This document is also available in these non-normative formats: Single HTML file, PostScript version, PDF version, ZIP archive, or Gzip'd TAR archive.
Copyright ©2001-2004 W3C® (MIT, ERCIM, Keio), All Rights Reserved. W3C liability, trademark, document use and software licensing rules apply.
This document is the second edition of Modularization of XHTML, an abstract modularization of XHTML and implementations of the abstraction using XML Document Type Definitions (DTDs), and XML Schemas. This modularization provides a means for subsetting and extending XHTML, a feature needed for extending XHTML's reach onto emerging platforms. The second edition of this document provides several minor updates to provide clarifications and address errors found in the first edition.
This document is a working draft, but is nearly complete. It reflects clarifications and corrections as a result of nearly three years of use by the community. It also includes an new implementation of the abstract modules using XML Schemas. This implementation has gone through the W3C process, including Last Call, and is now integrated here in anticipation of its publication as a W3C Recommendation. It should in no way be considered stable, and should not be normatively referenced for any purposes whatsoever. It is being published so that the community can review the changes in anticipation of entering the W3C's Proposed Edited Recommendation process later this year.
This document has been produced by the W3C HTML Working Group (members only) as part of the W3C HTML Activity. The goals of the HTML Working Group are discussed in the HTML Working Group charter. The W3C staff contact for work on HTML is Masayasu Ishikawa. Patent disclosures relevant to this specification may be found on the Working Group's patent disclosure page.
Public discussion of HTML takes place on www-html@w3.org (archive). To subscribe send an email to www-html-request@w3.org with the word subscribe in the subject line.
The English version of this specification is the only normative version. Information about translations of this document is available at http://www.w3.org/MarkUp/translations.
1.2. What is XHTML Modularization?


text:
Ryan Dull
RP - FA
Age: 31College: UNC-AshevilleBats: RThrows: R
Draft Rank (ECR) N/A
Best / Worst N/A / N/A
ADP N/A
Yahoo RP
ESPN RP
CBS RP
Ryan Dull solid in the bullpen since activation
Ryan Dull (knee) was activated from the 10-day disabled list and has delivered three scoreless innings in three appearances since.
After missing two months with a right knee strain, Dull has pitched 2 2/3 scoreless innings picking up three strikeouts and a hold in the process. He was having a rough year, posting a 6.32 ERA in 18 appearances before going down with the injury, a huge disappointment for the A's and fantasy owners alike after his strong season last year where he posted a 2.42 ERA and shiny 0.87 WHIP in a set-up role for the A's. Still, given the fluidity in the back-end of the A's bullpen (particularly after the departures of Sean Doolittle and Ryan Madson, the release of John Axford and the chaos that is Santiago Casilla) there may be a fantasy-relevant role for Dull down the stretch if he can recapture the form he demonstrated last year.
Waleed Hawatky - Power Moves3 years ago
Draft - - - -
Dynasty - - - -
(2021 Season)
Projections (2021 Season)
2018 OAK 28 0 0 0 0 25.1 22 12 12 3 7 7.00 21 21.00 4.26 1.14
2019 OAK 7 0 0 0 0 9 19 13 12 4 4 7.84 8 15.69 12.00 2.56
2019 NYY 3 0 0 0 0 2.1 5 5 5 0 3 20.00 4 26.67 19.29 3.43
2019 TOR 1 0 0 0 0 1.1 1 1 1 1 0 0.00 3 60.00 6.75 0.75
2019 Totals 11 0 0 0 0 12.2 25 19 18 5 7 9.86 15 21.13 12.79 2.53
Player does not have any game data for the 2021 season
Opp. Team

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


We are big fans of washi tape in The Mad House. We use it all the time for homemade cards and even for covering eggs. So it was the natural choice to make a washi tape easter garland out of it.
We were sent a fantastic selection of craft items for the Tots100 Bostik Craft Club. You can buy similar kits to this from online suppliers such as Craft Merrily and Yellow Moon.
This is one of those craft activities that you can do whilst mindlessly watching the TV. Sometimes on an evening when I spend time with MadDad I have the urge to craft, but it needs to be be something that I can do whilst chatting about our day and perhaps watching TV or listening to music. These masking (washi) tape eggs really fitted the bill.
To make it even easier you could use polystyrene eggs rather than blown eggs and then you wouldn't worry about pressing too hard either. All I did was place strips of tape length way on the eggs from heat to point and kept going over lapping each time.
They would look lovely hunt onto a branch as an Easter tree too, however, mine make me happy in one of my many cake stands and dishes.
In yellow felt cut out two shapes for the chicks wings and one for the chicks tail feathers. Also cut a small triangle for the chicks beak – in future ones I will make this orange to stand out more.
Stick the wings and tail to the pom pom using a glue gun.
Those of us looking at an Easter break of more frigid and dismal days won't be thrilled at the news that record numbers of British holidaymakers are booking last-minute travels to lands that promise sunshine, warmth and bodies bared to the elements instead of bracing against the cold. Meanwhile, we'll be welcoming April more like Scandinavians than Spaniards.
Which got me thinking: how do our Nordic neighbours cope with copious snow and cold for months on end? If their exported crime dramas are to be believed, they're all too busy chasing homicidal maniacs in their Volvos whilst wearing sensible knitwear to notice the temperatures, but I suspect that's an unfair generalisation. The Scandinavians of my acquaintance all drive VWs, for a start.
●	Let there be light. Boxes, that is. Technically the sun does still make an occasional appearance over the British Isles, but that doesn't mean we're getting enough Vitamin D or any of the other vital benefits of sunshine. Have you spent the past few months feeling particularly sluggish, fatigued, sad or irritable? Do you avoid social or physical contact, crave sugary foods and generally feel a bit blue? You could be suffering from Seasonal Affective Disorder, or SAD. Don't do anything without speaking to your GP, but light boxes, which mimic the effects of daylight on hormone levels, work well for some people who suffer from SAD.
●	Fire. You may not have a fireplace or wood burner and it's likely a springtime bonfire wouldn't be welcomed by your neighbours or local council, but there's nothing to stop you adding a few candles to brighten things up. Well, your lease might stop you. Or the threat of small children, pets or absentmindedness, but used responsibly candles can add a cheery glow when evenings draw in.
●	A nourishing meal. Scandinavians love nothing more than a jolly big (candlelit) feast with friends and family and though Christmas Eve and Midsummer are the main times to celebrate with lots of food and good company, they don't limit socialising to the holidays. My Little Norway touches on this in the brilliant post, How to survive the dark winters, which has plenty of useful advice that translates to their southern counterparts. So buy some fish (good for so many things, including vitamins A and D), fire up the electric range cooker and get your mates around – guaranteed to lift your spirits and boost your nutritional intake.
●	Bundle up and get down with the cold. Yes, it looks miserable outside, but so what? Make the effort to exercise anyway and you'll be glad you did – if only because you can enjoy all the extra calories you're craving, smug in the knowledge you've earned them. Or try a new winter sport. It's surprising how many sled dog clubs exist in Britain, with events that are open to all. Hopefully the snow is now behind us but you can still look for a local ski slope (indoor or outdoor) or ice rink or try Nordic walking.
●	Prioritise. Try to get on top of those jobs you won't want to do when the weather's perfect for just soaking up the sunshine. Tackle the hedge trimming, turn over some soil, dig a new border, sharpen your mower blades, make a plan to landscape or do house repairs or clean the car or wash the windows.
Last of all, don't lose hope. Before you know it, summer will be here with enough rain and cloud cover to satisfy all your whinging needs.
A one-time journalist for metropolitan daily newspapers in the USA, Laura Potts moved to England in 2005 where she is a writer and editor. She plans to spend the Easter break with her children and an array of hats, scarves and mittens.
Gradually mix the icing sugar together with the condensed milk. We used the mixer for this on slow.
Add peppermint extract to taste and knead until smooth.
Dust a clean surface with icing sugar and roll out the mixture to 5mm thickness. Cut into shapes with small cutter (the boys chose hearts and bells).
Leave in a cool place to dry for two to three hours.
Melt the chocolate in a bowl over simmering water.
This keeps refrigerated for up to three weeks.
As a family we look forward to Easter for the traditions we have developed and the memories we are making. We craft, bake and spend quality time together. We have an Easter egg hunt, but only for decorative ones. I give my nieces craft kits or sometimes even nothing. I do not feel the need to purchase them a gift for Easter and do not expect that they receive anything in return.
So what does Easter mean to you and how much is too much?
A perfect couple of days. Here to more this week.
We are lucky to have Newby Hall just a short drive away and when we were invited to an Easter event there courtesy of Narnia The Voyage of the Dawn Treader, we thought it would be a great way to spend Easter Sunday. Especially as it is the first one without mum and she would help me organise the Easter egg hunts, plus mum loved Newby Hall and we had taken the boys there together.
We were also lucky enough to receive a cop of the movie on Blue Ray and DVD and have to say the boys have watched it 3 times since receiving it and we have watched it as a family too. It is a great movie with fantastical special effects and we loved the previous movies.
o parents, STOP IT……….. This is not about having the perfect egg, the best decorated or anything like that, this is about your children doing something. So sit on your hands and let them do it ON THEIR OWN.


