A win-win solution is optimal in so many negotiation and conflict situations at work and home. But what do you do if that win-win solution isn't obvious?
My first job out of grad school was as a career coach at a small private college. I was one of two finalists for the position. A year later, I was promoted to assistant director, with a nice little salary bump to go along with the shiny new title.
While I was on vacation, my boss hired the woman who had been the other finalist a year earlier. She would have my old job as career coach and I would now be her boss.
You probably think this is going to be a story about workplace conflict or difficult dynamics. It isn't. We got along famously.
Shortly after the new coach started work, I happened to open the copy machine one day only to find a document face down on the glass. I turned it over to see who it belonged to.
It was the new coach's contract.
My eyes traveled down the page to her salary. I admit it; I was 25 and shameless.
Her salary was higher than than mine.
She was earning $2,000 more than her new supervisor, and $5,000 more than my own career coach contract only the year before.
At the risk of sounding ancient: That was a lot of money then. Especially with my student loans and a mortgage I managed all by my then-single self.
It was a staggering moment. And, it turned out, a defining one.
What on earth could she want that I could offer?
Contract in hand, I went into my office, closed the door, leaned on it, and closed my eyes to think.
I realized that demanding equity was a weak approach. If equity mattered much to my supervisor, the new coach wouldn't be earning more than me.
I could see that the best way to win her over was to make sure that giving me more money did something for her in return. We all know this now by the shorthand, "win-win." But what, exactly?
I ticked through the possibilities that came immediately to mind: I'll be happier and more motivated. I won't be grumpy that my employee earns more than me. I won't be pissed off that you treated me unfairly. They were pretty feeble offers — all about me and accusatory to boot.
What could she want that I could give her? What would matter to her enough to give me more money? I couldn't see it. And I didn't have much time to figure it out…what if she went looking for the contract?
Then a voice in my head, the one that always sounds suspiciously like Cher (don't ask, I really have no idea), said, Maybe the thing you can offer her isn't something you have…yet.
I headed down the hall to my supervisor's office. She was doing paperwork. You left something in the copier, I said, holding out the contract.
I recall my hand was trembling. Anger? Nerves? Probably both. But the anger would have been directed more at myself.
She looked at the contract, then up at me. All she said was: Well?
I managed a small smile. I will be a far better career coach for our students if I can teach them to advocate well for themselves in the hiring process. And I'll be more believable if I can actually do it for myself. So here I am.
She studied me. And then: I'll buy that.
When the win-win solution isn't initially obvious, the answer isn't to give up, but to dig deeper.
In ongoing personal and business relationships, demands (power) may damage the relationship while smart offers (influence) strengthen it.
Good options can be obscured by bruised egos, frustration, and hopelessness, so we have to push those obstacles temporarily aside.
Offers that contain accusations, even indirectly, are worthless. They're just invitations for them to say no.
As I have so re-learned so many times since, good questions can unlock bounty.
At work: How, exactly, would the thing I want make my work (or my team's work) more exceptional in their eyes?
At home: How, exactly, would the thing I want make our lives better from their point of view?
Anywhere: What if the best thing I could offer them doesn't exist now, but it could exist if they said yes? What thing (that they really want) could it be?


Directories Pro written by Sabai Apps is a premium WordPress plugin for creating directory-style websites and can be purchased on CodeCanyon for $39.
There is not a ton of information available about the who behind Sabai Apps. Even whether it is a lone wolf developer or a team is unclear, for ease of reference we will refer to them in the plural throughout this article. One tidbit we do know is that they are based out of Japan.
Directories Pro – The product we are evaluating here and their newest product.
Sabai Directory – Originally released in 2013, this is the predecessor to Directories Pro. It was initially meant to be the 2.0 release of this product, but due to the extensive rewrite they decided to release it as a separate product.
It has a 4.53 rating on CodeCanyon from 664 reviews as of Aug. 12th, 2018.
It has been the most popular WordPress directories plugin on CodeCanyon for quite some time, though this is likely to move to Directories Pro as time progresses.
It is possible to export Sabai Directory's contents to Directories Pro.
Sabai recommends purchasing Directories Pro instead of Sabai Directory if you aren't already utilizing Safari Directory.
Sabai Discuss – Originally released in Nov. 2012, this software is similar in functionality to StackOverflow.
It has a 4.43 rating on CodeCanyon froom 274 reviews as of Aug. 12th, 2018.
Directories Pro Documentation – The documentation is fairly thorough and of good quality.
Directories Pro Comments – Unfortunately, Sabai Apps has not created their own discussion forum for users of their product but instead use the quite limited commenting cabilities of CodeCanyon.
Directories Pro Blog – They have been faithful in providing detailed release notes with each new version of the software.
Directories Pro Demo – A live demo of the Directories Pro software, its major weakness is its lack of responsiveness on smaller devices.
Directories Pro Support Page (on CodeCanyon) – Has answers to a very few questions as well as a means of contacting the author.
I, personally, post (almost) everything in the comments thread despite its limitations. This is answered frequently and creates a public repository of knowledge.
Directories Pro Support Page – This is the support page on Directory Pro's own website, which is simply a form, and they prefer you use the CodeCanyon support page referenced above.
Other links one might find useful are the CodeCanyon Directories' Pro listing page and the main page of the Directories Pro website.
Let me start by saying that overall I am impressed with the Directories Pro software. For the purpose of this section, however, I will focus on potential issues I have ovserved with the software as they are likely more useful to those considering its purchase.
One of the largest weaknesses of Directories Pro is its lack of an official forum for discussing the software by its users.
This discourages users from sharing code modifications they have made that may be helpful to others.
It makes it difficult to find answers to questions even if they have been asked repeatedly.
The support of users by their peers is not encouraged due to the lack of a forum.
IMHO, one way that Sabai Apps could offload a lot of their support requests and focus more on development is by setting up a user forum.
These FAQ's are garnered primarily from the comments on CodeCanyon. I find the comments to be quite awkward and difficult to utilize well and have included these Q&A's here to provide a hopefully more helpful experience.
Note: I'm currently working on moving these FAQs into an FAQ plugin to make them easier to use. As FAQs are added to this plugin they are removed from here.
Frequently Asked Questions Parts 3 to 10 are available on a separate page.
As are Frequently Asked Questions Parts 11 to 17.


text:
From Office of the University Secretary
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redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


text:
, en grec ancien :  / , mort en , est un roi de Macédoine de la dynastie des Argéades qui règne entre  et  Il est le frère et prédécesseur de .

Biographie

Origine
Fils du roi  (mort en ) et d'Eurydice, une princesse illyrienne, Perdiccas succède en  à son frère  après la période de régence de Ptolémée d'Alôros.

Règne
En , Perdiccas accueille à son service l'homme politique athénien Callistratos, obligé de fuir sa patrie pour ne pas subir la peine capitale, qui l'aide à réorganiser ses finances. Son règne est de courte durée. Il entre en effet en conflit avec Ménélas, prince de Lyncestide. Après quelques succès initiaux, les voisins occidentaux de la Macédoine s'allient contre lui et il périt avec  de ses hommes dans une bataille livrée contre les Illyriens de Bardylis, lequel envahit la Haute Macédoine en .

Son jeune fils  est rapidement écarté de la succession au profit de son frère  qui épouse sa veuve Phila d'Élimée.

Notes et références

Bibliographie
 .

