Douglas S. Massey|Brendan Mullan
A demonstration of the effect of seasonal migration on fertility
University of Pennsylvania|University of Pennsylvania
fertility estimates calculated using children data mexican migrant town guadalupe michoacan town 75 percent families member working united states wives often regularly separated migrant husbands simulations menken 1979 bongaarts potter 1979 suggest fertility among women depressed results confirmed hypothesis showing seasonal absence migrant husbands disrupted level timing fertility however effect greater legal illegal migrants pattern stemmed social factors well physical separation logistic regression analysis showed reductions birth probabilities greater longer couple separated reductions range expected prior simulations