text:
Health Care Coverage: Medicaid
On this page: Medicaid
Bookmark Bookmark Bookmark
Path Share
arrow-up- Skip to Policies
Medicaid is the nation's largest publicly financed health insurance program for people with low incomes. It is a means-tested program funded jointly by the federal government and states, but managed by the states. The federal share of Medicaid financing is determined by the Federal Medical Assistance Percentage (FMAP) formula. The FMAP—which is set by federal statute— is derived by comparing a state's per capita personal income relative to the U.S. per capita personal income. The formula, which has not been updated since 1965, is designed so that no state receives an FMAP of less than 50 percent.
Found in Health Care Coverage: Medicaid
AARP Medicaid Principles
Medicaid Financing Reform
How the Affordable Care Act Affects Medicaid
Managed Care for Dually Eligible Medicaid Beneficiaries
Medicaid Assistance for Medicare Beneficiaries with Low Incomes
Medicaid State Plan Amendments and Waiver Authority
Quality and Consumer Protection in Medicaid
Go Back Medicare Advantage: Quality Improvement and Accountability
AARP Medicaid Principles Go Forward
More content about Medicaid
Found in Chapter 7 - Health
Health Care Infrastructure and Safety-Net Providers
Some people in the U.S. lack meaningful access to basic health services. These populations tend to be disproportionately low-income, uninsured, of limited English proficiency and, ...
More than nine million people are simultaneously eligible for both Medicare and Medicaid and often known as duals or dual-eligibles. Dual-eligibles are a diverse group with respect...
Expanding Health Care Coverage
As a result of its public and private health care coverage reforms, the Affordable Care Act (ACA) has significantly increased access to affordable health insurance, including for o...
The Affordable Care Act requires the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) to publish a recommended core set of health quality measures for Medicaid-eligible adults. These ...


How to bring massive store footprints into city centre?
Karolin Forsling: "We have a project now that we are just in the first phase, that is so central, where there's so many people in the central part of Stockholm, that we're actually looking at. Can we do an online and digital world in reality, for big brands that haven't the space or can't have the space in the kind of cities, but wants to come in, like IKEA or like a huge store that you found out on a field somewhere because they are huge big boxy store. And they want to have about 100 square metres and do it like a live shop. And you can take your food or your living room or something and you can just put it on this site, then go to work before meeting when you have lunch and you click on it and it all comes back to your home when you want it. So we are investigating together with some retailers and seeing how can we do this actually, how, and not why anymore and see about. We have to. We know we have to, and few have done it actually. And now we are like trying us together with the retailers. And I think the retailers have not come so far in this area. They talk about it, but when you actually get their hands on their heart, they aren't there yet. They don't know how to do it. And I think there's an opportunity for a landlord or a developer to be a part of it, to understand it, because the rent as well will be apart from retailing, the turnover, so how can we do it."


Confession: I don't care for the name "whoopie pie," but it's really the quickest way to say "soft, cake-like cookie sandwich with awesome frosting inside." And these really are awesome. Incredibly light and soft chocolate "cookies" filled with an I'm-so-tempted-to-eat-this-by-the-spoonful peanut butter cream cheese frosting. One of my labmates requested a pairing of chocolate and peanut butter for group meeting this week, hence the veering from traditional marshmallow cream filling. Mm peanut butter and chocolate… oui, s'il vous plaît!
I have a theory that the ugliest cookies taste the best, probably because they get eaten almost directly out of the oven (after an approximate 6.72 second wait for them to cool down). You couldn't possibly serve an ugly cookie to other people. The only logical action is to put these cookies out of their misery as quickly as possible. And of course, ugly cookies eaten directly out of the oven only have half the calories, right? Right?!
Lucky for me (and you, if you make these), this recipe produces quite a few ugly cookies if you don't have a cookie scoop. Which I didn't. Until one arrived in the mail after making these. (Thanks, Lauren!! Once again, that Williams-Sonoma card is making my life!) These are best the day that you frost them, but often that's not practical, so you can store the sandwiches in the fridge if you're not going to eat them within a few hours. (Keep in mind everyone in my building ate them the next day and had nothing but praise for them, so it's perfectly fine to make these in advance!) Make sure to remove them at least two hours before you plan to serve them, though, so they can soften up a bit.
1. Preheat oven to 400 F. Line a baking sheet with parchment paper or a silicone baking mat.
2. In a medium bowl, stir/whisk together the flour, salt, cocoa powder, baking soda, and baking powder. Set aside.
3. In the bowl of an electric mixer, beat together the butter and sugar until light and fluffy. Add the eggs individually, beating well after each one. Add the buttermilk and vanilla extract and beat until just incorporated.
4. Slowly beat in the dry ingredients until just mixed.
5. Using a 1-oz cookie scoop (or a spoon and your talented estimating eyes), drop batter onto the prepared cookies sheets, leaving 2-3 inches between cookies (these spread!). Bake for 10-12 minutes. Allow to cool on the pan for ~5 minutes, then transfer to a wire rack to cool completely.
6. When you've baked all the cookies and they're cool, make the filling. Put the cream cheese, butter, and peanut butter in the bowl of the electric stand mixer and beat until smooth and evenly-mixed. Slowly beat in the powdered sugar until you're happy with the consistency. It should be easily spreadable but thick enough to hold its shape between the cookies.
7. Pair cookies up by size and spread a generous amount of filling on one of the sides. Press the pairs together and store in an airtight container (in the refrigerator if you're not going to eat them within a few hours).
Valentine's Day is almost here! It should come as no surprise that I am quite fond of this holiday. Not the processed, packaged, generic, store-sold Valentine's Day stuff… well, except for those cards that kids pass out. I have a weak spot for those. They're just so cute and silly, and remind me of being a kid. And some of them have stickers or holograms! So, so cool. But aside from those, I don't like the Valentine's Day that stores try to push on you. What I do absolutely adore is everyone dressed in pinks, reds, and whites. I'm smitten with all the hearts, hugs, smiles, songs, and handmade cards. And I truly treasure the celebration of friendship, appreciation, and love. What's not to love about all of that?! Add the chance to make super cute, heart-themed treats and this becomes a holiday worth celebrating!
Ever since Katie sent me Megan Seling's book, Bake it in a Cupcake, for my birthday, I've been obsessed with the heart-filled cupcakes that grace the cover. I've waited three months now for Valentine's Day to come just so I could make these, and I'm so glad I did – they are adorable! You have to cut into them just right in order to see the heart, but the wonderful surprise of seeing a heart inside your cupcake never gets old and makes it 100% worth the effort.
Impressive, right?! He said he's going to make an octopus next, so keep an eye out for some crazy cookies… ha!
The one downside to these cupcakes is that despite all their visual bravado, they are a bit on the bland side. I think the strawberry frosting included in the recipe would remedy this, but since I strongly dislike artificial strawberry flavoring and I am the baker, I decided to go with a buttercream frosting (which could also easily be tinted pink). I think next time I would make the hearts white and bake them into a red velvet cupcake, or keep the hearts pink/red and bake them into a chocolate cupcake. Don't get me wrong – these are still very good, and their cuteness quota is off the charts, but I'm a chocolate loyalist at heart. Try whatever sounds best to you!
Megan has posted the recipe on her blog so follow this link to make the cupcakes: Pink Heart-Filled Cupcakes. Because I dislike artificial strawberry flavor, I topped them with this fluffy frosting recipe from Cooking Classy.
1.Vanilla beans are great but expensive; 1.5-2 tsp. vanilla extract can be used as a substitute.
2. When you're cooking the small pink/red cake for the hearts, put the rest of the batter in the refrigerator. Do not leave it on the counter! I made two batches, and the first batch I didn't refrigerate the batter (it doesn't say to in the recipe) and half of the hearts floated to the top of the cupcakes during baking. Oops. The second time around, I refrigerated the batter and didn't have any issues getting the hearts to stay upright in the batter. Much better. Learn from my mistake and you'll save yourself the heartache of a bunch of cupcakes with rotated hearts!
3. On that note, once the small pink/red cake is done baking, pop it in the refrigerator/freezer for a few minutes to cool it down asap. The longer you wait, the "flatter" your batter in the refrigerator is going to get and the denser your final cupcakes will be.
4. These cupcakes won't rise too much, but if you fill up the cupcake liners more than 4/5-ths full or so, the batter will run over the edges and cement the liner to the cupcake tray. I lost a cupcake that way: trying to pry it loose from tray, I ripped the cupcake in half. You win some, you learn some. On the upside, I got to do some quality assurance, so I can't complain too much!
5. She provides a single baking time (20 for the small cake, 24 for the cupcakes) but you should start testing your treats earlier. Mine were done at 19 and 22 minutes; if you don't know how your oven behaves, then just keep an eye on your cupcakes to make sure you don't over-bake them.
6. For the buttercream frosting, use gel food coloring to dye it pink/red. Gel food coloring doesn't affect the consistency like liquid food coloring does, and it gives the frosting a nice vibrant color. Since I made 24 cupcakes (2 batches), I frosted 8 with plain white frosting. Then I added some red food coloring to the remaining frosting and beat it until the frosting was light pink, and used that to decorate 8 more cupcakes. For the remaining cupcakes, I adding additional food coloring to the frosting and brought it to a darker pink color. The three shades of frosting looked quite cute sitting together on the cupcake tray!
Joyeuse Saint-Valentin! I hope you spread and receive lots of love this week!


