text:
The Sun have tweeted out tonight's YouGov poll – topline figures are CON 32%, LAB 42%, LD 8%, UKIP 12%. This is somewhat at odds with the Labour leads of two, three and three points so far this week, though for what it's worth all four polls would be within the normal margin of error of CON 34, LAB 39, LD 9, UKIP 12, the average of this week's figures.
When an unusual poll comes along I personally rather discount it – more often than not it'll just be a blip. When the same happens two days in row it gets my attention, but I wouldn't conclude anything. When you get three in a row I normally take it seriously, it looks as though something is afoot.
But it can still just be random chance. Right now we don't really know what the position is. It could be that tonight's poll is an outlier and other polls will continue to show lower leads. Alternatively it could be that actually nothing's changed and its all just been random variation around the six point lead we've had for months. As ever, time will tell.
leftylampton
I didn't see the follow up article.
Don't get me wrong. I'm all for intelligent people flying the wild ideas that might just change the world. But in this case, I assume that someone told him that what he had said was so intellectually vacuous, he had to do a mea culpa.
Hang on! You're talking about the sediment story aren't you? I thought for a moment that you were talking about the economic growth story!
cloud spotter
The Telegraph's reporting of the above poll is a little lacking.
'Labour's overall lead over the Conservatives has remained at two percentage points in recent months, but women remain relatively more sceptical about the Tories.'
No mention that it is a wisdom index not a IV poll.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/10612398/UK-economy-voters-put-trust-in-Tories.html
R Huckle
"Why do I get the feeling that the Scottish referendum campaign is going to be pretty toxic between the two sides. People have always said that politics north of the border was a tough game"
Politics in Scotland only went toxic when Labour lost its Hegemony at local and national level.
Don't get me wrong. I'm all for intelligent people fly-ing the wild ideas that might just change the world. But in this case, I assume that someone told him that what he had said was so intellectually vacuous, he had to do a mea culpa.
It's late.
Obviously I mean voting intention, not intravenous polling.
Ann in Wales
Billy Bob,
Well,well,how are the not so mighty fallen.
chasglas
TNS was once known as System 3 in Scotland and was infamous for way off beam polling . Even the Scottish Labour Party took their estimates of Labour support in Scotland at 48 % with a pinch of salt .
Both ICM and Panelbase have been reporting closer polls so perhaps TNS is correct .
Yougov and Populus regularly record SNP Westminster VI of between 3 and 4 % VI as a UK share so there is obviously some significant movement from 2010 when the SNP support was 1.7 %.
@ R Huckle,
Opinium always shows a lead at the top end of the range (and high Ukip scores) because they don't weigh by past vote or likelihood to vote. You can't read anything into it.
The polls to watch are Populus and YouGov because they're the only trackers. Right now we have a seven point lead with absolutely no change on Populus and a week of extremely erratic polling from YouGov that averages out to a five point lead, so yeah, it probably hasn't changed. (Except for a few blips I don't think it's changed since August.) But a seven point lead with Opinium is not really providing strong support for that, any more than a low lead with ICM indicates a narrowing.
Lefty,
I think perhaps I am in a muddle.As usual.The Paris article refutes the Phillip
Collins article written the day before.I get the Times online so possibly this will
Not be printed until tomorrow.Sorry if misleading.
Interesting comments from John Curtice on the Survation indy poll (as I thought, this is the first time they have entered this market, so it tells us nothing about trend).
Unlike every other pollster, Survation are weighting by 2010 recall instead of 2011.
" It looks highly likely that if Survation had followed the same practice as most other pollsters, the reported Yes vote in this poll would have been over 40% – just as it was in last weekend's ICM poll and is in this weekend's TNS BMRB poll."
http://blog.whatscotlandthinks.org/2014/02/survation-enter-the-fray/
Apologies. I THOUGHT you meant that Parris had done a mea culpa over his witless witterings about sea level rise. I then tried a daft joke.
Scrap the whole lot and go status quo ante.
Lefty,okay,he is really not worth much thought anyway.
No poll tonight?Sttange.
GUYMONDE
"Zummerzett probably nothing in itself on VI .."
But as an indicator of the effects of Government cuts in environmental management, with other current indicators of the impact of cuts to public services (such as the provision of support of the Met to Virgin for a private prosecution in return for a share in the compensation), it just may.
BILL PATRICK
"What would constitu"te a positive argument against independence?"
It it ain't broke, don't fix it.
@JOHN PILGRIM
Good point. I must say I was more focussed on what looked to me a shambolic reaction – Paterson looking po-faced and clueless, Cameron calling in the army and the army (or 2 officers?) coming then going away having done nothing, residents venting about how pathetic the reaction was – too little, too late, etc.
But our esteemed PM hath often spoke of "Broken Britain"! :-)
Polling across all pollsters over many years suggests that around two-thirds of Scots think that the UK is sufficiently broke (perhaps in both senses) to require fixing.
I've campaigned in the Somerset level. If my experience is anything to go by – they have a long-standing experience of isolation from policy making, whether it is at Taunton or in Westminster. The impact of a failure of routine dredging of the rivers and delegation of the necessary funds and resources for this, is all too tangible evidence, first of interference in their livelihoods, and secondly of abandonment by the powers that be. Paterson's" I have come – in person….." won't have gone down well.
Somerset level …..corr. levels
OLD NAT
I think you mean the brokers need fixing. Och aye.
Wonder if Somerset's LibDem MPs (and MEP) will be seen as also responsible.
Pertinent question. Support for LD MPs in the South West has long been, IMO, an assertion of regional independence from Westminster government, Support for their MEP from 1994 has been well founded, and particularly based on deriving regional benefits from the EU, including those related to regional rural poverty – hill farming and the levels – but also in the exposure to economic decline of the defence and helicopter industries based in the region.
It would not be surprising if this support is reinforced, as being seen as a counterbalance against Westminster neglect, and renewed VI for the LDs evidenced in the EU elections and the GE.
The Independence argument is assymetric. Once Independence is delivered, hard to go back.
So Salmond can promise many "positive" wondrous things, knowing that if they don't come to pass, it doesn't matter: he already got the Independence he wanted.
On the other hand, if the Union supporters promise wondrous future things that do not come to pass, then they can be held to account and the Independence clamour can return.
Hence the assymetry in the situation gives Salmond and his supporters an advantage in the positivity stakes. Union supporters can of course proclaim EXISTING benefits, but Salmond can tout extra, without fear of having to deliver, and proclaim that somehow he will be able to negotiate the same or better under conditions of Independence. If this is challenged, then suddenly one is being "negative".
Ironically the Independence campaign can be considered as intrinsically a negative campaign against the status quo. If you were positive about the current state of affairs, why be so keen to change it?
funny how automod won't pick up on things like asymmetry…
This flooding thing. Is being flooded very much a minority sport? Or could it impact VI? At least in some marginals. I mean, I know many things in practice aren't all that salient, but I'd have thought watching your car float down the road while your home and worldly goods disappear under a torrent of muddy water is a relatively significant event. Be interesting also to know how many upset by lack of government action are supporters of austerity…
Politics in Scotland became "toxic" when Mrs T decided to pilot the poll tax here. But Allan Christie probably missed that chapter of Scotland's political history 'cos he wasn't here at the time.
Floating Voter
Latest YouGov / The Sunday Times results 31st January – 2nd February – Con 34%, Lab 39%, LD 8%, UKIP 11%; APP -21
Lab lead of 5
I am still undecided whether the Cons have picked up a point from UKIP or whether the tabs for the 18 to 24 years olds are odd in this sample.
Normally 18 to 24 has a lead of about 10 to 15% for Lab and in this sample Cons and Lab are even. I note that the sample for this group is 140, but of that 36% are DK/WV, so the actual group is 90 people. (one third Cons, one third Lab and one third the rest) and this has been weighted up to give the final score.
Economic confidence in peoples own personal finances over the next 12 months is down again to -23 ( 15% against 38%)
cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/wfv8zfn18c/YG-Archive-Pol-Sunday-Times-results-140131.pdf
Yes if you look at the data, it would suggest that Labour hold a very good lead amongst working age people, that is not reflected in the overall percentage when the weighting is applied.
Could Labour start to record polling into the 40's ahead of the budget ?
Nostra
I have said before that IMO many people contacted by pollsters use the broad voting intention question to jibe the Tories into getting their gas bills down etc or whatever other single issue EM has picked but wouldn't necessarily give labour the vote to run the whole country at the ballot box proper. I'm no expert at reading these tables (it's the first time I've tried over on the yougov site) but labour seem to get the voting intention nod from people (possibly due to the fore mentioned reason) but when you then force the same sample to consider labour in government by asking specific questions they tend to loose on nearly every 'real life' question. Am I onto something or am I reading it wrong?
Mike N
Sorry if this has already been mentioned upthread, but this is interesting: http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/feb/01/ukip-conservative-nigel-farage-anti-eu
Seems Cons are not inclined to seek a pact with UKIP for the next GE.
Doh, "not" should read "now". (Or alternatively add 'dis' to inclined.)
Good Morning All, from a sunny and windy beach in Bournemouth.
NOSTRA: I think you have raised an important question. In 1992 we had the same type of problem, many people disliked the Conservatives but many could not see Labour in power.
@Nostra – you might be, or not – we'll find out in May 2015. However, I think there are some signs that the support for Labour may be a bit more solid than that. The first point to raise however, for both yourself and @Chrislane1945, is that you really do need to be very, very careful when looking at 1992 and drawing conclusions regarding poll movements today.
I think it's pretty widely accepted now that the polls pre 1992 were highly inaccurate, overestimating Labour and hiding Con support. This appears to have been straightforward duff polling, not any reflection on the respondents themselves. So lets be careful when we suggest the same thing could happen again today as happened in 1992, as to a degree at least, that thing never actually happened in 1992 – the polls were just wrong.
Having said that, you may still be correct, but I see some signs that the dynamic is moving subtlety. I think Ed will get strong feedback on his omov moves and reforms of the party, and the weekend press is beginning to show the first signs of a shift in respect for the man.
Secondly, yes the economy is improving, which will no doubt help Cons (and also, oddly Labour, as the pressure to cut will reduce) but the gloom descending on Cons regarding the threat from UKIP seems this weekend a mile away from the optimism of the tight polls earlier in the week. Add to this accusations of political interference in education and incompetence in Somerset, and you wouldn't think that 5 days ago we were talking about a Con majority in 2015.
If Cons are trying to fight off UKIP, their message to the centre is going to be difficult to manage. Ed is looking more coherently radical by the day – this week it's his policy of forcing developers to build or sell which is picking up strong polling support – and I think it would be a mistake to assume Labour support is inherently soft, or there is a natural magnetic pull for voters back to the Tories.
bcrombie
It is interesting to see those on the right, whether 'Blairiight' to 'Toright' always harking back to 1992 and assuming that all will be right on the night in 2015
As you point out, this was a polling problem and the professionals seem to have ironed this out with methodology changes
This complacency from many on the right can be seen in the 'Labour should be much further ahead' mantra you see everywhere whilst organising the FPTP inherent advantage they have on top of that
Where the difficulty may be wight he polls is the UKIP influence and the move to a 4(isn) party situation – I am not sure how this will work out
Oh, and I see Marr was trying to focus on perceived Labour internal problems in his initial introduction to Part 1 of the weekly metropolitan guff, Part 2 will be on later with Neil – it is getting a bit silly now
organising=ignoring
spellcheck – the bane of modern life!
"…by asking specific questions they [Labour] tend to lose on nearly every 'real life' question."
The VI is of greater importance than the focus-group/message testing type questions. Many of these are of the likely/not-likely agree/disagree variety which depend upon the steer of the questioner.
Having said that YouGov/Sun/ST are testing the type of media messages that will be used… "Labour will end up raising taxes on people on average earnings, not just the rich" etc.
Try something like "Conservatives cannot be trusted when they give assurances about not raising VAT" and you might see a different picture begin to emerge.
For the best of reasons Miliband has not courted media figures… but is that a sensible 'real-life' attitude? He still has work to do on his image, the Balls-factor, and the question about "a team of ministers up to the job of running the country".
iananthonyjames
Nostra.
Ah yes, once again we have the automatic Tory recovery theory. You keep thinking (hoping?) that 1992 will happen again.
You may be right of course.
But you are UNLIKELY to be right. I appreciate that is difficult to understand what that means. It does have a real meaning though. Think about a roulette wheel. It has the same meaning as predicting outcomes with a roulette wheel.
I take the point that there are some reasons to think the Tories may recover a little on the day itself (from current polling): The shy Tory factor, the media's magnificent five year character-assassination campaign against the Labour leadership plus the anti-Labour rhetoric gets turned up in the Mail and the Sun as the election approaches. Also, as the old cliche goes, a week is a long time in politics.
However, things are going to be very different in 2015 which means we should abandon our own pet theories.
The LDs are barely going to feature as a national force in 2015. They will be scrambling to hold twenty-thirty seats where Con are in second place, like Eastleigh. They have effectively died across the North and Midlands at local level, a direct result of their being in coalition with the Tories. Plus Labour have been on an average of at least 37% for about three years solid. That means, I think, that a certain section of the population has made up their minds.
Plus UKIP are a definite feature, here to stay I think, which will hurt the Tories more than Labour. The votes they are picking up are a reflection of the nihilism of the times. The voters aren't so biddable with promises of a referendum.
So I implore you: respect the polling, respect the bookmakers.
@John Pilgrim – "The impact of a failure of routine dredging of the rivers and delegation of the necessary funds and resources for this, is all too tangible evidence, first of interference in their livelihoods, and secondly of abandonment by the powers that be. "
I'm interested in the issues on the levels, and the local demands for dredging. To me, this smacks of the badger cull fiasco, with a group of scientifically challenged locals assuming they understand complex scientific issues, and then looking out of their windows and making assumptions about what should be done.
With the wettest winter period since records began to contend with, it's pretty obvious that dredging will have virtually no effect whatsoever on the problem. Indeed, it could well have substantial negatives. I've had a few minutes checking some of the figures, and what I've come up with is the following analysis.
The catchment of the River Parrett is 1,700km2, which means that for every 30mm of rainfall the river needs to drain 51,000,000m3 (51 billion) litres. (This assumes no loss to groundwater, evaporation or transpiration, which is not a reasonable assumption in normal conditions, but is acceptable in cases when all the stores are saturated in winter flood conditions).
The current pumping operation is shifting 3m litres an hour, which means that to drain 30mm of rainfall would take 17,000 hours of pumping, or 708 days.
I've had a look at the EA data as well, and checked the natural flow rates on the rivers. Adding together all the river gauges I can find feeding into the Parrett, the Q10 flow (the flow rate exceeded 10% of the time, effectively giving the peak flow levels) totals 7.5m3/s. If I double this, to account for missing tributaries (an overestimation, I think) we can get a peak flow in the system of 15m3/s, we can see that it takes around 950 hours to shift 30mm rainfall, or 39 days.
This assumes that this level of high flow is constant, but in practice, as the levels are around 2 – 4m below high tide sea level, for half the time this flow cannot be maintained. But let's simply ignore that fact and assume you can dredge. Even if you widened and deepened the channel to double their capacity, it would still take 20 days to shift 30mm of rain with natural flow, without accounting for tides.
Given that Somerset has had around 250mm rainfall in January, and slightly more than this in December, I can see no prospect whatsoever that dredging would have made the slightest difference.
I can't see any merit in spending tax money on doing something so completely useless, that is not going to solve the problem and is likely to make their lives worse. Unfortunately, Patterson has a dreadful reputation within his department of not reading briefings and deliberately circumventing proper scientific advice, preferring instead to listen to the NFU and others, who are almost invariably wrong on anything to do with countryside and the environment.
Today's You Gov
Subsample
– With school aged children n=375 Lab lead 21%
– Without n=1510 Lab lead 2%
– Overall Lab lead 5%
Were children also on the electoral register, with parents voting for them to represent their interests, that Lab lead would be somewhere closer to 9%.
@Billy Bob
I agree with you regarding the more detailed Sunday Times subsidiary questions. Increasingly, they tend to put forward propositions on one side of an argument and get the inevitable agreement without testing the other side in a comparable way that would also get (contradictory) agreement. Very much pandering to an agenda in search of some easy copy, I suggest.
"- Overall Lab lead 5%
Include puppies and its higher still.
I think any policy questions stressing it comes from a particular party will invoke a majority negative response because all the other party supporters will be against it generally.
Then if you add the general negative view of politicians
Then add the general discontent people have with their own financial situation
Add all these together and you get poor scores. You could substitute Lab for Cons or LD or UKIP or any party. look at the scores for whose opinions do you trust more on the economy
GO 23%
EB 14%
VC 13%
All terrible scores. EB and VC do worse because their supporters have more "none of them" scores.
The UK public mostly believe none of the parties have solutions to Britain's economic problems and furthermore none of the parties are honest about what needs to be done. I believe that to be true as well.
I can't match your technical reading of the Somerset levels and river flow and tidal data. However, since VI will reflect perceptions rather than evidence, if I were among the residents and farmers whose lives and property have been ruined – at what overall cost, eventually to the economy and to the taxpayer? – I would be asking: OK if not pumping what other immediate and long-term solutions do you have for us? Thes might, as I have heard some environmental commentators suggest, include reforestation, but the clearing of the Mendips for sheep rearing is prehistoric – as are timber walkways created by the beaker people.
February 3rd, 2014 at 8:11 am
« YouGov/Sun – CON 34, LAB 37, LD 9, UKIP 12 YouGov/Sunday Times – CON 34, LAB 39, LD 8, UKIP 11 »


