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The Order of the Rose
Home » The Order of the Rose
Rebecca Drummond
The home of the Scottish Maritime Museum in Irvine is the former Engine Shop of the Scottish shipbuilding company, Alexander Stephen and Sons. These medals were awarded to the man responsible for the construction of this building at their Linthouse yard in Glasgow in 1871-2, Alexander Stephen (1832-1899).
Following the closure of Alexander Stephen and Sons in 1982, the Linthouse Engine Shop lay empty until it was salvaged by the Museum and moved to Irvine. This photograph shows the building just before it was dismantled. Image courtesy of the Scottish Maritime Museum.
In 1871, Stephen and Sons were commissioned to build three iron paddle steamers for the Brazilian Navigation Company; "Para", "Ceara" and Bahia". In July of that year, they were given two days notice that the Emperor of Brazil, Pedro II, was coming to visit the shipyard and wished to see the launch of the "Para". This prompted a frantic attempt by the yard workers to get everything ready. Sadly, despite their efforts, the launch was unsuccessful and the "Para" got stuck halfway down the slipway. Nevertheless, the Emperor was pleased that he had been able to start the "Para" on her journey to the sea. Two years later, following the completion and delivery of the three paddle steamers, he conferred the title of 'Knight Officer of the Order of the Rose' on Alexander Stephen.
Alexander Stephen (1832-1839). Stephen was the third generation of the family to be involved in shipbuilding, the company having been founded in Aberdeen in 1850. Copyright Unknown. If you can provide any further information on the copyright of this image please contact the Museum.
The Order was created in 1829 by Emperor Pedro I, Pedro II's father, to celebrate his marriage to Amélie of Leuctenberg. It has been suggested the Order was founded due to him declaring she was "…as beautiful as a rose" when he first saw her. Another explanation is that roses were Amélie's favourite flower.
The front and reverse of one of Alexander Stephen's 'Order of the Rose' Medals.
The design of the medal reflects its romantic origins. The central medallion features the intertwined initials "P" and "A" for 'Pedro' and 'Amélie', and is surrounded by the phrase "Love and Fidelity" in Latin. On the reverse is the date of their engagement, 2nd August 1829. What a lovely gesture for his new bride!
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It's such an amazing camping experience when the weather is great. Everyone relaxes, the children entertain themselves, birds sing and the sun warms our backs. There's very little work to be done and it's fantastic value for money as we don't have to go to an attraction or visit something as there are loads of free entertainment just outside. However, it doesn't always turn out the way we hope and although some tricky weather isn't a bad thing, when it really turns nasty over a long period of time we really need to prepare for it.
We've camped through rain storms, burst river banks, thunder and lightning, and hail storms. In fact you name it and we've pretty much experienced it! On one trip water came up through the ground into the tent and the camper van was dripping on the inside from condensation. It even sank five inches into the mud and was a whole heap of trouble getting out! Those cold gloomy days of non-stop heavy rain were the type that made us swear we would never go camping again, and it didn't help that the kids were frantically running around us in an attempt to entertain themselves and let off steam.
Since then we've always packed a rainy day emergency pack, which is a box full of activities and entertainment that keep the kids happy for hours and definitely help bring a better camping experience in bad weather.
First of all you should make sure you always plan ahead. Think about taking a couple of activities from book like Making Stuff For Kids or The Rainy Day Book (we love this one just for the cover!) and some of the materials you'll need to do the activities. There's nothing like settling down to be creative with the kids when you're all snug and warm and you can hear the rain hammering down outside.
The other thing we like to do with the kids is have a story bag, which has to be packed with the right bits and pieces before setting off on the trip. Our glittery colourful bag is full of small toys and trinkets. One person gets to start by picking an item out of the bag and coming up with the first bit of a story based on that item. Then when they've finished they pass the bag on to the next person who picks another item out and shapes the story around that. You get the idea. It's creative, brain taxing, gets the whole family involved and best of all its free as it is made from an old bag and bits and bobs just lying around at home. The only thing you need to add is your imagination!
Puzzles and games are perfect for keeping everyone happy for hours and for those who haven't heard already, there's a new kid on the block that's challenging the famous rubik cube to a puzzle duel. It can hypnotise the player and observers and eat the hours, with the only problem being having enough to go round.
One of the things we rate very highly is the digital reader. In these gadgets you can store your entire digital book collection and a heap of free books made available from authors who just want to get their work out there. In fact you can store enough books to keep any bookworm busy during bad weather.
This really is an amazing digital age! You can go for the Kindle, iPad, Nook or any other digital reader. If you haven't used one before then we would really recommend you get one for your next camping trip with the kids. It's worth getting even if it only comes out for the holidays as it saves packing all those books. The biggest bonus is when it's time for 'lights out' you can carry on reading your favourite novel without disturbing anyone… with only the hoot of the owl for company! Now that's happy camping!
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Christians, being wise is not just having information and sharing it. Being wise is having information and knowing WHEN to share it. God is all about preparing us, equipping us, encouraging us, and enlightening us when we have ears to hear and when we have hearts ready to receive it.
Sometimes we forget about God's divine timing, purpose, and plan, and we go around like a machine gun: popping off revelation, insights, deep things of God to whomever, whenever. We can go through seasons of discouragement or frustration because people are not listening or changing with the information we shared with them.
I know for myself, I have seen it firsthand. People may come to you…they have come to me. They tell me their problem, frustration, confusion. I know the answer, I have been there before, so instead of listening to what THEY are saying, I start talking, expecting them to start listening to what I AM saying. I think that just because I know the solution to the problem they are having, they should be ready to receive everything I say and accept it on the spot. I have found out that God will allow people to come to you, to have problems you have had, but He allows them to not be ready to receive, not to test them, but to test you.
God has all the answers to all the problems on Earth, but we do not hear Him "machine gun shouting" them down on us from the heavens. Nope. He waits, patiently I might add. He lets us vent, steam, yell, cry, whine…He still waits. Until we humble ourselves and we seek Him, desperate for a solution, willing to obey it fully, then He responds.
In that still small voice, in clear plain language, He speaks to the heart of the issue and gives profound clarity. God is Wisdom. Learn from Him. So Jesus explained, "I tell you the truth, the Son can do nothing by Himself. He does only what he sees the Father doing. Whatever the Father does, the Son also does.", John 5:19 (NLT). Let us be conformed to the likeness of Christ and fully embrace the true wisdom that God has for us to steward, for our good and His Glory, In Jesus Name, Amen.


