John Paul II  was the first non-Italian Pope in exactly 600 years, so other things being equal, his successor would presumably be Italian.
It is presumed that the next pope after John Paul II will not be a non-Italian.
( z1 presume :ARG1 ( z2 person :polarity - :mod ( z3 country :name ( z4 name :op "Italy" ) ) :domain ( z5 person :ARG0-of ( z6 have-org-role :ARG2 ( z7 pope ) :time ( z8 after :op ( z9 person :name ( z10 name :op "John" :op "Paul" :op "II" ) ) ) ) :mod ( z11 next ) ) ) )