text:
Q: PHP - LDAP search working sporadically over TLS/SSL The code below performs a lookup of all OrganizationalUnits in my LDAP server however it's failing to perform the LDAP search like 40% of the time.
The only clues I have are two Apache log entries below. I'm not a PHP wizard, but assuming the second error message is caused by the failed connection leaving an empty $sr variable.
I've run tcpdump during the connect and PHP is connecting to the server but there is very little communication going on during the failure -- only around 1/2 as many packets transferred as opposed to a successful connect.
This only seems to happen over TLS/SSL (hecnce the putenv last-ditch-effort). If I go clear-text the search works perfectly every time. What would cause this to not work "sometimes"? Any way to find out more info on it?
Update: I just noticed this code works 100% of the time when not using LDAPS/TLS so definitely related to SSL/TLS somehow.
<?php
   putenv('TLS_REQCERT=never');
   print "<title>ldap test</title>";

   $ldapconn = ldap_connect("ldaps://my.ldap.com") or die("Could not connect to LDAP server.");
   ldap_set_option($ldapconn, LDAP_OPT_PROTOCOL_VERSION, 3);

   if ($ldapconn)
   {
      $basedn = "dc=my,dc=ldap,dc=com";
      $attributes = array("ou","cn");
      $sr = ldap_search ($ldapconn, $basedn, "(ObjectClass=OrganizationalUnit)", $attributes);
      $info = ldap_get_entries($ldapconn, $sr);
   }

   if ($info["count"] > 0)
   {
      for ($i=0; $i < $info["count"]; $i++)
      {
         $ou = $info[$i]["ou"][0];
         print "
<input type='radio' name='ldap_ou' value='$ou'>$ou
";
      }
   }

   print "";

?>

Apache Errors:
PHP Warning:  ldap_search(): Search: Can't contact LDAP server in /var/www/test.php on line 14
PHP Warning:  ldap_get_entries() expects parameter 2 to be resource, boolean given in /var/www/test.php on line 15

Update 2 (debug fail info):
...
ldap_prepare_socket: 18
ldap_connect_to_host: Trying 10.14.13.92:636
ldap_pvt_connect: fd: 18 tm: -1 async: 0
TLS: peer cert untrusted or revoked (0x42)
TLS: can't connect: (unknown error code).
ldap_err2string
....

A: I am having the same problem. LDAP server wants TLS so we have to use ldaps to connect to the server. ldap_connect and ldap_bind works everytime. But following ldap_search fails sporadically with Can't contact LDAP Server (-1) error.
On LDAP side I can see a working bind request on my ldap server, but nothing more -.-
I am using CentOS with php7.2, does anybody had the same issues or any solution?

Okay, I switched to use http://php.net/manual/en/function.ldap-start-tls.php which solved the problem for me.

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text:
Maldon 6°c
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Men arrested in new crackdown on drugs
Heybridge men arrested in new crackdown on drugs
By Sam Drury Reporter
OPERATION OVERWATCH: Cannabis, cash and mobile phones were seized during the crackdown
POLICE have arrested two men in connection with burglary, drug and driving offences as part of a new operation.
Across Essex, 31 people were arrested by Essex Police's Operation Overwatch between July 29 and August 4.
Overwatch was funded by Operation Sceptre Essex, which is a targeted crackdown on knife crime, and has been extended thanks to Home Office funding.
Teams carried out patrols in the Dengie and Chelmsford, conducting 58 stop and searches. Officers issued five cannabis warnings and spent 104 hours patrolling areas known for "violent behaviour or drug dealing".
As part of the operation, a 21-year-old man from Heybridge was arrested after a warrant was executed at a property in the village.
He was bailed until August 22 in relation to being concerned in the supply of a controlled drug.
A 28-year-old man was also stopped in Heybridge and arrested on suspicion of burglary, possession of cannabis, failing to stop for a police officer, driving without a licence, driving without insurance and drug driving.
Chief Insp Gerry Parker, district commander for Chelmsford and Maldon, said the operation was the team's biggest and most successful so far.
He said: "I'm incredibly proud of the dedication of our teams over the course of the week.
"They've worked on intelligence that's been gathered across the district to stop avenues of drug supply and take weapons off of the streets.
"We couldn't do Overwatch without the community calling in or reporting information online every time they see something criminal.
"Whether it's a drug deal outside your house, or seeing someone you know carries a knife walking around with it – it's crucial that you reach out to us. I've said it before and I'll say it again – organised crime doesn't belong in my district.
"We will find you, we will disrupt your movements, and we will bring you to justice so that you can't take advantage of vulnerable people in our communities."
The operation was the fifth of its kind since Mr Parker took up his post in April.
A number of arrests were also made in Chelmsford.
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'My hamster ate my post' - the 10 bizarre tax return excuses and expense claims people genuinely made
Why you shouldn't use ibuprofen to treat your child's chickenpox
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Yom Kippur. Last call for Jewish people to confess and ask for forgiveness.
I am in Portugal, looking for a synagogue in the area. Lately, I've been traveling a lot. Hence, the holidays have become more intimidating than joyful, leaving me feeling disconnected. I find myself doing things that I haven't done before. It's interesting how we change, how in time different things have different meanings to us.
Not long ago, when a painter was working on the entrance to my house, I asked him to please remove the mezuzah. As he handed it to me, I recalled how years ago my husband and my brother had installed it. I couldn't remember which one of them said the blessing. It was a long time ago, on my wedding day. I doubted the scroll inside the mezuzah was still kosher. I carefully pulled it out. I was not wrong. It was dried out, discolored and even torn.
I left the silver mezuzah next to my candleholder and ignored it for over a week. Finally, I took the time and cleaned it, making it shine and sparkle. Still, the empty, polished mezuzah in my hands bothered me. Perhaps if this had happened at another time of the year things would have been different. I don't know.
Talk about a good deed, a mitzvah in Hebrew, before Yom Kippur? Clearly, both the rabbi and I did a big mitzvah.
So yes, we change. Over time, different things hold different meanings for us.
Yet, a mitzvah is not enough. At this time of the year, a better person will also apologize to his family and friends, and ask for forgiveness for any wrongdoing or misunderstanding during the previous year.
And so do I. If I have hurt you or harmed you in any way I am sorry—I did not mean to. Please forgive me.
I wish you, your family and friends a happy New Year and G'mar Hatima Tova.


