John Paul II  was the first non-Italian Pope in exactly 600 years, so other things being equal, his successor would presumably be Italian.
John Paul II did not come from an Italian family.
( z1 come :polarity - :ARG1 ( z2 person :name ( z3 name :op "John" :op "Paul" :op "II" ) ) :ARG2 ( z4 family :mod ( z5 country :name ( z6 name :op "Italy" ) ) ) )