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Ruth Sherlock
Ruth Sherlock is an International Correspondent with National Public Radio. She's based in Beirut and reports on Syria and other countries around the Middle East. She was previously the United States Editor for the Daily Telegraph, covering the 2016 US election. Before moving to the US in the spring of 2015, she was the Telegraph's Middle East correspondent.
Sherlock reported from almost every revolution and war of the Arab Spring. She lived in Libya for the duration of the conflict, reporting from opposition front lines. In late 2011 she travelled to Syria, going undercover in regime held areas to document the arrest and torture of antigovernment demonstrators. As the war began in earnest, she hired smugglers to cross into rebel held parts of Syria from Turkey and Lebanon. She also developed contacts on the regime side of the conflict, and was given rare access in government held areas.
Her Libya coverage won her the Young Journalist of the Year prize at British Press Awards. In 2014, she was shortlisted at the British Journalism Awards for her investigation into the Syrian regime's continued use of chemical weapons. She has twice been a finalist for the Gaby Rado Award with Amnesty International for reporting with a focus on human rights. With NPR, in 2020, her reporting for the Embedded podcast was shortlisted for the prestigious Livingston Award.
How ancient seeds from the Fertile Crescent could help save us from climate change
Some of the tens of thousands of seeds stored at a facility in Lebanon's Bekaa Valley may hold keys to helping the planet's food supply adapt to climate change. Many seeds were saved from Syria's war.
People in Lebanon are robbing banks and staging sit-ins to access their own savings
Lebanon's banks froze accounts three years ago amid an economic collapse. Now, under increasingly desperate circumstances, people are resorting to extreme measures to access their savings accounts.
Here's what happened on day 3 of the U.N.'s COP27 climate talks
Lauren Sommer
Pakistan's leader sounded the alarm, climate scientists called for more equitable research and the U.N. tried to crack down on greenwashing. Here's what happened at COP27 today.
Why United Arab Emirates is relaxing laws on sex, marriage, liquor, vapes and more
The UAE is overhauling laws on an array of business, cultural and social norms. On paper, it makes the emirate one of the region's most progressive countries, but critics say the reality is complex.
Syrians say Belarus deported them even though they're wanted by Assad's regime
After luring asylum-seekers to the EU as a political stunt, Belarus has now sent people back to the dangerous place they were escaping, rights groups and migrants tell NPR.
In Iraq's famed marshlands, climate change is upending a way of life
Drought and extreme heat that scientists link to climate change are altering the UNESCO-protected marshlands. Iraq's average annual temperatures are increasing at nearly double the rate of Earth's.
In Gaza, Families Have Huddled At Home, Hoping For A Warning Before An Israeli Strike
For a week and a half, Gazans have taken cover in their stairwells and other parts of the house, eating canned foods and hoping they can run out in time — if an airstrike warning comes.
Lebanon's Full Hospitals Turn Away Coronavirus Patients Amid Record Daily Cases
A coronavirus surge is overwhelming hospitals, leading doctors to tell families to care for sick loved ones at home instead. Health workers fear New Year's parties could have led to further spikes.
On Beaches Quieted By The Pandemic, Lebanon Sees Sea Turtle Boom
As Lebanon reels from multiple tragedies, conservationists are pointing to one bright spot. They say a record number of endangered green sea turtles have come to nest on the country's shores.
After Beirut Explosion, Lebanon Sees A Spike In Coronavirus Infections
Since the Aug. 4 blast, the number of COVID-19 cases has increased by some 220%, according to the International Rescue Committee. The country is also coping with damage to medical facilities.


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Nike is releasing Doppler Radar Weatherman Shoes…
1:33 PM EDT on August 29, 2013
This is so absurd that I thought it was a joke. It's not.
Thanks to Kevin Durant proclaiming in a recent SI article that he'd like to be a weatherman, Nike is launching a line of Doppler radar inspired shoes called the "Weatherman Pack." These are even more over-the-top than the KD inspired weather shoes from a few years ago. The sneakers will feature more realistic looking Doppler radar imagery and patterns.
And no, I'm not making this up.
From Nice Kicks:
Pack your umbrella and purchase your tent, the Nike "Weatherman" Pack now has an official release date. Look for the Nike Air Foamposite One "Weatherman" and the Nike Air Force 1 Low of the same theme to launch on August 30th at select Nike accounts, followed by the Nike Air Foamposite One "Thermal Map" to release after on September 28th. Are any of these "Weatherman" releases on your radar? Let us know in the comment section.
Let's take a look at the new kicks:
You know you're an Oklahoman when you see Doppler radar inspired shoes for the first time and then immediately try to spot a hook echo... and actually find one. Take a look underneath the curve of the Nike swoosh in the third shoe. That has to be maxi-wedge grinder debarker, right? If you live anywhere near the talus, take your tornado precautions.
Seriously, those may be the ugliest shoes I've ever seen. The only people who should be allowed to wear them are Kevin Durant, Mike Morgan and the kid at school that wants his lunch money stolen.
Okay, I guess they're not that bad. They're weird and different, so I bet the hipsters will like them. Plus, you could sport a new pair around town and not have to worry about gang member shooting you for them.
Anyway, you have to wonder what's next. Is this a fad that will (hopefully) die soon, or are weather patterns the fashion trend for 2014? If it is, I think we should launch a line of TLO clothing that features nothing but colorful weather radar patterns. It would be like the hipster camouflage. The kids in the Plaza District will eat those things up.