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South Lake Tahoe, Calif. – February 7, 2013 – The California Tahoe Conservancy released a draft plan today to restore the Upper Truckee Marsh, Tahoe's largest remaining wetland. The plan includes five alternatives to restore the health of the 600 acre marsh, improve fish and wildlife habitat, and provide recreational opportunities.
Beginning in the late 1950s, portions of the Upper Truckee River through the marsh were straightened and channelized to facilitate construction of the adjacent Tahoe Keys development. A primary goal of the draft plan is to reconnect the river with the marsh, and to restore the natural processes that filter fine sediment and other pollutants before they enter Lake Tahoe.
The Conservancy has not yet selected a preferred alternative, but will draw from public comment and features from several alternatives in crafting the final plan. Pending available funding and necessary approvals, the multi-year project could proceed to construction as early as 2015.
Written comments will be accepted during the public meetings and throughout the review period. Public review will begin on February 7, 2013, and comments must be received no later than April 8, 2013. You do not need to attend the public meetings to comment on the document. Please submit comments via email to Scott.Carroll@tahoe.ca.gov.


text:
Stories of loss and hope:Addiction almost destroyed my family. But my granddaughter wouldn't let me give up.
They found that "the bottom half of the income distribution may not pay much in income taxes, but it pays a lot in sales and payroll taxes." The key effect is that while "each group contributed between 25 percent and 30 percent of its income to the community's needs," there is one exception — and that is "the billionaires, who pay at a tax rate of 23 percent, less than every other group."
I wrote last week about how the stagnation in workers' wages has put the American Dream of economic opportunity for all on life support. The explosive growth of income inequality makes a complete mockery of that Dream.
Of course income inequality is inherent in a functioning capitalist society. No one I know advocates for abolishing it.
The question we must ask ourselves is: Has it gotten out of hand? And should we change the tax system to reverse the trend?
In 1962, the bottom 50 percent of Americans had an average total wealth of $3,528 each in 2018 dollars. By 2018, that figure was $5,156, an increase of 46 percent.
In the same years, the top 0.1 percent went from total wealth of $30.9 million to $349.9 million, an increase of 350 percent. The top 400 adults went from $276.2 million to $6.9 billion, an increase of 2,400 percent.
The bottom 50 percent saw their total tax rate increase from 22.5 percent to 24.2 percent. The top 400 adults saw their tax rate decline from 54.4 percent to 23.0 percent.
Startling? Try this: "Each of the richest 400 adults has, on average, the same wealth as 1,308,440 average adults in the bottom 50 percent."
History tells us that when a country has extreme economic inequality among its citizens, political inequalities soon follow, followed by even more economic inequality and so forth. We are seeing that happen today, most particularly since the Supreme Court's Citizen United ruling gave incredible political power to those with the deepest pockets.
We have regularly changed our tax code since the federal income tax was inaugurated in 1913. Since the 1960s, nearly all changes have mainly benefited the wealthy.
Nothing prevents us from reversing the inequities that have been built in to the code.
"We can fix tax injustice, right now," say Saez and Zucman.
Among their proposals, which they believe can be done without violating international treaties, would involve going after multinational corporations that are presently avoiding taxes by using foreign tax havens. They would also increase taxes on foreign corporations that sell their products in the United States.
I believe, as do many others, that the best way to fix the tax code is by going back to the fairer code we once had, with a more equitable distribution of the tax burden. The two main targets would be capital gains (including getting rid of the infamous "carried interest" scam) and the estate tax.
The Tax Policy Center reports that the top one percent of households, with annual incomes greater than $750,000 in 2018, reported nearly 69 percent of all capital gains on tax returns. There is no evidence that reducing the capital gains tax in the 1970s had any effect on investment decisions.
The loopholes and deductions added over the years to the estate tax have greatly exacerbated income inequality. According to the Tax Policy Center, of the "2.7 million people who would die in 2018 only 1,400 people or .07 percent would pay any federal estate tax."
The most efficient and fairest way to tax great wealth is with a graduated estate tax that treats billionaires differently than millionaires.
Without major changes in our tax code, we will see income inequality become even more pronounced, and the American Dream of economic opportunity for all will finally die.
If you don't want that to happen, pay close attention to the candidates in the upcoming election.


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SURYA HOTELS parent company logo has undergone a major rebrand which is being rolled out across the entire business including the group's leading world food and hotel subsidiaries.
Saint Nicholas House is just a stone's throw away from The George Hotel and will be providing 45 brand new, modern executive rooms that is perfect for both business and leisure stays. We look forward to welcoming you to Saint Nicholas House when it launches later this year.
Our Dragonfly hotels based in Bury St Edmunds, Colchester, King's Lynn, Peterborough have announced an extensive refurbishment across all of our 241 bedrooms.
The George Hotel's exciting news!
2018 promises to be an exciting year for The George, with a £10 million makeover planned. Naturally, we'll do our upmost to keep any disruption to a minimum, and rest assured we'll always keep you informed of any works taking place during your stay.
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At George Hotel, You're in the Spotlight!
Just back from The George Hotel? Share pictures of your favourite moments here – in the hotel, at Colchester with #georgeexperience and stand a chance to win special gift hampers. You can even send us a chosen few, and they could be featured on our website (with due credits to you, of course).


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redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaGithub


Sometimes, your scripts take too much time to run and clients/bosses ask you to tune your scripts to go faster. This is a common issue we all face. A while ago we saw how we can go faster if we change the type of a certain object.
Today, we will compare the performances between If and Switch statements.
The "Measure-ExecutionTime" will run each expression 100 times, skip the worst and best duration, and then make an average of the remaining.
As you can see, the performances impacts between the 3 approach is not very important. The time is expressed in seconds, the maximum delta is ~17 seconds for 100 000 objects. You won't win a lot of performances by switching between those script words.


