Kathy S Bond, Fairlie A Cottrill, Andrew Mackinnon, Amy J Morgan, Claire M Kelly, Greg Armstrong, Betty A Kitchener, Nicola J Reavley, Anthony F Jorm
Effects of the Mental Health First Aid for the suicidal person course on beliefs about suicide, stigmatising attitudes, confidence to help, and intended and actual helping actions: an evaluation
International journal of mental health systems
dynamic nature covid19 pandemic demanded public health response constantly evolving due novelty virus many jurisdictions usa canada across world adopted social distancing recommended use face masks considering measures prudent understand contributions subpopulationssuch silent spreadersto disease transmission dynamics order inform public health strategies jurisdictiondependent manner additionally others shown demographic environmental stochasticity transmission rates play important role shaping disease dynamics create model covid19 pandemic including two classes individuals silent spreaders either never experience symptomatic phase remain undetected throughout disease course symptomatic spreaders experience symptoms detected fit model realtime covid19 confirmed cases deaths derive transmission rates death rates relevant parameters multiple phases outbreaks british columbia bc canada determine extent sils contributed bcs early wave disease transmission well impact public health interventions reducing transmission sils syms validate model existing covid19 parameterized framework fit model clinical data estimate key parameter values different stages bcs disease dynamics use parameters construct hybrid stochastic model leverages strengths timenonhomogeneous discrete process stochastic differential equation model combining previously established approaches explore impact demographic environmental variability disease dynamics simulating various scenarios covid19 outbreak initiated results demonstrate variability disease transmission rate impacts probability severity covid19 outbreaks differently high versus lowtransmission scenarios