Tanvir Chowdhury Turin|Marcello Tonelli|Braden Manns|Sofia B. Ahmed|Pietro Ravani|Matthew T. James|Brenda R. Hemmelgarn
Lifetime Risk of ESRD
University of Alberta|University of Calgary|University of Calgary|University of Calgary|University of Calgary|Foothills Medical Centre
lifetime risk cumulative risk experiencing outcome diseasefree index age death lifetime risk esrd middleaged individual relevant easy communicate measure disease burden estimated lifetime risk esrd cohort 2895521 adults without esrd 1997 2008 estimate lifetime risk esrd level baseline kidney function analyzed cohort participants serum creatinine measurement also estimated sex index agespecific lifetime risk incident esrd accounted competing risk death among individuals without esrd age 40 years lifetime risk esrd 266 men 176 women risk higher persons reduced kidney function egfr4459 mlmin per 173 m2 lifetime risk esrd 751 men 321 women whereas men women relatively preserved kidney function egfr6089 mlmin per 173 m2 lifetime risks esrd 101 063 respectively lifetime risk esrd consistently higher men ages egfr strata compared women conclusion approximately 1 40 men 1 60 women middle age develop esrd lifetimes living 90s populationbased estimates may assist individuals make decisions regarding public health policy