text:
On-Going
Steven Universe Season 5
(1 votes
Watch Steven Universe Season 5 full episodes online free watchcartoononline.
Synopsis: This series is set in the fictional Beach City, where ageless alien warriors, the Crystal Gems, live in an ancient beachside temple, protecting the world from evil. They project female humanoid forms from magical gemstones that are the core of their being. The Crystal Gems are Garnet, Amethyst, Pearl and Steven, a young half-human, half-Gem boy who inherited his gemstone from his mother, the Gems' former leader Rose Quartz. As Steven tries to figure out his powers, he spends his days with his human father Greg, his friend Connie, other people in Beach City, or the other Gems, whether to help them save the world or just to hang out. He explores the abilities passed down to him by his mother, which include fusion (the ability of Gems to merge their identities and bodies to form a new and more powerful personality).
Genres: Action, Adventure, Animation, Comedy, Family, Fantasy, Sci-Fi
Views: 2,079 views
Steven Universe Season 5-episode-1-
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The Sleeky In A Bottle Serum is formulated with Macadamia Seed Oil and Argan Oil to tame frizz, smooth and nourish natural or heat styled strands, and add incredible shine. This cruelty-free and eco-friendly product does not contain paraffin or parabens and is safe for all hair types.
This shine-inducing styling serum tames flyaways, eliminates frizz without weighing hair down, boosts elasticity, and leaves hair satiny smooth.
Apply a drop or two from midsection to ends of wet or dry hair to smooth hairstyles and combat frizz.


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Q: watching an observable on valueChanges in a dynamic form values are lost when a new group is created so I have a little issue here...
I have my observable that watches for the value change of the accountId in the form and then gets the list of messages associated with that account.
this.accountMessagesDataSource$ = this.piForm.get('accountId').valueChanges
    .switchMap(query => this.pitching.getAccountMessage(query));

this is then used in the form.

                    <select class="btn-underline-primary btn-block"
                        (change)="messageSelect($event.target.value, i)">
                        <option value="" selected="">Choose from list</option>
                        <option *ngFor="let message of accountMessagesDataSource$ | async"
                            [value]="message.accountMessageId">
                                {{ message.message }}
                        </option>
                    </select>

                    <button class="btn btn-danger btn-sm mr-1" (click)="deleteRow(i, '_messages')">

                    </button>

the catch here is that when I fire the method to add a new row...
<button type="button"class="btn btn-primary btn-sm mr-2"
    (click)="addNewRow('_messages')">

</button>

a new row is inserted, however the  loop is not populated now I noticed if i go back in the form and re-select the account then all the select boxes are populated I'm certain this is because the observable is watching for valueChanges my thoughts here are to maybe take this and map it to another property since I only need the results once if the account changes...thoughts?

A: When you add a row, the whole array is redraw in the UI.
To avoid that behaviour (and it's a good practice for perfs anyway) you should add a trackBy function on your *ngFor:
HTML:
*ngFor="let row of _messages.controls; trackBy: trackById; let i=index;"

TS:
class YourComponent {
  ...

  trackById(index: number, item: YourTipeItem) {
    return item.id; // or whatever that is unique on your item
  }

  ...
}

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaStackExchange


text:
Q: Unable to paste text into Redactor WYSIWYG editor. jQuery: $.parseHTML is not a function Due to my lack of knowlegde when it comes to javascript and jquery, I can't solve this seemingly simple problem with Redactor.
Problem: I cannot paste any text into my redactor WYSIWYG editor (using ctrl v nor using the right mouse button).
When I try pasting text into the editor, my firebug console shows me the js error:
TypeError: $.parseHTML is not a function
    var $html = $('<div>').append($.parseHTML(html));

So I thought there must be something wrong with jquery, as jquery contains the $.parseHTML function. To be sure I checked that jquery and jquery.ui are imported and that I'm using the latest version, which all seems to be the case.
EDIT: This is the piece html out of my <head> where the js files are imported. Perhaps the order in which these are included is causing the problem?
<script src="/assets/8cf5dd34/jquery.js" type="text/javascript">
<script src="/assets/b52d4639/redactor.js" type="text/javascript">
<script src="/assets/b52d4639/lang/nl.js" type="text/javascript">
<script src="/assets/8cf5dd34/jui/js/jquery-ui.min.js" type="text/javascript">

Here is a example of the editor if you want to check it out.
BTW: I am using the Yii framework. The code to use the editor is as follows:
<?php echo $form->textArea($model,'text',array('class'=>'redactor' )); ?>

<?php
    $this->widget('ImperaviRedactorWidget', array(
        // The textarea selector
        'selector' => '.redactor',
        // Some options, see http://imperavi.com/redactor/docs/
        'options' => array(
            'lang'=>'nl',
            'buttons'=>array('formatting', '|', 'bold', 'italic', 'deleted', '|', 'alignment', '|', 'unorderedlist', 'orderedlist', 'outdent', 'indent', '|', 'horizontalrule',  '|', 'table', 'link', 'image', '|', 'copy', 'paste'),
            'shortcuts'=>true,
        ),
    ));
?>

Anybody have any ideas? Any help is greatly appreciated.

A: Redactor requires jQuery 1.8 or greater (I was using 1.7.2 and got the same error as you until I updated jQuery).  You can query (ha!) your version by typing $.fn.jquery; at the browser's console.
If you're using rails, that means having 2.1 or greater of the jquery-rails gem.  I now have this in my Gemfile:
gem 'jquery-rails', '2.1.4'

Omitting the version argument will result in jQuery 1.7.2 instead of latest (at least, that's what happened to me).

