The Patriots have a 10% chance to make the playoffs.
The Patriots have a 10% chance to make the playoffs.
How the New England Patriots Can Make the Playoffs: Through Week 18
ByJosh KatzKevin QuealyandRumsey TaylorUpdatedJan.  8, 2023
The Patriots have been eliminated from playoff contention.
The Upshot’s 2022 N.F.L. playoff simulator.See all teamsRead the methodology, orselect a teamALL TEAMSArizona Cardinals ✗Atlanta Falcons ✗Baltimore Ravens ✓Buffalo Bills ✓Carolina Panthers ✗Chicago Bears ✗Cincinnati Bengals ✓Cleveland Browns ✗Dallas Cowboys ✓Denver Broncos ✗Detroit Lions ✗Green Bay PackersHouston Texans ✗Indianapolis Colts ✗Jacksonville Jaguars ✓Kansas City Chiefs ✓Las Vegas Raiders ✗Los Angeles Chargers ✓Los Angeles Rams ✗Miami Dolphins ✓Minnesota Vikings ✓New England Patriots ✗New Orleans Saints ✗New York Giants ✓New York Jets ✗Philadelphia Eagles ✓Pittsburgh Steelers ✗San Francisco 49ers ✓Seattle SeahawksTampa Bay Buccaneers ✓Tennessee Titans ✗Washington Commanders ✗
2022 N.F.L. Playoff Picture:Each Team’s Path to the Postseason
There are2different ways the season could end. Explore them all.
ByJosh Katz,Kevin QuealyandRumsey Taylor
The N.F.L. Playoff Picture, Team by Team
The Buffalo Bills (13-3) have clinched a playoff berth.
The Miami Dolphins (9-8) have clinched a playoff berth.
The Patriots have been eliminated from playoff contention.
The Jets have been eliminated from playoff contention.
The Cincinnati Bengals (12-4) have clinched a playoff berth.
The Baltimore Ravens (10-7) have clinched a playoff berth.
The Steelers have been eliminated from playoff contention.
The Browns have been eliminated from playoff contention.
The Jacksonville Jaguars (9-8) have clinched a playoff berth.
The Titans have been eliminated from playoff contention.
The Colts have been eliminated from playoff contention.
The Texans have been eliminated from playoff contention.
The Kansas City Chiefs (14-3) have clinched a playoff berth.
The Los Angeles Chargers (10-7) have clinched a playoff berth.
The Raiders have been eliminated from playoff contention.
The Broncos have been eliminated from playoff contention.
The Philadelphia Eagles (14-3) have clinched a playoff berth.
The Dallas Cowboys (12-5) have clinched a playoff berth.
The New York Giants (9-7-1) have clinched a playoff berth.
The Commanders have been eliminated from playoff contention.
The Minnesota Vikings (13-4) have clinched a playoff berth.
The Green Bay Packers (8-8) beat the Minnesota Vikings in Week 17, raising their chances of making the playoffs to 62 percent from 31 percent. A win next week would clinch a playoff berth.
The Lions have been eliminated from playoff contention.
The Bears have been eliminated from playoff contention.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-9) have clinched a playoff berth.
The Saints have been eliminated from playoff contention.
The Panthers have been eliminated from playoff contention.
The Falcons have been eliminated from playoff contention.
The San Francisco 49ers (13-4) have clinched a playoff berth.
The Seattle Seahawks (9-8) beat the Los Angeles Rams on Sunday, boosting their chances of making the playoffs to 38 percent from 22 percent. They are on the cusp of being eliminated from playoff contention.
The Rams have been eliminated from playoff contention.
The Cardinals have been eliminated from playoff contention.
How theNew EnglandPatriotsCanMake the 2022 N.F.L. PlayoffsThrough Week18
Likeliest Playoff Positions
End-of-Season Outcomes
Division Standings
ByJosh Katz,Kevin QuealyandRumsey Taylor
The Patriots have been eliminated from playoff contention.
The table below represents thePatriots’remaining games.Pick a winner and see what happensto thePatriots’playoff chances:
As you pick winners, the colors on some games will change, reflecting their relative importance for aPatriotspostseason berth.
Or explore other possibilities, like a first-round bye or a division title, right here:choose scenario…win the divisionget a wild cardget a byeget a #1 seedget a #2 seedget a #3 seedget a #4 seedget a #5 seedget a #6 seedget a #7 seedmake the playoffsget the #1 draft pick
The tables below represent every N.F.L. game remaining.Pick winnersand explore which games matter most to thePatriots’chances.
With 1 games remaining, there are  2 different ways the N.F.L. regular season could end. How many of those put thePatriotsin the playoffs? Far too many to check by hand.
So we built this simulator.Most calculatorsforce you to choose the winners of each remaining game. Here, you can choose the outcomes of just a few games and see how your team’s chances grow or shrink. (For more information about this simulator, check outour newly updated guide.)
We estimate odds byrandomly simulatingthe remainder of the season thousands of times and counting how often thePatriotsmake the playoffs.
If you don’t specify an outcome for a particular game, we useSagarin ratingsto estimateeach team’s chances of winning. (For simplicity, we assume each game has an equally small chance of ending in a tie.)
This page is most useful forPatriotsfans, but you may use this tool to explore scenarios for any team on the playoff bubble.