Kov Emese|P Eter|Mih Alyi
The predictability of COVID-19 mortality rates based on ex-ante economic, health and social indicators
Corvinus University of Budapest|Institute of Economics|Corvinus University of Budapest|Institute of Economics|Corvinus University of Budapest|Institute of Economics
abstract paper analyses differences covid19 mortality rates mr 24 european countries explain mrs available reliable exante economic health social indicators pertaining year 2019 ie outbreak pandemic using simple regression equations received statistically significant results 11 variables 28 attempts best model two exante independent variables explains 076 variability expost dependent variable logarithm cumulative covid deaths estimated coefficient variable density nurses shows one nurse per 1000 population decreases cumulative covid deaths almost 15 similarly one unit consumption nonprescribed medicine decreases cumulative deaths 5 seems european countries successful minimising fatalities population high level health literacy people pursue healthier lifestyle healthcare systems worked relatively large nursing force already prior covid pandemic