John Paul II  was the first non-Italian Pope in exactly 600 years, so other things being equal, his successor would presumably be Italian.
At least 5 consecutive popes were Italian.
( z1 person :mod ( z2 country :name ( z3 name :op "Italy" ) ) :domain ( z4 pope :quant ( z5 at-least :op 5 :mod ( z6 consecutive ) ) ) )