- Mar 2012 was first full month of universal coverage in ALL
areas of Ntcheu District - Initial estimate: Malaria incidence,
compared to the same month in the prior year, is 50% lower in
Mar 2012, 50% lower in Apr 2012, 45% lower in May 2012, 45%
lower in Jun 2012 - The incidence of malaria in July, August and
September 2012 were 41%, 47% and 35% lower than in the
corresponding months of the prior year. - Different malaria
diagnostic methods were used pre and post July 2011. Pre July
2011 data were via clinical observation. This diagnostic method
can lead to an overstatement of malaria i.e. false positives.
Data in July 2011 and after were via use of Rapid Diagnostic
Testing Kits ie via blood testing, which is far more accurate. -
Comparing Jul-Nov2010 with Jul-Nov2011 data suggests an average
50% (range 30-70%) over-diagnosis of malaria (false positives)
in the Jul-Nov 2010 period. Comparing Dec2010-Jan2011 with Dec
2011-Jan2012 data suggests a much lower over-diagnosis of 0-25%.
Anecdotal information from m