text:
Forums › Current Affairs & News › Newshopper - Discuss recent news
› Climate Gate
Climate Gate
[url="http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2009/dec/22/copenhagen-climate-change-mark-lynas"]How do I know China wrecked the Copenhagen deal?[/url]
Quote: This further strengthened China's negotiating hand, as did the complete lack of civil society political pressure on either China or India. Campaign groups never blame developing countries for failure; this is an iron rule that is never broken. The Indians, in particular, have become past masters at co-opting the language of equity ("equal rights to the atmosphere") in the service of planetary suicide – and leftish campaigners and commentators are hoist with their own petard.
Quote: [color="#FF0000"]Copenhagen was much worse than just another bad deal, because it illustrated a profound shift in global geopolitics. This is fast becoming China's century,[/color] yet its leadership has displayed that multilateral environmental governance is not only not a priority, but is viewed as a hindrance to the new superpower's freedom of action.
[url="http://www.foxnews.com/scitech/2010/01/11/years-global-cooling-coming-say-leading-scientists/"]30 Years of Global Cooling Are Coming, Leading Scientist Says[/url]
Quote: From Miami to Maine, Savannah to Seattle, America is caught in an icy grip that one of the U.N.'s top global warming proponents says could mark the beginning of a mini ice age.
December temperatures compared to average December temps recorded between 2000 and 2008. Blue points to colder than average land surface temperatures, while red indicates warmer temperatures.
Check India, deep blue
[url="http://www.hindustantimes.com/Himalayan-glaciers-won-t-melt-by-2035-says-new-finding/H1-Article1-498686.aspx"]Himalayan glaciers won't melt by 2035, says new finding[/url]
Quote: A United Nations body is expected to retract its oft-repeated prediction that most of the Himalayan glaciers will melt by 2035.
Two years ago, the UN's Nobel prize-winning body — Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) headed by R.K. Pachauri — had warned of the melting of glaciers, which would have far-reaching consequences for India. Now, evidence has emerged to suggest that the IPCC may have been mistaken.
"We are studying the new evidence," Pachauri.
The IPCC's claim was based on an article in the New Statesman, London, which relied on an estimate made by India's leading glaciologist and Padamshree recipient Syed Iqbal Hasnain.
Fred Pearce, who wrote the article, has told Sunday Times, London, that Hasnain, who made the claim in 1999, had said he would provide a report explaining his conclusion.
"I obtained a copy, and it did not have what Hasnain had said," Pearce told the newspaper. "It does not mention 2035 as a date by which Himalayan glaciers will melt."
Hasnain had told Pearce his claim was "speculative".
Quote: Ramesh turns heat on Pachauri over glacier melt scare [UN-IPCC Meltdown]
The Times of India ^ | 19 January 2010 | The Times of India
Posted on Mon Jan 18 2010 11:52:06 GMT-0800 (Pacific Standard Time) by James C. Bennett
NEW DELHI: The furore over the validity of data used by UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has taken some of the sheen off the Nobel prize-winning institution's reputation.
A day after it emerged that IPCC's dire prediction that climate change would melt most Himalyan glaciers by 2035 was based on mere "speculation", environment minister Jairam Ramesh slammed the processes of the celebrated body saying "due diligence had not been followed by the Nobel peace prize winning body".
"The health of glaciers is a cause of grave concern but the IPCC's alarmist position that they would melt by 2035 was not based on an iota of scientific evidence," the environment minister said.
Ramesh recalled how IPCC chief R K Pachauri had scornfully dismissed doubts raised by an Indian government agency about the veracity of the UN body's sensational projection about melting of glaciers. "In fact, we had issued a report by scientist V K Raina that the glaciers have not retreated abnormally. At the time, we were dismissed, saying it was based on voodoo science. But the new report has clearly vindicated our position," he said.
This may not be the first time that climate science relating to India has been found to be fallacious or incorrect. However, revelation that the data on glacial melt in Himalayas was unverified has dented the image of the IPCC -- which has set the agenda for climate change talks. It has given a handle to climate sceptics who have long accused the IPCC of being biased.
The report by Raina and other glaciologists had found support from some well-known glaciologists from across the world at that time.
Pachauri, the high profile head of IPCC, acknowledged to TOI that the controversy had caused loss of face for the institution. "Of course, it goes without saying (that the IPCC's reputation has suffered). We have to see that its gold-plated standard is maintained," he said.
The embarrassment comes close on the heels of the disclosure of emails among scientists aligned with the IPCC who argued that data undercutting their conclusions should be withheld from public.
When asked what steps the IPCC would take to correct the erroneous information in its report, Pachauri said the group would move swiftly to verify facts at its own level, work to figure how the `deviation from due process occurred' and act on the situation.
Other sources, not willing to come on record, suggested that IPCC was looking at the possibility of a `corrigendum or errata' to be published within the week. While this is not unprecedented in IPCC history, corrections carried out so far related to typographical errors.
This time, however, the body will be correcting an unverified report that not only got included in its findings that framed the cliamte change negotitations but remained undetected for more than two years.
The IPCC is only meant to include peer-reviewed information that has passed the litmus test of being published in reputed journals. But this is not the first time that data on India, often used by industrialised countries to put pressure on Delhi to take actions, has been found to be incorrect.
"In 1990, US raised a scare that methane emissions (an intense greenhouse gas) from wet paddy fields in India were as high as 38 million tonnes. It was later found by Indian scientists and globally accepted that it was as low as 2-6 million tonnes," Ramesh said.
Again in 2000, just before crucial negotiations, US and other industrialised countries flogged an unverified report of UNEP that claimed soot from chullahs (earthen cookstoves) was adding greatly to climate change, calling it the Asian Brown Haze.
[url="http://www.investors.com/NewsAndAnalysis/Article.aspx?id=519317"]United Nations' Climate Chief Must Go[/url]
Quote: The U.N.'s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has been forced to back off its now-discredited claim that the Himalayan glaciers would soon disappear. But it's not true, the panel's vice chairman, Jean-Pascal van Ypersele, told the BBC, that it was simply a "human mistake."
The panel's chairman, Dr. Rajendra K. Pachauri, who was forced to admit the claim had no basis in observable scientific fact, said its inclusion was merely a "poor application" of IPCC procedures, acting as if the original source of the claim, Indian scientist Dr. Syed Hasnain, was a total stranger.
Was money another motivation? Booker points out that Hasnain's claim "helped TERI win a substantial share of a $300,000 grant from one of America's leading charities, along with a share in a 3-million-euro research study funded by the EU."
[url="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/environment/climatechange/7157590/India-to-pull-out-of-IPCC.html"]India to 'pull out of IPCC'[/url]
India has threatened to pull out of the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and set up its on climate change body because it "cannot rely" on the group headed by its own Nobel Prize-winning scientist Dr R K Pachauri.
Quote: The Indian government's move is a snub to both the IPCC and Dr Pachauri as he battles to defend his reputation following the revelation that his most recent climate change report included false claims that most of the Himalayan glaciers would melt away by 2035. Scientists believe it could take more than 300 years for the glaciers to disappear.
The body and its chairman have faced growing criticism ever since as questions have been raised on the credibility of their work and the rigour with which climate change claims are assessed.
In India the false claims have heightened tensions between Dr Pachauri and the government, which had earlier questioned his claims. In Autumn, its environment minister, Jairam Ramesh, said that while glacial melting in the Himalayas was a real concern, there was evidence that some were actually advancing despite global warming.
Dr Pachauri had dismissed the government's claims as "voodoo science", but last night Mr Ramesh effectively marginalised the IPC chairman even further.
He announced that the Indian government will establish a separate National Institute of Himalayan Glaciology to monitor the effects of climate change on the world's "third ice cap", and an "Indian IPCC" to use "climate science" to assess the impact of global warming throughout the country.
"There is a fine line between climate science and climate evangelism. I am for climate science. I think people misused [the] IPCC report ... [the] IPCC doesn't do the original research which is one of the weaknesses ... they just take published literature and then they derive assessments, so we had goof-ups on Amazon forest, glaciers, snow peaks.
"I respect the IPCC but India is a very large country and cannot depend only on [the] IPCC and so we have launched the Indian Network on Comprehensive Climate Change Assessment (INCCA)," he said.
It will bring together 125 research institutions throughout India, work with international bodies and operate as a "sort of Indian IPCC," he added.
hilarious comment by reader -
Kudos to India, one of our under appreciated future allies in the coming war with China...
[url="http://www.hindustantimes.com/UN-panel-admits-new-error-in-key-climate-report/H1-Article1-508969.aspx"]UN panel admits new error in key climate report[/url]
Quote: The UN climate change panel has admitted to having imprecisely stated in a key report that 55 per cent of The Netherlands is under sea level, saying that is only the area at risk of flooding.
The Dutch government this month asked the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to explain the figure, used in a landmark 2007 report, saying its numbers were that only 26 per cent of the country is below sea level.
It was a new embarrassment for the panel. The same 938-page Fourth Assessment Report also contained an erroneous claim that global warming could melt Himalayan glaciers by 2035.
The IPCC admitted in a note sent to AFP on Sunday that the 55 per cent figure was actually the portion of The Netherlands "at risk of being flooded". It insisted that the imprecision did not affect the conclusions of the report.
More to this fraud.
[url="http://www.theregister.co.uk/2010/02/15/hatton_on_hurricanes/"]Now IPCC hurricane data is questioned[/url]
Bharatvarsh2
Quote: Climategate U-turn as scientist at centre of row admits: There has been no global warming since 1995
