Discursive Landscapes and Unsupervised Topic Modeling in IR: A Validation of Text-As-Data Approaches through a New Corpus of UN Security Council Speeches on Afghanistan
Mirco Schoenfeld, Steffen Eckhard, Ronny Patz, Hilde van Meegdenburg
The recent turn towards quantitative text-as-data approaches in IR brought new ways to study the discursive landscape of world politics. Here seen as complementary to qualitative approaches, quantitative assessments have the advantage of being able to order and make comprehensible vast amounts of text. However, the validity of unsupervised methods applied to the types of text available in large quantities needs to be established before they can speak to other studies relying on text and discourse as data. In this paper, we introduce a new text corpus of United Nations Security Council (UNSC) speeches on Afghanistan between 2001 and 2017; we study this corpus through unsupervised topic modeling (LDA) with the central aim to validate the topic categories that the LDA identifies; and we discuss the added value, and complementarity, of quantitative text-as-data approaches. We set-up two tests using mixed- method approaches. Firstly, we evaluate the identified topics by assessing whether they conform with previous qualitative work on the development of the situation in Afghanistan. Secondly, we use network analysis to study the underlying social structures of what we will call 'speaker-topic relations' to see whether they correspondent to know divisions and coalitions in the UNSC. In both cases we find that the unsupervised LDA indeed provides valid and valuable outputs. In addition, the mixed-method approaches themselves reveal interesting patterns deserving future qualitative research. Amongst these are the coalition and dynamics around the 'women and human rights' topic as part of the UNSC debates on Afghanistan.
cs.SI