The presidential race in Arizona remains close, but Joseph R. Biden Jr. was able to draw voters in Phoenix who could help him flip the state.
The presidential race in Arizona remains close, but Joseph R. Biden Jr. was able to draw voters in Phoenix who could help him flip the state.
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Phoenix’s Blue Wave Pushes Arizona Toward Biden
ByKeith CollinsFord FessendenLazaro GamioRich HarrisJohn KeefeDenise LuEleanor LutzAmy Schoenfeld WalkerDerek WatkinsandKaren YourishUpdatedNov. 10, 2020 at 11:00 a.m. E.T.
Analyzing the Vote in Battleground States
2016
+3.5 Trump
2020
+0.4 Biden
Current statewide margin
The presidential race in Arizona remained too close to call on Tuesday evening, but Joseph R. Biden Jr. held a lead in the state’s biggest city. Phoenix and its suburbs swung to the left, making it possible that Mr. Biden wins Arizona, even as other areas shifted to President Trump.
Shift from 2016 in Phoenix area
Shift from 2016 in Phoenix area
ARIZ.
Arrows show shift from 2016
towardTrumporBidenin each
precinct.
Phoenix
Glendale
Scottsdale
Phoenix
Mesa
Tempe
Shift from 2016 in Phoenix area
ARIZ.
Arrows show shift from 2016 towardTrumporBidenin each precinct.
Phoenix
Glendale
Scottsdale
Phoenix
Mesa
Tempe
Arrows show shift from 2016 towardTrumporBidenin each precinct.
Glendale
Scottsdale
Phoenix
Mesa
Maricopa County comprises 60 percent of the state’s voters and is home to Phoenix. Mr. Trump narrowly won the county in 2016, and support for Republicans has slipped there in recent elections. Voters there supported Kyrsten Sinema, a Democrat, in the 2018 Senate race.
Margin of victory in Arizona counties since 2008
Each line shows margins in one county over time
WithinMaricopa County, Mr. Biden won in most precincts with a majority Hispanic population, though often with smaller margins than Democrats saw in 2016.
Mr. Biden also won in many precincts that skewed younger.
The shift to the left in Maricopa County has helped put Mr. Biden ahead statewide. His reportedly strong support among Native Americans in the state has also been a benefit.
Margin in 2020
Biden
Trump
Still, as of Tuesday evening, Mr. Biden led by only about half a percentage point. A Democratic candidate for president has not won Arizona since Bill Clinton in 1996 — and he was the first Democrat to win there since Harry S. Truman in 1948.
Analyzing the Vote in Battleground States
Florida
Georgia
Michigan
North Carolina
Pennsylvania
Texas
Wisconsin
Note: Only counties where at least 95 percent of the estimated vote has been counted are shown.
Sources: Socialexplorer.com; Dave Leip’s Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections; OpenStreetMap; National Election Pool/Edison Research (election results); county election offices (precinct results); Ryne Rohla (2016 precinct results)
Additional work byBlacki Migliozzi. Additional data collection by Alice Park, Rachel Shorey, Ben Smithgall, Thu Trinh and Miles Watkins.