By Jonathan Petre
Last updated at 5:12 PM on 14th February 2010
Data for vital 'hockey stick graph' has gone missing
There has been no global warming since 1995
Warming periods have happened before - but NOT due to man-made changes
The academic at the centre of the 'Climategate' affair, whose raw data is crucial to the theory of climate change, has admitted that he has trouble 'keeping track' of the information.Colleagues say that the reason Professor Phil Jones has refused Freedom of Information requests is that he may have actually lost the relevant papers.
Professor Jones told the BBC yesterday there was truth in the observations of colleagues that he lacked organisational skills, that his office was swamped with piles of paper and that his record keeping is 'not as good as it should be'.
The data is crucial to the famous 'hockey stick graph' used by climate change advocates to support the theory.
Professor Jones also conceded the possibility that the world was warmer in medieval times than now – suggesting global warming may not be a man-made phenomenon.
And he said that for the past 15 years there has been no 'statistically significant' warming.
The admissions will be seized on by sceptics as fresh evidence that there are serious flaws at the heart of the science of climate change and the orthodoxy that recent rises in temperature are largely man-made.
Professor Jones has been in the spotlight since he stepped down as director of the University of East Anglia's Climatic Research Unit after the leaking of emails that sceptics claim show scientists were manipulating data.
The raw data, collected from hundreds of weather stations around the world and analysed by his unit, has been used for years to bolster efforts by the United Nation's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change to press governments to cut carbon dioxide emissions.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-...z0fjiyRY9m
Shyam Saran to quit as PM's special envoy
Quote: Former foreign secretary Shyam Saran Friday announced his decision to quit as Prime Minister Manmohan Singh's special envoy on climate change.
"This is not something new. I had informed the prime minister's office earlier that March 14 would be my last working day," Saran told IANS.
[URL="http://www.longrangeweather.com/global_temperatures.htm"]Global Temperature Trends From 2500 B.C. To 2040 A.D.[/URL]
Watch from time 13:22
[url="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A5v-I8JrPxA"]Max Keiser interviews author of report "conning the climate: Inside the carbon trading shell game"[/url]
The last time Eyjafjallajökull blew its top the eruption lasted for two years, spreading smoke and ash over Iceland causing significant damage.
* The last time Eyjafjallajökull erupted, it lasted 2 years stretching from 1821-1823. It also erupted in 920 and 1612.
* The 1821 eruption spread fluoride across iceland, damaging livestock and human well-being. Glacial flooding also resulted from the eruption.
* Eyjafjallajökull's eruption usually precedes an eruption for another Icelandic volcano called Katla, as it did in 1823. Katla's eruptions are usually more violent than Eyjafjallajökul's.
* Katla is partially trapped under a glacier and its eruption would create even more flooding problems for Iceland.
* The Laki volcano, which erupted in 1783, was the worst in Icelandic history. It killed a quarter of Iceland's residents, created a poisonous plume over Prague, made New Jersey's snowfall its highest ever, and had an impact on one of Egypt's worst droughts.
* The Laki volcano is considered a central cause of the French Revolution, as it led to a poor harvest and public unrest in the country.
BREAKING NEWS: Large plume indicates second Icelandic volcano, Hekla, has begun erupting
Capt M Kumar
<img src='http://www.india-forum.com/forums/public/style_emoticons/<#EMO_DIR#>/biggrin.gif' class='bbc_emoticon' alt=' ' /> LONDON: Australian scientists have found that whale faeces could help combat global warming by allowing the Southern Ocean to absorb more carbon dioxide.
Researchers at the Australian Antarctic Division claimed that whale excrement, rich with iron, is a natural ocean fertiliser that can allow the whole eco-system to send more carbon down into deep waters. They believe that a larger population of baleen whales and krill would boost the productivity of the whole Southern Ocean ecosystem and could improve the absorption of carbon dioxide, blamed for global warming. http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/home/...857362.cms
ClimateGate Boss - Al Gore's $9 million Mansion
Enjoy Climate gate with Al Gore in his backyard
[url="http://mensnewsdaily.com/2010/07/26/another-environmental-scientist-bails-on-man-made-global-warming/"]Another Environmental Scientist Bails on Man-Made Global Warming[/url]
Quote: Physicist Dr. Denis Rancourt, a former professor and environmental science researcher at the University of Ottawa, has officially bailed out of the man-made global warming movement.
In a hard-hitting and exclusive new exclusive video just released by Climate Depot, Dr. [color="#FF0000"][size="5"]Rancourt declares that the entire man-made global warming movement is nothing more than a "corrupt social phenomenon." "It is as much psychological and social phenomenon as anything else," Rancourt, who has published peer-reviewed research, explained in a June 8, 2010 essay.[/size][/color]
Watch Rancourt video here.
"I argue that by far the most destructive force on the planet is power-driven financiers and profit-driven corporations and their cartels backed by military might; and that the global warming myth is a red herring that contributes to hiding this truth. In my opinion, activists who, using any justification, feed the global warming myth have effectively been co-opted, or at best neutralized," Rancourt said.
"Global warming is strictly an imaginary problem of the First World middleclass," he stated.
Environmental censorship
Rancourt's dissent on man-made climate fears has not set well with many of his fellow green friends. "When I tell environmental activists that global warming is not something to be concerned about, they attack me — they shun me, they do not allow me to have my materials published in their magazines," Rancourt explained to Climate Depot.
Rancourt bluntly examines why his fellow environmentalists are wrapped up in promoting climate alarm. (Note: Rancourt also ridicules environmental concern over acid rain and the ozone hole. See below)
"They look for comfortable lies that they can settle into and alleviate the guilt they feel about being on privileged end of the planet — a kind of survivors guilt. A lot of these environmentalists are guilt laden individuals who need to alleviate the guilt without taking risks," he said. "They are weekend activists…looking for lies to hitch onto."
"The modern environmental move has hijacked itself by looking for an excuse to stay comfortable and stay away from actual battle. Ward Churchill has called this pacifism as pathology," he explained. "If you are really concerned about saving world's forests or habitat destruction, then fight against habitat destruction, don't go off in tenuous thing about co2 concentration in the atmosphere. Actually address the question; otherwise you are weakening your effect as an activist."
[url="http://gatewaypundit.firstthings.com/2010/10/top-scientist-resigns-from-post-admits-global-warming-is-a-scam/"]Top Scientist Resigns from Top Science Org – Admits Global Warming Is a Scam[/url]
Quote: Top US scientist Hal Lewis resigned this week from his post with the biased American Physical Society.
He admitted global warming climate change was nothing but a scam in his resignation letter.
The Telegraph reported:
The following is a letter to the American Physical Society released to the public by Professor Emiritus of physics Hal Lewis of the University of California at Santa Barbara.
Sent: Friday, 08 October 2010 17:19 Hal Lewis
From: Hal Lewis, University of California, Santa Barbara
To: Curtis G. Callan, Jr., Princeton University, President of the American Physical Society
Dear Curt:
When I first joined the American Physical Society sixty-seven years ago it was much smaller, much gentler, and as yet uncorrupted by the money flood (a threat against which Dwight Eisenhower warned a half-century ago).
Indeed, the choice of physics as a profession was then a guarantor of a life of poverty and abstinence—it was World War II that changed all that. The prospect of worldly gain drove few physicists. As recently as thirty-five years ago, when I chaired the first APS study of a contentious social/scientific issue, The Reactor Safety Study, though there were zealots aplenty on the outside there was no hint of inordinate pressure on us as physicists. We were therefore able to produce what I believe was and is an honest appraisal of the situation at that time. We were further enabled by the presence of an oversight committee consisting of Pief Panofsky, Vicki Weisskopf, and Hans Bethe, all towering physicists beyond reproach. I was proud of what we did in a charged atmosphere. In the end the oversight committee, in its report to the APS President, noted the complete independence in which we did the job, and predicted that the report would be attacked from both sides. What greater tribute could there be?
How different it is now. The giants no longer walk the earth, and the money flood has become the raison d'être of much physics research, the vital sustenance of much more, and it provides the support for untold numbers of professional jobs. For reasons that will soon become clear my former pride at being an APS Fellow all these years has been turned into shame, and I am forced, with no pleasure at all, to offer you my resignation from the Society.
It is of course, the global warming scam, with the (literally) trillions of dollars driving it, that has corrupted so many scientists, and has carried APS before it like a rogue wave. It is the greatest and most successful pseudoscientific fraud I have seen in my long life as a physicist. Anyone who has the faintest doubt that this is so should force himself to read the ClimateGate documents, which lay it bare. (Montford's book organizes the facts very well.) I don't believe that any real physicist, nay scientist, can read that stuff without revulsion. I would almost make that revulsion a definition of the word scientist.
So what has the APS, as an organization, done in the face of this challenge? It has accepted the corruption as the norm, and gone along with it…
The suggestion is included in Canberra's " Carbon Farming Initiative" , a consultation paper by the Department of Climate Change and Energy Efficiency, seen Thursday.
Adelaide-based Northwest Carbon, a commercial company, proposed culling some 1.2 million wild camels that roam the Outback, the legacy of herds introduced to help early settlers in the 19th century.
Considered a pest due to the damage they do to vegetation, a camel produces, on average , methane equivalent to one tonne of carbon dioxide a year, making them collectively one of Australia's major emitters of greenhouse gases. In its plan, Northwest said it would shoot them from helicopters or muster them and send them to an abattoir for either human or pet consumption. http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/home/...796970.cms


