Calculation of Event Probability and Chance of Rise using last ten year dataAfter moving 14.0% or more over a five-day period, the stock rose in the next five days only on 45% of the occasions. After moving 7.5% or more over a ten-day period, the stock rose in the next ten days only on 41% of the occasions After moving 28.0% or more over a twenty-one-day period, the stock rose in the next twenty-one days only on 43% of the occasions. The company expects to deliver the tests as early as next month. See all Trefis Featured Analyses and Download Trefis Data here This historical pattern reflects 236 out of 416, or about 57% chance of a decline in SRNE stock over the coming month .
there was a change in percent of the u.s. health agency over the twenty-one day period.
( z0 change :ARG1 ( z1 percent :quant-of ( z2 agency :mod ( z3 health ) :mod ( z4 country :name ( z5 name :op "U.S." ) ) ) ) :duration ( z6 temporal-quantity :quant 25 :unit ( z7 day ) ) )
(z0 / change-01
    :ARG1 (z1 / percent
              :quant-of (z2 / agency
                            :mod (z3 / health)
                            :mod (z4 / country
                                     :name (z5 / name
                                               :op1 "U.S."))))
    :duration (z6 / temporal-quantity
                  :quant 25
                  :unit (z7 / day)))
there was a change in percent of the u . s. health agency over the twenty - one day period .
z0 :ARG1 z1
z4 :name z5
z5 :op1 1
z2 :mod z3
z2 :mod z4
z1 :quant-of z2
z0 :duration z6
z6 :quant 0
z6 :unit z7