Roi de Macédoine du IVe siècle av. J.-C.
Perdiccas03
Monarque tué au combat
Décès en 359 av. J.-C.
Perdiccas 3

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaWikipedia


I read a response on another forum site about using divination to tell you about a way to decide what to do for a spell.
Is it usually with a pendulum, and if so how did you begin?
I just received my first pendulum 2 days ago.
If you are asking what is the best approach when you have several different magical options available to you and how do you choose, then, yes, a Pendulum is a good place to start for this kind of work since it will give you a yes/no and sometimes maybe answer.
i did the jack pendulum, and the other day i asked a question and i told the pendelum, just answer with the "V" of victory and i'm still surprised. That can happen?
I've had really great luck with my pendulum to check in on my spell work. It's more straight forward for quick questions, like "is this working" or "is someone blocking my work" or "does the target know what I'm doing" I really like reading cards too because it's a family tradition, but I started working with the pendulum again for spell work.
What is the correct way of cleansing your Pendulum before the first use?
Is holy water with a prayer appropriate?
Does anyone that uses a Pendulum have any tips?
I have used pendulums straight off the shelf (i try them out in the shop before buying).
"Cleansing" an inanimate object is a fairly common Neo-Pagan term, but i am not Neo-Pagan. I think of what i do as "dressing" or "anointing" them or "waking them up," terms with different connotations that are more commonly found in hoodoo, the form of folk-magic i practice.
Instead of a prayer, i can start in the shop by asking the pendulum if it is a good little pendulum, will it work for me, is it ready to work for me, and so forth. I am engaging in a dialogue with it.
Once i select one for use, i tend to anoint them Van Van oil (a cleansing and dressing oil), and i have also worn them next to my skin (in my bra) for seven days to "train" them and get them used to me.
Thanks for the advice, I am waiting on Van Van oil at this time, so can I use anything else? I did however ask the Pendulum if I was using it correctly and it said yes (lol).
I never thought about having it on me so that it could get usec to me!!! Great Idea.
I just bought a Pendulum-- and am unfamiliar with using it for divination regarding my work.. anybody familiar with how to use it?
I asked the pendulum which was yes or no and it seemed to give clear signals of which was which, however when I asked it a simple yes question-- it went in a circle??
If Miss C. Yronwode sells them, then they must be very good books.
Or you can scout the net and find some tips. There's lots of free information hanging around that will help you learn how to use the pendulum.
A minor tip: pendulums can swing in different directions. Some readers assign back and forth as "yes" or "no", while others give that to clockwise and counterclockwise motions. Different movements have different connotations. You can either give an specific meaning to each according to your needs and likes or you can take it from a system created by someone else which you can find in a book.
Did you ask your Pendulum to show what "maybe" looks like? When I first received mine from LM, I asked mine to show me yes, then no, and maybe... mine was clear as to what clockwise meant, counter-clockwise and then a swinging motion (north 2 south movement)...hope this helps!!!
I never thought about maybe!! I thought it was merely a yes or no tool.. good thinking. I feel kind of funny talking to the pendulum, but it' really answers!
Oh, wow. I've been fascinated by pendulums, but never felt comfortable/confident enough to buy one since I didn't really know how to use them. After a bit of search (small amount) I made my own pendulum with a nickel sized chunk of an amber pendant and an old sterling chain I had that had a borken clasp. WOW! I did some test questions and had a very definite "yes, no and maybe". And it feels so incredibly right.
Now I'm hooked. I've been reading/learning tarot but have a long way to go. This is a great tool that can be helpful now as well as when I get better with tarot.
So glad I stumbled upon this subject! Thanks for listening to my excited rambling.
I'm still working with my pendulum, and I guess I don't quite trust it yet.. although I asked a question of it yesterday and it gave me a No answer-- which I didn't believe but it was right!! So I guess it's telling me the truth so far!! Just for grins I asked it if this guy I am doing a honey jar was the one and I got a maybe/ yes-- still learning to trust it!!!!!!!!!!!
Now I'm not sure if I trust my pendulum at all! I asked a specific question if I was going to hear some news about someone this weekend.. it's consistently said yes.. now the weekend and is over and I have no news.. I'm not sure what to think?? Can it be faulty somehow?
Or is time relevant with these things?
Well, my understanding of it is that it's minute muscle movement and vibration that causes the movements. So, basically your subconscious. If you really believe someone will call that may be why the yes. Or maybe if you really want someone to call, as j82 stated. Too emotionally tied to it. It's all still pretty new to me. These are just the things I'm reading.
I did see that it could be used with spirits guiding it, sort of like assisting a child to form a correctly written word when they are learning to write. A spirit can assist our vibrations for a yes or no. Now, that is way out of my ability/comfort level. Don't think anyone should go summoning spirits unless they're prepared and experienced in case an unpleasantly unexpected sumpin' may occur.
Now, my yes and no seem opposite of everyone else. Left to right is my no. Front to back is my yes and clockwise circles are my maybe. I literally asked "Am I a girl. Am I a boy." to get the yes and no.
Still experimenting. I did purchase a pendulum a couple of days ago. Lovely little store close to where I work was literally putting them on the display when I walked in. I was drawn to one in particular which I got for a steal.
Used incense to cleanse it and feed it. And have remembered to thank it each time. Has it's own special little wooden box to live in In the meantime, I'm still practicing learning tarot.
Hi, figured I'd kick in my bit.
SouthernGirl wrote: Well, my understanding of it is that it's minute muscle movement and vibration that causes the movements. So, basically your subconscious. If you really believe someone will call that may be why the yes. Or maybe if you really want someone to call, as j82 stated. Too emotionally tied to it. It's all still pretty new to me. These are just the things I'm reading.
Your on the right track SouthernGirl the medical term for it its the Ideo-motor Response or IMR, its basically a movement of muscles in the body out side of normal conscious control, that's why if you want to pendulum to swing this way or that it will. With pendulum I feel you need to take a step back from the question and be open to any response. Nerd bit over now.
SouthernGirl wrote: A spirit can assist our vibrations for a yes or no. Now, that is way out of my ability/comfort level. Don't think anyone should go summoning spirits unless they're prepared and experienced in case an unpleasantly unexpected sumpin' may occur.
Again very true, to a point. The spirit you call to help you doesn't have to be something out of a book like the Key of Solomon, which has some heavy characters, it could be your favorite aunt that passed, or that dog you had as a child, or the spirit of the pendulum it self. A spirit can be a great aid in such matters and to someone looking to start using pendulums I would suggest either a Jack Ball made for you and working with the spirit of the jack same as any other mojo. Or get a good size Queen Elizabeth root and talk to it and make nice with the spirit of the root and use that as your pendulum. Something like that can't hurt you and can become a valuable aid and accomplice in your work.
Thanks Discordia, I was trying to remember the scientific term for involuntary muscle movements. I know I've heard the same thing about Ouija boards, which is offered as an explanation for why you get gibberish if you blindfold yourself using them. I have had my pendulum give me answers I didn't like, aned refuse to change them when I asked repeatedly, so I'm hoping it isn't just me answering myself.
HailDiscordia wrote: Your on the right track SouthernGirl the medical term for it its the Ideo-motor Response or IMR, its basically a movement of muscles in the body out side of normal conscious control, that's why if you want to pendulum to swing this way or that it will. With pendulum I feel you need to take a step back from the question and be open to any response. Nerd bit over now.
Hah! I love the nerd bit and the medical part. I'm called a nerd and a geek by my best friends and I consider it quite the compliment. And I'm a nurse, so I appreciate/understand/agree with all that!
HailDiscordia wrote: Again very true, to a point. The spirit you call to help you doesn't have to be something out of a book like the Key of Solomon, which has some heavy characters, it could be your favorite aunt that passed, or that dog you had as a child, or the spirit of the pendulum it self. A spirit can be a great aid in such matters and to someone looking to start using pendulums I would suggest either a Jack Ball made for you and working with the spirit of the jack same as any other mojo. Or get a good size Queen Elizabeth root and talk to it and make nice with the spirit of the root and use that as your pendulum. Something like that can't hurt you and can become a valuable aid and accomplice in your work.
I absolutely understand that many spirits are helpful, loving and not at all anything to fear. My only concern is that a total newbie such as myself, while intending to get in touch with my beloved (fill-in-the-blank), may inadvertantly open themselves up to a less pleasant spirit. Especially if certain precautions aren't made or the knowledge of how to safely contact pleasant entities isn't known.
BTW, I love the Queen Elizabeth root for a pendulum. I've seen that can be used, but haven't laid my hands on one yet. Hard to get here and I'm still waiting on an order from LM. So will have to wait a bit. But I want to try that. Yeah, okay, I want to try the jack ball too. Too dang many things to do!
Good Advice everyone.. I think Southern Girl is onto something about being too attached to the outcome of the question. I asked it something I really didn't care about and got a correct answer ( at least what I think is a correct answer) This is what makes me nervous, I've been using the pendulum to tell me if my Honey Jar is working on it's intended target and it always says yes, now I'm not sure what to think.
then there is your answer be patient. Try not to freak out and obsess over the work, do it and walk away and let it do what it does.. sweetend them to you. Sometomes we get caught up in wanting something we jinks it ourselves by obsessing.. i know its hard, get a book, read, work on something do anything but distract thinking about it when you are not working it. btw is the wax showing any signs in the candles as they burn, any signs? , why dont you have a friend ask using a pendulum if the honey jar is working correctly? get an independant source.
j82 wrote: Sometomes we get caught up in wanting something we jinks it ourselves by obsessing.. i know its hard, get a book, read, work on something do anything but distract thinking about it when you are not working it.
Sort of like casting the evil eye on ourselves I guess. Hadn't really thought of it like that before.
You know how stuff happens when you're not expecting it?? That's the same thing, you guys are right.. I have asked on of the LM Certified Practioners for help -- see if they get the same thing I do.
I also had some tell me regarding the pendulum that if you ask if if you can use it , you get great results! I will try!
Good luck LMFan. Let us know how it goes.
I'm just starting with my pendulum, but I always ask it if it minds talking to me, then thank it when I'm through.