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaCommonCrawl


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Ally Maki on Home Sweet Home Alone and the Legacy of John Hughes
From director Dan Mazer (Dirty Grandpa), the Disney+ original film Home Sweet Home Alone continues the beloved film franchise by following Max Mercer (Archie Yates), a young boy who has been left home alone when his family leaves for the holidays in Japan. At the same time, parents Jeff (Rob Delaney) and Pam McKenzie (Ellie Kemper) believe that Max has a priceless but unusual family heirloom of theirs and that they must do whatever it takes to get it back from the Mercer home, if only they can survive everything that Max puts them through to keep them out.
At the virtual junket for the film, Collider got to chat with Ally Maki (who plays Jeff's sister-in-law Mei) for this interview, which you can both watch and read, about growing up on the Home Alone movies, being given license to develop a backstory for her character, why the experience of making the movie felt a bit like live theater, the legacy of John Hughes and his movies, doing a voice for Marvel's Hit Monkey, and why she's grateful to be a part of the Disney family.
Collider: When the opportunity to be a part of the next installment in the Home Alone franchise came your way, what was your reaction? Had you seen the original film? Were you curious about what this could be?
ALLY MAKI: I am definitely one of those people that grew up on these movies. I've probably seen both of them movies over 50 times, to be honest. I'm a real big Home Alone 2 fan. When they go to New York, it's just so much fun. So, certainly, when I got the audition, I was very curious as to what they were gonna do because I'm one of those original fans as well. And five pages in, I was sold. I was instantly like, "Okay, I get what they're doing. This is such a fun and hilarious reimagining." It's not what anyone would think, which is super fun, having those Easter eggs, and then having a lot of new stuff too, that's coming in. I just think the writers, Mikey Day and Streeter Seidell, just really nailed it in tone and in creating a new story that's gonna be fun for everybody.
You do get really invested in this family and this kid, separate from the original films.
MAKI: [That's] a good sign. And how charming is Archie [Yates]? I'd be on set and in between takes, and he'd be like, "How do you feel about this, Ally?" It's just like talking to a little grownup. And then, they'd be like, "Action!," and he'd do something that was just so tender and would make cry. I was just like, "This kid is amazing!"
RELATED: New 'Home Sweet Home Alone' Trailer Focuses on the New Criminals, Played by Ellie Kemper and Rob Delaney
The character you play is someone who's on the outer circle of everything that's going on in this family. She's not a relative, she's not a villain, she's not trying to break into this house, and because of that, it seems like you could have a lot of freedom with a role like this. Was that the case? Was this a character that you felt you could develop a bit and add more than just what was on the page?
MAKI: Absolutely, and from day one. Dan Mazer is such an awesome director. Doing all of the Borat and Da Ali G stuff, he's so incredible about giving us that license to come up with a backstory and to come up with takes that we wanted to do. Sometimes he would let Tim [Simons] and I go on for just minutes and minutes and do whatever we wanted to do. There was some stuff where I feel like we could have our own extended cut of the antics that Tim and I would do on the side, and that was just so much fun. I learned so much on that set. Also, just being surrounded by such comedic people, we had such a great time.
She also seems like the kind of character that could easily fade into the background, if she doesn't make her mark on what's going on. Is a character like this more challenging than people expect because you do still want to put your mark on her and have her be a part of the story?
MAKI: I think I was just so excited to be a part of it. Dan was just so amazing about saying that he wanted every character to live and breathe as their own thing. We talked a lot about backstory. Tim, Dan and I all came up with this thing where, back in L.A., she was a failed singer and that's how this song came about. That was all not originally part of the movie. He was just so great about being like, "Well, what do you guys wanna bring to it?" From day one, he always said, "I want you guys to be able, even if you're in a scene and you're just there, bring whatever Mei would bring to that scene. That was a lot of the fun. Sometimes it felt like live theater, as opposed to doing your traditional movie takes, which was so fun.
Did you also get to have a say in her look, her appearance and her wardrobe? Did you help figure out what her style would be?
MAKI: Our amazing costume designer had such a vision. At that first fitting, Mei could have gone any number of ways, but that first day, we had so much fun. We were like, "Maybe we do this and this. Maybe we go super crazy." We landed with the chic black elements with some sort of crazy outerwear piece. That was always her thing. So, it was a bit of a collaboration, but she definitely brought all of the crazy pieces, which was so much fun.
How do you think Mei feels about being a part of this family? When she sees the relationship that Jeff and Pam have, how do you think she feels about this family that she's found herself in?
MAKI: I think she's obsessed with all of them. I think she's low key obsessed with Pam. She's obsessed with Rob's character. I think she's a great aunt. She's a little bit out of touch because she's from L.A. and she's coming in with all of her frills, but at the end of the day, she's such a loving aunt. That's also what we wanted to show. Even if she is a little bit out there, she still has a great heart and she's a great aunt. I'm an aunt in real life too, so I had so much fun bringing that vibe to the role.
The writer of the original characters, John Hughes, was responsible for the Home Alone franchise. As an actor, what does the legacy of John Hughes and his movies mean to you? Do you have a favorite John Hughes movie?
MAKI: Oh, my gosh. What he created is just iconic and it's awesome to see how much he shaped all of our childhoods and continues to shape. It's cool. Everyone I talk to is like, "These movies shaped our childhood." I think kids today are still watching the classics, and hopefully they'll watch this one too. It'll be just a great new addition to the series. But I would say that Home Alone has gotta be my favorite movie of his, hands down.
Do you know what's next for you? Are you currently working on something now, or are you trying to figure out what you're doing next?
MAKI: A little bit of everything. I actually have an animated series [that came] out on the 17th, Marvel's Hit Monkey, which I'm also so excited about. We recorded some of that during the pandemic and now it's coming out. It's about a monkey hitman named Hit Monkey, and he makes his way through Tokyo. I get to play Detective Haruka in that. She's a bad-ass woman on the force. I had so much fun with that too. I'm really looking forward to this coming out and Marvel's Hit Monkey.
What does it mean to you to get to be a part of the whole Disney and Marvel family?
MAKI: I just feel very lucky because my earliest memories are of me dressing up as Jasmine (from Aladdin) and singing Disney songs all day. I just feel like I'm just that same girl that's in my living room, singing Disney songs. What an honor it is to be able to do this for a living and to bring these stories to life, in whatever way I can. It's truly a dream. I'm just always like, "What world am I living in, where I get to be part of not one cool Disney universe, but a couple of them?" That's just something I'll always be grateful for.
I love Mei. I would totally love to see her have her own Disney+ show that has something to do with fashion.
MAKI: Or as a mother. I want more of that. What is that world?
Home Sweet Home Alone is available to stream at Disney+.
Yates also talks about how he has grown as an actor since his debut in 'Jojo Rabbit.'
Christina Radish (5060 Articles Published)
Christina Radish is a Senior Reporter at Collider. Having worked at Collider for over a decade (since 2009), her primary focus is on film and television interviews with talent both in front of and behind the camera. She is a theme park fanatic, which has lead to covering various land and ride openings, and a huge music fan, for which she judges life by the time before Pearl Jam and the time after. She is also a member of the Critics Choice Association and the Television Critics Association.
More From Christina Radish
New 'Home Sweet Home Alone' Trailer Focuses on the New Criminals, Played by Ellie Kemper and Rob Delaney
Archie Yates & Aisling Bea on 'Home Sweet Home Alone,' the Nods to 'Home Alone,' and Filming the Big Family Scenes Yates also talks about how he has grown as an actor since his debut in 'Jojo Rabbit.' Read Next
'Ghostbusters: Afterlife' Captures $4.5 Million in Thursday Box Office
How to Watch 'Ghostbusters: Afterlife': Is the New Sequel Streaming or in Theaters?
'The Wheel of Time' Cast and Characters: A Guide to Amazon's Epic Fantasy Series
'My Hero Academia' Season 6 Poster Teases a Big Confrontation
Disney, WarnerMedia Divide Fox Movie Streaming Rights Through 2022
Box Office: 'Ghostbusters: Afterlife' Spooks Competition with $44 Million Weekend
'Beauty and the Beast': The Problem with Disney's Live-Action Remake Summed Up in One Scene
'SNL' Closes Out 2021 With Billie Eilish, Paul Rudd, and Charli XCX
'SNL' Makes Fun of People Who Take Karaoke to Extremes in Hilarious Sketch
Jason Sudeikis Stars as an Intense Swimming Coach in Foo Fighters Video for "Love Dies Young"
'Blade' Casts Delroy Lindo in MCU Vampire Film
'Spider-Man No Way Home' Trailer: Everything to Know About Green Goblin
'Ghostbusters: Afterlife' Busting Up a $30 Million Debut in Opening Weekend
New 'Eternals' Poster Reveals Harry Styles as Thanos' Brother, Eros


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The Way Back: Rocket Sam
By Ben Wright in Nov | Dec 2016, The Way Back on November 1, 2016 at 12:40 pm | No Comments
Unlocking the vault of UT history
Before Yuri Gagarin and Neil Armstrong bookended the space race, there was Sam, a 7-pound rhesus monkey who blasted off in 1959. Born at UT's Balcones Research Center (now the J.J. Pickle Research Campus), Sam was part of NASA's Project Mercury, where he and other primates were used to test the physiological and psychological effects of space travel. Pictured above, Sam is carefully loaded into a rocket capsule by UT psychology professors Hugh Blodgett and Wade Lynn Brown.
Launched from Wallops Island, Virginia, Sam made it 55 miles up before the rocket detached and a parachute deployed. He landed 80 miles east of takeoff in the testy waters of the Atlantic Ocean, where he was recovered by sailors, who found him "alive and kicking."
Not only did Sam survive the trip, he lived out his long retirement back at the lab. There, he was paired up with another monkey, Miss Sam—an astronaut herself who in 1960 made it nine miles up—in order to evaluate the long-term effects of space travel on procreation. As far as being a canary in the coal mine goes, Sam lived a pretty good life.
Photo from Prints and Photographs Collection, Briscoe Center for American History.


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Richard Hawley – Further
(BMG) UK release date: 31 May 2019
by Ben Hogwood
published: 31 May 2019 in Albums
As Richard Hawley steps back into the ring, his first punch is the hardest. Eighth solo album Further blasts out of the corner with the sonic assault of Off My Mind, confirming the Sheffield singer is completely up for his return to the format. Although a self-styled indie kid, this is a song with its roots in garage rock, a call to arms that impresses greatly with shredded guitars and big brass on top.
The lean textures suit him well, placing a timely reminder to anyone who had Hawley pigeonholed. He remains one of Britain's most versatile songsmiths, fired anew by the political climate of his homeland, confirmed in his recent interview with musicOMH. Brushing himself down, he sets about these songs with no holds barred enthusiasm. Not a note is here that shouldn't be, with each song pruned to three minutes or thereabouts, and with a healthy edge to each that suggests they haven't been altered too much on the production table.
Yet in spite of the 'no jacket required' approach of Off My Mind, there are those trademark moments of Hawley that soften the heart and gladden the mind in equal measure. Bittersweet songs tell of loss on one hand but things found on the other. The freely ambling Alone is one, while Further talks with bittersweet tones of how "loneliness is not the same as being on your own". Meanwhile Midnight Train, where a late traveller has to leave a significant other, is lovely and wistful, Hawley firmly into his role as one of English pop music's best established musical poets. Thankfully the slippers are never too comfortably under the table in any of this music, which unerringly hits the sweet spot without cloying.
Best of all is My Little Treasures, a song 12 years in the making with origins in the deep friendships Hawley's late father had with his band mates. "My little treasures, you're more than old bonds," he croons affectionately, as the beautifully wrought strings observe from a distance. He goes on to sing of "cold beer in warm places, heartbreak and old faces, with my little treasures". It is a winsome and poignant tale.
It is one of several 'heart melters' on Further. The title track yearns with close harmony and beautifully floated strings, time stopping still for the listener, while Is There A Pill adds subtle humour to its big, blustery guitars and the softer underbelly of the strings. As always the vocals are keenly felt.
Further is a great combination of Sheffield steel and English reserve, with Hawley right back at the top of his game. His work for soundtracks and the musical Standing At The Sky's Edge has seemingly sharpened his appetite for the conventional pop song, and these beautifully crafted examples are delivered with feelings born wholly of life experience. The songs effortlessly speak to all classes, to all walks of life, from a songwriter who never sings down to his audience. As always, Richard Hawley is one of us.
Richard Hawley MP3s or CDs
Richard Hawley on Spotify
More on Richard Hawley
Richard Hawley: "We are being led by psychopaths." – Interview
Richard Hawley – Hollow Meadows
Spotlight: Richard Hawley – In The Beginning….
Richard Hawley @ Forum, London


Email with Card scan. Got a reply I have to show them screenshots of my last reservations.
60min later I got upgraded to Preferred Plus.
Had Europcar Executive before, was directly matched to Elite after showing screenshot of Sixt account.
Email with copy of Sixt card and Europcar privilege number to privilege-card@europcar.com. You don't get a free weekend trip.
Radisson gold elite status comes with the radisson credit card - low annual fee.