A: I got the same error message because I use older version of framework. I change my framework to 1.1.14 and it works now!


text:
Why the ISIS WMD Threat Is Massively Underestimated
Article Browser
Why Trumpism Will Not Define the Future of Republican Foreign Policy
Honduran Migrant Traveling to U.S. Claims Biden Is 'Going to Help All of Us'
How Close to 'Fully Withdrawn' from Iraq and Afghanistan Are We?
A Worthy Idea to Protect Americans from Foreign Influence
No, We're Not Going to War with Iran
By Tom Rogan
About Tom Rogan
Follow Tom Rogan on Twitter
(Nomadsoul1/Dreamstime)
Dim, through the misty panes and thick green light / As under a green sea, I saw him drowning. – Wilfred Owen, "Dulce et Decorum Est"
Chemical agents, by disrupting a military adversary and sowing terror among its civilian population, make for powerful psychological weapons. And, as attested by Bashar al-Assad's ongoing suffocation of innocent Syrians, chemical weapons are also tools of torture. The National Institutes of Health describes how concentrated chlorine gas affects a human body: "respiratory failure, pulmonary edema, likely acute pulmonary hypertension, cardiomegaly, pulmonary vascular congestion, acute burns of the upper and especially the proximal lower airways, and death."
For ISIS, weaponized chlorine is a perfect instrument. And ISIS is using it. Reports suggest that ISIS has employed mustard- and chlorine-gas–based weapons in Iraq and Syria. Unfortunately, far worse is likely to come. After all, it's increasingly obvious that ISIS regards its chemical-weapons programs as a key strategic priority. Last October, for example, the Associated Press described how European organized-crime groups are offering radioactive material to ISIS. And just last week, the Independent reported on the disruption of a ten-person ISIS cell in Morocco — a cell masterminded by ISIS leaders in Libya. The connecting threads are clear: Morocco, a favored destination of Western tourists, offered ISIS an opportunity to follow up in 2016 on its 2015 massacre of 38 people — including 30 Britons — in Sousse, Tunisia. ISIS wants to scare Western tourist investment away from moderate-Muslim nations and implode those nations into chaos. ISIS chemical weapons also threaten U.S. personnel. As ISIS confronts higher stakes — as it does in the battle for its Iraqi capital, Mosul — U.S. personnel will face a growing threat of chemical attack.
As ISIS confronts higher stakes – as it does in Mosul – U.S. personnel will face a growing threat of chemical attack.
This threat demands the strengthening of the U.S. deterrent posture against chemical, biological, radiological, and nuclear threats. At present, that posture stands eviscerated because of the failure to punish Assad's breach of President Obama's "red line" on chemical weapons. But that's only half the story. Consider, too, that an AP report from October highlighted how senior figures in WMD conspiracies are escaping consequences for their actions. That must end. In future, those who enable ISIS WMD programs should face one of two simple repercussions: detention by Jordan's GID intelligence service, or death. The special urgency of this threat is unique. From Morocco and France to Turkey and Indonesia, ISIS has proven its ability to launch attacks from separate bases in Iraq, Syria, and Libya — and to do so while evading detection by Western intelligence. ISIS chemical-weapons plots must not be underestimated.
Of course, as Wilfred Owen reminds us, the use of chemical weapons in pursuit of human misery is nothing new. My British great-grandfather — a veteran of World War I– described German chemical attacks this way: "We could smell the gas coming. Every horse that we had was blind due to gas." President Obama must recognize this new, old reality. In February 2016, "acute burns of the upper and especially the proximal lower airways, and death" are no longer peripheral concerns suffered by forgotten Syrians at the hands of Assad. Today, ISIS has the means and intent to drown Western civilians — and American credibility — in a green and yellow sea.
– Tom Rogan writes for National Review Online and Opportunity Lives. He is a panelist on The McLaughlin Group and a senior fellow at the Steamboat Institute. He tweets @TomRtweets. His homepage is http://www.tomroganthinks.com.
Tom Rogan is a columnist for National Review Online, a contributor to the Washington Examiner, and a former panelist on The McLaughlin Group. Email him at TRogan@McLaughlin.com @tomrtweets
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Paphos is gifted with a Subtropical Mediterranean climate, with warm and rainy winters and an average temperature of 12°C/54°F and hot and humid summers, with an average temperature of 32°C/89°F and thus rock climbing is possible all year round. However, early spring and late fall is the best time to visit in order to avoid rainy days and heatwaves.
Dhiarizos Climbing Area is located northeast from Paphos town and is a beautiful site, situated on the road towards Troodos Mountain. The crags are two different rocks made of hard limestone and offer a wide variety of routes, that grade from F4 to F7b. Ideal for sport climbing, the rocks are divided in two sections and offer maximum fun to the rock climbing enthusiasts, as the spot is considered to offer some of the best sport climbing routes in Cyprus.
The first section is called Kourtelorotsos North and has a maximum altitude of 91.8 ft/28 m, while the second section is called Kourtelorotsos South and has a maximum altitude of 39.3 ft/12 m. Both crags offer more than 20 routes and many more yet to be discovered and are suitable for both beginner and advanced climbers. If you are visiting the spot during summer, it is advised to have plenty of water with you and climb on the shady sections of the rocks. Make sure to take with you a 164 ft/50 m rope and helmet. If you are into sport climbing, don't miss the opportunity to visit Dhiarizos Climbing Area and enjoy an exciting climb.


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Tango feroz: la leyenda de Tanguito es una película argentina dramática-biográfica de 1993 dirigida por Marcelo Piñeyro y protagonizada por Fernán Mirás, Cecilia Dopazo, Antonio Birabent, Héctor Alterio e Imanol Arias. Está inspirada en la vida del cantautor rockero argentino José Alberto Iglesias Correa, más conocido como Tanguito.

Estuvo envuelta en una gran controversia debido al cuestionamiento en la veracidad de varios hechos y personajes representados en la película, así como también lo fue la personalidad en sí que esta le brinda a Tanguito. Debido a esto, muchos músicos se negaron a que sus composiciones fueran empleadas para la producción del film, particularmente notorio en el caso de "La Balsa", escrita por Litto Nebbia y Tanguito.

Sinopsis
La historia retrata a un Tanguito entregado en cuerpo y alma a la música, pero a la vez sumido en conflictos personales. Se relatan los problemas de Tanguito con las drogas, la relación apasionada con su musa y amante Mariana (Cecilia Dopazo), su amistad con Mauricio "Moris" Birabent (encarnado por Antonio Birabent, su hijo), sus años en el hospital psiquiátrico Borda y su trágica muerte en la estación de Palermo.

Reparto

Contexto
El director Marcelo Piñeyro buscaba la manera de popularizar su historia, dándole un plus que atrajera al público a los cines. El éxito de The Doors, la película de Oliver Stone de 1991 con un desprejuiciado Jim Morrison interpretado por Val Kilmer, todavía resonaba en las audiencias juveniles y Piñeyro tomó de base a la figura noble y polémica del roquero para adaptarla a la Argentina.

El cine argentino por aquel entonces estaba destinado a un público adulto en su mayoría y sumergido en una crisis producto de la llegada de la televisión por cable y el auge del videoclub, sumados a una ley de cine que no contemplaba aún los medios electrónicos -la ley se modificó en 1994 a razón de lo mencionado, con el Instituto Nacional de Cine (INC) pasando a llamarse Instituto Nacional de Cine y Artes Audiovisuales (INCAA)-, terminaban por poner en jaque la concurrencia del público a las películas argentinas. Tango feroz, la leyenda de Tanguito marcó el origen de una nueva tendencia: películas dirigidas a un público adolescente.

Tango feroz, la leyenda de Tanguito llevó a 1.469.552 espectadores, y en un año se vendieron 19.438.636 entradas. Es decir que el film de Marcelo Piñeyro se llevó el 7,6% del total de entradas vendidas en Argentina ese año. Este hecho, que aún veinte años después continuaba en el imaginario popular, posibilitó en 2013 el estreno de la versión teatral-musical de la película, con dirección de Ariel Del Mastro (responsable de Eva, el gran musical argentino, Cabaret, Despertar de Primavera, Por Amor a Sandro, entre otros espectáculos musicales).