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Thoughts on This Insane World
eBooks/Summaries
Forget Joking
My last post has received a fair amount of pushback on Twitter despite nobody seeming to be able to find any error with it (save for some typos which I am glad to have fixed). There have been claims that I was wrong to accuse anyone of dishonesty, but in terms of objective matters, The only issue I can find where anyone has said I am wrong arises where I said:
Now, any curious reader would naturally wonder, "Why is Zeke talking about what Hansen's model could have projected from 1958 to 2018 when the model was made/used in 1988?" Zeke doesn't offer an answer. In fact, he doesn't even bother to refer to the issue, not even obliquely.
Zeke tells people we shouldn't judge Hansen's model by what he guessed would happen in the future because Hansen had to try to predict things about human behavior which he couldn't possibly hope to predict, but then, Zeke silently changes the the topic. Instead of looking at what Hansen's model might say about the future (as of 1988), Zeke says we ought to look at what Hansen's model says would happen from 1958 to 2018. That's a huge change in topic, one Zeke not only fails to discuss but completely glosses over.
Is it possible Zeke doesn't understand the difference between judging a person's projections about the future on what happens in the future and judging those projections on what happened in the past? No. That'd be stupid. Zeke clearly knows better than that. He knows fully well that including 30 years of what a model says about what has already happened along with 30 years of what will happen is misleading. He does it anyway.
I can find no defense for claiming it is okay to judge the skill of a model designed to project changes for the future by using 60 years of data, 30 of which were available at the time the model was made. A model was made to try to glean insight about the future, looking at decades of data from the past, and some people 30 years later are saying it is okay to judge that model by comparing its results to data where half of that data was used in creating the model.
That claim is... well, bizarre. I was going to offer a humorous demonstration of why by creating a fake model which would generate results which claim the planet would start cooling after 1988. That obviously didn't happen, yet my fake model would pass the very same tests I criticized with flying colors. My thought was that'd be a funny way of showing how nonsensical these "tests" are.
But then I decided I didn't want to. This issue isn't one I want to joke about. The joke version of this post would have been way more fun, but it also would have been less insightful.
To start, let's go over a couple quick details. For the tests we'll be looking at today, nobody is interested in whether or not a model can actually predict what will happen in the future. Everyone agrees the famous model 1988 James Hansen came up with did a bad job of that.
People have offered various reasons for that. A Skeptical Science article says:
If we take into account the lower atmospheric greenhouse gas increases, we can compare the observed versus projected global temperature warming rates, as shown in the Advanced version of this rebuttal. To accurately predict the global warming of the past 22 years, Hansen's climate model would have needed a climate sensitivity of about 3.4°C for a doubling of atmospheric CO2. This is within the likely range of climate sensitivity values listed as 2-4.5°C by the IPCC for a doubling of CO2. It is even a bit higher than the most likely value currently widely accepted as 3°C.
In short, the main reason Hansen's 1988 warming projections were too high is that he used a climate model with a high climate sensitivity. His results are actually evidence that the true climate sensitivity parameter is within the range accepted by the IPCC.
According to this article, Hansen misjudged how much human activity there would be in the future in terms of things like burning fossil fuels, but more importantly, his model had a climate sensitivity which was too high. The article says the correct sensitivity with this data (given this particular test) would be 3.4C. Hansen's model had a sensitivity of 4.2C.
This shows two key factors at play. To predict what will happen to the climate in the future due to human activity, we need to predict what that human activity will be and how much the planet's temperatures will change in response. You might get one right and the other wrong. If so, your final results will be wrong. This means when judging a model in this way, we can't just say it got the right/wrong results. We have to consider why it did.
My post yesterday came about after a person on Twitter named Zeke Hausfather told everyone Hansen's results were wrong solely because he misjudged human activity, that if we fix that error, Hansen's results would have been spot on. Specifically:
A better test of Hansen's model is to see if the relationship between radiative forcing and temperature matches observations. This removes all the uncertainty involved in predicting future emissions, and just tests the accuracy of the physical model. 4/8
— Zeke Hausfather (@hausfath) June 22, 2018
On this more meaningful metric, Hansen's projections across all his scenarios are very similar to observations; the amount of warming we've seen (~0.45C per w/m^2) is nearly identical to Hansen's projections (0.44C to 0.48C per w/m^2) between 1958 and 2017: 5/8 pic.twitter.com/E7nXyeIA9z
I take issue with this "test" for a number of reasons, but let's finish examining his case before going into that. Zeke went on to say:
This is even more clear if we compare the trends (the linear relationship between forcing and temperature) between Hansen's model and observations: 6/8 pic.twitter.com/U1TgFZosHi
In an informative RealClimate post today, @ClimateOfGavin estimates how temperatures would have changed over time if Hansen's model used our current best estimate of observed radiative forcing: https://t.co/0fYJxvfp2d 7/8 pic.twitter.com/waBeoypy0v
The image Zeke offers here shows an incredible match between the trend lines of each of the scenarios Hansen's model considered and the trend line with actual results. The relationship between the change in radiative forcing (basically, human activity) and the change in temperatures projected by Hansen is nearly identical to the observed relationship. That indicates his model was awesome.
Only, when you look into it, nothing about that seems true. First, there's a small oddity where the chart has labels saying "since 1960" yet Zeke's tweets said the results were since 1958. What period was actually used? I don't know. One thing I do know is predicting a relationship between two variables over the period 1958-2018 in 1988 would be far, far easier than predicting the same relationship over the period 1989-2018. That's because predicting results you already have is quite easy to do.
Additionally, I know the lines shown here are not "trend lines" in any meaningful sense. As I wrote in my last post:
The lines Zeke shows are meaningless. What he did was create two linear models over data and generate the slope of the line created by those models. That slope was in the form of Ax + By, with A being the slope and B being some constant value added to it (thus setting the baseline for the model).
Each model had its own A and B. Zeke decided he wanted to show what each model's A value was. However, he knew showing a single numerical value for each A would be uninteresting to most. So instead, he decided not to show what A's value was. Instead, he decided to create a graph with a line whose slope was A for each model. That is, to compare single numerical values, Zeke decided to show a graph whose results relied upon multiple parameters... and pretend that was the same thing. The most immediate impact is showing lines like this makes the visual impact far greater than just showing numerical values (e.g. .44 and .48 seem nowhere near as similar as lines in that graph). Another impact, however, is the B parameter in Zeke's models. He simply ignored it. He calculated that parameter, then he... just threw it away because accurately showing his results would not create as compelling an image as what he could create via deceit.
There is more to say about that, but the point is the "trend lines" shown in this figure are really just single numerical values given as parameters by linear models. Zeke has, for whatever reason, chosen not to show them as single numerical values. Instead, he shows them as lines whose length is fixed by the range of the underlying data. Why? I have no idea. If I want to compare the speed of two cards, I say one is going 40 MPH while the other is going 50 MPH. I don't create graphs with lines whose slopes are those values.
But... whatever. Zeke chose to use this approach so let's roll with it. An obvious question is what would Zeke's approach give if we didn't include data in our verification tests for a model which was used in making the model? Zeke provided an answer. Here are two graphs he provided in it:
The one chart says "since 1990" but it's not clear if that is really 1990 as the other chart says "since 1960" while Zeke himself said the results were for 1958 on. I won't try to guess what the right years are. What I will do is note Zeke says "whether or not you test Hansen's model against obs from when his runs begin (1958) or when they were published (1988) does not meaningfully change the results. Both are reasonable choices..."
I have an incredibly difficult time reconciling that claim with what I actually see. To consider it more clearly, let's extend those "trend lines" to better show what the relationships they represent are:
In one chart, Zeke shows four lines which are virtually identical. In this chart, we see lines with significant visual differences. It may be that Zeke does not consider such differences "meaningful," but I do. I am sure at least some other people would as well.
Even people who don't think the visual differences are "meaningful" are likely to agree the differences are meaningful when they consider the numerical values. As a rough eyeball estimate, the red line (Scenario A) has a sensitivity of ~0.4C to every 1 w/m^2. The green line (scenario C) has a sensitivity of ~0.8C to 1 w/m^2. That's twice as large.
I can't understand how Zeke concludes there is no meaningful difference between having a variance of ~10% and having a variance of ~100%. The fact including the 1958-1988 period in ones test decreases the variance by An order of magnitude seems to show exactly why you shouldn't include data used in creating a model in your verification tests of that model.
Let's redo this ourselves. NASA GISS published data files for Hansen's 1988 paper listing the radiative forcing and temperature values used in and generated by his three scenarios. To begin, I read the two tables into variables forcings and temps. I then create two plots With colors chosen to match Zeke's for each scenario, giving these two charts:
Those seem to match Hansen's published figures, though the data files don't contain observed data (as such observations didn't exist at the time). This means we won't be able to check Zeke's black lines, but we should be able to look into the results he provides for Scenarios A, B and C. Doing so is as simple as performing basic linear fits. First, we'll do so over the full 60 year period 1958-2017:
> lm(temps[1:60,2]~forcings[1:60,2])
lm(formula = temps[1:60, 2] ~ forcings[1:60, 2])
Coefficients:
(Intercept)  forcings[1:60, 2]
-0.1043             0.4198
Zeke said, "Hansen's projections (0.44C to 0.48C per w/m^2) between 1958 and 2017" which is close, but not quite the same as what I get. The results I get are .42C for Scenario A, .47 for Scenario B and .46 for Scenario C. Let's try doing the same thing, but only looking at data for 1988 on (perhaps 1989 should be used as the starting point, but I like having 30 years for the round number):
> lm(temps[31:60,2]~forcings[31:60,2])
lm(formula = temps[31:60, 2] ~ forcings[31:60, 2])
(Intercept) forcings[31:60, 2]
-0.3581 0.5839
-0.6806 0.8684 >
The ratios in this case are .38C (per w/m^2) for Scenario A, 0.58C for Scenaio B and 0.87c for Scenario C. That matches Zeke's results to a large extent, with the sensitivity for Scenario C being more than double the sensitivity for Scenario A. But when we plot the lines given by these models:
We see the lines are even more divergent than Zeke showed. The reason for this can be found in what I said yesterday, quoted above:
Why did Zeke choose to ignore one of his model parameters while claiming to present "trend lines," aligning the series to maximize their apparent agreement? I don't know.
Why did Zeke choose to promote the near-perfect verification results he got for Hansen's model when half of the data used in that test was also used in creating the model? I don't know.
Why did Zeke say going from having one's climate sensitivity values be almost identical to having one be more than twice as large as another isn't meaningful? I don'r know.
What I do know is every single decision Zeke made downplayed the uncertainties/errors in Hansen's model, and he was completely aware they would each do so.
There are a ton of other questions, concerns and problems with Zeke's defense of Hansen's model. I'm not going to try to cover all of them. I'm not here to try to say Hansen's model was "good" or "bad." I'm here to say when climate communicators tweet out statements like:
Hansen's projections across all his scenarios are very similar to observations; the amount of warming we've seen (~0.45C per w/m^2) is nearly identical to Hansen's projections (0.44C to 0.48C per w/m^2) between 1958 and 2017:
And that's considered normal and acceptable despite charts like the last one I created, it isn't difficult to see why climate communicators constantly run into problems with people mistrusting them. If climate communicators want to gain the trust of more people, the first thing they should do is be up front and clear about uncertainties, questions and errors. As long as they don't, people will rightly mistrust them.
Posted in Uncategorized on June 27, 2018 by Brandon Shollenberger.	2 Comments
← Thirty Years of Nonsense	Does Anyone Else Think This is a Problem? →
There's about 200 odd comments on this subject over at ATTP - if your
will to live is strong enough. People (again, on all sides) seem to have
very low standards if something confirms what they already believe. If
it supports a particular POV, no matter how tendentious or even
wishfully interpreted, it becomes part of a 'consilience' of 'evidence'.
Brandon Shollenberger says:
I was banned from that aite years ago, even though I never did anything there which was remotely out of line. Anders just didn't like that I implied he was being dishonest in an exchange we had here (he was being dishonest) so he banned me from his site.
But yeah, people's standards are not the same for things they like and things they dislike. See my latest post for an example. Or the poat I hope to write today. Not sure I'll be able to get it done though. I broke my finger yesterday. Typing is a bit rough now.