SovranSoul Thunderous bass, haunting vocals and deep aesthetic theme of how the west was won...Death, Disease and Deception. A blackened collage of anger, pain, strife and vengence mixed into some of the most powerful songs I've heard this year... Favorite track: On Horseback They Carried Thunder.
Comes in a gatefold digisleeve CD.
Includes unlimited streaming of World's Blood via the free Bandcamp app, plus high-quality download in MP3, FLAC and more.
Wayfarer was first brought together in 2012, by a group of Colorado natives. The members of the band aimed to create something original - fierce, beautiful, and honest, in order to contribute back to the pantheon of the great and timeless music that shaped them as people. The founding lineup of Shane McCarthy, Tanner Rezabek, Isaac Faulk and James Hansen released their debut album "Children Of The Iron Age" in 2014, which was later picked up by Prosthetic Records. With the release of the album, the band began what would grow be substantial touring of the material with a strong and memorable live show. Subsequent years would bring touring alongside the likes of Dreadnought, Falls of Rauros, Anicon, Velnias, and Haunter.
Engineered, mixed and mastered by Colin Marston at The Thousand Caves.


Save the Children said more than 300,000 children will die in the Democratic Republic of the Congo where nutrition programmes have an 8% funding shortfall.
Starvation being used as a weapon of war has become the new normal, according to Save the Children. Its analysis shows more than half a million infants in conflict zones could die of malnutrition by the end of the year if they do not receive treatment, the equivalent of one every minute.
The charity makes its own estimates using UN data, and projects that 4.5 million under-fives will need treatment for life-threatening hunger this year in the most dangerous conflict zones – an increase of 20% since 2016. At current rates, only one in three will receive treatment, and 590,000 could die as a result.
The data emerged ahead of Tuesday's launch of the UN annual report on food security, which last year warned that global hunger was rising for the first time since the turn of the century, fuelled by conflict and climate change.
There were chronic shortfalls in donor funding in conflict zones. The charity described as "striking" the example of the Democratic Republic of the Congo, which it estimated had the highest number of infants with life-threatening malnutrition while facing an 8.6% funding shortfall for nutrition.
It estimated 1.9 million infants in the DRC would suffer severe acute malnutrition (SAM) – the most dangerous form of under-nutrition – by the end of 2018. With 1.6 million likely to remain untreated, more than 300,000 children could die, it said.
More than half of the infants at risk from untreated SAM were in the DRC, while Sudan, Afghanistan, Yemen and Somalia were the next four most impacted. On average the nutrition programmes were around a third funded, with the exception of Yemen, which was 60% funded.
Previous research by Save the Children found an increasing number of "grave violations" of children's rights, due to the denial of humanitarian access and attacks on aid workers assisting children, in 2017 – 1,460 cases, up from 1,014 cases in 2016.
Symptoms of SAM include jutting ribs and loose skin, with visible wasting of body tissue or swelling in the ankles or feet. Children with it also have substantially reduced immune systems, and are prone to contract and die of diseases like pneumonia, cholera and malaria.


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Derbyshire Fire and Rescue Service
Firefighter who kept working despite cancer was 'bravest man in the world'
Thousands had been raised to help Stefan Hawcroft get treatment
Nick Reid
More than 18 fire stations across Derbyshire held car washes to raise money for Stefan Hawcroft (centre) back in April (Image: Derbyshire Fire and Rescue Service)
The "bravest man in the world" is how a Derbyshire firefighter will always be remembered by his family after he lost his battle with cancer.
Stefan Hawcroft had been fighting an inoperable brain tumour for the last five years, but as his condition deteriorated in January, he needed up to £250,000 for immunotherapy treatment, in Germany.
Despite a huge fundraising effort by his family and Derbyshire Fire and Rescue Service, which raised more than £120,000, Stefan passed away on Friday, July 20, from his condition.
Friends and family of the 29-year-old have stepped forward to pour praise on the firefighter.
Emma Louise Patterson, Stefan's sister, said: "My beautiful brother got taken away by the angels.
"Stefan went with such dignity and pride and he really did fight right up until the end. This time the battle was just too much.
"He really was the bravest man in the world, he will now go and fly high with all the other angels.
"I want to say a massive thank you to everyone of you for all your lovely donations and prayers that you have sent over the last few months.
"We are so privileged as a family to have had all you kind people behind us. Rest in peace and I will love you forever, my gorgeous brother."
Stefan, of Unstone in North East Derbyshire, had been a firefighter for ten years and worked full-time in Lincoln and part-time for Derbyshire Fire and Rescue Service.
He had battled his condition for more than five years and had to complete several bouts of radiotherapy and chemotherapy, but he continued working as a firefighter throughout.
After a biopsy in September, though, his condition was showing aggressive changes and things took a turn for the worst in January when he was rushed to hospital for emergency surgery.
Health and hospital news
Prisoner escaped police
Isolation room up and running
New GP surgery unlikely
Chinese takeaway prosecuted
He married his fiancé Rebecca in February, after bringing the date forward by 18 months.
In April, Derbyshire Live reported that Stefan's colleagues from Derbyshire Fire and Rescue Service wanted to help his cause and 19 stations across the county held a car wash event, raising more than £18,000 towards the cause.
Professional footballer Adebayo Akinfenwa also offered his support to Stefan by sending him prayers and blessings and recorded a special message for the firefighter.
Footballer Adebayo Akinfenwa has pledged his support to Stefan Hawcroft who has an aggresive form of cancer. (Image: Emma Patterson)
Mark King, who recruited Stefan to Derbyshire Fire and Rescue Service, said: "He was a remarkable young man with an insatiable intelligence and a huge love of life.
"From the moment I met him, I saw how he had such great confidence.
"He was a real professional, would always help the new recruits and even the old ones too. He had a wise head and he also had a good smile and would always have a bit of fun.
"When we held the car washes all those weeks ago, we were humbled by the response that we got and it just goes to show what a great guy Stefan was.
"He will be deeply missed by everyone here in Dronfield and across Derbyshire."


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text:
Monomma mangokyense is een keversoort uit de familie somberkevers (Zopheridae). De wetenschappelijke naam van de soort werd in 1959 gepubliceerd door Heinz Freude.

Somberkevers

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaWikipedia


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A memory from the last trip to Yunnan, where women of age, besides wearing the compulsory white gloves, over-sleeves and those iridescent sun-masks that make them look like astronauts, gear up their electric bikes with these spectacular umbrellas.
*Ayi: literally "auntie", it is also the general term used to address ladies that seem past their young age.
This entry was posted in Sketch and tagged ayi, bicycle, China, electric bike, fashion, middle age, old age, outfit, penbrush, sketch, South, transport, Yunnan on May 13, 2013 by Genghis Kant.


