Jorge Gallego
Natural disasters and clientelism: The case of floods and landslides in Colombia
Universidad del Rosario
effects natural disasters electoral results authors claim catastrophes negative effect survival leaders democracy voters propensity punish politicians preventing poorly handling crisis contrast paper finds events might favor incumbents disasters linked leader survival clientelism generate inflow resources form aid increases money buying votes analyzing rainy season 20102011 colombia considered worst disaster history use differenceindifferences strategy show local election incumbent parties benefited disaster result robust regard different specifications alternative explanations moreover present evidence goes common explanations found literature goes line clientelism mechanism