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CageSport 60 Results and Fight Night Photo Gallery
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Bellator 143: Warren vs. Davis Weigh-in Video and Results
Jack Hermansson (T) (Keith MIlls/Sherdog)
Toe-to-Toe: UFC on ESPN 19 Preview and Predictions
Matthew Petela and Andrew Sumian November 30, 2020
The middleweight division is playing a game of musical chairs right now. After Kevin Holland tested positive for COVID-19, he was rescheduled for a date with Ronaldo "Jacare" Souza at UFC 256 on Dec. 12. This left Jack Hermansson in need of a new match-up, which comes in the form of Jacare's original intended foe, Marvin Vettori. The rising Italian star joins Hermansson in the main event for this weekend's UFC on ESPN 19 card.
Hermansson bounced back nicely from a TKO loss to Jared Cannonier with a heel-hook victory over Kelvin Gastelum in July. Vettori will look to move his winning streak to four fights this weekend. The 27-year-old's most recent outing resulted in a first-round submission finish of Karl Roberson. The Italian's last loss came in a split decision against current middleweight kingpin Israel Adesanya.
In the co-headliner, Ovince St. Preux makes his second walk to the cage back at light heavyweight, where he once challenged for the title, after a one-off heavyweight fight against Ben Rothwell. His opponent will be rising star and undefeated prospect Jamahal Hill. Hill's last outing ended in a first-round TKO of Klidson Abreu that was only slightly tarnished by his positive test for marijuana.
The ladies also feature prominently on the main card when flyweight Taila Santos takes on Montana De La Rosa. Santos will try to move her UFC record to 2-1. She dropped her promotional debut to Mara Romero Borella, but evened out her UFC record with a win over Molly McCann. De La Rosa is coming off a loss to Viviane Araujo and needs a win to avoid going 1-3 over her last four contests.
The main card also features a slugfest at light heavyweight between Roman Dolidze and John Allan, as well as a featherweight contest between unbeaten Movsar Evloev and Nate "The Train" Landwehr.
Once again, the UFC Apex in Las Vegas will be the host venue for this event in a fan-free environment due to the ongoing coronavirus pandemic. UFC on ESPN 19 kicks off with the prelims at 7 p.m. ET and the main card following at 10 p.m. ET. The entire card can be seen on ESPN+ and ESPN2. Combat Press writers Andrew Sumian and Matt Petela preview the action this week as they go Toe-to-Toe.
Every time Jack Hermansson gains a little bit of momentum, somebody comes along and knocks him off track. He's once again in a good spot following the win over Kelvin Gastelum. Can the middleweight contender keep it rolling when he meets Marvin Vettori?
Sumian: It is very effortless to forget just how good Hermansson has been since his UFC debut in 2016. The Swedish native joined the UFC in September of that year after compiling a 13-2 record and has since extended his overall mark to 21-5 by turning in eight UFC victories through 13 appearances with the company. Prior to suffering a second-round TKO to Jared Cannonier in September 2019, the "Joker" was on one of the hottest winning streaks in the middleweight division, which included victories over Thales Leites, David Branch and Jacare. He rebounded successfully in July with the swift first-round submission of Gastelum to regain his contender status.
Hermansson is currently averaging 4.90 significant strikes per minute, less than two significant strikes absorbed per minute, and a daunting 2.38 takedowns per 15 minutes. The Swede, who stands 6-foot-1 and boasts a 77.5-inch reach advantage, is a problem for any top-15 middleweight.
Vettori might just be the most prominent UFC middleweight prospect in the game today. The Italian native made his Octagon debut in the month prior to Hermansson's first UFC fight, and he has thus far compiled a 5-2-1 record in his few years with the promotion. Vettori is currently riding a three-fight winning streak at the expense of Cezar "Mutante" Ferreira, Andrew Sanchez and Karl Roberson. However, the 27-year-old is likely most known for being the only individual to win a judge's scorecard against current UFC middleweight champ Israel Adesanya. He pushed the champ for three straight rounds with constant forward movement, a consistent striking attack, and relentless persistence. Vettori, who currently sits at No. 13 in the UFC's middleweight rankings, is eager to one day earn another chance to face Adesanya. To do that, he will have to defeat Hermansson convincingly.
Prepare for an all-out war when these two men meet inside the cage on Saturday. Despite the chaos of an opponent change in the midst of a positive COVID-19 test, these guys will deliver a "Fight of the Night" candidate due to their entertaining styles and willingness to compete. The pair have combined for 28 professional finishes and have a knack for pushing the pace of any bout they are involved in for as long as it lasts.
Vettori is as tough and gritty as they come, but he has not faced even close to the level of competition Hermansson has throughout his UFC career. Hermansson will use length and reach to pick apart Vettori on the feet as Vettori moves forward in an attempt to close the distance. When it is all said and done, Hermansson will have earned a unanimous-decision victory over a very game and tenacious Vettori. Despite the loss, the Italian's stock and ranking will undoubtedly rise. Meanwhile, Hermansson will earn himself a title-eliminator bout.
Petela: This fight will be more than serviceable as a last-minute replacement to the original match-up of Hermansson and Kevin Holland.
While Hermansson is the fighter more known for his submission game, it is actually Vettori who has more wins via submission (9) than his Swedish foe (6). This will be another fight where Hermansson comes out on the losing end of a contest where the risk is ultimately greater than the reward. If he were to pick up a win over Vettori, it doesn't move his status up toward title contention much. Meanwhile, a defeat will set him back a great deal. This is not because Vettori isn't an elite talent, but rather that the Italian doesn't have much name recognition outside of being the guy who went to a split decision with Adesanya.
A win over the fourth-ranked Hermansson might just be the calling card that Vettori needs to get serious attention. It will potentially do even more for him than a win over his originally scheduled opponent, Jacare. This fight will very much be a coming-out party for the Italian middleweight, who shows that not only does he have the crisper boxing of the two men in the cage but that he can also more than hold his own on the ground with "The Joker."
This card features a number of undefeated fighters with big tests in front of them. Jamahal Hill meets veteran Ovince St. Preux, Roman Dolizde clashes with John Allan, Movsar Evloev draws Nate Landwehr, Jordan Leavitt meets Matt Wiman, and submission specialist Ilia Topuria is tasked with Damon Jackson. Which of these undefeated fighters emerge unscathed?
Petela: Hill will make the biggest statement while keeping his undefeated record intact. A win over the former title challenger St. Preux will be the most impressive victory on his resume and a stepping stone to the upper echelon of fighters at 205 pounds.
Evloev is the other undefeated fighter who will come away with a win and have fans talking about how he's the real deal. Landwehr is coming off the best win of his career in which he outpointed Darren Elkins for a unanimous-decision win. This fight will go the distance as well, but it will be clear that Evloev's Greco-Roman wrestling background is no joke. He will use his skill set to stifle Landwehr for 15 minutes.
Don't be surprised if a few other fighters maintain their unblemished marks, but none will make quite the statement that Hill and Evloev do with their respective performances.
Sumian: It would not be a surprise if Hill and Evloev do indeed make the biggest statements in regards to retaining their undefeated streaks, but do not sleep on Dolidze and Leavitt.
Dolidze is coming off an impressive first-round knockout of Khadis Ibragimov in his July debut with the company. The Georgian native is a powerful 6-foot-3 light heavyweight who is as equally skilled in MMA as he is physically imposing. He has compiled seven victories and has finished all of his opponents. Expect that streak to continue this weekend when he takes on John Allen and scores another impressive finish.
Leavitt, who fights out of Las Vegas, has all the makings of a prospect. The 7-0 Syndicate MMA team member has finished five of his seven wins via submission and was very impressive in his Dana White's Contender Series fight in August. He secured a first-round arm-triangle choke to submit Jose Flores. Now, the 5-foot-11 lightweight looks to extend his undefeated streak in a UFC debut bout with veteran Matt Wiman, who is currently on a two-fight skid. The younger and fresher Leavitt will push the pace and turn in a dominant performance on his way to a unanimous-decision victory.
Jimmy Flick and Jordan Leavitt — do we need to know these names?
Sumian: I've already voiced my opinion on Leavitt above, so let's move on to Flick, who joins the UFC bantamweight division after securing a third-round arm-triangle choke on Nate Smith in their September fight on the Contender Series. The 30-year-old Flick boasts a 15-5 career mark and is currently riding a three-fight winning streak. He has established himself as a submission specialist by defeating 13 of his 15 victories via tapout.
Flick draws Cody Durden, who is coming off a draw to Chris Gutierrez in August. Flick and Durden have combined for 23 professional finishes and will most certainly put on a show this weekend.
Petela: I'm not sold on either newcomer.
Flick is certainly a talented submission artist, but he'll get exposed as a one-trick pony once he steps in the cage with elite talent.
Leavitt is undefeated and picked up a win over Leivon Lewis in the Legacy Fighting Alliance, but he has only seven fights under his belt and might not be ready to compete at the highest level just yet. Hopefully a rocky start doesn't derail the potential he has for a successful career in the long run.
What one fighter's UFC career is on the ropes at this event?
Petela: Gian Villante. The Long Island native has not looked good recently. His move up to heavyweight was puzzling, because he wasn't a particularly big light heavyweight. He looked out of shape in his first fight in the division against Maurice Geene and lost by submission in a peculiar manner that had fans wondering whether it was more of a tap due to exhaustion than the choke. He's 2-5 over his last seven fights, and the two wins have been by split decision. Villante has a winnable bout against Jake Collier this weekend, but a loss would very likely be the end of the road for him.
Sumian: Matt Wiman. Despite being a seasoned and at times very successful UFC veteran, the 37-year-old has not been able to keep up with the new blood in the UFC. He has suffered back-to-back losses since coming back to the UFC after a nearly five-year hiatus from the sport. Wiman is as tough as they come, but he will suffer a third-straight loss this weekend against Leavitt and likely leave the UFC for good.
Which fight is the sleeper match-up on this card?
Sumian: Damon Jackson and Ilia Topuria. The pair have combined for 21 submission victories and are currently riding notable streaks heading into their bout on Saturday. Jackson is 7-1 in his last eight bouts and is coming off a September 2019 "Performance of the Night" in a submission victory over Mirsad Bektić. Topuria is one of the many notable undefeated fighters on the card who is making his sophomore UFC appearance. Both will look to extend their respective streaks and engage in an incredible submission chess match for the ages.
Petela: The women's flyweight battle between Taila Santos and Montana De La Rosa. Santos prefers to get her work done on the feet, where she's recorded 10 knockout finishes. De La Rosa, on the other hand, has picked up eight of her 11 wins by submission. Can Santos keep the action standing? How she will fare once she gets taken down and into the grappling realm with De La Rosa? Those questions and the answers this fight provides will make it one that's fun to watch.
Pair this card with…
Petela: A six-pack of Miller Lite. This card has been shifted around, and the main event is very much like a last-minute sixer you grab on your way home after realizing your refrigerator is empty. It won't be special. It won't be memorable. However, it will satisfy the urge.
Sumian: That last-minute kickback on a Saturday night that ends up being extremely fun. You know the one: you have no plans and get that 6:50 p.m. call from one of your friends. You decide to get together. A quick market run follows, where you pick up the first chips, soft drinks and booze you see before heading home to hang out. It ends in a night full of fun performances and exciting finishes that is only sweetened by the fact that you entered with little to no expectations.
Fight Picks
Fight Sumian's Pick Petela's Pick
Main Card (ESPN+ and ESPN2, 10 p.m. ET)
MW: Jack Hermansson vs. Marvin Vettori Hermansson Vettori
LHW: Ovince St. Preux vs. Jamahal Hill Hill Hill
Women's FlyW: Taila Santos vs. Montana De La Rosa De La Rosa De La Rosa
LHW: Roman Dolidze vs. John Allan Dolidze Dolidze
FW: Movsar Evloev vs. Nate Landwehr Evloev Evloev
Preliminary Card (ESPN+ and ESPN2, 7 p.m. ET)
HW: Gian Villante vs. Jake Collier Villante Collier
LW: Matt Wiman vs. Jordan Leavitt Leavitt Wiman
FlyW: Jimmy Flick vs. Cody Durden Flick Flick
FW: Damon Jackson vs. Ilia Topuria Jackson Jackson
FW: Gabriel Benitez vs. Justin Jaynes Jaynes Benitez
BW: Louis Smolka vs. Jose Alberto Quiñonez Smolka Smolka
Jack HermanssonJamahal HillMarvin VettoriMontana De La RosaOvince St. PreuxTalia SantosUFC on ESPN 19UFC Vegas 16
Dan Kuhl and Matthew Petela January 21, 2023
Fury Pro Grappling 6 Results: Robertson and Hooper Win by Submission
Dan Kuhl December 30, 2022
UFC Fight Night Results: Thompson Tops Holland After Four Rounds
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland Preview and Predictions
Matthew Petela and Dan Kuhl November 30, 2022


