In a certain game, you pick a card from a standard deck of 52 cards. If the card is a heart, you win. If the card is not a heart, the person replaces the card to the deck, reshuffles, and draws again. The person keeps repeating that process until he picks a heart, and the point is to measure how many draws did it take before the person picked a heart and won. What is the probability that there will be at least four draws involved in a win, i.e. someone picking her first heart on the fourth draw or later?
Choose the correct choice from the following:
A) 1/2  B) 9/16  C) 11/16  D) 13/16  E) 27/64
Probability of picking a heart on any draw = 1/4   Probability of NOT picking a heart on the first draw AND on the second draw And 3rd draw = [1-(1/4)] X [1-(1/4)] X [1-(1/4)]= 3/4 X 3/4 X 3/4 = 27/64   Answer : 27/64
<result>E</result>
In a certain game, you pick a card from a standard deck of 52 cards. If the card is a heart, you win. If the card is not a heart, the person replaces the card to the deck, reshuffles, and draws again. The person keeps repeating that process until he picks a heart, and the point is to measure how many draws did it take before the person picked a heart and won. What is the probability that there will be at least four draws involved in a win, i.e. someone picking her first heart on the fourth draw or later?