Controversia
Se han expresado dudas sobre la veracidad del enfoque. Según cuentan sus biógrafos, sus amistades más cercanas y otros que lo conocieron en vida, como Luis Alberto Spinetta, Tanguito fue un personaje mucho más incoherente que el hombre con valores y metas claras que muestra la película. Los siguientes párrafos pertenecen a un artículo de Claudio Gabis, guitarrista de Manal, publicado en el diario Página/12 de 1989:

Hubo complicaciones en la realización del filme por la negativa de Litto Nebbia a ceder la canción "La Balsa", que compuso con Tanguito.

Veinte años después, con el estreno de la versión musical en el Teatro Tabarís, el escritor Pipo Lernoud revivió la vieja polémica nacida con la película, criticando nuevamente el enfoque y la trama ficcional sobre la personalidad de Tanguito y la manera en que su círculo de amistades y conocidos lo habrían "abandonado" a su suerte luego de sus adicciones. Lernoud argumentó en una nota de opinión publicada en Página/12:

Un amigo de Tanguito como lo fue Javier Martínez (de Manal) fue más allá en su libro Yo soy Buenos Aires:

En otra ocasión Martínez también criticó cómo fue representado él en la película:

Banda de sonido
En la película, Ulises Butrón (1962-2019) es la voz de Tanguito en las canciones que éste aparece cantando -interpretado por Fernán Mirás-, entre ellas "El amor es más fuerte". Los temas en los que no aparece cantando Tanguito son "Presente (El momento en que estás)", cantada por Fernando Barrientos, y "El Oso", cantada por Antonio Birabent, hijo de Moris, su autor, quien también actúa interpretando al personaje de su padre.

Lista de canciones

Referencias

Enlaces externos
 Tango feroz en Cine Nacional

 Tango feroz en FilmAffinity
 Banda sonora de Tango Feroz en AllMusic

Películas en español
Películas de Argentina
Películas de España
Películas de 1993
Películas dramáticas
Películas biográficas
Películas musicales
Películas dirigidas por Marcelo Piñeyro
Películas de rock de Argentina
Rock de Argentina
Películas rodadas en Buenos Aires
Películas sobre música y músicos

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaWikipedia


on the last Saturday of September!
Goodman, Polly. Rivers in Danger. New York: Gareth Stevens Pub., 2012.
Green, Jen. Mighty Rivers. Mankato, Minn.: Smart Apple Media, 2010.
Kaye, Cathryn Berger. Make a Splash! : a Kid's Guide to Protecting our Oceans, Lakes, Rivers & Wetlands. Minneapolis: Free Spirit Pub. Inc., 2013.
Peters, Marilee. Ten Rivers that Shaped the World. Toronto: Annick Press, 2015.
Peterson, Christine. Renewing Earth's Waters. New York: Marshall Cavendish Benchmark, 2011.
Click HERE for picture books and novels about rivers!
Sengal, Kabir & Surishtha Sengal. The Wheels on the Tuk Tuk. New York: Beach Lane Books, 2015.
Written to the rhythm of 'The Wheels on the Bus', this cheerful picture book will appeal to young children and nostalgic middle school readers.
Click HERE for more picture books and novels set in India and Pakistan.
de Paola, Tomie. Jack. New York: Nancy Paulsen Books, 2014.
On the way to request a house from the king, Jack meets many animals. A brightly illustrated journey story for readers – and listeners – of all ages.
Click HERE for more picture books with a repetitive pattern.
"While visiting her eccentric aunt who lives in Wyoming, twelve-year-old Jade befriends a boy who believes his is a descendant of Butch Cassidy." – CIP. This lively story, with the rhythm of a rollicking square dance, is highly recommended for readers who love language and laughter.
Click HERE for more novels about moving.
"When Patson's family moved to the Marange region of Zimbabwe he begins working in the mines, searching for blood diamonds, until government soldiers arrive and Patson is forced to journey to South Africa in search of his missing sister and a better life." – CIP. For competent readers 12-years-old and up.
Click HERE for more novels set in countries all around the world.


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Synthetic-Blend oil change up to 5 quarts. Synthetic oil is additional. 6 & 8 cylinder vehicles may be higher. Toyota models only. Price plus applicable taxes and fees. Coupon must be presented at time of purchase. Not valid on prior purchases. Cannot be combined with other offers. No cash value. Some exclusions may apply. Valid only at Nalley Toyota Stonecrest. See dealer for details. Offer expires 11/26/2018.
Encourage even tread wear and improve vehicle stability.
Toyota models only. Price plus applicable taxes and fees. Coupon must be presented at time of purchase. Not valid on prior purchases. Cannot be combined with other offers. No cash value. Some exclusions may apply. Valid only at Nalley Toyota Stonecrest. See dealer for details. Offer expires 11/26/2018.
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Feature Illustration (above): The Hill Country section (left of the bridge) in the Alliance Children's Garden in Butler Park. Courtesy: TBG Partners.
Austin (Travis County) — The Austin Design Commission gave an in compliance recommendation to the plans for Alliance Children's Garden, a play space to be constructed in Butler Park.
Their decision was made Oct. 22 following a presentation by Justin Lindabury, a principal with TBG Partners. The development team includes Dunaway/UDG and the city of Austin Public Works Department.
The commission's recommendation came with two amendments. They requested that more be done to make the attractions accessible to children with disabilities and that a review be done to ensure there are adequate restroom facilities. The park already has restroom facilities but a higher intensity of use is anticipated once the retrofit is done.
The project area as it is today. Alliance Children's Garden will be located to the southwest corner of Butler Park. Map courtesy of TBG Partners.
Alliance Children's Garden has been in the planning phase for several years. Based in part on public input, Lindabury said the goal is to provide an all age inclusive exploratory park.
Design considerations that responded to public input include an strong emphasis on shading and the use of materials that reflect Austin's natural environment for shading. Significant trees on site will provide some shading. Some existing trees will be relocated and many other shade trees will be strategically planted. Other shade elements will be provided with prefabricated shade structures of various shapes.
The public also requested swings and traditional playground swings will be installed along with porch-style swings.
The Skyline View Garden will feature playground equipment such as climbing rope towers and balance beams. Courtesy: TBG Partners.
Earthen berms are to be constructed to provide elevation changes, tunnels and slides. Large concrete blocks will be installed to protect berms from erosion, and for use as seating and climbing.
Lindabury said the play area is divided into "five core rooms." These are theme based sectors that provide for a more varied play experience. There will be an Art and Culture Garden (upper center on current site plan below) for educational events. There is a Skyline View Garden (upper right) that incorporates traditional play equipment (balances beams, a rope climbing towers, etc.).
The Hill Country (lower center) is on elevated uneven ground. This is where the tunnels are that lead back to the main pathway. It is also adjacent to the sand pit. There is a Labyrinth and Poetry Garden (lower left) for more passive activities.
The current site plan, as of October 2018. Courtesy: TBG Partners.
The aforementioned concrete block assembly is in a sector called the Rock and Slide Valley (lower right) and provides elevation changes of 7 to 8 feet, Lindabury said.
The Alliance Children's Garden will get a new gateway next to the parking lot. The existing Liz E. Carpenter fountain, a splash zone, will remain. The site plan incorporates the fountain into the play area by using the fountain's spiral design to create spiraling paths that lead to the various sections.
The park is also designed to connect with paths that lead to Willie Wells Field, the Barton Springs Road bike lanes, and the Butler Hike and Bike Trail.
SpawGlass was approved in August by City Council as the construction manager at risk.
According to TBG's presentation, the construction schedule to be run from January to July 2019.
Rock and Slide area. Courtesy: TBG Partners.


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Individual units may maintain additional policies applying only to that unit, that are not in conflict with college-wide policies. Such policies do not override college-wide policies.


