Joshua W Elder, Suzanne Booth Baraff, Wesley N Gaschler, Larry J Baraff
Pulse Oxygen Saturation Values in a Healthy School-Aged Population
Pediatric emergency care
suggest normative model evaluation explanations b based probabilistic conditional reasoning compare empirical data according modus ponens model explanations probability b equal joint probability conditional b explanans argue b expresses conjunction b well positive relevance b study 1 participants n 80 judged subjective probabilities 20 sets statements focus beliefbased reasoning uncertainty study 2 participants n 376 assigned one six item sets varied inferential relevance b explore boundary conditions model assessed performance model across range analyses report results equation fundamental model research probabilistic reasoning concerning evaluation conditionals studies results indicate participants belief statements b followed model predictions systematically however sizeable proportion sets beliefs contained least one incoherence indicating deviations norms rationality suggested model addition results study 2 lend support idea inferential relevance may relevant evaluation conditionals explanations