I made my own pendulum I heard of long time ago and used it then. A needle with a thread through it, and on the sharp end of the needle you stick a tiny piece of bread ball (take a small tiny piece of bread and roll into a ball). I hold it over a paper circle that already has answers yes and no written on it. If it swings incircle I just take it as dont know or paraphrase the question. I am not sure if it works by itself; I always call out a "kind spirit" to talk to.
I did notice before that you can influence its answers with you mind power thats why while asking question Im trying not to look at it, or not to think about the preffered answer. So far it worked for me.
I do believe its answers. And every time I woud ask the same questions, and get the same answers - which makes believe in its truth. I try not to use it every day though, to give it some rest.
Although, it got me puzzled one time, we had little misunderstanding with my boyfriend, and I asked pendulum if Im gonna see him today - the answer was no, tomorrow - the answer was no, only the next day it said yes. It told me that he in fact was mad at me. But I did see him the same day. So it wasnt really true what it said, but it happened only once.
Until I read this forum I didnt know it was a common practice (I found out about pendulum like 10 years ago when I was a teenager, and thought maybe it was a kiddie stuff). Some people would say that it is me who is moving the thread and needle in the direction I want.
What is interesting is that I tried to just hang the thread and not to hold it in my hands - and it wouldnt move! Does anyone know why?
I have gotten myself a pendulum some months ago from a store. It is a green chinese crystal ball hung on a green string with a silkworm symbol. The instructions that came with it claim it will bring luck, money and prosperity depending on where it is placed in the home. I placed it on my window so it is exposed to sunlight and moonlight as a sort of money drawing charm.
I smoked it over sage smoke. I even smoked myself and the entire house. I have gotten no effect from it.
It understands me but I don't trust its answers. I still have it hanging on my window. Any idea how or if indeed it can help me draw money and luck my way?
That was purely a rethorical question. I know which mojo products help with money/luck drawing. My question is more like: can a pendulum draw things to someone or is that fold tale?
Pendulum can help you decide what measures to take, herb to use, etc that will be most effective in drawing what you need.
Hi everyone. I have recently started using my pendulum. It has been right on with questions regarding me. It was very accurate in telling me things that would occur in the future that I did not think would happen. For example I asked would I get a B+ in a class, it said no. I said how about a B-? it said no. Then I said will I just get a solid B, it said yes. Well I didnt believe it, in fact I thought I was going to get a C. Anyway to make a long story short, I indeed got a B (85) i was so surprised.
However, last night I asked my boyfriend to ask me questions that I would not know the answer to and the pendulum gave me all the wrong answers. How could this be? Could it be that I am a person that can only use the pendulum when asking questions about myself?
You may just not be ready to read on other people yet. Ask your pendulum about the issue, and see if perhaps there is something else needed to help you develop those skills - such as holding a personal link of some kind to those you are trying to read.
I bought a pendulum yesterday and cleansed it with some holy water since thats what I had on hand.
2) Those who use one do you use it with a chart?
3) Is there an opening prayer or such one should use before using one?
4) Best ways to cleanse it.
5) Today I took it out and it doesnt seem to want to move. Did I do something wrong yesterday?
6) Recommended books on pendulums?
1) No way is "better" or "best"when it comes to directionality of movement to which you assign the terms "yes" and "no."It is like dog training or like learning a language -- you pick a phrase or a gesture and work until you are fluent in communicating through that phrase or hand gesture.
2) I have used a chart, but i don't anymore -- the pendulum goes in a little bag or is worn as jewelry -- no need to carry a chart around.
3) I am sure that each person will answer this in his or her own way. I begin by speaking to my pendulum.
4) I dress my pendulums with Van Van Oil.
5) I doubt you did anything "wrong." You probably just need to re-establish contact with it.
I just received my first pendulum. I got it because I wanted to know if my nations sack was still alive and working for me. i placed it on top of my nation sack and asked. it said yes! then i asked a question to what the answer was obviously no, just to check , and it answered no! I'm amazed and wish I had bought one sooner. My question is how I should treat it? do i meditate with it? just ask questions? store it a certain way? and how accurate is it?
I wasn't really sure where to post this, so just move it if need be.
I have a pendulum which really confuses the heck out of me. I ask it a yes or no question to determine its swing, such as 'Is the sky blue right now?" and it will swing one way. So then to double-check I ask it, 'Is it nighttime right now?" and it will swing the opposite way. Thus, in theory I should know which way is yes and which way is no, BUT I've noticed that when, for example, I held it over my nation sack to determine if it were dead, it swung "no" until i started thinking "but is it right?" And THEN it starts swinging to yes!
This happens with virtually every divination I try -- it swings the way I hope it will, then when I start doubting, it swings the opposite way.
I've been VERY careful not to move my hand at all, so I have to think I'm psychically influencing the darn thing -- and thus can't get accurate readings.
What do you think, and what can I do about it?
sakura, always do a forum search before positing, this is one of those questions that has been asked several times, and all of the threads are merged into one thread -- this one.
Whoops! I didn't even think to do a search! <embarrassed> Sorry, and thanks!
Aaaand those threads were perfect! Thank you! Again my apologies!
This happens with virtually every divination I try--it swings the way I hope it will, then when I start doubting, it swings the opposite way. I've been VERY careful not to move my hand at all, so I have to think I'm psychically influencing the darn thing--and thus can't get accurate readings.
The pendulum is one of those instruments that is extremely sensitive to the subconscious mind of the reader. I've had several pendulums so far, and they always tell me what I want to hear -- or else what I'm afraid to hear. I've even tried the advice given on the other threads -- no difference. Some of us just can't get a pendulum to tell us the truth.
So, yeah, Tarot and Bible for me.
However, if you ever get yourself a jack ball, you can use it pendulum-fashion for divination -- if pendulums will talk to you. If not, the traditional way to work a jack ball is to deliberately swing it like a pendulum, to influence events rather than predict them.
This is most true. I had a student a little while ago who simply couldn't get the pendulum to give accurate responses.
Something to always consider for any type of divinatory work is the Psychic Vision products. These can be used to help augment your abilities and fine-tune your responses.
That is great idea ConjureMan Ali! Before using my pendulum I will usually say a prayer such as The Prayer of St Joseph the Visionary. I'll give this a try with the pendulum anointed with Psychic Vision oil and see how that goes.
how do you work with pendulums? I'm very curious because this morninq I went to my kitchen to qet a cup to drink and my Weightloss Mojo fell out of my undergarments. I usually sleep with it and have it on me 24.7, my mom saw it, but did not touch it, does the pendulum come with directions?
Just got my 1st pendulum from LM & i am very happy with it. alredy established Yes & No. I didnt know i could do maybe. I might just stck with yes no I like straight forward answers.
I didnt realize when i ordered it there was a book so now i will order the book for beginners.
My question though about spirits. Can i summon the spirits of my grandmother(s) to help me with it & if yes how do i do that?
Not sure where to put this one but this seemed a good spot.
I have a pendulum for use in hypnosis and was thinking of smoking and dusting it along with dressing it to make it have a stronger impact on who it is being used on. Any ideas of which products to use.
Myrrh resin is an option, Confusion Products can be used to move their consious mind out of the way (add salt to dampen its negative aspects).
Hi Negi Spingfield. I find it very interesting that you want to fix up a pendulum that is used in hypnosis. Since hypnosis is the processs of guiding another into relaxation and altered states of awarness, Tranquility Oil came to mind. Let us know what you have used and how it has worked for you. Best of luck!
I had problems, too. I was looking for something I lost, and the pendulum directed me to a specific shelf in my closet. Well, instead of finding what I wanted, I found a picture of an ancestor that I was looking for weeks ago. I was happy about finding the picture, but disappointed at the same time.
I went back to the pendulum, and it was still affirmative with the closet itself. No more hint of a shelf, but still on the closet. I tore it appart and found what I was looking for, but I wondered why it would direct me in this manner. Could I have not been clear enough or could it have just been that it was purposely directing me? This is not the first time something similar happens, so I am also wondering if it is just a function of my inexperience.
I have a question about pendulum work and dowsing.
I recently started dowsing. And I was immediately successful at it. I have been doing research all over the internet about the proper way to dowse and of course you will find so many different opinions about what is appropriate, how many questions and what type you can ask in a day, and who you can communicate with.
Here is my question.... I started using a dowsing chart to communicate with my spirit guides and I asked the guides if they were of the light and believed in the holy ghost etc.. etc.. and everything was fine.
Then I asked my guides their name and it turns out that I am communicating with my grandmother. And I know it is her because I asked her questions only she can answer. I have know and been told by many people that she is my protective spirit and it was no surprise that she answered. She often comes to me in dreams and I have been working on my ability, an way to further my communication with her and my other protective spirits who she named and I knew that they were exactly who she named.
However I read on a dowsing website that you should never speak directly to your relatives through dowsing....... You should do it through a spirit guide..... I just can't imagine that this is harmful. She is my protective spirit.
Is the web site information I read true?
Am I causing harm by communicating with my grandmother in this way?
Is there really a limit on the daily questions?
I know you can only use it for good reasons and that you can't abuse it, but having simple conversations?
Telling her I love her?
Asking her things about me?
I have no interest in knowing about when I am going to die, or about other people's lives or anything in that manner. But this obviously is a vehicle in which she has been waiting to communicate with me.
Please advise. I in no way want to cause harm or bring in spirits of evil. But I believe that is why she and the other protective spirits are with me.....to protect me and my children from those very spirits. I have felt it my whole life.
In conjure we communicate with our ancestors directly. Although some may work with a helper or spirit guide, there is no need for an intermediary spirit. After all, an ancestor can be the ideal spirit guide. The pendulum is a great channel for communication.


