ready to go for Week 1.
The Broncos' passing game was looking like it was headed in the right direction, and while the running game might leave something to be desired, Selvin Young should be consistent. Young will probably end up in some sort of productive RBBC by the end of year. No one REALLY knows. It's Shanny, and it usually works out with whatever RB we don't know yet — anyone heard of Anthony Aldridge?
Marshall's situation was looking so promising, in fact, that he had to ruin it by breaking a few laws and getting on the commish's naughty list for his off-the-field brilliance. Who drives their Hummer in the shoulder with no license anyway? Who?!?! Do you think they won't SEE you?
Fortunately for us fantasy football players, the situation has changed.
Don't believe your cheatsheets and rankings that put Marshall below Torry Holt or Hines Ward. Missing one game is not as big a deal as it seems for a receiver and especially not when you know in advance that he is going to miss the game.
You know, it's better than say Lee Evans who apparently didn't play half the season last year. At least, that's what my fantasy points say. (I didn't mean that, Lee. I just can't quit you.)
Marshall's reduced suspension skyrockets him back to his previous rankings within the top 10 of fantasy receivers. I would now put him at No. 7, just behind Marques Colston and in front of more questionable top receivers like Torry Holt, Chad Johnson and Plaxico Burress.
If you drafted Marshall anywhere near his current average draft position of 47, congratulations. I believe that makes him a steal in your draft. He's ranked as low as WR18 on FFToolbox.com, but don't expect his value to stay there for long.
I'm definitely even happier with my Drunken Pirate expert league draft now.
Anthony Aldridge, Brandon Marshall, Chad Johnson, Eddie Royal, Hines Ward, Javon Walker, Jay Cutler, Lee Evans, Marques Colston, Plaxico Burress, RBBC, Selvin Young, steal, suspension, T.J. Houshmandzadeh, Tony Scheffler, Torry Holt, wide receiver, WR
Q&A QB: Which Rookie Running Backs Are Worth Drafting?
Draft Strategy, Player Rankings August 26, 2008 Jacob5 Comments
Q&A QB is a head-smacking, hard-hitting, name-taking question and answer series where Jacob assists readers and his Twitter followers in perfecting their draft strategy and winning their league. If you'd like to be featured in a future Q&A QB post, send Jacob an email or tweet him (whatever that means).
QUESTION: What are your thoughts on some of the rookie running backs in the later rounds?
I have a feeling someone in my league will jump on the McFadden bandwagon and take him second or third round. I'm not sold on him that high, but what about Matt Forte in the later rounds (sixth or seventh)? Maybe Jonathan Stewart and Rashard Mendenhall? A sleeper pick I am looking at for the tenth or eleventh round is Ray Rice. What are your thoughts on him?
To answer this question, let's just break down all the rookie RBs worth drafting. Rankings are at the bottom for those of you who like to cheat.
Darren McFadden RB Oakland Raiders
Darren McFadden is going earlier than I think he deserves. He's not going to put up Adrian Peterson numbers this year. I think fourth round is really the best round to snag him in for value. Any sooner than that is expecting more than you are going to get.
I am not a fan of the crowded backfield in Oakland. He will eventually be the starting running back there, but the Raider offense is still very weak and unproven in the passing game. They will lean heavily on their running game and get McFadden decent numbers with a few exceptional performances. He won't be breaking any rookie records.
In the second round, let someone else spend a high pick on him. Solid running backs that will out produce him for 2008 are still available there. You can find a better RB2. Make McFadden a FLEX or RB3.
Matt Forte RB Chicago Bears
Matt Forte is a reliable pick. He won't put up any crazy stat weeks, but he should be good for some consistent yardage and a few scores.
He's a nice pick because he is actually going at his value.
There is a slight scare now that Kevin Jones has returned from his injury that he will take Forte's job away, but I think the Bears still want to put the ball in Forte's hands as their back of the future. Even if they share time, I think I like the chances for Forte to be successful.