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Jackie Harrington – "Once in a Lifetime"
Ever wonder why some artists never really capture every drip of the magic of love? It just seems strange how some artists fail to establish the sense of floating, that feeling of warmth that won't go away. Love is such a magical thing, and it may be different for different people, as we all are different individuals with different situations. But the feeling of gratification and contentment is commune to all mortals, especially after a moment of suffering. For me, the first time I heard the new single, "Once in a Lifetime", by Austin, Texas based artist, Jackie Harrington, I felt the hairs on every part of my anatomy shiver. Spiritually inclined, the track was born out of the trials and tribulations of a mother fighting for her once incarcerated son. Its story, and evolving testimony, is an affirmation of two essential words for this talented songstress – LOVE and FAITH.
Our ability to love and have faith, is what ultimately drives us to surpass the obstacles life puts along our pathway. Love and faith are terms that Jackie is able to perfectly translate through her music and voice, on "Once in a Lifetime".
This track is simply haunting and uplifting, maybe that's why I get tingles listening to it, whilst honestly summing up what true love is – and not just the good bits – in a way that you need to hear to truly appreciate. Lying eyes closed you can picture your past, present and future – and the stress and strain of your world will appear to vanish before the powerful messages Jackie delivers here. The lady is simply anointed.
"Once in a Lifetime" rides on a phat beat and tasty production, in a nu-old-school way. Gospel has a huge impact on the beauty of this record. And there is a whole lot more, with Jackie's lead melody and the rich harmonies adding gale-force impact.
It is touching, genuine, thought provoking, and shows all sides of our heart guided by faith. Jackie Harrington is one of a selected, who are chiseling at the foundations of an industry which is shoveling meaningless junk down our throats. She is soulful yet languid, as she effortlessly captures the multidimensional nature of black womanhood inspired by faith.
The confidence shown on "Once in a Lifetime" is both comforting and admirable – a reminder of her natural skills. Running through the rest of the songs in this collection, you realize that Jackie has the ability to be subdued, implicit, yet bombastic; she can be calm, collected, and cool…and she knows it.
On "Journey" ft. Toma Johnson, Jackie soars with urban urgency backed by a hip-hop beat, while on "Sinners Pray" she brings forth her soulful nuanced tones in a mid-tempo ballad. Her honey molasses voice will coat all your senses. She is a true artist who knows how to express music that's made to touch the heart, spirit, and soul.
Her sophistication and class shines on "Trust You Always". With many artists, the ballad can sometimes be interpreted as being corny, but Jackie gives it the passion that demands listeners to feel the words she pushes from her lips and soul. That's why her songs unfold almost cinematically in our ears.
"Once in a Lifetime" is definitely a set of experiences, not just another project. It would be an extreme injustice not to share how heavily anointed these experiences are. Jackie Harrington possesses a unique combination of amazing vocals and a pure heart of worship towards a Lord whom she seems to know intimately.
Every song on this EP is an invitation to experience the dynamic and healing presence of God throughout our experiences. Jackie Harrington is a powerful vessel confirming the goodness and glory of God. At the same time though, her music is able to reach far beyond the boundaries of Gospel, and almost anyone can find meaning in "Once in a Lifetime".
OFFICIAL LINKS: WEBSITE – SHOP – AMAZON – APPLE – YOUTUBE – SPOTIFY
tagsJackie Harrington Once in a Lifetime


It can be a complex process to pick out a new vehicle and we here at Hertz, understand that. We want to make this process as simple for our clients as we can which is why we utilize a Rent2Buy program which gives you the ability to test drive some vehicles and take them home for up to three days before making another selection or making the final decision to purchase. Our trade in process is very simple as is our purchase program, which we allow you to do from the comfort of your very own home.
We also offer competitive pricing and you will find you are getting the best price possible the second you walk in the door. We don't take up valuable time making you negotiate for a vehicle that you are interested in.


