Calculation of Event Probability and Chance of Rise using last ten year dataAfter moving 14.0% or more over a five-day period, the stock rose in the next five days only on 45% of the occasions. After moving 7.5% or more over a ten-day period, the stock rose in the next ten days only on 41% of the occasions After moving 28.0% or more over a twenty-one-day period, the stock rose in the next twenty-one days only on 43% of the occasions. The company expects to deliver the tests as early as next month. See all Trefis Featured Analyses and Download Trefis Data here This historical pattern reflects 236 out of 416, or about 57% chance of a decline in SRNE stock over the coming month .
This historical pattern reflects 365 out of 485.87.
( z0 reflect :ARG1 ( z1 pattern :mod ( z2 history ) :mod ( z3 this ) ) :ARG2 ( z4 thing :quant 365 :ARG1-of ( z5 include :ARG2 ( z6 thing :quant 485.87 ) ) ) )
(z0 / reflect-01
    :ARG1 (z1 / pattern
              :mod (z2 / history)
              :mod (z3 / this))
    :ARG2 (z4 / thing
              :quant 365
              :ARG1-of (z5 / include-91
                           :ARG2 (z6 / thing
                                     :quant 485.87))))
This historical pattern reflects 365 out of 485.87 .
z1 :mod z2
z1 :mod z3
z0 :ARG1 z1
z4 :ARG1-of z5
z4 :quant 0
z0 :ARG2 z4
z6 :quant 1
z5 :ARG2 z6