John Paul II  was the first non-Italian Pope in exactly 600 years, so other things being equal, his successor would presumably be Italian.
Pope John Paul II was not of Italian descent.
( z1 descend :polarity - :ARG0 ( z2 person :name ( z3 name :op "John" :op "Paul" :op "II" ) :ARG0-of ( z4 have-org-role :ARG2 ( z5 pope ) ) ) :ARG1 ( z6 country :name ( z7 name :op "Italy" ) ) )