text:
Q: Regex exclude character from the group I am trying to write this regex to match dots with a few rules
(\.+ *|([a-zA-ZÀ-ž]\.\d))(?=[^\d{1}(\.\d{1})])(?=[^.,])

But my regex is matching few characters before and after the dot as well
For example:
č.1 > match č.1 (incorrect, match should be only .)
St.M > match . (correct)
2.0 > no match (correct)
Do you have any idea, how to "exclude" these other characters from the result and match only the dot?
Thanks for your help

A: You could shorten the pattern using a positive lookbehind (?<=) asserting the character class with the specific ranges to the left.
(?<=[a-zA-ZÀ-ž])\.

Regex demo
As per the comments, the pattern with the positive lookahead
(?<=[a-zA-ZÀ-ž])\.+ *(?=[^.,])

Regex demo

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaStackExchange


The ability of specific bone marrow cells to proliferate slowly and adhere to plastic was first described in the early 1970s (PMID: 4455512). Named colony-forming-unit fibroblasts (CFU-Fs) because of their spindle-like morphology, these cells showed nonhematopoietic differentiation potential. Eventually, the cells became known as mesenchymal stem cells or mesenchymal stromal cells (MSC) and a set of minimal defining criteria were established in 2006 to accelerate new discoveries and facilitate data comparability and development of novel cellular therapies (PMID: 16923606).
MSC research focuses primarily on the cells' potential to influence the immune system and their capacity to regenerate tissue. MSCs are also one of the most prominent adult stem cell types being investigated for cellular therapies. In 2018, 757 clinical trials were in process worldwide, exploring applications like the treatment of autoimmune diseases and tissue regeneration (source: clinicaltrials.gov).
Bone marrow was the first established source of MSCs (PMID: 4455512) and has been the primary and therefore most investigated population. Over the last few years, however, additional sources of MSC have been identified, from adipose tissue–derived MSCs (AT-MSC) to birth-associated MSCs, which includes sources like umbilical cord blood (UCB-MSC), umbilical cord tissue (UC-MSC), placenta (PL-MSC), and amniotic epithelium (AM-MSC) (PMID: 23278600, 16410387).
Miltenyi Biotec has created dedicated applications for the isolation, expansion, and analysis of MSCs.
Bone marrow is commonly aspirated from the sternum or iliac crest, or can be taken from other bones during orthopedic surgeries. Adipose tissue can be obtained from cosmetic surgeries as liposuction material or as solid tissue. These tissues might need to be dissociated into a single-cell suspension for many downstream applications, including isolation of cell subpopulations, cell culture, or flow cytometry analysis. For details, see chapters umbilical cord blood and adipose tissue.
Miltenyi Biotec has developed several products for the straightforward magnetic separation of MSCs. In addition, generic protocols are available for indirect separation of MSCs using Anti-Biotin or Anti-Flurochrome MicroBeads in combination with biotin- or flurochrome-conjugated antibodies.
The CD271 MicroBead Kit, human was developed for the positive selection or depletion of cells expressing CD271 (LNGFR). They are ideally suited for the isolation of CD271+ MSCs from human tissues, including bone marrow and lipoaspirate, but have also been successfully used to isolate MSCs from bone marrow of monkey, goat, dog, pig, and sheep (PMID: 20367498).
Enrichment of CD271+ MSCs from bone marrow mononuclear cells (BM-MNCs). MSCs were isolated using the CD271 MicroBead Kit, human, an MS Column, and a MiniMACS™ Separator. Cells were stained with CD271 (LNGFR)-PE and CD45-FITC antibodies and analyzed by flow cytometry using the MACSQuant® Analyzer.
The Anti-MSCA-1 (W8B2) MicroBead Kit, human is based on the antibody clone W8B2, which recognizes the mesenchymal stromal cell antigen-1 (MSCA-1), a highly specific marker to isolate MSCs with a high proliferative potential from bone marrow .
Separation of MSCA-1 (W8B2)–positive MSCs from human bone marrow mononuclear cells (BM-MNCs). Combining the Anti-MSCA-1 MicroBead Kit, with two MS Columns and a MiniMACS™ Separator, the highly proliferative population of MSCs was isolated from other mononuclear cells. Staining was done with Anti-MSCA-1 (W8B2)-APC and CD45-FITC.
Large-scale isolation and expansion of MSCs from human bone marrow is time and resource intensive. Success of this procedure depends on the quality of the starting material, and thus it is important to quantify the MSC content of the bone marrow. The number of MSCs in human blood source material is commonly determined based on the colony-forming–unit fibroblast (CFU-F) assay. However, the underlying process is time consuming and susceptible to serum lot variation, plating densities, and the subjective definition and scoring of colonies. It was shown that the Anti-MSCA-1 (W8B2) antibody exclusively detects CD271 (LNGFR)bright cells, which are the only cells that give rise to CFU-F (PMID: 17395729). Moreover, there is a close linear relationship between the number of CFU-F colonies counted manually after 14 days of culture and the number of CD271 (LNGFR)bright cells per milliliter of bone marrow aspirate (PMID: 22268519). Therefore, CD271 and MSCA-1 are valuable markers for the enumeration of MSCs by flow cytometry.
Linear relationship between the numbers of counted CFU-F colonies and CD271+MSCA-1+ cells per mL of bone marrow aspirate. R2 = 0.753, P = 0.0003, n = 12 donors.
The MSC Enumeration Kit, human is designed for the quantification of MSCs in human bone marrow samples, based on the expression of CD271 (LNGFR) and MSCA-1 (W8B2). The kit allows identification of CD45+ leukocytes and CD271 (LNGFR)+MSCA-1 (W8B2)+ MSCs that are also CD45dim. The MSC Enumeration Kit, human standardizes the identification and quantification of human MSCs from fresh bone marrow aspirate by flow cytometry and includes details on the appropriate gating strategy.
Enumeration of MSCs by flow cytometry. Bone marrow aspirate (100 µL) was labeled using the MSC Enumeration – Staining Cocktail. After lysis of red blood cells, the remaining cells were analyzed with the MACSQuant Analyzer 10. Viable leukocytes were gated for CD45 and CD271 expression (top). This population was then further analyzed for Anti-MSCA-1 expression (bottom right). Gating was performed according to the corresponding isotype control (bottom left).
Enumeration of MSCs by flow cytometry.
Bone marrow aspirate (100 µL) was labeled using the MSC Enumeration – Staining Cocktail. After lysis of red blood cells, the remaining cells were analyzed with the MACSQuant Analyzer 10. Viable leukocytes were gated for CD45 and CD271 expression (top). This population was then further analyzed for Anti-MSCA-1 expression (bottom right). Gating was performed according to the corresponding isotype control (bottom left).
A scientific poster describing the standardized quantification of MSCs by flow cytometry can be downloaded from the related resources panel to the right.
