Triangulating on Possible Futures: Conducting User Studies on Several Futures Instead of Only One
<|reference_start|>Triangulating on Possible Futures: Conducting User Studies on Several Futures Instead of Only One: Plausible findings about futures are inherently difficult to obtain as they require critical, well-informed speculations backed with data. HCI addresses this challenge with user studies where futuristic prototypes and other props concretise possible futures for participants. By observing participants' actions, researchers can "time-travel" to the future and see it alive, in action. However, a single study may yield particularised findings, inherent to study's intricacies, and lack wider plausibility. We suggest that triangulation of possible futures helps researchers disentangle particularities from findings that have wider plausibility. We explored this approach by arranging two studies on different futures of AI-augmented knowledge work. Some findings emerged in both studies while others were particular to only one or the other. This enabled us both to cross-validate their plausibility and gain deeper insights. We discuss how triangulation of possible futures makes HCI studies more future-proof and provides means to more critically anticipate possible futures.<|reference_end|>
@article{salovaara2024triangulating,
    title={Triangulating on Possible Futures: Conducting User Studies on Several
  Futures Instead of Only One},
    author={Antti Salovaara and Leevi Vahvelainen},
    journal={arXiv preprint arXiv:2409.14137},
    year={2024},
    archivePrefix={arXiv},
    eprint={2409.14137},
    primaryClass={cs.HC}
}