See all Trefis Featured Analyses and Download Trefis Data here Calculation of Event Probability and Chance of Rise using last ten year dataAfter moving 14.0% or more over a five-day period, the stock rose in the next five days only on 45% of the occasions. While there has been a decline in daily new cases, the countrys vaccination rate is low with only 15% of the population fully vaccinated, and 24% of the population being administered with at least one dose. After moving 7.5% or more over a ten-day period, the stock rose in the next ten days only on 41% of the occasions After moving 28.0% or more over a twenty-one-day period, the stock rose in the next twenty-one days only on 43% of the occasions. For example, youll be surprised how counter-intuitive the stock valuation is for Johnson & Johnson vs Quest Diagnostics.
The band leads into an increasing calculated quarterly and yearly.
( z0 lead :ARG0 ( z1 band ) :ARG4 ( z2 and :ARG1-of ( z3 calculate ) :ARG1-of z0 :op ( z4 rate-entity :ARG3 ( z5 temporal-quantity :quant 1 :unit ( z6 week ) ) ) :op ( z7 rate-entity :ARG2 ( z8 temporal-quantity :quant 1 :unit ( z9 year ) ) ) ) :rel ( z10 increase ) )
(z0 / lead-01
    :ARG0 (z1 / band)
    :ARG4 (z2 / and
              :ARG1-of (z3 / calculate-01)
              :ARG1-of z0
              :op1 (z4 / rate-entity-91
                       :ARG3 (z5 / temporal-quantity
                                 :quant 1
                                 :unit (z6 / week)))
              :op2 (z7 / rate-entity-91
                       :ARG2 (z8 / temporal-quantity
                                 :quant 1
                                 :unit (z9 / year))))
    :rel (z10 / increase-01))
The band leads into an increasing calculated quarterly and yearly .
z0 :ARG0 z1
z4 :ARG3 z5
z5 :unit z6
z7 :ARG2 z8
z5 :quant 0
z8 :quant 1
z2 :op2 z7
z2 :op1 z4
z2 :ARG1-of z3
z2 :ARG1-of z0
z0 :ARG4 z2
z8 :unit z9
z0 :rel z10