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Life, But Better Fitness Food Sleep Mindfulness Relationships
Coronavirus deaths in the US could reach peak in three weeks, epidemiologist says
By Mick Krever, Gina Yu and Nick Paton Walsh, CNN
Updated 4:33 AM EDT, Thu March 26, 2020
CDC releases illustration of the Coronavirus.
A leading epidemiologist advising the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has estimated the peak of deaths in the US coronavirus pandemic will be three weeks from now, after which "most of the damage will be done," and says it may be possible to only isolate the vulnerable, allowing many back to work.
The CDC confirmed that Ira Longini, professor at the Center for Statistics and Quantitative Infectious Diseases at the University of Florida, is a "funded partner." The agency said he works with them on Covid-19 modeling.
Your coronavirus questions answered
Modeling is not precise, and uses known data to project trends in disease spread, and there were dissenting opinions expressed to CNN about Longini's analysis. Yet two other disease experts broadly agreed with the estimate.
Trump says he wants the country 'opened up and just raring to go by Easter,' despite health experts' warnings
Longini's suggestion that US deaths could peak in less than a month will have two possible impacts. First, a sudden surge in deaths risks overwhelming health care systems that are currently struggling to prepare for cases needing intensive care. Secondly and conversely, it could support calls – echoed by President Trump – to reduce restrictions on movement in the coming weeks.
Longini said: "I would guess the US will hit a peak in deaths in the next two-three weeks, as the doubling time seems to be about two-three days." He added: "Maybe a partial lifting of the shelter-in-place for those less vulnerable may make some sense, in about three weeks. By then, much of the damage will have been done."
Asked if there could be a risk of a relapse when the virus circulated again in the following weeks, he said: "If it were limited, and we continued to protect the most vulnerable, that may be acceptable for now. Also, let's see what happens in the next two-three weeks. We can also keep an eye on China as they begin to relax restrictions there."
Two experts agree
The two other experts who broadly agreed with Longini offered slight variations on his projection, and both noted that the outbreaks are hitting each US community in a different way.
These are the faces of some of the US coronavirus victims
Dr. William Schaffner, an infectious disease specialist at Vanderbilt University, said the peak might take three more weeks.
"My notions are harmonious in that I also anticipate … (the next) three to six weeks will be critical here in the United States," he said. He added it might take six weeks as the US is a "very diverse country with a hot spot in New York right now and warm spots. The rest of the country is warming up. In the next three to six weeks, all those areas will start to surge or will have their curve depressed or blunted by the social distancing that's going on. The virus will tell us."
He said he was more skeptical about the United States being able to lift restrictions on only part of the population. "Asking a subset to remain sheltered in place, to remain in home, that's more difficult to do," he said by phone.
A second expert agreed broadly. Dr. Arnold Monto, a professor of epidemiology at the University of Michigan School of Public Health, said by email: "I agree that by 3 weeks, we will have a better idea of what is going to happen going forward. The outbreaks seem to be hitting different communities at different times and at different intensities, so it is hard to generalize However, I agree in general. And that is why action now in terms of social distancing is so important."
Epidemiology has informed US, UK and other government policy as it provides informed guesses as to where and how fast infections are spreading. A recent sharpening of US and UK restrictions was, for example, based on modeling from the UK's Imperial College, which significantly worsened its prediction of how many people would require intensive care in hospital, using data from Italy.
Peak is 'impossible to predict,' another expert says
One disease modeler said it was "impossible to predict" when the peak would hit.
Dr. Stefan Flasche, a disease modeler at The London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, told CNN by email the peak was influenced by the efficiency of lockdown measures, and "may be anywhere between some time very soon and not for another few months."
"One scenario is we can indeed reverse the spread as done in China and South Korea, then reach a point to lift the distancing measures," Flasche said. "But (we may) have to repeat this cycle for a few times because of an inevitable resurgence of cases in the absence of population immunity. In that scenario, we would see multiple peaks in the upcoming 12 months."
President Donald Trump has said his desire to lift measures as quickly as possible is motivated by a desire to get the American economy moving again. He has expressed a belief that the economy could experience a "v" shaped, ultra-fast recovery. Yet one economist expressed doubt recovery could be that fast-paced and warned that snapping back in and out of restrictions could cause greater damage.
Erin Strumpf, a professor of economics at McGill University, told CNN: "Nothing suggests that we could just 'snap back' to life as it was before. We're taking concrete actions to lower the probability of an uncertain outcome."
She cautioned that it's hard to put a price on the uncertainty – and deaths – that might occur were the government to begin loosening restrictions. "Markets, investors, and economies don't do well in the context of panic and uncertainty," she said. "The people that are going to be dying from coronavirus are going to be very visible. We are going to know exactly who those people are. That changes the discussion a lot."


Firstly, I would like to thank 'Outlook Traveller' for inviting me to their event 'Outlook Traveller Awards 2016 that took place on March 30th at ITC Maurya, New Delhi. It is such a great pleasure to meet the travelers and renowned listening to their inspiring stories and talk.
If you all know each year Outlook Traveller Readers' Survey is done and covering the broad spectrum of travel; hospitality experiences and service providers are chosen and awarded for different categories. Outlook Traveller so far is the most credible source of information and critical appraisal of the travel industry.
The readers play a vital role in the selection of the best of the best in each category. They take part in the online poll on outlooktraveller.com and showcase the very best of travel experiences in India and overseas as determined by the valued readers.
There are 25 broad categories that are represented as the evergreen favorites like Hill Destinations, Beach Destinations, Adventure Tourism Destinations, National Parks, Heritage Sites, Responsible Tourism Practitioners and Wildlife Destinations.
Besides, readers voted to choose their favourite International Tourism Destinations in several categories, along with the preferred choice of Hotels in the Boutique, Heritage and Luxury categories. Not to miss out the Best Adventure Tourism Operators.
This year, there were three very special award categories that were instituted under the 'Editor's Choice Awards'. Outstanding Contribution to Travel, the Best Outbound Tour Operator and the Best New Hotel of the year were handpicked as the winners.
Best Restoration of a Heritage Site – Mehrangarh Fort, Rajasthan.
India's Best-Conserved National Park – Corbett National Park, Uttarakhand.
Best International Wildlife Destination – Kruger National Park, South Africa.
Best Premium Wildlife Lodge – Aahana—the Corbett Wilderness Resort.
Best Luxury Wildlife Lodge – Oberoi Vanyavilas, Ranthambhore.
Best Boutique Hotel, India – The Manor, Delhi.
Best Heritage Hotel, India – Umaid Bhawan Palace, Jodhpur.
Best Luxury Beach Resort – The Leela, Kovalam.
CoupleOnBike has been to some of the places that have won the Outlook Traveller Award 2016 and many of them are on the bucket list which we plan to visit. Now that these have become the winners, we have got all the more additional reason to go the places and add to our travel stories.
Which places among the winners of Outlook Traveller Awards 2016 have you been to? Let us know!


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Can a general contractor install a metal roof in Florida?
Do you need a permit to fix a roof in Florida?
Can a Florida homeowner pull an electrical permit?
Why choose McElroy metal for metal roofing?
Is a metal roof right for your project?
In Florida General contractors can only do roofing work in-house (with their own employees) when installing shingles on structures for which they pulled the building permit. General Contractors are also allowed to do warranty work on the roofing system of the properties they have built.
Can a homeowner do their own roof in Florida?
While homeowners can roof their own homes, unless it passes inspection, the job has to be fixed until it has been done properly. Homeowner insurance companies can deny claims for roofs that have not been inspected or failed inspection.
One of the most important things you need to consider when preparing to replace your roof in Naples, Florida, is a roof replacement permit. As a property owner, you are required to apply for a building permit for all installations regulated by Section 105.1 of the Florida Building Code.
What is a CBC license in Florida?
Florida Building Contractor License A Florida Building Contractor (CBC) means a contractor whose services are limited to construction of commercial and residential buildings, including remodeling, renovation and repair, which do not exceed three stories in height.
State law requires electrical contracting to be done by licensed electrical contractors. You have applied for a permit under an exemption to that law. The exemption allows you, as the owner of your property, to act as your own electrical contractor even though you do not have a license.
How much does a roofing permit cost in Florida?
Roofing Permit Cost A roofing permit costs $150 to $500 for replacement and $70 to $250 for repairs.
Selecting good partners for your metal roofing journey is an important part of the process. McElroy Metal is one of the nation's leading manufacturers of residential roofing systems.
What are the different types of metal roofing?
Sheet metal roofing is available in many different profiles, all going by different names. "5V" Crimp, "R" Panel, corrugated roofing, face-fastened panels, through-fastened panels, or screw down panels are some of the synonyms for this metal roof style.
No longer just for commercial projects, metal roofing provides better durability and energy efficiency than shingles or tile over the lifetime of a roof. A metal roof is a long-lasting, low maintenance alternative to traditional asphalt shingles.
What is the fire rating of a metal roof?
Our metal roof and wall panels qualify for Underwriters Laboratories (UL) Class A Fire Rating, UL 90 Wind Uplift Rating and Class 4 UL Impact Resistance (hail) Rating. They're also simple to install. For the convenience of your customers, we provide installation guides and metal roofing installation how-to videos to support their building projects.
What is a halide leak detector?
What is a jewelry artisan called?


(CNN) -- Award-winning Iranian filmmaker Jafar Panahi, who has been imprisoned since March 1, was released from prison Tuesday.
"He sounded really good. He just said, 'Thanks so much for all the support'...and said he is thankful to everybody for the support. But he sounded really good," said a close friend living in New York, who had just spoken with Panahi by phone.
But the director, who has been on a hunger strike since May 16, was going straight to a hospital for a checkup, the friend said.
Photos of Panahi taken after his release show him to be noticeably thinner than when he was imprisoned three months ago.
The friend in New York provided the photos to CNN and said they came from the director's family. The friend asked not to be named in order to protect family members still living in Iran.
Panahi was expected to be released on $200,000 bail, the Iranian Labour News Agency said.
The release is a result of a meeting between Panahi and Tehran's prosecutor, said Panahi's wife, Tahereh Saeedi, in the ILNA report.
Panahi, 49, was detained in connection with a film he was creating about Iran's turbulent June 12 presidential election, which led to mass protests, violence and the arrests of thousands of people, including journalists, politicians, filmmakers and students.
His case has drawn attention worldwide, most recently at this year's Cannes Film Festival in France.
There, Iranian director Abbas Kiarostami and the star of his latest film, French starlet Juliette Binoche, appealed for the release of Panahi, whose seat as a member of the Cannes jury was empty.
Javad Shamaghdar, film deputy at Iran's Ministry of Culture and Guidance, said the outcry at Cannes had no bearing on Panahi's fate.
"It is disappointing that propaganda over last two days about the judicial case of Mr. Panahi was a pre-planned scenario," Shamaghdar said in a letter to Cannes festival President Gilles Jacob, the Iranian Student News Agency reported.
"Legal procedures of his case have been almost completed and there is much hope that he will be released soon."
Panahi is best known for his films "White Balloon" -- which won the award for best first feature film at the 1995 Cannes festival -- and "The Circle," which nabbed the top prize at the Venice Film Festival in 2000. His films give insight into Iranian life, capturing the day-to-day struggles under the restrictive regime.
His film "Offside" tells the story of girls who defy law by disguising themselves as boys to sneak into the 2006 World Cup qualifying match between Iran and Bahrain. While it was filmed in Iran, the film was never screened in the country. Still, it won the Silver Bear award at the Berlin Film Festival and was viewed by critics at festivals in New York and Toronto.
Reports of Panahi's expected release came a day after Iranian filmmaker Mohammad Nurizad, who was arrested in December, was released from Tehran's Evin prison, the Mehr news agency reported. Nurizad, who also works as a journalist, was arrested after objecting to the Islamic government's crackdown on the opposition movement that gained momentum after the presidential election.
Hard-line incumbent Mahmoud Ahmadinejad was declared the overwhelming winner of the election, which was decried as fraudulent by his opponents.


