A community palm model
<|reference_start|>A community palm model: Palm oil production has been identified as one of the major drivers of deforestation for tropical countries. To meet supply chain objectives, commodity producers and other stakeholders need timely information of land cover dynamics in their supply shed. However, such data are difficult to obtain from suppliers who may lack digital geographic representations of their supply sheds and production locations. Here we present a "community model," a machine learning model trained on pooled data sourced from many different stakeholders, to develop a specific land cover probability map, in this case a semi-global oil palm map. An advantage of this method is the inclusion of varied inputs, the ability to easily update the model as new training data becomes available and run the model on any year that input imagery is available. Inclusion of diverse data sources into one probability map can help establish a shared understanding across stakeholders on the presence and absence of a land cover or commodity (in this case oil palm). The model predictors are annual composites built from publicly available satellite imagery provided by Sentinel-1, Sentinel-2, and ALOS DSM. We provide map outputs as the probability of palm in a given pixel, to reflect the uncertainty of the underlying state (palm or not palm). The initial version of this model provides global accuracy estimated to be approximately 90% (at 0.5 probability threshold) from spatially partitioned test data. This model, and resulting oil palm probability map products are useful for accurately identifying the geographic footprint of palm cultivation. Used in conjunction with timely deforestation information, this palm model is useful for understanding the risk of continued oil palm plantation expansion in sensitive forest areas.<|reference_end|>
@article{clinton2024a,
    title={A community palm model},
    author={Nicholas Clinton, Andreas Vollrath, Remi D'annunzio, Desheng Liu,
  Henry B. Glick, Adri`a Descals, Alicia Sullivan, Oliver Guinan, Jacob
  Abramowitz, Fred Stolle, Chris Goodman, Tanya Birch, David Quinn, Olga
  Danylo, Tijs Lips, Daniel Coelho, Enikoe Bihari, Bryce Cronkite-Ratcliff, Ate
  Poortinga, Atena Haghighattalab, Evan Notman, Michael DeWitt, Aaron Yonas,
  Gennadii Donchyts, Devaja Shah, David Saah, Karis Tenneson, Nguyen Hanh
  Quyen, Megha Verma, Andrew Wilcox},
    journal={arXiv preprint arXiv:2405.09530},
    year={2024},
    archivePrefix={arXiv},
    eprint={2405.09530},
    primaryClass={cs.CY cs.CV cs.LG}
}