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NBA Player Props & Picks: Kevin Durant & Jalen Brunson Lead Sunday's Top Bets (Dec. 12)
Mike Stobe/Getty Images. Pictured: Kevin Durant
Tyler Schmidt
The props that caught my eye tonight are in situations where an All-Star is missing from each player's team. Kevin Durant and Jalen Brunson should benefit greatly with the extra usage that they will see tonight. Let's dive in!
We'll be using the Action Labs Player Prop tool to compare our NBA projections to the props posted at a variety of sportsbooks. Below, I have laid out two prop bets that I'm playing, the case for each bet and the best books to find odds on those player props.
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NBA Player Props & Picks
Kevin Durant, Over 28.5 Points (-116)
Pistons vs. Nets Nets -7
Time | TV 6 p.m. ET | NBA League Pass
Best Book FanDuel
The best team in the Eastern Conference takes on the worst team in the Eastern Conference tonight as the 18-8 Brooklyn Nets go on the road to take on the 4-21 Detroit Pistons.
The Nets are resting James Harden tonight in what will be his first missed game of the year. Two games ago, Kevin Durant rested and Harden nearly had a triple-double. Now it is Durant's turn to see what he can do leading the Nets.
Durant is leading the league in points this season, scoring 28.5 per game. He is shooting a ridiculous 53% from the field, and his 19.7 field goal attempts per game are the highest he has averaged since the 2013-14 season. Using our FantasyLabs On/Off tool, Durant has a +4.6% usage rate with Harden off of the floor this season. He should see a lot of extra work in this game.
The matchup for Durant and the Nets is fantastic. The Pistons rank 22nd in Defensive Rating this season and have allowed 109.2 points per game. Opponents have been extremely efficient against them shooting a league-high 47.8% from the field.
They are also playing without their top wing defender Jerami Grant who is out due to injury, so Durant should be able to get whatever shot that he wants tonight. He has shot 22 or more field goals in three consecutive games. Without Harden, he should be in line for four-straight.
The best value on Durant's points prop right now is on FanDuel, but make sure to shop around to see if you can find something better. I would take this prop up to 29.5 points tonight. Durant is averaging 29.8 points per game in his last six games. Look for Durant to take control of this game scoring the ball.
BetMGM Bet $10, Win $200 if the Nets Hit a 3! NJ, MI, AZ, PA, WV, IN, IA, TN, VA, CO, DC CLAIM YOUR $200
Jalen Brunson, Over 6.5 Assists (-145)
Thunder vs. Mavericks Mavericks -4
Best Book DraftKings
The Dallas Mavericks have lost nine of their last 12 games but are still four-point favorites tonight on the road against the 8-17 Oklahoma City Thunder. That is even without their All-Star point guard Luka Doncic, who is out due to injury.
This will be Doncic's fifth game missed this season due to injury, so we have a little bit of a sample size of games without him. The main beneficiary of Doncic's missed time has been back-up point guard Jalen Brunson. Brunson has played 35.8 minutes per game in four games that Doncic has missed and has been productive during that time by averaging 17.8 points and 8.8 assists per game.
Brunson only averages 4.0 assists per game with Doncic playing so that increase of 4.8 assists per game without Doncic is massive. Brunson will be the main ball handler tonight, and I think he can easily get over this 6.5 assist prop.
Brunson has a favorable matchup as the main ball handler as the Thunder rank 20th in Defensive Rating and are allowing 108.4 points per game. They are also allowing 24.8 assists per game this season, which is the eighth-worst mark in the league. This game has the lowest total on the slate at 207.5 points, but Brunson should be heavily involved.
If we can get better value for Brunson at 7.5 assists tonight I would take it. The value we have on his 6.5 assists isn't all that great, but I still think he flies over this mark tonight.
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The Elder Scrolls Online is a massively multiplayer online role-playing (MMORPG) developed by ZeniMax Online Studios and published by Bethesda Softworks. It was originally released for PC and OS X on April 4, 2014, but has since been released for Xbox 1 and PS4 also. It is a part of The Elder Scrolls series, and the first multiplayer game of its kind.
The Elder Scrolls Online team spent over seven years working on it until it was finally released in 2014. It initially received a fair amount of criticism, but that changed with the re-release and rebranding of The Elder Scrolls Online: Tamriel Unlimited, which received mostly positive reviews and praise.
As with other games in The Elder Scrolls series, the game is set in the continent of Tamriel and features a storyline indirectly connected with previous titles.
As for The Elder Scrolls Online itself, the game is exceptional and has a lot going for it, such as its complex world and gritty art style.
That being said, it suffers from one of the issues that many online MMORPG's have; Grinding.
Don't get me wrong, there's a lot of exciting quests to be had, but if you want plenty of gold to spend on new gear, mounts, bank space, and anything else you can really think of, then you had best be ready to slaughter many, many monsters.
It's not all bad news though, as you can simply visit elderscrollsgold.com and pick up plenty of gold at a very reasonable price, leaving you to focus on enjoyable quests and hanging out with your in-game friends.
Many people consider buying in-game gold, but when it comes down to it they will often worry about being ripped off and decide not to, and although there's many sites available out there if you're looking to purchase currency in online games, elderscrollsgold.com is one of the best.
Plus, they offer excellent customer service and are sure to help you if this is your first time buying online gold, or have any questions about the process in general.
Along with that you're also guaranteed to get your gold quickly, unlike a couple of sites where you might have to wait a few days, or even weeks.
If you're tired of having to grind all day just to make sure you have the best gear and to keep up with your friends, then give buying gold a try!


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The Conference Facilities
The conference will be held on the campus of the University of California, Santa Barbara. The campus is located adjacent to the Santa Barbara airport and the Pacific Ocean in Goleta; free shuttle bus service from the airport is available for those attendees staying on campus only (those staying in hotels will need to secure their own transportation from the airport and to/from the University). Reasonably priced accommodations are available in the university residence halls for participants and their registered guests. See this page for price information and to register. Children under the age of 13 are not allowed to stay in the dormitories, so those bringing younger children will need to make separate arrangements in one of the nearby hotels (see Hotels, below). Parking on campus is available at no cost to participants who reside on campus, but a permit must be requested on arrival. Smoking inside campus buildings is prohibited.
Important: Bring a sweater and/or jacket. Santa Barbara can be cold at night. (This is crucial for the beach party!)
See a map of the UCSB Campus and of the Goleta area.
UCSB housing information and registration are here.
The UCSB campus is located approximately two miles from the Santa Barbara airport (code: SBA), which is served by several airlines including American, America West, Delta, United, and US Airways. Complimentary shuttle bus service will be provided between the Santa Barbara airport and the campus beginning on Saturday for early arrivals, and is also available on the last day of the conference (as well as for late departures on Friday). All major rental car agencies are represented in Santa Barbara. AMTRAK also has rail connections from both San Francisco and Los Angeles. There is also a bus that runs from LAX to Goleta (which stops 1 mile from UCSB). Santa Barbara is approximately 100 miles (160 km) north of the Los Angeles airport, and 350 miles (560 km) south of San Francisco. Information about the weather in Santa Barbara can be found here.
For those who choose not to stay in the dormitories, the following is a partial list of hotels in the area. Those who choose to stay off campus are responsible for making their own reservations. Early reservations are advised, since August is a popular season in Santa Barbara. Blocks of rooms will be reserved in the Pacifica Suites, Holiday Inn, Best Western South Coast Inn, Ramada Limited, Hotel Oceana and TheUpham Hotel & Country House.
Note that Goleta is closer to UCSB than Santa Barbara is to UCSB, but a car will probably be required to travel between any hotel and the campus. All prices are subject to change and do not include a 10-12% tax; prices should be confirmed by calling the hotels directly. Mention Crypto 2005 at UCSB when you are making your reservations, since at the following hotels you will be eligible for the university rate, which can be a significant savings. PLEASE NOTE: rates for Friday and Saturday night stayovers are significantly higher. The quality of the hotels ranges from rather expensive beach-front resorts to basic, inexpensive accommodations. For further information, try contacting the Santa Barbara Convention and Visitors Center, www.santabarbaraca.com
Pacifica Suites 5490 Hollister, Goleta, CA 93111. Phone: (805) 683-6722; Fax: (805) 683-4121. Rates: $169 single; $169 double(Sun-Thur nightly rates). Three minutes from the University. Rate includes up to two complimentary cooked-to-order breakfasts, two rooms, two TV's, microwave, stereo, refrigerator, pool and Jacuzzi. Complimentary beverages served from 5-7 pm. With 24-hour advance notice, will provide shuttle service to and from the Santa Barbara Airport, 8:00am-5:00pm.
Holiday Inn: 5650 Calle Real, Goleta, CA 93117. Phone: (805) 964-6241 ; Fax : (805) 964-8467. Rates: $149 single/double (Sun-Thur nightly rates). Five minutes from the University. Full service restaurant; heated pool in palm garden setting. Complimentary airport shuttle, 6am-10pm.
Best Western South Coast Inn: 5620 Calle Real, Goleta, CA 93117. Phone: (805) 967-3200; Fax: (805) 683-4466. Rates: $113 single/$123 double (Sun-Thur nightly rates). Five minutes from the University; newly renovated. Continental Breakfast Buffet daily. Complimentary afternoon beverages Monday through Thursday. Free local calls. Fridge, coffeemaker, hairdryer and free internet access in all rooms. Pool and spa. Morning and evening shuttle to UCSB and airport 7:30 am – 10:30 pm.
Ramada Limited: 4770 Calle Real, Santa Barbara, CA 93110. Phone: (805) 964-3511; Fax: (805) 964-0075. Rates: $125 single/double (Sun-Thur nightly rates). Five minutes from the University. Data ports for internet access. Complimentary buffet-style continental breakfast.
Hotel Oceana: 202 West Cabrillo Blvd., Santa Barbara, CA 93101. Phone: (805) 965-4577; Fax: (805) 965-9937. Rates: $159 single/$189 double (Sun-Thur nightly rates). Situated in Santa Barbara's West Beach, guests are within a stone's throw of the ocean. The hotel features sundecks, two heated pools, a Jacuzzi and beautiful parks and gardens. Hotel Oceana has all the Mediterranean charm of Santa Barbara.
The Upham Victorian Hotel and Garden Cottages: 1404 De la Vina Street, Santa Barbara, CA 93101. Phone: (805) 962-0058; Fax: (805) 963-2825. Rates: $129 single/$165 double (Sun-Thur nightly rates). A bed and breakfast in downtown Santa Barbara. Complimentary continental breakfast and afternoon refreshments provided.