You can get Forte in the later rounds, and if he does end up producing more than consistent yardage and the occasional score, he's has great value there.
Jonathan Stewart RB Carolina Panthers
I really Jonathan Stewart this year, but no one is sure whether he will get the start in Carolina.
Last season, Carolina screwed everyone by starting DeShaun Foster after consensus opinion was that DeAngelo Williams would have won the role. It could happen again with Stewart and Williams.
Depending upon who you ask, Carolina has one of the easiest rushing schedules in 2008. If you can get Stewart in the fifth round and DeAngelo Williams in the sixth or seventh, the pair creates a strong RB2 for any fantasy team.
If you draft Stewart in the fifth round or so, just make sure you get Williams or another solid start in case Stewart doesn't win the starting job right away.
Rashard Mendenhall RB Pittsburgh Steelers
Rashard Mendenhall's value isn't really clear at this point.
He's likely to steal short yardage looks for Willie Parker, but I don't see him taking command of this offense this year as much as Jonathan Stewart could. He might be a bye week fill late in the season if he sees an increased role, but for now, he is merely a good backup to roster late for Willie Parker owners.
Some people are going to be really high on him like I am on Stewart, but I don't buy him being a big fantasy producer in the Steelers' offense this year. Take Mendenhall later in your draft if you get Willie Parker, but he should go off the boards only after all the RBs with the chance to start are gone.
Ray Rice RB Baltimore Ravens
Ray Rice is a smart pick to close out your draft — especially with McGahee returning slowly from his recent surgery. Rice could end up playing a larger role in this offense than we originally thought for 2008 if McGahee falters.
Cam Cameron knows how to make phenomenal RBs. If Rice has the job given to him, he will benefit, but I still think McGahee is the guy in 2008. He'll get past his injury before the season gets going.
Steve Slaton RB Houston Texans
Steve Slaton is a better flier late in your draft than Ray Rice. He has a good chance to start by the end of this season.
Houston has Ahman Green in the starting role, but he is on his way out. They brought Chris Brown to play a stopgap role in case Green is injured again this season and to hold them over until Slaton can start, but Brown has injury troubles again as well.
Slaton is the future of the franchise at RB — unless Chris Taylor lives up to all that "coach speak" love from offseason last year. Luckily for fantasy owners, Taylor is being transitioned into a fullback. If Slaton shines enough, he could have the starting job.
If the Texans RBs are plagued with injury, Slaton will start and produce well. He could work his way into a role worth of a RB2 spot on your fantasy team. If you are willing to wait on him — and he's a better one to wait on than Ray Rice or Mendenhall — he's more likely than other rookies to have a significant role by the middle of the season.
Chris Johnson RB Tennessee Titans
The wild card rookie this year is Chris Johnson. He set the NFL Combine ablaze when he posted the fastest 40 time. That speed got him drafted in the first round by the Titans.
He's sharing a backfield with LenDale White, but he also has explosive, big play potential. The Titans could use him like Reggie Bush was utilized in the Saints' offense during his rookie season.
Johnson is already gunning for offensive rookie of the year and talking it up. With a crowded backfield for McFadden in Oakland and the absence of receiving playmakers in the Tennessee offense, it just might happen.
The only drawback of drafting Johnson is that he is skyrocketing up draft boards. He's going ahead of LenDale in some drafts now. If he falls to the sixth or seventh in your draft, he is a steal there. Taking him as a RB2 is not advised, but a FLEX or RB3 is a perfect place to put him. Don't pay too much for a guy you can't be sure about.
Kevin Smith RB Detroit Lions
When Tatum Bell returned to the Lions, he thought he would be the starting Detroit RB. Too bad…
Kevin Smith almost broke the record for total yardage in a season while in college. He can handle a big workload. Plus, he ran in the Detroit Lions same system while in college. The Lions won't be great this year, but as long as he has another strong showing in the Week 4 preseason game, the Lions are likely to declare him the starter over Bell. That means he'll be worth something in fantasy.
