Brittany L Willer, Christian Mpody, Joseph D Tobias, Olubukola O Nafiu, Nathalia Jimenez
Association of Neighborhood Opportunity, Race and Ethnicity with Pediatric Day-of-Surgery Cancellations: a Cohort Study
Anesthesiology
40 years starting hiv epidemic brazilian amazon region remains increasing trend young men sex men msm impacted hiv last decade however much attributing risk behavior hiv uniquely individual behaviors shaped social determinants health sdh despite problem scarcity studies evaluating impact sdh hiv among young msm none done northern brazil therefore main goal study analyse hiv epidemic among brazilian amazonian young msm using temporal trends spatial analysis conducted ecological study using reported cases hivaids young msm living par second larger brazilian amazonian province 2007 2018 data obtained information system notifiable diseases temporal analysis employed seasonal trend decomposition using loess forecasting model stlf hybrid timeseries forecast model combines autoregressiveintegrated moving average arima forecasting model seasonaltrend loess stl decomposition method spatial analysis morans spatial autocorrelation spatial scan spatial regression techniques used total 2192 notifications included study greater variabilities hivaids populationlevel diagnosis rates found festive months hivaids populationlevel diagnosis rates exhibited upward trend 2013 trend forecasted continue 2022 belm capital par presented highest spatial risk hivaids city present spatiotemporal risk 2014 2018 geographic variation hiv epidemic associated number men formal jobs average salary men percentage people 18 years old elementary education upward trend hivaids populationlevel diagnosis rate forecasted 2022 variability epidemic promoted sdh brings alert subsidies health authorities implement efficient focalized public policies hiv among young msm par