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Tag: Emir of Agaie
Emirs Frown At Indiscriminate Tree Felling In Niger State
The Niger State Council of Traditional Rulers has called on Nigerians to stop illegal mining and indiscriminate felling of trees in the state.
The emirs made the warning when the Niger State Commissioner for Environment, Mineral and Forestry Resources, Ali Mohammed, visited their palaces, as part of plans to sensitise the people on environmental degradation.
Speaking differently at the meeting on Monday in north-central Nigeria, they vowed that defaulters would be dealt with accordingly.
The Emir of Minna, Farouk Bahago, and his counterpart from Agaie Emirate, Yusuf Nuhu, said that stringent laws were needed to tackle illegal activities in the state.
The Emir of Minna who asked the people to desist from illegal activities, expressed readiness to support the policy to ensure strict adherence.
In his words, the Emir of Agaie stressed that there was an urgent need for illegal operators to stop cutting economic trees for charcoal.
"We have invited our villages and District Heads to monitor their areas, report any illegal mining and tree felling to us. They should be made to face the law," he insisted.
The monarch added that, the Council had declared its support for the review of the law at the Niger State House of Assembly.
"All of us (the royal fathers) have been yearning for this law to be reviewed. We have been waiting for the government to review the law, so that we can know how to control the illegality. We are ready," he said.
The Emir pointed out that the illegal operators had lied that they got licence from the Ministry of Environment to fell trees, maintaining that it was not true.
Mr Mohammed had earlier decried the indiscriminate felling of trees and illegal mining going on in the state.
"We are revisiting areas of penalty in the forestry law, so as to make fines effective enough to serve as deterrent for further destruction," he said.
The Commissioner explained that the State government had banned all form of commercial exploitation of the forest.
Posted on May 16, 2016 Author Akinola AjibolaCategories environmentTags Agaie Emirate, Ali Mohammed, Emir of Agaie, Emir of Minna, Farouk Bahago, forestry law, illegal mining, Mineral and Forestry Resources, Ministry of Environment, Niger state, Niger State Commissioner for Environment, Niger State Council of Traditional Rulers, Niger State House of Assembly, Nigeria, North Central Nigeria, Traditional Rulers, Yusuf NuhuLeave a comment on Emirs Frown At Indiscriminate Tree Felling In Niger State


That's Sapore (sapore in Italian means flavour in English).
I came up with the name because I was thinking of the song That's Amore and because cooking is one of my passions, I found it fitting that I should call it That's Sapore!
Cooking is basically my therapy and one of my passions.
Watching people enjoy our food and hearing their compliments makes my heart happy! This is a family, team effort and our goal is to serve you what we'd serve to our family. The food is always fresh and delivered to you hot and ready to serve.
We are all about family and enjoying a meal together accompanied by family and friends is ultimately what unites us around the table, so please enjoy!
- Sonia Soranno "Owner of That's Sapore"
We serve Greater Toronto and surrounding areas (we've delivered as far as Bowmanville). Delivery fees may apply based on delivery distance.
We cater for family events, sports teams, work-related functions and social gatherings.
To inquire if we deliver to your area, please email us thatssapore@gmail.com. Please provide your delivery address.
We cater to groups of 10 or more.
Prices listed are per serving so please be sure to enter the servings required per item.
Please note that some images contain multiple serving portions.
We require 72 hours notice to fulfill an order.
We require 48 hours notice in the event of an order cancellation.
Please inquire about any items not listed, that you may be interested in! We are happy to accommodate to suit your event needs and make it that much more enjoyable for you and your guests!


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The business offers boarding and grooming services leaving the door wide open for daycare, training and activities – all of which can be easily accomplished without extra capital on the generous property! Truly realistic upside here.
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NEWS FLASH: there's a really interesting Mockingbird thread going on right now, started by Jeff Dean and Dave Browder, on a proposed tax on sugar sweetened drinks like Coke. It's already quite long — take a look!
Putting individual solutions and free will up against the increase in portion sizes, massive technological and societal changes, food-company taste-engineering, and the ubiquity of effective television advertisements is like asking Ecuador to conquer China….
This jumble of circumstances and effects is what Thomas Frieden means when he says that just being an American can naturally lead you to be obese: obesity is an almost inevitable consequence of living with our cultural norms, our history of agricultural production and subsidies, our long-standing socioeconomic inequalities, and the impact of technology on our behavior and bodies. Against this formidable dynamic, America has erected two lines of defense: name-calling, and hectoring about diet and exercise.
For the average fat person, life can be an endless chain of humiliating experiences. On a flight to Denver not too long ago, I watched as a very large woman struggled to settle into her seat. Next to her, a much skinnier man curled his lip in disgust. The woman softly asked a passing flight attendant for a seat-belt extender. The flight attendant didn't hear her over the roar of the engines, so the woman had to ask again, and this time, everyone looked at her. Grocery shopping, eating at restaurants, going to the movies, having drinks at a crowded bar—for the fat person, these are situations to be negotiated and survived, not enjoyed. The workplace is no different: a television executive once remarked to me that my career as a political analyst would "really take off if [I] would just lose a few pounds." When I was fat, I avoided meeting people's eyes. I didn't want to subject them to my ugliness.
PS. This isn't the first time that this subject has come up at Mockingbird! Click here (and scroll down) to see a lot more.
I'll share my big guy story. I can't ride old wooden roller coasters at amusement parks because I can't fit in the old seats. So this is definitely a significant issue that matters to me.
It's funny because I'm a product of an educational system that tried teaching me from an early age how to be healthy. I guess that makes me an example of a very mockingbird truth: knowledge of the healthy living [the law] does not produce within me the desire to live healthily [obey the law]. In fact, it makes me want to do just the opposite.
Hey Bryan. Nice to hear your own story… and touching. Thanks.
PS. Always nice reading stuff you post here. Very thoughtful. And you're a good writer.