He's barely worth a RB3 spot right now, but taking him as a backup RB could end up being a smart move when Detroit faces weak run defenses.
Ryan Torain RB Denver Broncos
It's no secret that Mike Shanahan is in love with Ryan Torain. He likes his physical size and abilities and compares him to Terrell Davis.
Torain could have overtaken Selvin Young before he injured his elbow in the preseason. Now, he should miss the first part of the season and return in a backup role, but don't be surprised to see him get on the field.
Selvin Young, for all his talk this offseason, is not a feature back. While Young can carry the load early this season, he could easily struggle or suffer an injury. It'll be hard for him to keep a guy like Torain on the bench as long as Mike Shanahan likes the new rookie RB.
He's not worth drafting, but he's a player to watch as the season progresses. Just like every other guy on Shanahan's list, Torain could put up some fantasy points when he's back on Denver's RB depth chart.
Felix Jones RB Dallas Cowboys
To use the incredibly over-killed phrase, Felix Jones is the lightning to Marion Barber's thunder. (I already feel cheaper for having said that.)
Unlike the fading Julius Jones, Felix Jones brings some impact speed to the Cowboys running game. He'll likely play more snaps than Julius Jones did late last season and compliment Barber with some big yardage breaks and a few big touchdowns.
He doesn't have the same super speed as Chris Johnson, but he is worth putting on your roster before you start going after some of the iffy starting RBs. Dallas' offense is powerful, and Jones will put up points by just being in that machine. You could take him in the seventh or eighth round for a potent FLEX player or backup RB.
More rookie RBs that just aren't worth drafting yet:
Tim Hightower, Arizona Cardinals (He won't steal Edge's job just yet)
Mike Hart, Indianapolis Colts (Addai and Rhodes in front of him)
Tashard Choice, Dallas Cowboys (He'll give Barber breathers but not much else)
Jamaal Charles, Kansas City Chiefs (Not impressive enough to steal much time from LJ or Kolby Smith)
Which rookie RBs are worth drafting and where?
Rankings go by who I would want on my team the most, not necessarily where you'll have to draft them to get them on your team. Round recommendations are the earliest I would suggest drafting the rookie RB based on a 12-team, non-PPR league. Average draft position stats from Footballguys.com.
1 Darren McFadden ADP: 40 4th Rd
2 Jonathan Stewart ADP: 64 5th Rd
3 Chris Johnson ADP: 96 6th Rd to 8th Rd
4 Matt Forte ADP: 66 6th Rd
5 Felix Jones ADP: 98 7th Rd to 8th Rd
6 Kevin Smith ADP: 67 6th Rd
7 Steve Slaton ADP:153 12th Rd
8 Rashard Mendenhall ADP: 87 9th Rd to 10th Rd
9 Ray Rice ADP:114 12th Rd (Late Flier)
10 Ryan Torain ADP:198 Undrafted (Late Flier)
Adrian Peterson, Ahman Green, Chris Brown, Chris Johnson, Chris Taylor, Darren McFadden, DeAngelo Williams, DeShaun Foster, Felix Jones, Jamaal Charles, Jonathan Stewart, Julius Jones, Kevin Jones, Kevin Smith, LenDale White, Marion Barber, Matt Forte, Mike Hart, Q&A, Rashard Mendenhall, Ray Rice, RB, running back, Ryan Torain, Selvin Young, Steve Slaton, Tashard Choice, Tatum Bell, Tim Hightower, Wilie Parker, Willis McGahee


Born in Dublin in 1946, Richard Gorman was educated in Ireland but has lived and worked in Milan since the 1980s. He has exhibited widely and regularly since the mid 80s, especially in Dublin, London, Milan and Tokyo.
Solo international exhibitions have included shows at Gallery Ihn, Seoul (2004); Koriyama City Museum of Art, Japan (2003); the Centre for Contemporary Graphic Art, Fukushima (2003); Galerie der Spiegel, Cologne (2003); Mitaka City Art Foundation, Tokyo (1999) and Itami City Museum of Art, Osaka (1998).