Miltenyi Biotec offers a streamlined and standardized method that enables the fast, easy, and reliable identification and phenotyping of cultured MSCs according to standards defined by the International Society for Cellular Therapy (ISCT; PMID: 16923606). The MSC Phenotyping Kit, human includes all reagents necessary for MSC identification based on the expression of CD73, CD90, and CD105, and the absence of CD14, CD20, CD34, and CD45. The data sheet included in the kit provides details on the appropriate gating strategy.
Phenotyping of MSCs according to ISCT standards.
Cultured MSCs were stained with the MSC Phenotyping Cocktail (purple) or with the Isotype Control Cocktail (black). The fractions were analyzed by flow cytometry using the MACSQuant® Analyzer.
Phenotyping of in votro expanded CD271+ MSCs and PA-MSCs.
First protocols to isolate and expand MSCs from human tissues were based on media containing fetal calf serum (FCS). To meet increasing safety requirements from regulatory authorities, Miltenyi Biotec provides FCS-containing medium (StemMACS MSC Expansion Media), serum- and xeno-free medium (StemMACS MSC Expansion Media Kit XF), as well as serum-free, GMP-grade medium (MSC-Brew GMP Medium). All media enable reliable and reproducible expansion of MSCs from bone marrow, adipose tissue, and umbilical cord.
StemMACS™ MSC Expansion Media Kit XF is perfect for the direct isolation and expansion of human MSCs from various sources, including bone marrow and lipoaspirate. Its xeno-free composition enables fast expansion while maintaining differentiation potential and immunomodulation ability. MSCs cultured using the StemMACS MSC Expansion Media Kit XF show a superior expansion rate compared to other standard MSC culture methods.
Comparison of expansion media for MSCs. MSCs that were cultured using the StemMACS MSC Expansion Media Kit XF showed an increased clonogenic potential (A) as well as proliferation rate (B) compared to MSCs cultured in αMEM + 5% platelet lysate or in medium containing 10% FCS.
Comparison of expansion media for MSCs.
MSCs that were cultured using the StemMACS MSC Expansion Media Kit XF showed an increased clonogenic potential (A) as well as proliferation rate (B) compared to MSCs cultured in αMEM + 5% platelet lysate or in medium containing 10% FCS.
Differentiation potential is a meaningful feature to qualify and define an MSC population. The propensity of MSCs to differentiate into adipocytes, chondrocytes, or osteoblasts is influenced by MSC origin. MSCs from bone marrow, for example, show greater potential to differentiate into osteoblasts than MSCs from umbilical cord. Increased age of donor and passaging of cultured MSCs also decrease the differentiation potential.
StemMACS™ AdipoDiff, OsteoDiff, and ChondroDiff Media are optimized differentiation media for human MSCs from various tissue sources. The media support the analysis or quality control of the differentiation capacity of expanded MSCs. They also facilitate in vitro studies on the processes of MSC differentiation, including gene expression and protein profiling.
MSC differentiation into adipocytes, chondrocytes, and osteoblasts. Adipocytes were stained with Oil Red O after cultivation of MSCs in StemMACS™ AdipoDiff Medium for 21 days (left). Chondrocytes were stained for aggrecan (red) and nuclei (blue) after cultivation of MSCs in StemMACS™ ChondroDiff Medium for 21 days (middle). Osteoblasts were stained with NBT substrate after cultivation of MSCs in StemMACS™ OsteoDiff Medium for 10 days (right).
During the last few years, scientists have directed their attention towards the immunomodulatory potential of MSCs. It has been observed that MSCs derived from bone marrow suppress the proliferation of T cells (PMID: 11986244, 11823036). This function of MSCs can be analyzed using the MSC Suppression Inspector, human, which contains T cell stimulation reagents optimized for an MSC suppression assay.
Principle of the MSC suppression assay. MSCs are cocultured with CD4+CD25– or CD4+ responder T cells (Tresp) in the presence of the polyclonal stimulus of the MSC Suppression Inspector. This T cell stimulation reagent is based on Anti-Biotin MACSiBead™ Particles pre-loaded with biotinylated CD2, CD3, and CD28 antibodies.
Tresp cells alone show a proliferative response. Coculture with MSCs, however, reduces proliferation of Tresp cells.
The suppression assay is performed with a dilution series of Tresp-to-MSC ratios ranging from 1:1 to 8:1. As additional control, Tresp and MSCs are cultured alone with and without the MSC Suppression Inspector. Cell proliferation is determined by 3H-thymidine incorporation or by staining with carboxyfluorescein succinimidyl ester (CFSE).
Principle of the MSC suppression assay.
MSCs are cocultured with CD4+CD25– or CD4+ responder T cells (Tresp) in the presence of the polyclonal stimulus of the MSC Suppression Inspector. This T cell stimulation reagent is based on Anti-Biotin MACSiBead™ Particles pre-loaded with biotinylated CD2, CD3, and CD28 antibodies.
Suppression of T cell proliferation by PA-MSCs or CD271+ MSCs isolated by MACS® Technology.
Tresp cells labeled with CFSE were cocultured with either CD271+ cells or PA-MSCs. Cells were stimulated by the MSC Suppression Inspector or left untreated. (A) Tresp cell proliferation was measured by flow cytometry as CFSE dilution (indicated by M1). (B) Data are presented as percentage of proliferating Tresp cells cultured in the presence of PA-MSCs or CD271+ cells in relation to Tresp cells cultured alone.
Supression of T cell proliferation by PA-MSCs or CD271+ MSCs isolated by MACS® Technology.


Вы заказчик? Предложите Golems работу над вашим следующим проектом. Фрилансер? Зарегистрируйте профиль и начинайте зарабатывать прямо сейчас.
We never stop in achieving success for customers!
GOLEMS GABB is a team of experienced developers! Our work includes strategy, design, and development across a variety of industries.
We work with clients across the Enterprise, Government, Media, Education, and Non-Profit sectors, developing successful web and content strategies, compelling user experiences, intuitive interface designs, robust content management tools, and integration with legacy systems.
As a company that specializes in open source solutions, GOLEMS GABB has invested in the health and success of the software that we use and the community that surrounds it.
- Developing custom modules, features, themes, contrib modules, rules etc.
- Maintaining, contributing and porting modules.
2000 $(W3C AA) and adaptive/responsive states.
Developed websites didn't have any conformity before W3C AA.
The W3C AA has been developed. Also, module https://www.drupal.org/project/fluidui has been applied. Because this module makes the web site more convenient and accessible to people with disabilities.
- to add underscores to all links.
We decided to develop our own "migration estimator" as for now there are many sites over the word that require to be migrated to Drupal 8. The main problem we wanted to solve - it is providing the exact estimation, cause it's tough to say precisely the timeline and the exact assessment. There need to investigate the website at first.
Website https://gole.ms has English and Arabic (RTL)languages.
The design, depending on the language, completely changes the structure. Not only does the text change the spelling and display to the reverse, but the design also has a mirror image for both languages.


