Guy Abel|Bilal Barakat|Samir Kc|Wolfgang Lutz
Meeting the Sustainable Development Goals leads to lower world population growth
Shanghai University|Vienna Institute of Demography|International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis|Vienna University of Economics and Business|Vienna Institute of Demography|International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis|Vienna University of Economics and Business|Shanghai University|Vienna Institute of Demography|International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis|Vienna University of Economics and Business|Vienna Institute of Demography|International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis|Vienna University of Economics and Business
show extent expected world population growth could lowered successfully implementing recently agreedupon sustainable development goals sdgs sdgs include specific quantitative targets mortality reproductive health education girls 2030 measures directly indirectly affect future demographic trends based multidimensional model population dynamics stratifies national populations age sex level education educational fertility mortality differentials translate goals sdg population scenarios resulting population sizes 82 87 billion 2100 results lie outside 95 prediction range given 2015 united nations probabilistic population projections complement study sensitivity analyses projections suggest prediction intervals narrow uncertainty baseline data conservative assumptions correlations possibility new policies influencing trends although analysis presented rests several assumptions implementation sdgs persistence educational fertility mortality differentials quantitatively illustrates view demography destiny policies make decisive difference particular advances female education reproductive health contribute greatly reducing world population growth