Gorman has received many awards, most notably the Palette d'Or at the 1986 Festival International de Peinture, Cagnes-sur-Mer, France, the Open Award at the EV+A, Limerick in 1987 and the Pollock/Krasner Award in 1996. Gorman is a member of Aosdána and in 2005 he was elected RHA at the Royal Hibernian Academy. His work features in the collections of the Irish Museum of Modern Art; Civic Offices Dublin; Ulster Museum, Belfast; AIB Bank and in numerous private collections.


Russian mathematician who was described in an obituary as having "one of the sharpest and most imaginative minds in the business". He was an early contributor to chaos theory and his creative singularity theory.
From an address (7 Mar 1997) at the discussion on 'Teaching of Mathematics' in Palais de Découverte, Paris. Quoted in Mathematical Understanding of Nature: Essays on Amazing Physical Phenomena and Their Understanding by Mathematicians (2014), Foreword, x.


text:
[a*dam]Noise demo for vechtstraat arrests
Nieuws, gepost door: nn op 23/07/2014 07:02:52
Waar: Bollox, Eerste Schinkelstraat 14, Amsterdam, Netherlands
Today, at 8 PM, there will be a noise demo in solidarity with the 8 people who have been arrested at the eviction of Vechtstraat (https://www.indymedia.nl/node/23940). They are imprisoned in the cell-complext of Meer en Vaar (Osdorp).
The meeting point is the @Bollox, Eerste Schinkelstraat 14, at 8 PM.
Bring a lot of noise!!!
Re: [a*dam]Noise demo for vechtstraat arrests
wo, 23/07/2014 - 20:50
3peoplejust got arrested at the noise demo
The 8 people arrested on Tuesday during the eviction have been released. 3 more people were arrested during the noise demo and are still detained.
Tuesday morning the police evicted the 16 squatted apartment on the Vechtstraat and Amstelkade (including the social centre De Strijd). 8 people were arrested and released tonight. This evening, during the noise demo in solidarity with the arrested, 3 people were arrested and are still detained.
- Background
The block had been squatted on the 1st of March 2014 (https://www.indymedia.nl/node/21725 ). Despite the propaganda of the media, the squatters were well received by the neighborhood and by the other tenants, who had many problems with the owner. The owner, Wim Oostveen, is a well known real estate speculator, who left his properties rot for months, and who did not even maintain the houses inhabited by regular tenants. A few days after the squatting action, Oostveen was prosecuted for his own bankruptcy and agreed to sell the buildings to a new company: Amstelvecht BV, which was created just after the squat action. This company is part of Sjoma BV, of which the owner is Sjoerd Willem Teunis Peereboom. Sjoma BV is a big company that ownes about seven other companies, some of which are Beleggingsgroep BV, Beleggingsgroep II BV, NL Invest BV and O.G. Cum Annexis BV (https://www.indymedia.nl/node/21861).
Wim Oostveen did not wait for the state to take initiative, and started a civil court case against the squatters, arguing that he intended to do some renovations on the facade of the building and in the apartments. The judge decided that the owner had the right to access his properties and that the squatters had to be evicted within 2 months. However, she put the condition that, if the owner would not start the renovations of the facade within the 2 months, then the squatters could start a new court case. Obviously, as van Oostveen is bankrupt, no renovation took place. He just sent a construction worker to do a small job on the roof. Apparently this is enough for "starting the renovation", and the squatters received the eviction notice. It is clear that after the eviction no further renovation will take place and the buildings will keep on standing empty for long time. Yet another silly game of power, that is not simply aimed at profit, but also at turning the city into a political and social desert, and at getting rid of any resistance.
- An eviction or a circus?
The eviction started at 7 AM, with normal cops and a group of technicians. They opened Amstelkade 24-25-26, and Vechstraat 1 without many problem. An anti-kraak was immediately placed on Vechstraat 1.
