John Paul II  was the first non-Italian Pope in exactly 600 years, so other things being equal, his successor would presumably be Italian.
After 600 years on the dot, John Paul II became the first pope who was not of Italian descent.
( z1 become :ARG1 ( z2 person :name ( z3 name :op "John" :op "Paul" :op "II" ) ) :ARG2 ( z4 pope :ord ( z5 ordinal-entity :value 1 ) :ARG0-of ( z6 descend :polarity - :ARG1 ( z7 country :name ( z8 name :op "Italy" ) ) ) ) :time ( z9 after :op ( z10 dot ) :quant ( z11 temporal-quantity :quant 600 :unit ( z12 year ) ) ) )