text: ________________________________________________________________________________ FM 2-22.3
  111 222 333 444
  SSSTTTAAARRRTTT 111999888000 111999888000 OOOCCCTTT 888111 111999999000
  RRRaaahhhmmmaaannn iiissssssuuueeeddd RRRaaahhhmmmaaannn aaadddvvviiisssooorrr PPPrrreeesssiiidddeeennnttt SSSaaadddaaattt RRRaaahhhmmmaaannn llleeeaaavvveeesss
  FFFAAATTTWWWAAA aaagggaaaiiinnnsssttt tttooo FFFaaarrraaaggg,,, KKKaaarrraaammm,,, aaassssssaaassssssiiinnnaaattteeeddd bbbyyy EEEgggyyypppttt fffooorrr SSSuuudddaaannn
  PPPrrreeesssiiidddeeennnttt SSSaaadddaaattt aaannnddd tttwwwooo ooottthhheeerrrsss MMMuuusssllliiimmm BBB’’’HHHooooooddd
  5555 6666 7777 8888 9999
  JJJJUUUULLLL 99990000 1111999999990000 1111999999990000 JJJJAAAANNNN 99991111 MMMMAAAARRRR 99991111
  RRRRaaaahhhhmmmmaaaannnn iiiinnnn UUUUSSSS RRRRaaaabbbbbbbbiiii KKKKaaaahhhhaaaannnneeee RRRRaaaahhhhmmmmaaaannnn lllliiiinnnnkkkkeeeedddd ttttoooo RRRRaaaahhhhmmmmaaaannnn iiiissssssssuuuueeeessss SSSShhhhaaaallllaaaabbbbiiii
  ccccoooonnnnttttrrrroooollll ooooffff NNNNJJJJ sssshhhhooootttt iiiinnnn NNNNYYYYCCCC bbbbyyyy 4444 bbbboooommmmbbbbiiiinnnnggggssss iiiinnnn FFFFAAAATTTTWWWWAAAA aaaaggggaaaaiiiinnnnsssstttt aaaassssssssaaaassssssssiiiinnnnaaaatttteeeedddd
  MMMMoooossssqqqquuuueeee EEEEllll SSSSaaaayyyyyyyyiiiidddd NNNNoooossssaaaaiiiirrrr EEEEggggyyyypppptttt MMMMuuuussssttttaaaaffffaaaa SSSShhhhaaaallllaaaabbbbiiii iiiinnnn BBBBrrrrooooooookkkkllllyyyynnnn
  111000 111111 111222 111333 111444
  111999999111 ---111999999222 222666 FFFEEEBBB 999333 444---555 MMMAAARRR 999333 777 MMMAAAYYY 999333 222333 MMMAAAYYY 999333
  RRRaaahhhmmmaaannn ppprrreeeaaaccchhheeesss WWWTTTCCC BBBooommmbbbiiinnnggg SSSaaallllllaaammmeeehhh aaannnddd IIInnniiitttiiiaaalll ppplllaaannnnnniiinnnggg fffooorrr SSSaaallleeemmm,,, SSSiiiddddddiiiggg,,, aaannnddd
  aaagggaaaiiinnnsssttt ZZZiiiooonnniiisssmmm EEElllgggaaabbbrrrooowwwnnnyyy UUUNNN bbbooommmbbbiiinnnggg HHHaaammmppptttooonnn EEElll iiinnncccllluuudddeee
  aaannnddd CCCaaapppiiitttaaallliiisssmmm aaarrrrrreeesssttteeeddd FFFeeeddd BBBllldddggg aaannnddd
  tttuuunnnnnneeelllsss iiinnn ppplllaaannn
  11115555 11116666 11117777 11118888 111999
  22227777 MMMMAAAAYYYY 99993333 22229999 MMMMAAAAYYYY 99993333 11119999 JJJJUUUUNNNN 99993333 22222222 JJJJUUUUNNNN 99993333 222444 JJJUUUNNN 999333
  TTTTiiiimmmmiiiinnnngggg ddddeeeevvvviiiicccceeee RRRReeeeccccoooonnnn ooooffff HHHHoooollllllllaaaannnndddd FFFFiiiirrrrsssstttt bbbbaaaattttcccchhhh ooooffff SSSSaaaalllleeeemmmm aaaannnndddd AAAAllllvvvvaaaarrrreeeezzzz FFFBBBIII aaarrrrrreeesssttt SSSiiiddddddiiiggg,,,
  tttteeeesssstttteeeedddd aaaannnndddd LLLLiiiinnnnccccoooollllnnnn ttttuuuunnnnnnnneeeellllssss AAAANNNNFFFFOOOO mmmmiiiixxxxeeeedddd aaaatttttttteeeemmmmpppptttt ttttoooo bbbbuuuuyyyy gggguuuunnnnssss SSSaaallllllaaahhh,,, AAAlllvvvaaarrreeezzz,,,
  KKKaaallllllaaafffaaallllllaaa,,, aaannnddd 555
  SSSuuunnndddaaannneeessseee
  Figure 12-1. Example of a Time Event Chart.
  12-21. Suspected or weak associations are those associations in which there
  are indicators that individuals may have had associations but there is no way
  to confirm that association; this is depicted with an open circle. Examples of
  suspected associations are––
  • A known party calling a known telephone number (the analyst knows
  to whom the telephone number is listed) but it cannot be determined
  with certainty who answered the call.
  • A face-to-face meeting where one party can be identified, but the
  other party can only be tentatively identified.
  12-22. The rationale for depicting suspected associations is to get as close as
  possible to an objective analytic solution while staying as close as possible to
  known or confirmed facts. If a suspected association is later confirmed, the
  appropriate adjustment may be made on the association matrix. A secondary
  reason for depicting suspected associations is that it may give the analyst a
  focus for tasking limited intelligence collections assets in order to confirm the
  suspected association. An important point to remember about using the
  association matrix is that it will, without modification, show only the