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Arctic sea ice (Moderator: oren) »
Who has the best data and what are they saying?
Author Topic: Who has the best data and what are they saying? (Read 14809 times)
wili
Young ice
Hank at RC had an interesting insight that I think is worth considering here (though he, in his typical humble way, says we should wait till climate scientists weigh in to know it's worth):
I've been wondering why the two climate scientists associated with their respective Navy submarine operations are on record expecting the Arctic sea ice to go away sooner.
It makes sense to me logically that they could have access to information that's kept secret — and be able to disclose conclusions but not the reasoning.
EOS for 8 October 2013 in their brief back page items (p. 372) mentions
Dokken et al., Paleoceanography, doi:10.1002/palo.20042, 2013
which suggests the past record of extremely fast Greenland temperature increases ("DO events") could be caused by a breakdown of the layering of Nordic seas: sea ice, then cold fresh water, then below that salt water — and the salt water is circulating so when warmer ocean water moves into that area it first replaces cold bottom layer salt water. Eventually it "breaks the halocline" and the warmth reaches the sea ice, which disappears.
So where's the halocline, and is it changing?
Well, ask the submariners (and check whatever can be told or inferred from data collected by the no doubt extensive secret monitoring gear the nuclear-capable Navy departments must have spread all across the Arctic ocean over the past 40 years).
I know submariners use the halocline — and any other difference in water salinity or density — to hide, and to channel sound. So do whales and dolphins, of course. But if anyone's able to ask them, it'd be the Navy.
(Decades ago when I was a marine biology student, a lecturer told us how all the various marine biology labs got their echo-sounding equipment from their countries' Navy people, and the gear given the scientists had cut-outs to prevent them from working in the frequencies useful for detecting submarines. But each of the nations had cut out different bands, so the marine biologists would get together annually and trade records to fill in the gaps in their pictures)
In response to my further inquiry, he added:
Maslowski and Wadhams
'oogled, plenty available, e.g.
http://www.annualreviews.org/doi/full/10.1146/annurev-earth-042711-105345
Apr 29, 2012 – Wadhams, P., N Hughes and J Rodrigues (2011). Arctic sea ice thickness characteristics in winter 2004 and 2007 from submarine sonar …
Just sayin' — I have to wonder how much more data the Navies of the planet have accumulated, over 50 years of travel and stationkeeping under the Arctic ice.
"A force de chercher de bonnes raisons, on en trouve; on les dit; et après on y tient, non pas tant parce qu'elles sont bonnes que pour ne pas se démentir." Choderlos de Laclos "You struggle to come up with some valid reasons, then cling to them, not because they're good, but just to not back down."
ggelsrinc
Frazil ice
Re: Who has the best data and what are they saying?
I looked into it a little bit by checking the record of the first nuclear submarines. I know they tested surfacing through the sea ice and they needed to surface to launch cruise missiles. I know they made advancements in sonar and that active sonar gives away a submarine's position. Since the navies had interests in the thickness and position of the sea ice, the thought occurred to me that perhaps they put equipment to measure the sea ice and find other submarines on the ocean floor.
Jim Hunt
Stay Home, Save Lives
I don't know what's been said on RC, but in possible confirmation of your theory here's what US Rear Admiral Jon White had to say earlier this year:
http://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,105.msg1618.html#msg1618
In summary, "largely ice free" for a month in summer by 2023.
Getting back to submarines under the ice, Googling Skate and Seadragon turns up all sorts of interesting stuff, such as this video for example:
Data from that upward looking sonar is available too, but I seem to have lost the link for the moment....
Here's one lot - http://nsidc.org/data/docs/noaa/g01360_upward_looking_sonar/
« Last Edit: October 31, 2013, 12:26:11 AM by Jim Hunt »
"The evil that is in the world always comes from ignorance, and good intentions may do as much harm as malevolence, if they lack understanding." Albert Camus, The Plague
This appears to be just completed research. (Click on link to paper.) Is this credible? What do they know that others are not seeing?
http://www.theguardian.com/environment/earth-insight/2013/dec/09/us-navy-arctic-sea-ice-2016-melt
Have you seen the comment of Connie Quirck on the blog !
I do share the idea of a possible melt around 2016, very probable no need for very complex model !? we are losing around 800 km3 in average (possibly 2000km3 a year like in 2010) and 5000 are remaining...
http://neven1.typepad.com/blog/2013/12/how-could-arctic-data-be-more-friendly.html#comments
Hi, Bob--
The Guardian is rehashing Maslowski, I'm afraid. Nothing really new there (the linked review paper is from spring 2012.) FWIW, I don't think conventional wisdom among modelers puts the first ice-free summer as far away as 2100 any more; the consensus looks to be more on the order of 2030-2040.
But returning to the topic of Neven's post, I'd like to see more data available as CSVs or something similar; there are a number of products online for which typical home computers don't have appropriate software. (It would be great, for us duffers, to be able to us non-specialist software like Excel--a lot of us will never be reasonably justified in acquiring and learning R.)
I wonder if that could be a citizen scientist initiative, BTW. I know there are a number of initiatives like this one:
http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2012/20121022_oldweatherprojectlaunch.html
Maybe volunteer coders could team with agencies holding records to build programs to reformat data, which the latter could then host? I can imagine some issues with this, but maybe they wouldn't be insuperable.
I was not talking about the Guardian article's assertion about an ice free arctic in 2100. Of course, this is BS. I was talking about the research, just published, that seems fairly confident of an ice free arctic that is imminent (2016). Given the rebound we have seen, what are they looking at?
And I do feel the question is relevant to this post.
Shared Humanity,
That article is based on a 2012 paper which is available here:
http://www.oc.nps.edu/NAME/Maslowski%20et%20al.%202012%20EPS%20Future%20of%20Arctic%20Sea%20Ice.pdf
JimD
Is the following accurate??
The 2016 +/- 3 is from Maslowski but it was not made in 2012 but rather in 2007 and has not been replaced by a newer more sophisticated prediction to date.
Maslowski's prediction is not based upon the new high resolution Regional Arctic Systems Model (RASM) he has constructed as some believe and thus is based upon the older less sophisticated method from 2007. The new model has not yet been used to project when the arctic will be ice free.
Do I remember correctly that Wadhams now believes that the earliest date of an ice free arctic is now 2016 and the range is something like 2019 +/- 3?? I seem to remember reading this but cannot find a link.
Here is an alternate opinion. I am not familiar with Dr. Serreze.
Professor Mark Serreze from the US National Snow and Ice Data Centre in Colorado tells us he doesn't see the remainder of Arctic sea ice being lost so soon. He says:
"Seeing an essentially ice free Arctic Ocean in summer by 2016 is extremely unlikely. While we have certainly seen a rapid loss of summer ice in recent decades (compared to the late 1970s, we've lost about 40 per cent of the summer ice cover), losing the remainder over the next few years would be very hard to do."
Guess we need Maslowski to run the new model and see what its results are.
We do not err because truth is difficult to see. It is visible at a glance. We err because this is more comfortable. Alexander Solzhenitsyn
How is it conceivable that all our technological progress - our very civilization - is like the axe in the hand of the pathological criminal? Albert Einstein
From the paper I linked to:
When considering this part [1995 to 2007]of the sea ice–volume time series, one can estimate a negative trend of −1,120 km3 year−1 with a standard deviation of ±2,353 km3 year−1 from combined model and most recent observational estimates for October–November 1996–2007.
Given the estimated trend and the volume estimate for October–November of 2007 at less than 9,000 km3 (Kwok et al. 2009), one can project that at this rate it would take only 9 more years or until 2016 ± 3 years to reach a nearly ice-free Arctic Ocean in summer. Regardless of high uncertainty associated with such an estimate, it does provide a lower bound of the time range for projections of seasonal sea ice cover. (We do note that other published estimates also have large or indeterminate uncertainties.)
So this prediction is based on 2007 data and extrapolating forward the volume losses since then based on the 1995 to 2007 trend.
With regards PIOMAS, I'm using September data, not October/November as used above. Average interannual losses are -564 km^3 per year, StdDev=1,435 km^3 for 1995 to 2007. 1995 turns out to be a reasonable choice for the steepening of the trend as with NAME.
Applying these losses to the 2007 minimum 6528 km^3, gives zero at 11.6 years, call it 12. That's 2019, at the upper end of Maslowski's calculation. Sept 2012 is 3156 km^3 down from 2007, which should have taken 5.6 years, drop the .6 and 2012 was on time - more coincidence than anything. Applying the 1995 to 2007 loss rate of -564 km^3 per year to the 2013 September average volume for PIOMAS (5043km^3) and we have 9 years to zero. That's 2022.
I think the basic message of Maslowski and Wadhams that the end could be a fast crash to very low levels before we see some length of tail (residual remaining ice) needs to be kept in mind, and should not be dismissed out of hand. But the 2016 +/-3 isn't looking so persuasive after 2013. That said Crandles may be correct and I may be wrong, the 2013 volume gain may not impact the coming maximum as much as I suspect.
Dr Serreze is one of the world's leading cryosphere scientists.
jdallen
Quote from: ChrisReynolds on December 20, 2013, 10:25:41 PM
When considering this part [1995 to 2007]of the sea ice–volume time series, one can estimate a negative trend of −1,120 km3 year−1 with a standard deviation of ±2,353 km3 year−1 from combined model
I think 2013 is well within the Standard deviation noted above, and doesn't necessarily indicate a break in trend. It is in the nature of the system to be very noisy, as even before the sharp draw down of ice starting in the 90s, I think on examination we could find that degree of deviation resulting from known cycles of climate. What is different now is, that deviation is a far larger percentage of total volume, reflecting the increasing total heat in the Arctic. I think we will need several 2013s before we may conclude their trend loss of 1100KM3/yr is tapering off.
This space for Rent.
I'm not at all saying the trend is tapering off. As I've explained in my most recent blog post I think there is still good reason to expect a rapid drop of volume to a virtually sea ice free state. That's not to say I expect it 100%, I just don't discount the possibility. And I've explained previously why I see 2013 as a blip, not the start of a change of trend. However this year is likely to mean peak volume takes us back several years.
Quote from: ChrisReynolds on December 21, 2013, 08:29:08 AM
Duly noted. I will observe, mostly anecdotally, with one exception, each "recovery" of ice volume in the last 35 years, has been followed by a significant decline, on average of almost 1500KM3. That would drop us back to 2012. Half the time, that decline has been higher, by 2300+ KM3. A very small sample, but demonstrative. I think there is a 50% chance we could drop as low as 2700KM3 at next seasons minimum.
It's feasible. A lot depends on the Spring Volume Loss shown in PIOMAS. The gridded data is monthly, but still the SVL shows up in the difference between June and May. It's largely due to an increase recent years in losses (May - June) in Beaufort to Kara, but post 2010 (when the SVL really gets remarkable) the increase is due to losses in the Central Arctic. The loss in the Central Arctic seems to be due to a step drop in thickness over 2010, but the loss over Beaufort to Kara doesn't seem to be associated with a drop in thickness which suggests an atmospheric cause - I'm looking into that.
I'll be watching with interest. Musing over the minimums, I'm going to alter my prediction somewhat. I think it 90% probable the next minimum will be between 3500 to 6500 KM3. If volume drops rather than rises, my previous observation may apply.
Bob Wallace
Ice is pouring out the Fram, and it's some of the thicker ice.
The Fram seems to be wide open, unsure if it has ever been as open before.
http://www7320.nrlssc.navy.mil/hycomARC/navo/arcticictn_nowcast_anim30d.gif
Quote from: Bob Wallace on December 21, 2013, 08:45:41 PM
Looking at the animation, it is striking how thin the ice is around the pole.
In contrast to the "recovery" of ice elsewhere, some previously stable and significant chunks of fast ice broke up along the coast on the Greenland side of the Fram. There is no doubt less resistance to ice moving through the gap. I think likely more relevant is the coherence and strength of the ice itself. While more of it, there is also little question that the pack was shattered last year in ways not previously seen. That also would reduce resistance to flow and increase its vulnerability to wind and wave. What you see may be the consequences of that.
A couple years back I started wondering if the end of the Arctic sea ice would basically be a great flushing out the Fram.
With the straight wide open and a highly fractured ice, conditions are ripe for winds to clean out the basin at the end of a freeze season.
If the pack were to move toward the Fram might the exposed water behind heat up and provide a driving wind?
Richard Rathbone
I don't think that feedback is large enough to drive it, but the Fram staying open is part of the 2007-2012 summer pattern.
Peter Ellis
Uh, it's the middle of the Arctic winter. How on Earth is the exposed water supposed to warm up?
Quote from: Peter Ellis on December 22, 2013, 04:34:24 PM
Doesn't he mean exposed water warming the atmosphere without the insulation of ice?
Locally within the Arctic loss of sea ice causes a baroclinic impact where temperature and pressure lines (isotherms and isobars) are misaligned, so density depends on both pressure and temperature. In meteorology this state is the underlying basis of frontal systems causing winds.
But I'm not sure the winds have to blow out of the Fram Strait.
I'm thinking forward to the coming melt season. A wide open Fram and a broken ice pack should mean the opportunity for a lot of ice transport.
There's a big danger in predicting the future behavior of the melt based on past melt behavior when the nature of the beast has changed.
I think that expecting new behaviour can however be risky in terms of making predictions or suppositions. During the summer my prediction from June was challenged on the basis that the ice state had changed, yet even with an unusual summer (low ice and poor melt weather) my prediction was successful. The important point being that the prediction was based on past behaviour of the ice.
There are certain changes that are out of the normal behaviour of the ice, e.g. the June CT Area cliff, I can't recall stumbling across such changes during winter.
Underwater "tree rings" show 650 years of sea ice change
http://news.utoronto.ca/underwater-tree-rings-show-650-years-sea-ice-change
Good catch, L. Another nail in the coffin of claims that the sea ice extent fluctuations may be part of some natural cycle.


