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New geologic evidence of past periods of oscillating, abrupt warming, and cooling | Watts Up With That?
Figure 1. Successive terminal moraines from short–term glacier recessions caused by climatic warming between 11,700 and 10,250 years ago.
Figure 2. Paleotemperatures derived from oxygen isotope measurements of the GISP2 Greenland ice core. Red peaks are times of warming and blue are times of cooling. The average time period for each climatic oscillation is 27 years.
Figure 3. Coincidence of Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), global temperature, and glacier fluctuations in the North Cascades. Glaciers advanced during the 1880–1915 cool period when the PDO was cool, then when the PDO switched to its warm mode, global temperatures warmed, and glaciers retreated from ~1915–1945. The PDO changed from warm to cool ~1945–1977, global temperatures cooled and glaciers advanced once again. In 1977, the PDO switched from cool to warm mode, global temperatures warmed, and glaciers retreated. In 1999, the PDO changed back to its cool mode and global cooling began.
Figure 4. Projection of climate changes of the last century and past 500 years into the future. The black curve is temperature variation from 1900 to 2009; the red line is the IPCC projected warming from the IPCC website in 2000; the blue curves are several possible projections of climate change to 2040+ based on past global cooling periods (1945-1977; 1880 to 1915; and 1790 to 1820). The lack of sun spots during the past solar cycle has surpassed all records since the Dalton Minimum and some solar physicists have suggested we may be headed for a Dalton or Maunder type mimimum with severe cooling.
November 10, 2009 in Paleoclimatology.
This shows that it's not a good idea to settle on the early predictions of a young climate science as Al Gore has done. For if you think the science is settled you're more often wrong. What is it with the notion of "settled science" anyhow? What a bizarre anti-scientific notion "settled science" is.
This is a really interesting paper.
so is there a link between PDO cycles and solar cycles or just coincidental?
VERY fascinating study. Another nail in the ole' coffin.
However, I was eager to retrieve the expanded abstract and slides link, but could not make it work.
Frank (19:29:30) : Not only smoking,the barrel is split in two and there are flash burns all over warmists faces on this one.
8250 BC is essentially yesterday. Our hubris about the ice will do us in. It could come back so fast.
Apparently the slides and expanded abstract aren't posted yet–they should be up soon.
Thanks for the post Don!
The actual physical geological evidence and the reconstruction of the dates and sequences tell us a lot about what happened and when it happened. Pretty hard to fake a glacier.
The correlation with the PDO could be causation or it could indicate a common independent cause. Ditto the solar issue. The only thing that matters for the current debate is that glaciers advance when the PDO goes cool.
2. In Figure 3, why does the big thick red line 2nd from the left connect 1950 at the top to 1940 in the middle to 1950 at the bottom? What's that supposed to show?
3. Why does Figure 4 use 10 year old projected warming from the IPCC? Since then, AR4 has been published (in 2007). Why not use the projections from that?
Not that I'm an alarmist or anything and maybe I'm being stupid but ….
If Easterbrook is correct as he well may be this will certainly put paid to the AGW religion. I find such a victory for sanity cold comfort as an increased temperature would improve our lot. A colder world is not a thing to be looked forward to.
Historic climatic and oceanic temperature fluctuations are associated with solar variations.
Abrupt changes are what we learned about when Mt. St. Helens blew, and deposited in days what we thought took something like 1,000 yrs.
Fits with the literary past, too.
And today, the report on Fox News of 2 early snows in Beijing.
The sooner we get the Goredown Man Hoax fully outed, the sooner we can get on to preparations for what lies ahead.
Looks like 2015 is key.
A colder world is to be feared if the Agenda suceeds in moving the world the wrong way on the freeway. It need not be if we can prepare to adapt to a cooling world.
I find no evidence of this in the post or in the records. There's talk about it in the post but nothing to confirm it.
Also, there is no evidence of a correlation between Solar Cycles and ENSO, if you're wondering.
A nice simple message from this piece – historically the earth warms and cools over a 30 year(ish) period and extra atmospheric CO2 is not to blame.