However, at the time former UK quarterback Freddie Maggard — who just recently was named the director of player development at UK — warned he thought the class looked better on paper than it might on the field.
The two highest ranked players were quarterback Drew Barker and defensive lineman Matt Elam. Barker was limited by injuries and gave up his final season of eligibility. Elam played four years but not was never the defensive force he was expected to be when he picked UK over Alabama.
Safety Darius West and linebacker Denzil Ware have both been very good and could be 2019 NFL draft picks. Running back Boom Williams was a dynamic playmaker but left UK after three years and is now in the Canadian Football League.
Receiver Thaddeus Snodgrass, the highest rated receiver UK ever signed, transferred without ever making a cash at UK.
All six of those players were ranked among the nation's top 300 players.
Next on the list at No. 341 nationally was safety Mike Edwards, another likely draft pick in 2019.
Receivers Blake Bone and Garrett Johnson, who just signed a free agent contract with Chicago, were in the signing class. So was receiver Dorian Baker, who will be back for his final season this year. Defensive lineman Adrian Middleton and defensive back Kendall Randolph were both productive signees.
Offensive lineman Bunchy Stallings was not even ranked nationally but he has been the steal of the signing class. He could be in line for an all-SEC season in 2018 and NFL career after that.
Junior college signees A.J. Stamps, Ryan Flannigan and C.J. Johnson all provided help.
But look at the list of players who transferred along with Snodgrass before their eligibility expired. They include running back Mikel Horton, offensive lineman Nick Richardson, linebacker Kobie Walker, defensive lineman Lloyd Tubman, offensive lineman Josh Krok, tight end Darryl Long, offensive lineman Jarrett LaRubbio, receiver T.V. Williams, safety Jared Tucker and linebacker Nick Firios.
That's 11 players who transferred along with two — Williams and Barker — who did not use all their eligibility at UK. That's over half of the 2014 signees who did not play four years at UK.
Guess which player in the 2014 class played in the most games? That would be walk-on receiver Charles Walker, who did get a scholarship his last two years. He played in 49 of 50 games while Johnson played in 47.
"I came pretty damn close to playing in every game. I only missed one game and that was Missouri my senior year when I cracked a rib the week before the game," Walker said.
So what happened to so many of the players who came to UK at the same time as Walker? Why didn't it work for them like it did for him?
"It's just different for everyone," Walker, who has signed a free agent contract with the Detroit Lions, said. "Some didn't come from close and got homesick and missed their families.
The only words to describe this mass exodus is "over rated." Also, these coaches did not evaluate talent very well it would seem. Maggard saw that based on his statement. I would add in poor player development a problem too. It is up to Stoops and these coaches to coach them up. To me, Matt Elam was the biggest disappointment, and Barker was a miss from the get go, injuries taken into consideration. Horton was a great back, but was never able to excel at UK, which was very disappointing. Reese Phillips, while not in this class, should have been given more playing time while he was there. He transferred too, and had some critical comments about the program as I recall on his way out. It just goes to show that all the star ranking means very little sometimes, it is all about coaching and developing talent in guys that have a ton of heart and love for the game. It was a great class on paper, but not so much on the field where it counts.
Not a great resume builder for Stoops. I have been very critical of his IMO lack of coaching credentials or player development. This will be a "show us" year for Stoop-and staff and can't wait to see how season goes.
Does anyone know where Mikel Horton eventually transferred to? He was a big back that had so much potential.
This has been Stoops problem. He can't get 5 star players and can't coach up the 3 & 4 star players who have to play against 5 star talent in the SEC. If this pattern continues, KY will always be an also ran in the SEC and will struggle to get the 6 wins it needs to be bowl eligible. The real question is…who can do better at KY?
I really believe this year is a pivotal year for Stoops. The 2018 schedule is going to be a bear. The biggest problem he has, no proven QB.
On the other hand, 50% of the freshman (all) do not make it back for a second year. I am not sure about UK numbers compared to the national average. But, if all freshmen drop out at the first year, you can only imagine how much more difficult it would be if you also played a sport.


I would like you all to meet Hayley Leon, her partner Lee and there son Jacob, though it was Jacob's fight, it is the families journey and subsequent decision to become fundraisers extraordinaire that has led to their inclusion here. Not only are they raising funds to support the unit that saved their son's life but Hayley has taken an active role in helping to promote the petition for Charlie's cause Cords4Life UK as well. Recently Jacobs Journey launched their own website and Facebook page to compliment their twitter campaign.
First Hayley let me say thank you for agreeing to be interviewed and letting me ask lots of emotional questions which you have probably answered a hundred times before.
1) Jacobs Journey is a very apt name for your cause given the very real journey you have all been on with Jacob, can you tell us how it began?
Lee; When Jacob was 2 weeks old he became very poorly and began screaming and vomiting, we took him to Coventry University Hospital where they completed some basic tests and believed he had gastroenteritis, we were not happy with the results as Jacob was completely out of character appearing to be suffering with extreme pain, he would feed on milk, then vomit and start screaming, we couldn't comfort him and it was very upsetting.
We noticed Jacob's eyes were not responding normally as they appeared to be fixed in one corner, we raised this with the nurse who contacted a specialist (Dr Morgan) who checked his eyes.
Dr Morgan then immediately arranged for a CT Scan to be completed on Jacob's head, we were now feeling very worried, one minute we were told he had an upset stomach and now he was going to have a CT scan of his brain? The results came back and Dr Morgan explain that Jacob had a large mass within his brain believed to be caused by a bleed.
Obviously we broke down, when you hear of bleeds to the brain you automatically think of the worst, we were completely unable to help our son or even comfort him.
Dr Morgan arranged for Jacob to be rushed to Birmingham Children's Hospital, we had to wait while a specialist ambulance arrived, by this time our family was at the hospital and we were breaking the news to them, this was completely heartbreaking and would be the start of a journey that would change our lives forever.
The specialist ambulance arrived and Jacob had to be place onto a life support machine for the journey, this looked like an incubation chamber full of wires, tubes and equipment, we followed the ambulance to Birmingham, we were directed to ICU (Intensive Care Unit) and we had to wait while the Surgeon on duty reviewed his scans and symptoms, Mr Rodrigues then came to speak to us explaining that Jacob needed brain surgery to remove the clot and relieve the pressure within the brain that is causing the pain, we had to sign a consent form before the surgery could take place, there was a real risk of death from the operation but a certain risk of death without it, not really a choice so we both signed and put all of our hope into a man we didn't know.
Jacob was prepared for surgery, we were allowed to see him quickly before he was taken into theatre, we did not want it to be a goodbye but it had that feeling to it, we waited for several hours and then we were told the surgery was complete and Jacob was still with us, this was the first hurdle in many that Jacob will overcome, we had to wait again for them to take Jacob back to ICU and place him on life support, he was unable to breath for himself and he was incredibly weak.
Jacob was in ICU for 4 days but this felt longer, after 3 days we were given accommodation in the Hospital although Hayley didn't leave Jacobs side the whole time, our Family all took turns to visit and the support from them and friends was fantastic, we were completely torn away from our normal lives as nothing else seemed to matter.
The team at Birmingham were great, everyday in ICU there would be a different nurse looking after Jacob, we sat and watched as they constantly attended to him, feeding him through tubes and tracking his progress every hour of the day and night.
After 3 days Jacob was well enough to start breathing for himself, this was a really upsetting time as it was clear Jacob was not happy and was struggling to breath on his own, he looked confused to what was happening and it was devastating to watch him unable to pick him up and comfort him.
Jacob was taken to the Neonatel ward , this ward specialises in post ICU care and there was now 2 nurses to 4 children, we got to spend some more private time with Jacob and we able to starting picking him up briefly and feeding him normally, the care here was still fantastic and the nurses would respond to every cry. He stayed here for 8 days, in that time he had his drain removed from his head and physio started. On day 8 his surgeon was happy for us to take him home , we on the other hand were petrified, we were so scared as there was also a chance of a second bleed. Mr Rodrigues didn't know weather he had got all of the abnormal blood vessels because it was quite deep in Jacobs brain. We were sent home with weekly appointments at the hospital and for a nurse to come twice weekly to measure Jacobs head for any swelling. He also started regular physio at home. For the next 10 months our lives were consumed with Hospital visits,scans, doctors appointments, physio , twice weekly nurse visits and developmental checks.
Hayley; Seeing Jacob on life support machine is an image that will never leave my mind. In a blink of an eye my baby was taken away from his side room after being treated for a stomach bug and taken to a HDU unit where the KIDS team from BCH arrived with all their equipment . There was wires every where , a big tube in his mouth , tubes up his nose. We were briefly allowed to check in on him but we had to leave them to do their job. Myself and Lee just stared blankly at each other. We always joked that we had so much bad luck in our lives but this was something else. Why was this happening to our baby? Was it something i had done? We started to question everything! Dr Morgan (Jacobs Paediatric Consultant) was fantastic. She kept saying Jacob was having a little rest , he wasn't in pain and the KIDS team would make sure he got to BCH safely. It was some kind of nightmare we were in! Lee took it really bad. Because he had only taken a weeks paternity he was very upset that he hadn't spent enough time with him. I was trying to hold it altogether , even though I just wanted to hide in a room and cry and cry and cry!
3) Jacob has two big brothers who I am guessing were told by everybody when he was born to look after their little brother how did they cope not only with his illness but with the fact that it obviously meant a lot of time spent away from you while you were at the hospital?
Hayley; When Jacob fell ill Callum was 9 and Jack was 4. We had fantastic support from our families who all took time off to look after them and to make sure their day to day life wasn't interfered with . We didn't want them to worry. Callum was a bit wary that something was not right but Jack didn't have a clue as he was very young. We didn't want them to visit Jacob in PICU because the whole experience was not nice for anyone who came to that ward . Lots of babies and small children hooked up to ventilators was heart breaking and I kept my children away from that. They did however come to visit Jacob for a few hours when he had his drain removed. We were able to go for a walk around the hospital and grab something to eat with them. They enjoyed the visit. Callum now knows that Jacob was very poorly and has since wrote an autobiography on his short life so far.
4) I obviously got to know you through Charlie's couragous battle against cancer, how did you become involved with Cords4Life UK?
Hayley; I first found out about Charlie when we set up Jacobs Facebook group. I remember searching for Birmingham Children's Hospital and his page popped up and I have followed him ever since. There was something quite special about this little boy. I loved looking through his gorgeous smiley pictures and his family are quite simply amazing! I got to know Joey through twitter and arranged to meet them all in hospital while Charlie was having his trial drug to drop of some presents for the family . Charlie was gorgeous, and Fiona and Joey were lovely and I was very honoured that they let us visit. Jacob had a wail of a time eating biscuits and being cheeky! It is a time I will never forget as Charlie and his family changed my outlook on life.
5) I would imagine that you got to know a lot of parents during your stay at Birmingham Children's Hospital many of whom won't have been as lucky as you have been, have you ever felt I guess what would be termed as survivor guilt?
Hayley; We have never felt guilty because Jacob survived , in fact I have never even thought about this before. Myself and Lee prayed so hard for Jacob on the night of his op and we hoped our loved ones above were listening to us because we didn't want him to leave. My Grandma Died 7 days before Jacob fell ill and my family always say she left so Jacob could stay and I will always believe this.
6) I have gotten to know you well enough to become Facebook friends and have seen how well Jacob is doing but can you tell everyone where he is on terms of treatment now, and his prognosis for the future?
Hayley; Jacobs prognosis for the future is excellent. He has some left sided weakness due to the bleed but its not anything that anyone would notice. Its only something he would notice himself as he got older. He has another scan in July to check his brain and another developmental check to rule out mild cerebral palsy. The future is very bright for Jacob he is a very determined little boy!
7) Do you ever worry that it could come back given how rapidly it struck before?
Hayley; Jacobs bleed was caused by a group of malformed blood vessels in his brain which burst as they became weakened by the blood flow. His last scan showed that Jacob had no AVM in his brain and that everything was normal. We are certain that this will never happen again but he will have 2 yearly scans to double check.
8) What made you decide to fundraise for the hospital rather than merely send a thankyou card? And how would you counter those that argue we already pay for the NHS?
Hayley; When we came home from hospital , we set up a Facebook page for Jacob so we could raise money for Ward 10. No one knows if their child will ever need help from their local hospital and we all pray that this will never be the case, but we would like to know that if there was ever a need, they have the equipment, money and knowledge to be able to treat babies and children in the best possible way. Fundraising for Birmingham Children's Hospital has become my hobby and passion and along with my friends and family we will continue to help and hold events to raise as much money as possible. Some people will just send a thank you card but lots of people want to give something back, how can you ever repay someone who saved your child's life! The only way you can do this is to raise funds and make the hospital the best it can be.
9) You were honoured as one of the hundred heroes for your fundraising last year, how did that feel?
Hayley; We were over the moon when we received our award , it was lovely to know that the hospital wanted to show their appreciation. The night was filled with amazing stories of brave people who were fundraising to say thank you for all the help and support the hospital gives them.
I just want to say a huge thank you to Hayley and Lee for sharing their story and if you want to bid on anything or even maybe if any of your writers would like to sign a book and donate it to a good cause here are the links again.
Inspirational. I'm so glad Jacob survived and is doing so well. I hope Hayley and Lee's fundraising for the Hospital does really well.
Thank you for sharing this story, inspirational and heartwarming.
This is so amazing ,I am always astounded at how people always find that special extra courage in adversity!