I could sum this DVD up in one sentence: "Easily the most entertaining, enjoyable, worthwhile DVD I've seen in a very long time!"
Let's face it: David Acer is a goofball? and a great magician! Not only that, he's got some very talented friends. Believe it or not the "and Other Mysteries" part of this DVD is what really makes it worthwhile.
Of course, that's not meant to demean the "On Screen" effect. It's well-produced and great for parties. Unlike other TV magic effects I've seen, David even explains how to choreograph the use of the DVD remote and TV switches so that it really looks like you're just turning on the TV.
But as I said, it's the rest of the material that makes this an awesome DVD. It's a combination of funny video clips (with friends, from David's standup act, and a full-blown movie short) intermixed with a lot of excellent material from David and friends like Jay Sankey, Richard Sanders, Jimmy Carlo, and Romaine.
It's really totally amazing how much magic is taught on this tape. Since it's mixed-up with these funny clips, it seems like this video must go on forever! The list of special guests includes thirteen performers!
Big Time - a "hand-made" magnifying glass turns a regular deck of cards into a jumbo-index deck.
Carlo Bands - an extension of the Crazy Man's Handcuffs that will fool the crap out of you!
David Acer on Equivoque - too funny for words. What the "magicians choice" shouldn't be, but all-too-often is.
Romaine Riffle Pass and Tabled Palm - Advanced card technique that's worth the study.
On Bended Knee - a baffling coin change for informal situations. This also includes commentary from Jay Sankey with an explanation of a wonderful coin vanish invented by Vernon.
The list could go on, but I don't want to spoil the surprise.
Any negative comments? Only one. Some of the camerawork was bad. I get the sense that most was shot with a handheld by various friends. That's all fine and dandy, but the camera goes out of frame during a number of important moments. If they could've had two cameras (one for an establishing shot), this could have been easily fixed.
The verdict: For the love of (insert favorite deity here), buy this DVD!
Imagine you have a few people at your home for a party, when suddenly, someone asks you to do a trick. You shrug, pull out a deck, get him to choose a card, then lose it in the pack, whereupon you turn on your TV and click through some channels until you find one you like -- lets say it's a scene with a busy sidewalk. You step back, then spring the deck against the TV screen. When all the cards have fluttered to the floor, one card is seen to be sticking (back outward) to the screen! Or is it? For a man walking by IN THE TV SHOW suddenly stops, looking straight into the camera. He furrows his brow, walks up to the screen, then PULLS OFF THE CARD, yanking it instantly into TV land! He looks at it on both sides, showing that it is indeed the spectator's selection, then he shrugs and walks off screen!
Big Time: The magician's hand becomes an impromptu magnifying glass, enlarging the printing on chosen cards, and ultimately upsizing the entire deck!
On Bended Knee: While seated at a bar, for example, and with a wave of his hand, one coin resting on the magician's knee changes instantly into another!
The Spice Rack: A restaurant salt shaker is visibly stretched to twice its normal size!
Ultimate Aces: Michel Huot's mind-blowing kicker for MacDonald's Aces, featuring the dazzling Spring Change!
Four on the Floor: A quick and elegant production of four-of-a-kind from the demented (though not quite addled) minds of David and Richard Sanders!
And so much more! Caffeine Overdose, B.J.'s Honey Cut, Acer on Equivoque, Fanfare, The Step Control, Postcards From The Dead, and the list goes on and on, plus TV clips from magic shows, comedy shows and talk shows, AND hilarious guest appearances by Jay Sankey, Richard Sanders, Rick Bronson, Alain Choquette, David Kaye, Barry Julien, Patrik Kuffs, Michel Huot, Jimmy Carlo, Stéphane Bourgoin and Romaine!


