Title: PG just finished his talk at Business of Software 2009 where he listed trends he would bet on and trends he would stay away from. Here are my hopefully correct notes:<p>-Trends to bet on-<p>Innovation<p>Software<p>Efficient Markets - More information leads to a new efficient market.<p>Measurement - You make what you measure.<p>United States<p>Silicon Valley<p>Small Companies<p>Economic Inequality<p>Moore's Law<p>Things on Screens<p>Server based apps<p>Super Good Customer Service<p>Apparently Frivolous Stuff (facebook)<p>Programming Languages<p>Open Source<p>Linux will never be a factor on the desktop<p>iPhone<p>Design<p>Real-Time<p>Venture Funding<p>Founders<p>-Things not to bet on-<p>Credentials based on institutions (degrees)<p>Business School<p>The Government changing<p>Copyright<p>Restricted flow of information (everything is getting more liquid)
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