John Giardina, Alyssa Bilinski, Meagan C Fitzpatrick, Emily A Kendall, Benjamin P Linas, Joshua Salomon, Andrea L Ciaranello
Model-Estimated Association Between Simulated US Elementary School-Related SARS-CoV-2 Transmission, Mitigation Interventions, and Vaccine Coverage Across Local Incidence Levels
JAMA network open
uncertainty modelled either probabilistically nonprobabilistically former option leads concept reliability probability nofailure paper nonprobabilistic convex models uncertainty used formulate reliability terms acceptable system performance given uncertain operating environment uncertain geometrical imperfections shown probabilistic reliability sensitive small inaccuracy probabilistic model consequently nonprobabilistic concept reliability useful insufficient information available verifying probabilistic model addition theorem presented showing analogous convex probabilistic models input uncertainty lead different predictions range output variation