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Startseite › PIK Members › Sven Willner › Willner
Dr. Sven Willner
I investigate the higher-order economic losses and damages due to extreme weather events along the global supply network. I (co-)developed the Acclimate model, which we use to study the resilience of the global supply system. A particular focus in that is the identification of possibilities and limits of global adaptation strategies under different warming scenarios. I did my PhD at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, where I later have been heading the working group Numerical analysis of global economic impacts 2019-2021.
Potsdam-Institut für Klimafolgenforschung (PIK)
sven.willner[at]pik-potsdam.de
W. Thiery, S. Lange, J. Rogelj, C. Schleussner, L. Gudmundsson, S.I. Seneviratne, M. Andrijevic, K. Frieler, K. Emanuel, T. Geiger, D.N. Bresch, F. Zhao, S.N. Willner, M. Büchner, J. Volkholz, N. Bauer, J. Chang, P. Ciais, M. Dury, L. François, M. Grillakis, S.N. Gosling, N. Hanasaki, T. Hickler, V. Huber, A. Ito, J. Jägermeyr, N. Khabarov, A. Koutroulis, W. Liu, W. Lutz, M. Mengel, C. Müller, S. Ostberg, C.P.O. Reyer, T. Stacke, Y. Wada. Intergenerational inequities in exposure to climate extremes. Science, (2021). https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abi7339
L. Quante, S.N. Willner, R. Middelanis, A. Levermann. Regions of intensification of extreme snowfall under future warming. Scientific Reports 11(1), (2021). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-95979-4
B. Mester, S.N. Willner, K. Frieler, J. Schewe. Evaluation of river flood extent simulated with multiple global hydrological models and climate forcings. Environmental Research Letters 16(9), 094010 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac188d
N. Wunderling, J. Krönke, V. Wohlfarth, J. Kohler, J. Heitzig, A. Staal, S. Willner, R. Winkelmann, J.F. Donges. Modelling nonlinear dynamics of interacting tipping elements on complex networks: the {PyCascades} package. The European Physical Journal Special Topics, (2021). https://doi.org/10.1140/epjs/s11734-021-00155-4
K. Kuhla, S.N. Willner, C. Otto, L. Wenz, A. Levermann. Future heat stress to reduce people's purchasing power. PLOS ONE 16(6), e0251210 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0251210
S.N. Willner, N. Glanemann, A. Levermann. Investment incentive reduced by climate damages can be restored by optimal policy. Nature Communications 12(3245), (2021). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-23547-5
H. Krichene, T. Geiger, K. Frieler, S. Willner, I. Sauer, C. Otto. Long-term impacts of tropical cyclones and fluvial floods on economic growth – Empirical evidence on transmission channels at different levels of development. World Development 144, 105475 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2021.105475
I. Sauer, R. Reese, C. Otto, T. Geiger, S.N. Willner, B. Guillod, D. Bresch, K. Frieler. Climate signals in river flood damages emerge under sound regional disaggregation. Nature Communications 12(1), (2021). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-22153-9
P.M. Kam, G. Aznar-Siguan, J. Schewe, L. Milano, J. Ginnetti, S. Willner, J.W. McCaughey, D.N. Bresch. Global warming and population change both heighten future risk of human displacement due to river floods. Environmental Research Letters 16(4), 044026 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abd26c
S. Lange, J. Volkholz, T. Geiger, F. Zhao, I. Vega, T. Veldkamp, C.P.O. Reyer, L. Warszawski, V. Huber, J. Jägermeyr, J. Schewe, D.N. Bresch, M. Büchner, J. Chang, P. Ciais, M. Dury, K. Emanuel, C. Folberth, D. Gerten, S.N. Gosling, M. Grillakis, N. Hanasaki, A. Henrot, T. Hickler, Y. Honda, A. Ito, N. Khabarov, A. Koutroulis, W. Liu, C. Müller, K. Nishina, S. Ostberg, H. Müller-Schmied, S.I. Seneviratne, T. Stacke, J. Steinkamp, W. Thiery, Y. Wada, S. Willner, H. Yang, M. Yoshikawa, C. Yue, K. Frieler. Projecting Exposure to Extreme Climate Impact Events Across Six Event Categories and Three Spatial Scales. Earth's Future 8(12), (2020). https://doi.org/10.1029/2020ef001616
N. Glanemann*, S.N. Willner*, A. Levermann. Paris Climate Agreement passes the cost-benefit test. Nature Communications 11(1), (2020). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-13961-1
* with equal contributions
L. Wenz, A. Levermann, S.N. Willner, C. Otto, K. Kuhla. Post-Brexit no-trade-deal scenario: Short-term consumer benefit at the expense of long-term economic development. PLOS ONE 15(9), 1-14 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0237500
S.N. Willner, C. Otto, A. Levermann. Global economic response to river floods. Nature Climate Change 8(7), 594-598 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0173-2
Video explaining the main result
Highlighted in Nature Climate Change
C++-Implementation
S.N. Willner, A. Levermann, F. Zhao, K. Frieler. Adaptation required to preserve future high-end river flood risk at present levels. Science Advances 4(1), eaao1914 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aao1914
R. Gieseke, S.N. Willner, M. Mengel. Pymagicc: A Python wrapper for the simple climate model MAGICC. The Journal of Open Source Software 3(22), 516 (2018). https://doi.org/10.21105/joss.00516
Python-Implementation
C. Otto*, S.N. Willner*, L. Wenz, K. Frieler, A. Levermann. Modeling loss-propagation in the global supply network: The dynamic agent-based model acclimate. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 83, 232-269 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2017.08.001
F. Zhao, T.I.E. Veldkamp, K. Frieler, J. Schewe, S. Ostberg, S. Willner, B. Schauberger, S.N. Gosling, H. Müller-Schmied, F.T. Portmann, G. Leng, M. Huang, X. Liu, Q. Tang, N. Hanasaki, H. Biemans, D. Gerten, Y. Satoh, Y. Pokhrel, T. Stacke, P. Ciais, J. Chang, A. Ducharne, M. Guimberteau, Y. Wada, H. Kim, D. Yamazaki. The critical role of the routing scheme in simulating peak river discharge in global hydrological models. Environmental Research Letters 12(7), 075003 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa7250
Asian Development Bank. A Region at Risk: The Human Dimensions of Climate Change in Asia and the Pacific. (2017). https://doi.org/10.22617/TCS178839-2
S.N. Willner, C. Hartin, R. Gieseke. pyhector: A Python interface for the simple climate model Hector. The Journal of Open Source Software 2(12), 248 (2017). https://doi.org/10.21105/joss.00248
L. Wenz, S.N. Willner, A. Radebach, R. Bierkandt, J.C. Steckel, A. Levermann. Regional and Sectoral Disaggregation of Multi-Regional Input-Output Tables - a Flexible Algorithm. Economic Systems Research 27(2), 194-212 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1080/09535314.2014.987731
L. Wenz, S.N. Willner, R. Bierkandt, A. Levermann. Acclimate - a model for economic damage propagation. Part II: a dynamic formulation of the backward effects of disaster-induced production failures in the global supply network. Environment Systems and Decisions 34, 525-539 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10669-014-9521-6
R. Bierkandt, L. Wenz, S.N. Willner, A. Levermann. Acclimate - a model for economic damage propagation. Part 1: basic formulation of damage transfer within a global supply network and damage conserving dynamics. Environment Systems and Decisions 34, 507-524 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10669-014-9523-4
Acclimate model
Acclimate simulates the spreading of production losses induced by local demand, supply, or price shocks in the global supply network. It assumes an agent-based approach with representative firms (or regional sectors) and consumers as economic agents. These are the nodes in a complex network of trade and supply relations which is built-up from empirical input-output data providing the unperturbed baseline state. Its global economy is assumed to be demand-driven. By forming explicit expectations on the future demand of their purchasers and the supply capabilities of their suppliers, in each daily timestep, each economic agent individually decides upon its optimal production level and its distribution of demand among its suppliers by maximizing its future expected profit. In order to capture the spreading of supply failures resulting from local production disruptions (e.g. due to climate extremes) in the global supply network, the model accounts for the most important short-term economic flexibilities: transport and storage inventories buffering supply shocks and idle production capacities that can be activated in times of high demand. The model temporally resolves short-term disequilibrium situations arising in the shock aftermath due to supply and demand mismatches and describes the relaxation of these perturbations back to the baseline equilibrium over a time scale determined by the market.
Being based on local optimization principles, the model accounts for local price effects such as demand surge which are important for an comprehensive assessment of the total costs of disasters. Overall, Acclimate tries to strike a balance between the high flexibility of equilibrium models and the high rigidity of input- output models. Currently the model incorporates around 5,000 agents and is used to determine the direct and indirect losses due to unanticipated extreme weather events.
The current version was developed by Sven Willner and Christian Otto, early versions by Robert Bierkandt, Leonie Wenz and Sven Willner.
A detailed description is given in:
C. Otto, S.N. Willner, L. Wenz, K. Frieler, A. Levermann. Modeling loss-propagation in the global supply network: The dynamic agent-based model acclimate. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 83, 232–269.
The source code is openly available in a designated GitHub repository.
Climate impactsAgent-based ModelsAcclimateAdaptationNonlinear Data AnalysisExtremesGlobalEconomicsRD4 - Complexity ScienceComplex NetworksOpen Source SoftwareNonlinear Dynamics