When the cops encountered the first barricaded door, on Vechstraat 5, they started becoming nervous, and the eviction process started resembling a circus. When trying to open the ground floor, one of the technicians decided to help himself with a broom found on the floor. It was hilarious to acknowledge that squatters have much higher skills and tools then these supposedly professionals hired by the police. It took them up to 12 minutes to open the door of the 1st floor, that was not even barricaded.
Both Vechstraat 7 hs and ground floor were heavily barricaded, and the cops did not manage to open the main doors.
After failing to open the door leading to the higher part of the building, the cops managed to pass by the balcony of the second floor. Once inside the building however, it took them about 30 minutes to access the apartment on the first floor. Here they arrested 5 people who had decided not to leave voluntarily. The arrests have been violent, and violence was used also later on at the police station to get their fingerprints.
The police van with the 5 arrested crashed against the garbage-service truck and lost the side door. Instead of fixing it or calling a new van, the cops decided to transport the arrested in these conditions. We feared for the safety of our comrades, who found themselves handcuffed in a broken van, and in the hands of irresponsible cops who are not able to drive, but are allowed to carry guns.
The climax of the circus happened when the cops did not manage to open the door of the ground floor, the social centre De Strijd. Despite the efforts of the 2 technicians, their 2 crowbars did not make their way through the barricades.
A man of the garbage service decided to take his own initiative and to help the cops, by smashing the barricaded windows. The cops, instead of reacting to this illegal interference with their operations, thanked him and finished smashing the barricaded window, creating a lot of disturbance for the neighborhood and leaving broken glass on the pavement. Once inside they arrested 3 people and pulled them out through the broken window, holding them in dangerous positions and dragging them on the broken glasses.
It was a circus, but it is also very serious. It is yet another evidence of the cop's legalized brutality and abuse of power. It is yet another evidence of the cop's incapacity to act professionally and to take care of the safety of the arrested. Apparently they don't get an IQ test before getting a gun, or do they?
All cops are bastards, yes, but first of all they are just a bunch of well recruited idiots with an uniform and a gun, at the service of higher bastards.
1 van de drie mensen die op de geluidsdemo van gisteren opgepakt zijn is vrij. de andere 2 zijn in verzekering gesteld.
Er zal vanavond nog een geluidsdemo plaats vinden om 19:00 eerste schinkelstraat 14.
Laten we het duidelijk maken dat wij ons niet bang laten maken en gewoon door gaan met solidairiteit tonen.
iedereen is vrij.
Van de 3 die gisteravond na de geluidsdemo zijn opgepakt hebben in ieder geval 2 mensen een strafbeschikking meegekregen bij hun vrijlating, in een poging van de smeris om toch maar maximaal munt te slaan uit deze onzin arrestaties
all are free.
out of the three that got arrested yesterdayevening after the noisedemo, at least two people got a fine (strafbeschikking in juridical dutch) in an attempt by the cops to maximize the profit they make out of these bullshit arrests

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


Are you looking to export one or more trucks to a final destination beyond Europe? Then the best means of transport is sea freight. Are you appalled by the administrative hassle? Don't be! Because Smeets & Zonen will gladly organise the transport for you. Thanks to our superb contacts in the world of transportation and our extensive export experience, your trucks will arrive at their destination in no time and at a competitive price!
Do you need that trailer we have for sale to go to Mali to be used for transport there? Or are you buying a tipper for use in Senegal? Then your vehicle will be ready for export at the port. Including extremely efficient loading and safeguarding. Smeets & Zonen works with a number of fixed shipping companies and guarantees competitive prices and an excellent service. Make life easy for yourself and let your specialists export your trucks.
Would you like to work with us for the export of your trucks? Please contact us now.


The North Face Vault Backpack in Urban Navy. Setting the bar high for other backpacks, this lightweight air mesh padded pack provides support for all day use. Featuring zip compartments, a 15" laptop sleeve, and contrast branding to front.