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My next role is probably the one which inspired this site, as CEO of Ireland's largest and oldest fine art print collective, Graphic Studio Dublin. It was established as an artists' member organisation with a studio and gallery (based on a Parisien Studio 'Atelier 17'), and specialises in hand made printing techniques. Many of those will feature in collections I assemble here, to share some of the 'behind the scenes' techniques which are part of art alchemy.
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European Union vs Commonwealth – In light of the development around Brexit, the EU is still very important partner of United Kingdom. Though the trend is on the decline over time and has registered a steady fall of UK's exports to EU from 54% to 46% in only 6 years, this is now a complex game for EU where Brazil, China and 2/3rd of Commonwealth nations are not interested to negotiate trade representative with EU. However, US, Canada and India are very much in progress with their negotiation for trade representative with EU. EU has very less trade agreement with commonwealth nations which is at present around 33%. As per South East England MEP Daniel Hannan, the IMF countries within EU is expected to grow with an average rate of 2.7% in next five years while the commonwealth is expected to surge ahead at 7.3%. The impact of future growth prospect has also started creating its own influence in Brexit development.
European Union vs Commonwealth – How UK looks at future growth aspect?
countries). These nations are in position to provide greater opportunity with its encouraging projection of demographic for economic growth as they are touted as future economic giants.
When one looks at the growth potential, Commonwealth nations are growing more rapidly than ailing Eurozone. By the measure of World GDP share Commonwealth nations have overtaken Eurozone (as per 1973 definition) GDP by 2004. With the same measure, Commonwealth is slightly bigger that present Eurozone. After 1973, the economic has been accelerated in Commonwealth zone as compared to Eurozone where the growth has been decelerating slowly from the average level of 3.6% in 70s to meagre 0.7% in recent past.
For the above analysis, Eurozone is defined as full members of 2016 such as Germany, France, Spain, Italy, Austria, Netherlands, Ireland, Finland, Belgium, Portugal, Greece, Estonia, Slovak Republic, Slovenia, Latvia, Luxembourg, Malta and Cyprus. The EU as per 1973 definition, are with full members such as Germany, France, Italy, Netherlands, Belgium, Denmark, Ireland and Luxembourg (UK removed). The Commonwealth is defined as for both the charts are with all members excluding UK. Some of small nations have been omitted due to difficulty of sourcing GDP data, but the impact would be negligible. The members who have joined and left in the intervening period of since 1973 to date are also ignored which may not have more than 1% impact on total GDP.
As observed above, in both the charts there was significantly higher share for EU which is steadily going down. It has crossed in 2004 and now much lower than the Commonwealth nations. With the inclusion of new members, the effect had been off-set during period of 2004 to 2009 period. From the World GDP share point of view, the position of EU is becoming lesser significant day by day and the share of the Commonwealth nations are increasing steadily. As a continuation to this analysis it may be interesting to see the future outlook of growth data as in Chart: 5.
In the present dynamic economic condition, it is chosen to look into 2 years' future data. In the longer-term horizon, it has been seen that one of the major growth enabler is population, its age and growth rate. Thereby it is interesting to see that the growth in population is widening in future and getting wider till 2050 as shown in Chart: 6. The trend for Euro is not reversing even till 2050. This is where one has to see, how UK's presence in the EU's exiting framework will help. The economic indicator tends to suggest that UK can optimize its growth opportunity by deriving larger benefits from the closer trade tie-up with US and Commonwealth Nations.
The above report is an analysis in the context and data analysis has been to derive the message and inferences. The reliance should not be made on this to use for any reason to make publication responsible in any manner. In no event, this publication will be liable for any penal action or damage for such usage or reliance made.
 This figure, from Niebohr, J. "The Four Lies about leaving the European Union", is adjusted for what is known as the Rotterdam/Antwerp effect – goods shipped to EU ports, but which are destined for Non-EU countries.
Hannan, Daniel. "Look at these Graphs: any possible argument for remaining in the EU has been blown away", The Daily Telegraph. Published on (07/06/12) and Last Accessed on (15/09/13) http://blogs.tele graph.co.uk/news/ danielhannan/100163336/look-at-these-graphs-any-possible-argument-forremaining-in-the-eu-has-been-blown-away.
 Negotiations are ongoing with Japan and Singapore (respectively). http://europa. EU/rapid/press-release MEMO-13-572_en.htm and http://ec.europa.eu/trade/policy/ countries-and-regions/countries/Singapore.
 "Estimating the Economic Impact on the UK of a TTIP Agreement between the European Union and the United States (Final Report)" Centre for Economic Policy Research, March 2013, (London).
 See, for example, http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/magazine-25548060. O'Neill, Jim. "The Mint Countries: Next Economic Giants?" The BBC News Magazine, published 05/12/14.
 Note: Calculations of GDP are based on Real GDP PPP data from the sources mentioned.
Brexit equals second Scottish referendum?


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