John Paul II  was the first non-Italian Pope in exactly 600 years, so other things being equal, his successor would presumably be Italian.
Most likely, John Paul II's successor will not be not Italian.
( z1 person :polarity - :mod ( z2 country :name ( z3 name :op "Italy" ) ) :ARG0-of ( z4 succeed :ARG1 ( z5 person :name ( z6 name :op "John" :op "Paul" :op "II" ) ) ) )