I also think our chaotic climate is fractal regarding change over time, and we get cooling/warming to different degrees on all time scales. Makes life interesting.
The PDO drivers need to be identified, it is obvious the PDO and ENSO are major long and short term influences on Earth's climate. The Solar link to PDO falls down dramatically between 1940-1960, the PDO is negative and the world temps are declining but the highest sunspot activity in 400 years is recorded. The only legout I can see is nuclear testing, but I am unsure of their climate impact.
Perhaps Dr. Scafetta is on to something?
Hey! This paper deals with my neck of the woods! We're famous!!! Gonna git me a reality show! Woohoo!
Seriously, very interesting paper Dr. Easterbrook. Thank you.
The more we can understand about the paleoclimate, the more will be our understanding of today's climate.
The pro-AGW climate scientists can't see variability in the historical record. They (almost) accept that there were indeed ice ages but everything seems to be explainable through greenhouse forcing to them. CO2 hardly changed at all from 9,000 BC to 1750 AD, yet there is considerable variability in the climate over the period.
CO2 fell to 280 ppm (for perhaps the very first time in Earth history) 24 million years ago and has stayed at or lower than that level ever since (give or take some ups and downs in the ice ages and the recent increase we have added.) Yet the climate has varied by +/- 4.0C to 5.0C over that period.
You mean there was a climate before 1978 and it changed naturally? Really? Does anybody else know?
I don't want Landscheidt and barycentric discussions here. You are free to discuss this topic anywhere else, but don't do it on WUWT. Owners prerogative.
All future comments on this topic will be deleted.
Very interesting piece, Don. Geology strikes again. A key element is the information to project a possible range of temperature declines. Noting which, in Figure 2, the 1880-1915 cool period is especially cold. Can that be the added effect of Krakatoa?
On another entry with reference to current shrinking of glaciers there are many posts claiming this does not represent temperaturte mearly precipitation changes. Which is it to be?
Sceen shot from Gores fairy tail.
Screen shot from Gores fairytail.
But the UAH lower troposphere global temperature record shows a .11 deg C/decade warming trend since January 1999. How does this square with the quoted statement?
January 2007, with it's very warm reading of a .594 anomaly, was far warmer than any temperature recorded in 1999: that is some global cooling! From that point there was a cooling reaching a minimum in May 2008, coinciding with La Nina and the solar minimum. Since that time temperatures have trended up strongly, with September 2009 recorded as the warmest September in the satellite temperature record, and this occurred more than two years into the longest and deepest solar minimum in 100 years.
Methinks that a 1 and a half year warming trend from the last low with a record high September temperature is hardly 'intensifying' cooling.
Yes – this bothered me somewhat. If we're now a full decade into the current cool PDO phase then I'm not sure global temperatures are responding in the way we would expect. I accept that one cool phase might be different to another, but it only took about 6 years for most of the cooling in the 1945-77 phase to be realised.
I'm also a bit puzzled by Don's Fig 4. He says "The black curve is temperature variation from 1900 to 2009" , but the curve suggests post-2000 temperatures have been consistently below (or certainly no higher) those in the 1990s . Whichever dataset is used, we know this is not the case.
I am old enough to remember working through the coldest NW Europe winter for 250 yrs in 62/3. A open atmosphere test ban treaty was signed I think in 61 to end all atmospheric test by the end of 62. In consequence, there was an enormous amount of testing that went on in 62 that may/could have contributed to that winter.
Compare Lucia's +/- 95% statistical trend lines of Hadley temperatures compared to IPCC projections.
Note the IPCC nominal trend of 0.2C/decades (purple) lies well outside and above those uncertainty intervals. This means that if 2001 is a "fair" year to begin comparisons between models and projections, then the nominal projection in the IPCC AR4 is inconsistent with the earth's trend which it was intended to project.
Dr. Easterbrook presents some useful insights into the recent past, but why stop in the Pleistocene? The glacial deposits he describes overlie Eocene rocks that preserve fossils of sub-tropical floras that flourished in the Pacific Northwest. Of course some have argued these Eocene strata were emplaced from Baja, but that is another discussion.


