Today, renewables provide 23% of China’s energy demand for heat
supply, the main contribution coming from biomass. Dedicated
support instruments are required to ensure a dynamic future
development. In the Energy [R]evolution scenario, renewables
provide 35% of China’s total heat demand in 2030 and 86% in
2050. - Energy efficiency measures will restrict the future
energy demand for heat supply in 2030 to an increase of 15%
compared to 29% in the Reference scenario, in spite of improving
living standards. - In the industry sector solar collectors,
biomass/biogas as well as geothermal energy are increasingly
substituted for conventional fossil-fired heating systems. - A
shift from coal and oil to natural gas in the remaining
conventional applications leads to a further reduction of CO2
emissions. Table 5.56 shows the development of the different
renewable technologies for heating in China over time. Up to
2020, biomass will remain the main contributor of the growing
market share. After 2020, the continuing growt