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Codex Laudianus, GA 45, GA 46, GA 57, and Friends
The Gatehouse at the
Bodleian Library.
Sir Thomas Bodley (1535-1613) was the namesake of the second-largest library in Great Britain: the Bodleian Library, on the campus of Oxford University. This is the Hotel California of libraries; once a book enters the Bodleian Library, it can never leave. The library currently contains over 12 million books, plus hundreds of pictures, sculptures, coins, and one stuffed crocodile.
It is also home to many Greek manuscripts – mostly ancient classical works – including some Greek New Testament manuscripts.
Codex Laudianus (Ea, 08) is the most important Greek New Testament manuscript in the Bodleian Library. It is a manuscript of the book of Acts, probably from the 500's, written in matching columns of Latin and Greek on each page. This manuscript was donated by Archbishop William Laud. It was used in Sardinia (where someone wrote a note on it, mentioning the location), and later, after being taken to England, it was used in the early 700's by the notable historian, theologian, and translator known as the Venerable Bede, who mentioned many of its unusual readings, including downright unique readings in Acts 4:10, 5:30, and 7:16.
Codex Laudianus is the earliest extant Greek manuscript that contains Acts 8:37, on fol. 70v, (although the verse was used in the 180's by Irenaeus in Against Heresies 3:12:8, by Cyprian in the mid-200's in Testimonies 3:12:43, by Augustine in Sermon 49:11, and by some other patristic writers, and is found in the Coptic Glazier Codex (G67)). Textual critic David C. Parker has commented on some corrections in this manuscript.
Two other Greek manuscripts housed at the Bodleian Library are online:
MS Barocci 31 is GA 45, a fairly ornate manuscript of the Gospels (with portraits of the Evangelists) from the late 1200's.
Matthew (Image 21, fol 7r)
Mark (Image 245, fol. 119r)
Luke (Image 389, fol. 191r)
John (Image 635, fol. 314r)
MS Barocci 29 is GA 46, which has been assigned to a wide variety of production-dates; the current guess is to the early 1300's.
Matthew (Image 63, fol. 31r)
The Bodleian Library houses several New Testament uncials – including Codex Γ (036), known as Codex Tischendorfianus IV, and Codex Λ (039), known as Codex Tischendorfianus III, and 0134 (Selden Supra 2, fol. 177-178) (text from Mark 3 and 5) – and over thirty minuscules (including GA 47, 557, and 558). A lectionary is also online at the Bodleian's website: MS Barocci 197, a palimpsest.
Some important versional manuscripts are also kept at the Bodleian Library, including the MacRegol Gospels, also called the Book of Birr (A replica of this manuscript is in the library of Birr, Ireland).
Nearby at Magdalen College, Magdalen College MS 9 is GA 57, a Greek manuscript from the late 1100's which contains every book of the New Testament except Revelation. Here is a basic index of GA 57:
Matthew (Image 10, fol. 3r)
Mark 1:11 (Image 74, fol. 35r) (The first page of Mark is missing, but you can see traces of the imprint left by the initial "A" of Mark 1:1 in the margin on this page. Ultraviolet light might reveal more.)
Luke (Image 116, fol. 56r )
John (Image 187, fol. 91v)
Acts (Image 236, fol. 116r)
James (Image 303, fol. 149v)
First Peter (Image 310, fol. 153r)
Second Peter (Image 317, fol. 156v)
First John (Image 322, fol. 159r)
Second John (Image 329, fol. 162v)
Third John (Image 331, fol. 163v)
Jude (Image 333, fol. 164v)
Romans (Image 335, fol. 165v)
First Corinthians (Image 359, fol. 177v)
Second Corinthians (Image 382, fol. 188r)
Galatians (Image 398, fol. 196r)
Ephesians (Image 406, fol. 200r)
Philippians (Image 414, fol. 204r)
Colossians (Image 420, fol. 207r)
First Thessalonians (Image 426, fol. 210r)
Second Thessalonians (Image 432, fol. 213r)
First Timothy (Image 436, fol. 215r)
Second Timothy (Image 442, fol. 218r)
Titus (Image 447, fol. 220v)
Philemon (Image 450, fol. 222r)
Hebrews (Image 452, fol. 223r)
Psalms (Image 470, fol. 232r)
This manuscript received some attention from Orlando Dobbin in his 1854 book about Codex Montfortianus on page 29; Dobbin noted that it supports "Lord and God" in Acts 20:28, "God was manifested" in First Timothy 3:16, and the non-inclusion of the Comma Johanneum in First John 5:7. Another presentation of GA 57 is online, with thumbnail-pageviews.
Magdalen College is also home to Magdalen College MS Greek 7 (part of GA 1907) – a copy of Romans and First Corinthians.
Perhaps the most famous New Testament manuscript on the premises of Magdalen College is Magdalen College MS Greek 17, better known as Papyrus 64, which consists of small fragments with text from Matthew 26. The late Carsten Peter Thiede proposed that these fragments were extremely early – from the first century! He also claimed that a few manuscript-fragments found among the Dead Sea Scrolls were the remains of New Testament texts. The evidence for his position has been called into question by other researchers; nevertheless Papyrus 64 is unquestionably the earliest Greek manuscript of the text that it contains. Stay tuned for a post focused on Papyrus 64, Papyrus 67, and Papyrus 4.
Earlier this year, A Catalogue of Greek Manuscripts of Magdalen College, Oxford was released. Readers who are curious about the diverse Greek manuscripts housed at Magdalen College may wish to obtain a copy.
Posted by James Snapp Jr at 6:42 PM
Labels: Barocci, Birr, Bodleian, David Parker, GA 08, GA 46, GA 47, GA 48, GA 57, Greek, Laudianus, Library, MacRegol, Magdalen, manuscripts, New Testament, Papyrus 64
rushmyessay discount code said...
This library looks so big and the architecture of this building gives the great feeling of some movie I guess. Such a great share. KEEP IT UP
John 4:17 - Prefer the Shorter Reading, Unless . . .
Equitable Eclecticism - Part 2
Papyrus 4 and the Mystery at Coptos
ARTMYN's Digital Presentation of Papyrus 66
Mark 1:2 (Part 4) - Miscellaneous Evidence
Mark 1:2 (Part 3) - Irenaeus and Tatian
Mark 1:2 (Part 2) - Origen, Jerome, and Eusebius
Mark 1:2 - In Isaiah, or In the Prophets?