text:
est une ville et une paroisse civile située dans le comté du Kent. En 2011, sa population était de .

Source de la traduction

Ville dans le Kent
Paroisse civile dans le Kent

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaWikipedia


Album Review of Loved by KEN mode.
This seventh album from the Manitoba noise rock/metal titans sees them going deeper and darker than ever before, stepping back from the more "punk rock" sound and tempos of 2015's Steve Albini-recorded Success to really embrace their black and death metal influences for a sludgy, largely midtempo workout. That's not to say they've radically changed their style, though -- this is still decidedly a noise rock album through and through, with amazingly raw, garagey production by Andrew Schneider (Unsane, Daughters) that's worthy of Kurt Ballou or Albini himself. "Doesn't Feel Pain Like He Should" sets the scene, opening with a squall of feedback before racing out of the blocks with sheet-metal riffs, blasting, off-kilter drums, and hoarsely shrieked vocals.


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1.Hello my Name in tibia Zamo Yski Level 139.
2.Im started to play tibia seven maybye six years ago when was tibia 7.6.
3.I have played some on xantera where i created my first account.I leave xantera because my stupid friend hacked me and rooked.I was very angry and leave xantera and i created account on refugia and i play here still.
4.I have played all vocations but i like the most paladin and my first character was palladin ... i have also 80 master sorcerer on refugia and play him for fun to using sds or something ..
5.i was in 1 guild and i leave them because my friends stop playing and our guild was broken.
7.i didnt have any bans or criminals on my accounts.
8.I can take part in forums posts and i will use forum daily because im not lazy.
9.When i have a problem i always want to talk with someone about that and i want to solve problem as faster as i can.
Hello Zamo, welcome to our forum.
Your voting thread has been created. It will take up to week until we will give You an answer. Moreover be ready to answer some more questions.
Hey there Zamo Yski and welcome to our forum!
Well as Valdarnok has already announced, there's gonna be some questions we'd like you to answer.
1) How would you describe yourself in three words in real-life as well as in-game?
2) On a scale from 1-10 with 10 the best - how good do you estimate your English-knowledge in spoken and in written-language?
3) Will you be able to play actively despite the fact that you're working?
Good luck on your voting!
1. i Think in three words that hmm lucky and unlucky .
2.in scale 0-10 i think my english is 8 or 8+.
3.i work 3-4 hours per day and i can play actively and can help in a lot of things.
nrg333 wrote: 1. i Think in three words that hmm lucky and unlucky .
Well I actually asked for three words in real-life as well as in-game, so it should be 6 words in total. Would you think it over?
I have some questions for you and I would like you to think about them before answering them.
1. Did you read the sticky thread on the recruitment board regarding application content and website username structure?
2. You say you live and work in the UK, and work 3-4 hours a day. What do you do?
3. Would you consider yourself an active person ingame/forum?
This is not an interrogation. These are simply questions so that we can get to know you better. Tell me a story.
The voting time has ended and I got the bad news for you that you are not accepted to the guild.


Self Description: I am joyful, generous, cheerful, kind, positive, responsive, communicative, emotional, and a little bit ambitious with a very good sense of humor person, who doesn't like lie. I am optimist, energetic, goal-orientated and open for communication. I like to spend time with my friends outdoors.
Comments: I am looking for independent, educated, wise, funny man with whom it is always interesting to communicate and share thoughts. I would like him to be with a good sense of humor and dignity. It will be nice for me to know he is a decent, confident man who likes kids.
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Categories: Frozen Food, Pizza. Tag: vegetarian.
The classic Trader Joe's pizza. Obviously not as good as delivery or "high-end" pizza, but more than decent, especially for the price.
Not the best quality but still good for when there's nothing else to eat or when you don't feel like cooking. I do like the crispy crust. That's my favorite part.
Restaurant quality pizza! Better than anything you can get delivered. Add some of the Trader Joe's shredded cheeses (four cheese!), some mushrooms or whatever and you have a fantastic pizza.
Great pizza! It's small for two so make sure you have a salad to go along! We've stopped buying other brands because TJ's pizzas are the best!


