Nordpred: Prediction of cancer incidence in the Nordic countries
up to the year 2020 The Nordic cancer registries have carried
out a larger study to calculate the cancer incidence in the
Nordic countries up through the year 2020. In this study the
number of new cancer cases in Norway is estimated to increase
with 42% for males and 36% for females. The escalation in cancer
cases is mainly due to the ageing of the population, while a
smaller part of the increase are due to an increase in risk. A
small increase in cancer risk From 1958 to 1997 the cancer risk
in Norway has increased with more than 60%. Based on trends in
this period, the risk for 24 different cancer sites is estimated
up to the year 2020. For males, the overall cancer risk seems to
level off. The risk of cancers in the floor of the mouth,
prostate and testis is estimated to have the highest increase,
while cancers in the lip and stomach is excepted to have the
highest decrease. For females, the overall cancer risk is also
expected to level off,