Susan C Lee, Vu Nguyen, Anvinh Nguyen, Charles G Minard, Suman Rajagopalan
Teaching Anesthesiology Residents How to Obtain Informed Consent
The journal of education in perioperative medicine : JEPM
reasoning inference wellstudied aspects basic cognition explained statistically optimal bayesian inference using simplified experimental design conducted quantitative comparisons bayesian inference human inference level individuals 3 experiments 13000 participants asked people prior posterior inferences probability 1 2 coins would generate certain outcomes participants inferences inconsistent bayes rule simplest version task majority participants adhere bayes rule even case significant proportion failed current results highlight importance close quantitative comparisons bayesian inference human data individualsubject level evaluating models cognition