System dynamics analysis for petrochemical enterprise fire safety system
Abstract To study the changes of fire safety system in oil tank storage area. This paper analyzes the influencing factors of fire safety in oil tank storage area from the aspects of personnel consciousness, fire control facilities, fire control management and technology and establishes the causal relationship analysis. On this basis, the flow pattern model and variables are determined, and the simulation model of fire safety system in oil tank storage area is constructed. Finally, the applicability of the model is verified by the case of nanjing liuhe chemical industrial park. Research results revealed the complex causality both among fire safety factors and between factors and the system safety level, and could dynamically predict the development trend of system security level in a certain period of time, which can provide theoretical basis for making countermeasures of strengthening the fire safety of enterprises in the chemical park and guiding the enterprise fire safety management.