title: Latent Causal Invariant Model
abstract: Current supervised learning can learn spurious correlation during the data-fitting process, imposing issues regarding interpretability, out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization, and robustness. To avoid spurious correlation, we propose a \textbf{La}tent \textbf{C}ausal \textbf{I}nvariance \textbf{M}odel (LaCIM) which pursues \emph{causal prediction}. Specifically, we introduce latent variables that are separated into (a) output-causative factors and (b) others that are spuriously correlated to the output via confounders, to model the underlying causal factors. We further assume the generating mechanisms from latent space to observed data to be \emph{causally invariant}. We give the identifiable claim of such invariance, particularly the disentanglement of output-causative factors from others, as a theoretical guarantee for precise inference and avoiding spurious correlation. We propose a Variational-Bayesian-based method for estimation and to optimize over the latent space for prediction. The utility of our approach is verified by improved interpretability, prediction power on various OOD scenarios (including healthcare) and robustness on security. 
authors: Xinwei Sun Botong Wu Chang Liu Xiangyu Zheng Wei Chen Tao Qin Tie-Yan Liu
hIndex: Tie-Yan Liu 68