Last night, my friend Courtney and I took on Vogue Fashion's Night Out and managed to pick up some really good bargains! I picked up a few pieces for Spring, some work shoes, and a few extra, so lets get right into it!
TBH, I'm becoming obsessed with all things linen for Spring and Summer! This yellow colour is super pretty on and it'd be perfect styled with a white tee and sneakers! It also comes in a bunch of different prints and colours.
I've always seen this store on Youtube videos so when I saw they had a store in Sydney, and had a good sale on their candles, I dived right in! This candle smells so amazing, super fruity and sweet.
Discount: already marked down from $30 to $15, but I had a $10 rewards voucher... only paid $5!
These are super comfy for work! They have a few different colours, but these dusty pink ones are so pretty! I'm really into anything pink lately, especially for Spring!
Discount: No discount, but had money left on my gift voucher.
I smelled the green/white bath bomb the other day and it is amazing so I knew I had to go back when I remembered to bring my gift card! The green/ white one is called Green Coconut and the adorable turtle one (which smells super fresh) is simply called Turtle.
Basket Weave Bag and Gold Ring belt.
A little late to the trend, but seriously better late than never. I've had my eye on it for a while, so finally took advantage of Sportsgirl's discount and bought it. It's a great size to just pop a small purse, phone and keys in.
Well there you have it! I didn't get too much, but really happy with what I did purchase.
The pastel blazer of my dreams.


text:
Biografia

Nasce a Bari nel 1940, da famiglia friulana. All'età di 7 anni perde la mamma e viene messa dal padre in orfanatrofio.

Dopo le magistrali insegna a Milano dove si sposa, nel 1981 si trasferisce a Sondrio con i suoi due figli. Dopo molti anni di insegnamento dal 1993 si dedica interamente alla scrittura poetica e allo studio dei linguaggi.

Ha pubblicato le raccolte Volo d'aquila (1985), Il viaggio e i Poliedri (1991), Tedes (1991, Premio Nazionale di Poesia "Lorenzo Montano" con nota critica di G. Gramigna), Lo stalletto e la ruota (1994), Pignarùl (2001, Premio Feronia).

È stata pubblicata nelle antologie Prove d'artista, Donne in poesia, Alfabeta (a cura di Antonio Porta), I poeti contro la mafia, L'Europa e l"altra" Europa.

Nel 2000 ha rappresentato la poesia italiana al "Premio letterario intercontinentale del Mediterraneo a Malta.

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaWikipedia


NoFo Lofts is a new mixed use development in the growing North 4th area of downtown Wilmington. The residential units are on the second level. N 4th Street is currently undergoing a renaissance with new retail and residential projects underway or planned. NoFo lofts are close to PPD, Riverwalk, future North Riverfront Park and new marina development. This 3 bedroom 2 1/2 bathroom Loft looks over North 4th Street. The master bedroom suite is downstairs and the other 2 bedrooms on the spacious loft level. In addition to the private walk-out balcony, the loft will have access to a customized resident's only 3200 SF roof top deck with its own entertaining kitchen and dining area, fire pits, outside showers, rooftop gardens an incredible view of the city River.Private parking is available.


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The Night Revels of Han Xizai or The Night Entertainments of Han Xizai () is a painted handscroll attributed to Chinese 10th-century artist Gu Hongzhong. The painting depicts Han Xizai, a minister from Southern Tang under the imperial government of emperor Li Yu, accompanied with realistic portrayals of more than forty people. Two copies of the artwork survived: a reproduction from the Song Dynasty, currently housed in the Palace Museum at Beijing; and a replica from the Ming Dynasty, under the collection of the Three Gorges Museum at Chongqing. The painting is highly regarded as one of the greatest masterpieces of Chinese art.

Creation
Gu Hongzhong was reportedly sent to spy on Han Xizai. In one version of the story, Han Xizai repeatedly missed morning audiences with Li Yu because of his revelry and needed to be shamed into dignified behavior. In another version, Han Xizai refused Li Yu's offer to become prime minister.
To check Han's suitability and find out what he was doing at home, Li Yu sent Gu Hongzhong alongside another court painter, Zhou Wenju, to one of Han's night parties and depict what they saw. Each of two painters created a painting based on their observation after a night of partying. Unlike Gu's painting, the one made by Zhou was subsequently lost.

Composition

The painting is divided into five distinct parts and contains a seal of Shi Miyuan, a Song dynasty official. Viewed from right to left, the parts show Han Xizai listening to a pipa, striking a drum for dancers, resting, watching five female musicians playing flutes, and seeing off his guests. While in the early Tang period, musicians played sitting on floor mats, the painting shows them sitting on chairs, demonstrating the change that had occurred. Gu purposely created a somber ambiance, with none of the depicted persons smiling. The painting helped Li Yu dispel some of his distrust in Han, but did little to prevent the decline of Li's dynasty.

"The first of the five scenes that make up the painting shows the enjoyment of music. With high hat and full beard, Han Xizai is sitting on a couch with red-robed Lang Can, a scholar who ranked first in the highest imperial examination. They are listening attentively to a pipa lute (a stringed musical instrument) played by the sister of Li Jiaming, assistant director of the Imperial Theatre and Music Academy, who sits watchfully by her side. The girl in light blue is Wang Wushan, a talented dancer serving Han Xizai. The man standing behind her is Han's student Shu Ya. Seated near the table are two guests, Chen Zhiyong, an official in charge of rites, and his student Zhu Xian.

In the second scene, Wang Wushan is dancing to the beats of a drum that Han Xizai is striking. Everybody is focusing on her movements except Han's friend the monk Deming, who crosses his hands in front of his chest and bows his head. Although embarrassed, he cannot help but listen to the beats. In the third scene, surrounded by four female companions, Han is resting on a couch washing his hands in a basin. The fourth scene depicts the five females playing flutes. Han Xizai sits in a chair, cross-legged with his robe unbuttoned. In the fifth scene, Han holds two drumsticks in his right hand and waves goodbye to his guests with his left hand. A male guest is whispering to a maid behind Han. The five discrete scenes are artfully linked by screens.