This is not an easy question to field, particularly if one is not prepared for it ahead of time. You need to be quick-witted enough not only to pull such a failure out of your hat on the fly, but also turn right around and synthesize a lesson from it. Most of us don't go around advertising our failures, so unless one was reasonably recent it is not going to be top of mind. Many people do not want to answer the question at all lest it should reveal weakness. It does, actually, but not necessarily the way they might think. I have watched interviewees skate around it, tap dance around it, and try to sneak around it. I have also seen a few rare people square their shoulders and rise to the occasion.
Personally, I have been asked the question only once. It was Bill who asked it in an interview over nineteen years ago. I was unprepared as I recall, and muffed it pretty thoroughly. I must have done something else right because I ended up getting the job. But in reflecting on this the other day, I realized that it is still a difficult question for me. The challenge now is to choose which of my biggest failures to showcase. There are several excellent examples, each with a lesson. Then I thought of you, my readers. What if I were to lay the options before you? Perhaps you can decide for me.
Each one of these three cautionary tales is…well…a tale and therefore requires some telling. Rather than string them all together in a single post of Wagnerian proportion, I have decided to serialize them instead. Here is the first of my three favorite failure stories for your entertainment and edification. They continue to inform my life and work, as you will see. Every word is true, although I have changed a few names.
I was working for a small BI consulting firm in California when this took place. Engaged on a number of high profile projects and stretched for talent, we were looking to bring someone new into the firm who could pinch hit in several key areas. That is when we found Geoff. Geoff was an experienced consultant with a long list of successful projects at major Fortune 500 companies. His resume aligned perfectly with our needs, his references were stellar, and he interviewed superbly. We all agreed that he would make a great addition to the team.
Having just completed a major project for a client in San Francisco, we were preparing for a demonstration of the solution. Participants were coming from around the world and represented both technical and business users (including a key Vice President from the New York office). The event would consist of three full days of presentations and discussions, followed by a Friday morning wrap-up session. Martin (the other developer) and I would lead the sessions, presenting specifics about the analytics as well as the underlying data. We tapped Geoff to sit in the back of the room and take notes, keep track of the "parking lot" issues, and generally act as scribe for the sessions.
Gosh, Geoff was a good-looking fellow. He was trim, fit, and sported a full head of wavy brown hair. The tailored sport coat, dress shirt open at the neck, khaki trousers, and polished Oxfords made him look every inch the world-class consultant. I don't know about Martin, but I sure felt out-classed. I also don't know what the Vice President from New York felt either, but Geoff made a point of chatting her up during most of the breaks.
The sessions on Tuesday and Wednesday went well and at the end of that second day I asked Geoff to send me his notes so that I could get a head start on creating my summary for the Friday morning wrap-up. Geoff assured me that he would send them from the hotel right after dinner. That sounded fine to me.
Martin, Geoff, and I dined at a nearby restaurant that evening. The conversation was distinctly odd. Martin was trying to explain to Geoff about the technology we were using and how it was different from a spreadsheet. What made it peculiar was that Geoff had spent the prior two weeks in technical orientation with Nick, our chief developer. Geoff's questions that evening were garbled and confused, suggesting that the training had taken place through an early incarnation of BabelFish with Nick translating from English to Russian and then back to English while Geoff had perhaps gone from English to Korean to English. Geoff's seeming obtuseness confused Martin as well, and I could tell that my colleague's frustration was rising as he tried to explain relatively simple things. I made a mental note to get a read on Geoff from Nick.
The meeting notes did not arrive as promised. When I cornered Geoff the next morning he apologized, saying it had simply slipped his mind. I asked Geoff if I could have them right then. He didn't have a network connection. Could he put them on a zip drive? He didn't have one with him. I told him that I had one. He told me that he wanted to clean the notes up a bit first. It was time to start the session, so I could not pursue the matter.
However, knowing that Geoff was flying out on Friday morning before the wrap-up, I reminded him twice on Thursday afternoon to send his finalized notes before dinner so that I would have time to prepare the summary. "Of course, Steve, no problem," he said. The notes did not arrive that evening. Instead, they arrived by email at 4:45 AM on Friday morning. Geoff had been kind enough to copy the Vice President from New York. Then I opened the file containing Geoff's notes. I nearly soiled my kilt. They looked something like this.
I kid you not. There were seven blank lines between every block of words, running on for thirty-seven pages of uselessness. I rang the boss at 5:00 and we triangulated on how best to avert disaster. I was able to create a reasonable summary from my own notes and complete the wrap-up successfully. My boss managed to reach our client, who called the New York Vice President to let her know that a file with unfiltered meeting notes had been sent to her accidentally. I have no idea whether or not she ever looked at them. Geoff never understood why we did not consider these to be consultant-quality notes, or why he was being terminated.
Analysis: I failed here in two crucial ways, letting my boss down and nearly jeopardizing a client. First, I did not seek proof during the interview process that Geoff was actually and specifically capable in any capacity. I relied on both the resume and the recommendation, knowing full well that neither is proof of substance. But then, I had never met anyone before who could talk such a good game on so many levels and still be inept. The minimum requirement should have been a writing sample. For a technical position, it should have been code samples. To this day, I demand work samples that demonstrate competence no matter how glowing the recommendation. The applicant must be able to prove that he or she actually did the work and must be able to speak intelligently about it. My second failure was not supervising the new guy. All the warning signs were there for me. After a two-week orientation with Nick, Geoff was still lost in any conversation about our practice. That made me all the more uneasy when he was schmoozing the New York executive during breaks. In retrospect, I should have been all over that situation. Until there is a track record, nobody goes unsupervised. I will not be Geoffed again. No, no.
Lesson: If the dude can't prove it, he doesn't have it.
Please stay tuned, friends. On Thursday I will release episode two, The Sanitation Pyre.
I've experienced too many consultants just like this over the years. Thanks for sharing!
Thanks, Solanna. The trick, of course, is to weed them out before you get burned. Do you have any techniques to share?
I learned early on that a polished resume and an ability to speak glibly is not proof of competency. I always ask very pointed questions, such as "what were your responsibilities on the project and what specific tasks did you perform?" I also devised a VERY basic Excel test, not to test the interviewees' Excel skills, but to see how they approach problems, and to see if they'll ask for help when they need it. My greatest disappointment is that NONE of the analysts I interviewed over the years, all presumably with strong quant skills, knew the difference between a simple and weighted average. Also, none knew what "transpose a matrix" means, let alone how to do it in Excel. Sigh.
I love the Excel idea. Mind if I steal it? By the way, I was okay with simple versus weighted average, but I had to look up "transpose a matrix." I guess I would have muffed that interview too.
Getting results more useful than these shouldn't require major interviewing skills, other than the ability to know how to take notes. Was he actually interviewed/tested for the tasks that were to be required/exercised, or was he sent through the sort of generic, purposeless IT interview I experienced a couple of months ago from Amazon? I didn't move on to the second phone interview, but after some GlassDoor evaluations of Amazon working conditions, I'm not too disappointed.
Well,we allowed him to talk about these tasks. That was my undoing. In my mind (at that time) note taking was a no-brainer for a pro. My bad.
Fabulous read. (thankfully those weren't MY notes!!!) Whew! 😉 Can't wait for the next chapter!
This is a great story, Steve. I've seen similar situations where smaller consulting companies were more intent on filling an "immediate requirement" with a warm body, than determining that the warm body was capable. The consulting company is primarily interested in being seen to be able to fill the requirement, start billing and collecting margin. The (existing) senior consultants assume that the consulting company has delivered to the client a resource comparable to themselves. I've met plenty of Geoffs.
We all have, Andy. The hard part here was that we really thought we HAD done due diligence and found gold, when in reality we had cut a corner and found otherwise. Thanks as always for the perspective.
It occurs to me, coming back to this three-parter after I've had a chance to digest it, that an interesting response to Bill's question would be, "my biggest failure in this industry, or just in general?" Of course, the idea of interdisciplinary application is a big focus of this blog, and I think we've seen plenty of examples where something outside BI or whatever still taught an important lesson about it. But, not knowing Bill, I'd not know whether he'd prefer an anecdote that was in the same domain as the job I was trying to get, and the answer would certainly help me narrow down my own list of failures.
Great extension to the conversation, Peter. My guess is that Bill would want the failure that best informs the industry in questions, though not necessarily from that industry. In my case, the example from my industry experience ("Geoff the Consultant") is not perhaps the strongest lesson for my profession. I think that "The Eight-Thumbed Piano Man" would be my choice under those circumstances because role clarity (along with concept of conflicting role requirements) is a key success factor for the BI practitioner. Thanks for your thoughts.


Don't Let Fear Overcome You!
Fear is one of those emotions that can absolutely stop you in your tracks… it can cripple you and stop you from moving forward. It can make you think things are there that really aren't and it can make you do silly things for fear of some other recourse.
I hate scary movies, haunted houses etc., but I like doing something that scares me to my core that I can choose and control. For example, when I went bungee jumping. To most, that's very scary and they wouldn't ever do… I was scared but I still did it and afterward, I felt like I could conquer the world. But as I really started to think about why I'm not where I want to be I realized it's because I'm afraid. I really thought about it for a long time and decided to do some research to help me figure out my fears and the best way to get over them.
This article on overcoming anxiety and fear is brilliant. It illustrates, very quickly, just how powerful our minds are and how our imagination can trick us into seeing or believing things that aren't even true, or haven't even happened yet.
This is a powerful article that provides 33 ways to overcome fear. One of the great things about this article is that it doesn't pull any punches. If you need a bit of a 'wakeup' then this is the article you should read.
I won't ruin the surprise of what's in store, but suffice to say if you need a big ole' kick in the pants, then this is the article you need to read!
If you're worried about something in your business, then this article is for you. As entrepreneurs, we are constantly taking risks, and we recognize that there is always the unknown in the risks we choose to take.
Where the danger comes in is when we allow our fears of the unknown to stall us, to stop us from taking a leap of faith. This article provides three very clear and doable ways to overcome this fear and keep moving forward.
In this podcast, Billy J. Atwell interviews people and neuroscientists to inspire YOU to live a life beyond your fears. Fear is part of everybody's journey, and on Monday's and Wednesday's episodes of FEAR NOT, his guests share one of their biggest fears they've had to face and what they did to overcome it. On Friday's episodes, he interviews neuroscientists and other specialists to discuss what fear is, how it affects our brains, and what we can do to override it. Every episode is full of wisdom and examples to inspire you to face fear to become YOUR truest self and to get YOUR deepest held hopes and dreams.
Taking the shame out of failure: The Other F Word. Join conversations about the messy, tragic, funny, inspiring stories that make us human.
After listening and reading I'm ready to take on the things that were holding me back – without having to make another jump. Although I still want to jump out of an airplane one day…. I'm just realizing maybe heights is one of my fears. Don't let anything hold you back from what you want. Walk into the fear don't run away from it!