While Facebook has been grabbing most of the headlines lately, it isn't the only company that collects a lot of data on you. Google, as many of you know, also collects a good deal of data, and one of the ways they do this is by collecting your location data. You can actually see the location data that Google has collected on you, and, if you want, delete it.
Here's what you need to know about how to see what location data Google has for you, and how to delete it on your iPhone or iPad.
All you need to do to see your Google location history is to head to your Google Maps Timeline. If you're on a mobile device with the Google Maps app installed, this link will take you to your location history inside the Google Maps app.
Tap Delete all Location History if you want to delete your entire location history from Google.
Tap the checkbox next to "I understand and want to delete."
Tap Delete Location History range if you want to delete only some of your Google location history.
Select a start date for the range of location data you want to delete. This should be the earliest date in your desired range.
Select the end date for the range of location data you want to delete. This should be the most recent date in your desired range.
Tap Delete in the top-right corner.
If you want to prevent Google from gaining any more location data on you from your iPhone or iPad, you'll want to disable location services for any of Google's apps that you have installed, including the Google search app and Google Maps.
If you've got any other questions about deleting your Google location history, let us know in the comments.


Aside from alcohol-impaired driving, another cause of accident that continues to injure or claim the lives of hundreds of individuals is boating under the influence (BUI). The official website of the U.S. Coast Guard's Boating Safety Division, named the Boating Safety Resource Center, says that BUI is just as deadly as drunk-driving, that drinking will impair a boat operator faster than a car driver, and that 1/3 of all recreational boating accidents involve alcohol-impaired operators or passengers. Because of the dangers of BUI, violators who will be caught can face imprisonment, fines and revocation of operating privileges: worse punishment will be faced by those who cause injuries or death.
The federal BUI law enforced by the United States Coast Guard is applicable to all types of boats, from large commercial ships to the smallest recreational, sporting and fishing vessels. Foreign vessels sailing through U.S. territories and U.S. ships sailing on the high seas are also subjected under this law.
Drinking alcohol or liquor, while on sea, can have worse and faster effects on a boat operator. This is due to the overall marine environment, where the boat's operator and passengers experience the sun, wind, sea water mist or spray, engine noise, vibration and motion. Thus, due to alcohol, capsizing boats and drunken passengers falling over board have become common causes of death.
Failure to pull self out of the cold water, causing hypothermia and death.
As stated in a law firm called Schuler, Halvorson, Weisser, Zoeller & Overbeck, P.A., boat accidents are some of the most potentially dangerous accidents an individual can be involved in, as victims are additionally exposed to the risk of drowning. This means that any act of recklessness while on a boat can put everyone on or near the vessel at risk. As such, it's important that negligent boat operators are held accountable when their actions result in harm to others.


Not long after Barry Andersson and I decided to shoot "Incident on Marmont Avenue" with the Canon EOS 5D Mark III, I thought it would be great to keep a 'production diary' and my plan is to share it with you – but not all at once as that would be a book (I've written over 13,000 words in my draft!). The production itself has been an incredible learning experience and I know many of you will be interested to follow along.
Tonight was a landmark night for me. The start of something exciting that I've wanted to do for a long time but didn't really know how to accomplish… nor did I really understand where it would take me, but I was excited to start.
Tonight, Barry Andersson and I decided to make one of the first Canon EOS 5D Mark III movies on the planet!
I'm actually writing this a couple of days later, but I'll write it as if I'd done it that day – simply because I should have written it down at the time, but I was too exhausted by the end of the conversation to even think about documenting it.
Let me give you a little background… Barry and I don't live in the same town. We met back at NAB 2010 and have been good friends ever since. He lives in Minnesota and I'm in St. Louis.
We were in Los Angeles for the unveiling of the Canon EOS 5D Mark III in a meeting with Canon yesterday. We had about 1.5 hours to hear about the camera from Chuck Westfall and then did a quick grab shot or two with the camera for posting on planet5D. We were both excited about the new 5D3.
Saturday, we talked about a lot of things and went to see the showing of "Act of Valor" with Shane Hurlbut (which I've written about). It was incredibly motivating to see the Canon EOS 5D Mark II up on the big screen!
I was planning on leaving town Sunday morning and I had something I wanted to pick Barry's brain about and well… it was late and we were both tired. But bless his heart, he was willing to listen.
My dilemma was about spending a pretty large chunk of money to hire a crew of 3 to go to NAB with me to film the 'traditional' booth interviews with vendors. The previous times I've been to NAB, I did all the interviews by myself and I've learned that the best way to accomplish them is with a small crew. When I did them by myself, it was virtually impossible to shoot, edit, and then upload them to my blog. There was just too much to do during the day at NAB!
So, the right way to accomplish it and to have timely reports on the blog is to hire a crew to do it. And I figured at a minimum, that'd be about $5000.
The more Barry and I talked, the more it became obvious to both of us that tho news coverage is important for my blog, the expense just wasn't going to bring in new readers nor would readers likely to leave forever and not come back to planet5D just because I didn't have full NAB planet5D exclusive coverage. Besides, there'd be tons of other sites covering NAB and what I was going to do would have been cool and possibly unique, but it wasn't going to stand out that much against all the competition.
What would potentially bring in a bunch of new readers would be to produce a knockout short film with the 5D3. Especially if we're able to do some comparisons between the 5D2 and the 5D3 while filming. So the idea of doing a comparison while we're filming the short creeps in to the project.
We'd heard that Canon wasn't likely putting one out. Vincent Laforet said he wasn't going to do one (we found that out after the 5D3 announcement of course). So, why not put that money towards my first real short? Brilliant.
So, the project was born and we were excited! I flew home to St. Louis and Barry stayed in LA to work on a few things.