text:
Reprints are a Way to Wealth
UK: TOP LOT in this sale was a 1668 edition of Gervase Markham's A Way to get Wealth, a 'nonce' collection, first issued in 1623, which incorporates half a dozen works by this important but prolific and commercially inventive writer on agriculture, who was not averse to putting different titles to what were essentially the same works or to re-issuing unsold copies of new books under new titles.
The woodcut illustrated contents of this Taunton copy were described as: Cheap and Good Husbandry (2 books) 12th edn; Country Contentments, or the Husbandmans Recreations, 10th edn; The English Housewife; The Inrichment of the Weald of Kent; A New Orchard and Garden. The last item is, in fact, by William Lawson.
An 1830, first edition of The Memoirs of the late Captain Hugh Crow... was the principal travel book in the sale.
Containing ...descriptive Sketches of the Western Coast of Africa and illustrated with a portrait frontispiece, three plates and a folding map, this was a good copy of the posthumously published memoirs of a Manx-man "long engaged in the Africa trade" – which I presume to mean slaving. In contemporary half calf, it made £340.
Greenslade Taylor Hunt,
Taunton, March 11
Buyer's Premium: 15 per cent

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


text:
CDL Training Materials CDL Practice Tests School Bus CDL Practice Tests
School Bus Page 1
CDL Practice Tests For School Bus Page 1
School Bus Practice Questions
Click On The Picture To Begin
The area on all sides of the bus where children are most in danger of being hit is the:
Danger side
Death zone
Accident zone
Click here to look up the answer
From The CDL Manual
10.1.1 � Danger Zones
The danger zone is the area on all sides of the bus where children are in the most danger of being hit, either by another vehicle or their own bus.
The danger zones may extend as much as 30 feet from the front bumper with the first 10 feet being the most dangerous, 10 feet from the left and right sides of the bus and 10 feet behind the rear bumper of the school bus. In addition, the area to the left of the bus is always considered dangerous because of passing cars. Figure 10.1 illustrates these danger zones.
Typically, the danger zones, at minimum, will extend how far from the bus in each direction?
Because of passing cars, which side of the bus is considered the most dangerous?
The left side
The right side
The back side
Danger zones typically extend how far on each side of the school bus at minimum?
When adjusting outside left and right flat mirrors, you should be able to see:
Along each side of the bus
The rear tires where they touch the ground
All of these things
Four bus lengths, or 200 feet behind the bus
10.1.3 � Outside Left and Right Side Flat Mirrors
These mirrors are mounted at the left and right front corners of the bus at the side or front of the windshield. They are used to monitor traffic, check clearances and students on the sides and to the rear of the bus.
There is a blind spot immediately below and in front of each mirror and directly in back of the rear bumper. The blind spot behind the bus extends 50 to 150 feet and could extend up to 400 feet depending on the length and width of the bus.
Ensure that the mirrors are properly adjusted so you can see:
200 feet or four bus lengths behind the bus.
Along the sides of the bus.
The rear tires touching the ground.
The left and right flat mirror blind spot could extend how far behind the school bus?
Up to 400 feet
What is used to monitor the left and right sides of the schoolbus at a wide angle?
Outside convex mirrrors
Outside crossover mirrors
Outside flat mirrors
10.1.4 � Outside Left and Right Side Convex Mirrors
The convex mirrors are located below the outside flat mirrors. They are used to monitor the left and right sides at a wide angle. They provide a view of traffic, clearances and students at the side of the bus. These mirrors present a view of people and objects that does not accurately reflect their size and distance from the bus.
The outside crossover mirrors are used to see the left and right danger zones, and also the:
Front bumper danger zone
Rear danger sone
Emergency exits
10.1.5 � Outside Left and Right Side Crossover Mirrors
These mirrors are mounted on both left and right front corners of the bus. They are used to see the front bumper �danger zone� area directly in front of the bus that is not visible by direct vision, and to view the �danger zone� area to the left side and right side of the bus, including the service door and front wheel area.
The mirror presents a view of people and objects that does not accurately reflect their size and distance from the bus. The driver must ensure that these mirrors are properly adjusted
Properly adjusted crossover mirrors will specifically allow you to see all of the following except:
At least one traffic lane on either side of the bus
The area between the front of the bus and the service door
The right and left front tires touching the ground
The entire front area of the bus
The entire area in front of the bus from the front bumper at ground level to a point where direct vision is possible. Direct vision and mirror view vision should overlap.
The right and left front tires touching the ground.
The area from the front of the bus to the service door.
These mirrors, along with the convex and flat mirrors, should be viewed in a logical sequence to ensure that a child or object is not in any of the danger zones.
According to Figure 10.3. left and right side convex mirrors should give a view on each side of:
See figure 10.3, "Left and Right Side Convex Mirrors"
[4,3,1,4,3,2,1,2,1,1]
CDL Practice Tests For School Bus
Choose A New Category of CDL Practice Tests Below:
Driving Rules & Regulations
Transporting Cargo Safely
Transporting Passengers
Combination Vehicles
Doubles And Triples
Pre-Trip Inspection
Driving Exam
Logbook Rules
Flatbed Cargo Securement
New York Coil Endorsement


