Each person is someones grandparent, parent, spouse, child or friend. There is a big difference between modeling for a weather forecast and modeling for an infectious disease. It took more than 16 weeks for the US to reach 100,000 deaths, but less than five weeks for the death toll to leap from 300,000 to 400,000. The weather is cold, and its hard to see one another outdoors. You may be able to predict the path of a hurricane and then get out of that path, but you cant change where the hurricane goes.
This article states how many deaths modeling for a weather forecast would be.
( z0 state :ARG0 ( z1 article :mod ( z2 this ) ) :ARG1 ( z3 number :quant-of ( z4 die :mod ( z5 model :ARG1 ( z6 forecast :ARG1 ( z7 weather ) ) ) ) ) )
(z0 / state-01
    :ARG0 (z1 / article
              :mod (z2 / this))
    :ARG1 (z3 / number
              :quant-of (z4 / die-01
                            :mod (z5 / model-01
                                     :ARG1 (z6 / forecast-01
                                               :ARG1 (z7 / weather))))))
This article states how many deaths modeling for a weather forecast would be .
z1 :mod z2
z0 :ARG0 z1
z0 :ARG1 z3
z3 :quant-of z4
z4 :mod z5
z6 :ARG1 z7
z5 :ARG1 z6