text:
What the BES face to face poll tells us about what went wrong
One of the key bits of evidence on why the polls got it wrong has today popped into the public domain – the British Election Study face to face survey. The data itself is downloadable here if you have SPSS or Stata, and the BES team have written about it here and here. The BES has two elements – an online panel study, going back to the same people before, during and after the election campaign, and a post-election random face-to-face study, allowing comparison with similar samples going back to the 1964 BES. This is the latter part.
The f2f BES poll went into the field just after the election and fieldwork was conducted up until September (proper random face-to-face polls take a very long time). On the question of how people voted in the 2015 election the topline figures were CON 41%, LAB 33%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 11%, GRN 3%. These figures are, of course, still far from perfect – the Conservatives and Labour are both too high, UKIP too low, but the gap between Labour and Conservative – the problem that bedevilled all the pre-election polls, is much closer to reality.
This is a heavy pointer towards the make-up of samples having been a cause of the polling error. If the problems had been caused by people incorrectly reporting their voting intentions ("shy Tories") or people saying they would when they did not then it is likely that exactly the same problems would have shown up in the British Election Study (indeed, given the interviewer effect those problems could have been worse). The difference between the BES f2f results and the pre-election polls suggests that the error is associated with the thing that makes the BES f2f so different from the pre-election polls – the way it is sampled.
As regular readers will know, most published opinion polls are not actually random. Most online polls are conducted using panels of volunteers, with respondents selected using demographic quotas to model the British public as closely as possible. Telephone polls are quasi-random, since they do at least select randomised numbers to call, but the fact that not everyone has a landline and that the overwhelming majority of people do not answer the call or agree to take part means the end results is not really close to a random sample. The British Election Study was a proper randomised study – it randomly picked consistencies, then addresses within in them, then a person at that address. The interviewer then repeatedly attempted to contact that specific person to take part (in a couple of cases up to 16 times!). The response rate was 56%.
Looking at Jon Mellon's write up, this ties in well with the idea that polls were not including enough of the sort of people who don't vote. One of the things that pollsters have flagged up in the investigations of what went wrong is that they found less of a gap in people's reported likelihood of voting between young and old people than in the past, suggesting polls might no longer be correctly picking up the differential turnout between different social groups. The f2f BES poll did this far better. Another clue is in the comparison between whether people voted, and how difficult it was to get them to participate in the survey – amongst people who the BES managed to contact on their first attempt 77% said they had voted in the election, among those who took six or more goes only 74% voted. A small difference in the bigger scheme of things, but perhaps indicative.
This helps us diagnose the problem at the election – but it still leaves the question of how to solve it. I should pre-empt a couple of wrong conclusions that people will jump to. One is the idea polls should go back to face-to-face – this mixes up mode (whether a poll is done by phone, in person, or online) with sampling (how the people who take part in the poll are selected). The British Election Study poll appears to have got it right because of its sampling (because it was random), not because of its mode (because it was face-to-face). The two do not necessarily go hand-in-hand: when face-to-face polling used to be the norm in the 1980s it wasn't done using random sampling, it was done using quota sampling. Rather than asking interviewers to contact a specific randomly selected person and to attempt contact time and again, interviewers were given a quota of, say, five middle-aged men, and any old middle-aged men would do.
That, of course, leads to the next obvious question of why don't pollsters move to genuine random samples? The simple answers there are cost and time. I think most people in market research would agree a proper random sample like the BES is the ideal, but the cost is exponentially higher. This isn't more expensive in the sense of "well, they should pay a bit if they want better results" type way – it's more expensive as in a completely difference scale of expense, the difference between a couple of thousand and a couple of hundred thousand. No media outlet could ever justify the cost of a full scale random poll, it's just not ever going to happen. It's a shame, I for one would obviously be delighted were I to live in a world where people were willing to pay hundreds of thousands of pounds for polls, but such is life. Things like the BES only exist because of big funding grants from the ESRC (and at some elections that has need to be matched by grants from other charitable trusts).
The public opinion poll industry has always been about a finding a way of measuring public opinion that can combine accuracy with being affordable enough for people to actually buy and speedy enough to react to events, and whatever the solutions that emerge from the 2015 experience will have those same aims. Changing sampling techniques to make them resemble random sampling more could, of course, be one of the routes that companies look at. Or controlling their sampling and weighting in ways to better address shortcomings of the sampling. Or different ways of modelling turnout, like ComRes are looking at. Or something else yet unspeculated. Time will tell.
The other important bit of evidence we are still waiting for is the BES's voter validation exercise (the large scale comparison of whether poll respondents' claims on whether they voted or not actually match up against their individual records on the marked electoral register). That will help us understand a lot more about how well or badly the polls measured turnout, and how to predict individual respondents' likelihood of voting.
Beyond that, the polling inquiry team have a meeting in January to announce their initial findings – we shall see what they come up with.
Filed under: Methodology, What went wrong
154 Responses to "What the BES face to face poll tells us about what went wrong"
Candy "I wish he never had either. It took until the 18th century to recover to the level of civilisation of the late Roman period.
I imagine someone in the late Roman era would have felt just like us – utterly secure in the belief that their way of life would just continue, after all it was already centuries old. And it just got destroyed. The stoic schools closed because they were competing with christianity. Books burnt. Educated people murdered before they could recreate the books again from memory. And in the end they achieved a single homogeneous world with just one religion, one book and one source of authority. But what a poor pathetic world it was!"
Incorrect in almost everything. I didn't want to, but I can't allow this history re-write to stand unchallenged.
Constantine did NOT adopt Christianity as the state religion of the Roman Empire – he did issue the Edict of Milan which for the first time granted toleration for Christians throughout the Roman Empire, before that Christians had suffered various persecutions for three hundred years.
There is no proof at all that the level of civilization at the start of the 4th century was in advance of all civilizations until the 18th century, I strongly dispute this without seeing the evidence.
The Roman empire was already in decline internally and externally before Constantine, that's why they had a system of dual emperors and multiple civil wars. Its internal society was fractious and it was constantly fighting external enemies (who did indeed overwhelm Rome in the end). This mythical easy security of a vast population simply did not exist.
The Roman Empire did not collapse at that time, only the Western Empire fell in the next century, the Eastern Roman Empire lasted another thousand years.
The Western Roman Empire when it fell included large numbers of Pagans or "Heretics" taking over significant areas.
The Roman Empire was not the world, not even slightly close, most of the world was never under the Roman Empire, what about China, Persia, etc.
There was not one religion, never has been, there was not one book or one source of authority, you seem to have forgotten that Hindus, Buddhists, Zoroastrians, Jews, and a huge multitude of different Pagans existed in Constantine's day far more than Christians, and continued to do so long after he was dead.
In tonight's local by-election in Watton there was, apparently, an Independent backed by UKIP and the Lib Dems. A first, and slightly bizarre if so?? The Tories took the seat (previously UKIP held) by 28 votes.
I would like to point out that national polling for the previous general election was generally more accurate than UK-wide polling.
November 21st, 2015 at 8:14 pm
It's quite simple. People interested in politics,samplers, pollsters, etc …. Are Of The Left and introduce an unwitting bias. Recruit only Tory samplers next time.
November 23rd, 2015 at 8:39 am
« Latest ICM Euro poll – Remain 46%, Leave 38% Some more EU Referendum polling data »


Upstream and downstream are connected. So are natural resources and human livelihoods. Improving the management of water resources in the Hindu Kush Himalayas means recognizing those connections and building them into policy making and development planning.
Thinking of regions in terms of their river basins is an approach that runs through much of ICIMOD's programming. Taking a "River Basin Approach" means that the livelihood needs of the millions of distant but interconnected people who live within a catchment area can be balanced with the natural functions of the river systems they rely upon.
It's a multidisciplinary management approach that fosters regional and transboundary dialogue and addresses a range of topics, from specific issues such as flood preparedness to broad areas such as cryosphere dynamics, climate change, mountain community water management, and vulnerability and adaptation.
ICIMOD's current focus is on five river basins – the Indus, Ganges, Brahmaputra, Koshi and Gandaki -- with more to be developed in the future. Goals include improved estimates of future water availability and water management strategies that effectively serve both the local communities and the vast, populous river basins as a whole.
Beyond Hydropower: Towards an Integrated Solution for Water, Energy and Food Security in South AsiaRasul, G., Neupane, N., Hussain, A. et al.
Can Control of Invasive Vegetation Improve Water and Rural Livelihood Security in Nepal?Everard, M., Gupta, N., Chapagain, P. S. et al.
Public-private partnership in enhancing farmers' adaptation to drought: Insights from the Lujiang Flatland in the Nu River (Upper Salween) valley, ChinaZhang, L., Hu, J., Li, Y. et al.
Ensuring Water Availability to Water Users through Incentive Payment for Ecosystem Services Scheme: A Case Study in a Small Hilly Town of NepalRai, R. K., Nepal, M., Bhatta, L. D. et al.
Decadal Glacial Lake Changes in the Koshi Basin, Central Himalaya, from 1977 to 2010, Derived from Landsat Satellite ImagesShrestha, F., Gao, X., Khanal, N. R. et al.
Assessment of Spatial Transferability of Process-Based Hydrological Model Parameters in Two Neighbouring Catchments in the Himalayan RegionNepal, S., Flügel, W.-A., Krause, P. et al.
Social Learning for Adaptive Delta Management: Tidal River Management in the Bangladesh DeltaMutahara, M., Warner, J. F., Wals, A. E. J. et al.
Evaluation of Gridded Precipitation Datasets for the Kabul Basin, AfghanistanGhulami, M., Babel, M. S., Shrestha, M. S. et al.
Gendered Responses to Drought in Yunnan Province, ChinaSu, Y., Bisht, S., Wilkes, A. et al.
Farmers' Responses to Climate Change Impact on Water Availability: Insights from the Indrawati Basin in NepalPradhan, N. S., Sijapati, S., Bajracharya, S. R. et al.
Himalayan Waters at the Crossroads: Issues and ChallengesMukherji, A., Molden, D., Nepal, S. et al.
Ecosystem Services and Livelihoods in a Changing Climate: Understanding Local Adaptations in the Upper Koshi, NepalBhatta, L. D., van Oort, B. E. H., Stork, N. E. et al.
An Integrated Modeling System for Estimating Glacier and Snow Melt Driven Streamflow from Remote Sensing and Earth System Data Products in the HimalayasBrown, M. E., Racoviteanu, A. E., Tarboton, D. G. et al.
Systematic Evaluation of Satellite-Based Rainfall Products over the Brahmaputra Basin for Hydrological ApplicationsBajracharya, S., Palash, W., Shrestha, M. et al.
The Unfolding Water Drama in the Anthropocene: Towards a Resilience Based Perspective on Water for Global SustainabilityRockström, J., Falkenmark, M., Allan, T. et al.
Upstream-Downstream Linkages of Hydrological Processes in the Himalayan RegionNepal, S., Flugel, W.-A., Shrestha, A. B. et al.
Struggling with Scales: Revisiting the Boundaries of River Basin ManagementWarner, J. F., Wester, P., Hoogesteger, J. et al.
Building Bridges between the Sciences and the Arts of Water Co-Operation through Collective Action – ReflectionsPatrick, M. J., Komakech, H., Mirumachi, N. et al.
The Imposition of Participation? The Case of Participatory Water Management in Coastal BangladeshDewan, C., Buisson, M.-C., Mukherji, A. et al.