There remains an inscription about Han Xizai, twenty words in length, at the beginning of the scroll by a collector of the Southern Song. The Ming calligrapher Cheng Nanyun (active early fifteenth century) wrote a three-word title "Night Revelry" (Yeyan tu). At the end of the scroll a label in running script reads A Brief Biography of Han Xizai (Han Xizai xiaozhuan) with several authentication seals. The Qing emperor Qianlong (r. 1736-1795) also inscribed a colophon after the painting. The painting was included in The Precious Collection of the Stone Moat: the First Edition (Shiqu baoji), a catalogue of the Qianlong Emperor's calligraphy and painting collection."

References

External links
Entry at the Palace Museum website

Chinese paintings
10th-century paintings
12th-century paintings
Southern Tang


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[Rs] joyce kennedy - misunderstood (ran - dee 110) 1963
Refosoul Gold Band
Gold Band 286
Title: joyce kennedy - misunderstood (ran - dee 110) 1963
Artist: joyce kennedy
Track: misunderstood
Label: ran-dee
110 1963 Record information:
joyce kennedy (born joyce washington) cut her first single ran-dee 110 - darling i still love you / misunderstood in 1963 it was produced by andre williams. darling i still love you was a local hit & was also co-written by williams, it received little airplay anywhere else. a second release on ran dee, "can't take a chance," also failed to perform. kennedy then appeared on fontana records with paddle my own canoe. with williams still at the helm, she released i'm a good girl, the boisterous single became her second local hit, but once again, went nowhere outside of cook county. a second blue rock release, my hi fi albums and me, flopped as well, but is now sought after. though the recordings ended, she still performed all over the chicago area. she met singer glenn murdock, an ex-vondells member, and the soulful duet embarked on tours across the country. after marrying, the two formed mother's finest in 1975, presumptively billed as the first black rock band. they had a steady stream of album releases, all critically acclaimed, but only scrounged a couple of small hits. a nonentity for black audiences, the band's fondest fans were white, and after disbanding in 1984, kennedy signed with a&m. during 1984-85, she enjoyed a string of hit singles, led by the top 40 the last time i made love (a duet with jeffrey osborne), but also including stronger than before, lookin' for trouble, and hold on (for love's sake).


text:
Serve Henrietta
Michael Yudelson
The Next HDC Meeting is Thursday, July 11
The next meeting of the Henrietta Democratic Committee will be on Thursday, July 11, focused on preparations for the November elections. The meeting will be held at 7:00 pm at the Rush-Henrietta Transportation Center, 1133 Lehigh Station Rd.
Henrietta Democratic Committee
Next HDC Meeting is our Campaign Kickoff on Thursday, May 9
The next meeting of the Henrietta Democratic Committee is Thursday, May 9, 2019 at 8:00 pm (note later starting time). This will be the "official kickoff" to our 2019 Campaign. Come meet our 2019 candidates. The meeting will take place at the Rush-Henrietta Transportation Center, 1133 Lehigh Station Road.
We meet regularly on the second Thursday of the month, from 7-8 p.m. New Democrats are always welcome to attend. Please consider bringing any friends, coworkers, and family that would be interested in joining us and getting involved.
Next HDC Meeting is Thursday, April 11
The next meeting of the Henrietta Democratic Committee is Thursday, April 11, 2019 at 7:00 pm. The meeting will take place at the Rush-Henrietta Transportation Center, 1133 Lehigh Station Road.
Discussion Items will Include:
Petitioning update
Presentation of the Henry (a.k.a. "Henrietta") Award
Candidate updates
June 25 primaries
Henrietta Democrats Win!
Last night, voters overwhelming agreed it was time for a change in Henrietta and voted to elect Steve Schultz the new Town Supervisor. In addition, Rob Barley and Mike Stafford were both elected to Town Board, giving Democrats control of town government.
Unofficial election results from the Monroe County Board of Elections
Message from Steve Schultz, Supervisor-Elect:
I am so proud of our team. We had a lot of volunteers put in a ton of hard work and it paid off. A huge shout out to everyone who helped on the campaign, with special thanks going to Simeon Banister, Mike Yudelson, Eitan Sirkovich, Mike Stafford, and Rob Barley, as well as the current politicians and organizations who endorsed or supported me: Louise Slaughter, Harry Bronson, Lovely Warren, Adam Bello and the SEIU.
And a big thanks to my family who put up with me hardly being home lately so I could be out campaigning.
And finally, a huge thanks to the voters of Henrietta who showed up in force to select me as their new Town Supervisor. I am honored by the faith and trust you have placed in me and will work hard every day to make Henrietta the town it can be and one you all can be proud of.
Steve Schultz, founder of Pictometry, to run for Henrietta Town Supervisor
Steve Schultz for Henrietta Town Supervisor
Rob Barley for Henrietta Town Board
Mike Stafford for Henrietta Town Board
At the headquarters of Pictometry International, the Henrietta Democratic Committee introduced their candidates that will run for Town Offices in Henrietta this fall. Steve Schultz, the founder of Pictometry International, will run for Henrietta Town Supervisor. He will be joined on the Democratic slate by candidates for Town Board, Mike Stafford, the President of GCC/IBT Local 503M-the Graphic Printer's Union, and Rob Barley of MDR Investment, a community fixture and the former voice of the Rush Henrietta football and basketball teams.
"This is the most exciting ticket that Democrats in Henrietta have fielded in quite some time," said Simeon Banister, Henrietta Town Democratic Leader. "Henrietta is a great town that's being led in the wrong direction. A successful business visionary like Steve Schultz is just what we need to get us back on the right track."
Embattled Town Supervisor Jack Moore has presided over a turbulent administration. Since the "City Cousins" debacle, Mr. Moore has been rocked by closures and job loss from firms including Unisys Corp., Verizon, Savers, and several major anchor stores from Marketplace Mall totaling well over 1,000 jobs. A Comptroller's audit revealed that goods were sold from his private business to the town, a conflict of interest, with no open bids. Simultaneously, he and the town board have been engulfed in a major land use controversy that resulted in hundreds of angry residents that protested at Town Hall and ultimately formed an oppositional grassroots organization. In addition to their concerns about land use they also complain of secrecy and limitations on participation at public meetings held by the town.
"I'm running because I want to restore the people's trust in their town government by making it more transparent, more responsive to its citizens, and by serving the greater good rather than special interests," said Steve Schultz. "I will make sure citizen's questions get answered, both at board meetings and online. I'll focus on what I know best, growing hi-tech companies that create jobs for today and more importantly, for tomorrow. I'll use the same skills at creating efficiency I learned in business to help control costs in government. And I will advocate on the part of the town to make our community safer for families with better roads, shoulders, and sidewalks."
Mike Stafford said, "For the last several years the Henrietta Town Board has looked out Jack Moore's interests, for developers, and for special interest groups, but not for the citizens of this town. I think it's time we have a Town Board that puts the needs of residents first. I want to help bring back a town government that works for the people."
Rob Barley said, "There are lots of important issues that concern our residents. They face, potential over development and a bloated town budget, but none are more pressing than the potential rezoning of 9.6 acres of farmland in the southwest quadrant of Henrietta. The silence of the Town Board Members on these issues speaks volumes! So I'm running for what's right to bring positive change for our community!"
This race promises to be among the most competitive in Monroe County, especially in the suburban towns. Contrary to common held belief, Henrietta has a significant Democratic enrollment advantage that has swelled to nearly 2,000 voters. The 2015 elections were separated by just a few hundred votes and Democrats performed strongly in the most recent election in the town, with Louise Slaughter, Adam Bello, Chuck Schumer, and Hillary Clinton, winning outright.
"This is a change election in Henrietta. All the trends are there and we are starting earlier and working harder. More importantly, we're giving voters a real choice not simply to vote against the current administration, but to vote for candidates that have a clear vision to secure our quality of life and set Henrietta on the path to economic growth," said Banister.
info@henriettadems.org
(c) 2017 Henrietta Democratic Committee


Hardcover, 9.75 x 12.25 in. / 224 pgs / 140 color / 26 bw.
Edited by Jennifer Lange, Bill Horrigan, Paulo Venancio Filho. Text by Bill Horrigan, Paulo Venancio Filho, Jennifer Lange, Chris Stults, Cristiana Tejo, Cheryl-Lynn May, Denise Carvalho, Ann Bremner. Foreword by Sherri Geldin.
Cruzamentos features 35 artists, working across all genres, who reflect the vibrant artistic scene currently flourishing throughout Brazil. Many of the artists are emerging or mid-career and, with very few exceptions, have not been widely (or ever) exhibited in the US. "Cruzamentos" translates literally as "crossings" or '"intersections," but in Brazil it also refers to the mixing of cultures that renders the country so distinctive. Cruzamentos extends that metaphor to contemporary art, focusing on artists whose practices are as varied as the country itself. Although a handful of postwar Brazilian visual artists have received recognition in North America, the astonishingly high level of artistic production throughout Brazil over recent decades remains significantly overlooked beyond its borders. Among the artists included are Márcio Almeida, Jonathas de Andrade, Laura Belém, Tatiana Blass, José Damasceno, Cia de Foto, Dias & Riedweg, Marcius Galan, Fernanda Gomes, Jac Leirner, Cristiano Lenhardt, Cinthia Marcelle, Beatriz Milhazes, Regina Silveira, Adriana Varejão and Marcia Xavier.
FORMAT: Hbk, 9.75 x 12.25 in. / 224 pgs / 140 color / 26 b&w.