Susan B Racette, Mary L Uhrich, M Leanne White, Liyang Yu, B Ruth Clark
Sex differences in FITNESSGRAM® health risk based on aerobic capacity and body composition among urban public elementary school children
Preventive medicine
consider proposition reasoners represent causal conditionals john studies hard well test causal model antecedent john studies hard potential cause consequent john well test studies suggest reasoners ignore alternative causes consequent predictive judgments similarly reasoners may fully consider alternative causes diagnostic judgments either tested assumptions comparison 2 causal models without alternative causes experiments 1 2 model alternative causes tended overestimate predictive diagnostic judgments experiment 3 tested whether causal models account participants judgments probability conditional however neither models predictions accurate based assumption probability judgments follow ordinal relations tested qualitative rather quantitative predictions causal models experiments 4 5 participants provided predictive diagnostic judgments causal scenarios observed experiments results suggest reasoners consider alternative causes finally experiment 6 participants considered pairs causal conditionals matched causal power differing probability alternative causes average participants preferred bet predictive conclusions conditionals higher probability alternative causes uncertain metric properties probability judgments conclude reasoners likely consider alternative causes predictive diagnostic judgments psycinfo database record c 2019 apa rights reserved