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Maureen Dearden, ASA
mdearden@hdnavalue.com Maureen Dearden is a founding member of Hollingshead, Dearden & Associates LLC. Her expertise is business valuation. Prior to joining HD&A, she worked as a senior valuation consultant for a national valuation firm from 1999 to 2014. She has over 19 years experience working for both tax payers and for the Internal Revenue Service. Several reports prepared by Ms. Dearden have been submitted as expert testimony including Becker Holdings, and US vs. Moore. In addition, she has completed reviews and critiques, and has assisted with trial preparation.
Ms. Dearden has been actively engaged in the appraisal profession since 1999, and has worked in corporate finance since 1983. She specializes in the valuation of equity interests in closely-held entities involving controlling and minority interests for estate tax, estate planning, incentive stock option plans, ESOPs, litigation support, divorce, dissolution, corporate planning, merger/acquisition, sale/purchase, fairness opinions, purchase price allocation, charitable donations, intangible assets, contingent liabilities, and other purposes. In addition, Ms. Dearden has valued various interests in General and Limited Partnerships, and Limited Liability Companies; undivided interests of real property; debentures and promissory notes; conducted voting versus non-voting stock discount studies; and opined on reasonable compensation.
Appraisal engagements completed by Ms. Dearden fall into numerous industry categories and market sectors including, but not limited to wireless telecommunications, ice resurfacers, auto dealerships, emergency transportation, sand blasting, metal foundries and fabricators, live stock production and processing, residential and commercial construction, construction materials, fuel oil, chemical manufacturing, aerospace hardware distribution, trucking, printing, optics, Internet, antique auto and aircraft parts, electronic transaction processing, grocery, fuel oil, injection molding, medical device manufacturers, industrial coatings, mortgage lenders, education, apparel, machining, various manufacturing, wholesale food distribution, restaurants, food production, insurance and many other industries. She has prepared appraisal critiques and reviews, and prepared valuation reports that have been submitted as expert testimony.
Ms. Dearden is an Accredited Senior Appraiser of the American Society of Appraisers designated in business valuations and intangible properties with the ASA designation. Maureen earned an MBA with an emphasis in finance from the University of Southern California's Marshall School of Business in Los Angeles, California (1987). In addition, Ms. Dearden attended the California State University at Long Beach, and has a B.S. in Business Administration with dual concentrations in Finance and Accounting (1983). Maureen has been active in Forever in Our Hearts at Cedars-Sinai Medical Center since 2003. This group provides support to bereaved parents who have lost an infant in the neo natal intensive care unit. She is also a member of the Professional Advisory Council at Torrance Memorial Medical Center, and is a member of the South Bay Estate Planning Council.
© 2023 Hollingshead Dearden & Associates.


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Q: Extracting route variables directly from the request object in Play2/Scala The only part of the Request class that I have found to contain relevant information is the request.tags map, specifically the ROUTE_PATTERN value. For example, in a route such as /api/admin/:org/list the route pattern is /api/admin/$org<[^/]+>/list. Is there a way to match request.path against this pattern and retrieve the "org" variable (and any other path variables)? Or any other way to retrieve this variable for that matter -- but, again: directly from the request object.
Please note that this needs to be generic; for instance, the route could have two parameters, or more, and the proposed method should be able to find all those when searched for.

redpajama_set_name: RedPajamaStackExchange


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Leonardo and the Last Supper
Until the age of forty-three, Leonardo da Vinci was something of an underachiever. Then he began work on The Last Supper.
Jason ZaskyFeb 28, 2013
Leonardo da Vinci (1452-1519) is responsible for two of the world's most recognizable paintings — The Last Supper (1498) and the Mona Lisa (1512). Not bad for a man who would have preferred to work as an architect or military engineer. But one wonders whether Leonardo, a polymath, could have done more. "At forty-three, in an era when he had almost reached the age of life expectancy, he had failed … to complete anything that truly fulfilled his astonishing promise," writes Ross King in his book "Leonardo and the Last Supper" (Walker & Company), which chronicles how Leonardo created the masterpiece that virtually everyone knows, but few fully appreciate.
In the following interview, King discusses his subject's life, career, and struggles with rejection, and why Leonardo viewed himself as something of a failure.
I understand that you were inspired to write the book, in part, by Dan Brown's "The Da Vinci Code." How so?
Inspired is a bit too strong a word. Motivated is probably better. I used to give lectures on the "real" Leonardo and the truth, or otherwise, of what Brown claimed in "The Da Vinci Code." Studying the paintings and reviewing the historical evidence made me realize that the truth of how Leonardo came to paint The Last Supper, and what he painted on the wall, was actually more fascinating than the fiction.
In the book you note that when Leonardo received the commission for The Last Supper he had still not achieved anything that fulfilled his promise. Why?
It's hard for us to grasp that Leonardo — who is, after all, one of history's greatest geniuses — did not succeed at everything he attempted. Part of the problem was his perfectionism. He was always repainting and rethinking his works, endlessly experimenting, and happily taking all of the time (and more) that was available to him. In an age when artists were regarded as mere craftsmen who were often paid by the square foot that did not please his patrons.
Leonardo walked away from many commissions. Why not The Last Supper?
It was one thing for Leonardo to disappoint a band of monks in Florence for whom he promised an altarpiece. It was quite another to upset Lodovico Sforza, the Duke of Milan, the man who commissioned The Last Supper. Lodovico was the most powerful ruler in Italy in the 1490s, and he didn't take no for an answer. Leonardo had no choice but to buckle down.
There were many Last Supper's done before Leonardo's — and many since. Why is the Last Supper now synonymous with him?
Leonardo effected a seismic shift not only in the genre of Last Supper paintings but in art in general. He brought a movement, expression, drama, realism and dazzling virtuosity to the scene, the likes of which had never been seen before. The tragedy for us is that, beautiful though the painting still is, it's only a shadow of what it was in 1498. The seeds of its eventual degradation lay in one of the secrets of its power and beauty — Leonardo's experimental (and flawed) painting technique. This technique meant he was able to paint with many more nuances and much brighter colors than anyone before him, but it also meant the pigment didn't stick to the wall.
Is it true that painting was not Leonardo's first love? What would he have preferred to have been doing?
In his heart of hearts, Leonardo did not want to work as a painter. He hadn't trained as a painter, after all: his teacher was a goldsmith. Leonardo wanted instead to be an architect or military engineer — in other words, to build palaces, castles, bridges, and weapons of mass destruction. He thought it was through projects like this that his name would be made. But he never got the chance to get them off the drawing board.
What do you view as Leonardo's greatest failure?
Unquestionably his greatest and most tragic failure was his inability to cast the giant bronze equestrian monument to honor Francesco Sforza. He spent the better part of a decade on the project, but circumstances beyond his control (as well as the inherent impossibility of the gargantuan task) meant it was never created.
But failure stalked his career. In about 1490 he tried to get the commission to design a dome for the cathedral of Milan, but his plan was rejected by the officials; likewise his plans for casting the bronze doors of the cathedral in Piacenza. Hard as it is to believe, Leonardo had to learn how to deal with rejection and failure.
How did Leonardo look back on his life when it was all over? Did he view himself as a failure?
It's amazing — and poignant — to think that Leonardo did consider himself as something of a failure. He didn't believe that he had achieved everything he might have done. His notebooks have a repeated refrain: "Tell me if I ever did a thing." We have to remember that when he died in 1519 the Mona Lisa and most of his other paintings were unknown to the world at large, that The Last Supper was already fading, and that his notebooks — with their studies of anatomy and flight — were unknown to everyone but a handful of his friends. He can be forgiven for thinking his legacy wouldn't be as great as it subsequently became.
Contested Will—James Shapiro on why skeptics believe someone other than William Shakespeare wrote Shakespeare.
The Teeth May Smile But The Heart Does Not Forget—Murder and memory in Uganda.
The Devil's Mercedes—The bizarre and disturbing adventures of Nazi limousines in Canada and America, including one frequently utilized by Adolf Hitler.
Fruitlands—Bronson Alcott, Charles Lane and their unsuccessful search for utopia.