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Mazagán o Mazagón () fue una posesión portuguesa en África del Norte. Corresponde a la actual ciudad marroquí de El-Yadida (), a 90 km al sudoeste de Casablanca.

Historia

Fundada en 1513 como puesto comercial, resistió a los envites de los moros a costa de grandes esfuerzos e inversiones de la Corona portuguesa, para servir a los navegantes que hacían la ruta del Cabo. La reedificación de la fortaleza fue encargada a los mejores arquitectos italianos y españoles, en una época de transición de la guerra neurobalística hacia la pirobalística, o sea, de las armas de percusión (las catapultas, por ejemplo) hacia las armas de fuego. Así se justifica la inclinación de las murallas, que de este modo repelen el impacto de los proyectiles de artillería, así como ensanchamiento de las almenas, para la colocación de las culebrinas, cañones y otros dispositivos.

En el año 1541 fueron demolidas las estructuras defensivas existentes, que estaban en decadencia y desfasadas, siendo sustituidas por otras de forma renacentista, según conforme al plano de Benedetto de Ravena y construido por el arquitecto-ingeniero de renombre Juan de Castillo, único arquitecto con obras en cinco monumentos declarados Patrimonio de la Humanidad por la Unesco. La prueba de su inexpugnabilidad fue la resistencia al fuerte cerco de los árabes en 1562.

En 1769, el Marqués de Pombal, estratega del reinado de José I, decidió que toda la población sería transferida para la Amazonia, en Brasil, otra región portuguesa que necesitaba garantizar la soberanía. Así, la fortificación fue abandonada y destruida, sus habitantes partieron para Brasil, donde fundaron la villa de Nova Mazagão (Nueva Mazagón), actualmente solo Mazagão, en Amapá.

Las fortificaciones portuguesas de Mazagón fueron inscritas en la lista de Patrimonio de la Humanidad por la Unesco en 2004. Del conjunto, se destaca su antigua Iglesia de la Asunción en estilo manuelino. En cuanto, la fortaleza muestra el cruce entre las culturas europea y marroquí, tanto en la arquitectura, como en la tecnología y en el urbanismo.

