If one has measurable attributes that sets one apart from the typical long run user, the project DA can be refuted based on the fact that one could expect to be within the first 5% of members, a priori. The analogy to the total-human-population form of the argument is: Confidence in a prediction of the distribution of human characteristics that places modern and historic humans outside the mainstream, implies that it is already known, before examining n that it is likely to be very early in N.