text:
Paul Price may refer to:
 Paul Price (American football), American football coach in the United States
 Paul Price (basketball) (–?), American professional basketball player
 Paul Price (footballer) (born 1954), former English footballer
 Paul Price (squash player) (born 1976), squash player from Australia
 P. Buford Price, American nuclear physicist

See also
 Paul Preiss (born 1980), American actor


Comment : Cool site! Love the URL name! Great work James!
Comment : Hey... I remember this place...Its been years and its nice to see youre still around. The death of anific sites and others for fanfiction have been a real downer, thanks for being a familiar face in an uncertain present.
Comment : Nice to see youre not dead. Looking forward to anything youre coming up with next. Privately, I still hold out hope for a continuation of Ranma 17, though. It was just such a cool idea.
Comment : Very good site, dont see many doing Ranma fanfics as much anymore.


text:
H.Res.2499 May-19-09
To provide for a federally sanctioned self-determination process for the people of Puerto Rico.
To amend the Reclamation Wastewater and Groundwater Study and Facilities Act to expand the Bay Area Regional Water Recycling Program, and for other purposes.
To direct the Secretary of the Interior to continue stocking fish in certain lakes in the North Cascades National Park, Ross Lake National Recreation Area, and Lake Chelan National Recreation Area.
To direct the Secretary of the Interior to carry out a study to determine the suitability and feasibility of establishing Camp Hale as a unit of the National Park System.
To amend the Reclamation Wastewater and Groundwater Study and Facilities Act to authorize the Secretary of the Interior to participate in the Magna Water District water reuse and groundwater recharge project, and for other purposes.
To provide for a study of the engineering feasibility of a water exchange in lieu of electrification of the Chandler Pumping Plant at Prosser Diversion Dam, Washington.
S.2052 Oct-29-09
A bill to amend the Energy Policy Act of 2005 to require the Secretary of Energy to carry out a research and development and demonstration program to reduce manufacturing and construction costs relating to nuclear reactors, and for other purposes.
H.Res.2008 Apr-21-09
To authorize the Secretary of the Interior to facilitate the development of hydroelectric power on the Diamond Fork System of the Central Utah Project.
A bill to amend the Public Utility Regulatory Policies Act of 1978 to authorize the Secretary of Energy to make loans to publicly owned electric utilities to finance and refinance projects to comply with any Federal energy efficiency resource standard, and for other purposes.
To require the Secretary of the Interior to conduct a study on the feasibility and suitability of constructing a storage reservoir, outlet works, and a delivery system for the Tule River Indian Tribe of the Tule River Reservation in the State of California to provide a water supply for domestic, municipal, industrial, and agricultural purposes, and for other purposes.


Hannover, Germany. With two years still left to go before the next INTERSCHUTZ, it is already evident that the world's leading trade fair for the fire and rescue services, civil protection, safety and security is right on track. Numerous companies have already signed up to take part in 2020, such that just over half of the available space has already been booked. Significantly, one in two of the registered exhibitors comes from outside the host nation Germany. The space allocation process for the exhibition halls and pavilions has now commenced. Several new developments are in the pipeline, including changes to the site layout and plans for diverse special events. The next INTERSCHUTZ takes place from 15 to 20 June 2020 in Hannover.


VIC20 - Maze game. 1982?
[Found: Vampire's Empire] Platformer, old man in a haunted mansion?
[Found: The Magnetic Scrolls Collection Volume 1] Anyone knows this game?
[Found: Supersportic] Found a game I was trying to figure out myself.
[Found: Terry's Big Adventure] Real name of this Amiga Games "Jerry"
[Found: Goal!] Identify this music from Kim Justice's Sensible Soccer video?
[Found: Projectyle] Help name the game.


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text:
Acting Head of the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services: Who Is Andrew Slavitt?
Andrew Slavitt
Andrew Slavitt, who worked in the healthcare industry for much of his career, was named in February 2015 as the acting head of the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS). On July 9 of that year, President Barack Obama nominated Slavitt to be administrator of CMS.
Slavitt is from Evanston, Illinois, where his father Earl was an attorney. Slavitt graduated from Evanston High School in 1984 and followed in his father's footsteps to the University of Pennsylvania. He graduated from Penn in 1988 with degrees from the College of Arts and Science and the Wharton School and went on to earn an MBA from Harvard.
Slavitt initially went into investment banking, working for Goldman Sachs. Beginning in 1993, he was an associate at management consulting firm McKinsey & Co. He left in 1995 to become chief operating officer of Paula Financial, an insurance underwriter.
Slavitt switched gears in his career as a result of a tragedy. A college roommate died of a brain tumor and his widow was left with substantial medical bills despite the family having health insurance. Slavitt founded HealthAllies, a health-care shopping company, getting health-care providers to offer their services to patients for the same prices they did to insurance companies. UnitedHealth Group acquired HealthAllies in 2004 by and Slavitt began climbing the ladder there. In 2005 he moved over to Ingenix, now OptumInsight, the UnitedHealth division that provides IT services to the health-care industry, and became its CEO in 2006. In 2011 he became group executive vice president for Optum. He took time out to help fix Healthcare.gov after its shaky rollout. (He personally tried to create an account during the rollout, but it didn't work for him—he never got a confirmation email.)
Slavitt joined CMS in 2014 as Principal Deputy Administrator, having to get an "ethics waiver" from the Obama administration policy of industry executives not working for government. As he awaits confirmation, Slavitt has taken criticism from some in Congress, particularly Sen. Orrin Hatch (R-Utah) for conflicts of interest that his appointment would create. The liberal group Public Citizen also has questioned the appropriateness of the nomination.
Slavitt was based in Minnesota before his government appointment and still lives there, going home on weekends when he can. He and his wife, Lana, have two sons, Caleb and Zachary. Slavitt also serves as a director of the Special Olympics.
-Steve Straehley
Joe Schmidt 2 years ago
The bureacracy is out of control. My wife is a homecare nurse and she must spend more than twice the time filling out paperwork on her patients than the time she actually spends with them. If she were to do anything that is preventative, such as a 15 second measurement of edema without a specific order, she would be deemed in violation CMS rules. Even a patient who is experiencing progressive bed sores cannot be prescribed a cushion until it worsens, yet the injury could have been prevented. This is just one nurse of thousands, so you can imagine the number of patients who suffer needlessly simply because of a bureacracy that is administered by someone who has never worked in the "hands on" health industry. What an absolute shame.
linda 2 years ago
i hate medicare. if your going to up the monthly premium , then it should cover more than 80%! how about having it cover 90%. you always up the premium, but not the coverage. what a moneymaker you have for yourself.
Merlo M. Manaois 3 years ago
CMS has over-collected monthly premiums and nobody from the (800) 633-4227 can help us explain or dig out (research) information from the CMS Medicare Collection Center. I called on Sept. 21, Nov. 7, Nov. 21 and Nov. 23, 2015. Customer Service is saying that they do not have access to the billing/accounting section. Please stop immediately my pre-authorized checking auto-deduct. Sent that letter on ov. 7, 2015. Please help me. Merlo Manaois 571-95-9397 TA and Natalia Q. Manaois (wife)571-95-9397 TB. Call us at (323) 460-5174. Thank you very much.