Véase también

 Presencia portuguesa en el norte de África

Enlaces externos

 Unesco – Patrimonio Mundial - Mazagão

Patrimonio de la Humanidad en Marruecos
Provincia de El Yadida

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaWikipedia


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Admission Open for session 2019-20 from Playway to Class XII (Medical, Non-Medical, Commerce & Arts) . Register your ward immediately.
Lala Hans Raj ji Aggarwal
It was the dream of the great visionary, lala Hans Raj ji Aggarwal, a self made man, who lost his parents & Guardians before entering his teens, struggled for his life, worked hard and earned name and fame in the city of Gurdaspur. He was a very truthful, fearless, straight forward and kind hearted person. He was a man of action and there was no split in his words and action. He was not able to complete his primary studies and had to struggle to earn his livelihood, who later became a very successful businessman. He was competent and master in reading, writing and understanding Urdu. Besides he could also read Hindi, English and Punjabi. He had full faith in astrology. He read many books in astrology, the effect of stars, planets, nakshatra and rashies on human life, weather and rise/fall in prices of commodities. He experienced in his life, did research work and wrote many books on impact of stars on life, weather and commodities. He was master mind of accounts and his business of brick kilns, especially the system of combustion and firing practices in brick kilns and developed new techniques for better and cost effective firing practices. He was nationalist, who fought for the independence of Mother India and had a full faith in philosophy and ideology of Sanatan Dharma and the Almighty GOD, who has given him courage and confidence due to which he attained a respectful position in the Society. He always motivated and inspired his children to be kind hearted, truthful, generous, helpful to poor and needy, honest, faithful and dedicated towards NATION.
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Dean Singleton on retiring as MediaNews Group chair, print's decline and the future
This week, Dean Singleton announced that he would be stepping down as chairman of MediaNews Group, the nation's second-largest newspaper company, and publisher of the Denver Post.
Singleton is loved and hated with equal fervor within the journalism industry, but he's always been the most accessible of moguls. And in a conversation with Westword, he was typically frank about the reasons for his decision, the inevitable decline of print and the mark he's left on newspapering.
As you'll recall, Singleton, who suffers from multiple sclerosis, let it be known he would be passing on the mantle of MediaNews CEO back in January 2011; that position was finally filled by John Paton the following September. But he's held onto the company's chairmanship and acted as the Post's publisher for more than two years since then. And while Singleton will serve as non-executive chairman of the Post going forward, he refers to his latest move as retirement.
"I've been thinking about it for quite some time," Singleton says. "It's a variety of factors, most of them personal. I've battled MS for a long, long time, and it's well known that it gets progressively worse over time in terms of mobility. It takes longer to do things, and you have to plan ahead.
"Secondly, I've spent my life building the company and traveling a lot and not spending as much time with my three children as I should have. Now, they're grown, and I'm really learning to have a rewarding, fun relationship with them. I have two grandchildren, too, and personal time is becoming a lot more important to me.
"And third, I've been working full time for and around newspapers since I was fifteen, and there are a lot of things that interest me, and that I want to spend more time doing while I still can. And it just seems hard to do those things when you're tied day-to-day to the newspapers. So our company's annual meeting comes up in December, and if you're going to retire as chairman and leave the board, an appropriate time to do it is by the annual meeting."
In recent years, insiders have suggested that Singleton, once the undisputed king of MediaNews, was being slowly but steadily marginalized. In his view, "I don't think that's correct. Two and a half, almost three years ago, I announced that I was going to step down as CEO, and it took about nine months to come to a decision about who the new CEO would be. After that, in terms of the sixteen-hour days and traveling around the country doing budgets, I stopped doing that. So I haven't been involved in the day-to-day operations on the business side for more than two years. But I've still been in every day, and if anything, I've gotten more involved in the Denver Post, because I was here and didn't travel as much, and I'm very interested in all things Colorado."
Loosening his involvement in MediaNews Group was "by design," he stresses. "You can't have two CEOs, and John's the CEO. But I still talk with John regularly on what we're doing, and review results and financial statements and all of that. I just spent a little more time on the Denver Post side of things during that period of time. But that takes up much of every day, and it's hard to really free yourself while you're still there all the time."
When asked about the troubles the traditional newspaper industry is experiencing, Singleton pulls no punches.
Continue for more of our interview with Dean Singleton following his announcement that he'll be retiring as chairman of MediaNews Group. "Print has been in a solid decline both in circulation and advertising for a good seven years," he points out, adding, "the decline continues, and will continue. So the challenge going forth for our business is to build a robust digital business, and that's where all the focus is -- and that's where the focus needs to be. And I think John and his team have done an excellent job of pointing us in the right direction and getting us poised for a very bright future."
At the same time, however, "it's no secret that I'm a print-on-paper guy. I've always loved print on paper. Now, I've also recognized the importance of digital in our future. We recognized it a long time ago: MediaNews Technologies, which began our digital development, was created in Hayward, California in 1994, so we were among the earliest to put real resources in digital. We started early, and I think we've done pretty well in digital -- and I think we do it as well, if not better, than anybody out there. It is the focus of the company, and it must be the focus of the company. I recognize that and believe in it. But it's just not part of the business that gives me the most excitement."
Given all that, has the transition from print to digital, and the disinterest in the physical newspaper that's commonplace among the younger generations, been depressing for him?
"'Depress' would be the wrong word," he replies. "I'm actually excited when I see the audiences the industry is building -- especially young audiences. I spent much of my career worrying about and having angst that we didn't have a young audience -- that our audience was getting older and older. But in the digital world, we are capturing a young audience, and that's very exciting.
"Hey, I've got three kids in their twenties, and they haven't read a newspaper probably in their life. They've grown up in a digital world, so I've seen it right in my own home. I've never seen them sit and devour news in a print newspaper, but they sit with their iPads and devour news. So we've created a younger generation that's really into news. They're just into it in a different way."
Nonetheless, Singleton readily concedes that "the ability to monetize digital delivery and advertising around it is still behind the curve" in comparison to print -- "and I'm 62 and grew up in a print world. I started reading a daily newspaper when I was in the third grade, and I've loved newspapers ever since. The next generation doesn't, and we won't see another generation that depends on print. My generation still does, but you begin to see it tail off at about fifty. Most of the people I spend time with who are my age or a little older or younger still love the print newspaper, but that's changing rapidly. In fact, many of my friends, while they still take the print newspaper, are depending more and more on their iPads and mobile devices, because they're so much quicker. We get news instantly rather than waiting until the next morning."
Going forward, Singleton says, "my sole duties for MediaNews will be as chairman of the Post and to be helpful to Mac Tully," the broadsheet's president and CEO, who will be adding "publisher" to his curriculum vitae. "And I'll work in community things and political things. But I will not have a lot of duties at the Post. It's Mac's newspaper now."
Does he feel emotional about this last admission?
Continue for more of our interview with Dean Singleton following his announcement that he'll be retiring as chairman of MediaNews Group. "I think I've gotten beyond that," Singleton says. "In thinking about this for the last year, I've wondered how it would work and how it would feel, and I had the ups and downs before I made the final decision to do it. And I'm very proud of the Post -- proud of what we've done over the last 26 years.
"I think the Post has one of the best editors in the country, and one of the best editors I've worked with in my career, in Greg Moore. I'm very proud of the work he and his team do and I'm confident they'll continue to do that. And I've known Mac Tully for twenty years. I hired him from the Kansas City Star to run San Jose [he's referring to that city's Mercury News] almost six years ago, and I'm very comfortable with him. He's published some very good newspapers, and his father was a publisher, so he has the understanding of what a newspaper should be in a community, but with a much better grasp of the new world than I have. It's kind of like turning over a treasured asset to people that grew up with you and you know well. So I'm very comfortable turning over the Denver Post to Mac and Greg."
As for the matter of the legacy he'll be leaving behind, Singleton says, "I have no control over that, so it's silly to even think about it. It will be what it will be."
Even so, he acknowledges that "I'm proud we started with one little newspaper in New Jersey and built it into the second-largest newspaper company in the country. And I'm proud of the great journalism that we've done at many of our newspapers, and during the 26 years at the Denver Post. When we bought the newspaper, we were 128,000 daily circulation behind the Rocky" -- the Rocky Mountain News, of course. "And once we got done cleaning out some of the circulation garbage, it was probably more like 150,000 behind. Everybody left us for dead. Nobody thought we had a chance of catching up."
Nonetheless, he says that with "good blocking and good tackling and a good newspaper, we did catch up, and we passed the Rocky both in circulation and advertising. And then, we reached an accommodation" -- a 2001 joint operating agreement -- "where we could publish together. But as the business changed, there was only room for one of us -- and I'm proud we ended up being the one."
The Rocky shut down in 2009, after nearly 150 years of publication.
Recently, the Post "has won Pulitzers four years in a row," Singleton says. "We're the only newspaper in the country to do that other than the New York Times. So I'm very proud of what we've done at the Post, and the team that's done it is still there. And I think they'll keep on doing it.
"I'll have some involvement in it," he says, "but not so much involvement that I can't go off and do the other things I want to do."
More from our Media archive circa January 2011: "Dean Singleton interview about stepping down as CEO of MediaNews Group."


text:
Doom: The Boardgame
SKU: 010640 Category: Board Games
2 – 4 players ages 12 180 minutes
"Attention all Marines! All UAC personnel be advised. There has been a code red security breach in the dimensional gateway research facility here at the Union Aerospace Corporation's Mars base. We are under invasion. I repeat, we are under invasion.Report immediately to central command. If you are isolated from the main facility, seek out other marines, form squads, and engage the invaders with whatever means possible. The weapons at the Mars base are limited, but should be sufficient for neutralizing the invaders."In Doom: The Boardgame, demonic invaders have broken through from another dimension into the Union Aerospace Corporation's Mars base. Marines have been deployed to the base to protect UAC personnel and destroy the invaders. Up to three players will take the roles of heavily armed and highly trained marines, while one player will control the legion of demonic invaders. In the game, the marine players explore the claustrophobic rooms and corridors of the Mars base, attacking monsters, picking up new weapons and equipment, and working together to complete specific mission objectives.The heart of Doom: The Boardgame is the scenario. Before every game, a scenario must be chosen. Each individual scenario will tell you how to set up the game, explain any special rules, and describe the specific objectives you must achieve in order to win the game. You will find several ready-to-play scenarios in the Doom Scenario Guide.Doom: The Boardgame is a game for 2 to 4 players Ages 12 and up, playable in 1 to 2 hours, based on the groundbreaking DOOM computer game by id Software.Expanded by Doom: The Boardgame Expansion Set<br/>
By Christian T. Petersen Fantasy Flight Games
Categories: Exploration, Fighting, Horror, Miniatures, Science Fiction, Video Game Theme Mechanics: Dice Rolling, Modular Board, Partnerships, Variable Player Powers
Minplayers
Exploration, Fighting, Horror, Miniatures, Science Fiction, Video Game Theme
Dice Rolling, Modular Board, Partnerships, Variable Player Powers
Basegame
Ca$h 'n Guns (Second Edition): Team Spirit
BANG! The Dice Game
Ca$h 'n Guns (Second Edition)


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Ségry – miejscowość i gmina we Francji, w Regionie Centralnym, w departamencie Indre.

Według danych na rok 1990 gminę zamieszkiwały 442 osoby, a gęstość zaludnienia wynosiła 13 osób/km² (wśród 1842 gmin Centre, Ségry plasuje się na 725. miejscu pod względem liczby ludności, natomiast pod względem powierzchni na miejscu 264.).

Bibliografia

Miejscowości w departamencie Indre