CATS: Enhancing Multivariate Time Series Forecasting by Constructing Auxiliary Time Series as Exogenous Variables
<|reference_start|>CATS: Enhancing Multivariate Time Series Forecasting by Constructing Auxiliary Time Series as Exogenous Variables: For Multivariate Time Series Forecasting (MTSF), recent deep learning applications show that univariate models frequently outperform multivariate ones. To address the difficiency in multivariate models, we introduce a method to Construct Auxiliary Time Series (CATS) that functions like a 2D temporal-contextual attention mechanism, which generates Auxiliary Time Series (ATS) from Original Time Series (OTS) to effectively represent and incorporate inter-series relationships for forecasting. Key principles of ATS - continuity, sparsity, and variability - are identified and implemented through different modules. Even with a basic 2-layer MLP as core predictor, CATS achieves state-of-the-art, significantly reducing complexity and parameters compared to previous multivariate models, marking it an efficient and transferable MTSF solution.<|reference_end|>
@article{lu2024cats:,
    title={CATS: Enhancing Multivariate Time Series Forecasting by Constructing
  Auxiliary Time Series as Exogenous Variables},
    author={Jiecheng Lu, Xu Han, Yan Sun, Shihao Yang},
    journal={arXiv preprint arXiv:2403.01673},
    year={2024},
    archivePrefix={arXiv},
    eprint={2403.01673},
    primaryClass={stat.ML cs.AI cs.LG}
}