John Paul II  was the first non-Italian Pope in exactly 600 years, so other things being equal, his successor would presumably be Italian.
The pope 300 years before John Paul II was not German.
( z1 country :polarity - :name ( z2 name :op "Germany" ) :domain ( z3 person :ARG0-of ( z4 have-org-role :ARG2 ( z5 pope ) :time ( z6 before :op ( z7 person :name ( z8 name :op "John" :op "Paul" :op "II" ) ) :quant ( z9 temporal-quantity :quant 300 :unit ( z10 year ) ) ) ) ) )