After moving 7.5% or more over a ten-day period, the stock rose in the next ten days only on 41% of the occasions After moving 28.0% or more over a twenty-one-day period, the stock rose in the next twenty-one days only on 43% of the occasions. Calculation of Event Probability and Chance of Rise using last ten year dataAfter moving 14.0% or more over a five-day period, the stock rose in the next five days only on 45% of the occasions. While SRNE stock declined over 8% from levels of $9.46 on June 14 to $8.69 on June 21, it has since rallied 14% to $9.90 now. Out of 416 instances in the last ten years that SRNE stock saw a twenty-one day rise of 28% or more, 236 of them resulted in SRNE stock declining over the subsequent one month period (twenty-one trading days). This historical pattern reflects 236 out of 416, or about 57% chance of a decline in SRNE stock over the coming month .
Population in the study averaged 221, an equal amount to 49% of individuals.
( z0 average :ARG1 ( z1 population :ARG1-of ( z2 study ) ) :ARG2 ( z3 221 :mod ( z4 amount :ARG1-of ( z5 equal :ARG2 ( z6 percentage-entity :ARG3-of ( z7 include :ARG2 ( z8 individual ) ) :value 49 ) ) ) ) )
(z0 / average-01
    :ARG1 (z1 / population
              :ARG1-of (z2 / study-01))
    :ARG2 (z3 / 221
              :mod (z4 / amount
                       :ARG1-of (z5 / equal-01
                                    :ARG2 (z6 / percentage-entity
                                              :ARG3-of (z7 / include-91
                                                           :ARG2 (z8 / individual))
                                              :value 49)))))
Population in the study averaged 221 , an equal amount to 49 % of individuals .
z1 :ARG1-of z2
z0 :ARG1 z1
z0 :ARG2 z3
z4 :ARG1-of z5
z3 :mod z4
z6 :value 0
z5 :ARG2 z6
z6 :ARG3-of z7
z7 :ARG2 z8