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text:
Photo by Jason Deramo
LISTEN: Cody Jinks' "Dying Trying"
Jerry Holthouse September 13, 2021	Nashville Music Scene w/ Jerry Holthouse 37 Views
Cody Jinks' new song, "Dying Trying," is debuted today. Listen here. The song is the second unveiled from Jinks' new metal album, None The Wiser, which he created with his band Caned By Nod and will be released November 12. In conjunction with None The Wiser, Jinks will also release a new solo country record, Mercy, the same day, both via his independent label, Late August Records. Both produced and engineered by Edward Spear (with co-production on Mercy by Jinks' longtime bandmate Joshua Thompson) and recorded simultaneously at Sonic Ranch in Tornillo, Texas, the two records represent Jinks' uniqueness as an artist, demonstrating his rare ability to successfully create across genres. Although varying sonically and thematically, Mercy and None The Wiser are tied together through Jinks' signature songwriting, which takes yet another step forward with even more perception and grit displayed on both albums. Ahead of the releases, Jinks recently unveiled two additional songs, one from each record: "All It Cost Me Was Everything" from Mercy and "Middle Finger" from None The Wiser.
With Mercy, Jinks continues to put forth his unique eclectic country sound, incorporating a hybrid of soulful elements, including rock, blues, classic country, metal and more. Written entirely during quarantine, Jinks used his time at home to further develop his already accomplished songwriting skills. Working with both longtime friends and heroes, Mercy features collaborations with artists such as Chris Shiflett, Kendell Marvel, Adam Hood, TN Jet, David Matsler, Josh Morningstar, Greg C. Jones and Ward Davis, as well as Jinks' wife, Rebecca.
Meanwhile, None The Wiser takes its cues from arena-caliber classic rock, thrash metal and psychedelic-tinged grungeand marks a full circle moment for Jinks, who performed in a metal band two decades ago before making the shift to country music. The ten tracks on None The Wiser, all of which he wrote with his past bandmate Ben Heffley, are a mix of old and new, some written as recently as this year, while others date back to the early 2000s.
Reflecting on the two projects, Jinks shares, "It was very different recording them at the same time. Literally, it was being in one studio and walking next door and going from this beautiful country song that we're doing to just this really angry metal song, flipping a switch," and continues, "The actual art of writing was the only thing I really had to focus on to keep myself sane…the song comes first. If I'm not writing a great song, then I'm dead in the water. I really, really focused on being a better wordsmith."
About Jerry Holthouse
Music editor for Nashville.com. Jerry Holthouse is a content writer, songwriter and a graphic designer. He owns and runs Holthouse Creative, a full service creative agency. He is an avid outdoorsman and a lover of everything music. You can contact him at JerryHolthouse@Nashville.com
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